Professional Documents
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doi:10.1093/icc/dtp007
Advance Access published February 24, 2009
The recent corporate evolution of China and India has been characterized by
increased internationalization of firms in the form of significant outward foreign
direct investment flows and overseas mergers and acquisitions. To provide a
context for the papers in this ICC special issue 18:2 (2009), we outline the
quantitative and qualitative patterns of internationalization activity of Chinese and
Indian firms, identify factors that motivate these firms to invest overseas, and
describe the internationalization strategies they have adopted.
1. Introduction
The last two decades have seen significant internationalization of firms from
developing economies in terms of their greater participation in international
trade, growing outflows of foreign direct investment (FDI), and a surge in their
cross-border mergers and acquisition activity. Outward investment from developing
countries is not a new phenomenon but in recent years there has been a marked
increase in the magnitude of flows and a qualitative transformation in their pattern.
Flows of outward FDI from developing countries rose from about $6 billion in
19891991 (about 2.7% of global outward flows) to $253 billion for 2007 (nearly
13% of global outflows).1 The stock of outward FDI from developing countries rose
from around $145 billion in 1990 to $2288 billion in 2007 (about 8% of global stock
of FDI in 1990 to 14.6% of global stock in 2007).2
*This introduction draws on ideas that emerged at two workshops on The Internationalization of
Chinese and Indian Firms, organized at UNU-MERIT (Maastricht) in September 2008.
1
See World Investment Report 2008, Annex Table A.I.8 and Table B.1. In terms of its sectoral
distribution, in 20042006, around 70% of outward FDI flows from developing countries were in
the services sector (within which business services, finance, and trade were the leading categories),
with manufacturing accounting for 13% and the primary sector accounting for around 8%.
2
See World Investment Report 2008, Annex Table B.2.
The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Associazione ICC. All rights reserved.
Within this broad trend, the growing internationalization of firms from two
fast-growing developing countries, China and India, is particularly notable. Exports
have been a central feature of the growth of the Chinese economy over the last three
decades and, more recently, they have made a visible contribution to Indian growth
too. Outward FDI from China and India has grown rapidly in recent years, and
firms from these two countries are increasingly involved in overseas mergers and
acquisitions.3
Morck et al. (2008) provide a summary of outward FDI from China. Outward
FDI flows from China were around $22.5 billion in 2007; the stock of Chinese
outward FDI grew steadily, from $4.5 billion in 1990 to $96 billion in 2007.4
A significant chunk of Chinese outward FDI has gone to tax havens and to Southeast
Asia, but recently a substantial amount has flowed to Africa too. Sovereign wealth
funds (SWFs) have become a new channel for outward FDI, with the China
Investment Corporation, established in 2007, playing a significant role. Chinese
overseas investment has focused on oil and petroleum (with China National Petrol
Corporation and China National Offshore Oil Corporation leading the charge), but
there have been significant investments in construction (China State Construction
Corporation), shipping (China Shipping), telecoms (China Mobile and China
Telecom), and steel (Shanghai Baosteel) too. Much of the outward investment from
China is carried out by large state-owned enterprises (SOEs).
Nayyar (2008) describes outward FDI from India, whose flows grew from
negligible levels in 1990 to $13.6 billion in 2007, and stock rose from $0.1 billion in
1990 to $29 billion by 2007.5 Outward FDI from India has spanned investments in a
broad range of sectors, including steel, pharmaceuticals, information technology and
services, as well as food and beverages. Indias Oil and Natural Gas Commission
has made substantial investment in oil and energy; Indian conglomerates such as the
Tata group have made overseas acquisitions in automobiles (acquiring Jaguar in the
UK) and steel (the Anglo-Dutch firm Corus); Ranbaxy has made global forays in
pharmaceuticals and Infosys in information technology and business processing.
Firms from China and India have been involved in significant and growing levels
of mergers and acquisitions abroad. Over the period 20052007, cross-border
purchases by Chinese firms average about $3.5 billion per annum, while those by
3
Aggregate statistics apart, many of the firms aggressively on the path of internationalization are
from China and India. For instance, two-thirds of the 100 firms identified as new global
challengers in a recent Boston Consulting Group (2006) report are Chinese or Indian.
4
See World Investment Report 2008, Annex Tables B.1 and B.2. When referring to China, we ignore
values recorded under Hong Kong (China) and Taiwan (China). FDI outflows from China and
India seem small compared to developing-country totals, but this is in part because statistically
recorded totals are dominated by a handful of countries, notably Hong Kong (China) and a few
offshore financial centres.
5
See World Investment Report 2008, Annex Tables B.1 and B.2.
Indian firms averaged $1.5 billion per annum. To the extent M&A activity is financed
with funds raised in international markets or in the host economy the acquisitions
are not fully recorded in measured FDI outflows. Hence measures of outward FDI
probably underestimate the extent of internationalization of firms from these
two countries.
The patterns of internationalization of Chinese and Indian firms suggest some
common elements. Both countries have experienced rapid growth in recent decades,
which led to large inflows of FDI and portfolio capital. These inflows, combined with
high rates of domestic saving, created large reserves of capital at the macroeconomic
level, which in turn led to relaxation of policy restrictions on capital outflows. Policy
regimes that had previously prohibited capital outflows at the corporate level became
increasingly permissive. Much of the recent outflows took place within the context
of easy credit conditions in global financial markets, though this situation has
changed dramatically since the summer of 2007.
These similarities should not mask the important differences in the patterns of
internationalization of Chinese and Indian firms. While Chinese overseas acquisi-
tions are more commonly carried out by state-owned enterprises, Indian outward
FDI involves mostly private-sector firms, typically the large, diversified, business
houses. Chinese overseas investments are more likely to have been in primary sectors,
notably minerals and energy, while Indian investments are more distributed across
a range of sectors, including steel and pharmaceuticals at one end to information
technology and business services at the other.
These differences are probably related to differences in the policy environment
that have guided the industrial evolution in these economies. Despite the economic
liberalization that started in China in the 1980s, state-owned enterprises continue to
play an important part in the Chinese industrial sector. Given the dependence of
the economy on sustained exports, many of the Chinese overseas investments aim to
secure access to critical raw materials, especially energy. Indias industrial sectors, in
contrast, went through many policy gyrations. India was remarkably open to inward
FDI all through the 1950s, allowing a substantial stock of foreign capital to build up.
Through much of the 1960s the policy of import-substituting industrialization
allowed considerable scope for private enterprise, creating a significant pool of
private firms. Economic liberalization in the last two decades allowed a cadre of
professionally run Indian firms to emerge in skill-intensive sectors such as
information technology and pharmaceuticals, and these firms have been particularly
active in overseas markets.
However, these trends towards growing internationalization of China and India
must be kept in perspective. Even as outward FDI has grown for both countries, the
flows remain paltry relative to the size of these economies and relative to global FDI
flows. Outward FDI flows as fractions of gross fixed capital formation were only
1.6% for China and 3.5% for India for the year 2007. Compare these to 6.4% for the
developing countries as a whole and 16.2 for the corresponding global ratio.
Outward FDI stock as a share of annual GDP was 3% for China and 2.6% for India in
the year 2007. The corresponding value for all developing countries was 16% and
for the world economy was 29%.6
So why have these fledgling flows commanded so much attention? For one,
both China and India are large and populous developing countries and their recent
growth spurt has captured the popular imagination. Further, the emerging outward
orientation of these countries reflects a distinct break from their historical
trajectoriesboth China and India were inward-looking economies for much of
the post-war period, and recent trends may presage their arrival on the international
scene.
The newfound outward orientation is notable for some of its qualitative aspects
too, of which two stand out in particular. One, the time profile of flow of FDI
does not conform to the conventional predictions of the investment development
path taken by developing countries. Traditional theories envisage developing
countries graduating through various stages, starting from a stage where inward FDI
allows domestic firms to acquire technology and other manufacturing capabilities,
then graduating to a stage where domestic industrial capability allows these firms
to export their output, only eventually investing overseas, and typically only in
economies lower down in the stage of development. By design of their economic
regimes, both China and India developed their industrial bases through policies of
import substitution without recourse to massive inflows of FDI in the early stages.
And for both countries, outward FDI flows have emerged much sooner than
expected, whether compared to the trajectory of early industrializing nations or more
recent industrializers such as South Korea. Two, some of the capital outflows and
acquisitions have been to developed economies rather than, as is often expected,
to less developed economies. Tata, the large business conglomerate from India, has
made high profile investments in the UK, while Chinas Lenovo and Haier have made
substantial inroads in the US.
At one level, the outward flow of capital from developing countries to acquire
assets in developed countries presents a conundrum. Ordinarily, we should expect
the rate of return on capital to be higher for investments in a fast-growing developing
economy rather than for overseas ventures in industrially advanced economies.
To put it simply, the uphill flow of capital from labour-rich developing countries
to the developed world does not fit textbook economic theory.
One possible explanation is contextual. Liberalization may have given firms an
opportunity to diversify their real investment portfolios. The logic of diversification
may make it rational for a firm to expand overseas even when the return on such
investment is lower, as long as returns domestically and overseas are less than
perfectly correlated. The Indian firms that have led the internationalization process
6
See World Investment Report 2008. Both countries also rank quite low in terms of UNCTADs
outward FDI performance index, which measures a countrys outward FDI relative to its GDP.
are those that were well diversified across domestic industrial sectors: consider the
Tata group, whose interests range from manufacturing steel to food & beverages, and
running hotels to business process outsourcing. In the past, regulatory constraints
on diversification abroad often compelled these firms to diversify domestically,
beyond levels that can be explained by technological economies of scope. Once policy
became suitably accommodating to outward FDI, international diversification
followed quite naturally. In many cases, the firms quest for economies of scale
also motivate them to invest abroad. This is particularly true in sectors such as
steel and metals.
At the same time, some of the overseas investments may have been prompted by
push factors: policies that distort the rates of return on capital at the enterprise
level create an imperative to venture abroad. In China, distortions in the financial
intermediation process, combined with a high rate of private savings, may have
driven down the rate of return on domestic investments, forcing firms to look
overseas for more lucrative opportunities. As Morck et al. (2008) put it, Chinas
recent outward FDI surge is probably a manifestation of its inability to reinvest
its high corporate and individual savings efficiently.
2. Motivations
While a more permissive economic regime is necessary for firms to venture abroad, it
is not sufficient. What, then, motivates firms to invest overseas? A leading theoretical
approach, the so-called ownership-location-internalization (OLI) theory, explains
the internationalization activity of multinational corporations (MNCs) as their
attempts to extend their ownership advantages (e.g., proprietary access to a superior
production technology or a valuable brand) to overseas markets by exploiting
locational advantages (locating abroad to access low cost inputs or better serve local
markets), and internalizing the efficiency gains from economies of scale and scope by
integrating the firms activities across borders. In short, FDI enables firms to exploit
their existing firm-specific assets. This standard explanation has limited traction
when analyzing the internationalization activity of MNCs from developing countries.
Typically, these firms have only limited technological or ownership advantages
to exploit.
Rather, the internationalization activity of firms from developing countries may
reflect attempts to acquire strategic assets, such as new technologies and brands, and
to secure access to raw materials and distribution networks. In sum, rather than
exploiting existing assets, FDI may reflect attempts to acquire or augment these
assets. In principle, technological assets can be acquired through arms length
contracts such as licensing, or generated through domestic R&D, but market imper-
fections may imply that acquisition is more effective through FDI. Child and
Rodrigues (2008) argue that Chinese firms have internationalized not so much to
7
Morck et al. (2008) point out that when the Canadian-owned Petro Kazakhstan exited from
Kazakhstan due to its inability to enforce its contractual dues, China National Petroleum
Corporation acquired its assets and subsequently was far more successful in enforcement.
8
In fact, more contemporary forms of the OLI theory recognize that investment may be motivated
by the search for strategic assets in the form of technology, market access, and even the desire to
access a particular institutional context: see Dunning and Lundan (2008) for an elaboration of the
argument, and Dunning and Lundan (2009) for an attempt to study LenovoIBM as an example of
such an institutional hybrid.
9
See Lee and Slater (2007) and Matthews (2006) for an elaboration of this point.
10
An early version of this argument was made by Stephen Hymer (1960).
of internationalization may also matter, pointing out that the existing literature
in international business strategy has very little to say about the early inter-
nationalization strategies of firms.
have different histories in this regard.11 Many Indian business houses have had a
long history of corporate evolution, whilst Chinese groups are relatively young and
their rapid growth in recent years is partly due to active state support. Duysters,
Jacob, Lemmens, and Jintian compare Chinas Haier group with Indias Tata group.
They point out that Haier has used a walking on two legs strategyreplicating
in overseas markets the innovations developed to cater for the needs of large
domestic market and at the same time acquiring related technological expertise
internationally in order to grow from a single product to a multi-product company.
They draw on work by Goldstein (2008) to show that, in contrast, Tatas have
used internationalization to become more specialized in their operations and
to increase value from a few chosen lines of business. Although the industry
sectors that comprise the group firms are different, the paper shows that in
both countries the groups have used globalization to exploit economies of scale
and scope.
4. Policy Implications
These analyses pose a natural question: what is the economic impact of such
emerging internationalization for China and India, and for the advanced economies
that have served as hosts to investment flows? Also, what policy implications arise
from our assessment of the likely impact?
Among potential recipients of foreign direct investments from China and India,
many developed economies have long espoused openness to inflows. Greenfield
investment by foreign firms has been seen by many governments (especially in the
UK and the EU) as a valuable channel for expanded investment and employment
generation. Further, inward foreign investment may improve domestic productivity
through spillovers of technology, through the demonstration effect of better
management practices, and also because competition from MNEs provides stimulus
for efficiency improvements in domestic firms.
However, many Indian and Chinese multinationals have entered international
markets through acquisitions of existing assets rather than greenfield investment.
This is, of course, consistent with the observation that Chinese and Indian firms have
fewer ownership advantages. A study by Mata and Portugal (2000) of the closure and
divestment of 1000 foreign-owned firms that started operating in Portugal during the
period 19831989 shows that the mode of entrygreenfield versus acquisition
affects the longevity of the investment. They argue that greenfield investments
are more asset-specific and dependent on the ownership advantages, and likely
to be more durable. In contrast, acquisitions often involve the purchase of a
11
Khanna and Yishay (2007) argue that this is on account of institutional voids and missing
markets.
complementary but non-specific asset. The non-specific nature of the acquired asset
results in a lower exit thresholdsay, if international expansion plans falter or if
there is a strategic re-orientation within the acquiring firmand also is easier to sell
to someone else. If so, it would be rational to find a policy preference for greenfield
investment over acquisitions as the mode of entry.
Public reaction to the acquisitions by Chinese and Indian firmsand the political
economy behind these reactionsis mixed. In many cases, acquisitions have been of
failing firms. Bertoni et al. (2008) find, for instance, that Chinese acquisitions in
Europe are more likely to be of poorly performing firms. Recent notable acquisitions
by Indias Tata group include those of Corus and Jaguar, both firms in different
degrees of financial distress. In all such cases, it is likely that the post-acquisition
rationalization of these firms will result in labour retrenchment rather than
employment generation. To the extent these were firms in distress, some retren-
chment would have happened regardless of foreign takeover, but whether overseas
firms are seen to be saviours or asset-strippers depends on careful enunciation of
corporate strategy. Tata, with a credible record of successful labour relations, are
well placed to cope with this, but may yet need to tread carefully.
The potential of productivity-enhancing spillovers from the operation of Chinese
and Indian firms requires a more cautious assessment. As Driffield et al. (2009)
point out, the potential for technological spillovers is low when FDI inflows
are technology-seeking rather than technology-exploiting. Nonetheless, the entry of
foreign firms could well increase the degree of competition in the industry, with
potential gain in productivity.
Public perceptions of Chinese and Indian MNCs are inevitably tied up with
reactions to the recent growth of these countries. While most people consider
Chinas success in low-cost manufacturing for global consumers to be a positive
development, the inevitable rise of China and India as significant economic players
causes consternation by challenging the established order of industrial hegemony.
Consider the growing unease with the entry of large sovereign wealth funds, and the
concerns that these are largely instruments of an overbearing Chinese state. Of
course, the dominance of state-owned enterprises in Chinese internationalization
may be structural: unlike Indian business houses, a poorly developed domestic
capital market might imply that state sponsorship is critical for Chinese firms
overseas ventures. But at the same time it creates the perception that these firms are
beneficiaries of unfair state aid, an argument that resonates with old debates
about strategic trade policy.
The implications of internationalization for the home economies, that is, for
China and India, are also subject to debate. One view expresses concern that outward
FDI can deprive developing countries of scarce capital, including human capital in
the form of managerial resources. This is reminiscent of early concerns about brain
drain, but a more balanced position has come to understand that what starts as brain
drain can become a part of two-way brain circulation, and in any case, even if these
Acknowledgments
We thank all participants for helpful comments, and especially R. Ramamurti for
detailed suggestions on this text.
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