UNIVERSITY OF WINDSOR

DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS

65-205 Final Examination December 2004 TIME = 3 HOURS
SURNAME:__________________FIRST NAME:__________________I.D.#:_________________SECTION:_____

1. This test has 9 pages excluding the cover page and 10 questions
2. Do not separate the sheets (leave the staple in)
3. DO ALL OF THE QUESTIONS
4. Print your name on the first page. Write your last name on each subsequent page.
5. Answer each question in the space provided. If you need more space, clearly indicate where
the rest of your solution is to be found. USE THE BACK OF THE SHEET FOR EXTRA
CALCULATIONS.
6. It is important to be specific about what you are calculating, otherwise it is impossible to
award partial marks for solutions containing errors.
7. Statistical tables and formulae are provided with this test.
8. You are expected to define the symbols you use and to state any necessary assumptions. In
particular:
I. Wherever necessary, you are responsible for stating appropriate theorem or
assumptions to make a procedure statistically valid.
II. Wherever necessary, make interpretation and write conclusion in appropriate
manner.
III. You must write symbol for events before you put numbers for them.
IV. If a question involves comparing two means involving two independent samples,
you must first test the assumption regarding the two variances.
V. In an hypotheses testing problem, you must always write H0 and HA.

9. MUST ALWAYS SHOW YOUR WORK

10.USE INK ONLY (ANSWERS WRITTEN IN PENCIL WILL RECEIVE ZERO MARK)

Do not write anything on this sheet below this line

Maximum
Question Actual mark
mark
1 16
2 12
3 7
4 6
5 4
6 4
7 13
8 22
9 11
10 9
Total 104

Mark Q#
8 1. a) The stem-and-leaf display for the birth weight of 50 newborn babies in a hospital is given below:

Stem Leaf
2 0
3 1 4
4 0 1 1 3 4
5 0 1 1 2 3 7
6 0 4 5 7 8 8 9
7 0 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8
8 0 1 1 2 2 3 3
9 1 3 4 4 7 8
10 0 9
11 7

I. Find the range, median, Q1 , Q3 and interquartile range.

II. What is the approximate value of the standard deviation?

III. Do the data refer to a population or a sample?

5 b) A population has five values 5, 3, 7, 1, 9. Find the mean and variance of the population.

3 c c) The following data represent the number of small cracks per bar for a sample of 8 steel bars: 4, 6,
 7, 1, 3, 2, 30, 8. Determine whether 30 is an outlier.

2 2. (a) Given that P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.3 and P(A � B) = 0.7,
I. find P(A � B).

1
II. find P(A | B ).

2
III. Are A and B mutually exclusive events? Give reasons.

IV. Are A and B independent events? Give reasons.

2

b) A group of people at a health club were classified according to their gender and smoking habits,
as shown below:

Smoking Habits

Gender Smoker (S) Nonsmoker (N) Total

Male (M) 2 24 26
Female (F) 6 8 14
Total 8 32 40
One person is selected at random from that group of forty people. Find the following probabilities
and write the corresponding events in symbols (using intersections, unions, etc such as P(M I S) ).

I. What is the probability that the person smokes?

II. What is the probability that the person is female but does not smoke?

III. What is the probability that the person is male and smoker or a female and smoker ?
2
 IV. If the person was female, what is the probability that she does not smoke?
1

3. a) At this point in time, one in five women who are diagnosed to have early-stage breast cancer,
without evidence of spread to other parts of the body, die of the disease. Suppose 5 women who
have been diagnosed to have early-stage breast cancer are randomly selected.

2 (i) Find the probability that all 5 women will survive the disease.

2 (ii) Find the mean and variance of the number of women, among the five selected, who
will die of the disease.

3 b) The average number of telephone calls in a hospital emergency room between 10-11 p.m. is
3. What is the probability that the emergency room will get 3 calls tonight between 10-11
p.m.? What is the probability that the number of calls will exceed 1?

4. (a) Consider that a sample of size n = 100 is drawn from a population with m =40 and s =4.
1 (i) What is the mean of X ?

(ii) What is the standard deviation of X ?

1

(iii) What is Pr (X > 41) ? What theorem is needed to make this result valid?
2
 b) A normal random variable x has m = 1.2 and s = .15 . Find P (x < 1.38).
2

4 5. b) The reliability of an electrical fuse is the probability that a fuse, chosen at random from production,
will function under the conditions for which it has been designed. A random sample of 1000 fuses
was tested and x = 27 defectives were observed. Calculate the approximate probability of observing
27 or more defectives, assuming that the fuse reliability is .98.

6. A warehouse contains 10 computer printers, 3 of which are defective. A company randomly selects
five of the 10 printers to purchase.
2
a) What is the probability that all 5 are nondefective?

2 b) What is the probability that there are more than 4 defectives ?

7. A new process for producing synthetic diamonds can be operated at a profitable level only if the
average weight of the diamonds is greater than .5 karat. To evaluate the profitability of the process,
six diamonds are generated, with recorded weights .46, .61, .52, .48, .57, and .54 karat with X = .53
and s = .0559 .
1 a) Find a point estimate for the average weight of the diamonds produced by the process.

1 b) Find a point estimate of s2 .

5 c) Do the six measurements present sufficient evidence to indicate that the average weight of the
diamonds produced by the process exceeds .5 karat? Perform appropriate test using a = .05.
What is the rejection region for this test?

d) Find a 95% confidence interval for s2 .

3

e) Test H 0 : s = 0.015 against H A : s �0.015.

2 2

3
 8. Two independent random samples of sizes n1 = 4 and n 2 = 5 are selected from each of two normal
populations:

Population 1 12 3 8 5
Population 2 14 7 7 9 6

2
a) Calculate s 2 , the pooled estimator of s .
2

5
b) Find a 90% confidence interval for (m1 - m 2 ), the difference between the two
population means.

5 c) Test H 0 : (m1 - m2 ) = 0 against H a : (m1 - m2 ) < 0 at a = .05. State your conclusions.

 d) Test the assumption that s1 = s2 at a = .05. and state your conclusion
2 2
5

e) Find a 95% C.I for s1 / s2 .

2 2

11 9. Eight obese persons were placed on a diet for 1 month, and their weights, at the beginning and at the
end of the month, were recorded:

Weights
Subjects Initial Final
 1 310 263
2 295 251
3 287 249
4 305 259
5 270 233
6 323 267
7 277 242
8 299 265

a) Obtain a 95% confidence interval for the mean weight change for obese persons when placed
on the diet for a 1-month period. What assumptions must you make so that your inference is
valid? At a = .05. test whether there was a significant weight change.

3 10. a) If x1 , x2 , ..., x50 is a random sample from a distribution with  m = 3 and  s = 2 and the
probability that the sample mean  will exceed a quantity d is .6368, find d.
 b) If A normal random variable x has an unknown mean and unknown standard deviation. The
3 probability that x exceeds 4 is .9772, and the probability that x exceeds 5 is .9332. Find m and
s .

c) If x1 , x2 , ..., x50 is a random sample from binomial (10, .3), find P ( X  > 2.5).
3