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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.
S&P Capital IQ
Recommendation
BUY ★★★★★ Price 12-Mo. Target Price
$16.66 (as of Sep 23, 2016 4:00 PM ET) $21.00
Report Currency
USD
S&P Capital IQ Equity Analyst M. Miller, CFA

GICS Sector Materials Summary Goldcorp is a leading gold producer focused on exploration and mining
Sub-Industry Gold throughout the Americas. Goldcorp is also one of the world's largest silver producers.

Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P Capital IQ, Vickers, company reports)

52-Wk Range $20.38– 9.46 S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 0.35 Market Capitalization(B) $14.211 Beta 0.10
Trailing 12-Month EPS $-5.37 S&P Oper. EPS 2017E 0.65 Yield (%) 1.44 S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 10
Trailing 12-Month P/E NM P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2016E 47.6 Dividend Rate/Share $0.24 S&P Quality Ranking B-
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $4,017 Common Shares Outstg. (M) 853.0 Institutional Ownership (%) 61

Price Performance Analyst's Risk Assessment


30-Week Mov. Avg. 10-Week Mov. Avg. GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg. STARS
LOW MEDIUM HIGH
12-Mo. Target Price Relative Strength Up Down No Change Below Avg.
Our risk assessment reflects GG's exposure to
50 markets for gold and silver, both cyclical
40 commodities, along with the challenge of
30 replacing reserves, partly offset by our view of
Share Price

GG's relatively strong balance sheet and


20
relatively low geopolitical risk.

10
Revenue/Earnings Data
Revenue (Million $)
Volume(Mil.)

60
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year
40 2016 944.0 753.0 -- -- --
20 2015 1,017 1,188 1,098 1,072 4,375
0
2014 898.0 906.0 859.0 835.0 3,436
5 4
2013 1,015 889.0 929.0 970.0 3,687
1 2012 1,349 1,113 1,538 1,435 5,435
OND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SON 2011 1,216 1,323 1,308 1,515 5,362
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Earnings Per Share ($)
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.
2016 0.10 -0.09 E0.13 E0.14 E0.35
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst M. Miller, CFA on Jul 29, 2016 02:47 AM, when the stock traded at $17.73. 2015 -0.17 0.48 -0.23 -5.14 -5.08
Highlights Investment Rationale/Risk 2014 0.12 0.24 -0.05 -2.95 -2.67
2013 0.33 -2.38 Nil -1.23 -3.25
➤ During 2015, revenues increased 27%, mostly ➤ Our recommendation is based on an improving 2012 0.51 0.26 0.61 0.47 1.95
from two new mines coming on stream: Cerro cost structure, a strong portfolio of lower 2011 0.81 0.52 0.41 0.39 2.18
Negro and Eleonore. We forecast revenues to geopolitical risk mines and relative valuation. Fiscal year ended Dec. 31. Next earnings report expected: NA. EPS
decline by about 10% in 2016, as gold produc- We think Goldcorp is on track to improve its Estimates based on S&P Capital IQ Operating Earnings; historical
GAAP earnings are as reported in Company reports.
tion falls from its record gold production of 3.46 margins and free cash flow, as management is
million ounces in 2015 (which was a 21% in- focused on lowering AISC. In addition to im- Dividend Data
crease compared to 2014) to around 3.0 million proving its infrastructure and achieving cost
ounces in 2016. We forecast revenue to in- savings by giving more autonomy to its mine Amount Date Ex-Div. Stk. of Payment
($) Decl. Date Record Date
crease in 2017 by mid-single digit percentage. sites, GG is focused on ramping up production
0.020 Mar 7 Mar 15 Mar 17 Mar 28 '16
➤ Absent a major decline in gold spot prices, we at its core assets that have higher grades and
0.020 Feb 25 Jun 14 Jun 16 Jun 24 '16
expect margins to continue to expand in 2016 lower costs.
0.020 Feb 25 Sep 13 Sep 15 Sep 23 '16
and 2017, as GG benefits from lower all-in sus- ➤ Risks to our recommendation and target price 0.020 Feb 25 Dec 13 Dec 15 Dec 23 '16
taining costs (AISC). In 2016, we think AISC will include a sharp decline in the average price of Dividends have been paid since 2001. Source: Company reports.
average about $875 per gold ounce (versus gold and silver, or major project delays. Other
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and
$894 in 2015) and $550 per by-product ounce risks include higher operating costs, which
should not be relied upon as such.
(versus $605 in 2015). We forecast EBITDA mar- could be impacted by currency fluctuations and
gins to expand by over 700 basis points in 2016 global energy prices.
to about 42%, and by about 600 basis points in ➤ Our 12-month target price of $21 reflects 10.0X
2017 to about 48%. enterprise value to our 2017 EBITDA estimate, a
➤ Our 2016 EPS estimate is $0.35 versus an oper- small discount to its peer group at 10.8X and
ating loss of $0.10 in 2015. Our 2017 EPS esti- GG's three-year average forward multiple of
mate is $0.65. We forecast GG to increase its 10.3X. We think the industry's valuation is war-
EBITDA and free cash flow in 2016 and 2017; GG ranted given gold miners' improving costs and
has one of the best balance sheets among its margins, offset by risks of a lower gold price,
peers, at a projected net debt to EBITDA of 1.2X that could be possible in the event the U.S. Fed-
at year-end 2016. eral Reserve raises interest rates.

Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
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Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.
Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.
Business Summary July 29, 2016 Corporate Information

CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Goldcorp Inc. (GG) is a leading gold producer focused on production throughout Investor Contact
the Americas. The company's current sources of operating cash flows are primarily from the sale of gold, J. Wilhoit (604-696-3074)
silver, lead, zinc and copper. Goldcorp has a strong balance sheet, with gold production located in gener-
ally safe jurisdictions in the Americas and the company remains 100% unhedged. As of February 25, 2016,
Office
37% of gold production was from Canada, 25% from Mexico, 20% from Argentina, 14% from Dominican Re-
Park Place, Suite 3400, 666 Burrard Street,
public and 5% from Guatemala.
Vancouver, BC, Canada V6C 2X8.
Goldcorp is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (symbol: GG) and the Toronto Stock Exchange (symbol:
G). Telephone
604-696-3000.
At December 31, 2015, GG's principal producing mining properties were comprised of the Red Lake, Porcu-
pine, Musselwhite and Eleonore gold mines in Canada; the Penasquito gold/silver/lead/zinc mine and the Fax
Los Filos gold mine in Mexico; the Marlin gold/silver mine in Guatemala; the Cerro Negro gold/silver mine 604-696-3001.
and the Alumbrera gold/copper mine (37.5% interest) in Argentina; and the Pueblo Viejo gold/silver/copper
Email
mine (40.0% interest) in the Dominican Republic. The Cerro Negro gold/silver mine and the Eleonore gold
info@goldcorp.com
mine achieved commercial production effective January 1, 2015, and April 1, 2015, respectively.

Goldcorp's proven and probable gold mineral reserves at December 31, 2015, were 40.7 million ounces Website
(2014 - 49.6 million ounces). Proven and probable silver mineral reserves totaled 704.6 million ounces, rep- http://www.goldcorp.com
resenting one of the largest silver reserves in the industry. The 8.9 million ounce overall decrease in gold
mineral reserves was primarily driven by a 5.3 million ounce decrease in gold mineral reserves at Los Filos
Officers
as low margin ounces were reclassified to resource and the removal of 1.8 million ounces following the
Project Corridor transaction, which in turn resulted in a significant increase in copper reserves. Gold- Chrmn COO & EVP
corp's overall gold equivalent reserves increased by over 2% to 85.6 million ounces. I.W. Telfer G.R. Burns
MARKET PROFILE. Gold mining is a highly capital-intensive business, requiring large sums of money to ex-
plore for deposits and construct mines once deposits have been discovered. Since the early part of this CEO & Pres EVP & General
D.A. Garofalo Counsel
century, mining costs have increased dramatically due to rapidly rising costs for energy and building mate-
C.A. Ripley
rials. Global gold production is dominated by a relatively small number of large producers such as Anglo-
Vice Chrmn
gold Ashanti Ltd., Gold Fields Limited, Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold, Harmony Gold, Newmont Mining,
B.A. Briscoe
Rio Tinto and Barrick Gold Corp. The industry is also comprised of a small number of exploration compa-
nies and small to mid-size gold producers. Absent the discovery of a large deposit, we think few of the ex-
ploration and small to mid-size companies will become major producers.
Board Members
The gold market spent much of 2015 on the defensive in anticipation of a start to the Federal Reserve's in- B. Avelina Trevino de B. A. Briscoe
terest rate tightening cycle, following the end of its quantitative easing program in late 2014. The long Vega M. A. Franssen
awaited first rate hike since 2006 finally occurred in December with the gold price hitting a low of $1,046 P. J. Dey C. A. Pelletier
per ounce on December 3, 2015 after declining steadily lower throughout the year from $1,182 per ounce at D. A. Garofalo I. W. Telfer
the start of January. GG realized an average gold price of $1,153 per ounce in 2015 (a 9% decrease com- P. R. Reifel
pared to $1,264 per ounce in 2014) and $1,098 per ounce in the fourth quarter of 2015. The gold price's K. F. Williamson
steady decline throughout the year was punctuated only by seasonal physical demand in late January and
October. Notwithstanding the market's general apathy towards gold in 2015, physical demand remained
surprisingly strong with notable official sector purchases by China and Russia. Domicile Auditor
Ontario DELOITTE & TOUCHE
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS. In May 2016, GG announced its intention to acquire all of the outstanding
shares of Kaminak Gold Corporation, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. The value of the Founded
transaction is C$520 million (US$406 million). Under the agreement each share of Kaminak would be ex- 1954
changed with 0.10896 shares of Goldcorp. Kaminak is an exploration-stage company and its sole material
property is the Coffee Gold Project, situated approximately 130 kilometers south of Dawson City, in the Employees
Yukon Territory (Canada). 9,796

FINANCIAL TRENDS. Total revenue peaked in 2012 at $5.4 billion, then declined at a three-year compound Stockholders
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% to $4.4 billion in 2015. During the same three-year period, EPS declined 4,003
from an adjusted EPS of $2.03 to an operating loss per share of $0.10. Goldcorp achieved record gold pro-
duction of 3,464,400 ounces in 2015, a 593,200 ounce, or 21%, increase compared to 2014, driven predomi-
nately by increases at Cerro Negro, Eleonore and Penasquito. Total cash costs increased to $605 per gold
ounce for the year ended December 31, 2015, compared to $542 per gold ounce for the year ended Decem-
ber 31, 2014. The increase in cash costs was primarily due to higher production costs due to Cerro Negro
and Eleonore achieving commercial production in 2015; a $123 million increase in inventory carrying value
reductions; higher realized losses on the company's derivative contracts; and a decrease in by-product
sales credits primarily due to lower realized metal prices; partially offset by higher gold sales volumes. All-
in sustaining costs of $894 per ounce for 2015 decreased 6% compared to $949 per ounce in 2014. Exclud-
ing the impact of reductions to the carrying value of inventory recognized in both years at Los Filos and Pe-
nasquito, all-in sustaining costs were $852 per gold ounce for 2015, a $70 per gold ounce, or 8%, decrease
compared to 2014.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.
Quantitative Evaluations Expanded Ratio Analysis

S&P Capital IQ NR 1 2 3 4 5 2015 2014 2013 2012


Fair Value LOWEST HIGHEST Price/Sales 2.18 4.38 4.77 5.61
Rank Based on S&P Capital IQ's proprietary quantitative model, stocks Price/EBITDA 6.45 NM 12.48 10.90
are ranked from most overvalued (1) to most undervalued (5). Price/Pretax Income NM NM NM 13.54
P/E Ratio NM NM NM 17.44
Fair Value NA Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M) 826.9 813.2 812.0 831.0
Calculation Figures based on calendar year-end price

Investability 24 Key Growth Rates and Averages


Quotient LOWEST = 1 HIGHEST = 100
Percentile GG scored lower than 76% of all companies for which an S&P Past Growth Rate (%) 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 9 Years
Capital IQ Report is available.
Sales 27.33 -6.96 -2.87 10.23
Net Income NM NM NM NM
Volatility LOW AVERAGE HIGH

Ratio Analysis (Annual Avg.)


Technical NA Net Margin (%) NM NM NM NM
Evaluation % LT Debt to Capitalization 15.94 13.00 9.12 6.75
Return on Equity (%) NM NM NM NM
Insider Activity NA UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL FAVORABLE

For further clarification on the terms used in this report, please visit www.spcapitaliq.com/stockreportguide

Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Dec. 31

Per Share Data ($) 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Tangible Book Value 15.47 20.26 22.27 25.85 24.12 24.34 20.08 19.46 17.17 5.40
Cash Flow 2.66 -1.62 -2.48 2.92 3.12 2.71 1.04 2.83 1.19 1.66
Earnings -5.08 -2.67 -3.25 1.95 2.18 1.87 0.33 2.06 0.53 0.93
Dividends Nil 0.60 0.60 0.54 0.41 0.21 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.20
Payout Ratio Nil NM NM 28% 19% 11% 55% 9% 34% 21%
Prices:High 25.00 29.65 38.61 50.74 56.31 48.94 46.24 52.65 38.11 41.66
Prices:Low 10.87 17.01 20.54 31.54 39.04 32.84 23.02 13.84 21.00 20.35
P/E Ratio:High NM NM NM 26 26 NM NM 26 72 45
P/E Ratio:Low NM NM NM 16 18 NM NM 7 40 22

Income Statement Analysis (Million $)


Revenue 4,375 3,436 3,687 5,435 5,362 3,800 2,724 2,420 2,207 1,710
Operating Income 1,483 -1,835 1,410 2,798 3,030 2,093 1,366 1,249 1,077 954
Depreciation 6,399 848 629 675 694 623 526 546 465 324
Interest Expense 106 21.0 26.0 10.0 7.00 52.3 59.0 7.20 44.7 44.8
Pretax Income -4,688 -2,608 -2,328 2,252 2,567 1,727 445 1,779 582 599
Effective Tax Rate 10.4% NM NM 22.3% 26.7% 20.0% 46.5% 16.6% 27.6% 25.8%
Net Income -4,203 -2,168 -2,642 1,749 1,881 1,381 240 1,476 375 408

Balance Sheet & Other Financial Data (Million $)


Cash 383 535 625 930 1,789 596 900 272 537 570
Current Assets 1,331 2,147 2,374 2,528 2,950 1,622 1,602 762 952 883
Total Assets 21,428 27,866 29,564 31,212 29,374 28,809 20,948 19,009 18,952 17,969
Current Liabilities 1,049 1,456 2,033 1,175 771 1,034 735 476 321 466
Long Term Debt 2,476 3,442 1,482 783 737 747 719 5.30 1,036 790
Common Equity 12,848 16,960 19,545 22,716 21,272 20,194 15,493 14,959 12,979 12,475
Total Capital 15,536 20,982 22,285 23,712 22,222 21,155 16,280 15,016 14,493 17,235
Capital Expenditures 1,178 2,021 2,180 2,608 1,778 1,228 1,356 1,372 929 475
Cash Flow 2,196 -1,320 -2,013 2,424 2,575 2,004 766 2,022 840 732
Current Ratio 1.3 1.5 1.2 2.2 3.8 1.6 2.2 1.6 3.0 1.9
% Long Term Debt of Capitalization 15.9 16.4 6.7 3.3 3.3 3.5 4.4 NM 7.2 4.6
% Net Income of Revenue NM NM NM 32.2 35.1 36.3 8.8 61.0 17.0 23.9
% Return on Assets NM NM NM 5.8 6.6 5.5 1.2 7.8 2.0 3.7
% Return on Equity NM NM NM 8.0 9.2 7.7 1.6 10.6 3.0 5.3

Data as originally reported in Company reports.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under
Review.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.
Sub-Industry Outlook Industry Performance
Our fundamental outlook for the gold sub-industry and we expect a substantial increase in consumer GICS Sector: Materials
for the next 12 months is neutral. We believe that demand in both India and China. Gold became a Sub-Industry: Gold
gold has priced in a number of significant universally disliked asset class in 2014, as
headwinds, including continued strength in the U.S. evidenced by the massive outflows from gold ETFs. Based on S&P 1500 Indexes
dollar, lower oil prices, and the FED raising rates. We believe that gold has once again gained some Five-Year market price performance through
We see significant physical demand growth, driven appeal as a safe-haven investment driven by greater Sep 24, 2016
by China and India, providing a floor for the precious market volatility and enhanced geopolitical risk.
metal. Recent developments, including Brexit and S&P 1500 Sector Sub-Industry
worries about the future of the European Union, As of June 30 2016, the S&P Gold Index appreciated 90%
have enhanced risks associated with geopolitical 113.5%, vs. a 3.1% increase in the S&P 1500
events, further supporting prices. Also, as of late Composite Index. In 2015, the S&P Gold Index 70%
June 2016, there was an estimated $12 Trillion worth declined 15.8%, vs. a 1.0% decline for the the S&P
of bonds with negative yields, which increases the 1500 Composite Index and an 11.9% decline for the 50%
appeal of gold as an investment. In 2014, the S&P 1500 Materials Index. The five-year compound
average gold spot prices posted a consecutive annual growth rate (CAGR) for the S&P Gold index is

% Change
annual decline for the first time since 1998, as the 5.5%, versus 9.6% CAGR for the S&P 1500, and a 30%

average price of gold fell 10.2% in 2014 to $1,266 per 4.0% CAGR in the S&P 1500 Materials Index.
once, following a 16% decline in 2013. The decline 10%

continued in 2015 with an average price of $1,159 --Matthew Miller, CFA


per once, an 8.4% decline. As of June 30 2016, the -10%
average spot price for gold was $1,221 per ounce,
5.3% higher than the 2015 average. -30%

We see consumer demand increasing significantly


-50%
and, more importantly, investor demand increasing
due to higher market volatility and increasing
geopolitical risk. However, we believe there are a -70%

number of offsetting headwinds for gold, most


notably a strong U.S. dollar and limited inflationary -90%

fears. The relative strength of the U.S. economy and 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

the U.S. dollar will limit any gold price appreciation


NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the
from geopolitical uncertainty, in our view. Also, with Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
the Fed expected to eventually resume raising
interest rates later in 2016 or early 2017, gold Past performance is not an indication of future performance
becomes less attractive relative to interest-bearing and should not be relied upon as such.
securities. We believe that the headwinds for gold
are fully reflected in the current price and gold has
found support at recent levels.

We note that India has relaxed its import restrictions

Sub-Industry : Gold Peer Group*: Gold & Precious Metals - Mining & Exploration
Stk.Mkt. Recent 52 Fair S&P Return on LTD to
Stock Cap. Stock Week Yield P/E Value Quality IQ Revenue Cap
Peer Group Symbol (Mil. $) Price($) High/Low($) Beta (%) Ratio Calc.($) Ranking %ile (%) (%)
Goldcorp Inc GG 14,211 16.66 20.38/9.46 0.10 1.4 NM NA B- 24 NA 15.9
Agnico Eagle Mines AEM 12,141 54.33 60.10/24.21 -0.51 0.7 NM NA B- 17 1.2 21.2
Anglogold Ashanti Ltd ADR AU 6,610 16.20 22.91/6.20 -0.07 Nil 60 NA NR 11 1.2 50.3
Barrick Gold ABX 21,104 18.11 23.47/6.04 0.01 0.4 NM 16.00 B- 26 NA NA
Comp de Minas Buenaventura ADR BVN 3,572 14.17 16.45/3.30 0.24 Nil NM 18.10 NR 7 NA NA
Franco-Nevada Corp FNV 12,667 71.87 81.16/41.47 0.34 1.2 NM NA NR 55 5.5 12.6
Gold Fields Ltd ADR GFI 4,054 4.94 6.60/2.04 0.21 0.8 NM 5.20 NR 9 NA 39.3
Kinross Gold KGC 5,352 4.30 5.82/1.31 0.28 Nil NM NA B- 19 NA 29.1
Marlin Gold Mining MLN.C 6,866 50.68 41.81/0.10 -1.40 Nil NM NA NR NA NA 77.9
Newmont Mining NEM 20,934 39.56 46.07/15.56 -0.19 0.3 NM 38.00 B- 61 2.5 29.6
Randgold Resources ADS GOLD 9,470 101.09 126.55/57.37 0.10 0.6 50 109.00 NR 59 19.4 0.1
Royal Gold Inc RGLD 5,299 81.42 87.74/24.68 0.22 1.1 NM 73.00 B- 74 NM 20.8
Sibanye Gold ADS SBGL 3,260 14.19 20.97/4.45 -1.08 2.5 55 NA NR 10 2.4 9.6
Tahoe Resources TAHO 4,284 14.00 17.01/6.48 1.11 1.7 NM 12.00 NR 35 NA NA
Yamana Gold AUY 4,254 4.49 5.99/1.38 0.31 0.4 NM NA B- 17 NA NA

NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.
S&P Capital IQ Analyst Research Notes and other Company News

September 20, 2016


Goldcorp Inc. announced the appointment of Charlie Sartain to the company's
Board of Directors, effective as of January 1, 2017. Mr. Sartain, 55, is a mining
engineer with over 30 years of mining experience and is fluent in Spanish.
Previously, he was the Chief Executive Officer of Xstrata's global copper
business and under his nine-year tenure grew the business to become one of the
copper producers with mining operations and projects spanning seven countries.
Prior to that, Mr. Sartain had extensive operating and executive experience with
MIM Holdings Ltd., including General Manager at Ravenswood Gold Mines and
General Manager at Ernest Henry Mine in Queensland Australia, President of
Minera Alumbrera Ltd. in Argentina and Executive General Manager for Latin
America. Mr. Sartain holds a Bachelor of Engineering Degree with Honours from
the University of Melbourne, Australia. He is currently a Member of the Senate of
the University of Queensland and a Director and Chairman of the Advisory Board
of the Sustainable Minerals Institute at the University of Queensland. He is also a
Director of the Wesley Medical Research Institute and a Non-Executive Director
on the Boards of Austin Engineering Ltd. and ALS Limited.

July 29, 2016


09:05 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL MAINTAINS BUY RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES
OF GOLDCORP, INC. (GG 17.73****): We raise our 12-month target price by $1 to
$21, an enterprise value to our '17 EBITDA estimate of 10.0X, in line with GG's
three-year average, but a discount to peers' 10.8X average EV/EBITDA,
warranted by GG's turnaround risks. We increase our '16 and '17 adjusted EPS
estimates by $0.05 and $0.15 to $0.35 and $0.65, respectively. GG posts Q2 loss per
share of $0.01 vs. $0.08 EPS, missing Capital IQ consensus by $0.05, on lower
revenues and higher costs due to a slower than expected ramp up after the
maintenance shutdown at Penasquito. We see a rebound in production in Q3. /M.
Miller, CFA

June 15, 2016


11:25 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL INITIATES COVERAGE ON GOLDCORP, INC. WITH A
BUY OPINION (GG 17.68****): Our 12-month target is $20, an enterprise value of
10.5X our '17 EBITDA estimate, a small premium to both GG's three-year average
of 10.2X and its peers' average of 10.0X, justified, in our view, by GG's relative
balance sheet strength and relatively less geopolitical risk. We initiate our '16
adjusted EPS estimate at $0.30 and 17's at $0.50. We think GG is on track to
expand its margins and free cash flow, as management is focused on lowering its
all-in sustaining costs by improving infrastructure and ramping up production at
core mines with higher grades and lower costs. /M. Miller, CFA

May 2, 2016
Goldcorp Inc. announced that in connection with the election of directors at the
Annual and Special Meeting the number of directors decreased from 11 to 9.
John P. Bell, Douglas M. Holtby and Charles A. Jeannes have retired from the
Board of Directors. Beverley A. Briscoe has been appointed Vice-Chair and Lead
Director.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.
Analysts' Recommendations Wall Street Consensus Opinion

Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion GG Trend BUY/HOLD
B BH H WH S

Wall Street Average Companies Offering Coverage


B
Accountability Research Corporation
BH
BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
H
Barclays
WH
Berenberg
S
BofA Merrill Lynch
Number of Analysts Following Stock Citigroup Inc
Cormark Securities Inc.
60 Credit Suisse
Desjardins Securities Inc.
40
Deutsche Bank
20 GMP Securities L.P.
Goldman Sachs
HSBC
Stock Price ($ 000)
JP Morgan
1000
Jefferies LLC
Mackie Research Capital Corporation
1000
Macquarie Research
Morgan Stanley
1000
Morningstar Inc.
National Bank Financial
1000
O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S
RBC Capital Markets
Raymond James Ltd.
2014 2015 2016
TD Securities Equity Research
Veritas Investment Research Corp
Of the total 24 companies following GG, 28 analysts currently publish recommendations.

No. of % of Total 1 Mo. Prior 3 Mos. Prior


Recommendations
Buy 5 18 4 2
Buy/Hold 10 36 9 9
Hold 11 39 11 10
Weak Hold 1 4 1 1
Sell 1 4 1 2
No Opinion 0 0 0 0
Total 28 100 26 24
Wall Street Consensus Estimates Wall Street Consensus vs. Performance

For fiscal year 2016, analysts estimate that GG will


Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2015 Actual $-5.03 earn US$ 0.28. For fiscal year 2017, analysts
4 estimate that GG's earnings per share will grow
by 79% to US$ 0.50.
0

-4

-8 M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S

2015 2016

Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est. Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E
2017 0.50 0.72 0.26 25 33.3
2016 0.28 0.41 0.18 22 59.5
2017 vs. 2016 79% 76% 44% 14% -44%

A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. S&P Capital IQ organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years, as well as how those earnings estimates have
changed over time. Note that the information provided in relation to consensus estimates is not intended to predict actual results and should
not be taken as a reliable indicator of future performance.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.

Glossary EBIT - Earnings Before Interest and Taxes


EBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization
EPS - Earnings Per Share
S&P Capital IQ STARS EV - Enterprise Value
Since January 1, 1987, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked a universe of U.S. FCF - Free Cash Flow
common stocks, ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), and ADSs (American FFO - Funds From Operations
Depositary Shares) based on a given equity's potential for future performance. FY - Fiscal Year
Similarly, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked Asian and European equities P/E - Price/Earnings
since June 30, 2002. Under proprietary STARS (STock Appreciation Ranking System), P/NAV - Price to Net Asset Value
S&P Capital IQ equity analysts rank equities according to their individual forecast of an PEG Ratio - P/E-to-Growth Ratio
equity's future total return potential versus the expected total return of a relevant PV - Present Value
benchmark (e.g., a regional index (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350® Index or R&D - Research & Development
S&P 500® Index)), based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was designed to meet ROCE - Return on Capital Employed
the needs of investors looking to put their investment decisions in perspective. Data ROE - Return on Equity
used to assist in determining the STARS ranking may be the result of the analyst's ROI - Return on Investment
own models as well as internal proprietary models resulting from dynamic data inputs. ROIC - Return on Invested Capital
ROA - Return on Assets
S&P Capital IQ Quality Ranking SG&A - Selling, General & Administrative Expenses
(also known as S&P Capital IQ Earnings & Dividend Rankings) - Growth and SOTP - Sum-of-The-Parts
stability of earnings and dividends are deemed key elements in establishing S&P WACC - Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Capital IQ's earnings and dividend rankings for common stocks, which are designed to
capsulize the nature of this record in a single symbol. It should be noted, however, that Dividends on American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and American
the process also takes into consideration certain adjustments and modifications Depository Shares (ADSs) are net of taxes (paid in the country of
deemed desirable in establishing such rankings. The final score for each stock is origin).
measured against a scoring matrix determined by analysis of the scores of a large and
representative sample of stocks. The range of scores in the array of this sample has
been aligned with the following ladder of rankings: S&P Capital IQ Qualitative Risk Assessment
Reflects an S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's view of a given company's operational risk,
A+ Highest B Below Average
or the risk of a firm's ability to continue as an ongoing concern. The S&P Capital IQ
A High B- Lower
Qualitative Risk Assessment is a relative ranking to the S&P U.S. STARS universe,
A- Above Average C Lowest
and should be reflective of risk factors related to a company's operations, as opposed
B+ Average D In Reorganization
to risk and volatility measures associated with share prices. For an ETF this reflects on
NR Not Ranked
a capitalization-weighted basis, the average qualitative risk assessment assigned to
holdings of the fund.
S&P Capital IQ EPS Estimates
S&P Capital IQ earnings per share (EPS) estimates reflect analyst projections of future
EPS from continuing operations, and generally exclude various items that are viewed
STARS Ranking system and definition:
as special, non-recurring, or extraordinary. Also, S&P Capital IQ EPS estimates reflect
★★★★★ 5-STARS (Strong Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark, by a
either forecasts of S&P Capital IQ equity analysts; or, the consensus (average) EPS
wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute
estimate, which are independently compiled by Capital IQ, a data provider to S&P
basis.
Capital IQ Equity Research. Among the items typically excluded from EPS estimates
are asset sale gains; impairment, restructuring or merger-related charges; legal and
★★★★★ 4-STARS (Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over the
insurance settlements; in process research and development expenses; gains or
coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis.
losses on the extinguishment of debt; the cumulative effect of accounting changes;
and earnings related to operations that have been classified by the company as
★★★★★ 3-STARS (Hold):
Total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of a relevant
discontinued. The inclusion of some items, such as stock option expense and
benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price on an
recurring types of other charges, may vary, and depend on such factors as industry
absolute basis.
practice, analyst judgment, and the extent to which some types of data is disclosed by
companies.
★★★★★ 2-STARS (Sell):
Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over
the coming 12 months, and the share price not anticipated to show a gain.
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings ★★★★★1-STAR (Strong Sell):
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings is a uniform methodology for adjusting operating Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark by a
earnings by focusing on a company's after-tax earnings generated from its principal wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares falling in price on an absolute
businesses. Included in the S&P Capital IQ definition are employee stock option grant basis.
expenses, pension costs, restructuring charges from ongoing operations, write-downs
of depreciable or amortizable operating assets, purchased research and development,
M&A related expenses and unrealized gains/losses from hedging activities. Excluded
Relevant benchmarks:
In North America, the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in
from the definition are pension gains, impairment of goodwill charges, gains or losses
Asia, the relevant benchmarks are the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia 50
from asset sales, reversal of prior-year charges and provision from litigation or
Index, respectively.
insurance settlements.

S&P Capital IQ 12-Month Target Price


The S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's projection of the market price a given security will
command 12 months hence, based on a combination of intrinsic, relative, and private
market valuation metrics, including S&P Capital IQ Fair Value.

S&P Capital IQ Equity Research


S&P Capital IQ Equity Research U.S. includes Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory
Services LLC; Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services Europe includes
McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited trading as S&P Capital IQ; Standard
& Poor's Equity Research Services Asia includes: McGraw-Hill Financial Singapore
Pte. Limited, Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory Services (HK) Limited, Standard
& Poor's Malaysia Sdn Bhd, and Standard & Poor's Information Services (Australia)
Pty Ltd.

Abbreviations Used in S&P Capital IQ Equity Research Reports


CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
CAPEX - Capital Expenditures
CY - Calendar Year
DCF - Discounted Cash Flow
DDM - Dividend Discount Model
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2016 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
STANDARD & POOR'S, S&P, S&P 500, S&P CAPITAL IQ, S&P EUROPE 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.

Disclosures which is regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission; and in
Japan, by McGraw-Hill Financial Japan KK ("MHF Japan"), which is registered by
S&P Capital IQ ranks stocks in accordance with the following ranking methodologies: Kanto Financial Bureau. SPIAS, MHFRE, SPIAS HK, MHFSPL, S&P Malaysia, SPIS
and MHF Japan, each a wholly owned subsidiary of McGraw Hill Financial, Inc.
operate under the GMI brand.
STARS Stock Reports:
S&P Capital IQ's qualitative STARS recommendations are determined and assigned
by S&P Capital IQ equity analysts. For reports containing STARS recommendations S&P Capital IQ and its affiliates provide a wide range of services to, or relating to,
refer to the Glossary section of the report for detailed methodology and the definition many organizations, including issuers of securities, investment advisers,
of STARS rankings. broker-dealers, investment banks, other financial institutions and financial
intermediaries, and accordingly may receive fees or other economic benefits from
those organizations, including organizations whose securities or services they may
Quantitative Stock Reports: recommend, rate, include in model portfolios, evaluate or otherwise address.
S&P Capital IQ's quantitative recommendations quantitative recommendations are
determined by ranking a universe of common stocks based on 5 measures or model
For details on the S&P Capital IQ research objectivity and conflict-of-interest policies,
categories: Valuation, Quality, Growth, Street Sentiment, and Price Momentum. In the
please visit: https://www.spcapitaliq.com/disclaimers/s-p-capital-iq-research-reports
U.S., a sixth sub-category for Financial Health will also be displayed. Percentile scores
are used to compare each company to all other companies in the same universe for
each model category. The five (six) model category scores are then weighted and For a list of companies mentioned in a Research Report for which McGraw Hill
rolled up into a single percentile ranking for that company. For reports containing Financial, Inc. and/or one of its affiliates own 1% or more of common equity securities
quantitative recommendations refer to the Glossary section of the report for detailed and for a list of companies mentioned in a Research Report that own more than 5% of
methodology and the definition of Quantitative rankings. the common equity securities of McGraw Hill Financial, Inc. and/or one of its affiliates,
please visit: www.SPcapitaliq.com/issuer-stock-ownership
STARS Stock Reports and Quantitative Stock Reports:
The methodologies used in STARS Stock Reports and Quantitative Stock Reports For a list of companies mentioned in a Research Report with whom S&P Capital IQ
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different criteria, assumptions and analytical methods and may have differing go to: www.spcapitaliq.com/relationships
recommendations.S&P Capital IQ believes that the methodologies and data used to
generate the different types of Research Reports are reasonable and appropriate.
Generally, S&P Capital IQ does not generate reports with different ranking This company is not a customer of S&P Capital IQ or its affiliates.
methodologies for the same issuer. However, in the event that different methodologies
or data are used on the analysis of an issuer, the methodologies may lead to different
views or recommendations on the issuer, which may at times result in contradicting
assessments of an issuer. S&P Capital IQ reserves the right to alter, replace or vary General Disclosure
models, methodologies or assumptions from time to time and without notice to clients.
Notice to all jurisdictions:
STARS Stock Reports:
Where S&P Capital IQ's Research Reports are made available in a language
S&P Capital IQ Global STARS Distribution as of June 30, 2016 other than English and in the case of inconsistencies between the English and
Ranking North America Europe Asia Global translated versions of a Research Report, the English version will control and
supersede any ambiguities associated with any part or section of a Research
Buy 24.6% 17.8% 30.0% 23.7%
Report that has been issued in a foreign language. Neither S&P Capital IQ nor its
Hold 48.0% 57.8% 45.0% 49.6%
affiliates guarantee the accuracy of the translation.
Sell 27.4% 24.4% 25.0% 26.7%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Assumptions, opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this
material and are subject to change without notice. This document may contain forward
Quantitative Stock Reports: looking statements or forecasts, such statement or forecasts are not a reliable
indicator of future performance.
The rankings for Quantitative reports have a fixed distribution based on relative
weightings as described in the Glossary section of the report. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, valuations, model,


Analyst Certification software or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be
modified, reverse engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or
stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of
STARS Stock Reports are prepared by the equity research analysts of Standard
Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC or its affiliates (collectively, S&P). The
& Poor's Investment Advisory Services LLC ("SPIAS"), McGraw-Hill Financial
Content shall not be used for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. S&P and any
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agents (collectively S&P Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness,
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timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible for any errors
regarding any and all of the subject securities or issuers. Analysts generally
or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, for the results obtained
update stock reports at least four times each year. No part of analyst
from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the
compensation and SPIAS', MHFRE's or S&P Malaysia's compensation was, is, or
user. The Content is provided on an "as is" basis. S&P PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY
will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views
AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED
expressed in a STARS Stock Report.
TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A
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About S&P Capital IQ's Distributors: OR DEFECTS, THAT THE CONTENT'S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED
S&P Capital IQ's Research Reports have been prepared by Global Markets OR THAT THE CONTENT WILL OPERATE WITH ANY SOFTWARE OR
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MHFRE exercises its MiFID right to passport investment advice including the
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Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2016 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.

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Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2016 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
STANDARD & POOR'S, S&P, S&P 500, S&P CAPITAL IQ, S&P EUROPE 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

Goldcorp Inc.

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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: GG

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