Civiqs For Daily Kos: Supreme Court Survey (Sept. 2018)

Daily Kos
National Supreme Court survey

September 2018
Overview
This report contains the results of a survey of 2139 adults in the United States from September 29-30,
2018. The survey was conducted online, among selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Sampled
individuals were emailed by Civiqs and responded using a personalized link to the survey at civiqs.com.
The survey results are weighted by age, race, gender, education, and party identification to be
representative of the population of adults in the United States. The general design effect due to
weighting is 1.07. The survey has a margin of error of ±2.2% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for
the design effect. All survey results in this report are reported as percentages.
Contact
For more information, please contact Drew Linzer (drew@civiqs.com), Chief Scientist, Civiqs.
More information about Civiqs can be found online at civiqs.com/methodology.
Topline Results
1. How much have you heard about President Trump's nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to
the U.S. Supreme Court?
A lot 93%
A little 6%
Nothing at all 1%
2. Do you support or oppose the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court?
Support 44%
Oppose 50%
Neither support nor oppose 3%
Unsure 3%
3. Did you watch the Senate Judiciary Committee hearings with Brett Kavanaugh and
Christine Blasey Ford on Thursday?
Yes, all of it 35%

Yes, some of it 46%
No, but I heard about it after 17%
No, I didn't watch or hear about it 2%
Unsure 0%
4. College professor Christine Blasey Ford has accused Supreme Court nominee Brett
Kavanaugh of sexually assaulting her at a party when they were both in high school.
From what you have seen or heard, do you find Christine Blasey Ford credible?
Yes, credible 51%

No, not credible 40%
I don't know 9%
5. Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh denies the accusations made by college
professor Christine Blasey Ford. From what you have seen or heard, do you find Brett
Kavanaugh credible?
Yes, credible 45%

No, not credible 46%
I don't know 8%
6. Between Christine Blasey Ford and Brett Kavanaugh, who do you believe more?
Christine Blasey Ford 49%

Brett Kavanaugh 44%
Both equally 3%
Neither 1%
Unsure 3%
7. Do you think the Senate Judiciary Committee has treated Brett Kavanaugh:
Fairly 43%
Unfairly 43%
Unsure 14%
Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 2 / 20

8. Do you think the Senate Judiciary Committee has treated Christine Blasey Ford:
Fairly 52%
Unfairly 35%
Unsure 14%
9. Do you support or oppose further FBI investigation of claims against Brett

Kavanaugh?
Support 56%
Oppose 32%
Neither support nor oppose 10%
Unsure 2%
10. Would you be more or less likely to support re-electing your state’s U.S. Senators
if they vote to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court?
More likely 37%

Less likely 49%
It would have no effect 12%
Unsure 3%
11. Do you think President Trump should withdraw his nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to
the Supreme Court?
Yes, withdraw 48%

No, do not withdraw 47%
Unsure 4%
12. Do you think Brett Kavanaugh should withdraw himself from being considered for the
Supreme Court?
Yes, withdraw 49%

No, do not withdraw 47%
Unsure 4%
13. Overall, how much trust and confidence do you have in the United States Supreme
Court?
A great deal 22%

A fair amount 44%
Not very much 26%
None at all 5%
Unsure 4%
14. If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were held today, would you vote
for the:
Democratic candidate 48%

Republican candidate 43%
Someone else 3%
Unsure 6%

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as
president?
Approve 44%
Disapprove 52%
Neither approve nor disapprove 4%

Crosstabs
1. How much have you heard about President Trump's nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to
the U.S. Supreme Court?
Total Democrat Republican Independent Female Male

A lot 93% 93% 92% 92% 92% 93%
A little 6% 5% 7% 7% 6% 6%
Nothing at all 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other

A lot 93% 88% 93% 94% 96% 93% 91% 95% 91%
A little 6% 9% 6% 6% 3% 6% 7% 3% 8%
Nothing at all 1% 3% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2%
Total Non-College College grad Postgrad

A lot 93% 92% 94% 97%
A little 6% 7% 5% 3%
Nothing at all 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total Midwest Northeast South West

A lot 93% 91% 93% 94% 93%
A little 6% 9% 6% 5% 7%
Nothing at all 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Total Support Kav Oppose Kav Kav Credible Ford Credible

A lot 93% 94% 96% 94% 96%
A little 6% 6% 4% 6% 3%
Nothing at all 1% 0% 0% 0% 1%

2. Do you support or oppose the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court?

Support 44% 5% 88% 48% 40% 49%
Oppose 50% 90% 7% 45% 54% 45%
Neither support nor oppose 3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 4%
Unsure 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2%

Support 44% 31% 43% 50% 51% 46% 23% 43% 57%
Oppose 50% 58% 52% 46% 45% 49% 72% 47% 38%
Neither support nor oppose 3% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5% 3%
Unsure 3% 5% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 4% 2%

Support 44% 47% 41% 32%
Oppose 50% 46% 56% 62%
Neither support nor oppose 3% 3% 2% 3%
Unsure 3% 3% 2% 2%

Support 44% 42% 45% 45% 46%
Oppose 50% 50% 49% 50% 49%
Neither support nor oppose 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Unsure 3% 4% 2% 2% 2%

Support 44% 100% 0% 95% 4%
Oppose 50% 0% 100% 2% 93%
Unsure 3% 0% 0% 1% 1%

3. Did you watch the Senate Judiciary Committee hearings with Brett Kavanaugh and
Christine Blasey Ford on Thursday?

Yes, all of it 35% 32% 37% 37% 38% 33%
Yes, some of it 46% 47% 45% 45% 43% 49%
No, but I heard about it after 17% 19% 15% 16% 17% 16%
No, I didn't watch or hear about it 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Unsure 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Yes, all of it 35% 22% 34% 39% 44% 34% 32% 45% 37%
Yes, some of it 46% 48% 48% 45% 43% 46% 54% 38% 51%
No, but I heard about it after 17% 26% 16% 14% 12% 18% 12% 16% 12%
No, I didn't watch or hear about it 2% 4% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 0%
Unsure 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Yes, all of it 35% 35% 36% 30%
Yes, some of it 46% 46% 45% 50%
No, but I heard about it after 17% 16% 18% 17%
No, I didn't watch or hear about it 2% 3% 1% 2%
Unsure 0% 0% 0% 0%

Yes, all of it 35% 32% 38% 34% 38%
Yes, some of it 46% 47% 43% 47% 45%
No, but I heard about it after 17% 18% 17% 16% 16%
No, I didn't watch or hear about it 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Unsure 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Yes, all of it 35% 41% 34% 40% 35%
Yes, some of it 46% 45% 48% 45% 48%
No, but I heard about it after 17% 13% 17% 13% 16%
No, I didn't watch or hear about it 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Unsure 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

4. College professor Christine Blasey Ford has accused Supreme Court nominee Brett
Kavanaugh of sexually assaulting her at a party when they were both in high school.
From what you have seen or heard, do you find Christine Blasey Ford credible?

Yes, credible 51% 90% 11% 46% 55% 48%
No, not credible 40% 5% 79% 43% 36% 44%
I don't know 9% 5% 11% 11% 9% 8%

Yes, credible 51% 58% 53% 47% 48% 50% 69% 52% 39%
No, not credible 40% 32% 39% 43% 44% 41% 21% 41% 55%
I don't know 9% 10% 8% 9% 8% 8% 10% 7% 6%

Yes, credible 51% 47% 59% 65%
No, not credible 40% 44% 33% 30%
I don't know 9% 9% 9% 4%

Yes, credible 51% 52% 51% 50% 52%
No, not credible 40% 36% 40% 41% 43%
I don't know 9% 11% 8% 9% 6%

Yes, credible 51% 4% 96% 6% 100%
No, not credible 40% 86% 0% 86% 0%
I don't know 9% 9% 4% 8% 0%

5. Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh denies the accusations made by college
professor Christine Blasey Ford. From what you have seen or heard, do you find Brett
Kavanaugh credible?

Yes, credible 45% 7% 88% 49% 41% 50%
No, not credible 46% 85% 6% 41% 51% 42%
I don't know 8% 8% 6% 10% 8% 8%

Yes, credible 45% 33% 43% 52% 52% 47% 23% 44% 61%
No, not credible 46% 55% 47% 43% 42% 45% 67% 47% 33%
I don't know 8% 12% 10% 5% 6% 8% 10% 9% 6%

Yes, credible 45% 48% 41% 35%
No, not credible 46% 44% 52% 56%
I don't know 8% 8% 7% 9%

Yes, credible 45% 44% 46% 46% 46%
No, not credible 46% 46% 46% 46% 46%
I don't know 8% 10% 8% 7% 8%

Yes, credible 45% 97% 1% 100% 6%
No, not credible 46% 0% 91% 0% 88%
I don't know 8% 2% 7% 0% 7%

6. Between Christine Blasey Ford and Brett Kavanaugh, who do you believe more?

Christine Blasey Ford 49% 89% 7% 43% 53% 45%
Brett Kavanaugh 44% 6% 86% 47% 40% 48%
Both equally 3% 1% 4% 4% 3% 3%
Neither 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Unsure 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3%

Christine Blasey Ford 49% 58% 50% 44% 46% 47% 69% 47% 39%
Brett Kavanaugh 44% 31% 42% 49% 50% 45% 24% 44% 57%
Both equally 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 4%
Neither 1% 3% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 3% 0%
Unsure 3% 4% 4% 3% 2% 3% 5% 3% 0%

Christine Blasey Ford 49% 45% 53% 60%
Brett Kavanaugh 44% 47% 38% 31%
Both equally 3% 3% 4% 3%
Neither 1% 2% 1% 2%
Unsure 3% 3% 4% 4%

Christine Blasey Ford 49% 50% 48% 47% 49%
Brett Kavanaugh 44% 41% 45% 44% 46%
Both equally 3% 3% 3% 4% 2%
Neither 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Unsure 3% 5% 2% 3% 2%

Christine Blasey Ford 49% 0% 96% 1% 93%
Brett Kavanaugh 44% 95% 1% 94% 3%
Both equally 3% 4% 1% 4% 3%
Neither 1% 1% 1% 0% 0%
Unsure 3% 1% 2% 1% 2%

7. Do you think the Senate Judiciary Committee has treated Brett Kavanaugh:

Fairly 43% 74% 12% 38% 46% 40%
Unfairly 43% 9% 80% 47% 40% 47%
Unsure 14% 18% 8% 15% 14% 13%

Fairly 43% 43% 43% 42% 45% 42% 65% 44% 30%
Unfairly 43% 31% 42% 49% 48% 45% 24% 43% 52%
Unsure 14% 27% 15% 9% 7% 14% 11% 13% 18%

Fairly 43% 40% 47% 56%
Unfairly 43% 46% 40% 32%
Unsure 14% 14% 13% 12%

Fairly 43% 43% 44% 42% 43%
Unfairly 43% 43% 45% 43% 42%
Unsure 14% 14% 11% 14% 14%

Fairly 43% 6% 78% 8% 76%
Unfairly 43% 87% 5% 86% 8%
Unsure 14% 7% 17% 7% 16%

8. Do you think the Senate Judiciary Committee has treated Christine Blasey Ford:

Fairly 52% 33% 72% 53% 50% 53%
Unfairly 35% 53% 14% 33% 36% 33%
Unsure 14% 14% 13% 14% 14% 13%

Fairly 52% 36% 48% 57% 63% 52% 46% 55% 54%
Unfairly 35% 41% 38% 32% 29% 34% 45% 36% 31%
Unsure 14% 23% 14% 11% 9% 15% 9% 9% 15%

Fairly 52% 53% 49% 47%
Unfairly 35% 32% 40% 43%
Unsure 14% 15% 11% 10%

Fairly 52% 49% 52% 52% 54%
Unfairly 35% 36% 36% 34% 32%
Unsure 14% 14% 12% 14% 14%

Fairly 52% 76% 31% 76% 33%
Unfairly 35% 13% 56% 13% 55%
Unsure 14% 11% 13% 11% 12%

9. Do you support or oppose further FBI investigation of claims against Brett
Kavanaugh?

Support 56% 91% 16% 52% 59% 52%
Oppose 32% 4% 65% 32% 30% 34%
Neither support nor oppose 10% 3% 17% 14% 9% 12%
Unsure 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%

Support 56% 64% 60% 50% 51% 54% 75% 56% 43%
Oppose 32% 21% 31% 37% 35% 32% 17% 33% 46%
Neither support nor oppose 10% 10% 9% 11% 12% 12% 4% 10% 4%
Unsure 2% 5% 1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 1% 6%

Support 56% 52% 61% 67%
Oppose 32% 35% 27% 24%
Neither support nor oppose 10% 11% 10% 8%
Unsure 2% 3% 1% 1%

Support 56% 57% 56% 55% 55%
Oppose 32% 30% 30% 32% 35%
Unsure 2% 3% 2% 3% 2%

Support 56% 10% 97% 12% 95%
Oppose 32% 68% 0% 67% 2%
Unsure 2% 2% 1% 2% 1%

10. Would you be more or less likely to support re-electing your state’s U.S. Senators
if they vote to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court?

More likely 37% 6% 71% 39% 34% 39%
Less likely 49% 85% 11% 44% 52% 45%
It would have no effect 12% 6% 16% 14% 10% 13%
Unsure 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2%

More likely 37% 28% 35% 40% 42% 37% 19% 36% 48%
Less likely 49% 56% 53% 44% 44% 49% 67% 47% 33%
It would have no effect 12% 12% 9% 14% 12% 12% 10% 14% 14%
Unsure 3% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5%

More likely 37% 39% 33% 28%
Less likely 49% 46% 53% 63%
It would have no effect 12% 13% 11% 7%
Unsure 3% 3% 3% 2%

More likely 37% 33% 34% 39% 38%
Less likely 49% 51% 48% 48% 49%
It would have no effect 12% 12% 17% 10% 11%
Unsure 3% 3% 2% 3% 2%

More likely 37% 79% 2% 76% 4%
Less likely 49% 4% 93% 6% 88%
It would have no effect 12% 15% 4% 16% 5%
Unsure 3% 1% 2% 2% 2%

11. Do you think President Trump should withdraw his nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to
the Supreme Court?

Yes, withdraw 48% 88% 7% 43% 52% 44%
No, do not withdraw 47% 8% 91% 51% 44% 51%
Unsure 4% 5% 3% 6% 4% 5%

Yes, withdraw 48% 58% 51% 43% 43% 47% 69% 48% 36%
No, do not withdraw 47% 36% 45% 53% 53% 49% 26% 48% 61%
Unsure 4% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 2%

Yes, withdraw 48% 45% 52% 60%
No, do not withdraw 47% 50% 44% 36%
Unsure 4% 5% 4% 4%

Yes, withdraw 48% 48% 48% 49% 48%
No, do not withdraw 47% 46% 48% 47% 49%
Unsure 4% 6% 5% 4% 3%

Yes, withdraw 48% 0% 94% 1% 90%
Unsure 4% 1% 4% 2% 4%

12. Do you think Brett Kavanaugh should withdraw himself from being considered for the
Supreme Court?

Yes, withdraw 49% 88% 7% 44% 53% 44%
No, do not withdraw 47% 7% 90% 52% 43% 51%
Unsure 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4%

Yes, withdraw 49% 59% 52% 43% 44% 48% 69% 49% 38%
No, do not withdraw 47% 36% 45% 52% 53% 49% 25% 45% 58%
Unsure 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 3% 6% 6% 3%

Yes, withdraw 49% 46% 54% 61%
No, do not withdraw 47% 50% 44% 36%
Unsure 4% 4% 3% 3%

Yes, withdraw 49% 50% 47% 49% 49%
Unsure 4% 5% 4% 4% 2%

Yes, withdraw 49% 0% 95% 1% 91%
Unsure 4% 1% 3% 2% 4%

13. Overall, how much trust and confidence do you have in the United States Supreme
Court?

A great deal 22% 14% 31% 23% 23% 21%
A fair amount 44% 42% 48% 40% 43% 45%
Not very much 26% 33% 16% 27% 25% 26%
None at all 5% 6% 3% 6% 4% 6%
Unsure 4% 4% 3% 5% 5% 2%

A great deal 22% 18% 22% 24% 23% 22% 13% 31% 21%
A fair amount 44% 42% 43% 44% 46% 45% 39% 38% 40%
Not very much 26% 29% 24% 25% 24% 24% 35% 26% 22%
None at all 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 11% 1% 10%
Unsure 4% 6% 5% 2% 2% 4% 3% 4% 6%

A great deal 22% 22% 26% 18%
A fair amount 44% 44% 39% 46%
Not very much 26% 24% 28% 28%
None at all 5% 5% 5% 4%
Unsure 4% 4% 2% 4%

A great deal 22% 23% 23% 21% 22%
A fair amount 44% 44% 44% 44% 44%
Not very much 26% 24% 27% 26% 25%
None at all 5% 6% 3% 5% 5%
Unsure 4% 4% 3% 4% 5%

A great deal 22% 32% 14% 32% 15%
A fair amount 44% 48% 41% 47% 41%
Not very much 26% 15% 36% 15% 34%
None at all 5% 2% 6% 3% 6%
Unsure 4% 3% 4% 3% 3%

14. If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were held today, would you vote
for the:

Democratic candidate 48% 92% 7% 38% 51% 45%
Republican candidate 43% 5% 89% 43% 41% 46%
Someone else 3% 1% 1% 7% 2% 4%
Unsure 6% 3% 3% 11% 6% 5%

Democratic candidate 48% 57% 49% 44% 44% 47% 72% 44% 36%
Republican candidate 43% 33% 40% 49% 49% 45% 21% 43% 54%
Someone else 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Unsure 6% 8% 7% 5% 4% 6% 4% 10% 7%

Democratic candidate 48% 45% 52% 60%
Republican candidate 43% 46% 37% 33%
Someone else 3% 3% 3% 2%
Unsure 6% 6% 8% 4%

Democratic candidate 48% 51% 48% 48% 45%
Republican candidate 43% 42% 44% 44% 44%
Someone else 3% 2% 3% 3% 4%
Unsure 6% 5% 6% 6% 6%

Democratic candidate 48% 1% 92% 3% 89%
Republican candidate 43% 92% 1% 90% 4%
Someone else 3% 2% 3% 2% 3%
Unsure 6% 5% 4% 5% 5%

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as
president?

Approve 44% 6% 87% 47% 41% 48%
Disapprove 52% 93% 9% 48% 55% 49%
Neither approve nor disapprove 4% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3%

Approve 44% 33% 42% 50% 50% 45% 23% 45% 58%
Disapprove 52% 62% 55% 48% 47% 51% 76% 52% 35%
Neither approve nor disapprove 4% 6% 3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 7%

Approve 44% 48% 37% 32%
Disapprove 52% 49% 58% 65%
Neither approve nor disapprove 4% 3% 5% 3%

Approve 44% 42% 46% 45% 45%
Disapprove 52% 55% 52% 51% 51%
Neither approve nor disapprove 4% 3% 2% 4% 4%

Approve 44% 95% 1% 93% 4%
Disapprove 52% 2% 98% 4% 94%
Neither approve nor disapprove 4% 4% 1% 3% 2%

Demographics
Party ID
Democrat 37%
Republican 31%
Independent 32%
Gender
Female 52%
Male 48%
Age
18-34 22%
35-49 25%
50-64 28%
65+ 25%
Race
White 73%
Black 11%
Hispanic 10%
Other 6%
Education
Non-College 66%
College grad 21%
Postgrad 13%
Region
Midwest 24%
Northeast 17%
South 36%
West 23%

Civiqs For Daily Kos: Supreme Court Survey (Sept. 2018)

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Daily Kos

National Supreme Court survey

Yes, all of it 35%

Yes, credible 51%

Yes, credible 45%

Christine Blasey Ford 49%

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 2 / 20

9. Do you support or oppose further FBI investigation of claims against Brett

More likely 37%

Yes, withdraw 48%

Yes, withdraw 49%

A great deal 22%

Democratic candidate 48%

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 3 / 20

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 4 / 20

Total Democrat Republican Independent Female Male

Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other

Total Non-College College grad Postgrad

Total Midwest Northeast South West

Total Support Kav Oppose Kav Kav Credible Ford Credible

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 5 / 20

Total Democrat Republican Independent Female Male

Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other

Total Non-College College grad Postgrad

Total Midwest Northeast South West

Total Support Kav Oppose Kav Kav Credible Ford Credible

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 6 / 20

Total Democrat Republican Independent Female Male

Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other

Total Non-College College grad Postgrad

Total Midwest Northeast South West

Total Support Kav Oppose Kav Kav Credible Ford Credible

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 7 / 20

Total Democrat Republican Independent Female Male

Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other

Total Non-College College grad Postgrad

Total Midwest Northeast South West

Total Support Kav Oppose Kav Kav Credible Ford Credible

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 8 / 20

Total Democrat Republican Independent Female Male

Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other

Total Non-College College grad Postgrad

Total Midwest Northeast South West

Total Support Kav Oppose Kav Kav Credible Ford Credible

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 9 / 20

Total Democrat Republican Independent Female Male

Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other

Total Non-College College grad Postgrad

Total Midwest Northeast South West

Total Support Kav Oppose Kav Kav Credible Ford Credible

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 10 / 20

Total Democrat Republican Independent Female Male

Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other

Total Non-College College grad Postgrad

Total Midwest Northeast South West

Total Support Kav Oppose Kav Kav Credible Ford Credible

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 11 / 20

Total Democrat Republican Independent Female Male

Total 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Other

Total Non-College College grad Postgrad

Total Midwest Northeast South West

Total Support Kav Oppose Kav Kav Credible Ford Credible

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 12 / 20