Professional Documents
Culture Documents
https://electricityasia.wordpress.com/
http://funwithgovernment.blogspot.com/
* We already
have high RE
share, 33% of
installed cap.
* In World
Energy Council
(WEC)s World
Energy
Trilemma Index
2016, out of 125
countries
studied, PH was
#1 in Envl
sustainability
But #90 in
energy equity/
affordability.
http://bworldonline.com/towards-increased-energy-security-affordability/
* Good trajectory. To
sustain fast econ
growth, we need
stable, reliable, 24/7
electricity.
Dispatchable on
consumer demand
when they need it, not
the weather.
* Solar-wind are
intermittent, unstable,
unreliable. Solar has
zero output at night
when people need lots
of streetlights, etc.
Forcing 30%
natgas from the
current 16%
installed cap.
would mean
natgas plants
will enjoy high
prices bec DUs,
ECs will have no
choice
These are
important. Cheaper
and affordable
electricity for
consumers
because the feed in
tariff (FIT) for
renewables keep
rising.
Cornered mostly
by wind-solar
firms.
Source: http://euanmearns.com
/green-mythology-and-the-high-
price-of-european-electricity/
Aug.17, 2015.
But wind powerhouses Denmark and
Germany are beaten by S. Australia
for having the most no. of wind
plants per hectare. And S. Australia
has the highest electricity rates in
the planet as it tries hard to save
the planet.
Source: http://euanmearns.com/energy-prices-in-europe/
-- Felix WB Fuentebella, Philippine Experience in Developing Energy Resiliency,
Asia Cooperation Dialogue, 8 August 2017, Bohol
Resiliency is important but it should not lead to alarmism which leads to huge
climate loans and public debt.
ODA climate loans: P95 B in 2013, P98 B in 2014, P173 B in 2015. Loans, not
grants to be paid by Fil. taxpayers, not by the UN, Al Gore or Leonardo di Caprio.
4,000 years data
But climate change (CC) is:
Cyclical (warming-cooling),
Has many precedents, not
unprecedented, and
Natural (nature-made), not man-
made.
http://www.greenworldtrust.org.uk/Science/Images/Main/Warm_p
Temperature reconstruction* for N. eriods.jpg
Hemisphere, 1-2000 AD 700 million years data
Models' projections
of "more warming" is
wrong compared with
actual warming since
1975.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/0
7/26/climate-facts-versus-climate-
theories/
Extreme weather
getting more
frequent?
DOE should not give in to these lousy pressures. People who hate coal are
exactly those who hate brownouts even for 1 minute. Coal plants produce about
50% of total electricity supply in the Luzon grid, 48% of supply nationwide.
* Countries
with higher
coal use have
faster GDP gr.
* If more coal
= more
diseases,
death is true,
then there shd
be massive
illness, deaths
in Taiwan (3x
PH), S.Kor (6x
PH), Japan (9x
PH), China
(140x PH).
* Reverse is
true. More coal
plants = more
inv, more jobs,
healthier
people.
Conclusions: (1) EPIRA is working
Good news: power generation prices are going down
WESM, Load Weighted Average Price (LWAP), 2011-2016, P/kWh:
From average P5.37 in 2012 down to P2.81 in 2016.
Due to expanding supply capacity, mainly from fossil fuel plants.
There are price spikes, true, and there are also price dips.
Source: Antonio Moraza, Aboitiz Power. Presentation during the Bworld Economic
Forum, May 19, 2017, Shangrila BGC
Electricity Prices/Tariffs ave. excl. VAT, US cents/kWh
Markets Jan. Jan. %
2012 2016 change PH power generation charge,
Japan (Kansai) 24.48 23.32 -5%
Hong Kong 12.88 15.10 +17%
Meralco area, P/kWh
PHIL. (Meralco) 20.26 14.65 -28% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
New Zealand 16.18 13.08 -19%
Sri Lanka 19.49 11.13 -43% Jan 5.46 5.79 6.12 4.72 3.92
Singapore 20.06 10.89 -46% Feb 5.58 5.24 5.54 5.24 4.17
Thailand 10.45 9.93 -5% Mar 5.33 5.19 5.21 5.21 4.00
S. Korea 8.91 9.47 +6% Apr 5.66 5.39 5.90 5.41 4.10
Malaysia 11.11 8.83 -20% May 5.60 5.47 5.97 4.81 3.88
Taiwan 8.71 8.73 0%
Jun 6.14 5.66 5.31 4.46 3.72
Indonesia 8.51 7.03 -17%
Jul 6.45 5.33 5.41 4.74 4.06
Source: Intl. Energy Consultants (IEC),
Regional/Global Comparison of Retail Electricity Aug 6.74 5.05 5.64 4.55 3.86
Tariffs, Executive Summary, May, 2016. Sep 5.40 5.17 5.19 4.13 3.94
* Subsidized markets: Indon, Mal, Thai, Oct 5.50 4.68 5.35 4.00 3.89
S. Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan. Nov 5.63 5.67 5.11 4.08 3.84
* Unsubsidized and deregulated: Japan, Dec 5.48 5.94 4.94 4.13 3.94
PH, Sing, NZ. HK is unsubsidized but
Ave. 5.75 5.33 5.41 4.62 3.94
unsure if deregulated.
* All deregulated markets experienced
price decline.
Conclusions: (2) RE Act of 2008, RA 9513, is anti-consumers