--

CS (MAIN) 2xrun.;2016
M-ESC-U-STC

1 1

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STATISTICS (PAPER-I)
I Time Allowed : Three Hours I Maximum Marks : 250 I
QUESTION PAPER SPECIFIC INSTRUCTIONS
(Please read each of the following instructions carefully before attempting questions)
There are EIGHT questions divided in two Sections and printed both in HINDI and
in ENGLISH.
Candidate has to attempt FIVE questions in all.
Question Nos. 1 and 5 are compulsory and out of the remaining, THREE are to be attempted
choosing at least ONE question from each Section.
The number of marks carried by each question/part is indicated against it.
Answers must be written in the medium authorized in the Admission Certificate which
must be stated clearly on the cover of this Question-cum-Answer (QCA) Booklet in the
space provided. No marks will be given for answers written in a medium other than the
authorized one.
Assume suitable data, if considered necessary, and indicate the same clearly. . .
Unless and otherwise indicated, symbols and notations carry their usual standard meaning. .".
Attempts of questions shall be counted in sequential order. Unless struck off, attempt or" a
question shall be counted even if attempted partly. Any page or portion of the page left blank
in the Question-cum-Answer Booklet must be clearly struck off.
Normal Distribution Table is given in Page No. 9.

160 1 [P.T.O.

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 / SECTION-A

1. (a) -q 1 N N cl' TfQ, -q n ilCfil

X 1 , X 2 , ... , Xn
"1"Hf\ Gl t TfQ, fleR1 m, E {max Xi} Cfll1 t?
A box contains N tickets numbered 1 to N. A boy draws n tickets from the box
randomly. If X 1, X 2 , ... , Xn be the numbers of tickets drawn, what is
E{max Xj)? 10

(b) 3l'R F 1% Cf1T %, Gl m Fn <i2fi

1-(1-F)n

Let F be a probability distribution function of a discrete random variable.

Prove that the functions Fn and 1- (1-F)n are also probability distribution
functions. 10

f (x) = 1
, -co< X< oo%1
n(1+x 2 )

If Z 1 and Z 2 be two independent standard normal variables, show that the

distribution of the ratio is Cauchy with probability density function
IZ21
1
f(x) = 2
, - oo < x < oo
n(1+x) 10

(d) m p (x; 9), x =2, 3, 4, 5 9= .!., _!_,

3
'R fcri:m: W 3Wffti 1 Cf1T
4 2 4
re<n 3fR 3 >mr 9 Cf1T "tfmfcrcn >mr
1 1 3
Consider the probability distribution p (x; 9), X= 2, 3, 4, 5 and e = 4' 2' 4.

A sample of size 1 is drawn from the population and it is found to be 3. Obtain

the maximum likelihood estimate of e. 10

X 2 3 4 5

p( x; e 025 025 025 025

p( x; e 030 040 015 015

p( x; e 010 030 045 015

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 (e) l1RT fcfi X t, Sllf4Cfidl 5;0<410lH (p.m.f.) f (x; 8), x = 0, 1, ... , 5;

8 = ]:., t 1 f.r8 "fffiUft f (x; 8) llR 1a = m$Rn 'R qf{Cfi(Yq"ll

2 4 32
H1 : 8 = 3 fTi<ICfl(UftlJ qf{Cfi(Yq"ll H 0 : 8 = .!_ !$l >ml
4 2

Consider a random variable X with p.m.f. f (x; 8), x =0, 1, ..., 5; 8 = .!_, The
2 4
following Lable U1e off (x; 0). Obto.in the boot critical region to test
the null hypothesis H 0 : 8 = .!_ against H 1 : 8 = at level of significance a = 10
2 4 32
X 0 1 2 3 4 5

-
32
1
-
5
32
10
-
32
10
-
32
-
32
5
-
32
1

!(x;%) --
1024
1 15
--
1024
90
--
1024
270
--
1024
405
--
1024
243
--
1024

What is the probability of an even number of successes in n independent

Bernoulli trials? 15
(bJ Clffi fcfi <:rrcn ;m;q
t lllUi 500 t:R <IT fen\ cftEi Clffi t lllUi 2500 t:iZ

fcf; 31rcR
cftEi Clffi <rr aCflWqCfi m 1

3oo 5 -CflT m '<:f(Ellaiefi'l

3M mu rftrf m lillf4Chi11 CfiT

You bought a box of lightbulbs from a shop. You know that the bulbs are all
either short-life bulbs with a mean life of 500 hours or long-life bulbs with a
mean life of 2500 hours, but you cannot tell which, because there was no label
on the box.
As you have not shopped at this shop before, you initially have no opinion as to
whether you have been sold long-life bulbs or the cheaper alternative.
After approximately 300 hours you find that 5 bulbs are alive. Assuming that
the life of an individual lightbulb has an exponential distribution, how would
you now assess the probability that you bought long-life bulbs? 20
(c) 3Rf\ffi (0, 1) 20 00 lFft m, en CfiT
"Cfill 8 m Sll f4 Cfial CFfl t?
If 20 random numbers are selected independently from the interval (0, 1), what
is thP ::1pprnximM.e. probability that the sum of these numbers is at least 8? 15

lf-E.fe-tr-ffe/60 3 [ P.T.O.

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 3. (a) 411R9Cfi (X11 X 2 , ... , Xn) m N(jl, cr 2 ) Tf1n t, 'tl'\ft
L(jl,
(jl,

Given a random sample (X1, X 2 , ... , Xn) from N(jl, cr 2 ) with all parameters
unknown. Write down the likelihood functionL(jJ., cr 2 ). Show that for all (JJ., cr 2 )

L -1 .L...tXi
( n i =l

, -1 .L...t(Xi -
-X) 2) L (jl, cr ) 2
ni =l

and comment. Now flnd for any E>0

P{ .!..n :txi -J.t > e}

i =l

and hence establish that.!_

n
:txi is a consistent estimator of
i=l
J.t. 20

(b) 10 3lo\ cfi) qi{CfiiA"ll CfiT 10%

"tR "411'-fcfr.fi CfiT m Sllfl!Cfidl t141Cfil.1 m\Uft CfiT

(Cf!TI 'ij)
F' 26 43 35 38 33 42 40 44 25 31
1Tffflr 47 48 34 34 47 35 32 35 30 44

Test the hypothesis of no difference between the ages of 10 married couples

using Mann-Whitney U-test for the sample data at 10% level of signillcance.
(Use normal probability integral table) : 15

Age (in years)

Male 26 43 35 38 33 42 40 44 25 31
Female 47 48 34 34 47 35 32 35 30 44

lf-E.fO-tt-.fTeI 60 4

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 (c) t cfiT X (t.iif CfiT "CC(EIIC1ic:fi) t 11TUl' .!. t 8(> 0)
8
mrrr.1 11T'f.7.l OR n9 IT "tfR'Cfi fcR;:R 2 Tfl11T (N., A.), 8 CfiT t I
5 t cfiT 3fmo 38 till tl crT Wl CfiT 8
CfiT f.lq,lfBl!\ I

The life of an electric bulb, X (in hours), follows the exponential distribution
with mean life!, where 8(> 0) is an unknown parameter. The prior di::)t.ribution
8
otl:l has a gamtna distrilJuLiuu {u, A.) wllh mean 0 8 and otandard deviation 2 .
The average life of a random sample of size 5 bulbs is 38 hours. Calculate the
Bayes' estimate of 8 using the squared error loss function. 15

4. (a) t >rB\UT t SllftlCflC11 WI;1Uf (SPRT)

11TUl' tI
Derive the sequential probability ratio test (SPRT) for variance of a normal
population when mean is known. 20

Let X- Poisson (8). Using Rao-Blackwell theorem, obtain a minimum variance

.
un b tase d .
estimator r
J.Or 'If
(8)
= e - 9 8k , wh ere k 1s .
. an mteger. 15
kl

(c) liT-n fcfi {Xn} CfiT Sfil1 t P(Xn = n) = 1, n = 1, 2, .... CfiT

Sfil1 {Fn.} , cr 3ffi t?

Consider a sequence of random variables {X n } , where }.J (.X n = n) = 1 ,
n = 1, 2, .... Does the sequence of distribution functions {Fn} converge to a
distribution function? 15

/ SECTION-B

5. (a) X1 = Y1 + Y2 , X2 = Y2 + Y3 , X3 = Y 3 + Y1, Y1 , Y2 om Y3
"'CC\ "B CfiT 11TUl' l1RCf1 m, ciT X 1 X 2 , X 3

If X 1 = Y1 + Y2 , X 2 = Y2 + Y 3 , X 3 = Y 3 + Y1 , where Y1 , Y2 and Y 3 are uncorrelated
random variables and each of which has zero mean and unit standard
deviation, find the multiple correlation COt:'ffir.iP.nt hP.t.ween xl and X3, x3 . 10

/60 5 [P.T.O.

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 {b) A.'f) GT l'y o?.TT m'y mCf?.TT V 5 CfiT m) "tR

l (f?.Tf m >rm (projections) ls (f?.fl ms m' m fcf; ls = ms.

If l'y and m' y be two estimates of the estimable function A.'f), and 15 and m 5 are
the projections of land m respectively on V5 (the column space of coefficient
matrix A), then show that 15 = m5 10

(c) 31MCflC""4'11 cfit fcfi 31f.qCflC""4'11 "t;cn

Defme orthogonal design. Show that randomised block design is an orthogonal
design. 10

{d) llRl fcn y1, y 2 , ... , Yn, SRSWOR (N, n) 'B >rrn SU: fcn

In SRSWOR (N, n) resulting in unlabelled observations y 1, y 2 , ... , Yn, show that
the sample mean y is the best linear unbiased estimator of the population
mean. 10

{e) 1l;Cfl SHil'll;:;q BVN (J,! 1, J..L 2 , o-f, p) -B 31flnl1 n =3 CfiT

X=[ 1} YJ
10% "tR 411:CflC""4'11 H 1 : -t qi{CflC""'HI H 0 : =
CfiT = (8, 5)
s3ll : Fo.10 2 1 = 49 5, Fo.101' 2 = 8 52632)
, ' '
The data matrix for a random sample of size n = 3 from a bivariate normal
population BVN (J.!l> J,t 2 , crt, cr p) is

6 10]
X =[

Test the null hypothesis H 0 : = against H 1 : ;e where = (8, 5), at

10% level of significance.
[You are given : F 0 .10. 2 1 = 49 5, F 0 .10'. 1' 2 = 8 52632] 10
, '

6. {a) llRT fcn u = {1, 2, ... , N} 31Tl1f'q N cfit 'W!ft 1 llRT fcn s1 = {1},
Sj={j - 1,),)+1}, J=2, ... ,N - 1 o?.TT SN={N}, P(Sj) oc j ,
j = 1, 2, ... , 'Q;Ci ftFt<:r Sfi11 crrRt 511fllCfla13ll "Cfll
Let U = {1, 2, ... , N} be the finite population of size N. Let S1 = {1},
S j = {j -1, j, j + 1} , j = 2 , ..., N - 1 and S N = {N} be the samples with
probabilities P(S j ) oc j, j = 1, 2, .. ., N. Find the first- and second-order inclusion
probabilities. 20

tff-EtfJ-tl-.fftI 60 6

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 (b) llR1 fcfi N, b x v cf;T (BIBD) CfiT 31ffiR t I
fcfi b v.
Let N be the incidence matrix of a BIBD of order b x v. Show that b v. 1S

(c) 11Rl fcfi Y1, Y2, Y3 w.rr Y4 '5RroJT M

E(Y1 )=E(Y2)=91 +9 2 , E(Y3 )=E(Y4 )=91 +9 3 V(Yj)=cr 2 , i=1, 2, 3, 4

Sl lilR-!Cfl l'6 = 1191 + 129 2 + 13 9 3 cf;T CfiT f.:ICfliR-itJ:I

Consider four random variables Y11 Y2 , Y3 and Y4 with means and variances as
follows :

Determine the condition of estimability of the parametric function

l'6 = 1191 + 1292 + 1393 15

7. (a) X CfiT m N P (1.1, L) w.rr C m q,lfl "CITffi m x p m, ol fcfi

CX- Nm (Cr.t, C LC')
If X follows N P (1.1, L) and Cis an m x p matrix with rank m, then show that
CX- Nm(Cr.t, CLC') 20

(b) fcfi -ml t,

n cf;T tI
Prove that the necessary and sufficient condition for a design to be connected
is n b + v -1, n being the number of observations. 15

(c) lfRlfcfi U = {1, 2; 3, 4, 5, 6} 3lfl1[q 6 cf;T t I "JfRT fcfi CfiT 3lltm:

sd .. [o1 - (1, ;::; 4 , S), "o = (1, 2. 6), s11 = (3, 4, 6)} t lllRl
P(sj) =.!., i=1, 2, 3, 4
4
= 01

(HTE) f.:ICfliR-itJ: 3l(l: fcfi HTE, <flTT CfiT

3lfcRICfi tI
Let U = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} be a finite population of size 6 . Let Sd = {s1 = (1, 2),
s 2 = (3, 4, 5), s 3 = (1, 2, 6), s 4 = (3, 4, 6)} be the support of the design. Let
1
P(sj) = , i = 1, 2, 3, 4
4
= 0 , otherwise
Obtain the Horvitz-Thompson estimates (HTE) and hence show that HTE is an
unbiaged nf the population total. 15

7 [ P.T.O.

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 8. (a} lfRT fcti X= (X1, X 2 , X 3 )' q;r *lt::J>H'l<OI AA t

L=[
1lR1 q;r >r?.Tll <fR "U,Ci it -mr mrr
cnl >rrn
Let X= (X 1, X 2 , X 3 )' has the following covariance matrix :

L=[ -:
Obtain the frrst three principal components using these values and the
proportion of variations explained by the frrst two principal components. 20

(b) X1 X2 (nl X p) (n2 X p) CfiTfl ilf{cm mafn: (i = 1, 2)

efit -rffin ni q;r m N p ijl i, Lj} m, m = L1 = L 2 fcti
nln2 D2 T2(p, n-2) n = n1 +n2
n
D
2
tI
If X1 and X 2 be independent data matrices of order (n1 x p) and (n2 x p)
respectively and if the ni rows of Xi (i = 1, 2) be identically and independently
distributed as N P {J!i, Li), then for = and L1 = L 2 , show that

n1 n2 D 2 <=< r 2 {p, n- 2) variable, where n = n 1 + n2

n
2
D denotes sample Mahalanobis distance statistic. 15

(c) M >r\llcf 2-'EW'O 3'1"'4l;:qfsf;l(l "5r\1TCi 3-'EW'O 4-'EW'O 3'1"'4">1;:qfsf;l(l

>rmcn '!R 11m C!ifcr :srRtctiRt efit cm-ft (2 5 , 2 2 ) q;r 1
5 2
Construct (2 , 2 ) design with minimum number of replicates achieving
balance over 3-factor and 4-factor interaction effects without confounding any
main effect and 2-factor interaction effect. 15

***

tlf-E.ft-fl-m/60 8 7BS-40

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 Slftl&llt:4 ftHOfl/ No rmal Distribu tion Table

-oo

000 001 002 003 004 005 006 007 008 009
00 05000 05040 05080 05120 05160 05199 05239 05279 05319 05359
01 05398 05438 05478 o5517 05557 05596 05636 05675 05714 05753
02 05793 05832 05871 05910 05948 0 05987 06026 06064 06103 06141
03 06179 06217 06255 06293 06331 06368 06406 06443 06480 06517
04 06554 06591 06628 06664 06700 06736 06772 06808 06844 06879

05 06915 06950 06985 07019 07054 07088 07123 07157 07190 07224
06 07257 07291 07324 07357 07389 07422 07454 07486 07517 07549
07 07580 07611 07642 07673 07704 07734 07764 07794 07823 07852
08 07881 07910 07939 07967 07995 08023 08051 08078 08106 08133
09 08159 08186 08212 08238 08264 08289 08315 08340 08365 08389

100 08413 08438 08461 08485 08508 08531 08554 08577 08599 08621
101 08643 08665 08686 08708 08729 08749 08770 08790 08810 08830
102 08849 08869 08888 08907 08925 08944 08962 08980 08997 09015
103 09032 09049 09066 09082 09099 09115 09131 09147 09162 09177
104 09192 09207 09222 09236 09251 09265 09279 09292 09306 o9319

105 09332 09345 09357 09370 09382 09394 09406 09418 09429 09441
106 09452 09463 09474 09484 09495 09505 09515 09525 09535 09545
107 09554 09564 09573 09582 09591 09599 09608 09616 09625 09633
108 09641 09649 09656 09664 09671 09678 09686 09693 09699 09706
109 09713 09719 09726 09732 09738 09744 09750 09756 09761 09767

200 09772 09778 09783 09788 09793 09798 09803 09808 09812 09817
201 09821 09826 09B3U 09838 09642 09840 090CO 0905-4 00867
202 09861 09864 09868 09871 09875 09878 09881 09884 09887 09890
203 09893 09896 09898 09901 09904 09906 09909 09911 09913 09916
2.4 09918 09920 09922 09925 09927 09929 09931 09932 09934 09936

205 09938 09940 09941 09943 09945 09946 09948 09949 09951 09952
206 09953 09955 09956 09957 09959 09960 09961 09962 0 09963 09964
207 09965 09966 09967 09968 09969 09970 09971 09972 09973 09974
208 09974 09975 09976 09977 09977 09978 09979 09979 09980 09981
209 09981 09982 09982 09983 09984 09984 09985 09985 09986 09986

3o0 09987 09987 09987 09988 09988 09989 09989 09989 09990 09990
301 09990 09991 09991 09991 09992 09992 09992 09992 09993 09993
302 09993 09993 09994 09994 09994 09994 09994 09995 09995 09995
09990 0999G 09996 00006 00006 oggg7
303 09995
3.4 09997 09997 09997 09997 09997 09997 09997 .9997 09997 09998

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 cs [J'Vlfl I M-ESC-D-STC
STATISTICS
>TVo1-'Q"3f II I Paper II

Time Allm11P.rl : ThrPP R ours !Yfuximurn lvfarks: 250

>TRT cnr # " TJ!I r:oqfRf&m cnr u"'"''icfcn :
3170 JT!R \itT -q ((2fT ft;(t 3hr 3i#t -q EW I
?fi! F rrtW m JfR: # 8. I
JT!R 1 3hr s rrm -q -e (/Tlg -e cnrr--e- cnrr "([Cfi JT!R fcn::tt rfr.:r m "Jff.

Jr.R/ 'JTTTT mrR Rr< TfCf
Jicn I
m Yrrr 3ift rm.Cfll "# w \ii"R w!k !JmCI?I 3ft& m- V3f "# fcnlrr TfliT 3"/Jr w rrr'aflf cnr Prrsc
3ft& WR-"81!-Yrrr (Cfll. ift. !JMCfit g&-"'[Od w 3ifcnrr w fcnlrr \ifR7 w(k 1 3@f&d
31frrftm 3FGr fcnift lfT'aflf 7f W TfCf Yrtr W I CfiT{ Jicn ;rtf
>INht< trf
iJW'/ cntf iff 31/CfCti("t{'"fll!..:- cfit 7J{ "3;j -8 ifTm cFf I
iJW'/ cit, Jr.R cnr Yrrr 0 -Rrr{ Rr< Tfff "# 1 tt
m 3rfrT ctt 1JURT jf)l{lj&f< ctt 1 CfiTCT -:rtt d7 JT!R Yrtr ctt 1JURT ctt \ifT[(T(t czy Yrtr 3Wrr.
TfliT I Jr.R- "81!-Yrrr !JMCI?I "# &Tfft 311 rp! 217 Jiw cit -8 CfiTCT \ifR7 w(k I
Question Paper Specific Instructions
Please read each of the following instructions carefully before attempting
questions:
There are EIGHT questions divided in TWO SECTIONS and printed both in HINDI and
in ENGLISH.
Candidate has to attempt FIVE questions in all.
Questions. no. 1 and 5 are compulsory and out of the remaining) any THREE are to be
attempted choosing at least ONE from each section.
The number of marks carried by a question I part is indicated against it.
Answers must be written in the medium authorized in the Admission Certificate which
must be stated clearly on the cover of this Question-cum-Answer (QCA) Booklet in the space
provided. No marks will be given for answers written in a medium other than the
authorized one.
Wherever any assumptions are made for answering a question) they must be clearly
indicated.
Charts I Figures) wherever required) shall be drawn in the space provided for answering the
question itself
Attempts of questions shall be counted in sequential order. Unless struck off, attempt of a
question shall be counted even if attempted partly. Any paf(e or portion of the page lP.ft
blank in the Question-cum-Answer Booklet must be clearly struck off

M-ESC-D-STC 1

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"&'US A
SECTION A
QL q;r '3m
Answer all of the following questions : 10x5=50
(a) fcnm '41di'Qid {"tiO!f;ql "d"2ll
cif
&I d I l!\ "d"2ff
c:h1 Rlil!\ I
State and prove a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of
a solution to a transportation problem. 10
(b) wa:rur {"IJ4f;qi3TI -q o2ff 1 '
Differentiate between a censored and a truncated experiment in the
context of life testing problems. 10
(c) cfR 31cff2:ff3TI 1, 2 3fn: 3 (f2:ff n0 = {07, 02, 01} cnffi iOIIChlq
i@fll -q R8Hfuld BSfliOIO( "'R,
P[X3 = 2, x2 = 3, X1 = 3, Xo = 21 Cf>T 11R :
01 05 04
06 02 02
03 04 03
Given the following Transition Probability Matrix of a Markov chain
having three states 1, 2 and 3 with initial distribution n 0 = {07, 02, 01},
fmd the value ofP[X3 = 2, X2 = 0, X 1 = 3, Xo = 2] : 10
01 05 04
06 02 02
03 04 03
(d) -B&n CASN) "d"2ll <WI -Rita:rur CATI) CRn ? SIRI"i:lll'i

30114'! \iH I TfURT fcm:r cnl {"! iOI $11 I
What are Average Sample Number (ASN) and Average Total Inspection
(ATI) ? Explain the method of their calculation for a single sampling
plan. 10
(e) R8Rifula 'tf@cn sflWiO!'i cn1 Rifull!\ 3fn: "3BCnT
RChiRil!\ :
W = 2X + 3Y + 5Z
lOX+ 9Y + Z 10
X+ Y + Z 30
9X + 2Y - 4Z 80
X, Y, Z 0

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'

For the following linear programmi ng problem write the dual problem
and solve: 10
Maximize W = 2X + 3Y + 5Z
subject to lOX+ 9Y + Z 10
X+ Y + Z;::: 30
9X + 2Y - 4Z ;::: 80
X, Y,Z ;::: Q

Q.2. (a) tfurcn sil!'li8'i (LPP) -q, (i) 311m-tl (ii) "d"2D
(iii) q;l ch1NJQ\ I fcn fcR:ft LPP cf; Bm
CfiT t;"O:l4 "Q;Cfi t;"O:l4 iffir I

In the context of linear programmi ng problem (LPP), define the terms

(i) basic solution, (ii) feasible solution, and (iii) non-degen erate solution.
Show that the set of all the feasible solutions to an LPP is a convex set. 15

(b) l1R fcn K m n f!JOJHI'""d\

q;l \Jl\$Cf1{ RCf114 TT<n ff11lf
wft q;l l1R CO\ cfil q;l m , l1R
R l1RT \ifl"Q\, <'11 RCf) 14 cfil fcl tHl4 d I \il Cf) >lli:(f ch1 Q\ I
Suppose that K component s are connected in parallel. Then n such
parallel connection s are hooked up in series into a single system. If each
component has the same reliability, say R, for a certain period of
operation, assuming independe nt component s, find an expression for the
reliability of the entire system. 15

(c) -qtq "Cf1T4l en) tff:G il -B cfit cnr<f t

"C'"fiTT(f TT<n :
cnr4
1 2 3 4 5
A 25 29 31 42 37
B 22 19 35 18 26
c 39 38 26 20 33
D 34 27 4U 32
E 24 42 36 23 45

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 There are five jobs to be assigned one each to five machines and the
e
associated cost matrix is as follows :

Job

1 2 3 4 5

A 25 29 31 42 37

B 22 HJ 35 18 26

Machine c 39 $8 26 20 33

D 34 27 28 40 32

E 24 42 36 23 45

Solve the problem assuming that the objective is to minimize the total'
cost. 20

Q3. (a) 31lci'lfTICh Rtra:rur .q crrzq ::riT fu"Q:

"3);ft 10 Rtra:rur .q -rnJ: R'""'i Rifuia .q -rnJ:
1 ct fu"Q: ct TfO'R1 fcRrn fcfi
m .q <:rr 1
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
4 3 6 3 0 1 3 5 7 8

What are the different control charts for attributes used in industrial
inspection ofmanufac tured units?
The followin g table gives the results of inspection of 10 pieces of woollen
goods. Calculate the control chart for the number of defects and
comment whether the process is under control or not. 20

Piece No. : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Number of
4 3 6 3 0 1 3 5 7 8
Defects:

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 (b) mQ&i<i it q:)T mQ&i<i CRn ? (12ff Pih"1R1ful<i
q;-r >rfC<f Jq4'Jll :
f,'@C'i l-$r.1A

I II III IV
1 18 4 6 4
2 6 2 13 7
B
3 11 5 1'/ 3
'
4 7 6 12 2
What is the domiuance principle in game theory? Explain and use it to
solve the following rectangular game : 15
Player A
I II III IV
1 18 4 6 4
2 6 2 13 7
Player B
3 11 5 17 3
4 7 6 12 2

(c) fCf)Cf){UI >lffiil'Q'"i if 3"11lll\JH 1311 q:)T quR

I fcnm Slfuil'Q'"i 3"1 1ll"'I\JH I cnT
Ql I
Describe the single and double sampling plans used in acceptance
sampling. Define the operating characteristic function of a sampling
plo.n. 7,r;

Q4. Ca) <"11R1Ch l B ;mq CFIT ?

<ii,Ch iR1cn lltrr diR1Chl cfil
I
l1R ct1 Q\ fcn if fcnm 1 cfil l1Trr C8 >II men (i 1 e:r;rc=q PI hi R1 ful (i

01, 0 10
f(x) =
{ 0, X> 10
"eft f0' it liTrT C8 >lffi{Ciq 'QR I 4HI I 4H lch t;cn
cfil 'SfRr f0 tffiUT WT(f 0. 5 (12ff cfil >rfu f0 Cfi1ft
45 >rfu ct ffiTRf 05
cn1 1

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 What do you mean by probabilistic inventory problems ? Discuss the
continuous case of a probabilistic inventory model with instantaneous
demand and no set-up cost.
Let the probability density of demand of a certain item during a day be
01 0 10
f(x) = '
{ 0, X> 10
The demand is assumed to occur with a uniform pattern during the
whole day. Let the unit carrying cost of the item in inventory be 05 '
per day and the unit shortage cost be 45 per day. If 05 be the
purchasing cost per unit, determine the optimum order level of the
inventory. 20

(b) >fCf>R-I m-II 31T'tffi "tR "t:l{ejl<1icfil;q

f(t) = A.e-At; A.> 0, t 0 iW; 311Cf>(1'i cfiT cnT quf.:r I

Describe the problem of estimation of the parameter for the exponential

density f(t) = A.e-A.t; A.> 0, t 0 based on type- I and type-II censored data. 15

(c) -q ""t:t"U Jq4lfT1<11 CRn ? R8R1ful<1 cnl ChG

iW; -:q{ <1Ch'"!lct> cnT 3q4lll :
4j<1J:ftCfl{OI z = 12x1 + 20x2

6x1 + 8x2 100

7x1 + 12x2 120

What is the use of artificial variables in an LPP ? Use the artificial

variable technique to solve the following LPP : 15 "
Minimize z = 12x1 + 20x2

subject to 6x1 + 8x2 100

7x 1 + 12x2 120

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I
"&'USB
SECTIONB

Q5. Pt 4001 R1 Rst n CfiT "311{ c{1 N:t :

Answer all of the following : 10x5=50

(a) cn1 (f2fl cnflllll co) 1

c:D TfURT cfit I

Define crude death rate and point out its limitations. Explain
standardized death rates including the methods of their computation. 10

(b) eM CRn (f2fl t-WlRil l Cfi1 croR chlNJQI I

What is the problem of sc.a ling ? Describe z-scaling and t-scaling. 10

(c) fu1; -crft&fOT cfiT 1 fcRft Cfi1 3C!:IQ{ol

\Sf1 -crft&fOT cn1 CfmfT -m (f2fr 3<;1Q{Oi \Sf1 -;:r CfmfT
m1
Define the time reversal test for index numbers. Give one example of an
index number which satisfies this test and one example which does not. 10

(d) k-:q{1 {"liJi iMq mrcn

+ U,

-q PJyR1f@(i cn1 ch1Nic;:

1\
Ci) = cx'xr1 x'Y

For the k -variate general linear model

Y U,
establish the following relations : 10
1\
Ci) = cx'x)- 1 x'y
(ii) V( ) - (XX)-1

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 (e) fcnBT murr 1lURT
llfdlOll'"i \ifl"(ft ?
fcn fcnB
31r:r )fCf)l \ liRIAH
CfiT I

err! 1JrT
1 130

2 127

3 124

4 135

5 140

6 132

7 129

8 127

9 145

10 158

11 153

12 146

13 145

14 164

15 170

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 Why are moving avera ges calcu lated in analy zing a time serie
s ? State
how you woul d deter mine the perio d of the movi ng avera ge
for t.h e
following data :
1(

Year Value

1 130

2 127

3 124

4 135

5 140

6 132

7 129

8 127

9 145

10 158

11 153

12

13 145

14 164

15 170

Q6. (a) llfU idlll CfiT 3Y<i)ll >r&Nor -B 31fCf CRn ? \iHB{lll
>ra)trur ( :ri:q ll "Y1: @q:; crsn 31 1
(leni2 ll ) cfiT -cffi & wc:r cfiT 1
Wha t do you unde rstan d by popu lation proje ction using math
emat ical
meth odo ? Discu ss the Pearl a11J Reeu rneth od of fittin g a Logis
tic curve
to a set of data for popu lation proje ction .
15
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 (b) cfiT CRn ? fcfim "if Sl l"t:Jffi cfiT
'4 ("II 30{ ICf Cf) (1211 "Chl >rfC(f ch1 Q\ I PP""'1 R1 f@ ("1
-q cfr

Ct = ao + alYt + a2Ct-1 + u lt

It= bo + b lyt + b2It- 1 + u2t

Yt. =co+ c, Yt. + c2Mt + u3t

31Tlf : yt = Ct + It+ Gt

What is the problem of identificat ion? Deduce a necessary and sufficient

condition for the identifiabil ity of parameter s in a structural equation.
Examine the identifiabil ity of the following model : 20
Consumpti on : Ct = a 0 + a 1Yt + a 2Ct-l + ult

Income:

(c) tt -q (i) (1211 (ii) B Cldli H -if if&:lcfil;q

RChl;qlli{ flcquA R1fult; I m B CRn

Write a note on the present official statistical system in India relating to
(i) population , and (ii) agriculture . What are the principal publication s
relating to such statistics? 15
Q7. (a) cfr I cfilN=it; I

yt = + Ut; Ut = pUt - 1 + 8 t
E(ct) = 0 (1211 E(ctct') = cr;
CfiT 30{ ICf)Z"f Cfl >lTC(f ch1 N-1 Q\ I -CI I CfiT B \3 <:'"1@ ch1 N-1 Q\ I
Discu ss autocorrelation. For the model
Yt = pxt + Ut; with Ut = pUt-l + ct
where E (ct) = 0 and E (ctct') = cr; I,
find the estimate Specify Durbin-Wa tson test. 20
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I
(b) (i)
fcn;r w&1UIT
2: p 0 q 0 = 480,
>fCfi"R
Ch1

p 0q 1 = 340,

CfiGT ?
cfil Jq4lf?lo l cnr

p 1 q 0 = 1220 C12ff

1

2: p 1q 1 = 852.

Tf4T

-Pcn
cnr

(12fT -q Cf) iCf)1 11R mo cf}) Ni Q\ (12fT q f(u 11141 -en: OlfUi
ch1NiQ\ I

(ii) 311mft(r Cfll1 ? P 01 = 121%, P 12 = 169% -ffi

P0 2 CfiT 11R "ffi(f ch1 Ni Q\ I

(i) State the uses of different index numbers. What tests should a
good index number satisfy? In the usual notations, given that
p 0q0 = 480, 2: p 0q 1 = 340, p 1q 0 = 1220 and 2: p 1q 1 = 852.
Find the values of Laspeyres and Paasche index numbers and
comment on thR results.
(ii) What are chain base index numbers ? If P 01 = 121%, P 12 = 169%,
then find the value of P 02 . 15

(c) fcnffi :qlf);q qf{Cict-il cnr I ?fi1R60 qf{Cict'i

>fCfiT{ ? *gRtSO qf{Cict-il 'li!11 cfil i@f(:'"io CfiT
19fCf)f ch1 Ni Q\ I
Explain the nature of cyclical variations in a time series. How do
seasonal variations differ from them ? Give an outline of link relative
method of measuring seasonal variations. 15

QS. (a) "BRUft CRTI ? fcR:ft "BRUft 31CI<qql cnr, 31"-R

31firtfRUll311 cnl I Zx, "Y1: @{Jjhi'i cfil
RJOO'"li"B1futo "Y1: @\1ihi'i cn1-qp ch1NiQ\ :

X: 0 1 3 4 5 G

lx: 100 90 80 75 60 30 0

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 I
What is a life table ? Stating the assumption s involved, explain the
elements of a life table. Given the following table for lx, the number of
rabbits at age x, complete th e life t able for r abbits : 20

x : 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

lx : 100 90 80 75 60 30 0

(b) fcl:qiR1ctl cor CRTT ? CRTT m-m fcl:q iR1ctl fcraWi -c:rffi
fcfi"m "Gzyf -q crf 3Y4lll cnW ?
What is the meaning of heterosced asticity ? What happens when we use
ordinary least square procedure to a model with heterosced astic
disturbanc e t erms? 15

(c) -q SIIC(l iChl cfiT I <12fT (A I) cfil

3lCI'QRUTT3TI ciT # fl q $11 Q\ I fcl fl ;fl li Cf) <12fT ( t:fl IiCf)
ciT >fTC<l cn8 * cor quf.:r ch1 c;
(1 I

1
(1 I)

Explain briefly the concepts of reliability and validity of scores 1n

educational and psychologi cal experimen ts. Describe a method of
obtaining the reliability coefficient and the validity coefficien t. 15

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