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William Isherwood
U.S. Geological Survey
Menlo Park, California 94025
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A program patterned o n t h e New Zealand study was set up at The
Geysers, California (Isherwood, 1977). But t h e situation is, for various
reasons, much more complicated. Landsliding and a c t i v e tectonics could be
producing vertical ground motions unrelated to fluid withdrawal. A s a n
underpressured, "vapor-dominated" sys t e m , The Geysers may have only
slight subsidence potential because internal pore pressure i s apparently not
contributing much support to t h e rock matrix. Also, if t h e reservoir
contained only vapor i n t h e pore space (including, of course, fractures), t h e n
t h e mass loss conceivably is distributed over a large volume or i s occurring
at some distance from t h e well bores. Finally, California's present severe
drought could change local ground-water levels. Despite t h e s e
complications, areas of gravity decreases (with respect to a reference
s t a t i o n outside t h e field) closely match areas of production (fig. I). Thirty-
six of t h e gravity s t a t i o n s coincide with remeasured elevation points. Figure
2 shows t h e correlation between subsidence and gravity decrease. The
resultant correlation of +0.72 i s particularly significant, inasmuch as
changes of gravity caused by landslides or block t e c t o n i c elevation changes
would produce a correlation coefficient of -1.
Both Wairakei and The Geysers clearly show a net mass loss i n t h e
reservoir region. Determining t h e a c t u a l mechanism of loss i s prerequisite
to understanding t h e reservoir dynamics. For both reservoirs, t h e most
likelyo mechanis? is t h e replacement of hot liquid w a t e r & w a t e r
@24O3C=O.8 g/cm ) i n t h e pore space by w a t e r vapor (psteam @240 C=0.02
g/cm ) and removal of excess fluid. Where t h i s flashing takes place c a n b e
f u r t h e r constrained (as will b e explained later). A l t e r n a t e mechanisms of
mass loss seem unlikely or inadequate to expl3in observed changes. For
example, evacuating s t e a m of density 0.02 g/cm f r o 9 t h e pores of a vapor-
dominated system could c a u s e only about 0.001 g/cm bulk density change
(using t h e 5 p e r c e n t porosity suggested f o r vapor-dominated systems); to
change gravity by t h e amounts observed at The Geysers i n just 2 l / j years
would require depletion to a depth of at least 9 km for a 40 km field.
Changes i n density of t h e liquid or rock, though possible, would presumably
b e toward g r e a t e r density, due to reservoir cooling. Similarly, any change i n
porosity (presumably due to subsidence) would tend to increase bulk density
a n d c o n s e q u e n t l y not c o n t r i b u t e to a g r a v i t y d e c r e a s e .
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trends i n lowered pressure, flow rate, etc., may be temporary, at least f o r
s o m e hot w a t e r systems. Continued monitoring will b e required t o confirm
whether a n equilibrium recharge r a t e has indeed been reached at Wairakei.
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maximum observed change i s about 120+30 g a l . Within this shading, t h e
observed changes could b e accounted for-by t h i s set of parameters and z e r o
recharge. If t h e t r u e parameters fall to t h e l e f t (shallower) s i d e of t h e
shading where t h e calculated e f f e c t i s too large, t h e observed change could
have been caused by less mass loss--indicating partial recharge. To t h e right
of t h e shaded zone t h e calculated effect i s less t h a n observed, showing ( 1 )
t h a t t h e r e is additional mass loss by s o m e unknown mechanism o r (2) t h a t
such a shape-depth combination would b e impossible. A change in t h e
density c o n t r a s t by a f a c t o r of 2 changes t h e depth to t h e c e n t e r of t h e
cylinder only a f e w percent at t h e depth range of interest, although t h e t o p
and bottom will vary more to accommodate t h e appropriate change in
cylinder thickness. Similarly, t h e maximum depth to t h e mass loss c a n not
b e increased greatly by considerations of shape (e.g. s p h e r e versus cylinder)
and i t actually decreases if t h e regions around individual production sites a r e
considered separately. Consequently, if we assume no additional mass loss
beyond what has been produced, w e can rule out t h e possibility of s t e a m
boiling solely off a w a t e r t a b l e deeper t h a n about 2500 m. Some
contribution from this depth i s not precluded, but t h e major loss must b e
shallower, probably near t h e 1-2 km depth of most well completions. This
supports t h e model of Truesdell and White (1973) which proposes liquid w a t e r
throughout t h e reservoir, s u c h w a t e r flashing to steam as a d i r e c t result of
pressure decrease caused by exploitation.
REFERENCES
Figure I.
N
.t. -
1
I
5
.5
-.04
-.08
-I -.I2
w
A g ( i n r g a l ) = 41.85 p [ H - (J(d+H)2 + r2
( i n meters)
I)-
Depth t o t o p (meters)
Radius
(W 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
I--- 4 3 3
5--- 55 40 31
1.0--- e4 59 43
1.5--- 81 58 44
2.0--- 70 53 4 1.
2.5--- 58 46 36
3.0--- 49 39 32
3.5--- 81 69 59 49 41 34 28
4.0--- 62 55 47 40 34 29 25
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