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SUCHETA DALAL ON:

NO PMS LOOPHOLE FOR INSIDERS: SEBI CATCH THE COUNTLESS SMALL FRAUDS TOO

Personal Finance Magazine 16 September-29 September 2016 Rs 45

Pages 68 (SUBSCRIBER COPY NOT FOR RESALE) www.moneylife.in

STOCKS:

HIGHER
RETURN
LOWER
RISK VALUE STOCKS:
Exciting News Vs Exciting Stock
Page40

STOCKS

Crompton Greaves: Cheviot: Solid JB Chemicals: Small Software Stocks: JK Tyre: Stagnant Profit, Manipulation:
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Cover Page_276.indd 1 09-09-2016 17:37:48


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ISSUE CONTENTS
16-29 Sep 2016

Managing Risks

S tocks that offer higher return are also riskier.


Financial academics tell you that the best
investment strategy is to optimise return, for
a given amount of risk. Can this be applied in
practice? There are different ways to measure
risk, to ensure that you have a good risk-return
ratio. Many may have read about common
risk ratios such as alpha, beta and standard
deviation. While these ratios are, often, used to
judge performance of mutual fund managers or
performance of a portfolio, can these ratios, or
a combination of these, be used to pick stocks
which can deliver market-beating returns with

30 Cover Story
a lower amount of risk? In our Cover Story, we
apply these tools to stocks present in the
Nifty 500 index. The returns over the past five
years have been quite encouraging. Take a look
at our findings on page 32 where the Cover Stocks: Higher Return Lower Risk
Story starts. Investors look to earn the highest return with the lowest
Reliance Industries has created a lot amount of risk. However, this is easier said than done. Can we
of excitement with the launch of Jio, its pick a portfolio of stocks with the best risk-reward profile and
outperform the market? Jason Monteiro back-tests investing in
telecom service. But the exciting plans being stocks, based on their risk measures such as alpha, beta and
drummed up by the media dont make money standard deviation. The results are quite encouraging
for investors. In Value Stocks, I discuss what
should really excite investors when it comes to
investing in stocks.
HDFC Bank wanted its managers to be
immune from insider trading charges if they
12 Your Money
Homebuyers Favoured in Court Rulings
Bharat Saves Website Planned To Offer Information
invest in a discretionary portfolio. In a smart on Financial Planning
move, the Securities and Exchange Board of Nashik Consumer Forum Directs Four Builders To
India has refused to offer this blanket immunity. Undergo Two Years Simple Imprisonment
That would simply have opened the door to RBI To Focus on Mis-Selling of Insurance Policies by
Banks
misusing portfolio management schemes for
trading on insider information, as Sucheta
highlights in her Different Strokes section.
We have often seen how some promoters
with deep pockets have managed to manipulate
the system to their benefit. While some big
14 MONEYLIFE

QUIZ
names, like Ravi Ruia, Vijay Mallya, Subrata
Roy, etc, have come under the scanner of the
apex court, hundreds of similar cases, albeit
on a smaller scale, go unnoticed. Unless the
18 Financial Crimes: Catch the Countless Small Fish Too
government takes strict action, investors and
unsecured creditors will continue to suffer,
writes Sucheta in Crosshairs column.
As always, please do write to us what kind
of articles you would like to read and your
20 Different Strokes
SEBI Ensures No PMS Loophole for Insider Trading

views and suggestions on ways we can improve.


Disclaimer: Moneylife has a policy of not allowing its editorial staff to
buy and sell stocks that are written about in the magazine. All personal
Debashis Basu
transactions in individual stocks are subjected to internal disclosure rules.
MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 4

Content.indd 2 09-09-2016 17:41:37


Moneylife Foundation AD.indd 1 09-09-2016 17:34:14
CONTENTS
FUND POINTERS INSURANCE LEGALLY SPEAKING

May Do Better than NPS 30 Trends


22 Why 58 Nomination
Equity Mutual Funds Insurance Does Not
Give Ownership Rights
Regulations
Health Insurance Regulations 2016
FUND FACTS Decoded YOU BE THE JUDGE

Fine Print

24 Best & Worst Mutual


Fund Schemes 60 Pity the
Overworked
VALUE STOCKS
Athlete
TAX / FIXED INCOME
40 Exciting News
Vs Exciting Stock ML FOUNDATION EVENTS

25 DHFL and Other Taxable


Bond Issues

G-Sec and Bond Yields Flat


TECHNOLOGY
61 Cybercrimes:
Your Rights
Know

STOCKS
50 How Can You Benefit
from UPI?
Financial Crimes & Frauds: When
and How To Approach the EOW

26 Smart Money TAX HELPLINE

It Is Your Money,
Your Worry

42 Stock Watch
52 Queries at Moneylife
Foundations Tax Helpline
Crompton Greaves: Is the USEFUL APPS
Turnaround Sustainable? BEYOND MONEY

Cheviot: Not Glamorous but


Solid Performer
54 Intelligencetest:
Your IQ Levels
Test
66 Reaching Out to the
Families of the Brave-
OnlineChartTool: Tell It Visually
Dinnertime Plus: Stop Them Playing hearts
JB Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals: during Dinner
Good Chemistry Gaana: A Giant Storehouse of
Bollywood Songs

Mindtree: Small Software Stocks-


Cyclical Revenues? HEALTH

JK Tyre: Stagnant Profit, Rising


Stock Price 56 Great News for Doctors
as Lawyers Train Their
Guns on Drug Firms
Market Manipulation:
Optimus Finance DEPARTMENTS
Readers Response ........... 8
Market Trend: Be Cautious Pulse Beat: Medical
developments from Book Review ....................62
around the world Money Facts ....................64

Content.indd 4 09-09-2016 17:42:18


Advertisements.indd 3 03-09-2016 19:33:44
Volume 11, Issue 15
16 September29 September 2016

Debashis Basu
Editor & Publisher
editor@moneylife.in

Sucheta Dalal
Managing Editor
sucheta@moneylife.in

Editorial Consultant
Dr Nita Mukherjee
nitamuk@gmail.com

Editorial, Advertisement, WILL E-GOVERNANCE BE


Circulation & Subscription Office IMPLEMENTED IN POLICE
315, 3rd Floor, Hind Service Industries
Premises, Off Veer Savarkar Marg, Shivaji
STATIONS?
Park, Dadar (W), Mumbai - 400 028 This is with regard to How To File an FIR and
Tel: 022 49205000 What Are Your Rights in Moneylife (issue dated
Fax: 022 49205022
E-mail: mail@moneylife.in 1 September 2106). It is difficult to file an FIR if
Mutual Fund investments
the police do not cooperate. They usually dont; are subject to market risks,
read all scheme related
often on the specious plea of jurisdiction. documents carefully.
E-mail: In the age of e-mail and computer technology,
sales@moneylife.in
Subscription e-mail one should be able to lodge an FIR at any police
subscribe@moneylife.in station. An acknowledgement and receipt of the Write to
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New Delhi
the complainant via e-mail. The e-mail address of
every police station in a state should be advertised
WIN
a prize
DDA Flats, J-3/66, Kalkaji,
New Delhi - 110 019 extensively. Way back in 2006, it was reported in
the press that, to file an FIR, a person need not
visit the police station. It was claimed that the
Bengaluru
1st Floor, 13/1, 7th Main Road, government would bring a number of services
1 Cross, Saibabanagar, Srirampuram,
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onlineto know the status of applications for
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Mahesh Kumar, by email
Moneylife is printed and published by
Debashis Basu on behalf of TIMELY OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS
Moneywise Media Pvt Ltd and
published at 315, 3rd Floor, This is with regard to Speciality Restaurants: Consumption Recipe
Hind Service Industries Premises, Gone Wrong? It is a very timely observation and analysis. I hold
Off Veer Savarkar Marg, Shivaji Park,
Dadar (W), Mumbai - 400 028 Jubilant FoodWorks stock. I see that its net profit margin is gradually
Editor: Debashis Basu
coming down and sales are increasing to compensate the loss. I would
appreciate your view on this stock. Should one hold or get out?
Narendra Khadse, online comment

Total no of pages - 68, Including Covers FUTURE 10-BAGGER?


This is with regard to UCAL Fuel Systems: New Energy? All multi-
baggers may not have solid RoNW (return on net worth) and RoCE
RNI No: MAHENG/2006/16653

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 8

Letters.indd 2 07-09-2016 20:22:22


Advertisements.indd 2 03-09-2016 19:33:01
LETTERS

Difficult Decision
the
Best
letter
T his is with regard to When
You Are Dead, while Still
with a hospital bill
running into lakhs
Alive by Bapoo Malcolm. Yes, of rupees.
Mutual Fund investments
I understand that law is not on It is a very hard are subject to market risks,
read all scheme related
our side. It is only the love of our decision; but we, as documents carefully.
loved ones that can take decisions family of our near and
for us, when we are not capable
of doing so.
dear ones, should take
the difficult decision Congratulations
We had two cases in a hospital nearby. One was of with much empathy Sunil Rebello
a poor patient who was admitted late in the evening, and prayer. This should
brain dead, after a massive heart attack. The NGO, be done by looking at
YOU WIN A
PERSONALISED
whose care she was under, wrote a letter to the the best interest of the CLOCK
hospital management, the next morning informing patient.
them that she was a person in need and could not Lastly, there was the
afford to pay any hospital bill. She was kept for case of the raped nurse
three more days on the ventilator and she passed at KEM Hospital
away peacefully. No doctor or family could take the who was kept under
decision to withdraw the support system. No bill yet a similar situation
from the hospital. The next case was that of a high- for 16 years by Sunil Rebello

ranking person admitted to the same hospital in the interested parties.


same situation. He was kept in the same situation But who is to
for around 12-15 days. His hands and feet started blame?
swelling, but no doctor or family member could take Sunil Rebello,
a decision. When the man passed away, they were hit online comment

(return on capital employed) in the initial years. If we d. Seek out good managements.
screen the universe with high RoCE, we may miss the e. Stay away from high debt companies. Avoid
future 10-baggers. In the Cover Story on 10x-baggers, companies with high pledged shares.
I note that 70% of the stocks had low RoCE initially f. Seek companies that are focused on operating cash
of under 10%. So, do you sense any ingredient of a flows.
potential high growth story here as well? g. Get to use, or know, the product and its
Ranjan Kumar, online comment competition. Get to experience the service and
compare it with the competition.
KEEP YOUR FINGERS CROSSED? h. Last, but not least, keep your fingers crossed.
This is with regard to All Stock Buying Is Speculation Ralph Rau, online comment
and What It Means for Investing by Debashis
Basu. I would like to put down my points for prudent AMAZED BY THE USE OF DISCOUNTED
investing: CASH METHOD!
a. Do not ever put all your eggs in one basket. This is with regard to All Stock Buying Is Speculation
Certainly never more than 5% of portfolio on one and What It Means for Investing by Debashis Basu.
stock. Forgive me, if I sound stupid because my knowledge
b. Use the pyramid approach comprising a base of of the stock market is really zero; but I am amazed
40-50 of large-caps, 30-20 mid-caps and 20-10 that the stock market would use the discounted cash
small-caps. method. In operations research (nowadays called
c. Do not put in money you need for the next 5-7 analytics), the discount factor is just used to make
years. That should be in fixed deposits or bond algorithms work. The author is 100% correct in that
funds. the discount factor is very difficult to estimate and it is

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 10

Letters.indd 4 07-09-2016 20:23:16


LETTERS

best to use average (undiscounted) cash returnsif you overvalued. It would be great if Moneylife could do a
must use cash returns in your analysis. Also, as far as detailed write-up on when/how to sell, when markets
US stocks go, inflation and interest rates have been so become overvalued.
low in recent years that the discount factor is close to Ramesh Mehta, online comment
1 anyway.
Abhijit Gosavi, online comment NOSTALGIA ABOUT AXIS BANK
This is with regard to the book review of The Unusual
PATIENCE IS THE KEY! Billionaires by Saurabh Mukherjea. The book is simply
This is with regard to Multi-baggers: Dont delightful and would be useful for young and old
Underestimate Timing by Debashis Basu. Good bankers. For me, reading this book, after coming to
report. I have always believed that you can time the know from Moneylife (issue 19 August 2016), it was a
market, although you wont always catch the absolute nostalgic trip. I had joined the first branch
peaks or the lows. Buy when everybodys of UTI Bank in Ahmedabad, right in the
crying and the papers are full beginning when it was opened in April
of bad news and theyre all 1994. I still vividly recall the thrill of
blaming the Indian stock market joining the new Bank and building the
as a useless place. Sell when all institution which continued till the last
that is forgotten and IPOs are day, when I turned 60 last year and
commonplace, when you get news retired from my most beloved Axis
of lakhs of new demat accounts Bank. It was the most memorable and
being opened (these have started); as satisfying journey for me.
this article suggests, were probably NK Bakshi, by email
there.
Even so, Im waiting for a Nifty P/E A LOT CAN BE ACHIEVED BY
(price-earnings ratio) of 26 which, I SLOWING DOWN!
have noticed, is where the real risk This is with regard to SEBI Tries To
starts; although, in January 2008, that Fix the HFT Issue without Closing
figure hit 28 before crashing. the NSE Probe by Sucheta Dalal.
All recent bull markets have been unable It might benefit the stock exchanges,
to sustain Nifty P/Es far above 25.7. If where they get more income (due to more automated
you sell then and put your money in a liquid mutual volumes). But the common investor has to face highly
fund scheme and waitpatience is the keyyou are volatile markets.
likely to get an opportunity to buy back your shares at I believe these recommendations are going to make
a discount and save the change. markets much more complex and non-transparent.
Mohan Sivanand, online comment Suggestions like randomisation, etc, will make things
more opaque and, in case of investigations, impossible
MARKETS ARE OVERVALUED to identify what went wrong. I think a lot of can be
This is with regard to Faster, Higher, Stronger: achieved by just slowing down than by introducing
Momentum in Stocks & Indices by Jason Monteiro. complex algorithms with unknown downsides.
It is time to think of when to sell as markets are MV Subba Rao, online comment

HOW TO REACH US
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11 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Letters.indd 5 07-09-2016 20:23:40


Your Money
CONSUMER PROTECTION FINANCIAL PLANNING

Homebuyers Favoured in Court Rulings Bharat Saves Website


Planned To Offer
Information on Financial
T
he Supreme Court ordered buyers. We are least bothered about
real estate giant DLF to pay
9% interest to 50 buyers for
the financial status, the Court
said. The Supreme Court also
Planning
the delay in handing over possession
of flats in Haryanas Panchkula
town, adjoining Chandigarh. It has
directed Sahara India Commercial
Corporation Limited (SICCL) to
deposit Rs3.5 crore to pay back
G oogle India is planning to develop a
website, Bharat Saves, which will
offer information on financial planning,
also ordered Supertech, which had investors who had bought flats in its reports The Economic Times. Google
Gurgaon project but did not receive wants to align its Bharat Saves website
possession on time. to the governments financial inclusion
The order came on an appeal scheme, Jan Dhan Yojana. The digital
filed by SICCL against order of platform may provide a range of
the National Consumer Disputes financial literacy tools and information
Redressal Commission which had on financial products.
asked the firm to pay compensation A Google
at 12% to the Sahara Grace spokesperson
Consumers Grievance Association told media
for delayed possession of flats. that, in line
The Delhi High Court asked with the prime
Unitech and its homebuyers to ministers
work out a formula under which vision to create greater financial
the developer uses 90% of the funds inclusion, various BFSI (banking,
collected from them to construct a financial services and insurance)
collected money from homebuyers project, if a majority of buyers votes organisations and industry associations
and failed to deliver the flats in favour of completion. The Court are coming together to launch a digital
satisfactorily, to return the money ruled that the money collected from platform.
to the buyers unconditionally, buyers for project completion has to A financial literacy awareness
in a recent judgement. Either be deposited in an escrow account campaign may be part of the plan.
you (Supertech) sink or die, we and only 10% of the corpus can be Bharat Saves will be an app and
are not concerned. You will have used to refund payment to those a website both of which are being
to pay back the money to home who want to opt out. designed by Google. Users logging into
the website will need to take a financial
literacy test the certifications for which
will be given by the Indian government,
REAL ESTATE
Google and an industry organisation.
There will be a second section of the
Nashik Consumer Forum Directs Four Builders To Undergo Two app/website where users will be able
Years Simple Imprisonment to see, compare and purchase banking
and insurance products.

T he District Consumer Grievance Redressal Forum at Nashik ordered two years simple imprisonment
for four builders. The order related to builders failure to honour the Maharashtra State Consumer
Disputes Redressal Commission (MSCDRC) orders of completing the conveyance deed for a housing
The target consumers for this
platform will be home-makers, small
business owners, the newly employed,
society on time. However, this was not the only issue. The Forum said that additional construction was retired persons and farmers. Apple has
carried out in the housing society and the builders had not obtained completion certificate for it. Earlier, also held talks with the government on
the builders were directed by MSCDRC to complete the conveyance deed within six months from making Apple Pay, a mobile payment
13 October 2008, the date of the order. However, the builders failed to abide by these orders. Hence, the and digital wallet service, a part of
aggrieved party approached the Forum. financial inclusion programmes.

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 12

Your Money.indd 2 09-09-2016 17:46:05


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Your Money
LIFE INSURANCE

RBI To Focus on Mis-Selling of Insurance grievance redress process.


We will examine how banks are faring and whether
Policies by Banks further regulations are needed to strengthen consumer
protection. In particular, we will focus this year on the issue of

T
he Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will train its focus on mis-selling, especially of insurance products, he said.
mis-selling of insurance products by banks and also Customers have been complaining against banks for mis-
see whether new regulations selling of policies of life insurance.
are needed for protection of banking Dr Rajan said that RBI will work to
customers, outgoing RBI governor enhance grievance redress procedures
Raghuram Rajan said, reports IANS. within the financial institutions and, if
Referring to the Charter of Customer the customer is still unsatisfied, through
Rights brought out by RBI in 2015, the RBIs ombudsman scheme. Rajan said
which banks had been asked to follow the grievane redressal mechanism in the
in dealing with customers, Dr Rajan rural areas as well for weaker sections of
said that banks were asked to appoint the society will be strengthened.
an internal ombudsman to monitor

Moneylife

MONEYLIFE
Quiz no

241
QUIZ Answer
Correctly! Win
Another quiz to tease your brain. The answers are in a personalised
sed
this very issue. The winner will be chosen by a lucky clock with an Raykumar Panyam

draw from correct entries and answers published in Mutual Fund investmentnt
investments are quote!
the issue dated 27th October. Send in your answers to subject to market risks,
read all scheme related
quiz@moneylife.in with the Quiz no., name, address & documents carefully.
telephone number before 5 October 2016.

1. What was the fund management charge when the National 5. Which sporting activity was Ramanathan Krishnan famous
Pension System was launched for the public in 2009? for in the 20th century?
a. 0.01% b. 0.0009% a. Cricket b. Tennis
c. 0.25% d. 0.0275% c. Baseball d. Soccer

2. For debt mutual fund schemes, what is the estimated 6. Which European country had its base in Hugli in Bengal,
maximum expense ratio? according to Sanjeev Sanyal?
a. 1.75% b. 2.75% a. England b. France
c. 2.50% d. 3.00% c. Portugal d. Germany

3. What is the total maximum tax rebate under Section 80C of 7. In 2011, who was the president of the Arizona State
the Income Tax Act for savers in the National Pension University in USA?
System? a. Michael Crow b. Cornelius M Kerwin
a. Rs2 lakh b. Rs2.5 lakh c. Dr Bjrn Kjerfve d. Dr Dale T Knobel
c. Rs3.00 lakhd. Rs4.00 lakh
8. What was the coupon rate of Reliance JIO Infocomms fixed-
4. Who started the Flags of Honour Foundation? income instruments with the maturity date of 8 July 2021?
a. Sandeep Unnikrishnan b. Abdul Hameed a. 9.01% b. 9.32%
c. Rajeev Chandrashekar d. Capt Saurabh Kalia c. 9.50% d. 9.65%

In all, 11 readers got all the answers right last time.


The winner of Quiz-239 is Raykumar Panyam from The answers to Moneylife Quiz-239 are: 1- d. 20%-50%
Hyderabad. Congrats! You win a personalised clock 2- b. 11.75% 3- b. three 4- a. 214 5- c. 1964 6- b. December
with an investment quote! 2015 7- c. 2010 8- c. University of California-Santa Barbara

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 14

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Kotak sees no pockets of value in the current market ML FOUNDATION


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CROSSHAIRs
Exclusive news, the stories behind the
headlines and the truth between the
lines by Sucheta Dalal

Financial Crimes: Catch the Countless Small


Fish Too

O
n 6th September, the Supreme Court of India The apex courts tough stance is heartening for
refused to permit Ravi Ruia, promoter of investors and creditors. Promoters of a slew of Indian
the giant Essar group of companies to travel companies can remain overseas indefinitely because
abroad. Heres what a bench of Justices JS Khehar they have plenty of funds stashed abroad. These funds
and Arun Mishra said while rejecting his plea. We have been siphoned out of their Indian businesses or
have allowed a person to go abroad but he never came raised from money circulation schemes that robbed the
back. He was no less big than you in monetary terms. rich and poor alike. The Pearls Agro Tech Corporation
We dont want to take chances now. We are now once (PACL), which has been asked by the market regulator
bitten twice shy. We are not going to give liberty to to refund a stupendous Rs49,000 crore, has large assets
anyone. in Australia and a few other countries. The Sahara
group, built on alleged investments by Indias poorest
people, has assets in the form of luxury hotels around
the world including Macedonia. Subrata Roys wife and
son are even understood to have acquired citizenship of
the Republic of Macedonia.
If this is the case with high-profile and flamboyant
businessmen, smaller industrialists with dubious track
records are not far behind in diverting funds to build
nest eggs abroad.
Investors faced with huge losses are ending up
playing sleuth and setting up groups or associations to
track the flow of funds, file cases, or merely support
one another, in an effort to recover their investment.
This has happened in the case of shady companies
like PACL and QNet as well as with smaller listed
companies where people have lost a lot of money. The
Sahara group is the only exception where no investor
Although the Court did not name anyone, the seems concerned at the fate of her investment, raising
immediate speculation was that the judges were another set of questions about who really invested in
referring to Vijay Mallya, the controversial UB group its schemes.
chairman and Member of Parliament who has failed to Often, such investor groups do manage to track the
return to India to face trial. fraudulent diversion of funds from listed entities; but

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 18


MONEYLIFE | 27 November 2014 | 14

Crosshair.indd 2 09-09-2016 17:48:26


their effort is, eventually, frustrated by the tediously recover money. One can understand investors being
slow investigation and judicial process. A good lazy and foolish and failing to read a prospectus.
example is that of Dr Datsons Lab, a little-known But isnt it time we, as a country, begin to act
pharma company that was allowed to run, what seems against public sector bankers who extended fresh
like, a money laundering and price manipulation loans to DDL without adequate monitoring, when
operation, right until 22 May 2015 when the two all- the disclosures in its offer documents proclaimed its
India stock exchanges, finally, suspended the shares. shady character?
This was a month after its bankers had obtained a The risk factors in the IPO document had clearly
court order putting the company into liquidation, had stated that it had negative cash flows at the time
taken possession of its registered office (which was of the issue, had placed no orders for plant &
owned by the promoter Dr Kannan K Vishwanath) and machinery and the object for which funds were
invoked 100% of the promoters shareholding which raised was not appraised by any bank or institution.
was pledged with banks. And, yet, this company had Worse, many of its trademarks were also not
managed to fool people with a massive investment registered in the companys name but were held by
from foreign institutional investors (who held 56% of the promoter. Why would Bank of Baroda lend to
its equity at one time) and winning a series of awards this company after project appraisal officers had
for good governance, innovation, transformation and read the stinking prospectus? The answer is obvious;
leadership! but is anyone asking questions?
Dr Datsons Lab (DDL) is a fit case for investigation Has the tax department sent any notices at all to
under the draconian Prevention of Money Laundering Dr Kannan Vishwanath under the PMLA or
Act (PMLA); but we see no sign of any such action. obtained information that is being shared by its
Instead, a group of investors continues to ferret out investors about his brand new Hong Kong-based
information about the promoters latest antics and company called Windsonn Exim Ltd? This company
write to the government pleading for action. claims to hold the same 15 patents that once
In a letter to the finance belonged to a wholly-owned
minister, an investor, Lt subsidiary called Fair Success
Commander Joginder Pal The risk factors in the IPO HK Ltd which was acquired
Kanaujia, has listed seven frauds document had clearly stated by Dr Datsons Lab after fund
by DDLs former promoter raising.
that it had negative cash
Dr Kannan Vishwanath. He Which lender or government
has painstakingly compiled
flows, had placed no orders agency will be authorised to
this information, along with a for plant & machinery and the secure overseas assets of DDL
group of investors, over the past object for which funds were such as the following wholly-
15 months. Each instance of raised was not appraised. Why owned subsidiaries --Eros
fraud, mentioned in the letter, is would Bank of Baroda lend to Pharmachem Pte (Singapore),
accompanied by some evidence this company? The answer is Aanj Pharmalabs Limited Fze
in the form of court judgements, obvious; but is anyone asking (Dubai), Dr Datsons Labs
patent registration details, or questions? Limited (UK) and Fair Success
mirror companies set up by the (HK) Limited? Of these, Fair
promoter (mirror companies are Success apparently has Rs80
entities with similar names set up in different countries crore in its bank account.
to obfuscate facts and fool regulators and investigation Unless this government makes a break from the
agencies). Lt Commander Kanaujia has sought an past and holds public sector bankers accountable for
investigation by the Central Bureau of Investigation corrupt and collusive lending, the mountain of bad
(CBI) to bring back Rs250 crore of DDL investors loans, which are eventually paid by the taxpayer,
money which he believes was siphoned off to Hong will continue to mount. When large lenders collude
Kong through a laundering operation. Here are some with fraudulent promoters and allow them to strip
interesting questions raised by the letter. cash and assets from the company, they also deal a
When DDL was first listed on the bourses, its IPO crippling blow to investors and unsecured creditors.
(initial public offer) document had disclosed that a This has been going on for the past several decades;
part of the issue proceeds would be used to repay unfortunately, there is no sign that things will change
its bankers, State Bank of India and Shamrao Vithal even under this government. A focus on a few big
Bank, and Rs10 crore of unsecured loans from names like Mr Mallya and Mr Ruia only ensures
directors. It now turns out that a consortium of that hundreds of such cases fly below the radars of
bankers, led by Bank of Baroda, had gone ahead multiple investigative agencies tasked to bring financial
and funded its plants which are now being sold to criminals to book.

19 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Crosshair.indd 3 09-09-2016 17:48:56


DIFFERENT STROKES SUCHETA DALAL

SEBI Ensures No PMS


Loophole for Insider Trading

A
quarter century ago, when the capital market pay crores of rupees as fine, in two cases of front-running.
watchdog had just come into existence but there That insider trading remains rampant in India is also
were no insider trading regulations, we used to evident from stock price charts before and after many
joke that 90% of all trading in the stock market is based major corporate announcements. Moneylife has frequently
only on inside information. Even the last guy getting a reported this; but there is rarely any action, when the
hot tip on a long train commute to the Bombay Stock violation is so widespread. Here are just a few links to our
Exchange (BSE) thought he knew something that others reports on NR Narayana Murthys comeback to Infosys
didnt. Even after the Securities & Exchange Board of (http://tinyurl.com/zqfc5uy), Insider trading in Astrazeneca
India (SEBI) got its statutory teeth, I used to hear about Pharma (http://tinyurl.com/zo5as8e), ING Vysya (http://
this secretive group of chief financial officers (CFOs) of tinyurl.com/hr2rbpu ), Ranbaxy (http://tinyurl.com/
companies who met regularly hdpcqzs), Geometric Software
at a Mumbai five-star hotel to (http://tinyurl.com/jb7flq8),
exchange inside information. Tata Motors (http://tinyurl.com/
In the past two decades, z3dsax3), among the many we
the rich and powerful have have reported.
occasionally been nailed for These anecdotes come to
insider trading; but, more often mind in the context a recent
than not, they get away. During query by HDFC Bank to SEBI.
the many excesses of the United The Bank wanted to know
Progressive Alliance (UPA), a whether its employees, who
political columnist wrote a are in possession of unpublished
snippet about a Cabinet minister price sensitive information
texting key government decisions (UPSI) of the Bank or its
to a television journalist even clients and, hence, restricted
while the meeting was going on.
HDFC Bank wanted to know from trading in the securities
The Intelligence Bureau
whether its employees, having of these entities, could invest
(IB) reported the matter to price-sensitive information, their money in the stock market
government when it noticed could invest their money through discretionary portfolio
that the channel was breaking through discretionary portfolio management schemes (PMS)
news on decisions even before management schemes and be where the client does not dictate
the Cabinet meeting had ended. immune from insider trading rules the fund managers investment
According to the column, the decisions.
minister was so powerful that Essentially, the Bank wanted
nobody dared to confront him; instead, it was decided to know whether its executives could avoid allegations of
to install jammers outside the Cabinet meeting rooms to violative insider trading, if the portfolio manager bought or
prevent information leaking out. I later learnt that the sold securities of companies where they had UPSI at a time
ministers cohorts tracked the channel in the knowledge when the trading window was closed for insiders. These
that reports from that particular journalist were authentic executives, it said, would furnish declarations that they
and probably traded on the information. have no influence on the stock selection of the portfolio
In more recent times, Dilip Pendse, managing director of manager.
Tata Finance, was found guilty of insider trading in 2014, SEBIs informal guidance was an unambiguously
after a long legal battle. The company secretary of Jagran negative. It, correctly, quoted SEBIs insider trading
Prakashan and his wife were found guilty of profiting to regulation (4)(1) to say that bankers could not escape the
the tune of Rs10.4 crore from inside information, in 2009. application of insider trading regulations even if they were
Even the venerable HDFC Mutual Fund was ordered to clients of a portfolio management scheme. SEBI should

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 20

DIFFERENT STROKES.indd 2 09-09-2016 17:53:39


DIFFERENT STROKES SUCHETA DALAL

be congratulated for such an unambiguous guidance and whom he reportedly had an intimate relationship. That
probably seeing through the nice big loophole that would is the case which also implicated Raj Rajarathnam of
open up in the difficult-to-prove insider trading regulations. Galleon Funds, who is serving out a long prison sentence.
It must be noted that a SEBI committee, set up to SEBIs own investigations have also shown that some
update the insider trading regulations, had managed to foreign institutional investors are individual portfolios
insert precisely such an exception to exclude discretionary for the super-rich brought in disguised as an institution.
portfolio managers decisions, if they were made without What would stop a group of executives from ensuring that
reference to the client (unless circumstantial evidence a discretionary PMS is actually limited to a buddy-group?
proved a nexus between the portfolio manager and The possibilities of misuse are endless and SEBI hardly has
investor). SEBI seems to have shown rare wisdom by the capability, or the manpower, to track it.
dropping this exception even while announcing the new Let us also not forget that the PMS business in India
insider trading rules. Hence, HDFC Banks subsequent is run by bankers, brokers or mutual funds, who operate
request for clarity. in a fairly incestuous set-up. They have constant dealings
Now, consider what would happen if SEBI had accepted with one another (socially and professionally), making it
the draft regulations or offered a different guidance to even more difficult to prove any charge of insider trading,
HDFC Banks query. Insider unless there is a sting operation
trading is already extremely of sorts.
difficult to prove anywhere in the SEBIs guidance has put the
world, including countries where burden of following the letter
regulators can deploy money and spirit of its regulations
and technology and have the squarely on corporate insiders.
power to conduct wiretaps and This is how it should be. Yes, it
to offer plea-bargains that allow is possible that senior corporate
them to let off the small fish to executives and top bankers will
go after the big insider traders. not be able to avail the services
Moreover, all the examples cited of a discretionary portfolio
above, and scores of other cases manager; but so what? These
investigated by SEBI, show that are financially savvy individuals
those in powerful and privileged (minimum investment in a PMS
positions, who have access to is Rs25 lakh) who are more than
UPSI, are not above misusing SEBIs guidance to HDFC Bank has capable of managing their own
it for some illegal profiteering. put the burden of following the portfolio. Most of them are
Had SEBI allowed
letter and spirit of its regulations people who earn eight-figure
discretionary portfolio salaries and, probably, have
management to remain out of
squarely on corporate insiders. stock options whose value runs
the purview of insider trading This is how it should be into nine and ten digits. They
rules, it would inflict a nearly are smarter than the average
impossible burden on itself of proving insider trading portfolio manager and the small restriction on their
through circumstantial evidence alone. Even if it were to investment options is not something that should make
cobble together a reasonable case, everyone accused of our hearts bleed in sympathy, given the enormous scope
insider trading would quote SEBIs informal guidance, to of misuse.
ensure that the watchdog is held to extremely strict proof At a time when retail investors are slowly regaining
that the accused had influenced the portfolio managers confidence in the capital market mainly by routing
investment decision. investments through mutual funds, SEBI needs to ensure
Knowing how hard that will be, any exception to that it provides a fair and level playing field to investors,
SEBIs insider trading regulations, or any guidance other not one which allows powerful corporate insiders to get
than the one it gave HDFC Bank, would open the doors a near carte blanche by routing trades through a portfolio
for misuse of PMS by all unscrupulous insiders. This is not manager.
an imaginary situation. One of the most famous insider
trading cases is that of Robert Moffat, a former IBM Sucheta Dalal is the managing editor of Moneylife. She was
executive who admitted to providing inside information awarded the Padma Shri in 2006 for her outstanding contribution
to Danielle Chiesi, a consultant of Newcastle Funds with to journalism. She can be reached at sucheta@moneylife.in

21 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

DIFFERENT STROKES.indd 3 09-09-2016 17:54:11


MUTUAL FUNDS POINTERS

Why Equity Mutual Funds May Do


Better than NPS
M
any savers are lured by the National Pension (government bonds), Asset Class C (corporate bonds)
System (NPS) because of the attractive tax and Asset Class E (equity). Under each category, they
rebates available. Apart from the Rs1.50 lakh can choose one out of seven schemes which are managed
rebate under Section 80C, savers can invest an additional by different pension fund managers. The investment by
Rs50,000 in NPS, taking the total rebate up to Rs2 lakh. a subscriber in this Asset Class E would be subject to a
Additionally, in the Finance Act 2016, it was announced cap of 50%. Under this category, the investment universe
that 40% of the NPS corpus withdrawn at retirement will of the pension fund manager is restricted to listed shares
be tax-exempt. Along with these benefits, the NPS boasts (on the National Stock Exchange or the Bombay Stock
an extremely low investment management fee. While low Exchange) on which derivatives are available or which
cost is certainly a good thing, but are the portfolios of NPS are part of the BSE Sensex or Nifty 50 Index. Thus, the
optimally managed? We compare the performance of NPS portfolio will consist of mainly large- and mega-cap stocks
with mutual fund schemes. that are actively traded.
When NPS was launched for the public in 2009, the We compared the performance of the five NPS Asset
fund management charge was negligible at 0.0009% per Class E schemes to 87 equity diversified mutual fund schemes
year. In 2012, the Pension (corpus above Rs500 crore).
Fund Regulatory and We split the equity schemes
Development Authority based on their market-cap
(PFRDA) raised fund orientation. Thus, we had
management charges for 28 large-cap, 33 multi-cap
the private sector to 0.25% and 26 mid-cap schemes.
of assets under management We picked the performance
(AUM), following demands of NPS Tier-I schemes from
from pension fund managers. the annual report 2015-16
Despite the comparatively of the NPS Trust. As the
low costs, savers were not performance of the schemes
attracted. In 2015, PFRDA, was available financial
once again, slashed the fund year-wise, we compared the
management fee to 0.01% returns to the equity MF
to make NPS look attractive schemes accordingly.
to the public. In the one-year periods, the NPS equity schemes
Currently, about 0.0275%pa (per annum) will be have done well in periods like FY10-11 and FY12-13.
deducted from the NAV as charges towards investment The performance has been much better than the average
management (0.01%), asset servicing charge (0.0075%) performance of equity funds. At the same time, it is
and trust management charge (0.01%). Equity mutual fund important to note that these were volatile periods when
schemes can charge nearly 3% as maximum expense ratio. the market was mainly directionless. Large-cap stocks
For debt mutual fund schemes, the maximum expense ratio tend to do better in such periods. Hence, these schemes
can touch 2.75%. have outperformed.
Keeping these costs in mind, if NPS and equity mutual If we take a look at most other periods, NPS equity
fund schemes deliver returns in line with the market schemes have failed to hold their ground. In the periods
benchmarks, NPS will be a clear winner. But, as we have between 2013 and 2015, when the markets rallied, equity
seen in the past, most well-managed mutual fund schemes MF schemes outperformed NPS schemes by a significant
have consistently beaten their benchmarks. Therefore, margin. Even in periods when the market moved lower,
post-costs, investing in good mutual fund schemes would schemes of the NPS were not able to curb their downside
have worked out to be a better proposition than NPS. losses. Equity MF schemes, due to their diversified portfolio,
Under NPS, subscribers can choose to allocate their were able to reduce the downside risk.
investment over three categories of schemesAsset Class G Due to these reasons, we have seen all categories of

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 22

Fund Pointer.indd 2 09-09-2016 17:55:58


MUTUAL FUNDS POINTERS

Choose Wisely
NPS Scheme - Asset Class E FY10-11 FY11-12 FY12-13 FY13-14 FY14-15 FY15-16 FY10-15* FY11-16*
ICICI Prudential Pension Funds 11.83% -7.75% 9.05% 21.18% 28.65% -7.37% 11.89% 7.75%
Kotak Mahindra Pension Fund 11.89% -10.23% 11.52% 19.48% 28.41% -6.88% 11.44% 7.42%
Reliance Capital Pension Fund 10.77% -10.49% 7.75% 20.20% 28.30% -7.26% 10.50% 6.64%
SBI Pension Funds 8.05% -7.18% 8.24% 20.68% 28.37% -7.16% 10.96% 7.64%
UTI Retirement Solutions 8.35% -10.58% 7.42% 21.29% 29.74% -6.72% 10.37% 7.11%
Top 10 Large-cap MF 16.07% -1.81% 10.87% 24.04% 46.81% -4.70% 18.14% 13.57%
Top 10 Multi-cap MF 13.31% 0.31% 11.76% 25.33% 60.63% -3.10% 20.66% 16.94%
Top 10 Mid-cap MF 11.22% 5.13% 12.85% 32.47% 86.22% -0.88% 26.62% 23.74%
Average Large-cap MF 10.66% -5.04% 6.65% 19.42% 39.78% -7.76% 13.35% 9.29%
Average Multi-cap MF 8.61% -4.67% 6.79% 20.49% 48.42% -6.80% 14.61% 11.15%
Average Mid-cap MF 6.07% -0.70% 7.38% 26.17% 72.28% -4.81% 19.71% 17.15%
Bottom 10 Large-cap MF 4.69% -8.21% 2.24% 14.60% 32.57% -10.51% 8.34% 4.99%
Bottom 10 Multi-cap MF 3.05% -8.72% 1.35% 15.73% 35.65% -10.55% 8.40% 5.37%
Bottom 10 Mid-cap MF 0.60% -6.23% 2.21% 19.50% 59.14% -9.11% 12.89% 10.62%
Index

Nifty 50 10.30% -9.11% 7.33% 17.58% 26.42% -9.87% 9.92% 5.84%


* Annualised returns

equity MF schemes outperform NPS over the five-year managers were able to deliver a return in excess of 14%.
periods. While the performance of NPS schemes is much Due to the recent performance, the annualised return
better than that of the worst equity MF schemes, the over the past three-year and five-year periods looks quite
performance trailed the average performance of the equity attractive. When we examined the performance in each of
funds by a significant margin in both the periods considered. the past six financial years, the returns have varied from
There is no dearth of choice when it comes to selecting under 1% to over 13%. Similarly, schemes that invested
an equity MF scheme. However, if you are able to in corporate debt, too, did extremely well over the past
select a few schemes, which are well managed and have year, returning about 12% each. However, on checking
performed consistently in the past, your selection should the performance over the past six years, the returns have
outperform the average mutual fund scheme. If a scheme varied between 6% and 12%.
underperforms, you can always switch your investment to As subscribers need to stay invested in NPS till retirement,
a better performing scheme. they should not get carried away by the performance over
In NPS, too, a switch among fund managers is possible the past two years. The returns may work out to be much
by filling out a form. The switch under NPS is restricted to lower than their recent performance. Apart from this, as
once a year; but this limit should not be an issue. If fact, we have highlighted before, the allocation to equity is
you may not even feel the need to switch under NPS as the not only low, being capped at 50%, the investment of the
performance of the various schemes is almost the same. fund managers is restricted to only large-caps. Investors
This is not surprising, as they follow the same investment lose on the return potential of investing in a diversified
mandate and the expenses are a bare minimum. portfolio of stocks.
In another article published on the blog of Moneylife Despite several initiatives to make NPS attractive for
Advisory Services (http://goo.gl/psaSZ2), we highlighted savers, NPS is still riddled with issues which make it a flawed
how the debt schemes (Class C & G) of NPS, which invest choice for the discerning investor. Issues related to lack of
in corporate bonds and government securities, returned clarity on taxation on maturity, mandatory investment in
between 11%-15% over the year ended 29 July 2016. an annuity product and low liquidity are a deterrent for
Over the past year, schemes that invested in government investors. Subscribers have better retirement options in the
securities did extremely well, as the benchmark G-Sec yield form of actively managed mutual funds. To get tax benefit,
fell by over 50bps (basis points), from around 7.80% in invest in equity-linked savings schemes (ELSSs) or mutual
July 2015 to 7.10% on 29 July 2016. All pension fund fund retirement plans. Jason Monteiro

23 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Fund Pointer.indd 3 09-09-2016 17:56:46


MUTUAL FUNDS FUND FACTS

Best & Worst Mutual Fund Schemes


The best# three and the worst three schemes over the past three years ranked by their
quarterly rolling returns. Premium members get access to a more refined list of top
schemes by logging in to Moneylife Advisory - savers.moneylife.in

Equity Schemes (Quarterly Rolling Returns)


Large Cap (Category Avg: 5.17%, Launch Corpus Avg. Quarterly 1-Year 3-Years** Exp
Sensex: 3.49%) Date (Rs Crore)* Rolling Returns Ratio
Mirae Asset India Opportunities 04-Apr-08 2,191 6.61% 18.72% 29.19% 2.36%
HSBC India Opportunities 24-Feb-04 510 6.56% 18.54% 28.92% 2.45%
Reliance Vision 08-Oct-95 3,138 6.49% 12.26% 28.61% 2.04%
HDFC Large Cap 18-Feb-94 1,187 3.56% 13.04% 15.03% 2.21%
Sundaram Growth 24-Apr-97 176 3.17% 6.23% 13.29% 2.92%
UTI Wealth B uilder 17-Dec-08 420 2.77% 10.94% 11.55% 2.66%
Multi-cap (Category Avg: 6.11%, BSE 200: 4.60%)
L&T India Value 08-Jan-10 1,532 8.13% 17.33% 36.73% 2.18%
ICICI Prudential Value Discovery 16-Aug-04 13,883 8.04% 14.86% 36.27% 2.25%
Tata Equity P/E 29-Jun-04 658 7.94% 26.76% 35.73% 2.68%
Peerless Equity 28-Sep-11 100 4.45% 17.10% 19.03% 3.00%
LIC MF Equity 15-Apr-98 344 4.32% 8.02% 18.44% 2.82%
Union KBC Equity 10-Jun-11 172 4.21% 11.28% 17.92% 3.09%
Mid-and Small-cap (Category Avg: 8.94%, Nifty Midcap 100: 7.16%)
DSP BlackRock Micro Cap 14-Jun-07 3,399 11.48% 26.48% 54.45% 2.53%
Reliance Small Cap 16-Sep-10 2,335 10.70% 21.60% 50.19% 2.08%
Canara Robeco Emerging Equities 11-Mar-05 1,205 10.08% 19.82% 46.83% 2.31%
SBI Emerging Business 17-Sep-04 1,795 6.79% 18.94% 30.06% 2.12%
HDFC Small and Mid Cap 03-Apr-08 915 6.50% 21.93% 28.63% 2.42%
IDFC Sterling Equity 07-Mar-08 1,350 6.39% 12.31% 28.12% 2.18%

Debt Schemes
Income (Category Avg: 2.48%, Crisil Composite Bond: 2.78%)
ICICI Prudential Long Term Plan 20-Jan-10 1,011 3.17% 12.81% 13.27% 1.22%
Birla Sun Life Dynamic Bond 24-Sep-04 13,022 2.99% 13.15% 12.52% 1.63%
Sundaram Flexible - Flexible Income 30-Dec-04 679 2.87% 10.94% 11.99% 0.83%
Union KBC Dynamic Bond 13-Feb-12 315 2.20% 9.61% 9.10% 1.92%
L&T Triple Ace B ond 31-Mar-97 872 2.17% 10.18% 8.98% 1.49%
Invesco India Bank Debt 29-Dec-12 473 1.93% 6.78% 7.93% 0.65%
Liquid (Category Avg: 2.10%, Crisil Liquid Index: 2.13%)
Escorts Liquid Plan 03-Oct-05 230 2.21% 8.38% 9.13% 0.50%
Birla Sun Life Cash Plus 29-Mar-04 31,846 2.13% 8.00% 8.80% 0.36%
Indiabulls Liquid 25-Oct-11 3,741 2.13% 8.13% 8.79% 0.38%
Mirae Asset Cash Management 12-Jan-09 181 1.98% 7.26% 8.16% 0.26%
Reliance Liquid - Cash Plan 07-Dec-01 6,759 1.94% 7.18% 8.00% 1.08%
L&T Cash 27-Nov-06 591 1.88% 6.85% 7.72% 0.79%
# Please note the table represents a comparative performance of mutual fund schemes over a three-year period and it is not a recommendation; * Latest quarter average assets
under management; We have only considered schemes having a corpus above Rs100 crore. **Annually compounded

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 24

Fund Facts.indd 2 07-09-2016 20:10:49


TAX/ FIXED INCOME

DHFL and Other Taxable Bond Issues

S
everal taxable bond issues 150 basis points (bps) more than bracket could consider highly
will hit the market in absence bank fixed deposits (FD) but carry rated (prefer AAA rating) secured
of tax-free bonds. The NCD higher risk than FDs of scheduled redeemable taxable bonds for small
(non-convertible debenture) issue commercial banks. Currently, banks amount but avoid any hybrid debt
of Dewan Housing Finance Ltd offer FD rates of 7.25% to 7.75% instrument. Investors in 20%+
opened on 29th August and closed for one to three years term. Longer- tax bracket could consider buying
in a day on 30th August. It offered term FDs, of over three years, may tax-free bonds from the secondary
interest rates of up to 9.25% for give lower rate of 7% to 7.5%. market through stockbrokers.
84 months, 9.15% for 60 months You have to be aware of the kind For long-term investors, buying
and 9.10% for 36 months. Rating is of bonds you invest in as there are debt mutual funds with a good
CARE AAA and BWR AAA rating hybrid debt instruments available track record is a better option due
by Brickwork. Demat and physical in the market. Recently, Dhanlaxmi to indexation benefits if they hold
options are available. There is the investment for more than
no TDS (tax deducted at source), three years. Long-term capital
if applied through demat route. gains (LTCG) tax for debt mutual
Allotment was on a first-come- funds is 20.6% with indexation.
first-served basis. Holding bonds for over one year
Indiabulls Housing Finance, is taxable at LTCG which is
Srei Infrastructure Fin and 10.3% without indexation; no
several others will offer taxable indexation feature is available.
bonds to investors in the next The 10-year benchmark rate is
few months. Recently, Edelweiss Bank was the first entity to default hovering close to 7%; its at a seven-
Housing Finance hit the market on subordinated upper tier-II bonds year low since 2009 when it saw
with an offer of secured redeemable which carry equity-related risks levels of 7.15%. Appointment of
NCDs worth Rs500 crore with due to payment linked to financial the new Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
interest rates of up to 10% for 10 health of the entity. The Banks governor Urjit Patel has reduced
years, 9.75% for five years and capital ratio dropped below the the prospects of interest rate cuts in
9.50% for three years. minimum regulatory requirement. the near future which may be good
Taxable bonds can offer 100- Those in zero or 10% tax news for bond and FD investors.

G-Sec and Bond Yields Flat Issuer Maturity Next Last Yield ISIN Rating
Date Coupon (%)

T he 10-year benchmark G-Sec


yield, which sets the tone of the
fixed-income market, has increased
Dewan Housing 9.10%
Reliance JIO Infocomm
16 Aug-19 16 Aug-17 9.20 INE202B07HQ0 CARE AAA
CRISIL AAA
08 Jul-21 10 Jul-17 7.93 INE110L07070
9.32% (unsecured)
LIC Hsg Fin 8.61% 11 Dec-19 11 Dec-16 7.89 INE115A07GK1 CRISIL AAA

G-Sec Maturity Yield to NSE data as of last trade date of 2 September 2016
Date Maturity M & M Financial Serv 8.51% 22 Jun-18 22 Jun-17 7.99 INE774D07PB9 IND AAA/Stable
01 December 2044 7.28 LIC Hsg Fin 9.24% 30 Jun-19 30 Jun-17 7.90 INE115A07FV0 CRISIL AAA
10 November 2033 7.27 HDFC 8.59% 14 Jun-19 14 Jun-17 7.87 INE001A07OM3 CRISIL AAA
02 June 2028 7.26
BSE data as of last trade date of 2 September 2016
G-Sec yields on 2 September 2016

marginally, by one basis point (bps), on 2nd September. Bond yields are flat. to 8.10% for AAA rated bonds and
in the last fortnight to end at 7.11% You can expect to get yields of 7.90% higher for lower rated ones.

25 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Fixed Income.indd 1 09-09-2016 17:57:37


SMART MONEY R BALAKRISHNAN

It Is Your Money, Your Worry

T
he debate about investor education is perhaps getting ripped off or some corporate mis-governance, and
the most enduring one and will continue to hold they withdraw into a shell.
centre stage in personal finance, forever. The human Is it better to be financially literate and adopt a DIY
mind is closed, when it comes to things like trust, financial (do-it-yourself) approach or fully trust someone to be our
education, numeracy and risk evaluation. It is closed in the financial adviser? I doubt, if any one of us can ever become
sense that we either refuse to address it or think that we financially literate in the fullest sense. The financial world is
know everything and feel we know nothing and cannot changing fast. New things are coming into the marketplace
learn in this lifetime. A lot of people are, nowadays, on every day and even to someone in the industry; there
social media. From those conversations, I notice that there will be new things that could be out of ones knowledge.
is a lot of scepticism about financial advisers. Not all of Investors are, of course, still reluctant to pay reasonably
it is justified. There are good ones and there are not-so- for advice. They cant be blamed much. There are very
good ones. And there are a few rotten apples, probably the few experienced persons who want to be advisers.
same as in every This has
profession. With created an
them around, assembly line of
either the investor inexperienced
vanishes or his greenhorns selling
savings do. advice. They do
Do not not get paid by
trust all men, the consumer (the
but trust men of investor). They
worth; the former sell products
course is silly, the where they are
latter a mark of paid by the
prudence, wrote producer. This,
Democritus, in turn, leads
philosopher to mis-selling.
(460BC370BC). Today, a private
Men of worth sector bank keeps
has a far bigger stiff targets for
meaning than just fee-based or
pure worth measured in material terms. It is amazing that advisory income for its sales or relationship managers
while we do not want to take any effort to understand (RMs). This is an ever-increasing number. This, in turn,
the dynamics of investing in financial investments, all of makes the employee sell wrong products to you. Before
us seem to be born experts while investing in real estate the excreta hit the ceiling, the RM is either transferred
or gold. We seem to just spend / invest in it and forget it. (a deliberate strategy played by bankers to silence the
For most middle-class individuals, these two assets (apart customers) or the person quits and joins another bank.
from life insurance and bank fixed deposits) will, perhaps, This cycle is hard to break and will, probably, keep getting
be the single biggest investment ever done. Most will not progressively worse. Regulators do not understand or
measure this in financial terms. It becomes an emotional simply feign ignorance. The other option seems even
investment decision involving the largest single-ticket spend more daunting. Getting financially literate seems too
in their lifetime. After taking such huge decisions, many complicated.
get paralysis when it comes to investing in the financial But do you have a choice? Get out of this inertia or the
markets. There is a reluctance to leave the comfort zone of feeling of helplessness. Arm yourselves with a few tools
bank deposits. Add to that some anecdote about someone that I will say is financial literacy. You should be aware

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 26

column_Balakrishnan.indd 2 07-09-2016 20:07:17


SMART MONEY R BALAKRISHNAN

of what to look for. Once that is done, you will be able 2. What is the nature of my investment? Is it repayable
to manage better. So let us start with the basics: on a fixed date? If so, what is the amount I get back?
A 360-degree View: We invest because we want a return Is there any periodic payback that is guaranteed or
that will beat inflation. If I keep my money under the written into the conditions of the investment? Or do I
pillow, it does not grow. Prices of almost everything keep have to depend on market conditions to get my value?
going up. So, I need to make sure that my savings can buy 3. Can the investment be liquidated at a short notice or
at a future date, at least the same thing that it can buy do I have to wait for a specific time? And, if so, do I
today. Inflation is generally higher than the interest rates suffer any penalty?
on bank deposits. Thus, by simply keeping it in a bank, 4. Who is going to repay me, on maturity? Am I comfortable
we are unlikely to cope with inflation. To overcome this, with that? Or is the repayment coming from market
we should either have plenty of money (far more than valuation where it could be subject to finding a buyer
what we need) in the bank or we should find something at that time?
that gives a better return. 5. Does the name (on which my investment risk is
Basic Numeracy: A lot of us never liked math in school concentrated) give me comfort? What is associated
because we were not taught well. Now, we are afraid with that name? Do some Googling.
of simple financial calculations. Our mobile phone 6. Am I getting at least three to four days to say yes or
has a calculator. However, when someone says that he no? If someone wants an immediate answer, the answer
will give you 10 times your investment in 30 years, it is NO.
sounds fabulous to you. One thing that one must learn is 7. Who can I talk to about the investment, for another
compound interest. It is not rocket science. You can use view? Is there a write-up in Moneylife or any other
something as simple as the Rule of 72 (number of years good financial publication about that investment?
multiplied by annual interest rate equals 72); it is a good Complex investments are best avoided and left to others.
weapon to have. Do not run away from this, because you Understanding an Excel sheet and returns calculations are
are probably doing a more complex job at work for 10 less important than a qualitative understanding of the
hours a day to earn your money. So note down basics like investment. I have not included investing in shares in
amount/s to invest, when and what returns are promised this article. That is a separate topic on which I have been
and over what time-frame. Today, you can get free financial writing and covering various angles.
calculators on the Internet and Google is a great friend. You spend a lot of time earning money. You save so that
So take your time to understand the proposition. If you you have something for the years when you stop earning.
cannot understand the proposition, say NO. NEVER Thus, financial literacy is YOUR responsibility. Depending
make a gunpoint decision when it comes to investment. on someone else for this is not the best approach. No one
Use a Checklist: Think methodically; for this, you need else is responsible for what happens to your money.
a checklist of questions that you must have answers to.
1. What is the duration of this investment? Can I spare
my money for this duration? The author can be reached at balakrishnanr@gmail.com

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I am not interested in honest & insightful advice on money matters

I never have any problems with banks, credit-cards or insurance companies

I always invest on the basis of tips from friends and brokers


For subscription offers
Finance bores me to tears that are a steal, look for
a form elsewhere in this
I would rather spend two years of knowledge on one evening of eating out
issue or our website at
I always buy from the newsstands www.moneylife.in

27 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

column_Balakrishnan.indd 3 07-09-2016 20:07:56


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MSSN GB (Insurance 1-3 ).indd 2 29-07-2016 16:40:37


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About MAS
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www.savers.moneylife.in

MSSN GB (Insurance 1-3 ).indd 3 29-07-2016 16:42:29


in accordance with the terms and
conditions of the Agreement entered
into with the insurer and complies
with the IRDAI (TPA-Health
Services) Regulations, 2016.

INSURANCE TRENDS HIR 2013 had stated that


TPA shall, in the correspondence
to the policyholder with respect
New products, regulations, features and options, to settlement/denial of the claims,
interpreted from your perspective state clearly the following...
The new regulations put the
onus on the insurers, which is a
R e g u l a t i o ns and stand-alone health insurers. good thing. They state: Where a
Until now, combi plans could be claim is denied or repudiated, the
Health Insurance a mix of a term plan and health
plan. Even though it is not good to
communication about the denial
or the repudiation shall be made
Regulations 2016 combine two products, the combi only by the Insurer by specifically
Decoded product was an option. The new
regulations open up combi plans to
stating the reasons for the denial
or repudiation, while necessarily

I nsurance Regulatory and


Development Authority of India
(IRDAI) has introduced Health
have any life (endowment, money-
back, whole-life, ULIP) and health
plan. The move should please life
referring to the corresponding
policy conditions.

Insurance Regulations (HIR), insurance industry; but, from the Benefit-based Products Can
2016, which replaces the 2013 consumer viewpoint, it is a step Have Cumulative Bonus
regulations. backwards. It is better to avoid Benefit-based products, like critical
combi plans, going forward. illness, personal accident, surgical
Pilot Products Can Bring benefits, etc, were not allowed
Innovation Limiting TPAs Role
General, or stand-alone, health The new regulations specify
insurance companies can launch that insurers and third party
pilot products which can cover administrators (TPAs) should put
innovative risks that are usually in place systems and procedures
avoided in regular mediclaim to identify, monitor and mitigate
products. This is especially true due frauds. HIR 2013 had stated that
to the lifelong renewal feature of TPA may handle claims admission
regular mediclaim products. Pilot and recommend to the insurer
products will have a one-year term, for the payment of the claim
but will run for five years. After settlement. This has been omitted
five years, the insurer can offer it in the new regulations; this is good cumulative bonus, until now.
as a regular product or withdraw news. The new regulations state the Now, such products will be able
it. If it is being withdrawn, the following: to offer cumulative bonus just like
insurance company will migrate Insurers shall ensure that the mediclaim policies; these are usually
(subject to portability conditions) TPAs are not carrying out the in the form of a certain percent
the customers of pilot policies to following activities as part of the of the sum insured for claims-free
its own existing product to offer agreement: i. Claim rejections/ years. It will help the policyholders
continuity benefit. Hopefully, there repudiations with respect to the to grow their sum insured over
will not be any issue for porting to health insurance policies; the years. But will insurers revise
the same insurers product. ii. Payments to the policyholders, the premium of the product to
claimants or the network providers; reduce their increased risks?
Beware of Combi Plans iii. Any services directly to the After all, fixed benefits products
Combi products may be promoted policyholder or insured or to any pay the predetermined benefits
by all life insurers, general insurers other person unless such service is irrespective of the expenses incurred

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 30

Insurance.indd 2 09-09-2016 18:00:33


INSURANCE TRENDS

by the policyholder; mediclaim party service (gym membership are they just on paper.
is an indemnity-based product discount, etc) or merchandise.
which only pays for the actual However, discounts and/or benefits Porting from Group, Retail
hospitalisation expenses. on diagnostic or pharmaceuticals or This was already there in HIR
consultation services of providers in 2013; but it is worth mentioning so
Customer Incentive for Good the network are permitted. that consumers are aware of it and
Health can benefit from it. General insurers
At the time of underwriting, Special Provisions for Senior and health insurers offering health
insurers can load the premium, Citizens, Really? covers specific to age groups such
based on the health condition of This is not new, but worth as maternity covers, children under
the customer. The new regulations mentioning. The premium charged family floater policies, students,
allow insurers to remove loading on for health insurance products etc, will have to offer an option
the premium at the time of renewal offered by Life Insurers, General to migrate to a suitable alternative
for an individual if there is an Insurers and Health Insurers available health insurance policy
improvement in the persons health. to senior citizens shall be fair, at the end of the specific exit age
It will be at discretion of the insurer justified, transparent and duly or at the time of withdrawal of the
and, hence, results will vary. At the disclosed upfront. The insured policy at the option exercised by the
time of renewal, the insurer cannot shall be informed in writing of covered lives by allowing suitable
ask the policyholder to go through any underwriting loading charged credits for all the previous policy
a medical examination, unless there as filed and approved under the years, provided the policy has been
is a request for higher sum insured. Product Filing Guidelines over and maintained without a break.
New regulations reward above the premium and specific Individual members, including
policyholders on the basis of consent of the policyholder for the family members covered under
preventive and wellness habits by such loadings shall be obtained any group health insurance policy
disclosing upfront such incentives before issuance of a policy. All of a general insurer or health
in the prospectus and the policy Life Insurers, General Insurers insurer, will have the right to
document. Insurers can offer and Health insurers and TPAs, as migrate from such a group policy
rewards in the form of discounted the case may be, shall establish a to an individual health insurance
rates for outpatient consultations separate channel to address the policy or a family floater policy
and health check-ups. A discount health insurance related claims with the same insurer. Thereafter,
on renewal premium is also and grievances of senior citizens. he/she shall be accorded the right to
allowed. No discount, however, IRDAI needs to verify if all the port to another insurer (subject to
will be provided on any third- quoted guidelines really work or underwriting).

Fine Print short, the regulator wants insurers


to invest in companies with a
procedure (MIP) notifiable which
can bring it under the ambit
good dividend track record. of IRDAI. There is a need to
Insurers Equity Investments stop misuse of the treatment,

I RDAI wants insurance


companies to tighten equity
investments. Insurers can invest
Bariatric Procedures

C overage for bariatric surgery


is dependent on the insurance
with proper guidelines from the
regulatory authorities. Surgeons
from the Obesity and Metabolic
in shares of any listed company, company as there are no clear Surgery Society of India and All
where at least 10% dividend guidelines. Companies that cover India Association for Advancing
has been paid for at least two it will have own evaluation and Research in Obesity have
consecutive years, under the allow on a case-to-case basis. approached the Indian Council
approved investment category. With the alarming rise in bariatric of Medical Research (ICMR)
The existing norm for equity surgeries in India, there is need for guidelines to make the MIP
investment was 4% in the past for proper guidelines and to notifiable; this can help mediclaim
eight out of the nine years. In make the medical intervention policyholders.

31 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Insurance.indd 3 09-09-2016 18:01:34


COVER STORY
STOCKS:

HIGHER
RETURN
LOWER
RISK
Investors look to earn the highest return with the lowest amount of risk.
However, this is easier said than done. Can we pick a portfolio of stocks with the
best risk-reward profile and outperform the market? Jason Monteiro back-tests
investing in stocks, based on their risk measures such as alpha, beta and standard
deviation. The results are quite encouraging

M
ost individuals are risk-averse, when rewarded with a higher yield. This is simply referred to
it comes to investment decisions. This the risk-reward ratio used to compare an investments
is one of the main reasons for many expected return to the risk taken to get those returns. But
preferring to stick with bank deposits can the same principle be successfully applied to stocks?
rather than investing in equity for In this Cover Story, we examine the ways to measure and
the long term. But those looking for long-term wealth manage risk in making stock investment decisions.
creation have to consider stocks and equity funds. And, To achieve a higher return over the long term, we
for that, they must understand the risks they take, to will have to accept some amount of short-term volatility.
make better decisions. The basic principle of most This volatility can be compared to other securities or to
investments is that, the more calculated risk you take, a benchmark, like the Sensex, to arrive at the risk taken.
the higher will be the chance of your returns. In the How do we quantify risk? For this, some knowledge of
corporate bond market, this principle is clearly evident. basic statistics is needed.
The yield of low-rated securities is higher than that of One of the most common measures of risk is standard
securities which command a better credit rating. The risk deviation. This calculates the deviation in returns from
of default is higher in the lower-rated securities; hence, the mean. In other words, risk is linked to volatility. The
to compensate the additional risk taken, investors are more volatile a stock, the higher is its deviation from the

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 32

Cover Story.indd 2 09-09-2016 18:03:29


COVER STORY

1-year Sensex Returns: 5-year Sensex Returns:


High Volatility, High Gaines/Losses Low Volatility, Stable Gains/Losses
120% 50%
Sensex 1-year Rolling Returns
Sensex 5-year Rolling Returns
40%

60% 30%

20%

0% 10%

0%

-60% -10%
Jul-97 Apr-02 Jan-07 Oct-11 Jul-16 Jul-01 Apr-05 Jan-09 Oct-12 Jul-16

mean, and the more risky it is. Calculating volatility, or for the longer term.
standard deviation, from a series of data can be easily
done in an Excel sheet. Applying Risk-return to Stocks
Take, for example, the yearly returns of the Sensex. We have now seen how to measure risk, based on the
Over the 10-year period from 1 August 1996 to 31 July past returns of an asset, in this case the Sensex. But most
2016, the average yearly returns work out to 15.12%. people do not invest in an index. They invest in stocks.
The standard deviation of the yearly returns over the Stocks are more volatile than the index; therefore, we
period works out to 30.02%. Statistically, there is a 67% need to find out whether the returns of a stock come
chance that the expected returns will fall within the one from inherent volatility or some other factor. If a stock
standard deviation of the average of 15.12%, on either is giving a higher return because it is volatile, we are
side. This means that returns could be 15.12%+30.02%, simply being compensated to take a higher risk. Wealth
or 45.14% on the upside, and 15.12%-30.02%, or is created when the return is higher than the risk being
-14.90% on the downside. As you can see, the range is taken.
extremely high. What if we consider five-year returns? To find this out, we need to know another statistical
Over the five-year periods from 1 August 1996 measure. Those investing in stocks, or equity mutual
to 31 July 2016, the average five-year returns work funds, may have heard of the term beta. Beta is simply the
out to 12.94%. The standard deviation works out to volatility of a stock, or a portfolio of stocks, compared
12.16%. Clearly, volatility, as measured by the standard to the benchmark.
deviation, is much lower than that of the one-year Put simply, stocks with a beta of one means that the
periods considered. Based on one standard deviation stock price moves exactly how the market moves. If the
level, 67% of the time, returns would range between beta is less than one, the stock has smaller price swings
0.78% and 25%. compared to that of the index. If the beta is above one,
Clearly, investment over a one-year horizon on the stock price is more volatile than the index. A stock
the Sensex involves more risk; but average returns are with a beta of two goes up, or down, twice as much as
higher compared to those in the five-year periods. This the benchmark, in a given period of time.
is how risk and return are related. How can we use Suppose the beta of a stock is 2. If you invest in a
this information? For this, we can calculate the historic stock and it goes up by 20% while the Sensex has gone
Sharpe Ratio which, basically, is the average excess up by 10%, you might think that it is great performance,
return over the risk-free rate divided by the standard right? Not so fast. If the beta is 2, then the stock should
deviation of the excess return. go up by twice as much as the index, anyway.
For the one-year periods, the ratio works out to In this case, the index has gone up by 10% and
30.39%, while for the five-year periods, it is 57.07%. the stock has gone up by 20%; but that is what it was
This is called risk-adjusted return. Notice that the five- supposed to do because it has a beta of 2. A fund manager
year ratio is higher than the ratio for one-year period. holding this stock has not really generated great returns.
This is the math behind the standard advicean investor He has simply taken a higher risk by buying a more
looking for good returns with lower risk should invest volatile stock and has got compensated for it. Where is

33 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Cover Story.indd 3 09-09-2016 18:03:55


MONEYLIFE
ADVISORY
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Finances, Forever
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MSSN GB Ad_invest.indd 2 29-07-2016 16:12:48


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MSSN GB Ad_invest.indd 3 29-07-2016 16:14:07


COVER STORY

High Beta Stocks Underperform in Flat and Down Markets


120%

Nifty 500
60% Top Decile Beta Stocks 12-month Forward Return

0%

-60%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15

the skill then? How do we measure performance? For a shortlist of 405 stocks. To calculate the ratios, we use
this, we to know another measurealpha. Many would the Nifty 500 index as the benchmark and the yield of
have heard portfolio managers use this term often. Alpha the 90-day treasury bills as the risk-free rate. First, we
is basically the return in excess of beta. Suppose the index
has gone up by 10% and the stock with a beta of 2 has
gone up by 25%, the stock has delivered an alpha of 5%. High Beta Vs Low Beta Portfolio
If a fund is generating higher alpha, it means that 12-month Periods Nifty High Beta Low Beta
500 Stocks Stocks
the fund manager has chosen stocks that are rising more
than the market and/or falling less than what they ought Mean Return 9.07% 10.12% 29.63%
to. The fund manager is skilful. We have simplified Maximum Return 52.32% 119.54% 121.04%
the calculation of alpha as returns in excess of what is Minimum Return -27.19% -39.42% -20.51%
explained by beta. In financial literature, the calculation Standard Deviation 19.32% 42.05% 33.81%
is a bit more complex. It is simply the return over risk- Sharpe Ratio 0.05 0.05 0.65
free rate adjusted for beta. (See Box).

Applying Alpha and Beta in Real Life calculate the beta of the stocks for each month, based
How can we apply beta and alpha concepts of risk, in on their monthly return over the past 12-months. For
real life? For this, we analysed those stocks that are each month, we consider the top decile stocks (a decile
a part of the Nifty 500 and which have been traded is one of 10 equal groups) and the bottom decile stocks,
regularly from July 2009 to August 2016. This gives us to calculate the forward return. So, we are analysing

Low Beta Stocks Outperform in Most Periods


180%

120% Nifty 500 12-month Forward Return


Bottom Decile Beta Stocks

60%

0%

-60%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 36

Cover Story.indd 4 09-09-2016 18:05:18


COVER STORY

High Alpha Stocks Deliver Huge Returns When the Market Is Doing Well
180%

120% Nifty 500 12-month Forward Return


Top Decile Alpha Stocks

60%

0%

-60%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15

the most and the least volatile stocks. We calculate the beta stocks had a standard deviation of 42%, while the
forward return over the next 12-month periods. Nifty 500 had a standard deviation of 19%. When you
High-beta Stocks: For the top decile stocks with are buying a high-beta stock, you are taking a higher
risk for very little additional return. High-beta investing
would be rewarding only if you are able to ride a rising
High Alpha Vs Low Alpha Portfolio market. However, if you got your timing wrong, you
12-month Periods Nifty High Alpha Low Alpha would have faced significant losses. This is not an easy
500 Stocks Stocks
task for any investor, including institutional investors.
Mean Return 9.07% 45.22% 15.21% Low-beta Stocks: What if you had picked low-beta
Maximum Return 52.32% 159.33% 148.81% stock portfolio? For the 12-month forward periods, the
Minimum Return -27.19% -24.39% -53.51% returns averaged 29.63% with a standard deviation of
Standard Deviation 19.32% 49.08% 51.27% 34%. Clearly, the low-beta stocks not only delivered a
Sharpe Ratio 0.05 0.77 0.14 higher average return, their standard deviation, too, was
lower compared to the high-beta stocks.
High-alpha Stocks: Coming to the alpha investing
the highest beta, the average return worked out to strategy, we analyse the returns of the top decile stocks
10.12%, while the return of the Nifty 500 was 9.07%. with the highest alpha compared to stocks with the
While the high-beta strategy seems to have marginally lowest alpha relative to the Nifty 500. The universe
outperformed the index, it is interesting to take a look of stocks remains the same as in the beta strategy.
at the volatility of the returns over the period. The high- Over the 12-month periods, the high-alpha portfolio

Broadly, Low Alpha Stock Deliver Returns In-line with the Market
180%

120% Nifty 500


Bottom Decile Alpha Stocks 12-month Forward Return

60%

0%

-60%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15

37 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Cover Story.indd 5 09-09-2016 18:05:41


COVER STORY

Beating the Market with High Reward-to-risk Stocks


6-month Periods Nifty High Low reward/ 12-month Periods Nifty High Low reward/
500 reward/risk risk Stocks 500 reward/risk risk Stocks
Stocks Stocks
Average Return 4.00% 17.70% 3.93% Average Return 9.07% 41.79% 15.41%
Max Return 31.54% 73.22% 73.52% Max Return 52.32% 139.24% 137.62%
Minimum Return -20.46% -15.33% -33.67% Minimum Return -27.19% -13.62% -49.11%
Standard Deviation 11.79% 20.04% 24.24% Standard Deviation 19.32% 39.67% 46.10%
Sharpe Ratio 0.01 0.70 0.00 Sharpe Ratio 0.05 0.86 0.16

outperformed significantly. The average return worked Can These Strategies Be Improved?
out to 45.22% with a standard deviation of 49.08%, What if we combine the two strategies that worked well?
outperforming the low-beta portfolio. The volatility was Investor Louis G Navellier takes a somewhat similar
higher; but, adjusted for it, the returns were much higher. approachselecting stocks which have high alpha and
Low-alpha Stocks: On analysing the returns of the low standard deviation. To calculate this, he divides the
low-alpha stocks, we find that, similar to the high-beta stocks alpha with their standard deviation. Stocks with
portfolio, risk-adjusted returns were lower than that of good reward/risk ratios tend to be lower-risk stocks that
the index. For the 12-month periods of our analysis, the are plugging away, earning excess returns in a smooth
average returns worked out to 15.21% with a standard consistent manner, he explains. While he uses several
deviation of 51.27%. Though the returns were higher other risk measures to rate stocks, we will focus only
than those of the index, so was the volatility. With a on the reward/risk ratio (alpha/standard deviation). Lets
lower amount of volatility, you would have averaged a apply this to the Indian context.
return of 45.22% by investing in a high-alpha portfolio. Similar to the previous analysis for the alpha and
Lesson: Stocks with a comparative Low-beta and high- beta portfolios, we consider a portfolio of the top decile
alpha do better. When you pick a stock, be sure to check and bottom decile of stocks, ranked by the high-reward
this. and low-risk ratio. Based on Navelliers strategy, stocks

Calculating Alpha compensated more.


In order to calculate alpha, let's assume that the

F or each stock, a required return is calculated, based


on risk-free return (treasury bonds) and the beta
of the stock. If the actual return is higher than that
one-year treasury bill yielded 6% and that the Nifty
500 grew by 10%. Now, assume that Company Xs
stock rises by 11% and Company Ys by 11.5%. Now,
of this required return, the required rate of return
the excess is alpha. The for Company X is 10.40%
required rate of return is (6%+1.1*(10%-6%))
calculated using the formula and 12% for Company
risk-free rate+beta*(market Y (6%+1.5*(10%-6%)).
return minus risk-free rate). If we calculate their
Suppose you are looking at alphas, we discover that
two stocks: Company X and Company X outperformed
Company Y. Both of them the market with an
are a part of the Nifty 500 alpha of 0.60% (11% -
and their betas are 1.1 and 10.4%), while Company
1.5, respectively. Clearly, Y underperformed with an
one can say that the stock alpha of -0.50% (11.5%
of Company Y will be more volatile than that of - 12%). An investor screening for high alpha would,
Company X and anyone buying it will expect to be therefore, pick Company Xs stock over Company Ys.

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 38

Cover Story.indd 6 09-09-2016 18:06:22


COVER STORY

Outperforming the Market with High Reward-to-risk Stocks


160%

120%
Nifty 500
Top Decile Reward-risk Stocks 12-month Forward Return
80%

40%

0%

-40%
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15

with a higher reward-risk ratio should deliver good risk-


adjusted returns. On testing this over 6-month periods, Top Reward-to-risk Stocks: August 2016
we fi nd that the average returns work out to 17.70% Company Name Alpha/SD* Alpha* Beta*
with a standard deviation of 20.04%. This gives the JSW Steel 100.00% 99.00% 9.90%
highest historic Sharpe ratio compared to the other
Omaxe 99.70% 68.50% 9.60%
strategies for the same period. For 12-month periods,
Biocon 99.50% 98.00% 36.10%
the average forward returns work out to 41.79% with
a standard deviation of 39.67%. Here, too, the Sharpe Balrampur Chini Mills 99.20% 100.00% 57.90%
ratio was the highest. In the 12-month periods, the high Kajaria Ceramics 99.00% 95.70% 47.00%
reward-low risk portfolio outperformed the Nifty 500 Bajaj Finance 98.70% 98.20% 58.90%
in each monthly period over the past six years. Beating JSW Holdings 98.50% 93.80% 7.40%
Nifty 500 is easy if you use this strategy! Finolex Industries 98.20% 96.00% 48.50%
Moving to the bottom decile portfolio of reward- SREI Infra Finance 98.00% 99.20% 15.50%
risk stocks, we find that, over the 6-month periods,
Jagran Prakashan 97.70% 80.10% 12.60%
the average returns work out to 3.93% which is lower
Piramal Enterprises 97.50% 96.70% 48.00%
than the returns of the Nifty 500. The volatility, too, as
measured by the standard deviation, is higher at 24.24%. Pidilite Industries 97.20% 78.40% 4.20%
Not surprisingly, this portfolio is among those with the Petronet LNG 97.00% 93.00% 22.00%
lowest risk-adjusted returns. Over the 12-month periods, Kansai Nerolac Paints 96.70% 79.20% 10.80%
the average returns work out higher than the benchmark; Can Fin Homes 96.50% 95.00% 57.60%
but, here again, volatility too is higher. Therefore, based Eclerx Services 96.20% 85.60% 5.40%
on this, it would have been best to avoid low reward-risk DCM Shriram 96.00% 98.50% 80.40%
stocks.
Ramco Cements 95.70% 91.30% 43.30%

Conclusions & Action Points 3M India 95.50% 97.70% 4.40%

Based on the above analysis, an investor would prefer to Trent 95.20% 91.00% 31.10%
be invested in a high-alpha, and low standard deviation * Percentile rank among 405 stocks on the Nifty 500 index

stocks. Which are these stocks, as of now? Here is a


shortlist. creating the portfolios, we have considered only the top-
Remember, while these parameters can be used for most and bottom-most stocks, based on the various risk
selecting a stock, as this risk ratio is calculated based measures, from our shortlist of 400-odd stocks. Apart
on a stocks past performance, it cannot be the sole from selecting stocks that have a low beta, low standard
criterion for stock selection. Just by looking at these deviation and high alpha, it is important to look at
ratios of a single stock, one cannot judge the risk of other fundamental parameters such as earnings growth,
the stock. This risk measure needs to be compared to valuation and return ratios. A combination of all these
a set of stocks, to give a relative measure of risk. When factors can deliver enormous value.

39 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Cover Story.indd 7 09-09-2016 18:06:48


VALUE STOCKS DEBASHIS BASU

Exciting News Vs Exciting Stock

A
fter years of wait, Reliance Jio has unleashed its agri-based retailing. For a variety of reasons, our economy
telecom services on us with tantalising prices, did not get a chance to develop a sustainable value chain in
getting all consumers interested. By making voice the foods business. The US and Europe saw large players in
calls free and alluring us with low-priced data, Jio may food by the 1950s and 1960s; but, in India, food has always
perhaps change the way we see and use telecom services. been a disorganised, fragmented value chain. We believe
The company claims that this would be revolutionary. that Indias purchasing power will be food-dominated.
Whether this turns out to be a game-changer or not, it How would this happen? Mr Ambani told us that he
has certainly generated a lot of excitement. wanted to capture the enormous arbitrage in the food chain.
Excitement could be bad for successful investing. In his own words: Take potatoes, the most common food
Often, we get carried away by corporate plans that across the world. From Bill Gates to my driver, everybody
are years away from yielding results, leading to serious eats potatoes. Now, plot the prices. Farmers in UP and
misjudgement. Reliance itself offers us two excellent Bihar get about Rs4-Rs5 a kilo; in the Middle East, the
examples of this. Remember wholesale price is about
what happened when Reliance Rs25-Rs30 a kilo. In the
Industries discovered gas in US, Sams Club, it is
the Krishna-Godavari Basin? Rs90 a kilo. In Europe,
Reliances gas was supposed to it is Rs110 a kilo. The
transform India. arbitrage is 1:20. If we
Analysts started creating get our produce right,
economic scenarios when Indias and if the US market is
dependence on oil would drop opened up, you will be
drastically. That would allow us surprised how quickly
to import other things, maybe we reach $20 billion.
strengthen the rupee, attract The food market is much
more foreign capital and set bigger than the software
off a virtuous economic cycle, services market. And the
they said. Besides, natural gas money goes straight into
pollutes far less and, so, an the hands of millions of
abundance of gas would be farmers. The spinoffs
great for environment. Pipelines are enormousjobs,
criss-crossing the country would houses, durables, a new
reduce the need for polluting It is a long arduous path from announcements consumption boom will
heavy vehicles to transport fuel,
to value creation start in rural areas.
we were told. Alas! All this scenario-building turned out This was an exciting idea. But this, too, has not
to be premature. Over the past 14 years, Reliance has materialised. Not only has Reliance not been able to
hardly produced much gas, compared to its potential. capture the arbitrage at the farm end, Reliance got beaten
The promise of early2000s was a mirage. on the front-end as well, as e-commerce start-ups boomed
Then came Reliance Retail, in 2006. This was another and consumers switched from physical stores to new online
huge opportunity and, once again, most analysts were stores. Unthinkably, Reliance got beaten by a combination
trying to get a sense of the game-changing nature of this of upstart entrepreneurs, technology and capital!
initiative. This is because Reliance was not focused on I am not, for a moment, suggesting that the same thing
selling packaged goods at low margin in an organised would happen to Reliance Jio. Indeed, the execution risks
format like Big Bazaar. are lower in telecom, compared to gas extraction and
Mukesh Ambani told us, in an interview in December retailing. It could well be that Reliance does succeed in
2007: Within organised retailing, we are really talking of executing Jio well. But will the shareholders gain? The

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 |40

Value Stocks.indd 2 09-09-2016 18:07:54


VALUE STOCKS DEBASHIS BASU

Just 5% Compounded Return in 10 Years


1,460 Rs

1,280

Reliance Industries
1,100

920

740

560
Oct-06 Oct-11 Sep-16

excitement for shareholders in not the launch of a new up free cash. This has been the situation for more than
product but in earnings growth; not in the billions of about 30 years now. It has always invested in cash-guzzling
dollars of investment outflow but healthy cash inflows businesses which the market dislikes. Notice that the
for years that allow the company to pare down initial stock is up just 70% over 10 years at a princely annual
debt, if any, declare large dividends and plan for the next compounded rate of 5%, worse than returns from bank
round of growth. FDs.
I am not sure how Reliance plans to make oodles The medias job is to hunt for exciting stuff and, so,
of money from its huge investments in Jio. Apparently, exciting news gets thrown at us by the minute. Well,
borrowing from Steve Jobs idea of Apple appstore, these days the job of the media, apparently, is to create
Reliance wants to make money from the Jio app ecosystem. excitement even where there is none. But the excitement
The key to this, of course, is getting the customer hooked on for investors lies elsewhere. It is in finding companies with
to Jio. Apple could hook their customers through hardware one or more of these features:
that wowed them. Reliance can hook the customer through Ability to pass on costs and raise prices (Asian Paints);
it data service; but is that a good enough hook? Consider Having a high margin at the operating and net level
the many hurdles in acquiring new customers. so that slightly higher sales lead to a disproportionate
Existing mobile users have to switch from whatever increase in profits (Maruti);
they are using to Jio. Users are usually reluctant to Not requiring debt to fund expansion or, having funded
switch, even though there is number portability. expansion with debt, the ability to rapidly de-leverage
Reliance thinks that, by throwing the apps free to start (Shree Cement);
with, it would kick-start the process of adoption. But Once in a decade or so, finding a large new business that
this is not a given; unless the apps are compellingly is analogous to the main business and can be rolled out
rich in features. How easy would it be to make JioTV, using the same intangible strengths like dealer network,
JioCinema, Jio Music, a personal digital wallet, and brand equity or even management bandwidth (ITC,
Jio Magazine must-have apps? Mahindra & Mahindra);
Media reports say that Reliance would charge Rs15,000 Expanding a small Indian operation into a global one,
a year for these apps. That seems too ambitious when through exports and manufacturing on foreign soil
many individual apps offering some of these service (Motherson Sumi);
are available free. Expanding through successful acquisitions made at a
Perhaps Reliance will find solutions to all these issues. low cost (Ultratech, Sun Pharma);
If it does, the revenue numbers will start reflecting this; Relentlessly squeezing out costs in a business dominated
in which case it would start making money in the data by unorganised players who are more nimble and have
businessand enough of itto beat the cost of capital. lower costs (Relaxo Footwear).
If all this happens, Reliance may, at long last, turn into If you find companies that have any of these
an exciting stock for investors. But not today. Today, the characteristics, get excited. It could well be that Reliance
excitement is about its plans. manages to develop one of these characteristics. If so, it
By the way, Reliance is not into businesses that throw will be a monster value-creator. We will be watching.

41 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Value Stocks.indd 3 09-09-2016 18:08:36


StockWatch Stocks and sectors that catch our eye

C r o mp t o n Gre aves Among the different segments, revenues from its power
systems jumped by 59%, though on a low base (due
Is the Turnaround to shutdown in Nashik factory last year). Its revenues
from industrial systems segment rose by a sedate 11%
Sustainable? to Rs422 crore. The revenues from this segment were
dragged down by railway business. However, strong

C
rompton Greaves reported good revenue growth was posted in low-tension (LT) and high-
growth for the June 2016 quarter. Its tension (HT) motors business.
consolidated revenues for the June quarter Cromptons current debt:equity ratio stands at
rose by 39% % year-on-year (y-o-y) to Rs1,423 crore. 0.32. According to the management, the de-le de-leveraging
However, it reported a net loss of Rs50 crore will happen when it completes the Sp Spear deal
compared to o having broken-even in the same which is expected by the end of Oc October.
quarter of the
he previous year. Crompton Greaves calls divestments
divestmen of
The margin of its power business in Hungary,
Hun
earnings before
fore Belgium, Ireland, Indonesia
Indone
interest and tax and US Project Spear. The
T
(EBIT) was at approval of Competition
Comp
a strong 44%.
%. Commission
Commissio of
However, this
his was India (CCI)
(CCI was
driven by trading
ading required by
b the
sales which may prospective buyer.
not be sustainable
ainable Crompton Greaves
in future. All
ll this has obtained
obtain a
comes on thehe back confirmation
confirmatio that
of a dramaticic this part is resolved.
FY15-16 forr Crompton Greaves Project Spear
Spe is
which witnessed
essed a slump in stock going on schedule as per its timeline
price and huge
uge losses. Revenues for FY15-16 and there is no slippage, according to the manmanagement.
declined by 60% to Rs5,716 crore y-o-y and the
company reported
ported a consolidated loss of nearly Rs400
crore. The stock price, too, plummeted by more than
Rising Debtor Days
80%from a high of Rs203.50 in January 2016 to a
Debtor Days
low of Rs40.50 in mid-March. Since then, the stock
250
has doubled settling at Rs82 currently.
Crompton Greaves is into designing, manufacturing
and marketing electrical products and services. 200

These are related to power generation, transmission,


distribution, and executing turnkey projects. It 150
consists of three segments which are different from
each otherpower systems, industrial systems and 100
automation systems. However, power systems and
industrial systems, together, accounted for a major 50
chunk (85%) of its June quarter revenues. It had 11-12 13-14 15-16
demerged its consumer products business last year.

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 42

StockWatch.indd 2 09-09-2016 18:10:16


STOCK WATCH

This deal will enable Crompton to quarter and 84.20% of this


focus on its India business and also holding was pledged.
reduce debt. Debtor days, which were
Cromptons unexecuted order relatively
re stable since 2011-12,
book stood at around Rs175 crore on rose
ros dramatically to more than
2 September 2016. The managementt 200
20 days in 2014-15 from 90 days
has highlighted that pricing in the in 2013-14. These have declined
domestic transformer industry marginally to 169 days in
has improved. It has targeted Divestments of power business to 2015-16. According to the
Its FY17-18 utilisation to management, there has been
be completed by October-end
reach 75%-80% across an improvement in the pace of
different business. The Will concentrate on its core collection from debtors in the
promoter holding stood at business power systems business by 14
34.42% for the June 2016 days since the past quarter.

Cheviot
Good Free Cash Flows
Not Glamorous but (Rs crore) Debt:Equity Ratio

Solid Performer 30 0.08

C
0.06
heviot, one of the few well-run jute mills,
20
has reported good growth for the June 2016
0.04
quarter. Revenues rose by 22% year-on-year
(y-o-y) to Rs70.33 crore from Rs57.42 crore. While 10
0.02
profits were almost stagnant, at Rs10.19 crore, Cheviot
enjoys remarkable operating leverage. Net profit
0 0.00
margin is exceptionally high, at 15% of sales. Exports 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
have been sluggish for Cheviot; the proportion of Free Cash Flows Debt:Equity Ratio
revenues from exports has declined in the past year to
around 31% in FY15-16 from around 45% in
FY14-15. However, domestic revenues rose by an essential for the smooth functioning of mills. The
impressive 61% in FY15-16 to Rs233 crore. Its exports production of raw jute is subject to the vagaries of
for the period declined by 12% to Rs106 crore. nature. If there is a shortage of raw jute, like that
Cheviot makes jute goods at two plants in West witnessed in a part of FY15-16, business is adversely
Bengal one of which is export-oriented and ran at affected. Bangladesh, which dominates the jute market,
a reduced capacity. Since the demand for export of also imposed certain restrictions during the year on
jute yarn from India was sluggish, Cheviot is taking the export of raw jute to keep supply smooth in its
initiatives to export other diversified jute products domestic market.
including shopping bags, geo-textiles products and Also, certain restrictions may be imposed by the
conventional and decorative hessian products. regulator, the jute commissioner. The procurement
There are certain peculiar features and risks level by the government for packaging food grains
associated with the jute market in India. The business determines the demand in the domestic market. Lastly,
depends on the availability of raw jute which is the industry is finding it difficult attract new generation

Disclaimer: None of the stock information presented constitutes a recommendation or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any securities. Information presented is general in nature that does not take into
account your individual circumstances, financial situation or needs Although information has been obtained from and is based on sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy and the
information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions and estimates constitute our judgement as on the date of the report and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is no indication of future
results. Investors must do their own research before acting on them. Data Source: Centre for Monitoring Indian Economys Prowess database.

Those who have subscribed to the stockletters should only follow the stocks recommended there.

43 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

StockWatch.indd 3 09-09-2016 18:11:23


STOCK WATCH

of labourers. jute bags are eco-friendly, the demand for them will
jut
The general al increase in the years ahead which will benefit players
inc
trend, on a like Cheviot.
worldwide Cheviot
basis, is to has generated
High
H operating leverage
move towardss positive free
eco-friendly and nd a
and an exceptionally high cash flows in
bio-degradablee n profit margin
net the past few
materials D
Domestic revenues jumped years. This
like jute. It is has enabled
b 61%, but exports
by
expected that it to remain
plastic shopping ng d
declined by 12% in FY15-16 a virtually
bags will be, debt-free. The
to some extent, t, promoter holding is high, at 75%. The stock trades
prom
replaced by jute bags. But this has
te bags at a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of around
been the hope for decades now. Similarly, man-made 11 times. The return on equity (RoE) stands at around
fibres may be replaced by jute which is a natural fibre. 11% and return on capital employed (RoCE) at around
There are expectations among analysts that, since 13%, based on trailing 12 months earnings.

J B C h e mi c a l s & P harm ac e ut ic al s pharmaceutical formulations, herbal remedies and


active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). These are in
Good Chemistry different dosage forms including tablets, injectibles,
creams & ointments, lozenges, herbal liquids and

T
he stock of JB Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals capsules. It exports to many countries worldwide and
has been buzzing for the past few months, has a presence in US, Europe, Australia, South Africa,
thanks to some positive news. In last June, the Russia and CIS and other developing countries. It also
United States Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) continues to invest, to grow its share in the regulated
approved its tablet manufacturing facility at Panoli markets of US, Europe and Australia. In the past fiscal
(Gujarat). The stock surged by 11%. Recently, it went year, exports to the US and South Africa performed
well and increased by 41% and 23%, respectively.
Exports accounted for a significant 58% of its net
sales in FY15-16. Its domestic formulations business
registered a growth of 13% during FY15-16 while sales

A Small Rise in Debt:Equity


(Rs crore) Debt:Equity Ratio

100 0.16

0.12

0 0.08

up 14%, hitting its life-time high of Rs357, after 0.04


reporting its June quarter results. It reported impressive
growth in stand-alone profits by 26% year-on-year -100 0.00
(y-o-y) while its revenue growth for the quarter stood 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16
Free Cash Flows Debt:Equity Ratio
at 9%.
JB Chemicals makes a diverse range of

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 44

StockWatch.indd 4 09-09-2016 18:12:12


STOCK WATCH

of its focus products rose by Community (SADC)


an impressive 19% during Exports accounted for a significant countries. It is also creating
the year. 58% of its net sales in FY15-16 additional capacity for
During the year, the formulations business
JB Chemicals raised
It raised its interest in Biotech (including tablets, liquid,
its interest in Biotech Laboratories (Pty) Ltd to 95.24% from ointments, vials, eye-drops
Laboratories (Pty) Ltd to 49% to expand its business in high and lozenges) and also
95.24% from 49%. Due to potential African countries for its API business. This
this, Biotech Laboratories investment is expected to
has become its subsidiary.
Its capex is funded largely with generate additional growth in
With this stake rise, the internal accruals the near future. Due to good
management intends cash flows from operating
to expand its business in high potential countries activities, this capex is being funded largely through
like South Africa and South African Development internal accruals, an extremely good sign.

Mi ndt r e e by seven times, should not be surprising for those who


are aware of an important difference between smaller
Small Software software stocks and the larger ones. The stock prices
of smaller companies are more volatile. The reason is
Stocks: Cyclical simple: their businesses are more volatile too.
One way to calculate volatility is to examine the
Revenues? standard deviation (variability against the average)
of sales. From the chart, it is clear that the standard

O
n 6th September, Mindtree announced a profit deviation of the year-on-year (y-o-y) revenue growth
warning. It said that there will be a further for the past six quarters from March 2015 to June
decline in revenue and margins in the second 2016, is lower for TCS and HCL Tech compared to
quarter of this fiscal, compared with the previous that of Mindtree, Hexaware and Tech Mahindra.
quarter. The revenues of TCS have steadily risen from
Rs24,220 crore in March 2015 quarter to Rs29,305
crore in Jun 2016 maintaining a steady growth in
the range of 12%-18%, thus signalling a very low
volatility, or standard deviation of 2.2%. The revenues
for HCL Technologies have grown y-o-y from Rs9,267

Volatility of Revenues
9%

6%

This comes on the back of: 1) cross-currency


impact; 2) project cancellations and slower ramp up 3%
by a few large clients; and 3) continued weakness in
its UK subsidiary, Bluefin. The stock, which has been
weak for a while, fell by more than 5% on the day
0%
the profit-warning came, hitting a two-year low. This HCL Tech Infosys TCS Mindtree Hexaware Tech
warning from Mindtree, which has been one of the Mahindra

strongest software stocks in the 2012-16 period, rising

45 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

StockWatch.indd 5 09-09-2016 18:12:57


STOCK WATCH

crore in March 2015 to Rs11,336 crores in June 2016, Rs904 crore in March 2015 quarter to Rs1,203 crore
signalling stability at a low standard deviation of 3.6%. June 2016 quarter. All this resulted in a high volatility,
Infosys, among the large-cap stocks, seems to have a at 8.36% of standard deviation, for Mindtree. And
relatively higher volatility at 6.4%; but this was due to now, suddenly, it has announced that it will not
a one-time abnormally low y-o-y growth in the March meet its revenue and profit guidance. Revenues for
2015 quarter, of 4%. For all the following quarters up Hexaware Technologies declined from 21.15% y-o-y
to Jun 2016, revenue growth has been consistently in growth in the quarter March 2015 to 12.62% in
the range of 13% to 23%; 23% was the highest y-o-y the latest quarter, June 2016, justifying the relatively
growth in March 2016. high standard deviation. Tech Mahindra also displays
After a long period of struggle up to mid-2013, a trajectory similar to Hexaware with the y-o-y
Mindtree was able to deliver strong y-o-y revenue quarterly revenue growth dwindling from 20.93% in
growth, from 9.7% in March 2015 to 32.92% in March 2015 to 9.96% in June 2016. Smaller software
March 2016, dipping down to 25.56% in only June companies are more cyclical in their revenues; this
2016. In absolute terms, revenue had risen from makes their stocks also cyclical.

JK Tyre March 2015 as rubber prices fell sharply. Natural


rubber prices have declined from around Rs220/kg in
Stagnant Profit, Rising June 2011 to a low of around Rs95/kg in February
2016. While rubber prices remained subdued for
Stock Price much of 2015, a slowdown in China led to large-scale
imports of Chinese tyres that affected the revenue

T
he stock of JK Tyre & Industries Ltd growth. Import of Chinese tyres in the truck and bus
(JK Tyre) has been shooting up ever since early redials (TBR) segment has risen by over 40% year-on-
August. From around Rs90 on 4th August, the year (y-o-y) for the June 2016 quarter.
stock has gone up to over Rs140 in a month. Whats JK Tyre trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple
going on? JK Tyre has completed the second phase of of eight times its trailing 12 months earnings. Apollo,
construction of its plant at Chennai which makes car Ceat, MRF and TVS Srichakra, too, are valued at 911
and truck redials. Earlier, in April, JK Tyre times their earnings. The reason why
completed the acquisition of a 64%4% these stocks are so inexpensive,
thes
stake in Cavendish Industries at even in a bull market, is this:
ev
an enterprise value of around the
t market is unsure about the
Rs2,200 crore. Cavendish, a trend in natural rubber prices
unit of Kesoram Industries, which have been rising over
has plants located in Laksar the past few months. However,
(Haridwar, UP) for manufacture it seems that the market is
of tyres, tubes and flaps. JK Tyree estimating that tyre companies
has also announced its plans to will
w enjoy a period of growth
enter the aviation market which and can absorb higher cost of
an
is a very lucrative segment. Yet, the raw materials. On the positive
price rise is a mystery, given JK Tyres front, since JK Tyre has already carried
stagnant revenues and profits since the quarter ended out significant capacity expansion, it may not require
31 March 2015. much capital expenditure in the next few years. This
Barring a period of high growth in 2013-15, may help keep the debt:equity ratio stable. JK Tyres
revenues have been stagnant over the past five years. debt:equity ratio has declined since March 2013 when
It has reported an average revenue growth rate of it stood at 3.06. It fell to 1.66 on 31 March 2016. In
merely 3% during these years. However, it has done 2014-15, there was a slight rise in debt due to negative
exceedingly well in profit growth. From a loss of Rs32 free cash flows. However, the debt:equity ratio declined
crore for the year ended 31 March 2012, its profits to 2.12 from 2.51 on 31 March 2014. In the past five
have risen consistently over the years. Tyre companies years, there were robust free cash flows only in 2013-
enjoyed a surge in profits between June 2014 and 14 and 2015-16.

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 46

StockWatch.indd 6 09-09-2016 18:14:05


STOCK WATCH

UN UOTED
STORIES OF PRICE MANIPULATION

Optimus Finance (Rs32) consolidated revenue statement for


(Rs)
FY14-15. Despite such poor disclosures

O ptimus Finance (earlier known 40 and financials, the stock price has shot
as Transpek Finance) operates in up. From a low of Rs3.60 on
two business segmentsfinancing & 30 22 January 2014, it zoomed to Rs35.2
investing activities and manufacturing on 7 September 2016, up 878% or
& trading in chemicals. It has 20
878% nearly nine times. In fact, over the past
one subsidiary, namely, Maximus one year, the price has nearly tripled
International, engaged in importing, 10
from around Rs13 at the beginning of
trading and exporting various products. September 2015. Over the past one
This Gujarat-based company reported year, the stock has had a median of
0
a consolidated loss of nearly Rs0.36 just three trades a day; about 500-
Jan-14 May-15 Sep-16
crore for the year ended March 1,000 shares have been traded. As on
2016. For the quarter ended June 30 June 2016, Optimus Finance had
2016, the micro-cap stock reported However, its consolidated financial just 2,819 individual shareholders.
a consolidated profit of Rs0.15 crore reporting has been inconsistent. While Are there some individuals who are
compared to a loss of Rs0.20 crore it reported its consolidated numbers interested taking the stock price up?
for the quarter ended March 2016. in FY12-13 and FY13-14, there was no Will the regulator investigate?

MARKET TREND

Be Cautious increase in stock prices and even their


replacements do not offer much upside

Irisks are rising. I had mentioned that, trend is a friend


n my previous piece on the market, I had written that to our 12-month fair valuations, says
the report.
until its ends, and perhaps it is time to consider whether Kotak also feels that emerging market
the medium-term trend is coming to an end. The Sensex (EM) rally may be over. The accelerated foreign fund
was struggling to go past 28,200 and seemed to be weak, flows into EMs over the past 2-3 months reflect investors
since foreign and domestic institutional
ional investors were pursuit of higher
high yields in EMs on assurance of more
selling. At that time, the Sensex wasas 27,782. At monetary accommodation
acco by global central banks post
the time of writing this piece, it was
as 28,797. the Brexit referendum.
It is up 1,100 points over two weeks.ks. The report also says that investors
At the current levels, the should expect modest returns from
Nifty and the Sensex have gone here
he for the Indian market... The market
into a seriously overvalued zone. has been front-running potential positive
If you buy when the market P/E is 24+, domestic
dom news and events which suggests
you are not likely to make much money oney over the next that returns
r from the Indian market will be
few years, unless you are very careful ful with your stock fairly modest
m from here. We note that valuations
selection. The main hope for bulls is that the earnings in the consumption sectors are very rich (absurdly so
will revive. Even so, valuations are truly expensive, in several cases) and the investment environment has
according to a research report by Kotak Securities. significantly worsened in external sectors such as IT
Alarmed by high valuation of mid-cap stocks, Kotak has and pharmaceuticals. Finally, the domestic economy is
taken the bold step of removing its recommendations showing little signs of a broad-based recovery. We are
of mid-caps, altogether. We have had to change several left with very few sectors and stocks to choose from. Be
mid-cap stocks over the past few months on rapid cautious. Debashis Basu

47 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

StockWatch.indd 7 09-09-2016 18:14:37


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The stockletters are for stocks for long term but with specific emphases. even if they have run up sharply. You must remember though that stocks
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Stockletter (MSSN) Ad Oct 15.indd 2 29-07-2016 15:57:45


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Caution: The returns shown here are much higher than average.
Average annual rise in the Nifty/Sensex is likely to be 12%-14%
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Disclaimer: The Stockletters are part of multiple services offered by Moneylife Advisory
Services which is a SEBI registered investor advisor (Registration No: INA000003429).
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Stockletter (MSSN) Ad Oct 15.indd 3 09-09-2016 17:33:41


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MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 50

Technology.indd 1 09-09-2016 18:15:47


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MSSN - Unbiased.indd 1 29-07-2016 16:09:26


Supported By

Carrying Loss Forward


for LLP

Queries I
At Moneylife Foundations
f a new share-broking LLP
business start-up has a net loss for
FY15-16, how are the tax returns
to be shown? This is because the
partners capital is also negative and
Tax Helpline the due date is also approaching; so
the loss cannot be carried forward
Ask tax-related questions at moneylife.in/taxhelp. Its free to the next year.
Ameet Patels Reply: Section 139
of the Income-Tax Act says that if
NRI Investing under name, as having been made out of a taxpayer with business income
loans given by the husband (and not has suffered a loss in any year and
Residents Name gift). This would, obviously, mean there is inadequate income from

I am a non-resident Indian (NRI). I


used to send money to my wife's
account which was invested in
that, at some point of time, the loan
needs to be repaid to you. There
is no written law or rule about
other heads to set off the loss, the
unabsorbed loss can be carried
forward to the next year, provided
mutual funds in her name. She is a the period for which the loan can the return of income is filed within
resident Indian. Later, I was advised be given. Similarly, the prescribed time limit. If your
to open a non-resident external there is no law that business turnover exceeded the limit
account and made investments in forces a husband under Section 44AB of the Act, you
my name. All the earlier investments to charge interest need to get a tax audit done. In that
are still in her name. My query is: on loan given to case, your due date is 30 September
Should I continue to invest in her his wife. Therefore, 2016. Otherwise, your due date was
name? I also intend to transfer to your wife may continue to hold the 31 July 2016 which was extended
her account, the amount realised investments in her name. to 5 August 2016). If you do not
from sale of property in my non- As regards the immovable file returns within the prescribed
resident ordinary account, since property owned by you, merely time limit, the loss incurred will
costs, like brokerage, portfolio receiving the money in her bank go waste. That cannot be carried
investment scheme (PIS) charges, account does not mean that you forward to the next year.
tax deducted at source (TDS), etc, will be saved the tax and other
for NRIs are high and there are a charges. If you are the owner of a Tax on SCSS deposits
lot of hassles in tracking. My wife property, it is you who will have to
is a homemaker, with no source of
income.
Ameet Patels Reply: For the
show the capital gains on sale of the
property. Even presuming that the
sale proceeds are received into your
I have Rs5 lakh cash and I wish
to deposit this in Senior Citizen
Saving Scheme under my mothers
investments made in her name, bank account, you will still need to name. We live together. I plan to
as and when these are sold, some show that capital gains in your tax spend the interest from this deposit
capital gains/loss may arise. That returns. If the seller of a property is for household expenses. Will the
would be your wifes capital gain an NRI under Income-tax Act, the interest be subject to my income
or loss. If any dividend and interest buyer will have to deduct tax as per tax? My mother is in no income tax
is earned on those investments, Section 195. This will be @20%. bracket.
that income will also be your You cannot avoid this. Therefore, it Nikhil Vadias Reply: The first issue
wifes income and would have to would be advisable to not resort to is how you will deposit so much
be offered for tax (if it is taxable). any planning to avoid the tax and cash in bank without being in tax
If her total income is below the other consequences by attracting departments glare. Interest on SCSS
threshold limit, she need not file a the sale as made by your wife. deposit is taxable subject to income
return of income. Ultimately, it is the real owner who tax slabs. You can give Form 15H
It is always advisable to show will have to show the sale, income for non-deduction of TDS, if income
such investments, made in the wifes and TDS in his hands. is below the taxable limit.

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 52

Tax Queries.indd 2 09-09-2016 18:16:53


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TAX HELPLINE
This helpline is for tax-related queries for individuals and small businesses who file
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Tax Helpline.indd 1 29-07-2016 17:49:42


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support a number of different chart your own playlists of your favourite songs / albums or
types like: bar charts, pie charts, artists. Once you start playing, you can keep it on, in
line charts, bubble charts and the background and continue
radar plots. You can create your doing what you were doing.
own elaborate charts in a jiffy. You can even share what you
Just click on Design Your Chart, are hearing, live on Facebook,
select the type of chart, add data, so that your friends know what
add labels and fonts; and you are you are currently enjoying. You
ready to preview your chart! You can can also view what your friends
then share and save your chart, download it on your favourites are. You have an
computer, publish it online on Facebook or Twitter and option for radio hits too which
also email it to yourself and others. A simple way to create you can switch on and which will play without any breaks
charts without any technical knowledge / jargon. or ads. There is a free app to download on your mobile
and you can carry your music wherever you go. If you
Dinnertime Plus: Stop Them enjoy Bollywood music, you will enjoy Gaana.com! http://
goo.gl/OuaEdq
Playing during Dinner
Yazdi Tantra is a chartered accountant
by training, computer consultant by
D innertime Plus is a wonderful app to ensure that
your kids join you uninterrupted during dinner time.
Nowadays, it is normal to see kids playing with their
profession, entrepreneur-developer by
hobby and trainer in his leisure time.
He is currently the vice-chairman of
devices all through dinner. This app allows you to pause Zoroastrian Co-operative Bank Ltd
any activity on the kids phones for 30 minutes, one hour, and has been running a medium-sized computer
or even 24 hours. This can be done remotely from the company ON-LYNE for the past 24 years.
parents device. You also have options for bedtime and

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 54

Tantra - column.indd 1 09-09-2016 18:19:27


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MSSN Handholding.indd 1 29-07-2016 16:08:23


HEALTH BM HEGDE

Great News for Doctors as Lawyers


Train Their Guns on Drug Firms

I
was just watching news in New York, a few weeks back, the patients also, since the drug companies may not go out
and came upon an advertisement. A lawyers firm in of their way to wine and dine doctors to prescribe their
New York was inviting patients to send information medicines for indications for which they have not been
on the side-effects of drugs they were taking to them permitted in the first place. Interestingly, this law does not
directly so that they could get the patient compensation cover vaccination injuries! Vaccine manufacturers must be
from the multinational petrochemicals corporations called richest among the drug lords, hence, they could make the
the drug companies! Normally, one comes across such government exempt them from this law. Extending this
advertisements to sue doctors for malpractice, negligence further, very soon, the cunning angiogram/angioplasty
and what have you. I then learnt that the US now permits industrialists might pass on their mistakes on the device-
drug companies to be sued directly for dangerous side- makers.
effects of drugs. This must have been a great relief to The man-on-the-street has so much faith on the
American doctors who were the target of the ambulance- chemical drugs and surgery as the custodians of their
chasing lawyers so far. Now, the lawyers, armed with this well-being and their lives that they are ready to accept
new law, are after the drug companies as they are the anything, in the name of science. Truth is otherwise. A
real large sharks that net trillions of dollars compared to substantial part of human healing is well outside the realm
doctors and hospitals that look like small fry now. of materialistic reductionist science. Thinkers in mainline
Soon, there will be legal science seem to have woken up. In an article, in 2011,
firms specialising Michael Crow, the president of the Arizona
in attacking the State University and a
drug lords leading science administrator,
wrote that the US National Institutes of
Healths annual budget of $30 billion should
not be just confined to molecular biological and
other conventional ways of looking at human health;
it must also look at health as a human experience in its
instead biological, sociological and environmental angles. Peoples
of poor feelings, their emotions and beliefs also matter in personal
doctors. and societal health. I feel, we should be less arrogant about
When this our scientific knowledge. Did our ancestors know how to
gathers full steam, communicate with plants and animals to know about our
many of our doctors need present knowledge of herbal and animal sources of therapy?
not have the anxiety of being With the Damocles sword hanging no longer on their
sued for anything and everything. One necks of consumers claims, doctors should now be able
of the advertisements that I saw looked like the to think outside the box for better intervention outcomes.
pharmacology textbooks chapter on statins. The lawyer With humility, better sense would prevail. Long live the
was saying that almost everyone on statins gets muscle time-honoured doctor-patient relationship which is very
damage with or without symptoms like muscle-ache, sacred and does the main job in healing, anyway. Let not
etc. Between 10%-47% of people on statins become mankind perish from the reductionist side-effects of drugs
diabetics within their first year on statins; kidney damage eventually.
is not unusual; and liver damage is a certainty. If you
have any one of those symptoms, do write to us and we
will get maximum damage from the drug companies for Professor Dr BM Hegde, a Padma
you. No legal fees. If we win, we will share the booty. Bhushan awardee in 2010, is an MD,
PhD, FRCP (London, Edinburgh,
So went the message of the advertisement. Does that not
Glasgow & Dublin), FACC and FAMS.
look attractive? He can be reached at hegdebm@gmail.com
While it is good for doctors to feel safe, it is good for

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 56

BM Hegde.indd 2 07-09-2016 20:04:43


HEALTH BM HEGDE

ALCOHOL AND nervous system, kidney


FERTILITY and liver, headaches and,

W hen fertility clinics


are doing very good
business, it is worthwhile
MEDICAL DEVELOPMENTS FROM
AROUND THE WORLD
rare, but serious, skin
conditions such as Stevens
Johnson syndrome and
to look for avoidable toxic epidermal necrolysis.
preventive measures for normalising were 7,306 who suffered injuries She is asking for strict regulations
fertility. Although it might break the from medical complications and to avoid serious damage. God only
rice-bowl of these clinics, it would drug treatments, and 8,331 who knows how many people have come
be good for mankind. Alcohol had injuries resulting from accidents to grief in India. Let us do a survey
intake, as little as 14 units in a and self-harm that resulted in and build some guidelines sooner
week, during the time when the hospital admission during the rather than later.
lady is trying to get pregnant, might diagnostic period. These were
significantly reduce her chances of Swedish patients. Central nervous US SURGEON-GENERAL,
getting pregnant. This is a result system and colorectal cancers had DR VIVEK MURTHY, WARNS
of a large cohort study. If I were to 14% increased risk and the risk, AGAINST PAINKILLERS!
advise in an editorial in the same
journal (wishful thinking), I would
have said that alcohol damages
to a certain extent, depended on
the socio-economic status of the
patient!
I n a historic first in the USA,
the surgeon-general, the most
powerful Federal government
every single human organ, the Psychiatric side-effects are also officer, has sent letters to 2.3 million
noted during investigations and, doctors there, asking for their help
later, on chemotherapy, in addition to end the epidemic of prescription
to physical injuries that could be painkiller overdose deaths. The
quite serious. Investigations should landmark letter is a signal to
be done, especially the invasive doctors across the country that it
ones, only when it can give more is time for something to be done
information for better management. about thee growing opioid painkiller
problem in America.
CONCERNS OVER SKIN A humane
mane Indian-
dose notwithstanding and, as such, BLEACHING born doctortor from
doctors must discourage people
from drinking alcohol routinely. B lack is beautiful is an old adage; Karnataka,
but, these days, everyone,
Ranging from cardio-myopathy and including men, is desperate to
Dr
Murthy,
ka,

sudden death, to cancer and now become fairer. We see that many wrote a
fertility, alcohol is a curse. Yet, we people, many in the film industry, sensible
encourage alcohol intake socially. have suddenly becomes very fair. article a
Some doctors, even today, tell their A dermatologist in England did month ago go about the sad state
patients that alcohol, in small doses, a study to show that one of the of affairs in the medical field in
is good for heart health. In fact, common ingredients of the fairness that country run by the moneybags.
female alcoholism can adversely treatment, internally and locally, is Readers of my column would
affect the menstrual cycle and male glutathione. remember my fight against these
alcoholism could reduce the sperm Ophalia Dadzie, a consultant menaces, for decades. I am happy
count! dermatologist at Hillingdon that a fellow Indian-born surgeon-
Hospital and the director of London general has echoed my sentiments.
PATIENTS WITH CANCER AT Ethnic Skin Ltd, has discovered In his letter, Dr Murthy discusses
RISK DURING DIAGNOSIS serious side-effects after intravenous how many doctors have been

C ancer is a difficult disease for


the patient; but recent studies
have shown that medical diagnostic
(IV) use of glutathione along with
local use. Most of these are done
in beauty parlours where even the
incorrectly taught that opioids were
not addictive when prescribed for
legitimate pain. Dr Murthy goes
interventions may often make them hygiene of IV injections is seriously on to lament that many doctors
more miserable for due to injuries. compromised. Potential adverse were encouraged to be more
Among 720,901 patients, there side-effects include toxicity of the aggressive about treating pain.

57 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

BM Hegde.indd 3 07-09-2016 20:05:09


LEGALLY SPEAKING SD ISRANI

Nomination Does Not Give


Ownership Rights

I
t is said that in life only two things are certaindeath Having got wind of the transfer of the membership of
and taxes. So far as taxes are concerned, the person the Society to the name of his sister, the son addressed a
himself faces the music; but, in case of death of a letter to the deputy registrar for cooperative societies, on
person, it is his near and dear ones who have to deal with behalf of his mother. In the letter, the son asserted that the
the hassles. Over the years, thanks to rising prosperity, membership of the flat should be transferred to the name
it is now common to find individuals having insurance of his mother.
policies, bank accounts and also owning an apartment in The son also sent a letter, on behalf of his mother, to
a cooperative housing society. In the secretary of the housing society,
such cases, inheritance issues arise reiterating his previous assertion,
after the death of the person and that the flat should be transferred
legal heirs may drag the insurance to the name of the mother.
company, bank or the housing In response, the secretary of the
society to court, to enforce their Society informed that the name of
claims. the daughter was recorded by the
To simplify the task of handing father himself as his nominee in
over insurance policy proceeds respect of the said flat. The deputy
after the death of the policyholder, registrar, cooperative societies, held
or transferring the bank account, that the flat-owner had actually
or membership of the housing nominated his wife as the nominee
society, there are provisions in the (in terms of the nomination
respective laws for appointment stipulated under Section 79 of the
of a nominee. But these provisions 1983 Act).
are not clear-cut and are, often, The transfer of the flat in the
contested. name of the daughter was declined
In a recently decided case on the ground that the daughter,
by the Supreme Court, the being a married, did not fall within
issue about the nominee in a the definition of term family
cooperative housing society came as contemplated under the said
up for consideration. Section 79.
One Biswa Ranjan Sengupta Aggrieved with the decision
(the flat-owner) was member of To simplify the task of taken by the authorities, in rejecting
a cooperative housing society, handing over insurance her claim with reference to the
Kolkata (the Society). He had a transfer of the flat, the daughter
policy proceeds after the
wife and two childrena daughter challenged the order of the deputy
and a son. The flat-owner recorded
death of the policyholder, or registrar before the Calcutta High
the name of his daughter as the transferring the bank account, Court.
nominee in terms of the provisions or membership of the housing The writ petition was allowed
of Section 79 of the West Bengal society, there are laws for by a learned single judge of the
Cooperative Societies Act, 1983. appointment of a nominee. High Court and it, inter-alia,
After the death of the flat- But these provisions are, held that the deputy registrar of
owner, his daughter asked the often, contested the cooperative societies was not
Society to enter her name as justified to exclude the appellant,
member in place of her fathers being a daughter of the flat-owner,
name. The managing committee of the Society passed a from the purview of the provisions of the said Act.
unanimous resolution to transfer the membership of the The High Court held that the married daughters were
deceased flat-owner to the name of his daughter. not excluded from the purview of the relevant Section.

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 58

Legally Speaking.indd 2 09-09-2016 18:22:30


LEGALLY SPEAKING SD ISRANI

Having so concluded, the learned single judge of the the money secured by the policy shall be paid in the event
High Court directed the deputy registrar of cooperative of his death.
societies to grant the necessary approval for transfer of If the nominee is a minor, the policyholder may appoint
the membership in the name of the daughter as nominee any person to receive the money in the event of his death
of the flat-owner. during the minority of the nominee. It means that, if the
The mother and son duo challenged the order passed policyholder is alive when the policy matures for payment,
by the single judge. The matter came before the division he alone will receive payment of the money due under the
bench of the High Court for consideration. The division policy and not the nominee. Any such nomination may be
bench, relying on some earlier judgements, passed an cancelled or changed at any time before the policy matures
interesting order. for payment.
It held that it may not be The Supreme Court held that
possible for the Court to direct Nomination only indicates the the provision in Sub-section (6) of
the mother and son to be joint hand which is authorised to Section 39 of the Life Insurance
members along with the daughter; receive the amount, on the Act, which says that the amount
but, to protect their interest in the payment of which the insurer shall be payable to the nominee,
flat which they had inherited, it gets a valid discharge of its does not mean that the amount
was necessary for the Society to shall belong to the nominee.
liability under the policy.
record their interest expressly in The nomination only indicates
the share certificate as well as in
However, the amount can the hand which is authorised
its records pertaining to members. be claimed by the heirs, in to receive the amount, on the
More particularly, the High accordance with the law of payment of which the insurer gets
Court directed that an entry be succession a valid discharge of its liability
made in the register of members under the policy. However, the
as follows. The daughter, merely amount can be claimed by the heirs
because the nomination was in her favour, cannot transfer of the life assured, in accordance with the law of succession
the share in which she has a part interest; her share can governing them.
only be transferred by express consent of all the heirs. Similarly, in the case of a flat in a cooperative society
Being dissatisfied with the direction of the division discussed earlier, the apex court held that the nomination
bench of the High Court, the daughter approached the of the daughter in the instant case was valid; so the Society
Supreme Court by filing an appeal. Before dealing with was bound to register her name. At the same time, legal heirs
the issue raised in the appeal, the Supreme Court made a could enforce their rights through the due process of law.
reference to the judgements relied on by the division bench
in recording its conclusion. In that context, the apex court
considered some cases relating to role of nominee under
the Life Insurance Act, 1938. SD Israni is a corporate lawyer & Fellow
The Supreme Court analysed the provisions of Section of ICSI. Email: sdisrani@gmail.com
39 of the Life Insurance Act and noted that a holder of a
policy of life insurance may nominate a person to whom

Eating a health food?


But what about financial health?
For subscription offers that
The best wealth food. are a steal, look for a form
elsewhere in this issue or our
Once every fortnight website at www.moneylife.in

59 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Legally Speaking.indd 3 09-09-2016 18:23:10


YOU BE THE JUDGE BAPOO MALCOLM

Pity the Overworked Athlete


T
his author loves sports, and the bias may show. bosses countered, Nothing doing, the players are not
Professional sports were historically looked labourers.
down upon. The British institutionalised them, You be the judge. On which side would you lean and
classifying the amateur cricketer, usually a rich mans why?
son, as a Gentleman, and the working-class chap, Which category did the baseball-players fit into? Was
earning a few pennies, as a Player. Talk of caste their work manual or creative? Would a touch artist,
systems! like Ramanathan Krishnan, be excluded, while a slogger,
Next came the Olympics. Professionals were pariahs, like McEnroe, be eligible? Which player would be better
paid trainers disallowed, the best athletes banned. Iron qualified for relief, a smart pitcher or a solid batter?
Curtain dope-filled sportsmen were taking home the Finally, had the honourable judge ever played baseball
gold. India had sports-persons who did not know to sufficiently understand the nuances?
where their working desks were. They got salaries, Then there was that can of worms. Other support
promotions, special rations, equipmentthe best and staff would follow the players. The ball-boys (and girls)
for freespecial leave, the in tennis, the mechanics in
works. They were still called motor sports, the horse-
amateurs! There were no handlers, the pitch curators,
legal remedies. the rain-cover guys, the
Times change. markers in snooker and
Distinctions and barriers billiards, maybe even the
were erased. Reports flaunted twelfth man who runs up
the money earned. Legal suits with the drinks.
followed. Professionalism The judge rejected
in every sport, from cricket the plaint. He based his
to kabaddi, brought legal decision on the argument
heads to TV channels and that there was no basis
promoters. of a commonality of the
Welcome to the wide, collective-action claim. The
wonderful, world of sports leaguers could not approach
litigation. the court as class-action plaintiffs. While this would
America has major league baseball and minor league mean that individual athletes could ask for damages,
softball games. There is money; top guns make big each case would have to be filed, argued and determined
bucks, marry film stars. The minor leaguers struggled to separately. What you cannot get collectively, you may
go up the ladder with long hours, hard work. As with get individually. More suits, more time spent, more fees
wage-earners of the jitna daam, utna kaam persuasion, collected. Wonders never cease.
they felt that they were overworked and underpaid. The matter was now pregnant with problems. To
They trooped to court. stymie a slew of court cases, the legislature is working
Their grouse was that their employers had run afoul extra hours to introduce special legislation for the
of the California Fair Labour Standards Act. This law Minor League. Whether it will work for other sports is
presupposes two things. One, only those below a certain to be seen; but, in the meantime, who will look after the
salary can claim overtime and only for certain nature of interests of the lawmakers? Having burnt midnight oil,
the work. Cerebral activity is excluded, as opposed to are they not also eligible for overtime pay?
manual. It does not recognise artists, music composers It all depends on whether they admit that their work
and inventors, who work with originality, talent or is non-cerebral. Most voters may agree.
creative features. That left the labourer, the clerk, the
slogger, the run-of-the-mill worker, within the pale.
The ball-players insisted on overtime pay. The Bapoo Malcolm is a practising lawyer in
issue was critical. Come December, the cut-off salary Mumbai. Please email your comments to
mail@moneylife.in
was due to almost double, bringing in many other
claimants, including the better-paid minor stars. The

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 60

You Be the Judge.indd 2 09-09-2016 18:23:54


ML FOUNDATION EVENTS

Every month, I handle over 40 cases related to


phishing and bank frauds. I would strongly urge everyone
to change their password often and not share it with
anyone, including your spouse, friends or even children.
Secure your computer or laptop by activating a firewall and
using good anti-virus and malware protection software.
On social media, like Facebook Twitter and YouTube,
keep your security settings at the highest point. Do not
forget to secure your mobile phones and use updated
apps and software. Be careful while sharing your personal
information like name, address, contact number and
POLICE & YOU, THE 12-WEEK SERIES financial information over Internet. And, if you are a
victim, immediately report to the police and contact the
right lawyer who knows about cybercrimes, he said.
Cybercrimes: Know
Your Rights Financial Crimes &
Frauds: When and How
W
ith changing times, the face or interface
of crime has changed and criminals To Approach the EOW
have become faceless in cyberspace. In

G
cyberspace, you are fooled because fraudsters are smarter reed is the main reason for people becoming
than you are. So be cautious, alert and on the vigil; only victims of financial frauds or cheating. In
that will protect you in the cyberspace, said Sanjay fact, I was aghast to see people from all
Saxena, joint commissioner of police (crime), Mumbai. Mr parts of the society falling prey to such schemes just
Saxena, a 1993-batch IPS officer, who was special inspector because someone has promised them huge returns, said
general with Force One, an elite counter-terrorism wing of S Jayakumar, the deputy commissioner of police, economic
Maharashtra police formed after the 26/11 terror attack, offences wing (EOW), Mumbai. He was speaking at the
was speaking as the chief guest at the seventh session of eighth session of the 12-week series Police&You.
the Police & You series of Moneylife Foundation. Mr Jayakumar, who has a commendable track record
Moneylife Foundation, with Police Reforms Watch with postings at Malegaon as assistant commissioner
and support from Saraswat Bank, has launched the of police (ACP) after a bomb blast and Naxal-infested
12-week programme (every Wednesday) that aims to Gadchiroli as superintendent of police (SP) during an election,
spread knowledge about protecting yourself, your rights, says, Irrespective of
the Indian Penal Code (IPC), cybercrime and economic their reputation and
offences. This was the seventh session which also included achievements, people
presentations by advocate Prashant Mali and Ramesh put their money into
Mohite, former police officer and director at Cyber-I fraudulent schemes. I
Consultancy Services Pvt Ltd. agree we are lagging
Advocate Mali, who appears as an expert legal counsel behind in alerting
in cybercrime and electronic and digital evidence-related S Jayakumar, Mahesh Aathavale, people. However,
DCP former Police officer
cases, says, Digital literacy, safety and security come since we have to deal
with low awareness and knowledge of safeguards and with people from across the strata, it becomes difficult to
laws governing the Internet usage. Laws in India, though reach out to everyone. But we are doing our best and would
enacted with full vigour, are not implemented with the do more to create awareness about these financial scams.
same josh. Common IT users often do not know various The multi-level marketing was conducted by Mr Jayakumar
sections of laws and their rights under the law. and Mahesh Aathavale, a former officer from Mumbai
The incidence of cybercrime is on the increase because Police. Mr Athavale shared details of action taken, or being
of increased use of technology and its careless application. taken, on MLM (multi-level marketing) companies, like
According to advocate Mali, every year, there are estimated QNet, across the globe. He told the audience how, in 2002,
30 million incidents of bank phishing that cost crores of the Australian government named QNet, GoldQuest and
rupees to customers. QuestNet as pyramid schemes.

61 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Event.indd 2 09-09-2016 18:24:58


BOOKS

The Ocean of Churn in Bengal put to death in a single episode.


The job of any good book is to surprise us with facts,

Alternative History especially about known situations, and weave them in a


flowing narrative to support an overarching theme. The
Ocean of Churn does this very well. Sanyal skilfully weaves

M
any have probably read how Sanjeev Sanyal, together stories picked from thousands of years history
a thoughtful historian, economist and urban stretching from Europe to Southeast Asia to show how
planner, has torn to shreds, Ashokas reputation culture and commerce, religion and administration, family
as a pacifist. In case you didnt, here is his story of the real lineages and wars, kinship and genetics across centuries
Ashoka. In 274BC, Bindusara, son of Chandragupta, died. interacted around the Indian ocean. But this story has
The crown prince, Sushima, was on the north-western hardly been told from the perspective of those who lived
frontier fighting incursions. When he rushed back to around the Indian Ocean. Sanyal hopes to rectify that,
capital Pataliputra, he found that Ashoka, one of his with this book.
half-brothers, had seized control. Ashoka got Sushima
killedpossibly roasted alive!
In the next four years, Ashoka Pushed out of their base in Hugli,
seems to have killed all male they (Portuguese) were reduced to
rivals in his family. Buddhist piracy in Bengal and withdrew to
texts mention that he killed 99
half-brothers and only spared
Chittagong where they formed an
his brother Tissa. Having alliance with the Arkanese king Thiri
consolidated his power, he who believed that he was Buddha
was finally crowned emperor
in 270BC. He has many surprises for us about our recent past,
Ashoka invaded Kalinga a too, such as the role played by the revolutionaries in our
few years later and, shocked freedom struggle. Sanyal argues that while the Netaji
by the death and destruction Subhash Chadra Boses role in the last stages of Indias
he had wrought, converted freedom struggle is known, it was really the culmination of
to Buddhism and became a a strategy that had been devised decades ago. The simplest
pacifist. Or, so we believe. way to throw out the British was not civil disobedience but
THE OCEAN OF CHURN Sanyal argues that the rock create a mutiny among the soldiers. After all, the backbone
SANJEEV SANYAL edicts tell us that he had of the British empire was not the few British people who
Penguin Viking converted to Buddhism more lived here but the vast army of Indian soldiers who fought
Pages 297; Rs599
than two years earlier and for the British in many wars across the world. This was
from what we know of his the plan of Rashbehari Bose, Sachindra Nath Sanyal (the
early rule, he was hardly a man to be easily shocked by authors great grandfather), Har Dayal and others from
the sight of blood. the mid-1910s, influenced by Vinayak Savarkar. Another
Sanyal argues that the main evidence of Ashoka's plan included bringing in arms across the sea from the east.
repentance comes from his own inscriptions. It is very Unfortunately, these plans failed each time. SN Sanyal was
curious, however, that this regret is mentioned only in caught and sent to Cellular jail in Andaman and Bose fled
locations far away from Odisha (such as in Shahbazgarhi to Japan. But the idea lived on and manifested years later
in north-western Pakistan) which cant be challenged... If with the dramatic escape of Subhash Bose from house arrest
Ashoka was genuinely remorseful, he would have surely in Kolkata, contacting the Germans and the Japanese, and
bothered to apologize to the people whom he had wronged. leading the charge with an Indian army from the east.
Far from it, he doesnt even offer to free the captives. Ultimately, Indian soldiers did rise up in mutiny in 1946
Even the supposedly regretful inscriptions include a clear (naval revolt of Bombay).
threat of further violence against other groups like the This short review only offers a flavour that the history
forest tribes. It is likely that it was pure propaganda we read is probably a deeply flawed. The stories appear
by Ashoka to counter his reputation for cruelty. Indeed, more nuanced, global, richer and shaped by unsung heroes
the Buddhist text, Ashokavadana, tells us of more acts in Sanyals narrative, where Odiya and Omani seafarers,
of genocide perpetrated many years after he supposedly Chola and Chinese kings, Pallava and Portuguese warriors
turned pacifist; Ashoka once had 18,000 Ajivikas Jains race through the pages. A must-read. Debashis Basu

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 62

Book Review.indd 2 07-09-2016 20:06:22


24 YEARS OF THE SCAM:
THE PERENNIAL BESTSELLER, READS LIKE A THRILLER!
THE ONLY BOOK ON THE TWO BIGGEST STOCK MARKET SCAMS OF INDIA,
NOW IN ITS EIGHTTH PRINTING

THE During discussions that night, Subba Rao called

AM
M
R Sinha, chief general manager (vigilance). They
discussed the course of action and then planned
to go to the Chairman, Maneck N Goiporias
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Scam Ad.indd 1 26-08-2016 17:34:17


MONEY FACTS STOCKS

INDIAN MARKET TRENDS FUND FLOWS


The Sensex and the Nifty advanced 4% each during the Foreigners: Foreign institutional investors were net
fortnight ended 7 September 2016. ML Mega-cap Index buyers of stocks (Rs3,753.80 crore). They bought
and ML Large-cap Index advanced 4% and 3%, respectively. shares worth Rs40,847.66 crore.
ML Small-cap Index and ML Mid-cap Index rose 2% each.
1,450
FII Net Investments
(Rs Crore)
Share Prices Index, March 2016=100 1,010
130

570

120
130

110
-310
29 Aug-16 7 Sep-16

100 Indians: Domestic institutional investors were net


buyers of stocks (Rs756.61 crore). They bought
shares worth Rs17,333.43 crore.
90 850
Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16

ML Large-cap ML Small-cap Nifty ML Micro-cap 445


ML Mid-cap ML Mega-cap Sensex

40

Index 26 Aug 07 Sep +/- DII Net Investments


-365 (Rs Crore)
Sensex 27,782.25 28,926.36 4%
Nifty 8,572.55 8,917.95 4%
-770
ML Mega-cap Index 120.15 124.49 4% 29 Aug-16 7 Sep-16

ML Large-cap Index 119.35 122.38 3%


ML Small-cap Index 117.98 120.74 2%
GLOBAL MARKET TRENDS
60,150
ML Mid-cap Index 122.25 124.47 2%
ML Micro-cap Index 113.43 114.23 1% 57,930
Bovespa
Mega-cap Gainers/Losers 26 Aug 07 Sep Change 55,710

Dalmia Bharat 1,494.80 1,788.45 20% 53,490

Idea Cellular 93.95 83.70 -11% 51,270

Large-cap Gainers/Losers 26 Aug 07 Sep Change


49,050
Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
Hindustan Construction Co 23.50 33.10 41%

Jubilant Foodworks 1,207.25 1,087.45 -10% Bovespa, Nikkei and Hang Seng advanced 4%
each. NASDAQ Composite, S&P 500 and Shanghai
Mid-cap Gainers/Losers 26 Aug 07 Sep Change
Composite rose 1% each. The FTSE ended flat.
Patel Engineering 46.60 85.25 83%
Index 26 Aug 07 Sep +/-
Kiri Industries 343.10 279.30 -19% Bovespa 57,716 60,129@ 4%

Small-cap Gainers/Losers 26 Aug 07 Sep Change Nikkei 16,361 17,012 4%


Hang Seng 22,910 23,742 4%
Pioneer Embroideries 44.70 65.05 46%
Taiwan Weighted 9,132 9,259 1%
MBL Infrastructures 114.30 76.20 -33%
NASDAQ Composite 5,219 5,284 1%
Micro-cap Gainers/Losers 26 Aug 07 Sep Change Korean Composite 2,038 2,062 1%

C&C Constructions 15.50 25.00 61% S&P 500 2,169 2,186 1%


Shanghai Composite 3,070 3,092 1%
Lumax Automotive Systems 35.75 26.05 -27%
FTSE 6,838 6,847 0%
(All Prices in Rs) @ - 6 September 2016

MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 64

Money Fact.indd 2 09-09-2016 18:26:54


MONEY FACTS STOCKS

Whats H T

Automobile companies were in demand during the fortnight. Tata
Motors, Hero MotoCorp and Maruti Suzuki India soared 17%, 9% and 8%,
ML SECTORAL TRENDS
Stocks of automobiles companies
and retail companies advanced 8%
respectively. Mahindra & Mahindra and Force Motors advanced 4% each. each. Stocks of glass companies and
banks rose 7% and 6%, respectively.
Companies 26 Aug 07 Sep +/- Shares of telecom services
companies declined 5%, while shares
ML Auto Index Tata Motors 503.75 587.70 17%
of printing & publishing companies
140 TVS Motor Co 303.40 330.65 9% and sugar companies fell 2% each.
Hero MotoCorp 3,316.80 3,609.85 9% Shares of software & IT services
130
companies fell 1%.
Maruti Suzuki India 4,920.90 5,338.00 8%
120 M&M 1,424.85 1,488.75 4% ML Sectoral Trends
Force Motors 2,995.80 3,129.75 4% Office Equipment 9% Telecom services -5%
110
Bajaj Auto 2,858.25 2,985.85 4% Auto 8% Printing & Publishing -2%
100 Eicher Motors 22,331 22,973.90 3% Retail 8% Sugar -2%

Majestic Auto 96.30 99.05 3% Glass 7% Software & IT Serv -1%


90
Ashok Leyland 87.70 88.50 1% Banks 6% Foods & Beverages -1%
Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
All Prices in Rs

FOOD INFLATION
Whats N T Combined food inflation
increased to 7.87% in July 2016
Telecom services companies were a mixed bag. Idea Cellular and Tata
compared with 7.46% recorded
Teleservices (Maharashtra) tumbled 11% and 9%, respectively. Reliance
Communications and Bharti Airtel declined 7% each. for June 2016. For rural and
urban areas, food inflation in
Companies 26 Aug 07 Sep +/-
June was 7.84% and 7.95%,
ML Telecom Service Index respectively. Vegetable prices
Idea Cellular 93.95 83.70 -11% increased by 13.98% in July
115
Tata Teleservices 6.60 5.98 -9%
compared with those prevailing
110 in June 2016. Inflation in fruit
Reliance Comm 53.95 49.95 -7%

Bharti Airtel 344.10 320.60 -7%


105 Continuing Upward Trend
8.00%
Tata Comm 524.60 519.35 -1% 100
Annual Change
Bharti Infratel 346.85 349.35 1% 95

5.25%
MTNL 20.85 21.80 5% 90
Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
All Prices in Rs

2.50%
BULK DEALS Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16

Date Company Buyer Seller Rs Cr


prices was 3.53% in July, while
30 Aug-16 Kalpataru Power HSBC Global Invt Funds Indian HSBC Global Inv Funds Mauritius 84.11 pulses were dearer by 27.53%
06 Sep-16 IRB Infrastructure HSBC Global Invt Funds Indian HSBC Global Inv Funds Mauritius 70.76
y-o-y. Inflation for cereals stood
at 3.88% and inflation for milk
29 Aug-16 Bodhtree Consulting Anita Soni Bodhtree Solutions 1.40
products was 4.05%. Price rise
02 Sep-16 Scanpoint Geomatics Rajesh Chandubhai Thakkar Karnavati Infrastructure Projects 0.39
of non-vegetarian items, such as
06-09-2016 Suncare Traders Sword Edge Commercials Amrapali Capital and Finance Serv 0.24 meat and fish, was 6.49% in July
30 Aug-16 Telecanor Global Aarav Financial Services Pvt Anita Rakeshkumar Ranka 0.12 compared with 6.60% in June
2016.
06 Sep-16 Nalin Lease Finance Dilipkumar Nalinkant Gandhi Manishkumar Dashrathbhai Raval 0.05

65 | 16-29 Sep 2016 | MONEYLIFE

Money Fact.indd 3 09-09-2016 18:27:14


BEYOND MONEY

Reaching Out to FOHF works closely with the armed forces to identify
families of brave-hearts across the country. Its team of
volunteers conducts programmes to commemorate our
the Families of the soldiers and spread the message of their service and sacrifice
to the citizens to keep their memories alive.
Brave-hearts Shivani Sharma Dasmahapatra, programme director,
FOHF says, No one can bring back what they have
lost, but for us it is of foremost importance to be there

H
ow often does it happen that we are deeply moved for their families and let them know that they are not
by the martyrdom of a brave soldier and want alone. She points out that the nation comes together to
to show support and solidarity to his distraught express grief when a brave-heart lays down his life for the
family in a meaningful way? How many of us can actually nation; but public memory is short and everything is soon
follow up on our feelings and do something about it? forgotten.
Most people will answer in the negative. Well, here is an FOHFs stated objectives include: advocacy about
opportunity for you, as a concerned citizen, to engage the concerns of the armed forces and veterans; providing
with an organisation that is dedicated to fostering a spirit assistance to families of martyrs and veterans with special
of patriotism and ensuring that the families of martyrs emphasis on helping war widows and ensure permanent
do not endure alone. housing for martyrs families; work at sustainable
Flags of Honour Foundation (FOHF), a not-for-profit programmes and partnerships to ensure rehabilitation,
organisation started by employment, education,
Rajeev Chandrashekar, health and financial
entrepreneur and stability of families
Member of Parliament of martyrs; educate
(MP), aspires to act as a and inculcate values
bridge for civil society to of service and honour
engage with, recognise among people and
and support the Armed instil patriotism and
Forces and inspire the responsible citizenship
younger generation among the youth.
through stories of While the organisation
valour and sacrifice of is based in Bengaluru,
the men and women in it hopes to have a pan-
uniform. India presence.
FOHF was registered Some important
as a charitable trust a advocacy campaigns
little after the Mumbai taken up by FOHF
terror attacks of 2008 when Major Sandeep Unnikrishnan were to support the one-rank-one-pension agitation by
sacrificed his life to save people. Mr Chandrashekar veterans, voting rights of armed forces soldiers who are
presented a cheque of Rs25 lakh to Major Unnikrishnans away from home and helping Dr NK Kalia to petition
family. Soon thereafter, he decided to put a formal face to the United Nations Human Rights Commission seeking
the effort to support the families of martyrs and registered independent investigations on the torture and death of
FOHF as a charitable trust in July 2009. The Foundation Capt Saurabh Kalia and five jawans in the Kargil War in
provides financial assistance and grants to martyrs families 1999. The voting rights campaign registered a significant
by reaching out to them and understanding their needs. victory, in March 2014, when the Supreme Court ordered
For instance, FOHF offered financial assistance to the the Election Commission to facilitate voting by armed
widow of martyr Havaldar Channalli forces and their families posted in peace
(who died in Kashmir) to restore a zones; but the battle for voting rights to
dilapidated memorial to the Param those posted in field areas continues.
Vir Chakra awardee. It gave a grant to FLAGS OF HONOUR You can join the effort by volunteering
martyr Abdul Hameed at Dhampur in FOUNDATION with FOHF or by donating to the cause.
54, Richmond Road,
Uttar Pradesh to help his widow, Rasulan Donations are tax-exempt under Section
Bengaluru - 560025
Bibi, renovate her house. Telephone: 080 - 4093 3141 80-G of the Income-tax Act.
Fax: 080 - 2532 3488
Email: suresh.nr@flagsofhonour.org
MONEYLIFE | 16-29 Sep 2016 | 66 Web: http://www.flagsofhonour.in/

Beyond_money.indd 1 07-09-2016 20:03:25


Advertisements.indd 2 03-10-2015 14:03:26
REGISTERED WITH THE RNI UNDER NO. MAHENG/2006/16653. Postal Registration No:
MCW/184/2015-2017. POSTED AT PATRIKA CHANNEL SORTING OFFICE, MUMBAI 400001.
Date of Publishing 9 September 2016. Date of Posting Alternate Tuesday & Wednesday.

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