Professional Documents
Culture Documents
TOPIC: 8
An analysis of the financial situation of
Tesco PLC
By:
Muhammad Osama
m.osama@hotmail.co.uk
October 2008
1
4,979 words
1. Introduction 3
1.a Reasons for choosing the topic
1.b Company Profile
1.c Aims and Objectives of the Report
1.d Executive Summary
2. Information Gathering 6
2.a Sources used and their reasons
2.b Methods used
4. Conclusions 22
5. Bibliography 25
6. Appendices 27
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Reasons for choosing the topic
After completing the ACCA fundamental level, I met the eligibility criteria of BSc
Honours Programme, and had to select a topic from a list of more than twenty to
embark upon. After short listing them one by one Topic 8 “An Analysis of the
financial situation of your choice of organization” stood out.
There were several reasons for choosing this particular topic. Apart from my
personal interest, this the choice of this topic able to apply my academic learning
into a real world scenario as well as further refine my analytical skills. This would
also help me in my future as I have plans to invest into Plc’s through the stock
exchange once I start my career.
I wanted to perform the analysis on an organisation that was involved in a highly
competitive environment so that I would be able to compare its results with a
competitor to see the financial performance and its relation to the strategy. This
would also help make the report more interesting for readers. Then while reading
an article in the Independent with the heading ‘Sainsbury's outpacing Tesco with
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sales growth’ it occurred to me that Sainsbury’s is an ideal organization to
analyze that operates in a highly competitive industry-Food Retail.
It was then that I decided to analyse the financial performance of Sainsbury’s and
to compare it with Tesco.
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Profit before tax ↑ 58.7%
4
• Using internet search engines (Google, and MSN) to gather information
related to Sainsbury’s and the UK retail industry.
3 ANALYSIS
3.1 PORTER’S GENERIC STRATEGIES
Sainsbury’s aim is to provide customers with ‘Great quality food at fair prices’.
Michael Porter identified three generic strategies (See Appendix A) through which
organizations gain competitive advantage. Porter argued that to be successful an
organization should select either cost-leadership or differentiation. According to
Porter’s viewpoint Sainsbury’s would be a classic ‘stuck in the middle’ whereby it
is trying to compete with the Industry Cost Leaders, Tesco and Asda as well as
the Product Differentiators, Waitrose and Marks & Spencer.
However, the overall success of Sainsbury’s has proved quite the opposite and
there exists another viewpoint that a single generic strategy is not always best
because within the same product customers often seek multi-dimensional
satisfactions such as a combination of quality, style, convenience, and price.
Sainsbury’s seeks to provide its customers with fair price products without
compromising on their quality and has successfully operated in such a mid-
market position.
It has over the years been continuously building up its brand equity and is well
positioned to anticipate and meet the increasing consumer focus on fresh,
healthy, quality foods as well as fair price products.
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such as Sainsbury's, which earn substantial economic rents in a mid-market
position.”
“PIMS (Profit impact of marketing strategy) data and other evidence shows,
however, that intermediate positions are indeed profitable and are
successfully exploited by many firms.”
(Michael Cronshaw, Evan Davis and John Kay (1994), pp. 19-33)
OPPORTUNITIES THREATS
• Expand into Non- • Competitor price
Food industry war
• Marketing
Opportunity
Strengths
STRONG BRAND EQUITY
Sainsbury’s has enormous brand equity and has built customer loyalty by
providing them with ‘Great quality food at fair prices’. The core U.K business
covers the grocery market and this means everything that is food related. It has
over the years successfully delivered to its customers according to their needs
regarding the quality, style, convenience, and price of different products and
continues to provide them with the best offers.
WIDE RANGE OF FOOD PRODUCTS
Sainsbury’s has aimed to provide its customers with a range of products to
choose from. It has accordingly sub-branded own label products to fit the
requirements of different customers segments. It is continuously working to
introduce new ranges and improve existing ones in order to meet the demands of
its customers.
WEAKNESSES
SMALL STORE SIZES
Although Sainsbury’s have a large number of stores spread all over U.K, most of
the current stores have relatively smaller sizes as compared to its competitors.
Due to this there is less room for goods other than groceries and customers
cannot be provided with a complete shopping experience
‘Sainsbury's property portfolio was built up during the 1980s, when supermarkets
averaged 20-30,000 square feet, compared with 40-50,000 square feet during
the 1990s.’ (Jorn Madslien, 2006)
OPPORTUNITIES
EXPAND INTO NON-FOOD RETAIL
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Non Food products are very appealing to grocery supermarkets as they offer
higher profit margins. The growth potential for non-food products is also much
more as compared to the food-items. According to Verdict consulting (2006) the
Sales of electricals will grow by 71.1% from 2006 to 2011, whereas Food and
grocery will only grow by 16% in this period.
Non-food accounts for less than 10% of Sainsbury's total sales turnover whereas
Tesco’s non-food contributes to 25% of the total turnover. Sainsbury’s has
therefore planned to increase its store sizes, where possible, and to open new
larger stores in the near future to have more space available for non-food items
and increase their market share in the non-food retail. However, it should also
carryout additional market research to ensure the success of the Non-food items.
HEATHY FOODS - MARKETING OPPORTUNITY
A major advantage that Sainsbury’s has over the market cost-leaders is the
superior product quality. This can be made use of and exploited by Sainsbury’s in
its advertisements to increase consumer awareness and their focus on Fresh and
Healthy foods. This may help stealing customers from the market cost-leaders
and increase Sainsbury’s market share.
THREATS
COMPETITOR PRICE WAR
The retail industry is a highly competitive industry. Sainsbury’s has over the past
few years invested heavily on price-cuts and promotions. However if cost-leaders
retaliate this may have serious consequences as the business strategy of
Sainsbury’s is different to the cost-leaders, and it may not be able to compete
with them in this area. Also indulging in a price war would mean that the quality
of its products may have to be compromised, which is a one of its key success
factors.
3.3.2 IT Systems
Sainsbury’s outsourced part of its IT to consultancy firm Accenture in November
2000. The £1.8 billion seven-year contract was designed to back up the supply
chain systems as efficiently and cost effectively as possible.
However, the new systems implemented by Accenture failed to deliver. In
October 2005, the IT services previously provided by Accenture were migrated
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back to the Group. Sainsbury’s has reported a better than expected reduction in
IT costs less than a year after it terminated its outsourcing contract with
Accenture.
“Sainsbury's saves on IT after ditching Accenture” (IT week 2006)
Different by Design:
In March 2007 the company introduced a new premium homeware range under
the ‘Different by design’ brand which mirrors the premium ‘Taste the difference’
food offer.
3.3.4 Price-cuts and Promotions
In order to make its price more competitive and encourage more sales
Sainsbury’s is continuously working to provide customer with better offers.
Another significant announcement in 2005 was the halving of the dividend to
increase funds available for price cuts and quality.
“The £400 million of investment in the customer offer was completed by
December 2006 and additional funds were invested in early 2007, improving
product quality and giving us our most competitive price position for many years”
(J Sainsbury’s Plc. Annual report 2006-2007)
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3.4 FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
The activities of the company in recent years have resulted in an exceptional
financial performance.
17,500.00
17,000.00
16,500.00
Turnover in £m
15,000.00
14,500.00
14,000.00
2004 2005 2006 2007
Year ending march
The sales revenue of the group in 2005 fell by 11.3% from £17,141 million in
2004 to £15,202m in 2005. Then in the two years to 24 March 2007 the sales
have risen by 5.6% and 6.8% respectively.
The decrease in 2005 was mainly due to the supply chain problems experienced
by Sainsbury’s. Early sales increases were credited to solving problems with the
company's distribution system whereas more recent sales improvements have
been put down to price cuts and product launches and improvements.
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
Percentage
2.00%
0.00%
2004 2005 2006 2007
-2.00%
Year Ending March
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Tesco’s G.P margin was 7.7% in 2006 and this increased to 8.1% in 2007. This
shows a better GP margin than Sainsbury’s. This is due to the increased
economies of scale because of its size. In addition, it is due to the non-food factor
which contributes more to its total Turnover, offering better profit margins.
Quick Ratio:
This differs from current ratio as it eliminates inventory from current assets
providing a more useful position of the company to settle its immediate liabilities.
Norms for quick ratios range from 0.7 to 1. Sainsbury’s quick ratio has been 0.47,
0.67, 0.49 for 2005 2006 and 2007 respectively.
This may again seem very low, but the industry average of 0.30 in 2007 shows
that this is not the case. This is again due to the nature of the business company
operates in.
Tesco’s current ratio was 0.52 in 2006 and 0.56 in 2007. Its quick ratio was 0.33
and 0.22 in 2006 and 2007 respectively. This shows that Sainsbury’s in a better
liquidity position and it may not face any problem settling short-term debts,
whereas there may be pressure on Tesco’s suppliers. It indicates that Tesco is
making better use of its working capital, but on the other hand also leads to
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corporate social responsibility issues for which Tesco’s already has a bad
reputation.
25.00
20.00
15.00
Pence per share
EPS
10.00
DPS
5.00
0.00
2004 2005 2006 2007
-5.00
Year Ending March
Although the dividends in 2005 and 2006 were low, they were yet higher then the
EPS. This shows that the company had paid out more dividends then it had
earned in these periods. This is because the dividends in 2005 had been halved
already and a lower return would further reduce their confidence. In 2007 this
has returned to normal where part of the earning was retained for future
investments.
Tesco’s EPS in 2006 was 20.2p in 2006 and increased to 23.6p in 2007. The
dividends per share were 8.6p and 9.6p in 2006 and 2007 respectively. Although
there was a major difference in EPS in 2006 of Sainsbury’s and Tesco, this has
reduced significantly in 2007. Another point to be noted is that Tesco has retained
more than half of the earnings for future investments. This is one of the reasons
of its rapid expansion and Sainsbury’s may have to follow in its footsteps and
retain a larger proportion of its earnings for future investments.
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(Source: London South East 2008)
As of 31 March 2007 the shares of Sainsbury's were trading at 549.5p and
Tesco’s share price was 444.25p. From the above graph it is quite visible that the
share price of Sainsbury’s has fluctuated enormously in the last year. This was
due to the takeover bids (see Appendix E) received by Sainsbury’s after months
of speculation in the last quarter of year 2007. The main reason that makes
Sainsbury’s an attractive for takeover bids is due to its huge property portfolio
valued at around £7.5 billion in 2007.
When the bids were rejected the share price started falling. For shareholders a
better option would be to sell off their shares at the year end, as an EPS of 19.2p
indicates that the company may not be able to deliver £5.50 in the current
economic climate. However, the property portfolio can ensure that there will
always be a demand for these shares and other such opportunities may arise.
4 CONCLUSION
Sainsbury’s financial performance in 2007 was exceptional. Improvement in
sales, profit margins, dividends and a stable liquidity position should send positive
messages to all stakeholders.
The key corner stone of Sainsbury overall success is providing its customers with
‘Great quality food at fair prices’. It has stayed closely connected with the needs
of the customers regarding the quality, style, convenience, and price of different
products and have delivered accordingly by sub-branding own label products to fit
the requirements of different customer segments. E.g.’ Basics’ for the down-
market, ‘Be Good to Yourself’ for the up-market, and ‘Taste the difference’ for the
‘mid-market’.
Since the launch of King's recovery programme, the turnaround has been
phenomenal and the company has reported twelve consecutive quarters of sales
growth, most recently in January 08. Despite distractions from potential takeover
speculation in the last quarter of the year 2007, strong performance was
delivered.
‘Over the past year we delivered another strong performance and our recovery is
ahead of plan. Since March 2005, we have grown sales by an additional £1.8
billion with over £1 billion delivered in the 2006/07 financial year. This means we
are ahead of our target to grow sales by £2.5 billion by March 2008.’
(J Sainsbury’s Plc. Annual report 2006-2007)
“Sainsbury’s has been named Supermarket of the Year for the second year
running at the Retail Industry Awards.”
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(J Sainsbury’s Plc, Awards 2007)
However, comparing the results to Tesco shows that there is yet a need for
further improvement. Sainsbury’s profit margins are lower than Tesco’s and it
may have to increase production efficiency to improve profit margins. Although its
gross profit margin is lower there is less difference as compared to the difference
between both company’s net profit margin. This is due to the relatively high
administration costs of Sainsbury as compared to Tesco.
Tesco’s return on capital employed has also been higher than Sainsbury’s and this
is evident of Tesco’s managing its resources efficiently. Due to this the EPS was
also higher by 4.4p in 2007.
Although the differences have decreased in the last year the results have yet to
improve If Sainsbury’s is to be the best in the market.
Sainsbury’s main weakness is in non-food items which make up less than 10% of
its total sales. This is mainly because of its small store sizes which do not have
enough room to accommodate many non-food products. Another reason is that
the non-food products launched have not been very successful and the sales
growth of any such products have saturated in a short period of time.
However, Sainsbury’s has realized the growth potential of the non-food retail and
plans to increase its presence in this sector.
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• J Sainsbury’s Plc., 2006. Annual report 2005-2006. [Online].
Available at: <http://www.j-sainsbury.co.uk/index.asp?pageid=20>
• J Sainsbury’s Plc., 2005. Annual report 2004-2005. [Online].
Available at: <http://www.j-sainsbury.co.uk/index.asp?pageid=20>
Tesco Publications
• Tesco Plc., 2007. Annual report 2006-2007. [Online].
Available at: < http://www.tescocorporate.com/page.aspx >
• Tesco Plc., 2007. Annual report 2005-2006. [Online].
Available at: < http://www.tescocorporate.com/page.aspx >
News papers, Online news, and Specialist Journals
BBC (2005), Cut prices aid Sainsbury's sales, BBC [online], Available at:
<http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4318042.stm>,
[Accessed 7 March 2008]
IT week (2006), Sainsbury's saves on IT after ditching Accenture, Accountancy
age, [online], Available at:
<http://www.accountancyage.com/accountancyage/news/2169234/sainsbury-
cuts-costs-ditching>, [Accessed 27 February 2008]
J Sainsbury’s Plc (2007), Awards, [online], Available at:
<http://www.sainsburys.co.uk/aboutus/awards/retailer_of_the_year_2007.htm>
[Accessed 29 February 2008].
J Sainsbury’s Plc, Our History, [online],
Available at: < http://www.j-sainsbury.com/index.asp?pageid=188>
[Accessed 23 February 2008].
Jorn Madslien (2006), ‘Sainsbury's chief cheers strong recovery’, BBC [online],
<http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/5251902.stm> [Accessed 3rd March 2008]
Justin King (2005), Improved supply lifts Sainsbury's, BBC [online],
Available at :<news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/4378035.stm>
[Accessed 3 March 2007]
London South East (2008), Sainsbury Share Charts, LSE [online image], Available at:
<http://www.lse.co.uk/ShareChart.asp?sharechart=SBRY> [Accessed 6 March
2008].
Michael Cronshaw, Evan Davis and John Kay (1994) ‘Stuck in the Middle or Good
Food Costs Less at Sainsbury's’, British Journal of Management, Volume 5,
Issue 1, pp. 19-33
TNS Global (2008), Market Share Data Release, IGD Retail Analysis [online],
Available at: http://www.igd.com/analysis/news/news_detail.asp?articleid=4613
[Accessed 18 March 2008]
Verdict Consulting (2007), ‘UK Retail Futures 2011: Food and Grocery’, Verdict
Consulting, Available at: <http://www.verdict.co.uk/Marketing/dmvt0375m.pdf>
[Accessed 22 March 2008]
Wikipedia (2008), Sainsbury's, <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tesco>,
[Accessed 22/02/08, 01/03/08]
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Michael, E. Porter (1980) Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analysing
Industries and Competitors, New York, The Free Press
Saunders, M. Lewis, P. Thornhill, A. (2003) Research Methods for Business
Students. 3rd Edition, Harlow, Financial Times/Prentice Hall
Online Financial Information
http://www.accountancyage.com
http://www.businessweek.com
http://www.ft.com
http://retailtrafficmag.com/retailing/
http://stocks.us.reuters.com
6 APPENDICES
A. Porter’s Generic Strategies
Michael Porter in his 1980 classic ‘Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing
Industries and Competitors’ identified three generic strategies through which an
organization could achieve competitive advantage. These are:
1. Cost Leadership Strategy: This strategy emphasizes efficiency. By
producing high volumes of standardized products, the firm hopes to take
advantage of economies of scale and experience curve effects, ideally
more than any competitor.
2. Differentiation Strategy: This involves creating a product that is perceived
as unique. The unique features or benefits should provide superior value
for the customer if this strategy is to be successful. This opens up the
profit margin by raising selling prices.
3. Focus Strategy: This is where the organization is concentrated on a small
segment of the market. Within the focus strategy(also known as niche
strategy), the organization must choose whether or not to become a cost
leader or a differentiator
Porter argued that to be successful over the long-term, a firm must either cost-
leadership or differentiation. Otherwise, with more than one single generic
strategy the firm will be "stuck in the middle" and will not achieve a competitive
advantage.
B. J Sainsbury’s PLC
Consolidated Income
Statement
In Millions of GBP 2007 2006 2005 2004
(except for per share items) 24/03/2007 25/03/2006 26/03/2005 27/03/2004
Total Revenue (continuing 17,151.00 16,061.00 15,202.00 17,141.00
operations)
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Cost of Revenue 15,979.00 14,994.00 14,544.00 15,606.00
Summary Group
Balance Sheet
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Share of post-tax profits of joint ventures and
associates (including £47 million of property-
related items (2005/06 – £nil)) 106.00 82.00
Profit on sale of investments in associates 25.00 –
Finance income 90.00 114.00
Finance costs -216.00 -241.00
Profit before tax 2,653.00 2,235.00
Taxation -772.00 -649.00
Net Income After Taxes 1,881.00 1,586.00
Liquidity
Current Ratio (Current Assets/ Current Liabilities) 0.70 0.79 0.58 0.83
Quick Ratio (Current Assets - Inventory/Current
Liabilities) 0.49 0.67 0.47 0.67
Admin expenses % (Administration expenses/
Turnover) 4.67% 5.46% 5.22% 3.90%
Gearing
Capital Gearing Ratio(Total Debt/ Total Equity) 57.4% 63.3% 54.6% 46.0%
Interest cover (Operating Profit/ Finance cost) 4.86 1.48 -1.14 7.72
Investment
EPS (pence) 19.2 3.8 -17.4 20.7
Dividend (pence) 9.75 8.00 7.80 15.69
Dividend cover 1.97 0.48 -2.23 1.32
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Tesco
Liquidity
Current Ratio (Current Assets/ Current Liabilities) 0.56 0.52
Quick Ratio (Current Assets - Inventory/Current
Liabilities) 0.32 0.33
Gearing
Capital Gearing Ratio (Total Debt/ Total Equity) 0.57 0.54
Interest cover (Operating Profit/ Finance cost) 12.26 9.46
Investment
EPS (Basic) 23.6 20.2
Dividend (pence) 9.64 8.63
Dividend cover 2.45 2.34
E. Takeover Bids
Takeover Bid 1:
In February 2007, after months of speculation about a private equity bid, CVC
Capital Partners, and Blackstone Group announced that they were considering a
bid for Sainsbury's. The consortium grew to include Goldman Sachs and Texas
Pacific Group.
On 5 April the consortium submitted an "indicative offer" of 562p a share to the
company's board, but the offer was rejected. On 9 April the indicative offer was
raised to 582p a share, however this too was rejected. On 11 April the CVC-led
consortium abandoned its offer, stating "it became clear the consortium would be
unable to make a proposal that would result in a successful offer."
Takeover Bid 2:
In April 2007 Delta Two, the investment fund backed by the Qatar Investment
Authority, purchased 17.6% of Sainsbury's shares. In June 2007 this was
increased to 25%. On 18 July BBC News reported that Delta Two had tabled a
conditional bid proposal. On 5 November 2007 it was announced Delta Two had
abandoned its takeover bid due to the "deterioration of credit markets". Following
the withdrawal of the interest of the QIA, shares in Sainsbury's dropped around
20% on the day of this announcement.
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