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Analyst, December 1997, Vol. 122 (1521–1529) 1521

Multilevel Multifactor Designs for Multivariate


Calibration

Richard G. Brereton
School of Chemistry, University of Bristol, Cantock’s Close, Bristol, UK BS8 1TS

Multilevel experiments are common in chemistry, and x2 are the two factors. Fig. 2(a) illustrates this graph (which
especially in calibration and mixture problems. This relates to confidence bands), which is completely circular, fairly
paper presents designs for l = 2–5 different concentration flat and has a value of 0.5 in the four extreme corner points
levels and l2 corresponding experiments. The importance (±2,±2). In contrast, the equation for the design of Fig. 2(b) is h
of orthogonality between successive factors is discussed. It = 0.15625x21 + 0.15625x22 + 0.1875x1x2. This makes a dramatic
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is shown that up to 12 mutually orthogonal factors can be difference to the graph of leverage, as shown in Fig. 2(b). The
generated for a five-level design. Methods of generating graph is now asymmetrical and the values of leverage for
designs are generalised. The designs are restricted to (22,22) and (+2,+2) are now equal to 2, whereas for (22,+2)
first-order (linear) models, typical of most instrumental and (+2,22) they remain at 0.5. This implies low confidence
calibration experiments. and poor modelling ability for certain regions of the mixture
domain, which can have substantial practical implications.
Keywords: Experimental design; chemometrics; calibration;
Suppose, for example, acetone and methanol are part of a
mixtures
mixture experiment, and their high and low concentrations are
0.1 and 0.5 mm. If the second design is employed, this may
imply that, whereas good predictions can be achieved if one
Despite substantial interest in mixture experiments in spectro- compound is at a high concentration and the other at a low
scopy and chromatography and the analysis of such multivariate concentration, the case where both are at high or low
datasets by chemometrics methods such as multivariate calibra- concentrations cannot be predicted with much confidence. If
tion1–3 and factor analysis,4,5 there is limited literature on how methanol and acetone happen to be at 0.15 mm concentrations,
to design such experiments. A typical multivariate calibration no matter what the concentrations of the other components in
experiment involves spectra of several compounds, recorded at the mixture are, they will not be predicted well, even though a
several concentration levels. For one factor, there is literature on concentration of 0.15 mm methanol might be predicted very
how to design calibration experiments.6–8 Although some well in the presence of 0.45 mm acetone and vice versa. In
designs such as the central composite design9,10 exist for three practical cases, a series of mixtures may be made in the
or four factors, these are not really aimed at calibration laboratory and a model developed using a multivariate approach
experiments; the main purpose is often optimisation or simply such as PLS to predict the concentrations of compounds from
to see whether certain factors are significant. spectra using experimental mixtures. However, if the laboratory
In many cases where multivariate calibration is employed, experiments do not adequately cover the mixture space,
great effort is made to ensure instrumental responses are linear, predictions could be dramatically in error under certain
so that linear models are appropriate for analysis of the data in situations.
hand. In this paper we restrict designs to such linear models;
alternative strategies would be required if non-linearities and
interactions are expected.
In many real-world situations there are a large number of
components in a mixture. For example, we have reported the
study of polyaromatic hydrocarbons in airborne emissions:11 at
least 16 can be identified from standard EPA samples; a further
30 or 40 may remain unidentified. In order to build up models
in the laboratory or even using computers, experiments
involving mixing together compounds in different proportions
and recording the resultant spectra are commonly employed.
However, in order to obtain sensible calibration models, several
Fig. 1 Designs consisting of two factors, and five experiments. The levels
concentration levels (at least four or five per compound) are are coded so that the centre is 0.
required.
In addition, it is essential that the compounds are uniformly
distributed over mixture space. This latter condition is often
overlooked. An unbalanced design may, for example, result in
poor predictions for unexpected and fairly subtle combinations
of component concentrations. Fig. 1 illustrates two factor
designs each consisting of five experiments. The first design is
completely symmetrical and rotatable, whereas the second
contains some asymmetry about the diagonal. Confidence in
predictions can be estimated using leverage;12,13 the higher the
value the worse the prediction. Leverage provides a method for
the estimation of the shape of confidence bands in a model: if
leverage is symmetrical, so is confidence and the related Fig. 2 Leverage corresponding to the designs of Fig. 1. (a) Contour levels
parameter of uncertainty. For the symmetric design of Fig. 1, the 0.1, 0.2, 0.3 and 0.4 from centre; (b) contour levels 0.4, 0.8, 1.2, and 1.6
equation for leverage is h = 0.0625x12 + 0.0625x22, where x1 from centre.
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1522 Analyst, December 1997, Vol. 122

For most methods of multivariate calibration, several concen- (a) Pick one level (+1 or 21). This is the ‘odd level out’. The
tration levels are necessary to obtain an adequate model. first row simply consists of this level repeated.
Consider a mixture containing 10 compounds. If five levels are (b) Rows 2 to 4 consist of a ‘cyclic permuter’. Each column
to be studied, then, in order to obtain all possible combinations is shifted cyclically and vertically against the previous column,
of levels, 510 or nearly 107 experiments would be required, so that row 4 of column i equals row 2 of column i 2 1. This
which is clearly impracticable. Hence the number of experi- permuter is given by rows 2 to 4 of the first column, and in the
ments must be reduced, but certain key properties must be case of Table 1 is (21 1 1). Hence row 2, column 1 equals 21,
retained in the designs. as does row 4, column 2. These permutations are illustrated in
For two level designs, there is an extensive literature about Table 1.
how to reduce the number of experiments. Fractional factori- (c) The nature of the permuter is crucial to the design. It must
als14–16 and Plackett–Burman17,18 designs are well known. The contain two 1s and one 21 in this case, to ensure that each
original paper of Plackett and Burman17 proposes a possible column is balanced, having an even number of high and low
extension to more than two-level designs, but this is not well levels.
known and has not been generalised or used by chemists. The For this design, the construction is very straightforward.
purpose of this paper is to propose methods for generalised Plackett and Burman extended these designs to cases where the
multifactor, multilevel designs that can safely be used by number of factors is much larger. It can be shown that, to obtain
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experimentalists for models of experimental mixtures employed orthogonal two-level designs, N = k 3 22 experiments must be
in multivariate calibration. performed,17 i.e., 4, 8, 12 , etc., where k is any integer. Other
In this paper, we concentrate exclusively on designs for linear related saturated fractional factorial designs can also be
I constructed in this way. The maximum number of factors that
calibration where the model is of the form yˆ = Â
i =1
ai xi . can be studied is no more than N 2 1. Hence, to study 11 factors
at two levels, 12 experiments must be performed.
A number of two-level cyclic generators can be produced for
Interactions and quadratic terms would make the analysis much more than three factors, with interesting properties. The
more complex. mathematical derivation of these generators is outside the scope
of this paper, except to point out that only very specific
Theory sequences are allowed. The aim of this paper is to extend the
reasoning to multilevel designs.
A key concept used in much of the experimental design
literature is that of orthogonality. Two factors are said to be
orthogonal if they have a correlation coefficient of zero. This is Possible Orthogonal Designs
equivalent to stating that the factors span each otherAs mixture It can be shown that, in order to produce an orthogonal design,19
space evenly. In order to have predictions that depend only on the number of experiments must be a multiple of a power of the
the distance from the centre of the design, and to have circular number of levels l, so that N = k lr, where r is at least 2. Setting
and symmetric leverage plots, it is necessary that any combina- k equal to 1 and r to the minimum value, this implies that N =
tion of factors is orthogonal. Below the emphasis will be on l2. Hence for a five-level design, 25 experiments should be
developing orthogonal designs for linear models. performed.
In this paper, we will consider only experiments where the
Two-level Designs number of experiments is equal to the square of the number of
The two-level, three-factor fractional factorial design, as given levels. The maximum number of factors permitted is N 2 1.
in Table 1, is one of the simplest possible multifactor designs. Hence for five levels, 24 factors are permitted. More elaborate
Each column represents a factor and each row an experiment, generators can be proposed for more factors. Hence a 40-factor,
and is often identified as a 23–1 factorial design. This design also five-level design, requires 50 rather than 25 experiments. For
relates to Plackett–Burman designs (strictly, such designs are many typical multivariate calibration experiments, five levels is
used when there are a large number of factors, but many of the sufficient, as there will rarely be more than 24 compounds of
simplest designs have been widely used as a basis for more interest.
sophisticated cases) and has various properties. The first is that It can also be shown that these designs are based on Latin
each level occurs the same number of times in each column, so squares,20,21 and mutually orthogonal Latin squares exist only if
that +1 and 21 occur twice. The second is that each column is the number of levels is a prime number or a power of a prime
orthogonal or uncorrelated. This is an essential property to number, meaning that, whereas such designs exist for two,
ensure that the experimental space is spanned adequately. If two three, four and five levels, they do not exist for six levels, an
factors are not orthogonal the problem of asymmetric predic- important point to note when performing laboratory experi-
tions will occur, as described above. ments. Another theorem is that a maximum of (N 2 1)/(l 2 1)
There are several ways of setting up the design of Table 1. A mutually orthogonal factors are possible, i.e., six for five levels,
simple rule is as follows. five for four levels, and so on. This relates to the nature of the
cyclical permuter. Although this is true for two- to four-level
designs, special circumstances allow up to 12 factors to be
Table 1 Two-level, three-factor fractional factorial design mutually orthogonal for five-level designs, as is shown below.
However, for a four concentration level, 16 experiment, design,
it is possible only to have five compounds that are mutually
orthogonal, and so span each other’s mixture space completely;
for five levels and 25 experiments, up to 12 mutually orthogonal
factors are possible—this will be shown later.
An important feature of all the designs described in this paper
is the relationship between successive columns or factors. The
first experiment is always performed at the same level for all
factors. For example, if there are three factors, and five levels,
then the first experiment will be performed at the same
(generally the middle level) for each of the factors. The
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Analyst, December 1997, Vol. 122 1523

remaining experiments are related by the cyclical permuter. If The four (l 2 1) blocks of five ( = l) experiments are
there are N experiments, then experiment 2 of factor 2 will be at determined by the first block of five experiments as follows.
the same level as experiment 3 of factor 1; experiment 3 of The levels in each block are cyclically shifted from the previous
factor 2 will be at the same level as experiment 4 of factor 1; block by one, using the cyclic generator introduced above.
finally, experiment N of factor 2 will be at the same level as Hence, if the first block (experiments 3–7) is at the levels acdcb,
experiment 2 of factor 1. Note that only experiment 1 is left out the second block will be at levels bdada, since b is shifted by
of these permutations. This can be extended so that experiment one from a, d by one from c, a by one from d, and so on. Hence,
2 of factor 3 is at the same level as experiment 4 of factor 1, for for the generator 22 ? 21 ? 2 ? 1 ? 22, if experiment 3 is
example. Hence rows 2 to N 2 1 can be generated from at level 22, experiment 9 will be at level 21, experiment 15 at
knowing column 1. The design, therefore, is uniquely charac- level 2 and experiment 21 at level 1. This property ensures that
terised by the first column. each level is represented five times over the 25 experiments, so
that each individual compound is measured at each of the five
concentration levels five times, an important prerequisite for a
Development of a Five-level Design
balanced mixture design. Knowing x, the cyclical generator, and
Several steps are required. A generalised treatment is given the levels of experiments 3–7, it is possible to determine the
below, to allow the reader to construct further designs beyond overall design.
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those presented in this paper. The five levels will be indicated The next, and most difficult, aspect is to establish which
by 22, 21, 0, 1 and 2, respectively, representing, for example, combinations of levels are possible for the first block of five
five equally spaced concentrations, the central one coded by the experiments in column 1, and here it is essential to understand
number 0. Twenty-five experiments are necessary and up to 24 the motivations of calibration designs. An ideal design will
possible factors can be included in the design. match experiments at each level for one factor with experiments
The first step is to pick an ‘odd level out’, which will be at all other levels for another factor. For example, the five
referred to as the ‘repeater’ level below. In the original paper by experiments at level 1 for the first factor should correspond to
Plackett and Burman,17 this is the lowest level (22). As we one experiment each at levels 22, 21, 0, 1 and 2 for the second
show below, it is possible to have up to six orthogonal factors factor, to give a design as illustrated in Fig. 5. Because column
using any such repeater level, but it is essential that this level is 1 is shifted vertically against column 2, and so on, vertical
0 (the central level) for more than six successive mutually differences in column 1 become horizontal differences between
orthogonal factors. This is the level at which experiment 1 is columns 1 and 2. Hence if, for example, experiment 7 in column
performed for all of the factors. 1 is at level 21 and experiment 8 at level +1, this also implies
The next step is to produce a cyclic generator for the that experiment 7 is at level 21 for factor 1 and +1 for factor
remaining four levels. A possible generator is of the form 22 ? 2.
21 ? 2 ? 1 ? 22, if the repeater level is 0, as is illustrated Using a generator, it is possible to determine how successive
in Fig. 3. The forward cyclical difference between levels can be levels are related vertically in column 1; as explained above, this
calculated easily. For example, the cyclical difference between then translates into a horizontal relationship between successive
levels 22 and 21 is 1 whereas the cyclical difference between columns or factors or compound concentrations. For example, if
21 and 22 is 3 and between 1 and 2 is likewise 3. Note that the first sequence of five levels (experiments 3–7) is given by
clockwise differences are calculated, and must be in one aacbc, then the cyclical difference between the first two levels
direction only. The significance of this cyclic generator will be is 0. The same difference will be repeated in the second block
discussed below. (experiments 9–13), which will become bbdcd, and so on. The
The first two steps can be generalised by denoting the design can be understood by considering forward cyclical
repeater by x and the other four levels a–d, where the cyclic differences between successive members of each block. In the
generator converts a to b, b to c, c to d and d to a. In the case case cited these can be denoted by a difference vector [0 2 3 1]:
illustrated, x = 0, a = 22, b = 21, and so on. the difference between a and a is 0, between a and c is 2,
The key is to generate the first column of the design matrix, between c and b is 3 and between c and d is 1. This means that
after which all other columns can be generated. The 25 factor 2 will be shifted by these corresponding amounts against
experiments in the first column can be divided into four sets of factor 1, so that for experiments 3, 9, 15 and 21 factors 1 and 2
five experiments and five unique experiments as illustrated in are at the same levels, since the first value of the difference
Fig. 4. The first experiment is a unique experiment at level x, as vector is 0. It should be evident that only cyclic difference
is the second, then comes a block of five experiments, a unique vectors containing all four numbers 0 to 3 (or 0 to l 2 2, where
experiment, and so on. Rows 1 and 2 + j(l + 1) where j = 0–3 l is the number of levels) will generate designs of the form of
(i.e., 2, 8, 14, and 20) are at level x, the repeater. The remaining Fig. 5, since each level must be matched with all other possible
four blocks of five experiments (shaded vertically) are at levels levels only once. Note that level x will take care of itself, owing
a–d. to the nature of the generator. Hence each possible cyclic
difference vector generates a design. For example, a cyclic
difference vector of [1 3 0 2] generates a design of the form

Fig. 3 Possible cyclic generator for a five-level design.

Fig. 4 Arrangement of experiments in the first column of a five-level Fig. 5 An ideal design, where each axis represents the levels of two
design. different factors.
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1524 Analyst, December 1997, Vol. 122

abaac. There are 24 [ = (l 2 1)!] possible cyclic difference The final consideration relates to the nature of the cyclic
vectors. generator. For up to and including six factors, any cyclic
The next step is to determine which of these vectors are generator, including any repeater, can be employed. However, it
acceptable. In order to do this, it is important to consider not is desirable that factors 1 and 7, factors 2 and 8, factors 3 and 9,
only one factor forward cyclical differences but two and more and so on, are also uncorrelated. Whether this is possible
factor differences; these again can be computed simply by depends on the nature of the repeater and cyclic generator.
examining differences between successive experiments for a Every seven factors the repeater level (recommended to be 0)
single factor. For example, if experiments 7 and 9 are performed translates onto itself, and the other levels are shifted cyclically
at levels +1 and 0 for factor 17, then experiment 7 will be by 1, because experiments 9–13 of column 1 contain the same
performed at levels +1 for factors 17 and level 0 for factor 19. sequence of levels as experiments 3–7, simply shifted cyclically
A forward difference matrix can be computed, as follows. If the by one level. Hence if the cyclic generator is 22 ? 21 ? 2 ?
generator is [0 2 3 1], then the cyclical forward difference 1 ? 22, and experiment 3, factor 1, is at level 22, then
between the first and third experiment is 0 + 2 = 2, between the experiment 3 for factor 7 will be at level 21. A graph of levels
second and fourth is 2 + 3 = 5, which because of the cyclicity of factor 1 against levels of factor 7 will consist of the points
becomes 1, and between the third and fifth is 3 + 1 = 4, (22,21), (21,2), (2,1) and (1,22) in addition to the centre
becoming 0 because of cyclicity. Hence the first three point (0,0) and is given in Fig. 6. In all cases a level of 22 in
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differences are given by (gi + gi + 1 mod l 2 1), where gi is the column (factor 1) will correspond to a level of 21 in factor 7,
ith term of the generator, i.e., g1 = 0, g2 = 2 and so on. The final hence each point in Fig. 6 represents five experiments. These
difference is more complex to determine. The first and fifth experiments, however, are still completely uncorrelated. There
members of each block will always have a difference of 2, are only two possible uncorrelated cyclical generators, namely
because (0 + 1 + 2 + 3 mod 4) = 2. Hence if the first member the one described above and the variant 22 ? 1 ? 2 ? 21 ?
of a block is at level b the last will be at level d, for example. The 22. Note that all four levels must be included in the generator
final difference will, however, be increased by a further 1, for a five-level design, so a graph of factor 1 versus factor 2
because it is between the last member of the first block and the containing the points (22,22), (22,2), (2,22) and (2,2),
first member of the second block, which is cyclically shifted by although uncorrelated, is an impossible solution as levels 1 and
a further 1, owing to the nature of the generator. This is easy to 21 must be used, otherwise there will be only three levels (22,
understand. If the first member of a block is at level b, the first 0 and 2) in the design.
member of the next block must be at level c; the forward The equation of leverage for factors 1 versus 2, assuming all
cyclical difference between levels d (the last member of the first other factors are at level 0, is given by h = 0.02x12 + 0.02x22,
block—see above) and c is 3. provided that the designs have been generated as above, using
Similar arguments apply to three, four and five experiment the correct difference vector. Identical equations for leverage
shifts. A difference matrix can be obtained and is given in Table for factors 1 versus 7 are also obtained if one of the two cyclic
2. The diagonals relate to the differences with the repeater level. generators above is employed. Such equations are symmetrical
The columns relate to differences between experiments sepa- in the two factors and hence result in circular and symmetric
rated by j rows; so column 4 represents the differences between confidence limits. Hence the entire mixture space is spanned
experiments 3 and 7, 4 and 8, and so on. The rows simply evenly.
represent the five experiments in each block. Hence row 3 and A cyclic generator of the form 22 ? 1 ? 21 ? 2 ? 22
column 5 represent the forward cyclic difference between does not have this property. Although leverage for factors 1 and
experiments 5 (row 3 corresponds to experiment 5 since row 1 2 is the same as for the other cyclic generator, for factors 1 and
corresponds to experiment 3 or the first experiment in the first 7 this becomes h = 0.1053x12 + 0.1053x22 + 0.1895x1x2 as is
block) and 10 (five experiments later) and equals 3. For the illustrated in Fig. 7. This design clearly behaves in an
sequence of levels aacbc, experiment 5 is level c (since a unsatisfactory manner for seven factors, but works perfectly
corresponds to experiment 3), so experiment 10 will be level b. acceptably when there are only six factors.
This also implies that if experiment 5 of factor 1 is at level c, The importance of a correct cyclical generator for more than
experiment 5 of factor 6 will likewise be at level b. For the six factors cannot be overestimated. Consider, for example, a
cyclic generator 22 ? 21 ? 2 ? 1 ? 22, if experiment 5 for
factor 1 is at level 2 ( = c), then experiment 5 for factor 6 is at
the same level as experiment 10 of factor 1 and is at level 21 ( = Table 3 Difference matrix for a five-level design and the cyclical difference
vector [0 3 2 1]
b).
Extending this reasoning, it is evident that only designs for 0 3 1 2 –
which the five columns of the difference matrix contain the 3 1 2 – 1
numbers 0, 1, 2 and 3 will produce designs which have the 2 3 – 2 2
property that the first six ( = l + 1) columns are mutually 1 — 0 0 3
orthogonal and result in all possible combinations of factor — 3 3 2 0
levels as illustrated in Fig. 5. Table 3 illustrates a generator that
does not result in an orthogonal design. For a five-level design,
only the difference vectors namely [0 2 3 1], [1 3 2 0], [2 0 1 3]
and [3 1 0 2] have the appropriate properties as can be verified
by computing the relevant difference matrices.

Table 2 Difference matrix for a five-level design and the cyclical difference
vector [0 2 3 1]

0 2 1 2 —
2 1 2 — 1
3 0 — 3 3
1 — 0 0 2 Fig. 6 Graph of levels of factor 1 versus levels of factor 7 for a five-level
— 3 3 1 0 correlated design with a cyclic generator of the form 22 ? 21 ? 2 ? 1
? 22.
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Analyst, December 1997, Vol. 122 1525

mixture experiment where factors 1–9 are methanol, acetone, by the difference vector. Factor 2 (column 2) is obtained by
benzene, toluene, tetrahydrofuran, ethanol, hexane, cyclohex- shifting experiments (rows) 2 to 25 by 1, so that row 2 of factor
ane and diethyl ether, respectively. Since factors 1 and 7, 2 and 2 is equivalent to row 3 of factor 1. The 25th experiment of
8, and 3 and 9 are partially correlated, it will happen that at factor 2 corresponds to the second of factor 1. Continue shifting
certain combinations of concentrations of methanol and hexane, to generate 24 possible factors. The 25th factor will be the same
acetone and cyclohexane, and benzene and diethyl ether, the as the first, so different designs are required if more than l2 2 1
model predicts poorly, whereas for all other possible combina- factors are needed. Hence the designs in this paper involve a
tions, the quality of predictions is simply related to distance maximum of 24 possible compounds at five concentration
from the centre of the design. The practical implications are levels.
strong, especially in situations such as process control where it Note that it does not matter whether 22, 21, 1 or 2 is the
may be relied upon to produce a good predictive model over the level of the third experiment for factor 1. This is because each
entire experimental domain. Unexpectedly poor predictions are of the four blocks is related cyclically to each other. It is
often reported as ‘poor performance of algorithms,’ yet they possible to change the order of each of the blocks, and there is
depend in fact in part on the design of the calibration no physical difference if experiments 3–7 are exchanged with
experiments. experiments 9–13. For simplicity, however, it is recommended
Unfortunately, after 12 factors, the two feasible cyclical that experiment 3 is set at the lowest remaining level for factor
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generators become correlated, as two steps of the cycle result in 1, meaning that the first three experiments will normally be at
22 ? ? 2 ? ? 22 and 21 ? ? 1 ? ? 1 for the first of the levels 0, 0 and 22 for this factor.
two possible generators, producing the points (0,0) (the
repeater), (22,2), (2,22), (21,1) and (1,21), with a correlation Corresponding Designs for Two to Four Levels
coefficient of 21, so it is impossible to distinguish the influence
Two levels
of increasing the concentration of factor j from that due to a
decrease in the concentration of factor j + 12. There is no It is easy to see how the design of Table 1 can be generated using
obvious solution to this problem, apart from doubling the the reasoning above. Only two levels, 21 and +1, are possible.
number of experiments to 50, which is likely to be impracticable Selecting the repeater as level 21 generates the first row.
in most situations. A possible answer is to change the nature of Experiment 2, factor 1, is also set at the level of the repeater.
the cyclic generator so that factors n and n + 6 are correlated, but There is only one block which consists of l + 1 ( = 2)
with a correlation coefficient of < 1. A correlation coefficient experiments. The only remaining level is +1, and the only
> 0 but < 1 will then also exist between factors j and j + 12. possible difference vector is [0], hence the first column, which
is simply shifted against the other columns.
It is possible only to study only 22 2 1 = 3 factors by this
Summary of Construction of a Five-level Design
means, all of which are mutually orthogonal and span each
The considerations above provide information on how to set up other’s mixture space, as can readily be verified.
a five-level design, with 25 experiments and up to 24 factors (or
compounds): Three levels
(i) Select a repeater level, recommended to be 0. For between
In this case, if the levels are denoted 21, 0 and +1, the most
7 and 12 factors it is essential that this is 0.
appropriate repeater is 0. There will be nine experiments and
(ii) Select a cyclical generator for the remaining levels. Only
hence up to eight possible factors. In the first column, rows 1, 2
two possible cyclical generators, namely 22 ? 21 ? 2 ? 1 ?
and 6 will consist of the repeater (0). There is only one possible
22 and 22 ? 1 ? 2 ? 21 ? 22 have the property that
cyclic generator, namely 21 ? 1 ? 21, which is identical
factors j and j + l + 1 are uncorrelated. For less than seven
with 1 ? 21 ? 1. There are two blocks, each consisting of
factors, the order of this generator is not relevant. Note that for
three experiments.
more than 12 factors, other considerations may need to be taken
There are two possible difference vectors, namely [0 1] and
into account.
[1 0]. Both vectors generate acceptable mutually orthogonal
(iii) Select a difference vector. Only the four vectors
design matrices only for four factors.
[0 2 3 1], [1 3 2 0], [2 0 1 3] and [3 1 0 2] guarantee that six
Unfortunately, it is not possible to obtain an uncorrelated
successive factors are mutually orthogonal and also each level
cyclic generator. Hence factors 1 and 5, 2 and 6, 3 and 7, and 4
of each factor has a corresponding experiment with each level of
and 8 will be completely correlated. This implies, that using a
every other factor, for six successive factors.
three-level design, it is impossible in nine experiments to
(iv) Then generate the design. The entire first experiment is at
distinguish the influence of these pairs of factors or compounds
the repeater level for each factor. Experiments 2, 8, 14 and 20
on a system. The solution is to perform more experiments (e.g.,
are at the repeater level for factor 1. The blocks corresponding
18) at three levels, or to increase the number of levels. Note that
to experiments 3–7, 9–13, 15–19 and 21–25 for factor 1 are
for four levels only 16 experiments are necessary.
related by the cyclical generator and within each block related
Four levels
In this case, there are 16 experiments and a maximum of 15
factors are allowed. For the first factor, the first experiment will
consist of the repeater, as will experiments 2, 7 and 12. The
remaining experiments will be divided into blocks of four.
The levels will be denoted by 22, 21, +1 and +2 (note that
it is normally recommended that the middle levels are evenly
spaced, although provided that the spacing is symmetric above
and below the centre of the design, circular leverage and
confidence plots will be obtained). One level must be picked as
a repeater. In this paper, we pick level 22, but any other
Fig. 7 (a) Graph of levels of factors 1 and 7 for a five-level design using possibility can be proposed.
the cyclic generator 22 ? 1 ? 21 ? 2 ? 22. (b) Graph of leverage The difference vectors [0 2 1] and [1 2 0] are both acceptable
corresponding to (a), contour levels 0.4, 0.8 and 1.2. for five successive factors to be mutually orthogonal. There are
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1526 Analyst, December 1997, Vol. 122

3! = 6 possible difference vectors, and the remaining four are properties, the designs generated simply by replacing relevant
not acceptable. numbers in the table, but maintaining the difference vector. One
There is no cyclic generator for the remaining three levels interesting feature of the four-level designs is that the non-
after the repeater has been removed that will lead to factors 1 orthogonal columns are not completely correlated, unlike in the
and 6, 2 and 7, etc. being orthogonal, and either of the possible case of the three-level designs, the correlation coefficient
generators 21 ? 1 ? 2 ? 21 or 21 ? 2 ? 1 ? 21 is equally between such columns being < 1. This implies that it is possible
as good. However, factors j and j + 5 do not have a correlation to distinguish partially the effect of all compounds from each
coefficient of !1, so some information to distinguish these other, even if more than five components are studied in a
factors will be available. Nevertheless, if it is desired to study mixture, and represents a substantial improvement from a three-
more than five factors, it is probably preferable to change to a level design. However, the user should take the confounding
five-level design, where up to 24 factors can be studied.

Results and Discussion Table 4 Three-level calibration designs

This paper contains some design tables for three- to five-level (a) Difference vector [1 0]
calibration experiments. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Table 4 presents the two possible three-level calibration 21 1 1 0 1 21 21 0


designs. Note that any four successive columns are orthogonal 1 1 0 1 21 21 0 2
1 0 1 21 21 0 21 1
and completely span the calibration space, whereas columns 1
0 1 21 21 0 21 1 1
and 5, 2 and 6, etc., are correlated with correlation coefficients 1 21 21 0 21 1 1 0
of 21. It is, therefore, impossible to distinguish the effects of 21 21 0 21 1 1 0 1
these factors from each other using nine experiments. Extension 21 0 21 1 1 0 1 21
to 18 experiments (not reported here) would seem excessive, 0 21 1 1 0 1 21 21
and it is preferable to increase the number of levels. It is possible (b) Difference vector [0 1]
to have any numbers as the repeater or within the blocks, the 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
only constraint being the sequence as dictated by the difference 21 21 1 0 1 1 21 0
vector, so further designs can be generating simply by replacing 21 1 0 1 1 21 0 21
each unique level in the table by a different unique level. 1 0 1 1 21 0 21 21
Four-level designs are given in Table 5 for the two possible 0 1 1 21 0 21 21 1
difference vectors. Note, again, that columns 1 and 6, 2 and 7 1 1 21 0 21 21 1 0
1 21 0 21 21 1 0 1
etc. are no longer uncorrelated. In Table 4, the repeater is set at
21 0 21 21 1 0 1 1
22 and the cyclic generator at 21 ? 1 ? 2 ? 21. However, 0 21 21 1 0 1 1 21
all and every other possibility can be proposed without loss of

Table 5 Four-level calibration designs

(a) Difference vector [0 2 1]


22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22
22 21 21 2 21 22 1 1 21 1 22 2 2 1 2
21 21 2 21 22 1 1 21 1 22 2 2 1 2 22
21 2 21 22 1 1 21 1 22 2 2 1 2 22 21
2 21 22 1 1 21 1 22 2 2 1 2 22 21 21
21 22 1 1 21 1 22 2 2 1 2 22 21 21 2
22 1 1 21 1 22 2 2 1 2 22 21 21 2 21
1 1 21 1 22 2 2 1 2 22 21 21 2 21 22
1 21 1 22 2 2 1 2 22 2 21 2 21 22 1
21 1 22 2 2 1 2 22 21 21 2 21 22 1 1
1 22 2 2 1 2 22 21 21 2 21 22 1 1 21
22 2 2 1 2 22 21 21 2 21 22 1 1 21 1
2 2 1 2 22 21 21 2 21 22 1 1 21 1 22
2 1 2 22 21 21 2 21 22 1 1 21 1 22 2
1 2 22 21 21 2 21 22 1 1 21 1 22 2 2
2 22 21 21 2 21 22 1 1 21 1 22 2 2 1
(b) Difference vector [1 2 0]
22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22
22 21 1 21 21 22 1 2 1 1 22 2 21 2 2
21 1 21 21 22 1 2 1 1 22 2 21 2 2 22
1 21 21 22 1 2 1 1 22 2 21 2 2 22 21
21 21 22 1 2 1 1 22 2 21 2 2 22 21 1
21 22 1 2 1 1 22 2 21 2 2 22 21 1 21
22 1 2 1 1 22 2 21 2 2 22 21 1 21 21
1 2 1 1 22 2 21 2 2 22 21 1 21 21 22
2 1 1 22 2 21 2 2 22 21 1 21 21 22 1
1 1 22 2 21 2 2 22 21 1 21 21 22 1 2
1 22 2 21 2 2 22 21 1 21 21 22 1 2 1
22 2 21 2 2 22 21 1 21 21 22 1 2 1 1
2 21 2 2 22 21 1 21 21 22 1 2 1 1 22
21 2 2 22 21 1 21 21 22 1 2 1 1 22 2
2 2 22 21 1 21 21 22 1 2 1 1 22 2 21
2 22 21 1 21 21 22 1 2 1 1 22 2 21 2
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Analyst, December 1997, Vol. 122 1527

Table 6 Five-level calibration designs, using cyclic generator 22 ? 1 ? 2 ? 1 ? 22 and repeater of 0

(a) Difference vector [0 2 3 1]


0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21
22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0
22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22
2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22
21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2
2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21
0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2
21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0
21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21
1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21
2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1
1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2
0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1
2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0
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2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2
22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2
1 22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22
22 0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1
0 1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22
1 1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0
1 21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1
21 22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1
22 21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21
21 0 22 22 2 21 2 0 21 21 1 2 1 0 2 2 22 1 22 0 1 1 21 22
(b) Difference vector [1 3 2 0]
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21
22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0
21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22
22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 20 22 21
2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22
2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2
0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2
21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0
2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21
21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2
1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21
1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1
0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1
2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0
1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2
2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1
22 22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2
22 0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22
0 1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22
1 22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0
22 1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1
1 21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22
21 21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1
21 0 22 21 22 2 2 0 21 2 21 1 1 0 2 1 2 22 22 0 1 22 1 21
(c) Difference vector [2 0 1 3]
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21
22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0
2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22
2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2
1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2
2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1
0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2
21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0
1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21
1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1
22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1
1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22
0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1
2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0
22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2
22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22
21 22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22
22 0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21
continued over—
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1528 Analyst, December 1997, Vol. 122

Table 6—continued

0 1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22
1 21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0
21 21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1
21 2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21
2 21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21
21 0 22 2 2 1 2 0 21 1 1 22 1 0 2 22 22 21 22 0 1 21 21 2
(d) Difference vector [3 1 0 2]
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21
22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0
1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22
22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1
22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22
2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22
0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2
21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0
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22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21
21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22
21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21
1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21
0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1
2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0
21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2
2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21
2 22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2
22 0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2
0 1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22
1 2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0
2 1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1
1 1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2
1 21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1
21 0 22 1 22 22 2 0 21 22 21 21 1 0 2 21 2 2 22 0 1 2 1 1

scheme into consideration when interpreting results from these ability is then explored. However, the nature of the calibration
partially confounded designs. set used to produce the model is essential to the resultant
The four possible five-level designs are given in Table 6 confidence in the predictions.
using the cyclic generator 22 ? 21 ? 2 ? 1 ? 22, and the The tables in this paper provide guidance as to the use of a
four possible difference vectors. Note that very similar designs useful class of multivariate calibration designs. It is recom-
can be obtained using the cyclic generator 22 ? 1 ? 2 ? 21 mended that up to 12 factors, five level mixture designs are
? 22, simply by replacing 21 by +1 throughout the tables. It employed. Beyond 12 factors, either the number of levels or the
is important to recognise that the order of levels does, in this number of experiments must be increased. Theory suggests that
case, have some significance, and an inferior design may be it is impossible to obtain basic properties unless the number of
obtained by simply swapping the levels around. However, it is levels is either a prime number or a power of a prime number,
essential to recognise that only 12 successive factors are so that a six-level design is not feasible. Extension to a seven-
mutually orthogonal, and span each other’s calibration space level design results in at least 49 experiments; extending the
symmetrically. The 13th factor has a correlation of 21 with the five-level design to 50 experiments is complex and not reported
first factor, and so on for pairs of factors j and j + 12. The only in this paper, but is an alternative.
way to overcome this and still perform 25 experiments is by
changing the cyclic generator, which will result in some D. A. Cirovic is thanked for helping in the initial literature
correlation and asymmetry in predictions between factors j and survey.
j + 6, but factors j and j + 12 will no longer be indistinguishable.
For example, a cyclic generator of the form 22 ? 2 ? 1 ? 21
? 22 results in a correlation coefficient between factors 1 and References
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Analyst, December 1997, Vol. 122 1529

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