You are on page 1of 11

Mean, m 1020 Cumulative Probability

Standard Deviation, s 20 xmin

Graph Limits
zmin 0 Pr(x<xmin) 0.00%
zmax 0.85

0.025

z x f(x) F(x) 0.02


0 1020 0.0199471 0.5
0.02125 1020.425 0.0199426 0.508477
0.0425 1020.85 0.0199291 0.51695 0.015
0.06375 1021.275 0.0199066 0.525415
0.085 1021.7 0.0198752 0.533869
0.10625 1022.125 0.0198348 0.542308
0.1275 1022.55 0.0197856 0.550728 0.01
0.14875 1022.975 0.0197276 0.559125
0.17 1023.4 0.019661 0.567495
0.19125 1023.825 0.0195856 0.575835 0.005
0.2125 1024.25 0.0195018 0.584142
0.23375 1024.675 0.0194095 0.59241
0.255 1025.1 0.019309 0.600638
0.27625 1025.525 0.0192003 0.608822 0
0.2975 1025.95 0.0190836 0.616958 0 200 400
0.31875 1026.375 0.0189591 0.625042
0.34 1026.8 0.0188269 0.633072
0.36125 1027.225 0.0186871 0.641044
0.3825 1027.65 0.01854 0.648955
0.40375 1028.075 0.0183858 0.656802
0.425 1028.5 0.0182246 0.664582
0.44625 1028.925 0.0180567 0.672292
0.4675 1029.35 0.0178822 0.679929
0.48875 1029.775 0.0177014 0.687491
0.51 1030.2 0.0175146 0.694974
0.53125 1030.625 0.0173219 0.702377
0.5525 1031.05 0.0171236 0.709697
0.57375 1031.475 0.0169199 0.716932
0.595 1031.9 0.0167111 0.724078
0.61625 1032.325 0.0164974 0.731135
0.6375 1032.75 0.0162791 0.7381
0.65875 1033.175 0.0160564 0.744972
0.68 1033.6 0.0158296 0.751748
0.70125 1034.025 0.015599 0.758426
0.7225 1034.45 0.0153648 0.765006
0.74375 1034.875 0.0151273 0.771486
0.765 1035.3 0.0148868 0.777864
0.78625 1035.725 0.0146434 0.784139
0.8075 1036.15 0.0143975 0.790311
0.82875 1036.575 0.0141494 0.796377
0.85 1037 0.0138992 0.802337

z x f(x) F(x)
0 1020 0.0199471
994.5 0.0088487
969 0.0007725
943.5 1.327E-05
918 4.486E-08
0.025 892.5 2.985E-11
867 3.907E-15
0.02
841.5 1.007E-19
0.015 816 5.104E-25
0.01
790.5 5.092E-31
765 9.997E-38
0.005
739.5 3.863E-45
0 714 2.937E-53
0 688.5400
200 4.394E-62
600 800 1000 1200

663 1.294E-71
637.5 7.497E-82
612 8.548E-93
586.5 1.92E-104
561 8.47E-117
535.5 7.36E-130
510 1.26E-143
484.5 4.24E-158
459 2.8E-173
433.5 3.66E-189
408 9.37E-206
382.5 4.73E-223
357 4.7E-241
331.5 9.18E-260
306 3.53E-279
280.5 2.67E-299
255 3.98E-320
229.5 0
204 0
178.5 0
153 0
127.5 0
102 0
76.5 0
51 0
25.5 0
0 0

z x f(x)
0.85 1037 0.0138992
1011.075 0.0180567
985.15 0.0043707
959.225 0.0001971
0.025 933.3 1.657E-06
907.375 2.594E-09
0.02
881.45 7.567E-13
0.015 855.525 4.113E-17
0.01
829.6 4.166E-22
803.675 7.862E-28
0.005
777.75 2.765E-34
0 751.825 1.811E-41
0 725.9400
200 2.211E-49
600 800 1000 1200

699.975 5.029E-58
674.05 2.131E-67
648.125 1.683E-77
622.2 2.476E-88
596.275 6.79E-100
570.35 3.47E-112
544.425 3.3E-125
518.5 5.85E-139
492.575 1.93E-153
466.65 1.19E-168
440.725 1.37E-184
414.8 2.92E-201
388.875 1.16E-218
362.95 8.62E-237
337.025 1.19E-255
311.1 3.07E-275
285.175 1.47E-295
259.25 1.32E-316
233.325 0
207.4 0
181.475 0
155.55 0
129.625 0
103.7 0
77.775 0
51.85 0
25.925 0
7.461E-13 0

z x f(x) F(x)
0 0
0 0
0 0
0.025 0 0

0.02

0.015

0.01

0.005
0.025

0 0
0.02
0 0
0.015 0 0
0 0
0.01
0 0
0.005 0 0
0
0 0
0 200 0 400 600 800 0 1000 1200
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0

z x f(x)
0 1020 0.0199471
1007.25 0.0162791
994.5 0.0088487
981.75 0.0032035
969 0.0007725
956.25 0.0001241
943.5 1.327E-05
930.75 9.454E-07
918 4.486E-08
905.25 1.418E-09
892.5 2.985E-11
879.75 4.184E-13
867 3.907E-15
854.25 2.43E-17
841.5 1.007E-19
828.75 2.777E-22
816 5.104E-25
803.25 6.246E-28
790.5 5.092E-31
777.75 2.765E-34
765 9.997E-38
752.25 2.408E-41
739.5 3.863E-45
726.75 4.127E-49
714 2.937E-53
701.25 1.392E-57
688.5 4.394E-62
675.75 9.239E-67
663 1.294E-71
650.25 1.207E-76
637.5 7.497E-82
624.75 3.102E-87
612 8.548E-93
599.25 1.569E-98
586.5 1.92E-104
573.75 1.56E-110
561 8.47E-117
548.25 3.06E-123
535.5 7.36E-130
522.75 1.18E-136
510 1.26E-143
497.25 8.95E-151
484.5 4.24E-158
471.75 1.34E-165
459 2.8E-173
446.25 3.92E-181
433.5 3.66E-189
420.75 2.27E-197
408 9.37E-206
395.25 2.58E-214
382.5 4.73E-223
369.75 5.78E-232
357 4.7E-241
344.25 2.54E-250
331.5 9.18E-260
318.75 2.21E-269
306 3.53E-279
293.25 3.76E-289
280.5 2.67E-299
267.75 1.26E-309
255 3.98E-320
242.25 0
229.5 0
216.75 0
204 0
191.25 0
178.5 0
165.75 0
153 0
140.25 0
127.5 0
114.75 0
102 0
89.25 0
76.5 0
63.75 0
51 0
38.25 0
25.5 0
12.75 0
0 0
e Probability

200 400 600 800 1000 1200


Number of Probability that demand
Rooms Q is less than Q
PRICES
Low Price 159 1 0.0018658133
High Price 225 2 0.0025551303
Price Difference 66 3 0.0034669738
4 0.004661188
Critical ratio 0.2933333333 5 0.0062096653
6 0.0081975359
DISTRIBUTION OF HIGH DEMAND CUSTOMERS 7 0.01072411
Mean 30 8 0.0139034475
Standard deviation 10 9 0.0178644206
10 0.0227501319
Total Number of Rooms 118 11 0.0287165598
12 0.0359303191
13 0.0445654628
14 0.0547992917
15 0.0668072013
16 0.0807566592
17 0.0968004846
18 0.1150696702
NO SHOW FORECAST 19 0.1356660609
Mean 9 20 0.1586552539
Standard Deviation 3 21 0.1840601253
22 0.2118553986
23 0.2419636522
24 0.2742531178
25 0.3085375387
26 0.3445782584
27 0.3820885778
28 0.4207402906
29 0.4601721627
30 0.5
31 0.5398278373
32 0.5792597094
33 0.6179114222
34 0.6554217416
35 0.6914624613
36 0.7257468822
37 0.7580363478
38 0.7881446014
39 0.8159398747
40 0.8413447461
41 0.8643339391
42 0.8849303298
43 0.9031995154
44 0.9192433408
45 0.9331927987
46 0.9452007083
47 0.9554345372
48 0.9640696809
49 0.9712834402
50 0.9772498681
51 0.9821355794
52 0.9860965525
53 0.98927589
54 0.9918024641
55 0.9937903347
56 0.995338812
57 0.9965330262
58 0.9974448697
59 0.9981341867
60 0.998650102
61 0.9990323968
62 0.9993128621
63 0.9995165759
64 0.9996630707
65 0.9997673709
66 0.9998408914
67 0.9998922003
68 0.999927652
69 0.9999519037
70 0.9999683288
71 0.9999793425
72 0.9999866543
73 0.9999914601
74 0.9999945875
75 0.9999966023
76 0.9999978875
77 0.9999986992
78 0.9999992067
79 0.9999995208
80 0.9999997133
81 0.9999998302
82 0.9999999004
83 0.9999999421
84 0.9999999667
85 0.999999981
86 0.9999999893
87 0.999999994
88 0.9999999967
89 0.9999999982
90 0.999999999
91 0.9999999995
92 0.9999999997
93 0.9999999999
94 0.9999999999
95 1
96 1
97 1
98 1
99 1
100 1
101 1
102 1
103 1
104 1
105 1
106 1
107 1
108 1
109 1
110 1
111 1
112 1
113 1
114 1
115 1
116 1
117 1
118 1
Probability that
Number of hotel will turn
Overbooked down X
rooms X customers

1 0.00383
2 0.009815
3 0.02275
4 0.04779
5 0.091211
6 0.158655
7 0.252493
8 0.369441
9 0.5
10 0.630559
11 0.747507
12 0.841345
13 0.908789
14 0.95221
15 0.97725
16 0.990185
17 0.99617
18 0.99865
19 0.999571
20 0.999877
21 0.999968
22 0.999993
23 0.999998
24 1
25 1

You might also like