Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Lily Harris
Mr.Trenfeild
8th period
10-23-15
Regression Project
For my regression project I researched unemployment rate vs. population for certain
cities. I wanted to know if certain cities with a grater population had a higher or lower
unemployment rate. I think cities and their population have to do with unemployment rate
because the if a city is growing rapidly it might mean that their job market is growing too. Maybe
cities closer to the US boarder might have a higher population and a high unemployment rate
because of an increase in immigrants, some crossing the border illegally. Most immigrants
don't have a high level of education. Those people are coming to find a better life and need a
job, but many jobs for uneducated or unskilled workers fill up quickly. Higher paying jobs
require need a higher educated work force. My project is directed toward people that are
considering moving to a different city because they want to be closer to family or don't like
where they are currently living. Another group of people would be ones interested in selling their
homes and know that cities with low unemployment and a growing population will have an
advantage; because buyers move to cities with a good job market. Right now, Austin has a
better employment rate than other cities. This topic is directed to a wide range of people; there
I expected that a city with a higher population had a higher unemployment rate. I noticed
in my data that a higher population doesn't really effect the unemployment rate. I had a
population with 214237 people and a unemployment rate of 3.8. Then I looked at the population
under the one I just gave you and the population was lower but they had a higher
Harris 2
y=3.106E-13x2 - 4.539E-7x=3.2458 and I used a quadratic function because it had the highest
r2 value which was 0.178. I thought that my idea for a regression project would be a good idea,
but from my data and what my graph looks like I don't think they correlated with each other at
all. I definitely think that there is something that affects unemployment rate and I would like to
know what the biggest factor is. The unemployment rate may not be tied to population as much
as it is to the economy of the particular city. Maybe my regression project would have worked
with using unemployment and unemployment statistics rather than with population.
I was not very accurate because my ideas didn't have any correlation. I have learned a
lot from this project and it was fun because I got to pick something that I wanted to learn about. I
think maybe my two points didn't correlate because population might be too broad. I think if I did
a little more research about unemployment rate I would of been able to find a better group of
variables that still have to do with unemployment rate. My paper is not a causal issue it is an
important issue because we all need to know about unemployment so we look for jobs in cities
3
y = 3.106E-13x2 - 4.539E-7x + 3.2458
R² = 0.178
2
0
0 750000 1500000 2250000 3000000
Population
Harris 3
Work Cited
“Unemployment Rates for Metropolitan Areas.” U.S. Bureau of labor Statistics. U.S. Bureau of
Labor Statistics, n.d. Web. 22 Oct. 2015