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Virginia Survey Results

Virginia Survey Results September 12-18, 2017


N = 1,000 likely voters

1. Are you registered to vote here in Virginia?

Yes 100%

2. Are you or a member of your family an employee of a newspaper,


television or radio station, or a political party or candidate for political office?

No 100%

3. Thinking ahead to Novembers general election for Governor of Virginia,


how would you rate you chances of voting - would you say:

You will probably vote 14%


You will definitely vote 86

4. Using the numbers 1 to 5, with 5 meaning VERY interested and 1


meaning NOT interested at all, how would you rate your interest in voting in
Novembers general election for Governor of Virginia:

2 1%
3 9
4 14
5-Very Interested 75

5. In politics today do you identify yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, or an


Independent?

Democrat 40%
Republican 28
Independent 29
Not sure/Refused 3

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6. In Novembers general election for Governor, the candidates are: Ed
Gillespie, Republican; Ralph Northam, Democrat; Cliff Hyra, Libertarian. If the
election were today, for whom would you vote?

Ed Gillespie, Republican 39%


Ralph Northam, Democrat 43
Cliff Hyra, Libertarian 3
Not sure/Refused 15

7. (If Not sure/Refused in Q.6) Would you say youre leaning toward: Ed
Gillespie, Republican; Ralph Northam, Democrat; Cliff Hyra, Libertarian?

Ed Gillespie, Republican 2%
Ralph Northam, Democrat 2
Cliff Hyra, Libertarian 1
Not sure/Refused 10

BALLOT + LEAN

Ed Gillespie, Republican 41%


Ralph Northam, Democrat 45
Cliff Hyra, Libertarian 4
Not sure/Refused 10

(8-11) Now Im going to ask your opinion of a few people. Tell me if you have a
favorable or unfavorable opinion, have heard of but have no opinion, or have
never heard of the individual.
FAV UNFAV HEARD NEVER NOT
OF HEARD SURE/
REFUSED
8. Ed Gillespie 40% 28% 24% 4% 4%
9. Ralph Northam 42 22 24 9 3
10. Donald Trump 38 52 8 - 2
11. Terry McAuliffe 40 34 16 8 3

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12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as
President? And would that be STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT approve/disapprove?

Strongly Approve 24%


Somewhat Approve 20
Somewhat Disapprove 8
Strongly Disapprove 45
Not sure/Refused 3

TOTAL APPROVE 44%


TOTAL DISAPPROVE 53

13. And do you approve or disapprove of the job Terry McAuliffe is doing as
Governor? And would that be STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT approve/disapprove?

Strongly approve 25%


Somewhat approve 31
Somewhat disapprove 14
Strongly disapprove 22
Not sure/Refused 9

TOTAL APPROVE 56%


TOTAL DISAPPROVE 36

14. Would you say the state of Virginia is moving in the right direction or
have things gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

Right Direction 48%


Wrong Track 39
Not sure/Refused 12

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15. Which issue do you believe is most important for Virginias next
Governor to focus on: the economy and jobs, taxes, government spending,
crime and drugs, illegal immigration, education, or health care?

Economy and jobs 38%


Health care 20
Education 15
Taxes 7
Crime and drugs 7
Illegal immigration 4
Government spending 4
Other/Not sure/Refused 4

(16-22) Now Im going to list some issues the next Governor of Virginia will be
dealing with. Please tell me if you think Ed Gillespie or Ralph Northam would
do a better job handling...

16. (A) Economy and jobs

Ed Gillespie 42%
Ralph Northam 38
Not sure/Refused 20

17. (B) Taxes

Ed Gillespie 37%
Ralph Northam 38
Not sure/Refused 24

18. (A) Government spending

Ed Gillespie 43%
Ralph Northam 34
Not sure/Refused 23

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19. (B) Crime and drugs

Ed Gillespie 37%
Ralph Northam 37
Not sure/Refused 26

20. (A) Illegal immigration

Ed Gillespie 43%
Ralph Northam 34
Not sure/Refused 23

21. (B) Education

Ed Gillespie 31%
Ralph Northam 45
Not sure/Refused 24

22. (A) Health care

Ed Gillespie 36%
Ralph Northam 42
Not sure/Refused 22

(23-26) Now Im going read you some phrases. Using the numbers 1 to 5, with
5 meaning the PHRASE FITS VERY WELL, and 1 meaning the PHRASE DOESNT
FIT AT ALL, tell me how each phrase fits Ed Gillespie:
5 4 3 2 1 NOT
SURE
23. (A) Hes someone I like and 18% 17% 18% 10% 22% 15%
trust.
24. (B) He shares my values. 19 12 12 11 30 16
25. (A) Hes a strong leader. 19 19 20 10 16 17
26. (B) Hed make a good 21 13 14 9 27 15
governor.

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(27-30) Now, using the numbers 1 to 5, with 5 meaning the PHRASE FITS VERY
WELL, and 1 meaning the PHRASE DOESNT FIT AT ALL, tell me how each
phrase fits Ralph Northam:

5 4 3 2 1 NOT
SURE
27. (A) Hes someone I like and 21% 15% 17% 10% 20% 17%
trust.
28. (B) He shares my values. 23 17 14 9 20 17
29. (A) Hes a strong leader. 19 15 21 12 16 18
30. (B) Hed make a good 25 17 14 11 17 17
governor.

31. Which party do you trust more on the issue of health care: the
Republican party or the Democratic party?

Republican party 35%


Democratic party 50
Not sure/Refused 16

32. What is your top priority for health care reform: more coverage, lower
cost, higher quality, or new cures?

More coverage 26%


Lower cost 50
Higher quality 15
New cures 5
Not sure/Refused 4

33. Are you satisfied with the health care options now available to you and
your family?

Yes 64%
No 33
Not sure/Refused 3

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34. Do you support or oppose implementing the ObamaCare Medicaid
expansion in Virginia? And would that be STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT support/
oppose?

Strongly support 38%


Somewhat support 15
Somewhat oppose 10
Strongly oppose 30
Not sure/Refused 7

TOTAL SUPPORT 53%


TOTAL OPPOSE 40

35. Do you support or oppose the effort by the Trump administration and
Republicans in Congress to lower tax rates for all American families and
businesses? And would that be STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT support/oppose?

Strongly support 46%


Somewhat support 16
Somewhat oppose 11
Strongly oppose 21
Not sure/Refused 6

TOTAL SUPPORT 62%


TOTAL OPPOSE 32

36. What is your top priority for tax reform: tax code simplification, lower
tax rates, or job creation?

Tax code simplification 33%


Lower tax rates 34
Job creation 27
Not sure/Refused 6

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37. Do you support or oppose lowering taxes for families and businesses in
Virginia? And would that be STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT support/oppose?

Strongly support 59%


Somewhat support 22
Somewhat oppose 7
Strongly oppose 5
Not sure/Refused 7

TOTAL SUPPORT 81%


TOTAL OPPOSE 12

38. How important to you is it for Virginias next governor to prioritize


manufacturing and create new manufacturing jobs?

Very important 57%


Somewhat important 34
Not important at all 7
Not sure/Refused 2

39. Do you support or oppose the removal of Confederate monuments in


Virginia? And would that be STRONGLY or SOMEWHAT support/oppose?

Strongly support 22%


Somewhat support 14
Somewhat oppose 13
Strongly oppose 41
Not sure/Refused 10

TOTAL SUPPORT 36%


TOTAL OPPOSE 54

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40. In comparison with those you know, would you say you are very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative on
political issues?

Very liberal 10%


Liberal 17
Moderate 33
Conservative 24
Very conservative 13
Not sure/Refused 3

41. Into which of the following age groups do you fall?

18 - 34 15%
35 - 44 18
45 - 54 18
55 - 64 24
65 and over 25
Refused -

42. What is your race?

White 72%
Black 18
Hispanic 6
Asian 2
Other -
Not sure/Refused 2

43. Whats your total annual family income level? Under $30,000? Between
$30,000 and $75,000? Over $75,000?

Under 30k 12%


Between 30k-75k 30
Over 75k 45
Not sure/Refused 12

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44. And what is the last grade of school you completed?

Some grade school (Grades 1-8) -


Some high school (Grades 9-11) 2%
Graduated high School (Grade 12) 17
Technical/Vocational School 3
Some college 19
Graduated college 34
Graduate/Professional School 25
Not sure/Refused 1

45. Do you live in an urban, suburban, or rural area?

Urban 17%
Suburban 49
Rural 32
Not sure/Refused 1

46. Which of the following sources do you rely on most for news and
information about government and politics?

TV 49%
Radio 8
Internet 28
Print 12
Not sure/Refused 3

47. Gender

Male 49%
Female 51

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48. Landline, Mobile or Online

Landline 60%
Mobile 20
Online 20

49. Media Market

Bluefield -
Bristol - Tri-Cities 3%
Charlottesville 3
Greensboro -
Harrisonburg 2
Norfolk 20
Raleigh Durham -
Richmond 21
Roanoke 14
Washington DC 36

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