Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Capital-Budgeting
Techniques
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Capital Budgeting Concepts
Capital Budgeting involves evaluation of (and
decision about) projects. Which projects should be
accepted? Here, our goal is to accept a project
which maximizes the shareholder wealth. Benefits
are worth more than the cost.
The Capital Budgeting is based on forecasting.
Estimate future expected cash flows.
Evaluate project based on the evaluation method.
Classification of Projects
Mutually Exclusive - accept ONE project only
Independent - accept ALL profitable projects.
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Capital Budgeting Concepts
Cash Flows
Initial Cash Outlay - amount of capital spent to get
project going.
4
Capital Budgeting Concepts
Cash Flows
Initial Cash Outlay - amount of capital spent to get
project going.
If spend R10 million to build new plant then the Initial
Outlay (IO) = R10 million
CF0 = Cash Flow time 0 = -R10 million
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Capital Budgeting Concepts
Cash Flows
Initial Cash Outlay - amount of capital spent to get
project going.
If spend R10 million to build new plant then the Initial
Outlay (IO) = R10 million
CF0 = Cash Flow time 0 = -R10 million
Annual Cash Inflows--after-tax CF
Cash inflows from the project
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
0 1 2 3 4
IO
CF1 CF2 CF3 CFn
NPV = (1+ k ) + (1+ k )2 + (1+ k)3
++(1+ k )n
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Capital Budgeting Methods
Net Present Value P R O J E C T
Time A B
0 (10,000.) (10,000.)
1 3,500 500
2 3,500 500
3 3,500 4,600
4 3,500 10,000
k=10%
0 1 2 3 4
k=10%
0 1 2 3 4
k=10%
0 1 2 3 4
k=10%
0 1 2 3 4
k=10%
0 1 2 3 4
k=10%
0 1 2 3 4
k=10%
0 1 2 3 4
k=10%
0 1 2 3 4
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
500
NPV(0%) = + 500 + 4,600 3 + 10,000 10,000
(1+ 0 ) (1+ 0)2 (1+ 0 ) 4
(1+ 0)
= R5,600
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Net Present Value Profile
Graphs the Net Present Value of the project with
different required rates
P R O J E C T
Time A B
6,000 0 (10,000.) (10,000.)
N
P
1 3,500 500
V 2 3,500 500
3 3,500 4,600
4 3,500 10,000
3,000
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
500
NPV(5%) = + 500 2
+ 4,600
3
+ 10,000
4
10,000
(1+.05) (1+.05) (1+ .05) (1+ .05)
= R3,130
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Net Present Value Profile
Graphs the Net Present Value of the project with
different required rates
P R O J E C T
Time A B
6,000 0 (10,000.) (10,000.)
N
P
1 3,500 500
V 2 3,500 500
3 3,500 4,600
4 3,500 10,000
3,000
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
500
NPV(10%) = + 500 2
+ 4,600
3
+ 10,000
4
10,000
(1+.10) (1+.10) (1+ .10) (1+ .10)
= R1.154
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Net Present Value Profile
Graphs the Net Present Value of the project with
different required rates
P R O J E C T
Time A B
6,000 0 (10,000.) (10,000.)
N
P
1 3,500 500
V 2 3,500 500
3 3,500 4,600
4 3,500 10,000
3,000
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
500
NPV(15%) = + 500 2
+ 4,600
3
+ 10,000
4
10,000
(1+.15) (1+.15) (1+ .15) (1+ .15)
= R445
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Net Present Value Profile
Graphs the Net Present Value of the project with
different required rates
P R O J E C T
Time A B
6,000 0 (10,000.) (10,000.)
N
P
Project B 1 3,500 500
V 2 3,500 500
3 3,500 4,600
4 3,500 10,000
3,000
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
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Net Present Value Profile
Compare NPV of the two projects for different
required rates
6,000
Crossover point
N
P Project B
V
3,000
Project A
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
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Net Present Value Profile
Compare NPV of the two projects for different
required rates
6,000
Crossover point
N
P Project B
V
3,000
6,000
Crossover point
N
P Project B
V
Definition:
The IRR is that discount rate at which
NPV = 0
6,000
N
P
Project B
V
3,000
NPV = $0
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
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Capital Budgeting Methods
Internal Rate of Return
Measures the rate of return that will make the PV of
future CF equal to the initial outlay.
Or, the IRR is the discount rate at which NPV = 0
6,000
N
P
Project B
V
3,000
NPV = R0 IRRA 15%
IRRB 14%
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
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Capital Budgeting Methods
Internal Rate of Return
Determine the mathematical solution for IRR
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Capital Budgeting Methods
Internal Rate of Return
Determine the mathematical solution for IRR
0 = NPV = CF1
+ CF2
(1+ IRR ) (1+ IRR )2 ++ CFn
(1+ IRR )n IO
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Capital Budgeting Methods
Internal Rate of Return
Determine the mathematical solution for IRR
0 = NPV = CF1
+ CF2
(1+ IRR ) (1+ IRR )2 ++ CFn
(1+ IRR )n IO
IO = CF1
+ CF2
(1+ IRR ) (1+ IRR )2
CFn
++(1+ IRR )n
Outflow = PV of Inflows
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Capital Budgeting Methods
Internal Rate of Return
Determine the mathematical solution for IRR
0 = NPV = CF1
+ CF2
(1+ IRR ) (1+ IRR )2 ++ CFn
(1+ IRR )n IO
IO = CF1
+ CF2
(1+ IRR ) (1+ IRR )2
CFn
++(1+ IRR )n
Outflow = PV of Inflows
Solve for Discount Rates
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Capital Budgeting Methods
Internal Rate of Return 6,000
For Project B N Project B
P
V
Cannot solve for IRR
directly, must use Trial & 3,000
Error
IRRB 14%
0 Cost of Capital
5% 10% 15% 20%
Independent Projects
Accept Projects with
IRR required rate
PI = PV of Inflows
Initial Outlay
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Capital Budgeting Methods
Profitability Index
Very Similar to Net Present Value
PI = PV of Inflows
Initial Outlay
PI = PV of Inflows
Initial Outlay
PI =
10,000
11,095
PI = = 1.1095
10,000
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Capital Budgeting Methods
Profitability Index Decision Rules
Independent Projects
Accept Project if PI 1
Mutually Exclusive Projects
Accept Highest PI 1 Project
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Comparison of Methods
Another problem with IRR is that if the sign of the cash flow
changes more than once, there is a possibility of multiple IRR.
Sources of capital
Cost of each type of funding
Calculation of the weighted average cost of capital
(WACC)
88
Factors Affecting the Cost of Capital
General Economic Conditions
Affect interest rates
Market Conditions
Affect risk premiums
Operating Decisions
Affect business risk
Financial Decisions
Affect financial risk
Amount of Financing
Affect flotation costs and market price of security
89
Weighted Cost of Capital Model
Compute the cost of each source of capital
Determine percentage of each source of capital in
the optimal capital structure
Calculate Weighted Average Cost of Capital
(WACC)
90
Compute Cost of Debt
Required rate of return for creditors
yield to maturity on bonds (kd).
e.g. Suppose that a company issues bonds with a before tax
cost of 10%.
Since interest payments are tax deductible, the true cost of the
debt is the after tax cost.
If the companys tax rate (state and federal combined) is 40%,
the after tax cost of debt
AT kd = 10%(1-.4) = 6%.
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Dividend (Dp)
Required rate kp =
Market Price (PP)
R5.00
kp =
R42.00
= 11.90%
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D1
kS = + g
P0
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D1
kS = + g
P0
Example:
The market price of a share of common stock is
R60. The dividend just paid is R3, and the expected
growth rate is 10%.
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D1
kS = + g
P0
Example:
The market price of a share of common stock is R60.
The dividend just paid is R3, and the expected growth
rate is 10%.
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Example:
The estimated Beta of a stock is 1.2. The risk-free rate
is 5% and the expected market return is 13%.
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Example:
The estimated Beta of a stock is 1.2. The risk-free rate
is 5% and the expected market return is 13%.
D1
kn = + g
P0 - F
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D1
kn = +g
P0 - F
Example:
If additional shares are issued floatation costs will
be 12%. D0 = R3.00 and estimated growth is 10%,
Price is R60 as before.
Bonds kd = 10%
Preferred Stock kp = 11.9%
Common Stock
Retained Earnings ks = 15%
New Shares kn = 16.25%
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Exercises