Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Millennials never
Avocado toast is Will buy
want to own
to blame everything online
ANYTHING
GAME CHANGERS IN HOUSING
Millennials Drop in
Minorities are Long Life
Out-Number Marriage
Growing Spans
Boomers Rates
RISE IN HOUSEHOLD INCOME SUCCESSFUL BUYERS
$97,500
$90,000
$88,800
$85,700
$74,000 $75,000
$58,600
$50,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
60%
50%
34%
30% 32%
55 54
45
36
32
29
25
80% 75%
68% 57%
27% 18%
16%
7%
% 2%
2 bath
3 bed
12 11
16
15
10
9
4
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
First-time Buyers Repeat Buyers
12
10
5
4
7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
6%
5% 5%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
First-time Buyers Repeat Buyers
Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
STUDENT DEBT MASSIVE BARRIER
$12.0 $1.4
$8.0
$0.2
$4.0
$0.0
100%
83%
7% 5%
3% 2%
%
Yes, impacted No impact on ability No, helped ability Don't know Don't want to own
to purchase
Yes, underwater on 3%
home/ loans limited
ability to pay
% 50%
100%
82%
73%
21%
12%
0%
Rented Owned
Lived w/ parents, relatives or friends Rented the home purchased
13% had
Longest distressed
delay: sale
4 yrs
Highest
income
&
in debt
$28k
student
loans
17%
stalled
selling
Census
1890
1892
1894
1896
1898
1900
1902
1904
1906
1908
1910
1912
1914
1916
1918
1920
1923
1925
1927
1929
1931
1933
1935
1937
1939
1941
Recession
1943
1945
43.6
1947
1949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
HOMEOWNERSHIP RATE 1890-2017
1981
1983
1985
Depression or
1987
Great Recession
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
69.2
2009
2011
2013
2015
63.9%
2017
33%
53%
73%
Census
1982
1983
U.S.
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
45 to 54 years
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
55 to 64 years
2000
2001
Less than 35 years
2002
HOMEOWNERSHIP RATE, BY AGE
2003
2004
2005
43.1%
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
35 to 44 years
2012
2013
65 years and over
2014
2015
2016
2017
59.%
35.3%
78.7%
HOMEOWNERSHIP RATE, BY RACE
80%
72.3%
70%
63.9%
60% 57.2%
50.8%
50%
46.2%
42.3%
40%
African-American/Black
Family/friend gift downpayment: buyer: 9.2% less
3.6% more
Hispanic/Latino buyer:
Asian/Pacific Islander buyer: 10.8% less
17.4% more
Buyer w/ student loans:
Single female: 3.1% more 16.9% less
Affordable—Birmingham
• Student debt= -8.8%
& Flagler Beach
High Prices—San Diego,
• Student debt = -31.1%
Portland, & DC
Low Unemployment—
• Student debt= -23%
Boulder
Higher Unemployment–
• Student debt= -13.4%
Areas in CA, AZ, NJ
Want
to be
owners
Some
In high
default
cost
current
areas
/past Non-
owners
No
family Some
help live at
loans/ home
house
Doctoral Work Using Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
FOCUS GROUP RESULTS: OWNERS
Family
help!
Bought
More
before
likely to
be older Owners degree/
home
& White
price rise
Sacrifices
home
quality &
location
100%
87%
0%
1981
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
2000
2002
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Real estate agent/broker Builder/builder's agent Previous owner
Housing Opportunities and Market Experience (HOME)
AGENT-ASSISTED SALES AT ALL-TIME HIGH
100%
89%
21%
15%
8%
0%
8 in 10 part of their
American Dream
Pie
9 in 10 want to own
in the future
BABIES WITH 4 LEGS
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