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Based on 1868 interviews, conducted 11/26-27
Q

A
online.
Do youplan
Change Research
to vote 2017
in the election for Senate
on December 12? I will definitely vote.
I might vote.
I will probably vote.
I will definitely not vote.
Who do you plan to vote for in the election on
December 12? Roy Moore, the Republican
Doug Jones, the Democrat
Write-In
I do not plan to vote
Undecided

Who are you leaning towards? A write-in vote

Roy Moore, the Republican
Doug Jones, the Democrat
I don't plan to vote

What is your age? 18 to 24

25 to 34
35 to 44
45 to 54
55 to 64
65 to 74
75 or older

Are you male or female? Female

Male
Which race/ethnicity best describes you?
(Please choose only one) White / Caucasian
Black or African American
Hispanic
American Indian or Alaska
Native
Asian / Pacific
I currently live Islander
in Alabama,
Iam registered
currently live to
in vote, and
Alabama,
Which of the following best describes you? am a Republican.
registered to vote, and
am an independent.
 I currently live in Alabama,
am registered to vote, and
am a Democrat.
Which of the following best describes your
religious affiliation? Protestant, non-Evangelical
Evangelical
Non-religious
Catholic
Jewish
Muslim

What is the highest level of education you have

College degree
completed?
Some college but no degree
Graduate degree
High school degree
Less than high school
degree
Yes, I voted for Roy Moore
Did you vote in the Senate primary in August?
in the Republican primary.
No, I did not vote.
Yes, I voted in the
Yes, I voted primary.
Democratic for Luther
Strange
Yes, in the
I voted forRepublican
a different
primary.
candidate in the Republican
primary.
Who did you vote for in the Republican
Donald Trump
presidential primary in 2016?
Ted Cruz
Ben Carson
Marco Rubio
Did not vote
John Kasich
A different candidate

Which do you think is the most important issue

Jobs and the economy
facing the federal government?
Health care
Fiscal responsibility,
including balancing the
budget
Illegal immigration
Education
Civil rights
Terrorism
Crime & public safety
Gun rights
Environmental issues
Military & veterans affairs
Opioids, mental health &
addiction
How would you rate President Donald Trumps
performance so far, from 1-10? 1 means very 1
poor, 10 means excellent
 2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
How would you rate Senate Majority Leader
Mitch McConnells performance, from 1-10? 1 1
means very poor, 10 means excellent 2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
What are your feelings on the Republican tax I think the plan will help rich
plan currently being considered in Ipeople more
think the than
plan willthe
help
Washington? middle class.
both the middle class and
the
Don'trich
I think equally.
know
the / nowill
plan opinion
help the
middle class more than rich
people.
I feel strongly that a wall
What are your feelings on a border wall?
must be think
I do not built. a wall should
Ibe built.
think a wall should
probably be built.
Don't know / no opinion

Who did you vote for in the 2016 presidential Donald Trump, the
election? Republican
Hillary Clinton, the
Democrat
Gary Johnson, the
Libertarian
Did not vote
Jill Stein, the Green Party

When it comes to news, which of the following

Fox News
do you read, watch, or listen to the most? TV Network News (ABC,
NBC,
Local CBS, PBS) and TV
newspapers
stations
CNN
MSNBC
NPR
 Breitbart
New York Times
Huffington Post
Infowars
How do the allegations against Roy I was definitely going to
Moore impact your plans for the election in vote for him before, and I
December? Iwill was never
still votegoing to vote
for him.
Ifor was undecided
him. before, but
now I will definitely not vote
Iforwas undecided before, and
him.
II was
am definitely
still going to
undecided.
Ivote
wasfordefinitely goingbut
him before, to
vote
now Ifor
amhim before, but
undecided.
Recently, a number of individuals have alleged now I will definitely not vote
that Roy Moore initiated sexual contact with for him.
Yes
them when they were minors. Do you believe
that any of these allegations are true? No
Unsure
Senator Richard Shelby has said that Moore
Senator Shelby's statement
should seriously consider dropping out of the
race. How does this make you feel? Imakes agree,no difference
Moore shouldtodrop
me
Senator
out Shelby's statement
makes me more likely to
support
The accusations Moore are
Would any of the following make you believe
the accusations? Igarbage and nothing
would believe the would
Imake would me believe
believe
accusations if more thethem.
women
accusations
came out. if President
Trump says he believes
Which best describes how you would feel if them.
Embarrassed
Roy Moore were your Senator? Neither proud nor
embarrassed
Republican Senator Cory Gardner of Colorado Proud
said that if Roy Moore is elected, the Senate
should expel him, which would require the
No
votes of two-thirds of all Senators. No Senator
has been expelled since 1862. If Moore is Yes
elected,
Some do you think
Republicans in he should behave
Washington expelled? Unsure
I would be opposed. The
considered asking Senator Luther Strange to
election
It doesn'tshould go onbut
seem right, as
resign his seat, so that another Republican
planned,
it might helpand elect
Moore a should
could run in place of Roy Moore. How would
be the nominee.
Republican, so I'm in favor
you feel about this? Iofwould be strongly in favor.
it.
President Trump has declared his support for
Roy Moore. Did this have an effect on your INo was planning to vote for
effect.
vote? Moore, but this made me
I<strong>not</strong>
was undecided, but this want
Imade
was <strong>not</strong>
me decide to vote for
to vote fortohim.
Iplanning
was
Moore. vote for Moore,
<strong>not</strong>
but this made
planning to vote mefordecide to
Moore,
vote for him.
but this made me lean
The newspapers of AL.com wrote toward voting for him.
an editorial urging voters to vote for Doug No effect.
Jones. Did this have an effect on your vote?
I was undecided, but this
Imade
was <strong>not</strong>
was me to
Iplanning decide to vote for
vote for Jones,
Jones.
<strong>not
but this made</strong>plann
me decide to
ing
votetofor
vote for Jones, but
him.
this made me lean toward
voting for him.
 rs

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88.5 88.1 88.8 65.3 83.5 84

6.4 7.1 5.8 19 7.8 10.3
4.8 4.6 5.1 15 8.2 5.5
0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2

47.1 37.7 57.5 29.5 22.9 42.3

41.8 50.4 32.4 52.9 58.5 43
3.8 3.2 4.6 4.2 8 4
0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2
7.1 8.6 5.3 12.9 10.2 10.5

42.2 45 34.7 37.3 34.3 56.2

27.9 24.6 35.4 22.4 22 30.7
23.8 22 27.9 16 43.7 13.2
6.1 8.4 2 24.4 0 0

9 8.8 9.3 100 0 0

10.5 9.2 12.1 0 100 0
14.7 13.5 16.4 0 0 100
20.2 21.1 19.3 0 0 0
23 24.3 21.6 0 0 0
14.8 14.5 14.9 0 0 0
7.7 8.6 6.2 0 0 0

53.9 100 0 52.5 47.1 49

46.1 0 100 47.5 52.9 51

69.8 65.8 74.8 71.1 69.1 60.3

25.9 29.9 21.1 28.4 25 31.2
1.8 2.5 1.1 0 3.7 7.3
1.8 1.2 2.3 0.6 2.2 0.7
0.6 0.6 0.7 0 0 0.5

45.2 41.3 49.4 42.1 32.8 41.6

29.1 25.8 33 25.9 36.5 35.7
25.7 32.9 17.5 32 30.7 22.8

38.6 37.4 39.3 36.8 34.7 29.5

30.2 29.6 31.2 15.9 22.5 24.4
20.4 21.5 19.1 29 34.3 29.3
8.6 9.1 8.2 11 8.6 11.1
1.2 1.5 0.9 2.9 0 3.7
1.1 0.9 1.3 4.5 0 2

32.6 32.5 33 14.6 41.8 34

30.1 29.5 31.1 50 28.5 23.9
18.9 21 16.5 3.1 19.9 26.1
15.7 14 17.6 28.7 9.9 11.5
2.7 3.1 1.9 3.7 0 4.5

31.7 26 38.4 16.5 22.9 30.6

24.7 24.3 24.7 58.6 34.7 26.9
23.1 30.2 15.3 12.7 23.6 24.2
15.2 14 16.3 6.6 12.2 11.3
5.3 5.4 5.3 5.6 6.6 6.9

57 56.9 56.9 37.3 24.1 49.5

15 10.7 19.6 8.4 38.4 19.9
11.5 16 7.1 20 15.9 8.3
7.1 7.7 6.4 6.5 13.1 16.2
4.1 3.5 4.6 21.2 5.4 0.8
2.9 2.6 3.3 4 1 4.2
2.5 2.6 2 2.6 2.1 1

22.8 21.3 24.6 18.5 15.4 28.1

17.1 21.7 11.8 11 24 14.3
16.3 13 20.1 12.8 23.6 17.9
13.3 11.6 15.7 4.3 4.3 9.9
7.3 8.9 5.6 24.3 10.6 7.6
6.6 8.4 4.1 8.7 11.7 7.2
4.7 4.1 5.4 5.1 0.7 3.1
3.8 4.2 3.4 9.3 1.8 3.5
2.6 1.2 4.1 2.5 1.8 2.5
2.1 2.7 1.6 1.1 2.5 1.4
2 1.4 2.4 1.5 0.6 3.8
1.4 1.7 1.2 1 3 0.7

31.5 39.8 22.3 32.6 38.4 30.5

 4 4.4 3.6 9.9 6.2 5.4
2.6 2.3 3.1 5.3 7.4 2.4
2.4 2.5 2.1 4.1 5.4 3.5
3.5 3.8 3.1 3.4 6.8 5.7
3.1 2.7 3.5 1.4 3.9 5.6
6 5 7.1 10.6 7.6 8.7
13 9.9 17 11.9 8.4 9.7
10.3 7.7 13.2 6.9 7.3 9.6
23.7 21.9 25.1 13.9 8.6 18.8

47.9 47.8 47.7 27.1 33.2 44.5

13.2 12.2 14.6 13.2 10.2 16
10 9.1 11.2 10.8 18.1 10
7.4 6.7 8.1 7.8 13.2 5.2
12.6 16.1 8.8 23.5 14.5 14.6
3.4 2.3 4.7 6.7 2.1 4.3
3.1 3.7 2.5 4.9 6.9 3.3
1.2 1.1 1.4 3 1.5 1.5
0.3 0.2 0.2 0.9 0 0
0.8 0.7 0.8 2.1 0.3 0.5

43.5 51.9 34.3 44.7 64.3 44.2

30.8 23.7 38.3 26.6 17.1 31.6
16.1 16.2 16 18 10.9 17
9.6 8.3 11.4 10.6 7.7 7.2

42.4 34.8 50.6 29.4 17.7 43.1

41.2 49.2 32.5 57 64.4 42.6
11.6 10 13.3 8.9 13.2 10.3
4.8 6 3.6 4.7 4.7 3.9

58.4 50.1 68 43.5 39.4 55.2

32.5 40.7 23 32.5 31.4 36.1
4.6 4.1 5.4 9.6 14.1 4.6
2.9 3.3 2.6 13.7 6.8 2.4
1.5 1.9 1 0.8 8.3 1.8

31.8 24.9 40.1 29.6 7.8 22.6

17.5 18.6 16.5 14.7 23.3 16.1
15.4 14.8 15.7 20.5 21.8 14.3
11.6 14 8.6 14 8.3 19.4
6.9 9.7 3.6 5.1 3 5.7
6.8 7.4 6.3 8.4 19.9 9.8
 5.8 5.7 6 0 5.6 6.1
2.1 3.1 1 5.6 6.6 1.5
1.5 1.5 1.5 2.1 3.5 3.5
0.6 0.4 0.8 0 0.2 1.2

45.9 37.3 55.5 25.3 22.9 39.8

40.6 48.8 31.3 43.9 61.4 45.9
5.6 5.4 5.7 19.3 8.2 4
3.6 4 3.1 6.7 3.8 5.1
2.3 2.2 2.3 3.9 2.4 2.1
2.2 2.2 2.1 0.9 1.3 3.1

42 50.2 32.8 56.2 59 42.4

38 32.5 43.8 24.9 23.1 32.9
20.1 17.3 23.4 18.9 17.9 24.6

43.7 42.6 44.7 35.3 32 39.9

33.4 39.6 26.5 54.4 56.9 36.7
22.9 17.8 28.9 10.4 11.1 23.4

97 97.3 96.5 83.4 98.2 98.4

1.6 1.6 1.7 3.7 1.8 1.2
1.5 1.1 1.8 12.9 0 0.4

43.7 49.5 37.1 57.2 65.2 45.2

29 28.2 30.6 22.2 19.3 32.1
27.3 22.2 32.4 20.7 15.5 22.7

49.8 42.1 58.3 34.2 31 43.3

38.5 45.9 30.4 50.1 57.7 40.2
11.7 12.1 11.3 15.7 11.3 16.5

73.8 72.7 75.5 66.5 59.1 69.2

13.2 14 11.7 19.6 12 15.6
13 13.3 12.8 13.9 28.9 15.2

94.9 95.2 94.5 84.1 97.1 98.1

2.3 2.1 2.6 8.8 2.7 0.4
1.6 1 2.4 5.7 0.2 0.6
0.6 1.1 0.2 0 0 0.2
0.5 0.6 0.4 1.4 0 0.8

96.5 95.7 97.4 88.9 96.7 98.6

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1.1 1.5 0.8 5.8 0 0
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92.3 94.6 94.1 92.6 99.4 92
5.1 2.7 2.8 4.4 0 4.6
2.5 2.6 3 2.8 0 3.4
0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0

48.9 52.3 56.1 69.3 48.6 23.2

39.2 41.5 37.4 23 50.7 72.7
4 2.4 2.4 3.8 0 0
0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0
7.7 3.8 4 3.7 0 4.1

34.1 46.4 50.3 27 N/A 52

25.1 34.1 35.6 73 N/A 0
32.9 19.5 12.9 0 N/A 48
7.9 0 1.2 0 N/A 0

0 0 0 0 0 10
0 0 0 0 0 10.2
0 0 0 0 11.1 17.9
100 0 0 0 22.9 19.2
0 100 0 0 55.9 19.9
0 0 100 0 10.2 18.5
0 0 0 100 0 4.4

56 56.8 53.2 61.7 50.7 62.5

44 43.2 46.8 38.3 49.3 37.5

70.3 72.9 66.1 85.2 0 0

24.7 22.3 32.4 14.8 0 100
1.9 0 0 0 0 0
2.4 3.2 1.1 0 0 0
0.7 1.5 0.4 0 100 0

48.5 43.2 46.3 67.2 25.8 12.7

30.3 28.6 25.1 14.9 34.5 26.8
21.2 28.2 28.6 17.8 39.7 60.5

34.4 42.5 45.8 49 36.5 38.5

32.4 34.3 35 39.8 0 19.2
20.6 17 10.9 1.8 63.5 28.6
9.1 6 8 8.8 0 8.1
1.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0 1
2.3 0 0 0 0 4.6

32.2 40.4 26.5 28.7 10.2 33.2

28.5 28 36.6 20.4 25.8 33.2
23.8 16.2 20.7 16.2 64 18.8
14.6 13.6 15.4 24.5 0 13.9
0.9 1.9 0.8 10.3 0 0.9

28.3 33.6 38.5 53.4 0 15.3

21.9 20.5 11.6 11.5 61.9 29.6
22.8 26.6 29 12.4 38.1 48.5
22.2 14.1 15.4 21.2 0 4.7
4.8 5.2 5.6 1.5 0 1.8

48.5 64.3 74.3 80.5 100 36.1

18.2 13.6 6.1 7.7 0 42.9
15.6 12.1 5.1 5 0 0
7 2.7 4.9 4.6 0 2.8
2.1 3.3 3.8 0 0 7
3.3 3.3 2 1.7 0 2.4
5.2 0.8 3.9 0.5 0 8.8

31.8 17.7 24.1 16.6 26.4 23

14.7 20 18.7 15.5 18.8 25.9
16.1 16 13.7 14.4 25.5 6.5
9.4 15.7 20.7 31.9 28.7 10.9
6.4 4.6 2.5 2.1 0.7 11.3
6.4 5.1 4 4.3 0 13.3
5.8 5 7.3 3.2 0 1.3
1 7.5 1.3 1.5 0 2.5
2.6 3.4 2.7 1.6 0 1.5
3.3 2.1 2.5 1.1 0 1.9
1.2 1.8 2 3.4 0 1.9
1.2 1.2 0.4 4.6 0 0

31.9 30.7 35.4 19.4 40.3 63.8

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2.1 1.9 1 0.1 0 2.4
2.3 1.6 0.4 0 0 2.8
2.9 3.6 0.6 1.4 0 1.2
5.2 1.5 1.5 1.4 0 0
6 3.9 3.3 4.7 22.9 2.3
16.7 17.5 11.4 7.9 0 4.5
12.4 10.7 12.1 9.6 0 5
17.9 25 32.9 53.9 25.8 11.5

49.5 52.7 55.7 60.2 36.1 53.3

12.8 12.2 15.8 10.6 47 16.4
8.6 8.2 9.9 8.2 16.8 10.1
7.3 7.4 6.8 5.1 0 4.7
12 11.3 7.2 12 0 10.8
4.4 3.8 1.3 0.1 0 3.1
2.9 2.1 1 3.7 0 1
1.8 0.7 0.7 0 0 0
0.3 0.4 0.3 0 0 0
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43.8 44.2 39.4 21.4 40.8 73.1

25.3 34.2 36.3 41.6 48.9 16.9
20.1 12.1 15.3 22.8 10.3 7.7
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39.6 44.2 48.9 70.6 28.9 18.7

38.9 36.9 37.7 21.6 45.5 68.2
12.9 13.4 11.9 5.5 25.6 4.3
8.6 5.5 1.6 2.4 0 8.8

63.5 61.2 63.1 77.5 48.6 21.3

31.9 33.5 35 21.4 50.7 69.8
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24.6 36.5 40.4 61.3 33.7 9.2

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36.8 55.7 45.5 38.8 59.1 45.7

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6.3 5.1 4.3 3.2 2.4 4.9
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21 7.8 6.8 3 12.8 5.8

100 36.5 39.7 26 38.7 35

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21 10.4 13.4 10.9 6.6 9.9
57.9 12.7 15.4 20.3 10.9 11.7
21 20.3 19.8 25.1 18.9 18.9
0 24 28.6 19.7 20.2 21.4
0 14 12 16.1 14.7 17.9
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72.7 50.8 53.6 59.9 48.2 52.7

27.3 49.2 46.4 40.1 51.8 47.3

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21 19.1 17.7 21.6 11.1 12
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