ASSESSMENT Lecture 17: CUMULATIVE EFFECTS ASSESSMENT EA • Accepted project approval tool. • A small project no significant environment impact. • Numerous small project significant impacts. • Problem of EA is cumulative or additive environmental effects in space and time.. Cumulative Effects • Project in different locations but in the same environmental space will interact and generate impacts on the same system. • Many effects of the same project will accumulate over time. Assessment of 12 Canadian EAs • not all other projects or sources of impacts were identified; • cumulative boundaries in space and time were not clearly identified; • potential cumulative impact problems were not characterized; • systematic analysis of each cumulative impact problem was not identified. Assessment of 12 Canadian EAs • CEAA considerations be included “up-front” in TOR; • much broader assessment of the entire ecosystem be included in context scoping; • more follow up studies or monitoring; • project be linked to regional Canadian Environmental Assessment A cottage shoreline development project • New marina and housing complex. • Change vegetation cover, difficult to identify significant fish population reduction. • Development will increase sediment and nutrient loads, resulting in DO reduction and pressure on fish due to polluted runoff. • Increase population, use of road and shoreline intrusion Highway 404 to Lake Simcoe • EA was confined to predict direct footprint impacts. • Did not estimate: - land use change due to urban development; - contaminant generation effects with urban development; - cumulative losses of wetlands with development; - development stimulated by highway; no long- term effects of highway. - fails to protect wetlands and value environmental components Best EA • Identify project environment effect relevant to the EA; • Identify other projects with effects from this project contributes to incrementally; • Identify geographic scope of project’s cumulative effects; • Identify temporal scope of project’s cumulative effects; • Analyze scale of cumulative effects to determine need for mitigating measures; • List mitigation measures to offset cumulative effects; • Determine significance of cumulative environment effects (after taking into account mitigating measures); • Define post-construction monitoring program to assess accuracy of CEA. Kinds of Cumulative Impacts • Additive : arithmetic sum of the same types of impacts. • Synergistic : more than the sum of all individual impacts. Cumulative Impact Assessment • CEA requires cumulative assessment. • Ontario EAA does not require cumulative assessment. • Ontario EAA defines environment as means “any part or combination of the foregoing and the interrelationships between any two or more of them.” Current EA in Ontario • existing condition does not include all projects occurring in the ecosystem; • boundaries are tightly defined around single project • prediction of the effects is usually static and does not recognize existence of other project or processes; • evaluation does not consider the ecological bioregion when all impact generating proposals are taken together. Federal LLFT EA • Quebec Hydro and its dam operations effect on Caribou migration; • Mining and extraction industries; • Human disturbances from industry/work crews and competition; • wilderness tourism; • proposed highways north from Quebec north shore; • growth of non-native economy. Should EA be responsible for analyzing cumulative impacts? • EA ignores additive effects. • EA is reductionist. • “No” because EA was reactive and not a “stop” process where the desired environmental quality would be achieved. • need policy guidance to establish cumulative effect levels and goals. EA Policy Planning Focus on site and project with Cumulative impacts require a specific review broader regional plan. Require impacts predicted for a Cumulative impact management single project (reactive) requires goal setting and ideal future environmental quality state. Large projects in same region Cumulative effects are from small requiring integrated EA which is project not likely to be stopped by infrequent (while Class EAs are EA. very frequent). Not armed to do so in the Act Can take into consideration existing and proposed development in setting environmental quality goals. Oak Ridges Morraine Area Planning Study • A long-term cooperative strategy for protection and management of Oak Ridges Morraine. • It identified valued ecosystem components. • Cumulative effects of urban expansions and services, industrial development and aggregate extraction were evaluated. • Vigorous environmental assessment methods were conducted. • Multiple developments were examined within a common area of influence and management goals were developed by examining cumulative effects. Types of monitoring • compliance monitoring to ensure regulations and standards are met by the proponent; • effects-effectiveness monitoring to ensure actual environmental effects of an undertaking and the effectiveness of measures are valid.