Professional Documents
Culture Documents
October 2018
Methodology
Three hundred and sixteen likely voters in Florida House district 115 were interviewed
October 5-7, 2018. All interviews were conducting using landlines, cell phones, and
The Kitchens Group Voter Panel. The margin of error for this survey is a +/-5.5% with a
95% confidence level.
Favorability Ratings
I am going to read you the names of some public figures. As I read each one,
please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each one.
State Representative Aloupis receives a 26:10 rating from voters in this House district.
His positive ratings are higher among Republicans and his own supporters. A higher
percentage of Democrats, undecided voters, and voters with a high school diploma or
less tend to be less familiar with Representative Aloupis.
Jeff Solomon receives a 27:15 rating from voters in this House district. His positive
ratings are higher among younger voters, Democrats and his own supporters. He is
less familiar among undecided voters, voters with a high school diploma or less, and
Republicans.
Issue Concerns
Which of the following do you feel is the most important issue facing Florida?
Test Ballots
Democrat 45%
Republican 45%
No difference 8%
Unsure 2%
Ninety percent of the Republicans prefer a Republican and 87% of Democrats prefer a
Democratic. Among Independents, 43% prefer a Democrat and 33% prefer a
Republican.
If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for. . .
Andrew Gillum leads the Governor’s race by 5 points. He receives the support of 90%
of the Democrats and leads among Independents by a 54% to 35% margin. DeSantis
receives support from 88% of the Republicans.
If the election for State Representative were held today, would you vote for. . .
Republican Vance Aloupis 42%
Democrat Jeff Solomon 47%
undecided 11%
refused 1%
Jeff Solomon leads in the race by a 5 point margin. He receives support from 85% of
the Democrats, and leads among Independents by a 46% to 30% margin.
Conclusions
The highly partisan nature of the electorate is very evident in this survey. The keys for
Solomon to win this race are (1) work to turnout Democrats and younger voters; (2)
continue to communicate with the independent voters. Virtually every campaign is
being driven by national politics. Therefore, the independent voters will determine the
outcome of most elections in Florida.