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AS
SERVICE INDUSTRY
1) INTRODUCTION
2) PRESENT STATUS
3) OVERVIEW
4) AVIATION MARKET FORECAST
5) MAJOR CHALLENGES AHEAD
6) ROAD AHEAD
7) COMPARISON WITH RAILWAYS
INTRODUCTION
The Indian aviation industry is one of the fastest growing aviation industries in the
world with private airlines accounting for more than 75 per cent of the sector. With
a CAGR at 18 per cent and 454 airports and airstrips in place in India, of which 16
are designated as international airports, Union Civil Aviation Minister Praful Patel
has stated that aviation sector will witness revival by 2011. The last quarter of
2009 has also raised some hopes of revival in the country.
Challenges that faced airlines and the aviation industry as a whole over the last
Few years, has forced the industry to rethink how they do business on both a
Financial and operational level. Most airlines have faced up to these challenges,
And as a result have been remarkably successful at turning around ailing
Companies, in many cases completely reinventing themselves. Although high
Fuel prices are affecting profitability; airlines are now in a much stronger position
Then 2000, due to unprecedented demand for air travel.
The notion of restructuring and cost cutting has been embraced wholeheartedly
By European and Asian airlines as the only viable way to secure their long-term
Security. North American airlines have been slower to face up these challenges,
And face major cost cutting exercises in order to reach necessary levels of
Efficiency. There is no doubt that the aviation industry has come through one of
the toughest periods in over 30 years. The industry is now in an excellent
position to face the challenges ahead
AVIATION MARKET FORECAST
Economic recovery coupled with the steadying of world markets, has resulted in
The return of business confidence and corporate investment in the aviation
Industry. The political environment has also begun to slowly stabilize; this has
resulted in high level growth in the demand for worldwide leisure travel. This
resulted in much stronger levels of air traffic in 2004 than had been forecast.
Over the 2004 – 2023 period world passenger levels is forecast to increase by
5.3% year on year. Companies such as boeing and airbus will reap the benefits
Of this growth. Traffic growth coupled with fleet renewal, will require the delivery
Of approximately 16,600 new passenger aircraft. Freight traffic is also expected
to grow at 5.9% per year, throughout the 2004 – 2023 period. Traffic growth and
Fleet demand will result in the demand 3,100 freighter deliveries of which 23%
will
Be purpose built freighters.
MAJOR CHALLENGES FOR AVIATION INDUSTRY
The growth in the aviation sector and capacity expansion by carriers has posed
challenges to aviation industry on several fronts. These include shortage of
workers and professionals, safety concerns, declining returns and the lack of
accompanying capacity and infrastructure. Moreover, stiff competition and
rising fuel costs are also negatively impacting the industry.
3. Rising fuel prices: As fuel prices have climbed, the inverse relationship
between fuel prices and airline stock prices has been demonstrated. Moreover, the
rising fuel prices have led to increase in the air fares.
4. Declining yields: LCCs and other entrants together now command a market
share of around 46%. Legacy carriers are being forced to match LCC fares,
during a time of escalating costs. Increasing growth prospects have attracted &
are likely to attract more players, which will lead to more competition. All this
has resulted in lower returns for all operators.
6. Trunk routes: It is also a matter of concern that the trunk routes, at present,
are not fully exploited. One of the reasons for inability to realize the full potential
of the trunk routes is the lack of genuine competition.
7. High input costs: Apart from the above-mentioned factors, the input costs are
also high. Some of the reasons for high input costs are:-
Withholding tax on interest repayments on foreign currency loans for aircraft
acquisition. Increasing manpower costs due to shortage of technical personnel.
THE ROAD AHEAD
Investment opportunities of US$ 110 billion are being envisaged up to 2020 with
US$ 80 billion in new aircraft and US$ 30 billion in development of airport
infrastructure, according to the Investment Commission of India.