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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA

(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

IDENTIFICATION
V2 SOLDAT MEMBER / STUDENT NAME: MOHD AZLAN SHAH
ANALYSIS DATE: 23rd FEB 2017
CURRENCY PAIR / COMMODITY / INDICE: USDJPY
TRAINER: ADHA @The_Janissary (Telegram)
BROKER: FXPRIMUS
TYPE OF TRADE: INTRADAY

CURRENT FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS


USD FED MONETARY POLICY
Statement: 01-02-2017
Fundamental: Holding (Bullish Bias) – same target Fed Fund Rate from Dec 2016 (0.5%-0.75%) in line
with market expectation
Tools: Interest rate (0.75%) Target data Indicator: Inflation
Forward guidance: Implementation note indicated 3 rate hikes in 2017

JPY BOJ MONETARY POLICY


Statement: 31-01-2017
Fundamental: Holding (Easing)
Tools: Interest rate (-0.1%), QQE
Target data Indicator: Inflation
Forward guidance: Further easing (QQE with yield control curve and lower interest rate). Extend by 1
year the deadlines for Fund-Provisioning Measure (stimulate bank lending and economic growth)
and Funds-Supplying Operation (support financial in disaster areas)

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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

CURRENT OVERALL SENTIMENT ANALYSIS


↑USD : Tightening monetary policy
↑USD : Interest Rate Differential = 0.75%-(-0.1%)
= 0.85%
↑USD : 10YR Yield Spread = 2.3916%-0.075%
= 2.3166%
FUNDAMENTAL BULLISH USDJPY
↓JPY : Easing monetary policy
↓JPY : Interest Rate Differential = -0.1-0.75%
= -0.85%
↓JPY : 10YR Yield Spread = 0.075%-2.3916%
= -2.3166%
↓USD : Trump Policies and its broader effect
uncertainties
↑USD : Existing home sales better than expected
↓USD : FOMC meeting minutes hinting next hike is
less likely to happen in March
INTERMARKET BEARISH USDJPY ↓USD : Unemployment claims higher than expected

↓JPY : SPPI (inflation) data higher than


forecated
↑JPY : Move on safe heaven due to US Policies
uncertainties and FOMC meeting minutes

TECHNICAL BEARISH USDJPY Wave A1 Entry moving down to A1 TP.

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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

UPCOMING INFORMATION

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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

10 YEARS BOND YIELD

US 10Y Bond Yield may either complete wave A1 downwards for short term bearish USD. If USD is
bullish, the Bond Yield will edge higher to DCA Resq Entry.

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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

10 YEARS BOND YIELD

JP 10Y Bond Yield may either complete its A1 wave down or move higher to DCA Resq Entry.

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https://telegram.me/janissaries
V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

INDEX

US S&P500 may either continue sideway if USD is ranging. If USD is bearish, there is a possibility for
it move down to complete wave D4. When the USD strengthen, it continue its bullish momentum
upward to MAX REV Entry before a downward correction again to MAX REV TP.

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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

INDEX

US DJ is about to reach key level MAX REV Entry if USD continues with bullish momentum. It should
then move downwards to MAX REV TP. If bearish sentiment prevails prior to the completion of
earlier wave, DJ is expected to move downward to D4 entry to start wave D4 down to wave D4 TP.

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https://telegram.me/janissaries
V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

INDEX

US ND is about to reach key level MAX REV Entry if USD continues with bullish momentum. It should
then move downwards to MAX REV TP. If bearish sentiment prevails prior to the completion of
earlier wave, DJ is expected to move downward to D4 entry to start wave D4 down to wave D4 TP.

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https://telegram.me/janissaries
V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

INDEX

JP NIKKEI 225 may either move down to MAX REV Entry key level if JPY bearish momentum
continues. If JPY is bullish, it will edge higher to DCA RES Entry key level.

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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

MARCH 2017 YEN FUTURE

MARCH YEN FUTURES is expected to rally higher to DCA RESQ Entry key level for bullish JPY or
move down to D4 entry key level if bearish sentiment prevails.

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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

CURRENT AMERICAN STYLE OPTION KEY LEVELS

REMARK (Option information dated 23rd Feb 2017 11:00pm)

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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

TECHNICAL CHART ANALYSIS

REMARK : USDJPY continue with bearish movement to initiate wave A1. DCA RESQ Entry as counter
measure should overall sentiment turns Bullish.

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V2 SOLDATS® ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEA
(An Elite Training Programme under WSJ)

TECHNICAL TRADE IDEA


ENTRY TYPE INSTANT ORDER
EXPIRY DATE
PRICE LEVEL OF ENTRY 112.70
PRICE LEVEL OF PROFIT TAKING 112.16
PIPS 54
PRICE LEVEL OF STOP LOSS IF AVAILABLE
PIPS
PRICE LEVEL OF COUNTER MEASURE IF 114.36
AVAILABLE)
RANGE OF PIPS FROM PREVIOUS ENTRY 166
LEVEL
TAKE PROFIT LEVEL IF COUNTER MEASURE 113.45
TRIGGERS
OVERALL PIPS IF HIT COUNTER MEASURE’S 54 + 91 (HOLDING & HIT BOTH TPS)
TAKE PROFIT LEVEL (FIRST -75 + 91 (MANUAL CLOSE A1 @ DCA RESQ TP)
ENTRY+COUNTER MEASURE LEVEL ENTRY)
TYPE OF TRADE INTRADAY

RESULT POSTMORTERM
HIT TP

HIT SL
COUNTER MEASURE TRIGGER
MANUAL TAKE PROFIT
LEVEL OF MANUAL TAKE PROFIT
MANUAL TAKE PROFIT PIPS
MANUAL CUT LOSS
LEVEL OF MANUAL CUT LOSS

MANUAL CUT LOSS PIPS

COMMENT

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