Professional Documents
Culture Documents
NO PMS LOOPHOLE FOR INSIDERS: SEBI CATCH THE COUNTLESS SMALL FRAUDS TOO
STOCKS:
HIGHER
RETURN
LOWER
RISK VALUE STOCKS:
Exciting News Vs Exciting Stock
Page40
STOCKS
Crompton Greaves: Cheviot: Solid JB Chemicals: Small Software Stocks: JK Tyre: Stagnant Profit, Manipulation:
Sustainable? Performer Good Chemistry Cyclical Revenues? Rising Stock Price Optimus Finance
00
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a
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trends with an actively managed equity portfolio
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RISKOMETER
THIS OPEN ENDED GROWTH SCHEME IS SUITABLE FOR INVESTORS SEEKING*
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*Investors should consult their financial advisors if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them.
MUTUAL FUND INVESTMENTS ARE SUBJECT TO MARKET RISKS, READ ALL SCHEME RELATED DOCUMENTS CAREFULLY.
#
As per Scheme Information Document of the Scheme, high caliber stocks mean stocks having both value and growth potential.
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https://savers.moneylife.in/icvideos/
Speaker Event Amount
Prof Sanjay Bakshi Investing Traps & How To Avoid Them Rs.800
Dr Vijay Malik How To Assess the Management Quality before Buying Stocks Rs.700
Vijay Kedia My Investment Journey so for & what I learnt from my Failures Rs.700
Managing Risks
30 Cover Story
a lower amount of risk? In our Cover Story, we
apply these tools to stocks present in the
Nifty 500 index. The returns over the past five
years have been quite encouraging. Take a look
at our findings on page 32 where the Cover Stocks: Higher Return Lower Risk
Story starts. Investors look to earn the highest return with the lowest
Reliance Industries has created a lot amount of risk. However, this is easier said than done. Can we
of excitement with the launch of Jio, its pick a portfolio of stocks with the best risk-reward profile and
outperform the market? Jason Monteiro back-tests investing in
telecom service. But the exciting plans being stocks, based on their risk measures such as alpha, beta and
drummed up by the media dont make money standard deviation. The results are quite encouraging
for investors. In Value Stocks, I discuss what
should really excite investors when it comes to
investing in stocks.
HDFC Bank wanted its managers to be
immune from insider trading charges if they
12 Your Money
Homebuyers Favoured in Court Rulings
Bharat Saves Website Planned To Offer Information
invest in a discretionary portfolio. In a smart on Financial Planning
move, the Securities and Exchange Board of Nashik Consumer Forum Directs Four Builders To
India has refused to offer this blanket immunity. Undergo Two Years Simple Imprisonment
That would simply have opened the door to RBI To Focus on Mis-Selling of Insurance Policies by
Banks
misusing portfolio management schemes for
trading on insider information, as Sucheta
highlights in her Different Strokes section.
We have often seen how some promoters
with deep pockets have managed to manipulate
the system to their benefit. While some big
14 MONEYLIFE
QUIZ
names, like Ravi Ruia, Vijay Mallya, Subrata
Roy, etc, have come under the scanner of the
apex court, hundreds of similar cases, albeit
on a smaller scale, go unnoticed. Unless the
18 Financial Crimes: Catch the Countless Small Fish Too
government takes strict action, investors and
unsecured creditors will continue to suffer,
writes Sucheta in Crosshairs column.
As always, please do write to us what kind
of articles you would like to read and your
20 Different Strokes
SEBI Ensures No PMS Loophole for Insider Trading
Fine Print
STOCKS
50 How Can You Benefit
from UPI?
Financial Crimes & Frauds: When
and How To Approach the EOW
It Is Your Money,
Your Worry
42 Stock Watch
52 Queries at Moneylife
Foundations Tax Helpline
Crompton Greaves: Is the USEFUL APPS
Turnaround Sustainable? BEYOND MONEY
Debashis Basu
Editor & Publisher
editor@moneylife.in
Sucheta Dalal
Managing Editor
sucheta@moneylife.in
Editorial Consultant
Dr Nita Mukherjee
nitamuk@gmail.com
Difficult Decision
the
Best
letter
T his is with regard to When
You Are Dead, while Still
with a hospital bill
running into lakhs
Alive by Bapoo Malcolm. Yes, of rupees.
Mutual Fund investments
I understand that law is not on It is a very hard are subject to market risks,
read all scheme related
our side. It is only the love of our decision; but we, as documents carefully.
loved ones that can take decisions family of our near and
for us, when we are not capable
of doing so.
dear ones, should take
the difficult decision Congratulations
We had two cases in a hospital nearby. One was of with much empathy Sunil Rebello
a poor patient who was admitted late in the evening, and prayer. This should
brain dead, after a massive heart attack. The NGO, be done by looking at
YOU WIN A
PERSONALISED
whose care she was under, wrote a letter to the the best interest of the CLOCK
hospital management, the next morning informing patient.
them that she was a person in need and could not Lastly, there was the
afford to pay any hospital bill. She was kept for case of the raped nurse
three more days on the ventilator and she passed at KEM Hospital
away peacefully. No doctor or family could take the who was kept under
decision to withdraw the support system. No bill yet a similar situation
from the hospital. The next case was that of a high- for 16 years by Sunil Rebello
(return on capital employed) in the initial years. If we d. Seek out good managements.
screen the universe with high RoCE, we may miss the e. Stay away from high debt companies. Avoid
future 10-baggers. In the Cover Story on 10x-baggers, companies with high pledged shares.
I note that 70% of the stocks had low RoCE initially f. Seek companies that are focused on operating cash
of under 10%. So, do you sense any ingredient of a flows.
potential high growth story here as well? g. Get to use, or know, the product and its
Ranjan Kumar, online comment competition. Get to experience the service and
compare it with the competition.
KEEP YOUR FINGERS CROSSED? h. Last, but not least, keep your fingers crossed.
This is with regard to All Stock Buying Is Speculation Ralph Rau, online comment
and What It Means for Investing by Debashis
Basu. I would like to put down my points for prudent AMAZED BY THE USE OF DISCOUNTED
investing: CASH METHOD!
a. Do not ever put all your eggs in one basket. This is with regard to All Stock Buying Is Speculation
Certainly never more than 5% of portfolio on one and What It Means for Investing by Debashis Basu.
stock. Forgive me, if I sound stupid because my knowledge
b. Use the pyramid approach comprising a base of of the stock market is really zero; but I am amazed
40-50 of large-caps, 30-20 mid-caps and 20-10 that the stock market would use the discounted cash
small-caps. method. In operations research (nowadays called
c. Do not put in money you need for the next 5-7 analytics), the discount factor is just used to make
years. That should be in fixed deposits or bond algorithms work. The author is 100% correct in that
funds. the discount factor is very difficult to estimate and it is
best to use average (undiscounted) cash returnsif you overvalued. It would be great if Moneylife could do a
must use cash returns in your analysis. Also, as far as detailed write-up on when/how to sell, when markets
US stocks go, inflation and interest rates have been so become overvalued.
low in recent years that the discount factor is close to Ramesh Mehta, online comment
1 anyway.
Abhijit Gosavi, online comment NOSTALGIA ABOUT AXIS BANK
This is with regard to the book review of The Unusual
PATIENCE IS THE KEY! Billionaires by Saurabh Mukherjea. The book is simply
This is with regard to Multi-baggers: Dont delightful and would be useful for young and old
Underestimate Timing by Debashis Basu. Good bankers. For me, reading this book, after coming to
report. I have always believed that you can time the know from Moneylife (issue 19 August 2016), it was a
market, although you wont always catch the absolute nostalgic trip. I had joined the first branch
peaks or the lows. Buy when everybodys of UTI Bank in Ahmedabad, right in the
crying and the papers are full beginning when it was opened in April
of bad news and theyre all 1994. I still vividly recall the thrill of
blaming the Indian stock market joining the new Bank and building the
as a useless place. Sell when all institution which continued till the last
that is forgotten and IPOs are day, when I turned 60 last year and
commonplace, when you get news retired from my most beloved Axis
of lakhs of new demat accounts Bank. It was the most memorable and
being opened (these have started); as satisfying journey for me.
this article suggests, were probably NK Bakshi, by email
there.
Even so, Im waiting for a Nifty P/E A LOT CAN BE ACHIEVED BY
(price-earnings ratio) of 26 which, I SLOWING DOWN!
have noticed, is where the real risk This is with regard to SEBI Tries To
starts; although, in January 2008, that Fix the HFT Issue without Closing
figure hit 28 before crashing. the NSE Probe by Sucheta Dalal.
All recent bull markets have been unable It might benefit the stock exchanges,
to sustain Nifty P/Es far above 25.7. If where they get more income (due to more automated
you sell then and put your money in a liquid mutual volumes). But the common investor has to face highly
fund scheme and waitpatience is the keyyou are volatile markets.
likely to get an opportunity to buy back your shares at I believe these recommendations are going to make
a discount and save the change. markets much more complex and non-transparent.
Mohan Sivanand, online comment Suggestions like randomisation, etc, will make things
more opaque and, in case of investigations, impossible
MARKETS ARE OVERVALUED to identify what went wrong. I think a lot of can be
This is with regard to Faster, Higher, Stronger: achieved by just slowing down than by introducing
Momentum in Stocks & Indices by Jason Monteiro. complex algorithms with unknown downsides.
It is time to think of when to sell as markets are MV Subba Rao, online comment
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T he District Consumer Grievance Redressal Forum at Nashik ordered two years simple imprisonment
for four builders. The order related to builders failure to honour the Maharashtra State Consumer
Disputes Redressal Commission (MSCDRC) orders of completing the conveyance deed for a housing
The target consumers for this
platform will be home-makers, small
business owners, the newly employed,
society on time. However, this was not the only issue. The Forum said that additional construction was retired persons and farmers. Apple has
carried out in the housing society and the builders had not obtained completion certificate for it. Earlier, also held talks with the government on
the builders were directed by MSCDRC to complete the conveyance deed within six months from making Apple Pay, a mobile payment
13 October 2008, the date of the order. However, the builders failed to abide by these orders. Hence, the and digital wallet service, a part of
aggrieved party approached the Forum. financial inclusion programmes.
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T
he Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will train its focus on mis-selling, especially of insurance products, he said.
mis-selling of insurance products by banks and also Customers have been complaining against banks for mis-
see whether new regulations selling of policies of life insurance.
are needed for protection of banking Dr Rajan said that RBI will work to
customers, outgoing RBI governor enhance grievance redress procedures
Raghuram Rajan said, reports IANS. within the financial institutions and, if
Referring to the Charter of Customer the customer is still unsatisfied, through
Rights brought out by RBI in 2015, the RBIs ombudsman scheme. Rajan said
which banks had been asked to follow the grievane redressal mechanism in the
in dealing with customers, Dr Rajan rural areas as well for weaker sections of
said that banks were asked to appoint the society will be strengthened.
an internal ombudsman to monitor
Moneylife
MONEYLIFE
Quiz no
241
QUIZ Answer
Correctly! Win
Another quiz to tease your brain. The answers are in a personalised
sed
this very issue. The winner will be chosen by a lucky clock with an Raykumar Panyam
draw from correct entries and answers published in Mutual Fund investmentnt
investments are quote!
the issue dated 27th October. Send in your answers to subject to market risks,
read all scheme related
quiz@moneylife.in with the Quiz no., name, address & documents carefully.
telephone number before 5 October 2016.
1. What was the fund management charge when the National 5. Which sporting activity was Ramanathan Krishnan famous
Pension System was launched for the public in 2009? for in the 20th century?
a. 0.01% b. 0.0009% a. Cricket b. Tennis
c. 0.25% d. 0.0275% c. Baseball d. Soccer
2. For debt mutual fund schemes, what is the estimated 6. Which European country had its base in Hugli in Bengal,
maximum expense ratio? according to Sanjeev Sanyal?
a. 1.75% b. 2.75% a. England b. France
c. 2.50% d. 3.00% c. Portugal d. Germany
3. What is the total maximum tax rebate under Section 80C of 7. In 2011, who was the president of the Arizona State
the Income Tax Act for savers in the National Pension University in USA?
System? a. Michael Crow b. Cornelius M Kerwin
a. Rs2 lakh b. Rs2.5 lakh c. Dr Bjrn Kjerfve d. Dr Dale T Knobel
c. Rs3.00 lakhd. Rs4.00 lakh
8. What was the coupon rate of Reliance JIO Infocomms fixed-
4. Who started the Flags of Honour Foundation? income instruments with the maturity date of 8 July 2021?
a. Sandeep Unnikrishnan b. Abdul Hameed a. 9.01% b. 9.32%
c. Rajeev Chandrashekar d. Capt Saurabh Kalia c. 9.50% d. 9.65%
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SC asks CBSE to provide answer sheets Why the new RBI guidelines for sale of Masala bonds: What is hampering Indias
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O
n 6th September, the Supreme Court of India The apex courts tough stance is heartening for
refused to permit Ravi Ruia, promoter of investors and creditors. Promoters of a slew of Indian
the giant Essar group of companies to travel companies can remain overseas indefinitely because
abroad. Heres what a bench of Justices JS Khehar they have plenty of funds stashed abroad. These funds
and Arun Mishra said while rejecting his plea. We have been siphoned out of their Indian businesses or
have allowed a person to go abroad but he never came raised from money circulation schemes that robbed the
back. He was no less big than you in monetary terms. rich and poor alike. The Pearls Agro Tech Corporation
We dont want to take chances now. We are now once (PACL), which has been asked by the market regulator
bitten twice shy. We are not going to give liberty to to refund a stupendous Rs49,000 crore, has large assets
anyone. in Australia and a few other countries. The Sahara
group, built on alleged investments by Indias poorest
people, has assets in the form of luxury hotels around
the world including Macedonia. Subrata Roys wife and
son are even understood to have acquired citizenship of
the Republic of Macedonia.
If this is the case with high-profile and flamboyant
businessmen, smaller industrialists with dubious track
records are not far behind in diverting funds to build
nest eggs abroad.
Investors faced with huge losses are ending up
playing sleuth and setting up groups or associations to
track the flow of funds, file cases, or merely support
one another, in an effort to recover their investment.
This has happened in the case of shady companies
like PACL and QNet as well as with smaller listed
companies where people have lost a lot of money. The
Sahara group is the only exception where no investor
Although the Court did not name anyone, the seems concerned at the fate of her investment, raising
immediate speculation was that the judges were another set of questions about who really invested in
referring to Vijay Mallya, the controversial UB group its schemes.
chairman and Member of Parliament who has failed to Often, such investor groups do manage to track the
return to India to face trial. fraudulent diversion of funds from listed entities; but
A
quarter century ago, when the capital market pay crores of rupees as fine, in two cases of front-running.
watchdog had just come into existence but there That insider trading remains rampant in India is also
were no insider trading regulations, we used to evident from stock price charts before and after many
joke that 90% of all trading in the stock market is based major corporate announcements. Moneylife has frequently
only on inside information. Even the last guy getting a reported this; but there is rarely any action, when the
hot tip on a long train commute to the Bombay Stock violation is so widespread. Here are just a few links to our
Exchange (BSE) thought he knew something that others reports on NR Narayana Murthys comeback to Infosys
didnt. Even after the Securities & Exchange Board of (http://tinyurl.com/zqfc5uy), Insider trading in Astrazeneca
India (SEBI) got its statutory teeth, I used to hear about Pharma (http://tinyurl.com/zo5as8e), ING Vysya (http://
this secretive group of chief financial officers (CFOs) of tinyurl.com/hr2rbpu ), Ranbaxy (http://tinyurl.com/
companies who met regularly hdpcqzs), Geometric Software
at a Mumbai five-star hotel to (http://tinyurl.com/jb7flq8),
exchange inside information. Tata Motors (http://tinyurl.com/
In the past two decades, z3dsax3), among the many we
the rich and powerful have have reported.
occasionally been nailed for These anecdotes come to
insider trading; but, more often mind in the context a recent
than not, they get away. During query by HDFC Bank to SEBI.
the many excesses of the United The Bank wanted to know
Progressive Alliance (UPA), a whether its employees, who
political columnist wrote a are in possession of unpublished
snippet about a Cabinet minister price sensitive information
texting key government decisions (UPSI) of the Bank or its
to a television journalist even clients and, hence, restricted
while the meeting was going on.
HDFC Bank wanted to know from trading in the securities
The Intelligence Bureau
whether its employees, having of these entities, could invest
(IB) reported the matter to price-sensitive information, their money in the stock market
government when it noticed could invest their money through discretionary portfolio
that the channel was breaking through discretionary portfolio management schemes (PMS)
news on decisions even before management schemes and be where the client does not dictate
the Cabinet meeting had ended. immune from insider trading rules the fund managers investment
According to the column, the decisions.
minister was so powerful that Essentially, the Bank wanted
nobody dared to confront him; instead, it was decided to know whether its executives could avoid allegations of
to install jammers outside the Cabinet meeting rooms to violative insider trading, if the portfolio manager bought or
prevent information leaking out. I later learnt that the sold securities of companies where they had UPSI at a time
ministers cohorts tracked the channel in the knowledge when the trading window was closed for insiders. These
that reports from that particular journalist were authentic executives, it said, would furnish declarations that they
and probably traded on the information. have no influence on the stock selection of the portfolio
In more recent times, Dilip Pendse, managing director of manager.
Tata Finance, was found guilty of insider trading in 2014, SEBIs informal guidance was an unambiguously
after a long legal battle. The company secretary of Jagran negative. It, correctly, quoted SEBIs insider trading
Prakashan and his wife were found guilty of profiting to regulation (4)(1) to say that bankers could not escape the
the tune of Rs10.4 crore from inside information, in 2009. application of insider trading regulations even if they were
Even the venerable HDFC Mutual Fund was ordered to clients of a portfolio management scheme. SEBI should
be congratulated for such an unambiguous guidance and whom he reportedly had an intimate relationship. That
probably seeing through the nice big loophole that would is the case which also implicated Raj Rajarathnam of
open up in the difficult-to-prove insider trading regulations. Galleon Funds, who is serving out a long prison sentence.
It must be noted that a SEBI committee, set up to SEBIs own investigations have also shown that some
update the insider trading regulations, had managed to foreign institutional investors are individual portfolios
insert precisely such an exception to exclude discretionary for the super-rich brought in disguised as an institution.
portfolio managers decisions, if they were made without What would stop a group of executives from ensuring that
reference to the client (unless circumstantial evidence a discretionary PMS is actually limited to a buddy-group?
proved a nexus between the portfolio manager and The possibilities of misuse are endless and SEBI hardly has
investor). SEBI seems to have shown rare wisdom by the capability, or the manpower, to track it.
dropping this exception even while announcing the new Let us also not forget that the PMS business in India
insider trading rules. Hence, HDFC Banks subsequent is run by bankers, brokers or mutual funds, who operate
request for clarity. in a fairly incestuous set-up. They have constant dealings
Now, consider what would happen if SEBI had accepted with one another (socially and professionally), making it
the draft regulations or offered a different guidance to even more difficult to prove any charge of insider trading,
HDFC Banks query. Insider unless there is a sting operation
trading is already extremely of sorts.
difficult to prove anywhere in the SEBIs guidance has put the
world, including countries where burden of following the letter
regulators can deploy money and spirit of its regulations
and technology and have the squarely on corporate insiders.
power to conduct wiretaps and This is how it should be. Yes, it
to offer plea-bargains that allow is possible that senior corporate
them to let off the small fish to executives and top bankers will
go after the big insider traders. not be able to avail the services
Moreover, all the examples cited of a discretionary portfolio
above, and scores of other cases manager; but so what? These
investigated by SEBI, show that are financially savvy individuals
those in powerful and privileged (minimum investment in a PMS
positions, who have access to is Rs25 lakh) who are more than
UPSI, are not above misusing SEBIs guidance to HDFC Bank has capable of managing their own
it for some illegal profiteering. put the burden of following the portfolio. Most of them are
Had SEBI allowed
letter and spirit of its regulations people who earn eight-figure
discretionary portfolio salaries and, probably, have
management to remain out of
squarely on corporate insiders. stock options whose value runs
the purview of insider trading This is how it should be into nine and ten digits. They
rules, it would inflict a nearly are smarter than the average
impossible burden on itself of proving insider trading portfolio manager and the small restriction on their
through circumstantial evidence alone. Even if it were to investment options is not something that should make
cobble together a reasonable case, everyone accused of our hearts bleed in sympathy, given the enormous scope
insider trading would quote SEBIs informal guidance, to of misuse.
ensure that the watchdog is held to extremely strict proof At a time when retail investors are slowly regaining
that the accused had influenced the portfolio managers confidence in the capital market mainly by routing
investment decision. investments through mutual funds, SEBI needs to ensure
Knowing how hard that will be, any exception to that it provides a fair and level playing field to investors,
SEBIs insider trading regulations, or any guidance other not one which allows powerful corporate insiders to get
than the one it gave HDFC Bank, would open the doors a near carte blanche by routing trades through a portfolio
for misuse of PMS by all unscrupulous insiders. This is not manager.
an imaginary situation. One of the most famous insider
trading cases is that of Robert Moffat, a former IBM Sucheta Dalal is the managing editor of Moneylife. She was
executive who admitted to providing inside information awarded the Padma Shri in 2006 for her outstanding contribution
to Danielle Chiesi, a consultant of Newcastle Funds with to journalism. She can be reached at sucheta@moneylife.in
Choose Wisely
NPS Scheme - Asset Class E FY10-11 FY11-12 FY12-13 FY13-14 FY14-15 FY15-16 FY10-15* FY11-16*
ICICI Prudential Pension Funds 11.83% -7.75% 9.05% 21.18% 28.65% -7.37% 11.89% 7.75%
Kotak Mahindra Pension Fund 11.89% -10.23% 11.52% 19.48% 28.41% -6.88% 11.44% 7.42%
Reliance Capital Pension Fund 10.77% -10.49% 7.75% 20.20% 28.30% -7.26% 10.50% 6.64%
SBI Pension Funds 8.05% -7.18% 8.24% 20.68% 28.37% -7.16% 10.96% 7.64%
UTI Retirement Solutions 8.35% -10.58% 7.42% 21.29% 29.74% -6.72% 10.37% 7.11%
Top 10 Large-cap MF 16.07% -1.81% 10.87% 24.04% 46.81% -4.70% 18.14% 13.57%
Top 10 Multi-cap MF 13.31% 0.31% 11.76% 25.33% 60.63% -3.10% 20.66% 16.94%
Top 10 Mid-cap MF 11.22% 5.13% 12.85% 32.47% 86.22% -0.88% 26.62% 23.74%
Average Large-cap MF 10.66% -5.04% 6.65% 19.42% 39.78% -7.76% 13.35% 9.29%
Average Multi-cap MF 8.61% -4.67% 6.79% 20.49% 48.42% -6.80% 14.61% 11.15%
Average Mid-cap MF 6.07% -0.70% 7.38% 26.17% 72.28% -4.81% 19.71% 17.15%
Bottom 10 Large-cap MF 4.69% -8.21% 2.24% 14.60% 32.57% -10.51% 8.34% 4.99%
Bottom 10 Multi-cap MF 3.05% -8.72% 1.35% 15.73% 35.65% -10.55% 8.40% 5.37%
Bottom 10 Mid-cap MF 0.60% -6.23% 2.21% 19.50% 59.14% -9.11% 12.89% 10.62%
Index
equity MF schemes outperform NPS over the five-year managers were able to deliver a return in excess of 14%.
periods. While the performance of NPS schemes is much Due to the recent performance, the annualised return
better than that of the worst equity MF schemes, the over the past three-year and five-year periods looks quite
performance trailed the average performance of the equity attractive. When we examined the performance in each of
funds by a significant margin in both the periods considered. the past six financial years, the returns have varied from
There is no dearth of choice when it comes to selecting under 1% to over 13%. Similarly, schemes that invested
an equity MF scheme. However, if you are able to in corporate debt, too, did extremely well over the past
select a few schemes, which are well managed and have year, returning about 12% each. However, on checking
performed consistently in the past, your selection should the performance over the past six years, the returns have
outperform the average mutual fund scheme. If a scheme varied between 6% and 12%.
underperforms, you can always switch your investment to As subscribers need to stay invested in NPS till retirement,
a better performing scheme. they should not get carried away by the performance over
In NPS, too, a switch among fund managers is possible the past two years. The returns may work out to be much
by filling out a form. The switch under NPS is restricted to lower than their recent performance. Apart from this, as
once a year; but this limit should not be an issue. If fact, we have highlighted before, the allocation to equity is
you may not even feel the need to switch under NPS as the not only low, being capped at 50%, the investment of the
performance of the various schemes is almost the same. fund managers is restricted to only large-caps. Investors
This is not surprising, as they follow the same investment lose on the return potential of investing in a diversified
mandate and the expenses are a bare minimum. portfolio of stocks.
In another article published on the blog of Moneylife Despite several initiatives to make NPS attractive for
Advisory Services (http://goo.gl/psaSZ2), we highlighted savers, NPS is still riddled with issues which make it a flawed
how the debt schemes (Class C & G) of NPS, which invest choice for the discerning investor. Issues related to lack of
in corporate bonds and government securities, returned clarity on taxation on maturity, mandatory investment in
between 11%-15% over the year ended 29 July 2016. an annuity product and low liquidity are a deterrent for
Over the past year, schemes that invested in government investors. Subscribers have better retirement options in the
securities did extremely well, as the benchmark G-Sec yield form of actively managed mutual funds. To get tax benefit,
fell by over 50bps (basis points), from around 7.80% in invest in equity-linked savings schemes (ELSSs) or mutual
July 2015 to 7.10% on 29 July 2016. All pension fund fund retirement plans. Jason Monteiro
Debt Schemes
Income (Category Avg: 2.48%, Crisil Composite Bond: 2.78%)
ICICI Prudential Long Term Plan 20-Jan-10 1,011 3.17% 12.81% 13.27% 1.22%
Birla Sun Life Dynamic Bond 24-Sep-04 13,022 2.99% 13.15% 12.52% 1.63%
Sundaram Flexible - Flexible Income 30-Dec-04 679 2.87% 10.94% 11.99% 0.83%
Union KBC Dynamic Bond 13-Feb-12 315 2.20% 9.61% 9.10% 1.92%
L&T Triple Ace B ond 31-Mar-97 872 2.17% 10.18% 8.98% 1.49%
Invesco India Bank Debt 29-Dec-12 473 1.93% 6.78% 7.93% 0.65%
Liquid (Category Avg: 2.10%, Crisil Liquid Index: 2.13%)
Escorts Liquid Plan 03-Oct-05 230 2.21% 8.38% 9.13% 0.50%
Birla Sun Life Cash Plus 29-Mar-04 31,846 2.13% 8.00% 8.80% 0.36%
Indiabulls Liquid 25-Oct-11 3,741 2.13% 8.13% 8.79% 0.38%
Mirae Asset Cash Management 12-Jan-09 181 1.98% 7.26% 8.16% 0.26%
Reliance Liquid - Cash Plan 07-Dec-01 6,759 1.94% 7.18% 8.00% 1.08%
L&T Cash 27-Nov-06 591 1.88% 6.85% 7.72% 0.79%
# Please note the table represents a comparative performance of mutual fund schemes over a three-year period and it is not a recommendation; * Latest quarter average assets
under management; We have only considered schemes having a corpus above Rs100 crore. **Annually compounded
S
everal taxable bond issues 150 basis points (bps) more than bracket could consider highly
will hit the market in absence bank fixed deposits (FD) but carry rated (prefer AAA rating) secured
of tax-free bonds. The NCD higher risk than FDs of scheduled redeemable taxable bonds for small
(non-convertible debenture) issue commercial banks. Currently, banks amount but avoid any hybrid debt
of Dewan Housing Finance Ltd offer FD rates of 7.25% to 7.75% instrument. Investors in 20%+
opened on 29th August and closed for one to three years term. Longer- tax bracket could consider buying
in a day on 30th August. It offered term FDs, of over three years, may tax-free bonds from the secondary
interest rates of up to 9.25% for give lower rate of 7% to 7.5%. market through stockbrokers.
84 months, 9.15% for 60 months You have to be aware of the kind For long-term investors, buying
and 9.10% for 36 months. Rating is of bonds you invest in as there are debt mutual funds with a good
CARE AAA and BWR AAA rating hybrid debt instruments available track record is a better option due
by Brickwork. Demat and physical in the market. Recently, Dhanlaxmi to indexation benefits if they hold
options are available. There is the investment for more than
no TDS (tax deducted at source), three years. Long-term capital
if applied through demat route. gains (LTCG) tax for debt mutual
Allotment was on a first-come- funds is 20.6% with indexation.
first-served basis. Holding bonds for over one year
Indiabulls Housing Finance, is taxable at LTCG which is
Srei Infrastructure Fin and 10.3% without indexation; no
several others will offer taxable indexation feature is available.
bonds to investors in the next The 10-year benchmark rate is
few months. Recently, Edelweiss Bank was the first entity to default hovering close to 7%; its at a seven-
Housing Finance hit the market on subordinated upper tier-II bonds year low since 2009 when it saw
with an offer of secured redeemable which carry equity-related risks levels of 7.15%. Appointment of
NCDs worth Rs500 crore with due to payment linked to financial the new Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
interest rates of up to 10% for 10 health of the entity. The Banks governor Urjit Patel has reduced
years, 9.75% for five years and capital ratio dropped below the the prospects of interest rate cuts in
9.50% for three years. minimum regulatory requirement. the near future which may be good
Taxable bonds can offer 100- Those in zero or 10% tax news for bond and FD investors.
G-Sec and Bond Yields Flat Issuer Maturity Next Last Yield ISIN Rating
Date Coupon (%)
G-Sec Maturity Yield to NSE data as of last trade date of 2 September 2016
Date Maturity M & M Financial Serv 8.51% 22 Jun-18 22 Jun-17 7.99 INE774D07PB9 IND AAA/Stable
01 December 2044 7.28 LIC Hsg Fin 9.24% 30 Jun-19 30 Jun-17 7.90 INE115A07FV0 CRISIL AAA
10 November 2033 7.27 HDFC 8.59% 14 Jun-19 14 Jun-17 7.87 INE001A07OM3 CRISIL AAA
02 June 2028 7.26
BSE data as of last trade date of 2 September 2016
G-Sec yields on 2 September 2016
marginally, by one basis point (bps), on 2nd September. Bond yields are flat. to 8.10% for AAA rated bonds and
in the last fortnight to end at 7.11% You can expect to get yields of 7.90% higher for lower rated ones.
T
he debate about investor education is perhaps getting ripped off or some corporate mis-governance, and
the most enduring one and will continue to hold they withdraw into a shell.
centre stage in personal finance, forever. The human Is it better to be financially literate and adopt a DIY
mind is closed, when it comes to things like trust, financial (do-it-yourself) approach or fully trust someone to be our
education, numeracy and risk evaluation. It is closed in the financial adviser? I doubt, if any one of us can ever become
sense that we either refuse to address it or think that we financially literate in the fullest sense. The financial world is
know everything and feel we know nothing and cannot changing fast. New things are coming into the marketplace
learn in this lifetime. A lot of people are, nowadays, on every day and even to someone in the industry; there
social media. From those conversations, I notice that there will be new things that could be out of ones knowledge.
is a lot of scepticism about financial advisers. Not all of Investors are, of course, still reluctant to pay reasonably
it is justified. There are good ones and there are not-so- for advice. They cant be blamed much. There are very
good ones. And there are a few rotten apples, probably the few experienced persons who want to be advisers.
same as in every This has
profession. With created an
them around, assembly line of
either the investor inexperienced
vanishes or his greenhorns selling
savings do. advice. They do
Do not not get paid by
trust all men, the consumer (the
but trust men of investor). They
worth; the former sell products
course is silly, the where they are
latter a mark of paid by the
prudence, wrote producer. This,
Democritus, in turn, leads
philosopher to mis-selling.
(460BC370BC). Today, a private
Men of worth sector bank keeps
has a far bigger stiff targets for
meaning than just fee-based or
pure worth measured in material terms. It is amazing that advisory income for its sales or relationship managers
while we do not want to take any effort to understand (RMs). This is an ever-increasing number. This, in turn,
the dynamics of investing in financial investments, all of makes the employee sell wrong products to you. Before
us seem to be born experts while investing in real estate the excreta hit the ceiling, the RM is either transferred
or gold. We seem to just spend / invest in it and forget it. (a deliberate strategy played by bankers to silence the
For most middle-class individuals, these two assets (apart customers) or the person quits and joins another bank.
from life insurance and bank fixed deposits) will, perhaps, This cycle is hard to break and will, probably, keep getting
be the single biggest investment ever done. Most will not progressively worse. Regulators do not understand or
measure this in financial terms. It becomes an emotional simply feign ignorance. The other option seems even
investment decision involving the largest single-ticket spend more daunting. Getting financially literate seems too
in their lifetime. After taking such huge decisions, many complicated.
get paralysis when it comes to investing in the financial But do you have a choice? Get out of this inertia or the
markets. There is a reluctance to leave the comfort zone of feeling of helplessness. Arm yourselves with a few tools
bank deposits. Add to that some anecdote about someone that I will say is financial literacy. You should be aware
of what to look for. Once that is done, you will be able 2. What is the nature of my investment? Is it repayable
to manage better. So let us start with the basics: on a fixed date? If so, what is the amount I get back?
A 360-degree View: We invest because we want a return Is there any periodic payback that is guaranteed or
that will beat inflation. If I keep my money under the written into the conditions of the investment? Or do I
pillow, it does not grow. Prices of almost everything keep have to depend on market conditions to get my value?
going up. So, I need to make sure that my savings can buy 3. Can the investment be liquidated at a short notice or
at a future date, at least the same thing that it can buy do I have to wait for a specific time? And, if so, do I
today. Inflation is generally higher than the interest rates suffer any penalty?
on bank deposits. Thus, by simply keeping it in a bank, 4. Who is going to repay me, on maturity? Am I comfortable
we are unlikely to cope with inflation. To overcome this, with that? Or is the repayment coming from market
we should either have plenty of money (far more than valuation where it could be subject to finding a buyer
what we need) in the bank or we should find something at that time?
that gives a better return. 5. Does the name (on which my investment risk is
Basic Numeracy: A lot of us never liked math in school concentrated) give me comfort? What is associated
because we were not taught well. Now, we are afraid with that name? Do some Googling.
of simple financial calculations. Our mobile phone 6. Am I getting at least three to four days to say yes or
has a calculator. However, when someone says that he no? If someone wants an immediate answer, the answer
will give you 10 times your investment in 30 years, it is NO.
sounds fabulous to you. One thing that one must learn is 7. Who can I talk to about the investment, for another
compound interest. It is not rocket science. You can use view? Is there a write-up in Moneylife or any other
something as simple as the Rule of 72 (number of years good financial publication about that investment?
multiplied by annual interest rate equals 72); it is a good Complex investments are best avoided and left to others.
weapon to have. Do not run away from this, because you Understanding an Excel sheet and returns calculations are
are probably doing a more complex job at work for 10 less important than a qualitative understanding of the
hours a day to earn your money. So note down basics like investment. I have not included investing in shares in
amount/s to invest, when and what returns are promised this article. That is a separate topic on which I have been
and over what time-frame. Today, you can get free financial writing and covering various angles.
calculators on the Internet and Google is a great friend. You spend a lot of time earning money. You save so that
So take your time to understand the proposition. If you you have something for the years when you stop earning.
cannot understand the proposition, say NO. NEVER Thus, financial literacy is YOUR responsibility. Depending
make a gunpoint decision when it comes to investment. on someone else for this is not the best approach. No one
Use a Checklist: Think methodically; for this, you need else is responsible for what happens to your money.
a checklist of questions that you must have answers to.
1. What is the duration of this investment? Can I spare
my money for this duration? The author can be reached at balakrishnanr@gmail.com
Which insurance product then is right for you? As a member of Moneylife Advisory, you
get advice on selected term insurance products, identified after deep, unbiased research.
Most importantly, you will get special support during your claims, as long as you make the
right declarations.
es dier
Health insurance products are complex. Policies
in exclusions, conditions and fine print. If
you slip up on even one of the conditions,
your claim may be rejected or cut down. A
large number of cases generate disputes
and some end up as complaints with the
Insurance Ombudsman or consumer courts.
This is all you need on the insurance front. Be an MAS member today and stay safe.
MAS is a no-bias, no-conflict platform. We are not in the business of selling any
financial product and so can advise you ethically.
About MAS
MAS is a SEBI-registered investment adviser and part of Moneylife, Indias most unbiased and
pro-investor research and information group. We run Indias best personal finance magazine,
Moneylife. We are not afraid to call a spade a spade. We are Indias only media company to have
set up a non-profit trust, Moneylife Foundation, which is now the largest savers and investors
association with more than 35,000 members. MAS was set up to help investors and savers make
the right financial decisions and handhold them through the entire process.
MONEYLIFE
ADVISORY
FIX YOUR FINANCES, FOREVER
www.savers.moneylife.in
Insurance Regulations (HIR), insurance industry; but, from the Benefit-based Products Can
2016, which replaces the 2013 consumer viewpoint, it is a step Have Cumulative Bonus
regulations. backwards. It is better to avoid Benefit-based products, like critical
combi plans, going forward. illness, personal accident, surgical
Pilot Products Can Bring benefits, etc, were not allowed
Innovation Limiting TPAs Role
General, or stand-alone, health The new regulations specify
insurance companies can launch that insurers and third party
pilot products which can cover administrators (TPAs) should put
innovative risks that are usually in place systems and procedures
avoided in regular mediclaim to identify, monitor and mitigate
products. This is especially true due frauds. HIR 2013 had stated that
to the lifelong renewal feature of TPA may handle claims admission
regular mediclaim products. Pilot and recommend to the insurer
products will have a one-year term, for the payment of the claim
but will run for five years. After settlement. This has been omitted
five years, the insurer can offer it in the new regulations; this is good cumulative bonus, until now.
as a regular product or withdraw news. The new regulations state the Now, such products will be able
it. If it is being withdrawn, the following: to offer cumulative bonus just like
insurance company will migrate Insurers shall ensure that the mediclaim policies; these are usually
(subject to portability conditions) TPAs are not carrying out the in the form of a certain percent
the customers of pilot policies to following activities as part of the of the sum insured for claims-free
its own existing product to offer agreement: i. Claim rejections/ years. It will help the policyholders
continuity benefit. Hopefully, there repudiations with respect to the to grow their sum insured over
will not be any issue for porting to health insurance policies; the years. But will insurers revise
the same insurers product. ii. Payments to the policyholders, the premium of the product to
claimants or the network providers; reduce their increased risks?
Beware of Combi Plans iii. Any services directly to the After all, fixed benefits products
Combi products may be promoted policyholder or insured or to any pay the predetermined benefits
by all life insurers, general insurers other person unless such service is irrespective of the expenses incurred
by the policyholder; mediclaim party service (gym membership are they just on paper.
is an indemnity-based product discount, etc) or merchandise.
which only pays for the actual However, discounts and/or benefits Porting from Group, Retail
hospitalisation expenses. on diagnostic or pharmaceuticals or This was already there in HIR
consultation services of providers in 2013; but it is worth mentioning so
Customer Incentive for Good the network are permitted. that consumers are aware of it and
Health can benefit from it. General insurers
At the time of underwriting, Special Provisions for Senior and health insurers offering health
insurers can load the premium, Citizens, Really? covers specific to age groups such
based on the health condition of This is not new, but worth as maternity covers, children under
the customer. The new regulations mentioning. The premium charged family floater policies, students,
allow insurers to remove loading on for health insurance products etc, will have to offer an option
the premium at the time of renewal offered by Life Insurers, General to migrate to a suitable alternative
for an individual if there is an Insurers and Health Insurers available health insurance policy
improvement in the persons health. to senior citizens shall be fair, at the end of the specific exit age
It will be at discretion of the insurer justified, transparent and duly or at the time of withdrawal of the
and, hence, results will vary. At the disclosed upfront. The insured policy at the option exercised by the
time of renewal, the insurer cannot shall be informed in writing of covered lives by allowing suitable
ask the policyholder to go through any underwriting loading charged credits for all the previous policy
a medical examination, unless there as filed and approved under the years, provided the policy has been
is a request for higher sum insured. Product Filing Guidelines over and maintained without a break.
New regulations reward above the premium and specific Individual members, including
policyholders on the basis of consent of the policyholder for the family members covered under
preventive and wellness habits by such loadings shall be obtained any group health insurance policy
disclosing upfront such incentives before issuance of a policy. All of a general insurer or health
in the prospectus and the policy Life Insurers, General Insurers insurer, will have the right to
document. Insurers can offer and Health insurers and TPAs, as migrate from such a group policy
rewards in the form of discounted the case may be, shall establish a to an individual health insurance
rates for outpatient consultations separate channel to address the policy or a family floater policy
and health check-ups. A discount health insurance related claims with the same insurer. Thereafter,
on renewal premium is also and grievances of senior citizens. he/she shall be accorded the right to
allowed. No discount, however, IRDAI needs to verify if all the port to another insurer (subject to
will be provided on any third- quoted guidelines really work or underwriting).
HIGHER
RETURN
LOWER
RISK
Investors look to earn the highest return with the lowest amount of risk.
However, this is easier said than done. Can we pick a portfolio of stocks with the
best risk-reward profile and outperform the market? Jason Monteiro back-tests
investing in stocks, based on their risk measures such as alpha, beta and standard
deviation. The results are quite encouraging
M
ost individuals are risk-averse, when rewarded with a higher yield. This is simply referred to
it comes to investment decisions. This the risk-reward ratio used to compare an investments
is one of the main reasons for many expected return to the risk taken to get those returns. But
preferring to stick with bank deposits can the same principle be successfully applied to stocks?
rather than investing in equity for In this Cover Story, we examine the ways to measure and
the long term. But those looking for long-term wealth manage risk in making stock investment decisions.
creation have to consider stocks and equity funds. And, To achieve a higher return over the long term, we
for that, they must understand the risks they take, to will have to accept some amount of short-term volatility.
make better decisions. The basic principle of most This volatility can be compared to other securities or to
investments is that, the more calculated risk you take, a benchmark, like the Sensex, to arrive at the risk taken.
the higher will be the chance of your returns. In the How do we quantify risk? For this, some knowledge of
corporate bond market, this principle is clearly evident. basic statistics is needed.
The yield of low-rated securities is higher than that of One of the most common measures of risk is standard
securities which command a better credit rating. The risk deviation. This calculates the deviation in returns from
of default is higher in the lower-rated securities; hence, the mean. In other words, risk is linked to volatility. The
to compensate the additional risk taken, investors are more volatile a stock, the higher is its deviation from the
60% 30%
20%
0% 10%
0%
-60% -10%
Jul-97 Apr-02 Jan-07 Oct-11 Jul-16 Jul-01 Apr-05 Jan-09 Oct-12 Jul-16
mean, and the more risky it is. Calculating volatility, or for the longer term.
standard deviation, from a series of data can be easily
done in an Excel sheet. Applying Risk-return to Stocks
Take, for example, the yearly returns of the Sensex. We have now seen how to measure risk, based on the
Over the 10-year period from 1 August 1996 to 31 July past returns of an asset, in this case the Sensex. But most
2016, the average yearly returns work out to 15.12%. people do not invest in an index. They invest in stocks.
The standard deviation of the yearly returns over the Stocks are more volatile than the index; therefore, we
period works out to 30.02%. Statistically, there is a 67% need to find out whether the returns of a stock come
chance that the expected returns will fall within the one from inherent volatility or some other factor. If a stock
standard deviation of the average of 15.12%, on either is giving a higher return because it is volatile, we are
side. This means that returns could be 15.12%+30.02%, simply being compensated to take a higher risk. Wealth
or 45.14% on the upside, and 15.12%-30.02%, or is created when the return is higher than the risk being
-14.90% on the downside. As you can see, the range is taken.
extremely high. What if we consider five-year returns? To find this out, we need to know another statistical
Over the five-year periods from 1 August 1996 measure. Those investing in stocks, or equity mutual
to 31 July 2016, the average five-year returns work funds, may have heard of the term beta. Beta is simply the
out to 12.94%. The standard deviation works out to volatility of a stock, or a portfolio of stocks, compared
12.16%. Clearly, volatility, as measured by the standard to the benchmark.
deviation, is much lower than that of the one-year Put simply, stocks with a beta of one means that the
periods considered. Based on one standard deviation stock price moves exactly how the market moves. If the
level, 67% of the time, returns would range between beta is less than one, the stock has smaller price swings
0.78% and 25%. compared to that of the index. If the beta is above one,
Clearly, investment over a one-year horizon on the stock price is more volatile than the index. A stock
the Sensex involves more risk; but average returns are with a beta of two goes up, or down, twice as much as
higher compared to those in the five-year periods. This the benchmark, in a given period of time.
is how risk and return are related. How can we use Suppose the beta of a stock is 2. If you invest in a
this information? For this, we can calculate the historic stock and it goes up by 20% while the Sensex has gone
Sharpe Ratio which, basically, is the average excess up by 10%, you might think that it is great performance,
return over the risk-free rate divided by the standard right? Not so fast. If the beta is 2, then the stock should
deviation of the excess return. go up by twice as much as the index, anyway.
For the one-year periods, the ratio works out to In this case, the index has gone up by 10% and
30.39%, while for the five-year periods, it is 57.07%. the stock has gone up by 20%; but that is what it was
This is called risk-adjusted return. Notice that the five- supposed to do because it has a beta of 2. A fund manager
year ratio is higher than the ratio for one-year period. holding this stock has not really generated great returns.
This is the math behind the standard advicean investor He has simply taken a higher risk by buying a more
looking for good returns with lower risk should invest volatile stock and has got compensated for it. Where is
savers.moneylife.in
MAS is a SEBI-registered investment adviser and part of Moneylife,
Indias most unbiased and pro-investor research and information group.
Investools with
equity funds & stocks
Monthly Investing
Investment Restructuring
Lump-sum Investing
Investing for Specific Goals
Stocks
Long-term Stock picks
SIP Tool for Stocks
Nifty 500
60% Top Decile Beta Stocks 12-month Forward Return
0%
-60%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15
the skill then? How do we measure performance? For a shortlist of 405 stocks. To calculate the ratios, we use
this, we to know another measurealpha. Many would the Nifty 500 index as the benchmark and the yield of
have heard portfolio managers use this term often. Alpha the 90-day treasury bills as the risk-free rate. First, we
is basically the return in excess of beta. Suppose the index
has gone up by 10% and the stock with a beta of 2 has
gone up by 25%, the stock has delivered an alpha of 5%. High Beta Vs Low Beta Portfolio
If a fund is generating higher alpha, it means that 12-month Periods Nifty High Beta Low Beta
500 Stocks Stocks
the fund manager has chosen stocks that are rising more
than the market and/or falling less than what they ought Mean Return 9.07% 10.12% 29.63%
to. The fund manager is skilful. We have simplified Maximum Return 52.32% 119.54% 121.04%
the calculation of alpha as returns in excess of what is Minimum Return -27.19% -39.42% -20.51%
explained by beta. In financial literature, the calculation Standard Deviation 19.32% 42.05% 33.81%
is a bit more complex. It is simply the return over risk- Sharpe Ratio 0.05 0.05 0.65
free rate adjusted for beta. (See Box).
Applying Alpha and Beta in Real Life calculate the beta of the stocks for each month, based
How can we apply beta and alpha concepts of risk, in on their monthly return over the past 12-months. For
real life? For this, we analysed those stocks that are each month, we consider the top decile stocks (a decile
a part of the Nifty 500 and which have been traded is one of 10 equal groups) and the bottom decile stocks,
regularly from July 2009 to August 2016. This gives us to calculate the forward return. So, we are analysing
60%
0%
-60%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15
High Alpha Stocks Deliver Huge Returns When the Market Is Doing Well
180%
60%
0%
-60%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15
the most and the least volatile stocks. We calculate the beta stocks had a standard deviation of 42%, while the
forward return over the next 12-month periods. Nifty 500 had a standard deviation of 19%. When you
High-beta Stocks: For the top decile stocks with are buying a high-beta stock, you are taking a higher
risk for very little additional return. High-beta investing
would be rewarding only if you are able to ride a rising
High Alpha Vs Low Alpha Portfolio market. However, if you got your timing wrong, you
12-month Periods Nifty High Alpha Low Alpha would have faced significant losses. This is not an easy
500 Stocks Stocks
task for any investor, including institutional investors.
Mean Return 9.07% 45.22% 15.21% Low-beta Stocks: What if you had picked low-beta
Maximum Return 52.32% 159.33% 148.81% stock portfolio? For the 12-month forward periods, the
Minimum Return -27.19% -24.39% -53.51% returns averaged 29.63% with a standard deviation of
Standard Deviation 19.32% 49.08% 51.27% 34%. Clearly, the low-beta stocks not only delivered a
Sharpe Ratio 0.05 0.77 0.14 higher average return, their standard deviation, too, was
lower compared to the high-beta stocks.
High-alpha Stocks: Coming to the alpha investing
the highest beta, the average return worked out to strategy, we analyse the returns of the top decile stocks
10.12%, while the return of the Nifty 500 was 9.07%. with the highest alpha compared to stocks with the
While the high-beta strategy seems to have marginally lowest alpha relative to the Nifty 500. The universe
outperformed the index, it is interesting to take a look of stocks remains the same as in the beta strategy.
at the volatility of the returns over the period. The high- Over the 12-month periods, the high-alpha portfolio
Broadly, Low Alpha Stock Deliver Returns In-line with the Market
180%
60%
0%
-60%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15
outperformed significantly. The average return worked Can These Strategies Be Improved?
out to 45.22% with a standard deviation of 49.08%, What if we combine the two strategies that worked well?
outperforming the low-beta portfolio. The volatility was Investor Louis G Navellier takes a somewhat similar
higher; but, adjusted for it, the returns were much higher. approachselecting stocks which have high alpha and
Low-alpha Stocks: On analysing the returns of the low standard deviation. To calculate this, he divides the
low-alpha stocks, we find that, similar to the high-beta stocks alpha with their standard deviation. Stocks with
portfolio, risk-adjusted returns were lower than that of good reward/risk ratios tend to be lower-risk stocks that
the index. For the 12-month periods of our analysis, the are plugging away, earning excess returns in a smooth
average returns worked out to 15.21% with a standard consistent manner, he explains. While he uses several
deviation of 51.27%. Though the returns were higher other risk measures to rate stocks, we will focus only
than those of the index, so was the volatility. With a on the reward/risk ratio (alpha/standard deviation). Lets
lower amount of volatility, you would have averaged a apply this to the Indian context.
return of 45.22% by investing in a high-alpha portfolio. Similar to the previous analysis for the alpha and
Lesson: Stocks with a comparative Low-beta and high- beta portfolios, we consider a portfolio of the top decile
alpha do better. When you pick a stock, be sure to check and bottom decile of stocks, ranked by the high-reward
this. and low-risk ratio. Based on Navelliers strategy, stocks
120%
Nifty 500
Top Decile Reward-risk Stocks 12-month Forward Return
80%
40%
0%
-40%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15
Based on the above analysis, an investor would prefer to Trent 95.20% 91.00% 31.10%
be invested in a high-alpha, and low standard deviation * Percentile rank among 405 stocks on the Nifty 500 index
A
fter years of wait, Reliance Jio has unleashed its agri-based retailing. For a variety of reasons, our economy
telecom services on us with tantalising prices, did not get a chance to develop a sustainable value chain in
getting all consumers interested. By making voice the foods business. The US and Europe saw large players in
calls free and alluring us with low-priced data, Jio may food by the 1950s and 1960s; but, in India, food has always
perhaps change the way we see and use telecom services. been a disorganised, fragmented value chain. We believe
The company claims that this would be revolutionary. that Indias purchasing power will be food-dominated.
Whether this turns out to be a game-changer or not, it How would this happen? Mr Ambani told us that he
has certainly generated a lot of excitement. wanted to capture the enormous arbitrage in the food chain.
Excitement could be bad for successful investing. In his own words: Take potatoes, the most common food
Often, we get carried away by corporate plans that across the world. From Bill Gates to my driver, everybody
are years away from yielding results, leading to serious eats potatoes. Now, plot the prices. Farmers in UP and
misjudgement. Reliance itself offers us two excellent Bihar get about Rs4-Rs5 a kilo; in the Middle East, the
examples of this. Remember wholesale price is about
what happened when Reliance Rs25-Rs30 a kilo. In the
Industries discovered gas in US, Sams Club, it is
the Krishna-Godavari Basin? Rs90 a kilo. In Europe,
Reliances gas was supposed to it is Rs110 a kilo. The
transform India. arbitrage is 1:20. If we
Analysts started creating get our produce right,
economic scenarios when Indias and if the US market is
dependence on oil would drop opened up, you will be
drastically. That would allow us surprised how quickly
to import other things, maybe we reach $20 billion.
strengthen the rupee, attract The food market is much
more foreign capital and set bigger than the software
off a virtuous economic cycle, services market. And the
they said. Besides, natural gas money goes straight into
pollutes far less and, so, an the hands of millions of
abundance of gas would be farmers. The spinoffs
great for environment. Pipelines are enormousjobs,
criss-crossing the country would houses, durables, a new
reduce the need for polluting It is a long arduous path from announcements consumption boom will
heavy vehicles to transport fuel,
to value creation start in rural areas.
we were told. Alas! All this scenario-building turned out This was an exciting idea. But this, too, has not
to be premature. Over the past 14 years, Reliance has materialised. Not only has Reliance not been able to
hardly produced much gas, compared to its potential. capture the arbitrage at the farm end, Reliance got beaten
The promise of early2000s was a mirage. on the front-end as well, as e-commerce start-ups boomed
Then came Reliance Retail, in 2006. This was another and consumers switched from physical stores to new online
huge opportunity and, once again, most analysts were stores. Unthinkably, Reliance got beaten by a combination
trying to get a sense of the game-changing nature of this of upstart entrepreneurs, technology and capital!
initiative. This is because Reliance was not focused on I am not, for a moment, suggesting that the same thing
selling packaged goods at low margin in an organised would happen to Reliance Jio. Indeed, the execution risks
format like Big Bazaar. are lower in telecom, compared to gas extraction and
Mukesh Ambani told us, in an interview in December retailing. It could well be that Reliance does succeed in
2007: Within organised retailing, we are really talking of executing Jio well. But will the shareholders gain? The
1,280
Reliance Industries
1,100
920
740
560
Oct-06 Oct-11 Sep-16
excitement for shareholders in not the launch of a new up free cash. This has been the situation for more than
product but in earnings growth; not in the billions of about 30 years now. It has always invested in cash-guzzling
dollars of investment outflow but healthy cash inflows businesses which the market dislikes. Notice that the
for years that allow the company to pare down initial stock is up just 70% over 10 years at a princely annual
debt, if any, declare large dividends and plan for the next compounded rate of 5%, worse than returns from bank
round of growth. FDs.
I am not sure how Reliance plans to make oodles The medias job is to hunt for exciting stuff and, so,
of money from its huge investments in Jio. Apparently, exciting news gets thrown at us by the minute. Well,
borrowing from Steve Jobs idea of Apple appstore, these days the job of the media, apparently, is to create
Reliance wants to make money from the Jio app ecosystem. excitement even where there is none. But the excitement
The key to this, of course, is getting the customer hooked on for investors lies elsewhere. It is in finding companies with
to Jio. Apple could hook their customers through hardware one or more of these features:
that wowed them. Reliance can hook the customer through Ability to pass on costs and raise prices (Asian Paints);
it data service; but is that a good enough hook? Consider Having a high margin at the operating and net level
the many hurdles in acquiring new customers. so that slightly higher sales lead to a disproportionate
Existing mobile users have to switch from whatever increase in profits (Maruti);
they are using to Jio. Users are usually reluctant to Not requiring debt to fund expansion or, having funded
switch, even though there is number portability. expansion with debt, the ability to rapidly de-leverage
Reliance thinks that, by throwing the apps free to start (Shree Cement);
with, it would kick-start the process of adoption. But Once in a decade or so, finding a large new business that
this is not a given; unless the apps are compellingly is analogous to the main business and can be rolled out
rich in features. How easy would it be to make JioTV, using the same intangible strengths like dealer network,
JioCinema, Jio Music, a personal digital wallet, and brand equity or even management bandwidth (ITC,
Jio Magazine must-have apps? Mahindra & Mahindra);
Media reports say that Reliance would charge Rs15,000 Expanding a small Indian operation into a global one,
a year for these apps. That seems too ambitious when through exports and manufacturing on foreign soil
many individual apps offering some of these service (Motherson Sumi);
are available free. Expanding through successful acquisitions made at a
Perhaps Reliance will find solutions to all these issues. low cost (Ultratech, Sun Pharma);
If it does, the revenue numbers will start reflecting this; Relentlessly squeezing out costs in a business dominated
in which case it would start making money in the data by unorganised players who are more nimble and have
businessand enough of itto beat the cost of capital. lower costs (Relaxo Footwear).
If all this happens, Reliance may, at long last, turn into If you find companies that have any of these
an exciting stock for investors. But not today. Today, the characteristics, get excited. It could well be that Reliance
excitement is about its plans. manages to develop one of these characteristics. If so, it
By the way, Reliance is not into businesses that throw will be a monster value-creator. We will be watching.
C r o mp t o n Gre aves Among the different segments, revenues from its power
systems jumped by 59%, though on a low base (due
Is the Turnaround to shutdown in Nashik factory last year). Its revenues
from industrial systems segment rose by a sedate 11%
Sustainable? to Rs422 crore. The revenues from this segment were
dragged down by railway business. However, strong
C
rompton Greaves reported good revenue growth was posted in low-tension (LT) and high-
growth for the June 2016 quarter. Its tension (HT) motors business.
consolidated revenues for the June quarter Cromptons current debt:equity ratio stands at
rose by 39% % year-on-year (y-o-y) to Rs1,423 crore. 0.32. According to the management, the de-le de-leveraging
However, it reported a net loss of Rs50 crore will happen when it completes the Sp Spear deal
compared to o having broken-even in the same which is expected by the end of Oc October.
quarter of the
he previous year. Crompton Greaves calls divestments
divestmen of
The margin of its power business in Hungary,
Hun
earnings before
fore Belgium, Ireland, Indonesia
Indone
interest and tax and US Project Spear. The
T
(EBIT) was at approval of Competition
Comp
a strong 44%.
%. Commission
Commissio of
However, this
his was India (CCI)
(CCI was
driven by trading
ading required by
b the
sales which may prospective buyer.
not be sustainable
ainable Crompton Greaves
in future. All
ll this has obtained
obtain a
comes on thehe back confirmation
confirmatio that
of a dramaticic this part is resolved.
FY15-16 forr Crompton Greaves Project Spear
Spe is
which witnessed
essed a slump in stock going on schedule as per its timeline
price and huge
uge losses. Revenues for FY15-16 and there is no slippage, according to the manmanagement.
declined by 60% to Rs5,716 crore y-o-y and the
company reported
ported a consolidated loss of nearly Rs400
crore. The stock price, too, plummeted by more than
Rising Debtor Days
80%from a high of Rs203.50 in January 2016 to a
Debtor Days
low of Rs40.50 in mid-March. Since then, the stock
250
has doubled settling at Rs82 currently.
Crompton Greaves is into designing, manufacturing
and marketing electrical products and services. 200
Cheviot
Good Free Cash Flows
Not Glamorous but (Rs crore) Debt:Equity Ratio
C
0.06
heviot, one of the few well-run jute mills,
20
has reported good growth for the June 2016
0.04
quarter. Revenues rose by 22% year-on-year
(y-o-y) to Rs70.33 crore from Rs57.42 crore. While 10
0.02
profits were almost stagnant, at Rs10.19 crore, Cheviot
enjoys remarkable operating leverage. Net profit
0 0.00
margin is exceptionally high, at 15% of sales. Exports 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
have been sluggish for Cheviot; the proportion of Free Cash Flows Debt:Equity Ratio
revenues from exports has declined in the past year to
around 31% in FY15-16 from around 45% in
FY14-15. However, domestic revenues rose by an essential for the smooth functioning of mills. The
impressive 61% in FY15-16 to Rs233 crore. Its exports production of raw jute is subject to the vagaries of
for the period declined by 12% to Rs106 crore. nature. If there is a shortage of raw jute, like that
Cheviot makes jute goods at two plants in West witnessed in a part of FY15-16, business is adversely
Bengal one of which is export-oriented and ran at affected. Bangladesh, which dominates the jute market,
a reduced capacity. Since the demand for export of also imposed certain restrictions during the year on
jute yarn from India was sluggish, Cheviot is taking the export of raw jute to keep supply smooth in its
initiatives to export other diversified jute products domestic market.
including shopping bags, geo-textiles products and Also, certain restrictions may be imposed by the
conventional and decorative hessian products. regulator, the jute commissioner. The procurement
There are certain peculiar features and risks level by the government for packaging food grains
associated with the jute market in India. The business determines the demand in the domestic market. Lastly,
depends on the availability of raw jute which is the industry is finding it difficult attract new generation
Disclaimer: None of the stock information presented constitutes a recommendation or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities. Information presented is general in nature that does not take into
account your individual circumstances, financial situation or needs Although information has been obtained from and is based on sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and the
information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute our judgement as on the date of the report and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is no indication of future
results. Investors must do their own research before acting on them. Data Source: Centre for Monitoring Indian Economys Prowess database.
Those who have subscribed to the stockletters should only follow the stocks recommended there.
of labourers. jute bags are eco-friendly, the demand for them will
jut
The general al increase in the years ahead which will benefit players
inc
trend, on a like Cheviot.
worldwide Cheviot
basis, is to has generated
High
H operating leverage
move towardss positive free
eco-friendly and nd a
and an exceptionally high cash flows in
bio-degradablee n profit margin
net the past few
materials D
Domestic revenues jumped years. This
like jute. It is has enabled
b 61%, but exports
by
expected that it to remain
plastic shopping ng d
declined by 12% in FY15-16 a virtually
bags will be, debt-free. The
to some extent, t, promoter holding is high, at 75%. The stock trades
prom
replaced by jute bags. But this has
te bags at a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of around
been the hope for decades now. Similarly, man-made 11 times. The return on equity (RoE) stands at around
fibres may be replaced by jute which is a natural fibre. 11% and return on capital employed (RoCE) at around
There are expectations among analysts that, since 13%, based on trailing 12 months earnings.
T
he stock of JB Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals capsules. It exports to many countries worldwide and
has been buzzing for the past few months, has a presence in US, Europe, Australia, South Africa,
thanks to some positive news. In last June, the Russia and CIS and other developing countries. It also
United States Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) continues to invest, to grow its share in the regulated
approved its tablet manufacturing facility at Panoli markets of US, Europe and Australia. In the past fiscal
(Gujarat). The stock surged by 11%. Recently, it went year, exports to the US and South Africa performed
well and increased by 41% and 23%, respectively.
Exports accounted for a significant 58% of its net
sales in FY15-16. Its domestic formulations business
registered a growth of 13% during FY15-16 while sales
100 0.16
0.12
0 0.08
O
n 6th September, Mindtree announced a profit deviation of the year-on-year (y-o-y) revenue growth
warning. It said that there will be a further for the past six quarters from March 2015 to June
decline in revenue and margins in the second 2016, is lower for TCS and HCL Tech compared to
quarter of this fiscal, compared with the previous that of Mindtree, Hexaware and Tech Mahindra.
quarter. The revenues of TCS have steadily risen from
Rs24,220 crore in March 2015 quarter to Rs29,305
crore in Jun 2016 maintaining a steady growth in
the range of 12%-18%, thus signalling a very low
volatility, or standard deviation of 2.2%. The revenues
for HCL Technologies have grown y-o-y from Rs9,267
Volatility of Revenues
9%
6%
crore in March 2015 to Rs11,336 crores in June 2016, Rs904 crore in March 2015 quarter to Rs1,203 crore
signalling stability at a low standard deviation of 3.6%. June 2016 quarter. All this resulted in a high volatility,
Infosys, among the large-cap stocks, seems to have a at 8.36% of standard deviation, for Mindtree. And
relatively higher volatility at 6.4%; but this was due to now, suddenly, it has announced that it will not
a one-time abnormally low y-o-y growth in the March meet its revenue and profit guidance. Revenues for
2015 quarter, of 4%. For all the following quarters up Hexaware Technologies declined from 21.15% y-o-y
to Jun 2016, revenue growth has been consistently in growth in the quarter March 2015 to 12.62% in
the range of 13% to 23%; 23% was the highest y-o-y the latest quarter, June 2016, justifying the relatively
growth in March 2016. high standard deviation. Tech Mahindra also displays
After a long period of struggle up to mid-2013, a trajectory similar to Hexaware with the y-o-y
Mindtree was able to deliver strong y-o-y revenue quarterly revenue growth dwindling from 20.93% in
growth, from 9.7% in March 2015 to 32.92% in March 2015 to 9.96% in June 2016. Smaller software
March 2016, dipping down to 25.56% in only June companies are more cyclical in their revenues; this
2016. In absolute terms, revenue had risen from makes their stocks also cyclical.
T
he stock of JK Tyre & Industries Ltd growth. Import of Chinese tyres in the truck and bus
(JK Tyre) has been shooting up ever since early redials (TBR) segment has risen by over 40% year-on-
August. From around Rs90 on 4th August, the year (y-o-y) for the June 2016 quarter.
stock has gone up to over Rs140 in a month. Whats JK Tyre trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple
going on? JK Tyre has completed the second phase of of eight times its trailing 12 months earnings. Apollo,
construction of its plant at Chennai which makes car Ceat, MRF and TVS Srichakra, too, are valued at 911
and truck redials. Earlier, in April, JK Tyre times their earnings. The reason why
completed the acquisition of a 64%4% these stocks are so inexpensive,
thes
stake in Cavendish Industries at even in a bull market, is this:
ev
an enterprise value of around the
t market is unsure about the
Rs2,200 crore. Cavendish, a trend in natural rubber prices
unit of Kesoram Industries, which have been rising over
has plants located in Laksar the past few months. However,
(Haridwar, UP) for manufacture it seems that the market is
of tyres, tubes and flaps. JK Tyree estimating that tyre companies
has also announced its plans to will
w enjoy a period of growth
enter the aviation market which and can absorb higher cost of
an
is a very lucrative segment. Yet, the raw materials. On the positive
price rise is a mystery, given JK Tyres front, since JK Tyre has already carried
stagnant revenues and profits since the quarter ended out significant capacity expansion, it may not require
31 March 2015. much capital expenditure in the next few years. This
Barring a period of high growth in 2013-15, may help keep the debt:equity ratio stable. JK Tyres
revenues have been stagnant over the past five years. debt:equity ratio has declined since March 2013 when
It has reported an average revenue growth rate of it stood at 3.06. It fell to 1.66 on 31 March 2016. In
merely 3% during these years. However, it has done 2014-15, there was a slight rise in debt due to negative
exceedingly well in profit growth. From a loss of Rs32 free cash flows. However, the debt:equity ratio declined
crore for the year ended 31 March 2012, its profits to 2.12 from 2.51 on 31 March 2014. In the past five
have risen consistently over the years. Tyre companies years, there were robust free cash flows only in 2013-
enjoyed a surge in profits between June 2014 and 14 and 2015-16.
UN UOTED
STORIES OF PRICE MANIPULATION
O ptimus Finance (earlier known 40 and financials, the stock price has shot
as Transpek Finance) operates in up. From a low of Rs3.60 on
two business segmentsfinancing & 30 22 January 2014, it zoomed to Rs35.2
investing activities and manufacturing on 7 September 2016, up 878% or
& trading in chemicals. It has 20
878% nearly nine times. In fact, over the past
one subsidiary, namely, Maximus one year, the price has nearly tripled
International, engaged in importing, 10
from around Rs13 at the beginning of
trading and exporting various products. September 2015. Over the past one
This Gujarat-based company reported year, the stock has had a median of
0
a consolidated loss of nearly Rs0.36 just three trades a day; about 500-
Jan-14 May-15 Sep-16
crore for the year ended March 1,000 shares have been traded. As on
2016. For the quarter ended June 30 June 2016, Optimus Finance had
2016, the micro-cap stock reported However, its consolidated financial just 2,819 individual shareholders.
a consolidated profit of Rs0.15 crore reporting has been inconsistent. While Are there some individuals who are
compared to a loss of Rs0.20 crore it reported its consolidated numbers interested taking the stock price up?
for the quarter ended March 2016. in FY12-13 and FY13-14, there was no Will the regulator investigate?
MARKET TREND
*Annualised. Since 25 April 2014 *Annualised. Since January 2012 * Annualised. Since January 2012
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Caution: The returns shown here are much higher than average.
Average annual rise in the Nifty/Sensex is likely to be 12%-14%
per annum over 10 years and more. Well-chosen stocks may
rise by 20%-22% per annum over ve year and more.
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virtual ID;
How Can You 2. Account number + IFSC;
3. Collect / Pull money based on virtual ID (VPA).
Benefit from UPI? UPI also provides an option for scheduling push
& pull transactions for various purposes like sharing
bills among peers. One can use the UPI app instead
The best part of UPI is that it uses a unique of paying cash on delivery on receipt of product from
ID that is linked only with a bank account online shopping websites. It can also be used for
without revealing its details, finds miscellaneous expenses, like paying utility bills, over-
Yogesh Sapkale the-counter payments, barcode (scan and pay)-based
payments, donations, school fees and other such cases.
N
ational Payments Corporation of India (NPCI) The interface is an advanced version of Immediate
has launched a new payment solution which Payment Service (IMPS), which is a 24X7 funds
actually is a much improved way, in terms of transfer service. UPI allows a customer to have multiple
ease of use, over the previous one, IMPS (Immediate virtual addresses for multiple accounts in various
Payment Service). This new solution, unified payments banks.
interface (UPI), allows customers to use virtual
payment addresses, like myname@abcbank, as payment Security
identifier for sending and collecting money. This UPI To ensure privacy of customers data, there is no
works on a single click, two-factor authentication. Two account number mapper anywhere other than with
factors that work in favour of UPI are: 1) an option to the customers own bank. This allows the customer
push or pull financial transaction on schedule; and 2) to freely share the financial address with others. A
linking it with only a bank account. The linking of UPI customer can also decide to use the mobile number
to a bank account, without revealing account details, as the name instead of the short name for the virtual
should eliminate security concerns, largely. address like 1234567890@xyz.
The VPA acts as a financial address without having
How It Works to reveal the bank account number and IFSC code.
First, as a user, you need to register with your payment Once registered for VPA, users can send and receive
service-provider (PSP) and create a virtual payment payments instantly from any bank account using their
address (VPA), before sending or receiving funds using mobile phone in a safe and secure way. They will also
UPI and link it to your account. Also, remember, this be able to make payments to merchants from their
UPI can be linked only with a bank account and not mobile phones where UPI is accepted as a payment
to a wallet. Money can be transferred either by using mode.
VPA or the bank account number and Indian Financial
System Code (IFSC). For transactions using VPA, the How Much Money Can Be Transferred?
fund
und receiver also needs to have a VPA or account Users can make payments with UPI 24x7 on all days,
number and IFSC. including bbank holidays, up to a maximum of
The various channels Rs1 lakh. At present, 21 banks are on board with
for
or transferring NPCI for tthe UPI application. In addition, this app is
funds
unds using UPI only on Android-based mobile phones.
available o
are: Here aare the names of banks and their official app
1. Transfer (available on Google Play):
through Federal Bank (Lotza), Bank of Maharashtra (Maha
UPI), TJSB Bank (TRANZAPP-UPI), Karnataka Bank
SMARTZ (UPI)), DCB Bank (DCB Bank UPI
(KBL SMA
Union Bank of India (Union Bank UPI App),
App), Unio
Bank (VIJAYA UPI), United Bank of India
Vijaya Ban
(UNITED UPI), Punjab National Bank (PNB UPI), Axis
(Axis Pay), South Indian Bank (SIB M-Pay (UPI
Bank (Axi
Pay)), Catholic
Cath Syrian Bank (CSB-UPI), ICICI Bank
(Pockets), Andhra Bank (Andhra ONE), UCO Bank
(UCO-UPI), YES Bank and Canara Bank (Empower).
(UCO-UPI
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Intelligencetest: Test Your IQ take a break! The breaks can be scheduled, or instant,
depending on your needs.
Levels During these break times, the childs ability to use their
deviceeverything from apps to the Internet to texting and
Option1: Do nothing.
Option2: Rely on friends, relatives, neighbours, oce accountant, derived wisdom from social media
or the press/TV. (But do they know more than you? And how do you know that?)
Option3: Rely on relationship managers, insurance agents, distributors, wealth managers. (But you
are only a sales target for them)
Option4: Research insurance, mutual funds, markets, stocks, financial theories Become a financial
expert yourself. (Is this practical?)
About MAS
MAS is a SEBI-registered investment adviser and part of Moneylife, Indias most unbiased and
pro-investor research and information group. We run Indias best personal finance magazine,
Moneylife. We are not afraid to call a spade a spade. We are Indias only media company to have
set up a non-profit trust, Moneylife Foundation, which is now the largest savers and investors
association with more than 35,000 members. MAS was set up to help investors and savers make
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I
was just watching news in New York, a few weeks back, the patients also, since the drug companies may not go out
and came upon an advertisement. A lawyers firm in of their way to wine and dine doctors to prescribe their
New York was inviting patients to send information medicines for indications for which they have not been
on the side-effects of drugs they were taking to them permitted in the first place. Interestingly, this law does not
directly so that they could get the patient compensation cover vaccination injuries! Vaccine manufacturers must be
from the multinational petrochemicals corporations called richest among the drug lords, hence, they could make the
the drug companies! Normally, one comes across such government exempt them from this law. Extending this
advertisements to sue doctors for malpractice, negligence further, very soon, the cunning angiogram/angioplasty
and what have you. I then learnt that the US now permits industrialists might pass on their mistakes on the device-
drug companies to be sued directly for dangerous side- makers.
effects of drugs. This must have been a great relief to The man-on-the-street has so much faith on the
American doctors who were the target of the ambulance- chemical drugs and surgery as the custodians of their
chasing lawyers so far. Now, the lawyers, armed with this well-being and their lives that they are ready to accept
new law, are after the drug companies as they are the anything, in the name of science. Truth is otherwise. A
real large sharks that net trillions of dollars compared to substantial part of human healing is well outside the realm
doctors and hospitals that look like small fry now. of materialistic reductionist science. Thinkers in mainline
Soon, there will be legal science seem to have woken up. In an article, in 2011,
firms specialising Michael Crow, the president of the Arizona
in attacking the State University and a
drug lords leading science administrator,
wrote that the US National Institutes of
Healths annual budget of $30 billion should
not be just confined to molecular biological and
other conventional ways of looking at human health;
it must also look at health as a human experience in its
instead biological, sociological and environmental angles. Peoples
of poor feelings, their emotions and beliefs also matter in personal
doctors. and societal health. I feel, we should be less arrogant about
When this our scientific knowledge. Did our ancestors know how to
gathers full steam, communicate with plants and animals to know about our
many of our doctors need present knowledge of herbal and animal sources of therapy?
not have the anxiety of being With the Damocles sword hanging no longer on their
sued for anything and everything. One necks of consumers claims, doctors should now be able
of the advertisements that I saw looked like the to think outside the box for better intervention outcomes.
pharmacology textbooks chapter on statins. The lawyer With humility, better sense would prevail. Long live the
was saying that almost everyone on statins gets muscle time-honoured doctor-patient relationship which is very
damage with or without symptoms like muscle-ache, sacred and does the main job in healing, anyway. Let not
etc. Between 10%-47% of people on statins become mankind perish from the reductionist side-effects of drugs
diabetics within their first year on statins; kidney damage eventually.
is not unusual; and liver damage is a certainty. If you
have any one of those symptoms, do write to us and we
will get maximum damage from the drug companies for Professor Dr BM Hegde, a Padma
you. No legal fees. If we win, we will share the booty. Bhushan awardee in 2010, is an MD,
PhD, FRCP (London, Edinburgh,
So went the message of the advertisement. Does that not
Glasgow & Dublin), FACC and FAMS.
look attractive? He can be reached at hegdebm@gmail.com
While it is good for doctors to feel safe, it is good for
sudden death, to cancer and now become fairer. We see that many wrote a
fertility, alcohol is a curse. Yet, we people, many in the film industry, sensible
encourage alcohol intake socially. have suddenly becomes very fair. article a
Some doctors, even today, tell their A dermatologist in England did month ago go about the sad state
patients that alcohol, in small doses, a study to show that one of the of affairs in the medical field in
is good for heart health. In fact, common ingredients of the fairness that country run by the moneybags.
female alcoholism can adversely treatment, internally and locally, is Readers of my column would
affect the menstrual cycle and male glutathione. remember my fight against these
alcoholism could reduce the sperm Ophalia Dadzie, a consultant menaces, for decades. I am happy
count! dermatologist at Hillingdon that a fellow Indian-born surgeon-
Hospital and the director of London general has echoed my sentiments.
PATIENTS WITH CANCER AT Ethnic Skin Ltd, has discovered In his letter, Dr Murthy discusses
RISK DURING DIAGNOSIS serious side-effects after intravenous how many doctors have been
I
t is said that in life only two things are certaindeath Having got wind of the transfer of the membership of
and taxes. So far as taxes are concerned, the person the Society to the name of his sister, the son addressed a
himself faces the music; but, in case of death of a letter to the deputy registrar for cooperative societies, on
person, it is his near and dear ones who have to deal with behalf of his mother. In the letter, the son asserted that the
the hassles. Over the years, thanks to rising prosperity, membership of the flat should be transferred to the name
it is now common to find individuals having insurance of his mother.
policies, bank accounts and also owning an apartment in The son also sent a letter, on behalf of his mother, to
a cooperative housing society. In the secretary of the housing society,
such cases, inheritance issues arise reiterating his previous assertion,
after the death of the person and that the flat should be transferred
legal heirs may drag the insurance to the name of the mother.
company, bank or the housing In response, the secretary of the
society to court, to enforce their Society informed that the name of
claims. the daughter was recorded by the
To simplify the task of handing father himself as his nominee in
over insurance policy proceeds respect of the said flat. The deputy
after the death of the policyholder, registrar, cooperative societies, held
or transferring the bank account, that the flat-owner had actually
or membership of the housing nominated his wife as the nominee
society, there are provisions in the (in terms of the nomination
respective laws for appointment stipulated under Section 79 of the
of a nominee. But these provisions 1983 Act).
are not clear-cut and are, often, The transfer of the flat in the
contested. name of the daughter was declined
In a recently decided case on the ground that the daughter,
by the Supreme Court, the being a married, did not fall within
issue about the nominee in a the definition of term family
cooperative housing society came as contemplated under the said
up for consideration. Section 79.
One Biswa Ranjan Sengupta Aggrieved with the decision
(the flat-owner) was member of To simplify the task of taken by the authorities, in rejecting
a cooperative housing society, handing over insurance her claim with reference to the
Kolkata (the Society). He had a transfer of the flat, the daughter
policy proceeds after the
wife and two childrena daughter challenged the order of the deputy
and a son. The flat-owner recorded
death of the policyholder, or registrar before the Calcutta High
the name of his daughter as the transferring the bank account, Court.
nominee in terms of the provisions or membership of the housing The writ petition was allowed
of Section 79 of the West Bengal society, there are laws for by a learned single judge of the
Cooperative Societies Act, 1983. appointment of a nominee. High Court and it, inter-alia,
After the death of the flat- But these provisions are, held that the deputy registrar of
owner, his daughter asked the often, contested the cooperative societies was not
Society to enter her name as justified to exclude the appellant,
member in place of her fathers being a daughter of the flat-owner,
name. The managing committee of the Society passed a from the purview of the provisions of the said Act.
unanimous resolution to transfer the membership of the The High Court held that the married daughters were
deceased flat-owner to the name of his daughter. not excluded from the purview of the relevant Section.
Having so concluded, the learned single judge of the the money secured by the policy shall be paid in the event
High Court directed the deputy registrar of cooperative of his death.
societies to grant the necessary approval for transfer of If the nominee is a minor, the policyholder may appoint
the membership in the name of the daughter as nominee any person to receive the money in the event of his death
of the flat-owner. during the minority of the nominee. It means that, if the
The mother and son duo challenged the order passed policyholder is alive when the policy matures for payment,
by the single judge. The matter came before the division he alone will receive payment of the money due under the
bench of the High Court for consideration. The division policy and not the nominee. Any such nomination may be
bench, relying on some earlier judgements, passed an cancelled or changed at any time before the policy matures
interesting order. for payment.
It held that it may not be The Supreme Court held that
possible for the Court to direct Nomination only indicates the the provision in Sub-section (6) of
the mother and son to be joint hand which is authorised to Section 39 of the Life Insurance
members along with the daughter; receive the amount, on the Act, which says that the amount
but, to protect their interest in the payment of which the insurer shall be payable to the nominee,
flat which they had inherited, it gets a valid discharge of its does not mean that the amount
was necessary for the Society to shall belong to the nominee.
liability under the policy.
record their interest expressly in The nomination only indicates
the share certificate as well as in
However, the amount can the hand which is authorised
its records pertaining to members. be claimed by the heirs, in to receive the amount, on the
More particularly, the High accordance with the law of payment of which the insurer gets
Court directed that an entry be succession a valid discharge of its liability
made in the register of members under the policy. However, the
as follows. The daughter, merely amount can be claimed by the heirs
because the nomination was in her favour, cannot transfer of the life assured, in accordance with the law of succession
the share in which she has a part interest; her share can governing them.
only be transferred by express consent of all the heirs. Similarly, in the case of a flat in a cooperative society
Being dissatisfied with the direction of the division discussed earlier, the apex court held that the nomination
bench of the High Court, the daughter approached the of the daughter in the instant case was valid; so the Society
Supreme Court by filing an appeal. Before dealing with was bound to register her name. At the same time, legal heirs
the issue raised in the appeal, the Supreme Court made a could enforce their rights through the due process of law.
reference to the judgements relied on by the division bench
in recording its conclusion. In that context, the apex court
considered some cases relating to role of nominee under
the Life Insurance Act, 1938. SD Israni is a corporate lawyer & Fellow
The Supreme Court analysed the provisions of Section of ICSI. Email: sdisrani@gmail.com
39 of the Life Insurance Act and noted that a holder of a
policy of life insurance may nominate a person to whom
G
cyberspace, you are fooled because fraudsters are smarter reed is the main reason for people becoming
than you are. So be cautious, alert and on the vigil; only victims of financial frauds or cheating. In
that will protect you in the cyberspace, said Sanjay fact, I was aghast to see people from all
Saxena, joint commissioner of police (crime), Mumbai. Mr parts of the society falling prey to such schemes just
Saxena, a 1993-batch IPS officer, who was special inspector because someone has promised them huge returns, said
general with Force One, an elite counter-terrorism wing of S Jayakumar, the deputy commissioner of police, economic
Maharashtra police formed after the 26/11 terror attack, offences wing (EOW), Mumbai. He was speaking at the
was speaking as the chief guest at the seventh session of eighth session of the 12-week series Police&You.
the Police & You series of Moneylife Foundation. Mr Jayakumar, who has a commendable track record
Moneylife Foundation, with Police Reforms Watch with postings at Malegaon as assistant commissioner
and support from Saraswat Bank, has launched the of police (ACP) after a bomb blast and Naxal-infested
12-week programme (every Wednesday) that aims to Gadchiroli as superintendent of police (SP) during an election,
spread knowledge about protecting yourself, your rights, says, Irrespective of
the Indian Penal Code (IPC), cybercrime and economic their reputation and
offences. This was the seventh session which also included achievements, people
presentations by advocate Prashant Mali and Ramesh put their money into
Mohite, former police officer and director at Cyber-I fraudulent schemes. I
Consultancy Services Pvt Ltd. agree we are lagging
Advocate Mali, who appears as an expert legal counsel behind in alerting
in cybercrime and electronic and digital evidence-related S Jayakumar, Mahesh Aathavale, people. However,
DCP former Police officer
cases, says, Digital literacy, safety and security come since we have to deal
with low awareness and knowledge of safeguards and with people from across the strata, it becomes difficult to
laws governing the Internet usage. Laws in India, though reach out to everyone. But we are doing our best and would
enacted with full vigour, are not implemented with the do more to create awareness about these financial scams.
same josh. Common IT users often do not know various The multi-level marketing was conducted by Mr Jayakumar
sections of laws and their rights under the law. and Mahesh Aathavale, a former officer from Mumbai
The incidence of cybercrime is on the increase because Police. Mr Athavale shared details of action taken, or being
of increased use of technology and its careless application. taken, on MLM (multi-level marketing) companies, like
According to advocate Mali, every year, there are estimated QNet, across the globe. He told the audience how, in 2002,
30 million incidents of bank phishing that cost crores of the Australian government named QNet, GoldQuest and
rupees to customers. QuestNet as pyramid schemes.
M
any have probably read how Sanjeev Sanyal, together stories picked from thousands of years history
a thoughtful historian, economist and urban stretching from Europe to Southeast Asia to show how
planner, has torn to shreds, Ashokas reputation culture and commerce, religion and administration, family
as a pacifist. In case you didnt, here is his story of the real lineages and wars, kinship and genetics across centuries
Ashoka. In 274BC, Bindusara, son of Chandragupta, died. interacted around the Indian ocean. But this story has
The crown prince, Sushima, was on the north-western hardly been told from the perspective of those who lived
frontier fighting incursions. When he rushed back to around the Indian Ocean. Sanyal hopes to rectify that,
capital Pataliputra, he found that Ashoka, one of his with this book.
half-brothers, had seized control. Ashoka got Sushima
killedpossibly roasted alive!
In the next four years, Ashoka Pushed out of their base in Hugli,
seems to have killed all male they (Portuguese) were reduced to
rivals in his family. Buddhist piracy in Bengal and withdrew to
texts mention that he killed 99
half-brothers and only spared
Chittagong where they formed an
his brother Tissa. Having alliance with the Arkanese king Thiri
consolidated his power, he who believed that he was Buddha
was finally crowned emperor
in 270BC. He has many surprises for us about our recent past,
Ashoka invaded Kalinga a too, such as the role played by the revolutionaries in our
few years later and, shocked freedom struggle. Sanyal argues that while the Netaji
by the death and destruction Subhash Chadra Boses role in the last stages of Indias
he had wrought, converted freedom struggle is known, it was really the culmination of
to Buddhism and became a a strategy that had been devised decades ago. The simplest
pacifist. Or, so we believe. way to throw out the British was not civil disobedience but
THE OCEAN OF CHURN Sanyal argues that the rock create a mutiny among the soldiers. After all, the backbone
SANJEEV SANYAL edicts tell us that he had of the British empire was not the few British people who
Penguin Viking converted to Buddhism more lived here but the vast army of Indian soldiers who fought
Pages 297; Rs599
than two years earlier and for the British in many wars across the world. This was
from what we know of his the plan of Rashbehari Bose, Sachindra Nath Sanyal (the
early rule, he was hardly a man to be easily shocked by authors great grandfather), Har Dayal and others from
the sight of blood. the mid-1910s, influenced by Vinayak Savarkar. Another
Sanyal argues that the main evidence of Ashoka's plan included bringing in arms across the sea from the east.
repentance comes from his own inscriptions. It is very Unfortunately, these plans failed each time. SN Sanyal was
curious, however, that this regret is mentioned only in caught and sent to Cellular jail in Andaman and Bose fled
locations far away from Odisha (such as in Shahbazgarhi to Japan. But the idea lived on and manifested years later
in north-western Pakistan) which cant be challenged... If with the dramatic escape of Subhash Bose from house arrest
Ashoka was genuinely remorseful, he would have surely in Kolkata, contacting the Germans and the Japanese, and
bothered to apologize to the people whom he had wronged. leading the charge with an Indian army from the east.
Far from it, he doesnt even offer to free the captives. Ultimately, Indian soldiers did rise up in mutiny in 1946
Even the supposedly regretful inscriptions include a clear (naval revolt of Bombay).
threat of further violence against other groups like the This short review only offers a flavour that the history
forest tribes. It is likely that it was pure propaganda we read is probably a deeply flawed. The stories appear
by Ashoka to counter his reputation for cruelty. Indeed, more nuanced, global, richer and shaped by unsung heroes
the Buddhist text, Ashokavadana, tells us of more acts in Sanyals narrative, where Odiya and Omani seafarers,
of genocide perpetrated many years after he supposedly Chola and Chinese kings, Pallava and Portuguese warriors
turned pacifist; Ashoka once had 18,000 Ajivikas Jains race through the pages. A must-read. Debashis Basu
AM
M
R Sinha, chief general manager (vigilance). They
discussed the course of action and then planned
to go to the Chairman, Maneck N Goiporias
house. But they were told that Goiporia was out
meeting
eeting somebody and would return only after
10 pm.
m. It was then that Khemani and Subba Rao
decided that Sitaraman should be called back.
Theyy even sent somebody over to the branch
and broke
roke open Sitaramans drawer. It was a
desperate
sperate move. There was nothing there...
Mail in your remittances to Kensource Information Services Pvt Ltd, 316, 3rd Floor, Hind Service Industries Premises, Off Veer
Savarkar Marg, Shivaji Park, Dadar (W), Mumbai 400028. Credit card orders can be faxed to Mumbai 022-24442771.
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570
120
130
110
-310
29 Aug-16 7 Sep-16
40
Jubilant Foodworks 1,207.25 1,087.45 -10% Bovespa, Nikkei and Hang Seng advanced 4%
each. NASDAQ Composite, S&P 500 and Shanghai
Mid-cap Gainers/Losers 26 Aug 07 Sep Change
Composite rose 1% each. The FTSE ended flat.
Patel Engineering 46.60 85.25 83%
Index 26 Aug 07 Sep +/-
Kiri Industries 343.10 279.30 -19% Bovespa 57,716 60,129@ 4%
Whats H T
Automobile companies were in demand during the fortnight. Tata
Motors, Hero MotoCorp and Maruti Suzuki India soared 17%, 9% and 8%,
ML SECTORAL TRENDS
Stocks of automobiles companies
and retail companies advanced 8%
respectively. Mahindra & Mahindra and Force Motors advanced 4% each. each. Stocks of glass companies and
banks rose 7% and 6%, respectively.
Companies 26 Aug 07 Sep +/- Shares of telecom services
companies declined 5%, while shares
ML Auto Index Tata Motors 503.75 587.70 17%
of printing & publishing companies
140 TVS Motor Co 303.40 330.65 9% and sugar companies fell 2% each.
Hero MotoCorp 3,316.80 3,609.85 9% Shares of software & IT services
130
companies fell 1%.
Maruti Suzuki India 4,920.90 5,338.00 8%
120 M&M 1,424.85 1,488.75 4% ML Sectoral Trends
Force Motors 2,995.80 3,129.75 4% Office Equipment 9% Telecom services -5%
110
Bajaj Auto 2,858.25 2,985.85 4% Auto 8% Printing & Publishing -2%
100 Eicher Motors 22,331 22,973.90 3% Retail 8% Sugar -2%
FOOD INFLATION
Whats N T Combined food inflation
increased to 7.87% in July 2016
Telecom services companies were a mixed bag. Idea Cellular and Tata
compared with 7.46% recorded
Teleservices (Maharashtra) tumbled 11% and 9%, respectively. Reliance
Communications and Bharti Airtel declined 7% each. for June 2016. For rural and
urban areas, food inflation in
Companies 26 Aug 07 Sep +/-
June was 7.84% and 7.95%,
ML Telecom Service Index respectively. Vegetable prices
Idea Cellular 93.95 83.70 -11% increased by 13.98% in July
115
Tata Teleservices 6.60 5.98 -9%
compared with those prevailing
110 in June 2016. Inflation in fruit
Reliance Comm 53.95 49.95 -7%
5.25%
MTNL 20.85 21.80 5% 90
Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
All Prices in Rs
2.50%
BULK DEALS Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Reaching Out to FOHF works closely with the armed forces to identify
families of brave-hearts across the country. Its team of
volunteers conducts programmes to commemorate our
the Families of the soldiers and spread the message of their service and sacrifice
to the citizens to keep their memories alive.
Brave-hearts Shivani Sharma Dasmahapatra, programme director,
FOHF says, No one can bring back what they have
lost, but for us it is of foremost importance to be there
H
ow often does it happen that we are deeply moved for their families and let them know that they are not
by the martyrdom of a brave soldier and want alone. She points out that the nation comes together to
to show support and solidarity to his distraught express grief when a brave-heart lays down his life for the
family in a meaningful way? How many of us can actually nation; but public memory is short and everything is soon
follow up on our feelings and do something about it? forgotten.
Most people will answer in the negative. Well, here is an FOHFs stated objectives include: advocacy about
opportunity for you, as a concerned citizen, to engage the concerns of the armed forces and veterans; providing
with an organisation that is dedicated to fostering a spirit assistance to families of martyrs and veterans with special
of patriotism and ensuring that the families of martyrs emphasis on helping war widows and ensure permanent
do not endure alone. housing for martyrs families; work at sustainable
Flags of Honour Foundation (FOHF), a not-for-profit programmes and partnerships to ensure rehabilitation,
organisation started by employment, education,
Rajeev Chandrashekar, health and financial
entrepreneur and stability of families
Member of Parliament of martyrs; educate
(MP), aspires to act as a and inculcate values
bridge for civil society to of service and honour
engage with, recognise among people and
and support the Armed instil patriotism and
Forces and inspire the responsible citizenship
younger generation among the youth.
through stories of While the organisation
valour and sacrifice of is based in Bengaluru,
the men and women in it hopes to have a pan-
uniform. India presence.
FOHF was registered Some important
as a charitable trust a advocacy campaigns
little after the Mumbai taken up by FOHF
terror attacks of 2008 when Major Sandeep Unnikrishnan were to support the one-rank-one-pension agitation by
sacrificed his life to save people. Mr Chandrashekar veterans, voting rights of armed forces soldiers who are
presented a cheque of Rs25 lakh to Major Unnikrishnans away from home and helping Dr NK Kalia to petition
family. Soon thereafter, he decided to put a formal face to the United Nations Human Rights Commission seeking
the effort to support the families of martyrs and registered independent investigations on the torture and death of
FOHF as a charitable trust in July 2009. The Foundation Capt Saurabh Kalia and five jawans in the Kargil War in
provides financial assistance and grants to martyrs families 1999. The voting rights campaign registered a significant
by reaching out to them and understanding their needs. victory, in March 2014, when the Supreme Court ordered
For instance, FOHF offered financial assistance to the the Election Commission to facilitate voting by armed
widow of martyr Havaldar Channalli forces and their families posted in peace
(who died in Kashmir) to restore a zones; but the battle for voting rights to
dilapidated memorial to the Param those posted in field areas continues.
Vir Chakra awardee. It gave a grant to FLAGS OF HONOUR You can join the effort by volunteering
martyr Abdul Hameed at Dhampur in FOUNDATION with FOHF or by donating to the cause.
54, Richmond Road,
Uttar Pradesh to help his widow, Rasulan Donations are tax-exempt under Section
Bengaluru - 560025
Bibi, renovate her house. Telephone: 080 - 4093 3141 80-G of the Income-tax Act.
Fax: 080 - 2532 3488
Email: suresh.nr@flagsofhonour.org
MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 66 Web: http://www.flagsofhonour.in/