128 River Cove Circle ♦ St.

Augustine, Florida 32086 ♦ (904) 584-2020

Survey Overview

Dixie Strategies is pleased to present the results of this public opinion survey. This section
outlines the research techniques used in gathering the information presented in this report. The
project director for this study was Jon Woodard, and he was assisted by general staff support.
This report contains the results of a telephone survey of N= 519 “likely” voters in the State of
Texas. Responses to this survey were gathered September 6-7, 2018.

Dixie Strategies’ polling is conducted by automated dialing services for landline phones and live
calls for cellular phones. The model for this survey was created using a modeling software
package specifically designed for Dixie Strategies, using a combination of random and stratified
sampling. All respondents interviewed in this study were part of a fully representative sample
based on the latest voter registration figures and turnout models built using recent election data.
The confidence interval associated with a sample of this type is such that 95% of the time results
will be within the margin of error of the “true values” where “true values” refers to the results
obtained if it were possible to interview every “likely” voter in the state.

Editing, coding, and computer processing of the data was done at the St. Augustine, FL office of
Dixie Strategies. The computer tabulation was produced using a software program specifically
designed for Dixie Strategies and verified by Dixie Strategies staff members for accuracy.

Survey date = September 6-7, 2018

Sample Size = 519 likely voters

Margin of Error = ± 4.3%

Confidence level = 95%

 What is your opinion of President Donald Trump?
Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Very Favorable 39.50% 7.75% 72.77% 27.06% 31.25% 50.85% 37.45% 42.86% 44.28% 37.90%
Somewhat Favorable 11.92% 4.23% 18.30% 11.76% 18.75% 13.56% 12.74% 13.64% 12.90% 13.71%
Somewhat Unfavorable 8.92% 12.68% 2.98% 16.47% 6.25% 5.93% 10.42% 7.14% 8.80% 9.68%
Very Unfavorable 36.74% 71.13% 5.53% 40.00% 31.25% 27.54% 35.14% 31.82% 31.38% 34.68%
Undecided 2.92% 4.23% 0.43% 4.71% 12.50% 2.12% 4.25% 4.55% 2.64% 4.03%

What is your opinion of Senator Ted Cruz?

Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Very Favorable 34.41% 4.26% 64.66% 25.30% 31.25% 38.30% 37.65% 34.64% 39.47% 38.52%
Somewhat Favorable 18.03% 7.09% 26.29% 19.28% 31.25% 26.81% 13.33% 20.92% 19.29% 17.21%
Somewhat Unfavorable 14.23% 21.99% 4.74% 22.89% 6.25% 9.36% 16.86% 14.38% 12.76% 15.57%
Very Unfavorable 29.58% 60.28% 3.02% 30.12% 18.75% 23.40% 27.06% 24.84% 25.52% 25.41%
Undecided 3.75% 6.38% 1.29% 2.41% 12.50% 2.13% 5.10% 5.23% 2.97% 3.28%

What is your opinion of Congressman Beto O’Rourke?

Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Very Favorable 29.47% 58.78% 8.93% 18.29% 12.50% 24.22% 25.61% 27.08% 24.00% 34.19%
Somewhat Favorable 16.02% 19.85% 11.16% 20.73% 12.50% 13.00% 17.89% 14.58% 16.00% 11.97%
Somewhat Unfavorable 11.07% 2.29% 17.86% 13.41% 12.50% 13.90% 11.38% 11.11% 13.23% 11.97%
Very Unfavorable 22.51% 3.05% 38.84% 24.39% 25.00% 30.49% 19.92% 29.17% 23.08% 27.35%
Undecided 20.92% 16.03% 23.21% 23.17% 37.50% 18.39% 25.20% 18.06% 23.69% 14.53%

If the election for US Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?:
Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Ted Cruz 45.87% 6.11% 83.33% 39.51% 46.67% 59.28% 44.03% 48.95% 52.34% 49.14%
Beto O’Rourke 41.74% 85.50% 5.41% 38.27% 26.67% 31.22% 38.68% 38.46% 33.64% 39.66%
Neil M. Dikeman 1.28% 0.76% 0.45% 2.47% 13.33% 2.26% 1.23% 2.10% 1.56% 0.86%
Undecided 11.11% 7.63% 10.81% 19.75% 13.33% 7.24% 16.05% 10.49% 12.46% 10.34%
 What is your opinion of Governor Greg Abbott?
Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Very Favorable 44.39% 11.63% 78.54% 32.50% 33.33% 54.59% 43.33% 49.30% 48.42% 46.90%
Somewhat Favorable 15.79% 12.40% 15.07% 26.25% 13.33% 16.51% 15.83% 12.68% 17.72% 17.70%
Somewhat Unfavorable 11.54% 20.93% 2.28% 15.00% 6.67% 7.80% 12.92% 11.27% 10.13% 15.93%
Very Unfavorable 22.85% 46.51% 2.74% 21.25% 20.00% 19.27% 18.75% 21.13% 18.04% 16.81%
Undecided 5.43% 8.53% 1.37% 5.00% 26.67% 1.83% 9.17% 5.63% 5.70% 2.65%

What is your opinion of former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez?

Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Very Favorable 15.41% 29.84% 5.09% 10.53% 6.67% 12.50% 13.16% 16.55% 11.15% 15.79%
Somewhat Favorable 18.04% 23.39% 11.57% 23.68% 13.33% 15.74% 17.54% 13.67% 18.03% 21.05%
Somewhat Unfavorable 9.32% 9.68% 9.72% 9.21% 0.00% 10.19% 9.21% 12.95% 8.20% 13.16%
Very Unfavorable 16.31% 3.23% 27.31% 17.11% 20.00% 25.00% 12.28% 17.27% 19.02% 28.95%
Undecided 40.92% 33.87% 46.30% 39.47% 60.00% 36.57% 47.81% 39.57% 43.61% 21.05%

If the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?:
Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Greg Abbott 52.79% 8.94% 91.55% 53.25% 50.00% 66.35% 53.71% 57.25% 60.93% 58.41%
Lupe Valdez 33.91% 75.61% 2.82% 23.38% 7.14% 25.12% 29.26% 28.99% 26.49% 30.09%
Mark Jay Tippetts 1.35% 0.81% 0.47% 2.60% 14.29% 1.42% 1.31% 1.45% 1.32% 1.77%
Undecided 11.96% 14.63% 5.16% 20.78% 28.57% 7.11% 15.72% 12.32% 11.26% 9.73%

If the election for Lieutenant Governor were held today, for whom would you vote?:
Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Dan Patrick 45.05% 5.74% 86.85% 29.73% 25.00% 58.37% 44.89% 49.63% 52.17% 42.86%
Mike Collier 39.21% 81.97% 2.82% 39.19% 16.67% 28.23% 35.56% 31.11% 32.44% 39.29%
Kerry Douglas McKennon 2.24% 0.82% 1.41% 5.41% 16.67% 3.35% 1.78% 2.22% 2.68% 3.57%
Undecided 13.50% 11.48% 8.92% 25.68% 41.67% 10.05% 17.78% 17.04% 12.71% 14.29%
 If the election for Attorney General were held today, for whom would you vote?:
Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Ken Paxton 45.17% 5.04% 86.73% 29.73% 41.67% 57.77% 47.06% 48.89% 53.77% 47.75%
Justin Nelson 38.58% 83.19% 2.84% 31.08% 25.00% 27.18% 34.39% 32.59% 30.14% 37.84%
Michael Ray Harris 1.75% 0.00% 0.47% 9.46% 0.00% 2.43% 1.36% 2.22% 1.71% 0.00%
Undecided 14.49% 11.76% 9.95% 29.73% 33.33% 12.62% 17.19% 16.30% 14.38% 14.41%

If the election for Land Commissioner were held today, for whom would you vote?:
Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
George P. Bush 45.63% 11.67% 83.98% 27.03% 25.00% 54.46% 46.82% 48.12% 51.56% 49.09%
Miguel Suazo 29.82% 67.50% 0.97% 17.57% 33.33% 22.77% 24.55% 21.05% 24.91% 28.18%
Matt Pina 3.03% 0.00% 2.43% 12.16% 0.00% 3.96% 3.64% 6.02% 2.77% 3.64%
Undecided 21.52% 20.83% 12.62% 43.24% 41.67% 18.81% 25.00% 24.81% 20.76% 19.09%

What issue most concerns you this election cycle?:

Overall Democrats Republicans NPA 3rd Party Male Female Under 65 Over 65 DFW
Jobs and the Economy 10.62% 9.48% 11.56% 6.85% 41.67% 9.90% 11.79% 10.45% 11.07% 13.89%
Illegal Immigration and Border Security 33.11% 6.90% 59.80% 31.51% 8.33% 43.56% 31.60% 34.33% 38.93% 34.26%
Healthcare 26.12% 45.69% 11.06% 23.29% 25.00% 17.82% 29.25% 23.13% 23.93% 19.44%
Education 9.59% 12.93% 4.52% 15.07% 16.67% 8.42% 10.38% 11.19% 8.57% 15.74%
Environment 3.99% 7.76% 0.50% 5.48% 0.00% 3.96% 3.77% 2.99% 4.29% 3.70%
Rising Property Taxes 7.36% 5.17% 4.52% 10.96% 0.00% 5.94% 5.19% 6.72% 5.00% 4.63%
Government Spending & National Debt 6.87% 10.34% 4.52% 5.48% 8.33% 5.94% 6.60% 8.96% 5.00% 4.63%
National Security and Military 2.35% 1.72% 3.52% 1.37% 0.00% 4.46% 1.42% 2.24% 3.21% 3.70%