KS CD2 All Results

KS Gov Survey
Conducted 7/30-8/2/18
1,546 Respondents
Likely 2018 GOP Primary Voters
Margin of Error: +/- 2.42
Response Rate: 1.25%
Confidence: 95%
Response Distribution: 50%
 Trump Approval

Approve 44.8%

Strongly Approve 24.3%

Disapprove 5.6%

Strongly Disapprove 22.7%

No Opinion 2.6%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Column %
 Gov Ballot Test

Jim Barnett 11.4%

Jeff Colyer 36.2%

Kris Kobach 43.3%

Patrick Kucera 1.4%

Tyler Ruzich 1.1%

Ken Selzer 5.3%

Joseph Tutera 1.3%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Column %
 AGE RANGE

18-35 4.8%

36-45 7.2%

46-55 13.8%

56-61 14.6%

62+ 59.6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Column %
 GENDER

Male 48.9%

Female 50.1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Column %
 ETHNICITY

Asian 0.6%

Black 1.1%

Hispanic 5.9%

White 92.6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Column %
 Methodology
Voters were selected at random from a list of registered Republican voters based on specific election
participation, registration date, demographics, geographics, and consumer information. In excess of
80,000 households were contacted over the duration of the poll.

Automated voice response technology was used in order to identify and compensate for possible
social desirability bias through a stratified process that insures appropriate geographic representation.
These calls were placed from 10:00am to 8:30pm local time from Monday, July 30th though Thursday,
August 2nd. Digital surveys were used as well to enrich the voter sample.

Survey results undergo a weighting process to ensure the sample is comparable to the demographic
breakdown of expected 2018 Kansas Republican primary participants. Undecideds are discarded or
attributed as a part of the weighting process. Final results are based on these weights in order to
address non-response bias.
Age Ranges Crosstab

August 4, 2018

Generated by MarketSight®
Age Ranges Crosstab Generated: August 4, 2018

Table of Contents

Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 Trump Approval † * How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is Handling is job as President?
4 Gov Ballot Test † * If the republican primary election for Governor was held today, for whom would you vote?

* Denotes variable with statistically significant findings

† Indicates variable-specific weighting
2
Age Ranges Crosstab Generated: August 4, 2018

Trump Approval †
How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is Handling is job as President?

AGE RANGE
18-35 36-45 46-55 56-61 62+
Total (A) (B) (C) (D) (E)
*
Approve
Column % 48.2% 49.9% 40.6% 43.1% 42.0% 50.7%
BCD
Strongly Approve
Column % 25.0% 24.7% 34.7% 28.6% 32.4% 22.1%
E E E
Disapprove
Column % 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 3.3% 5.3% 6.0%

Strongly Disapprove
Column % 19.4% 21.2% 20.4% 23.3% 18.4% 18.9%

No Opinion
Column % 2.0% 0.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2%

* Statistically significant result within this Column Variable at 95%

Significant Difference within Groups: ABCDEF. Upper case at 95%

Weight Variable = Gov Ballot Test Weighted

3
Age Ranges Crosstab Generated: August 4, 2018

Gov Ballot Test †

If the republican primary election for Governor was held today, for whom would you vote?

AGE RANGE
18-35 36-45 46-55 56-61 62+
Total (A) (B) (C) (D) (E)
*
Jim Barnett
Column % 11.4% 22.0% 8.3% 8.6% 11.0% 11.8%
BCDE
Jeff Colyer
Column % 36.2% 22.6% 40.9% 44.5% 30.1% 36.2%
AD ADE AD
Kris Kobach
Column % 43.3% 50.6% 41.7% 37.3% 49.3% 42.9%
CE
Patrick Kucera
Column % 1.4% 0.0% 2.0% 3.4% 0.3% 1.3%
DE D
Tyler Ruzich
Column % 1.1% 0.0% 1.2% 0.7% 3.0% 0.8%
CE
Ken Selzer
Column % 5.3% 4.9% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 5.7%

Joseph Tutera
Column % 1.3% 0.0% 2.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2%

* Statistically significant result within this Column Variable at 95%

Significant Difference within Groups: ABCDEF. Upper case at 95%

Weight Variable = Gov Ballot Test Weighted

4
Congressional District Crosstab

August 4, 2018

Generated by MarketSight®
Congressional District Crosstab Generated: August 4, 2018

Table of Contents

Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 Trump Approval * How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is Handling is job as President?
4 Gov Ballot Test † * If the republican primary election for Governor was held today, for whom would you vote?

* Denotes variable with statistically significant findings

† Indicates variable-specific weighting
2
Congressional District Crosstab Generated: August 4, 2018

Trump Approval
How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is Handling is job as President?

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4
Total (A) (B) (C) (D)
*
Approve
Column % 48.6% 50.2% 43.2% 47.7% 49.9%
B B
Strongly Approve
Column % 24.9% 27.2% 24.8% 25.4% 22.2%
D
Disapprove
Column % 5.4% 5.6% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2%

Strongly Disapprove
Column % 19.5% 14.0% 27.1% 22.4% 20.3%
AD A A
No Opinion
Column % 1.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0% 1.4%
BCD C

* Statistically significant result within this Column Variable at 95%

Significant Difference within Groups: ABCDE. Upper case at 95%

Weight Variable = Gov Ballot Test Weighted

3
Congressional District Crosstab Generated: August 4, 2018

Gov Ballot Test †

If the republican primary election for Governor was held today, for whom would you vote?

CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT
CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4
Total (A) (B) (C) (D)
*
Jim Barnett
Column % 11.4% 9.1% 16.3% 9.1% 12.5%
AC A
Jeff Colyer
Column % 36.1% 39.0% 33.9% 38.1% 32.7%
D
Kris Kobach
Column % 43.3% 42.8% 39.9% 44.0% 45.3%

Patrick Kucera
Column % 1.4% 1.3% 2.5% 1.5% 0.9%
D
Tyler Ruzich
Column % 1.1% 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 1.0%

Ken Selzer
Column % 5.4% 6.1% 4.8% 3.6% 5.8%

Joseph Tutera
Column % 1.3% 0.8% 0.9% 2.3% 1.7%
A

* Statistically significant result within this Column Variable at 95%

Significant Difference within Groups: ABCDE. Upper case at 95%

Weight Variable = Gov Ballot Test Weighted

4
Gov Ballot Test Crosstab

August 4, 2018

Generated by MarketSight®
Gov Ballot Test Crosstab Generated: August 4, 2018

Table of Contents

Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 AGE RANGE † * Age
4 Trump Approval * How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is Handling is job as President?

* Denotes variable with statistically significant findings

† Indicates variable-specific weighting
2
Gov Ballot Test Crosstab Generated: August 4, 2018

AGE RANGE †
Age

Gov Ballot Test

Patrick
Jim Barnett Jeff Colyer Kris Kobach Kucera Tyler Ruzich Ken Selzer Joseph Tutera
Total (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G)
*
18-35
Column % 4.5% 8.4% 2.7% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 4.1% 0.0%
BC B
36-45
Column % 6.9% 5.1% 8.0% 6.8% 10.0% 7.6% 4.6% 13.3%

46-55
Column % 13.2% 10.1% 16.6% 11.6% 32.1% 8.2% 10.7% 14.3%
AC ABCEF
56-61
Column % 14.9% 14.1% 12.3% 16.7% 2.9% 39.7% 14.0% 17.4%
BD ABCDF
62+
Column % 60.5% 62.3% 60.4% 59.8% 55.0% 44.6% 66.6% 55.1%
E E

* Statistically significant result within this Column Variable at 95%

Significant Difference within Groups: ABCDEFGH. Upper case at 95%

Weight Variable = Corrected Weighted Ages

3
Gov Ballot Test Crosstab Generated: August 4, 2018

Trump Approval
How do you feel about the way Donald Trump is Handling is job as President?

Gov Ballot Test

Patrick
Jim Barnett Jeff Colyer Kris Kobach Kucera Tyler Ruzich Ken Selzer Joseph Tutera
Total (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G)
*
Approve
Column % 47.6% 24.0% 43.4% 59.6% 40.0% 13.1% 40.4% 26.7%
AE ABDEFG E AE
Strongly Approve
Column % 25.8% 9.1% 19.3% 36.6% 16.9% 23.0% 18.5% 12.3%
A ABDFG A A
Disapprove
Column % 5.2% 10.6% 6.9% 1.9% 5.6% 0.0% 10.6% 4.8%
C C C
Strongly Disapprove
Column % 19.4% 55.0% 27.5% 1.3% 31.9% 41.4% 27.5% 56.2%
BCDF C C C C BCF
No Opinion
Column % 1.9% 1.3% 2.9% 0.7% 5.6% 22.4% 3.0% 0.0%
C ABCF

* Statistically significant result within this Column Variable at 95%

Significant Difference within Groups: ABCDEFGH. Upper case at 95%

Weight Variable = Corrected Weighted Ages

4
Trump Approval vs Gov Ballot Test

August 4, 2018

Generated by MarketSight®
Trump Approval vs Gov Ballot Test Generated: August 4, 2018

Table of Contents

Uncategorized Variables
Page Variable
3 Gov Ballot Test † * If the republican primary election for Governor was held today, for whom would you vote?

* Denotes variable with statistically significant findings

† Indicates variable-specific weighting
2
Trump Approval vs Gov Ballot Test Generated: August 4, 2018

Gov Ballot Test †

If the republican primary election for Governor was held today, for whom would you vote?

Trump Approval
Strongly
Approve Strongly Approve Disapprove Disapprove No Opinion
Total (A) (B) (C) (D) (E)
*
Jim Barnett
Column % 11.2% 5.7% 3.9% 22.2% 31.6% 8.0%
ABE ABCE
Jeff Colyer
Column % 36.2% 33.5% 26.4% 49.3% 50.3% 52.7%
B AB AB AB
Kris Kobach
Column % 43.8% 54.5% 63.7% 14.8% 2.6% 16.9%
CDE ACDE D D
Patrick Kucera
Column % 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 3.9%

Tyler Ruzich
Column % 0.9% 0.2% 0.7% 0.0% 2.0% 10.4%
A ABCD
Ken Selzer
Column % 5.4% 4.5% 3.9% 10.8% 8.0% 8.1%
AB AB
Joseph Tutera
Column % 1.3% 0.7% 0.6% 1.3% 3.7% 0.0%
AB

* Statistically significant result within this Column Variable at 95%

Significant Difference within Groups: ABCDEF. Upper case at 95%

Weight Variable = Gov Ballot Test Weighted