N trimestre Yt MM4 VS

1 t1 120
2 t2 180
3 t3 71 123.5 -52.5
2010 4 t4 119 125.75 -6.75
5 t1 128 127.25 0.75
6 t2 190 128.125 61.875
7 t3 73 130.25 -57.25
2011 8 t4 124 132.5 -8.5
9 t1 140 134.625 5.375
10 t2 196 137.125 58.875
11 t3 84 138.875 -54.875
2012 12 t4 133 140.75 -7.75
13 t1 145 144 1
14 t2 206 147.125 58.875
15 t3 100 149.5 -49.5
2013 16 t4 142 151.75 -9.75
17 t1 155 153 2
18 t2 214 154.5 59.5
19 t3 102 156.875 -54.875
2014 20 t4 152 159 -7
21 t1 164 161 3
22 t2 222 163 59
23 t3 110 165.03 -55.03
2015 24 t4 160 167.258 -7.2576
25 t1 172.237 169.812 2.425
26 t2 231.588 171.963 59.625
27 t3 120.314 174.114 -53.8
2016 28 t4 168.315 176.265 -7.95
trimestrt1 t2 t3 t4
2010 120 180 71 119
2011 128 190 73 124
2012 140 196 84 133
2013 145 206 100 142
2014 155 214 102 152
2015 164 222 110 160
2016 172.2367 231.59 120.31 168.31
 VSM SCVSM
2.425 117.575
59.625 120.375
-53.8 124.8
-7.95 126.95
2.425 125.575
59.625 130.375 Pente a
-53.8 126.8 ordonne l'origine b
-7.95 131.95
2.425 137.575
59.625 136.375
-53.8 137.8
-7.95 140.95
2.425 142.575
59.625 146.375
-53.8 153.8
-7.95 149.95
2.425 152.575
59.625 154.375
-53.8 155.8
-7.95 159.95
2.425 161.575
59.625 162.375
-53.8 163.8
-7.95 175.20765
2.425 167.38675
59.625 112.33769
-53.8 227.91363
-7.95 184.21457
moyenne ecart type
122.5 38.65553
128.75 41.48117
138.25 39.71382
148.25 37.79137
155.75 39.67603
164 39.67367
173.1131578947 39.46788
 yt
250

200

2.15093985
116.038252 150

100

50

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
 RAPPORT DTAILL

Statistiques de la rgression
Coefficient d 0.15177633
Coefficient d 0.02303605
Coefficient d -0.2212049

Erreur-type 17.6602821

Observations 6

ANALYSE DE VARIANCE
Degr de libert
Somme des carrs
Rgression 1 29.4160809
Rsidus 4 1247.54225
Total 5 1276.95833

Coefficients Erreur-type
Constante 220.297563 252.067415
Variable X 1 -1.9590796 6.37906904
 yt

yt

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Moyenne des carrs F Valeur critique de F
29.4160809 0.0943169 0.77408367
311.885563

Statistique
Limite
t Probabilit
infrieure
Limite
pour
suprieure
seuil
Limite
de confiance
pour
infrieure
seuil
Limite
=de
pour
95%
confiance
suprieure
seuil de=confiance
pour
95% seuil =de95.0%
confiance = 95.0%
0.87396287 0.43147096 -479.55378 920.148904 -479.55378 920.148904
-0.3071106 0.77408367 -19.670215 15.7520555 -19.670215 15.7520555