Professional Documents
Culture Documents
OPPORTUNITY
Winter is coming
It was a morning in early November 2008. Dr. Arif Doula was going to ACI Center for an
important meeting with his CFO and Director of Business Development. Through the car
window, he saw some students wearing full sleeve shirts were going to school. Winter is
coming he said to himself. Everyone had started taking preparation to fight the winter. But its
not only winter for which Dr. Arif Doula needed to take preparation. He had bigger fishes to fry.
ACI Bangladesh Limited had to take some important decisions to make its future secure and
sustainable. It had earned nearly 50% growth in 2008 compared to 2007 and he had strong
determination to maintain the success rate in next year.
He reached ACI Centre thinking about all these things. Before entering into the meeting room,
he was trying to remember all the necessary information regarding the meeting.
The Company
ACI Bangladesh Limited, headquartered in Tejgaon Industrial Area, Dhaka, was one of the
leading business conglomerates in Bangladesh. It operated with three strategic business units
(pharmaceuticals, consumer brands and agribusiness. It had two successful joint venture
businesses named- Tetley ACI (BD) Ltd. and ACI Godrej Agrovet Pvt. Ltd. and one associate
company called Asian Consumer Care Ltd (as of 2008).
ACI was established as the subsidiary of Imperial Chemical Industry (ICI) in the then East
Pakistan in 1968. After independence, the company had been incorporated in Bangladesh on the
24th of January, 1973 as ICI Bangladesh Manufacturers Limited and also as public limited
company. Its first trading of shares took place in DSE on 9 march, 1994. In 2007, ACI BD Ltd.
had sales of almost BDT 5.75 billion.
In 2007, healthcare division was responsible for 36.3% of total sales whereas consumer brands
division and agribusiness division was responsible for 29.2 and 34.5 percent. 2008 was much
more promising than 2007 for ACI. It had been a year of remarkable growth for ACI, both in
terms of turnover and diversity of products, services and competencies. There were more
demand for ACIs products and supply. It had encouraged the top management for expanding
business by gaining more production capacity in order to capture existing market opportunity.
(See Exhibit 1 for six years comparative statistics of ACI Limited, Exhibit 2 for comparison of
turnover and cost over last year and Exhibit 3, 4, 5 and 6 for financial statements of last year.)
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This case was written by Shadman Sadique Kamal, Shoumik Shahriar, Tasnim Hadi Shamma, Mehedi Hasan Mim
and Tasnim Tabassum Tore, students of Department of Finance, Faculty of Business Studies, University of Dhaka
under the supervision of faculty member Md. Saimum Hossain.
Strategic Business Units of ACI
Consumer Brands
2008 had been a great year for the total portfolio of consumer brands until November. Two new
businesses named ACI Foods and ACI Pure Flour were launched. Consumer brands developed
significantly till November and management was expecting an increase in turnover by 35%-40%.
ACI Aerosol, Savlon, ACI Salt showed substantial improvement in both turnover and
profitability. ACI Salts turnover grew 24% and the product had become the number one in its
category. Performance in product like Colgate, Nivea, Godrej Hair Care showed a considerable
growth. That was an indication how successfully ACI represented these world reputed
companies as exclusive marketing partner and distributor for Bangladesh.
Agribusiness
Agribusiness division brought nearly 40% of total sales till November, 2008. But its growth in
2008 was not as satisfactory as the growth in 2007. The business in 2008 saw 19% growth
whereas the growth in 2007 was 43%. The main reason was the adverse market condition
resulting from the bird flu attack. This division consists of crop care and public health,
Fertilizers, seeds, crop exchange and motor department. Agribusiness division was focused on
achieving growth by new product introduction, increasing production capacity, quality services
to customers and educating the farmers about the products.
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priority list. We are going to discuss the top two projects from the priority list. We believe these
two projects will help us to optimize the opportunities, said Mr. Chowdhury.
In 2008, the edible salt market size in Bangladesh was roughly 10 lac metric tons. The existing
salt production plant had capacity to produce around 4,000 tons/month or around 48,000 tons
annually. Though ACI salt was the leader in branded salt market, it had roughly 5% market share
in the edible salt market. With the new plant, total capacity was estimated to be 13,000-14,000
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tons annually. Sales was expected to be boosted by supplying the excess demand of branded
edible salt. The sales projection, generated from this project, was as follows.
These were the sales projections from the year 2011-2014. However, turnover in the year 2015
and 2016 were not projected in the same way. Since 2015 was far in future, they decided to
depend on the general growth rate of the edible salt industry. The general growth rate of edible
salt industry was around 10%.
The major cost of operating the existing plant was the energy consumption. As a result, the gross
margin for the company in previous years varied from 17-20%. But the new machine is much
more efficient and would consume much less energy compared to the existing one. This would
result in an average gross margin of around 26% in the coming years. There would also be
decrease in selling and general administrative and increase in operating margin. Previously, the
operating margin of the company used to vary from 4.8-8.3%. This plant was expected to
increase the operating margin significantly by around 14.5% in the coming years.
This project not only required capital investment to procure plant and equipment but also
investment in working capital in the form of increased inventory and trade receivables. The
change in net working capital would be as follows.
All items on plant and equipment were depreciated in straight-line basis. Depreciation on
additions were charged at 50% of normal rate only in the year of acquisition and no depreciation
was charged in the year of disposal. Depreciation was charged at a rate of 20%. No depreciation
was charged for land and capital work-in-progress. Capital work-in-progress represented the cost
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incurred for acquisition and/or construction of items of property, plant and equipment that were
not ready for use.
The applicable tax rate for the company is 27.5%. Public limited companies are entitled to a 10%
tax rebate if dividend declared is more than 20% of the paid up capital. ACI Limited (the
publicly traded company) was hoping to take advantage of this rule in the subsequent years. The
cost of capital is 14%.
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Factory/Location Product Mix Existing Capacity Proposed Capacity
(Annual) (Annual)
Feed Mill- Sirajganj Poultry, Fish (Sinking) 96,000 Tons 186,000 Tons
& Cattle Feeds
Out of the total capital expenditure requirement of BDT 353.1 million, BDT 195.7 million would
be utilized to put up a Feed Mill of 15 metric tons/ hour capacity (expandable to 30 metric
tons/hour capacity) and a 5 metric tons/ hour Extruder Plant (expandable to 10 metric tons/
hour). Both of these plants would be housed in a one lac square feet godown which would be
constructed at the existing factory site in Sirajganj, the land that was already owned. (See
Exhibit 13 for the allocation of fund and Exhibit 14 for the details of necessary capital
expenditures.)
The creation of these plants were expected to continue the momentum of aggressive growths and
generate a satisfying amount of revenue by 2014. The projected income statement was as
follows.
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The contribution margin would vary from 9.25% to 10.5% over the project period until 2014.
The contribution margins from operations would be enhancing due to increase in the proportion
of imports of raw materials to total imports, and because of incorporation on nutritional
advancements in product quality upgradations. The PBT would jump significantly by reaching
scale of economies. (See Exhibit 15 for the year-on-year sales growth projections.)
The applicable tax rate for the company is 27.5%. Public limited companies are entitled to a 10%
tax rebate if dividend declared is more than 20% of the paid up capital. ACI Limited (the
publicly traded company) was hoping to take advantage of this rule in the subsequent years. The
cost of capital is 14%.
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Exhibit 1: Six years comparative statistics, from 2002-2007
Issued and paid capital 162 162 162 162 162 162
Dividends 61 65 69 73 97 137
Debtors turnover 23 16 12 11 10 8
Market price per share 54.2 66.7 94.4 69.6 70.2 181.7
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Price earnings ratio 8 12.7 17 10 7.4 9.4
2007 % 2006 %
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Exhibit 3: Balance Sheet of ACI Limited
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Exhibit 4: Income Statement of ACI Limited
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Exhibit 5: Statement of Changes in Equity of ACI Limited
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Exhibit 6: Cash Flow Statement of ACI Limited
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Exhibit 7: Balance Sheet of ACI Salt Limited
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Exhibit 8: Income Statement of ACI Salt Limited
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Exhibit 9: Statement of Changes in Equity of ACI Salt Limited
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Exhibit 10: Cash Flow Statement of ACI Salt Limited
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Exhibit 11: Projected Year-on-Year Turnover & Growth Rate
Year Revenue (in BDT million) Growth Rate Over Last Year (%)
2008 14.6
2011 1293.9 68
2012 1866.0 44
Product Mix: Given below is the product mix of ACI Godrej Agrovet Private Limited:
a) Poultry Feed (Broiler & Layer)
b) Fish Feed (Sinking)
c) Cattle Feed
d) Broiler DOC
Overview of Fish Feed Industry: In Bangladesh fish is the major part of staple diet. Its
consumption rate is gradually increasing. However, the proportion of cultured fish has cranked
up more than 50% of the total fish catch due to the scientific advancements in last few years.
According to industry experts, the cultured can bring more profits to farmers as intensive
farming can be done which increases their profitability. Also with growing commercializing and
urbanization, the demand of fish species like Telapia and Thai Koi is increasing.
Demand & Supply Gap of Fish Feed: Almost 50% of the sector is still unorganized. So theres a
huge gap in demand and supply. Efforts of industry members are required to change the scenario.
The organized Fish Feed market is around 180,000 Mt wherein we are placed at number two
with total market share of 12.5%. We have achieved this position within two years of business
and we can expect to witness a huge increase in the coming years from this particular product
line.
Overview of Broiler DOC Industry: The Broiler DOC industry forms essential inputs to the
poultry feed industry and its demand-supply has a great impact on sales.
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Demand-Supply Scenario: Industry expert argue that due to the biasness of farmers to use chicks
mainly for broiler meat, there is a large crisis for parent stock. The increased sales of parent
stock and so commercial DOC will lead to more broiler feed sales.
Overview of Cattle Feed Industry: The Cattle Feed Industry is still unorganized with raw
materials consisting more than 95% of the total nutrition requirement of cattle population.
Analysis says that there is a large untapped market of cattle which have marketable surplus of
milk. These areas are being targeted for creating markets for cattle feeds.
Application of Fund
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b) 5 MTPH Extruder Plant
c) Breeding Farm
2009 1866.0 44
2010 2582.2 39
2011 3076.6 18
2012 3596.4 17
2013 4070.0 13
2014 4560.0 12
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