Professional Documents
Culture Documents
and Tributaries
Bacteria TMDL
Contact Information
Karen Kline
Research Scientist
Virginia Tech Biological Systems Engineering
155 Ag Quad Lane (MC 0303), Blacksburg, VA 24061
Telephone: 540-231-0094
klinek@vt.edu
1
Overview
TMDLs (Total Maximum Daily Loads) are being developed for ten bacteria impaired surface
water segments within the Rappahannock River watershed approximately between Port Royal,
Virginia downstream to Fones Cliffs (Figure 1). The purpose of this Technical Advisory
Committee (TAC) meeting is to review and revise, as needed, the initial bacteria source
assessment for this Rappahannock River study area.
Bacteria TMDLs were developed for the Rappahannock River above the study area (Bacteria
TMDL for the Tidal Freshwater Rappahannock River Watershed, 2008,
http://www.deq.virginia.gov/portals/0/DEQ/Water/TMDL/apptmdls/rapprvr/rapptfec.pdf) and
below the study area (Shellfish Bacteria TMDL Developments for Upper Rappahannock Tidal
River, Unsegmented Estuaries in E23, Little Carter Creek, Jugs Creek, Piscataway Creek, Mark
Haven Beach and Garretts Marina, 2010,
http://www.deq.virginia.gov/portals/0/DEQ/Water/TMDL/apptmdls/shellfish/urappsf.pdf). The
land use and bacteria source estimates presented in this handout address the Rappahannock River
drainage area between the previous TMDL areas.
Rappahannock River and Tributaries Bacteria TMDLs Handout: Second TAC Meeting 2
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General Watershed Characterization
The information in this handout provides a snapshot of the watershed characteristics using the
most recent data available. In order to complete the bacteria TMDLs, we will need to know of
any major changes (for example, the beginning or ending of a large agricultural operation, a
major effort to install BMPs, or a large change in land use) that have occurred historically or are
planned, so that we may accurately calibrate the models for the watershed and predict future
conditions.
Watersheds
To identify localized bacteria sources within the impaired segments, the Rappahannock River
study area was divided into eight watersheds (Figure 2). Note that the term Rappahannock
River in the following tables refers to the portion of the Rappahannock River study area that is
not included in the Mill Creek, Jetts Creek, Portobago Creek, Stillwater Creek, Baylors Creek,
Elmwood Creek or Peedee Creek watersheds.
Land Use
Land Use Categories
Categorizing land uses helps to identify the distribution of bacteria loads from different nonpoint
sources to appropriate areas within the watershed. Categorizing land uses also aids in the
estimation of certain animal populations, particularly wildlife.
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Land Use Estimate Methodology
The USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) 2016 Virginia Cropland Data Layer
(CDL) was used to obtain the initial land use estimates. The 2016 NASS CDL NLCD is created
based on interpretation of satellite imagery, and is a land cover dataset; therefore, some
misinterpretations of land use may arise where the cover on the land poorly reflects the use (e.g.,
forested residential areas, large park areas etc.). If you see any major discrepancies, please let us
know. The detailed NASS CDL land cover groups have been grouped into six main categories
(Figure 3, Table 1).
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Figure 3. Generalized Land Use Categories derived from the 2016 National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) cropland data layer for the use in
development of the Bacteria TMDLs for the Rappahannock River study area.
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Table 1. Land Use Breakdown for the Rappahannock River Study Area (acres).
Forest Cropland Pasture/Hay Developed Wetlands Water Total
Watershed
acres % acres % acres % acres % acres % acres % acres
Mill Creek 18,364 83 779 4 84 <1 1,529 7 1,245 6 161 <1 22,161
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Livestock Numbers
Cattle
Dairy Cow Estimate Methodology
The Virginia Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services (VDACS) reports one dairy
operation in Westmoreland County that is partially in the Rappahannock River study area. The
dairy owner will be contacted to obtain information on storage and field application of dairy
manure. If you can share knowledge of the existence of other dairies in the watershed, it will be
appreciated!
Beef Cattle Estimate Methodology
Beef cattle populations were originally estimated from the 2012 USDA NASS Census of
Agriculture. These estimates were lowered based on information from stakeholders at a TAC
meeting on May 16, 2017, and a watershed tour on May 17, 2017. Estimates for review are listed
in Table 2.
Other Livestock
Other Livestock Estimate Methodology
The USDA NASS survey provides inventories of pigs, horses, goats, and sheep (among others)
on a county-wide basis in the 2012 Census of Agriculture. The fraction of pastured county area
present in each watershed is multiplied by the total animal population for the county to make
these estimates (Table 2). These are quite uncertain estimates, as the animal populations reported
in the NASS may come from only a couple of farms in each county that may not even be located
in the study area watershed. Local knowledge is essential to create accurate estimates of
populations for these animals. For example, the estimated number of horses was increased
slightly based on information provided at the TAC meeting on May 16, 2017. The 2012 Ag
Census had no swine reported in King George, Richmond, or Westmoreland Counties. The
number of swine in Caroline and Essex Counties were minimal, so hogs were not included in the
source assessment for the Rappahannock River watershed. Poultry numbers were also low for the
five counties and were not included in the source assessment.
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Table 2. Livestock Estimates from the 2012 USDA Census of Agriculture and Stakeholders for the
Rappahannock River Study Area.
Watershed Cattle Horses Goats Sheep*
Mill Creek 4 8 2 3
Jetts Creek 28 21 4 0
Portabago Creek 4 7 2 2
Stillwater Creek 5 4 1 0
Baylors Creek 7 6 2 0
Elmwood Creek 5 4 2 0
Peedee Creek 0 5 1 2
Rappahannock River 40 52 12 10
TOTAL 93 107 26 17
*Includes lambs and ewes
Biosolids
There are numerous fields in the Rappahannock River study area that are permitted to receive
biosolids applications. Biosolids data provided by DEQ will be included in TMDL development.
Biosolids are land based and applied to crop and pasture lands.
Household Numbers
Human
Human Population Estimate Methodology
Human population estimates are based on the 2010 United States Census Block Group
information and county structure data. Block groups provide population information on a scale
much smaller than the county scale. However, although they are smaller than counties, block
groups still present difficulty because they are not drawn on watershed lines. Structures data
provided by the counties were used to refine human population estimate on people per
household. Population in the Rappahannock River study area is estimated at 2.1 people per
household.
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septic systems in the Rappahannock River study area are substandard, however, the failure rate
does vary by watershed based on the counties (Table 3).
Straight Pipes
Bacteria discharged from straight pipes enter the stream directly, without treatment or die-off. As
noted in the failing septic systems discussion, VDH included straight pipes within its definition
of substandard systems. Based on information obtained from the TAC meeting on May 16, 2017,
it is estimated that there are no straight pipes in these watersheds. Therefore, all substandard
systems are estimated as failing septic systems.
Pets
Pet Estimate Methodology
The Humane Society of the United States (HSUS) publishes findings from the biennial American
Pet Products Associated National Pet Owners Survey for the United States on its website. For the
2015-2016 survey: 44% of American households owned an average of 1.43 dogs, and 35% of
American households owned an average of 2.00 cats (HSUS, 2017,
http://www.humanesociety.org/issues/pet_overpopulation/facts/pet_ownership_statistics.html).
Assuming that a unit pet is one dog or two cats, this yields (0.44*1.43 + (0.35*2.00)/2) = 0.979
unit pets per household. For this study this pet ratio is estimated as one pet per household (Table
3).
Table 3. Household Estimates from 2010 United States Census and County Address Data for the
Rappahannock River Study Area.
Failing Direct Household
Houses Houses
Watershed Pets* Septic Sewage to
on Sewer on Septic
Systems** Stream***
Mill Creek 0 4 4 0 0
Portabago Creek 0 75 75 1 0
Stillwater Creek 0 8 8 0 0
Baylors Creek 0 34 34 0 0
Elmwood Creek 0 61 61 0 0
Peedee Creek 0 98 98 1 0
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Wildlife Numbers
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Table 5. Wildlife Estimates for the Rappahannock River Study Area.
Geese Geese Ducks Ducks
Wild
Watershed Deer Raccoons Muskrats Beaver (off (peak (off (peak
Turkeys
season) season) season) season)
Mill Creek 802 761 1,076 167 261 364 441 662 329
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