Professional Documents
Culture Documents
I
HE
5614.2 1
.A45 I
Reported by DAVIDSOLOMON
Chief, Safety Research Branch
Traffic Systems Research Division
Office of Research and Development
TABLES
Page Page
1. General characteristics of study sec- 5. Involvement, injury, fatality, and prop-
tions---------------------------- 3 erty clamage rates by travel speed,
2. Design characteristics of study sec- day and night--- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 12
tions---------------------------- 5
3. Characteristics of drivers and vehicles 6. Involvement, injury, fatality, ancl prop-
by stucly sections, day and night- - - 6 erty damage rates by travel speecl on
4. Rntio of night to clay involvement rates 2-lane main rural highways for all
by travel speed--- - -- - - - - - - -- - - -- .- 10 types of vehicles, day ancl night- - - - 13
Page Page
7. Involvement, injury, fatality, and prop- 25. Vehicle-miles, number of involvements,
erty damage rates by travel speed on and involvement rate by type of
4-lane main rural highways for all vehicle, day and night--- - - -- - - - - - - 24
types of vehicles, day and night - - - - 14 26. Vehicle-miles, number of involvements,
8. Speed when involvement rate was a and involvement rate by age of pas-
minimum by average speed of study senger car, day and night - - - - - - - - - -
sections, day and night--- - - - - - - - - - 16 27. Involvement rate by horsepower and
9. Involvement rate by travel speed ancl age of passenger car, day and night-
age of driver, day and night ------- - 18 28. Vehicle-miles, number of involvements,
10. Involvement rate by travel speed ancl involvement rate by horsepower, day
sex of driver for all types of vehicles, and night--- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - -
day and night - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 20 29. Involvement rate by driver's age and
11. Involvement r a t ~by travel speed by horsepower of passenger car, day and
military status ol driver, day and night- - - - - _ _ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
night- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 20 30. Involvement rate by horsepowor and
12. Involvement rate by travel speed and
residence of driver, day and night---
13. Ii~volvemei~t rate by travel speed and
31. Involvement, injury, fatality, and prop-
vehicle type, day and night- - - - - - - - 20 erty damage rates by price of car,
14. Involvement rate by travel speed and
day and night--- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
horsepower of passenger car, day
and night-- - - - - - - - - - - - _ - _ - - - - - - - - 20 32. Involvement rate by travel speed, age
15. Involvement rate by travel speed and and horsepower of passenger car, and
body style of passenger car, clay ancl age of driver, day and night com-
night - - - - - - - - - - - _ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 21 bined- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
+
FIGURES
Page
1. Travel speeds of acciclent-involved and 9. Involvement rate by sex and age of
intorviewed clrivers, day ----------- 9 passenger-car driver, day and night-
2. Involvement rate b y travel speed, day 10. Involvement rate by residence of
and night ------- -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 10 driver, day and night--- - - - - - - - - - - -
3. Persons injured per 100 involvements 11. Involvement rate by type of vehicle,
and property damage per involve- day and night - - - - - - - - - , - - - - - - -
ment by travel speed, day - - - - - - - - - - 11
IJ.
The relationship between speecl, characteristics accident involvement is onc clriver or one vehicle
of drivers ancl vehicles, and accidents is of principal in one accident. Involvement rate represents the
importance to an unclerstanding of highway traffic number of involvements per 100 million miles of
operations and safety. Many of these relation- travel.
ships have not been clearly understoocl in the A description of the procedure usecl in obtaining
past. To better define these fundamental relation- thc data and the resultant finclings relating speed,
ships, 11 States and the Bureau of Public Roads driver, and vehicle characteristics to reported
cooperated in a stucly of accident involvements accidents on main rural highways in the United
related to characteristics of normal traf6c on 600 States are included in this publication. Apart .
miles of main rural highways in the United States. from the accident analysis, some subsidiary a n d -
The accident records of nearly 10,000 drivers, yses of travel patterns and speed also have been
speed observations, and interviews with 290,000 inclucled.
drivers using these highways provided the basic
data for analysis in the study reported in this
publication. The results of this stucly were sum- Summary
marized in a report to the Congress, The Federal
Role in TIigkway Safety.' The present report The principal findings of this stucly in relation
extends the analysis and provides much greater to reported accidents on 2- and $-lane main rural
detail than the earlier summary. highways (not freeways) are s u m a r i z e d in the
In the course of the study, speed and other following statements.
characteristics such as age, sex, military status,
and residence of the driver ; types of vehicles ; and The acciclent-involvement, injwy, and
the horsepower, body style, ancl age of passenger property-damage rates were highest a t very low
cars were related to acciclents. Involvement rate speecls, lowest a t about the average speed of all
was the Bey to the analysis problem. Accident traffic, and increased a t the very high speeds,
reports, for example, frequently show the esti- particularly a t night;. Thus, the greater the varia-
matecl travel speeds of vehicles involvecl in high- tion in speed of any vehicle from the average
way acciclents. I t is not enough, however, to speed of all traEc, the greater its chance of being
h o w that a certain number of clrivers involved involved in an accident.
in accidents were traveling at a particular speed; a The severity of acciclents increased as speed
it is also essential to determine how much clriving increased, especially a.1; speeds exceeding 60 miles
was done at that same speecl. Then, by relating per hour.
the travel speeds of acciclent-involved clrivers ancl
of all clrivers, i t is possible to determine the The fatality rate was higl~esi;a t very high
hazard associatecl with specific clriving speecls- speeds and lowest a t about the average speecl.
the accident-involvemei~trate. Simply put, an
a Pairs of passenger-car ckive~sinvolved in
two-car, rear-end collisions were much more likely
1 The Federal Role in Higliway Safety, Housc Doc. 93,86th Cong., 1st sess.,
to be traveling at; speed differences greatly in
1859, pp. 71-84 excess of those observed for pairs of cars in normal
traffic. For esaniple, fully one-third of accident- for specific driver groups, are not applicable to
irlvolvetl pairs of drirers were traveling a t speecl individual drivers, and do not prove that indivi-
differences of 30 miles per hour or more, corllpxred tlui~lidentifiable clrivers are accident prone. The
to orily 1 percent of pairs of cars in norr~laltraffic. finclings iu the study reported here do show that
tls IL group some specific classes of drivers are more
e Passenger-car drivers under 35 years of age
and more than 65 gears of age had the highest likely to be involved in accidents than other
hvolvemen t rates. classes of clrivers. Very slow speeds and, to a
lesser extent, youth of the drivers had the gseatest
0 When more than 36 years of age, female
effect on the involvement rate.
passenger-car dri-rers consistently had higher
accident-involrement rates than male drivers. 0 Computation of injury rates on an occupant-
Fewer consistent differences between the two sexes mile basis showed the highest injury rate for
were noted when drivers were less than 35 years occupants of the front left and right seats. The
of age. injury rate was about one-half as great for occu-
pants of the center front, left rear, and right rear
e Involvenlerlt rates for members of the Armed
seats; and one-third as great for occupants of the
Forces mere about twice as great as the non-
center rear seats.
members in comparable age groups.
e Local drivers tended to h a r e higher involve- o Nearly half of all accident involvelnents were
nlent rates than other drivers, particularly at either rear-end collisions or same-direction side-
night. swipes. However, the proportion of these acci-
dent involvements decreased as travel speed
Q During the day, for passenger cars and trucks
increased. Single vehicle, lloncollision accident
only small differences existed in inrolvement rates. involvements contributed an increasingly greater
However, a t night passenger car involvement rates proportion of all accident involvements as speed
were nearly three times as great as those for increased, particularly at speeds of more than 70
truclcs having si.i or Inore tires. miles per hour. A t speeds of 80 miles per hour,
0 Drivers of passenger cars having low horse- noncollision accidents constituted half of all
power had higher involvenlent rates than drivers involvements. Although angle collisions usually
of cars having higher horsepower, regardless of the were less than 15 percent of the total, a t speeds
ot.her variables studied. This may he related to of less than 25 miles per hour they constituted
the relatively poor acceleration capability a t high- more than one-third of all accident involvements.
way speeds of cars having low horsepower. The proportion of head-on collisions or opposite-
direction sideswipes increased as speed increased;
Drivers of older cars had higher invo1.c-ernent but this type of accident involvement always
rates than drivers of newer cars, b u t this may have was less than 20 percent of the total regardless
been a t least partly related to the low horsepower of speed and day or night conditions.
and poor acceleration of the older cars.
e Rear-end collisions mere the predominant
e Difference in makes of passenger cars had
type of collision for every age group; however,
little effect on involvement mtes.
drivers over the age of 65 also tended to be in-
e The range in involvement rates was consider- volved in angle collisions, and younger drivers
able, the rate depending on the combiriations of also tended to have noncollision accidents that
driver and vehicle chnl-acteristics studied. For involved only their own vehicle.
example, drivers 40 years of age, traveling a t 65
0 Accidents involving many vehicles were rare.
miles pcr hour in cars 2 years old that had 200
horsepower, averaged only one reported accident For example, only 1 percent of all accidents
involtred four or more vehicles and less than 0.1
in 1,600,000 miles of driving. I n contrast, drivers
18 years of age, traveling a t 30 miles per hour in percent involved six or more vehicles.
cars 6 years old that had 100 horsepower, areragcd Sex and age of drivers affected the propor-
one reported accident in 12,000 rniles of driving. tionate distribution of travel on main rural
This example merely demo~istratesthe extremes highways. Female drivers performed only 13
in involvenlent rates obtained in the study. percent of the day travel m d only 7 percent of
hloreorer, these and other findings are averages night travel. Male drivers between 20 and 55
2
years 01 age perlorined the s~rnountof mas a slight decrease in mean speed as age of
travel per registered driver--older drivers reduced driver arid age of passenger car increased. Aver-
their travel even more at night. age truck speeds were several miles per hour slower
than passeriger car speeds. The speeds of passen-
e The inean speed and the variability in speeds ger cars mere directly related to their horsepower,
showecl only a moclerate variation for riearly all speed being greater for those in the higher horse-
driver and vehicle characteristics stucliecl. There power groups.
Driveways
Study 1057 Access Inter-
Terrain
I-
section State Location Length ADT control sections
Business Residen-
tial
2-LAN1 SECTIONS
Nt~~nherrVuir&ber N x m b ~ r
Miles per mile per mile per nule
1 Montaua- -.--...
FAI-15-7TrolI Creek to Casciade-----.--.------ 31.4 1,000 None- ---- 0.2 hlountainous.
2 .....do ---.---.-..
FAI-15 Terrrlirli F A S 2i9 to WolC Creek------ 27.2 1,100 l o 0.2 0.2
0.3 0.8
1.5 Do.
3 ....-do --.---.----
FBI-15 Vauglln Junction to Conmd. --..-.-.- 47.5 1,200 d o- - 1.0 0. 1 0.4 Level.
4 Iowa 3 from Iolvn. 241 to Iown 150----.--.-----.
Iowa ----.----.--- 10.1 2,000 .--..do ---.. 0.9 0.0 2.2 Rolling.
5 Minnesota T.H. 52 Rochester to Chatfield--...-.-.-.-.--- 15.5 2 d o- - 1.5 0.4 3.2 Do.
fi Virginia.--..----Route 17 Essex Coutty .--.......-...--------.
20.3 2,200 ...-. do ---- 1.0 1.9 6.9 Level.
7 Iowa.--.--.-..-..U.S. 34, hlonroe County line to Ottumwn---..10.G 2,300 .-.--do ---- 1.3 0.4 3.0 Rolling.
8 Ariaonn..---.----U.S. 80 Dateland .--..-.-...-------------. 37.0 2,800 .-..-do ---.0.4 0.5 0.1 Level.
9 Missouri---...---Route 36 West of Chillicothe.......--------.-.
11.0 2,900 ._..-do .-.- 1.2 0.6 3.9 Rolling.
10 North Carolina-- U.S. 258 from, Ricblar~dsto the Junction of 10.0 2,000 .-.-.do ---. 1.2 1.0 7.0 Level.
North Carolltln .55.
11 St. 69 near New River.. --.-.........-.-.-.--.
Arizona -.---..--.. 31.8 2,000 ....- do- - - - 0.5 0.7 0.2 (9
12 Connecticut ..-..U.S. 44 in Norlolk, Colebroolc, Wincl~esler G.2 3,300 .-..-do- --. 1.0 2. U 5.3 Rolling.
13 North Carolina-. U.S. 1 from Manly to Trarnway.---.---....-- 15.0
+---
PLBNE SECTIONS
28 Virginia---.-.--.
Route GO in New Kent County- .----..------.18.0 5 000 None. --.. 1.6 3.0 3.1 Level.
29 Minnesota ..----.
T.Il. 10 St. Cloud to Beckor..-..--.-.-..-----
15.4 5: 000 Partial---- 1.5 0.6 0.0 Rolling.
30 Missouri..-.--.--
Route dk West of Rolls in Pholps Couuty----.7.8 7 100 --..-do --.- 1.3 0.3 3.4 $10.
31 New Jersey-..--.
U.S. 130 in Middlesex County. -------.-.--...
9.1 11: 200 None-.--. 3.2 4.0 3.0 Level.
32 --..-do .....--.---
U.S. 1 in Middlesex County .._.-.-----.------ 9.8 4 0 d o- - 2. G 6. 5 Q. 5 Do.
33 U.S. 40 (PA1 QZ) 3 miles West of Davis...-.---
California.---.-.- 10.4 14, 000 Partial --.- 1.0 0.4 0.7 DO.
-----do- ----.-----
U.S. 99 (FAI) 2 miles South nf Lodi-.- .-...-.. 7.2 10 800 -..--do .--.- 2.5 7.8 15.6 DO.
I 35
34 Connecticut --.-.
ConnecticuC 15, TVilbur Cross IIighway-.----. 3.4 24: 100 Pull. - ---- (2) 0. 0 0.0 Rolling.
I
The 600 miles of main rural highways on which per hour for short distances. The other four
the studies were conducted mere comprised of 35 sections had design speeds of 35 or 45 miles per
different sections in 11 States. The participating hour.
States were Airizona, Califoxnia, ConnecticuG,
Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, Speed limits
North Carolina, Oregon, and Virginia.
The day legal spced limit for passenger cars on
28 of the sections varied between 55 and 70 miles
Studg Sections per hour. Two sections had a 45-mile-per-hour
limit and the five others haci a "reasonable and
Individual study sections were between 5 and 50
proper" or similar subjective types of speed limits.
miles long, cxcept for one section that was 91 miles
Night speed limits were 5 or 10 miles per hour
long; the average section length was 17 miles.
lower t h m the day limits for about half of the
Characteristics of the study sections are enumer-
study sections. On eight of the sections, both day
ated in table 1. Of the study sections, 27 mere
ancl night speed h i t s for truclrrs were lower than
2-lane highways on which average traffic volumes
for passenger cars, by 5 to 15 miles per hour.
ranged from 1,000 to 8,000 vehicles per day.
Average day speeds recorded for drivers a t
Eight sections were 4-lane divided Lighways on
inclividud study shes ranged from 42 to 59 miles
which average traffic volumes ranged from 5,000
per hour, as shorn in table 3; the overall median
to 24,000 vehicles per day. Only one of the 4-
speed was 50 miles per hour. The average or
lane sections had full control of access, four had
arithmetic mean speed was slightly higher, 52
partial control, and three had none. On the
miles per hour. Night driving speeds at most
average, each 3 miles of the highways studied had
locations were similar t o those measured during
fowl intersections and two entrances to roadside
the day, and the overall night ancl clay averages
businesses. Two of the study sections werc in
were nearly identical.
mountainous terrain ; the remaiucler of the sections
were about equaly divided between level and
rolling terrain. Other characteristics
Design characteristics of the study sections are The proportion of male drivers Cluing the day
shown in table 2. Lanes were gellerally 10 to 12 ranged from 81 to 94 percent on the individual
feet wide, and portlancl cement concrete and study sections, and the overdl meclian was 87
bituminous swfaces were equally representod. percent. At night, the proportion of male clsivers
Shoulders were usually at least 4 feet wide, and ranged from 85 to 98 percent, and the overall
shoulders of half of the sections were least 8 feet median mas 93 percent. Because of the pre-
wide. Thc shoulders were predominantly of ponderance of male drivers on main rural high-
gravel, but somc were of a lom-type of bituminous ways, many studies and operational activities can
material. On 4-lane sections, the meclian was be directed to them alone with assurance that
generally grass ancl between 10 and 50 feet wide. nearly all clrivers mill be included.
The clesign speed was 60 or 70 miles per hour for Among the individual study sections, the aver-
thirty-one of the sections, but on four of these age age of drivers during the day rstngecl from a low
sections the design speed dropped to 40 or 50 miles of 36 years to a high of 43 years, a rather narrow
Table 2.-Design characteristics of study sections
Stucy
section
Lane midth
fleet
1 Pavement
TIPC Width
Zeet
1 Shoulder
TYPB Width
2-LANE S ~ I O N S
Xeet
Median
Typo
1
speed Passenger cars
Speed limit
a ,
Trucks
M.p.h. M.p.h.
Night
1 10 'Diturninous------..--------- 2 Gravel-.-....---------
N h N A --.--.--.--...
60 65 65 50 50
2 10 Btuminous-.------.-------. 2 Gravel-----..--".-----
NA A 60 05 65 50 50
3 12 Bituminous--..----.-------- 2 Gravel------.---..----
NA A 70 65 55 50 50
4 9 Portland cement concrete- -. 6 Gravel and earth ---.-.
Nh NA --.-..-.---.-
45 11 R 60 50 50
5 10 Portlandcement concrete--.. 10 Gavel A A 60 60 50 50 50
6 10,ll Bituminous---.------------- 440 Gravel-.--.-----------
NA A 60 55 65 45 45
7 9 Portland cement concrete-.. 8 Gravel andearth .-----
NA A 35 11 R 60 60 50
8 12 Bituminous..-..------------. 8 Mixed bituminous -.--
NA A 70 60 60 00 50
9 10 Bituminous---.------------- 5 t h A N A -..-.--.-----
36 la 70 12 65 12 70 la 65
10 1 Bituminous 8 G A N A --.-.--..-.--
60 55 55 66 56
11 12 Bituminous.-.--.--.-------- 8 Bituminoussurface NA N A ..-----..-.--
70 60 50 10 50
treatment.
12 11 Portland cement concrete--. 8 i d A A 0 0 50 50 60 50
13 11 Portlandcement cencrete--. 12 G A NA -.------.-...
080 56 56 5.5 65
14 1 Bitnino 7 Gave A A 6 70 11 It '1 R 11 1% 11 R
15 12 Bituminous ,.--------------- 4 Earth -----.---..------
NA A 35 1% 70 1% 65 l a 70 2' 68
16 10 Portland cement concrete..1 10 Oiled--..-...---------
NA NA- ------------ 50 50 50 60
17 10 Portland cement concrete--- NA A -
10 Sodded----.---..--.-- - 65 65 65 56
18 12 Bituminous-.--------------- 8 Mixedbituminous---.
NA A 70 60 60 60 50
19 10 Bituminous----------------- 10 GraveL---.-----.-----
NA N A 6 70 " RR 11 R l1 R 1' R
20 12 Portlmd cement concrete--- 10 Gravelmdearth ..-.--
N A N A -.--..-----... 60 11 60 60 60
21 12 Bituminous-..-----.-.-.--.. 6 G a l A A 70 60 50 60 50
22 12 Portlandcement concrete 2.- 10 Earth ---..-...--------
NA A 60 '70 12 65 1270 la 65
23 10,11,12 Bituminous a -----...-.----.-
0-6 Bituminous----------- N A A 60 66 65 66 55
24 11 Bituminous 8 G A A - -- - 6 60 55 65 55 55
25 12 Bituminous-.-----..-------- 6 Gravel A A - 60 60 50 60 50
26 11 Portland ceruent concrete-.- 10 Oiled NA A Q 0 45 45 46 45
27 11 Portland cement ooncrete-.- 8 NA N A -.-.--.--.---
Oiled --...-.-.-------- 10 70 45 45 45 45
4-LANE SECTIONS
range. At night, the average age was several cent. Obviously, tihe closeness to military installa-
years younger. tions affects the proportion of military drivers.
The average horsepower of passenger cars being The percentage of out-01-State drivers on the
driven during the day on the individual study individual study sections ranged from 3 to 88
sections ranged from a low of 132 horsepower to a percent in the day and from 2 to 76 percent at
high of 159 horsepower. At night, the range was night. The perceniiage of commercial vehicles
about the same. These averages, of course, apply was lrom 12 Lo 39 percent during the day and
to the cars in use during 1954-58. Today the from 5 to 79 perccnt a t night. During tho day,
situation may be slightly different. the average age of passenger cars on the incliviclual
The proportion of military drivers using the study sections ranged from 3.6 to 5.5 years. The
individual study sections Mered consiclerably. range in age at night mas nearly identical.
D u k g the day the range was from 1 to 14 per- The 35 study sections are believed to represent
cent; at night from less than 1 percent to 32 per- a reasonable cross section of main rural highways
Table 3.-Characteristics of drivers and vehicles by study sections, dny and night
2-LINE SECTIONS
Day Aright Day Night Day Night Da?l Niglrl Dull Night Dafl Night Dau Nigi~t Day Night
1 &Iontuna---.----------------
52.1 4,.J 41.2 36.4 90.3 93.5 2.1 0.0 17.3 9.1 20.9 27.5 4.1 4.1 146 140
2 hIontana --------.-----------
52.7 50.6 41.8 36.1 88.5 98.3 2.0 3.1 2.7 14.5 22.2 52.1 4.2 4.4 147 130
3 Montana ------.-------.-----
57.0 54.3 41.1 41.8 88.0 85.1 1.2 0.0 10.8 3.2 21.9 30.0 3.9 3.7 151 160
4 .....-.---.------..------
1o~r.a 55.9_ 54.0 41.4 38.2 87.1 88.3 0.8 0.1 29.9 16.3 24.3 10.8 4.1 4.4 149 138
5 63. ,
hIinnesota.------.-----------
(1) 41.1 (1) 83. 1 (1) 0. 7 (1) 25.1 (1) 12.1 4.7 (1) 135 (I)
V i. 406 51.6 40.1 32.3 86.0 05.0 13.0 32.0 45.5 38.8 18.4 21.3 3.8 4.2 159 143
0 Iova ..--------..-.--..---.---
47.1 44.9 42.3 37.5
.
85.0 93.3 1.7 1.0 13.5 10.3 19.0 12.6 5.1 4.9 133 133
Arizona----.----..--.--------
53.0 50.8 43.0 37.5 86.7 91.9 4.1 7.3 74.1 60.0 31.4 35.5 3.9 4.6 150 140
9 Missouri------.--------------
49.8 44.7 41.3 39., 88.6 95.7 3.7 4.0 31.3 37.8 28.5 49.6 4.0 4.1 144 150
10 Worth Carolinn 49.0 .----.--------
4 i . 7 36.5 33.7 86.6 85.4 9.7 25.7 12.3 28.4 24.8 0.2 4.2 4.1 138 138
, 11 r i a 500 52.3 42.6 40.4 85.4 90.3 1.G 0. 0 22.6 17.6 25.8 34.1 4.1 4.3 153 151
12 Connecticut.-------.-------.
43.7 43.5 41.7 37.0 81.1 91.1 1.1 0.9 26.3 28.7 20.0 27.3 4.5 4.4 141 144
13 North Carolina--------.-_---
48.1 42.0 39.5 35.1 85.2 92.3 5.4 6.6 44.3 30.9 18.4 10.8 3.8 4.0 150 147
14 Oregon ---.--.----.---.------
46.9 47.4 41.3
kIissouri-.---_-_-------------
48.0 41.8
35.4 84.2 88.8 0.9 3.0 6.0
22.1
2.7
28.3
22.0
26.8
0.5
50.5
5.3
4.2
5.7 132
142
132
138
15 49.0 37.3 89.6 97.5 1.1 1.3 4.4
16 New Jersey---.----....------
47.2 48.7 40.4 38.2 88.2 95.3 3.5 3.9 26.7 10.8 25.1 64.1 4.2 4.0 143 141
17 Minnesota---..--------------
50.9 (1) 40.9 (1) 84.6 (1) 0.7 10.5 (1) 11.8 (1) 5.0 (1) 134 (1)
18 Arizona..-..--.-...-.--------
53.2 49.9 40.6 30.2 85.2 89.3 2.7 (25 87.9 76.2 24.1 18.9 3.8 3.9 151 150
19 Oregon.----.-.------.-------
4 3 . ~ 39.8 42.7 38.2 84.1 02.6 0.6 0.0 7.6 1.5 19.4 5.5 5.5 5.0 131 137
20 1 0. . 52.5 51.0 40.4 36.9 88.8 95.3 1.2 0.9 3Y.B 27.1 31.7 29.7 4.0 4.4 148 142
21 Mi~mcsota 50.2
--.-.-------------- (1) 39.9 (1) 88.4 (1) 1.5 6.8 (1) 14.0 (1) 4.4 (1) 141 (1)
22 s o i 52. 53.1 40.0 33.9 91.1 94.7 3.0 (22 30.3 23.6 25.1 35.5 3.Q 4.2 148 141
23 California--..-.--------------
57.3 54.0 41.0 37.5 84.3 96.4 ---. ----- 18.3 16.3 22.5 63.8 4.4 5.0 143 139
24 North Carolina--.--.---.----
40.4 41.5 42.2 35.1 87.0 95.5 4.6 15.4 70.7 64.6 21.6 16.3 3.7 4.3 158 142
25 Minnesota---.-.--.----------
49.5 (Ij 40.2 (1) 80.5 (1) 0.9 9.5 (1) 16.2 (1) 4.5 (1) 141 (1)
26 Connecticut .----------------
41.8 44.2 40.5 37.0 80.6 04.0 0.1 (28 40.0 64.4 15.8 42.0 4.7 5.5 137 129
27 C ~ ~ ~ c t i c ~ l - . - . , - - . - - - - - - - - - 44.6 47.4 40.1 36.5 88.6 94.7 0 5 0.1 10.3 11.3 19.6 21.7 4.6 4.9 140 141
- - - - - - - - - - - -
.----------------------------
- - - 7
Median 49.8 48.0 41.3 37.0 86.8 93.5 1.7 3.1 22.6 23.6 21.0 27.5 4.2 4.4 143 141
4-LANE SECTIONS
28 Virginia --------.------.-----
48.8 50.3 40.3 37.2 87.0 92.2 6.5 8.9 20.0 11.3 18.5 20.0 3.8 4.0 156 153
29 Minnesota -.--....-.---.-.---
57.1 (1) 41.0 (1) 89.0 (I) 1.5 (I) 5.5 (1) 18. o (I) 4.1 (I) 143 (I)
30 hIissouri-...--..-------------
52.7 48.5 38.5 34.8 88.3 95.4 12.8 18.1 44.4 42.1 23.5 61.2 4.0 4.3 146 142
31 NewJersey ---.--------------
47.9 49.8 39.4 38.4 93.8 98.2 3.0 0.8 30.8 55.9 38.7 79.5 4.3 4.5 140 141
32 NewJersey ---------.-..-----
46.2 50.4 39.6 39.1 90.0 96.3 1.1 1.3 32.0 52.0 20.1 54.7 4.1 4.6 146 145
33 i i o i a- - - - - - - - - - - 58.9 58.2 40.0 37.5 86.9 80.9 ---- ---..
11.0 6.fi 16.2 41.4 4.3 4.6 146 1'46
34 California.------.------------ 65.2 56.5 40.8 36.9 86.3 87.6 -..--7.9 8.7 21.8 27.0 4.8 5.4 141 138
35 Connecticut--.----...--.----- 51.4 51.2 40.4 37.6 85.0 00.8 2.4 2.3 64.8 49.0 12.2 35.3 3.9 3.9 148 140
- - - - - - -
Median .----.----.-.-.-.-.---------- 52.1 50.4 40.4 37.5 87.7 92.2 3.0 2.3 25.9 42.1 19.3 41.4 4.1 4.6 146 145
Medim lor 2 and 4 lanes conflnerl-- 50.2 49.9 40.8 37.3 86.9 93.4 1.9 3.0 22.6 25.3 21.5 29.9 4.2 4.4 144 141
1 No data uvnilable.
in the United States. I t is importailt to note here averaged. A speecl profde was drawn showing the
that more than half of all highway travel in the average speed in each direction at intervals along
United States takes place on rural highways and the selected highway section. These profiles were
nearly three-fourths of the rural travel is on main studied by State highway department engineers,
rural highways. Thus, the study sections are who selected a site in each section as being rcpre-
representative of highways that accommodate sentative of the average speed for the entire section.
more than one-third of all the vehicle-miles of Care was talcen in selecting these specific sites for
highway travel in the United States. measuring speeds to ensure that representative
speed distribution mould be obtained. Recluced
speecl zones and other controlling conclitions
Speed Measurements having a major effect on speecl were not selected.
The average speeds along each study section
were first determined by having a driver-observer-
recorder team drive a test car over the highway, Spot speed observations at the selected sites
moving it with the normal flow of traffic and were made during 1957 and 1958 for 290,000
recording its speed a t periodic inte~vals. A drivers. The speed clata obtained presumably is
number of runs were macle and the speed was representative of the speed of daily traffic a t
typical locations on main rural highways. Con- estimate of travel speed. For these involvements,
cealed, speed measuring devices were used to record the travel speeds were prorated on the basis of
the speed of individual drivers at the selected sites the other clriver and vehicle characteristics
on each of the 35 study sections. These speed studied. Similar procedures were applied when
measurements were made during day and night other c l a t ~mere incomplete-the amount of this
hours, on weekdays and Sundays, and in the incomplete data was relatively small.
different seasons of the year.
Expansion Procedure
Interuiew Data
Because the accident data were collected over
At a distance beyond and well out of sight of the a period of 3-4 years, whereas the interviews and
speed observation points, the drivers were stopped
speed measurements were obtained during a
and intervie~vedto obtain information on charac- single 12-month period, i t was necessary to employ
teristics other than speed such as the sex, age, an expansion procedure to make the interview
military status, and residence of driver; and the data applicable over a span of 3 to 4 years. 111
type of vehicle inclucling the model year, make,
this procedure, traffic volusne data for the 3-4 year-
number of cylinders, and body style of passenger period were utilizcd to obtain a basic vehicle-
cars. Horsepower of the passenger cars was mile estimate toward which the interview data
determined from related data in automobile were expanded. Then, the interview data sverc
catalogs. The seated locations of passeiiger-car weighted according to the relative travel during
occupants were also observed and recorded. the season of the year that the interview repre-
sented. The scrapping of older cars and the
Accident Data entrance of newer cars into the market during the
Source 01 the accident data lor the analysis was clifferent seasons of the year also was considerecl.
the reports for 10,000 clrivers and their vehicles Moreover, in the expansion to back years, correc-
that had been involved in accidents on the 600 tions were macle for diflering amounts of travel
miles of rural highways studied. These records by newer and olcler cars. A cross check of the
were for all accidents that had occurred on the results showed that those obtained with data
study sections during a period of 3 or 4 years from the expansion proeeclure corresponded closely
(ending June 30, 1958) and that hacl been reported to those obtainecl from utilization of the interview
to the State authorities. For each driver involved and acciclent clata for R single year.
in each accident, information was obtained on his
speed and on all other items obtained in the road- Statistical Reliability
side kterviews such as sex, age, etc. In addition,
these records contained information on the amount On a unit basis, acciclent data were morc clif-
of property damage, as estimated by the police ficult and expensive to obtain than interview and
officer or sometimes by the driver reporting the speed data. Accordingly, a much larger voIume
accidenl. of the latter tyye of data were obtainecl-on the
The travel speed of accident-involved drivers average, nearly 30 times as much. This per-
was used; that is, the estimated speed a t which mitted the statistical reliability of the involvc-
the driver was traveling prior to the occurrence ment raLe to be baseil on the number of accidents
of the accident. This was not the speed at the alone because the n~unlser of acciclents nearly
moment of impact, but the normal speecl of the always was much srn~~ller thnn the number of
driver before he was aware of an impencling ac- interviews or speecl observatioins and therefore
cident. An attempt was made to obtain impact governed the reliability of the computed rates.
speecls for analysis purposes, but the data were Only involvement rates are shown in some of
too incomplete t o warrant analysis. Travel the more complex tables in this publication, such
speed is of greater importance in the analysis as tables 9-16; the number of involvemcnls and
because it permits correlation of speeds of acciclent- the vehicle-miles of travel upon which the rates
involved and nonaccident-involved clrivers and were based have been omitted to permit easier
permits prediction of accident probability based comparisons of the rates. Tbese rates were
on normal travel speecls. About 21 percent of usually based on at least 30 involvements. When
the accident-involvement reports coiltainecl no between 10 ancl 29 involvements were employed
in the calc~rlation,this has l ~ e e uindicclted b y a 9 of ererg 10 computed rates will be within GO
footnote in the table. No rates m r e cnlculntecl pcrcent of tlie rate ospccted for a n infinitely large
f u r less thtm 10 i ~ i v o l ~ e m ~ n tThis
s . prncecluro sample of accidents.
T'C-US follo~v-edto ensure that the rt~tcasirere brised C h another :tpproach, if two cells have sample
o n an adeclunte ~iumberof acciderit involt-ernents. sizes of about 30, n difference i n involvement
If it is r ~ + s u m ~that
d :~cc*itl~.~lt
irivolvrlnunts are rate of 30 percent or more between them could
distributetl :ir.cor[ling to a Pcrisson Distribution- o n l ~occnr by chance one time in 20 (0.05 level).
a reasc,~itil~l(~ tisburnption for these rare events- For the stnd_vreported here, diflerences in involve-
certain statcrnents rnny be rnnc.1~rrlative t o the mrnt rates greater than 30 percent between two
statistical r(:lii~l)ility of the iumlvrment rates: cells frecluently occurred and, therefore, this
F o r 30 ttccident involvements, 9 of e-Ferp 10 method of determining statistical relial~ility was
computetl rtltes 11-ill be within 30 percent of thn considered adequato. Bloreover, many of the
r a t e espected for an infinibely large sample of cells were conlpriscd ol sample sizes much larger
accide~its;but for only 10 accidt?nt involvcme~lts, than 30.
Part 111.-STUDY FINDINGS RELATED~TOSPEED
In the discussio~l that follows, "accident- are more likely to be involved in accidents than
involvecl drivers" are those for whom data were relatively high-speed chisrers. Note that a t ex-
obtained from the accident reports. "Inter- tremely high speeds, approaching 80 d e s an
viewed drivers" are those for whom speeds mere hour, the diffcrence would disappear.
observed and who were latcr intervie~vedon the
study sections, the interviewed group was con- Relation o f Total Travel, Speed, and
sidered to be a sarnple representative of all clrivers. Involvements
A study of accident involvement based only
Comparison o f Speed Distributions on percentages of accident-involved drivers travel-
From the speed estimates in thc acciclcnt ing a t different speeds lails to consider the mileage
reports and froin the speed mcasurenients on the of travel. The number of drivers involved in
highway, the number ol accident-involvccl drivers acciclents at any particular spccd must be related
and interviewed drivers who mere traveling a t to the amount of t r a w l a t that speed. To estab-
different speecls were tabulated. Convertecl to lish this relationship, a determination had to be
a percentage basis, the claytime data are plottecl made oC the total vehicle-miles of travel on the
in figure 1, thc percentagc scale is at the left. study sections during the 3- or 4-year period
The two curves indicate the percentages of covered by the acciclent data. TraflGc volume
drivers in each group that traveled at different counts talreii a t periodic intervals by automatic
speeds. If thc two specd distributions had becn counters placed dong the highway formecl the
the same, the two curves ~vouldhave becil iden- basis lor this calculation. The number of vehicles
tical also thus indicating that the chance of being counted during the period, multipliecl by the
involvecl in a accident would be the same a t dl length of the section in miles, gave the total
\
speeds. But t e curves are entirely different.
The largest proportion of both grot~pstravclcd
vchicle-miles of travel.
Figure 3.-Persons injuredper 100 involvements and property damage per involvement b y travel speecl, day.
Although reasonably reliable estimates of travel one relatively slow moving vehicle. Thus in the
speed just prior to an accident often can be made speed range of 10-30 miles per hour, i t is cou-
by cqerienced traffic-policc investigators, not all ceivable that up to hall of the accident involve-
acciclents inclucled in this study were investigated ments occurred a t intersections. But even if
ancl thc involved drivers, especially those who the data for these accidents mere eliminated, the
might have violated traffic la~vs,probably under- portion of the curve lor low speeds in figure 2
estimated their spced. would be reduced only a frraction ol a log unit.
If every driver undcrcstimatecl his speed by The basic Gndings of the study would not be
5 miles per hour, thc curves in figure 2 would be affected; that is, the acciclent involvement rate is
modscd only slightly and this modification would lowcst at about the average speed of all traffic
be for speeds of more than 60 miles per liour. If ancl higliest a t the vcry low speeds and the very
every driver underestimated his speed by 10 miles high speeds.
per hour, the curves mould approach a U shape. Accident Severity Increases with Speed
However, there is no reason to believc that every
driver underestimated his speecl. Moreover, many As is generally supposcd, accidents occurring
of the speed estimates were made by police or at moderate and high speeds were considerably
other third partics. Hence, regardless of possible more severe than accidents at very low speeds.
biases in obtaining speed estimates for accident- The lelt curve in figure 3 shows this spccd and
involved clrivers, the diff erences in the involve- accident severity relation for daytime conditions,
ment rates at the different speeds are substantial based on the number of persons injured per 100
enough to suggest that relatively high speed accident-involved vehicles. For example, a t a
driving is, on the average, safer than either low speed of 40 miles pcr hour, 31 persons were injured
speed or excessively high speed driving on main for each 100 vehicles involvcd in accidents; and
rural highways. at 65 miles per hour, 70 persons were injured for
Although the study sections were chosen with each 100 vehicles involved in accidents.
as few intersections as possible and no major Another measure of accident severity considered
intersections were included, some of the reported is the amount of property damage per involve-
accidents did occur a t intersections. The data ment. As shown in the right curve of figure 3,
were collected in such a tvay that the intersection property damage also increased as travel speed
accidents could not be selected. Many of the increased but at a somewhat lower rate than the
intersection accidents probably involved at least injuries. The relation between speed and accident
Table 5.-Involvement, injury, fatality, and property damage rates by travel speed, day and night
Persons
Travel speed Vehicle-niiles Property damage
involven~ents
1 .Killed
I DAY
- I
Number
Cumu-
lative
percent Number Rate 8 Number
- - 493 - -
Rate 3
Per 100
involve-
menfa iirno7~nt Rate 2
$119 900 ----------
I Per 100
inudur- I
------.------
2,730, OW 0.1 1,183 43,238
90
278 81 (a\ 1 275: 900 $10,084,000
I
28 850 000 1.1 331 1,147 95 87,300 303 000
04' 497' 000 3.4 355 550 80 106,000
165,900 104:
60,000
000
256 142: 000 12.4 558 223 147
20.G 698 177 233 l1
62.3 911 127 404 13
70.8 700 130 323 12
87.5 441 95 243 14
98.6 259 84 180 16
-- LOO. 0 5.1 159 68
-
122
- - 5,983 215 2,151 2
NIGUT
48-52 --------- 274,039,000 30.7 61.3 G86 250 321 117 47 29 111 14 263,050 96,000 38, WO
53-57 . . 164,739,000 18.5 79.8 454 276 186 113 41 165 700 101,000 30,000
5 8.
3 -.
.
.
105,028,000
60,181,000
11.8
7.4
61.6
00.0
250
195
238
295
157
108
149
254
03
80
1;
21
) 1 9
132
} 13
111
105: 750
92,250
101,000
139,000
42,000
47,000
73 or more ..-- 8,492,000
- 1.0 100.0
----__------ 83 977 80 942 96 52. '2% 130 47,900 564,000 58,000
TOTAL -...-. 892,507,000 100.0 ------ 3,833 429 1,640 184 43 138 15 4 1,319,950 148,M)O 34,WO
severity at night was nearly identical to that for rate and at 80 miles per hour was five times that
accidents occurring during the day. of the day injury rate. Figwe 5 data show
The data collected in this s t ~ t d yclearly show similar trends with respect to the property damage
that accident severity increased rapidly a t the mte-the amount of property damage per 100
higher driving speeds. Moreover, as shown by million vehicle-miles of travel.
figure 2, the accident-involvement rate for scci-
dents during the day also increased at speeds of Fatal Accidents
more than 65 miles per hour. Consequently, as The accident severity relations established for
shown in figure 4, the injury rate lor accidents injuries and property damagc mere substantiated
during the day; that is, the number 01 persons by comparisons of data based on fatalities, as
injured per 100 nill lion vehicle-miles of travel, shosm in table 5. At speeds lower than 63 miles
increased sharply a t speeds of 70 miles per hour per hour, one to four persons were l d e d for evcry
or more. At speeds of between 40 nnd 70 miles 100 vehicles involved in daytime accidents;
per hour the injury rate varied only slightly; between speeds of 63 and 72 miles per hour, six
but when the speed was less than 40 miles per hour, persons were ldled for every 100 accident-involved
the injury rate increased sharply and was highest vel~icles;and the rate climbed to 22 persons lrillcd
at; speeds of less than 30 miles per hour. at speeds of 73 miles per hour or higher.
At night, the picture was accentuated. As For the night hours, the number of persons
shown in table 4, a t speecls in excess of 60 miles ldled per 100 accident-involved vehicles on the
per hour, the ratio of the night-to-day involve- average was twice the number ldled during the
ment rate climbed sharply. Thus the injury rate day, but the fatality pattern was similar in that
for night driving, shown in figure 4, began climbing the chance ol being Billed in an accident increased
at a somewhat lower speed than the day injury as speed increased.
Table 6.-Involvement, injury, fatality, and property damage rates b y travel speed on 2-lane main rural highways for all
types of vehicles, day and night
Pcrsons
Property damage
Travel si~ced Vehicle-miles
involvements
Injured 1 Killed
DAY
4 3- 263,831,000 15.1 30.1 518 106 160 61 31 1 (a)1 158,650 GO 000 31, 000
48-52 --..-----
428,058,000 24.5 54.0 658 154 295 69 45 18 (8; a 232,250 54: 000 36, OW
5 5 7- - 300,458,600 17.2 71.8 473 157 212 71 45 15 15 13 170,000 67,000 36,000
68 54 15 1 5 14 144,300 51,000 40,000
5662.--.._.-..2113,000,000 16.2 88.0 360 127 194
97,400 53,000 45.000
63-72 . 184,217,000 10.5 08.5 218 118 155 84 71
1 0 )-
- )-
.
81, oOO
73 or more.--- 25,807,600
- 1.5 100.0 34
-
132 30 139 106 1; I8
--- 20,950
77,000
62,
31,000
TOTAL .---..
1,749,317,000 100.0 ------ 4,352 249 1,535 88 35 84 5 2 1,341,350
10.000
ul
3
_1
5,000
n
LL
0
10
0
z 1.000
u
3l
8I- 500
>W
I-
LT
:I:
W
I00
6
: 5O
!x
a
W
0
P
- -- l010 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
TRAVEL SPEED, M. P. H. SRAVEL SPEED, M.P.H.
. .
Figure 4.-Injury rate b y travel speed, d a y and Figure 5.-Property d a m a g e rate bu travel speed,
night. day a n d night.
13
Like the injury rate, the fatality rate-the num- speeds. This was particularly true for the second
ber of persons ldled per 100 million vehicle-miles measure; and the increased severity a t higher
of travel-climbed sharply a t very high speeds, as speeds was most sharply delineated by the third
shown in table 5. This was a result of the, com- measure employed.
pounding effects of moderately high involvement
rate a t very high speeds and the increased possi- Comparison o f 2- and 4-Lane Highways
bility of a fatality when an accident does occur at
these speeds. During the day, the average Satal- The relationships between speed and accidents
ity rate for all speeds was 4; but a t speeds of 73 that have been developed were generally con-
miles per hour and more tbe fatality rate was 31. sistent for both 2- and 4-lane highways. There
This relation mas even more sharply defined at were some differences, however, as a careful com-
night, when the average fatality rate mas 15; but parison of data iu tables 6 ancl7 will reveal. For
a t speeds of 73 miles per hour and more the fatality one thing, the overall accident-involvement rate
rate was 294-nearly 20 timcs the average rate. on 4-lane highways mas much lower than t h a t on
This finding again lends support to the clesirability 2-lane highways. Ho~vever,only one of the 4-lane
of reducing the upper range of night driving speeds. sections had full control of access-a condition
Three measures have been used to compare acci- that other studies have shown invariably produces
dent severity a t cliffcrent speeds: (1) property very low accident ratcs. Four other study sec-
damage per involvement, (2) persons injured per tions had partial control of access and, this partial
100 involvements, and (3) parsons killed per 100 control coupled ~viththe full control on the one
involvements. All three measures show that acci- section, coulcl partially account for the lower in-
dent severity increased slo~vlyup to speeds of volvement rate. By may of contrast, all except
about G O miles per hour and more rapidly at higher one of the 2-lane sections had no control of access.
Table 7.-Involvement, injury, fatality, and property damage rates by travel speed on 4-lane main rural highways for all
types of vehicles, day and night
DAY
Persons
I Killed
Property daniage
132
1
------
------
}1
102,650 $31,682,000 20,000
29 250
25' 850
577 OW
218:000 33: 000
20 000
3 H 2 -- ------. 65:775:000 6.4 8.0 138 210 30 22 2 46: 000 71,000 34,000
43-47-.-------
1
131,266,000 12.8 20.8 180 137 73 50 00 750 46 000 34 000
48-52-.---.--..286 8fl7 000 27.9 48.7 253 88 1OB 38 82' 150 29:000 32'000
53-57.....-.-..213:094: 000 20.7 60.4 227 107 111 52 l2 77: 850 37,000 34' 000
58-62 178,678,000 17.3 86.7 30,800
:1
81 45 49 27 17 W O 38' 000
63-72---.----- 123,569,000 12.0 98.7 41 33 25 120 I0 300 13:000 40:000
73 or more...- 13,034,000
------
1.3 100.0 20 1153 32 240 11:500 88,000 1 68,000
TOTAL ..-.--
1,029,347,000 lo.0 - 1 158 616 GO 2 510,550 50,000 32,000
Standing...-.--,---------.
------ -_--_.
83 ------ 18 ----.-
119 2 - - $25,150 -----------
I
22 or less
28-32
....-- 203,000
1,643,000
0.1
.5
0.1
.6
170 86 700 46 22,660 20
(2)
41,050 $20 222 000
74 4:604 14 1852 119 17 450 1: 062) 000
33-37--------- 2 055 000 .8 1.4 82 3,089 24 1 YO4 129 ------ 21' 350 801:000
38-42. .......- 18'872'000
43-47..-..-...44:808:000
5.0
13.2
7.0
20.2
147
190
779
424
45
87
238
1M
31
40
3
------ , 50:350
X500
207,000
144,000
48-52..-------121 412 000 35.9 56.1 190 156 76 63 40 2 65,750 54,000
63-57 -.--.---.
75:12$000
.......--
22.2 78.3 172 229 55 73 32 3 50,100 75,000
58-02
83-72.-..-.-.-
35,485,000
34,270,000
73 or more..-- 3,801,000
10.5
10.1
88.8
98.9
} 18 - - -
73
38
206
111
44
41
124
120
00
l~
---F-
} 1 15
20 650
4850
76,000
49,WO
- - - - - ---
1.1 100.0
6
-- 29 1745 39 1,002 134 14,950 384,000
TOTAL .....- 338,368,000 100.0 - - ,264 374 489 145 39 23 7 2 309,950 118,000
A V E R A G E S P E E D OF S T U D Y S E C T I O N S - M . P . H .
-
2 L A N E HIGHWAYS
--- 40-45
4 5 -50
-- 5 0 - 5 5
5 5 - 60
\
%
\ .A.. --
-
4 LANE HIGHWAYS
45-55
55-60
I I I I I I 1
20 30 40 50 60 70 80
T R A V E L SPEED, M I L E S P E R HOUR
Figure 6.-Involvement rate b y travel speed and average speed on, study sections on 2- and 4-lane I ~ i g h w a ~dug.
s,
speeds of more than 72 miles per hour, mhen the Table 8.-Speed when involvement rate was a minimum
by average speed of study sections, day and night
number of persons injured per 100 involvements
was 51 to 76 percent greater on 4-lane highways Speed mhen
accident-in-
Overall acci-
denLinvolve-
than on 2-lane highways. Average speed on study sections
volvoment rate
was aminimum
ment rate
and 4-lane highways on which the average speecls Figure 7.-Involvement rate b y variation from
were in the 55-60 miles per hour group hacl slightly average speed on study section, day and night.
lowest involvement rate occurred at the average
speed or slightly above it. As speeds departed
from the average speed in either direction, the
involvement rate increased in a nearly symmetri-
cal fashion. The patterns evident in figures 6 and
7 strongly suggest that a roduction in the vnria-
tion in speeds among drivers can reduce accidents
substantially.
Speed DifferenceBetween Pairs o f Vehicles
One type of accident particularly related to
speed difference is the rear-end collision, and this 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
SPEED DIFFERENCE, M P.H.
type of accident was thcrei'ore given special study.
To provide a honiogeneous sample, only rear-end Figure 8.-Speed difference between passenger cars
collisions that involvecl t~vopassenger cars were involved in two-car, rear-end collisions com-
investigatecl. The speecl cliflerence is, of course, pared w i t h normal t r a a c , clay and night
combined.
the difference betgeen the normal travel speeds
of the two colliding vehicles. If, prior to the
acciclent, the leacl car was traveling at 50 miles
per hour and the rear car at 70 miles per hour, highway traffic increased at an accelerating rate.
the speed difference would be 20 miles per hour. For example, 32 percent of accident-involved
The solid curve in figure 8 shows that 53 per- vehicle pairs were traveling at a speed difference
cent 01 the two-car, rear-encl collisions involved of more than 30 miles per hour, but less than 1
drivers who were traveling at a speecl diCEcrence percent of normal highway traffic exceeded this
of less than 20 miles per hour. A much higher speed diff erence.
percentage of pairs of vehicles in nornlal highway In summary, passenger car dsivers involved in
traffic, 93 percent, travelecl at a speed difference rear-encl collisions were more likely to have been
oT less than 20 miles per hour, as shown by the traveling a t a speed difference much greater than
dashecl curve in figure S that represe~itsnormal that for pairs of vehicles in normal t r a s c . This
traffic. As the speecl clin'erence increasecl beyond analysis, as in the preceding sections, inclicates
20 miles per hour, the proportional difference that a recluction in the variability of specds can
between accident-involved vehiclcs ancl normal be an important element; in acciclent reduction.
Part 1V.-INVOLVEMENTS RELATED TO DRIVER CHARACTERISTICS
Other characteristics of drivers and their vehi- were involved. I n fact at speeds less than 33
cles related to accident-involvement rates were miles per hour, the involvement rate mas at least
investigatecl, i n c l u ~ gsex, age, military status, six times as great as for any higher speed group.
ancl residence of the driver. In addition, the type The minimum involvement rate for each age group
of vehicle; and the body style, age, and horse- occurred consistently at speeds slightly above 60
power of passenger cars were studied. These miles pcr hour duriug the day and slightly below
relationships are discussed in the following para- GO miles per hour a t night. Because travel speeds
graphs. of more than 62 miles per hour were grouped, the
slight upward trend in the day involvement rate
Travel Speed Related t o Driver for the group of highest speed is not always evident
Characteristics
in table 9, but it shows clearly in figure 2.
The extremely high accident-involvement rate The relation of travel speed to accident involve-
that was associated with speeds slower than 35 ment was not affected by the sex of the driver,
miles per hour raises the question as to whether as shown in table 10. Comparisons of travel
other characteristics of the driver or vehicle were speed by membership in the Armed Forces shown
involved. One of the more obvious comparisons in table 11; by residence shown in table 12; by
would relate travel speed to age of the driver. vehicle type shown in table 13; by horsepower
If older drivers, for example, tended to drive at shown in table 14; b y bocly style shown in table
the slower speeds, then the high accident-involve- 15; and by vehicle age shown in table 16; all
ment rate at lower speeds might properly be indicate that by far the highest involvement rate
ascribed to older drivers rather than to the slow occurred at speeds below 33 miles per hour. The
speed of travel. Accordingly, a two-way break- data in these tables also show that the involve-
down of involvement rate by both travel speed ment rate generally decreased as speecl was in-
and age of clriver WRS developed for both day and creased up to about 62 miles per hour; beyond this
night conditions. speed, the involvement rate tendecl to level off
As clata in table 9 show, the involvement rate at during the day and to increase at night. How-
travel speeds below 33 miles per hour was the ever, it should be pointed out that cluring the day,
highest for any higher speed group regardless of on the average, the involvement rate increased
the clriver's age or whether day or night conditions slightly at speeds higher than 70 miles per hour,
Table 9.-Involvement rate by travel speed and age of driver, day and night
Day Night
Travelspeed, m.p.h. Accident-involvement rato by age of driver Accident-inrolrament rate by age of driver
-
Undsr 20 20-24 25-44 45-64 65 or olcIer Under 20 20-24 25-44 45-64 65 or older
----- --
32 or o w e 14,000 10,408 4,917 5,273 9,407 9,048 5,246 5,935 5,011 21,235
3 M 2.................... GO8 440 216 237 415 1,057 830 459 457 1 848
43-62.................... 400 282 121 111 186 833 604 252 220 1 277
5342 -..-.----+-.---------
or m o o
367
341
244
200
96
73
82
G1 1
132
122
543
1,238
688
914 277
lg8
170
1115 $1
1 Bate basedon 10-29 accident involvements.
9Less than 10 accident involvements; rate not computed.
18
RESIDENCE OF DRIVER
0INACCIDENT
COUNTY WHERE
OCCURRED
DAY
0ININ OTHER
STATE
COUNTY
OUT-OF-STATE
-
7
1 I '11l.1 i 1\11 I 1 iil!,1111NIGHT
I I I I 1 I r I
0 I00 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
INVOLVEMENT R A T E
Table 11.-Involvement rate by travel speed by military with both sex of driver and clay or night conditions.
status of driver, day and night Figure 9, which is based on data for passenger
Day hright
car drivers only, shows that during the day rnale
drivers under 20 had the highest accident-involve-
Accident- Accident-
TrnvEl h.
involvement rate involvenlont mtc inent rate of any age group. Male drivcrs belween
by military by military
status of ststlls of 30 and 60 years of age had a unifornlly low
driver rlrivcr
inrro11-ement rate, which was less than one-third
bfcmlrcr Nnn-
mcnibcr
Member Nan-
member
as large as the rate for the group under 20. Be-
----- yond age 60, the rate illcreased again. The pat-
32 or lower. .-----.--.----- 17,476 5.842 8,157 5.982 tern for female drivcrs was similar, rscept that
33-42--------------------.- 1325 281 759 520
3-52
55-02 ......................
307
336
138
107
830
861
278
227
female drivers more than 70 years of age rather
63 or higher. .-.-------.--- 357 85 1.452 310 than teenage fcmale clrivers had the higllesl
1 Rate based on 10-20 accident involvements.
acciclent-irlvolvement rate.
At night, the accident rate mas about twice its
Table 12.-Involvement rate by travel speed and residence high as during the day. The pattern of involve-
of driver, day and night
ment rate by age of driver was very similar to the
Day Night day rate in that those mcler the age of 20 and
over the age of 60 had the highest involvement
Accident-involvcment Accident-involvement
Tmvel speed, rate by ratc by rate. However, a t night, teenage female drivers
n1.11.h. residence of clriver residence of driver
had a higher accident-involvement, rate than
Sludy Othcr Out-of- Study Other, Out-of- teenage male clrivers.
cour~tyin tat'^ State county in State State
-------- If the involvement rate for clri~~ers Inore than
32 or lower-_.--.- 9,119 4,733 4,238 10,902 5,054 3,231 65 years of age is about as high as for drivers 20
3 2 360 230 286 1,458 380 583
5 2- - 187 125 142 702 220 245 to 24 (assuming the same relationships for all
5 3 - 6 2 . 153 106 114 524 207 170
63 or higher------ 118 08 141 778 148 483 classes of highways), why are insurance rates
L
higher for younger drivers than for middle-aged
Table 13.-Involvement rate by travel speed and vehicle
drivers, but generally are not higher for older
type, day and night drivers. The reason is very simple. Older drivers
generally h i v e much less than the younger ones,
Dng Night
-- particularly a t night and, therefore, although
Accident-involvonlent Accident-involvement their accident-involvement rate is the same, thcy
rate by type of vellicle rate by type of vehicle
Trnvcl speed, have only one-half to one-third the nurnber of
m.p.h.
Pnsscngcr Truck, G Passenger Truck, G accidents compared to the younger drivers.
car and or Inore cnr and or more
truck, 4 tires ancl truck, 4 tircs, nnd Hence, correspondingly lower damage claims need
tires bbs tires bus
-- to be paid for the olcler drivers ancl insurance
32 or lomcr-.------ 0,007 3,821 6,581 3,li23 rates can be lower.
3 3 4 ------.------- 285 250 627 325
43-52-------------- 150 106 438 112 Females under age 25 had about as high an ac-
53-62 .---..-.-- .--. 125 131 360 1 10
03 or highcr -.----- 95 (=) 415 (9 cident-involvement rate as males under 25.
Again the question may be asked, why are in-
1 Rate based ou 10-29 accident involvc~ncnts.
2 Less than 10 accident involvements; rate not corngulcd. surance rates for younger males very high but not
20
Table 15.-Involvement rate by travel speed and body slyle of passenger car, day and night
r.
lravel s ~ ~ e cn1.1,.11.
d,
I/ Day
2-door sedan 4-door sedan Soft-top Hardtop Station "door sedan 4-cl00r sedan Soft-top Eardtop Station
convertible wngnn convertible wagon
------
33 or less ....--..-.-.-....7,RB3 6,023 9, fie3 I I, 08fi 0, 069 12,474 5,lX5 11.863 (?) 1 1,024
(2)9
33-42 .--..-.....-...-.n.. 323 255 13% 1104 I 1 167 77'2 524 1 735 '213 1213
43-52 - 180 131 310 128 (ill 362 896 1 114 300
5342- -. - .-.-..- - --.
- --. . 188 122 157 f,l
63 or more. --..--._--.-.. 147 110 1102 124 34
i93 370
407 886
1414 GO
1 1133
Table 16.-Involvement rate by travel speed and age of passenger car, day and night
1 Day 1 Night
Travel specd, n1.p.tl. -iccitient-insolvenlerlC rate hg; age of passenger car, gears Accident-involvement rate by ago of passenger air, yedrs
Less flnn 3 1 -
3-5.9 I --
-9.9 I 10 or more Less Chon 3
-I
---
-5.9
1 6-9.0
1 --
10
--
nrlnae
--
1
32 or less .--.-..-..-.....-. .--..-.. 7 , 4 i i 8,033 7,413 1 6,570 5,338 5, (112 0,057 If!, 012
33-42 ..--.
53-03 ..----
-........--
..-.
-. .-.-.-- -...-
43-52 ...-...-...-....----.---.-.-.-
...-- -.- -....-..--- -
320
13R
119
303
152
118
8.20
176
1411
I' 303
213
238
462
431
336
1i88
440
350
800
5'13
468
1,463
581
510
63 or lnore.. ...-.-...-----.-...-.- 89 88 318 410 790 1 1,107
I
Table 17.-Involvement rate by sex of driver for all vehicles and passenger cars only, day and night
Night
/- --
Day
Pnsscngcr cars only
Night
-
-- --
Vrhic1~-miles Involvcn~ents Vehicle-nlilcs Involremcnts Vchic1~-miles Involvcn~cnts Vchiclc-n~ilcs Involvcn~ents
lor younger females? As in t,he case of olcler It may be suggested t h a t younger drivers hacl
~nnles,the teenage feniales do much less clriving higher involvement rates because they hacl oldcr
than teenage males particularly a t nigllt, and cars that are inore lilcely to be involved in acci-
therefore, although their accident-involvement clenls. However, from data i n table 20, it may
rates are as high as for the younger males, the num- be seen that drivers uncler 20 generally hacl the
ber of accidents for younger females are only a highest involvement rate of any age group d~rring
fraction as large. both day ancl night regarclless of the age of the
A coinparison of drivers' age by military status passenger car they were driving. In addition,
is shown by data in tablel9. As with the popula- cluing the clay, drivers more than 65 years ol age
tion generally, younger drivers among the military hacl higher involvement rates than drivers 2 5 4 4
had much higher accident-involvement rates than years of age regarclless ol the age of the vehicle.
older drivers. There were few military drivers At night, a similar relationship was evident,
beyoncl the age of 45 so i t is not possible to make although the ss~inplesize was small.
rate comparisons for this age group among the Data in table 21 show that, in general, the
military . relation between drivers' age and involvemenb rate
Table 18.-Involvement rate by horsepower of Passenger was consistent regardless of body style. In some
car and sex of driver, day and night
cases, however, the small sample size caused
Dog Night inconsistencies in the results.
-
Accidcnt- Accident- Militaru Status
Eorsepowcr of passenger involromcrit involvement
car rate by sex r ~ t by
e sox
of clriver of driver
Members of the Armed Forces had accident-
Malc Fclnale Male Feiiialc involvement rates at least twice as grcat as non-
---- members during both day and night. I t has
0 or 1 297 351 SQ!l 1,040
111-170 ----...----------..
152 187 426 411 been noted earlier, however, that younger drivers
171 or m e 133 173 287 268
"
had higher involvement rates than other drivers.
Adost military &ivers mere in the younger age
Table 19.-Involvement rate by driver's age and military
status of driver, all vehicles, day and night groups, and it may be suggested that their higher
acciclent-involvement rate is associated with their
Nidit
Day youth rather than with their military status.
9ccident-invol~-cme11t Accident-involvenleiit Data i11 table 19 shorn, however, that for each of
Driver's agc, rate by drivers' rate by drivers'
years lnilitary status military stattls the age groups, members of the Armed Forces had
involvement rates about twice as great as non-
hleinbrr Non- Member Non-
memher ~neniber members. Beyond age 30, the difference in in-
volvement rate between military drivers andother
Under20---------- 1,133 510 1.BOB 891
o - 653 32: 1,532 675 drivers diminished somewhat, but military drivers
25-29 - 396 209 751 457
30- 218 155 466 293 had a higher involvement rate for each age group
4 - '205 179 331
5 or 1 ('4 383 (:)
(-) 847 during both day and night.
C Aailitary drivers hacl substantially higher in-
1 Rate based on 10-29 accident involrements.
2 ~ c s than
s 10 nccide~ltinvolvemerrts; rate not computed. volvement rates than nonmilitary drivers re-
TabIe 20.-Involvement rate by driver's age and passenger car age, day and night
Day Night
--
Driver's age, years Accide~il-involvemtrate by passenger car age, Bccident-involvement rate by passmgcr car age,
years years
Under 20..--.---------.-----..----
409 541 567 763 848 1,124 Ow! 1,630
20-24 .--..---.-.--------.----.-----
372 376 401 376 7211 782 1,284 1,651
25-44 .-..---------------------.----
161 175 182 296 444 482 503 980
4 6 4 . 148 1G5 222 321 350 475 566 Sii
65 or older-.------.----------.----
287 294 491 682 1512 1484 1 1,004 1 2,71G
Table 21.-Involvement rate by age of driver and body style of passenger car, day and night
I I Day
I Night
Driver's agc, years Accident-involvement ratc by body style ofpassenger car -4ccidcnt-involremcnt ratc by body style of passenger car
Bdoor 4-d00t Soft-top Enrcltop Station 2-door 4-door Soft-to Hardtop Station
Sedan Sedan convertible wagon sedan sedan convertitlle x!.egon
-- --
Under 20--.---------..--
696 491 1 404 2 172 1333 1,351 765 1 920 (2)
2 0 - 420 379 437 1113 1 208 1,405 806 1,492 1189 1209
25-44 ....------.------.---
205 154 190
1 141
Rs
1 39
97
132
656
573
423
417
789 3
1131
293
1128
4 6 4 . 217 1% ($)
6 or o l d e r 521 321 {=I (2) 1197 1677 1661 ($) (9
I Rate based on 10-29 accident involvements.
2 Idss than 10 accident ir~volvcn~cnts;
ratc not colnputed.
garclless of the speed of travel, as shorn in table 11. drivers residing within the county where the study
The difference was particularly great a t travel site was located, had involveme~itratcs nearly
speeds of more than 52 miles per hour, when twice as great as drivers residing in other counties
members of the Armed Porces had involvement of the State or out-of-State. A t night, local
rates three to four times as great as nonmembers. drivers had involvement rates more t l ~ a ntwo and
Comparing military status with the horsepower one-half times those of other drivers. It might
of the car driven, as shown in tnblc 22, for both be suggested that local drivers had higher involve-
day and night driving, members of the Armed ment rates because they drove a t slower speeds.
Forces had un involvement rate much greater However, the data gathered refute this conclusion.
than nonmembers. The difference was greatesl; Involvement rates by travel speed and residolice
in the lowest horsepower group nnd least in the of driver are comparcd in table 12 and, for all
highest horsepower group. No reason can be compariso~lsexcept one, local drivers had involve-
given for the generally higher accident-involve- ment rates si~bstantiallygreater than other drivers,
ment rate of military drivers. Such a determinn- regardless of travel speed ancl day or night tmvel.
tion is begoncl the scope of the study reported here. A t the different speeds there were only moderate
differences in involvcmeilt rates between out-of-
Residence of Driver State drivers and drivers from within the State
It has bee11 suggested that out-of-State drivers but not residing in the coumty where tlie study
have higher accident-involvement rates than local section was located. EIorsepower of passenger
drivers. The data gathered in the study discussed cars also did not affect thc high involvement rate
here do not support such a conclusion. In fact, of local clrivers. As shown in table 24, local
as data shown in table 23 and figure 10 indicate, drivers had the highest involvement rate, day and
the day involvement rate for local drivers; that is, night, regardless of horsepower.
, Table 22.-Involvement rate by horsepower of Passenger Table 24.-Involvement rate by horsepower of passenger
car and by military status of driver, day and night car and residence of driver, day and night
Day Night
Day Night
Accident-involvement Accident-involvement
Horsepower of Accident-involvement Accident-involvcmcnt IIorsegower of rate by residence of rate by residence of
passenger ear rate by drivers'military rate by drivers'military passenger cnr driver driver
status status
Study ,Other Out-of- Study Other Out-or-
Member Nonmember Member Nonmember county m st&&Statu county in sta& State
- -----
1 1 or less- - 710 290 1,963 823 110 or less.-------
514 238 227 1,nO 625 699
Ill-li0----...-..--
352 150 742 402 11-17- - 270 113 167 824 285 365
171 or m e - - 229 140 432 276 171 or more------ 209 110 150 453 232 265
Table 23.-Vehicle-miles, number of involvements, and involvement rate by residence of driver, day and night.
- -- -
Day Night
Residence of driver
Vehicle-miles Accident Involvements Vehicle-miles Accident Involvements
I I I I
I TOTAL 1
--..------.-.---.------..
2,778,664,000 1 5,983 ( 216 11 892,612,000 1 3,833 1 4291
Part V.-ACCIDENT INVOLVETvIENT AND VEHICLE CHARACTERISTICS
Tul~le25 arrd figure 11 dntn show that tlurirtg the ages of cars llavirig different types of body styles
dtfj-, the acbc.itlrnt-irlvolver~ieritrate by velliele type tire probiibly different. Because the dtltu were not
was nearly the stline for the four principrtl t ~ p e of s subdirided by Lotly style nnrl age of vehicle, this
vehicles. At night, IIOWCYP~, the situation chariged c~omparisoncarinot be tleveloped.
radically. The irlr-olvemcnt riite for passenger
cars was higher t l r m for a ~ i yother type of vellicle; Age of Passenger Car
it tt-tls 46 percent higtier than for trucks hl~ving4 As the age of passenger cars increased, the acci-
tires, sut~11as pi11leIs md pickups, arid 234 percentcler~t-involve~ne~ltrate also iricrensed, as shown in
higher tha~ifor trt1c.k~ having f or more tires, table 26. The rates calculateti for cars under 1
inclucling con~binations. year old were unreliable, 1)ecntise of the expansion
Travel speetls of the different t ~ p e of s vehicles
procedure ernployecl, ant1 are not shalt-n.
varietl. Trucks wit11 6 or Inore tires tr~tvelcd3 to
It might he suggestecl that older veliicles were
8 miles per hour slow-cr thn11 otht~rvelliclo groups
driverl at n slotver travel speecl tind thereby xf-
antl, tllereforc, n corripsrisori of rehirle type hy
fectrd the cicciderlt-involverrierlt riite herause a t
t.ravel speed could conceivr~blychttr~getile rela-
slower speetls, vehic.les llnve nluch higl~ertic~citlenb
tionships. IIott-ever, as shou-11 iri tu1)le 13, the irlvolve~~lerltrates. The data, as shown in table
involvenient rates for pnsscnger-type vehicles, in-
16, support this hypothesis only during the day a t
cludirig trucks having 4 tires, was higlier than for speeds below 42 miles per hour. They do not
trucks having 6 or rliore tires tlntl for huses a t all
support the hypothesis t t t arig higher speed or a t
spcecls (luring both (lay and night.
night. During the day, there mus little difference
in acciderit-i~~volverrierltrute a t speeds below 42
Body Style
miles per hour regardless of the age of passenger
During the (lay, tlie two-door sedan had t.hc cur. A t higher speeds, the irivolvenlent rate in-
highest accitlent-i~ivolverrlerit rate of any of the creased directly with age of the car. At night,
major body styles, but a t night the conrertil~lehad the ir~volvemeritrate increased wit11 vellicle age at
the highest rule. Tile hardtop had tlic 101%-cst all speetl mnges studied.
rate of any n~rljorbotly style (fig. 15). These It might also be suggested tliat older vehicles
data should be interpreted tvitli caution, however, had lligller involverl~ent rates because of their
because the age of the vehicle also had a suljstan- lower llorsepower and poor acceleratiori capability.
tial effect on irivoIverlie~~trate, nrld the average Data showri in tttble 27 tend to support this
Table 25.-Vehicle-miles, number of involvements, and involvement rate by type of vehicle, day and night
Day Sight
Ty11rof vehicle
Vehicle-miles Bceident Involvements 1-ehicle-xnilci / Aceiflcnt Inrolcerrrrnts
1
Numbrr Pate Nir mher Pote
I1a.xnger car.. ...-....-.-.---- 2.18fl.26?.000 4,514 207 530,425,000 3,074 5s0
Truck, 4 tires .-----....--.----- lW.7G5.000 5Q 31 59,992,000 23I! 3~
Truck, 8 Or lllorc tinis.....---... 374.532.000 760 208 FJ3,1(98,000 4511 1F4
UUP ..-.--....-......--m-------. I-'>-'
i.,~3.000 46 8,437,000 10 119
Othrr nnd not known --....---- 612.000 el
- _-..----------
....--..
------ 460,000 28 (I)
24
hypothesis. During the day, there was a tend-
ency for the involvement rate to increase as cars r?TYPE OF VEHICLE
PASSENGER CAR
having 110 horsepower or less became older. For TRUCK WITH 4 TIRES
groups of cars having horsepowers greater than DAY a;pCICRTTH 6 TIRES
Table 26.-Vehicle-miles, number of involvements, and involvement rate by age of passenger car, day and night
Day Night
Age of passenger car
Vchiclc-miles dccident involvements Vehicle-miles Accident inrTolrements
Table 27.-Involvement rate by horsepower and age of passenger car, day and night
D UY Night
Horscpowcr of passenger car Accident-involvementratc by passenger car age, years Accident-involvement ratc by passenger car age, yeilrs
Less than 3 3-5.9 69.9 10 or older Less than 3 3-5.9 6-9.9 10 or older
Day Night
Horsepower of vehicle
Vehicle-miles Involrcments Vehicle-miles Involvements
TOTAL .------------------------
2,186,262,000 4,534 207 630,425,000 3,074 580
Table 29.-Involvement rate by driver's age and horsepower of passenger car, day and night
Day Night
H o ~ e p o w ~ofr
passenger car Accident-involrement rate by driver's age, years -4ccidcnt-involvement rate by driver's ago, years
'
Under 20 20-24 25-44 45-64 65 or older
. _ _ _ _ - - -
110 or less -..-.----.-..---
688 442 228 248 554 1.649
11-170 - -- 360 324
237
125
124
128
127
248
213 1563 416 280 225
171 or m e 344
3
400
1
.. ,
----2-NIGHL--
I
--- >#*A
#
'
It might also bc suggested that low horsepower 9
cars tended to be older, ancl the high involvement
Z 200 \b .. .-DAY
-
rate was associated with the age of the vehicle O
110 150
1'
zoo 250
0
OR
HORSEPOWER OF PASSENGER CAR
rather than low horsepower, but table 27 data LOWER OVER
show very clet~rlythat passenger cars having 110 Figure 12.-Involvement rate by horse-
horsepower or less had the highest rates regardless power o f passenger car, day and night.
of vehicle age for both day and night. In general,
the involvement rate for passenger cars having horsepower or less had the highest accident-in-
less than 110 horsepower was about twice as great volvernent rates.
as for any group having higher horsepower. When the residences of drivers were compared
I t might also be thought that low horsepower as shown in table 24, clrivers of cars in the lowest
cars are more lilrely to be driven by either very horsepower group again had the highest accident-
young or older drive-1-swho have high involvement involvement rate. This was true for both day
rates. However, table 29 clata indicate that the and night and, in general, when the horsepower
age of the clriver cloes not have any substantial of the cms was 110 or less, the accident-involve-
modifying effect on the relationship between acci- ment rate was about twice as great as for drivers
dent-involvement rate and horsepower. For both . of any other group of cars of higher horsepower.
day ancl night and each age group, with only two Data in table 30 show that this high accident
exceptions, drivers of cars having 110 horsepower rate for drivers of cars in the lowest horsepower
or less had about twice the involvement rate of the group was not affected by the body style of the
other two horsepower groups. Data on sex and car or by clay and night conditions. One excep-
military status also had similar patterns of rela- tion was noted; a slightly higher accident-involve-
tionship, as s h o r n in tables 18 and 22. For each ment rate occurred a t night for drivers of hardtops
of the comparisons, drivers of cars having 110 having a horsepower of 171 or more compared to
Table 30.-Involvement rate by horsepower and body style of passenger car, d a y and night
DRY Night
.4ocident.involvement rnte by body style of passenger Accident-involvement rate by body style of passenger]
Horsepower of car car
110 or less
-----...---------
111-170- - ---------------
171 or o r e 192 156
1,175
518
387
704
397
288
1,468
717
1604
1127
1103
147
348
312
1 96
Table 31.-Involvement, injury, fatality, and property damage rates b y price of car, day and night
Car Vehicle-miles
1 Accident
invalvements
1 DAY
Injld
Persons
1 Iiilled
Property drtmago
NIGET
1 Rate basedon 10-20aqcident involvements. Ford! Chovrolet, Plymouth, Studebaker, and Rambler.
2 Less than 10 nccident mnvolvcrnents' rate not computed. 6 Pont~ac,Buick, Oldsrnobile. Edscl, Mercury, Hudson, Kniser Frazer,
8 Rate is the nuniber of involvemenis, persons injured, persons killed, or Nnsh, and other US.: DeSoto, Dodge.
amount of property damage per 100 mill~onvehicle-miles. 7 Cnddlnc, Lincoln and Contmental, Chrysler and Imperial, Packard.
4 Allforc~gn,Crosley, Henry J., and W~llys.
the drivers of cars in the group ha~ring110 horse- of all cars. This contrasts with differences in
power or less. The rate for the lower horsepower involvement rates between cars of low and high
group was based on a sample of only 25 involve- horsepower of about 100 percent in the clay and
ments, however, and thc comparison was not close to 300 percent a t night (fig. 12).
statisf;ically significant. Acceleration capability
Because the cars having lower horsepower are
much lighter, on the basis of comparable weight- Acceleration capability of cars having low horse-
horsepower relationships, these cars might not power is poorer than for cars having high horse-
have higher involvement rates. Although no power; this was true, a t least, for the cars con-
data were obtained on the weights of cars in the sidered during the period (1952-57) of the study
study discussed here, other studies have shown published here. Consumers Reports has re-
that the range of weights of standard cars during ported the time required to accelerate from 0 to
the period of data accumulation for this study was 60 miles per hour on level grades and the maxi-
relatively small. For example, one study has mum aclvertised horsepower for several score
shown that fully five-sixths of all cars selected new cars during this period. A comparison of
from normal traffic on main rural highways varied acceleration and advertised horsepower shows, for
no more than 20 percent from the average weight example, that 125 horsepower cars generally
require 15 to 20 seconds to accelerate from 0 to
2 Unpublished data obtained by Bureau of Public Roads in connection
with braking performance studies in Maryland, Michigan, and California a Conaumers Reporls, Consumers Union, Mount Vernon, New York,
during 1955. different issues between 1852 and 1957.
60 miles per hour on a level grade. But, 250 is, small cars, which included foreign cars; and
horsepower cars require only 10 to 13 seconds low-priced, medium-priced, and high-priced cars.
for a similar acceleration. Time to accelerate (Compact cars have not been included in these
from 45 to 65 miles per hour was also measured groupings because the data were obtained before
for a s m d e r sample of cars and was closely the advent of compact cars.) The involvement
correlated with time to accelerate from 0 to 60 rate tended to decrease as the price of the cars
miles per hour. I n summary, i t is probably increased, and this decrease was particularly evi-
accurate to state that cars having poor accelera- dent at night. This may be related to the fact
tion capability at highway speeds have higher that lower-priced cars tend to have lo~verhorse-
accident-involvement rates on main rural high- power and, as has been shown earlier, drivers of
ways than other cars. low-horsepower vehicles have higher involvement
rates. There was also a tendency for the injury
Make rate and the number of persons injured per 100
When adequate data were available, there was involvements to decrease as the price of the car
little difference in involvement rate among the increased. Thc average amount of property dam-
different makes. Involvement rates among the age per 100 involvements mas not related to the
major manufacturing groupings varied less than price of the car. Data related to the price of the
10 percent from the mean rate for both day and cars are shorn in table 31, but the differences
night conditions. A further comparison was made were generally small among the different price
by grouping passenger cars according to size; that categories.
Table 32.-Involvement rate by travel speed, age and horsepower of passenger car, and age of driver, day and night
combined
I POUR
VARIARLlS
I 8pe8d. m.p.h.+
I 37 or slower
---
Age of
driver
Under 20
+
+I+
Horse-
pswar
111-170
hlodel
year
---------
Less than 110
- ----
--
7,174
-
1950
8,191
-
1 4,538
-- ---
--
1851-54
799
1859
629
---
438
---
454
-
1420
---
1955-58
348
-- 651
-
1400
-
-
1950 1951-54 1955-58 1950 1851-54 1955-58 1950 1951-54 1955-58
4544
111-170
-
1 1,337
- 1,638
- 2,551 1236
-----
226 174 1 137 118
-71
-- 76
-
171-Y45 I 1,840 2,187 1151 1117 1156 116 71
---------
220 or more
--- - 2.200
--- 219
--- 170
--- 148
Less than 110
-
4,874
-
5,302
--
335
-
1300
--
1 192
-
1101
----
111-170 2. G79 1174
05 or older - - -_I_____ -- <
1 Rato based on 10-28 involvements (rates based on less than 10 involvements not sholvn).
Part VI.-OTHER ACCIDENT RELATIONSHIPS
As discussed previously, the travel speed of the of the characteristics of driver and theh vehicles
vehicle and the age of the clriver are highly related that provided the lowest and highest involvement
to the accident-involvement rate, and the age or rates. The lowest involvement rate was for 40-
model year and horsepower of passenger cars year-old drivers, traveling a t 65 miles per hour on
have somewhat less of an effect. Table 32 data these main rural highways ancl driving 1956 cars-
show a combined comparison of these four vari- cars that were about 2 years old a t the time of the
ables for passenger cars for day and night condi- study and had 200 horsepower. These drivers
tions combined. These data show that, regardless had an accident-involvement rate of 64; that is,
of moclel year or horsepower of cars, persons they were involved in one reported accident for
driving a t slower speeds ancl younger drivers had each 1,600,000 vehicle-miles of clriving. By way
the highest accident-involvemeilt rates. Those of contrast, the highest involvement rate was
driving a t moderate speeds and middle-aged obtainecl for 18-year-old clrivers traveling a t 30
drivers had the lowest involvement rates. iniles per hour and driving 1952 cars, that is, cars
In order to provide a reasonable sample for about 6 ycars old at the time of the study and
each ccll, the data were combined in table 32 that had about 100 horsepower. These drivers
into broad groups and therefore the increase in has1 an involvement rate of 8,191; that is, they
the involvement rate a t speeds above 70 miles were involved in one reported accident for each
per hour is not apparent. Data in this table also 12,000 vehicle-miles of travel.
show that, for co~nparablespeeds, horsepower of Note that these comparisolls do not prove that
car, and age of driver, accident-involvement rates certain identifiable clrivers are acciclent prone.
were lower when the car was a later model-year. They do indicate that certain classes of drivers are
In 28 comparisons made for pairs of cells having more likely to be involved in acciclents than other
sample sizes of 30 or greater, 21 of the comparisons classes of drivers. Within each class, some range
showed a lower involvement rate for the newer cars. remains in the probability of being involvecl in an
Similarly, involvement rates were higher when the accident. This comparison ancl some of the com-
cars had horsepower ol less than 110. parisons made previously here suggest that the
accident rate might b e recluced if more driving
Range in Involvement Rate
Table 33.-Characteristics associated with lowest and
Table 32 data show a considerable range in the highest accident-involvement rates 1 for passenger
cars, day and night combined
involvement rate depending upon the combina-
tions of the four variables that were studied. Passenger cars Characteristics associated Mth
accident-involvement rates
Moreover, many of the entries in this table involve
a sample size of 10 to 29 involvements. Rates Characteristics: Losest Highest
Driver's aec--.---------
yonrs- 40 18
were not computed for cells having a sample size Travel speed .--------
rn.p.11-. 85 30
Model year --.-_---------------1956 (2 years old) 1952 (6 years old)
of less than 10 involvements. Considering only Horsepower------------------- 200 100
cells having 30 or more involvements, which pro- Aceidcnt involvenlents:
Rate -..-----.----------------- G4 8,101
vides a reasonable size sample, the lowest and the Miles driven per involvement. 1,000,000 12,000
highest involveinent rates may be selectecl for
1 Based on thosa eombinutionspf 4 variables for which a t least 30 inV0lv~-
comparison. Table 33 data show the comparison lncnts mere employed in computing the rates.
29
Table 34.-Involvement, injury, fatality, and property
DAY
Per 100
inuolue-
Y c o rs Number Percent Number Percent Number Role a Number Rate f Number Rate f ments
Under 20----...----.
72,808,000 3.0 17,070,000 4.7 435 687 73 413 174 239 40
20-24.-.--.----....-.
200,183,000 8.3 34,745,000 9.3 732 366 140 403 274 137 37
25-29 .-.--.----.-.---
279 031 000 ll.G 40,433,000 10.0 820 222 93 230 187 67 30
30-34.--.-.--.-.-----
338:106: 000 14. P 49,388,000 13.3 500 174 101 201. 182 6.1 31
4 G&3,584,000 27.2 07,881,000 26.3 934 143 195 1W 283 43 30
45-54...---..--.-----
483,794,000 20. I 78,437,W O 21.3 777 I81 173 218 267 53 33
5 . . 266,811,000 11.1 41,837,000 11.2 544 201 99 237 185 00 34
65 or older.-----.---
110,853,000
- 4.0
- -100.0-5,054- 210- 920- 219- - 60-
11,107,000 3.0 422 382 55 493 126 114 30
..-.-----------
TOT,~, 2,406,070,000 100.0 372,504,000 1,668 33
warn
Under 20...-------..
33,488,000 4.0 2,332,O W 4.0 334 997 30 1,28G 156 403 46
2 82,0G8,WO 9.8 11,188,O W 19.0 729 888 61 450 302 478 52
2 ~--.-_---------.-
9 123 Mi5 000 14.8 9,IW3,000 15.4 589 479 55 608 200 170 35
30-34..-----------.
.. 145:886:000 17.5 Q, 780,000 18.G 489 321 46 470 210 144 45
3544.-.---.-.-------
243 621 000 29.2 15 I61 000 25.7 605 273 77 508 281 95 35
4 5 4 149: 246: 100 17.8 81 605'WO 14.6 395 265 58 874 168 113 43
55-04...-.----.-.---.
40,W9,000 5.6 2: 121: wo 3.6 226 489 18 1849 Q1 197 40
5 or o r- - 9,088,000
- - -
1.2 672,000 1.1
- - - - - - -
70 701 12 11,786 38 380 48
TOTAL..-.-.---.-----
833,011,000 100.0 58,002,000 100.0 3,486 418 347 589 1,494 179 43
were done by some clnsses of clrivers or less driving clrivers of passenger cars that have good accelera-
were done by other classes. For example, if a tion capability are less likely to be involved in
wny could be found to encourage more driving at accidents than dsivers of cars that do not. These
about the average speed of all traffic on main acciclent-horsepower relationships apply primarily
rural highways ancl less driving at either very low to standard size vehicles, as the sampIe included
or very high speeds, the accident-involvement rate few small or compact cars.
probably coulcl be reduced consiclerably. Simi- The results obtainecl from the clata collected in
larly, if even more hiving coulcl be clone by 40- this stucly are indicative rather than conclusive.
year-old clsivew and less by 18-year-olcl clrivers In many of the comparisons, the results were
the iuvolveizlent rate could possibly be reduced. consistent regarclless of the other variables that
I t is obviou~s,of course, that some of these were studied. For example, for passenger cars
possibilities are not practical. For example, it having less than 110 horsepower, the accident-
would be diflicult to refuse to license 18-year-old involvement rate was the highest regardless of
drivers. The use of the motor vehicle is so im- any of the other variables stucliecl. But it is al-
portant to the total economy that to refuse even ways possible that other variables not studied
young aclults the freedom to operate motor might have been associated with low-horsepower
vehicles would reduce considerably their effective- cars, ancl these other variables might have affected
ness as citizens, as worl<ers, and as functioning the acciclent-involve~~~ent rate.
h ~ m a nbeings. Moreover, such a decision woulcl,
in effect, make a group judgment that all 18-year- Severitg of Accidents
old persons should be deniecl licenses because a
fraction have accidents during any one year. It has been shown that the severity of accidents
Similarly, it would not be possible under present increased sharply as the speecl increasecl, but the
conditions to junk each car that was more than 3 possibility cxists that othcr characteristics of
years olcl. However, these data do suggest that drivers ancl vehicles are related to increased
a certain minimum horsepower, or more perti- severity of accidents. Several combinations oi
nent-acceleration capability, is desirable and driver and vehicle characteristics were analyzed
damage rates by driver's age and sex, day and night
DAY
Per 100 Per 100 Per 100 Per 100 Per 1OD
involue- inuolue- inoolue- inuolse- inuolue-
Number Rale 3 ments Number Rnte a ments Number Rale 3 ments rinlount Rate 3 merits Amount Rnte a Tnents
47 266 64 11 1 5 13 1 (2) (2) $136,550 $187,000 81,000 $26,750 $151,000 $37,000
(13 181 45 1 (2) (2) 232,550 116,000 32,000 43,260 125,000 31, WO
36 87 38 11 201,950 72,OW 33,000 23,650 59, OW 25,000
76 154 75 196,250 58,000 33,000 33,850 09,000 34,000
124 127 64 9 3 (2) (2) 288,500 44,000 31,000 65,250 67,000 33,000
72
34
30
20 118 15 } 1-
91
8 } 13
81
269
42
34
55
f 4 1 2 3
1
6
243,800
155,750
50 000
5s: COO
31,000
29.000
47,450
29 650
20: 150
60,000
71,000
180, 000
27,000
30,00Q
37,000
---- - - - ------- 112,050 98, OW 27,000
481 129 52 90 4 2 16 14 12 1,568,000 65,000 31,000 289,900 78,000 31,000
NIGHT
16 643 150 18 154 15 0 (2) (2) $113,050 $338, 000 $34,000 $8,050 8 4 5 000 $27 000
23 1200 145 24 129 13 0 (2) 271,500 331,000 37,000 16,850 151: 000 33: COO
22 1243 140 19 115 13 0 (2) 200,100 103,IMO 34, a 0 16,050 177,000 29.000
29 1297 163 19 113 14 3 (?) 171,100 117,000 36,000 10,850 172,000 37,000
22
28
1145
1325
11438 )
130
148
140 }I39 ) 17
2O0 $1
(a)
(2)
(1)
(')
217,150
142,850
74,000
80,000
96 000
l 0 d wo
33,000
36 000
33: 000
23,400
16,200
5,900
154,000 30,000
188,000 28,000
278, WO 155,000
0
------- (2)
-( a )- - - - --- 23,300 233: 000 29,000 3,600 536,000 130,000
151 256 44 133 16 4 5 (2) (2) 1,213,050 I~G,OOO 35,000 106, goo 1x1, 000 31,000
a Rntc is the number of involvcmcnts, persons injured, persons killed, or nmount of property damage per 100 million vehicle-miles.
Vehicle t m c 1 1
Table 35.-Involvoment, injury, fatality, and property damage rates by vehicle type, day and night
c h i c - 1 Accidg,"igvolve- ( Injurcd
Persons
Property damago
DAY
NIGIIT
Passenger car -..-----.530,425,000 3,074 580 1,444 272 47 125 24 4 $1,090,200 $207,000 $36,000
Truck, single-mil, 4
31,000
1
tires 50,928,000 230 309 103 172 43 73,750 123,000
Truck, single-unit, 6
or more tires -------.
Truck, combination--
B u s
38,355,000
254,907,000
8,437,000
64
418
10
107
164
1119
33
47
6
86
18
1 71 1 GO
52
11
3
2
0
l3
(2)
} (2)
(9
l",m
145,150
3,800
8,850
44,000
57,000
45,000
20.000
35,000
1 38,000
Other and not known. 460.000
_ _ (4)_ _ - (0- - (') -
28 14 1 () (4)
--- (4)
1 Rate based on 10-29 accident involvcmcnts. 8 Rate is the numnher of involvements, persons injured, persons killed, or
2 Less than 10 accident involvements; rate not computed. amount of property damage pcr 100 million vehicle-miles.
4 Rate calculations not meaningful.
Table 36.-involvement, injury, fatality, and property damage rates by mode1 year of passenger car, day and night
Persons
Property darnago
involvcmcnts
Iujued I ~illul
DAY
NIGUT
1950I955 ..------------
101,772,000 361 355 168 165 47 13 113 14 $159,460 $157,000 .W4 000
19M-1955 ..--..-------- 139,75D,000 653 467 268 192 41 13 258,750 185,000 40:000
1952-1953 108 102 000 558 516 264 244 47 32 30
l4 6 215,750 199 000 39,000
io50-1051 ..------------~oimo'ooo 707 695 356 3.19 50 22 122 13 249,450 237:ooo 34,000
148-1949 481379'000 416 860 189 411 48 22 145 '5 131,450 272,000 32,000
10iG-1947 ..-..-.------- 15:518:000 173 1,115 93 699 54 46,350 299,000 27,000
- - - - - -)- - -- -
l4 55
Beforo 1LliO....------...15,110,000 206 1,362 96 635 47 38,750 266,000 19,000
TOTAL ..-..--------..
530,425,000 3,074 580 1,443 272 47 125 24 4 1,090,950 206,000 36,000
with respect to severity of accidents. The num- fifth of that for passenger cars. This severity
ber of persons M e d and injured per 100 involve- applies, however, only to the number of persons
ments, and the amount of property damage per in the vehicle in question who were injured per
100 involvements mere used as the measures of 100 involvements. During the day, for example,
severity. only 8 people were injured in trucli combinations
No consistent variation occurred in the number per 100 of these vehicles involved in accidents but
of persons injured per 100 involvements among 41 persons were injured for each 100 passenger cars
the several age groups of male clrivers as shown involved in accidents. This is not a surprising
in table 34. Male drivers under 25 years of age ftncling; it is reasonable to expect that, when a
had a severity rate slightly higher than the average heavy truck hits a passenger car, few people will be
but beyond age 25 there was no consistent differ- injured in the truck. Moreover, the occupancy
ence. Among female drivers there was a greater of truclis is much lower than that of passenger cars.
variation with age but this mas not consistent and A t night, similar results were apparent for truck
the highcr variability was probably the res~dtof combinations but dual-tirecl trucks had an even
the smaller sample size. Similarly, there was higher severity rate than passenger cars. This
no consistency in variation in severity as measured difference in severity may be partly explained by
by the amount of property damage. There was the composition of night traffic. Because trucks
im indication that male drivers under Lhe age of and truck-combinations are a much greater per-
20 and 6 5 or older accounted for a higher than centage of the vehicles on the road at night, the
average number of persons idled per 100 involve- possibility of a single-unit dual-tired truck col-
ments. All of the foregoing comparisons applied liding with a combination is greatcr.
generally for both clay and night. Data in table 36 show the severity by mode1
year of passenger car. There was no consistent
Vehicle type related to severity
variation in severity as measwed by persons
Other comparisons were made as to the severity injured or killed. However, the amount of
of accidents in relation to vehicle type. As shown property damage decreased as the vehicle became
in table 35, during the day the number of persons older. This is probably to be expected considering
injured per 100 involvements was lowest for dual- the type of repairs done to olcI vehicles and their
tired truclis ancl combinations, a rate about one- low marltet value. In addition, older vehicles
Table 37.-Involvement, injury, fatality, and property damage rates by body style of passenger car, day and night
Persons
Propcrty damage
involvelnents
Injured
DAY
''
ments ments ments
2-door sedan--.-------608,483,000 1,969 282 810 116 41 46 7 2 $621,800 $00,000 $32,000
(-door sedan ...----.-.
935 754 000 1,907 204 754 81 30 39 4 2 G18,200 66,000 32,000
Convertible .-.--.-.---GI:119: 000 1Fd 256 80 125 49 (') 51,350 85,000 33,000
Hardtop -----------.--210,403,000 153 73 78 37 51 ('I 50,750 28,000 39,000
Station wagon...----. 261 366 000 307 118 135 61 44 (') (') 104,050 39,000 34,000
Other .------.-..-.----13: 13j,000 34
--- 259 6
------
(2)(9
- 17 3 (2) 12,700 97,000 37,000
-
TOTAL .-.-.----------
2,186,262,000 4,534 207 1,863 85 41 100 5 2 1,473,850 67,000 32,000
NIGHT
Table 38.-Occupant-mile injury and death rates by seated position in passenger car, day and night
Occupant-miles of travel
Seated position
Day I Night
II Center front...---------------
Left rear
Right rear....................
Center rear.--
401,000,000
385 000 000
405: 000: 000
I 285,000,000
....-.-..--.---- 1
91,000,000
02,000,000 1 39 1 u 1 0 1 2 1 14 1 139 1 (z) 1 (3
DAY
15
Male ------.---.
F m a l e-
TOTAL
3,487
-
--------
1 -
3,833
-----
3 4 6
NIGJlT
t) I 1 jI Il6 17
33
Table 40.-InvoIvement rate by type of collision, by are clriven up to four miles per h o u slower, on the
travel speed, day and night average, than the newer vehicles and, as bas been
1 I
/
I
Tmrcl speed,
"-pll
I nato of nccid~nt-involverncntsby type of collision I
2.: 1 0.1
&I.- Anl. 0tl,. r None 1
shown, severity is less at the lower speeds.
Data on the severity for different price groups
of passenger cars are shown in table 31. As
measured by persons injured, the sevcrity gener-
ally decreased as price of car increasd. One
exception is for small cars at night where the
22 or less -.-.----
?O, 005
2 2 663 severity Tvas low (34), but the sample size of per-
3 3 7 312
3 2 101i sons injured was small-only 18 persons were
43-47 -_-_-------- 81
injured. A similar comparison for types of cars
from different manufacturers showed that there
was very little daerence among them with respect
to severity.
Considerable variation might be expected in
sererity among the different body stylcs of pas-
senger cars. The convertible, for example, might
be expected to have a much higher severity rate
than other types of body styles. Table 37 shows
48-62 - 72 43 24 55 54
5 5 7- - 100 41 19 37 64 data confiming that during the day hardtops and
5 2 70 34 116 41 71
6 5 7 2.------..--.. convertibles clid have a greater proportion of
I
01
73 or more...----1224
121
1130 (iy 113
463
I persons injured per 100 inuolvemcnts coniparecl
1 Rate based on 10-29 accident involvements. to 2- and 4-door sedans or station wagons. At
2 Less than 10 accldent inrolrcrtlcnts; ratc not computed.
night, however accident-severity for 2-cloor sedans
was the highest and the lowest was for harcltops,
although the sample size for hardtops was small-
16 persons injured.
Table 41.-Percenlage of involvements by type of
collision, by travel speed, day and night Seated Location Aflects Seuerity
I
Percentage o f accident-involvementsby
type of collision The car occupancy for normal passenger-car
Travol speed, Accident
traffic using these main rural highways was 2.4
m.p.h. involre-
znents
end /
Rear- Dead-
on Angle / Other ) None persons per car in the daytime and 2.2 persons per
car a t night. These car occupancy ratios in-
I DAY I cluded all persons of any age and, therelore, are
Standing .-.----493 78 6 9 somewhat higher than those obtained in other
22or less
2 -
-.-.----
1,183
- 331
47
58
8
10
38
16 studies where young children have been excluded.
3 7- - 355 56 10 9
3 2 658 47 18 12 The seated position of passenger car occupants
4 698 45 16 11
had a substantial effect upon the probability of
their being injured or killed in an nccidcnt. As
table 38 and figure 13 show, the injury rate; that
is, the number of car occupants injurecl pcr 100
million occupant-miles of travel, was greatest for
those in the left and right front seats ns com-
pslrecl to those in tlie other seated positions. The
Standing.-.-.-- 255 61 11 0 15 1
22 or less ---.----
473 49 12 33 4 2 injury rate was about half as great for the occu-
23-32 ..-..--...-200 52 15 14 12 7
3 7 254 51 20 8 11 10 pants of the center front, left rear, and right rear
38-42 - - 418 37 18 9 20 16
4 559 40 18 R 21 12 seats. The injury rate was least for occupall ts of the
center rear seat. These relalionships were simdar
for both day and night conclitions. A comparison
of fatality rates also indicated that tho left and
1 TOTAL -.-.---- I
3,833 1 40 1 I8 1 12 1 16 1 16 1 right front seats were signscantly more hazardous
than other seated locations basecl on an analysis
Table 42.-Percentage of involvements by type of Table 43.-Percentage of invoIvements b y type of collision,
collision, by driver's age, day and night by vehicle type, day and night
TJlider20 ..-----508
2 2. . 872
44
46
DAY
14
14
13
13
11
10
18
17
I Passenger car.-_------_
T r u c k , single-unit,
I
4,554
DAY
I I 1 I I I
2 2 9 713 47 13 13 9 18 4 tires 562
3 4- - 691 45 IS 18 10 14 T r u c k , single-unit,
6 or moro tires .----.- 290
35-44.--.-...-.. 1,129 47 13 10 9 15 Truck combinations--- 400
4 5. . 950 49 12 18 13 B 11s--- ----------------
5 6 4. . 643 40 11 12 R_ 12 Other and not haown-.
6l,orolder.-.--- 477 40 11 30 11
------
TOTAL .--.----
5,083 46 13 17 9 15
NIQIIT
Passenger car .--.-----..3,074 40
Under20 .-...-- 361 36 13 12 15 24 T r u c k , singlc-unit,
2 2 780 38 14 9 17 22 4t i e s 239 41
9 . . 644 41 16 10 17 16 T r u c k single-unit,
3 516 37 16 13 17 17 G or &ore tues .-.---- 64 46
Truck combinations--- 418 43
3 4 742 43 16 10 16 15 Bus -.--..---.--------- 10 60
- - Other and not known-. 28 46
4
5 - -
453
244
43
44
17
15
12
18
1G
11
12 --
65orolder.----- 91 43 12 26 12 11I TOTAL --------------- 3,833 40
------
TOTAL -------- 3,833 40 15 12 16 17
-
of day and night clata combined. The totals for which represent single-vchicle collisions with fixed
persons killed and injured shorn in table 38 do not objects in the roadway, were a much higller pro-
correspond to totals in some of the other tables portioll of total involvements a t night, when visi-
because occupancy data were not obtained for all bility was less, than during the day. Practically
of the study sections. no variation was recorded among the two sexes
with respect to the manner of collision, as shorn
Type of Collision in table 39. The proportion of each collision cate-
On these main rural highways the predominant gory was basecl on accident involvements not on
manner of collision was the rear-end type (in- accidents per se. Thus, other collisions and non-
cluding same-direction sicieswipe). About 4G per- collisions involved only a single vehicle whereas
cent :of all day and 40 percent of night accident all other collision categories inlvolvecl two and
involvements were of this type. The other types sometimes three or more vehicles. If the com-
of collisions were fairly evenly distributed among parison had been based on acciclents rather than
head-on (including opposite directions sideswipes), on accident involvements, the single-vehicle col-
angle, other :collision, and nollcollision types for lisions would have upproximnt;ely doubled in
both day and night condil;ions. Other collisions, proportion to all collision categories.
Table 46.-Accidents, persons injured, persons killed, amount of property damage, by vehicle type for one-vehicle
accidents, day and night combined
Persons
Vehicle type Accident in- Property damage
volvements
Injured Killed
36
much more likely to be involved in angle collisions a large proportion of accidents involved only one
than other drivers and were much less likely to be vehicle, particularly at night: As table 44 shows,
involved in noilcollision types of single-vehicle 33 percent of all accidents during the clay and 46
accidents as compared to younger cbivers. These percent during thc night involved only a single
older drivers have longer reaction times, narrower vehicle. About 61 percent of accidents cluring
fields of view, ancl poorer vision than younger the day and 48 percent of those occurring at night
drivers anci their perforlnance tends to degrade involved two vehicles. Less than 6 percent of
generally. The process of crossing a stream of accidents during either the day or night involved
traffic a t an intersection is a more complex driving t h e e or more vehicles. On the basis of the num-
maneuver than traveling in the traffic stream, and ber of vehicles involved in accidents, single-
perhaps older drivers find it dificult to cope with vehicle accidents accounted for 23 percent of the
its demands upon them. Table 42 data also show vehicles and two-vehicle accidents accounted for
a tendency for a decrease in the proportion of 67 percent of the total. Accidents involving
other collision types of single-vehicle accidents as three or more vehicles accounted for only 10 per-
clrivers become older. cent of all vehicle involvements. Accidents in-
Table 43 data show the type of collision by volving five or more vehicles are often spectacular
vehicle type. The proportion of involvements for but they involved fewer than 1 percent of all
each manner of collision was generally similar for vehicles involved in accidents recorded in this
the diflerent vehicle types. However, for buses study.
the overwhelming majority of all involvements- In single-vehicle collisions, it might be expected
72 percent in the day and 60 percent at nigh&- that many more people in passenger cars would
were rear-end collisions. Other collision categories be injured per 100 accidents compared t o trucks
for buses were corresponclingly reduced. The because of the g~entercar occupancy of passenger
sample size, however, was small-only 46 involve- cars. Data in table 45 show that this is indeecl
ments in the day and only 10 a t night. Also note- the case. Single-unit, single-tired trucks having
worthy is the fact that combination types of trucks similar characteristics to passenger cars also had
were involved in a much smaller proportion of about the same number of persons injured per 100
angle collisions than other types of trucks or pas- involvements. Truck combinations had a fre-
senger cars. This may be partially related to the quency of persons injured per 100 accidents that
longer trip lengths of these vehicle types on main was only one-third that of passenger vehicles.
highways and the decreased necessity for their This low ratio might be partially explained by
entcring or leaving the highway at intersections or lower occupancy, but the slower speeds and more
driveways. rigid bodies of truck combinations in relation to
passenger cars could also be factors. The amount
N u m b e r o f Vehicles Per Accident of property damage per 100 accidents was about
the same for Merent types of vehicles involved
Although a majority of aU accidents on these in single-vehicle collisions, except that it was
main rural highways were two-vehicle collisions, slightly higher for combinations.
Table 46.-Accidents, persons injured, persons killed, amount of property damage by vehicle type for two-vehicle
accidents, day and night combined
Persons
Vehicle type Accidents Property damnge
Injured Killed
IIeacl-on
Total accident Head-on collisions
Mcdian ~vidlh Vohiclc-miles i~lvolvements collisions 2 as n per-
centage of
tola1
DAY
NIOBT
2-lane:
A e t o 654,144,000 2,569 464 548 09 21
4lane:
Less than 16 1.-------.---.--...-. 130,874,000 433 331 16 12 4
15-38............................. 164,12& 000 GM 404 22 13 3
More than 40 ...---..---------- --- 43,368,000 168 387 9 21 6
1 i l l i n i ~ n umedian
l~~ width mas 8 leet.
2 Includes opposite direction sidcswil~cs.
Table 48.-Number of intersections per mile related to type of collision, 2- and 4-lane highways, day and night
Nurnbor of
int~rsections
per mile / 1
Vehiclc-miles Total accident involvements
Rear-end 1
DAY
1
Typo of collision
Anglo / Head-on2
2-lane: Number Percent Rate Number Percent Rate Number Percent Rate Number Percent Rate
0 - - 458,651,000 1,105 100 241 447 40 07 91 8 20 191 17 42
1-1.9 ----.----
1,138,435,000 2,737 100 240 1,255 46 110 406 15 36 456 lfi 38
2 or more --.-- 152,231,000 510 100 335 237 4G 15G 125 25 82 74 15 40
4-lnnc:
1 G03,880,000 766 100 110 378 40 51 16G 22 24 25 3 4
2 or more -.-... 335,407,000 866 100 258 450 52 134 234 27 iO 29 3 0
WORT
2-lano:
0 - - 174,527,000 620 100 355 lrd 20 04 46 7 26 llfi 19 60
1-1.9 -----.--- 320,386,000 1,536 100 479 527 34 164 150 10 47 338 22 105
2 or inoro----- 59,231,000 413 100 697 141 34 238 65 10 110 04 23 150
4-lnnc:
1 183,512,000 699 100 381 408 58 222 99 14 54 15 2 8
2 or more ----- 154,856,000 565 100 365 298 53 192 84 15 54 32 G 21
of intersections per milc increased. As expected the analysis in which intersection dat,a alone mere
rear-end and angle collisions, particularly, tendecl used. This analysis points up the safety benefit
to increase as the number of intersections per of controlling access to the highway.
mile increased. This was true for 2-lane high- As table 49 data show, during tlle day the total
ways both during the day and night and for involvement rate increased as shoulcler ~vicltlz
4-lane highways during the day. There was also a increased on 2-lane higlmays. At night, 2-lane
tendency for head-on collisions to increase with highways having shoulders 6-9 feet wide had a
number of intersections per mile for 2-lane high- lower involvement rate than either narrower or
ways a t night and for 4-lane highways during wider shoulders. Similar results were noted for
both the day and night. the predominant rear-end collisions. Rates lor
Highways having few intersections per mile head-on and angle collisions increased as shoulder
also had few clriveways per mile. An analysis width increased. These results appear incongruous
combining the number of intersections per mile and may have been associated with other variables
and driveways per mile produced results similar to that were not studied.
DAY
Feet Number Rate Number Percent Rote Number P~rcent Rate Number Percent Rate
2-lane: 233 15 31
0- 740,89G,OOO 1,605 217 640 40 86 267 17 36
6-9 .-----------..--------
679,018,000 1,777 262 828 47 122 273 15 40 208 12 31
1 or d r 329,403,000 970 294 470 48 143 161 17 49 181 55
4-lane: 5 400 26 39
A 1,029,347, 0 0 1,631 158 828 61 80 54 3
NIQEIT
2-lane: 90 79 8 38
0-5 ..----------------.---
209,509,000 947 452 302 32 144 188 20
95 10 42
9 225,487,000 988 438 290 30 133 219 22 U7
87 14 73
10 or wider ....---..-----
119,148,000 634 532 231 36 194 141 22 118
&lane:
All .-.--.-..--.-.-.------
338,368,000 1,264 374 706 56 209 47 4 14 183 14 64
Although the principal purpose of this study tween 43 and 62 miles per hour; and 95.5 percent
was to determine the relation between accidents of the male drivers traveled a t speeds between
and characteristics of drivers and vehicles, certain 34 and 71 miles per hour. The actual data
other finclings .are also important and worth fitted these simplified statistics within 1 or 2
noting. In particular, the relation between speed, miles per hour. The statistics apply to all
relative amount of travel, and certain charac- drivers on all 35 study sections; but on any
teristics of drivers and -vehicles are discussed in single study section, the variability was less.
the following paragraphs. The difference in both mean speeds and standard
As has been indicated, relative amount of deviations between nonmembers and members
travel varied considerably and depended upon of the Armed Forces was only about 1 mile per
the characteristics of driver and vehicle. For hour. Those in the .Armed Forces were the
example, female drivers accounted for only 13 faster drivers but this is probably associated
percent of the vehicle-miles of travel during the with their younger ages rather than their &med
day and for only 7 percent of travel during the Forces membership.
night hours. However, the mean speeds of male Residence of clriver had a small effect on mean
and female clrivers were nearly identical-52.6 speecls and the effect was different for day and
miles per hour during the day, and about 51.0 night driving. During the day, in-State clrivers
miles per hour at night. If only passenger-car from counties remote from the study section
drivers are compared, the speed of male drivers averaged 3 to 4 milcs per hour faster than the
averaged about 1 mile per hour faster than that other three groups. At night, out-01-State drivers
for female clrivers. averaged 3 miles per hour slower than the others.
The standard deviation was greatcst for local
Speeds and Characteristics of Drivers and clrivers and least for out-of-Statc clrivers.
Vehicles There mas a tendency lor younger clrivers to
Table 50 data show mean speeds and varia- drive slightly faster than older drivers during both
bility in speeds for the driver and vehicle charac- clay and night. The range in mean speecls be-
teristics studied. The measure of variability tween the youngest and oldest age groups was
employed was the standacl deviation. The about 3 miles per hour. During the clay, there
higher the standard deviation, the greater the was little difference in variability in speeds among
variabiIity in speeds. A common interpretation the age groups. At night, however, the micldlc-
of the standard deviation is that one standard aged drivers showecl less variability in spcccls than
deviation encompasses 68.3 percent or about either younger or older drivers.
two-thirds of all speeds: two standard deviations As other studies have shown, there is n con-
encompass 95.5 percent of all speeds: and three sidcrable diflerence in mean speeds depending
standard deviations encompass 99.7 percent of upon the vehicle type. During thc day, clrivers
all speeds. of truclr combinations and single-unit, dud-tired
For example, as shown in table 50, during the truclrs traveled 6 to 7 milcs per hour slower on the
day male drivers hacl a mean speed of 52.6 miles average than clrivers 01 passenger cars, as shown
per hour and a standard deviation of 9.2 miles in table 50. At night, the speecls lor truclrs were
per hour. This means that about two-thirds of only 3 to 5 miles per hour slower than for passenger
all male drivers traveled at speeds ranging be- cars. Single-uniL truclcs having 4 tires, such as
panels and piclcups, had speeds between these Tendency was for higher horsepower cars to be
extremes cluring the day and very close to pas- driven at higher speeds, and the range in speed
senger-car speeds a t night. The heavier trucks, between the lowest and highest horsepower groups
having 6 or more tires including combinations, was about 3 miles per hour during the day and
had less of a variance in speeds at night as com- nearly 6 miles per hour a t night. There was
pared to passenger cars and buses. Also, drivers little difference in the variance in speeds among
of all types of commercial vehicles traveled up to the horsepower groups during either the day or
2 rniles per hour faster a t night than in the day, night.
and passenger-car drivers averaged about 2 miles Speeds at which sports cars tended to be driven
per hour slower at night. were much higher than for any other body style
Table 50.-Mean and standard deviation of speed distributions and percentage of vehicle-miles of travel for
characteristics of driver and vehicle, day and night
Body style:
2-door sedan.--.------.-.----------------------
52.8 61.7 8.9 9.1 55,000 14,000 32 32
Moor sadan--------.--------------------------
63.0 51. 6 8.6 9.3 76,000 17,000 43 40
Soft top aonvertible 64.4 ------.---------------------
0. 5 0.7 5, WO 1, WO 3 4
Hard top
Station wagon
.------..------------------------
64.4
66.3
62.7
52.9
9.2
9.3
9.
11.8
6 17,000
20,000
5,000
5 000
10
12
12
13
iz)
..-...--.---..----m--------------
I n summary, for nearly all driver and vehicle tributions demonstrate the rangc in speed dis-
characteristics studied, only a moderate variation tribution obtained for the various characteristics
was noted in the mean speeds and the variability of drivers and vehicles on the 35 study sections.
in speeds. For all characteristics studied, single- On any single study scction the variance in
urnit trucks h a ~ i n g6 or more tires had the lowest speeds would be somewhat less.
rnean speecl, 46.6 miles per hour, and the sports Figure 15 also shows fitted cumulative frequency
cars had the highest mean speecl, 60.3 miles per distributions (solid curves) computed from the
hour as shown. in table 60. Figure 15 data show mean speed and standard deviation and assuming
the cun~~ilative speed distributions of the a,ctual a normal distribution of the data. I t is evident
day data (dashed curves) for these extremes. that the difference bet~voeathe actual data and
The mean values for night data were closer the fittcd curves are vcry small indeed, thus
together and are not shorn. These two dis- inclicating that the actual data does follow
TabIe 51.-Percent of registered drivers and vehicle-miles and the ratio between the two by age and sex of driver, day
and night
Vehicle-miles
Ratio (Percent of
Age of driver Percent of Total Percentage vehicle-miles to
re istered pcrcent of registered
&ivers 1 drivers)
MALn
FEhcALE
Under 20-----------.---------
5.7 17,676,000 2,332,000 4.8 4.0 0.84 0.70
2 2 4 8.9 34 745 000 11 188 000 9.8 10.0 1.04 2.13
2&29 ---------.---------------
14.2 40: 433: 000 9' 043' 000 10.8 15.4 0.76 1.08
SO- 14.8 49,388,000 9'780'000 13.3 10.6 0.90 1.12
3 27.5 97,881,000 15: 161: 000 26,3 25.7 0.96 0.93
46-54 ------------.------------
17.6 79 437 000 8 605 000 21.3 14.6 1.21 0.83
5 4 8.3 41: 837:000 2: 121; 000 11.2 3. R 1.35 0.43
65 or over
A - - - -
3.0
-
11,197,000
- - - 100.0 372,694,000
672,000
58,002,000
- 3.0
100.0
- -
100.0
1.1 1.00
1.00
-
0.37
1.00
Table 52.-Percent and cumulative percent of vehicle-miles by age of driver and passenger car, day and night
Day Night
Age of driver Age 01passenger car, years Age of passenger car, years
Less than 3 3-6 6-10 10 or older Less than 3 3-6 6-10 10 or older
-- -----
cumu- Cumu- Curnu- cumu- cumu- Cumu- Cumu- Curnu-
Zutive lative ldioe lative latiue lative lative lutive
Per- per- Per- per- Per- per- Per- per- Per- ger- Per- per- Per- per- Per- per-
cent cent cent cent cent cent cent cent cent cent cent cent cent Cent cent cent
Under ZO-.-- 2 2 3 3 0 0 7 7 4 4 6 5 10 10 12 12
20-24.-..--.- 7 9 9 12 12 IS 12 18 12 16 16 21 10 26 15 27
2 -
45-04---.----
-
52
35
61
00
50
33
62
95
4G
30
61
94
30
31
58
89
68
24
74
(18
65
23
70
09
62
20
78
98
42
29
69
98
66 or oldor.-- 4 100 6 100 6 100 11 100 2 100 1 100 2 100 2 100
-
The ratios shown in table 51 also compare the travel by passenger cars was corresponclingly re-
dxerent age groups of female drivers. In gen- duced from 79 percent of all traffic in the day to
eral, the older and younger female drivers drove 60 percent at night.
less than the average female driver but the diLfer- Table 50 data also show that local drivers re-
ence was less pronounced than for male drivers. siding within the study county did relatively less
The relatively large amount of night travel by travel at night and out-of-State drivers slightly
20- to 24-year-old female drivers also shows up more travel at night. Therc was little difference
clearly in table 51. in day or night distributions of travel by horse-
As shown in table 50, members of the Armed power, body style, or age of passenger car. Newer
Forces contributed 3 percent of the travel during cars contributed the greater proportion of all
the day and 5 percent at night. The bigher pro- travel. Cars newer than 4 years, lor example,
portion of night travel by members of the Armed provided about half of all travel, day and night,
Forces is to be expected because military drivers and cars older than 10 years provided less than 5
were predominantly in the younger age groups who percent of the travel. This has important impli-
increasecl their share of all travel at nigh$. During cations when important modiications are consid-
the day, for example, 38 percent of the drivers who ered in the vehicle. Any such changeover would
were members 01 the Armed Forces were under age have a nearly universal effect within 10 years-at
25 compared to only 11percent of the nonmember least on main rural highways.
drivers. Similarly, only 1 percent of the drivers I t might be expected that younger drivers would
in the Armecl Forces were older than age 44 com- be more likely to drive older cars andconversely
pared to 17 percent of nonmembers. older drivers would be more likely to drive newer
As data in table 50 show, combination trucks cars. The data support the lirst part of this state-
contributed only 9 percent of all travel in the day, ment but not the latter part. I n other words,
but at night the proportion increased sharply to both older and younger drivers drove older cars
28 perccnt of all travel. This should not be inter- while middle-aged drivers, h o v e the newer cars.
preted as indicating more truck travel at night. During the day, for example, drivers under the
Rather, as other stuclies have shown, trucks pro- age of 20 drove only 2 percent of cars less than 3
vide a more consistent traffic volume throughout years old but, a very large amount by contrast,
7 percent of cars more than 10 years old, as shown
the 24 hours of the day. However, passenger cars
in table 52. Similarly, drivers 65 or older drove
show much greater variation in traffic volume, only 4 percent of the cars that were less than 3
peak volumes occur during the day (except in a, years old but operated a, fully 11 percent of the
few winter months) and very low traffic volumes cars that were more than 10 years old. However,
occur shortly after midnight. Thus, trucks con- drivers in the 25- to 44-year-olcl age group drove
stituted a higher percentage of the lower propor- 52 percent of the cars less than 3 years old but only
tion of night traffic volumes. The proportion of 39 percent of the cars more than 10 years old.