Trump 1

From: KyleWilson<krwilson66@icloud.
com>
Senttime: 08/09/201612:35:18PM
To: BobOtto<robertotto25@gmail.com>
Subject: ATrumpvictoryandtheallianceapreliminarycut|TheStrategist
SFKuUXOl3okXg=Sittingdownhereontheundersideoftheplanetwecanonlyhopethatenoughpeopl
eintheUSwillunderstandthataTrumpvictorycouldwellmeanthebeginningoftheendofANZUS
...but,ofcourse,relativelyfewwouldhaveheardofit.
Mylong-sufferingfamilytellmeIshould'lightenup'or'takelifeeasier'--andIdosympathis
ewiththem!
http://www.aspistrategist.org.au/trump-victory-alliance-preliminary-cut/?utm_medium=email&utm_camp
aign=Daily%20The%20Strategist&utm_content=Daily%20The%20Strategist+CID_73dec07c59a2a5992b079568975
06eca&utm_source=CampaignMonitor&utm_term=A%20Trump%20victory%20and%20the%20alliancea%20preliminar
y%20cut
SentfrommyiPad
From: JohnBDunlop<jbdunlop@stanford.edu>
Senttime: 08/23/201609:02:32AM
To: martin.dewhirst@gmail.com
Cc: robertotto25@gmail.com
FW:Pre-electionFERMENTinRussia:"AngryFARMERSstagetractormarchonMoscow:'Anti-corruption'protestisstopped17times[!]inthe
Subject:
spaqceof24hours,"themsocowtimes.com,8/23
From:JohnBDunlop
Sent:Tuesday,August23,20169:02AM
To:howard@jamestown.org
Cc:paul.goble@gmail.com'waz2102@caa.columbia.edu'
Subject:Pre-electionFERMENTinRussia:"AngryFARMERSstagetractormarchonMoscow:'Anti-corruption'protestisstopped17
times[!]inthespaqceof24hours,"themsocowtimes.com,8/23
And:InRostovonDontheyhaveblockedandcancelledtheTRACTORMARCH[onMoscow],
http://www.newsru.com/russia/22aug/2016/volchenko.html
And:AcolumnofFARMERSandLONGHAULTRUCKERSwhoweremarchingontheKremlinhave
beenblockedbytheSiloviki,http://www.rosbalt.ru/russia/2016/08/22/1543154.html
And:InRostovOBLAST66MINERSwhohavenotbeenreceivingtheirwageshavebegunaHUNGER
STRIKEanddeclinedmedicaltreatment,http://echo.msk.ru/news/1825320echo.html
And:Theelectiondebates[onRussiasFirstChannel]havebegunwithaSCANDAL:Yavlinskii,
DmitrievaandMaltsevconductedteleviseddebates,
http://www.gazeta.ru/politics/2016/08/22_a_10153565.shtml
ThecandidatefromthePARNASpartyVyacheslavMaltsevontheopenaircalledforthe
IMPEACHMENTofPutin
And:MikhailOsokin:IntheCrimeaZOLOTOVissqueezingoutSHOIGU,sobesednik.ru,8/22
AtthebeginningoftheyeartheratingofMinisterofDefenseSergeiShoigurosesignificantlyand
evenbegantocatchupwiththelevelofpopularityofVladimir:Putin.Notsurprisinglythemediahave
beguntohighlighttheachievementsoftheFSBattheexpenseofpublicinterestintheSyrian
successesoftheMinistryofDefenseanditshead.TheCrimeanintriguewasonemoreadvertisement
fortheRussianSilovikibeforetheelections.
And:WilltherebeEARLYRussianpresidentialelections[dosrochnyevybory]?Writinginslon.ru
KonstantinGAAZEsaysyes:http://slon.ru/posts/71986
ThepresidentialelectionswilltakeplaceaftertheAmericanelectionsbutnolaterthanMarch2017
[!].
And:AndreiKOLESNIKOVwritingforCarnegieMoscowsaysno:Playingthelonggame:WhyPutin
wontcallasnappresidentialelection,http://carnegie.ru/2016/08/18/putinwontcallsnap
presidentialelection/j3rl
And:MANAFORTisgonebuthisdisciplesremainonTrumpselectionteam:Clintoncampaign
managerwonderswhetherTrumpisjustaPUPPETfortheKREMLIN,slate.com,8/22
And:Thedaily202:RussianMEDDLINGinU.S.electionbackfiringonPutin,hurtingTrump,
washingtonpost.com,8/23
And:KremlinsaysPutin,MERKEL,HOLLANDEtomeettodiscussUkraineatG20onSept.45,
reuters.com,8/23
Senttime: 08/22/201609:00:31AM
FW:GlasnostPutin-style:"RussianpoliceinvestigateINVESTIGATEFECESATTACKonKremlincritic[Yuliya]LATYNINA,"
Subject:
http://www.rferl.org/27936709.html
From:JohnBDunlop
Sent:Monday,August22,20169:00AM
Subject:GlasnostPutin-style:"RussianpoliceinvestigateINVESTIGATEFECESATTACKonKremlincritic[Yuliya]LATYNINA,"
http://www.rferl.org/27936709.html
RussianauthoritiesareinvestigatinganattackonjournalistYuliyaLatyninainwhichtheprominent
criticofPresidentVladimirPutinwasdousedwithfecalmatterbyanunidentifiedassailantLatynina
saidtwomenwearingmotorcyclehelmetswerewaitingforheraftersheexitedherparkedcar.One
ofthemenapproachedherandtossedfecalmatteronherfromabucketbeforefleeingwithhis
accompliceonamotorcycle,shesaid.Sheaddedonherradioshowimmediatelyfollowingtheattack
thattheassailantyelledshewaspouringcraponRussia.Avideooftheattackwaslaterpostedonline
andbroadcastduringRussianstatetelevisionreportsaboutthepoliceinvestigation.
ForLatyninasaccountoftheassault,seeher20AugustweeklyradiobroadcastonEkhoMoskvy:
http://echo.msk.ru/programs/code/1823070echo/
Seep.11oftheprogramtranscriptforhercommentsontheUkrainianterrorattackonCrimea.Her
conclusion:ItwasacompletelymonstrouscockuponthepartoftheFSB.
And:TensionsMOUNTbetweenRussiaandUkrainefollowingTERRORINCIDENT,
washingtonpost.com,8/22
And:UkrainetoSUERussiaoverCRIMEA,themoscowtimes.com,8/22
UkraineplanstolaunchlegalproceedingsagainstRussiaforviolatingaUnitednationsconvent6ion
withitsannexationofCrimea,UkrainesForeignMinsiterPavloKLIMKINsaidMonday.Klimkinsaid
thatUkraineplanstofileacaseininternationalcourtsrelatingtoRussiasviolationofUNmaritime
lawinthewaterssurroundingCrimeaWewill[also]provethatRussiahasviolateditresponsibilities
onthebanoffinancingterrorism
And:ProposedprosperityNEVERARRIVEDinRussianheldCrimea,localssay,reuters.com,8/21
And:AndrewKRAMER,MoreofKremlinsopponentsareendingupDEAD,nytimes.com,8/21
Latyninahasbeenfortunate[sofar].
And:SECHINhaslaunchedanewSUITagainstNovayaGazetabecauseitsarticleonhisyachttheSt.
PrincessOlga,http://www.vedomsoti.ru/technology/articles/2016/08/18/653623sechin/
Sechinrepeatshisnewwifesdemandthatallcopiesoftheoffendingarticlebeseized.[Dearreader,
Doyoupossessacopyofthisradioactivearticle?Ifso,thinkaboutplacingitinabankvault.]

And:ExpertspredictLOSTDECADEforRussiasstagnatingeconomy,themoscotimes.com,8/19
And:PluckyRussiannewspaper[YAKUTSKVECHERNY]standsbywarningagainstdistortedTV
news,http://www.rferl.org/27936360.html
And:AnneAplebaum,ThesecrettoTRUMP:HesreallyaRussianoligarch,washingtonpost.com,
8/19oped
Senttime: 08/24/201609:37:29AM
Subject: FW:[LATEEVENINGRUN]MUSTREADSBEssayonRussiaintheMiddleEast:PutinDoublesDowninSyria.[NICMND]FightinginEasternUkraineRussianforcesTrumpGermanyEstoniaSlovakiaReformsFinancialNuclearCyberUSARussiadealonSyri...
From:WalterZaryckyj[mailto:waz2102@caa.columbia.edu]
Sent:Tuesday,August23,20166:45PM
Subject:Fwd:[LATEEVENINGRUN]MUSTREADSBEssayonRussiaintheMiddleEast:PutinDoublesDowninSyria.[NICMND]FightinginEasternUkraineRussianforcesTrumpGermanyEstoniaSlovakiaReformsFinancialNuclearCyberUSARussiadealonSyri...
----------Forwardedmessage----------
From:WalterZaryckyj<waz2102@caa.columbia.edu>
Date:Tue,Aug23,2016at9:44PM
Subject:[LATEEVENINGRUN]MUSTREADSBEssayonRussiaintheMiddleEast:PutinDoublesDowninSyria.[NICMND]FightinginEasternUkraineRussianforcesTrumpGermanyEstoniaSlovakiaReformsFinancialNuclearCyberUSARussia
dealonSyria[FPEdPick#4]DIDRUSSIAHACKTHENEWYORKTIMES?
To:RomaHadzewycz<staff@ukrweekly.com>,rl<romashka1@aol.com>
From:StephenBlank<traininblank@aol.com>
Subject:Fwd:YourEssayonRussiaintheMiddleEast
To:nic.marsh@gmail.com,waz2102@caa.columbia.edu
newarticleforyouboth
StephenBlank
traininblank@aol.com
PutinDoublesDowninSyria
StephenBlank
August23,2016
PDFVersion
StephenBlankisaSeniorFellowattheForeignPolicyResearchinstituteaswellasattheAmericanForeignPolicyCouncil.
Relatedprogram(s)
ProgramontheMiddleEast
EurasiaProgram
VladimirPutinandBasharalAssad(Source:kremlin.ru)
Ayearago,PresidentObamaopinedthatRussianinterventioninSyriawouldturnintoaquagmire.Oneyearlater,however,RussiaisexpandingandconsolidatingitspositionsandgoalsinSyria.BasharAssadsrulelooksmoresecurethanever,buttressedbyRussianweapons(includingchemical
weapons),intelligence,diplomaticsupport,andmoney.Moreoverfarfromreducingitsmilitaryfootprint,Russiaisexpandingit.TheDumaisabouttoratifyagreementsessentiallygivingRussiapermanentairbaseslikeHmeymimairbaseandTartus.ThusMoscow,forthefirsttimeinoverfortyyears,
nowhaspermanentbasesintheMiddleEast,bothinSyriaandinCyprus.Moreover,itisanopensecretthatMoscowwouldliketoobtainabaseatAlexandrialiketheoneithadinthe1970s.InAugust2016MoscowrevealedthatitisnowoperatingoutoftheHamadanairbaseinIran.However,within
daystheIraniangovernmentpulledtheplugonRussia,criticizingitsinconsiderateandungentlemanlyattitude.IranianDefenseMinisterHosseinDehghanalsonotedthatMoscowactslikeandwantstoshowthatitisagreatpower.[1]Obviouslythisepisodecriesoutforexplanationbutitshouldnotbe
takenasindicatingthatMoscowhasnowdescendedintoaquagmireor,intheRussianphrase,steppedonarake.
WhilethisepisodestronglysuggeststhatRusso-IraniantiesaremorefragilethanMoscowbelieved,itdoesnotdisprovethefactthatbothsideshavehithertocollaboratedquitewelluptothispointinSyriaandthattheyshareacommonobjectiveofpreservingtheAssadregimeinpower.Iran
apparentlycouldnotstandthepublicityaboutthisbaseandwasupsetthatMoscowhadblownitscoverbyannouncingitwasflyingmissionsformHamadan.EvidentlyTehranwouldhavepreferrednottoopenitselfuptochargesfromtheentireMiddleEast(andpresumablyWashington)ortothe
domesticoppositionwithinIranaboutlettingforeignpowershaveamilitarybaseinIranfromwhichtheycouldlaunchsortieswithimpunity.Indeed,thepresenceofthisbasewassurprisingforthefollowingreasons.MoscowsacquisitionoftherighttouseanIranianairbaseisthefirsttimetheIranian
regimehasallowedanyforeignmilitarypresenceinIran,somethingthatcontravenesthefundamentalmessageoftheIranianrevolutionof1979thatistheregimesclaimtolegitimacy.ItalsorepresentsaviolationofUNResolution2231forbiddingforeignbasesinIranpassedaspartofthe2015dealto
preventIraniannuclearization.ItmaywellbethecasethoughwecannotbecertainthatoncetheimplicationsofthisfactbecamecleartoTehran,notablythatitjeopardizedthecontinuationoftheagreementwiththe5+1of2015regardingIraniannuclearizationandcouldleadtoseriouseconomicharm
thatsecondthoughtsabouthavingthisbaseprevailed.Beyondthat,thisbase,especiallyifithadcontinued,wouldhaveextendedMoscowsrapprochementwithTehranandthetwostatesmilitarycooperationbeyondarmssales.Asitis,IranhasnotonlynowacquiredtheformidableS-300surfaceto
airanti-pairmissile,itisnownegotiatingforSukhoifighterjets.AndthatnegotiationappearstobeunaffectedbythedecisiontosuspendRussianuseofthebase.
RussiasandIransviolationofUNresolutionsinthiscontextarenottotallyunexpected,sinceIransongoingmissileprogramisalsoaviolationofResolution2231.TheRussianuseofincendiaryweaponsagainstciviliansinSyriaviolatestheChemicalWeaponsConventiongoingbackto1925.Thus
bothIranandRussiahaveignoredagreementswhileWashingtonandtheinternationalcommunitylooktheotherway,andarebasicallysaying,wewilldoaswepleasewhetheryoulikeitornotandyoueithercannotorwillnotdoanythingaboutit.SowhilethisepisodesuggeststhatIrano-Russianties
aremoreproblematicthanMoscowmighthaveimagined,thereisnoreasontoseeherearuptureofthosetiesoradivideinthefundamentalidentityofRussianandIranianinterestsregardingSyria.NoristhisanobstacletothesetwogovernmentsfurthercooperationonSyriaandotherissues.
Noneofthisshouldsurpriseanyone.SinceCatherinetheGreat,MoscowhassoughtbasesintheMediterranean,andeventheAdriaticSea.ThusCatherinesforcesoccupiedBeirutfor18monthsin1772-74,andagenerationlaterPaulIwenttowaronbehalfofMalta,undoubtedlywithsimilarobjectives
inmind.ThroughoutthenineteenthcenturyRussianencroachmentsontheOttomanEmpireandtheBalkanswereafundamentalaspectofEuropeandiplomacy.InWorldWarI,inthealliednegotiationsaroundbringingItalyintothewaronthesideoftheEntente,Russiasoughttogainanavalbase
throughSerbiaintheAdriatic.StalinsoughtbasesandcoloniesintheMediterraneanafterWorldWarIIBrezhnevobtainedandlostthebaseatAlexandria.AndnowPutinhasobtainedthebasesinCyprusandSyriaandhassoughtanavalbaseatBarinMontenegroontheAdriaticandalandbaseat
NisinSerbia.Indeed,MoscowhasconsistentlysoughtbasesforwhatisnowitsMediterraneanEskadra(Squadron)evenwhenitdidnothavethecapacitytooperateorutilizetheminordertolaydownamarker,stakeaclaim,andforceotherstorecognizeitasagreatpowerwithasphereofinfluence
intheMediterranean.ThesebaseswouldalsochallengeNATOsMediterraneanpresence,guaranteeRussianfreedomofmaneuverintheBlackSea,andencircleTurkey,acenturies-oldRussianobjective.
ButthelossofthebaseatHamadandoesupsetRussianplans.Haditbeenabletopreservethatbase,RussiawouldthenhavebeenabletoprojectpowerconstantlythroughouttheLevant,(theEasternMediterranean)andtheMiddleEast,andforceitswaytoanequalstatuswithWashingtonin
determiningfuturesecurityoutcomesthere.ApartfromitslogisticalandtacticaladvantagesinhavingabaseinIranfromwhichtopursueSyriantargetsandobjectives,MoscowwouldalsogainfromabaseinIranbecauseitcouldthenprojectRussianairpowerallthewayouttotheGulfwheretheUS
FifthFleetisstationed.Acquiringsuchacapabilityisalong-standingRussianobjectivesoIransdecisiondoesstrikeatRussiaslargerambitions.In2014,Moscowindicateditsdesire,evenwellinadvanceofitsactualnavalcapabilities,toprojectpowerintotheGulfandtheIndianOcean,sothisbase
couldhavebeenadownpaymentonthatambitionaswell.MeanwhileWashingtonkeepsappealingforRussiancooperationinSyriaonlyforRussiatobreakeveryagreementandintensifyitssupportforAssadtothepointofusingchemicalweaponsinAleppo,ifnotelsewhere.
WhileRussiawillundertaketheoccasionalbombingofISIS,itclearlyismoreinterestedinequalstatuswithWashingtoninananti-terroristcoalitionagainstAssadsopponents,notWashingtons.AndthisisthecaseeventhoughISISclearlypresentsathreattoRussiabyitsownadmissionandhas
evidentlynowcarriedoutsomesmall-scaleterroristoperationsinRussia,evenbeyondtheNorthCaucasus.ThereforewecanexpectthatMoscowwilluseitsever-strongerpositioninSyriaandtheMiddleEasttocoerceAssadsopponentsstillfurtherintopreservinghisstateifnothisleadership.Itwill
alsolikelydemandthatWashingtonsupportAssadsremaininginpower,oratleasthisregimesremaininginpower.MoscowappearsweddedtoAssadpersonally,especiallyasPutinhastoldhimthatRussiawouldnotlethimdown.SowhiletheremaybeinterludeswheretheattackonAleppois
stoppedforawhileostensiblyforhumanitarianreasons,itismostlikelythattheoverallbattlewillcontinueonAssadsandtheRussiansparttovanquishtheinsurgentsandforcethemtoaccepthisruleovermost,ifnotallofSyria.
WemayalsoexpectbroaderdiplomaticinitiativesbyRussiatoextenditsweaponsandeconomicconnectionstoIran,andnotonlyregardingtheMiddleEast.TherevelationsofaRussianbaseinIransuggestaswellthatMoscowislookingforotherbasesinthegreaterMiddleEastevenifthisepisode
hashadanunfortunateendingforRussia.Inthiscontextweshouldrememberthat,sincepowerprojectionactivitiesareaninputintotheworldorder,RussianforcedeploymentsintothegreaterMiddleEastandeconomic-politicalactionstogainaccess,influenceandpowerthererepresentcompetitive
andprofoundattemptsatengenderingalong-termrestructuringoftheregionalstrategicorder.[2]AndthatregionisnotjusttheMiddleEast.
TherecenttripartitesummitwithAzerbaijanandIranclearlysignalsanefforttoinvolveIraninthelatestofRussiastranscontinentaltradeandtransportationinitiativesofarailwayfromRussiatoIranthoroughAzerbaijan.MoscowwillalsoundoubtedlycontinuetopursueexpandedarmssalestoIran
andendeavortopersuadeIranandotherGulfstates,includingSaudiArabia,toraiseenergypricesbycurtailingproductionorbysomeothermeans.RussiaspositioninSyriawillundoubtedlybeusedasleveragetoinduceRiyadhtoacceptsuchideasalthoughthereareclearlynoguaranteesof
success.WecanalsoexpectRussianeffortstoinsertitintoschemesforaGulfsecurityblocandtosellmoreweaponstoMiddleEasternclients(e.g.,EgyptandAlgeria).Indeed,pastexperienceshowsthatenergydeals,armssales,andthequestforRussianmilitarybasesareallintimatelylinkedaspart
ofagranddesign.Russiawillcontinue,forexample,buildingananti-accessareadenialairandshipcapabilityforitsMediterraneanSquadronatitsbasesinSyria,Cyprus,andintheCaucasusasitalreadyisdoing.
Finally,MoscowhassuccessfullyforcedTurkishPresidentErdogantocometoSt.PetersburgandfawnalloverPutin,andnotjustforsupportinghimagainsttheinsurgentswhotriedtoousthiminacouponJuly15,2016.ErdogannowsaysTurkeywillimplementtheTurkstreamenergypipeline,Akkuyu
nuclearplant,andengageinmilitary-technicalcooperationwithRussia.Indeed,ForeignMinisterMevlutCavusogluhasofferedmanyrecentstatementsattackingNATO,andallbutsayingthatTurkeywillbuyweaponsinthefuturefromRussiaamongotherproducers.Bothsidesarealsoestablishinga
mechanismforongoingmilitary-intelligencecoordination,supposedlyagainstISIS.ApartfromthisRusso-TurkishcooperationagainstISIStherearesignsthatTurkeymighthavetoagreetoadecentintervalforAssadtostayinpowerbeforeleavingaspartofaprojectedsettlement.YetPutinhas
certainlynotstoppedsupportingtheTurkishorSyrianKurdswhomAnkarasuspectsofhavingcommittedrecentterroristattacksinTurkey.NeitherisRussiagoingtobedeterredfromsupportingAssad,anditwillonlyliftitseconomicsanctionsonTurkeydatingbacktotheendof2015onlygradually.
MeanwhileTurkishofficialshavemorethanoncehintedatofferingMoscowaccesstoIncirlikAirBase.ThereforeitishardlysurprisingthattherearemountingreportsinthemediasoundingalarmsthatTurkeyisinfactcompromisingitsmembershipinNATOasErdoganruthlesslymovestostampoutall
oppositionandre-establishanauthoritarian-cum-IslamiststateinTurkeyratheronthemodelofwhatPutinhasdoneinRussia.
EvenwithlosingthebaseinIranRussiahasachievedvirtuallyallofitsstrategicaimsinSyriaincludingsomeithadnotoriginallysoughtorexpected.Inadditionwealsoseetheeviscerationofthepro-WesternKemalistTurkey,theexpansionofRussianmilitarypowerthroughouttheMiddleEasteven
ifthatexpansionhashitatemporarybumpintheroadandthecontinuingdisarraytoputitmildlyofU.S.policy.Indeed,insofarasSyriaisconcerned,itisnotinaccuratetosaythatWashingtonneitherhasastrategy,noracoherentpolicy,oranyideahowtousetheinstrumentsofpoweratits
disposaltoachieveanythinginSyria.Oneyearafterintervening,Putinratherthanentrappinghimselfinaquagmirehasachievedhisavowedpoliticalandmilitaryobjectives:coordinatingwithvirtuallyeveryMiddleEasternstate,exposingthefatuousnessofU.S.policy,forcingWashingtontoaccept
itsleadershipinSyria,andestablishingpermanentandexpandingmilitarylodgments,allataverylowandaffordablecost.Indeed,itistheU.S.thatappearstobeinaquagmireinSyria,notRussia.GiventhisunbrokenandconsistentseriesofsuccessesforPutinintheMiddleEast,theprospectofa
Russianquagmireseemslow.
[1]AndrewRoth,IranEndsRussianUseofAirBaseBecauseOfUnwantedPublicity,Washingtonpost.com,August22,2016
[2]HenkHouwelingandMehdiParviziAmineh,Introduction,MehdiParviziAminehandHenkHouweling,eds.,CentralEurasiainGlobalPolitics:Conflict,Security,andDevelopment,InternationalStudiesinSociologyandSocialAnthropology(Leiden,TheNetherlands:Brill,2004),p.15.
---------Forwardedmessage----------
From:NicMarsh<nic@prio.no>
Subject:FW:FightinginEasternUkraineRussianforcesTrumpGermanyEstoniaSlovakiaReformsFinancialNuclearCyberUSARussiadealonSyria
To:"m.iaroshevych@ukrainianworldcongress.org"<'m.iaroshevych@ukrainianworldcongress.org'>,15MORE
FightinginEasternUkraine
LatestfromOSCESpecialMonitoringMission(SMM)toUkraine,basedoninformationreceivedasof19:30,22August2016
TheSMMrecordedasimilarnumberofceasefireviolationsinDonetskregion(531comparedto540thedaybefore)andanincreaseinthenumberrecordedinLuhanskregion(60ascomparedwith30).TheSMMfolloweduponreportsofciviliancasualties.Armed
DPRmembersaggressivelydemandedtosearchtheSMMvehiclesandpointedamachine-gunattheSMMinLukove.TheSMMcontinuedtomonitorthewithdrawalofweapons.Itobservedthepresenceofminesinareasnearthecontactline.TheMission
monitoredtwoborderareasnotundergovernmentcontrol.TheSMMcontinuedtomonitorthesituationalongtheadministrativeboundarylinebetweenthemainlandandCrimea.
http://www.osce.org/ukraine-smm/260811
APvideofromthefrontline
http://www.aparchive.com/metadata/-Ukraine-Frontline/21ddead05890aa6c91275ee29fc29997?
current=3&hits=13492&query=ukraine&orderBy=NewestFirst&referrer=search&search=%2fsearch%3fquery%3dukraine%26startd%3d%26endd%3d%26orderBy%3dNewestfirst%26from%3d1%26allFilters%3d%26g2ItemId%3d&page=1&b=c29997&allFilters=
Russiahigh-rankingofficialscauseddeathofatleast2,263Ukrainiantroops,lossofoverUAH1.3trillion-Lutsenko
http://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/365260.html
SpotReportbyOSCESpecialMonitoringMissiontoUkraine(SMM):SMMheldatgunpointatcheckpointinLukove
http://www.osce.org/node/260706
OSCE:400,000residentsineasternUkrainemayloseaccesstosafedrinkingwaterduetofighting
:400
http://dontimes.com.ua/obse-v-zone-ato-400-tyisyach-chelovek-mogut-ostatsya-bez-pitevoy-vodyi/
Russianforces
NewRussianDivisionsandotherunitsshiftingtoUkrainesborderssecondlookwithupdates
http://russianmilitaryanalysis.wordpress.com/2016/08/22/russian-units-on-ukraines-borders-second-look-with-updates/
Russiassuperiornewweapons
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/russias-superior-new-weapons/2016/08/05/e86334ec-08c5-11e6-bdcb-0133da18418d_story.html?postshare=3581471949499073&tid=ss_tw&utm_term=.f04da123c746
RUSSIAARMSTROOPSONWESTERNBORDERWITHDRONES
Russia'sbuddingdroneserviceisbeingsetupintheregionborderingEUandNATOmembers.
http://europe.newsweek.com/russia-arms-western-troops-drones-baltics-nato-492694?rm=eu
Trump
BidentellsBalticstates:Don'ttakeTrumpseriously
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-latvia-usa-biden-idUSKCN10Y0ZT
TrumpIsAlreadyHelpingPutinConsolidateControlofUkraine
TheGOPcandidate'spro-Russiacommentshavebecomemust-seeTVinbothcountriesandtheyredemoralizingtheUkrainians.
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/08/donald-trump-russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-214180#ixzz4ICDj0Ovz
Germany
Germanyconsidersreturnofconscriptionforcivildefence
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-37164960
Estonia
RussiacastsshadowoverEstoniaspresidentialvote
DeepdivisionsoverrelationswithMoscowcomplicatethechoiceofanewheadofstate.
http://www.politico.eu/article/russia-casts-shadow-over-estonias-presidential-vote/?mc_cid=db73b02756&mc_eid=8bdce04256
Slovakia
SlovakLeaderFico,CriticofRussiaSanctions,toVisitMoscow
http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2016/08/23/world/europe/23reuters-slovakia-russia.html?mc_cid=db73b02756&mc_eid=8bdce04256&_r=0
Reforms
Ukraine'smedicinebillslashedby25%afterUKfirmbroughtintohandleprocurement
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/aug/23/uk-crown-agents-cuts-cost-medicines-quarter-ukraine-health-service?CMP=twt_a-world_b-gdnworld
Financial
DeutscheBanks$10-BillionScandal
HowaschemetohelpRussianssecretlyfunnelmoneyoffshoreunravelled.
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/08/29/deutsche-banks-10-billion-scandal
Nuclear
RussiasNuclearParanoiaFuelsItsNuclearPropaganda
AclassicdisinformationcampaignaboutU.S.nukesrevealsalotaboutMoscow'smilitaryanxieties.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/22/russias-nuclear-paranoia-fuels-its-nuclear-propaganda/
Cyber
TurnsOutYouCantTrustRussianHackersAnymore
Moscow-linkedcyberthievesarentjuststealingandreleasingemailsanymoretheyrealteringthemtosmearoneofPutin'smostvocalopponents.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/22/turns-out-you-cant-trust-russian-hackers-anymore/
FBIinvestigatingRussianhackofNewYorkTimesreporters,others
http://edition.cnn.com/2016/08/23/politics/russia-hack-new-york-times-fbi/index.html
USARussiadealonSyria
KerrySaysU.S.,RussianTalksOnCooperationInSyriaNearingEnd
http://www.rferl.org/content/us-secretary-state-kerry-says-us-russian-talks-cooperation-in-syria-islamic-state-nearing-end/27939324.html
Pentagon:NoDoneDealwithRussiaonSyria
http://www.defensenews.com/articles/pentagon-no-done-deal-with-russia-on-syria
_______________________________
NicholasMarsh
ResearchFellow
PeaceResearchInstituteOslo(PRIO)
HausmansGate7
0186Oslo
Norway
email:nic@prio.no
telephone:+4722547772
skype:nicholas.james.marsh
web:www.nisat.org
twitter:@NisatPrio
From:ForeignPolicy<fp@foreignpolicy.com>
Subject:Editors'Picks
To:waz2102@columbia.edu
4 DIDRUSSIAHACKTHENEWYORKTIMES?:TheFBIis

reportedlyinvestigatingbreachesatthenewspaperandother
outlets,FPsEliasGrollwrites:Readmore

Thisemailwassenttowaz2102@columbia.edubyfp@foreignpolicy.com.

From: RobertOtto<robertotto25@gmail.com>
Senttime: 08/09/201610:38:43PM
To: KyleWilson<krwilson66@icloud.com>
Subject: Re:ATrumpvictoryandtheallianceapreliminarycut|TheStrategist
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus
ThisisNateSilverssiteandhehasagoodtrackrecord.Alongwaytogoandlotscanhappen,butrightnow,itdoesntlookgoodfortrump.
OnAug9,2016,at3:35PM,KyleWilson<krwilson66@icloud.com>wrote:
SittingdownhereontheundersideoftheplanetwecanonlyhopethatenoughpeopleintheUSwillunderstandthataTrumpvictorycouldwellmeanthebeginningoftheendofANZUS...but,ofcourse,relativelyfewwouldhaveheardofit.
Mylong-sufferingfamilytellmeIshould'lightenup'or'takelifeeasier'--andIdosympathisewiththem!
http://www.aspistrategist.org.au/trump-victory-alliance-preliminary-cut/?
utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Daily%20The%20Strategist&utm_content=Daily%20The%20Strategist+CID_73dec07c59a2a5992b07956897506eca&utm_source=CampaignMonitor&utm_term=A%20Trump%20victory%20and%20the%20alliancea%20preliminary%20cut
SentfrommyiPad
Senttime: 08/23/201609:41:50AM
Subject: FW:[ITEMSOFINTEREST8-22][MOJO/PAULRG]YELLOW(MAYBERED)CARDFORBOTHCAMPS.[MB]Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes-BBCNews.[HU]TWOPIECESTOWATCH[ED:RUSSIABEING"SOFT-SOLD"TWOPRIMEEXAMPLES.IE."IFON...
From:wolodymyrzarycky[mailto:wzarcusur@gmail.com]
Subject:Fwd:[ITEMSOFINTEREST8-22][MOJO/PAULRG]YELLOW(MAYBERED)CARDFORBOTHCAMPS.[MB]Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes-BBCNews.[HU]TWOPIECESTOWATCH[ED:RUSSIABEING"SOFT-SOLD"TWOPRIMEEXAMPLES.IE."IFON...
From:wolodymyrzarycky<wzarcusur@gmail.com>
Date:Mon,Aug22,2016at2:36PM
Subject:[ITEMSOFINTEREST8-22][MOJO/PAULRG]YELLOW(MAYBERED)CARDFORBOTHCAMPS.[MB]Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes-BBCNews.[HU]TWOPIECESTOWATCH[ED:RUSSIABEING"SOFT-SOLD"TWOPRIME
EXAMPLES.IE."IFONLYTHEU.S.LEARNEDTOHUGVLADMORE"]
From:<jm200p@mac.com>
Date:Mon,Aug22,2016at11:19AM
Subject:WhatTrumpHasinCommonWithPutinsCloseAllies&PromisedprosperityneverarrivedinRussian-heldCrimea,localssay
To:waz<waz2102@columbia.edu>
Perhapsthese2articlesareofinterest
http://bit.ly/2bc8I86Trump
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-ukraine-crisis-crimea-idUSKCN10W0EM?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews&utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=New%20Campaign&utm_term=%2ASituation%20Report
From:JustinPetty<jpetty@stanford.edu>
Subject:Re:PutinOctobersurprisewouldbeHillary'sfault
To:paulroderickgregory<pgregory@stanford.edu>,JenniferMayfield<jmayfiel@stanford.edu>,BrianBonner<bribonner@gmail.com>,WalterZaryckyj<waz2102@caa.columbia.edu>,JohnBatchelor<tippaine@gmail.com>,JoelWeickgenant<jweickgenant@realclearworld.com>,"MariaE.Thorbourne"
<mariat@stanford.edu>,JerryMungai<jmungai@pacbell.net>
ThanksPaul.
JustinPetty
SocialMediaandCommunicationsManager
HooverInstitution|StanfordUniversity
From:paulroderickgregory<pgregory@stanford.edu>
Sent:Sunday,August21,20165:57:33PM
To:JustinPetty;JenniferMayfield;BrianBonner;WalterZaryckyj;JohnBatchelor;JoelWeickgenant;MariaE.Thorbourne;JerryMungai;WalterZaryckyj
Subject:PutinOctobersurprisewouldbeHillary'sfault
Ihttp://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2016/08/21/could-putin-leak-incriminating-hillary-clinton-emails-as-an-october-surprise/#5c8456c74a5a
IfWikiLeaksreleasesincriminatingdocumentsfromHillarysscrubbedprivatecache,thereexistsnolegitimatetruedocumentforcomparison.Hillarycouldnotprovetheleakeddocumentneverexistedorwasaltered,unlessshesquirreledawayinsome
safeplacecopiesofherprivatecache.Ifso,shecouldnotusethemwithoutexposinganunforgivablelie.Hillarysdeletingofthethousandsofself-declaredprivateemailsmayhavegivenahostileforeignpowerthewherewithaltodeterminetheoutcome
ofapresidentialelection.Hillaryhasnoonetoblamebutherself.WillthechickenscomehometoroostinlateOctober?
From:MartaBurachok<marta.burachok@gmail.com>
Subject:Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes-BBCNews
To:WalterZaryckyj<waz2102@caa.columbia.edu>
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-37154043
Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes
ReutersUsingtheIranianairbasereducedthedurationoftheRussianbombers'missions
RussiahasstoppedusinganIranianairbasetobombtargetsinSyria,bothcountrieshavesaid.
IranianforeignministryspokesmanBahramQasemisaidtheoperationwas"overfornow"andtheplaneshadgone.
Iran'sDefenceMinisterHosseinDeghanhadearliercriticisedRussiaforpublicisingtheraidslastweek,sayingithadexhibiteda"show-off"attitude.
RussiaforitsparthasconfirmedthatallofitsplanesusedfromIranforSyriastrikesarenowbackinRussia.
Russia.likeIran,isakeyallyofSyria'sPresidentBasharal-Assad.
IsbloodiedSyrianboyOmranDaqneeshjustanotherimage?
WhyisthereawarinSyria?
WhatisleftofSyria?
LastTuesday,Russia'sdefenceministryannouncedthatTupolev-22M3long-rangebombersandSukhoi-34strikefightershadusedtheShahidNojehairbaseneartheeasterncityofHamedantocarryoutairstrikeson"terrorists"inSyria.
TheraidswerethefirstcarriedbyRussiafromathirdcountrysinceitbegananaircampaignagainstMrAssad'sopponentsalmostayearago,andalsothefirstlaunchedfromIraniansoilbyaforeignmilitarysinceWorldWarTwo.
RussianowsaysthataircraftwhichwerebasedattheHamedanairbasearenolongerlocatedthereandhavereturnedtotheRussianFederation.
DefenceministryspokesmanIgorKonashenkovwasquotedbytheInterfaxnewsagencyassayingthatfutureuseofthebasewillnowonlytakeplace"onthebasisofmutualagreementsbetweenthetwocountriesonthefightagainstterrorismandwilldependon
developmentsinSyria".
ThesecretaryofIran'sSupremeNationalSecurityCouncil,AliShamkhani,previouslylaudedthe"strategic"co-operationwithRussia.ButsomeMPscomplainedthatitbreachedtheIslamicRepublic'sconstitution,whichprohibitsallowingforeignmilitariestobebasedon
itsterritory.
InaninterviewwithstateTVonMonday,GenDeghanstressedthatRussiawouldonlyusetheNojehairbase"foraveryshortandfixedspan,corresponding[toan]operationinSyria".
EPATheTU-22M3shadpreviouslybeenforcedtoflymissionsfromRussia
GenDeghanwasaskedwhyRussiahadchosentorevealitspresencetherewhereasIranhadnot.
"TheRussiansareinterestedtoshowtheyareasuperpowertoguaranteetheirshareinthepoliticalfutureofSyriaand,ofcourse,therehasbeenakindofshow-offandungentlemanly[attitude]inthisfield."
GenDeghanexplainedthatRussiahad"decidedtobringinmoreplanesandboostitsspeedandaccuracyinoperations".
AFPRussia'sdeploymenttoIrancameamidanescalationinfightinginandaroundAleppo
"Therefore,itneededtorefuelinanareaclosertotheoperation.That'swhytheyusedtheNojehbase.Butwehavedefinitelynotgiventhemamilitarybase."
Hourslater,MrQasemiannouncedthatRussia'sdeploymenthadended.
AFPBahramQasemileftopenthepossibilityoffutureRussiancombatflightsfromIran
"Itwasaspecific,authorisedmissionandit'soverfornow.Theyconducteditandtheyaregonenow,"hewasquotedbytheofficialnewsagencyassaying.
TheUS,whichbackstheoppositiontoSyria'spresident,hadsaidRussia'suseoftheIranianbasewas"unfortunatebutnotsurprising".
From:hunter@
Subject:TWOPIECESTOWATCH[ED:RUSSIABEING"SOFT-SOLD"TWOPRIMEEXAMPLES.IE."IFONLYTHEU.S.LEARNEDTOHUGVLADMORE"]
To:wolodymyrzarycky<wzarcusur@gmail.com>
Russia'sEurasianidentityaspartofitsstrategy
Putinisabletothinkstrategically,usingallhardandsoftpowertoolstopromoteRussianforeignpolicyinterests.
ARussiannavyshiplaunchesacruisemissileintheCaspianSea[AP]
by
LukeCoffey @lukedcoffey
LukeCoffeyisaresearchfellowspecialisingintransatlanticandEurasiansecurityataWashingtonDC
basedthinktank.HepreviouslyservedasaspecialadvisertotheBritishdefencesecretaryandwasa
commissionedofficerintheUnitedStatesarmy.
AsMoscowcontinuesitsaggressivebehaviourtowardsEasternEuropeandexpandsitsaircampaigninsupportofPresidentBasharal-AssadinSyria,itsabilitytouseitsstatusasaEurasianpowertoadvanceitsforeignpolicygoalsinthese
regionshasgonevirtuallyunnoticedbyWesternpolicymakers.
RussianPresidentVladimirPutinhasleveragedRussianinfluenceinone
regiontoadvanceitsinterestsinanother.Threerecentactionsbest
demonstratethis.
CruisemissilesandtheCaspian
RussiadefendsusingIranbaseforSyriaairstrikes
ThefirstdemonstratorofsuchleverageisRussia'suseoftheCaspianSeafor
itsoperationsinSyria.TheCaspianSeasitsonacrucialcrossroadslocatedat
theheartoftheEurasiancontinentandthroughouthistoryhashadan
importantgeopoliticalsignificanceforRussia.
OverthepastseveralmonthsRussianshipsformingpartoftheCaspian
Flotillahavefireddozensofcruisemissileshittingtargets1,500kmawayin
Syria.MoscowchosetheCaspianfortheselauncheseventhoughalternative
sitesmuchclosertoSyriaareavailable.
SowhywouldRussiagothroughtheextratroubleoflaunchingfromthe
Caspian?Inreality,Russia'suseoftheCaspianhadverylittletodowith
SyriaitselfandalottodowithRussia'sroleintheregion.
ThesestrikesprovedtotheothercountriesaroundtheCaspian-asea
whoselegalstatusandownershipofresourcesisdisputed-thatRussiais
thedominantmilitarypower.
AlsoitallowedRussiatotestboththecruisemissilesandthecorvettefrom
whichtheywerefiredinareal-lifecombatsetting.
Russiaknowsthatitiseasiertoexport"combat-tested"equipmentand
Moscowiseagertoexportbothtoboostitsdefenceindustry.
Iranianairbase
SeconddemonstratorwastherecentannouncementthatRussiaisusing
basesinIrantocarryoutairstrikesinSyria.
Fromstrictlyamilitarypointofviewthismakesperfectsense.Inthepast,
RussianbombersmadethejourneytoSyriaallthewayfrombasesinthe
NorthCaucasus.
Theextrafuelneededtomakethelongreturntripmeantthattheplanes
carriedfewerbombs.UsingtheIranianairbaseatHamadanallowsRussian
bomberstobesignificantlyclosertotargetsinSyria.Thismeansmore
sortiesandmorebombsthatcanbedropped.
TotheaverageWesternobserver,Russia'srecentactionsintheCaspian,
IranoritsCSTOmilitaryexerciseareviewedasthreedifferentand
unrelatedthings.ForPutin,Russia'sactionsinthesethreeregionsare
partsofaninterconnectedanddeliberategrandstrategy.
Butmorethanthat,MoscowandTehranaresendingastrongsignalto
WashingtonandtheArabSunniworldabouttheirplaceintheongoing
competitionforpowerandinfluenceintheMiddleEast.
WhiletheRussianuseoftheairbasemaybetemporary,itshouldbe
recognisedaspartofalong-termefforttopromoteaMoscow-Tehran-
DamascusagendaintheMiddleEast.
CentralAsiaonNATO'sdoorstep
Finally,lastweekRussiaheldthefirsteverCollectiveSecurityTreaty
Organisation(CSTO)trainingexercisesalongtheborderofNATO.
TheCSTOisaMoscow-ledcollectivesecurityorganisationthatincludes
Kazakhstan,Armenia,Belarus,Kyrgyzstan,andTajikistan.
ThefactthattheCSTOheldamajormilitaryexerciseisnothingnew.Whatis
noteworthy,however,isthattheexercisetookplaceinRussia'sPskov
oblast,whichbordersNATOmembersEstoniaandLatvia.
OPINION:Russia'semergingnavalpresenceintheMediterranean
ThisisthefirsttimethataCSTOtrainingexercisehastakenplacesocloseto
aNATOborder.Unsurprisinglythistrainingexercisehasraisedeyebrows
acrossEuropeancapitalswhenconsideringsomeofthebellicoserhetoric
comingfromtheKremlintowardstheBalticstates.
ThisCSTOtrainingexerciseindicatesanumberofthingsaboutMoscow's
influenceintheformerSovietUnion.
ItistellingthatRussiawasabletogettroopsfromKazakhstan,Armenia,
Belarus,Kyrgyzstan,andTajikistantoparticipateinwargamessocloseto
NATO'sborder.EspeciallyforacountrylikeKazakhstanwhichitselfhas
concernsaboutMoscowmeddlinginthenorthernpartofthecountrywhere
manyethnicRussianslive.
Strategicthinking
WhatdothesethreerecenteventstellusaboutRussianforeignpolicy?
Putinisabletothinkstrategically,usingallhardandsoftpowertoolsto
promoteRussianforeignpolicyinterests.
IranoritsCSTOmilitaryexerciseareviewedasthreedifferentandunrelated
things.ForPutin,Russia'sactionsinthesethreeregionsarepartsofan
interconnectedanddeliberategrandstrategy.
NotwithstandingthepossibleviolationofUNSecurityCouncil2231over
Russia'suseofbasesinIran,thereisnothingtosuggestthatanyofthese
threeactionswerewrong.
Indeed,theUnitedStatesandNATOdosimilarthings.TheUSanditsallies
useairbasesintheregiontostriketargetsinSyria.AndNATOholds
exercisesnotfarfromRussia'sborders.Astheysay,imitationisthe
sincerestformofflattery.
ItiswhenyouplaceRussia'srecentactivitiesintoalargercontextofregional
aggression-suchasinUkraine-thatthereiscauseforconcern.
LukeCoffeyisaresearchfellowspecialisingintransatlantic
andEurasiansecurityataWashingtonDC-basedthink-tank.
HepreviouslyservedasaspecialadvisertotheBritishdefence
secretaryandwasacommissionedofficerintheUnitedStates
Army.
Theviewsexpressedinthisarticlearetheauthor'sownanddo
notnecessarilyreflectAlJazeera'seditorialpolicies.
UPI
HOME/TOPNEWS/OPINION
Russia'snoWesterndemocracythatdoesn'tmakeitautomaticadversary
ByHarlanUllman,ArnauddeBorchgraveDistinguishedColumnist|Aug.22,2016at6:00AM
34Comments

Regardingmajorinterests,itwouldseemthatRussiaandtheUnitedStates(andtheWest)havemoreincommonthannot.RussianPresidentVladimirPutinisshownhereonavisittoGreeceinMay.PhotobyVerveridisVasilis/Shutterstock
America'sinfatuationwithRussiacanformallybedatedfromMay1867whentheUnitedStatespaid$7.2million--worthabout$1.3billiontoday--forthepurchaseofAlaska.Called"Seward'sFolly"afterSecretaryofStateWilliamSewardwhonegotiatedthedeal,oneofthereasonsforthesalewasRussianexpectation
thatbybuyingAlaska,theUnitedStateswouldbecomeamoredeeplyinvolvedPacificpowerandacounterbalancetoBritain--theTsar'sgreaterworryatthetime.Eventhen,geopoliticswasnotanunknownarttoSt.PetersburgoutsidethetraditionalEuropeansphere.
Thatinfatuationhashadmanytwistsandturns.
Foratimeinthe1930s,theSovietUnionwasanidealizedworker'sparadiseforthoseAmericansseducedbycommunism.TheSpanishCivilWar,theproxyprecursorforWorldWarII,attractedasmallnumberofAmericanstofightontheSovietsideagainstthefascists.AndwithouttheSovietUnionforwhatRussiansstill
call"thegreatpatrioticwar,"defeatingHitlermighthavebeenimpossible.
TheColdWar,however,wasnearlyahalf-centurylongideologicalstruggleinwhichbothsidespromised,capturedinthewordsofJohnKennedy,to"payanypriceandbearanyburden"towin.Butonlyonesidedidwin--theWest.AndinthequarterofacenturysincetheUSSRimploded,relationshaverevertedtowhat
someinMoscowandtheWestarecallinga"newcoldwar."
Why?
Regardingmajorinterests,itwouldseemthatRussiaandtheUnitedStates(andtheWest)havemoreincommonthannot.AvertingconflicttoincludeendofthevirulentdangerofradicalandviolentIslamshouldbeself-evidentasmutuallybeneficial.Yet,thecrisisinSyria,whereeliminatingtheIslamicStateisacommonaim,
theUnitedStatesandRussiaarebitterlydividedoverthecontinuationofPresidentBasharal-Assadandhisregime.
Similarly,EastandWesthavecommoneconomicinterests.RussianeedstosellitsenergytotheWest.TheWestneedstosellitsproductstotheEast.ButbecauseofRussianinterventionintoUkraine,heavysanctionshavebeenimposedonMoscowthatarepainfultoallsides.
PresidentGeorgeW.BushcouldlookdeeplyintoVladimirPutin'seyesandasPrimeMinisterMargaretThatcherobservedofMikhailGorbachevagenerationbefore,believeeachcouldbeapartner.PresidentBarackObamacouldpushthe"resetbutton"withRussia,eventhoughitwasmisspelled,andsignaNewSTART
nuclearweaponsreductionstreaty.Still,tomostobservers,thisnewcoldwarhasfrozenarelationshipatlevelsunseensincebeforetheSovietUnioncollapsed.
ThereasonsarenotpersonalitydriveneventhoughObamaandPutindisplayamutualresentment.WhenChurchillmadehisfamous"enigmaandriddle"analogy,hewentontoaddthatRussiawasdrivenbyinterests.Andtheheartofthestandofftodayistherefusalofbothsidestounderstandtheinterestsoftheother.
WhentheColdWarended,theWesttriednottogloat.Forbetterorworse,RussianscametobelievethattheircountrywasperceivedwithlessrespectandhencewastoooftendisregardedbytheWest.TheexpansionofNATOEasttoinclude,first,threemajorformermembersoftheWarsawPact,Moscow's
counterbalancingalliance,wasnotwell-received.NorwastheaccessionofthethreeBalticandtwoBlackSeastates.
Thenin2008,attheNATOheadsofgovernmentsummitheldinBucharest,Romania,GeorgeW.BushextendedtoGeorgiaandUkrainetheprospectofmembership.Putin,whowaspresentatthesummit,issuedasternwarning,awarningthatwasnotfullyappreciated.Afewmonthslater,RussiatrickedGeorgianPresident
MikhailSakashvilliintosendingforcesintoSouthOssetiathatpromptedabrief,one-sidedresponsethatMoscoweasilywon.
Inearly2014,whenUkrainianPresidentViktorYanukovychwasforcedtofleeKiev,RussiaintervenedandannexedCrimea.With"contestedborders"inbothGeorgiaandUkraine,NATOmembershipwasforeclosedbythefoundingWashingtonTreatyof1949thatdeniedanystateaccessunderthosecircumstances.Few
intheWestcomprehendedMoscow'sreasons.
Ofcourse,inaperfectworld,Moscowshouldnothaveusedforceineithercase.Unfortunately,WashingtonneverunderstoodhowmuchofathreatNATOexpansionwasperceivedbyMoscow.Andperhapsitstilldoesn't.
Finally,RussiaisnotandwillneverbeaWesterndemocracy.Thatdoesnotmakeitanautomaticadversary.Andmaybeweareariddleandenigma,too.
HarlanUllmanisUPI'sArnauddeBorchgraveDistinguishedColumnistandservesassenioradviserforSupremeAlliedCommanderEurope,theAtlanticCouncilandBusinessExecutivesforNationalSecurityandchairstwoprivatecompanies.Hislastbookis"AHandfulofBullets:HowtheMurderof
ArchdukeFranzFerdinandStillMenacesthePeace."Hisnextbook,dueoutnextyear,is"AnatomyofFailure:WhyAmericaLosesWarsItStarts."
Senttime: 08/23/201609:41:50AM
Subject: FW:[ITEMSOFINTEREST8-22][MOJO/PAULRG]YELLOW(MAYBERED)CARDFORBOTHCAMPS.[MB]Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes-BBCNews.[HU]TWOPIECESTOWATCH[ED:RUSSIABEING"SOFT-SOLD"TWOPRIMEEXAMPLES.IE."IFON...
Subject:Fwd:[ITEMSOFINTEREST8-22][MOJO/PAULRG]YELLOW(MAYBERED)CARDFORBOTHCAMPS.[MB]Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes-BBCNews.[HU]TWOPIECESTOWATCH[ED:RUSSIABEING"SOFT-SOLD"TWOPRIMEEXAMPLES.IE."IFON...
Subject:[ITEMSOFINTEREST8-22][MOJO/PAULRG]YELLOW(MAYBERED)CARDFORBOTHCAMPS.[MB]Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes-BBCNews.[HU]TWOPIECESTOWATCH[ED:RUSSIABEING"SOFT-SOLD"TWOPRIME
EXAMPLES.IE."IFONLYTHEU.S.LEARNEDTOHUGVLADMORE"]
From:<jm200p@mac.com>
Subject:WhatTrumpHasinCommonWithPutinsCloseAllies&PromisedprosperityneverarrivedinRussian-heldCrimea,localssay
Perhapsthese2articlesareofinterest
http://bit.ly/2bc8I86Trump
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-ukraine-crisis-crimea-idUSKCN10W0EM?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews&utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=New%20Campaign&utm_term=%2ASituation%20Report
From:JustinPetty<jpetty@stanford.edu>
Subject:Re:PutinOctobersurprisewouldbeHillary'sfault
To:paulroderickgregory<pgregory@stanford.edu>,JenniferMayfield<jmayfiel@stanford.edu>,BrianBonner<bribonner@gmail.com>,WalterZaryckyj<waz2102@caa.columbia.edu>,JohnBatchelor<tippaine@gmail.com>,JoelWeickgenant<jweickgenant@realclearworld.com>,"MariaE.Thorbourne"
<mariat@stanford.edu>,JerryMungai<jmungai@pacbell.net>
ThanksPaul.
JustinPetty
SocialMediaandCommunicationsManager
HooverInstitution|StanfordUniversity
From:paulroderickgregory<pgregory@stanford.edu>
Sent:Sunday,August21,20165:57:33PM
To:JustinPetty;JenniferMayfield;BrianBonner;WalterZaryckyj;JohnBatchelor;JoelWeickgenant;MariaE.Thorbourne;JerryMungai;WalterZaryckyj
Subject:PutinOctobersurprisewouldbeHillary'sfault
Ihttp://www.forbes.com/sites/paulroderickgregory/2016/08/21/could-putin-leak-incriminating-hillary-clinton-emails-as-an-october-surprise/#5c8456c74a5a
IfWikiLeaksreleasesincriminatingdocumentsfromHillarysscrubbedprivatecache,thereexistsnolegitimatetruedocumentforcomparison.Hillarycouldnotprovetheleakeddocumentneverexistedorwasaltered,unlessshesquirreledawayinsome
safeplacecopiesofherprivatecache.Ifso,shecouldnotusethemwithoutexposinganunforgivablelie.Hillarysdeletingofthethousandsofself-declaredprivateemailsmayhavegivenahostileforeignpowerthewherewithaltodeterminetheoutcome
ofapresidentialelection.Hillaryhasnoonetoblamebutherself.WillthechickenscomehometoroostinlateOctober?
Subject:Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes-BBCNews
Russia'showed-off'overuseofIranairbaseforSyriastrikes
ReutersUsingtheIranianairbasereducedthedurationoftheRussianbombers'missions
RussiahasstoppedusinganIranianairbasetobombtargetsinSyria,bothcountrieshavesaid.
IranianforeignministryspokesmanBahramQasemisaidtheoperationwas"overfornow"andtheplaneshadgone.
Iran'sDefenceMinisterHosseinDeghanhadearliercriticisedRussiaforpublicisingtheraidslastweek,sayingithadexhibiteda"show-off"attitude.
RussiaforitsparthasconfirmedthatallofitsplanesusedfromIranforSyriastrikesarenowbackinRussia.
Russia.likeIran,isakeyallyofSyria'sPresidentBasharal-Assad.
IsbloodiedSyrianboyOmranDaqneeshjustanotherimage?
WhyisthereawarinSyria?
WhatisleftofSyria?
LastTuesday,Russia'sdefenceministryannouncedthatTupolev-22M3long-rangebombersandSukhoi-34strikefightershadusedtheShahidNojehairbaseneartheeasterncityofHamedantocarryoutairstrikeson"terrorists"inSyria.
TheraidswerethefirstcarriedbyRussiafromathirdcountrysinceitbegananaircampaignagainstMrAssad'sopponentsalmostayearago,andalsothefirstlaunchedfromIraniansoilbyaforeignmilitarysinceWorldWarTwo.
RussianowsaysthataircraftwhichwerebasedattheHamedanairbasearenolongerlocatedthereandhavereturnedtotheRussianFederation.
DefenceministryspokesmanIgorKonashenkovwasquotedbytheInterfaxnewsagencyassayingthatfutureuseofthebasewillnowonlytakeplace"onthebasisofmutualagreementsbetweenthetwocountriesonthefightagainstterrorismandwilldependon
developmentsinSyria".
ThesecretaryofIran'sSupremeNationalSecurityCouncil,AliShamkhani,previouslylaudedthe"strategic"co-operationwithRussia.ButsomeMPscomplainedthatitbreachedtheIslamicRepublic'sconstitution,whichprohibitsallowingforeignmilitariestobebasedon
itsterritory.
InaninterviewwithstateTVonMonday,GenDeghanstressedthatRussiawouldonlyusetheNojehairbase"foraveryshortandfixedspan,corresponding[toan]operationinSyria".
EPATheTU-22M3shadpreviouslybeenforcedtoflymissionsfromRussia
GenDeghanwasaskedwhyRussiahadchosentorevealitspresencetherewhereasIranhadnot.
"TheRussiansareinterestedtoshowtheyareasuperpowertoguaranteetheirshareinthepoliticalfutureofSyriaand,ofcourse,therehasbeenakindofshow-offandungentlemanly[attitude]inthisfield."
GenDeghanexplainedthatRussiahad"decidedtobringinmoreplanesandboostitsspeedandaccuracyinoperations".
AFPRussia'sdeploymenttoIrancameamidanescalationinfightinginandaroundAleppo
"Therefore,itneededtorefuelinanareaclosertotheoperation.That'swhytheyusedtheNojehbase.Butwehavedefinitelynotgiventhemamilitarybase."
Hourslater,MrQasemiannouncedthatRussia'sdeploymenthadended.
AFPBahramQasemileftopenthepossibilityoffutureRussiancombatflightsfromIran
"Itwasaspecific,authorisedmissionandit'soverfornow.Theyconducteditandtheyaregonenow,"hewasquotedbytheofficialnewsagencyassaying.
TheUS,whichbackstheoppositiontoSyria'spresident,hadsaidRussia'suseoftheIranianbasewas"unfortunatebutnotsurprising".
From:hunter@
Subject:TWOPIECESTOWATCH[ED:RUSSIABEING"SOFT-SOLD"TWOPRIMEEXAMPLES.IE."IFONLYTHEU.S.LEARNEDTOHUGVLADMORE"]
Russia'sEurasianidentityaspartofitsstrategy
Putinisabletothinkstrategically,usingallhardandsoftpowertoolstopromoteRussianforeignpolicyinterests.
ARussiannavyshiplaunchesacruisemissileintheCaspianSea[AP]
by
LukeCoffey @lukedcoffey
LukeCoffeyisaresearchfellowspecialisingintransatlanticandEurasiansecurityataWashingtonDC
basedthinktank.HepreviouslyservedasaspecialadvisertotheBritishdefencesecretaryandwasa
commissionedofficerintheUnitedStatesarmy.
AsMoscowcontinuesitsaggressivebehaviourtowardsEasternEuropeandexpandsitsaircampaigninsupportofPresidentBasharal-AssadinSyria,itsabilitytouseitsstatusasaEurasianpowertoadvanceitsforeignpolicygoalsinthese
regionshasgonevirtuallyunnoticedbyWesternpolicymakers.
RussianPresidentVladimirPutinhasleveragedRussianinfluenceinone
regiontoadvanceitsinterestsinanother.Threerecentactionsbest
demonstratethis.
CruisemissilesandtheCaspian
RussiadefendsusingIranbaseforSyriaairstrikes
ThefirstdemonstratorofsuchleverageisRussia'suseoftheCaspianSeafor
itsoperationsinSyria.TheCaspianSeasitsonacrucialcrossroadslocatedat
theheartoftheEurasiancontinentandthroughouthistoryhashadan
importantgeopoliticalsignificanceforRussia.
OverthepastseveralmonthsRussianshipsformingpartoftheCaspian
Flotillahavefireddozensofcruisemissileshittingtargets1,500kmawayin
Syria.MoscowchosetheCaspianfortheselauncheseventhoughalternative
sitesmuchclosertoSyriaareavailable.
SowhywouldRussiagothroughtheextratroubleoflaunchingfromthe
Caspian?Inreality,Russia'suseoftheCaspianhadverylittletodowith
SyriaitselfandalottodowithRussia'sroleintheregion.
ThesestrikesprovedtotheothercountriesaroundtheCaspian-asea
whoselegalstatusandownershipofresourcesisdisputed-thatRussiais
thedominantmilitarypower.
AlsoitallowedRussiatotestboththecruisemissilesandthecorvettefrom
whichtheywerefiredinareal-lifecombatsetting.
Russiaknowsthatitiseasiertoexport"combat-tested"equipmentand
Moscowiseagertoexportbothtoboostitsdefenceindustry.
Iranianairbase
SeconddemonstratorwastherecentannouncementthatRussiaisusing
basesinIrantocarryoutairstrikesinSyria.
Fromstrictlyamilitarypointofviewthismakesperfectsense.Inthepast,
RussianbombersmadethejourneytoSyriaallthewayfrombasesinthe
NorthCaucasus.
Theextrafuelneededtomakethelongreturntripmeantthattheplanes
carriedfewerbombs.UsingtheIranianairbaseatHamadanallowsRussian
bomberstobesignificantlyclosertotargetsinSyria.Thismeansmore
sortiesandmorebombsthatcanbedropped.
IranoritsCSTOmilitaryexerciseareviewedasthreedifferentand
unrelatedthings.ForPutin,Russia'sactionsinthesethreeregionsare
partsofaninterconnectedanddeliberategrandstrategy.
Butmorethanthat,MoscowandTehranaresendingastrongsignalto
WashingtonandtheArabSunniworldabouttheirplaceintheongoing
competitionforpowerandinfluenceintheMiddleEast.
WhiletheRussianuseoftheairbasemaybetemporary,itshouldbe
recognisedaspartofalong-termefforttopromoteaMoscow-Tehran-
DamascusagendaintheMiddleEast.
CentralAsiaonNATO'sdoorstep
Finally,lastweekRussiaheldthefirsteverCollectiveSecurityTreaty
Organisation(CSTO)trainingexercisesalongtheborderofNATO.
TheCSTOisaMoscow-ledcollectivesecurityorganisationthatincludes
Kazakhstan,Armenia,Belarus,Kyrgyzstan,andTajikistan.
ThefactthattheCSTOheldamajormilitaryexerciseisnothingnew.Whatis
noteworthy,however,isthattheexercisetookplaceinRussia'sPskov
oblast,whichbordersNATOmembersEstoniaandLatvia.
OPINION:Russia'semergingnavalpresenceintheMediterranean
ThisisthefirsttimethataCSTOtrainingexercisehastakenplacesocloseto
aNATOborder.Unsurprisinglythistrainingexercisehasraisedeyebrows
acrossEuropeancapitalswhenconsideringsomeofthebellicoserhetoric
comingfromtheKremlintowardstheBalticstates.
ThisCSTOtrainingexerciseindicatesanumberofthingsaboutMoscow's
influenceintheformerSovietUnion.
ItistellingthatRussiawasabletogettroopsfromKazakhstan,Armenia,
Belarus,Kyrgyzstan,andTajikistantoparticipateinwargamessocloseto
NATO'sborder.EspeciallyforacountrylikeKazakhstanwhichitselfhas
concernsaboutMoscowmeddlinginthenorthernpartofthecountrywhere
manyethnicRussianslive.
Strategicthinking
WhatdothesethreerecenteventstellusaboutRussianforeignpolicy?
Putinisabletothinkstrategically,usingallhardandsoftpowertoolsto
promoteRussianforeignpolicyinterests.
IranoritsCSTOmilitaryexerciseareviewedasthreedifferentandunrelated
things.ForPutin,Russia'sactionsinthesethreeregionsarepartsofan
interconnectedanddeliberategrandstrategy.
NotwithstandingthepossibleviolationofUNSecurityCouncil2231over
Russia'suseofbasesinIran,thereisnothingtosuggestthatanyofthese
threeactionswerewrong.
Indeed,theUnitedStatesandNATOdosimilarthings.TheUSanditsallies
useairbasesintheregiontostriketargetsinSyria.AndNATOholds
exercisesnotfarfromRussia'sborders.Astheysay,imitationisthe
sincerestformofflattery.
ItiswhenyouplaceRussia'srecentactivitiesintoalargercontextofregional
aggression-suchasinUkraine-thatthereiscauseforconcern.
LukeCoffeyisaresearchfellowspecialisingintransatlantic
andEurasiansecurityataWashingtonDC-basedthink-tank.
HepreviouslyservedasaspecialadvisertotheBritishdefence
secretaryandwasacommissionedofficerintheUnitedStates
Army.
Theviewsexpressedinthisarticlearetheauthor'sownanddo
notnecessarilyreflectAlJazeera'seditorialpolicies.
UPI
HOME/TOPNEWS/OPINION
Russia'snoWesterndemocracythatdoesn'tmakeitautomaticadversary
ByHarlanUllman,ArnauddeBorchgraveDistinguishedColumnist|Aug.22,2016at6:00AM
34Comments

Regardingmajorinterests,itwouldseemthatRussiaandtheUnitedStates(andtheWest)havemoreincommonthannot.RussianPresidentVladimirPutinisshownhereonavisittoGreeceinMay.PhotobyVerveridisVasilis/Shutterstock
America'sinfatuationwithRussiacanformallybedatedfromMay1867whentheUnitedStatespaid$7.2million--worthabout$1.3billiontoday--forthepurchaseofAlaska.Called"Seward'sFolly"afterSecretaryofStateWilliamSewardwhonegotiatedthedeal,oneofthereasonsforthesalewasRussianexpectation
thatbybuyingAlaska,theUnitedStateswouldbecomeamoredeeplyinvolvedPacificpowerandacounterbalancetoBritain--theTsar'sgreaterworryatthetime.Eventhen,geopoliticswasnotanunknownarttoSt.PetersburgoutsidethetraditionalEuropeansphere.
Thatinfatuationhashadmanytwistsandturns.
Foratimeinthe1930s,theSovietUnionwasanidealizedworker'sparadiseforthoseAmericansseducedbycommunism.TheSpanishCivilWar,theproxyprecursorforWorldWarII,attractedasmallnumberofAmericanstofightontheSovietsideagainstthefascists.AndwithouttheSovietUnionforwhatRussiansstill
call"thegreatpatrioticwar,"defeatingHitlermighthavebeenimpossible.
TheColdWar,however,wasnearlyahalf-centurylongideologicalstruggleinwhichbothsidespromised,capturedinthewordsofJohnKennedy,to"payanypriceandbearanyburden"towin.Butonlyonesidedidwin--theWest.AndinthequarterofacenturysincetheUSSRimploded,relationshaverevertedtowhat
someinMoscowandtheWestarecallinga"newcoldwar."
Why?
Regardingmajorinterests,itwouldseemthatRussiaandtheUnitedStates(andtheWest)havemoreincommonthannot.AvertingconflicttoincludeendofthevirulentdangerofradicalandviolentIslamshouldbeself-evidentasmutuallybeneficial.Yet,thecrisisinSyria,whereeliminatingtheIslamicStateisacommonaim,
theUnitedStatesandRussiaarebitterlydividedoverthecontinuationofPresidentBasharal-Assadandhisregime.
Similarly,EastandWesthavecommoneconomicinterests.RussianeedstosellitsenergytotheWest.TheWestneedstosellitsproductstotheEast.ButbecauseofRussianinterventionintoUkraine,heavysanctionshavebeenimposedonMoscowthatarepainfultoallsides.
PresidentGeorgeW.BushcouldlookdeeplyintoVladimirPutin'seyesandasPrimeMinisterMargaretThatcherobservedofMikhailGorbachevagenerationbefore,believeeachcouldbeapartner.PresidentBarackObamacouldpushthe"resetbutton"withRussia,eventhoughitwasmisspelled,andsignaNewSTART
nuclearweaponsreductionstreaty.Still,tomostobservers,thisnewcoldwarhasfrozenarelationshipatlevelsunseensincebeforetheSovietUnioncollapsed.
ThereasonsarenotpersonalitydriveneventhoughObamaandPutindisplayamutualresentment.WhenChurchillmadehisfamous"enigmaandriddle"analogy,hewentontoaddthatRussiawasdrivenbyinterests.Andtheheartofthestandofftodayistherefusalofbothsidestounderstandtheinterestsoftheother.
WhentheColdWarended,theWesttriednottogloat.Forbetterorworse,RussianscametobelievethattheircountrywasperceivedwithlessrespectandhencewastoooftendisregardedbytheWest.TheexpansionofNATOEasttoinclude,first,threemajorformermembersoftheWarsawPact,Moscow's
counterbalancingalliance,wasnotwell-received.NorwastheaccessionofthethreeBalticandtwoBlackSeastates.
Thenin2008,attheNATOheadsofgovernmentsummitheldinBucharest,Romania,GeorgeW.BushextendedtoGeorgiaandUkrainetheprospectofmembership.Putin,whowaspresentatthesummit,issuedasternwarning,awarningthatwasnotfullyappreciated.Afewmonthslater,RussiatrickedGeorgianPresident
MikhailSakashvilliintosendingforcesintoSouthOssetiathatpromptedabrief,one-sidedresponsethatMoscoweasilywon.
Inearly2014,whenUkrainianPresidentViktorYanukovychwasforcedtofleeKiev,RussiaintervenedandannexedCrimea.With"contestedborders"inbothGeorgiaandUkraine,NATOmembershipwasforeclosedbythefoundingWashingtonTreatyof1949thatdeniedanystateaccessunderthosecircumstances.Few
intheWestcomprehendedMoscow'sreasons.
Ofcourse,inaperfectworld,Moscowshouldnothaveusedforceineithercase.Unfortunately,WashingtonneverunderstoodhowmuchofathreatNATOexpansionwasperceivedbyMoscow.Andperhapsitstilldoesn't.
Finally,RussiaisnotandwillneverbeaWesterndemocracy.Thatdoesnotmakeitanautomaticadversary.Andmaybeweareariddleandenigma,too.
HarlanUllmanisUPI'sArnauddeBorchgraveDistinguishedColumnistandservesassenioradviserforSupremeAlliedCommanderEurope,theAtlanticCouncilandBusinessExecutivesforNationalSecurityandchairstwoprivatecompanies.Hislastbookis"AHandfulofBullets:HowtheMurderof
ArchdukeFranzFerdinandStillMenacesthePeace."Hisnextbook,dueoutnextyear,is"AnatomyofFailure:WhyAmericaLosesWarsItStarts."
Senttime: 08/09/201608:57:02AM
FW:[LATENIGHTRUN/MNT8-8][JDDDII&III&IV]]Fwd:FW:RUequipment[SightedonN.Crimeaborder]PL&RU:PipelineWarsRUartillerybreakthrough..[ANT/F
Subject:
DDII]RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraine/Thebestgolddrugscan...
Sent:Monday,August08,20169:49PM
Subject:Fwd:[LATENIGHTRUN/MNT8-8][JDDDII&III&IV]]Fwd:FW:RUequipment[SightedonN.Crimeaborder]PL&RU:PipelineWarsRUartillery
breakthrough..[ANT/FDDII]RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraine/Thebestgolddrugscan...
Date:Tue,Aug9,2016at12:47AM
Subject:[LATENIGHTRUN/MNT8-8][JDDDII&III&IV]]Fwd:FW:RUequipment[SightedonN.Crimeaborder]PL&RU:PipelineWarsRU
artillerybreakthrough..[ANT/FDDII]RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraine/Thebestgolddrugscanbuy/+..[BZ]Turkey's
ErdoganunnervesWestwithPutinvisit
From:JohnBDunlop<jbdunlop@stanford.edu>
Subject:FW:R[U]equipment
To:"howard@jamestown.org"<howard@jamestown.org>
Cc:"waz2102@caa.columbia.edu"<waz2102@caa.columbia.edu>
From:ThomasHHenriksen[mailto:thomash@stanford.edu]
To:JohnBDunloppaulroderickgregory
Subject:Requipment
http://www.rferl.org/content/ukrainecrimeamilitarybuildup/27906239.html?
utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Defense%20EBB%20080816&utm_term=Editorial%20%20Early%20Bird%20Brief
Activists: Russian Military Hardware Sighted Along Northern Crimea

Border
www.rferl.org
Crimean Tatar activists have reported armed checkpoints being erected at scattered sites around
the Russianoccupied peninsula, and unusually large concentrations of Russian hardware in
northern regions.
Subject:FW:PolandandR[U]
Subject:PolandandR
http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/05/polandtakesaimatputinspipedreams/?
Poland Takes Aim at Putins Pipe Dreams

foreignpolicy.com
Warsaw may have finally thrown a wrench into the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, Moscow's controversial
plan to double down on its dominance of Europes energy
Subject:FW:RandWeapons
To:ThomasHHenriksen<thomash@stanford.edu>
Subject:RandWeapons
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/globalopinions/russiassuperiornewweapons/2016/08/05/e86334ec08c511e6bdcb
0133da18418d_story.html?utm_campaign=Defense%20EBB%20080816&utm_medium=email&utm_source=Sailthru
Russias superior new weapons

www.washingtonpost.com
The performance of Russian artillery in Ukraine shows that Moscow has a technological jump on
us.

From:AntonivFamily<antoniv_family@msn.com>
Subject:RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraine/Thebestgolddrugscanbuy/+
To:
JamesMiller
RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraineAsMilitaryMovementsSpikehttp://bit.ly/2aZCkcH
DWSIntel
ThisisaveryroughmapofdifferentRussianunitmovementsinthepast2weeksorsonearUkraine.
RyskeldiSatke
Ukrainemovesmoretroops&heavygeartoRussiaoccupiedperimeterinCrimea
http://zn.ua/UKRAINE/sily-vsu-v-hersonskoy-oblasti-usilili-dopolnitelnym-vooruzheniem-i-lichnym-sostavom-220994_.html
TrumpmayaccomplishwhatahundredSovietmilitarydivisionscouldnotdothroughouttheColdWar:breakNATOandendthesuccessful
alliancebetweenthetransatlanticdemocracies.
http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/defense/290703-why-trump-is-now-the-most-dangerous-man-in-the-world
Dr.BenitezisthedirectorofNATOSourceandaseniorfellowattheAtlanticCouncil'sBrentScowcroftCenteronInternationalSecurity.
RussiantraitorwhoexposedAnnaChapman'sspyringdeadinUSreports(RT!)
Publishedtime:7Jul,2016
http://www.rt.com/news/349932-russia-spy-dead-us/
2012story
http://www.rt.com/usa/spy-anna-chapman-official-156/
InsidersnowattestthattheUSFederalBureauofInvestigationactedasquicklyastheydidinapprehendingRussiannationalAnnaChapmanin
2010becausethespywasthoughttobeattemptingtosleepwithamemberofUSPresidentBarackObamascabinet.Accordingtoanew
interviewwiththeBBC,theassistantFBIdirectorforcounterintelligence,C.FrankFigliuzzi,claimstheagencybelievedthatclosenessbetween
Chapmanandanunnamedcabinetofficialpromptedauthoritiestoswoopinbeforethespycouldpenetratethepresidentsinsidecircleandcome
intocontactwithclassifiedinformation.
Thebestgolddrugscanbuy
http://sports.yahoo.com/news/american-swimmer-calls-out-russian-rival-for-drug-cheating-020213844.html
...
EfimovawasoneofsevenRussianswimmerswhohadbeenbannedfromRioseveralweeksagoshewasreinstatedjustbeforethestartofthe
Games.Shehadpreviouslyserveda16-monthsuspensionfordoping.Efimovahadfailedatestforthenewly-bannedsubstancemeldonium,the
samesubstancefoundinsamplesfromtennisstarMariaSharapova,thoughEfimovastestwasoverturnedonappeal.
EfimovaswamherpreliminaryeventwiththesoundsofboosfromtheRioOlympicAquaticsStadiumallaroundherSundaynight.
...
OnMon,Aug8,2016at5:10PM,BohdanZaryckyjtexted:
Turkey'sErdoganunnervesWestwithPutinvisit
ByMichaelSahlinStockholmUniversityInstituteforTurkishStudies
ImagecopyrightAFPImagecaptionPresidentPutinhitTurkeywitharaftofsanctionsafteraRussianattackjetwasshotdownintheTurkey-Syriaborderarea
Inviewofthecurrent"frost"intheAKPgovernment'srelationswithboththeUSandtheEU,PresidentRecepTayyipErdogan'sdecisiontochooseRussiafor
hisfirstofficialvisitabroadsincethebotchedcoupappearsrichinsymbolism.Turkeyhasseenanupheavalinitsforeignanddomesticpolitics,
exacerbatedbythenear-disastrouscoupattempton15July.
AndWesternleaderswillbelookingonnervously.
TheEU'smigrantdealwithTurkeyhasrunintotroubleandtheUSisunderpressuretoextraditeself-exiledIslamicleaderFethullahGulen,whomTurkeyblames
forthecoup.
ButTuesday'svisitisnotasnapdecisionbytheTurkishstateinreactiontoaperceivedlackofvisibleandcredibleWesternsupportintimesofcrisis,norisitin
appreciationofPresidentPutin'sswiftsupport.
Thehistorygoesfartherbackthanthat.
Moreonthisstory:
Turkey'sorry'fordowningRussianjet
CanRussiaandTurkeyhealrift?
WhatyouneedtoknowaboutTurkey'sattemptedcoup
SomeyearsagoAhmetDavutoglu,Turkey'sthenforeignministerandlaterprimeminister,coinedtheslogan"Zeroproblemswithallneighbours"asTurkey
adapteditspolicytomeetthewaveofchangesduringtheso-calledArabSpring.
Bytheendoflastyear,theTurkishleadershiphadproblemswithallitsneighboursandpartnersandadiminishingcrowdoffriends,becauseofnegative
developmentsinSyriaandIraqaswellasfailuresinTurkishpolicy.
AndasTurkey'ssecurityinterestshaveworsenedinSyria,withKurdishmilitantseithersideoftheborder,ithasclearlybecomeastrategicnecessityforAnkara
tobowtorealitiesandlookforopportunitiesforanhonourableretreat.
ThisappliesinparticulartotheTurkishgovernmentspolicytowardsRussia.
ImagecopyrightREUTERSImagecaptionInNovemberTurkeyshotdownaRussianwarplaneinamountainousareaofnorthernSyria
Earlierrelationswerebasedessentiallyandpragmaticallyonanumberofpointsofeconomicinterdependence.
TurkeyneededRussianpetroleumdeliveries,accesstonuclearandotherelementsoftechnology.ItalsoreliedonaccesstotheRussianmarketandacontinued
flowofRussiantourists.
RussianeededTurkey'senergymarketanditsterritorytoo,totransportenergysupplies.
BothalsohadajointinterestinbasicstabilityintheBlackSeaarea,inviewofthe1936MontreuxDeclarationonaccesstotheBosphorusandDardanelles
straits.
ButthedowningoftheRussianSU-24fighterjeton24November2015dramaticallyraisedTurkish-RussiantensionswithinweeksofRussia'smilitary
interventionbackingupPresidentBasharal-AssadinSyria.
Syria'sleaderhasbecomePresidentErdogan'sswornenemyoflate.andMrPutin'sensuingpunitiveactionshavehurtTurkeyeconomicallyandpolitically.
Resettingrelations
ItcameasnosurprisewhenTurkeysignalledachangeinpolicyinmid-May.
OutwentPrimeMinisterAhmetDavutogluandincameBinaliYildirim,whosoonannouncedthatthetimehadcomeforTurkeyto"decreasethenumberof
enemiesandincreasethenumberoffriends",clearlyalludingtoRussiaandIsraelforstarters.
SincethenPresidentErdoganhasissuedsomekindofrare"apology",deemedpoliticallysufficientbyteamPutin-althoughRussianForeignMinisterSergei
Lavrovhasinsistedthatsustainablenormalisationwilldependonhowthetwocountriesco-operateinthequagmireoftheSyriacrisis.
MrErdogantakestoStPetersburgaverybroadagendaandahugedelegation.ThetwostatesareexpectedtoresettheTurkishStreamgaspipelineproject,as
wellascovernuclearpowerplantconstructionandperhapsotherenergyrelateditems.
Theywillalsoincluderesumingtourism,foodexportsandconstruction,whichhaveallbeenhithardsinceRussiaimposedsanctionsinNovember.
PresumablysomeeffortswillalsobemadetoclearthewayforsomeunderstandingonSyria.
ButthesymbolicnatureofthisvisitwithinweeksofthebotchedcoupisfarfromlostonthoseintheUSandEUwhoaresearchingforsignsofpossible
permanentpolicychange.
TurkeyisafterallakeyNatopower.Andithasnewsensitivitiessincethetraumaticeventsof15July,whiletheWesthasbeenuneasyatPresidentErdogan's
heavy-handednessbeforeandespeciallysincetheattemptedcoup.
TothedelightofPresidentPutin,MrErdoganispresumablyhappytokeeptheWestwondering,andsweating,fornow.
ByDrMichaelSahlin,retiredSwedishAmbassadoranddistinguishedassociatefellowatStockholmUniversityInstituteforTurkishStudies(SUITS)
Senttime: 08/23/201609:46:35AM
FW:FPIOvernightBrief:August23,2016[MaterialRelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates']..FPSituationReport[MaterialRelevantto
Subject:
Ukraine&'FrontlineStates'].[VRT]NYTHEADLINE:Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondoftheG.O.P.,GreetDonaldTr...
Subject:Fwd:FPIOvernightBrief:August23,2016[MaterialRelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates']..FPSituationReport[Material
RelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates'].[VRT]NYTHEADLINE:Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondoftheG.O.P.,GreetDonaldTr...
Subject:FPIOvernightBrief:August23,2016[MaterialRelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates']..FPSituationReport
[MaterialRelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates'].[VRT]NYTHEADLINE:Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondofthe
G.O.P.,GreetDonaldTrumpWithDespair
From:ForeignPolicyInitiative<info@foreignpolicyi.org>
Subject:FPIOvernightBrief:August23,2016
To:walter<waz2102@caa.columbia.edu>
FollowandSupportFPI

FPIOvernightBrief
August23,2016
TableofContents
MiddleEast/NorthAfrica,Asia,Security,Russia/Europe,Americas,Africa,Ideas,Events
Announcements TheMust-Reads
Ifyousupportourmissionandwork,pleaseconsidermaking ISISincreasinglyturnstochildsuicidebombers
atax-deductibledonationtoFPItoday.
FPIsKahn:Russia,Iranescalatemilitaryties
BesuretoencourageyourcolleaguestosignupfortheFPI
BretStephens:Thenewdictatorsclub
OvernightBrief.
UNofficialcallscrisisinAleppotheapexofhorror
ISWispublishingregularupdatesonthesituationinIraqand
Syria,andAEI'sCriticalThreatsProjectisdoingsofor Insidethebrutal,bureaucraticworldofISISinLibya
theYemenconflict.
Obamaconfrontsnewpoliticaldynamicsontrade
Miller,Payne:Thedangersofnuclearno-first-use
WaPo:BidenneedstogiveErdogansometoughadvice
IranexpandingterrornetworkinLatinAmerica
MiddleEast/NorthAfrica
Iran
TheWhiteHouseandStateDepartmentgaveconflictingexplanationsMondayfortheadministrationsalleged$400millionransompaymentto
Iran,withPresidentObamasspokesmanstillinsistingthemoneywaspartofanoldarmsdealandaspokesmanatFoggyBottomconcedingagain
thatitwasleveragetogainthereleaseoffourAmericanhostages.WashingtonTimes
Sen.RoyBluntwantsSecretaryofStateJohnKerrytoprovide"adetailedaccounting"ofthe$400millioncashpaymenttoIranthatwaslinkedto
thereleaseofAmericanhostagesheldthere.WashingtonExaminer
TheStateDepartmentwarnedMondaythatAmericanstravelingtoIranrunariskofbeingarrestedanddetained,inanoticethatupdateditsprior
warningaboutIrantravelfrommid-March.WashingtonExaminer
FPISeniorPolicyAnalystTzviKahnwrites:RussiasrecentuseofanIranianairbasetobombtargetsinSyriareflectsaburgeoningstrategic
partnershiprootedinsharedregionalobjectives.ThoughTehranterminatedthearrangementtodaylikelyduetodomesticperceptionsthatit
renderedtheIslamistregimeasubordinateofMoscow,theepisodedemonstratesthatbothcountries,workingintandem,seektoundermineU.S.
interestsandleadershipintheregion.WashingtoncannolongerregardeithergovernmentaspartnerstodefeattheIslamicState.ForeignPolicy
Initiative
LeeSmithwrites:If,asRosett'sstorysuggests,the13paymentstheJudgmentFundsenttotheStateDepartmentrepresentsthe$1.3billionin
interest,theadministrationhassomequestionstoanswer.Wastheinterestpaidincashlikethe$400million,orbywire?Ifthelatter,whywasthe
$400millionpaidincash?TheWeeklyStandardBlog
Syria
IranonMondayannulledpermissionforRussianplanestoflybombingrunsintoSyriafromanIranianbase,onlyaweekafterhavinggranted
suchextraordinaryaccess,sayingthattheKremlinhadbeenunacceptablypublicandarrogantabouttheprivilege.NewYorkTimes
TurkeyshelledIslamicState-heldterritoryacrosstheborderinSyriaonTuesday,keepinguparetaliationcampaignforaweekendbombingthat
rippedthroughaweddingcelebrationandkilled54people.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
Foryears,theSyriangovernmentandU.S.-backedKurdishforcessharedcontrolofHasakah,acityinSyriasnortheast.Butlastweek,the
KurdishmilitiaknownasthePeoplesProtectionUnits,orYPG,launchedanassaultongovernment-controlledareasofthecity,activistssaid
markingariftbetweenonetimealliesandfurtherblurringthelinesbetweenthewarringsidesinSyriasbloodyinternecinecivilwar.LosAngeles
Times
ThetopaidofficialattheUnitedNationsgaveagloomyassessmentoftheSyriareliefeffortonMonday,sayingnoconvoydeliverieshadbeen
madetobesiegedareasthismonthandthatthesufferinginAleppo,onceSyriascommercialepicenter,wastheapexofhorror.NewYorkTimes
AfteryearsoftacitlyallowingthecreationofanautonomousKurdishregioninnorthernSyria,PresidentBasharal-Assadsregimeistreatingthe
ethnicminoritysgrowingpowerasathreat.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
IransparliamentspeakerAliLarijanisaysRussianwarplanesarestillusinganIranianmilitarybasetostriketargetsinSyria.RadioFree
Europe/RadioLiberty
TheUSandRussiahaveyettofinalizeanagreementoncoordinatedeffortsinSyria,withPentagonspokesmanPeterCookwarningMondaythat
theclockisrunningonthewindowforthoseconversations.DefenseNews
U.S.SecretaryofStateJohnKerrysaidtalksbetweentheUnitedStatesandRussiaonmilitarycooperationinthefightagainsttheIslamicState
terroristgroupinSyriaarenearinganend.RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty
TheU.S.militaryveeredtowarddeclarationofano-flyzoneinSyriaMonday,butstoppedshortofusingthecontroversialtermthatwouldsetthe
stageforadirectconfrontationwiththeSyrianairforce.MilitaryTimes
TheUnitedNationsisreadytodeliveraidintoSyria'sAleppo,butneedscommitmentsfromallpartiesinthewar-notjustRussia-toabidebya
48-hourhumanitariantruce,theU.N.aidchief,angeredbylackofassistancetocivilians,saidonMonday.-Reuters
Turkey
BloodstainsandbrokenbodiesleftafterTurkeysdeadliestbombingthisyearcruellyunderscorethecomplexrivalriesswirlingamongtheTurkish
government,theSunnimilitantsofIslamicStateandmembersofTurkeyslargestethnicminority,theKurds.LosAngelesTimes
AnoddthinghashappenedinTurkey.Usuallydeeplypolarized,thetwosidesarelargelyunitedintheiroppositiontomilitarycoupsandthe
movementofFethullahGulen,aMuslimclericwholivesinself-exileinPennsylvaniaandhasbeenaccusedbyTurkeyoforchestratingthefailed
uprising.NewYorkTimes
ThelandmarkagreementthathaltedatorrentofmigrantsflowingfromTurkeyintoEuropeisnearingcollapseinthewakeofthefailedTurkish
coupandthesubsequentnationwidecrackdown.WashingtonPost
TurkeyvowedMondaytofightIslamicStatemilitantsathomeandto"cleanse"thegroupfromitsbordersafteraweekendsuicidebombingata
Kurdishwedding,anattackthatcameamidrecentgainsbySyrianKurdishmilitiaforcesagainsttheextremistsinneighboringSyria.Associated
Press
Withsuspicionsonbothsidesmounting,theUnitedStatesisstrugglingtopreserveitswobblypartnershipwithTurkeyasitentertainsacloser
relationshipwithRussiaandfumesoveraU.S.-basedclericitblamesfororchestratinglastmonth'sfailedcoupattempt.AssociatedPress
Turkishauthoritiessuspended95Istanbulpoliceofficers,includingpolicechiefs,onMonday,broadcasterCNNTurkreported,thelateststepsina
sweepingcrackdowntotargetsecurityforcesfollowingafailedcouplastmonth.-Reuters
TurkeyiswithdrawingitsambassadortoAustria,theTurkishforeignministersaidMonday,amidagrowingdiplomaticspat.AssociatedPress
Editorial:Mr.BidenoughttocandidlytellhishostthattheUnitedStatesdidnotinstigatethecoupandthatitwillnotrelinquishMr.Gulentoa
witchhunt.Mr.Erdoganmaynotwanttohearit,buthealsoshouldberemindedthatcrushingtheruleoflawwilldimTurkeysprospects.Mr.
Erdoganmaybaskinthecrowdstoday,butusingthecoupasapretexttopurgethemedia,academiaandotherspheresofindependentvoiceswill
notstrengthenthenationinthelongrun.WashingtonPost
ReturntoTop
Asia
EastAsia
AstheChineseeconomyslows,theregimeisrampingupanassaultondissidentsandothersitbrandsastroublemakers.Callittherepression
index.Oneofthebestindicatorsofthecountryseconomicdirectionisnowapoliticalone.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
AsiafacesaredrawingofthegeopoliticalorderifDonaldTrumpbecomesUSpresidentaprospectthatalarmsWashingtonsallieswhile
handingagifttoChina,itsprincipalrival.FinancialTimes
Interview:AstheintersectionofAsia-Pacificcountriesmaritimeinterestsbecomesincreasinglycomplex,theregionalmaritimecommonshavein
turnbecomeasalientfactorinthestrategiccalculusofU.S.interests.HowtheUnitedStatesinteractswithvestedplayersandrespondsto
contingencieswillhaveimplicationsforthefutureoftheregionalsecurityarchitectureandshapethecontentofinternationalnormsintheyearsto
come.Againstthiscriticalbackdrop,NBRinterviewedAdmiralJonathanGreenert(ret.),formerU.S.chiefofnavaloperationsandthecurrent
holderofNBRsJohnM.ShalikashviliChairinNationalSecurityStudies.NationalBureauofAsianResearch
KoreanPeninsula
SouthKoreaandtheUnitedStatesbeganannualmilitarydrillsMondaydespiteNorthKorea'sthreatofnuclearstrikesinresponsetotheexercises
thatitcallsaninvasionrehearsal.AssociatedPress
NorthKoreahaslaidlandminesintheDemilitarizedZone(DMZ)betweenthetwoKoreas,theSouth'sYonhapnewsagencyreportedonTuesday,
astensionroseonthedividedpeninsulaafterthestartofannualU.S.-SouthKoreanmilitaryexercises.-Reuters
BruceKlingerwrites:WashingtonmustsharpenthechoiceforNorthKoreabyraisingtheriskandcostforitsactionsaswellasforthoseofits
enablersparticularlyBeijingwhohavewillinglyfacilitatedtheregimesprohibitedprogramsandillicitactivitiesandcondoneditshuman
rightsviolations.WashingtonTimes
SoutheastAsia

AmidrisingtensionswiththeObamaadministrationanditsneighborsacrossEastAsia,ChinawillholdaweekofnavaldrillswithRussiainthe
SouthChinaSeanextmonth,thetwocountriessaidMonday.WashingtonTimes
PhilipBowringwrites:InachallengetoChinasclaimtoalmosttheentireso-calledSouthChinaSea,Indonesiaannouncedlastweekthatitwill
designatethewatersoffitsnortherncoast,aroundtheNatunaandAnambasislands,astheNatunaSea.Thisismorethanjustpetty
nationalism.ItsahelpfulmarkerthatthetermSouthChinaSeaisarecentinventionwithnobasisinhistory.WallStreetJournal(subscription
required)
ReturntoTop
Security
Defense
NavalAirForcesCommanderViceAdm.MikeShoemakerisstillatalosstoexplainhowtheNavysufferedthreeClassAmishapsandthreelost
aircraftinaneight-dayperiodinMayandJuneofthisyear.But,headded,it'sjustashardtoexplainhowthefleetwentthepreviouseightmonths
withjustonemishap.Military.com
TheF-35IntegratedTestForceatEdwardsAirForceBase,California,completed25weaponstestmissionsoverthecourseofamonth,JPO
officialsannouncedtoday.Thesemissionsincluded12weaponsdeliveryaccuracytestsand13weaponsseparationtestsonatleastfivedifferent
weaponssystems,officialssaid.DODBuzz
TheNavyisdevelopinglighter-weightanti-submarinetechnologydesignedtobetterenableitsLittoralCombatShiptotrack,locateanddestroy
enemysubmarinesallwhilerecognizingpotentialrivalsRussiaandChinacontinuetorapidlydevelopnewsubmarineweaponsand
technologies.ScoutWarrior
NuclearWeapons
KeithPayneandFranklinMillerwrite:ThespectrumofmilitarythreatstotheUnitedStatesandourallieshasexpandedconsiderablyasRussia
andChinahavepursuedmilitarybuildupsandaggressivepoliciesinEuropeandAsiarespectively.USadoptionofano-first-usepolicynow
wouldonlyreflectwillfulUSdetachmentfromtheseglobalrealities,andwouldbeperceivedassuchbyfriendsandfoesalike.BulletinofAtomic
Scientists
Intelligence
TheonlineleakofdatapilferedfromtheNationalSecurityAgencymorelikelycamefromanagencyinsiderthanfromhackerslinkedtoRussia,
accordingtoanexpertontheintelligencecommunity.WashingtonExaminer
ReturntoTop
Russia/Europe
WesternEurope
GOPpresidentialnomineeDonaldTrumpcallsitanunmitigateddisasterforGermany,butGermansthemselvesaremoreevenlydividedover
ChancellorAngelaMerkelsopen-doorpolicyformigrantsseekingtoenterthecountryfromSyria,Afghanistanandotherworldcrisisspots.
WashingtonTimes
Innearlyeveryterroristepisodehere[inFrance],ordinaryindividualsriskedtheirownsafetytotrytohalttheattackortolendahandtothe
woundedratherthanrunningaway.Someoftheselocalheroesarerecognizedrightaway,thoughothersneverreceiverecognitionandsome
receiveitonlybelatedly.NewYorkTimes
NicolasSarkozyannouncedhiscandidacyforthe2017FrenchpresidentialelectionsMonday,fouryearsafterhepledgedtoretirefrompolitics
whenhewasdefeatedbySocialistFranoisHollande.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
EasternEurope
IntheshadowofMoscowsaggressioninCrimeaandeasternUkraine,thelargelysymbolicEstonianpresidencyhasgainedweightpartlythanks
toincumbentToomasHendrikIlvesstrongargumentsfortheEuropeanUnionandNATOtostandbyEstoniaanditsBalticneighbors.-Politico
AnnaNemtsovawrites:Inbothcountries,coverageofthepoliticalchaosintheUnitedStatesthenorthstarofpoliticsforbothanti-American
andpro-AmericanfiguresinthispartoftheworldisstirringpublicdiscontentanddoubtaboutthefutureinUkraine,andasenseofconfidence,
evenarrogance,inRussia.-Politico
EuropeanUnion
LeadersfromFrance,GermanyandItalyproposedMondaytostepupcooperationinareassuchasintelligencesharingandborderdefense,
withoutgivinganysignthattheywillgrowclosereconomicallyinresponsetoBritishvotersrecentdecisiontoleavetheEU.WallStreetJournal
(subscriptionrequired)
Germany,FranceandItalywillbethethreemostimportantnationsleftintheEuropeanUnionafterBritainsstunningdecisioninJunetoleavethe
bloc.YetallaresubstantiallyweakenedbynaggingdomesticproblemsatacriticalmomentwhenEuropeneedsanewdirection.NewYorkTimes
TheleadersofGermany,FranceandItalydeclaredtheywouldnotallowBritainsdeparturefromtheEUtopropeltheblocintoreverseasthey
discussedplanstodeepenintelligenceco-operationandbolsterapan-Europeaninvestmentplan.FinancialTimes
ReturntoTop
Americas
UnitedStatesofAmerica
HannahThoburnwrites:Trumphasalreadyprovenhimselftobeanegothatiseasilymanipulated,hasbeenopentotheideaofrecognizing
Russias2014annexationofCrimea,andisopenlylaudatoryofPutinsrule.TheKremlinpreferstheuncertaintyofaTrumppresidencytoaClinton
leadershipthathasbeenvocalaboutitsdesiretoholdthemtoaccountfortheirvariousinvasionsandhumanrightsviolations.Itdoesntlooklike
theyregoingtogetit.TheCipherBrief
LatinAmerica
IranissolidifyingitsfootholdinLatinAmerica,sparkingconcernsamongU.S.officialsthattheIslamicRepublicwillenlisttheseregionalalliesin
itspushtolaunchterrorattacksonU.S.soil,accordingtoconversationswithcongressionalsources.WashingtonFreeBeacon
IthasnotbeenthatlongsinceColombiasbloodyhistoryhasledtoitsownexodus.ButthathasreversedasColombianearsapossiblepeace
agreementandVenezuelasinksdeeperintodespairwiththeunpopularPresidentNicolsMaduroatthehelm.FinancialTimes
PresidentNicolasMadurohasseta48-hourdeadlineforministerstodismisssomepublicworkerswhorequestedarecallreferendumagainsthim,
aSocialistPartyspokesmansaidMonday.Hundredsofpublicworkershavealreadysaidtheyweredismissedforsigningapetitionfora
referendumagainsttheunpopularpresident,accordingtotestimonyseenbyReuters,humanrightsgroupsandlocalmedia.-Reuters
Kickingoffasix-daytourofLatinAmerica,IranianForeignMinisterMohammadJavadZarifsaidonMondayinHavanahisvisitwouldopena
newchapterintheIslamicRepublic'srelationswithCommunist-ruledCuba.-Reuters
LuisFleischmanwrites:Thecountriesoftheregionneedtotiltthebalancetobuildaregionthatsupportsdemocracyandostracizestyranny.The
movementisslowbutbetterthannone.WeneedmoreKuczynskisandAlmagrosinLatinAmerica.WeurgeLatinAmericanleaderstotakea
principledpositionnowandrepudiatetheMadurosandtheOrtegasoftheregion.TheAmericasReport
ReturntoTop
Ideas
BretStephenswrites:Perhapsitsineverystrongmansnaturetoseekandadmirehispoliticalreflectionwhereverhefindsit,whetheritsinaczar,
anayatollah,asultanorageneralsecretary.Thenagain,whatmainlyunitestheleadersofthenewdictatorsclubisthesharedperceptionthat
theystandtoloseverylittleinworkingagainstacountrytheydetestandapresidenttheycontemn.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
MarkKennedywrites:ThoseleadersforwhomtheNavyhasnamedaircraftcarriersserveasexamplestobefollowed.AbrahamLincoln,Theodore
Roosevelt,DwightEisenhower,RonaldReagan,andGeorgeH.W.BushareallguidestowhomRepublicansshouldlookforinstructiononhowto
leadinawaythatattractsotherstoAmericasside.HarryTruman,JohnStennis,andCarlVinsonserveasguidestoDemocratslookingtorebuild
Americasstick.ForeignPolicysShadowGovernment
ReturntoTop
Events
HowObamaDefiedWashingtonandRedefinedAmericasRoleintheWorld
GermanMarshallFund
August23
ReturntoTop
TheFPIOvernightBriefisadailyproductoftheForeignPolicyInitiative,whichseekstopromoteanactiveU.S.foreignpolicycommittedto
robustsupportfordemocraticallies,humanrights,astrongAmericanmilitaryequippedtomeetthechallengesofthe21stcentury,and
strengtheningAmericasglobaleconomiccompetitiveness.Tosubmitcommentsorsuggestions,emailovernight@foreignpolicyi.org.
Subject:SituationReport:U.S.No-FlyZoneinSyria?TopGeneralSkepticalOverRussianDealKurdsinNewFight
RussianHackfailAndLotsMore
S i t u a t i o n R e p o r t : U . S . N o - F l y Z o n e i n S y r i a ? T o p G e n e r a l S k e p t i c a l O v e r R u s s i a n D e a l K u r d s i n N e w F i g h t R u s s i a n H a c k f a i l A n d L o t s M o r e

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SITUATIONREPORT

TheNationalSecurityDailyBrieffromForeign
Policy

Tuesday,August23,2016 SUBSCRIBETOFP

FollowUs:

ByPaulMcLearywithAdamRawnsley
Nofly?Noway.AmericanjetsscrambledovernorthernSyriatwicelastweektochase
awaySyrianwarplaneswhichhadbombedU.S.-backedKurdishforces--coming
uncomfortablyclosetoagroupofAmericancommandosadvisingtheKurds.Afterward,
U.S.militaryleadersissuedasternwarningtoboththeSyriansandRussiansnottofly
combatoperationsinareaswhereAmericansareoperating.
Ifthatsoundslikeano-flyzone,thePentagonwouldrespectfullydisagree.Spokesman
PeterCookinsistedMondaythatwearegoingtotelltheSyriansandanyoneelsewho
maythreatenourforceinthatareathatwewilldefendthemandtheyhavearightto
defendthemselves.But"it'snotanoflyzone,"hesaid.
Inalongback-and-forthwithreportersduringaMondaypressconferenceatthe
Pentagon,Cookalsoswipedatanissuethathaslongbeenthefocusofdebate:whether
theUnitedStateswoulduseforcetoprotectU.S.-backedKurdishandSyrianArabrebels
onthegroundinSyria.Thoseforcesthataretakingthefightto[ISIS]andpartneredwith
us,willenjoythesupportoftheUnitedStates,Cooksaid,adding,we'regoingto
continuetosupport,andprotect,andprovidethatmilitarysupportforourcoalitionforces
and...ourcoalitionpartneredoperationsontheground.
DangerousnewfightfortheKurds.TheSyrianbombingrunscomeamidheavy
clashesbetweentheSyrianregimeandKurdishforces,whohavemostlykeptashaky
peaceinnorthernSyria.TheWallStreetJournalpointsoutthatthefightingcomes
amidawarmingofrelationsbetweenTurkeyandMr.AssadsalliesRussiaandIran.
TurkishPresidentRecepTayyipErdoganmetwithRussianPresidentVladimirPutinin
MoscowthismonthfollowedbyavisitbyTurkeysforeignministertoIran.Kurdish
leadersseetheregimesnewaggressiontowardtheirforcesasasignofa
rapprochementbetweenSyriaandTurkeyinaconflictwithconstantlyshiftingalliances.
OnTuesday,SyrianKurdishforcessaidthatafterdaysofintensefightingwiththeSyrian
army,theyhadgainedcontroloveralmosttheentirecityofHasakah,andthat
governmentforcesweresurroundedinafewbuildingsinthecenterofthecity.
Dealornodeal.ThetopAmericanmilitaryofficerinIraqsayshesskepticalthat
WashingtonandMoscowcanreachanyrealagreementtoshareintelonISISandNusra
frontinSyria,butthathecangetthejobdone,regardless.Lt.Gen.StephenTownsend,
whotookcommandonSunday,said"asasoldier,I'mfairlyskepticaloftheRussians,"
andheshesitant"tobelievethecoalitioncancooperatewiththem."SecretaryofState
JohnKerrysteamisleadingthetalkswithRussia,butspeakinginKenyaonMonday,
Kerrydidntsoundlikeamanwhowasabouttostrikeadeal.itismyhopethatweare
reachingtheendofthosediscussionsonewayortheother,hesaid,adding,itis
possiblethatsomethingcouldbeagreedatuponbeforetheendofthemonthbutIcan't
tellyouwhetherit'slikely.Iwouldn'texpressoptimism--Iwouldexpresshope."
Hackslack.Warismessy,andmistakesaremade.ButinRussiasinformationwar
againsttheWest,mistakesaremadeandthenpublishedforalltheworldtosee.FPs
EliasGrollflagsagoodone,writingthataftertwosupposedlyindependenthacking
groups,believedbysecurityexpertstohavetiestotheKremlin,postedthesame
documentsstolenfromaphilanthropyrunbyGeorgeSoros.Butthehackincludeda
twist:Someofthedocumentstakenbyonegroupwerealteredinabidtotryandlink
SorostoRussiananti-corruptionactivistAlexeiNavalny,revealinghowhackers
likelyworkingforMoscowareeditingdocumentstosmeartheirvictims.
China
ChinesemilitaryjetsflewintoSouthKorea'sairdefenseidentificationzone(ADIZ)just
asthetwocountries'foreignministersaresettomeet.TheKoreaTimesreportsthat
threeChineseplanesshowedupatthemarginsofthetwocountries'ADIZs,prompting
SouthKoreatoscramblefighterjetstointerceptthem.Theincidentcomesbefore
Wednesday'smeetingofforeignministersfromJapan,China,andSouthKoreafor
talksinTokyo.ThetalksarelikelytotouchondisagreementbetweenChinaandSouth
KoreaoverthedeploymentofaU.S.TerminalHighAltitudeAreaDefense(THAAD)
systemtodefendagainstNorthKoreanballisticmissiles.Chinaopposesthedeployment,
fearingthesystemcouldbeusedtotargetChinesemissiles,aswellasNorthKorean
ones.
Europe
FinlandismovingquicklytosignanagreementwiththeUnitedStatesonclosermilitary
cooperation,Reutersreports.Thedealdoesn'tinvolveNATOorcommitmentsfor
collectivedefense,butwouldincreasejointtrainingandinformation-sharing.Themove
followsincreasedanxietiesintraditionallyneutralFinlandoveranincreasingly
aggressiveRussia.Finnishofficialsaretryingtohurrytheagreementthroughinthe
waningdaysoftheObamaadministrationbeforeanewadministrationcomesin.
LithuaniahassignedadealwithGermany'sRheinmetalltoarmorupitsmilitary,
accordingtoUPI.Thedeal,worth$441million,willsupply88Boxerinfantryfighting
vehiclesequippedwith30mmcannons.Thevehiclesareexpectedtobedelivered
through2021.
RegisteratForeignPolicy.comtoreceiveSituationReportandotherFPnewsletters.
TRENDINGONFOREIGNPOLICY.COM

NeverTrump.And
NeverHillary ThePartyIsOver American
ClintonEither. inRio

LeadershipCan
SurviveTodays

byPeterFeaverWill byRiordanRoett

Inboden

Storm
byMarkR.Kennedy


From:VRT
Subject:NYTHEADLINE:Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondoftheG.O.P.,GreetDonaldTrumpWithDespair
To:
Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondofthe
BySHERYLGAYSTOLBERGAUG.22,2016
Photo
TarasSzmagalalastweekatSt.JosaphatEparchialCemeteryinParma,Ohio.Thecemeteryhasamonument
dedicatedtoUkrainianfreedomfighterswhofoughtanddiedinWorldWarII.CreditJeffSwensenforTheNew
YorkTimes
PARMA,OhioAsaproudUkrainian-American,TarasSzmagalahasworkedfordecadestoelect
Republicans,thepartyheassociateswithfreedom.HerananethnicoutreachprogramforRichardM.
Nixons1972campaignandadvisedPresidentGeorgeBushastheSovietUnioncrumbled,when
Ukrainebecameanindependentnation.
Mr.Szmagala,83,willmarkWednesdays25thanniversaryofstatehoodataparadeandfestivalon
SaturdayinthisClevelandsuburb,wheretheblueandyellowflagofUkrainefliesalongthemain
thoroughfareinUkrainianVillage.
Butthereisapalloverthefestivities.HisnameisDonaldJ.Trump.
Ukrainian-AmericanshavefeltathomeintheRepublicanPartysinceFranklinD.RooseveltandStalin
dividedcontrolofEuropeatYalta.ButacrosstheUnitedStatesandespeciallyinswingstateOhio,
whereMr.Trumpbecamethepartysnomineetheyarewatchingthe2016presidentialracewitha
mixofconfusionandfear.
ThepartysdeadasfarasImconcerned,Mr.Szmagaladeclared.
AsifMr.TrumpsadmiringstatementsaboutPresidentVladimirV.PutinofRussiaand
hisquestionableexplanationofeventsinUkrainewerenottoughenoughtostomach,then
camenewsthatPaulManafort,untillastweekMr.Trumpscampaignmanager,wastangledupina
corruptioninquiryanddesignatedtoreceivemillionsinsecretcashpaymentsfromthepartyofapro-
Russianleaderhehadhelpedtoelect.
Allsummer,UkrainiansmanyofthemalreadywaryofHillaryClinton,theDemocraticnominee
havebeenobsessingoverAmericanpolitics.TheUkrainianWeekly,aNewJersey-basednewspaper
thathasbeencarefullytrackingthethreatofaRussianinvasionofUkraine,isawashinpolitical
commentary,includingarebukeofMr.TrumpbythecountrysambassadortotheUnitedStates.
AvoteforTrumpisavoteagainstUkraine!wroteonelongtimeRepublicanfromMorristown,N.J.,in
alettertotheeditor.
NearlyonemillionAmericansareofUkrainiandescent,clusteredaroundcitieslikeNewYork,
Philadelphia,Chicago,DetroitandCleveland,wheretheUkrainianMuseum-Archives,arichrepository
offolkart,periodicalsandimmigrationdocuments,chroniclesthehistoryofapeoplewhohavefelt
oppressedbyRussiafor350years.Currentlyondisplay:PoliticsandUkrainian-Americans,an
exhibitincludingaphotographofayoungMr.SzmagalawithNixon.
Mr.Szmagala,standingnexttoRichardM.Nixon,rananethnicoutreachprogramforNixons1972
campaign.CreditJeffSwensenforTheNewYorkTimes
Thereare,ofcourse,loyalDemocratsherethemuseumsresidentscholar,AndrewFedynsky,once
chiefofstafftoaDemocraticcongresswoman,isone.ButmanyUkrainian-Americansaredeeply
skepticalofPresidentObamaandMrs.Clinton,whomtheyregardasnotaggressiveenoughin
protectingUkraineagainstanincursionfromRussia.
SotheabsenceofafriendlyRepublicanisgeneratingaparticulardespair.
Itsveryconfusing,saidEugeneLuciw,aPhiladelphialawyerwhoisactiveinUkrainianaffairsthere.
ItsbeendifficulttowrapyourhandsaroundMr.Trump.
Mr.ManafortsabruptdeparturedoesnotchangethatmanyUkrainianswanttoknowwhyhewas
hiredinthefirstplace.Still,saidAndriyFutey,theexecutivevicepresidentoftheUkrainianCongress
CommitteeofAmericawhoisinKiev,Ukrainescapital,fortheanniversarycelebrationandtomeet
withgovernmentleaderstherewasasighofrelieftherewhenMr.Manafortquit.
HereinParma,ClevelandscenterofUkrainianculturalandreligiouslife,theangstcoupledwith
whatmanycallabittersweetcelebrationofanationwhoseindependencefeelsthreatenedisclear.
AtSt.VladimirUkrainianOrthodoxCathedral,whereagranitemonumenttovictimsoftheman-
madefamine,whichtheUkrainiangovernmentrecognizesasagenocide,standsinagarden,asmall
groupofparishionersgatheredlastweekasablack-robedpastorservedtheMoleben,aprayerforthe
healthandwell-beingofthesick.
GeneBoyko,75,whosegrandfatherwasbanishedtoSiberiabyStalin,wasamongthemheandhis
parentsescapedduringWorldWarIIandarrivedinNewYorkwhenhewas10.
Whenwegothere,evenasa10-year-old,Iwantedtokisstheground,hesaid.Hehaslongvoted
Republican,butiswaitingforthedebatestomakeuphismindaboutMr.Trump.
OksanaZavhorodnyuk,44,sellspirogiandotherUkrainianfoodsinParma.IdontlikeTrump,shesaid.
Hesnotinhismind,youknow?Itslike,notpresidentforAmerica.CreditJeffSwensenforTheNewYork
Times
AtStateMeats,alocalbutchershopandsmokehouse,GeorgeSalo,theowner,waspreparingtomake
severalthousandpoundsofkielbasatheworldsbest!heboastedforthecomingparade.Mr.
Salo,31,tookovertheshopwhenhewas17,afterhisfatherdied,andlearnedbusinessbyreading
booksincludingsomebyMr.Trump,whomheadmiresasanentrepreneur.
Butasfortheelection,ImtellingeverybodyImvotingforGaryJohnson,hesaid,referringtothe
Libertariannominee.
Atthetakeoutrestaurantnextdoor,OksanaZavhorodnyuk,44,wasservingschnitzelandjumbo
pirogifrombehindacounter.Shewrinkledhernosewhenaskedaboutthepresidentialrace.
IdontlikeTrump,shevolunteered,inEnglishthatisstillhalting,thoughshehasbeenherefor25
years.HelikesRussiahelikesPutin.Hesnotinhismind,youknow?Itslike,notpresidentfor
America.
TheTrumpcampaignsaysitisnotconcerned.Mr.TrumphastremendoussupportinOhio,andhe
willcontinuetosharehismessageofchange,hisspokeswoman,HopeHicks,wroteinanemail.
UkrainiansarrivedinAmericainfourdistinctwaves,beginninginthelate1800s,andmanyeventually
settledinsuburbslikeParma.InOhio,theyarepartofabroadblocofvoterswhotracetheirancestry
toEasternandCentralEuropeannationsincludingPoland,Estonia,Lithuania,Latvia,theCzech
RepublicandSlovenia,thehomelandofMr.Trumpswife,Melania.
Inthisswingstate,politiciansofbothpartiesaggressivelycourtwhattheycalltheethnicvote.Last
week,SenatorRobPortman,anendangeredOhioRepublican(andco-chairmanoftheSenateUkraine
Caucus),metprivatelywithethnicleadershere.Onebigissue:AttheRepublicanNationalConvention
inJulyinCleveland,theTrumpcampaignstrippedthepartyplatformoflanguagecallingforthe
UnitedStatestoprovidelethalweaponstoUkraine.
GeorgeSaloinhisbutchershopinParmasUkrainianVillage.HeadmiresMr.Trumpasanentrepreneurbut
said,ImtellingeverybodyImvotingforGaryJohnson,theLibertariannominee.CreditJeffSwensenforThe
NewYorkTimes
Democrats,seizingonapotentialvulnerabilityforMr.Trump,areincreasingtheirownethnicoutreach
thisyear,aneffortthathasbeencaughtupinRussianpoliticalintrigue.
Thepersonalemailsofthewomanrunningtheoutreacheffort,AlexandraChalupa,wereamongthose
hackedattheDemocraticNationalCommittee,abreachAmericanintelligenceofficialsattributeto
Russianspies.Ms.Chalupa,whoisofUkrainiandescent,hadbeenresearchingMr.Manafortwhile
consultingforthecommitteewhenthehackoccurred.Shehasbeentravelingthecountry,talkingto
Democratsaboutwhatshehasfound.
IdtalkabouttheRussiaconnectionandwhatwewereseeing,shesaidinaninterview.Peoplewere
terrified.
Still,Mrs.Clintonmayhaveanuphillbattle.ThePodestaGroup,aWashingtonfirmco-foundedby
JohnD.Podesta,hercampaignchairman,hassurfacedinthesamecorruptioninvestigationthathas
entangledMr.Manafort.
TheuneaseisaboutManafort,theuneaseisaboutPodestaallofthemhavebeengettingmoney
funnelinginfromRussia,saidMichaelKoziupa,aUkrainian-AmericanleaderinNewJersey.
ForMr.Szmagala,aretiredClevelandtransitofficialwhohasdevotedhislifetoUkrainianaffairsand
Republicanpolitics,thecampaignisespeciallypainful.HehasfondmemoriesofaflightaboardAir
ForceTwowithGeorgeBush,thenthevicepresident.AndafterUkrainedeclareditsindependence,
Mr.Bush,thenthepresident,senthimthereaspartoftheofficialdelegationforasomberceremonyat
BabiYar,asiteofmasskillingsbytheNazis.
Mr.SzmagalahasbeenadelegatetoRepublicanconventionsinthepastthisyear,thoughnational
Republicansgatheredinhisbackyard,hestayedaway.HehasnevervotedforaDemocratfor
president,andismindfulofOhiosstatusasaswingstate.HeisnoteagertovoteforMrs.Clinton.
Butifitsclose,hesaid,Illdoit.Itllhurt,butIlldoit.
Correction:August22,2016
Anearlierversionofthisarticleandapicturecaptionmisstatedtheyearofthepresidentialelection
inwhichTarasSzmagalaassistedRichardM.Nixon.Itwas1972,not1968.
FollowSherylGayStolbergonTwitter@sherylstolberg
Findoutwhatyouneedtoknowaboutthe2016presidentialracetoday,andgetpoliticsnewsupdates
viaFacebook,TwitterandtheFirstDraftnewsletter.
Senttime: 08/20/201601:52:06PM
FW:[MK/2X][PB][CHER/M][RC][HU]"DEZINFORM,DEZINFORMEVERYWHERE,NE'RAFACTTOBEFOUND"[WithHumblest
Subject:
ApologiestoColeridge&'TheRimeoftheAncyentMarinere']
Sent:Saturday,August20,20161:22PM
To:RomaHadzewyczrl
Subject:[MK/2X][PB][CHER/M][RC][HU]"DEZINFORM,DEZINFORMEVERYWHERE,NE'RAFACTTOBEFOUND"[WithHumblest
ApologiestoColeridge&'TheRimeoftheAncyentMarinere']
From:MiraKyzyk<mirakyzyk@gmail.com>
Date:Sat,Aug20,2016at1:42PM
Subject:JournalisticEthicsandNorms:HowlegitimateisTheCentreforGlobalResearch?-Quora
[1]********CentreforGlobalResearch*******appearstobeaKremlinpropagandaoutletasasourceofinformation[it]is
veryquestionable.
http://www.quora.com/Journalistic-Ethics-and-Norms-How-legitimate-is-The-Centre-for-Global-Research
JournalisticEthicsandNorms:HowlegitimateisTheCentreforGlobal
Research?
AlsoknownasTheCentreforResearchonGlobalizationandMondialisation.ca
JacquelineWong
5.6kViews
Itisbynomeansanobjectivelyreliablemediasource.Thearticles,videos,andothermediaitputsforthare
highlyskewedandoftenfactuallyinaccurate.
Somepeoplehavebeenquotingitasalegitimatesource,butithasverystrongtiestoanorganizationknownfor
churningoutblatantpropaganda.
TheCentreforResearchonGlobalization,alsoknownastheCentreforGlobalResearchandMondialisation.caisa
fascist/Kremlin-fundedpropagandaoutletthatdefamesandslanderstheirtargetedgroupssuchasJews,Ukrainians,
theUnitedStates,andotherwesterncountries.
ItspeersincludetheTransnationalFoundationforPeaceandFutureResearch,theBritishHelsinkiHumanRights
Group,theRonPaulInstituteforPeaceandProsperity,andtheInstituteforDemocracyandCooperationand
theNashiYouth.
Source:Propagramm
In2014,theCentreforResearchonGlobalizationaidedtheKremlinincarryingoutadefamationcampaignagainst
Ukraine,theUS,theEUandNATO.
[2]AsforNikolasKozloff-hislastparagraphisallthatneedstoberead.He'sparrotingKremlinpropaganda,throughand
throughdespiteallofthe'objectivity'heshowsinitially.
ThestatisticsofrightwingcandidateswhoareinthegovtofUkrainearenegligibleincomparisonwithalltherightwingextremists
throughoutEurope,Russia,Turkey,*****andtheUS.
AnotherKremlinmouthpiece-can'twaittoseehisupcomingbooklet'Ukraine'sRevolutionaryGhosts.
Subject:TwitterSuspendsAnother235,000AccountsPromotingTerrorism-DefenseOne
TwitterSuspendsAnother235,000AccountsPromotingTerrorism-DefenseOne
NowifonlyTwitterwoulddothesameforRussiantrollstherewouldindeedbeasenseofrestoredtruthfulnessinsocialmedia
world.
From:PeterBorisow<apb.uke@earthlink.net>
Subject:UkraineAmbassador:RussiaTryingto'Blackmail'Europe[ED:UA-USAmbChalyNotestheHellacious
'Dezinform'RUisPumpingintotheEuroPress]
To:"Waz(Columbia)"<waz2102@columbia.edu>
"Trying"?They'redoingit!And,aslongasthe"Western"presscontinuestorunRussiandezinformsidebysidewithfacts,they
willbesuccessful.The"Western"presshastoanswerthekeyquestion--Howmanymurderersadmittheircrimestothepress?
WhyshouldPutinbeanydifferent?
http://www.defensenews.com/articles/ukraine-ambassador-russia-trying-to-blackmail-europe?
utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=News%20Roundup%200819&utm_term=Editorial%20-
%20Daily%20News%20Roundup
From:BardUkrainka<seanachie_holodonika@icloud.com>
Subject:Re:[LAZYMIDAUGSATAFTERNOON][ITEMS&MATTERS"OUTOFWHACK"]THREESTORIESBY
THREE'RUABROAD-CHIKS'Youcantake"thesaidgang"outoftheEMPIRE,butyoucan'ttaketheEMPIREoutofthe
"saidgang"!!![OY!!HOWSAD!!!][ED:Onthereturnof'Stalinisttactics'..andonthelossofperspectiveinthe
West..]
ThetacticofsayingthearrestedpersonwillonlybedetainedforafewminutesisoneoftheblatantliesoftheStalinistdays.Is
intendedtofalselyallevetheemotionsofobserversandfamilymembersuntilthevictimistakenaway,afterwhichit'stoolateto
kickupafuss.
IrttheSavchenkocase,theBBChadanarticleabouttheappallinglylowpercentageofpeoplearrestedinRussiathateverseethe
lightofdaywithoutasentencebeingimposed.Itsaidthatpeoplehabituallypackyourbagforprisonwhentheyhavetogoto
court.There'snosuchthingas"innocent,"apparently,and,asalwaysthere,"someanimalsaremoreequalthanothers,"whether
theychangetheiracronymsontheirstationeryornot.
Myconcerninmentioningthisisrelatedtothedumbingdownofthereadingcurriculuminthepublicschoolsystems.Whatever
empathy/sympathy/knowledgeoftheworld/Itspeoples/it'scultures/selfprotectiveknowledgegainedfromreadingsuchbooksas
_AnimalFarm_,_1984_,_OntheBeach_,_Fail-Safe,theworksofDickens,etc.,thatmostofusgrewupreadingand
internalizedatasufficientlyearlyage,oftenarenotinthecurriculumanymore.****************
*********************************

SlavaUkraini,
Cher
From:Moyehoist@aol.com<moyehoist@aol.com>
Subject:Re:[LAZYMIDAUGSATAFTERNOON][ITEMS&MATTERS"OUTOFWHACK"]THREESTORIESBY
THREE'RUABROAD-CHIKS'Youcantake"thesaidgang"outoftheEMPIRE,butyoucan'ttaketheEMPIREoutof
the"saidgang"!!![OY!!HOWSAD!!!][ED:RCreactingtotheKozloffpiece..]
******************WeneedtokeepthepressureontheRepublicans.Bythesametokenwhoisworkingtokeeppressure
ontheDems.**********Hillary'splatformishorrible.ThereisonepassagethatmentionsUkrainebutitgoesontopromise
that"...wewillcooperatewithPutin...."PlustheRepublicancontrolledHouseandSenatehasapprovedarmsforUkrainefor
yearsbutitisbeingheldupbyObama.Theseneedtobereleasednow.
ItmightbetoolateinFebforthenextPresident.ThepartythatgaveusFDRandtheResetalsoneedstodobetter.
Rc
ADDITIONALNOTE:
Powellhas'norecollection'ofClintonemaildinnerconversation
ByNickGass
08/19/1611:54AMEDT
Updated08/19/1612:25PMEDT
Readmore:http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/colin-powell-clinton-email-book-227200#ixzz4HstRFjMp
Followus:@politicoonTwitter|PoliticoonFacebook
Shareon
FacebookShare
onTwitter
FormerSecretaryofStateColinPowell"hasnorecollectionofthedinnerconversation"recountedby
HillaryClintontoFBIagents,asdocumentedbyjournalistJoeConasoninaforthcomingbook.
Conason'sanecdote,reportedThursdaynightbyTheNewYorkTimes,recountsasmalldinnerpartyat
Clinton'sGeorgetownhometowardthebeginningofhertimeassecretaryofstate,withformer
secretariesMadeleineAlbright,HenryKissingerandCondoleezzaRicealsoinattendance.Duringthat
dinner,Conasonreports,AlbrightaskedtheformersecretariestoimpartadvicetoClinton.
Powelltoldhertouseherownemail,ashehaddone,exceptforclassifiedcommunications,whichhehadsent
andreceivedviaaStateDepartmentcomputer,"Conasonwroteinhisbook"ManoftheWorld:TheFurther
EndeavorsofBillClinton,ofwhichtheTimessaiditacquiredanadvancecopy.Powell,accordingtoConason's
account,toldClintonthat"hisuseofpersonalemailhadbeentransformativeforthedepartment"andthus
confirmedadecision[Clinton]hadmademonthsearliertokeepherpersonalaccountanduseitformost
messages.
AspokeswomanforPowell'sofficeissuedastatementfollowingtheTimes'story:"GeneralPowellhas
norecollectionofthedinnerconversation.HedidwriteformerSecretaryClintonanemailmemodescribing
hisuseofhispersonalAOLemailaccountforunclassifiedmessagesandhowitvastlyimprovedcommunications
withintheStateDepartment."
"AtthetimetherewasnoequivalentsystemwithintheDepartment.HeusedasecureStatecomputeronhisdesk
tomanageclassifiedinformation,"thestatementcontinued."TheGeneralnolongerhastheemailhesentto
formerSecretaryClinton.ItmayexistinStateorFBIfiles."
From:hunter@
Subject:WAZ,toyourpoint:GlobalResearchReprintsSputnikHitPieceonHillaryUsingDonaldasaShill
http://www.globalresearch.ca/could-trump-pull-off-a-post-party-coalition/5541658
SPUTNIK:CouldTrumpPullOffaPost-PartyCoalition?
BySputnik
GlobalResearch,August19,2016
Sputnik17August2016
Region:USA
In-depthReport:U.S.Elections
40
HillaryClinton,QueenofChaos,QueenofWar,Golden
GoldmanGirl,forallpracticalpurposesisbynowthe
officialbipartisancandidateofUSneoconsand
neoliberalconsalike.
Certifiedadd-onsincludeWallStreetselectedhedgefunds
TPPcheerleaders CFR(CouncilonForeignRelations)
interventionistsmediabaronsmultinationalcorporate
hustlersinfactvirtuallythewholeexceptionalistUS
establishment,dulyunderwrittenbythebipartisan,mega-
wealthy0.0001%.
ThatdoesleaveDonaldJ.Trumpintheastonishingposition
ofegomaniacbillionaireoutsiderwhosomehowdreamshe
cangamethewholesystemonhisown,movedbyhis
inexhaustiblechutzpah.
ItsunderthisdynamicthatTrumphasbeendemonizedwithmedievalfervorbyUScorporatemedia.Hisnon-stopmotormouth
andmotortweetcertainlydoesnothelp,conveyingtheimpressionhesinthebusinessofantagonizingmultitudesnon-stop.For
theestablishment,hisbillionsmeannothinghestreatedlikeabum.Hemaybeimpervioustoempathyontheotherhandthatkind
oftreatmentkeepsearninghimwidespreadsympathyamongtheangry,semi-destitute,non-collegeeducatedwhitemasses.
AUSindustrialrenaissance?
Underneathallthissoundandfury,somethingelseis(quietly)goingon.PowerfulbusinessinterestsdiscreetlysupportingTrump
andawayfromthemediacircusareconvincedhesgottheroadmaptovictory.Thequestioniswhetherhemaybeable
totamehiserraticbehaviortosealthedeal.
Hiskeymessage,accordingtothesebackers,mustrevolvearoundthedestructionofUSindustriesbyriggedcurrencies,andthe
destructionofthewagesofAmericanworkersbyimportingillegalcheaplaborfromdollar-a-daywagenations.
Andthatcomeswithanall-importantmilitaryangleasasurefiresellingpoint.AsTrumpsbackersoutlineit,thePacificOcean
cannotbeusedfortransportingthevitalandessentialcomponentsofourmilitaryindustrialcomplex,forintheeventofwar
withRussiaorChinatheiradvancedsilentsubmarinesequippedwithadvancedanti-shipweaponswillblockallofourocean
transport,collapsingourmilitaryindustrialproductioninanywarwithcatastrophicconsequences.Thesecomponentfactories
forIntelandothersmustberepatriatedatoncethroughcurrencyadjustmentsortariffs.SoTrumpshouldhammerthemessage
thatallnewbankcreditmustbetiedtorebuildingdestroyedUSindustries,eitherbyendingcurrencyriggingorapplyingtariffs.
Bankcredit,Trumpbackersargue,shouldnotbeusedforcurrencymanipulation,orforcashsettlementmarketrigging.There
shouldbenobankcreditforspeculationandabsolutelynoneforhedgefunds.Letswipethesespeculativevehiclesoutbyhuge
taxesonshort-termtradingprofits,endingtaxconcessionsonborrowing,andendingallbankcreditforspeculation.Letthese
peoplegotodorealwork.
That,inanutshell,explainsWallStreetsvisceralaversiontoTrumpfromtheBloombergstotheLloydBlankfeins.Anyone
familiarwithWallStreetknowseverymarket,commodityandindexesareriggedbycashsettlementmanipulations.AsaNew
York-basedTrumpbackerputsit,ThisaloneissufficientreasontosupportDonaldJ.Trump.WeshouldmaketheCarlIcahans
andGeorgeSorosesdorealworkbytaxingawaytheirspeculativeprofits.WeneedHenryFordsinthisnationwhocreateand
buildindustries,andnotWallStreetlooters,wheretheyrigeverythingasin2008thenusedtheirpoliticalpoweroverbought
politiciansforbailouts,afterthrowingtensofmillionsofAmericanoutoftheirhomes.Accordingtothisroadmap,whichis
alreadyonTrumpsdeskbutnooneknowswhetherhereaditinfull,orwillimplementitfightingillegalimmigrationandrigged
currenciessidebysidewouldcreatenothinglessthananindustrialrenaissanceintheUStorebuildthedevastatedDetroits.
Essentially,theroadmapcallsforreplacingmillionsofillegalimmigrantswithmillionsofunemployedUScitizensTrumpsbackers
considertherealunemploymentratetobeawhopping23%today,basedonthe1955BureauofLaborStatisticalMethodology,
andnottheriggedstatisticsoftoday.
ThebottomlineisthisroadmapcallsforTrump,ifelected,tocreateacross-party,ortrans-partycoalitionasoncehappened
intheHouseandSenatewhenJesseHelmsononesideandJohnConyersandChuckSchumerontheothersideactuallydidreal
business.
ThisallimpliesTrumpshouldbecomewellversedinthenationaleconomyideasofFriedrichListwhosetariff-protected
ZollvereinLeaguewasessentiallythefoundingmethodofPrussiatobuildtheGermannation.
SomeoftheabovehasalreadyfilteredoutinTrumpsannouncedeconomicagenda.Nowcomesthehardpartforamanwithan
exceedinglyshortattentionspanwhogetsintothegroovebytweetsandsoundbitestocoherentlyselltheplanwithoutpicking
upunnecessaryfightsalongtheway.
ButVladhasalreadywonitanyway
PollsatthemomentseemtobepointingtoaHillarylandslide.Trumpsbackerstoughwouldnotrelyonthepolls.Everythingis
rigged.Andthentherestheall-envelopingRussianaggressionhysteria.HillarywentasfarasequatingPresidentPutin
toHitler.TrumpinsistshesreadytodobusinesswithMoscowstartingwithajointoperationtoendISIS/ISIL/Daeshforgood.
Whybother?TheStupidity-o-MeterasappliedtoUSmainstreammediahasgoneoninterstellaroverdriveanywayasthe
presidentialelectionwinnerhasalreadybeenchristened:itswhoelse?theomniscientVladimirPutin.
AbusinesssourcefamiliarwiththedesignsoftherealMastersoftheUniversecutsseriouslytothechase:AsfarasRussiais
concerned,theissueisdecidedfromabove,andthatiswherethebattlehasbeen.ThedecisionisaboveHillaryandDonald,and
Hillarywillbeorderedtocreatearapprochementifsheiselected,ifthatiswhatisdecided.IfTrumpwins,itiseasyandifhe
doesnt,thenthefacthebroughtitupwillbeusedasacatalystforpolicychangestowardRussia.Thefightisbehindthescenes
now.
Asmuchascurrencyriggingwillbeended,aswealreadysawJackLewgiveouttheorderstoGermanyandJapan,anew
geoeconomicmappossiblyunderTrumpwouldswingtowardstheendoftheoilpricewaraswell.AsaTrumpbackerputs
it,thisisanationalobjectiveoftheUnitedStates,asahigherpricewillmaketheUnitedStatesenergyindependent.Thisispart
ofthesignificanceoftheTrumprevolution.AccordingtoasourceclosetotheHouseofSaud,SaudisandRussiansarealready
involvedintortuouspre-negotiationsonthepossibilityofengineeringanoilpricearound$100.00abarrelThereshouldbeenough
mutualityofinterestbetweentheSaudisbetrayedbytheUSundertheneocons,andtobedestroyedbytheneoconseventually,
andtheRussianswhocanpreventthat.
AnendtotheoilpricewarmaybesomethingthePentagonwontbeabletoargueabout.AsaTrumpbackernotes,itisinthe
vitalinterestofthemilitary-industrialcomplextoachievecompleteenergyindependence,andrepatriateallitsmilitaryindustries
totheshoresoftheUnitedStates.
Comparedtothecurrent,24/7mud-wrestlingmatch,allthismayseemstraightfromAliceinWonderland.Theresnoevidence
suchanambitiousandcontentiousagendacanbesoldtomoversandshakersfromJPMorgantotheKochbrothers.Trump
creatingacross-party,trans-partyorevenpost-partymovementwillonlysucceedifsubstantialplayersinthePowerEliteare
behindit,andtherearenosignsofthishappening.
WhatproceedsrelentlesslyisamassivedisinformationcampaignaghastlyremixofthosegoodolColdWaranti-USSR
avalanches.TheClintonMediaMachineisevenvilifyingMichaelFlynn,formerheadoftheDIA,whosupportsTrump.Trump
wasconceptuallyrightwhenhesaidObamaandHillarywerethefounderandco-founderofISIS/ISIL/Daesh.Thatsexactly
whatFlynnadmittedinthat notoriousinterviewwhenhestressedthattheexpansionofthephonyCaliphatewasawillful
decisiontakeninWashington.
Thebottomline,asitstands,isthatTrumpisnotraisingenoughcashtooffsettheformidableClintoncashmachine.Nowcomes
thetimewhenhemustreallytakenoprisonerstogainmaximumexposurewhiletryingtoselltheroadmapoutlinedabove,one
tweetatatime.
AndofcoursetherewillbeasurpriseOctoberandotherwise.Nothinghasbeendecidedyet.DisraelisConingsbywasnever
moreappropriateSoyousee,mydearConingsby,thattheworldisgovernedbyverydifferentpersonagesfromwhatisimagined
bythosewhoarenotbehindthescenes.
TheoriginalsourceofthisarticleisSputnik
CopyrightSputnik,Sputnik,2016
Senttime: 08/24/201609:37:29AM
Subject: FW:[LATEEVENINGRUN]MUSTREADSBEssayonRussiaintheMiddleEast:PutinDoublesDowninSyria.[NICMND]FightinginEasternUkraineRussianforcesTrumpGermanyEstoniaSlovakiaReformsFinancialNuclearCyberUSARussiadealonSyri...
Subject:Fwd:[LATEEVENINGRUN]MUSTREADSBEssayonRussiaintheMiddleEast:PutinDoublesDowninSyria.[NICMND]FightinginEasternUkraineRussianforcesTrumpGermanyEstoniaSlovakiaReformsFinancialNuclearCyberUSARussiadealonSyri...
Subject:[LATEEVENINGRUN]MUSTREADSBEssayonRussiaintheMiddleEast:PutinDoublesDowninSyria.[NICMND]FightinginEasternUkraineRussianforcesTrumpGermanyEstoniaSlovakiaReformsFinancialNuclearCyberUSARussia
dealonSyria[FPEdPick#4]DIDRUSSIAHACKTHENEWYORKTIMES?
From:StephenBlank<traininblank@aol.com>
Subject:Fwd:YourEssayonRussiaintheMiddleEast
To:nic.marsh@gmail.com,waz2102@caa.columbia.edu
newarticleforyouboth
StephenBlank
traininblank@aol.com
PutinDoublesDowninSyria
StephenBlank
August23,2016
PDFVersion
StephenBlankisaSeniorFellowattheForeignPolicyResearchinstituteaswellasattheAmericanForeignPolicyCouncil.
Relatedprogram(s)
ProgramontheMiddleEast
EurasiaProgram
VladimirPutinandBasharalAssad(Source:kremlin.ru)
Ayearago,PresidentObamaopinedthatRussianinterventioninSyriawouldturnintoaquagmire.Oneyearlater,however,RussiaisexpandingandconsolidatingitspositionsandgoalsinSyria.BasharAssadsrulelooksmoresecurethanever,buttressedbyRussianweapons(includingchemical
weapons),intelligence,diplomaticsupport,andmoney.Moreoverfarfromreducingitsmilitaryfootprint,Russiaisexpandingit.TheDumaisabouttoratifyagreementsessentiallygivingRussiapermanentairbaseslikeHmeymimairbaseandTartus.ThusMoscow,forthefirsttimeinoverfortyyears,
nowhaspermanentbasesintheMiddleEast,bothinSyriaandinCyprus.Moreover,itisanopensecretthatMoscowwouldliketoobtainabaseatAlexandrialiketheoneithadinthe1970s.InAugust2016MoscowrevealedthatitisnowoperatingoutoftheHamadanairbaseinIran.However,within
daystheIraniangovernmentpulledtheplugonRussia,criticizingitsinconsiderateandungentlemanlyattitude.IranianDefenseMinisterHosseinDehghanalsonotedthatMoscowactslikeandwantstoshowthatitisagreatpower.[1]Obviouslythisepisodecriesoutforexplanationbutitshouldnotbe
takenasindicatingthatMoscowhasnowdescendedintoaquagmireor,intheRussianphrase,steppedonarake.
WhilethisepisodestronglysuggeststhatRusso-IraniantiesaremorefragilethanMoscowbelieved,itdoesnotdisprovethefactthatbothsideshavehithertocollaboratedquitewelluptothispointinSyriaandthattheyshareacommonobjectiveofpreservingtheAssadregimeinpower.Iran
apparentlycouldnotstandthepublicityaboutthisbaseandwasupsetthatMoscowhadblownitscoverbyannouncingitwasflyingmissionsformHamadan.EvidentlyTehranwouldhavepreferrednottoopenitselfuptochargesfromtheentireMiddleEast(andpresumablyWashington)ortothe
domesticoppositionwithinIranaboutlettingforeignpowershaveamilitarybaseinIranfromwhichtheycouldlaunchsortieswithimpunity.Indeed,thepresenceofthisbasewassurprisingforthefollowingreasons.MoscowsacquisitionoftherighttouseanIranianairbaseisthefirsttimetheIranian
regimehasallowedanyforeignmilitarypresenceinIran,somethingthatcontravenesthefundamentalmessageoftheIranianrevolutionof1979thatistheregimesclaimtolegitimacy.ItalsorepresentsaviolationofUNResolution2231forbiddingforeignbasesinIranpassedaspartofthe2015dealto
preventIraniannuclearization.ItmaywellbethecasethoughwecannotbecertainthatoncetheimplicationsofthisfactbecamecleartoTehran,notablythatitjeopardizedthecontinuationoftheagreementwiththe5+1of2015regardingIraniannuclearizationandcouldleadtoseriouseconomicharm
thatsecondthoughtsabouthavingthisbaseprevailed.Beyondthat,thisbase,especiallyifithadcontinued,wouldhaveextendedMoscowsrapprochementwithTehranandthetwostatesmilitarycooperationbeyondarmssales.Asitis,IranhasnotonlynowacquiredtheformidableS-300surfaceto
airanti-pairmissile,itisnownegotiatingforSukhoifighterjets.AndthatnegotiationappearstobeunaffectedbythedecisiontosuspendRussianuseofthebase.
RussiasandIransviolationofUNresolutionsinthiscontextarenottotallyunexpected,sinceIransongoingmissileprogramisalsoaviolationofResolution2231.TheRussianuseofincendiaryweaponsagainstciviliansinSyriaviolatestheChemicalWeaponsConventiongoingbackto1925.Thus
bothIranandRussiahaveignoredagreementswhileWashingtonandtheinternationalcommunitylooktheotherway,andarebasicallysaying,wewilldoaswepleasewhetheryoulikeitornotandyoueithercannotorwillnotdoanythingaboutit.SowhilethisepisodesuggeststhatIrano-Russianties
aremoreproblematicthanMoscowmighthaveimagined,thereisnoreasontoseeherearuptureofthosetiesoradivideinthefundamentalidentityofRussianandIranianinterestsregardingSyria.NoristhisanobstacletothesetwogovernmentsfurthercooperationonSyriaandotherissues.
Noneofthisshouldsurpriseanyone.SinceCatherinetheGreat,MoscowhassoughtbasesintheMediterranean,andeventheAdriaticSea.ThusCatherinesforcesoccupiedBeirutfor18monthsin1772-74,andagenerationlaterPaulIwenttowaronbehalfofMalta,undoubtedlywithsimilarobjectives
inmind.ThroughoutthenineteenthcenturyRussianencroachmentsontheOttomanEmpireandtheBalkanswereafundamentalaspectofEuropeandiplomacy.InWorldWarI,inthealliednegotiationsaroundbringingItalyintothewaronthesideoftheEntente,Russiasoughttogainanavalbase
throughSerbiaintheAdriatic.StalinsoughtbasesandcoloniesintheMediterraneanafterWorldWarIIBrezhnevobtainedandlostthebaseatAlexandria.AndnowPutinhasobtainedthebasesinCyprusandSyriaandhassoughtanavalbaseatBarinMontenegroontheAdriaticandalandbaseat
NisinSerbia.Indeed,MoscowhasconsistentlysoughtbasesforwhatisnowitsMediterraneanEskadra(Squadron)evenwhenitdidnothavethecapacitytooperateorutilizetheminordertolaydownamarker,stakeaclaim,andforceotherstorecognizeitasagreatpowerwithasphereofinfluence
intheMediterranean.ThesebaseswouldalsochallengeNATOsMediterraneanpresence,guaranteeRussianfreedomofmaneuverintheBlackSea,andencircleTurkey,acenturies-oldRussianobjective.
ButthelossofthebaseatHamadandoesupsetRussianplans.Haditbeenabletopreservethatbase,RussiawouldthenhavebeenabletoprojectpowerconstantlythroughouttheLevant,(theEasternMediterranean)andtheMiddleEast,andforceitswaytoanequalstatuswithWashingtonin
determiningfuturesecurityoutcomesthere.ApartfromitslogisticalandtacticaladvantagesinhavingabaseinIranfromwhichtopursueSyriantargetsandobjectives,MoscowwouldalsogainfromabaseinIranbecauseitcouldthenprojectRussianairpowerallthewayouttotheGulfwheretheUS
FifthFleetisstationed.Acquiringsuchacapabilityisalong-standingRussianobjectivesoIransdecisiondoesstrikeatRussiaslargerambitions.In2014,Moscowindicateditsdesire,evenwellinadvanceofitsactualnavalcapabilities,toprojectpowerintotheGulfandtheIndianOcean,sothisbase
couldhavebeenadownpaymentonthatambitionaswell.MeanwhileWashingtonkeepsappealingforRussiancooperationinSyriaonlyforRussiatobreakeveryagreementandintensifyitssupportforAssadtothepointofusingchemicalweaponsinAleppo,ifnotelsewhere.
WhileRussiawillundertaketheoccasionalbombingofISIS,itclearlyismoreinterestedinequalstatuswithWashingtoninananti-terroristcoalitionagainstAssadsopponents,notWashingtons.AndthisisthecaseeventhoughISISclearlypresentsathreattoRussiabyitsownadmissionandhas
evidentlynowcarriedoutsomesmall-scaleterroristoperationsinRussia,evenbeyondtheNorthCaucasus.ThereforewecanexpectthatMoscowwilluseitsever-strongerpositioninSyriaandtheMiddleEasttocoerceAssadsopponentsstillfurtherintopreservinghisstateifnothisleadership.Itwill
alsolikelydemandthatWashingtonsupportAssadsremaininginpower,oratleasthisregimesremaininginpower.MoscowappearsweddedtoAssadpersonally,especiallyasPutinhastoldhimthatRussiawouldnotlethimdown.SowhiletheremaybeinterludeswheretheattackonAleppois
stoppedforawhileostensiblyforhumanitarianreasons,itismostlikelythattheoverallbattlewillcontinueonAssadsandtheRussiansparttovanquishtheinsurgentsandforcethemtoaccepthisruleovermost,ifnotallofSyria.
WemayalsoexpectbroaderdiplomaticinitiativesbyRussiatoextenditsweaponsandeconomicconnectionstoIran,andnotonlyregardingtheMiddleEast.TherevelationsofaRussianbaseinIransuggestaswellthatMoscowislookingforotherbasesinthegreaterMiddleEastevenifthisepisode
hashadanunfortunateendingforRussia.Inthiscontextweshouldrememberthat,sincepowerprojectionactivitiesareaninputintotheworldorder,RussianforcedeploymentsintothegreaterMiddleEastandeconomic-politicalactionstogainaccess,influenceandpowerthererepresentcompetitive
andprofoundattemptsatengenderingalong-termrestructuringoftheregionalstrategicorder.[2]AndthatregionisnotjusttheMiddleEast.
TherecenttripartitesummitwithAzerbaijanandIranclearlysignalsanefforttoinvolveIraninthelatestofRussiastranscontinentaltradeandtransportationinitiativesofarailwayfromRussiatoIranthoroughAzerbaijan.MoscowwillalsoundoubtedlycontinuetopursueexpandedarmssalestoIran
andendeavortopersuadeIranandotherGulfstates,includingSaudiArabia,toraiseenergypricesbycurtailingproductionorbysomeothermeans.RussiaspositioninSyriawillundoubtedlybeusedasleveragetoinduceRiyadhtoacceptsuchideasalthoughthereareclearlynoguaranteesof
success.WecanalsoexpectRussianeffortstoinsertitintoschemesforaGulfsecurityblocandtosellmoreweaponstoMiddleEasternclients(e.g.,EgyptandAlgeria).Indeed,pastexperienceshowsthatenergydeals,armssales,andthequestforRussianmilitarybasesareallintimatelylinkedaspart
ofagranddesign.Russiawillcontinue,forexample,buildingananti-accessareadenialairandshipcapabilityforitsMediterraneanSquadronatitsbasesinSyria,Cyprus,andintheCaucasusasitalreadyisdoing.
Finally,MoscowhassuccessfullyforcedTurkishPresidentErdogantocometoSt.PetersburgandfawnalloverPutin,andnotjustforsupportinghimagainsttheinsurgentswhotriedtoousthiminacouponJuly15,2016.ErdogannowsaysTurkeywillimplementtheTurkstreamenergypipeline,Akkuyu
nuclearplant,andengageinmilitary-technicalcooperationwithRussia.Indeed,ForeignMinisterMevlutCavusogluhasofferedmanyrecentstatementsattackingNATO,andallbutsayingthatTurkeywillbuyweaponsinthefuturefromRussiaamongotherproducers.Bothsidesarealsoestablishinga
mechanismforongoingmilitary-intelligencecoordination,supposedlyagainstISIS.ApartfromthisRusso-TurkishcooperationagainstISIStherearesignsthatTurkeymighthavetoagreetoadecentintervalforAssadtostayinpowerbeforeleavingaspartofaprojectedsettlement.YetPutinhas
certainlynotstoppedsupportingtheTurkishorSyrianKurdswhomAnkarasuspectsofhavingcommittedrecentterroristattacksinTurkey.NeitherisRussiagoingtobedeterredfromsupportingAssad,anditwillonlyliftitseconomicsanctionsonTurkeydatingbacktotheendof2015onlygradually.
MeanwhileTurkishofficialshavemorethanoncehintedatofferingMoscowaccesstoIncirlikAirBase.ThereforeitishardlysurprisingthattherearemountingreportsinthemediasoundingalarmsthatTurkeyisinfactcompromisingitsmembershipinNATOasErdoganruthlesslymovestostampoutall
oppositionandre-establishanauthoritarian-cum-IslamiststateinTurkeyratheronthemodelofwhatPutinhasdoneinRussia.
EvenwithlosingthebaseinIranRussiahasachievedvirtuallyallofitsstrategicaimsinSyriaincludingsomeithadnotoriginallysoughtorexpected.Inadditionwealsoseetheeviscerationofthepro-WesternKemalistTurkey,theexpansionofRussianmilitarypowerthroughouttheMiddleEasteven
ifthatexpansionhashitatemporarybumpintheroadandthecontinuingdisarraytoputitmildlyofU.S.policy.Indeed,insofarasSyriaisconcerned,itisnotinaccuratetosaythatWashingtonneitherhasastrategy,noracoherentpolicy,oranyideahowtousetheinstrumentsofpoweratits
disposaltoachieveanythinginSyria.Oneyearafterintervening,Putinratherthanentrappinghimselfinaquagmirehasachievedhisavowedpoliticalandmilitaryobjectives:coordinatingwithvirtuallyeveryMiddleEasternstate,exposingthefatuousnessofU.S.policy,forcingWashingtontoaccept
itsleadershipinSyria,andestablishingpermanentandexpandingmilitarylodgments,allataverylowandaffordablecost.Indeed,itistheU.S.thatappearstobeinaquagmireinSyria,notRussia.GiventhisunbrokenandconsistentseriesofsuccessesforPutinintheMiddleEast,theprospectofa
Russianquagmireseemslow.
[1]AndrewRoth,IranEndsRussianUseofAirBaseBecauseOfUnwantedPublicity,Washingtonpost.com,August22,2016
[2]HenkHouwelingandMehdiParviziAmineh,Introduction,MehdiParviziAminehandHenkHouweling,eds.,CentralEurasiainGlobalPolitics:Conflict,Security,andDevelopment,InternationalStudiesinSociologyandSocialAnthropology(Leiden,TheNetherlands:Brill,2004),p.15.
From:NicMarsh<nic@prio.no>
Subject:FW:FightinginEasternUkraineRussianforcesTrumpGermanyEstoniaSlovakiaReformsFinancialNuclearCyberUSARussiadealonSyria
To:"m.iaroshevych@ukrainianworldcongress.org"<'m.iaroshevych@ukrainianworldcongress.org'>,15MORE
FightinginEasternUkraine
LatestfromOSCESpecialMonitoringMission(SMM)toUkraine,basedoninformationreceivedasof19:30,22August2016
TheSMMrecordedasimilarnumberofceasefireviolationsinDonetskregion(531comparedto540thedaybefore)andanincreaseinthenumberrecordedinLuhanskregion(60ascomparedwith30).TheSMMfolloweduponreportsofciviliancasualties.Armed
DPRmembersaggressivelydemandedtosearchtheSMMvehiclesandpointedamachine-gunattheSMMinLukove.TheSMMcontinuedtomonitorthewithdrawalofweapons.Itobservedthepresenceofminesinareasnearthecontactline.TheMission
monitoredtwoborderareasnotundergovernmentcontrol.TheSMMcontinuedtomonitorthesituationalongtheadministrativeboundarylinebetweenthemainlandandCrimea.
http://www.osce.org/ukraine-smm/260811
APvideofromthefrontline
http://www.aparchive.com/metadata/-Ukraine-Frontline/21ddead05890aa6c91275ee29fc29997?
current=3&hits=13492&query=ukraine&orderBy=NewestFirst&referrer=search&search=%2fsearch%3fquery%3dukraine%26startd%3d%26endd%3d%26orderBy%3dNewestfirst%26from%3d1%26allFilters%3d%26g2ItemId%3d&page=1&b=c29997&allFilters=
Russiahigh-rankingofficialscauseddeathofatleast2,263Ukrainiantroops,lossofoverUAH1.3trillion-Lutsenko
http://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/365260.html
SpotReportbyOSCESpecialMonitoringMissiontoUkraine(SMM):SMMheldatgunpointatcheckpointinLukove
http://www.osce.org/node/260706
OSCE:400,000residentsineasternUkrainemayloseaccesstosafedrinkingwaterduetofighting
:400
http://dontimes.com.ua/obse-v-zone-ato-400-tyisyach-chelovek-mogut-ostatsya-bez-pitevoy-vodyi/
Russianforces
NewRussianDivisionsandotherunitsshiftingtoUkrainesborderssecondlookwithupdates
http://russianmilitaryanalysis.wordpress.com/2016/08/22/russian-units-on-ukraines-borders-second-look-with-updates/
Russiassuperiornewweapons
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/russias-superior-new-weapons/2016/08/05/e86334ec-08c5-11e6-bdcb-0133da18418d_story.html?postshare=3581471949499073&tid=ss_tw&utm_term=.f04da123c746
RUSSIAARMSTROOPSONWESTERNBORDERWITHDRONES
Russia'sbuddingdroneserviceisbeingsetupintheregionborderingEUandNATOmembers.
http://europe.newsweek.com/russia-arms-western-troops-drones-baltics-nato-492694?rm=eu
Trump
BidentellsBalticstates:Don'ttakeTrumpseriously
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-latvia-usa-biden-idUSKCN10Y0ZT
TrumpIsAlreadyHelpingPutinConsolidateControlofUkraine
TheGOPcandidate'spro-Russiacommentshavebecomemust-seeTVinbothcountriesandtheyredemoralizingtheUkrainians.
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/08/donald-trump-russia-ukraine-vladimir-putin-214180#ixzz4ICDj0Ovz
Germany
Germanyconsidersreturnofconscriptionforcivildefence
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-37164960
Estonia
RussiacastsshadowoverEstoniaspresidentialvote
DeepdivisionsoverrelationswithMoscowcomplicatethechoiceofanewheadofstate.
http://www.politico.eu/article/russia-casts-shadow-over-estonias-presidential-vote/?mc_cid=db73b02756&mc_eid=8bdce04256
Slovakia
SlovakLeaderFico,CriticofRussiaSanctions,toVisitMoscow
http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2016/08/23/world/europe/23reuters-slovakia-russia.html?mc_cid=db73b02756&mc_eid=8bdce04256&_r=0
Reforms
Ukraine'smedicinebillslashedby25%afterUKfirmbroughtintohandleprocurement
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/aug/23/uk-crown-agents-cuts-cost-medicines-quarter-ukraine-health-service?CMP=twt_a-world_b-gdnworld
Financial
DeutscheBanks$10-BillionScandal
HowaschemetohelpRussianssecretlyfunnelmoneyoffshoreunravelled.
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/08/29/deutsche-banks-10-billion-scandal
Nuclear
RussiasNuclearParanoiaFuelsItsNuclearPropaganda
AclassicdisinformationcampaignaboutU.S.nukesrevealsalotaboutMoscow'smilitaryanxieties.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/22/russias-nuclear-paranoia-fuels-its-nuclear-propaganda/
Cyber
TurnsOutYouCantTrustRussianHackersAnymore
Moscow-linkedcyberthievesarentjuststealingandreleasingemailsanymoretheyrealteringthemtosmearoneofPutin'smostvocalopponents.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/22/turns-out-you-cant-trust-russian-hackers-anymore/
FBIinvestigatingRussianhackofNewYorkTimesreporters,others
http://edition.cnn.com/2016/08/23/politics/russia-hack-new-york-times-fbi/index.html
USARussiadealonSyria
KerrySaysU.S.,RussianTalksOnCooperationInSyriaNearingEnd
http://www.rferl.org/content/us-secretary-state-kerry-says-us-russian-talks-cooperation-in-syria-islamic-state-nearing-end/27939324.html
Pentagon:NoDoneDealwithRussiaonSyria
http://www.defensenews.com/articles/pentagon-no-done-deal-with-russia-on-syria
_______________________________
NicholasMarsh
ResearchFellow
PeaceResearchInstituteOslo(PRIO)
HausmansGate7
0186Oslo
Norway
email:nic@prio.no
telephone:+4722547772
skype:nicholas.james.marsh
web:www.nisat.org
twitter:@NisatPrio
Subject:Editors'Picks
4 DIDRUSSIAHACKTHENEWYORKTIMES?:TheFBIis

reportedlyinvestigatingbreachesatthenewspaperandother
outlets,FPsEliasGrollwrites:Readmore


Senttime: 08/22/201609:36:34AM
FW:[GETTINGREADYTOHITTHEROADAGAIN.MESSAGESMAYBECOMEINTERMITTENT][SUN'WEEKINREVIEW'SEC&'ARTS&LEISURE'SEC][MOJO/MBFORW/R]
Subject:
MoreoftheKremlin'sOpponentsAreEndingUpDeadTopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria.[TP/CHER-MFORA/L]Uk
Sent:Sunday,August21,20163:46PM
Subject:[GETTINGREADYTOHITTHEROADAGAIN.MESSAGESMAYBECOMEINTERMITTENT][SUN'WEEKINREVIEW'SEC&'ARTS&LEISURE'SEC][MOJO/MBFORW/R]More
oftheKremlin'sOpponentsAreEndingUpDeadTopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria.[TP/CHER-MFORA/L]Ukr...
Date:Sun,Aug21,2016at6:44PM
Subject:[GETTINGREADYTOHITTHEROADAGAIN.MESSAGESMAYBECOMEINTERMITTENT][SUN'WEEKINREVIEW'SEC&'ARTS&
LEISURE'SEC][MOJO/MBFORW/R]MoreoftheKremlin'sOpponentsAreEndingUpDeadTopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria.[TP/CHER-MFORA/L]
Ukraine'sOlympicGoldmedalsResurrectingtheIncredibleFlowerCrownsofOldUkrainianWeddingPhotos
From:jm200p<jm200p@mac.com>
Date:Sun,Aug21,2016at8:47AM
Subject:MoreofKremlinsOpponentsAreEndingUpDead
Perhapsofinterest!
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/21/world/europe/moscow-kremlin-silence-critics-poison.html?
emc=edit_th_20160821&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=18432982&mtrref=undefined
MoreofKremlinsOpponentsAreEndingUpDead
ByANDREWE.KRAMER
AUG.20,2016
Photo
ThefuneralofAlexanderV.Litvinenko,aPutinopponentwhodiedofradioactivepolonium-210poisoninginLondonin2006.CreditPoolphoto
byCathalMcNaughton
MOSCOWFromacertainperspective,certainlytheKremlins,VladimirKara-MurzasbehaviorinWashingtoncouldbeseenastreasonous,a
brazenbetrayalofhishomeland.
InaseriesofpublicmeetingsonCapitolHill,Mr.Kara-Murza,aleaderintheRussianopposition,urgedAmericanlawmakerstoexpandeconomic
sanctionsagainsttheRussiangovernmentunderalawknownastheMagnitskyAct.ThatwouldhastenpoliticalchangeinRussia,heargued.
BackinMoscowamonthlater,inMay2015,thechangesMr.Kara-Murzadetectedweregoingoninhisownbody.Midwaythroughameetingwith
fellowdissidents,beadsofsweatinexplicablydottedhisforehead.Hisstomachchurned.
Itallwentsofast,herecalled.Inthespaceofabout20minutes,Iwentfromfeelingcompletelynormaltohavingarapidheartrate,reallyhigh
bloodpressure,tosweatingandvomitingallovertheplace,andthenIlostconsciousness.Hehadingestedapoison,doctorstoldhimafterhe
emergedfromaweeklongcoma,thoughtheycouldfindnoidentifiabletraceofit.
WhileMr.Kara-Murzasurvived,fewothersinhispositionhaveprovedaslucky.Hesaidhewascertainhehadbeenthetargetofasecurityservice
poisoning.UsedextensivelyintheSovietera,politicalmurdersareagainplayingaprominentroleintheKremlinsforeignpolicy,themostbrutal
instrumentinanexpandingrepertoireofintimidationtacticsintendedtosilenceorotherwiseintimidatecriticsathomeandabroad.
Russiaspresident,VladimirV.Putin,hasmadenosecretofhisambitiontorestorehiscountrytowhatheseesasitsrightfulplaceamongthe
worldsleadingnations.HehasinvestedconsiderablemoneyandenergyintobuildinganimageofastrongandmorallysuperiorRussia,insharp
contrastwithwhatheportraysasweak,decadentanddisorderlyWesterndemocracies.
DarkArts:RussiasStealthConflict
ThisarticleisthefirstinaseriesonhowRussiacovertlyprojectspower.
Muckrakingjournalists,rightsadvocates,oppositionpoliticians,governmentwhistle-blowersandotherRussianswhothreatenthatimageare
treatedharshlyimprisonedontrumped-upcharges,smearedinthenewsmediaand,withincreasingfrequency,killed.
Politicalmurders,particularlythoseaccomplishedwithpoisons,arenothingnewinRussia,goingbackfivecenturies.Noraretheyparticularly
subtle.Whiletypicallynottraceabletoanyindividualsandplausiblydeniedbygovernmentofficials,poisoningsleavelittledoubtofthestates
involvementwhichmaybepreciselythepoint.
Outsideofpopularculture,therearenohighlyskilledhitmenforhire,MarkGaleotti,aprofessoratNewYorkUniversityandanauthorityon
theRussiansecurityservices,saidinaninterview.Ifitsaskilledjob,thatmeansitsastateasset.
Othercountries,notablyIsraelandtheUnitedStates,pursuetargetedkillings,butinastrictcounterterrorismcontext.Noothermajorpower
employsmurderassystematicallyandruthlesslyasRussiadoesagainstthoseseenasbetrayingitsinterestsabroad.KillingsoutsideRussiawere
evengivenlegalsanctionbythenationsParliamentin2006.
AppliedmostnotoriouslyinthecaseofAlexanderV.Litvinenko,aPutinopponentwhodiedofpolonium-210poisoninginLondonin2006,murders
anddeathsundermysteriouscircumstancesarenowseenassuchamenacethatKremlincriticsnowoftenfleethecountryandkeeptheir
whereaboutssecret.
Russiahasneveracknowledgedusingtheauthorityunderthe2006lawandhasspecificallydeniedanygovernmenttiestohigh-profilecases,
includingtheLitvinenkomurder.
Photo
VladimirKara-Murza,aRussianoppositionleader,saidhehadbeenpoisoned.CreditAlDrago/TheNewYorkTimes
AmongthosefleeingRussiarecentlyisGrigoryRodchenkov,awhistle-blowerinRussiassportsdopingscandal.
Thisisnotwithoutreason.Inthecaseoverstate-sponsoreddoping,twootherofficialswithknowledgeoftheschemediedunexpectedlyasthe
outlinesofthescandalbegantoemerge.Justthismonth,anotherwhistle-blower,YuliaStepanova,arunnerinhidingwithherhusbandinthe
UnitedStates,wasforcedtomoveamidfearsthathackershadfoundherlocation.Ifsomethinghappenstous,shesaid,thenyoushouldknow
thatitisnotanaccident.
Thegovernmentisusingthespecialservicestoliquidateitsenemies,GennadiV.Gudkov,aformermemberofParliamentandonetime
lieutenantcolonelintheK.G.B.,saidinaninterview.ItwasnotjustLitvinenko,butmanyotherswedontknowabout,classifiedasaccidentsor
maybesemi-accidents.
Mostrecently,acoronerruledthatblunt-forcetraumacausedthedeathofaKremlininsider,MikhailY.Lesin,57,inaWashingtonhotelroomlast
year,nottheheartattackhiscolleaguesfirstsaid.InJuly,theRussianInterfaxnewsagencyreportedthatAleksandrPoteyev,64,anintelligence
officeraccusedofdefectingandbetrayingaringofRussianspieslivingundercoverinAmericansuburbs,haddiedintheUnitedStates.
Still,theMagnitskyAct,thelawthatMr.Kara-MurzawasinWashingtonurginglawmakerstoexpand,hasprovedtobeperhapsthemostlethal
topicofallovertheyears.
SergeiL.Magnitsky,alawyerandauditor,wasjailedontaxevasionchargeswhileinvestigatinga$230milliongovernmenttaxrefundthat
corruptRussianofficialshadgrantedtothemselves.Hediedin2009afterhavingbeendeniedessentialmedicalcareinprison,earningtheKremlin
widespreadcondemnation.
Photo
SergeiL.Magnitsky,alawyerandauditor,wasjailedontaxevasionchargeswhileinvestigatingRussiancorruption.Hediedin2009afterhe
wasdeniedessentialmedicalcareinprison.CreditMikhailVoskresensky/Reuters
Inresponse,WilliamF.Browder,anAmericanfinancierwhowasthetargetofthetaxfraudduringtimehespentworkinginRussiaandhad
employedMr.Magnitsky,campaignedinCongressforalawpunishingtheofficialsinvolvedinthemisdeedsandsubsequentmistreatmentofthe
auditor.Theproposedmeasure,whicheventuallypassedin2012astheSergeiMagnitskyRuleofLawandAccountabilityAct,deniedvisasand
blockedaccesstotheAmericanfinancialsystemforRussiansdeemedtohavecommittedrightsabusesandavoidedpunishmentathome
includingthoseinvolvedintheMagnitskytaxfraudcase.
Mr.Putin,perceivinganintrusionintohiscountrysaffairs,campaignedhardagainstthemeasure.Whenitpassed,heretaliatedbyending
AmericanadoptionsofRussianchildren.ThelawbecameaprototypefortheblacklistingofprominentRussiansaccusedofmurders,humanrights
abusesandfinancialtheft,amongotherviolations.
Thequestionofwhowasinvolvedinthetaxfraudbecamevitallyimportantfirsttotheinvestigation,andeventuallytothefinalscopeofthe
legislation.Accesstoinsideinformationbecamepivotaland,itturnedout,lethal.Todate,fivepeoplewhoeitherhandedoversuchinformationor
werepotentialwitnesseshavediedundermysteriouscircumstancesthat,intheirsophistication,suggeststate-sponsoredkillings.
OneofthevictimswasMr.Magnitsky,whosedeathwashardlythestuffofcloak-and-daggersecurityoperations.TwoothersdiedbeforeMr.
Magnitsky.Andasthecasegainedgreaterprominence,othersbegandyingundermysteriouscircumstances.
OnevictimwhosedeathprecededMr.Magnitskys,ValeryKurochkin,apotentialwitnesswhosenameappearedondocumentsrelatedtothe
fraud,fledRussiaforUkrainebutdiedthereofliverfailureattheageof43.
Theother,OktaiGasanov,alow-levelfigureinthefraudcasebutonewhomighthaveshedlightonthegroupsmodusoperandi,diedofheart
failureat53.
Photo
GarryKasparov,theformerchesschampionandcurrentoppositionfigure,in2012.Foradecadeormore,hehashadhisbodyguardscarry
bottledwaterandpreparedmealsforhim.CreditKirillKudryavtsev/AgenceFrance-PresseGettyImages
Then,afterMr.Magnitskysdeathinprison,afourthinsidermetanuntimelyendinaplungefromabalcony.Afifth,abankerlinkedtothe
scheme,AlexanderPerepilichny,madeittoLondonin2009andpassedwire-transferrecordstoSwissinvestigators.In2012,however,attheage
of44andinapparentlyexcellenthealth,hesufferedaheartattackwhilejogging.Policewereleftscratchingtheirheadsoverthebodyfound
crumpledonaroadinawell-guardedhousingdevelopment,hometoKateWinsletandEltonJohn.Anautopsyinitiallydidnothingtoclearupthe
questions.
Itwasnotuntil2015thatabotanistwasabletoidentifythepresumptivecauseofMr.Perepilichnysdeath:Hisstomachheldtracesofgelsemium,
arare,poisonousplantgrownintheHimalayasandknowntohavebeenusedinChineseassassinations.Acoronersinquestisscheduledfor
September.
Allofthissoundslikeparanoidconspiracytheories,Mr.Browdersaidinatelephoneinterview.Buttherearetoomanyofthesehappeningto
importantpeople.Captainsofindustryandlawyersarenotdyingleft,rightandcenterlikethisintheWest.
PoisonhasbeenafavoritetoolofRussianintelligenceformorethanacentury.Abiochemist,GrigoryMairanovski,laboredinsecretfrom1928on
thetaskofdevelopingtasteless,colorlessandodorlesspoisons.In1954,aK.G.B.defectordescribedasecretlabneartheagencysLubyanka
headquartersandexperimentsonlivingpeople.
Theagenciesdevelopedanarsenaloflethal,hard-to-tracepoisonsthat,analystsofRussiansecurityaffairssay,isstillinuse.TheArab-born
terroristknownasKhattabdiedin2002inhismountainhide-outinChechnyaafteropeningaletterlacedwithaformofsarin,anerveagent.
In1995,aRussianbanker,IvanK.Kivelidi,diedaftercomingincontactwithcadmium,whichisdeadlytothetouch.Hissecretarydiedofthesame
symptoms,apparentlybecausethepoisonhadbeenspreadonanofficetelephonehandset.In2008,KarinnaMoskalenko,aRussianlawyer
specializingintakingcasestotheEuropeanCourtofHumanRights,fellillinStrasbourg,France,frommercuryfoundinhercar.
Photo
In2004,anoppositionjournalist,AnnaPolitkovskaya,drankpoisonedteaonanAeroflotflightandsurvived.Shewasshotandkilledinher
apartmentelevatortwoyearslater,andherfuneralwasheldinMoscowinOctober2006.CreditNataliaKolesikova/AgenceFrance-Presse
GettyImages
Andinonecase,aBulgariandissident,GeorgiMarkov,waskilledonWaterlooBridgeinLondonin1978withanumbrellatippedwithapelletof
ricin.
Mistakesabound.In1971,ayearafterhewontheNobelPrizeforliterature,AleksandrSolzhenitsynsurvivedapoisoningattempt.Ricin,made
fromcastorbeans,wasprobablyinvolved,accordingtonewsmediaaccountsandabiographyofthedissidentwriter.Ukrainesformerpro-
Westernpresident,ViktorA.Yushchenko,wasleftwithhisfacedisfiguredafteradioxinpoisoninglikelyconcealedinamealofboiledcrayfish
thatMr.YushchenkoattributedtoRussianassassins.
TheattemptonMr.Kara-Murzaslifeturnedouttobeoneofthosemistakes,thoughthatwasnotimmediatelycertain.Ashiscolleagueslookedon
surprised,Mr.Kara-Murzassweat-coveredheadfloppeddownontoatable.
Thepoisonthrewhimintoaweeklongcomawithapuzzlingrangeofsymptoms,fromswellinginhisbraintokidneyfailure,givinghislegsandarms
abluehue,hiswife,Yevgenia,recalled.
Heendurednervedamagethatlefthimlimping,buthasotherwisemadeafullrecovery.AFrenchlaboratoryfoundheavymetalsinhisbloodbut
wasunabletoidentifyaspecificpoisonorexplainhowhemighthaveingestedthemaccidentally.Mr.Kara-Murza,34,hasinsistedthatpoliceopen
aninvestigation.HeisconvincedheingestedthepoisonduringaflightonAeroflot.
Ifso,itwouldnothavebeenthefirsttimesuchanepisodeoccurred.In2004,theoppositionjournalistAnnaPolitkovskayadrankpoisonedteaon
anAeroflotflightbutsurvived.Shewasshotandkilledinherapartmentelevatortwoyearslater.
Howcanyouprotectyourself?Mr.Kara-Murzaswifeasked.Whatcanyoudo?Noteat?Bringyourownluncheverywhere?Howcanyou
predictapoisoning?
Somedotakeprecautions.GarryKasparov,theformerchesschampionandnowanoppositionfigure,haslonghadbodyguardscarrybottledwater
andpreparedmealsforhim.
InachillingepiloguetoMr.Kara-Murzasordeal,awarningappearedinFebruaryontheInstagramaccountofRamzanA.Kadyrov,theleaderof
Chechnya.ItshowedMr.Kara-MurzaoutsidetheEuropeanParliamentinStrasbourg,wherehewasspeakinginfavorofsanctionsagainstRussia.
Hewasincrosshairs,withthecaption:Thosewhohaventunderstoodwillunderstand.
Subject:TopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria-CNNPolitics.com
http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/21/politics/us-warns-syria-russia-on-attacks/index.html
TopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria

ByBarbaraStarr,CNNPentagonCorrespondent
August202016
(CNN)InthemostdirectpublicwarningtoMoscowandDamascustodate,thenewUScommanderofAmericantroopsin
IraqandSyriaisvowingtodefendUSspecialoperationsforcesinnorthernSyriaifregimewarplanesandartilleryagain
attackinareaswheretroopsarelocated.
"We'veinformedtheRussianswherewe'reat...(they)tellusthey'veinformedtheSyrians,andI'djustsaythatwewill
defendourselvesifwefeelthreatened,"Lt.Gen.StephenTownsendtoldCNNinatelephoneinterviewSaturdayfromhis
Baghdadheadquarters.
Lt.Gen.StephenTownsend,commanderofUSforcesinIraqandSyria,tellsCNNhehopesISISwillbedefeatednextyear
anditstopleaderisbeing"hunted."
TownsendisthefirstseniormilitarycommandertospeakontherecordabouttheUSpossiblychallengingtheSyrianAir
Forceinthewakeofanincidentjustdaysago.
Townsend,whotookcommandthisweek,madetheremarksfollowingwhatdefenseofficialsdescribedasan"unusual"
incidentThursdayinnorthernSyriainwhichtheregimeofPresidentBasharal-Assadusedwarplanestoattackanareanear
whereUSspecialoperationsforceswereoperatinginsupportofKurdishforces,whicharetheAmericans'keyallyinthe
conflict.
SeveralUStroopshadtobequicklymoved,andUSjetpatrolsovernorthernSyriahavebeenbeefedup.
RELATED:AerialcloseencounterbetweenUS,Syrianfighterjets
TownsendalsosaidintheinterviewthatheplanstokeepupthepressureonISISandlaidoutanambitiousmilitarygoal:
HetoldCNNhehopestheUS-ledcoalitioncan"defeatISILinIraqandSyriainthisnextyear."
Townsendemphasizedheisawarethatmaybeambitious,butheadded,"That'smygoal.Iamintenttodothat."
WhenaskedhowhewoulddefinethedefeatofISIS,thegeneralsaiditwouldbewhentheso-calledcaliphatenolonger
existsanddoesnotcontrolsignificantpopulationcenters.
"DoIthinkISILwillbegonefromIraqandSyria?"heasked,usinganotheracronymforISIS."No.ButIwantthemoutof
thecities."
TownsendwasbluntindiscussingtheseniorleadersofISIS.
"Iwantthemdeadorontheruninaholesomewhereinthedesert,andsignificantlylessofathreat,"hesaid.
Meanwhile,ISISisstillplanningglobalattacks,Townsendsaid,addingthatthegroup'sleader,AbuBakralBaghdadi,
remainsinchargeandcontinuestoissueordersthatarecommunicatedandfollowed.
BaghdadiandotherISISleadersarebeing"activelyhunted,"Townsendsaid.
TheUShaslongbelievedseniorleadersareinandaroundthecityofRaqqainSyria,theISIS-proclaimedcapitalofits
caliphate.TownsendsaidlocalArabandKurdishfighters,trainedbytheUS,couldstartmovingintoareasoutsideRaqqain
comingweeks.
From:TarasPodilsky<bulba@telusplanet.net>
Subject:Fw:Ukraine'sOlympicGoldmedals
To:TarasPodilsky<bulba@telusplanet.net>
ForthosewhowanttocelebrateUkrainesGoldenOlympiansandtoseetheUkrainiannationalanthemsungatOlympicGoldmedalceremonies,checkout
thefollowingtwolinks:
http://censor.net.ua/video_news/402279/u_ukrainy_esche_odno_olimpiyiskoe_zoloto_yuriyi_cheban_pobedil_v_greble_na_kanoe_obnovleno_videofotoreportaj
and
http://censor.net.ua/video_news/402015/gimnast_vernyaev_prines_ukraine_pervoe_zoloto_na_olimpiade_v_rio_fotoreportajvideo
Subject:AtlasObscura:ResurrectingtheIncredibleFlowerCrownsofOldUkrainianWeddingPhotos
ResurrectingtheIncredibleFlowerCrownsofOldUkrainianWeddingPhotos
AtlasObscura
Pinterestboardsaroundtheworld,unite.Readthefullstory
SharedfromAppleNews
Senttime: 08/23/201609:46:35AM
FW:FPIOvernightBrief:August23,2016[MaterialRelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates']..FPSituationReport[MaterialRelevantto
Subject:
Ukraine&'FrontlineStates'].[VRT]NYTHEADLINE:Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondoftheG.O.P.,GreetDonaldTr...
Subject:Fwd:FPIOvernightBrief:August23,2016[MaterialRelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates']..FPSituationReport[Material
RelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates'].[VRT]NYTHEADLINE:Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondoftheG.O.P.,GreetDonaldTr...
Subject:FPIOvernightBrief:August23,2016[MaterialRelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates']..FPSituationReport
[MaterialRelevanttoUkraine&'FrontlineStates'].[VRT]NYTHEADLINE:Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondofthe
From:ForeignPolicyInitiative<info@foreignpolicyi.org>
Subject:FPIOvernightBrief:August23,2016
To:walter<waz2102@caa.columbia.edu>
FollowandSupportFPI

FPIOvernightBrief
August23,2016
TableofContents
MiddleEast/NorthAfrica,Asia,Security,Russia/Europe,Americas,Africa,Ideas,Events
Announcements TheMust-Reads
Ifyousupportourmissionandwork,pleaseconsidermaking ISISincreasinglyturnstochildsuicidebombers
atax-deductibledonationtoFPItoday.
FPIsKahn:Russia,Iranescalatemilitaryties
BesuretoencourageyourcolleaguestosignupfortheFPI
BretStephens:Thenewdictatorsclub
OvernightBrief.
UNofficialcallscrisisinAleppotheapexofhorror
ISWispublishingregularupdatesonthesituationinIraqand
Syria,andAEI'sCriticalThreatsProjectisdoingsofor Insidethebrutal,bureaucraticworldofISISinLibya
theYemenconflict.
Obamaconfrontsnewpoliticaldynamicsontrade
Miller,Payne:Thedangersofnuclearno-first-use
WaPo:BidenneedstogiveErdogansometoughadvice
IranexpandingterrornetworkinLatinAmerica
MiddleEast/NorthAfrica
Iran
TheWhiteHouseandStateDepartmentgaveconflictingexplanationsMondayfortheadministrationsalleged$400millionransompaymentto
Iran,withPresidentObamasspokesmanstillinsistingthemoneywaspartofanoldarmsdealandaspokesmanatFoggyBottomconcedingagain
thatitwasleveragetogainthereleaseoffourAmericanhostages.WashingtonTimes
Sen.RoyBluntwantsSecretaryofStateJohnKerrytoprovide"adetailedaccounting"ofthe$400millioncashpaymenttoIranthatwaslinkedto
thereleaseofAmericanhostagesheldthere.WashingtonExaminer
TheStateDepartmentwarnedMondaythatAmericanstravelingtoIranrunariskofbeingarrestedanddetained,inanoticethatupdateditsprior
warningaboutIrantravelfrommid-March.WashingtonExaminer
FPISeniorPolicyAnalystTzviKahnwrites:RussiasrecentuseofanIranianairbasetobombtargetsinSyriareflectsaburgeoningstrategic
partnershiprootedinsharedregionalobjectives.ThoughTehranterminatedthearrangementtodaylikelyduetodomesticperceptionsthatit
renderedtheIslamistregimeasubordinateofMoscow,theepisodedemonstratesthatbothcountries,workingintandem,seektoundermineU.S.
interestsandleadershipintheregion.WashingtoncannolongerregardeithergovernmentaspartnerstodefeattheIslamicState.ForeignPolicy
Initiative
LeeSmithwrites:If,asRosett'sstorysuggests,the13paymentstheJudgmentFundsenttotheStateDepartmentrepresentsthe$1.3billionin
interest,theadministrationhassomequestionstoanswer.Wastheinterestpaidincashlikethe$400million,orbywire?Ifthelatter,whywasthe
$400millionpaidincash?TheWeeklyStandardBlog
Syria
IranonMondayannulledpermissionforRussianplanestoflybombingrunsintoSyriafromanIranianbase,onlyaweekafterhavinggranted
suchextraordinaryaccess,sayingthattheKremlinhadbeenunacceptablypublicandarrogantabouttheprivilege.NewYorkTimes
TurkeyshelledIslamicState-heldterritoryacrosstheborderinSyriaonTuesday,keepinguparetaliationcampaignforaweekendbombingthat
rippedthroughaweddingcelebrationandkilled54people.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
Foryears,theSyriangovernmentandU.S.-backedKurdishforcessharedcontrolofHasakah,acityinSyriasnortheast.Butlastweek,the
KurdishmilitiaknownasthePeoplesProtectionUnits,orYPG,launchedanassaultongovernment-controlledareasofthecity,activistssaid
markingariftbetweenonetimealliesandfurtherblurringthelinesbetweenthewarringsidesinSyriasbloodyinternecinecivilwar.LosAngeles
Times
ThetopaidofficialattheUnitedNationsgaveagloomyassessmentoftheSyriareliefeffortonMonday,sayingnoconvoydeliverieshadbeen
madetobesiegedareasthismonthandthatthesufferinginAleppo,onceSyriascommercialepicenter,wastheapexofhorror.NewYorkTimes
AfteryearsoftacitlyallowingthecreationofanautonomousKurdishregioninnorthernSyria,PresidentBasharal-Assadsregimeistreatingthe
ethnicminoritysgrowingpowerasathreat.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
IransparliamentspeakerAliLarijanisaysRussianwarplanesarestillusinganIranianmilitarybasetostriketargetsinSyria.RadioFree
Europe/RadioLiberty
TheUSandRussiahaveyettofinalizeanagreementoncoordinatedeffortsinSyria,withPentagonspokesmanPeterCookwarningMondaythat
theclockisrunningonthewindowforthoseconversations.DefenseNews
U.S.SecretaryofStateJohnKerrysaidtalksbetweentheUnitedStatesandRussiaonmilitarycooperationinthefightagainsttheIslamicState
terroristgroupinSyriaarenearinganend.RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty
TheU.S.militaryveeredtowarddeclarationofano-flyzoneinSyriaMonday,butstoppedshortofusingthecontroversialtermthatwouldsetthe
stageforadirectconfrontationwiththeSyrianairforce.MilitaryTimes
TheUnitedNationsisreadytodeliveraidintoSyria'sAleppo,butneedscommitmentsfromallpartiesinthewar-notjustRussia-toabidebya
48-hourhumanitariantruce,theU.N.aidchief,angeredbylackofassistancetocivilians,saidonMonday.-Reuters
Turkey
BloodstainsandbrokenbodiesleftafterTurkeysdeadliestbombingthisyearcruellyunderscorethecomplexrivalriesswirlingamongtheTurkish
government,theSunnimilitantsofIslamicStateandmembersofTurkeyslargestethnicminority,theKurds.LosAngelesTimes
AnoddthinghashappenedinTurkey.Usuallydeeplypolarized,thetwosidesarelargelyunitedintheiroppositiontomilitarycoupsandthe
movementofFethullahGulen,aMuslimclericwholivesinself-exileinPennsylvaniaandhasbeenaccusedbyTurkeyoforchestratingthefailed
uprising.NewYorkTimes
ThelandmarkagreementthathaltedatorrentofmigrantsflowingfromTurkeyintoEuropeisnearingcollapseinthewakeofthefailedTurkish
coupandthesubsequentnationwidecrackdown.WashingtonPost
TurkeyvowedMondaytofightIslamicStatemilitantsathomeandto"cleanse"thegroupfromitsbordersafteraweekendsuicidebombingata
Kurdishwedding,anattackthatcameamidrecentgainsbySyrianKurdishmilitiaforcesagainsttheextremistsinneighboringSyria.Associated
Press
Withsuspicionsonbothsidesmounting,theUnitedStatesisstrugglingtopreserveitswobblypartnershipwithTurkeyasitentertainsacloser
relationshipwithRussiaandfumesoveraU.S.-basedclericitblamesfororchestratinglastmonth'sfailedcoupattempt.AssociatedPress
Turkishauthoritiessuspended95Istanbulpoliceofficers,includingpolicechiefs,onMonday,broadcasterCNNTurkreported,thelateststepsina
sweepingcrackdowntotargetsecurityforcesfollowingafailedcouplastmonth.-Reuters
TurkeyiswithdrawingitsambassadortoAustria,theTurkishforeignministersaidMonday,amidagrowingdiplomaticspat.AssociatedPress
Editorial:Mr.BidenoughttocandidlytellhishostthattheUnitedStatesdidnotinstigatethecoupandthatitwillnotrelinquishMr.Gulentoa
witchhunt.Mr.Erdoganmaynotwanttohearit,buthealsoshouldberemindedthatcrushingtheruleoflawwilldimTurkeysprospects.Mr.
Erdoganmaybaskinthecrowdstoday,butusingthecoupasapretexttopurgethemedia,academiaandotherspheresofindependentvoiceswill
notstrengthenthenationinthelongrun.WashingtonPost
ReturntoTop
Asia
EastAsia
AstheChineseeconomyslows,theregimeisrampingupanassaultondissidentsandothersitbrandsastroublemakers.Callittherepression
index.Oneofthebestindicatorsofthecountryseconomicdirectionisnowapoliticalone.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
AsiafacesaredrawingofthegeopoliticalorderifDonaldTrumpbecomesUSpresidentaprospectthatalarmsWashingtonsallieswhile
handingagifttoChina,itsprincipalrival.FinancialTimes
Interview:AstheintersectionofAsia-Pacificcountriesmaritimeinterestsbecomesincreasinglycomplex,theregionalmaritimecommonshavein
turnbecomeasalientfactorinthestrategiccalculusofU.S.interests.HowtheUnitedStatesinteractswithvestedplayersandrespondsto
contingencieswillhaveimplicationsforthefutureoftheregionalsecurityarchitectureandshapethecontentofinternationalnormsintheyearsto
come.Againstthiscriticalbackdrop,NBRinterviewedAdmiralJonathanGreenert(ret.),formerU.S.chiefofnavaloperationsandthecurrent
holderofNBRsJohnM.ShalikashviliChairinNationalSecurityStudies.NationalBureauofAsianResearch
KoreanPeninsula
SouthKoreaandtheUnitedStatesbeganannualmilitarydrillsMondaydespiteNorthKorea'sthreatofnuclearstrikesinresponsetotheexercises
thatitcallsaninvasionrehearsal.AssociatedPress
NorthKoreahaslaidlandminesintheDemilitarizedZone(DMZ)betweenthetwoKoreas,theSouth'sYonhapnewsagencyreportedonTuesday,
astensionroseonthedividedpeninsulaafterthestartofannualU.S.-SouthKoreanmilitaryexercises.-Reuters
BruceKlingerwrites:WashingtonmustsharpenthechoiceforNorthKoreabyraisingtheriskandcostforitsactionsaswellasforthoseofits
enablersparticularlyBeijingwhohavewillinglyfacilitatedtheregimesprohibitedprogramsandillicitactivitiesandcondoneditshuman
rightsviolations.WashingtonTimes
SoutheastAsia

AmidrisingtensionswiththeObamaadministrationanditsneighborsacrossEastAsia,ChinawillholdaweekofnavaldrillswithRussiainthe
SouthChinaSeanextmonth,thetwocountriessaidMonday.WashingtonTimes
PhilipBowringwrites:InachallengetoChinasclaimtoalmosttheentireso-calledSouthChinaSea,Indonesiaannouncedlastweekthatitwill
designatethewatersoffitsnortherncoast,aroundtheNatunaandAnambasislands,astheNatunaSea.Thisismorethanjustpetty
nationalism.ItsahelpfulmarkerthatthetermSouthChinaSeaisarecentinventionwithnobasisinhistory.WallStreetJournal(subscription
required)
ReturntoTop
Security
Defense
NavalAirForcesCommanderViceAdm.MikeShoemakerisstillatalosstoexplainhowtheNavysufferedthreeClassAmishapsandthreelost
aircraftinaneight-dayperiodinMayandJuneofthisyear.But,headded,it'sjustashardtoexplainhowthefleetwentthepreviouseightmonths
withjustonemishap.Military.com
TheF-35IntegratedTestForceatEdwardsAirForceBase,California,completed25weaponstestmissionsoverthecourseofamonth,JPO
officialsannouncedtoday.Thesemissionsincluded12weaponsdeliveryaccuracytestsand13weaponsseparationtestsonatleastfivedifferent
weaponssystems,officialssaid.DODBuzz
TheNavyisdevelopinglighter-weightanti-submarinetechnologydesignedtobetterenableitsLittoralCombatShiptotrack,locateanddestroy
enemysubmarinesallwhilerecognizingpotentialrivalsRussiaandChinacontinuetorapidlydevelopnewsubmarineweaponsand
technologies.ScoutWarrior
NuclearWeapons
KeithPayneandFranklinMillerwrite:ThespectrumofmilitarythreatstotheUnitedStatesandourallieshasexpandedconsiderablyasRussia
andChinahavepursuedmilitarybuildupsandaggressivepoliciesinEuropeandAsiarespectively.USadoptionofano-first-usepolicynow
wouldonlyreflectwillfulUSdetachmentfromtheseglobalrealities,andwouldbeperceivedassuchbyfriendsandfoesalike.BulletinofAtomic
Scientists
Intelligence
TheonlineleakofdatapilferedfromtheNationalSecurityAgencymorelikelycamefromanagencyinsiderthanfromhackerslinkedtoRussia,
accordingtoanexpertontheintelligencecommunity.WashingtonExaminer
ReturntoTop
Russia/Europe
WesternEurope
GOPpresidentialnomineeDonaldTrumpcallsitanunmitigateddisasterforGermany,butGermansthemselvesaremoreevenlydividedover
ChancellorAngelaMerkelsopen-doorpolicyformigrantsseekingtoenterthecountryfromSyria,Afghanistanandotherworldcrisisspots.
WashingtonTimes
Innearlyeveryterroristepisodehere[inFrance],ordinaryindividualsriskedtheirownsafetytotrytohalttheattackortolendahandtothe
woundedratherthanrunningaway.Someoftheselocalheroesarerecognizedrightaway,thoughothersneverreceiverecognitionandsome
receiveitonlybelatedly.NewYorkTimes
NicolasSarkozyannouncedhiscandidacyforthe2017FrenchpresidentialelectionsMonday,fouryearsafterhepledgedtoretirefrompolitics
whenhewasdefeatedbySocialistFranoisHollande.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
EasternEurope
IntheshadowofMoscowsaggressioninCrimeaandeasternUkraine,thelargelysymbolicEstonianpresidencyhasgainedweightpartlythanks
toincumbentToomasHendrikIlvesstrongargumentsfortheEuropeanUnionandNATOtostandbyEstoniaanditsBalticneighbors.-Politico
AnnaNemtsovawrites:Inbothcountries,coverageofthepoliticalchaosintheUnitedStatesthenorthstarofpoliticsforbothanti-American
andpro-AmericanfiguresinthispartoftheworldisstirringpublicdiscontentanddoubtaboutthefutureinUkraine,andasenseofconfidence,
evenarrogance,inRussia.-Politico
EuropeanUnion
LeadersfromFrance,GermanyandItalyproposedMondaytostepupcooperationinareassuchasintelligencesharingandborderdefense,
withoutgivinganysignthattheywillgrowclosereconomicallyinresponsetoBritishvotersrecentdecisiontoleavetheEU.WallStreetJournal
(subscriptionrequired)
Germany,FranceandItalywillbethethreemostimportantnationsleftintheEuropeanUnionafterBritainsstunningdecisioninJunetoleavethe
bloc.YetallaresubstantiallyweakenedbynaggingdomesticproblemsatacriticalmomentwhenEuropeneedsanewdirection.NewYorkTimes
TheleadersofGermany,FranceandItalydeclaredtheywouldnotallowBritainsdeparturefromtheEUtopropeltheblocintoreverseasthey
discussedplanstodeepenintelligenceco-operationandbolsterapan-Europeaninvestmentplan.FinancialTimes
ReturntoTop
Americas
UnitedStatesofAmerica
HannahThoburnwrites:Trumphasalreadyprovenhimselftobeanegothatiseasilymanipulated,hasbeenopentotheideaofrecognizing
Russias2014annexationofCrimea,andisopenlylaudatoryofPutinsrule.TheKremlinpreferstheuncertaintyofaTrumppresidencytoaClinton
leadershipthathasbeenvocalaboutitsdesiretoholdthemtoaccountfortheirvariousinvasionsandhumanrightsviolations.Itdoesntlooklike
theyregoingtogetit.TheCipherBrief
LatinAmerica
IranissolidifyingitsfootholdinLatinAmerica,sparkingconcernsamongU.S.officialsthattheIslamicRepublicwillenlisttheseregionalalliesin
itspushtolaunchterrorattacksonU.S.soil,accordingtoconversationswithcongressionalsources.WashingtonFreeBeacon
IthasnotbeenthatlongsinceColombiasbloodyhistoryhasledtoitsownexodus.ButthathasreversedasColombianearsapossiblepeace
agreementandVenezuelasinksdeeperintodespairwiththeunpopularPresidentNicolsMaduroatthehelm.FinancialTimes
PresidentNicolasMadurohasseta48-hourdeadlineforministerstodismisssomepublicworkerswhorequestedarecallreferendumagainsthim,
aSocialistPartyspokesmansaidMonday.Hundredsofpublicworkershavealreadysaidtheyweredismissedforsigningapetitionfora
referendumagainsttheunpopularpresident,accordingtotestimonyseenbyReuters,humanrightsgroupsandlocalmedia.-Reuters
Kickingoffasix-daytourofLatinAmerica,IranianForeignMinisterMohammadJavadZarifsaidonMondayinHavanahisvisitwouldopena
newchapterintheIslamicRepublic'srelationswithCommunist-ruledCuba.-Reuters
LuisFleischmanwrites:Thecountriesoftheregionneedtotiltthebalancetobuildaregionthatsupportsdemocracyandostracizestyranny.The
movementisslowbutbetterthannone.WeneedmoreKuczynskisandAlmagrosinLatinAmerica.WeurgeLatinAmericanleaderstotakea
principledpositionnowandrepudiatetheMadurosandtheOrtegasoftheregion.TheAmericasReport
ReturntoTop
Ideas
BretStephenswrites:Perhapsitsineverystrongmansnaturetoseekandadmirehispoliticalreflectionwhereverhefindsit,whetheritsinaczar,
anayatollah,asultanorageneralsecretary.Thenagain,whatmainlyunitestheleadersofthenewdictatorsclubisthesharedperceptionthat
theystandtoloseverylittleinworkingagainstacountrytheydetestandapresidenttheycontemn.WallStreetJournal(subscriptionrequired)
MarkKennedywrites:ThoseleadersforwhomtheNavyhasnamedaircraftcarriersserveasexamplestobefollowed.AbrahamLincoln,Theodore
Roosevelt,DwightEisenhower,RonaldReagan,andGeorgeH.W.BushareallguidestowhomRepublicansshouldlookforinstructiononhowto
leadinawaythatattractsotherstoAmericasside.HarryTruman,JohnStennis,andCarlVinsonserveasguidestoDemocratslookingtorebuild
Americasstick.ForeignPolicysShadowGovernment
ReturntoTop
Events
HowObamaDefiedWashingtonandRedefinedAmericasRoleintheWorld
GermanMarshallFund
August23
ReturntoTop
TheFPIOvernightBriefisadailyproductoftheForeignPolicyInitiative,whichseekstopromoteanactiveU.S.foreignpolicycommittedto
robustsupportfordemocraticallies,humanrights,astrongAmericanmilitaryequippedtomeetthechallengesofthe21stcentury,and
strengtheningAmericasglobaleconomiccompetitiveness.Tosubmitcommentsorsuggestions,emailovernight@foreignpolicyi.org.
Subject:SituationReport:U.S.No-FlyZoneinSyria?TopGeneralSkepticalOverRussianDealKurdsinNewFight
RussianHackfailAndLotsMore
S i t u a t i o n R e p o r t : U . S . N o - F l y Z o n e i n S y r i a ? T o p G e n e r a l S k e p t i c a l O v e r R u s s i a n D e a l K u r d s i n N e w F i g h t R u s s i a n H a c k f a i l A n d L o t s M o r e

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SITUATIONREPORT

TheNationalSecurityDailyBrieffromForeign
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Tuesday,August23,2016 SUBSCRIBETOFP

FollowUs:

ByPaulMcLearywithAdamRawnsley
Nofly?Noway.AmericanjetsscrambledovernorthernSyriatwicelastweektochase
awaySyrianwarplaneswhichhadbombedU.S.-backedKurdishforces--coming
uncomfortablyclosetoagroupofAmericancommandosadvisingtheKurds.Afterward,
U.S.militaryleadersissuedasternwarningtoboththeSyriansandRussiansnottofly
combatoperationsinareaswhereAmericansareoperating.
Ifthatsoundslikeano-flyzone,thePentagonwouldrespectfullydisagree.Spokesman
PeterCookinsistedMondaythatwearegoingtotelltheSyriansandanyoneelsewho
maythreatenourforceinthatareathatwewilldefendthemandtheyhavearightto
defendthemselves.But"it'snotanoflyzone,"hesaid.
Inalongback-and-forthwithreportersduringaMondaypressconferenceatthe
Pentagon,Cookalsoswipedatanissuethathaslongbeenthefocusofdebate:whether
theUnitedStateswoulduseforcetoprotectU.S.-backedKurdishandSyrianArabrebels
onthegroundinSyria.Thoseforcesthataretakingthefightto[ISIS]andpartneredwith
us,willenjoythesupportoftheUnitedStates,Cooksaid,adding,we'regoingto
continuetosupport,andprotect,andprovidethatmilitarysupportforourcoalitionforces
and...ourcoalitionpartneredoperationsontheground.
DangerousnewfightfortheKurds.TheSyrianbombingrunscomeamidheavy
clashesbetweentheSyrianregimeandKurdishforces,whohavemostlykeptashaky
peaceinnorthernSyria.TheWallStreetJournalpointsoutthatthefightingcomes
amidawarmingofrelationsbetweenTurkeyandMr.AssadsalliesRussiaandIran.
TurkishPresidentRecepTayyipErdoganmetwithRussianPresidentVladimirPutinin
MoscowthismonthfollowedbyavisitbyTurkeysforeignministertoIran.Kurdish
leadersseetheregimesnewaggressiontowardtheirforcesasasignofa
rapprochementbetweenSyriaandTurkeyinaconflictwithconstantlyshiftingalliances.
OnTuesday,SyrianKurdishforcessaidthatafterdaysofintensefightingwiththeSyrian
army,theyhadgainedcontroloveralmosttheentirecityofHasakah,andthat
governmentforcesweresurroundedinafewbuildingsinthecenterofthecity.
Dealornodeal.ThetopAmericanmilitaryofficerinIraqsayshesskepticalthat
WashingtonandMoscowcanreachanyrealagreementtoshareintelonISISandNusra
frontinSyria,butthathecangetthejobdone,regardless.Lt.Gen.StephenTownsend,
whotookcommandonSunday,said"asasoldier,I'mfairlyskepticaloftheRussians,"
andheshesitant"tobelievethecoalitioncancooperatewiththem."SecretaryofState
JohnKerrysteamisleadingthetalkswithRussia,butspeakinginKenyaonMonday,
Kerrydidntsoundlikeamanwhowasabouttostrikeadeal.itismyhopethatweare
reachingtheendofthosediscussionsonewayortheother,hesaid,adding,itis
possiblethatsomethingcouldbeagreedatuponbeforetheendofthemonthbutIcan't
tellyouwhetherit'slikely.Iwouldn'texpressoptimism--Iwouldexpresshope."
Hackslack.Warismessy,andmistakesaremade.ButinRussiasinformationwar
againsttheWest,mistakesaremadeandthenpublishedforalltheworldtosee.FPs
EliasGrollflagsagoodone,writingthataftertwosupposedlyindependenthacking
groups,believedbysecurityexpertstohavetiestotheKremlin,postedthesame
documentsstolenfromaphilanthropyrunbyGeorgeSoros.Butthehackincludeda
twist:Someofthedocumentstakenbyonegroupwerealteredinabidtotryandlink
SorostoRussiananti-corruptionactivistAlexeiNavalny,revealinghowhackers
likelyworkingforMoscowareeditingdocumentstosmeartheirvictims.
China
ChinesemilitaryjetsflewintoSouthKorea'sairdefenseidentificationzone(ADIZ)just
asthetwocountries'foreignministersaresettomeet.TheKoreaTimesreportsthat
threeChineseplanesshowedupatthemarginsofthetwocountries'ADIZs,prompting
SouthKoreatoscramblefighterjetstointerceptthem.Theincidentcomesbefore
Wednesday'smeetingofforeignministersfromJapan,China,andSouthKoreafor
talksinTokyo.ThetalksarelikelytotouchondisagreementbetweenChinaandSouth
KoreaoverthedeploymentofaU.S.TerminalHighAltitudeAreaDefense(THAAD)
systemtodefendagainstNorthKoreanballisticmissiles.Chinaopposesthedeployment,
fearingthesystemcouldbeusedtotargetChinesemissiles,aswellasNorthKorean
ones.
Europe
FinlandismovingquicklytosignanagreementwiththeUnitedStatesonclosermilitary
cooperation,Reutersreports.Thedealdoesn'tinvolveNATOorcommitmentsfor
collectivedefense,butwouldincreasejointtrainingandinformation-sharing.Themove
followsincreasedanxietiesintraditionallyneutralFinlandoveranincreasingly
aggressiveRussia.Finnishofficialsaretryingtohurrytheagreementthroughinthe
waningdaysoftheObamaadministrationbeforeanewadministrationcomesin.
LithuaniahassignedadealwithGermany'sRheinmetalltoarmorupitsmilitary,
accordingtoUPI.Thedeal,worth$441million,willsupply88Boxerinfantryfighting
vehiclesequippedwith30mmcannons.Thevehiclesareexpectedtobedelivered
through2021.
RegisteratForeignPolicy.comtoreceiveSituationReportandotherFPnewsletters.
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NeverTrump.And
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SurviveTodays

byPeterFeaverWill byRiordanRoett

Inboden

Storm
byMarkR.Kennedy


From:VRT
Subject:NYTHEADLINE:Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondoftheG.O.P.,GreetDonaldTrumpWithDespair
To:
Ukrainian-Americans,LongFondofthe
BySHERYLGAYSTOLBERGAUG.22,2016
Photo
TarasSzmagalalastweekatSt.JosaphatEparchialCemeteryinParma,Ohio.Thecemeteryhasamonument
dedicatedtoUkrainianfreedomfighterswhofoughtanddiedinWorldWarII.CreditJeffSwensenforTheNew
YorkTimes
PARMA,OhioAsaproudUkrainian-American,TarasSzmagalahasworkedfordecadestoelect
Republicans,thepartyheassociateswithfreedom.HerananethnicoutreachprogramforRichardM.
Nixons1972campaignandadvisedPresidentGeorgeBushastheSovietUnioncrumbled,when
Ukrainebecameanindependentnation.
Mr.Szmagala,83,willmarkWednesdays25thanniversaryofstatehoodataparadeandfestivalon
SaturdayinthisClevelandsuburb,wheretheblueandyellowflagofUkrainefliesalongthemain
thoroughfareinUkrainianVillage.
Butthereisapalloverthefestivities.HisnameisDonaldJ.Trump.
Ukrainian-AmericanshavefeltathomeintheRepublicanPartysinceFranklinD.RooseveltandStalin
dividedcontrolofEuropeatYalta.ButacrosstheUnitedStatesandespeciallyinswingstateOhio,
whereMr.Trumpbecamethepartysnomineetheyarewatchingthe2016presidentialracewitha
mixofconfusionandfear.
ThepartysdeadasfarasImconcerned,Mr.Szmagaladeclared.
AsifMr.TrumpsadmiringstatementsaboutPresidentVladimirV.PutinofRussiaand
hisquestionableexplanationofeventsinUkrainewerenottoughenoughtostomach,then
camenewsthatPaulManafort,untillastweekMr.Trumpscampaignmanager,wastangledupina
corruptioninquiryanddesignatedtoreceivemillionsinsecretcashpaymentsfromthepartyofapro-
Russianleaderhehadhelpedtoelect.
Allsummer,UkrainiansmanyofthemalreadywaryofHillaryClinton,theDemocraticnominee
havebeenobsessingoverAmericanpolitics.TheUkrainianWeekly,aNewJersey-basednewspaper
thathasbeencarefullytrackingthethreatofaRussianinvasionofUkraine,isawashinpolitical
commentary,includingarebukeofMr.TrumpbythecountrysambassadortotheUnitedStates.
AvoteforTrumpisavoteagainstUkraine!wroteonelongtimeRepublicanfromMorristown,N.J.,in
alettertotheeditor.
NearlyonemillionAmericansareofUkrainiandescent,clusteredaroundcitieslikeNewYork,
Philadelphia,Chicago,DetroitandCleveland,wheretheUkrainianMuseum-Archives,arichrepository
offolkart,periodicalsandimmigrationdocuments,chroniclesthehistoryofapeoplewhohavefelt
oppressedbyRussiafor350years.Currentlyondisplay:PoliticsandUkrainian-Americans,an
exhibitincludingaphotographofayoungMr.SzmagalawithNixon.
Mr.Szmagala,standingnexttoRichardM.Nixon,rananethnicoutreachprogramforNixons1972
campaign.CreditJeffSwensenforTheNewYorkTimes
Thereare,ofcourse,loyalDemocratsherethemuseumsresidentscholar,AndrewFedynsky,once
chiefofstafftoaDemocraticcongresswoman,isone.ButmanyUkrainian-Americansaredeeply
skepticalofPresidentObamaandMrs.Clinton,whomtheyregardasnotaggressiveenoughin
protectingUkraineagainstanincursionfromRussia.
SotheabsenceofafriendlyRepublicanisgeneratingaparticulardespair.
Itsveryconfusing,saidEugeneLuciw,aPhiladelphialawyerwhoisactiveinUkrainianaffairsthere.
ItsbeendifficulttowrapyourhandsaroundMr.Trump.
Mr.ManafortsabruptdeparturedoesnotchangethatmanyUkrainianswanttoknowwhyhewas
hiredinthefirstplace.Still,saidAndriyFutey,theexecutivevicepresidentoftheUkrainianCongress
CommitteeofAmericawhoisinKiev,Ukrainescapital,fortheanniversarycelebrationandtomeet
withgovernmentleaderstherewasasighofrelieftherewhenMr.Manafortquit.
HereinParma,ClevelandscenterofUkrainianculturalandreligiouslife,theangstcoupledwith
whatmanycallabittersweetcelebrationofanationwhoseindependencefeelsthreatenedisclear.
AtSt.VladimirUkrainianOrthodoxCathedral,whereagranitemonumenttovictimsoftheman-
madefamine,whichtheUkrainiangovernmentrecognizesasagenocide,standsinagarden,asmall
groupofparishionersgatheredlastweekasablack-robedpastorservedtheMoleben,aprayerforthe
healthandwell-beingofthesick.
GeneBoyko,75,whosegrandfatherwasbanishedtoSiberiabyStalin,wasamongthemheandhis
parentsescapedduringWorldWarIIandarrivedinNewYorkwhenhewas10.
Whenwegothere,evenasa10-year-old,Iwantedtokisstheground,hesaid.Hehaslongvoted
Republican,butiswaitingforthedebatestomakeuphismindaboutMr.Trump.
OksanaZavhorodnyuk,44,sellspirogiandotherUkrainianfoodsinParma.IdontlikeTrump,shesaid.
Hesnotinhismind,youknow?Itslike,notpresidentforAmerica.CreditJeffSwensenforTheNewYork
Times
AtStateMeats,alocalbutchershopandsmokehouse,GeorgeSalo,theowner,waspreparingtomake
severalthousandpoundsofkielbasatheworldsbest!heboastedforthecomingparade.Mr.
Salo,31,tookovertheshopwhenhewas17,afterhisfatherdied,andlearnedbusinessbyreading
booksincludingsomebyMr.Trump,whomheadmiresasanentrepreneur.
Butasfortheelection,ImtellingeverybodyImvotingforGaryJohnson,hesaid,referringtothe
Libertariannominee.
Atthetakeoutrestaurantnextdoor,OksanaZavhorodnyuk,44,wasservingschnitzelandjumbo
pirogifrombehindacounter.Shewrinkledhernosewhenaskedaboutthepresidentialrace.
IdontlikeTrump,shevolunteered,inEnglishthatisstillhalting,thoughshehasbeenherefor25
years.HelikesRussiahelikesPutin.Hesnotinhismind,youknow?Itslike,notpresidentfor
America.
TheTrumpcampaignsaysitisnotconcerned.Mr.TrumphastremendoussupportinOhio,andhe
willcontinuetosharehismessageofchange,hisspokeswoman,HopeHicks,wroteinanemail.
UkrainiansarrivedinAmericainfourdistinctwaves,beginninginthelate1800s,andmanyeventually
settledinsuburbslikeParma.InOhio,theyarepartofabroadblocofvoterswhotracetheirancestry
toEasternandCentralEuropeannationsincludingPoland,Estonia,Lithuania,Latvia,theCzech
RepublicandSlovenia,thehomelandofMr.Trumpswife,Melania.
Inthisswingstate,politiciansofbothpartiesaggressivelycourtwhattheycalltheethnicvote.Last
week,SenatorRobPortman,anendangeredOhioRepublican(andco-chairmanoftheSenateUkraine
Caucus),metprivatelywithethnicleadershere.Onebigissue:AttheRepublicanNationalConvention
inJulyinCleveland,theTrumpcampaignstrippedthepartyplatformoflanguagecallingforthe
UnitedStatestoprovidelethalweaponstoUkraine.
GeorgeSaloinhisbutchershopinParmasUkrainianVillage.HeadmiresMr.Trumpasanentrepreneurbut
said,ImtellingeverybodyImvotingforGaryJohnson,theLibertariannominee.CreditJeffSwensenforThe
NewYorkTimes
Democrats,seizingonapotentialvulnerabilityforMr.Trump,areincreasingtheirownethnicoutreach
thisyear,aneffortthathasbeencaughtupinRussianpoliticalintrigue.
Thepersonalemailsofthewomanrunningtheoutreacheffort,AlexandraChalupa,wereamongthose
hackedattheDemocraticNationalCommittee,abreachAmericanintelligenceofficialsattributeto
Russianspies.Ms.Chalupa,whoisofUkrainiandescent,hadbeenresearchingMr.Manafortwhile
consultingforthecommitteewhenthehackoccurred.Shehasbeentravelingthecountry,talkingto
Democratsaboutwhatshehasfound.
IdtalkabouttheRussiaconnectionandwhatwewereseeing,shesaidinaninterview.Peoplewere
terrified.
Still,Mrs.Clintonmayhaveanuphillbattle.ThePodestaGroup,aWashingtonfirmco-foundedby
JohnD.Podesta,hercampaignchairman,hassurfacedinthesamecorruptioninvestigationthathas
entangledMr.Manafort.
TheuneaseisaboutManafort,theuneaseisaboutPodestaallofthemhavebeengettingmoney
funnelinginfromRussia,saidMichaelKoziupa,aUkrainian-AmericanleaderinNewJersey.
ForMr.Szmagala,aretiredClevelandtransitofficialwhohasdevotedhislifetoUkrainianaffairsand
Republicanpolitics,thecampaignisespeciallypainful.HehasfondmemoriesofaflightaboardAir
ForceTwowithGeorgeBush,thenthevicepresident.AndafterUkrainedeclareditsindependence,
Mr.Bush,thenthepresident,senthimthereaspartoftheofficialdelegationforasomberceremonyat
BabiYar,asiteofmasskillingsbytheNazis.
Mr.SzmagalahasbeenadelegatetoRepublicanconventionsinthepastthisyear,thoughnational
Republicansgatheredinhisbackyard,hestayedaway.HehasnevervotedforaDemocratfor
president,andismindfulofOhiosstatusasaswingstate.HeisnoteagertovoteforMrs.Clinton.
Butifitsclose,hesaid,Illdoit.Itllhurt,butIlldoit.
Correction:August22,2016
Anearlierversionofthisarticleandapicturecaptionmisstatedtheyearofthepresidentialelection
inwhichTarasSzmagalaassistedRichardM.Nixon.Itwas1972,not1968.
FollowSherylGayStolbergonTwitter@sherylstolberg
Findoutwhatyouneedtoknowaboutthe2016presidentialracetoday,andgetpoliticsnewsupdates
viaFacebook,TwitterandtheFirstDraftnewsletter.
Senttime: 08/09/201608:54:33AM
FW:"GunsofAugust:FearsofFULL-SCALEWARreturnascasualtiesmountinUkraine,"http://www.rferl.org/articleprintview/27910909.html6-
Subject:
pagereport
From:JohnBDunlop
Subject:"GunsofAugust:FearsofFULL-SCALEWARreturnascasualtiesmountinUkraine,"
http://www.rferl.org/articleprintview/27910909.html6-pagereport
And:NewLEVADACENTERPOLL:Pollshowsover80percentofRussianscallsituationinEASTERN
UKRAINEtense,critical,kyivpost.com,8/9
Twothirds(62percent)ofRussiancitizensdescribedthesituationintheeastofUkraineastense;
another20percentcalleditcriticalandexplosive.
And:AlexanderJ.MOTYL,KremlintightensgriponDEVASTATEDDONBAS,wordaffairsjournal.org,
8/4
And:WhatlifeislikeinUkrainiancontrolledSLAVYANSKtwoyearsafterthewar(11pagereport):
http://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3058802
And:Russianjetsdrop[incendiary]THERMITEBOMBSonSyriancity,telegraph.co.uk,8/8
And:FiftyG.O.P.officialswarnDonaldTRUMPwouldputnationssecurityATRISK,nytimes.com,
8/8
FiftyofthenationsmostseniorRepublicannationalsecurityofficials,manyofthemformertopaides
orcabinetmembersforPresidentGeorgeW.Bush,havesignedaletterdeclaringthatDonaldJ.Trump
lacksthecharacter,valuesandexperiencetobepresidentandwouldputatriskourcountrys
nationalsecurityandwellbeingManyofthosesigningithaddeclinedtoaddtheirnamestothe
letterreleasedinMarchbutsaidinrecentinterviewsthattheychangedtheirmindsoncetheyheard
Mr.TrumpinviteRussiatohackMrs.ClintonsemailserverThey[also]viewedMr.Trumps
commentsonNATOasanabandonmentofAmericasmostsignificantalliancerelationship.
And:TatyanaSTANOVAYA,101onSILOVIKIwarsinRussia:Whosideswithwhomandwhoopposes
whom?http://intersectionproject.eu/article/security/101silovikiwarsrussiaItemflaggedby
AndersASLUND
And:DeputyheadofRussianCentralBanklinkedtoMoscowMAFIAReports,themoscotimes.com,
8/9
And:MorethanaquartermillionRussianshavedemandedtheresignationof{Dmitrii]MEDVEDEV,
http://www.rosbalt.ru/russia/2016/08/08/1539031.html
Senttime: 08/22/201609:36:34AM
FW:[GETTINGREADYTOHITTHEROADAGAIN.MESSAGESMAYBECOMEINTERMITTENT][SUN'WEEKINREVIEW'SEC&'ARTS&LEISURE'SEC][MOJO/MBFORW/R]
Subject:
MoreoftheKremlin'sOpponentsAreEndingUpDeadTopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria.[TP/CHER-MFORA/L]Uk
Sent:Sunday,August21,20163:46PM
Subject:[GETTINGREADYTOHITTHEROADAGAIN.MESSAGESMAYBECOMEINTERMITTENT][SUN'WEEKINREVIEW'SEC&'ARTS&LEISURE'SEC][MOJO/MBFORW/R]More
oftheKremlin'sOpponentsAreEndingUpDeadTopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria.[TP/CHER-MFORA/L]Ukr...
Subject:[GETTINGREADYTOHITTHEROADAGAIN.MESSAGESMAYBECOMEINTERMITTENT][SUN'WEEKINREVIEW'SEC&'ARTS&
LEISURE'SEC][MOJO/MBFORW/R]MoreoftheKremlin'sOpponentsAreEndingUpDeadTopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria.[TP/CHER-MFORA/L]
Ukraine'sOlympicGoldmedalsResurrectingtheIncredibleFlowerCrownsofOldUkrainianWeddingPhotos
From:jm200p<jm200p@mac.com>
Subject:MoreofKremlinsOpponentsAreEndingUpDead
Perhapsofinterest!
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/21/world/europe/moscow-kremlin-silence-critics-poison.html?
emc=edit_th_20160821&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=18432982&mtrref=undefined
MoreofKremlinsOpponentsAreEndingUpDead
ByANDREWE.KRAMER
AUG.20,2016
Photo
ThefuneralofAlexanderV.Litvinenko,aPutinopponentwhodiedofradioactivepolonium-210poisoninginLondonin2006.CreditPoolphoto
byCathalMcNaughton
MOSCOWFromacertainperspective,certainlytheKremlins,VladimirKara-MurzasbehaviorinWashingtoncouldbeseenastreasonous,a
brazenbetrayalofhishomeland.
InaseriesofpublicmeetingsonCapitolHill,Mr.Kara-Murza,aleaderintheRussianopposition,urgedAmericanlawmakerstoexpandeconomic
sanctionsagainsttheRussiangovernmentunderalawknownastheMagnitskyAct.ThatwouldhastenpoliticalchangeinRussia,heargued.
BackinMoscowamonthlater,inMay2015,thechangesMr.Kara-Murzadetectedweregoingoninhisownbody.Midwaythroughameetingwith
fellowdissidents,beadsofsweatinexplicablydottedhisforehead.Hisstomachchurned.
Itallwentsofast,herecalled.Inthespaceofabout20minutes,Iwentfromfeelingcompletelynormaltohavingarapidheartrate,reallyhigh
bloodpressure,tosweatingandvomitingallovertheplace,andthenIlostconsciousness.Hehadingestedapoison,doctorstoldhimafterhe
emergedfromaweeklongcoma,thoughtheycouldfindnoidentifiabletraceofit.
WhileMr.Kara-Murzasurvived,fewothersinhispositionhaveprovedaslucky.Hesaidhewascertainhehadbeenthetargetofasecurityservice
poisoning.UsedextensivelyintheSovietera,politicalmurdersareagainplayingaprominentroleintheKremlinsforeignpolicy,themostbrutal
instrumentinanexpandingrepertoireofintimidationtacticsintendedtosilenceorotherwiseintimidatecriticsathomeandabroad.
Russiaspresident,VladimirV.Putin,hasmadenosecretofhisambitiontorestorehiscountrytowhatheseesasitsrightfulplaceamongthe
worldsleadingnations.HehasinvestedconsiderablemoneyandenergyintobuildinganimageofastrongandmorallysuperiorRussia,insharp
contrastwithwhatheportraysasweak,decadentanddisorderlyWesterndemocracies.
DarkArts:RussiasStealthConflict
ThisarticleisthefirstinaseriesonhowRussiacovertlyprojectspower.
Muckrakingjournalists,rightsadvocates,oppositionpoliticians,governmentwhistle-blowersandotherRussianswhothreatenthatimageare
treatedharshlyimprisonedontrumped-upcharges,smearedinthenewsmediaand,withincreasingfrequency,killed.
Politicalmurders,particularlythoseaccomplishedwithpoisons,arenothingnewinRussia,goingbackfivecenturies.Noraretheyparticularly
subtle.Whiletypicallynottraceabletoanyindividualsandplausiblydeniedbygovernmentofficials,poisoningsleavelittledoubtofthestates
involvementwhichmaybepreciselythepoint.
Outsideofpopularculture,therearenohighlyskilledhitmenforhire,MarkGaleotti,aprofessoratNewYorkUniversityandanauthorityon
theRussiansecurityservices,saidinaninterview.Ifitsaskilledjob,thatmeansitsastateasset.
Othercountries,notablyIsraelandtheUnitedStates,pursuetargetedkillings,butinastrictcounterterrorismcontext.Noothermajorpower
employsmurderassystematicallyandruthlesslyasRussiadoesagainstthoseseenasbetrayingitsinterestsabroad.KillingsoutsideRussiawere
evengivenlegalsanctionbythenationsParliamentin2006.
AppliedmostnotoriouslyinthecaseofAlexanderV.Litvinenko,aPutinopponentwhodiedofpolonium-210poisoninginLondonin2006,murders
anddeathsundermysteriouscircumstancesarenowseenassuchamenacethatKremlincriticsnowoftenfleethecountryandkeeptheir
whereaboutssecret.
Russiahasneveracknowledgedusingtheauthorityunderthe2006lawandhasspecificallydeniedanygovernmenttiestohigh-profilecases,
includingtheLitvinenkomurder.
Photo
VladimirKara-Murza,aRussianoppositionleader,saidhehadbeenpoisoned.CreditAlDrago/TheNewYorkTimes
AmongthosefleeingRussiarecentlyisGrigoryRodchenkov,awhistle-blowerinRussiassportsdopingscandal.
Thisisnotwithoutreason.Inthecaseoverstate-sponsoreddoping,twootherofficialswithknowledgeoftheschemediedunexpectedlyasthe
outlinesofthescandalbegantoemerge.Justthismonth,anotherwhistle-blower,YuliaStepanova,arunnerinhidingwithherhusbandinthe
UnitedStates,wasforcedtomoveamidfearsthathackershadfoundherlocation.Ifsomethinghappenstous,shesaid,thenyoushouldknow
thatitisnotanaccident.
Thegovernmentisusingthespecialservicestoliquidateitsenemies,GennadiV.Gudkov,aformermemberofParliamentandonetime
lieutenantcolonelintheK.G.B.,saidinaninterview.ItwasnotjustLitvinenko,butmanyotherswedontknowabout,classifiedasaccidentsor
maybesemi-accidents.
Mostrecently,acoronerruledthatblunt-forcetraumacausedthedeathofaKremlininsider,MikhailY.Lesin,57,inaWashingtonhotelroomlast
year,nottheheartattackhiscolleaguesfirstsaid.InJuly,theRussianInterfaxnewsagencyreportedthatAleksandrPoteyev,64,anintelligence
officeraccusedofdefectingandbetrayingaringofRussianspieslivingundercoverinAmericansuburbs,haddiedintheUnitedStates.
Still,theMagnitskyAct,thelawthatMr.Kara-MurzawasinWashingtonurginglawmakerstoexpand,hasprovedtobeperhapsthemostlethal
topicofallovertheyears.
SergeiL.Magnitsky,alawyerandauditor,wasjailedontaxevasionchargeswhileinvestigatinga$230milliongovernmenttaxrefundthat
corruptRussianofficialshadgrantedtothemselves.Hediedin2009afterhavingbeendeniedessentialmedicalcareinprison,earningtheKremlin
widespreadcondemnation.
Photo
SergeiL.Magnitsky,alawyerandauditor,wasjailedontaxevasionchargeswhileinvestigatingRussiancorruption.Hediedin2009afterhe
wasdeniedessentialmedicalcareinprison.CreditMikhailVoskresensky/Reuters
Inresponse,WilliamF.Browder,anAmericanfinancierwhowasthetargetofthetaxfraudduringtimehespentworkinginRussiaandhad
employedMr.Magnitsky,campaignedinCongressforalawpunishingtheofficialsinvolvedinthemisdeedsandsubsequentmistreatmentofthe
auditor.Theproposedmeasure,whicheventuallypassedin2012astheSergeiMagnitskyRuleofLawandAccountabilityAct,deniedvisasand
blockedaccesstotheAmericanfinancialsystemforRussiansdeemedtohavecommittedrightsabusesandavoidedpunishmentathome
includingthoseinvolvedintheMagnitskytaxfraudcase.
Mr.Putin,perceivinganintrusionintohiscountrysaffairs,campaignedhardagainstthemeasure.Whenitpassed,heretaliatedbyending
AmericanadoptionsofRussianchildren.ThelawbecameaprototypefortheblacklistingofprominentRussiansaccusedofmurders,humanrights
abusesandfinancialtheft,amongotherviolations.
Thequestionofwhowasinvolvedinthetaxfraudbecamevitallyimportantfirsttotheinvestigation,andeventuallytothefinalscopeofthe
legislation.Accesstoinsideinformationbecamepivotaland,itturnedout,lethal.Todate,fivepeoplewhoeitherhandedoversuchinformationor
werepotentialwitnesseshavediedundermysteriouscircumstancesthat,intheirsophistication,suggeststate-sponsoredkillings.
OneofthevictimswasMr.Magnitsky,whosedeathwashardlythestuffofcloak-and-daggersecurityoperations.TwoothersdiedbeforeMr.
Magnitsky.Andasthecasegainedgreaterprominence,othersbegandyingundermysteriouscircumstances.
OnevictimwhosedeathprecededMr.Magnitskys,ValeryKurochkin,apotentialwitnesswhosenameappearedondocumentsrelatedtothe
fraud,fledRussiaforUkrainebutdiedthereofliverfailureattheageof43.
Theother,OktaiGasanov,alow-levelfigureinthefraudcasebutonewhomighthaveshedlightonthegroupsmodusoperandi,diedofheart
failureat53.
Photo
GarryKasparov,theformerchesschampionandcurrentoppositionfigure,in2012.Foradecadeormore,hehashadhisbodyguardscarry
bottledwaterandpreparedmealsforhim.CreditKirillKudryavtsev/AgenceFrance-PresseGettyImages
Then,afterMr.Magnitskysdeathinprison,afourthinsidermetanuntimelyendinaplungefromabalcony.Afifth,abankerlinkedtothe
scheme,AlexanderPerepilichny,madeittoLondonin2009andpassedwire-transferrecordstoSwissinvestigators.In2012,however,attheage
of44andinapparentlyexcellenthealth,hesufferedaheartattackwhilejogging.Policewereleftscratchingtheirheadsoverthebodyfound
crumpledonaroadinawell-guardedhousingdevelopment,hometoKateWinsletandEltonJohn.Anautopsyinitiallydidnothingtoclearupthe
questions.
Itwasnotuntil2015thatabotanistwasabletoidentifythepresumptivecauseofMr.Perepilichnysdeath:Hisstomachheldtracesofgelsemium,
arare,poisonousplantgrownintheHimalayasandknowntohavebeenusedinChineseassassinations.Acoronersinquestisscheduledfor
September.
Allofthissoundslikeparanoidconspiracytheories,Mr.Browdersaidinatelephoneinterview.Buttherearetoomanyofthesehappeningto
importantpeople.Captainsofindustryandlawyersarenotdyingleft,rightandcenterlikethisintheWest.
PoisonhasbeenafavoritetoolofRussianintelligenceformorethanacentury.Abiochemist,GrigoryMairanovski,laboredinsecretfrom1928on
thetaskofdevelopingtasteless,colorlessandodorlesspoisons.In1954,aK.G.B.defectordescribedasecretlabneartheagencysLubyanka
headquartersandexperimentsonlivingpeople.
Theagenciesdevelopedanarsenaloflethal,hard-to-tracepoisonsthat,analystsofRussiansecurityaffairssay,isstillinuse.TheArab-born
terroristknownasKhattabdiedin2002inhismountainhide-outinChechnyaafteropeningaletterlacedwithaformofsarin,anerveagent.
In1995,aRussianbanker,IvanK.Kivelidi,diedaftercomingincontactwithcadmium,whichisdeadlytothetouch.Hissecretarydiedofthesame
symptoms,apparentlybecausethepoisonhadbeenspreadonanofficetelephonehandset.In2008,KarinnaMoskalenko,aRussianlawyer
specializingintakingcasestotheEuropeanCourtofHumanRights,fellillinStrasbourg,France,frommercuryfoundinhercar.
Photo
In2004,anoppositionjournalist,AnnaPolitkovskaya,drankpoisonedteaonanAeroflotflightandsurvived.Shewasshotandkilledinher
apartmentelevatortwoyearslater,andherfuneralwasheldinMoscowinOctober2006.CreditNataliaKolesikova/AgenceFrance-Presse
GettyImages
Andinonecase,aBulgariandissident,GeorgiMarkov,waskilledonWaterlooBridgeinLondonin1978withanumbrellatippedwithapelletof
ricin.
Mistakesabound.In1971,ayearafterhewontheNobelPrizeforliterature,AleksandrSolzhenitsynsurvivedapoisoningattempt.Ricin,made
fromcastorbeans,wasprobablyinvolved,accordingtonewsmediaaccountsandabiographyofthedissidentwriter.Ukrainesformerpro-
Westernpresident,ViktorA.Yushchenko,wasleftwithhisfacedisfiguredafteradioxinpoisoninglikelyconcealedinamealofboiledcrayfish
thatMr.YushchenkoattributedtoRussianassassins.
TheattemptonMr.Kara-Murzaslifeturnedouttobeoneofthosemistakes,thoughthatwasnotimmediatelycertain.Ashiscolleagueslookedon
surprised,Mr.Kara-Murzassweat-coveredheadfloppeddownontoatable.
Thepoisonthrewhimintoaweeklongcomawithapuzzlingrangeofsymptoms,fromswellinginhisbraintokidneyfailure,givinghislegsandarms
abluehue,hiswife,Yevgenia,recalled.
Heendurednervedamagethatlefthimlimping,buthasotherwisemadeafullrecovery.AFrenchlaboratoryfoundheavymetalsinhisbloodbut
wasunabletoidentifyaspecificpoisonorexplainhowhemighthaveingestedthemaccidentally.Mr.Kara-Murza,34,hasinsistedthatpoliceopen
aninvestigation.HeisconvincedheingestedthepoisonduringaflightonAeroflot.
Ifso,itwouldnothavebeenthefirsttimesuchanepisodeoccurred.In2004,theoppositionjournalistAnnaPolitkovskayadrankpoisonedteaon
anAeroflotflightbutsurvived.Shewasshotandkilledinherapartmentelevatortwoyearslater.
Howcanyouprotectyourself?Mr.Kara-Murzaswifeasked.Whatcanyoudo?Noteat?Bringyourownluncheverywhere?Howcanyou
predictapoisoning?
Somedotakeprecautions.GarryKasparov,theformerchesschampionandnowanoppositionfigure,haslonghadbodyguardscarrybottledwater
andpreparedmealsforhim.
InachillingepiloguetoMr.Kara-Murzasordeal,awarningappearedinFebruaryontheInstagramaccountofRamzanA.Kadyrov,theleaderof
Chechnya.ItshowedMr.Kara-MurzaoutsidetheEuropeanParliamentinStrasbourg,wherehewasspeakinginfavorofsanctionsagainstRussia.
Hewasincrosshairs,withthecaption:Thosewhohaventunderstoodwillunderstand.
Subject:TopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria-CNNPolitics.com
http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/21/politics/us-warns-syria-russia-on-attacks/index.html
TopUScommanderwarnsRussia,Syria

ByBarbaraStarr,CNNPentagonCorrespondent
August202016
(CNN)InthemostdirectpublicwarningtoMoscowandDamascustodate,thenewUScommanderofAmericantroopsin
IraqandSyriaisvowingtodefendUSspecialoperationsforcesinnorthernSyriaifregimewarplanesandartilleryagain
attackinareaswheretroopsarelocated.
"We'veinformedtheRussianswherewe'reat...(they)tellusthey'veinformedtheSyrians,andI'djustsaythatwewill
defendourselvesifwefeelthreatened,"Lt.Gen.StephenTownsendtoldCNNinatelephoneinterviewSaturdayfromhis
Baghdadheadquarters.
Lt.Gen.StephenTownsend,commanderofUSforcesinIraqandSyria,tellsCNNhehopesISISwillbedefeatednextyear
anditstopleaderisbeing"hunted."
TownsendisthefirstseniormilitarycommandertospeakontherecordabouttheUSpossiblychallengingtheSyrianAir
Forceinthewakeofanincidentjustdaysago.
Townsend,whotookcommandthisweek,madetheremarksfollowingwhatdefenseofficialsdescribedasan"unusual"
incidentThursdayinnorthernSyriainwhichtheregimeofPresidentBasharal-Assadusedwarplanestoattackanareanear
whereUSspecialoperationsforceswereoperatinginsupportofKurdishforces,whicharetheAmericans'keyallyinthe
conflict.
SeveralUStroopshadtobequicklymoved,andUSjetpatrolsovernorthernSyriahavebeenbeefedup.
RELATED:AerialcloseencounterbetweenUS,Syrianfighterjets
TownsendalsosaidintheinterviewthatheplanstokeepupthepressureonISISandlaidoutanambitiousmilitarygoal:
HetoldCNNhehopestheUS-ledcoalitioncan"defeatISILinIraqandSyriainthisnextyear."
Townsendemphasizedheisawarethatmaybeambitious,butheadded,"That'smygoal.Iamintenttodothat."
WhenaskedhowhewoulddefinethedefeatofISIS,thegeneralsaiditwouldbewhentheso-calledcaliphatenolonger
existsanddoesnotcontrolsignificantpopulationcenters.
"DoIthinkISILwillbegonefromIraqandSyria?"heasked,usinganotheracronymforISIS."No.ButIwantthemoutof
thecities."
TownsendwasbluntindiscussingtheseniorleadersofISIS.
"Iwantthemdeadorontheruninaholesomewhereinthedesert,andsignificantlylessofathreat,"hesaid.
Meanwhile,ISISisstillplanningglobalattacks,Townsendsaid,addingthatthegroup'sleader,AbuBakralBaghdadi,
remainsinchargeandcontinuestoissueordersthatarecommunicatedandfollowed.
BaghdadiandotherISISleadersarebeing"activelyhunted,"Townsendsaid.
TheUShaslongbelievedseniorleadersareinandaroundthecityofRaqqainSyria,theISIS-proclaimedcapitalofits
caliphate.TownsendsaidlocalArabandKurdishfighters,trainedbytheUS,couldstartmovingintoareasoutsideRaqqain
comingweeks.
From:TarasPodilsky<bulba@telusplanet.net>
Subject:Fw:Ukraine'sOlympicGoldmedals
To:TarasPodilsky<bulba@telusplanet.net>
ForthosewhowanttocelebrateUkrainesGoldenOlympiansandtoseetheUkrainiannationalanthemsungatOlympicGoldmedalceremonies,checkout
thefollowingtwolinks:
http://censor.net.ua/video_news/402279/u_ukrainy_esche_odno_olimpiyiskoe_zoloto_yuriyi_cheban_pobedil_v_greble_na_kanoe_obnovleno_videofotoreportaj
and
http://censor.net.ua/video_news/402015/gimnast_vernyaev_prines_ukraine_pervoe_zoloto_na_olimpiade_v_rio_fotoreportajvideo
Subject:AtlasObscura:ResurrectingtheIncredibleFlowerCrownsofOldUkrainianWeddingPhotos
ResurrectingtheIncredibleFlowerCrownsofOldUkrainianWeddingPhotos
AtlasObscura
Pinterestboardsaroundtheworld,unite.Readthefullstory
SharedfromAppleNews
From: ChrisBort<chris.bort@gmail.com>
Senttime: 08/07/201605:27:36PM
To: RobertOtto<robertotto25@gmail.com>
Re:LatyninaonKompromat(Trump,Igorsrealandunreal,StPrincessOlga,Sechin&Khodorkovsky,Shuvalov&Usmanov,BeatingupNavalnyy
Subject:
(andlaterapologizingsorta)theOlympics
ItwasfascinatingtohearherrantonandonaboutNavalnyyforsupposedlyignoringtheSechinstoryandthenhavetoretracther
rant.:)
2016-08-073:00GMT-04:00RobertOtto<robertotto25@gmail.com>:
http://echo.msk.ru/programs/code/1814742-echo/shereallydoesntcareforNavalnyyonSHuvalovthisisat
leastthe2ndtime
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From: MargaretH<m.hh1@hotmail.com>
Senttime: 08/07/201608:20:59AM
To: Bob<robertotto25@gmail.com>
Subject: RE:Ex-CIAspookwhowhitewashedBenghaziendorsesHillary|NewYorkPost
And,inhisbook,hesaidsomethingaboutCurveBall'sinfohavingbeenusedbecauseitwasgood.....hmmmm
SentfrommyVerizon,SamsungGalaxysmartphone
--------Originalmessage--------
From:Bob<robertotto25@gmail.com>
Date:8/6/1610:09(GMT-05:00)
To:MargaretH<m.hh1@hotmail.com>
Subject:Ex-CIAspookwhowhitewashedBenghaziendorsesHillary|NewYorkPost
http://nypost.com/2016/08/05/that-spooks-for-hillary-endorsement-came-from-the-guy-who-took-al-qaeda-out-of-the-benghazi-
talking-points/
Ex-CIAspookwhowhitewashedBenghaziendorsesHillary
Hillaryhasbecomeaspookscandidate.FormerdeputyCIADirectorMichaelMorell,whosoconvenientlycoveredhertracksin
Benghazi,hasnowconfirmedit.
InaglowingendorsementhisfriendsatTheNewYorkTimesprominentlyfeaturedFriday,Morellgavehisfull-throatedsupportto
Clinton,whileinsistingthathewasnopartisanandhadevenvotedRepublicaninthepast.
Likeanobedientpartyhackvyingforanewjob,MorellspoutedthepartylinethatDonaldTrumpwasnotonlyunqualifiedforthejob,
buthemaywellposeathreattoournationalsecurity.
ModalTrigger MichaelMorellPhoto:Getty
Thosearestrongwords,especiallycomingfromsomeonewhoweareledtobelieveisanunimpeachablesource.Butishe?
Thenon-partisanMorellwascaughtmis-speakingtoCongressabouthisroleinsanitizingtheinfamousCIAtalkingpointsprepared
forUSAmbassadorSusanRicetodeliverontheSundaytalkshowsaftertheBenghaziattacks.Andwhenhewascaughtout,likea
faithfulsoldier,hefellonhissword.
Hereshowithappened:AfterSusanRicesoutlandishclaimsontheSundaytalkshowsthattheBenghaziattacksbeganasaspontaneous
protestoverahatefulYouTubevideo,Congressbeganaskingwhereshehadgottenthatinformation.Thisishowlawmakersdiscovered
thattheintelligencecommunityhaddraftedhertalkingpoints,withinputfromtheWhiteHouseandHillaryClintonsstaff.
EarlydraftsofthetalkingpointsincludedamentionofalQaeda.Butthatreferencewasremovedinthefinaldrafts.Sen.LindsayGraham
explainedtomewhathappenednext.
OnNov.27,2012,MorellandSusanRicecameintomyoffice,hetoldme.IaskedMorellwhochanged[thetalkingpoints].Hesaid,
theFBIdeletedthereferencetoalQaedabecauseofanongoingcriminalinvestigation.SoIcalledtheFBI.Theysaid,no,theydidnt
changethetalkingpoints.Theywerefurious.
Apparently,thatwasanunderstatement:SomeoneataseniorlevelatFBIcalledtheCIAtoprotestdirectly.Grahamcontinuedthestory:
At4p.m.thatday,CIAcalledmeandsaidMorellmis-spokeinhismeetingwithme,andthatCIAdeleted[thereferencetoalQaeda],
buttheycouldntgiveareasonwhy.
Grahamthoughtthereasonwasobvious:IfthetruthhadbeenknownthatalQaedakilledfourAmericanssevenweeksbeforean
election,itwouldhavebeenadifferentpoliticalstory.
RememberwhatObamaandhissurrogatesweresaying?Osamaisdead,GMisalive.Thatwastheircampaignmantra.
Infact,itwasMorellhimselfwhomadethosechanges.
MorellsubsequentlytestifiedbeforetheHouseSelectCommitteeonIntelligence,andeventuallybeforetheBenghaziSelectCommittee,
twistinghimselfintoapretzeltoexplainwhyheremovedanymentionofthealQaedainvolvementintheattacks.
HeultimatelyclaimedhebelievednewsreportscallingtheBenghaziattacksaprotestgonewildweremorecrediblethanrepeatede-mails
andcablesfromhisownstationchiefinLibyainsistingtherehadneverbeenaprotest.
Itwasanadmissionofgrossincompetenceorpartisanship.ButthatwasthepartylineClintonwasputtingout.
Morellwasrewardedafterthe2012election.WhenheretiredfromCIA,MorelltookapositionwithBeaconGlobalStrategies,acompany
cofoundedbyAndrewShapiroandPhilippeReines,membersofHillaryClintonsinnercircleattheStateDepartment.
InhisTimesop-ed,MorellclaimsDonaldTrumpisanunwittingagentofRussiabecausehemakesfriendlyremarkstowardPutin.But
TrumphasnevertakenadimefromPutin.Aswenowknow,Clintonandherhusbandhavebothprofitedhandsomelyfromtheirrelations
toRussianstate-ownedbanksandcorporationsandactuallyhelpedRussiagetitshandsonacompanywithrightstoafifthofUS
uranium.DoesthatmakeherawittingagentofRussia?
Thisformerspookswillingnesstoskewerthetruthonbehalfofapoliticalpatronshouldsufficetomakeanythinkingpersonrejecthis
judgment.
AsforthetruthaboutHillary,well,weveseenhersellingpoliticalfavorstoforeigncountriesandcompanieswhilesecretaryofstate
throughtheClintonFoundation.AndlyingtothepublicincessantlyaboutBenghazi,here-mails,younameit.Justimaginewhatshell
doifelectedpresident.
KennethR.Timmermanslatestbook,Deception:theMakingoftheYouTubeVideoHillaryandObamaBlamedforBenghazi,was
releasedtwoweeksagoandisalreadyinits4thprinting.
SentfrommyiPad
Senttime: 08/07/201612:00:53AM
To: RobertOtto<OttoRC@state.gov>
BCc: swallen@1scom.netchris.bort@gmail.comnaterey80@gmail.comdonald.jensen8@gmail.com
LatyninaonKompromat(Trump,Igorsrealandunreal,StPrincessOlga,Sechin&Khodorkovsky,Shuvalov&Usmanov,BeatingupNavalnyy(and
Subject:
laterapologizingsorta)theOlympics
http://echo.msk.ru/programs/code/1814742-echo/shereallydoesntcareforNavalnyyonSHuvalovthisisat
leastthe2ndtime
:::
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,01.08.2016.
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Senttime: 08/09/201608:57:02AM
FW:[LATENIGHTRUN/MNT8-8][JDDDII&III&IV]]Fwd:FW:RUequipment[SightedonN.Crimeaborder]PL&RU:PipelineWarsRUartillerybreakthrough..[ANT/F
Subject:
DDII]RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraine/Thebestgolddrugscan...
Sent:Monday,August08,20169:49PM
Subject:Fwd:[LATENIGHTRUN/MNT8-8][JDDDII&III&IV]]Fwd:FW:RUequipment[SightedonN.Crimeaborder]PL&RU:PipelineWarsRUartillery
breakthrough..[ANT/FDDII]RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraine/Thebestgolddrugscan...
Subject:[LATENIGHTRUN/MNT8-8][JDDDII&III&IV]]Fwd:FW:RUequipment[SightedonN.Crimeaborder]PL&RU:PipelineWarsRU
artillerybreakthrough..[ANT/FDDII]RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraine/Thebestgolddrugscanbuy/+..[BZ]Turkey's
ErdoganunnervesWestwithPutinvisit
Subject:FW:R[U]equipment
Subject:Requipment
http://www.rferl.org/content/ukrainecrimeamilitarybuildup/27906239.html?
Activists: Russian Military Hardware Sighted Along Northern Crimea

Border
www.rferl.org
Crimean Tatar activists have reported armed checkpoints being erected at scattered sites around
the Russianoccupied peninsula, and unusually large concentrations of Russian hardware in
northern regions.
Subject:FW:PolandandR[U]
Subject:PolandandR
http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/05/polandtakesaimatputinspipedreams/?
Poland Takes Aim at Putins Pipe Dreams

foreignpolicy.com
Warsaw may have finally thrown a wrench into the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, Moscow's controversial
plan to double down on its dominance of Europes energy
Subject:FW:RandWeapons
To:ThomasHHenriksen<thomash@stanford.edu>
Subject:RandWeapons
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/globalopinions/russiassuperiornewweapons/2016/08/05/e86334ec08c511e6bdcb
0133da18418d_story.html?utm_campaign=Defense%20EBB%20080816&utm_medium=email&utm_source=Sailthru
Russias superior new weapons

www.washingtonpost.com
The performance of Russian artillery in Ukraine shows that Moscow has a technological jump on
us.

Subject:RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraine/Thebestgolddrugscanbuy/+
To:
JamesMiller
RumorsSwirlAboutImminentRussianAttackOnUkraineAsMilitaryMovementsSpikehttp://bit.ly/2aZCkcH
DWSIntel
ThisisaveryroughmapofdifferentRussianunitmovementsinthepast2weeksorsonearUkraine.
RyskeldiSatke
Ukrainemovesmoretroops&heavygeartoRussiaoccupiedperimeterinCrimea
http://zn.ua/UKRAINE/sily-vsu-v-hersonskoy-oblasti-usilili-dopolnitelnym-vooruzheniem-i-lichnym-sostavom-220994_.html
TrumpmayaccomplishwhatahundredSovietmilitarydivisionscouldnotdothroughouttheColdWar:breakNATOandendthesuccessful
alliancebetweenthetransatlanticdemocracies.
http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/defense/290703-why-trump-is-now-the-most-dangerous-man-in-the-world
Dr.BenitezisthedirectorofNATOSourceandaseniorfellowattheAtlanticCouncil'sBrentScowcroftCenteronInternationalSecurity.
RussiantraitorwhoexposedAnnaChapman'sspyringdeadinUSreports(RT!)
Publishedtime:7Jul,2016
http://www.rt.com/news/349932-russia-spy-dead-us/
2012story
http://www.rt.com/usa/spy-anna-chapman-official-156/
InsidersnowattestthattheUSFederalBureauofInvestigationactedasquicklyastheydidinapprehendingRussiannationalAnnaChapmanin
2010becausethespywasthoughttobeattemptingtosleepwithamemberofUSPresidentBarackObamascabinet.Accordingtoanew
interviewwiththeBBC,theassistantFBIdirectorforcounterintelligence,C.FrankFigliuzzi,claimstheagencybelievedthatclosenessbetween
Chapmanandanunnamedcabinetofficialpromptedauthoritiestoswoopinbeforethespycouldpenetratethepresidentsinsidecircleandcome
intocontactwithclassifiedinformation.
Thebestgolddrugscanbuy
http://sports.yahoo.com/news/american-swimmer-calls-out-russian-rival-for-drug-cheating-020213844.html
...
EfimovawasoneofsevenRussianswimmerswhohadbeenbannedfromRioseveralweeksagoshewasreinstatedjustbeforethestartofthe
Games.Shehadpreviouslyserveda16-monthsuspensionfordoping.Efimovahadfailedatestforthenewly-bannedsubstancemeldonium,the
samesubstancefoundinsamplesfromtennisstarMariaSharapova,thoughEfimovastestwasoverturnedonappeal.
EfimovaswamherpreliminaryeventwiththesoundsofboosfromtheRioOlympicAquaticsStadiumallaroundherSundaynight.
...
OnMon,Aug8,2016at5:10PM,BohdanZaryckyjtexted:
Turkey'sErdoganunnervesWestwithPutinvisit
ByMichaelSahlinStockholmUniversityInstituteforTurkishStudies
ImagecopyrightAFPImagecaptionPresidentPutinhitTurkeywitharaftofsanctionsafteraRussianattackjetwasshotdownintheTurkey-Syriaborderarea
Inviewofthecurrent"frost"intheAKPgovernment'srelationswithboththeUSandtheEU,PresidentRecepTayyipErdogan'sdecisiontochooseRussiafor
hisfirstofficialvisitabroadsincethebotchedcoupappearsrichinsymbolism.Turkeyhasseenanupheavalinitsforeignanddomesticpolitics,
exacerbatedbythenear-disastrouscoupattempton15July.
AndWesternleaderswillbelookingonnervously.
TheEU'smigrantdealwithTurkeyhasrunintotroubleandtheUSisunderpressuretoextraditeself-exiledIslamicleaderFethullahGulen,whomTurkeyblames
forthecoup.
ButTuesday'svisitisnotasnapdecisionbytheTurkishstateinreactiontoaperceivedlackofvisibleandcredibleWesternsupportintimesofcrisis,norisitin
appreciationofPresidentPutin'sswiftsupport.
Thehistorygoesfartherbackthanthat.
Moreonthisstory:
Turkey'sorry'fordowningRussianjet
CanRussiaandTurkeyhealrift?
WhatyouneedtoknowaboutTurkey'sattemptedcoup
SomeyearsagoAhmetDavutoglu,Turkey'sthenforeignministerandlaterprimeminister,coinedtheslogan"Zeroproblemswithallneighbours"asTurkey
adapteditspolicytomeetthewaveofchangesduringtheso-calledArabSpring.
Bytheendoflastyear,theTurkishleadershiphadproblemswithallitsneighboursandpartnersandadiminishingcrowdoffriends,becauseofnegative
developmentsinSyriaandIraqaswellasfailuresinTurkishpolicy.
AndasTurkey'ssecurityinterestshaveworsenedinSyria,withKurdishmilitantseithersideoftheborder,ithasclearlybecomeastrategicnecessityforAnkara
tobowtorealitiesandlookforopportunitiesforanhonourableretreat.
ThisappliesinparticulartotheTurkishgovernmentspolicytowardsRussia.
ImagecopyrightREUTERSImagecaptionInNovemberTurkeyshotdownaRussianwarplaneinamountainousareaofnorthernSyria
Earlierrelationswerebasedessentiallyandpragmaticallyonanumberofpointsofeconomicinterdependence.
TurkeyneededRussianpetroleumdeliveries,accesstonuclearandotherelementsoftechnology.ItalsoreliedonaccesstotheRussianmarketandacontinued
flowofRussiantourists.
RussianeededTurkey'senergymarketanditsterritorytoo,totransportenergysupplies.
BothalsohadajointinterestinbasicstabilityintheBlackSeaarea,inviewofthe1936MontreuxDeclarationonaccesstotheBosphorusandDardanelles
straits.
ButthedowningoftheRussianSU-24fighterjeton24November2015dramaticallyraisedTurkish-RussiantensionswithinweeksofRussia'smilitary
interventionbackingupPresidentBasharal-AssadinSyria.
Syria'sleaderhasbecomePresidentErdogan'sswornenemyoflate.andMrPutin'sensuingpunitiveactionshavehurtTurkeyeconomicallyandpolitically.
Resettingrelations
ItcameasnosurprisewhenTurkeysignalledachangeinpolicyinmid-May.
OutwentPrimeMinisterAhmetDavutogluandincameBinaliYildirim,whosoonannouncedthatthetimehadcomeforTurkeyto"decreasethenumberof
enemiesandincreasethenumberoffriends",clearlyalludingtoRussiaandIsraelforstarters.
SincethenPresidentErdoganhasissuedsomekindofrare"apology",deemedpoliticallysufficientbyteamPutin-althoughRussianForeignMinisterSergei
Lavrovhasinsistedthatsustainablenormalisationwilldependonhowthetwocountriesco-operateinthequagmireoftheSyriacrisis.
MrErdogantakestoStPetersburgaverybroadagendaandahugedelegation.ThetwostatesareexpectedtoresettheTurkishStreamgaspipelineproject,as
wellascovernuclearpowerplantconstructionandperhapsotherenergyrelateditems.
Theywillalsoincluderesumingtourism,foodexportsandconstruction,whichhaveallbeenhithardsinceRussiaimposedsanctionsinNovember.
PresumablysomeeffortswillalsobemadetoclearthewayforsomeunderstandingonSyria.
ButthesymbolicnatureofthisvisitwithinweeksofthebotchedcoupisfarfromlostonthoseintheUSandEUwhoaresearchingforsignsofpossible
permanentpolicychange.
TurkeyisafterallakeyNatopower.Andithasnewsensitivitiessincethetraumaticeventsof15July,whiletheWesthasbeenuneasyatPresidentErdogan's
heavy-handednessbeforeandespeciallysincetheattemptedcoup.
TothedelightofPresidentPutin,MrErdoganispresumablyhappytokeeptheWestwondering,andsweating,fornow.
ByDrMichaelSahlin,retiredSwedishAmbassadoranddistinguishedassociatefellowatStockholmUniversityInstituteforTurkishStudies(SUITS)
Senttime: 08/05/201611:18:43PM
To: JohnWilliams<willijp1@yahoo.com>
Subject: 3reasonsRussiasVladimirPutinmightwanttointerfereintheUSpresidentialelections-VoxFIONA
http://www.vox.com/2016/7/27/12304448/putin-elections-dnc-hack
3reasonsRussiasVladimirPutinmightwantto
interfereintheUSpresidentialelections
TheClintoncampaign,amongothers,hasaccusedVladimirPutinofencouragingRussian
intelligencetohacktheDemocraticNationalCommittee(DNC)filesandhandoverthousandsof
emailstoWikiLeaksaspartofabroaderschemetogetDonaldTrumpelectedpresident.
ButwhywouldPutinevenwanttoinfluencetheUSpresidentialelection?Thereareseveral
reasonsRussiamightwantstiruptroubleinanalreadycontentiouscampaign.Russianviewsof
theUnitedStatesareatalowpointPutinbelievestheUSplaysitsownnefariousgamesin
RussianpoliticsandMoscowwouldliketoundermineUSinternationalcredibilitybyhighlighting
thedeficienciesinAmericanpartypolitics.
PutinthinkstheUSalreadydidittohimfirst
AsfarasPutinandhisinnercircleareconcerned,itwastheUnitedStatesthatmovedfirstto
meddleinRussianpoliticswhenPutindecidedtoreturnforathirdterm.In2011-12,Russian
demonstratorstooktothestreetstoprotestelectoralviolationsintheparliamentaryelectionsand
thelackofalternativecandidatestoPutininthepresidentialelection.Putinandhisinnercircle
believedtheUSwastoblame.Putinevenassertedthatthen-SecretaryofStateHillaryClinton
hadeitherincitedordirectlyfinancedthedemonstrations.
InPutinsmindset,theWestalwaystriestobringRussiadown.Nextyearwillbethe100th
anniversaryoftheRussianRevolution,andthisyearmarksthe25thanniversaryofthe
dissolutionoftheSovietUnion.IntheRussianworldview,firstGermanyinWorldWarIandthen
theUnitedStatesintheColdWartookadvantageofdomesticdivisionsandvulnerabilitiesandthe
Russianstatecollapsedtwiceinonecentury.
SooneofPutinsprimaryobjectivesistoforceWesternleaderstobackoffinordertomakesure
thisdoesnthappenagain.PutinwantstheUnitedStatesandotherWesterngovernmentstostop
funding,aspartoftheirforeignpolicies,organizationsthatpromotepoliticalandeconomic
transformationsinRussia.HealsowantstoblockUSofficialsfrommeetingwithopposition
figuresandparties.FromPutinsperspective,democracypromotionisjustacoverforregime
change.
PutinthinksandactslikeaKGBoperative
BeforehewastheleaderofRussia,VladimirPutinwasanofficerintheKGB,theSoviet-era
secretintelligenceservice,andthatexperiencecontinuestoshapehisviewsandactions.Putin
approacheshisdealingswiththeUnitedStateswiththelogicofacovertoperative,steepedin
plotsandconspiracies.Healsousesanintelligenceoperativestools.Hespreparedtofightdirty,
andhereliesontheelementoftacticalsurprisetoensuremaximumeffect.
Putinhastwofeaturesthatdistinguishhimfromotherworldleaders.Asheputsit,heknowshow
toworkwithpeopleandworkwithinformation.IntheKGB,Putinlearnedhowtoprobe
peoplesvulnerabilities,uncovertheirsecrets,andusecompromisinginformationagainstthem.In
otherwords,blackmailandintimidationarepartofhisstockintrade.
Inhisview,otherworldleadersareessentiallytargets.Hegathersinformationandcarefully
tailorshisapproachtoeachleadertoseehowhecanoutmaneuverthem.Inoneinfamousand
blatantepisode,PutinplayedonGermanChancellorAngelaMerkelsfearofdogstoputheredge
duringaone-on-onemeetingathisdacha.HeallowedhisblackLabradortosniffaroundandlie
atherfeet.Onnumerousotheroccasions,PutinhassignaledtovisitingWesternofficialsthathe
knowspersonalinformationfromtheiroldKGBfiles.
Putinalsoknowshowtoplaythemedia.Russiaalreadyhasalongtraditionofpropagandaand
informationwarfare,butPutinisamastermanipulator.Earlyinhispresidency,hedescribedthe
pressasaninstrumentthathewoulddeployintheserviceofthestate.TheKremlinhastrained
itsownbloggerstocreatecontentontheinternet.Ithashiredpublicrelationsfirmstoimproveits
mediastrategy.Kremlin-sponsoredfocusgroupshavehelpedhonemessaging.Asliesarepartof
thecoinoftheintelligenceoperativeandfactsarefungible,therehavebeenfewconstraintson
creativecontent.
TheRussianmediamachinefunctionsasahugepsychologicaloperation,akindofmassivepro-
PutinSuperPAC.Athome,itralliestheRussianpublicaroundtheflagbypublicizingthedamage
Russiasenemiesaretryingtoinflict.Abroad,itfocusesonscandalsthatunderscorethehubris,
hypocrisy,andfailingsofWesternpoliticalsystems.
TheDNCfilesmaynothavebeengiventoWikiLeaksbyRussianintelligence,buttheselective
releaseofemailcaches,atajuncturewhentheyarelikelytogainthegreatestinternationalmedia
attentionandhavethemostnegativepoliticalimpactintheUnitedStates,doeshavethe
hallmarksofacarefullyconsideredoperation.ForVladimirPutin,whoseeshimselfaslockedina
struggleforinfluencewiththeUnitedStates,thiswouldallbefairgame.
PutinwantsaweakenedUSpresidency
ThereismuchspeculationthatPutinmayseeDonaldTrumpassomeonehecandobusiness
with,andthathehasagrudgeagainstHillaryClinton.TrumpspraiseofPutinasastrong
leaderisanotablebreakwiththegeneraltrendofUSpoliticiansandopinionleaderscastigating
PutinandcriticizingRussia,andPutinhasmadeseeminglycomplimentarycommentsabout
Trumpinreturn.
Incontrast,inpublicandprivate,PutinandotherRussianofficialshavemadeitclearthatthey
haveanegativeopinionofClinton.Ina2014interviewwithFrenchtelevision,forexample,
PutinlambastedClintonforremarksshehadmadeabouthim,notingthatitwasbetternotto
arguewithwomenandthatClintonwasnevertoogracefulinherstatements.
Whateverhispersonalpreferences,though,Putincannotreasonablyexpecttoinfluencethe
outcomeoftheUSpresidentialelection.Thebesthecanhopeforistoreducetheabilityof
whoevercomesintotheOvalOfficetopursuepoliciesthataredetrimentaltoPutinsandRussias
interests.
Rightnow,PutinwantstheUStoremovesanctionsimposedonRussiaafteritsannexationof
CrimeainMarch2014.Perhapsevenmoreimportantly,Russiahasparliamentaryelectionsthis
September,andpresidentialelectionsagainin2018,whenPutinisexpectedtorunforafourth
term.TheKremlindoesnotwantarepeatoftheprotestsof2011-12,andcertainlyno
pronouncementsfromtheUSaboutwhethertheelectionsarefreeandfairorwhetherPutinhasa
genuinepopularmandateforhisnextpresidency.
Againstthisbackdrop,theinformationfromtheDNCfilesunderscoresfortheRussianpublic,
andtheoutsideworld,thatUSpartypoliticsisjustasdirtyasinRussiaoranywhereelse.The
USlooksalotlesscredibleasthemoralauthorityontheconductofelections.
IrrespectiveofwhetherDonaldTrumporHillaryClintoniselected,fromMoscowsperspective,
attheendofthisruinouspoliticalcampaign,thenewUSpresidentwilllookaswoundedasPutin
didwhenhetookofficeagainin2012.AUSpresidentwhoiselectedamidcontroversyand
recrimination,reviledbyalargesegmentoftheelectorate,andmiredindomesticcriseswillbe
hard-pressedtoforgeacoherentforeignpolicyandchallengeRussia.
FionaHillisaseniorfellowanddirectoroftheCenterontheUnitedStatesandEuropeatthe
BrookingsInstitution.AformerUSnationalintelligenceofficerforRussiaandEurasia,sheis
co-authorofMr.Putin:OperativeintheKremlin.
From: Bob<robertotto25@gmail.com>
Senttime: 08/06/201607:03:53AM
To: MargaretH<m.hh1@hotmail.com>
Subject: Ex-CIAspookwhowhitewashedBenghaziendorsesHillary|NewYorkPost
Hillaryhasbecomeaspookscandidate.FormerdeputyCIADirectorMichaelMorell,whosoconvenientlycoveredher
tracksinBenghazi,hasnowconfirmedit.
InaglowingendorsementhisfriendsatTheNewYorkTimesprominentlyfeaturedFriday,Morellgavehisfull-throated
supporttoClinton,whileinsistingthathewasnopartisanandhadevenvotedRepublicaninthepast.
Likeanobedientpartyhackvyingforanewjob,MorellspoutedthepartylinethatDonaldTrumpwasnotonly
unqualifiedforthejob,buthemaywellposeathreattoournationalsecurity.
ModalTrigger
MichaelMorellPhoto:Getty
Thosearestrongwords,especiallycomingfromsomeonewhoweareledtobelieveisanunimpeachablesource.Butis
he?
Thenon-partisanMorellwascaughtmis-speakingtoCongressabouthisroleinsanitizingtheinfamousCIAtalking
pointspreparedforUSAmbassadorSusanRicetodeliverontheSundaytalkshowsaftertheBenghaziattacks.And
whenhewascaughtout,likeafaithfulsoldier,hefellonhissword.
Hereshowithappened:AfterSusanRicesoutlandishclaimsontheSundaytalkshowsthattheBenghaziattacksbegan
asaspontaneousprotestoverahatefulYouTubevideo,Congressbeganaskingwhereshehadgottenthatinformation.
Thisishowlawmakersdiscoveredthattheintelligencecommunityhaddraftedhertalkingpoints,withinputfromtheWhite
HouseandHillaryClintonsstaff.
EarlydraftsofthetalkingpointsincludedamentionofalQaeda.Butthatreferencewasremovedinthefinaldrafts.Sen.
LindsayGrahamexplainedtomewhathappenednext.
OnNov.27,2012,MorellandSusanRicecameintomyoffice,hetoldme.IaskedMorellwhochanged[thetalking
points].Hesaid,theFBIdeletedthereferencetoalQaedabecauseofanongoingcriminalinvestigation.SoIcalledthe
FBI.Theysaid,no,theydidntchangethetalkingpoints.Theywerefurious.
Apparently,thatwasanunderstatement:SomeoneataseniorlevelatFBIcalledtheCIAtoprotestdirectly.Graham
continuedthestory:At4p.m.thatday,CIAcalledmeandsaidMorellmis-spokeinhismeetingwithme,andthatCIA
deleted[thereferencetoalQaeda],buttheycouldntgiveareasonwhy.
Grahamthoughtthereasonwasobvious:IfthetruthhadbeenknownthatalQaedakilledfourAmericanssevenweeks
beforeanelection,itwouldhavebeenadifferentpoliticalstory.
RememberwhatObamaandhissurrogatesweresaying?Osamaisdead,GMisalive.Thatwastheircampaignmantra.
Infact,itwasMorellhimselfwhomadethosechanges.
MorellsubsequentlytestifiedbeforetheHouseSelectCommitteeonIntelligence,andeventuallybeforetheBenghazi
SelectCommittee,twistinghimselfintoapretzeltoexplainwhyheremovedanymentionofthealQaedainvolvementin
theattacks.
HeultimatelyclaimedhebelievednewsreportscallingtheBenghaziattacksaprotestgonewildweremorecrediblethan
repeatede-mailsandcablesfromhisownstationchiefinLibyainsistingtherehadneverbeenaprotest.
Itwasanadmissionofgrossincompetenceorpartisanship.ButthatwasthepartylineClintonwasputtingout.
Morellwasrewardedafterthe2012election.WhenheretiredfromCIA,MorelltookapositionwithBeaconGlobal
Strategies,acompanycofoundedbyAndrewShapiroandPhilippeReines,membersofHillaryClintonsinnercircleatthe
StateDepartment.
InhisTimesop-ed,MorellclaimsDonaldTrumpisanunwittingagentofRussiabecausehemakesfriendlyremarks
towardPutin.ButTrumphasnevertakenadimefromPutin.Aswenowknow,Clintonandherhusbandhaveboth
profitedhandsomelyfromtheirrelationstoRussianstate-ownedbanksandcorporationsandactuallyhelpedRussia
getitshandsonacompanywithrightstoafifthofUSuranium.DoesthatmakeherawittingagentofRussia?
Thisformerspookswillingnesstoskewerthetruthonbehalfofapoliticalpatronshouldsufficetomakeanythinking
personrejecthisjudgment.
AsforthetruthaboutHillary,well,weveseenhersellingpoliticalfavorstoforeigncountriesandcompanieswhile
secretaryofstatethroughtheClintonFoundation.AndlyingtothepublicincessantlyaboutBenghazi,here-mails,you
nameit.Justimaginewhatshelldoifelectedpresident.
KennethR.Timmermanslatestbook,Deception:theMakingoftheYouTubeVideoHillaryandObamaBlamedfor
Benghazi,wasreleasedtwoweeksagoandisalreadyinits4thprinting.
SentfrommyiPad
Senttime: 08/06/201608:25:48AM
FW:[LATEAUGFRIEVE&WEEKENDREADING][PB/VRT..PING&PONGI]FIRST:NYTREPORTSOlympicOfficialsSetRUs
Subject: RosterMoreThan100AreBarredBBCREPORTS:Rio2016Olympics:Russians'havecleanestteam'as271athletesclearedtocompete..
[PING...
Attachments: Briefing_JOH-28.07.16.ppt
Sent:Friday,August05,20167:17PM
Subject:Fwd:[LATEAUGFRIEVE&WEEKENDREADING][PB/VRT..PING&PONGI]FIRST:NYTREPORTSOlympicOfficialsSetRUs
RosterMoreThan100AreBarredBBCREPORTS:Rio2016Olympics:Russians'havecleanestteam'as271athletesclearedto
compete..[PING...
Date:Fri,Aug5,2016at10:14PM
Subject:[LATEAUGFRIEVE&WEEKENDREADING][PB/VRT..PING&PONGI]FIRST:NYTREPORTSOlympic
OfficialsSetRUsRosterMoreThan100AreBarredBBCREPORTS:Rio2016Olympics:Russians'havecleanestteam'as
271athletesclearedtocompete..[PINGANDPONGII][PB/2X]DB:TrumpCampaignChangedUAPlatform&
DiscardedMinutesofMeetingNYT:ThePerilsofWritingOffMr.Trump[HU/2X]RUBuildup???Yeah!!'GunsofAugust
Redux'..[C/AY]BriefingsfromtheGeneralStaffofUkrainianAF[PARTII
Date:Fri,Aug5,2016at10:41AM
Subject:OlympicOfficialsSetRussiasRosterMoreThan100AreBarredforDoping-TheNewYorkTimes[ED:
Whichmeansthatmore270willclear?Nay!!!..Guesswhat:Yea!!SeeNextMemo!!]
Attheendoftheday,RussiamoneyprevailsintheOlympics.Putin'shypocriticallamentsaboutcollectivepunishment(something
thatjustneverhappensinRussia--askanyCrimeanTatar)frameRussia'scase.RussiancorruptionofthecoreoftheOlympic
CommitteeofferedtoomanywaysofRussiandoperstosnaketheirwaythroughthesystem.EasilymanipulatedbyslickRUPR
whiningabout"goodsportsmanship",theUS/EU,onceagain,failedtoleadtheOlympicstoanythingresemblingfairnessor
justice.Russiancashandendemiccorruptionprevailed.Thelessonlearnedis:"Cheatallyouwant.Ifyougetcaught,youmay
gettossed,butRussiawillprevailbecausetheycan'tpossiblycatchusall!"Onceagainthe"West"hasfailedtomusterthecourage
tostandbehinditsallegedconvictionsandfacedownRussia'sperversionofthosevalues.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/05/sports/olympics/rio-russians-barred-doping.html?smprod=nytcore-iphone&smid=nytcore-
iphone-share&wpmm=1&wpisrc=nl_daily202&_r=0

From:VRT
Subject:GetALoadofThis:Rio2016Olympics:Russians'havecleanestteam'as271athletesclearedto
compete[ED:Andtheworldmedia(alotofAPno-namestringersinthemix)haskeptharpingabout'corruptionin
UA'???JeezwhatcanyouthensayaboutIOC???]
Rio2016Olympics:Russians'havecleanestteam'
as271athletesclearedtocompete
FromthesectionOlympics
Sharethispage
RussiawillbeabletohaveaboxingteamatRio2016,whichstartsinBrazilon5August
Russiawillhave271athleteseligibletocompeteattheRioGames,saystheInternationalOlympicCommittee(IOC).
Thisismorethantwo-thirdsoftheiroriginalentrylistof389athletes,despitetheWorldAnti-DopingAgency(Wada)
recommendingablanketbanafterastate-sponsoreddopingscandal.
Russia'sOlympicCommitteepresidentAlexanderZhukovsaidhiscountrywillhave"thecleanestteam"attheGames.
TheOlympicsopeningceremonytakesplaceonFriday.
"TheRussianteammayhaveexperiencedthetoughestchecksoftheOlympics,becausetheyhadtogothroughmultipletestsand
checked,"saidZhukov.
"Ontopofallthat,RussianathletesaregoingthroughadditionaltestingwhichistakingplaceattheOlympicVillage.
"So,asofnow,theRussianteamisprobablythecleanestinRio."
Zhukovsaiditwasa"flagrantinjustice"thatsomeRussianathleteswouldnotbeinRio.
Hesaid:"AthletessuchasYelenaIsinbayevaandSergeyShubenkovwhohaveneverbeenassociatedwiththeissueofdopingand
whoareabsolutelycleancannottakepartintheOlympicsGames,butmanysportsmenlike,forexample,theAmericanrunner
JustinGatlin,whohaveserveddopingbans,will."
IsinbayevawonOlympicgoldinthewomen'spolevaultatLondon2012whileShubenkovistheworld110mhurdleschampion.
Readmore:Inorout?TheRussiansinRio
Russia'sOlympicCommitteepresidentAlexanderZhukovheldapressconferenceontheeveoftheOlympics
Will271bethefinalnumber?
TheIOCaskedindividualfederationstodecidewhetherRussianscouldcompeteafteranindependentlycommissionedWada
reportfoundevidenceofafour-year,state-run"dopingprogramme".
ItsaidfederationsshouldnotallowRussianstocompeteiftherecouldbeanydoubtabouttheirdopingrecord-andthatany
athletespreviouslysanctionedshouldnotbeinRio.
Athree-personIOCpanelthenratifiedthegoverningbodies'decisions-andannouncedonThursdaythat271athleteshad
satisfieditsstrictcriteria.
ButtheROCsaysanotherfivecasesarestillpending-threetrackcyclists,onewrestlerandonecanoeist.
Additionally,theCourtofArbitrationforSport(Cas)hasaskedforthecasesofanotherthreeathletestobelookedat
againaftertheyappealedagainstbeingbanned.
InpartiallyupholdingtheappealsofrowersAnastasiaKarabelshikovaandIvanPodshivalov,andswimmerYuliaEfimova,Cas
saidtheIOCcouldlegitimatelyblockRussianathletesfromcompetingifithadanydoubtoverwhethertheyhadeverdoped.
ButitsaidtheIOCwaswrongtoinsistRussianathleteswhohadpreviouslybeensanctionedcouldnotgototheGames,calling
thedecision"unenforceable".
ThissupportsanearlierCasdecision-knownastheOsakarule-whichestablishedathletescouldnotbepunishedtwiceforthe
samedopingoffence.
AnditmeansathletesbannedfromRiobecausetheyhavepreviouslybeensanctionedfordopingcouldnowchallengethedecision
tomakethemstayathome.
Cashasalreadyheard18casessinceitsdivisioninRiowasopenedon26July,arecordforoneOlympics.
From:PeterBorisow<ap.borisow@comcast.net>
Subject:DailyBeast:TrumpCampaignChangedUkrainePlatform,LiedAboutIt,DiscardedMinutesofMeeting:Itis
evenworsethanyouthink!
To:PeterBorisow<ap.borisow@comcast.net>
Beginforwardedmessage:
Subject:Itisevenworsethanyouthink
TrumpCampaignChangedUkrainePlatform,LiedAboutIt,DiscardedMinutesofMeeting
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/08/03/trump-campaign-changed-ukraine-platform-lied-about-it.html?
via=mobile&source=twitter
"Meanwhile,recordsforthemeetingseemtohavedisappeared.Aco-chairforthenationalsecurity
platformsubcommitteetoldTheDailyBeastthattheminutesforthemeetinghavebeen
discarded.TheRepublicanNationalCommitteehadnocommentwhenaskedwhetherthiswas
standardprocedureforallthesubcommittees."
Subject:ThePerilsofWritingOffMr.Trump-TheNewYorkTimes
To:PeterBorisow<ap.borisow@comcast.net>
Thisisthecoreofthedilemma--It'sveryearlyinthegame.Manafortissmartenoughtoknowyouhavetogetthebadbitsout
earlysothey'reoldhatbyelectiontime.Allcampaignshaveupanddownmoments.Thetrickistocrestclosesttoelectionday.
Fewelectionsarewononatidalwavethatstartsrightaftertheconventions.Therearestill3monthstoelection.Alotcould
happen.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/05/opinion/the-perils-of-writing-off-mr-trump.html?&moduleDetail=section-news-
1&action=click&contentCollection=Opinion&region=Footer&module=MoreInSection&version=WhatsNext&contentID=WhatsNext&pgtype=article
From:hunter@
Subject:RERUNS[ED:Yeah!!'GunsofAugustRedux']
Cc:

RussianTroopBuildupAlongUkraineBorderRaisesWar
Fears
Print
Comment(9)
Share:
FILE-Apro-RussiarebelstandsguardinDonetsk,easternUkraine,Oct.29,2015.
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August04,20164:30PM
MOSCOW
Russia'ssteadybuildupofmilitaryforcesalongitsborderwithUkraineisraisingconcernsthat
Moscow,whichannexedCrimeain2014andthenbeganbackingseparatistsineasternUkraine
militarilyincludingwithRussiantroopsmaybeconsideringanovertmilitarycampaignagainst
itssouthwesternneighbor.
RussianDefenseMinisterSergeiShoigusaidintelevisedremarkslastweekthatthemilitaryhad
createdfournewdivisions,ninebrigadesand22regimentssince2013anddeployedtheminthe
SouthernMilitaryDistrict,adjacenttosouthernUkraine,aswellasinRussia'srestiveNorth
Caucasusregion.
"Inrecentyears,themilitary-politicalsituationonthesouthwesternstrategicdirectionhasbecome
moreacute,"ShoigusaidincitingtherationaleforMoscow'smilitarybuildupintheregion."Mainly,
thisisduetothegrowingmilitarypresenceofNATOineasternEurope,thesituationinUkraineand
theactivitiesofinternationalterroristgroups,includingintheNorthCaucasus."
InaninterviewwiththenewspaperVedomosti,RussianmilitaryexpertRuslanPukhovnotedthat
alongwithreactivatingthe1stGuardsTankArmyinRussia'sWesternMilitaryDistrict,nearits
borderwithnorthernUkraine,Moscowplanstoformtwootherarmoredgroupsfordeploymentnear
theUkrainianborder.
FILE-AUkrainiansoldierlooksoversandbagsashestandsinatrenchclosetothesmalleasternUkrainiancityofPervomaysk,near
Lugansk,Sept.13,2014.
AccordingtoPukhov,alongRussia'sborderwithnorthernUkraine"wherethreeyearsagothere
wereabsolutelynotroops,"Moscowseekstodeploythreemajorgroupsforforces"capableof,ifthe
needarises,mountingarapidattackinthedirectionofKyiv,whichisonly270kilometersfromthe
borderthrough[thenorthernUkrainiancityof]Chernigov."
Furthersouth,wrotePukhov,Moscowwantsto"createtwopowerfulpincerstoflankand
strategicallyencirclethemaingroupoftheUkrainianarmyinLeft-bankUkraine.Thatisthehistoric
nameofthepartofUkraineontheeastbankoftheDnieperRiver.
'Enemy'seenaseasytarget
AnarticlethatappearedlastweekintheNezavisimoyeVoyennoyeObozreniyeapublication
whichfrequentlyfeaturesmaterialreflectingtheofficialpositionoftheRussianauthoritieswas
headlined:"UkrainehasbecomeRussia'sstrategicadversary:Moscowdoesnotexcludethe
possibilityofamajorwar."
AlexanderGolts,anindependentRussianmilitaryanalystwhoisavisitingresearcheratSweden's
UniversityofUppsala,saysitisnotsurprisingthatUkraineisnowopenlybeingreferredtoinRussia
asan"enemy."
"ItisclearthatUkrainenowisanythingbutastatefriendlytoRussia,"hetoldVOA'sRussian
service."Inandofitself,theUkrainianarmy,ofcourse,isnotastrategicproblemforRussia.In
Moscow,however,theyareguidedbyphantomscenarios,inwhichUkrainewilleventuallybecome
partofNATO.OneofRussia'sexcusesforitsactionsinCrimeaandtheDonbasisthatitwasacting
topreventUkraine'spossibleentryintotheNorthAtlanticalliance."
AccordingtoGolts,RussianDefenseMinisterShoigualreadyconsidersUkrainepartofNATO.
FILE-Pro-RussiantroopspreparetotravelinatankonaroadnearthetownofYanakiyevo,Donetskregion,easternUkraine,June20,
2014.
Inaddition,someobserverssaythereisawidespreadbeliefamongRussianmilitaryofficialsthat
Ukraine'scapitalKyivcouldbe"takeneasilyandwithlittlebloodshed."
KonstantinSivkov,aRussianmilitaryreserveofficerwhoheadstheAcademyofGeopolitical
Problems,aMoscow-basedresearchinstitution,toldthenewspaperVzglyadbackinApril2014that
theRussianarmycouldbeinKyivin"twoorthreedays."Laterthatyear,then-EuropeanUnion
CommissionpresidentJoseManuelBarrosowasquotedassayingthatPresidentVladimirPutintold
himinatelephonecallthathecould"takeKyivintwoweeks."
RussianofficialslaterclaimedPutin'scommentsweretakenoutofcontext.
GoltssaidthecommentsaboutRussianforceseasilytakingtheUkrainiancapitalarenottoofar
fromthetruth,butadded,"Themainproblemisthatamilitaristictypeofstrategicthinkingprevailsin
Russiatoday,unfortunately."
Globalchallenge,threat
ObserverssaysuchcommentsexplainwhyRussiaiswidelyaccusedofbeingaggressiveand
unpredictable.
Earlierthisyear,U.S.SecretaryofDefenseAshCarternamedRussiafirstamongfiveglobal
strategicchallengesfacingtheUnitedStates.Aroundthesametime,then-BritishForeignSecretary
PhilipHammondsaidRussiarepresented"achallengeandathreat"becauseit"ignoresthenorms
ofinternationalconductandbreakstherulesoftheinternationalsystem."
RussianliberalpoliticianLeonidGozmantoldVOAthatbellicoseRussianrhetoricshouldbetaken
"veryseriously."
FILEAprotesterholdsaphotoduringamassdemonstrationinMoscowagainsttheRussianannexationofCrimeain2014.
"Youcanargueaboutthetruthofthespecificassessmentsmadebyourspecificinternational
opponentsconcerningthelevelofthreatfromRussia,"hesaid."But,unfortunately,itisimpossible
[toignore]thatweannexedCrimeaandsupportahybridwarintheDonbasthathaskillednearly
10,000people,andwhoknowshowmanymorewilldie."
Spiralofhate
Still,GozmanexpressedhopethattheRussiangovernmentwouldnotembarkonsomething"as
stupidasadirectwarwithUkraineandthecaptureofKyiv"which,hesaid,wouldleadsooneror
latertoa"worldwar."
"WehavetreatedUkrainelikeanenemy,startingawaronitsterritory,"Gozmansaid."Citizensof
Ukrainewerekilledatthehandsofourvolunteersandvacationers,headded,referringtoRussian
militarypersonnelwhohavefoughtalongsideRussia-backedseparatistsineasternUkraine,
ostensiblyvolunteeringduringtheirvacations.
"Ofcourse,Ukrainetreatsusaccordingly,"Gozmansaid."It'saviciouscircle,aspiralofhate.Ifwe
don'twantthat,wehavetostopthewar."
MOSCOWTIMES
Largely Unnoticed, Full-Scale War May Be Returning to Ukraine
July was the deadliest month in the Donbass for over a year.
Aug.04201619:38
ByOlaCichowlasandMatthewBodner
Whilsttheworld'sattentionisfocusedonSyria,theU.S.electionandtheworstrefugeecrisissincethe
SecondWorldWar,easternUkraineonceagainteetersontheunthinkable.Lastmonthwasthedeadliestthe
regionhasseeninoverayear,sparkinggrowingfearsoftheconflictre-escalatingtoitspreviousintensity.
Theconflicthaskilled10,000peoplesinceitbeganinApril2014.Whilecasualtieshavecontinuedatamuch
reducedlevelsincespring2015,inrecentmonthsbothsideshavereturnedtousingheavyartillery,including
howitzersandgradmultiplerocketlaunchers.InJuly,theUnitedNationsreportedthateightdiedand65
wereinjured.
Withescalatingviolence,itisgettingmuchharderforinternationalorganizationstomonitorthesituation.
Humanitarianassistancemissionshavealsobeenhinderedbythemilitaryup-tickandpoliticalproblemswith
defactoauthoritiesintheseparatiststateletsofLuhanskandDonetsk.
Justlastweek,monitorsfromtheOrganizationforSecurityCooperationinEurope(OSCE)wereheldat
gunpointbyseparatistforces.Theescalationofhostilitiesandtheaccompanyingciviliancasualtiesin
easternUkraineoverthelasttwomonthsareveryworrying,saidtheUNHighCommissionerforHuman
RightsZeidRa'adAlHusseininarecentreport.
SeparatistforcesineasternUkrainehaveheightenedtheirrhetoric.Thisweek,DenisPushilin,theself-
declaredchairmanoftheDonetskPeople'sRepublic(DPR),toldpro-KremlinnewspaperIzvestiathatthere
wasariskoffull-scalemilitaryoperationsreturningtotheconflict.TheDPRstoodreadytoretaliate,he
said.
TensionsarerisinginKiev,too.
Ukraine'sheadofNationalSecurityandDefenceOleksandrTurchynovspokeofre-introducingmartiallaw
infrontlineregions,somethinghasnothappenedsince2014.WhenNadiyaSavchenko,afamousUkrainian
pilotrecentlyreleasedfromaRussianprison,spokeoftheneedforreconciliationwiththeeast,she
immediatelyprovokedabacklashfromKievpoliticians.AndPrimeMinisterVolodymyrGroysmanhassaid
electionscouldnotbeheldinDonbasuntiltheRussianarmywithdrawsfromUkraine.
SuchelectionsareacentralpartofthepeacesettlementsignedbyleadersofUkraine,Russia,Germanyand
FranceinMinskinFebruary2015.Fewnowbelievetheywilleverhappen.
InMoscow,theconflicthaslargelyvanishedfromRussiantelevisionscreens.Statepropagandastreamshave
mostlyswitchedattentiontoRussianforcesfightinginSyria,andtheescalatingpoliticalcrisesintheWest.At
thesametime,therearestill40,000RussiantroopsonstandbyonUkraine'sborder(andnobodyknowshow
manymoreinsideUkraine).
TheWest,distractedbyitsowncrises,istiredoftheconflictandKiev'softendisappointingeffortstoreform
asystemitspeoplefoughttooverthrowinFebruary2014.TheriseofAmericanandEuropeanpopulismhas
workedinMoscow'sfavor,underminingthehithertounitedfrontonsanctionsagainstRussia.U.S.
presidentialcandidateDonaldTrump'srecentcommentsonCrimea,thatheaspresidentwouldlookat
recognizingthepeninsulaasRussianterritory,hasraisedalarmbellsinKievwhilebeingwelcomedin
Moscow.
Whenthewarbegan,manythoughtitwillturnintoanotherfrozenconflictonRussia'sborders.Withnoend
insight,theconflictineasternUkraineisshowingfewsignsoffrigidity.
------Forwardedmessage----------
From:OfficeofMilitaryAdviser,PermanentMissionofUkraine<ukrmilad@gmail.com>
Subject:BriefingsfromtheGeneralStaffofUkrainianAF[ED:PARTII]
To:wolodymyrzarycky<wzarcusur@gmail.com>,waz2102@caa.columbia.edu
BriefingsfromtheGeneralStaffofUkrainianAF.
Withbestregards
Andriy

ColonelAndriyYakovliev
DeputyRepresentativeoftheMinistryofDefenseofUkraine
tothePermanentMissionofUkrainetotheUnitedNations,
DeputyMilitaryadviser
Tel.:1(212)759-7003,ext.120,128
Fax:1(212)335-9455
Senttime: 08/05/201612:47:29PM
To: KevinRothrock<krothrock@gmail.com>
Subject: Re:Youhaveanyrecollectionoftheleakhedescribeswhenhewasambassador?Wherewasitpublished?
Ontheinternets.......
SentfrommyiPad
OnAug5,2016,at3:14PM,KevinRothrock<krothrock@gmail.com>wrote:
"itwasonawebsite"
<image.jpg>
OnAugust5,2016at3:05:31PM,Bob(robertotto25@gmail.com)wrote:
Ha!Tweetthequestion:wherewastheleakpublished?
SentfrommyiPad
ThatIcan'tfindanythingwhenIsearchformakesmewonderifhe'stwistingor
misremembering,tobehonest.
ThanksKevin.Buthedoesn'tsaywheretheleakwaspublished.
SentfrommyiPad
IassumehestalkingaboutEdVerona,butIdontrecallanythingaboutthisinthenews.
http://twitter.com/McFaul/status/761622551852220416
<ScreenShot2016-08-05at2.04.00PM.png>

OnAugust1,2016at3:30:44AM,RobertOtto(robertotto25@gmail.com)wrote:
WealsoknowthatRussiasuseofsignalsintelligencetoadvancean
antidemocraticagendaisnotanewtactic.Ihavefirsthandexperience.During
mystintasambassador,RussianagentssecretlyrecordedaconversationIhad
withAmericanbusinessexecutivesataMoscowhotelandpublishedmyremarks
inawaytomakeitsoundasiftheUnitedStateswasplottingagainsttheRussian
government.
Wouldyoumindtweetingthequestion?
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/31/opinion/sunday/ho
w-to-counter-the-putin-playbook.html
HowtoCounterthe
PutinPlaybook
HowtoCounterthePutin
Playbook
ByMICHAELA.McFAUL JULY30,2016
ContinuereadingthemainstoryShareThisPage
Share
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138
Photo
ArallyinRedSquare,Moscow,onMarch18,2014,whenPresidentVladimirV.Putin
askedtheRussianParliamenttomaketheannexationofCrimeaofficial.
CreditJamesHillforTheNewYorkTimes
PaloAlto,Calif.Aquarter-centuryago,attheendoftheColdWar,itseemed
thatonlydemocraciespromotedtheirvaluesabroad.Today,autocracieshave
enteredthearenaagain,exportingtheirideasandmethodseventotheUnited
States.
Everywhere,autocratsarepushingbackagainstdemocrats,and
PresidentVladimirV.PutinofRussiaisthedefactoleaderofthisglobal
movement.
SincereturningtotheKremlinin2012,Mr.Putinhasconsolidatedhisholdon
powerinRussia.Withrenewedvigor,hesweakenedcivilsociety,undermined
independentmedia,suppressedanyoppositionandscaredoffbigbusinessfrom
supportinggovernmentcritics.AndhemadetheUnitedStatesanditssenior
officialsunwittingelementsofhismalignstrategy.
WhileIwastheUnitedStatesambassadortoRussia,Mr.PutinaccusedPresident
Obamasadministrationofseekingtofomentrevolutionagainsthimas,
allegedly,wehaddoneinTunisia,Egypt,LibyaandSyriaduringtheArabSpring.
Russiasstate-controlledmediaportrayedRussianprotestersastraitors,
puppetsoftheUnitedStates,whotookmoneyandordersfromWashington.Mr.
PutintookspecialoffensetoHillaryClinton,thensecretaryofstate,claimingher
criticismofthefairnessofthe2011Russianparliamentaryelectionwasasignal
toRussiandemonstrators.
Whilechastisingusforsupposedlymeddlinginhisinternalaffairs,Mr.Putin
expandedhiscampaigntoweakendemocracyabroad.Kremlin-alignedmedia
liketheTVstationRThavechampionedhispoliciesinternationally,while
challengingthelegitimacyofdemocraticleaders,includingourownpresident.
Aroundtheworld,butespeciallyinEurope,theRussiangovernmentsupports
bybothrhetoricalandfinancialmeanspoliticalpartiesandorganizationswith
illiberal,nationalistagendas.Russias2014annexationofCrimeaandits
interventionineasternUkraineinsupportofseparatists,aswellastheinvasion
ofGeorgiain2008,wereviolenteffortstodestabilizenewdemocracies.
ManyareimpressedandaimtocopythePutinplaybook.AutocratsinAsia,the
MiddleEastandAfricahaveemulatedMr.Putinsdraconianlawsrestrictingcivil
societygroups.TheleaderofFrancesfar-rightNationalFront,MarineLePen,
haspraisedMr.Putinandhispoliciesherpartyhastakena$10millionloan
fromaRussianbankandseeksanother$30millionfornextyearspresidential
election.TwochampionsoftheBrexitcampaignNigelFarage,theformer
leaderoftheanti-immigrantU.K.IndependenceParty,andBorisJohnson,a
ConservativememberofParliamentandnowBritainsforeignministerhave
spokenfondlyofMr.Putin.So,too,doesHungarysincreasinglyauthoritarian
primeminister,ViktorOrban.TheRepublicanPartynomineefor
president,DonaldJ.Trump,hasfrequentlypraisedMr.Putin.Hesastrong
leader,Mr.TrumpsaidinDecember.
Aswellasovertmeans,Mr.Putinhasdeployedcybermethodsofsubversion.
Thisweek,WikiLeaksreleasedemailsstolenfromtheDemocraticNational
Committee.Thisactionbyaforeignagentpromptedtheresignationofthe
DemocraticNationalCommitteechairwomanandraisednewelectoralchallenges
fortheDemocratspresidentialnominee,HillaryClinton.Americanintelligence
agencieshavehighconfidencethattheRussiangovernmentstolethedata
andlikelyalsohackedintotheClintoncampaignscomputersystems.Whilewe
cantbecertainyetwhetheritsagentspassedthedatadirectlytoWikiLeaks,the
circumstantialevidencepointsoverwhelminglytoRussia.Whoelse?
Continuereadingthemainstory
government.In2014,aninterceptedphonecallbetweenAmericasambassador
inUkraineandAssistantSecretaryofStateVictoriaNulandwasleakedto
suggestthatWashingtonwaschoosingthenewgovernmentinKiev.Against
Russianoppositionleaders,theKremlindeployssuchtacticsallthetime.
Mr.Putinmaybetheboldestbutheisnotaloneinthisgrowingmovement.
Chinaseconomicsuccesschallengesdemocracysappeal.Iraniantheocratshold
ontopowerathomeanddefendautocratslikePresidentBasharal-Assadof
Syria.ElsewhereintheMiddleEast,strongmenlikePresidentAbdelFattahel-
SisiofEgyptareascendant,forcingtheircitizensandforeignalliestoaccepttheir
repressionsassupposedprotectionfromIslamistextremists.Saudi
ArabiaintervenedinBahraintocrushademocraticmovementtherein2011,
whileprivateArabfoundationscontinuetopromoteilliberalideasthroughoutthe
regionandbeyond.
Mr.PutinisexpandinghisplaybookjustwhenAmericaisroiledbystrong
isolationistcurrentsandaggravatedbydemagogythatwouldhaveusdisengage
frommultilateralinstitutionslikeNATO,cutouroverseassecuritycommitments
andstopdefendinghumanrightsabroad.ThisisMr.Trumpsargument.When
itcomestocivilliberties,ourcountryhasalotofproblems,hesaidthismonth,
andIthinkitsveryhardforustogetinvolvedinothercountrieswhenwedont
knowwhatwearedoingandwecantseestraightinourowncountry.
Toinspiredemocracyabroad,wemustofcoursepracticeitbetterathome.But
weshouldrejectthemoralrelativismthatsaysbecauseourownunionisnot
perfect,wearenodifferentfromthedespots.
Wewillnotfindsecurityinisolationism.Nomissiledefenseshield,cybersecurity
program,tarifforborderwallcanprotectusifwedisengage.Menacing
autocracies,illiberalideas,andantidemocraticandterroristmovementswillnot
justleaveusaloneorwitheraway.Thethreatswillgrowandeventually
endangerourpeace,aswesawinEuropeandJapaninthe1930s,and
Afghanistaninthe1990s.
Conversely,thegrowthofdemocracyaroundtheworldservesAmerican
interests.Democraciesdonotthreatenusautocraciesdo.Democraticalliesalso
votewithusattheUnitedNations,gotowarwithus,supportinternational
treatiesandnorms,andstandwithusagainsttyranny.
Sowemustpushback,innewways.JustastheKremlinhasbecomemore
sophisticatedatexportingitsideasandsupportingitsfriends,somustwe.
Weshouldthinkofadvancingdemocraticideasabroadprimarilyasan
educationalproject,almostneverasamilitarycampaign.Universities,booksand
websitesarethebesttools,notthe82ndAirborne.TheUnitedStatescan
expandresourcesforlearningaboutdemocracy.
Directfinancialassistancetodemocratsisproblematic:Acheckfroman
Americanembassycantaintitsrecipients.Americasnextpresidentshould
privatizesuchaidandhelpseednewindependentfoundations.Internetaccess
andthefreeflowofinformation,thelifebloodofindependentmediaandcivil
society,shouldbeuniversalrightswechampion.
Americashouldalsofocusitseconomicand
politicalassistanceonnewdemocracieslike
SignUpfortheOpinion MyanmarandTunisia,whicharemost
TodayNewsletter fragileintheirfirstyearsoftransition.The
stakesareespeciallyhighinUkrainethere
Everyweekday,getthought-provoking wouldbenogreatergifttoMr.Putinthanto
commentaryfromOp-Edcolumnists,TheTimes letKievsexperimentindemocracyperish.
editorialboardandcontributingwritersfrom
aroundtheworld. Theworldstilllookstoitsoldestdemocracy,
theUnitedStates,tolead.Ifnotus,who?
Senttime: 08/05/201612:47:29PM
To: KevinRothrock<krothrock@gmail.com>
Ontheinternets.......
SentfrommyiPad
"itwasonawebsite"
<image.jpg>
SentfrommyiPad
ThatIcan'tfindanythingwhenIsearchformakesmewonderifhe'stwistingor
misremembering,tobehonest.
SentfrommyiPad

government.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/31/opinion/sunday/ho
w-to-counter-the-putin-playbook.html
HowtoCounterthe
PutinPlaybook
Playbook
Share
Tweet
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Save
138
Photo
States.
movement.
regionandbeyond.
From: KevinRothrock<krothrock@gmail.com>
Senttime: 08/05/201612:14:37PM
"itwasonawebsite"
SentfrommyiPad
ThatIcan'tfindanythingwhenIsearchformakesmewonderifhe'stwistingormisremembering,tobehonest.
SentfrommyiPad

government.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/31/opinion/sunday/how-to-counter-the-
putin-playbook.html
Playbook
HowtoCounterthePutinPlaybook
Share
Tweet
Email
More
Save
138
Photo
States.
movement.
regionandbeyond.
Senttime: 08/05/201612:14:37PM
"itwasonawebsite"
SentfrommyiPad
SentfrommyiPad

government.
putin-playbook.html
Playbook
Share
Tweet
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More
Save
138
Photo
States.
movement.
regionandbeyond.
Senttime: 08/05/201611:56:47AM
SentfrommyiPad

government.
putin-playbook.html
Playbook
Share
Tweet
Email
More
Save
138
Photo
States.
movement.
regionandbeyond.
Senttime: 08/05/201611:56:47AM
SentfrommyiPad

government.
putin-playbook.html
Playbook
Share
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138
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States.
movement.
regionandbeyond.
Senttime: 08/05/201611:04:48AM
government.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/31/opinion/sunday/how-to-counter-the-putin-playbook.html
Share
Tweet
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Save
138
Photo
States.
movement.
regionandbeyond.
Senttime: 08/05/201611:04:48AM
government.
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138
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States.
movement.
regionandbeyond.
From: StephenBurant<sburant@verizon.net>
Senttime: 08/05/201609:36:58AM
Subject: Fw:suchagrandoldparty..............
Thisisagoodanalysis.
Ihopeyougettofeelingbetter.
OnThursday,August4,20167:37PM,AdrianHarmata<aharmata3@gmail.com>wrote:
http://www.npr.org/2016/08/04/488625889/what-changed-trump-s-terrific-primary-run-hits-the-post-convention-
skids
Senttime: 08/05/201609:40:34AM
FW:[LATENIGHTRUN][ANT/F]UAFullFighting'VerySoon'/US/+..[PUBLICANNOUNCEMENT]SymposiumhonoringUkraine's25thAnniversaryof
Subject:
Independence[Sept172016/PrincetonClubofNewYork]
Attachments: SymposiumProgram.pdfRegistrationForm.doc
Sent:Thursday,August04,201610:02PM
Subject:Fwd:[LATENIGHTRUN][ANT/F]UAFullFighting'VerySoon'/US/+..[PUBLICANNOUNCEMENT]SymposiumhonoringUkraine's25thAnniversaryof
Subject:Fwd:[LATENIGHTRUN][ANT/F]UAFullFighting'VerySoon'/US/+..[PUBLICANNOUNCEMENT]SymposiumhonoringUkraine's
25thAnniversaryofIndependence[Sept172016/PrincetonClubofNewYork]
Date:Thu,Aug4,2016at11:36PM
Subject:UAFullFighting'VerySoon'/US/+
To:
UkraineRebelsWarnofReturntoFullFighting'VerySoon'
http://www.newsweek.com/ukraine-rebels-warn-return-full-fighting-very-soon-487129?rx=us
Russian-backedrebelsinUkraineseasthavethreatenedareturntofull-scaleconflictverysoonifKievdoesnotrecallforcesawayfrom
thecontactline,newspaperIzvestiahasreported.
GlasnostGone
VideoFrirevealing#Russianarmyunloadingsuppliesfromtrains.100sofvehicles,inc@ShakhtarStadium
http://twitter.com/GlasnostGone/status/761242645792448512
(linktosnapshots)
WSJEditorialPage
PutinsinfowaronAmerica:TheDNCleakswereanotherRussianvictoryastheUSfailstofightback
http://on.wsj.com/2aZMkQE
Hey,Kremlin:Americanscanmakeloosetalkaboutnukes,too
StevenPiferThursday,August4,2016
http://www.brookings.edu/2016/08/04/hey-kremlin-americans-can-make-loose-talk-about-nukes-too/
...
Sometimes,Mr.Putinscommentsaremorethanalittleodd.Ina2015televisiondocumentary,hesaidhewaspreparedtoputnuclearforces
onalertastheRussianmilitaryseizedCrimea.ThatwasstrangebecauseUkrainehadnonucleararms.Itgavethemupinthe1990s,inlarge
partbecauseMoscowpromisedtorespectUkrainesindependenceandterritorialintegrity.KievevenkeptitsCrimean-basedtroopsin
garrison,notchallengingtheinvadingRussianforces.AsfortheWest,nocountrymovedtointervene.SowhywouldMr.Putinthinkofa
nuclearalert?...
U.S.IsLettingPutinWininSyria
LeonidBershidsky
http://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-08-04/u-s-is-letting-putin-win-in-syria
...IftheAssadforcestakeAleppo,thewarwillbeessentiallybinary--betweentheAssadcoalitionandIslamicState.ForPutin,thisis
preferabletoanegotiatedsolution:ThedefeatoftheoppositiongroupsinAleppowouldmaketheU.S.reluctancetoleaveAssadinpower
irrelevant.Therewouldbenoalternative.
...
HarvardRepublicanClubdeclinestoendorseRepublicannomineeforfirsttimein128years
DonaldTrumpathreattothesurvivaloftheRepublic,groupsays
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/aug/4/harvard-republican-club-declines-to-endorse-republ/
...Hisauthoritariantendenciesandflirtationswithfascismareunparalleledinthehistoryofourdemocracy,thestatementread.Hehopes
todivideusbyrace,byclass,andbyreligion,instillingenoughfearandanxietytopropelhimselftotheWhiteHouse.Heislookingtotopit
neighboragainstneighbor,friendagainstfriend,AmericanagainstAmerican.Wewillnotstandforthisvitriolicrhetoricthatispoisoningour
countryandourchildren.
--------------------------
.net-7
,-.,
,.
VolodymyrViatrovych
July22at4:57am
,.
,.
,.."",
..
,""?
MFA:PolesdonotacceptRussiasattemptstoimposetheSovietversionofhistory,PAPdispatchfrom4
August2016
PolesdonotacceptRussiasattemptstoimposetheSovietversionofhistory,RafalSobczak,theDirectoroftheMFAsPressBureau,saidin
referencetoRussiareleasingnewcoinsintocirculationwhichshowcapitalcities,includingWarsaw,whichMoscowclaimsitliberatedafter
WorldWarII.
http://www.msz.gov.pl/en/news/they_wrote_about_us/0_mfa__poles_do_not_accept_russia_s_attempts_to_impose_the_soviet_version_of_history
[PUBLICANNOUNCEMENT]
UkrainianHistoricalEncountersSeries
Commemoratingthe25thAnniversaryoftheModernUkrainianState
September17,2016
NewYork,NY
DearFriendsofUkraine:
Youarerespectfullyinvitedto attendtheupcomingUkrainianHistoricalEncountersSeries,entitled, Commemoratingthe25th

AnniversaryoftheModernUkrainianState.TheforumwillbeheldonSaturday,September17,2016,atthePrincetonClubin
NewYorkCity.
Thefull-dayconferencewillbringtogetherkeygovernmentandnon-governmentrepresentatives,aswellasrenownedhistoriansfrom
theUnitedStates,UkraineandEuropetodiscussthehistoricalsignificanceofUkraineaswellasDelveintothecountrysprospectsfor
achievingmaturenationStatehoodbecomingafullfledgedmemberoftheEuro-AtlanticCommunity.
Theevent itself willfeaturefourpaneldiscussionsandthreehighlightpresentationsdedicatedtotakingafresh,criticallookat

UkrainesDistantPastandRecentPastaswellascarefullydiviningthenationsNearFutureandFurtherFuture.Theprogramalso
featuresaneveningbanquetwithreflectionsuponUkrainesPresentSituationprovidedbyseniorgovernmentofficialsfromtheUnited
StatesandUkraine.Intotal,overtwodozenfeaturedspeakersareexpectedtoaddresstheconferenceproceedings.
Thecompleteprogram withalistofinvitedspeakersisattached,asistheregistrationform.Youarewelcometoattendallofthe
specifiedplenarysessions.Yourpresencewillcertainlyenhancetheproceedingsyoumaychoosetojoin.Inaddition,weencourageyou
toalsoattendtheeveningsbanquet.
Duetothetimeconstraintsinvolvedwithorganizinganinternationalforum,wekindlyaskthatyoursvpnolaterthanseptember7,
2016,concerningyourparticipation. Pleasenotethatseatingislimited,thereforeweencourageyoutoRSVPatyourearliest
conveiencetoassureparticipation.
Forfurtherinformation,kindlycontacteitherTamaraGalloOlexy,UCCAPresident,phone:(212)228-6840/e-mail:tolexy@ucca.org,
o r W a l t e r Z a r y c k y j , U A H i s t o r i c a l E n c o u n t e r s S e r i e s ProgramCoordinator,phone: ( 2 1 2 ) 4 7 6 1 2 2 1/e-mail:
waz2102@caa.columbia.edu.
WelookforwardtowelcomingyouatthisHistoricforum.
TamaraGallo-Olexy
UCCAPresident
WalterZaryckyj
ProgramCoordinator
PS:PROGRAMANDREGISTRATIONFORMAREATTACHED
PSS:PROGRAMSNEAKPREVIEWBELOW:
SpecialEvent:
Commemoratingthe25thAnniversaryofthe
ModernUkrainianState
Date:September172016
NewYorkNY

[Venue:PrincetonClubofNY/JamesMadisonRoom]
8:30am9:00amRegistration
9:00am9:40amFocusSessionI:AFirstWordAboutModernUkraines25thBirthday
Chair:
RomaLisovych[UkrainianNationalAssociation]
FeaturedRemarks:
SamanthaPower[USPermanentRepresentativetotheUN]
VolodymyrYelchenko[UAPermanentRepresentativetotheUN]
9:40am11:05amPanelDiscussionI:TakingMeasureofUkrainesDistantPast
Moderator:
LubomyrHajda[HarvardUniversity]
ThreeSpeakers:
FrankSysyn[UniversityofAlberta/CIUS]
MarkVonHagen[ArizonaStateUniversity]
YuriShapoval[NationalAcademyofSciencesOfUkraine]

SuggestedTopics:
KyivanState&HetmanateUkraine
UkrainianNationalRepublic1917-1921
NationalLiberationStruggles1921-1991
11:05am11:15amCoffeeBreak
11:15am12:40pmPanelDiscussionII:AssessingUkrainesRecentPast
Moderator:
AdrianKarmazyn[VOAUADeskDirectorEmeritus]
ThreeSpeakers:
AlexanderMotyl[RutgersUniversity]
JamesSherr[RoyalInstituteofInternationalAffairs]
OleksandrSushko[InstituteforEuro-AtlanticCooperation]
SuggestedTopics:
TheGraniteRebellion
TheOrangeRevolution
Euro-Maidan
12:40pm1:10pmLunch
[ServedasabuffetintheAlexanderHamiltonRoom]
1:10pm1:40pmFocusSessionII:ReflectingonUkrainesCurrentWarintheEast
Chair:
AndersCorr[JournalofPoliticalRisk]
FeaturedSpeaker:
PhillipKarber[PotomacFoundation]
1:40pm3:05pmPanelDiscussionIII:DiviningUkrainesNearFuture
Moderator:
WilliamCourtney[RANDCorporation]

ThreeSpeakers:
DavidKramer[McCainInstitute]
ArielCohen[AtlanticCouncil]
VolodymyrVyatrovych[InstituteofNationalMemoryofUkraine]
SuggestedTopics:
ChancesforBuildingaDevelopedDemocraticPolity
ChancesforErectingaMatureMarketEconomy
ChancesforAchievinganEstablishedNationalIdentity
2:55pm3:15pmCoffeeBreak
3:15pm4:40pmPanelDiscussionIV:ContemplatingUkrainesFurtherFuture
Moderator:
JanuszBugajski[CenterforEuropeanPolicyAnalysis]
ThreeSpeakers:
GlenHoward[JamestownFoundation]
HermanPirchner[AmericanForeignPolicyCouncil]
YuriSergeyev[YaleUniversity/MacMillianCenterforInternationalStudies]
SuggestedTopics:
ChancesofPlayingontheEuropeanStage
ChancesofPerformingontheEuro-AtlanticStage
ChancesofBecomingaPlayerofGlobalNote
4:40pm5:30pmAFinalWordAboutModernUkraines25thBirthday
Chair:
MariannaZajac[UkrainianNationalWomensLeagueofAmerica]
FeaturedRemarks:
RefatChubarov[HeadoftheCrimeanTatarMejlis]
PaulRoderickGregory[StanfordUniversity/HooverInstitution]
7:00pm9:00pmSpeakersandPatronsBanquet
Host:TamaraGallo-Olexy[UkrainianCongressCommitteeofAmerica]
FeaturedSpeakers:
PresidentofUkrainePetroPoroshenko[INVITED]
VicePresidentoftheUnitedStatesJosephBiden[INVITED]
Senttime: 08/05/201609:40:34AM
FW:[LATENIGHTRUN][ANT/F]UAFullFighting'VerySoon'/US/+..[PUBLICANNOUNCEMENT]SymposiumhonoringUkraine's25thAnniversaryof
Subject:
Attachments: SymposiumProgram.pdfRegistrationForm.doc
Sent:Thursday,August04,201610:02PM
Subject:Fwd:[LATENIGHTRUN][ANT/F]UAFullFighting'VerySoon'/US/+..[PUBLICANNOUNCEMENT]SymposiumhonoringUkraine's25thAnniversaryof
Subject:Fwd:[LATENIGHTRUN][ANT/F]UAFullFighting'VerySoon'/US/+..[PUBLICANNOUNCEMENT]SymposiumhonoringUkraine's
25thAnniversaryofIndependence[Sept172016/PrincetonClubofNewYork]
Subject:UAFullFighting'VerySoon'/US/+
To:
UkraineRebelsWarnofReturntoFullFighting'VerySoon'
http://www.newsweek.com/ukraine-rebels-warn-return-full-fighting-very-soon-487129?rx=us
Russian-backedrebelsinUkraineseasthavethreatenedareturntofull-scaleconflictverysoonifKievdoesnotrecallforcesawayfrom
thecontactline,newspaperIzvestiahasreported.
GlasnostGone
VideoFrirevealing#Russianarmyunloadingsuppliesfromtrains.100sofvehicles,inc@ShakhtarStadium
http://twitter.com/GlasnostGone/status/761242645792448512
(linktosnapshots)
WSJEditorialPage
PutinsinfowaronAmerica:TheDNCleakswereanotherRussianvictoryastheUSfailstofightback
http://on.wsj.com/2aZMkQE
Hey,Kremlin:Americanscanmakeloosetalkaboutnukes,too
StevenPiferThursday,August4,2016
http://www.brookings.edu/2016/08/04/hey-kremlin-americans-can-make-loose-talk-about-nukes-too/
...
Sometimes,Mr.Putinscommentsaremorethanalittleodd.Ina2015televisiondocumentary,hesaidhewaspreparedtoputnuclearforces
onalertastheRussianmilitaryseizedCrimea.ThatwasstrangebecauseUkrainehadnonucleararms.Itgavethemupinthe1990s,inlarge
partbecauseMoscowpromisedtorespectUkrainesindependenceandterritorialintegrity.KievevenkeptitsCrimean-basedtroopsin
garrison,notchallengingtheinvadingRussianforces.AsfortheWest,nocountrymovedtointervene.SowhywouldMr.Putinthinkofa
nuclearalert?...
U.S.IsLettingPutinWininSyria
LeonidBershidsky
http://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-08-04/u-s-is-letting-putin-win-in-syria
...IftheAssadforcestakeAleppo,thewarwillbeessentiallybinary--betweentheAssadcoalitionandIslamicState.ForPutin,thisis
preferabletoanegotiatedsolution:ThedefeatoftheoppositiongroupsinAleppowouldmaketheU.S.reluctancetoleaveAssadinpower
irrelevant.Therewouldbenoalternative.
...
HarvardRepublicanClubdeclinestoendorseRepublicannomineeforfirsttimein128years
DonaldTrumpathreattothesurvivaloftheRepublic,groupsays
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/aug/4/harvard-republican-club-declines-to-endorse-republ/
...Hisauthoritariantendenciesandflirtationswithfascismareunparalleledinthehistoryofourdemocracy,thestatementread.Hehopes
todivideusbyrace,byclass,andbyreligion,instillingenoughfearandanxietytopropelhimselftotheWhiteHouse.Heislookingtotopit
neighboragainstneighbor,friendagainstfriend,AmericanagainstAmerican.Wewillnotstandforthisvitriolicrhetoricthatispoisoningour
countryandourchildren.
--------------------------
.net-7
,-.,
,.
VolodymyrViatrovych
July22at4:57am
,.
,.
,.."",
..
,""?
MFA:PolesdonotacceptRussiasattemptstoimposetheSovietversionofhistory,PAPdispatchfrom4
August2016
PolesdonotacceptRussiasattemptstoimposetheSovietversionofhistory,RafalSobczak,theDirectoroftheMFAsPressBureau,saidin
referencetoRussiareleasingnewcoinsintocirculationwhichshowcapitalcities,includingWarsaw,whichMoscowclaimsitliberatedafter
WorldWarII.
http://www.msz.gov.pl/en/news/they_wrote_about_us/0_mfa__poles_do_not_accept_russia_s_attempts_to_impose_the_soviet_version_of_history
[PUBLICANNOUNCEMENT]
Commemoratingthe25thAnniversaryoftheModernUkrainianState
September17,2016
NewYork,NY
DearFriendsofUkraine:
Youarerespectfullyinvitedto attendtheupcomingUkrainianHistoricalEncountersSeries,entitled, Commemoratingthe25th

AnniversaryoftheModernUkrainianState.TheforumwillbeheldonSaturday,September17,2016,atthePrincetonClubin
NewYorkCity.
Thefull-dayconferencewillbringtogetherkeygovernmentandnon-governmentrepresentatives,aswellasrenownedhistoriansfrom
theUnitedStates,UkraineandEuropetodiscussthehistoricalsignificanceofUkraineaswellasDelveintothecountrysprospectsfor
achievingmaturenationStatehoodbecomingafullfledgedmemberoftheEuro-AtlanticCommunity.
Theevent itself willfeaturefourpaneldiscussionsandthreehighlightpresentationsdedicatedtotakingafresh,criticallookat

UkrainesDistantPastandRecentPastaswellascarefullydiviningthenationsNearFutureandFurtherFuture.Theprogramalso
featuresaneveningbanquetwithreflectionsuponUkrainesPresentSituationprovidedbyseniorgovernmentofficialsfromtheUnited
StatesandUkraine.Intotal,overtwodozenfeaturedspeakersareexpectedtoaddresstheconferenceproceedings.
Thecompleteprogram withalistofinvitedspeakersisattached,asistheregistrationform.Youarewelcometoattendallofthe
specifiedplenarysessions.Yourpresencewillcertainlyenhancetheproceedingsyoumaychoosetojoin.Inaddition,weencourageyou
toalsoattendtheeveningsbanquet.
Duetothetimeconstraintsinvolvedwithorganizinganinternationalforum,wekindlyaskthatyoursvpnolaterthanseptember7,
2016,concerningyourparticipation. Pleasenotethatseatingislimited,thereforeweencourageyoutoRSVPatyourearliest
conveiencetoassureparticipation.
Forfurtherinformation,kindlycontacteitherTamaraGalloOlexy,UCCAPresident,phone:(212)228-6840/e-mail:tolexy@ucca.org,
o r W a l t e r Z a r y c k y j , U A H i s t o r i c a l E n c o u n t e r s S e r i e s ProgramCoordinator,phone: ( 2 1 2 ) 4 7 6 1 2 2 1/e-mail:
waz2102@caa.columbia.edu.
WelookforwardtowelcomingyouatthisHistoricforum.
TamaraGallo-Olexy
UCCAPresident
WalterZaryckyj
ProgramCoordinator
PS:PROGRAMANDREGISTRATIONFORMAREATTACHED
PSS:PROGRAMSNEAKPREVIEWBELOW:
SpecialEvent:
Commemoratingthe25thAnniversaryofthe
ModernUkrainianState
Date:September172016
NewYorkNY

[Venue:PrincetonClubofNY/JamesMadisonRoom]
8:30am9:00amRegistration
9:00am9:40amFocusSessionI:AFirstWordAboutModernUkraines25thBirthday
Chair:
RomaLisovych[UkrainianNationalAssociation]
FeaturedRemarks:
SamanthaPower[USPermanentRepresentativetotheUN]
VolodymyrYelchenko[UAPermanentRepresentativetotheUN]
9:40am11:05amPanelDiscussionI:TakingMeasureofUkrainesDistantPast
Moderator:
LubomyrHajda[HarvardUniversity]
ThreeSpeakers:
FrankSysyn[UniversityofAlberta/CIUS]
MarkVonHagen[ArizonaStateUniversity]
YuriShapoval[NationalAcademyofSciencesOfUkraine]

SuggestedTopics:
KyivanState&HetmanateUkraine
UkrainianNationalRepublic1917-1921
NationalLiberationStruggles1921-1991
11:05am11:15amCoffeeBreak
11:15am12:40pmPanelDiscussionII:AssessingUkrainesRecentPast
Moderator:
AdrianKarmazyn[VOAUADeskDirectorEmeritus]
ThreeSpeakers:
AlexanderMotyl[RutgersUniversity]
JamesSherr[RoyalInstituteofInternationalAffairs]
OleksandrSushko[InstituteforEuro-AtlanticCooperation]
SuggestedTopics:
TheGraniteRebellion
TheOrangeRevolution
Euro-Maidan
12:40pm1:10pmLunch
[ServedasabuffetintheAlexanderHamiltonRoom]
1:10pm1:40pmFocusSessionII:ReflectingonUkrainesCurrentWarintheEast
Chair:
AndersCorr[JournalofPoliticalRisk]
FeaturedSpeaker:
PhillipKarber[PotomacFoundation]
1:40pm3:05pmPanelDiscussionIII:DiviningUkrainesNearFuture
Moderator:
WilliamCourtney[RANDCorporation]

ThreeSpeakers:
DavidKramer[McCainInstitute]
ArielCohen[AtlanticCouncil]
VolodymyrVyatrovych[InstituteofNationalMemoryofUkraine]
SuggestedTopics:
ChancesforBuildingaDevelopedDemocraticPolity
ChancesforErectingaMatureMarketEconomy
ChancesforAchievinganEstablishedNationalIdentity
2:55pm3:15pmCoffeeBreak
3:15pm4:40pmPanelDiscussionIV:ContemplatingUkrainesFurtherFuture
Moderator:
JanuszBugajski[CenterforEuropeanPolicyAnalysis]
ThreeSpeakers:
GlenHoward[JamestownFoundation]
HermanPirchner[AmericanForeignPolicyCouncil]
YuriSergeyev[YaleUniversity/MacMillianCenterforInternationalStudies]
SuggestedTopics:
ChancesofPlayingontheEuropeanStage
ChancesofPerformingontheEuro-AtlanticStage
ChancesofBecomingaPlayerofGlobalNote
4:40pm5:30pmAFinalWordAboutModernUkraines25thBirthday
Chair:
MariannaZajac[UkrainianNationalWomensLeagueofAmerica]
FeaturedRemarks:
RefatChubarov[HeadoftheCrimeanTatarMejlis]
PaulRoderickGregory[StanfordUniversity/HooverInstitution]
7:00pm9:00pmSpeakersandPatronsBanquet
Host:TamaraGallo-Olexy[UkrainianCongressCommitteeofAmerica]
FeaturedSpeakers:
PresidentofUkrainePetroPoroshenko[INVITED]
VicePresidentoftheUnitedStatesJosephBiden[INVITED]
Senttime: 08/04/201608:57:04AM
FW:AbelatedbutmajorvictoryforRussia'sstrikingLONG-HAULTRUCKERS:"'PLATON"willbefrozenforthreeyears,"
Subject:
http://www.gazeta.ru/auto/2016/08/02_a_9742031.shtml
From:JohnBDunlop
Sent:Thursday,August04,20168:57AM
Subject:AbelatedbutmajorvictoryforRussia'sstrikingLONG-HAULTRUCKERS:"'PLATON"willbefrozenforthreeyears,"
http://www.gazeta.ru/auto/2016/08/02_a_9742031.shtml
AshasbecomeknowntoGazeta.ruinthegovernmenttheyarepreparedtocorrecttheawaited
leviesfromthePlatonsystem,leavingthemattheirpresentleveluntil2019[i.e.,beyondthe2018
presidentialelection].
And:TimMAK,AlexaCORSE,TRUMPcampaignchangedUKRAINEplatform,LIEDaboutit,
thedailybeast.com,8/4
TopTrumpaidePaulMANAFORTsworethatthecampaignhadnothingtodowiththeradicalchange
intheRepublicanPartypositiononUkraine.Hewaslying.
And:KYIVdoesnotagreetotheappointmentofanewambassadorfromRussiatoUkraine[ultra
hardlinerMikhailBABICH],http://echo.msk.ru/news/1814178echohtml
And:PESKOV:WeasbeforeareofferingBABICHforthepostofambassadortoUkraine,
http://graniru.org/Politics/Russia/m.253553.html
PeskovisthreateningUkrainewithadowngradeindiplomaticrelations.
And:UkraineintelidentifiesDOZENSofRussiancitizensfightinginUkraine(LIST,PHOTOS),
unian.info,8/4
And:IntheDonetskPeoplesRepublictheydonotexcludearenewalofFULLSCALEMILITARY
ACTIONSintheDonbas,http://graniru.org/Politics/World/Europe/Ukraine/m.253547.html
And:MikhailFISHMAN,TheKremlinsFINALWARNING:WhyYaroslavlsexmayorisserving12.5
yearsinjail,themsocowtimes.com,8/4
And:RussiadevelopingCHEMICALWARFAREROBOTS,themoscowtimes.com,8/4
Senttime: 08/04/201610:02:57AM
FW:[DIGESTOFDIGESTS][ODOD---ALL'MUSTNOTE'ITEMS/DICKINSONPIECEIS'MUSTDISSEMINATE']...[JDDD]A
Subject: belatedbutmajorvictoryforRussia'sstrikingLONG-HAULTRUCKERS+7MoreStories..[PB]WhatVladInterferesinUSElections.
[MK]TheDesi...
Attachments: PutinIsCullingHisInnerCircle.docxForeignAidAssetsTransferFromTobyhannatoUkraine.docx
Sent:Thursday,August04,20169:36AM
Subject:Fwd:[DIGESTOFDIGESTS][ODOD---ALL'MUSTNOTE'ITEMS/DICKINSONPIECEIS'MUSTDISSEMINATE']...[JDDD]A
belatedbutmajorvictoryforRussia'sstrikingLONG-HAULTRUCKERS+7MoreStories..[PB]WhatVladInterferesinUSElections.
[MK]TheDesi...
Subject:[DIGESTOFDIGESTS][ODOD---ALL'MUSTNOTE'ITEMS/DICKINSONPIECEIS'MUST
DISSEMINATE']...[JDDD]AbelatedbutmajorvictoryforRussia'sstrikingLONG-HAULTRUCKERS+7More
Stories..[PB]WhatVladInterferesinUSElections.[MK]TheDesiretoPleaseDictators[FirstRatePiecebyXX'sJohnS]
[VLAD/K]PutinCullsInnerCircleFromTobyhannatoKyiv
To:
From:Deychak,Orest<Orest.Deychak@mail.house.gov>
Date:Thu,Aug4,2016at9:54AM
Subject:UkraineNYT(2),WP,AC
To:"Deychak,Orest"<Orest.Deychak@mail.house.gov>
TheNewYorkTimes
UkraineRejectsRussia'sProposedAmbassadortoKiev
ByREUTERSAUG.4,2016,9:27A.M.E.D.T.
KIEVUkrainehasrejectedRussia'sproposedcandidateforitsnextambassadortoKiev,aseniorUkrainianforeignministry
officialsaid.
MikhailZurabov,whowasMoscow'senvoyinKievduringanti-Russianstreetprotests,Russia's2014annexationofCrimeaand
itsinvolvementintheseparatistconflictineasternUkraine,steppeddowninJuly.

TheKremlinhasproposedMikhailBabich,whohasheldanumberofseniorofficialpostsinRussiaincludingwiththeFSBsecurity
service,butUkrainianforeignministryofficialOlenaZerkalsaidKievhaddecidednottoconsidertheproposal.
"Thewayitwasproposed,ithasbeenremovedfromtheagenda,"shesaidinatelevisedinterviewonchannel5onWednesday,
withoutgivingfurtherdetailonwhythecandidatewasrejected.
"Ithinkthiswillnothaveanysortofimpact.What'smore,theroleoftheformerambassadorinbuildingnormalrelationswas
completelyminimal,"shesaid.
InremarkstonewsagencyInterfaxUkraine,UkrainianForeignMinisterPavloKlimkinsaidtherejectionwas"notaquestionof
thecandidatesoranythingconcrete,butaboutcreatingapositivedynamicinwhat'shappeningwithinthecontextofRussian
aggression."
UkrainereplaceditsownambassadortoMoscowwithatemporaryrepresentativein2014followingthecollapseinrelations
betweentheformerallies.
KremlinspokesmanDmitryPeskovsaiditwouldcontinuetoofferBabichasapotentialambassadortoUkraine.
"However,iftheUkrainiansidetakesadecisiontolowerthelevelofourdiplomaticrelationsandconsidersthisreducedmodeof
diplomaticrelationstobeappropriate-that'sthedecisionoftheUkrainianside,"hetoldjournalists.
KievandNATOaccuseRussiaofsupportingpro-RussianseparatistsineasternUkrainewithtroopsandweapons,fuellinga
conflictthathaskilledover9,400.TheKremlindeniesinvolvement.
(ReportingbyNataliaZinetsWritingbyAlessandraPrenticeEditingbyRichardBalmforth)
TheNewYorkTimes
CivilianCasualtiesHighestinaYearinUkraine:U.N.RightsBoss
ByREUTERSAUG.3,2016,6:03A.M.E.D.T.
GENEVACiviliancasualtiesfromshelling,minesandboobytrapsineasternUkraineareattheirhighestinayearas
governmentforcesandpro-Moscowseparatistsconstantlyviolateaceasefire,theU.N.rightsbosssaidonWednesday.
UnitedNationsHighCommissionerforHumanRightsZeidRa'adAlHusseinsaidatleast69civilianshadbeenkilledorwounded
inJune,doublethefigureforthepreviousmonth,withthefigureat73inJuly.

CasualtiesineasternUkrainecasualtieswerethehighestsinceAugust2015,Zeidsaidinastatement.
"Civiliansareonceagainhavingtofleetoimprovisedbombsheltersintheirbasements,sometimesovernight,withincreasing
frequencythepriceoftheceasefireviolationsistoohighforthewomen,menandchildrenineasternUkraine,"hesaid.
Forcesmustdisengageandimplementafullandsustainableceasefire,inlinewiththeMinskagreementofFebruary2015,hesaid.
"ThemanycasualtieswehavedocumentedinrecentweekssuggestthatneitherUkrainianforcesnorthearmedgroupsaretaking
thenecessaryprecautionstoprotectcivilians,"hesaid.[ED:TheneweuphemismintheNYTforRUoccupyingforcesin
Ukraineis:'armedgroups'..YaGottaLuv't]
ShellingwasresponsibleformorethanhalftherecordedcasualtiesinJuneandJuly,withtherestduetomines,explosiveremnants
ofwar,boobytrapsandimprovisedexplosivedevices(IEDs).
"U.N.humanrightsteamsonbothsidesofthecontactlinehavedocumentedreportsofcivilianhomeslooted,schoolsand
hospitalsshelledorusedbyUkrainianforcesandarmedgroups,"Zeidsaid.
The12-pointMinskpeacedealwasbrokeredbyUkraine,Russia,GermanyandFranceinFebruary2015.Theaimwastoenda
conflictthattheU.N.rightsofficesaidonWednesdayhadkilledover9,550people,includingsoldiers,civiliansandmembersof
armedgroups,sinceApril2014.
Conditionsincludingacompletecessationoffighting,pull-backofheavyweaponsfromthefrontline,andreleaseofprisonersof
warhavenotyetbeenfulfilled,raisingconcernstheceasefireagreementcouldcollapse.
(ReportingbyStephanieNebehayEditingbyRichardBalmforth)
TheWashingtonPost
Trumpsshallownessrunsdeep
ByGeorgeF.WillOpinionwriter
August3at7:05PM(August4printedition)
WhenhostGeorgeStephanopoulosasked,WhydidyousoftentheGOPplatformonUkraine?removingthecallfor
providinglethalweaponsforUkrainetodefenditselfTrumpsaid:[Putins]notgoingintoUkraine,okay?Justsoyou
understand.HesnotgoingtogointoUkraine,allright?Youcanmarkitdownandyoucanputitdown,youcantakeitanywhere
youwant.
Stephanopoulos:Well,hesalreadythere,isnthe?
Trump:Okay,well,hesthereinacertainway,butImnotthereyet.Youhave[President]Obamathere.Andfrankly,thatwhole
partoftheworldisamessunderObama,withallthestrengththatyouretalkingaboutandallofthepowerofNATOandallof
this,inthemeantime,hesgoingwherehetakestakesCrimea,hessortofImean...
WhatTrump,inthatwordsalad,callsthecertainwaythatPutinisinCrimeaiscalledannexation,enforcedbytheRussianarmy.
ButTrumpchannelinghisinnerWoodrowWilsonandhisprincipleofethnicself-determinationsayswhathashappenedto
CrimeaissortofdemocraticbecausefromwhatIveheardthepeopleofCrimeawouldratherbewithRussiathanwherethey
were.
Readfullcolumn:http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/trumps-shallowness-runs-
deep/2016/08/03/f7311b20-58d3-11e6-831d-0324760ca856_story.html
AtlanticCouncil
AUGUST3,2016
HowtheInternationalMediaEnablesRussianAggressioninUkraine
BYPETERDICKINSON
http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/how-the-international-media-enables-russian-aggression-in-ukraine
Ifanyonehadattemptedtoreporton"German-backedforces"inNazi-occupiedFranceor"pro-Sovietforces"duringthePrague
Spring,theywouldhavebeendismissedaseitherhopelesslymisinformedordeeplydisingenuous.Whilelocalcollaboratorsand
convenienteuphemismswereplentifulinbothinstances,therewasneveranydoubtastowhowasreallyincontrol.Thiscommon
senseapproachseemstohavebeenlostinUkraine,wheretheinternationalmediahasplayedakeyroleincreatingtheambiguity
thathasallowedRussiashybridwartosucceed.
WhyhasthemediabeensocautiousaboutRussiasroleintheconflict?Itisnotduetoalackofevidence.ProofofRussian
involvementhasbeenoverwhelmingsincetheearlydaysofthefightingineasternUkraine.Almostalloftheinitialleadersofthe
breakawayrepublicswereRussiancitizens.InternationaljournaliststhemselveshavewitnessedconvoysfullofRussianweapons
crossingtheborderandinterviewedRussianofficersintheconflictzone,whileevenpro-KremlinreportersinUkrainehaveslipped
upbybroadcastingfootageofequipmentonlyavailabletotheRussianmilitary.
Onlinesleuthshaveproducedconvincingevidenceofcross-borderRussianartilleryattacksonUkrainianpositions,whilethesocial
mediaselfiesofRussiansoldiershaveexposedtheirdeploymentinUkraine.TherehavebeeninstancesofentiregroupsofRussian
troopscaptureddeepinsidetheUkrainiancombatzone,whichtheKremlinhasdealtwithbydisowningsomeandclaimingothers
simply"gotlost."
TheMH17incidentisworthyofawholechapterofitsown:sophisticatedanti-aircraftsystemsarenotdeployedacross
internationalbordersandintoconflictzonesinisolation.
ThenthereisthewholesubjectoftheRussian"volunteers"and"vacationers,"amotleycrewofRussianmilitarypersonnel
operatingalongsidearmyveterans,mercenaries,far-rightfanatics,andcriminaldregs.Figureheadsforthesefightershave
repeatedlyputtheiroverallnumberatfiftythousandastaggeringfigurewhenonerecallshowearlyinsurgencyposterboyIhor
"Strelkov"GirkinadmittedattheheightofthefightinginMay2014thathehadstruggledtorecruitonethousandDonbasresidents.
WhatemergesisapictureofamanufacturedinsurgencyinspiredbyKremlinoperatives,armedbytheRussianmilitary,manned
predominantlybyRussianfighters,andledfromMoscow.Nevertheless,mostinternationalnewsoutletscontinuetohedgetheir
bets.Manyreporton"pro-Russianforces,"despitetheredundancyofsuchtermswhendiscussingRussiannationals.
HeavyweightsliketheBBCandCanadasCBCacknowledgetheRussianfactorwhilestillreferringtoa"UkrainianCivilWar."
Therearenumerousreasonswhythemediahasbeensoneuteredinitschoiceofwording.Onekeyfactoristhecommitmentto
objectivitythatmarksWesternjournalism(intheory,atleast).Thisdedicationtotelling"bothsidesofthestory"hasbeen
masterfullyexploitedbytheKremlin,whichhasmanagedtoshiftthemiddlegroundbydemandingtheinclusionofitsown
narratives.AclassicexampleofthiswasthedepictionofUkrainespopularuprisingagainstanauthoritarianregimeasaCIA-led
fascistcoup.
Whenfacedwithsuchstrikinglydifferentnarratives,therecanbenomeaningfulbalance.Instead,journalistscaneithermakea
judgmentcallorremainstringentlyneutral.Thevastmajorityhaveoptedforthelatter.Tohavedoneotherwisewouldhavemeant
abandoningthecoreethicalobligationsofmodernjournalism.Yetbyavoidingcommonsenseconclusions,theyhaveprovidedan
invaluableservicetotheKremlin.
Theinternationalmediahasalsotakenitsleadfromthepoliticalarena.Russiasdenialsofinvolvementrequirenofurther
explanation,butUkrainemustalsoacceptafairshareofresponsibility.Kyivhasrefusedtoofficiallyacknowledgeastateofwar
andhaschosentoportraytheconflictasananti-terroristoperation.Thereareanumberoflegalandstrategicargumentsforthis,
notleastthedesiretokeepinternationalfinancingchannelsopenwhiledenyingtheKremlinanyopportunitytoembarkonafull-
scalemilitaryinvasion.Evenso,ithascreatedmoreconfusion.
Thereasonsforreticenceonthepartofinternationalpoliticalleadersarehardertofathom.Somehavespokenfranklyabout
Russianmilitaryaggression,whileothershavesoughtthesafetyofgeneralreferencesto"Russianinvolvement,"whilecallingonall
sidestoceasehostilities.PerhapstheyhopetokeepRussiasexitoptionsopenandavoidafull-scalemilitaryconfrontationwiththe
Kremlin.
Thisisnottosaytherehasbeennoprogress.Intheearlydaysoftheconflict,manymediaoutletschosetoportraythefightingas
anexclusivelyUkrainiandomesticaffair,employingtermssuchas"Ukrainianrebels"and"anti-Kyivseparatists."Thesemonikers
havegraduallybeenreplacedby"Russian-backedforces"and"pro-Russianforces."TheUSStateDepartmentsoughttotakethis
evolutionastepfurtherbyintroducingthephrase"combinedRussian-separatistforces"inspring2015.Thistechnicallyaccurate
butsomewhatawkwardtermhasfailedtoshiftperceptions.Itposesquestionsratherthanprovidingclarity:isRussiamerely
providingsomemilitaryadvisers?Whataretherelativeproportionswithinthiscombinedforce?Outsideobserversmayreachthe
conclusionthatRussiasinvolvementisanythingbutdecisive.
InlightofthechallengespresentedbyRussiashybridapproachtointernationalconflict,theinternationalcommunityclearlyneedsa
newlexicon.TheconceptofRussianhybridwarfarehasgonemainstreamoverthepasttwo-and-a-halfyears,buthasyetto
translateintothekindofunambiguousterminologycapableofaccuratelyportrayingwhatRussiaisdoingineastUkraine.Onenew
wayofdescribingthemilitaryunitsineastUkrainecouldbe"hybridRussianforces":thiswouldhighlightRussiasoverall
responsibility,whileacknowledgingthattheforcesinquestionaremixedincompositionanddifferfromconventionalarmedforces.
Likewise,whatisvariouslycalled"theUkrainecrisis"or"theUkraineconflict"wouldbemoreaccuratelydescribedasa"Russian
hybridwar."
Ithaslongbeenclaimedthatthepenismightierthanthesword,andthishasneverbeentruerthanintheinformationage.The
internationalmediahasplayedakeyroleinenablingRussiashybridwaragainstUkraineitcannowhelptoturnthetideby
adoptingterminologythataccuratelycapturestherealitiesbehindthebloodshed.
PeterDickinsonisthepublisherofBusinessUkrainemagazineandLvivToday,andeditor-at-largeatTheOdessaReview.
HewaspreviouslychiefeditorofUkraineTodayandWhatsOnKyiv.
Seehttp://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticistandscrollforadditionalrecentblogsregardingUkraine.
Subject:AbelatedbutmajorvictoryforRussia'sstrikingLONG-HAULTRUCKERS:"'PLATON"willbefrozenfor
threeyears,"http://www.gazeta.ru/auto/2016/08/02_a_9742031.shtml
Cc:"paul.goble@gmail.com"<paul.goble@gmail.com>,"waz2102@caa.columbia.edu"<waz2102@caa.columbia.edu>
AbelatedbutmajorvictoryforRussia'sstrikingLONG-HAULTRUCKERS:"'PLATON"willbefrozenfor
threeyears,"http://www.gazeta.ru/auto/2016/08/02_a_9742031.shtml
AshasbecomeknowntoGazeta.ruinthegovernmenttheyarepreparedtocorrecttheawaitedlevies
fromthePlatonsystem,leavingthemattheirpresentleveluntil2019[i.e.,beyondthe2018presidential
election].
And:TimMAK,AlexaCORSE,TRUMPcampaignchangedUKRAINEplatform,LIEDabout
it,thedailybeast.com,8/4
TopTrumpaidePaulMANAFORTsworethatthecampaignhadnothingtodowiththeradicalchange
intheRepublicanPartypositiononUkraine.Hewaslying.
And:KYIVdoesnotagreetotheappointmentofanewambassadorfromRussiatoUkraine[ultra-
hardlinerMikhailBABICH],http://echo.msk.ru/news/1814178-echo-html
And:PESKOV:WeasbeforeareofferingBABICHforthepostofambassadorto
Ukraine,http://graniru.org/Politics/Russia/m.253553.html
PeskovisthreateningUkrainewithadowngradeindiplomaticrelations.
And:UkraineintelidentifiesDOZENSofRussiancitizensfightinginUkraine(LIST,
PHOTOS),unian.info,8/4
And:IntheDonetskPeoplesRepublictheydonotexcludearenewalofFULL-SCALEMILITARY
ACTIONSintheDonbas,http://graniru.org/Politics/World/Europe/Ukraine/m.253547.html
And:MikhailFISHMAN,TheKremlinsFINALWARNING:WhyYaroslavlsex-mayorisserving12.5
yearsinjail,themsocowtimes.com,8/4
And:RussiadevelopingCHEMICALWARFAREROBOTS,themoscowtimes.com,8/4
From:PeterBorisow<ap.borisow@earthlink.net>
Subject:3reasonsRussiasVladimirPutinmightwanttointerfereintheU.S.presidentialelections|Brookings
Institution
However,mostimportantly--becausehecan.And,hecangetawaywithit.Onceagain,herubsUS/EUnoseinpooand
nobodydoesanythingaboutit.
It'saverypowerfulmessagetotherestoftheworld,aswellastothepeopleofRussia,whotaketoitlikethecrowdsinthe
Colosseumtooktonewgamesinthearena.
"MynameisPutin,rulerofrulers:
Lookonmyworks,yeMighty,anddespair!"
(WithallduerespectandapologiestoShelley)
http://www.brookings.edu/2016/08/03/3-reasons-russias-vladimir-putin-might-want-to-interfere-in-the-u-s-presidential-elections/?
utm_campaign=Brookings+Brief&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=32468054
Subject:TheDesiretoPleaseDictators:WhyTrumpsCrimeaGaffeMatters
TheDesiretoPleaseDictators:WhyTrumpsCrimeaGaffeMatters
"It'seasytodismissfar-offCrimeaasamatteroflittleimportancetoAmericansinanelectionyear,especiallysincedefactothe
peninsulareallyisRussiasnow,andUkrainelacksthepowertochangethepost-2014statusquo.YetCrimeamattersforseveral
reasons,rangingfromthepragmatictothephilosophical.
Inthefirstplace,ifRussiacanoccupypartsofneighboringcountriesthatincludeethnicRussiansanytimeMoscowfeelslikeit,we
canexpectPutintodothisagain.Probablysoon.ItsnotliketheWestsacquiescenceinallowingGermanytousesimilarlogicto
occupyAustriaandthentheSudetenlandinthelate1930sexactlysatedAdolfHitler."
http://observer.com/2016/08/the-desire-to-please-dictators-why-trumps-crimea-gaffe-matters/#.V6LxNjEIYWQ.twitter
OPINION
TheDesiretoPleaseDictators:WhyTrumps
CrimeaGaffeMatters
RussiasillegaloccupationwasnotapoliticalissueintheUSuntilDonaldTrumpmadeit
one
ByJohnR.Schindler08/03/168:45am
RepublicanPresidentialcandidateDonaldTrump.(Photo:JoshuaLott/GettyImages)
ItsAugustandwereofficiallyinthisyearspresidentialcontestinaseriousway.Nowthatbothparties
haveanointednomineesattheirconventions,campaigningbeginsinearnestwiththeelectioninearly
Novemberonlythreemonthsandmuchhardelectoralsloggingaway.
HillaryClintonscoronationinPhiladelphiaattheDemocraticconventiongotofftoarockystartlastweek
withrevelationsofmessysquabblingandshadydealingsthanksto20,000stolenDemocraticNational
CommitteeinternalemailsthatappearedonthewebsiteofWikileaks,theprivacyorganizationthat,asI
explainedindetail,nowfunctionsasanarmoftheKremlin.
DonaldTrumphasdonehimselfandtheRepublicanpartynofavorswithhisreactiontotheWikileaks
operation,however.InitiallydismissingallegationsofRussianinvolvementasajoke,Trumpthenasked
Moscowtolocatethemorethan30,000emailsthatClintonandherstaffdeletedinEmailGate.While
itshighlylikelythattheKremlinindeeddoeshaveHillarysmissingemails,encouragingahostileintelligence
servicetopillagethecommunicationsoffellowAmericansrepresentsagenuinelynoveldevelopmentinour
politics.
Tomakemattersworse,TrumpthenattackedtheparentsofaMuslimsoldierwhowaskilledinIraqwhile
servingasanofficerintheU.S.Army.MakenomistaketheKhanfamilyappearedattheDemocratic
conventioninapoliticalroleandtheybadmouthedTrumpthere.Thatsaid,theopticsofgoingafterthe
grievingparentsinpublicaresobadastodefybeliefthatanybodywoulddoitrepeatedly.AttackingGold
Starparents,too,isanoveldevelopmentinourpolitics.
ItsapparentthattheDemocratslaidacunningtrapforTrumpwiththeKhans,knowinghowthemediawas
likelytocoverthestory,andtheRepublicannomineewalkedstraightrightintoit,mouthblazing.Itsno
wonderthatTrumpspollsnumbershavebeendroppinginrecentdayswhileHillarysarerising.
Amidalltheseunforcederrorsinasingle,disastrousweekfortheGOP,Trumpmadeanotherstatementthat
hasntgottentheattentionitdeserves,betweentheRepublicannomineesotherhighlypublicizedgaffes.
ThiswasacommenthemadeaboutCrimea,theUkrainianregionontheBlackSeathatwasannexedby
Russianforcesinearly2014,settingoffwhatItermedatthetimeColdWar2.0.OnSundaysThis
WeekprogramonABC,TrumpappearedtoacceptMoscowsoccupationofCrimea,indicatingthat,as
president,hewouldlookatrecognizingRussianrulethere,addingmemorably,thepeopleofCrimea,
fromwhatIveheard,wouldratherbewithRussiathanwheretheywere.
Makingmattersworse,TrumpthendeniedRussiasmilitaryinvolvementinUkraine,statingtwiceof
PresidentVladimirPutin,HesnotgoingintoUkraine.Thisoverlooksthewell-knownfactthatsince2014
occupiedCrimeahasbecomeamajorRussianmilitaryvenue,withtheKremlinpubliclyboastingofa
hundrednewunitsstationedonthepeninsula.MoscowsforcesinCrimeaincludetheBlackSeaFleet(with
acruiser,adestroyer,fourfrigates,fivesubmarinesplusnumeroussmallervessels),whiletheair
forcerecentlyshowcaseditspowerinamemorabledemonstrationofstrengthoverCrimea.Andletsnot
forgetthetwowholeRussianarmycorpsninebrigadesplusfiveregimentsthatoccupyasubstantial
chunkofeasternUkraineandareinvolvedindailycombatoperationsagainstUkrainianforces.
TrumphassignaledtoMoscowandeveryoneelsehowlittle
Article5wouldmeaninhisadministration.
Bizarrely,whenchallengedbyABCsGeorgeStephanopoulos,Trumpsemi-backtrackedandwentonto
blamePresidentObama:OK,well,hesthereinacertainway,butImnotthereyet.YouhaveObama
there.AssomeonewhohasbeensharplycriticalofthisWhiteHousesditheringpolicyinUkraine,letme
stateclearlythattheonlypeoplewhoblameObamaforPutinsannexationofCrimeaareKremlin
propagandists,usuallyofthepaidvariety.
TherearetwooptionstoexplainsomanyerrorsbyTrumpinafewsentences.Eitherheiscluelessabout
CrimeaandUkraine,beingtotallyunfamiliarwiththebasicissues,anddecidedtopontificateonthesubject
regardlesswhileonnationaltelevision.OrheisconsciouslyparrotingKremlinpropaganda.Thereisnothird
choicehere.
ThatTrumpisseriouslydeficientinmattersofforeignaffairsandnationalsecurityisnosecret,sincehe
seemstolackbasicawarenessofanymilitaryissues,thereforethathesimplytalkedonliveTVwithout
knowinganythingcannotberuledout.
However,theTrumpcampaignhasshownunusualinterestinallmattersRussian,eventhoughthenominee
cantquiteexplainjustwhathisrelationshipwithPutinactuallyis,orifoneexistsatallthis,too,cameup
intheStephanopoulosinterview.SeveraltopcampaignstafferspossesstroublingtiestotheKremlin,asIve
previouslyelaborated,whileTrumpspeoplechangedtheGOPspartyplatformattherecentconventionin
ClevelandandnottoUkrainesbenefit.
There,theplatformsproposedlanguageonUkrainewasweakenedfromprovidingthatcountrylethal
defensiveweaponstomerelyappropriateassistance.AlthoughTrumpandhiscampaignhavedeniedthey
werebehindtheverbiagechange,thishasbeenproventobealie.
HereonesuspectsthehandofPaulManafort,Trumpscampaignchairman,whoworkedforseveralyears
asatopadvisertoViktorYanukovych,Ukrainesthuggishandthievishpresidentwhowasthrownform
officeinearly2014andpromptlyfledtoRussia.Thiswasnosurprise,sinceYanukovychwasverymuch
MoscowsmanandheenjoyedacloserelationshipwiththeKremlinanditssecurityservices,whichwere
allowedfreereigninUkraineaslongasYanukoyvchwasboss.
OnceitbecameapparentthatTrumpscommentsonCrimeawereadebacle,hiscampaignchangeditsstory.
Thecandidatehimselfham-handedlytriedtowalkbackhiswords,whilehiscampaignco-chairbizarrely
statedthatTrumpwasthinkingaboutsomethingelsewhenhesaidthatPutinwasntgoingtogointo
Ukraine.
TrumpthenretortedthattryingtopryCrimeaawayfromRussianowwouldstartWorldWarIIIa
statementthatistruebututterlymissesthepoint.IfObamadecidednottofightRussiaoverCrimeaawise
choicesinceJointChiefsofStaffwouldhavebalkedanywaythenextpresident,whoeveritmaybe,will
neverseektoturnbacktheclock,giventhethousandsofnuclearweaponsinRussiaspossession.Thisis
straw-manningbyTrumpthatmeritsderision.
However,publiclyacquiescinginRussiasviolenttheftofCrimea,whilelyingabouttheKremlins
misconductinUkraine,representsapoliticalandmoralturningpointfortheTrumpcampaign.Simplyput,
onlyRussiaplusitsfriendsandvassalsrecognizeMoscowsoccupationofCrimea.Therestoftheworldhas
beenadmirablyclearthatthetheftofCrimeawasanillegalactthatoughtnotberecognized.
TheTrumpcampaigndoesntseemtooconcernedaboutfacts
thesedays.
TheUnitedNationshasspoken,withaMarch2014GeneralAssemblyresolutionrecognizingUkraines
sovereigntyandterritorialintegrity:100memberssupporteditwhileonly11votedagainst.TheUnitedStates
alongwiththeEuropeanUnionhavespokenwithonevoiceontheCrimeaissue,enforcingeconomic
sanctionsonRussiathathavecausedrealpainforPutin.RecognizingRussiasillegaloccupationwasnota
political,muchlessapartisan,issueinourcountry,beyonditsoddfringesuntilDonaldTrumpmadeitone.
Itseasytodismissfar-offCrimeaasamatteroflittleimportancetoAmericansinanelectionyear,especially
sincedefactothepeninsulareallyisRussiasnow,andUkrainelacksthepowertochangethepost-2014
statusquo.YetCrimeamattersforseveralreasons,rangingfromthepragmatictothephilosophical.
Inthefirstplace,ifRussiacanoccupypartsofneighboringcountriesthatincludeethnicRussiansanytime
Moscowfeelslikeit,wecanexpectPutintodothisagain.Probablysoon.ItsnotliketheWests
acquiescenceinallowingGermanytousesimilarlogictooccupyAustriaandthentheSudetenlandinthelate
1930sexactlysatedAdolfHitler.
IfthecountriesoftheformerSovietUnionthatincludeRussianminoritiesthatsmostofthemare
reallyMoscowstobecarveduponethniclines,theKremlinsknivesareready.Andsomeofthe
countriesthatwillbecarvedupbelongtoNATO,andtheywillbesuretoinvokeArticle5,theAlliances
collectivedefenseprovision,whentheRussiansarrive.
NotthatTrumpseemstothinkNATOsworthmuchanyway.HavingcalledtheAtlanticAlliancevery
obsoletewhilestatingthat,aspresident,hewouldonlycometotheaidofNATOmemberswhowereinhis
goodgraces,TrumphassignaledtoMoscowandeveryoneelsehowlittleArticle5wouldmeaninhis
administration.
Ourallieshavenoticed.InEstonia,wherefearsofRussiaareacuteasIrecentlyexplainedandtheir
cyber-savvypresidentshamesTrumpsonlinetrolls,seniorofficialsareopenlyworriedaboutapossible
Trumppresidency.TopsecurityfolksinalltheBalticstatesnowplainlycalltheRepublicannomineethe
KremlinsmananddreadhispossiblemovingintotheWhiteHouseinJanuary.
IthardlyhelpsthatNewtGingrich,theGOPstalwartwhosclosetotheTrumpcampaign,recentlycastigated
NATOmemberswhoarentpullingtheirmilitaryweight,blowingoffEstoniaasbeinginthesuburbsofSt.
Petersburg.ThiswastakenbyEstoniansasanunambiguoussignalthatArticle5wontapplytothemina
Trumppresidency.
ThiswasaperversemisstatementbyGingrich,giventhatlittleEstoniaisoneoftheveryfewNATO
membersthatactuallyspendsthenotionallyrequiredtwopercentofGDPondefense.Anybodyeven
cursorilyinformedaboutNATOknowsthatEstoniapuncheswellaboveitsweightintheAtlanticAlliance.
NottomentionthatEstoniaisinSt.PetersburgssuburbsonlyinGingrichsmind.Theactualdistancefrom
thebordertoRussiassecond-biggestcityisahundredmilesthesamedistancethatPhiladelphiaisfrom
ManhattanbuttheTrumpcampaigndoesntseemtooconcernedaboutfactsthesedays.UsingGingrichs
logic,southTexasisrightfullyMexicossinceMonterreyisonlyhundredmilesfromtheRioGrande.
LetsbeclearthattheCrimeaissuehasimpactsfarbeyondtheBaltics.Ourrivalsworldwidewatched
Putinssmash-and-grabofCrimeawiththeLittleGreenMenofGRU,hismilitaryintelligenceservice,with
intenseinterest.Thisplaybookcannowbecopiedbyothercountries,particularlyifPresidentTrumpwont
doanythingaboutit.
WouldTrump,ascommander-in-chief,simplyletChinaoccupyTaiwan,asthePeoplesLiberationArmy
hasdreamedoffordecades?WhataboutallthosetinylittleislandsintheSouthChinaSeathatBeijing
nakedlycovets?ThesearequestionsthattheRepublicannomineenowneedstobeasked,plainlyand
directly.
Cometothinkofit,Iranhasdesignsbeyonditsborderstoo.Asdoseveralothercountriesthatarenot
exactlyfriendsofours.Afterthecatastropheof1914-45,whentwoworldwarskilledsome75million
peoplebetweencombatandgenocide,theworld,ledbytheUnitedStates,establishednewinternational
normsthatsoughttominimizetheterritorialconflictsthatcausedthehorrorsofthetwentiethcenturys
blood-drenchedfirsthalf.
Thateffortwasimperfectanditsnot-always-efficientdiplomaticmechanismscansometimesseem
downrightsilly.Butthepost-1945worldorder,ledbyAmerica,hasbeenfarmoresuccessfulthananything
beforeit.Warsreallyarerarernow,whilemajorconflictseemsallbutunthinkable,especiallyamong
nuclear-armedpowers.
Theancientshadatakeonforeignrelationsthatwasmemorablyexpressedasthestrongdowhattheycan
andtheweaksufferwhattheymust.Thislawofthejungleledtocountlesswarsrightuntilthemid-
20thcentury,whentheappallingcostoflettingaggressorssimplydoastheywishedbecameobvioustoall
buttheblind.
DonaldTrumpsforeignpolicyvision,withitsdesiretopleasedictatorsuntiltheyhopefullybehave,seemsto
bemorecomfortablewiththenormsoftheancientsthanwiththoseofthecurrentcentury.Thisiswhy
Crimeamatters.Trumpsconceptofinternationalrelationswillonlyencouragemoreaggressionagainstthe
weakwhilequitepossiblyunleashingmajorwarandgeopoliticalhellwithit.
Disclosure:DonaldTrumpisthefather-in-lawofJaredKushner,thepublisherofObserverMedia.
JohnSchindlerisasecurityexpertandformerNationalSecurityAgencyanalystandcounterintelligence
officer.Aspecialistinespionageandterrorism,hesalsobeenaNavyofficerandaWarCollegeprofessor.
HespublishedfourbooksandisonTwitterat@20committee.
From:VladK
Subject:UkeNews
Thanks for including me on your distribution. Attached are two articles for your reading.
Senttime: 08/03/201609:11:08AM
FW:TimothyASH,"Russia'sLONG-TERMAIMSandhowtheWestwillrespond,"ft.com,8/17-pageBlog[Youdon'tneed$toaccessthisFT
Subject:
item]
From:JohnBDunlop
Sent:Wednesday,August03,20169:11AM
Subject:TimothyASH,"Russia'sLONG-TERMAIMSandhowtheWestwillrespond,"ft.com,8/17-pageBlog[Youdon'tneed$to
accessthisFTitem]
HowshouldwereadRussia,andVladimirPutinsgameplanwithrespecttotheUS,theWestand
Ukraine?MyownviewisthatPutinisinawaitingmodeWhenviewedfromMoscow,politicaltrends
intheUSandEuropelooksettoplaytoRUSSIAsINTERESTS.PredictsDmitriiMEDVEDEVlikelytobe
oustedafterthe2016Dumaelection.
And:TheKremlin[PESKOV]hasrejectedAshspredictionsaboutMedvedevsfutureasspeculation:
http://slon.ru/posts/71615
And:TheFBIdelayedwarningDemsofpotentialroleinHACKS,thedailybest.com,8/3
TheFBItookmonthstowarnDemocraticPartyofficialsthatamalicioushackintothenational
politicalcommitteesemailnetworkwasbeingprobedaspossibleRussianespionage,sourcestold
Reuters.
And:MichaelCROWLEY,TrumpchangedviewsonUKRAINEafterhiringMANAFORT,politico.com,
8/3
And:CorkySiemaszko,DonaldTRUMPandVladimirPUTIN:TimelineofabadBROMANCE,
http://www.nbcnews.com/pages/print
And:NicoleGaouette,RussiacontinuestoSHADOWTRUMP,
http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/02/donaldtrumpproblemputinhayden/index.html
And:POVERTYandRISINGPRICESmostacuteproblemsforRussians[ROMIR]poll,
themoscowtimes.com,8/2
ThemajorityofRussians(70[!]percent)considerinflationandrisingpricestobetheirmostacute
problems.
And:NovayaGazetarespondstoathreattoSUEthepublicationpostedonthesiteofIgorSECHINs
Rosneft.ThepaperhadrevealedSechinspurchaseofa$180millionyachtasagiftforhisnewyoung
wife:http://echo.msk.ru/blog/novaya_gazeta/1813344ecgo/
And:ARussiancriminalknownasTheITALIAN[AndreiKochuikov]whowasresponsibleforthe
arrestofhighrankinggeneralsintheInvestigationsCommitteesaysinaninterview:IfIbeginto
speak,fifty[more]willbefired.http://www.mk.ru/print/article/1487133/
And:ThemayorofthecityofYaroslavl,EvgeniiURALSHOV,hasbeensentencedtotwelveandahalf
yearsinprisonplusafineof60millionrublesforallegedlytakingaBRIBE:
http://graniru.org/Society/Law/m.253528.html
Senttime: 08/02/201610:12:45PM
To: kramer<David.J.Kramer@asu.edu>
Subject: Re:TheKremlin'sAdvantage|ForeignAffairs(rumeronthehack)
Befair:
http://carnegieendowment.org/2015/07/20/russia-different-kind-of-threat/idml
OnAug2,2016,at4:14PM,DavidKramer<David.J.Kramer@asu.edu>wrote:
Genewrotethis?Wow,quiteachange,especiallyRecognizingthenatureofthethreatthatRussia
presentsisthefirststeptowarddealingwithit.

From:RobertOtto[mailto:robertotto25@gmail.com]
To:DavidKramer<David.J.Kramer@asu.edu>
Subject:TheKremlin'sAdvantage|ForeignAffairs(rumeronthehack)

http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/russian-federation/2016-08-02/kremlins-advantage
TheKremlin'sAdvantage
ThehackoftheU.S.DemocraticNationalCommitteeemails,nowwidelyattributed
toRussianintelligence,hassetoffapoliticalearthquakeintheUnitedStates.The
brazennessoftheattack,thecrudeattempttointerveneinaU.S.presidentialelection,
andtheequallybald-faceddenialinthefaceofmountingevidenceofRussian
governmentcomplicityhavepromptedahostofquestionsthatreallyamounttojust
one:How?Althoughafullysatisfactoryanswermayneverbefound,itisnottooearly
todrawsomeconclusionsfromtheepisodeconclusionsthatshouldinformthe
generaldiscourseaboutRussia,aswellasaboutthechallengethatRussiawillpresent
tothenextU.S.administration,regardlessofwhoiselectedinNovember.
Thoseexperts(includingthiswriter),who,outofanabundanceofcaution,initially
grappledwiththenewsoftheDNCbreak-inbyinvokingtheinherentdifficultyof
investigatingcybercrimes,nowhavethegrowingbodyoffactandanalysispointingto
Russiasroleinthehack.InkeepingwithNationalIntelligenceDirectorJames
Clappersrecentremarksonthissubject,theassumptionshouldbethatRussiawas
behindthebreak-in.Atthispoint,todenyitwouldsimplybemisleadingthepublic.
WhydidtheRussiangovernmentdoit?Becauseitcould.Knowledgeispower.
Havingtheinsidescooponanadversaryisasourceofleveragethatistoogoodto
passup.AndcollectingsuchintelligenceiswhattheRussianintelligenceserviceshave
alongrecordofdoingwithsomeskillandsuccess.
AndwhydidthehackersreleasethedatastolenfromtheDNC?Didtheyreallyintend
toundermineDemocraticpresidentialcandidateHillaryClintonandtohelptheir
presumedfavorite,theRepublicanDonaldTrump?Itwouldseemnaveordelusional
toexpectthattheleakwouldaffectthevoteinacountryofwellover300millionina
campaignwithsomanyresourcesbeingexpendedbysomanyinterests.Anyanalysis
oftheRussiangovernmentsintentionsrequiresagreatdealofspeculation.Butsome
thingsareknown.
Russiangovernmentandstate-sponsoredagentshaveintervenedinothercountries
electionsanddomesticpolitics.TheyhavedonesoinFrance,theNetherlands,
Germany,andItaly,justtonamesomeU.S.allies.ForRussiasneighborsUkraine,
theBalticstates,andMoldovaMoscowsheavyhandintheirdomesticpoliticsisa
constantworry.JustbecausetheUnitedStatesisbigandpowerfuldoesntmeanthat
itsdomesticpoliticsisnecessarilyofflimitstoRussianintelligence.Infact,theUnited
Statespositionintheworldastheonlytrulyglobalpowermakesitevenmoreofa
targetforRussianintelligence.
Kremlinoperativesprobablyrememberthatthe2000U.S.presidentialelectionwas
determinedbyafewhangingchads.The2016electionmaywellbedecidedbya
smallnumberofdisgruntledsupportersofformerDemocraticcontenderBernie
Sanders,asthesesupportersmaymakethedecisiontostayhome,insteadofvoting
forClinton.Inthatsense,thereleaseofstolenDNCdocumentsmaybejustthething
totipthescalesagainsther.
ThiswarrantsahardlookatwhetherTrumpisRussianPresidentVladimirPutins
favoredchoice.Therecordisremarkable:thepublicexchangeofpleasantriesbetween
TrumpandPutintheRussianmoneyreportedlyinvestedinTrumpsprojectshis
skeptical,transactionalapproachtoNATOhishintingatpossiblerecognitionof
CrimeaasRussianterritoryandliftingofthesanctionsonRussiaandhismostrecent
claimthatPutinisnotgoingtogointoUkraine.Atthesametime,Putinisonthe
recordaccusingClintonoffomentingunrestinRussia.AndClintonsdislikeofthe
RussianpresidentbeforetheDNChackwasequallywelldocumentedand
undoubtedlyhasgrownmoreintensesincethen.
Noneofthisshouldcomeasasurprise,justasnobodywassurprisedwhentheNorth
KoreangovernmenthackedintoSonyPicturescomputers.Theonlyshocktherewas
thetechnicalexpertisedemonstratedbytheparanoidhermitkingdom.AndRussian
rulersarejustasparanoidabouttheWesttheUnitedStates,inparticularandits
attemptstoencircleRussia,destabilizeitathome,andmarginalizeitontheworld
stage.
MuchhasbeenwrittenaboutRussianhybridwarfareatermthatcoversawide
rangeofactivities,includingcovertoperations,theuseofirregularsandcriminal
elements,cyberoperations,informationanddisinformationcampaigns,andsoon.
RussiahaspracticedhybridwarfarewithvaryingdegreesofsuccessinCrimea,in
easternUkraine,intheBalticstates,andinSyria.
LessnotedisthatRussiansecurityservicesseeRussiaasbeingevenmoreavictimof
hybridwarfarethananaggressor.U.S.supportfordemocracyinandaroundRussiais
athreattotheKremlin.ThereleaseofthePanamaPapers,whichrevealed
informationaboutthehiddenwealthandpresumedcorruptactivitiesoftherulingelite,
hasbeenportrayedbytheKremlinasaneffortinWashingtontodiscredititand
destabilizeRussia.Bythesametoken,theOlympicdopingscandalisalsoseenasa
WesternplotagainstRussia.U.S.-EUeconomicsanctionsagainstRussiathatwereput
inplaceinthewakeofRussiasinvasionofUkrainearedescribedasacoverforthe
realgoaltoweakenandpromoteregimechangeinRussia.
IntheeyesofRussianelites,Westernaggressionmustbemetwitharesponse.
HackingintoDNCcomputersandreleasinginformationontheDemocratsfundraising
practicesissimplypaybackforWesternmediareportsaboutelitecorruptioninRussia.
IthelpsboosttheRussiannarrativethatmoneyandpoliticsgohandinhand
everywhereandthatRussiaisnodifferentfromtheUnitedStatesorotherWestern
countrieswhosegovernmentsarecriticalofRussia.
Gettingcaughtred-handedlikelywontevenhurtPutinsstandingathome.The
Russianpublicislongusedtothewarofkompromatsdishingdirtonpolitical
opponentsorbusinesscompetitorswhichhasbecomeastapleofpost-Soviet
Russianpoliticsandbusiness.RussianbusinesstycoonsandtheKremlinpioneered
andfine-tunedthisformofcombatinthe1990susingmediaoutletstheyownedor
controlled.CriticismfromtheWestdoesntmeanmuchinRussiathesedaysPutins
popularapprovalratingshotuptonear90percentafterheannexedCrimea.
Andsothisisbusinessasusual.Russiaisoutgunneditsdefensespendingisa
fractionofthatoftheUnitedStates.TheRussianeconomy,too,isfarsmallerthanthe
UnitedStates.TheKremlinwillnottrytomatchtheUnitedStatesgunforgunand
tankfortank.Butitwillexploitwhatadvantagesithas.
Itwillusemilitaryforcecarefullywherethecorrelationofforcesfavorsitorwhere
itsmilitaryplannerscanassuretheirleadersthatmilitaryactionwillnotleadto
disaster.UkraineisthecaseinwhichtheKremlinhadacompellinginterest,clear
militarysuperiority,andanequallyclearassurancethattheUnitedStateswouldnot
intervene.
SyriawasanothercasewhereRussianmilitaryactionwasnecessarytoprotect
Russianinterestsandwasassociatedwithfewrisks.Itwasneededtosupportthe
falteringBasharal-AssadregimeandentailedrelativelysmallrisksbecausetheObama
administrationhadmadeclearitsreluctancetointervenemilitarilyinSyria.
Butwheretheuseofmilitaryforcecarrieswithitsignificantrisksthatarenotjustified
bycompellinginterests,otherinstrumentsfromtheRussiantoolkitareandwill
continuetobeused.Forexample,anoutrightmilitaryattackagainsttheBalticstates
wouldberiskyforRussia.ItwouldcarrywithitthethreatofadevastatingNATO
retaliationandnuclearannihilation.Therefore,theBalticswillbesubjectedtoasteady
barrageofinformationoperations,disinformation,cyberattacks,airspaceviolations,
andpokingandproddingtorattlethecountriesnervesandunderminetheirconfidence
inNATO.
Germanywillbesubjectedtodisinformation,spying,andmeddlinginitsdomestic
politics.Francesright-wingNationalFrontwillbethetargetofRussianattemptsto
gaininfluenceinFrenchpolitics.AndtheU.S.governmentanditspartiescancounton
theircomputersbeingthefocusofspecialattentionbyRussianhackers,bothfrom
intelligenceservicesandthosekeptatarmslengthtopretendtheyarenotpartofthe
Russianstate.
EventsofthepastfewyearsfromtheannexationofCrimeatotheDNChackare
notanaberrationrather,theyarepartofthesamechain.Theadversarial,hostile
relationshipwithRussiaisheretostay.Putinisheretostay,too,sobettingon
outlastinghimwouldbeunwise.Heappearsverylikelytorunandbere-electedin
2018,whichmeanshewillbeintheKremlinuntil2024throughthenextU.S.
presidentialtermandtheoneafterthat.
Someoftheneededstepsarealreadybeingtakenmilitarypreparednessmovesthat
wereproposedandadoptedatNATOsWalesandWarsawsummitsarenecessaryand
willprobablybefollowedbymoremeasurestoboostNATOsconventionaland
nucleardefenseanddeterrentcapabilities.Buttanksandgunsalonearenotenough.
Moreneedstobedoneincyber,intelligence,informationoperation,andotherforms
ofhybridwarfare,aswellasdeterrence,alongwithresilienceanddefensemeasures
againstittomeetRussiaschallenge.Morealsoisneededtobereadytoconduct
counter-offensiveoperationswhentheneedarises.Andallofthishastobedonewhile
alsolookingforwaystoavoidaccidentalescalationandmaintainsomelinesof
communicationswiththeKremlin.RecognizingthenatureofthethreatthatRussia
Senttime: 08/02/201610:12:45PM
To: kramer<David.J.Kramer@asu.edu>
Subject: Re:TheKremlin'sAdvantage|ForeignAffairs(rumeronthehack)
Befair:
http://carnegieendowment.org/2015/07/20/russia-different-kind-of-threat/idml
OnAug2,2016,at4:14PM,DavidKramer<David.J.Kramer@asu.edu>wrote:
Genewrotethis?Wow,quiteachange,especiallyRecognizingthenatureofthethreatthatRussia


ThehackoftheU.S.DemocraticNationalCommitteeemails,nowwidelyattributed
toRussianintelligence,hassetoffapoliticalearthquakeintheUnitedStates.The
brazennessoftheattack,thecrudeattempttointerveneinaU.S.presidentialelection,
andtheequallybald-faceddenialinthefaceofmountingevidenceofRussian
governmentcomplicityhavepromptedahostofquestionsthatreallyamounttojust
one:How?Althoughafullysatisfactoryanswermayneverbefound,itisnottooearly
todrawsomeconclusionsfromtheepisodeconclusionsthatshouldinformthe
generaldiscourseaboutRussia,aswellasaboutthechallengethatRussiawillpresent
Thoseexperts(includingthiswriter),who,outofanabundanceofcaution,initially
grappledwiththenewsoftheDNCbreak-inbyinvokingtheinherentdifficultyof
investigatingcybercrimes,nowhavethegrowingbodyoffactandanalysispointingto
Russiasroleinthehack.InkeepingwithNationalIntelligenceDirectorJames
Clappersrecentremarksonthissubject,theassumptionshouldbethatRussiawas
behindthebreak-in.Atthispoint,todenyitwouldsimplybemisleadingthepublic.
WhydidtheRussiangovernmentdoit?Becauseitcould.Knowledgeispower.
Havingtheinsidescooponanadversaryisasourceofleveragethatistoogoodto
passup.AndcollectingsuchintelligenceiswhattheRussianintelligenceserviceshave
alongrecordofdoingwithsomeskillandsuccess.
AndwhydidthehackersreleasethedatastolenfromtheDNC?Didtheyreallyintend
toundermineDemocraticpresidentialcandidateHillaryClintonandtohelptheir
presumedfavorite,theRepublicanDonaldTrump?Itwouldseemnaveordelusional
toexpectthattheleakwouldaffectthevoteinacountryofwellover300millionina
campaignwithsomanyresourcesbeingexpendedbysomanyinterests.Anyanalysis
oftheRussiangovernmentsintentionsrequiresagreatdealofspeculation.Butsome
thingsareknown.
Russiangovernmentandstate-sponsoredagentshaveintervenedinothercountries
electionsanddomesticpolitics.TheyhavedonesoinFrance,theNetherlands,
Germany,andItaly,justtonamesomeU.S.allies.ForRussiasneighborsUkraine,
theBalticstates,andMoldovaMoscowsheavyhandintheirdomesticpoliticsisa
constantworry.JustbecausetheUnitedStatesisbigandpowerfuldoesntmeanthat
itsdomesticpoliticsisnecessarilyofflimitstoRussianintelligence.Infact,theUnited
Statespositionintheworldastheonlytrulyglobalpowermakesitevenmoreofa
targetforRussianintelligence.
Kremlinoperativesprobablyrememberthatthe2000U.S.presidentialelectionwas
determinedbyafewhangingchads.The2016electionmaywellbedecidedbya
smallnumberofdisgruntledsupportersofformerDemocraticcontenderBernie
Sanders,asthesesupportersmaymakethedecisiontostayhome,insteadofvoting
forClinton.Inthatsense,thereleaseofstolenDNCdocumentsmaybejustthething
totipthescalesagainsther.
ThiswarrantsahardlookatwhetherTrumpisRussianPresidentVladimirPutins
favoredchoice.Therecordisremarkable:thepublicexchangeofpleasantriesbetween
TrumpandPutintheRussianmoneyreportedlyinvestedinTrumpsprojectshis
skeptical,transactionalapproachtoNATOhishintingatpossiblerecognitionof
CrimeaasRussianterritoryandliftingofthesanctionsonRussiaandhismostrecent
claimthatPutinisnotgoingtogointoUkraine.Atthesametime,Putinisonthe
recordaccusingClintonoffomentingunrestinRussia.AndClintonsdislikeofthe
RussianpresidentbeforetheDNChackwasequallywelldocumentedand
Noneofthisshouldcomeasasurprise,justasnobodywassurprisedwhentheNorth
KoreangovernmenthackedintoSonyPicturescomputers.Theonlyshocktherewas
thetechnicalexpertisedemonstratedbytheparanoidhermitkingdom.AndRussian
rulersarejustasparanoidabouttheWesttheUnitedStates,inparticularandits
attemptstoencircleRussia,destabilizeitathome,andmarginalizeitontheworld
stage.
MuchhasbeenwrittenaboutRussianhybridwarfareatermthatcoversawide
rangeofactivities,includingcovertoperations,theuseofirregularsandcriminal
elements,cyberoperations,informationanddisinformationcampaigns,andsoon.
RussiahaspracticedhybridwarfarewithvaryingdegreesofsuccessinCrimea,in
easternUkraine,intheBalticstates,andinSyria.
LessnotedisthatRussiansecurityservicesseeRussiaasbeingevenmoreavictimof
hybridwarfarethananaggressor.U.S.supportfordemocracyinandaroundRussiais
athreattotheKremlin.ThereleaseofthePanamaPapers,whichrevealed
informationaboutthehiddenwealthandpresumedcorruptactivitiesoftherulingelite,
hasbeenportrayedbytheKremlinasaneffortinWashingtontodiscredititand
destabilizeRussia.Bythesametoken,theOlympicdopingscandalisalsoseenasa
WesternplotagainstRussia.U.S.-EUeconomicsanctionsagainstRussiathatwereput
inplaceinthewakeofRussiasinvasionofUkrainearedescribedasacoverforthe
IntheeyesofRussianelites,Westernaggressionmustbemetwitharesponse.
HackingintoDNCcomputersandreleasinginformationontheDemocratsfundraising
practicesissimplypaybackforWesternmediareportsaboutelitecorruptioninRussia.
IthelpsboosttheRussiannarrativethatmoneyandpoliticsgohandinhand
everywhereandthatRussiaisnodifferentfromtheUnitedStatesorotherWestern
countrieswhosegovernmentsarecriticalofRussia.
Gettingcaughtred-handedlikelywontevenhurtPutinsstandingathome.The
Russianpublicislongusedtothewarofkompromatsdishingdirtonpolitical
opponentsorbusinesscompetitorswhichhasbecomeastapleofpost-Soviet
Russianpoliticsandbusiness.RussianbusinesstycoonsandtheKremlinpioneered
andfine-tunedthisformofcombatinthe1990susingmediaoutletstheyownedor
controlled.CriticismfromtheWestdoesntmeanmuchinRussiathesedaysPutins
popularapprovalratingshotuptonear90percentafterheannexedCrimea.
Andsothisisbusinessasusual.Russiaisoutgunneditsdefensespendingisa
fractionofthatoftheUnitedStates.TheRussianeconomy,too,isfarsmallerthanthe
UnitedStates.TheKremlinwillnottrytomatchtheUnitedStatesgunforgunand
tankfortank.Butitwillexploitwhatadvantagesithas.
Itwillusemilitaryforcecarefullywherethecorrelationofforcesfavorsitorwhere
itsmilitaryplannerscanassuretheirleadersthatmilitaryactionwillnotleadto
disaster.UkraineisthecaseinwhichtheKremlinhadacompellinginterest,clear
militarysuperiority,andanequallyclearassurancethattheUnitedStateswouldnot
intervene.
SyriawasanothercasewhereRussianmilitaryactionwasnecessarytoprotect
Russianinterestsandwasassociatedwithfewrisks.Itwasneededtosupportthe
falteringBasharal-AssadregimeandentailedrelativelysmallrisksbecausetheObama
administrationhadmadeclearitsreluctancetointervenemilitarilyinSyria.
Butwheretheuseofmilitaryforcecarrieswithitsignificantrisksthatarenotjustified
bycompellinginterests,otherinstrumentsfromtheRussiantoolkitareandwill
continuetobeused.Forexample,anoutrightmilitaryattackagainsttheBalticstates
wouldberiskyforRussia.ItwouldcarrywithitthethreatofadevastatingNATO
retaliationandnuclearannihilation.Therefore,theBalticswillbesubjectedtoasteady
barrageofinformationoperations,disinformation,cyberattacks,airspaceviolations,
andpokingandproddingtorattlethecountriesnervesandunderminetheirconfidence
inNATO.
Germanywillbesubjectedtodisinformation,spying,andmeddlinginitsdomestic
politics.Francesright-wingNationalFrontwillbethetargetofRussianattemptsto
gaininfluenceinFrenchpolitics.AndtheU.S.governmentanditspartiescancounton
theircomputersbeingthefocusofspecialattentionbyRussianhackers,bothfrom
intelligenceservicesandthosekeptatarmslengthtopretendtheyarenotpartofthe
Russianstate.
EventsofthepastfewyearsfromtheannexationofCrimeatotheDNChackare
notanaberrationrather,theyarepartofthesamechain.Theadversarial,hostile
relationshipwithRussiaisheretostay.Putinisheretostay,too,sobettingon
outlastinghimwouldbeunwise.Heappearsverylikelytorunandbere-electedin
2018,whichmeanshewillbeintheKremlinuntil2024throughthenextU.S.
presidentialtermandtheoneafterthat.
Someoftheneededstepsarealreadybeingtakenmilitarypreparednessmovesthat
wereproposedandadoptedatNATOsWalesandWarsawsummitsarenecessaryand
willprobablybefollowedbymoremeasurestoboostNATOsconventionaland
nucleardefenseanddeterrentcapabilities.Buttanksandgunsalonearenotenough.
Moreneedstobedoneincyber,intelligence,informationoperation,andotherforms
ofhybridwarfare,aswellasdeterrence,alongwithresilienceanddefensemeasures
againstittomeetRussiaschallenge.Morealsoisneededtobereadytoconduct
counter-offensiveoperationswhentheneedarises.Andallofthishastobedonewhile
alsolookingforwaystoavoidaccidentalescalationandmaintainsomelinesof
communicationswiththeKremlin.RecognizingthenatureofthethreatthatRussia
From: DavidKramer<David.J.Kramer@asu.edu>
Senttime: 08/02/201601:14:42PM
Subject: RE:TheKremlin'sAdvantage|ForeignAffairs(rumeronthehack)
Genewrotethis?Wow,quiteachange,especiallyRecognizingthenatureofthethreatthatRussiapresentsisthe
firststeptowarddealingwithit.
ThehackoftheU.S.DemocraticNationalCommitteeemails,nowwidelyattributedtoRussian
intelligence,hassetoffapoliticalearthquakeintheUnitedStates.Thebrazennessoftheattack,
thecrudeattempttointerveneinaU.S.presidentialelection,andtheequallybald-faceddenialin
thefaceofmountingevidenceofRussiangovernmentcomplicityhavepromptedahostof
questionsthatreallyamounttojustone:How?Althoughafullysatisfactoryanswermayneverbe
found,itisnottooearlytodrawsomeconclusionsfromtheepisodeconclusionsthatshould
informthegeneraldiscourseaboutRussia,aswellasaboutthechallengethatRussiawillpresent
Thoseexperts(includingthiswriter),who,outofanabundanceofcaution,initiallygrappledwith
thenewsoftheDNCbreak-inbyinvokingtheinherentdifficultyofinvestigatingcybercrimes,
nowhavethegrowingbodyoffactandanalysispointingtoRussiasroleinthehack.Inkeeping
withNationalIntelligenceDirectorJamesClappersrecentremarksonthissubject,the
assumptionshouldbethatRussiawasbehindthebreak-in.Atthispoint,todenyitwouldsimply
bemisleadingthepublic.
WhydidtheRussiangovernmentdoit?Becauseitcould.Knowledgeispower.Havingtheinside
scooponanadversaryisasourceofleveragethatistoogoodtopassup.Andcollectingsuch
intelligenceiswhattheRussianintelligenceserviceshavealongrecordofdoingwithsomeskill
andsuccess.
AndwhydidthehackersreleasethedatastolenfromtheDNC?Didtheyreallyintendto
undermineDemocraticpresidentialcandidateHillaryClintonandtohelptheirpresumedfavorite,
theRepublicanDonaldTrump?Itwouldseemnaveordelusionaltoexpectthattheleakwould
affectthevoteinacountryofwellover300millioninacampaignwithsomanyresourcesbeing
expendedbysomanyinterests.AnyanalysisoftheRussiangovernmentsintentionsrequiresa
greatdealofspeculation.Butsomethingsareknown.
Russiangovernmentandstate-sponsoredagentshaveintervenedinothercountrieselectionsand
domesticpolitics.TheyhavedonesoinFrance,theNetherlands,Germany,andItaly,justto
namesomeU.S.allies.ForRussiasneighborsUkraine,theBalticstates,andMoldova
Moscowsheavyhandintheirdomesticpoliticsisaconstantworry.JustbecausetheUnited
Statesisbigandpowerfuldoesntmeanthatitsdomesticpoliticsisnecessarilyofflimitsto
Russianintelligence.Infact,theUnitedStatespositionintheworldastheonlytrulyglobal
powermakesitevenmoreofatargetforRussianintelligence.
Kremlinoperativesprobablyrememberthatthe2000U.S.presidentialelectionwasdetermined
byafewhangingchads.The2016electionmaywellbedecidedbyasmallnumberof
disgruntledsupportersofformerDemocraticcontenderBernieSanders,asthesesupportersmay
makethedecisiontostayhome,insteadofvotingforClinton.Inthatsense,thereleaseofstolen
DNCdocumentsmaybejustthethingtotipthescalesagainsther.
ThiswarrantsahardlookatwhetherTrumpisRussianPresidentVladimirPutinsfavored
choice.Therecordisremarkable:thepublicexchangeofpleasantriesbetweenTrumpandPutin
theRussianmoneyreportedlyinvestedinTrumpsprojectshisskeptical,transactionalapproach
toNATOhishintingatpossiblerecognitionofCrimeaasRussianterritoryandliftingofthe
sanctionsonRussiaandhismostrecentclaimthatPutinisnotgoingtogointoUkraine.Atthe
sametime,PutinisontherecordaccusingClintonoffomentingunrestinRussia.AndClintons
dislikeoftheRussianpresidentbeforetheDNChackwasequallywelldocumentedand
Noneofthisshouldcomeasasurprise,justasnobodywassurprisedwhentheNorthKorean
governmenthackedintoSonyPicturescomputers.Theonlyshocktherewasthetechnical
expertisedemonstratedbytheparanoidhermitkingdom.AndRussianrulersarejustasparanoid
abouttheWesttheUnitedStates,inparticularanditsattemptstoencircleRussia,destabilizeit
athome,andmarginalizeitontheworldstage.
MuchhasbeenwrittenaboutRussianhybridwarfareatermthatcoversawiderangeof
activities,includingcovertoperations,theuseofirregularsandcriminalelements,cyber
operations,informationanddisinformationcampaigns,andsoon.Russiahaspracticedhybrid
warfarewithvaryingdegreesofsuccessinCrimea,ineasternUkraine,intheBalticstates,andin
Syria.
LessnotedisthatRussiansecurityservicesseeRussiaasbeingevenmoreavictimofhybrid
warfarethananaggressor.U.S.supportfordemocracyinandaroundRussiaisathreattothe
Kremlin.ThereleaseofthePanamaPapers,whichrevealedinformationaboutthehiddenwealth
andpresumedcorruptactivitiesoftherulingelite,hasbeenportrayedbytheKremlinasaneffort
inWashingtontodiscredititanddestabilizeRussia.Bythesametoken,theOlympicdoping
scandalisalsoseenasaWesternplotagainstRussia.U.S.-EUeconomicsanctionsagainstRussia
thatwereputinplaceinthewakeofRussiasinvasionofUkrainearedescribedasacoverforthe
IntheeyesofRussianelites,Westernaggressionmustbemetwitharesponse.HackingintoDNC
computersandreleasinginformationontheDemocratsfundraisingpracticesissimplypayback
forWesternmediareportsaboutelitecorruptioninRussia.IthelpsboosttheRussiannarrative
thatmoneyandpoliticsgohandinhandeverywhereandthatRussiaisnodifferentfromthe
UnitedStatesorotherWesterncountrieswhosegovernmentsarecriticalofRussia.
Gettingcaughtred-handedlikelywontevenhurtPutinsstandingathome.TheRussianpublicis
longusedtothewarofkompromatsdishingdirtonpoliticalopponentsorbusinesscompetitors
whichhasbecomeastapleofpost-SovietRussianpoliticsandbusiness.Russianbusiness
tycoonsandtheKremlinpioneeredandfine-tunedthisformofcombatinthe1990susingmedia
outletstheyownedorcontrolled.CriticismfromtheWestdoesntmeanmuchinRussiathese
daysPutinspopularapprovalratingshotuptonear90percentafterheannexedCrimea.
Andsothisisbusinessasusual.Russiaisoutgunneditsdefensespendingisafractionofthatof
theUnitedStates.TheRussianeconomy,too,isfarsmallerthantheUnitedStates.TheKremlin
willnottrytomatchtheUnitedStatesgunforgunandtankfortank.Butitwillexploitwhat
advantagesithas.
Itwillusemilitaryforcecarefullywherethecorrelationofforcesfavorsitorwhereitsmilitary
plannerscanassuretheirleadersthatmilitaryactionwillnotleadtodisaster.Ukraineisthecasein
whichtheKremlinhadacompellinginterest,clearmilitarysuperiority,andanequallyclear
assurancethattheUnitedStateswouldnotintervene.
SyriawasanothercasewhereRussianmilitaryactionwasnecessarytoprotectRussianinterests
andwasassociatedwithfewrisks.ItwasneededtosupportthefalteringBasharal-Assadregime
andentailedrelativelysmallrisksbecausetheObamaadministrationhadmadeclearitsreluctance
tointervenemilitarilyinSyria.
Butwheretheuseofmilitaryforcecarrieswithitsignificantrisksthatarenotjustifiedby
compellinginterests,otherinstrumentsfromtheRussiantoolkitareandwillcontinuetobeused.
Forexample,anoutrightmilitaryattackagainsttheBalticstateswouldberiskyforRussia.It
wouldcarrywithitthethreatofadevastatingNATOretaliationandnuclearannihilation.
Therefore,theBalticswillbesubjectedtoasteadybarrageofinformationoperations,
disinformation,cyberattacks,airspaceviolations,andpokingandproddingtorattlethecountries
nervesandunderminetheirconfidenceinNATO.
Germanywillbesubjectedtodisinformation,spying,andmeddlinginitsdomesticpolitics.
Francesright-wingNationalFrontwillbethetargetofRussianattemptstogaininfluencein
Frenchpolitics.AndtheU.S.governmentanditspartiescancountontheircomputersbeingthe
focusofspecialattentionbyRussianhackers,bothfromintelligenceservicesandthosekeptat
armslengthtopretendtheyarenotpartoftheRussianstate.
EventsofthepastfewyearsfromtheannexationofCrimeatotheDNChackarenotan
aberrationrather,theyarepartofthesamechain.Theadversarial,hostilerelationshipwith
Russiaisheretostay.Putinisheretostay,too,sobettingonoutlastinghimwouldbeunwise.He
appearsverylikelytorunandbere-electedin2018,whichmeanshewillbeintheKremlinuntil
2024throughthenextU.S.presidentialtermandtheoneafterthat.
Someoftheneededstepsarealreadybeingtakenmilitarypreparednessmovesthatwere
proposedandadoptedatNATOsWalesandWarsawsummitsarenecessaryandwillprobablybe
followedbymoremeasurestoboostNATOsconventionalandnucleardefenseanddeterrent
capabilities.Buttanksandgunsalonearenotenough.Moreneedstobedoneincyber,
intelligence,informationoperation,andotherformsofhybridwarfare,aswellasdeterrence,
alongwithresilienceanddefensemeasuresagainstittomeetRussiaschallenge.Morealsois
neededtobereadytoconductcounter-offensiveoperationswhentheneedarises.Andallofthis
hastobedonewhilealsolookingforwaystoavoidaccidentalescalationandmaintainsomelines
ofcommunicationswiththeKremlin.RecognizingthenatureofthethreatthatRussiapresentsis
thefirststeptowarddealingwithit.
From: DavidKramer<David.J.Kramer@asu.edu>
Senttime: 08/02/201601:14:42PM
Subject: RE:TheKremlin'sAdvantage|ForeignAffairs(rumeronthehack)
Genewrotethis?Wow,quiteachange,especiallyRecognizingthenatureofthethreatthatRussiapresentsisthe
firststeptowarddealingwithit.
andsuccess.
Syria.
advantagesithas.
Senttime: 08/02/201612:11:27PM
To: kramer<david.j.kramer@asu.edu>
BCc: OttoRC@state.gov
Subject: TheKremlin'sAdvantage|ForeignAffairs(rumeronthehack)
andsuccess.
Syria.
advantagesithas.
Senttime: 08/02/201612:11:27PM
To: kramer<david.j.kramer@asu.edu>
BCc: OttoRC@state.gov
Subject: TheKremlin'sAdvantage|ForeignAffairs(rumeronthehack)
andsuccess.
Syria.
advantagesithas.
Senttime: 08/02/201612:10:55PM
FW:[VLAD-O-RAMADOOM&GLOOM..THESECONDSEASON][MK]BIGFINNFUNDQUESTIONSGLOBALSTABILITY
Subject: [PB]SYRIANCONFLICT:AreWMDsreappearing?[Call'theRedLine'forHelp].[PB]RiggedElections[Past&Present??][VRT]Is
SOSKerryTryinga'NewR...
Subject:Fwd:[VLAD-O-RAMADOOM&GLOOM..THESECONDSEASON][MK]BIGFINNFUNDQUESTIONSGLOBALSTABILITY[PB]
SYRIANCONFLICT:AreWMDsreappearing?[Call'theRedLine'forHelp].[PB]RiggedElections[Past&Present??][VRT]IsSOS
KerryTryinga'NewR...
Subject:[VLAD-O-RAMADOOM&GLOOM..THESECONDSEASON][MK]BIGFINNFUNDQUESTIONS
GLOBALSTABILITY[PB]SYRIANCONFLICT:AreWMDsreappearing?[Call'theRedLine'forHelp].[PB]
RiggedElections[Past&Present??][VRT]IsSOSKerryTryinga'NewReset'?(OHBOY!!].FINALLY:WWIIIas
theThemeofChoiceforthisWeek[VladisSmiling.Hehasmadehispoint!]
Subject:This$40BillionFinnishFundSaysRussiaIsBiggestWorry-Bloomberg
This$40BillionFinnishFundSaysRussiaIsBiggestWorry-Bloomberg
IsolationismReturning?
ThebiggestgeopoliticalchallengeisstillhereinEurope,andRussiaandtherelationbetweenthetwo,Ritakalliosaid.Add
Turkeytothemix,andtheproblemsstarttolookevenbigger,hesaid.
WiththeU.S.settoholditsmostcontentiouspresidentialelectionindecades,investorsfacetwoverydifferentworldsafter
Novemberwiththegeopoliticalstakeshigherthanusual,dependingontheoutcome.TrumphasimpliedNATOmemberswould
onlygetU.S.assistanceiftheypaidforthefavor,whilehehasflirtedwithPutinwithoutprovidingmuchinsightintohowhewould
shapeU.S.-Russianrelationsinpractice.
ATrumpwininNovemberwilltriggeruncertaintyinmarkets,Ritakalliosaid.Thelongertermconcernswouldbehowan
isolationistpolicywouldaffecttheglobaleconomy,hesaid.
Therewouldbequestionsaroundthegeopoliticalsituationgloballyandthatisproblematic,Ritakalliosaid.Anincreasein
nationalismandprotectionismwouldrequireacompletereviewoftheeconomicoutlookandhowinvestmentstrategiesare
affected,hesaid.
Subject:Syrianconflict:Saraqeb'attackedwithchlorinegas'-BBCNews[ED:Callthe'RedLine'forHelp]
Gee,itmusthavebeenthoselittlemenfromMarsagain.Youknow,thesameonewhoshotdownMH17.SomeonecallOrson
Wellesandtellhimtostopitnow!
It'sreallysadthattheoncevenerableBBCisnowsopenetratedandcompromisedthatit'snotlikelyanythingcouldeverreachthe
thresholdneededforthemtosay,"TheRussiansdidit!"
Subject:USelection:DonaldTrumpwarnsvotecouldbe'rigged'-BBCNews
WithPaulManafortatthehelm(atDTHQ),there'sabetterthanevenchancetheywillatleasttry.
Oneofthegreatlingeringfrustrationsofthe2010electioninUkraineisthepersistentfairytalethatYanukovychwonit"fairand
square".OtherthanManafort'snumbersandObama'sfirstoutofthegatetocongratulateYanukovychonhis"victory"(beating
evenPutintothepunch),thematterwasintentionallyneverfullyvetted.Therecertainlywereirregularities.Theelectionwasvery
closeandmassiveirregularities(likeoldstyleballotboxstuffing)werenotnecessary.Insomeareasjustminortweakingwould
havebeenenoughtoputYanukovychoverthetopandmanypeoplefeltthatisexactlywhathappened.Tymoshenko'speople
wereconvinceditwasriggedbutinafarmoresophisticatedwaythan,forexample,the04election.However,astheywere
preparingtheircase,ObamajumpedoutoftheboxtocongratulateYanukovychonwinning"fairandsquare"andsuddenlyitwas
allover.TymoshenkocouldarguewiththeCECbutnoonecouldarguewithPOTUS.Whateverthefacts,itwasover.
Thereasonbecameclearsometimelater,whenYanukovychturnedoverallofUkraine'snuclearmaterialtoRussiaandObama
declaredUkraineanuclearfreezone.ItwaspartofObama'sfantasyofPeaceonHisWatch,leavingbehindabetterandsafer
worldthanhefound.ItwashisWilsoniandream.Hejustdidn'tunderstand(ormaybedidn'tcare)thatitwasalreadypervertedby
theReSetvirus.HewastoofocusedonbuildinghisBraveNewBRICAWorld.Yanukovych(nodoubtcheeredonbyPutin)
happilyturnedoverthenuclearmaterialinexchangefortheUSnotlookingallthatcloselyattheelectionresults.Thus,Ukraine
wasstrippednotonlyofitsnuclearweaponsbutalsoitsnuclearpotential.Itallplayedouttoscript.Noonenoticedorseemedto
carethatitwasareallybadscript.ThethirdactwaswrittenbytheRussiansandtheendingwasreallybad,especiallyfor
Ukraine.
[EDPS:PointofInformation.PBdoesnotcriticizetheOB-ADlightlyhewasCACo-ChairofUkesforBO-JBin
'08and'12]
http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-36950083
From:VRT
Subject:JDisRight---KerryisTryinga'New'Reset(IsBObehinditaswell?)
READTEXT:DemocratsPUTINDilemma
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/democrats-putin-dilemma-226446
DonaldTrumpwasthebogeymanofthisweek'sDemocraticnationalconvention.Butplacingaclosesecondto
TrumpwasRussia'sPresident,VladimirPutin.Democratslinkedthetwobadguystogether,hammeringTrumpfor
hispastwordsofpraiseforPutinasa"strongleader"andhisclaimthattheU.S.would"getalonggreat"with
Russiaifheiselected.
HecoziesuptoPutin,saidPresidentBarackObama.VicePresidentJoeBidendenouncedTrumpfor
embracingdictatorslikeVladimirPutin.AndonThursdaynightHillaryClintonherselfsaidshewoulddefend
NATOalliesagainstanythreat,includingfromRussia.
Butjustthedaybefore,onTuesday,SecretaryofStateJohnKerrysatdownwithRussiasforeignminister,Sergei
Lavrov.OntheiragendawasaU.S.proposaltocooperatewithRussiainSyria,whichhepresentedinameeting
withPutinattheKremlinearlierthismonth.AndonThursday,aseniorObamaadministrationofficialremindeda
nationalsecurityconferencethatbetterrelationswithMoscow,somethingTrumphasbeencriticizedforsaying
wouldbeagreatthing,remainsacoregoalofU.S.foreignpolicy.
WedonotwanttobeadversarialwiththeRussians,saidElissaSlotkin,actingassistantsecretaryofdefensefor
internationalsecurityaffairs,inapanelattheAspenSecurityConference.Ithink,Ihope,thatthemessagethat
Russiaisreceivingnowisthatwewanttotalktoyou.WellsendJohnKerrytoMoscow.Weareopen,weare
readytotalktoyou.
Tobesure,ObamaofficialshavelowexpectationsabouttheprospectsforconstructivedealingswithPutin,who
haspursuedanaggressiveforeignpolicywhileclampingdownondissentathome.Theyarealsooutragedby
whattheybelievetobeaKremlin'shandinthecybertheftandreleaseofDemocraticNationalCommitteeemails.
(KerrysternlyraisedtheissuewithLavrovonTuesday,U.S.officialssaid.)AndSlotkinmadeclearthat
Washingtonsoffersofdialoguearepartofabalancethatincludesmilitarymuscle-flexingandstepslikerecent
U.S.reinforcementsofNATOseasternflank.Wehavetohaveatwindeter-and-dialoguemessage,Slotkinsaid.
2016
Trump goes it alone on Russia
ByKATIEGLUECK
ButsomeDemocraticnationalsecurityveteransfearthatapotentiallydangerouslevelofhostilitytoRussiahas
emergedinrecentweeks.TheysaythegrowingrivalrybetweenWashingtonandMoscow,stokedbycampaign
rhetoricaimedatdiscreditingTrump,maybetakingonalifeofitsown,makingglobalproblemshardertosolve
andincreasingtheriskofanaccidentalconflictpotentiallyevenanuclearone.
WeresleepwalkingintoanewColdWar,saidWilliamPerry,whoservedasSecretaryofDefenseunderBill
Clintonfrom1993to1996,aneraofrelativelywarmrelationsbetweentheU.S.andRussia.Thereshardlyany
debateaboutit,andthepublicdoesntunderstandthedanger.
Perrysaidheisparticularlyconcernedthatpoorcommunication,anarmsbuilduponbothsides,andjangled
nervesincreasethepossibilityofanaccidentalorunintentionalnuclearconfrontation.Incaseanyonethinksthats
anacademicconcern,Icantellyouthatsnotacademic,Perrysaid,recallinganightwhenwewasawokenat3
a.m.byanightdutyofficerandinformedthatradarwasshowinghundredsofRussianmissilesenroutetotheU.S.
Atthemoment,theObamaadministrationstopworryisnotnuclearwarbutendingtheSyriancivilwar,whichhas
leftmorethan400,000peopledead,fueledtheIslamicStateandalQaeda,andfloodedtheMiddleEastand
Europewithrefugees.WithObama'sapproval,KerryhasbeenworkingcloselywithLavrovthetwomenhave
spokendozensoftimesthisyeartostrikeanagreementthatwouldbeginlimitedmilitarycooperationbetween
WashingtonandMoscowinSyria.ManyU.S.officialsbelievetheSyrianconflictcanonlybesettledwithRussian
assistance.
Undertheagreement,theU.S.wouldprovidetheRussianswhoareaidingtheregimeofSyrianpresident
BasharAssadagainstanarmedoppositionthatincludestheIslamicStateandalQaeda,butalsomoremoderate
rebelswithintelligenceandtargetinginformationagainstIslamicradicals.Inreturn,theU.S.wouldexpect
MoscowtouseitsitsleverageoverAssadtohaltSyrianmilitarystrikesagainstcivilianareas.
ObamaofficialsinsistthatanycooperationwithRussiawouldnotbebasedontrust,butcontingentonverifiable
stepsbyMoscowandDamascus.Theirgoalistoalleviateciviliansufferingandadvanceapotentialpolitical
settlementtotheSyrianconflict.
Buttheproposalhasdrawnstronginternalopposition.Twoweeksagoananonymouscriticleakedthetextofthe
Kerry'splantotheWashingtonPost.OpponentssayitcouldfacilitateRussianstrikesonso-calledmoderate
SyrianrebelstrainedbytheCIA.TheyalsofearthatitwouldstrengthenAssad'sposition,therebyextendingthe
conflict.
Rep. Duckworth to Trump: I didn't serve my country 'so you could invite Russia to interfere with it'
ByDONOVANHARRELL
OneformerU.S.officialwhohasworkedonRussiaissuescalledthatleakadramaticdisplayofdissent:Theres
arift.Itsreallybad.
Moregenerally,skepticsofdialoguewithMoscowwhoaremostlyfoundatthePentagonandintelligence
agencies,butalsowithintheStateDepartmentwarnthatsimplytalkingtoPutinrewardsandmayeven
encouragehisbadbehavior.GivingtheRussianaseatattheinternationaltablefeedshiswishtore-establishhis
country,whoseeconomyissmallerthanSouthKorea's,asatopglobalpower,andgiveshimstatureathome.If
Putinthinkshewillbeinvitedtosolveproblemshehascaused,thefearisthathewillginupmoreofthem.
Hewantstobeseenastheleaderofagreatpower,coequalwiththeUnitedStates,saidNationalIntelligence
DirectorJamesClapper,alsospeakinginAspenonThursday.
AfterPutin's2014annexationofUkrainesCrimeanpeninsula,Obamathreatenedto"isolate"Russia,and
undercutits"statusintheworld."TheU.S.hasimposedeconomicsanctionsonRussia,andonseveralPutin
allies,overUkraine.
ButinrecentmonthsObamahasspokenfrequentlywithhisRussiancounterpart.Thetwomenmetthreetimeslast
fall,andspokemostrecentlyinaJuly6phonecall.KerryvisitedMoscowfivedayslaterhissecondtriptoRussia
thisyearandhisfourthinthepastyear.
Feedingtheconcernsofhard-linersinWashington,theKremlinseemstodelightinthesecontacts.AtaMay6
pressbriefing,RussianforeignministryspokeswomanMariaZakharovateasinglyrecitedanEnglish-language
poemaboutKerry'scontactswithMoscow,modifyingaworkbythe19thcenturyScottishpoetRobertBurnstitled
"MyHeart'sintheHighlands."
"HisheartisinMoscow,hisheartisnotthere.HisheartisinMoscow,chasingabear.ChasingnotGrizzlybut
Kremlinese.HisheartisinMoscowwhereverJohnis,"Zahharovasaid,concludingwithalaugh.
Whetherornotit'strueofKerry,thatversedoesnotapplytoU.S.intelligenceandcybersecurityofficials,whoare
doingbattlewithaggressiveRussiancyberespionageandhacking.ClappersaidtheU.S.isinaversionofwar
withMoscowinthoseareas.
SlotkinacknowledgedthemanytoughobstaclestodialoguewithRussia.Howdoyougetthebalanceright?Are
webeingtoocharitableandgivingthemtoomanyopportunitiestocomebacktothetable?Orareweproviding
suchahighlevelofdeterrencethatwerepotentiallyprovokingthem?Thatsthefundamentalquestion,Slotkin
said.
SomeEuropeanofficialshavealsowarnedabouttheriskofprovocation.AfteramajorNATOmilitaryexercisein
PolandlastmonththatsimulatedaconfrontationwithRussia,Germanysforeignministerexpressedhisunease.
Pence: Trumps Russia comment laced with sarcasm

ByMATTHEWNUSSBAUM
Whatweshouldn'tdonowisinflamethesituationfurtherthroughsabre-rattlingandwarmongering,saidthe
minister,Frank-WalterSteinmeier.Wearewell-advisedtonotcreatepretextstorenewanoldconfrontation,he
said,addingthatitwouldbefataltosearchonlyformilitarysolutionsandapolicyofdeterrence.
EvenObamasformerDefenseSecretary,ChuckHagel,hasissuedasimilarwarning.
"IfIweresecretaryofDefensetoday,I'dbecarefulwiththis,"HagelsaidataMay11mediaroundtablehostedby
theAtlanticCouncil."WecanfindourselvesveryquicklyinanotherColdWarbuilduphere,andthatreallymakes
nosenseforeitherside."
USofficialssaytheybelieveRussialikelyunderstandsthatcampaignrhetoricdoesn'tfullyreflectAmericanpolicy,
andthatdialoguewithMoscowcancontinueevenaspartyleadershammeratPutin.Butthetoughtalkislikely
makingpublicopinionmorehostiletowardsRussia,encouragingharder-linepoliciesfrommembersofCongress.
Thestakesarehighestwhenitcomestonuclearweaponsandotherweaponsofmassdestruction,saidSam
Nunn,aformerGeorgiaDemocratwhochairedtheSenateArmedServicesCommitteewhentheSovietUnion
collapsedin1991.Inthefollowingyears,NunnledcooperationwithMoscowtothatlockedordismantlepoorly-
securednuclear,chemicalandbiologicalweapons.
Butthatcooperationhasslowedinrecentyears,andthisspringRussiadeclinedtoattendObamasannual
nuclearsecuritysummitinWashington,developmentsthatNunncallstroubling.TheUnitedStatesandRussia
cannotaffordtotreatdialogueasabargainingchipgiventheirhugeremainingnuclearstockpiles,Nunnsaid.
Evenwhenwehaveprofounddifferences,westillhavetocommunicate,"Nunnsaid."Ithinkweareindangerof
losingsightofthat."
Readmore:http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/democrats-putin-dilemma-226446#ixzz4GCFn8twR
Date:2016-08-0212:40GMT-04:00
Subject:********8/NATO/+
To:
WarWithRussiaLooms,SaysFormerNATOGeneralinNewBook
8/1/16
http://www.newsweek.com/russia-nuclear-war-nato-richard-shirreff-485818
TrumpWarnsTakingCrimeaFromRussiaWouldTriggerWorldWarIII[ED:Russian
Abroad-chikAuthorDamienSharkovpressesathemevoicedbyDTthatVladoriginallywantedto
stress]
8/2/16
http://www.newsweek.com/trump-warns-taking-crimea-russia-would-trigger-world-war-iii-486226
From:AdrianaBodnar<a-bodnar@sbcglobal.net>
Subject:Fwd:WWIII??[/understanding-russian-alexsandr-dugin-and-the-inevitability-of-ww3]
HelloProfessor!
Hopealliswellwithyouandyourfamily.
Thisisoldnews,butforwardingontoyou.
Blessings,
MUPOHandAdriana
SentfrommyiPad
Date:August2,20169:03:00AMCDT
Subject:WWIII??
http://www.glennbeck.com/2016/08/01/understanding-russian-alexsandr-dugin-and-the-inevitability-of-
ww3//?utm_source=articles&utm_medium=glenn-recommends&utm_campaign=glenn-recommends

Senttime: 08/02/201609:02:14AM
Subject: FW:"RescuerssayTOXICGASdroppedonSyriantownwhereRussianhelicoptershotdown,"reuters.com,8/2
From:JohnBDunlop
Subject:"RescuerssayTOXICGASdroppedonSyriantownwhereRussianhelicoptershotdown,"reuters.com,8/2
And:RussiasbloodiestsingleLOSSinSyrianhappenedtoday[yesterday].Fivesoldiersdie,
Meduza.io,8/1Englishedition
And:POLL:48%ofAmericanssayRussiaistryingtocontrolthe[American]election,
thedailybeast.com,8/2
InanewCNN/ORCpoll,48%ofAmericanssurveyedsaidtheybelievetheRussiangovernmentis
tryingtoinfluencetheoutcomeofthe2016USpresidentialelection.Ofthosepolled,about60%said
theyseetheColdWarrivalashavinganunfriendlyrelationshipwiththeUS;amajoritysaidRussias
possiblehackingoftheDMCsemailsisabiggerissuethanRepublicannomineeDonaldTrumps
reactiontoit,ina61to31percentsplit.
And:AntiWestBOYCOTThitsRussianswith31%foodpricehike,themoscowtimes.com,8/2
And:The[newRussian]NATIONALGUARD:what,where,whenandwhy?
http://newtimes.ru/stati/xroniki/naczgvardiyachto,gde,kogdaizachem.html
ThecommanderinchiefofPutinsnewPraetorianGuard,ViktorZOLOTOV,hasgivenhisfirst
interviewonthenewentity.TheNationalGuardwillhave340,000troops(morethantheground
troopsoftheRussianregularmilitary),warplanes,armoredvehicles,heavyweaponry.Defense
specialistAlexanderGoltsbelievesthereisapossibleundertherugcompetitiontakingplace
betweenthenewNationalGuardandSergeiSHOIGUsMinistryofDefense.
And:ChechnyasKADYROVgivesNationalGuardheadrepublicsHIGHESTAWARD,
themsocowtimes.com,8/2
And:AnarrestedGeneraloftheInvestigativeCommittee[DenisNIKANDROV]hasaskedthathiscase
beremovedfromtheFSBduetotheconflictbetweenthespecialservices,http://tvrain.ru/news/sk
41499/
And:TheyoungwifeoftheheadofRosneftIgorSECHINhasbeengivenadesignerYACHTcosting
$180million,Novayagazeta,8/1,repostedonhttp://www.compromat.ru/page_37182.htm
Numerousphotos,twoVIDEOS.
And:MichaelCROWLEY,TheDemocratsPUTINDILEMMA,politico.com,7/30
Some,includingSecretaryofStateJohnKerry,appeartowantanewreset.
And:InterviewwithLarryDIAMONDofStanfordandHoover:PutinexploitsANYWEAKNESS,
http://www.svoboda.org/articleprintview/27888431.html
And:InvestigatorZYKOV,whoconductedthePutin[criminal]case,inaninterviewwithBILD,called
thepresidentpartoftheleadershipoftheMAFIA,http://echo.msk.ru/news/1812320echo.html
Senttime: 08/02/201612:10:55PM
FW:[VLAD-O-RAMADOOM&GLOOM..THESECONDSEASON][MK]BIGFINNFUNDQUESTIONSGLOBALSTABILITY
Subject: [PB]SYRIANCONFLICT:AreWMDsreappearing?[Call'theRedLine'forHelp].[PB]RiggedElections[Past&Present??][VRT]Is
SOSKerryTryinga'NewR...
Subject:Fwd:[VLAD-O-RAMADOOM&GLOOM..THESECONDSEASON][MK]BIGFINNFUNDQUESTIONSGLOBALSTABILITY[PB]
SYRIANCONFLICT:AreWMDsreappearing?[Call'theRedLine'forHelp].[PB]RiggedElections[Past&Present??][VRT]IsSOS
KerryTryinga'NewR...
Subject:[VLAD-O-RAMADOOM&GLOOM..THESECONDSEASON][MK]BIGFINNFUNDQUESTIONS
GLOBALSTABILITY[PB]SYRIANCONFLICT:AreWMDsreappearing?[Call'theRedLine'forHelp].[PB]
RiggedElections[Past&Present??][VRT]IsSOSKerryTryinga'NewReset'?(OHBOY!!].FINALLY:WWIIIas
theThemeofChoiceforthisWeek[VladisSmiling.Hehasmadehispoint!]
Subject:This$40BillionFinnishFundSaysRussiaIsBiggestWorry-Bloomberg
This$40BillionFinnishFundSaysRussiaIsBiggestWorry-Bloomberg
IsolationismReturning?
ThebiggestgeopoliticalchallengeisstillhereinEurope,andRussiaandtherelationbetweenthetwo,Ritakalliosaid.Add
Turkeytothemix,andtheproblemsstarttolookevenbigger,hesaid.
WiththeU.S.settoholditsmostcontentiouspresidentialelectionindecades,investorsfacetwoverydifferentworldsafter
Novemberwiththegeopoliticalstakeshigherthanusual,dependingontheoutcome.TrumphasimpliedNATOmemberswould
onlygetU.S.assistanceiftheypaidforthefavor,whilehehasflirtedwithPutinwithoutprovidingmuchinsightintohowhewould
shapeU.S.-Russianrelationsinpractice.
ATrumpwininNovemberwilltriggeruncertaintyinmarkets,Ritakalliosaid.Thelongertermconcernswouldbehowan
isolationistpolicywouldaffecttheglobaleconomy,hesaid.
Therewouldbequestionsaroundthegeopoliticalsituationgloballyandthatisproblematic,Ritakalliosaid.Anincreasein
nationalismandprotectionismwouldrequireacompletereviewoftheeconomicoutlookandhowinvestmentstrategiesare
affected,hesaid.
Subject:Syrianconflict:Saraqeb'attackedwithchlorinegas'-BBCNews[ED:Callthe'RedLine'forHelp]
Gee,itmusthavebeenthoselittlemenfromMarsagain.Youknow,thesameonewhoshotdownMH17.SomeonecallOrson
Wellesandtellhimtostopitnow!
It'sreallysadthattheoncevenerableBBCisnowsopenetratedandcompromisedthatit'snotlikelyanythingcouldeverreachthe
thresholdneededforthemtosay,"TheRussiansdidit!"
Subject:USelection:DonaldTrumpwarnsvotecouldbe'rigged'-BBCNews
WithPaulManafortatthehelm(atDTHQ),there'sabetterthanevenchancetheywillatleasttry.
Oneofthegreatlingeringfrustrationsofthe2010electioninUkraineisthepersistentfairytalethatYanukovychwonit"fairand
square".OtherthanManafort'snumbersandObama'sfirstoutofthegatetocongratulateYanukovychonhis"victory"(beating
evenPutintothepunch),thematterwasintentionallyneverfullyvetted.Therecertainlywereirregularities.Theelectionwasvery
closeandmassiveirregularities(likeoldstyleballotboxstuffing)werenotnecessary.Insomeareasjustminortweakingwould
havebeenenoughtoputYanukovychoverthetopandmanypeoplefeltthatisexactlywhathappened.Tymoshenko'speople
wereconvinceditwasriggedbutinafarmoresophisticatedwaythan,forexample,the04election.However,astheywere
preparingtheircase,ObamajumpedoutoftheboxtocongratulateYanukovychonwinning"fairandsquare"andsuddenlyitwas
allover.TymoshenkocouldarguewiththeCECbutnoonecouldarguewithPOTUS.Whateverthefacts,itwasover.
Thereasonbecameclearsometimelater,whenYanukovychturnedoverallofUkraine'snuclearmaterialtoRussiaandObama
declaredUkraineanuclearfreezone.ItwaspartofObama'sfantasyofPeaceonHisWatch,leavingbehindabetterandsafer
worldthanhefound.ItwashisWilsoniandream.Hejustdidn'tunderstand(ormaybedidn'tcare)thatitwasalreadypervertedby
theReSetvirus.HewastoofocusedonbuildinghisBraveNewBRICAWorld.Yanukovych(nodoubtcheeredonbyPutin)
happilyturnedoverthenuclearmaterialinexchangefortheUSnotlookingallthatcloselyattheelectionresults.Thus,Ukraine
wasstrippednotonlyofitsnuclearweaponsbutalsoitsnuclearpotential.Itallplayedouttoscript.Noonenoticedorseemedto
carethatitwasareallybadscript.ThethirdactwaswrittenbytheRussiansandtheendingwasreallybad,especiallyfor
Ukraine.
[EDPS:PointofInformation.PBdoesnotcriticizetheOB-ADlightlyhewasCACo-ChairofUkesforBO-JBin
'08and'12]
http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-36950083
From:VRT
Subject:JDisRight---KerryisTryinga'New'Reset(IsBObehinditaswell?)
READTEXT:DemocratsPUTINDilemma
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/democrats-putin-dilemma-226446
DonaldTrumpwasthebogeymanofthisweek'sDemocraticnationalconvention.Butplacingaclosesecondto
TrumpwasRussia'sPresident,VladimirPutin.Democratslinkedthetwobadguystogether,hammeringTrumpfor
hispastwordsofpraiseforPutinasa"strongleader"andhisclaimthattheU.S.would"getalonggreat"with
Russiaifheiselected.
HecoziesuptoPutin,saidPresidentBarackObama.VicePresidentJoeBidendenouncedTrumpfor
embracingdictatorslikeVladimirPutin.AndonThursdaynightHillaryClintonherselfsaidshewoulddefend
NATOalliesagainstanythreat,includingfromRussia.
Butjustthedaybefore,onTuesday,SecretaryofStateJohnKerrysatdownwithRussiasforeignminister,Sergei
Lavrov.OntheiragendawasaU.S.proposaltocooperatewithRussiainSyria,whichhepresentedinameeting
withPutinattheKremlinearlierthismonth.AndonThursday,aseniorObamaadministrationofficialremindeda
nationalsecurityconferencethatbetterrelationswithMoscow,somethingTrumphasbeencriticizedforsaying
wouldbeagreatthing,remainsacoregoalofU.S.foreignpolicy.
WedonotwanttobeadversarialwiththeRussians,saidElissaSlotkin,actingassistantsecretaryofdefensefor
internationalsecurityaffairs,inapanelattheAspenSecurityConference.Ithink,Ihope,thatthemessagethat
Russiaisreceivingnowisthatwewanttotalktoyou.WellsendJohnKerrytoMoscow.Weareopen,weare
readytotalktoyou.
Tobesure,ObamaofficialshavelowexpectationsabouttheprospectsforconstructivedealingswithPutin,who
haspursuedanaggressiveforeignpolicywhileclampingdownondissentathome.Theyarealsooutragedby
whattheybelievetobeaKremlin'shandinthecybertheftandreleaseofDemocraticNationalCommitteeemails.
(KerrysternlyraisedtheissuewithLavrovonTuesday,U.S.officialssaid.)AndSlotkinmadeclearthat
Washingtonsoffersofdialoguearepartofabalancethatincludesmilitarymuscle-flexingandstepslikerecent
U.S.reinforcementsofNATOseasternflank.Wehavetohaveatwindeter-and-dialoguemessage,Slotkinsaid.
2016
Trump goes it alone on Russia
ByKATIEGLUECK
ButsomeDemocraticnationalsecurityveteransfearthatapotentiallydangerouslevelofhostilitytoRussiahas
emergedinrecentweeks.TheysaythegrowingrivalrybetweenWashingtonandMoscow,stokedbycampaign
rhetoricaimedatdiscreditingTrump,maybetakingonalifeofitsown,makingglobalproblemshardertosolve
andincreasingtheriskofanaccidentalconflictpotentiallyevenanuclearone.
WeresleepwalkingintoanewColdWar,saidWilliamPerry,whoservedasSecretaryofDefenseunderBill
Clintonfrom1993to1996,aneraofrelativelywarmrelationsbetweentheU.S.andRussia.Thereshardlyany
debateaboutit,andthepublicdoesntunderstandthedanger.
Perrysaidheisparticularlyconcernedthatpoorcommunication,anarmsbuilduponbothsides,andjangled
nervesincreasethepossibilityofanaccidentalorunintentionalnuclearconfrontation.Incaseanyonethinksthats
anacademicconcern,Icantellyouthatsnotacademic,Perrysaid,recallinganightwhenwewasawokenat3
a.m.byanightdutyofficerandinformedthatradarwasshowinghundredsofRussianmissilesenroutetotheU.S.
Atthemoment,theObamaadministrationstopworryisnotnuclearwarbutendingtheSyriancivilwar,whichhas
leftmorethan400,000peopledead,fueledtheIslamicStateandalQaeda,andfloodedtheMiddleEastand
Europewithrefugees.WithObama'sapproval,KerryhasbeenworkingcloselywithLavrovthetwomenhave
spokendozensoftimesthisyeartostrikeanagreementthatwouldbeginlimitedmilitarycooperationbetween
WashingtonandMoscowinSyria.ManyU.S.officialsbelievetheSyrianconflictcanonlybesettledwithRussian
assistance.
Undertheagreement,theU.S.wouldprovidetheRussianswhoareaidingtheregimeofSyrianpresident
BasharAssadagainstanarmedoppositionthatincludestheIslamicStateandalQaeda,butalsomoremoderate
rebelswithintelligenceandtargetinginformationagainstIslamicradicals.Inreturn,theU.S.wouldexpect
MoscowtouseitsitsleverageoverAssadtohaltSyrianmilitarystrikesagainstcivilianareas.
ObamaofficialsinsistthatanycooperationwithRussiawouldnotbebasedontrust,butcontingentonverifiable
stepsbyMoscowandDamascus.Theirgoalistoalleviateciviliansufferingandadvanceapotentialpolitical
settlementtotheSyrianconflict.
Buttheproposalhasdrawnstronginternalopposition.Twoweeksagoananonymouscriticleakedthetextofthe
Kerry'splantotheWashingtonPost.OpponentssayitcouldfacilitateRussianstrikesonso-calledmoderate
SyrianrebelstrainedbytheCIA.TheyalsofearthatitwouldstrengthenAssad'sposition,therebyextendingthe
conflict.
Rep. Duckworth to Trump: I didn't serve my country 'so you could invite Russia to interfere with it'
ByDONOVANHARRELL
OneformerU.S.officialwhohasworkedonRussiaissuescalledthatleakadramaticdisplayofdissent:Theres
arift.Itsreallybad.
Moregenerally,skepticsofdialoguewithMoscowwhoaremostlyfoundatthePentagonandintelligence
agencies,butalsowithintheStateDepartmentwarnthatsimplytalkingtoPutinrewardsandmayeven
encouragehisbadbehavior.GivingtheRussianaseatattheinternationaltablefeedshiswishtore-establishhis
country,whoseeconomyissmallerthanSouthKorea's,asatopglobalpower,andgiveshimstatureathome.If
Putinthinkshewillbeinvitedtosolveproblemshehascaused,thefearisthathewillginupmoreofthem.
Hewantstobeseenastheleaderofagreatpower,coequalwiththeUnitedStates,saidNationalIntelligence
DirectorJamesClapper,alsospeakinginAspenonThursday.
AfterPutin's2014annexationofUkrainesCrimeanpeninsula,Obamathreatenedto"isolate"Russia,and
undercutits"statusintheworld."TheU.S.hasimposedeconomicsanctionsonRussia,andonseveralPutin
allies,overUkraine.
ButinrecentmonthsObamahasspokenfrequentlywithhisRussiancounterpart.Thetwomenmetthreetimeslast
fall,andspokemostrecentlyinaJuly6phonecall.KerryvisitedMoscowfivedayslaterhissecondtriptoRussia
thisyearandhisfourthinthepastyear.
Feedingtheconcernsofhard-linersinWashington,theKremlinseemstodelightinthesecontacts.AtaMay6
pressbriefing,RussianforeignministryspokeswomanMariaZakharovateasinglyrecitedanEnglish-language
poemaboutKerry'scontactswithMoscow,modifyingaworkbythe19thcenturyScottishpoetRobertBurnstitled
"MyHeart'sintheHighlands."
"HisheartisinMoscow,hisheartisnotthere.HisheartisinMoscow,chasingabear.ChasingnotGrizzlybut
Kremlinese.HisheartisinMoscowwhereverJohnis,"Zahharovasaid,concludingwithalaugh.
Whetherornotit'strueofKerry,thatversedoesnotapplytoU.S.intelligenceandcybersecurityofficials,whoare
doingbattlewithaggressiveRussiancyberespionageandhacking.ClappersaidtheU.S.isinaversionofwar
withMoscowinthoseareas.
SlotkinacknowledgedthemanytoughobstaclestodialoguewithRussia.Howdoyougetthebalanceright?Are
webeingtoocharitableandgivingthemtoomanyopportunitiestocomebacktothetable?Orareweproviding
suchahighlevelofdeterrencethatwerepotentiallyprovokingthem?Thatsthefundamentalquestion,Slotkin
said.
SomeEuropeanofficialshavealsowarnedabouttheriskofprovocation.AfteramajorNATOmilitaryexercisein
PolandlastmonththatsimulatedaconfrontationwithRussia,Germanysforeignministerexpressedhisunease.
Pence: Trumps Russia comment laced with sarcasm

ByMATTHEWNUSSBAUM
Whatweshouldn'tdonowisinflamethesituationfurtherthroughsabre-rattlingandwarmongering,saidthe
minister,Frank-WalterSteinmeier.Wearewell-advisedtonotcreatepretextstorenewanoldconfrontation,he
said,addingthatitwouldbefataltosearchonlyformilitarysolutionsandapolicyofdeterrence.
EvenObamasformerDefenseSecretary,ChuckHagel,hasissuedasimilarwarning.
"IfIweresecretaryofDefensetoday,I'dbecarefulwiththis,"HagelsaidataMay11mediaroundtablehostedby
theAtlanticCouncil."WecanfindourselvesveryquicklyinanotherColdWarbuilduphere,andthatreallymakes
nosenseforeitherside."
USofficialssaytheybelieveRussialikelyunderstandsthatcampaignrhetoricdoesn'tfullyreflectAmericanpolicy,
andthatdialoguewithMoscowcancontinueevenaspartyleadershammeratPutin.Butthetoughtalkislikely
makingpublicopinionmorehostiletowardsRussia,encouragingharder-linepoliciesfrommembersofCongress.
Thestakesarehighestwhenitcomestonuclearweaponsandotherweaponsofmassdestruction,saidSam
Nunn,aformerGeorgiaDemocratwhochairedtheSenateArmedServicesCommitteewhentheSovietUnion
collapsedin1991.Inthefollowingyears,NunnledcooperationwithMoscowtothatlockedordismantlepoorly-
securednuclear,chemicalandbiologicalweapons.
Butthatcooperationhasslowedinrecentyears,andthisspringRussiadeclinedtoattendObamasannual
nuclearsecuritysummitinWashington,developmentsthatNunncallstroubling.TheUnitedStatesandRussia
cannotaffordtotreatdialogueasabargainingchipgiventheirhugeremainingnuclearstockpiles,Nunnsaid.
Evenwhenwehaveprofounddifferences,westillhavetocommunicate,"Nunnsaid."Ithinkweareindangerof
losingsightofthat."
Readmore:http://www.politico.com/story/2016/07/democrats-putin-dilemma-226446#ixzz4GCFn8twR
Date:2016-08-0212:40GMT-04:00
Subject:********8/NATO/+
To:
WarWithRussiaLooms,SaysFormerNATOGeneralinNewBook
8/1/16
http://www.newsweek.com/russia-nuclear-war-nato-richard-shirreff-485818
TrumpWarnsTakingCrimeaFromRussiaWouldTriggerWorldWarIII[ED:Russian
Abroad-chikAuthorDamienSharkovpressesathemevoicedbyDTthatVladoriginallywantedto
stress]
8/2/16
http://www.newsweek.com/trump-warns-taking-crimea-russia-would-trigger-world-war-iii-486226
From:AdrianaBodnar<a-bodnar@sbcglobal.net>
Subject:Fwd:WWIII??[/understanding-russian-alexsandr-dugin-and-the-inevitability-of-ww3]
HelloProfessor!
Hopealliswellwithyouandyourfamily.
Thisisoldnews,butforwardingontoyou.
Blessings,
MUPOHandAdriana
SentfrommyiPad
Date:August2,20169:03:00AMCDT
Subject:WWIII??
http://www.glennbeck.com/2016/08/01/understanding-russian-alexsandr-dugin-and-the-inevitability-of-
ww3//?utm_source=articles&utm_medium=glenn-recommends&utm_campaign=glenn-recommends

From: PaulStronski<pmstronski@gmail.com>
Senttime: 08/02/201607:48:49AM
Re:HowtoCounterthePutinPlaybook-TheNewYorkTimesIhavenorecollectionoftheincidentwiththebusinessmen.Doyou?(there'snolink
Subject:
either)
No,Idon'trememberthateverhappening.IthinkhemighthaveBrianWilliamssyndrome...
OnSun,Jul31,2016at12:36PM,RobertOtto<robertotto25@gmail.com>wrote:
Share
Tweet
Email
More
Save
138
Photo
ArallyinRedSquare,Moscow,onMarch18,2014,whenPresidentVladimirV.Putinaskedthe
RussianParliamenttomaketheannexationofCrimeaofficial.
States.
movement.
regionandbeyond.
SignUpfortheOpinionTodayNewsletter
Everyweekday,getthought-provokingcommentaryfromOp-Edcolumnists,TheTimeseditorialboardand
contributingwritersfromaroundtheworld.
Americashouldalsofocusitseconomicandpoliticalassistanceonnew
democracieslikeMyanmarandTunisia,whicharemostfragileintheirfirstyears
oftransition.ThestakesareespeciallyhighinUkrainetherewouldbeno
greatergifttoMr.PutinthantoletKievsexperimentindemocracyperish.
Theworldstilllookstoitsoldestdemocracy,theUnitedStates,tolead.Ifnotus,
who?
From: PaulStronski<pmstronski@gmail.com>
Senttime: 08/02/201607:48:49AM
Re:HowtoCounterthePutinPlaybook-TheNewYorkTimesIhavenorecollectionoftheincidentwiththebusinessmen.Doyou?(there'snolink
Subject:
either)
No,Idon'trememberthateverhappening.IthinkhemighthaveBrianWilliamssyndrome...
OnSun,Jul31,2016at12:36PM,RobertOtto<robertotto25@gmail.com>wrote:
Share
Tweet
Email
More
Save
138
Photo
ArallyinRedSquare,Moscow,onMarch18,2014,whenPresidentVladimirV.Putinaskedthe
RussianParliamenttomaketheannexationofCrimeaofficial.
States.
movement.
regionandbeyond.
SignUpfortheOpinionTodayNewsletter
Everyweekday,getthought-provokingcommentaryfromOp-Edcolumnists,TheTimeseditorialboardand
contributingwritersfromaroundtheworld.
Americashouldalsofocusitseconomicandpoliticalassistanceonnew
democracieslikeMyanmarandTunisia,whicharemostfragileintheirfirstyears
oftransition.ThestakesareespeciallyhighinUkrainetherewouldbeno
greatergifttoMr.PutinthantoletKievsexperimentindemocracyperish.
Theworldstilllookstoitsoldestdemocracy,theUnitedStates,tolead.Ifnotus,
who?
Senttime: 08/20/201601:26:06PM
FW:[MIDAUGFRIEVESPECIAL:MANAFORTHADTOGO!!....ANDWHYMANAFORTHADTOGO!!!!][TGO]Fwd:BreakingNews:PaulManafort
Subject:
Resigns......[MB/MK]HowPaulie'sEffortHelpCreateChaosinUkraine[4X].......[AndreaC]WiththeChalupaFamily/PM-RUNex...
Sent:Friday,August19,20162:24PM
Subject:Fwd:[MIDAUGFRIEVESPECIAL:MANAFORTHADTOGO!!....ANDWHYMANAFORTHADTOGO!!!!][TGO]Fwd:BreakingNews:PaulManafort
Resigns......[MB/MK]HowPaulie'sEffortHelpCreateChaosinUkraine[4X].......[AndreaC]WiththeChalupaFamily/PM-RUNex...
Subject:[MIDAUGFRIEVESPECIAL:MANAFORTHADTOGO!!....ANDWHYMANAFORTHADTOGO!!!!][TGO]Fwd:Breaking
News:PaulManafortResigns......[MB/MK]HowPaulie'sEffortHelpCreateChaosinUkraine[4X].......[AndreaC]WiththeChalupaFamily/PM-RU
NexusGotPersonal......[MK]USCongressionalDelegationinUA/BipartisanSentiment:TheUSmaytightensanctionsonRussia....
From:TamaraOlexy<tolexy@ucca.org>
Subject:BreakingNews...TrumpCampaignManagerPaulManafortResigns
To:
BreakingNews-TheAssociatedPressjusttwitted:"TrumpcampaignchairmanPaulManafortresignsinwakeofcampaignshakeupand
revelationsaboutUkrainework."
--
TamaraOlexy,President
UkrainianCongressCommitteeofAmerica(UCCA)
203SecondAvenue
NewYork,NY10003
Tel:212.228.6840
www.ucca.org
http://www.facebook.com/UCCA.org
http://twitter.com/UkrCongComAm
Subject:Trumpadviserswagedcovertinfluencecampaign[ED:PM'smethods/contactswereunhealthyforeveryone...including,bymost
accounts,DT'sownelectionefforts]

http://bigstory.ap.org/article/6eed1ef61eb744e1aac584f8ac1f7247/trump-advisers-waged-covert-influence-campaign
Subject:SecretLedgerinUkraineListsCashforDonaldTrumpsCampaignChief-TheNewYorkTimes
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/15/us/politics/paul-manafort-ukraine-donald-trump.html?_r=0
SecretLedgerinUkraineListsCashforDonaldTrumps
CampaignChief
PaulManafort,DonaldJ.Trumpscampaignchairman,ranapoliticalconsultingoperationoutofafirst-floorofficeonSofiivskaStreetin
Kiev,Ukraine.JosephSywenkyjforTheNewYorkTimes
KIEV,UkraineOnaleafysidestreetoffIndependenceSquareinKievisanofficeusedforyearsbyDonaldJ.Trumpscampaign
chairman,PaulManafort,whenheconsultedforUkrainesrulingpoliticalparty.Hisfurnitureandpersonalitemswerestillthereasrecently
asMay.
AndMr.Manafortspresenceremainselsewherehereinthecapital,wheregovernmentinvestigatorsexaminingsecretrecordshavefound
hisname,aswellascompanieshesoughtbusinesswith,astheytrytountangleacorruptnetworktheysaywasusedtolootUkrainian
assetsandinfluenceelectionsduringtheadministrationofMr.Manafortsmainclient,formerPresidentViktorF.Yanukovych.
Handwrittenledgersshow$12.7millioninundisclosedcashpaymentsdesignatedforMr.ManafortfromMr.Yanukovychspro-Russian
politicalpartyfrom2007to2012,accordingtoUkrainesnewlyformedNationalAnti-CorruptionBureau.Investigatorsassertthatthe
disbursementswerepartofanillegaloff-the-bookssystemwhoserecipientsalsoincludedelectionofficials.
Inaddition,criminalprosecutorsareinvestigatingagroupofoffshoreshellcompaniesthathelpedmembersofMr.Yanukovychsinner
circlefinancetheirlavishlifestyles,includingapalatialpresidentialresidencewithaprivatezoo,golfcourseandtenniscourt.Amongthe
hundredsofmurkytransactionsthesecompaniesengagedinwasan$18milliondealtosellUkrainiancabletelevisionassetstoa
partnershipputtogetherbyMr.ManafortandaRussianoligarch,OlegDeripaska,acloseallyofPresidentVladimirV.Putin.
Hand-writtenledgersshow$12.7millionincashpaymentsdesignatedforMr.Manafortfromthepro-Russianpoliticalpartyof
ViktorF.Yanukovych.Mr.Manafortdidnotreceiveanysuchcashpayments,hislawyersaid.EricThayerforTheNewYork
Times
Mr.ManafortsinvolvementwithmoneyedinterestsinRussiaandUkrainehadpreviouslycometolight.ButasAmericanrelationships
therebecomearisingissueinthepresidentialcampaignfromMr.TrumpsfavorablestatementsaboutMr.Putinandhisannexationof
CrimeatothesuspectedRussianhackingofDemocratsemailsanexaminationofMr.Manafortsactivitiesoffersnewdetailsofhowhe
mixedpoliticsandbusinessoutofpublicviewandbenefitedfrompowerfulinterestsnowunderscrutinybythenewgovernmentinKiev.
Subject:HowTrumpadviserManafortrevivedhiscareerandbusinessfortunesinUkraine-TheWashingtonPost
Fromhavingtohockhishousein2004,in2005,shortlyaftergoingtoworkforAhmetov,Manafortbuysa$3.7millionNYCapartmentfromDonald
Trump.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/how-trump-adviser-manafort-revived-his-career--and-business-fortunes--in-ukraine/2016/08/18/8bcfb144-
648f-11e6-be4e-23fc4d4d12b4_story.html?wpisrc=nl_headlines&wpmm=1
Subject:HeresHowDonaldTrumpsPaulManafortHelpedCreateChaosInUkraine-TheDailyBeast
To:WalterZaryckyj<waz2102@caa.columbia.edu>,MariaWalchuk<mlwalchuk@gmail.com>,GloriaHorbaty-NewEngland
<gphorbaty@hotmail.com>,IJadlicky<ijadlicky@verizon.net>,MarianRubchak<marian.rubchak@valpo.edu>,mmshevchuk@aol.com,orysia
<ukiebuzz@gmail.com>

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/08/18/here-s-how-donald-trump-s-paul-manafort-helped-create-chaos-in-ukraine.html
HeresHowDonaldTrumpsPaulManafortHelpedCreate
ChaosInUkraine
DonaldTrumpssuddenlydemotedcampaignchiefPaulManafort,ithasbeenrevealed,wasinvestigatedayearagoinUkrainefor
conspiringwithacriminalorganizationandincitingethnichatredandseparatismtopromoteapro-RussiangovernmentinKievatthe
expenseofapro-Americanone.Ayear-oldlegalmemoleakedtoTheTimesofLondoncitesaseniorUkrainianprosecutorwhofound
thatManafortwasidentifiedasorganizingaseriesofanti-NATOandanti-KievdemonstrationsinCrimeain2006demonstrationsthat
forcedthecancellationofscheduled"SeaBreeze"NATOexercisesonthatstrategicUkrainianpeninsula,whichnowisoccupiedand
annexedbyRussia.
ThiswasapparentlydoneattheserviceofViktorYanukovych,whohadbeendeniedthepresidencyandwhosepoliticalcomebacksix
yearslaterwaslargelymastermindedbyManafort.
Yanukovych,athuggishkleptocrat,regainedpowerbycampaigning,atManafortssuggestion,onaplatformthatsupportedanassociation
agreementwiththeEuropeanUnion,whichMoscowvehementlyopposed.ThenYanukovychrenegedontheagreement,whichledto
anotherUkrainianrevolution,whichledtoYanukovychsviolentsuppressionofit,culminatinginhisignominiousnightflightfromKievto
Russiawithstolenpublicfunds.(Thedefector-presidentsPartyofRegionshassincebeenoutlawedinUkraineandisnowcharacterized
bytheprosecutorasacriminalorganization.)
Itwas[Manaforts]politicaleffort,thedocumentreads,toraisetheprestigeofYanukovychandhispartytheconfrontationand
divisionofsocietyonethnicandlinguisticgroundsishistrickfromthetimeoftheelectionsinAngolaandthePhilippines,where
Manaforthadadvised,respectively,guerrillaleaderJonasSavimbiandFerdinandMarcos.
PaulManafort'sPastPoliticalWorkInUkraineMightBeIllegal
WhileworkinginUkraine,ManafortreportedlyhelpedapoliticalpartyswayU.S.policywith$2.2milliontolobbyists.
TheUkrainianprosecutorgoesontosayinthedocumentthatheconstantlysawevidencesuggestingthatPaulManafortconsidered
CrimeanautonomyfromUkraineasatooltoenhancethereputationofYanukovychwithCrimeanvoters.
Manafortwasnotchargedwithanycrimerelatedtotheaboveallegations,although,asinitiallyreportedbyTheNewYorkTimes,heis
currentlyunderinvestigationbyUkrainiananti-graftauthoritiesowingtohisnamesappearanceinablack-bookledgerkeptby
Yanukovychscronies.
TheledgercontainsalistofrecipientsforseeminglyillicitcashdisbursementsinManafortscase,for$12.7millionbetween2007to2012.
Manafortdeniestakinganysuchmoney.HedidnotreplytotheBritishbroadsheet,however,aboutwhetherornothehelpedsow
ethnolinguisticturmoilandsecessionistsentimentsinCrimea.
TheAssociatedPresshasalsofoundthatManaforthelpedrouteatleast$2.2millioninpaymentsfromthePartyofRegionstotwo
prominentWashingtonlobbyingfirmsin2012anddidsoinpossibleviolationoftheForeignAgentsRegistrationAct.
AccordingtoaleakeddocumentthatwasbroughttoVladimirPutinspresidentialadministration,thetakeoverofCrimeamayhave
mootedinmid-February2014,asindependentRussiannewspaperNovayaGazetareported.LikelypreparedinpartbyRussian
Orthodoxbusinessmanandfutureseparatist-financierKonstantinMalofeyev,thetextenvisionedalaunchingoftheprocessofthepro-
RussiandriftoftheCrimeaandeasternUkrainianterritoriesalongwithaPRstrategyinadvanceofreferendumsraisingthequestionof
self-determinationandfurtherpossibilitiesofannexationtotheRussianFederation.Whichismoreorlesswhathappened.Butthatan
AmericanpoliticalSvengalimayhavebeenanearlyproponentcleavingCrimeaawayfromUkraine,evenifformercenaryoropportunistic
reasons,putshimsquarelysideofaratherunsavoryhistory.
AsArkadyOstrovskyshowsinhissuperbhistory,TheInventionofRussia:TheJourneyfromGorbachevsFreedomtoPutins
War,someoftheloudestandearliestproponentsofCrimeanrevanchismwereRussiannationalistsandCommunistswhoalignedred-
browncommoncauseagainstthegovernmentofBorisYeltsin.
Onewastheanti-SemiticmathematicianIgorShafarevichwho,in1993,wroteinthereactionarynewspaperDen(Day)thattheportcity
ofSebastopolisakeytotheresurgenceofthecountry(meaningRussia).Firstofall,itisoneofthehistoricshrinesofRussia.
KhersonesiswhereSaintVladimirwasbaptized,whereadmiralsKornilovandNakhmiovwereburiedSecond,Sebastopoliskeyto
theBlackSeaFleet.Third,SebastopolisakeytoCrimea,whichhasbeentornfromthebodyofRussiabytheunconstitutionaland
voluntaristicdecisionofNikitaKhrushchev[whoassignedittotheUkrainianSovietSocialistRepublicwhenalltherepublicswerepartof
Moscowsdominion].PeopleinCrimeahaveanacutesenseofbelongingtoRussiaandhavethewilltofightforthisbelonging.
AsOstrovskynotes,thiswasalmosttheword-perfectrecapitulationofthechauvinismandjingoismused21yearslaterbyPutinwhenhe
announcedtheannexationofCrimea,threeweeksafterthenear-bloodlessmilitarycoupledbyhisregularandirregularforcesinFebruary
2014.
ItwaswhatDonaldTrump,inhissemi-literatefashion,echoedwhenhetoldABCNewssGeorgeStephanopolousthatthepeopleof
Crimea,fromwhatIveheard,wouldratherbewithRussiathanwheretheywere.(Theywouldnt,asitturnsout.)
SupposingthatManaforthasnowbeenmarginalizedinTrumplandbecauseoftheserevelationsabouthisdirtyworkforoverseasdictators,
wearefacedwiththerathertragicironythatalong-peddledKremlinaccusationthatAmericansinterfereinthesovereigntyandpolitics
ofpost-SovietstatesinRussiasnearabroadturnsouttobetrue,butwithunintendedconsequences.
ManafortsskullduggeryinUkrainehelpedleadtoapopularuprisingagainsthisformerclientnowtheauthoritiesofademocratically
electedgovernmentofUkrainemayhavehelpeddeterminetheelectionforAmericasnextpresidentbyscandalizingoneofitsgray
cardinalsintosubmission.
ItishistoricalironythatthePutinsandYanukovychesoftheworldmightappreciate,ifnotquitecelebrate.
Subject:PaulManafortisntaGOPretread.Hesmadeacareerofreinventingtyrantsanddespots.
PaulManafortisntaGOPretread.Hesmadeacareerofreinventingtyrantsanddespots.
"PlayingtenniswithYanukovychatMezhyhiryamighthavebeentheculminationofManafortslongcareer.Hespentnearlysevenyearscommutingto
Kiev.Overthatstretch,heremadeUkrainianpoliticsandhelpedshiftthecountryintoVladimirPutinssphereofinfluence.Itwasanimpressive
achievement,atleastaccordingtotheethicalcalculusthatgovernsManafortsworld.ButthenalongcameDonaldTrumpanotheroligarchin
desperateneedofhisservices."
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/04/paul_manafort_isn_t_a_gop_retread_he_s_made_a_career_of_reinventing_tyrants.html
Subject:UkrainianssawPaulManafort'spoliticalimpactupcloseanditwasn'tpretty|Opinion|TheGuardian
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/aug/19/paul-manafort-ukraine-political-impact-donald-trump-campaign
UkrainianssawPaulManafort'spoliticalimpactupclose
anditwasn'tpretty
Update,10:20amEDT:PaulManaforthasresignedasDonaldTrumpscampaignchairman
PaulManafort,DonaldTrumpscampaignchairman,hasonlyrecentlybecomefamiliartoAmericans.ButinUkraine,Manaforthasplayed
adecisiveroleinpoliticsfornearlyadecadeonethatisbeingcloselyscrutinizedafterhisnamehasappearedindocumentsthatarebeing
examinedinacorruptioninvestigation.ThatiswhyonFriday,IhelpedtomakepublicmoredocumentsrelatedtoManafortsdealingswith
thePartyofRegions,whichheusedtoconsultfor.
IrememberManafortclearlyduringtheinaugurationofVictorYanukovych,theformerpresidentofUkraine.OnacoldFebruarymorning,
menandwomenwearingtailcoatsandeveninggownshurriedtowardstheLeninmonument.Therewasalittlebitofcommotionatthe
entranceRinatAkhmetov,therichestUkrainianmanandtherightarmofYanukovych,wastryingtomakewayforaninconspicuous
American.Itwasonlymeandafewofmycolleagueswhorecognizedthemysteriousstrangersface:itwasPaulManafort.
ManaforthadservedasaconsultanttothePartyofRegionsformanyyears.Hehadjustasmuchcauseforcelebrationasthenewly
inauguratedpresident,sincehewasthemastermindbehindthepresidentsvictory.Thetwohadworkedtogethersince2004.After
Yanukovychselectiondefeatthatyear,Manafortwashiredbyhimandtheyworkedonfourelectioncampaigns(includingonepresidential
andthreeparliamentaryones)together.
TheAmericanconsultantwasrecommendedtoYanukovychbyhisbusinessandpoliticalpartnerRinatAkhmetov,whointurnwas
recommendedbyOlegDeripaska,hisRussiancolleaguefromthecircleoffellowoligarchs.ThatwayManafortpassedfromonepersonto
anotherasarelaybatontolaterbecomeoneofthemostinfluentialplayersintheUkrainianpolitics.
Thequestionisnowifheeverabusedhisposition.So-calledshadowaccountingdocumentsIhaveseenshow$400,000incash
paymentsweremadetohim,whichwereintendedtobespentonconductingexitpolls.Thedocumentsshowafurther$812,000tobe
paidtohimforengaginginternationalobservers.And,thesedocuments,whichIreportedonandwhichwerethefocusofaNewYork
Timesarticlethisweek,listatotalof$12.7mofpaymentsmadetoManafort.
Ukrainiansareconcernedaboutthetheftofpublicmoney.Wewantthechainofcorruptiontoend.Thatiswhymanyaretroubledthat
Manafortsnamehasemergedinthisinvestigation.
ItisnotjusttheselatestrevelationsthatcastashadowoverManafortsnameinUkraine.ManafortwasanadvisortoPresident
Yanukovychwhenhepursuedadivisiveelectoralcampaign,suchasfocusingontheallegedinfringementofrightsoftheRussian-speaking
populationinUkraine.Thiswasntanissuebefore,butafteryearsofdrivingthisideaintotheheadsofvoters,thequestionoftheRussian
languagehasreallybecomeanimportantfactorinUkrainianpolitics.
Subsequently,aftertheescapeofYanukovychin2014,itwasundertheguiseofprotectingtheRussianpopulationthatPutininvaded
Crimea,violatingthepost-warbalanceofpowerinEurope.
ManafortworkedwithVictorYanukovychoneofthemostnotoriousEuropeanpoliticiansfornearly10years.Thisisnotacasual
relationshipbetweentheclientandtheperformer.Suchlong-termcooperationincorporatesageneralworldviewandvalues.Nowvotersin
Americawillhavetoaskthemselves:arethesevaluestheywantintheircountry?
From:AndreaChalupa<andreachalupa@gmail.com>
Subject:PaulManafort
To:AndreaChalupa<andreachalupa@gmail.com>
HiAll,
Excitingday:PaulManafortresignedfromtheTrumpcampaignandwilllikelyfaceaninvestigationfornotdeclaringbeingaforeignagentwhilelobbying
forYanukovychandhisparty.
Iwantedtoshareaninterviewwithmysister,AlexandraChalupa,whoveryearlyoninvestigatedManafortandTrump'sRussiaties.Forherefforts,her
personalemailaccountwashackedbyRussia,asfirstreportedbyYahooNews,therewasanattemptedbreak-inofherhome,hercarwasbrokeninto
withnothingstolen--onlyitemsmovedaroundtoletherknowthattheywerethere,andacreepysongwasdownloadedontoherphonewhichwould
pop-uponitsown--thiswassomethingIwitnessed.
Itwasaveryscarytime,butI'mextremelyproudofher.HereisherlatestinterviewwithMichaelIsikoffinYahooNews:
http://www.yahoo.com/news/paul-manafort-resigns-ukraine-investigators-000000616.html?soc_src=mail&soc_trk=ma
Allmybest,
Andrea
Subject:TheUSmaytightensanctionsonRussia-[UAWIRE]
TheUSmaytightensanctionsonRussia
Friday,August19,201611:08:08AM
IfaggressionagainstUkraineescalates,sanctionsagainstRussiawillbetightened.AmericanpolicyregardingtheCrimeawillnotbereconsideredno
matterwhowinsthepresidentialelectionsintheUSA.SuchstatementsweremadeinKyivbyadelegationfromtheUSCongress.
TheUSCongressisreadytoincreasethepricethattheKremlinwillhavetopayifaggressionagainstUkrainecontinues.Suchamessagehasbeen
broughttoKyivbytheDelegationofAmericanlegislators.AlthoughtheUSAisinthemiddleofelectioncampaign,Ukrainewillbesupported.
"RussiaactsasanaggressorbothintheCrimeaandintheEastofUkraine.Thatswhywetrytokeepthesanctionsineffect.Imconvincedthatif
aggressionisescalated,sanctionswillbetightened.ItwillbethepricethatRussiawillhavetopayforitsactions,"DemocraticSenatorChrisCoons
stated.
TheCongressmenalsorecommendnottopayattentiontosomeirresponsiblestatementsofacandidatefromtheRepublicanPartyDonaldTrump.In
particular,thestatementsregardinghisreadinesstoconductnegotiationswithPutinonthestatusoftheCrimeaintheeventofhiselectionasthePresident
oftheUnitedStates.
"ThepolicyoftheUnitedStatesisthatwedonotrecognizetheannexationoftheCrimeabyRussia.Thereisastrongagreementbetweenbothpartiesin
theCongresstoopposeanyattemptstorecognizethisannexation.Inmyopinion,DonaldTrumpisjustusingpoorelectionrhetoricwhichdoesntreflect
truepositionsoftheabsolutemajorityoftheCongress.Andintheeventofhiselectionhewillhavetodealwithusbeforetakinganystepswhichrun
countertoAmericanpolicy,"Coonssaid.
ThesameviewissharedbytheRepublicans."WestandwiththepeopleofUkraineandwealltogetherhavetoholdthebroadfrontagainstPutins
aggression.IstressthatintheCongressthereisindeedastrongcross-partyconsensusand,ofcourse,intheRepublicanPartyitself,onPutins
aggression.AndAmericawillremainunwaveringregardingtheissueofsanctionsaslongasaggressionintheeastofUkrainecontinues"Republic
CharlesDentsaid.
http://uawire.org/news/the-us-may-tighten-sanctions-on-russia

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From: KyleWilson<krwilson66@icloud.

Activists: Russian Military Hardware Sighted Along Northern Crimea

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Activists: Russian Military Hardware Sighted Along Northern Crimea

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Youarerespectfullyinvitedto attendtheupcomingUkrainianHistoricalEncountersSeries,entitled, Commemoratingthe25th

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