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To: k.briffa@uea.ac.uk, mann@geo.umass.edu, mhughes@ltrr.arizona.edu,
rbradley@geo.umass.edu, t.osborn@uea.ac.uk
Subject: oops typo. disregard previous message
Date: Wed, 14 Apr 1999 16:06:45 -0400 (EDT)
Dear Tim,
best regards,
mike.
____________________________COMMENTS________________________
One additional new comment:
4) good enough
5) I really doubt that the 2000 year trend is meaningful and, unlike
the results we have shown, there is no confirmation that these 3
sites accurately reflect northern hemisphere mean temperatures
to any reasonable level during the modern era.
ftp://eclogite.geo.umass.edu/pub/mann/IPCC/nhemcompare-ipcc.gif
OR
ftp://eclogite.geo.umass.edu/pub/mann/IPCC/nhemcompare-ipcc.ps
You will see how I have aligned the series based on a 1961-1990
reference period for the instrumental series, and a 20th baseline
adjustment for the alignment of all series. To me, this is the
most reasonable adjusment of the series if they are to be shown
together. It also shows the different that latitudinal variations
make EXPLICITLY by showing the difference between our
TRUE (0-90 lat weighted) NH annual mean temp series, and
an extratropical (30-70 deg lat) average from our pattern
reconstructions, which approaches quite closely the Overpeck
et al '97 and Jones et al '98 series. Seasonal distinctions
then the key remain difference. This is, I believe, the
best approach to the comparisons, and the one I will favor
in IPCC.