SASKATCHEWAN MAY 2017

EMBARGOED UNTIL:
5 AM CST, MAY 25, 2017
PRINT EXCLUSIVE:
POSTMEDIA NETWORK
Methodology
Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of
2,000 Saskatchewan residents from May 15-16,
2017 through Chimera IVR. Landline and Cell lines
were included. Responses were weighted using
demographic and geographic information to
targets based on the 2016 Census.
The margin of error for survey results is 2.19
percentage points, 19 times out of 20 for the total.
The margin of error for Regina is 4 percentage
points, 19 times out of 20.
The margin of error for Saskatoon is 3.7
percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The margin of error for Rest of Saskatchewan is
3.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
About Mainstreet
With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority
Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by
elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
majority government in the 2015 federal election.
Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Montral: David Valentin, Executive Vice
President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
SK PARTY FADES AS NDP SURGES TO 9 POINT LEAD

May 25, 2017 (Montral, QC) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll conducted for the Saskatoon Star Phoenix
and Regina Leader Post nds the Saskatchewan Party facing a steep drop in voter support with the
provincial NDP taking a 9-point lead. The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.19%, 19
times out of 20.

Its a sea change following an extremely rocky budget rollout said David Valentin, Executive
Vice-President of Mainstreet Research. The provincial NDP hold a decisive lead in Regina, and a 4-point
lead in Saskatoon, they are tied with the Saskatchewan party outside urban centres.

This marks the rst Mainstreet/Postmedia poll to use new census data targets for Saskatchewan.

Decided & Leaning: Saskatchewan Party 40% (-7), NDP 49% (+7), Liberal 6% (-), Green 5% (-)

With the information we have now its possible the NDP could form the next government with these
numbers. Of course, there is no election today or tomorrow, and the NDP have yet to elect a permanent
leader - we are still quite far away from the next election and these numbers could change.

Federally, the Liberal Party is now leading in Regina, with a 12-point lead, that would be a marked change
from the previous election results. The Liberals only hold one seat in the province, if they could hold onto
these numbers they could potentially win another two seats. NDP support is evenly distributed across the
province, they score 25% in Regina, 20% in Saskatoon and 18% in the Rest of Saskatchewan. The problem
is that theyre not scoring high enough in any given region to win any seats, with these numbers they
would have a real problem re-electing the three incumbents they have in the province. With their support
spread so thinly, they could be wiped o the map.

Following the contentious provincial budget, approval is still high for Saskatoon Mayor Charlie Clark with
67% saying they either very or somewhat approve of his performance. Only 14% currently disapprove with
20% not sure.

The numbers are less cheery for Regina Mayor Michael Fougere though he is still in positive territory. 48%
approve of his performance while 38% disapprove, thats a net approval score of +10.

-30-

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca

Provincial Decided & Leaning
Federal Decided & Leaning