Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Name___________________________________
TRUE/FALSE. Write 'T' if the statement is true and 'F' if the statement is false.
1)
1)
_______
Answer
True
False
2)
2)
_______
Answer
True
False
3)
3)
_______
Answer
True
False
4)
A decision criterion defines what is relevant in a decision.
4)
_______
Answer
True
False
5)
The fourth step of the decision-making process requires the decision maker to list viable alternatives that could resolve
the problem.
5)
_______
Answer
True
False
6)
Once the alternatives have been identified, a decision maker must analyze each one.
6)
_______
Answer
True
False
7)
The step in the decision-making process that involves choosing a best alternative is termed implementation.
7)
_______
Answer
True
False
8)
8)
_______
Answer
True
False
9)
9)
_______
Answer
True
False
10)
10)
______
Answer
True
False
11)
Studies of the events leading up to the Challenger space shuttle disaster point to an escalation of commitment by decision
makers.
11)
______
Answer
True
False
12)
12)
______
Answer
True
False
13)
13)
______
Answer
True
False
14)
______
Answer
True
False
15)
15)
______
Answer
True
False
16)
A policy is an explicit statement that tells a manager what he or she ought or ought not to do.
16)
______
Answer
True
False
17)
The solution to nonprogrammed decision making relies on procedures, rules, and policies.
17)
______
Answer
True
False
18)
18)
______
Answer
True
False
19)
19)
______
Answer
True
False
20)
Risk is the condition in which the decision maker is able to estimate the likelihood of certain outcomes.
20)
______
Answer
True
False
21)
Risk is a situation in which a decision maker has neither certainty nor reasonable probability estimates.
21)
______
Answer
True
False
22)
22)
______
Answer
True
False
23)
According to the boxed feature, "Managing Workforce Diversity," diverse employees tend to make decisions faster than a
homogeneous group of employees.
23)
______
Answer
True
False
24)
The anchoring effect describes when decision makers fixate on initial information as a starting point and then, once set,
they fail to adequately adjust for subsequent information.
24)
______
Answer
True
False
25)
The availability bias describes when decision makers try to create meaning out of random events.
25)
______
Answer
True
False
26)
The sunk cost error is when decision makers forget that current choices cannot correct the past.
26)
______
Answer
True
False
27)
Today's business world revolves around making decisions, usually with complete or adequate information, and under
minimal time pressure.
27)
______
Answer
True
False
28)
Managers need to understand cultural differences to make effective decisions in today's fast-moving world.
28)
______
Answer
True
False
29)
29)
______
Answer
True
False
30)
30)
______
Answer
True
False
31)
The autocratic style of decision making seems to be the most widely used style in Arab organizations.
31)
______
Answer
True
False
32)
32)
______
Answer
True
False
MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.
33)
Decision making is typically described as ________, which is a view that is too simplistic.
33)
______
A)
B)
D)
B
34)
A series of eight steps that begins with identifying a problem and concludes with evaluating the decision's effectiveness is
the ________.
34)
______
A)
decision-making process
B)
managerial process
C)
D)
maximin style
Answer
35)
________ is the existence of a discrepancy between an existing and a desired state of affairs.
35)
______
A)
A weakness
B)
An opportunity
C)
A solution
D)
A problem
Answer
D
36)
36)
______
A)
compares the current state of affairs with where they would like to be
C)
37)
37)
______
A)
The problem must be such that it exerts some type of pressure on the manager to act.
Answer
38)
38)
______
A)
B)
Identifying a problem.
D)
Analyzing alternatives.
Answer
39)
Which of the following styles of decision making seems to be most dominant among Arab managers?
39)
______
A)
Participative
B)
Democratic
C)
Autocratic
D)
Consultative
Answer
40)
40)
______
A)
Some studies have found that pseudo-consultation may be prevalent in some Arab managerial settings.
B)
Among Arab managers, the consultative style is more widespread than the autocratic style.
C)
41)
41)
______
A)
the manager's use of consultation in some cases and participation in other cases
C)
42)
To determine the ________, a manager must determine what is relevant or important to resolving the problem.
42)
______
A)
B)
decision criteria
C)
D)
43)
43)
______
A)
B)
D)
44)
If all criteria in the decision are equal, weighting the criteria ________.
44)
______
A)
is not needed
Answer
45)
In allocating weights to the decision criteria, which of the following is helpful to remember?
45)
______
A)
Every factor criterion considered, regardless of its importance, must receive some weighting.
C)
Assign the most important criterion a score, and then assign weights against that standard.
Answer
46)
What is the step where a decision maker wants to be creative in coming up with possible alternative?
46)
______
A)
analyzing alternatives
B)
developing alternatives
C)
D)
47)
47)
______
A)
The problem.
C)
48)
When developing alternatives in the decision-making process, what must a manager do?
48)
______
A)
List alternatives.
B)
Weight alternatives.
C)
Implement alternatives.
D)
Evaluate alternatives.
Answer
A
49)
49)
______
A)
50)
In Step 6 of the decision-making process, each alternative is evaluated by appraising it against the ________.
50)
______
A)
B)
criteria
C)
implementation strategy
D)
assessed values
Answer
51)
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ i n c l u d e s c o n v e y i n g a d e c i s i o n t o t h o s e a ff e c t e d a n d g e tt i n g t h e i r
commitment to it.
51)
______
A)
Selecting an alternative
B)
Analyzing alternatives
C)
D)
52)
Which of the following is important in effectively implementing the chosen alternative in the decision-making process?
52)
______
A)
53)
______
A)
reevaluate the weightings of the criteria until they indicate the correct outcome
Answer
54)
Which of the following is important to remember in evaluating the effectiveness of the decision-making process?
54)
______
A)
Ninety percent of problems with decision making occur in the implementation step.
C)
You will have to restart the decision-making process if the decision is less than 50 percent effective.
Answer
55)
Managers are assumed to be ________; they make consistent, value-maximizing choices within specified constraints.
55)
______
A)
satisficers
B)
leaders
C)
organized
D)
rational
Answer
56)
56)
______
A)
57)
57)
______
A)
D)
58)
58)
______
A)
59)
When managers circumvent the rational decision-making model and find ways to satisfice, they are following the concept
of ________.
59)
______
A)
jurisprudence
B)
least-squared exemptions
C)
bounded rationality
D)
self-motivated decisions
Answer
60)
Because managers can't possibly analyze all information on all alternatives, managers ________, rather than ________.
60)
______
A)
maximize; minimize
B)
satisfice; maximize
C)
satisfice; minimize
D)
maximize; satisfice
Answer
61)
The type of decision making in which the solution is considered "good enough" is known as ________.
61)
______
A)
satisfying
B)
intuition
C)
maximizing
D)
satisficing
Answer
62)
When a decision maker chooses an alternative under perfect rationality, she ________ her decision, whereas under
bounded rationality she chooses a ________ decision.
62)
______
A)
maximizes; satisficing
B)
satisfices; maximizing
C)
minimizes; satisficing
D)
maximizes; minimizing
Answer
63)
An increased commitment to a previous decision despite evidence that it may have been wrong is referred to as ________.
63)
______
A)
economies of commitment
B)
expansion of commitment
C)
escalation of commitment
D)
dimensional commitment
Answer
64)
64)
______
A)
65)
65)
______
A)
managers use data from their subconscious mind to help make their decisions
D)
accumulated experience does not support intuitive decisions
Answer
66)
66)
______
A)
affect-initiated decisions
B)
experienced-based decisions
C)
programmed decisions
D)
cognitive-based decisions
Answer
67)
67)
______
A)
Nonprogrammed problems
B)
Unique problems
C)
Unstructured problems
D)
Structured problems
Answer
68)
68)
______
A)
satisficing
B)
intuition
C)
gut feeling
D)
programmed
Answer
69)
________ decision making is relatively simple and tends to rely heavily on previous solutions.
69)
______
A)
Programmed
B)
Satisficing
C)
Linear
D)
Nonprogrammed
Answer
70)
A procedure ________.
70)
______
A)
71)
A ________ is an explicit statement that tells a manager what he or she can or cannot do.
71)
______
A)
policy
B)
solution
C)
rule
D)
procedure
Answer
C
72)
A policy ________.
72)
______
A)
73)
73)
______
A)
B)
D)
74)
A ________ typically contains an ambiguous term that leaves interpretation up to the decision maker.
74)
______
A)
solution
B)
rule
C)
system
D)
policy
Answer
75)
A business school's statement that it "strives for productive relationships with local organizations" is an example of a
________.
75)
______
A)
procedure
B)
policy
C)
rule
D)
commitment
Answer
B
76)
76)
______
A)
are routine
Answer
77)
77)
______
A)
78)
When problems are ________, managers must rely on ________ in order to develop unique solutions.
78)
______
A)
79)
79)
______
A)
nonroutine
B)
programmed
C)
unique
D)
nonprogrammed
Answer
80)
80)
______
A)
81)
________ is a situation in which a manager can make accurate decisions because the outcome of every alternative is
known.
81)
______
A)
Risk
B)
Maximax
C)
Uncertainty
D)
Maximin
E)
Certainty
Answer
82)
If an individual knows the price of three similar cars at different dealerships, he or she is operating under what type of
decision-making condition?
82)
______
A)
certainty
B)
uncertainty
C)
risk
D)
factual
Answer
83)
A retail clothing store manager who estimates how much to order for the current spring season based on last spring's
outcomes is operating under what kind of decision-making condition?
83)
______
A)
risk
B)
certainty
C)
uncertainty
D)
seasonal
Answer
84)
________ is a situation in which a decision maker has neither certainty nor reasonable probability estimates available.
84)
______
A)
Certainty
B)
Uncertainty
C)
Risk
D)
Maximax
Answer
85)
85)
______
A)
B)
reliability
C)
certainty
D)
uncertainty
Answer
86)
What best describes the psychological orientation of an individual making a "maximax" choice?
86)
______
A)
realist
B)
satisficer
C)
optimist
D)
pessimist
Answer
87)
Optimistic managers could be expected to utilize their maximax orientation when they ________.
87)
______
A)
B)
D)
88)
What is the psychological orientation of a decision maker who makes a "maximin" choice?
88)
______
A)
realist
B)
optimist
C)
pessimist
D)
satisficer
Answer
89)
Which of the following best describes "maximizing the minimum possible payoff"?
89)
______
A)
minimax
B)
minimum
C)
maximax
D)
maximin
Answer
90)
A manager who desires to minimize his or her maximum "regret" will opt for a ________ choice.
90)
______
A)
minimum
B)
maximax
C)
minimax
D)
maximin
Answer
91)
Many managers use ________ or rules of thumb to simplify their decision making.
91)
______
A)
errors
B)
habits
C)
heuristics
D)
biases
Answer
92)
When decision makers tend to think they know more than they do or hold unrealistically positive views of themselves
and their performance, they are exhibiting ________.
92)
______
A)
self-serving bias
B)
D)
overconfidence bias
Answer
93)
When decision makers seek out information that reaffirms their past choices and discount information that contradicts
past judgments, they are exhibiting ________.
93)
______
A)
confirmation bias
B)
availability bias
C)
self-serving bias
D)
94)
When decision makers assess the likelihood of an event based on how closely it resembles other events or sets of events,
they are using ________.
94)
______
A)
B)
representation bias
C)
framing bias
D)
availability bias
Answer
95)
What is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately predicted the outcome of an
event once that outcome is actually known?
95)
______
A)
B)
D)
96)
96)
______
A)
97)
What is a characteristic that the experts say an effective decision-making process has?
97)
______
A)
It is inconsistent.
Answer
98)
What term is used by Navy aviators to describe a gut feeling that something isn't right?
98)
______
A)
regret
B)
uneasiness
C)
leemers
D)
the creeps
Answer
99)
Managers of highly reliable organizations (HROs) get the input of ________ and let them make decisions.
99)
______
A)
CEOs
B)
frontline workers
C)
suppliers
D)
customers
Answer
100)
100)
_____
A)
Sondos needed help. Her insurance company's rapid growth was necessitating making some changes, but what changes?
Should they add to the existing information system or should they buy a new system? She was given the responsibility of
analyzing the company's present information system and deciding what the company should do that would give them
plenty of room. She was confused and needed help in making the correct decision.
101)
According to the decision-making process, the first step Sondos should take is to ________.
101)
_____
A)
B)
D)
102)
According to the decision-making process, the second step Sondos should take is to ________.
102)
_____
A)
identify decision criteria
B)
D)
103)
Allocating weights to the criteria is the step in the decision-making process that occurs between identifying the decision
criteria and ________.
103)
_____
A)
B)
selecting alternatives
D)
104)
When Sondos is conveying her decision to those affected and getting their commitment to it, she is performing which step
in the decision-making process?
104)
_____
A)
identifying the problem
B)
D)
selecting alternatives
Answer
105)
The very last step Sondos should take, according to the decision-making process, is to ________.
105)
_____
A)
B)
D)
select alternatives
Answer
Haifa is a student, and her older brother has loaned her an old car. The car is in need of several repairs before she will feel
comfortable driving it.
106)
Haifa needs a vehicle, but she has to decide if the vehicle is worth repairing. She is facing a(n) ________; a discrepancy
between an existing and a desired state of affairs.
106)
_____
A)
alternative
B)
problem
C)
D)
107)
In talking with an automotive repair person, Haifa needs to prioritize the repairs. Her first concern is safety of the vehicle.
This step in the decision-making process is called ________.
107)
_____
A)
selecting an alternative
B)
analyzing of alternatives
D)
108)
Haifa decides to have all of the problems fixed on the car. She assumes that the repair person has found all the problems
and that there will be no problem correcting the imperfections within a specified budget. This is an example of a ________
decision.
108)
_____
A)
irrational
B)
ethical
C)
rational
D)
parochial
Answer
109)
Haifa's brother has a different view of the repairs. He assumes that the repair person is using the best information
available, but there may be other unexpected repairs that might surface and that a higher budget might be more
reasonable. He is using ________.
109)
_____
A)
risk avoidance
B)
bounded rationality
D)
110)
Haifa's brother feels the car is worth repairing because he has owned several cars made by the same manufacturer as this
car, and he has driven this car for several years. He is using ________ to determine that the car has value despite its need
of repair.
110)
_____
A)
return on investment
B)
sunk costs
C)
Upon graduation, you search for a job with the university's job placement center. Although you have studied and
prepared to work in an advertising agency, the first job that you are offered is a supervisor in a manufacturing company
working the afternoon shift from 300 P.M. until 1100 P.M.
111)
If you had made a larger search using the Internet and other employment search processes, you might have been able to
find more employment opportunities. This would have been a more ________ decision-making process.
111)
_____
A)
nonprogrammable
B)
uncertain
C)
perfectly rational
D)
risky
Answer
C
112)
Under bounded rationality, you would be expected to search for a job by ________.
112)
_____
A)
looking at all the opportunities that can be analyzed in the time available
C)
analyzing all the opportunities until you find the perfect job
D)
113)
If you use a shortened process of searching for a job, it is likely that you ________ rather than maximized in your decision
process.
113)
_____
A)
agreed
B)
minimized
C)
satisficed
D)
rationalized
Answer
C
114)
During your job search, you depend on ________ decision making by making your decision based on accumulated
judgment and experience.
114)
_____
A)
intuitive
B)
formidable
C)
legal
D)
experiential
Answer
Salwa was the regional manager of a large cable television company. She faced many problems and decisions daily, such
as how to price each market, who to hire, what kind of technology she should purchase, and how she should handle the
increasing customer complaints. She needed some help sorting these issues out.
115)
When a customer calls and requests a refund for a partial month's usage of cable, the fact that such situations are routine
and most likely have a standard response would make the response a ________ decision.
115)
_____
A)
standard
B)
programmed
C)
policy
D)
routine
Answer
116)
Sometimes Salwa follows a ________, a series of interrelated sequential steps for responding to a structured problem.
116)
_____
A)
policy
B)
procedure
C)
suggestion
D)
rule
Answer
117)
Sometimes Salwa instructs her local managers to follow ________ when confronted with problem situations. These
establish parameters for the manager making the decision rather than specifically stating what should or should not be
done.
117)
_____
A)
procedures
B)
rules
C)
policies
D)
orders
Answer
118)
Unfortunately, Salwa also faces issues containing information that is ambiguous or incomplete, such as what kind of
technology to purchase. These are known as ________ problems.
118)
_____
A)
variable
B)
hit-and-miss
C)
random
D)
unstructured
Answer
Maysa has a new job and is learning to perform the tasks assigned to her. Different situations demand different decision-
making processes.
119)
Maysa finds a situation that instructs her in specific, interrelated, sequential steps to respond to a problem. This is referred
to as a ________.
119)
_____
A)
broad guideline
B)
rule
C)
procedure
D)
policy
Answer
120)
Maysa finds a company directive that specifically restricts her from taking certain actions. This is a ________.
120)
_____
A)
policy
B)
rule
C)
procedure
D)
broad guideline
Answer
121)
As she learns the general guidelines of the job, Maysa is given more decision-making authority. The guidelines establish
parameters for decision making and are referred as a ________.
121)
_____
A)
policy
B)
rule
C)
broad guideline
D)
procedure
Answer
122)
Maysa eventually finds a problem that has no cut-and-dry solution. The problem is unique and will never occur again.
This problem is referred to as ________.
122)
_____
A)
adaptable
B)
programmed
C)
nonprogrammed
D)
flexible
Answer
Sabah is the manager for CaterersRUs, a medium-sized catering company. She is responsible for initiating new client
contacts, and staffing both existing and new assignments. She is currently struggling with existing information about the
profitability of existing and future clients.
123)
Sabah can make accurate decisions if she is willing to pay $5,000 for research about the profitability of various new clients.
If she pays for the research, she believes that she is operating under a condition of ________.
123)
_____
A)
certainty
B)
maximax
C)
uncertainty
D)
risk
Answer
124)
Rasheed, Sabah's best assistant, tells her that he believes he can estimate that there is a 75 percent probability that they can
get the business of Salam Brothers, Inc., if they initiate a new service outside the city. Rasheed is operating under a
condition of ________.
124)
_____
A)
certainty
B)
uncertainty
C)
maximax
D)
risk
Answer
125)
Sabah knows that she is operating in an uncertain environment. She is basically an optimist, and we would, therefore,
expect her to follow a ________ strategy.
125)
_____
A)
certainty
B)
risk
C)
maximax
D)
uncertainty
Answer
126)
Sabah knows that she is operating in an uncertain environment. She is basically a pessimist, and we would, therefore,
expect her to follow a ________ strategy.
126)
_____
A)
certainty
B)
maximin
C)
minimax
D)
risk
Answer
127)
Sabah wishes to minimize her regret and will probably opt for a ________ strategy.
127)
_____
A)
minimax
B)
certainty
C)
maximax
D)
risk
Answer
ESSAY. Write your answer in the space provided or on a separate sheet of paper.
128)
In a short essay, list and discuss the eight steps in the decision-making process.
Answer
a. Step 1 Identifying a problemthe decision-making process begins with the existence of a problem or a discrepancy
between an existing and a desired state of affairs. However, a discrepancy without pressure to take action becomes a
problem that can be postponed.
b. Step 2 Identify decision criteriaonce the manager has identified a problem that needs attention, the decision criteria
important to resolving the problem must be identified. That is, managers must determine what's relevant in making a
decision.
c. Step 3 Allocating weights to the criteriaat this step, the decision maker must weigh the items in order to give them
the correct priority in the decision. A simple approach is to give the most important criterion a weight of 10 and then
assign weights to the rest against that standard.
d. Step 4 Developing alternativesthe fourth step requires the decision maker to list the viable alternatives that could
resolve the problem. No attempt is made in this step to evaluate the alternative, only to list them.
e. Step 5 Analyzing alternativesonce the alternatives have been identified, the decision maker must critically analyze
each one. From this comparison, the strengths and weaknesses of each alternative become evident.
f. Step 6 Selecting an alternativethe sixth step is the important act of choosing the best alternative from among those
considered. All the pertinent criteria in the decision have now been determined and weighted, and the alternatives have
been identified and analyzed.
g. Step 7 Implementing the alternativeimplementation involves conveying the decision to those affected by it and
getting their commitment to it. If the people who must carry out a decision participate in the process, they're more likely
to enthusiastically support the outcome than if they are just told what to do.
h. Step 8 Evaluating decision effectivenessthe last step in the decision-making process involves appraising the outcome
of the decision to see if the problem has been resolved. Did the alternative chosen and implemented accomplish the
desired result? If not, the manager may consider returning to a previous step or may even consider starting the whole
decision process over.
129)
In a short essay, discuss the assumptions of rationality and the validity of those assumptions.
Answer
A decision maker who was perfectly rational would be fully objective and logical. He or she would carefully define a
problem and would have a clear and specific goal. Moreover, making decisions using rationality would consistently lead
toward selecting the alternative that maximizes the likelihood of achieving that goal. The assumptions of rationality apply
to any decision. Rational managerial decision making assumes that decisions are made in the best economic interests of
the organization. That is, the decision maker is assumed to be maximizing the organization's interests, not his or her own
interests. Managerial decision making can follow rational assumptions if the following conditions are met the manager is
faced with a simple problem in which the goals are clear and the alternatives limited; the time pressures are minimal; the
cost of seeking out and evaluating alternatives is low; the organizational culture supports innovation and risk taking; and
outcomes are relatively concrete and measurable. However, most decisions that managers face in the real world don't
meet all of those tests.
130)
Despite the limits to perfect rationality, managers are expected to follow a rational process when making decisions.
However, certain aspects of the decision-making process are not realistic as managers make decisions. Instead, managers
tend to operate under assumptions of bounded rationality; that is, they behave rationally within the parameters of a
simplified decision-making process that is limited by an individual's ability to process information. Managers satisfice,
rather than maximize, because they can't possibly analyze all the information on all of the alternatives. That is, they accept
solutions that are "good enough." They are being rational within the limits of their information-processing ability.
131)
In a short essay, discuss the difference between structured and unstructured problems. Include specific examples of each
type of problem to support your answer. Next, discuss the type of decisions that would be used to address each of these
problems.
Answer
a. Structured problemsthe goal of the decision maker is clear, the problem is familiar, and information about the
problem is easily defined and complete. Examples of these types of problems might include a customer wanting to return
a purchase to a retail store, a supplier being late with an important delivery, a news team responding to an unexpected
and fast-breaking event, or a college's handling of a student wanting to drop a class. Such situations are called structured
problems because they are straightforward, familiar, and easily defined problems. In handling these problem situations,
the manager uses a programmed decision. Decisions are programmed to the extent that they are repetitive and routine
and to the extent that a definite approach has been worked out for handling them. Since the problem is well structured,
the manager doesn't have to go to the trouble and expense of going through an involved decision progress. Programmed
decision making is relatively simple and tends to rely heavily on previous solutions.
b. Unstructured problemsthese problems are new or unusual, and information on them is ambiguous or incomplete.
The selection of an architect to design a new corporate manufacturing facility in Bangkok is an example of an
unstructured problem. When problems are unstructured, managers must rely on nonprogrammed decision making in
order to develop unique solutions. Nonprogrammed decisions are unique and nonrecurring. When a manager confronts
an unstructured problem or one that is unique, there is no cut-and-dry solution. It requires a custom-made response
through nonprogrammed decision making.
132)
In a short essay, discuss the differences among a procedure, a rule, and a policy. Include specific examples of each to
support your answer.
Answer
a. A procedure is a series of interrelated sequential steps that a manager can use for responding to a structured problem.
The only real difficulty is in identifying the problem. Once the problem is clear, so is the procedure. For instance, a
purchasing manager receives a request from the sales department for 15 PalmPilots for use by the company's customer
service representatives. The purchasing manager knows that there is a definite procedure for handling this decision. The
decision-making process in this case is merely executing a simple series of sequential steps.
b. A rule is an explicit statement that tells a manager what he or she can or cannot do. Managers frequently use rules
when they confront a structured problem because they are simple to follow and ensure consistency. For example, rules
about lateness and absenteeism permit supervisors to make disciplinary decisions rapidly and with a relatively high
degree of fairness.
c. A policy provides guidelines to channel a manager's thinking in a specific direction. In contrast to a rule, a policy
establishes parameters for the decision maker rather than specifically stating what should or should not be done. Policies
typically contain an ambiguous term that leaves interpretation up to the decision maker. For instance, each of the
following is a policy statement "The customer always comes first and should always be satisfied," "We promote from
within, whenever possible," and "Employee wages shall be competitive within community standards."
133)
In a short essay, discuss six of the twelve common decision errors and biases that managers make.
Answer
a. When decision makers tend to think they know more than they do or hold unrealistically positive views of themselves
and their performance, they're exhibiting the overconfidence bias.
b. The immediate gratification bias describes decision makers who tend to want immediate rewards and to avoid
immediate costs. For these individuals, decision choices that provide quick payoffs are more appealing than those in the
future.
c. The anchoring effect describes when decision makers fixate on initial information as a starting point and then, once set,
fail to adequately adjust for subsequent information. First impressions, ideas, prices, and estimates carry unwarranted
weight relative to information received later.
d. When decision makers selectively organize and interpret events based on their biased perceptions, they're using the
selective perception bias. This influences the information they pay attention to, the problems they identify, and the
alternatives they develop.
e. Decision makers who seek out information that reaffirms their past choices and discount information that contradicts
past judgments exhibit the confirmation bias. These people tend to accept at face value information that confirms their
preconceived views and are critical and skeptical of information that challenges these views.
f. The framing bias is when decision makers select and highlight certain aspects of a situation while excluding others. By
drawing attention to specific aspects of a situation and highlighting them, while at the same time downplaying or
omitting other aspects, they distort what they see and create incorrect reference points.
g. The availability bias is when decision makers tend to remember events that are the most recent and vivid in their
memory. The result is that it distorts their ability to recall events in an objective manner and results in distorted
judgments and probability estimates.
h. When decision makers assess the likelihood of an event based on how closely it resembles other events or sets of
events, that's the representation bias. Managers exhibiting this bias draw analogies and see identical situations where they
don't exist.
i. The randomness bias describes when decision makers try to create meaning out of random events. They do this because
most decision makers have difficulty dealing with chance even though random events happen to everyone and there's
nothing that can be done to predict them.
j. The sunk costs error is when decision makers forget that current choices can't correct the past. They incorrectly fixate
on past expenditures of time, money, or effort in assessing choices rather than on future consequences. Instead of ignoring
sunk costs, they can't forget them.
k. Decision makers who are quick to take credit for their successes and to blame failure on outside factors are exhibiting
the self-serving bias.
l. Finally, the hindsight bias is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately
predicted the outcome of an event once that outcome is actually known.
134)
In a short essay, explain the role of "Shura" in the Arab decision making processes and the extent to which this is used by
Arab managers.
Answer
In traditional Arab decision-making processes, Islamic teachings have advanced the importance of Shura, or consultation
in decision-making. So important is the concept of Shura, that "the Quran makes 'Shura' or 'participation with others in
making a decision that concerns them,' subsequent to and a consequence of the faith in God." Shura is not restricted to the
political arena; it has its manifestations in different social institutions, including the family and business organizations.
According to Muslim theorists, Shura is not a formality; it is a genuine involvement in decision making.
The extent to which Arab managers in the business arena are involved in consultation or Shura has been subject to several
investigations. Some studies on the decision making processes of Arab managers have indicated the existence of several
styles including autocratic (no or very limited consultation), consultative (giving consideration to subordinates' opinions),
and participative (a group decision). Several studies, however, seem to show that the consultative style is more
widespread than the autocratic style, reflecting the tribal nature of Arab society and a level of adherence to accepted
religious practices. Other studies have found that pseudo-consultation may also be prevalent in some contexts (that is, the
facade of consultation that lacks real authenticity).
135)
In a short essay, identify and discuss the five habits shared by highly reliable organizations (HROs).
Answer
Karl Weick, an organizational psychologist identifies five shared habits of highly reliable organizations. First, they are not
tricked by their success. HROs are preoccupied with their failures. They are alert to the smallest deviations and react early
and quickly to anything that does not fit with their expectations. Another characteristic of HROs is that they defer to the
experts on the front line. Frontline workersthose who interact day in and day out with customers, products, suppliers,
and so forthhave firsthand knowledge of what can and cannot be done, what will and will not work. Get their input. Let
them make decisions. Next, HROs let unexpected circumstances provide the solution. The fourth habit of HROs is that
they embrace complexity. Because business is complex, these organizations aim for deeper understanding of the situation.
They ask "why" and keep asking why as they probe more deeply into the causes of the problem and possible solutions.
Finally, HROs anticipate, but alto anticipate their limits. These organizations do try to anticipate as much as possible, but
they recognize that they can't anticipate everything. As Weick says, they don't "think, then act," they think by acting. By
actually doing things, you'll find out what works and what doesn't.
1)
TRUE
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FALSE
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FALSE
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A
128)
a. Step 1 Identifying a problemthe decision-making process begins with the existence of a problem or a discrepancy
between an existing and a desired state of affairs. However, a discrepancy without pressure to take action becomes a
problem that can be postponed.
b. Step 2 Identify decision criteriaonce the manager has identified a problem that needs attention, the decision criteria
important to resolving the problem must be identified. That is, managers must determine what's relevant in making a
decision.
c. Step 3 Allocating weights to the criteriaat this step, the decision maker must weigh the items in order to give them
the correct priority in the decision. A simple approach is to give the most important criterion a weight of 10 and then
assign weights to the rest against that standard.
d. Step 4 Developing alternativesthe fourth step requires the decision maker to list the viable alternatives that could
resolve the problem. No attempt is made in this step to evaluate the alternative, only to list them.
e. Step 5 Analyzing alternativesonce the alternatives have been identified, the decision maker must critically analyze
each one. From this comparison, the strengths and weaknesses of each alternative become evident.
f. Step 6 Selecting an alternativethe sixth step is the important act of choosing the best alternative from among those
considered. All the pertinent criteria in the decision have now been determined and weighted, and the alternatives have
been identified and analyzed.
g. Step 7 Implementing the alternativeimplementation involves conveying the decision to those affected by it and
getting their commitment to it. If the people who must carry out a decision participate in the process, they're more likely
to enthusiastically support the outcome than if they are just told what to do.
h. Step 8 Evaluating decision effectivenessthe last step in the decision-making process involves appraising the outcome
of the decision to see if the problem has been resolved. Did the alternative chosen and implemented accomplish the
desired result? If not, the manager may consider returning to a previous step or may even consider starting the whole
decision process over.
129)
A decision maker who was perfectly rational would be fully objective and logical. He or she would carefully define a
problem and would have a clear and specific goal. Moreover, making decisions using rationality would consistently lead
toward selecting the alternative that maximizes the likelihood of achieving that goal. The assumptions of rationality apply
to any decision. Rational managerial decision making assumes that decisions are made in the best economic interests of
the organization. That is, the decision maker is assumed to be maximizing the organization's interests, not his or her own
interests. Managerial decision making can follow rational assumptions if the following conditions are met the manager is
faced with a simple problem in which the goals are clear and the alternatives limited; the time pressures are minimal; the
cost of seeking out and evaluating alternatives is low; the organizational culture supports innovation and risk taking; and
outcomes are relatively concrete and measurable. However, most decisions that managers face in the real world don't
meet all of those tests.
130)
Despite the limits to perfect rationality, managers are expected to follow a rational process when making decisions.
However, certain aspects of the decision-making process are not realistic as managers make decisions. Instead, managers
tend to operate under assumptions of bounded rationality; that is, they behave rationally within the parameters of a
simplified decision-making process that is limited by an individual's ability to process information. Managers satisfice,
rather than maximize, because they can't possibly analyze all the information on all of the alternatives. That is, they accept
solutions that are "good enough." They are being rational within the limits of their information-processing ability.
131)
a. Structured problemsthe goal of the decision maker is clear, the problem is familiar, and information about the
problem is easily defined and complete. Examples of these types of problems might include a customer wanting to return
a purchase to a retail store, a supplier being late with an important delivery, a news team responding to an unexpected
and fast-breaking event, or a college's handling of a student wanting to drop a class. Such situations are called structured
problems because they are straightforward, familiar, and easily defined problems. In handling these problem situations,
the manager uses a programmed decision. Decisions are programmed to the extent that they are repetitive and routine
and to the extent that a definite approach has been worked out for handling them. Since the problem is well structured,
the manager doesn't have to go to the trouble and expense of going through an involved decision progress. Programmed
decision making is relatively simple and tends to rely heavily on previous solutions.
b. Unstructured problemsthese problems are new or unusual, and information on them is ambiguous or incomplete.
The selection of an architect to design a new corporate manufacturing facility in Bangkok is an example of an
unstructured problem. When problems are unstructured, managers must rely on nonprogrammed decision making in
order to develop unique solutions. Nonprogrammed decisions are unique and nonrecurring. When a manager confronts
an unstructured problem or one that is unique, there is no cut-and-dry solution. It requires a custom-made response
through nonprogrammed decision making.
132)
a. A procedure is a series of interrelated sequential steps that a manager can use for responding to a structured problem.
The only real difficulty is in identifying the problem. Once the problem is clear, so is the procedure. For instance, a
purchasing manager receives a request from the sales department for 15 PalmPilots for use by the company's customer
service representatives. The purchasing manager knows that there is a definite procedure for handling this decision. The
decision-making process in this case is merely executing a simple series of sequential steps.
b. A rule is an explicit statement that tells a manager what he or she can or cannot do. Managers frequently use rules
when they confront a structured problem because they are simple to follow and ensure consistency. For example, rules
about lateness and absenteeism permit supervisors to make disciplinary decisions rapidly and with a relatively high
degree of fairness.
c. A policy provides guidelines to channel a manager's thinking in a specific direction. In contrast to a rule, a policy
establishes parameters for the decision maker rather than specifically stating what should or should not be done. Policies
typically contain an ambiguous term that leaves interpretation up to the decision maker. For instance, each of the
following is a policy statement "The customer always comes first and should always be satisfied," "We promote from
within, whenever possible," and "Employee wages shall be competitive within community standards."
133)
a. When decision makers tend to think they know more than they do or hold unrealistically positive views of themselves
and their performance, they're exhibiting the overconfidence bias.
b. The immediate gratification bias describes decision makers who tend to want immediate rewards and to avoid
immediate costs. For these individuals, decision choices that provide quick payoffs are more appealing than those in the
future.
c. The anchoring effect describes when decision makers fixate on initial information as a starting point and then, once set,
fail to adequately adjust for subsequent information. First impressions, ideas, prices, and estimates carry unwarranted
weight relative to information received later.
d. When decision makers selectively organize and interpret events based on their biased perceptions, they're using the
selective perception bias. This influences the information they pay attention to, the problems they identify, and the
alternatives they develop.
e. Decision makers who seek out information that reaffirms their past choices and discount information that contradicts
past judgments exhibit the confirmation bias. These people tend to accept at face value information that confirms their
preconceived views and are critical and skeptical of information that challenges these views.
f. The framing bias is when decision makers select and highlight certain aspects of a situation while excluding others. By
drawing attention to specific aspects of a situation and highlighting them, while at the same time downplaying or
omitting other aspects, they distort what they see and create incorrect reference points.
g. The availability bias is when decision makers tend to remember events that are the most recent and vivid in their
memory. The result is that it distorts their ability to recall events in an objective manner and results in distorted
judgments and probability estimates.
h. When decision makers assess the likelihood of an event based on how closely it resembles other events or sets of
events, that's the representation bias. Managers exhibiting this bias draw analogies and see identical situations where they
don't exist.
i. The randomness bias describes when decision makers try to create meaning out of random events. They do this because
most decision makers have difficulty dealing with chance even though random events happen to everyone and there's
nothing that can be done to predict them.
j. The sunk costs error is when decision makers forget that current choices can't correct the past. They incorrectly fixate
on past expenditures of time, money, or effort in assessing choices rather than on future consequences. Instead of ignoring
sunk costs, they can't forget them.
k. Decision makers who are quick to take credit for their successes and to blame failure on outside factors are exhibiting
the self-serving bias.
l. Finally, the hindsight bias is the tendency for decision makers to falsely believe that they would have accurately
predicted the outcome of an event once that outcome is actually known.
134)
In traditional Arab decision-making processes, Islamic teachings have advanced the importance of Shura, or consultation
in decision-making. So important is the concept of Shura, that "the Quran makes 'Shura' or 'participation with others in
making a decision that concerns them,' subsequent to and a consequence of the faith in God." Shura is not restricted to the
political arena; it has its manifestations in different social institutions, including the family and business organizations.
According to Muslim theorists, Shura is not a formality; it is a genuine involvement in decision making.
The extent to which Arab managers in the business arena are involved in consultation or Shura has been subject to several
investigations. Some studies on the decision making processes of Arab managers have indicated the existence of several
styles including autocratic (no or very limited consultation), consultative (giving consideration to subordinates' opinions),
and participative (a group decision). Several studies, however, seem to show that the consultative style is more
widespread than the autocratic style, reflecting the tribal nature of Arab society and a level of adherence to accepted
religious practices. Other studies have found that pseudo-consultation may also be prevalent in some contexts (that is, the
facade of consultation that lacks real authenticity).
135)
Karl Weick, an organizational psychologist identifies five shared habits of highly reliable organizations. First, they are not
tricked by their success. HROs are preoccupied with their failures. They are alert to the smallest deviations and react early
and quickly to anything that does not fit with their expectations. Another characteristic of HROs is that they defer to the
experts on the front line. Frontline workersthose who interact day in and day out with customers, products, suppliers,
and so forthhave firsthand knowledge of what can and cannot be done, what will and will not work. Get their input. Let
them make decisions. Next, HROs let unexpected circumstances provide the solution. The fourth habit of HROs is that
they embrace complexity. Because business is complex, these organizations aim for deeper understanding of the situation.
They ask "why" and keep asking why as they probe more deeply into the causes of the problem and possible solutions.
Finally, HROs anticipate, but alto anticipate their limits. These organizations do try to anticipate as much as possible, but
they recognize that they can't anticipate everything. As Weick says, they don't "think, then act," they think by acting. By
actually doing things, you'll find out what works and what doesn't.