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Market failure: When marginal cost and marginal benefit do not equal
- Prices of goods and services do not reflect true costs of producing
and consuming them
Characteristics
- Non-Rivalries (marginal cost very low)
- Non-Excludable (no one can be excluded)
- Non-Collectible (difficult to design payment system)
Free-Rider Problem: consumes a good without paying for it (not
profit maximizing – government has to pay for it)
Common Goods
Rival Non-Rival
Excludable Private Goods Natural
(charge (pizza, dvd) Monopolies
price) (cable tv)
Non- Common Property Public Goods
Excludable (air, fish) (National security,
(congestion - Property rights, licenses, lighting)
goods) quotas
2. Externalities (effects on parties not directly involved)
TAX
Just because of higher taxes doesn’t mean higher revenue for the
government (Laffer Curve) – higher tax = higher leisure
2. Equity vs. Efficiency
Disparity between the rich and the poor is not too great
- Government: redistributes wealth
- In order to become a more equitable society we may have to give up
some efficiency
2. Introduction to Macroeconomics
Different individual economic variables to obtain entire economy
$3.00 – Price that consumers pay – Cost of Goods $2.00 = $1.00 to GDP
Total Value-Added: $3.00 (equal to price consumers pay)
- Final Goods (end products) not used to produce another
good/service [ie. Grocer – retail]
- Intermediate Good (inputs): goods used to produce another good [ie.
Wheat, Flour, Bread]
- Final Goods method is better, don’t double count Intermediary Goods
3. Unemployment
- Working age population: includes everyone aged 15 and older
- Labor force: Employed and unemployed (even if you aren’t working)
- Unemployed: wants to work but unable to find work (have to look
for work)
- When stop looking for work: you are not unemployed anymore
- Unemployment rate: measures % of people in labour force
unemployed
Unemployment Rate = (Total number of unemployed / Total
labour force) x100
Types of Unemployment
5. Inflation
- Increase in the overall price level and inflation rate
1. Consumer Price Index (CPI) – fixed basket of goods at base year then
measuring how price changes over time
CPI = (fixed basket at current prices / fixed basket at base year prices)
x100
2. GDP Deflator
- More Accurate
- More Difficult and takes longer
6. Interest Rates
- When bank lends money, it charges interest
Interest Rate: Cost of borrowing money for a certain period of time
Nominal Interest Rate: Annual amount paid per dollar borrowed
Real Interest Rate: Nominal Interest corrected for inflation
(nominal interest rate – rate of inflation)
(ie. 7% - 8% = Real Interest Rate = -1%, lender loses money)
6. Government Policies
- To control, not eliminate the business cycle
- Macroeconomic policies to influence the performance of the economy as a
whole (ie. Stabilization policies)
Monetary Policy
Approach the central bank (bank of Canada) takes to controlling interest
rates (price of borrowing money) and the money supply (amount of money
in the economy)
- RECESSIONS: Bank lower interest rates or put more money into the
economy (stimulate economic activity)
- EXPANSIONS: Raise interest rates to slow down the economy and
reduce inflationary pressures (contractionary monetary policy)
Fiscal Policy
Spending and taxation decisions made by federal and provincial
government
- RECESSIONS: governments may cut taxes or increase spending (ie.
Expansionary fiscal policy)
- EXPANSIONS: governments may hike taxes or reduce spending to
slow down the economy + reduce inflationary pressures
7. Global Economy
- Variables: exchange rates and net exports
1. Exchange Rate: how many Canadian dollars it takes to buy one unit of
foreign currency
- Rise in exchange rate: takes more Canadian dollars to buy one unit of
foreign currency
- Depreciation: Canadian dollar loses value relative to a foreign
currency (rise in exchange rate)
- Drop in exchange rate: takes fewer Canadian dollars to buy one unit of
foreign currency
- Appreciation: Canadian dollar gains value relative to a foreign
currency (decrease in exchange rate)
2. Trade
- Exchange of goods and services between countries
Imports: Buy goods, services from other countries
Exports: Sells goods and services to other countries
Trade Balance: Difference between exports and imports (net exports)
- Positive Trade Balance (Trade Surplus) – Canada exports more than
imports
- Negative Trade Balance (Trade Deficit) – Canada exports less than
imports
3. Income – Expenditure Analysis
and the Multiplier
- Equilibrium level of real GDP is totally demand determined
(i.e – firms will produce how every many quantities people want to
buy)
AE will always be positive even if income is zero (you will still want to
spend)
AE Curve is upward sloping (total output increases, AE rise)
AE Curve slope is less than one
Aggregate expenditure is divided into….
Induced expenditure – portion of aggregate expenditure that responds to
changes in real GDP
(Induced endogenous , determined within the model)
Autonomous expenditure - portion of aggregate expenditure that doesn’t
respond to changes in real GDP
(Autonomous independent of exogenous, determines by factors
outside)
Y* = C + I + G + (X – M)
1. Consumption
- assume how much money households choose to spend on consumption
(C) or put into savings depend on disposable income (YD)
- Real Disposable income: amount of income households have left over after
paying taxes (Total Income – Net Taxes)
MPS + MPC = 1
Induced Consumption
- fraction of planned consumption that depends on disposable income
- MPC x YD
C = a + MPC * YD
Consumption Function
- Relationship between desired consumption expenditure (C) and
disposable income (YD)
- Shows how much households plan to spend at different levels of
disposable income
- Slope = Marginal Propensity to consume
We can assume at AE = C
Aggregate expenditure = desired consumption expenditure = total output
Y = a + MPC (1-t)Y
Y* = a / (1-MPC (1-t)
2. Investment
Determinants of desired investment by firms
1. Real Interest Rate
2. Changes in Sales
3. Expectations about the future
AE = C + I = (a + MPC * YD) + i
- only effects the intercept of the curve not the slope
3. Government
- Changes the amount of disposable income households have to spend on
consumption or save
- Taxes aggregate expenditure indirectly
- Taxes reduce household disposable income (YD)
YD = Y – T
AE = C + I + G = (a + MPC * YD) + i + g
4. Exports and Imports
Net Exports are (X – M ) (Exports – Imports)
- Exports dependent on income of other countries
- Import depend on the level of income in our economy
AE = C + I + G + (X – M)
AE = (a + i + g + x) + (mpc – mpm)((1-t)(Y))
m = 1/ (1-MPC)(1-t)
To build one object, you need to spend money on the object and many other
things (example)
- This will continue as long as people in the economy buy more goods
and services in the economy
1. Aggregate Demand
- Total quantity of goods and services demanded in an
economy at different price levels
- AD curve relates the aggregate quantity of output
demanded to the general price level (even if relative prices
are the same)
Fiscal Policy
Government influencing the economy through expenditure on
goods and services, taxation and transfer payments
- Fiscal Policy: increase AD: expansionary
- Fiscal Policy: decrease AD: contractionary
2. Aggregate Supply
Total quantity of goods and services supplied at different price
levels.
- Depends on three inputs: Labour (L), Capital (K), and
Technology (T)
o Increase in any increases real GDP
o Total Output Y = F (L, K, T)
LRAS CURVE
- Change in the economy
- Level of labor, Capital and technology available
- Shift right: size of labour force/capital stock increases
- Shift left: size of the labour force or the capital stock
decreases
SRAS CURVE
- Changes in the prices of factor inputs labour, capital and
technology
- Prices of factors of production increase: SRAS Curve
Decrease
- Prices of factor of production decrease: SRAS Curve
Increases
Macroeconomic Equilibrium
- Occurs at the intersection of A and SRAS
- Long-run Equilibrium: SRAS intersects AS where real GDP
equals potential GDP
FIGURE B
- Short run equilibrium where real GDP at Point A (Y1) is
smaller than potential GDP (Y*) : Recessionary Gap
o Means firms are not using factors of production at
full capacity (ie. Normal utilization rates) – not
sustainable in the long run
o Excess supply of labor pushes wages down and firms
unit costs decrease – lower production costs lead
SRAS to increase and shift right (until recessionary
gap is eliminated) – Long-run equilibrium is reached
Expansionary AD Shocks
Contractionary AD Shocks
- Initial Equilibrium Eo
- Experiences a contractionary
AS Shock – AD shirts left
- Higher taxes, lower
government spending,
investment or net exports
New short-run macroeconomic
equilibrium (E1)
- Real GDP is below
potential GDP difference creates
a recessionary gap
- - Firms will lower demand for labour putting downward
pressure on wages and firms unit costs fall
o SHIFT THE SRAS right and down
- Equilibrium point restored at Y* prices are drived down
Supply Shocks
Negative supply shocks or positive supply shocks (curve to left
or right)
- Positive AS Shock
SRAS shift from SRAS0 SRAS 1
Reasons: decrease in wage levels, or other factor prices
(improved technology)
EXAMPLES
1. Recessionary Gap
- Income assistance (ie. Employment insurance) to
unemployed workers.
o These increase the disposable income and hence
consumption expenditure of households and diminish
the magnitude of the recessionary gap
2. Inflationary Gap
- Taxes
- When economy expands and income rises, income taxes
collected go up long with rising incomes disposable income
doesn’t increase
- Taxes decrease disposable incomes and hence consumption
expenditure of households diminish the magnitude of the
inflationary gap
Sticky (Rigid) Wages
- Sometime adjustment mechanisms that steer the economy
back to long run equilibrium don’t work as well
- Sticky (Rigid) Wages: recessionary gaps may persist in the
short-run: because the nominal wages are slow to adjust to
market forces
o Nominal Wages: Sticky (slow to change)
Due to Union Wages, Government Regulation,
Efficiency Wages, Implicit and Explicit
contracts (fixed wages)
- Union Contracts: negotiate the highest possible wages for
employed union members
- Government Regulations (ie. Minimum wage laws) – prop
up wage levels (above equilibrium) and prevent wage
decreases
- Implicit Contracts and Explicit contracts: firms and
workers predetermine wage and prevent any adjustment
in wages for contract
o Government may intervene for wage changes
because they take too long to move or not move.
GOVERNMENT REVENUE
Sum of Net Tax Revenue(Tax – Payments) + Borrowing
1. Personal Income Taxes
2. Corporate Income Taxes
3. Indirect Taxes (Ie. Sales Tax)
4. Investment Income (ie. Profits of crown corporations)
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
Sum of Government Spending + Interest Payments
1. Spending on goods & services (ie. Highways)
2. Transfer payments (ie. Pension cheques)
3. Interest payments on debt (debt service payments)
Recessions
Budget Deficits to rise in recessions and fall in expansions
- Net taxes typically decrease as tax receipts go down
- More unemployment equals less income tax revenue
- Transfer payments go up (more unemployment equals more welfare
payments)
Debt-to-GDP-Ratio
- Measures size of the debt in relation to the country’s gross domestic
product
- Indicates a government’s ability to pay back creditors (solvency)
o HIGH Debt Ratio: lenders more risk (default on payment)
Demand higher interest rates
o Negative implications for conduct of monetary policy and fiscal
policy
Inflationary expectations & makes it harder to control
inflation
Eo E1 with government
Eo E2 naturally
- Would take too long for the wages to eventually fall
- If wages are sticky, they might not even go back
down to E2
Money Supply
- Total stock of money available in economy at any given time
- Measures of Money
o M1
“Narrow Money” includes all bank notes and coins in
circulation + demand deposits (quickly turned into
money)
o M2
Includes M1 + deposits requiring notice before
withdrawal (ie. Savings accounts, and term despots)
o M2+
Includes M2 + deposits at other financial institutions
that are not banks (ie. Trust companies)
o M2++
Includes M2+ and Canada Savings Bonds and Mutual
Funds
- UNDERSTAND: Size of Money Supply in an Economy is MUCH larger
than the number of banks notes and coins in circulation
Banking System
- Consists of Central Bank (public) and commercial (private) banks
- Central Bank Functions
o 1. Banker for the government
o 2. Banker for the commercial banks
o 3. Regulator of the money supply
o 4. Protector of financial markets
Commercial Banks
- (ie. Chartered Banks, Trust Companies) – private firms act as
financial intermediaries between savers and borrowers
- Attract money from savers by paying interest on deposits
- Make Money
o Charging interest on loans to borrowers (exceeds interest on
deposits paid to savers)
o Buying securities (ie. Bonds) that pay interest or dividends
o Services charges to their customers
- Reserves: Cash holdings not loaned out
o Very small amount compared to total deposits
- Fractional Reserve: only a fraction of deposits are held as reserves
- Target Reserve Ratio: fraction of deposits a bank plans to hold
- Reserve Ratio: fraction of deposits a bank actually holds
o Cash holding > Target: Excess Reserves
PV = FV/ (1 + i)^n
FV = PV (1 + i)^n
Money Market
Nominal Interest Rate = Price of Money
- Opportunity Cost
• When price level goes up, you have a higher demand for money
• When real GDP goes up the money goes up for firms to produce more
services/goods for GDP to go up
Adjustment Mechanism
- Interest rate is lower than the equilibrium rate: excess demand for
money
- Houses require more money than is currently available
o Sell bonds to get more liquid = bond prices decreases
SUMMARY
When Decreases the money supply or raises interest rates to slow down
economy
- Contractionary monetary policy
(inflationary Gap)
Government wants to decrease AD
- Lower Money Supply
- Increase Interest Rates
- Lower Consumption/Investment
- Lower Aggregate Demand
Liquidity Trap: occurs when interest rates are lowered to nearly 0% - but
there is no change in the economy
- There is so much liquidity in the market that MD is horizontal
MV – PY
- M: Money supply
- P: price level
- Y: total real output
- V: velocity of money (number of times money changes in economy
over a time period)
Increase in the money supply: will result in either an increase in the price
level, an increase in total output or increase in both
7. Inflation and Unemployment
Costs of Inflation
- Anticipated Inflation: situation where people correctly predict the
increase in prices
o Nominal variables (ie. Money wages) change
o Real Variables remain unchanged
- Unanticipated Inflation: situation where people don’t correctly
predict inflation
o Real Variables: also affected because prices and wages do not
rise by same percentage
o Problems of redistribution of income & transfer of wealth
o Inflation is higher than predicted
Prices rise more than nominal money wages (decrease
in real wages – receive less in real teams, they are worse
off (employers are better off)
• Redistribution of income from workers to
employers
- Transfer of Wealth: from lenders to borrowers when inflation is
higher than predicted
o Better for borrowers when inflation goes up
o Worse for lenders when inflation goes up
- Accelerating Inflation – situations where inflation breeds more
inflation at a rapidly increasing rate
Causes of Inflation
- Now look at case of sustained inflation
- Major cause: rising wages – shift aggregate supply left and increase
price level
Output Gap: Y>Y* inflationary gap and excess demand for labor: upward
pressure on money wages to close gap naturally
o Y<Y* there is a recessionary gap – excess supply of labor puts
downward pressure on money wages – close the gap naturally
- Y=Y* no pressure on money wages (NAIRU)
o Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment
Actual Inflation =
Output Gap Inflation + Expected Inflation +
Supply Shock Inflation
Demand-pull inflation
Demand-pull: rise in the price level causes by an AD shift right
- Causes an inflationary output gap
- (ie. Tax cuts, increase spending by businesses, governments or
consumers, higher net exports, expansionary monetary policy)
Monetary Validation
- Bank of Canada responds by reducing interest rates and expanding
the money supply
- Bout of sustained inflation driven by monetary expansion
SUMMARY
- Anything causes AD curve to shift right: demand-pull inflation
- Anything causes AS curve to shift left: cost-push (supply) inflation
Unemployment
- Costs on society as a whole in lost output and on unemployed
individuals
- Lower consumption possibilities and lower self-worth
Type of Unemployment
1. Frictional Unemployment
- Short-term unemployment associated with the natural job turnover in an
economy
- Job turnover: when people quit their jobs, get fired or are just
entering the labor force
- Workers looking jobs can’t be matched instantly
- Frictional unemployment is natural so not a major problem
2. Seasonal Unemployment
- caused by the end of the weather season with certain jobs
(Ie. Summer camps close, summer worker)
- Natural economy – factored out
3. Structural Unemployment
- Ca used by a change in the demand for skills or geographic relocation of
jobs within an economy.
- firms will demand for new skills from workers
- more flexible the labour force means the faster workers can relocate or
retain the less the negative impact on the economy
4. Cyclical Unemployment
- caused by business cycle fluctuations
- cyclical unemployment increases during recessions and decreases during
expansions
- these exist because wages are not perfectly flexible
NAIRU (U*)
- Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment – natural rate of
unemployment or full employment (prevails in long run equilibrium)
Balance of Payments
BoP = Current Account (CA) + Capital Account (KA) = 0
- Current Account Balance (CAB) is equal to: CAB = Net Exports + Net
Investment Income