28 MARCH 2017

T H E M A R S H A L L C E N T E R

weekly
transnational

A CURRENT AWARENESS SERVICE FROM THE MARSHALL CENTER

The Marshall Center

Transnational Weekly

CONTENTS is a current awareness,

information and policy
tool for Marshall Center
COUNTERING TRANSNATIONAL ORGANIZED CRIME (CTOC) stakeholders to inform
Corruption them about online
Drug Trafficking publications by think
Trafficking in Scarce or Protected Resources tanks, research institutes
Organized Crime and Money Laundering and other organizations
Human Trafficking and Irregular Migration that deal with trans-
national subjects. Use of
these brief excerpts and
PROGRAM ON CYBER SECURITY STUDIES (PCSS) links does not reflect the
Internet Governance views of or endorsement
Internet Freedom by the Marshall Center,
Privacy and Security the U.S. government or
Cyber Statecraft Development the German government.
Public/Private Partnership All original content in
Protection of Intellectual Property these compilations is
Cyber Capacity Building copyrighted unless spe-
Combating Terrorism and Cyber Crime cifically noted otherwise.
Information Sharing All rights to copyrighted
Cyber Protection of Critical Infrastructure items are reserved.

PROGRAM ON TERRORISM AND SECURITY STUDIES (PTSS)

ISIS
Terrorism Around the World
Radicalization and Messaging
Foreign Fighters
Counterterrorism Strategies

CONSEQUENCE MANAGEMENT
Water Security
COUNTERING TRANSNATIONAL ORGANIZED CRIME (CTOC)

CORRUPTION
Mystery shoppers to be used against corruption
Azamat Syzdykbayev – The Astana Times: 22 March 2017
Looking for new ways to root out corruption, the Kazakhstan government will be using mystery
shoppers to gauge the risk of graft in the acquisition of public goods and services.
http://astanatimes.com/2017/03/mystery-shoppers-to-be-used-against-corruption/

A Sad Tale of Corruption in a World Bank Project – UPDATE

Rick Messick – The Global Anticorruption Blog: 22 March 2017
California Institute of Technology Professor Jean Ensminger testified before a U.S. congressional
panel about the World Bank corruption scandal that saw money line the pockets of rich Kenyans
instead of going to the poorest citizens. The lessons learned and subsequent preventive measures
resulted in the successful launch of a similar program in Indonesia.
https://globalanticorruptionblog.com/2017/03/22/a-sad-tale-of-corruption-in-a-world-bank-project/
Full Ensminger testimony:
https://financialservices.house.gov/uploadedfiles/hhrg-115-ba19-wstate-jensminger-20170322.pdf

For more on this theme:

An Egypt court is to reopen a corruption probe into Mubarak
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/afp/2017/03/egypt-politics-investigation-mubarak-investigation-investiga-
tion.html

Fighting land corruption in Sub-Saharan Africa: Widows tell their story

https://www.transparency.org/news/feature/fighting_land_corruption_in_sub_saharan_africa_widows_tell_
their_story

A Call for Higher Integrity Standards and Deeper Democratization

https://globalanticorruptionblog.com/2017/03/17/guest-post-a-call-for-higher-integrity-stan-
dards-and-deeper-democratization/

A federal anti-corruption watchdog makes sense ... even if we have no corruption

http://www.smh.com.au/comment/a-federal-anticorruption-watchdog-makes-sense--even-if-we-have-no-cor-
ruption-20170324-gv5lew.html

South Korea’s long history of corruption has yielded mixed results

https://origin-nyi.thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/economy-budget/325465-south-koreas-long-history-of-
corruption-has-yielded-mixed

Anti-corruption fever rages on eve of Brazil protests

https://au.news.yahoo.com/world/a/34782508/anti-corruption-fever-rages-on-eve-of-brazil-protests/#page1

Anti-corruption coup
https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/193638-Anti-corruption-coup

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DRUG TRAFFICKING
Is Peru’s Cocaine Production Rising Again?
Mimi Yagoub – InSight Crime: 17 March 2017
Are new calculation methods the reason Peru’s coca crops seem to be increasing for the first
time since 2011, or are cultivation rates actually increasing?
http://www.insightcrime.org/news-briefs/is-peru-cocaine-production-rising-again

“Extraordinary” 60th Session of the Commission on Narcotic Drugs closes with

commitment to keep protecting people
United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC): 17 March 2017
At the end of the 60th Session of the Commission on Narcotic Drugs, UNODC Chief Yury
Fedotov asked countries to combat addiction and drug trafficking. He told participants:
“Together we have made a commitment under the international drug control conventions to the
health and welfare of people and communities everywhere — an enduring promise to millions of
children, women and men that we must uphold.”
http://www.unodc.org/unodc/en/frontpage/2017/March/extraordinary-60th-session-of-the-commission-
on-narcotic-drugs-closes-with-commitment-to-keep-protecting-people.html

For more on this theme:

Which Regions of Colombia Are Playing the Biggest Role in the Coca Boom?
http://www.insightcrime.org/news-analysis/which-regions-colombia-biggest-role-coca-boom

Power Short-Circuited: Social Movement Organisation under Cartel Rule in

Rural Guatemala
https://www.clingendael.nl/sites/default/files/Social_movement_organisation_under_cartel_rule_ru-
ral_Guatamala.pdf

Colombian Cocaine Seizure Puts Texis Cartel on Central American Drug

Trafficking Map
http://www.insightcrime.org/news-analysis/colombian-cocaine-seizure-texis-cartel-central-ameri-
can-drug-trafficking-map

ELN Cocaine Seizure Points to Expanding Presence on Colombia’s Pacific Coast

http://www.insightcrime.org/news-briefs/eln-cocaine-seizure-confirms-guerrilla-group-expansion-colom-
bia-pacific-coast

Laos to Step Up Patrols on Vietnam Border Amid Drug Trafficking Spike

http://www.rfa.org/english/news/laos/border-03222017174440.html

Association of State Recreational Marijuana Laws with Adolescent Marijuana Use

http://www.rand.org/pubs/external_publications/EP67013.html

Renewed Philippine Drug War Unlikely to Address Human Rights Concerns

https://www.csis.org/analysis/renewed-philippine-drug-war-unlikely-address-human-rights-concerns

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TRAFFICKING IN SCARCE OR PROTECTED RESOURCES
Conflict minerals: the bloody truth behind your smartphone
Diplomatic Intelligence: 22 March 2017
The illegal trade and mining of minerals used to make components in high-tech equipment
such as smartphones and tablets are lining the pockets of armed criminal and terrorist groups.
The European Union recently voted to make the tech companies responsible for the import of
these materials.
http://www.diplomaticintelligence.eu/international-news/2396-conflict-minerals-the-bloody-truth-be-
hind-your-smartphone

New Maps May Help Chase Down Poachers Before They Strike
Paul Steyn – National Geographic: 22 March 2017
The ability to know where wildlife is at any time, thanks to new mapping software, is a major
step forward for wildlife conservation in Africa and potentially around the globe.
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/2017/03/wildlife-watch-data-poaching-wildlife-trafficking/

For more on this theme:

Conflict minerals: MEPs secure due diligence obligations for importers
http://www.diplomaticintelligence.eu/european-union-news/2389-conflict-minerals-meps-se-
cure-due-diligence-obligations-for-importers

International Day of Forests: INTERPOL’s global role in environmental security

https://www.interpol.int/en/News-and-media/News/2017/N2017-033

Downstream Oil Theft: Implications and Next Steps

http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/images/publications/Implications_and_Next_Steps_RW_0316.pdf

China Is Creating a Huge Sanctuary to Save Endangered Big Cats

http://www.care2.com/causes/china-is-creating-a-huge-sanctuary-to-save-endangered-big-cats.html

Scene-of-crime evidence gathering: TRAFFIC helps deliver training in Tanzania

and Kenya
http://www.traffic.org/home/2017/3/22/scene-of-crime-evidence-gathering-traffic-helps-deliver-trai.html

How do you solve a problem like illegal wildlife trafficking?

http://csr-asia.com/csr-asia-weekly-news-detail.php?id=12668

Nigeria: State Has Over 1,000 Illegal Mining Sites - Expert

http://allafrica.com/stories/201703240018.html

Desperate and hungry, thousands of Venezuelans risk life in mafia-infested

illegal mining
http://www.foxnews.com/world/2017/03/22/desperate-and-hungry-thousands-venezue-
lans-risk-life-in-mafia-infested-illegal-mining.html

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ORGANIZED CRIME AND MONEY LAUNDERING
Austrac launches public/private sector partnership to combat financial crime
Austrac (Australian Transaction Reports and Analysis Centre): 6 March 2017
Australia is creating the first public-private partnership in the world to identify, target, disrupt
and deter money laundering and terrorism financing. The Fintel Alliance already has 19 part-
ners from government and industry in Australia.
https://www.finextra.com/pressarticle/68324/austrac-launches-publicprivate-sector-partnership-to-com-
bat-financial-crime

On Tap Europe: Organised Crime and Illicit Trade in Tobacco, Alcohol and
Pharmaceuticals
Clare Ellis – Royal United Services Institute: March 2017
This is the final report in a series on the role of organized crime groups in the illicit trade of
tobacco, alcohol and pharmaceuticals across Europe.
https://rusi.org/sites/default/files/201703_rusi_whr_2-17_on_tap_europe_updated_low-res.pdf

For more on this theme:

Dutch Prosecutors Probe ING Bank for Money Laundering, Corruption
https://www.occrp.org/en/daily/6218-dutch-prosecutors-probe-ing-bank-for-money-laundering-
corruption

Laundromat - Where Did the Money Go?

https://www.occrp.org/en/laundromat/profiles/

Handbook on Anti-Money Laundering and Combating the Financing of Terrorism for

Nonbank Financial Institutions
https://www.adb.org/publications/handbook-anti-money-laundering

Laundromat revelations: Time to take money out of the shadows

http://www.diplomaticintelligence.eu/international-news/2394-laundromat-revela-
tions-time-to-take-money-out-of-the-shadows

HUMAN TRAFFICKING AND IRREGULAR MIGRATION

Research in Brief: Decriminalising ‘Humanitarian Smuggling’
Refugee Studies Centre – March 2017
This paper outlines the concept of “humanitarian smuggling” and critiques smuggling
prohibitions at the international and European Union levels.
https://www.rsc.ox.ac.uk/publications/research-in-brief-decriminalising-humanitarian-smuggling/@@
download/file

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A Labor Trafficking Survivor Speaks Out
Michael Ahn Paarlberg – Inequality.org: 16 March 2017
A new report by the National Domestic Workers Alliance and the Institute for Policy Studies
documents the abuse suffered by more than 100 domestic workers in the United States who are
human trafficking survivors.
http://inequality.org/labor-trafficking-survivor-speaks/

For more on this theme:

REPORT: The Human Conveyor Belt: trends in human trafficking and smuggling in
post-revolution Libya
http://globalinitiative.net/report-the-human-conveyor-belt-trends-in-human-trafficking-and-smuggling-
in-post-revolution-libya/

Sexual violence against refugees goes on: Europe can and must act to end it
http://europesworld.org/2017/03/23/sexual-violence-against-refugees-goes-on-europe-can-and-must-
act-to-end-it/#.WNS1X6IpAaF

Syrians in Turkey: The Human Smuggler and the Young Refugee

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/24/world/europe/turkey-human-trafficking-refugee-crisis.html?_r=0

Italian Prosecutor Probes NGOs for Refugee Smuggling

http://www.lifezette.com/polizette/italian-prosecutor-probes-ngos-for-refugee-smuggling/

Ghana: Government Working to Improve Human Trafficking Situation - Ambrose Dery

http://allafrica.com/stories/201703220521.html

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PROGRAM ON CYBER SECURITY STUDIES (PCSS)

INTERNET GOVERNANCE
Reining in Internet Abuse
James Dobbins – Rand: 23 March 2017
The abuse of the internet for illicit, hateful or unethical dealings has become an increasing stain
on the intent of the medium to freely share information without borders. How can the United
States deal with such abuses and govern the very space that seems ungovernable?
http://www.rand.org/blog/2017/03/reining-in-internet-abuse.html

For more on this theme:

(Global) What it’ll take to forge peace in cyberspace
http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Passcode/Passcode-Voices/2017/0320/What-it-ll-take-to-forge-peace-
in-cyberspace

(Global) A normative approach to preventing cyberwarfare

https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/normative-approach-preventing-cyberwarfare/

(Nigeria) NCC seeks inputs on internet code of practice

https://guardian.ng/technology/ncc-seeks-inputs-on-internet-code-of-practice/

INTERNET FREEDOM
South Africa: We Are Concerned Over the Shrinking Space for Dissent in
South Africa!
Right2Know: 21 March 2017
An activist group writes an open letter to the government of South Africa outlining and
decrying the increased censorship of dissent, including heavy social media regulation.
http://allafrica.com/stories/201703220216.html

For more on this theme:

(Jamaica) Is Jamaica Preventing Cybercrime or Cyber Activism? The Tambourine
Army Goes to Court
https://globalvoices.org/2017/03/23/is-jamaica-preventing-cybercrime-or-cyber-activism-the-tambou-
rine-army-goes-to-court/

(U.S.) Ex-FCC Boss: Gut Net Neutrality and You Gut Internet Freedom
https://www.wired.com/2017/03/ex-fcc-boss-gut-net-neutrality-gut-internet-freedom/

(China) Chinese Internet Censors Have Banned Pinterest

https://heatst.com/tech/chinese-internet-censors-have-banned-pinterest/

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PRIVACY AND SECURITY
Cyber Disrupt 2017: Keynote: Next Steps for Cybersecurity After a Decade of
Lessons Learned
Center for Strategic and International Studies: 15 March 2017
At the first Cyber Disrupt Summit, panelists discussed strategies, policies and technology
practices that will disrupt the current status quo and improve cyber security.
https://www.csis.org/analysis/cyber-disrupt-2017-keynote-next-steps-cybersecurity-after-decade-les-
sons-learned

For more on this theme:

(India) From a Free Society to a Surveillance Society
http://www.countercurrents.org/2017/03/07/from-a-free-society-to-a-surveillance-society/

(U.S., Global) Cyber Security: Deter or Die?

https://rusi.org/commentary/cyber-security-deter-or-die

CYBER STATECRAFT DEVELOPMENT

Cyber-ia: The Ethical Considerations Behind Syria’s Cyber-War
Arthur Deegan, Yasir Khalid, Michelle Kingue and Aldo Taboada – Small Wars Journal:
22 March 2017
Syria’s pro-Assad hackers raised ethical contradictions regarding warfare, particularly civil
warfare. Did these acts of cyber terrorism cross the lines of ethical warfare?
http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/cyber-ia-the-ethical-considerations-behind-syria%E2%80%99s-
cyber-war

For more on this theme:

(EU, NATO) British Official Calls for Greater NATO-EU Cybersecurity Cooperation
http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/british-official-calls-for-greater-nato-eu-cybersecuri-
ty-cooperation

(Russia) The Yahoo hack is the clearest sign yet that Russia has merged criminal
hacking with a larger mission
http://www.businessinsider.com/yahoo-hack-russia-hacking-2017-3

(China, U.S.) Will the Trump Administration Protect Hard-Won Progress with China
on Cybersecurity?
https://www.lawfareblog.com/will-trump-administration-protect-hard-won-progress-china-cybersecurity

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PUBLIC/PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP
House subcommittee considers rural-friendly broadband regulations, ‘dig-once’
requirement for highway projects
Jason Shueh – StateScoop: 22 March 2017
A U.S. congressional committee is considering two bills that could promote rural broadband
growth. The bills would streamline permits and introduce a “dig-once” policy of laying broad-
band cable in line with highway infrastructure construction.
http://statescoop.com/house-subcommittee-considers-rural-friendly-broadband-regulations-conduit-re-
quirement-for-highway-projects

For more on this theme:

(Europe) Europe’s future is #digital: EU countries to commit in Rome to go deeper
and further on digital
https://www.eureporter.co/frontpage/2017/03/23/europes-future-is-digital-eu-countries-to-commit-in-
rome-to-go-deeper-and-further-on-digital/

(Philippines) Protect 2017, a private-public partnership on security and safety

http://www.rappler.com/bulletin-board/164720-protect-2017-cyber-security

PROTECTION OF INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY

Law firm creating 71 new jobs with new IP anti-piracy HQ in Cardiff
Sion Barry – WalesOnline: 22 March 2017
A law firm in Cardiff, Wales, secured financial support from the Welsh government to launch a
new a global intellectual property anti-piracy headquarters.
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/business/appointments/law-firm-creating-71-new-12777973

For more on this theme:

(Europe) Mining Is The New Reading
https://www.ip-watch.org/2017/03/23/mining-new-reading/

(China, U.S.) How China is preparing for cyberwar

https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Passcode/Passcode-Voices/2017/0320/How-China-is-prepar-
ing-for-cyberwar

(Global) The war you can’t see: U.S. cyber warriors protect us from daily attacks
http://www.daytondailynews.com/news/local/the-war-you-can-see-cyber-warriors-protect-from-daily-at-
tacks/2kYpgKyutTmXvPg1QUhLPP/

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CYBER CAPACITY BUILDING
UN Broadband Commission: Time for a “New Deal” if Broadband is to reach
everyone, everywhere
International Telecommunication Union: 16 March 2017
To meet global development goals, governments and industry must develop new methods of
working together to get the rollout of broadband on track.
http://www.itu.int/en/mediacentre/Pages/2017-PR09.aspx

For more on this theme:

(Africa) Internet Society announces first ever Africa Regional Internet and
Development Dialogue
https://www.internetsociety.org/news/internet-society-announces-first-ever-africa-regional-inter-
net-and-development-dialogue

(Global) The Benefits of Trade Have Not Been Equitable. Digital Commerce Can
Change That
http://blogs.cfr.org/cyber/2017/03/23/the-benefits-of-trade-have-not-been-universal-digital-commerce-
can-change-that/

(Global) Digital natives are born global citizens

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/education-plus-development/2017/03/16/digital-natives-are-born-glob-
al-citizens/

COMBATING TERRORISM AND CYBER CRIME

Weaponized Twitter: Terror in 140 Characters or Less
Jennifer Golbeck and Andrea Matwyshyn – Knowledge@Wharton: 23 March 2017
A Texas grand jury considering a physical assault case classified a tweet with an embedded
seizure-inducing file as “a deadly weapon” — the first, but certainly not the last, declaration of its
kind.
http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/weaponized-twitter/

For more on this theme:

(Global) Ransomware – the new INTERPOL digital security challenge
https://www.interpol.int/en/News-and-media/News/2017/N2017-034

(China) When China’s White-Hat Hackers Go Patriotic

http://blogs.cfr.org/cyber/2017/03/13/chinas-white-hat-hackers-go-patriotic/

(Global) Threat Intelligence and Analytics: Staying Ahead of Cyber Criminals

http://www.esecurityplanet.com/network-security/threat-intelligence.html

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INFORMATION SHARING
Cyber threat sharing improved, but ‘not the end of the road’
Jory Heckman – Federal News Radio: 21 March 2017
Lawmakers in the United Sates were hoping for a “cyber 911” when they passed legislation
directing a cyber threat intelligence-sharing initiative between government and industry. While
the groundwork has been laid, the initiative has a long way to go.
http://federalnewsradio.com/cybersecurity/2017/03/cyber-threat-sharing-improved-not-end-road/

For more on this theme:

(U.S.) US Senate votes to let internet providers share your web browsing history
without permission
http://www.theverge.com/2017/3/23/15026666/senate-broadband-privacy-rules-congressional-re-
view-act-fcc-vote

(New Zealand) NZTech backs government’s stance on cyber security

http://business.scoop.co.nz/2017/03/23/nztech-backs-governments-stance-on-cyber-security/

CYBER PROTECTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE

Critical infrastructures under daily attack – ERNCIP head Georg Peter
Ben Deighton – Horizon: 20 March 2017
Critical infrastructures such as rail systems and power plants are under constant attack,
according to Georg Peter, who is responsible for the European Reference Network for Critical
Infrastructure Protection.
https://horizon-magazine.eu/article/critical-infrastructures-under-daily-attack-erncip-head-georg-pe-
ter_en.html

For more on this theme:

(Global) On the Internet, Nobody Knows That You’re A Russian Bot
http://blogs.cfr.org/cyber/2017/03/20/internet-nobody-knows-youre-russian-bot/

(U.S.) Trump’s budget proposal gives DHS $1.5 billion for cybersecurity
http://thehill.com/policy/cybersecurity/324238-trumps-budget-proposal-gives-dhs-15-billion-for-cyber-
security
 

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PROGRAM ON TERRORISM AND SECURITY STUDIES (PTSS)

ISIS
From Cairo to Berlin: Why is ISIS Targeting Christians?
Mohamed Soliman – The Washington Institute for Near East Policy: 20 March 2017
While targeting Christians is not a new tactic for ISIS, the attacks have dramatically increased
as coalition forces defeat the terror group in battles across the Middle East and North Africa.
http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/fikraforum/view/from-cairo-to-berlin-why-is-isis-targeting-christians

Knowing the Enemy: Understanding the Islamic State and Principles for Defeating It
Terrence Kelly, James Dobbins, Barbara Sude and Ben Connable – Rand: March 2017
In this paper, Rand researchers identify threats to U.S. interests posed by ISIS, propose a
context in which ISIS should be judged, provide an initial framework for interpreting the data
and insights, outline a way ahead and generate options.
http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/perspectives/PE200/PE200/RAND_PE200.pdf

For more on this theme:

Islamic State Claims London Attacker as Its ‘Soldier’
http://www.voanews.com/a/islamic-state-claims-london-attacker-soldier/3779461.html

Aid Remains Key to a Counter-ISIS Plan, Tunisia Says

https://www.usip.org/node/101336

Why A Dying Islamic State Could Be An Even Bigger Threat To America

http://fortune.com/2017/03/09/isis-islamic-state-america/

Why Did It Take ISIS a Full Day to Claim the London Attack?
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/03/isis-london-claim/520569/

The Future of Islamic State Operations in Africa

http://blogs.cfr.org/campbell/2017/03/22/__trashed-4/

Twin offensives in Syria put pressure on Islamic State

http://www.pressherald.com/2017/03/23/twin-offensives-in-syria-put-pressure-on-islamic-state/

Scorched earth: If Islamic State can’t have it, no one can

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-islamic-state-sabotage-idUSKBN16T1DX

Islamic State Routed in Somalia’s Puntland, President Says

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-03-23/islamic-state-group-routed-in-somalia-s-punt-
land-president-says

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TERRORISM AROUND THE WORLD
Hizbollah’s Syria Conundrum
International Crisis Group: 14 March 2017
Hezbollah has no exit strategy for the Syrian war and faces numerous challenges as it becomes
further embroiled in the sectarian strife and extremist surge. The group went to Syria to
preserve the Assad regime — which it has done — but has made no strides toward a negotiated
settlement.
https://www.crisisgroup.org/file/4539/download?token=vA7fPde3

Can Military Might Alone Defeat al-Shabaab?

Mustafa Bananay – International Peace Institute: 21 March 2017
To defeat al-Shabaab, you must first determine what makes the group attractive to recruits and
so resilient. Merely going after the group on the battlefield will be a fool’s errand because the
group has proven its ability to survive and rebound after such initiatives.
https://theglobalobservatory.org/2017/03/al-shabaab-amisom-extremism-afgoye/

For more on this theme:

Pakistani Taliban confirms senior al Qaeda commander killed in Afghanistan
http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2017/03/pakistani-taliban-confirms-senior-al-qaeda-com-
mander-killed-in-afghanistan.php

Will Morocco Extradite a Hezbollah Financier to the United States?

http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/will-morocco-extradite-a-hezbollah-finan-
cier-to-the-united-states

Al Qaeda in Syria Can Change Its Name, but Not Its Stripes
http://www.rand.org/blog/2017/03/al-qaeda-in-syria-can-change-its-name-but-not-its-stripes.html

Brussels Attacks One Year On: More Still Needs to Be Done

https://rusi.org/commentary/brussels-attacks-one-year-more-still-needs-be-done

Al Qaeda Takes Advantage in Syria

https://www.thecipherbrief.com/article/middle-east/al-qaeda-takes-advantage-syria-1089

Taliban Take an Afghan District, Sangin, That Many Marines Died to Keep
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/23/world/asia/afghanistan-taliban-helmand-sangin.html

Is Hamas prepping for a ‘State of Gaza’?

http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2017/03/hamas-government-committee-gaza-separa-
tion-west-bank.html

The War Has Just Begun: Boko Haram and the Coming Diffusion of Terror in Nigeria
http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/the-war-has-just-begun-boko-haram-and-the-coming-diffusion-of-
terror-in-nigeria

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RADICALIZATION AND MESSAGING
ISIS Will Fail, but What About the Idea of ISIS?
Simon Cottee – The Atlantic: 23 March 2017
After numerous setbacks, ISIS is floundering. While the group may be devastated, the ideology
continues to inspire attacks, as evidenced most recently in London.
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/03/idea-of-isis-will-outlive-caliphate/520224/

“Heaven will wait”: on the religious radicalization of young women

Jochen Kürten – Deustsche Welle: 24 March 2017
A new French film looks at the threat of radicalization through the story of two young girls who
fall prey to extremism and are recruited into ISIS.
http://www.dw.com/en/heaven-will-wait-on-the-religious-radicalization-of-young-women/a-38103616

For more on this theme:

Spotlight: New evidence on extremism informs policy in the Sahel
https://issafrica.org/impact/spotlight-new-evidence-on-extremism-informs-policy-in-the-sahel

What Do Jihadis Want? The Caliphate

http://www.meforum.org/6601/what-do-jihadis-want-the-caliphate

How do education and unemployment affect support for violent extremism?

https://www.brookings.edu/research/how-do-education-and-unemployment-affect-support-for-violent-ex-
tremism/

IS Propaganda: Should We Counter the Narrative?

https://icct.nl/publication/is-propaganda-should-we-counter-the-narrative/

London Attack Inquiry Focuses on Radicalization of Perpetrator

http://ktla.com/2017/03/24/london-attack-inquiry-focuses-on-radicalization-of-perpetrator/

London Attack Exposes Lack of Counter-Radicalization Plan

http://www.lifezette.com/polizette/london-attack-exposes-lack-of-counter-radicalization-plan/

Why Women Are Crucial to Fighting Radicalization in Afghanistan

https://www.newsdeeply.com/womenandgirls/women-crucial-fighting-radicalization-afghanistan/

Khalid Masood: from sporty teenager to murderous extremist

http://www.cnn.com/2017/03/24/europe/khalid-masood-london-attacker-profile/

Tajikistan On Track To Be The Next Afghanistan

https://fronteranews.com/news/mena/tajikistan-on-track-to-be-the-next-afghanistan/

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FOREIGN FIGHTERS
Mental Health and the Foreign Fighter Phenomenon: A Case Study from
the Netherlands
Christophe Paulussen, Janne Nijman and Karlien Lismont – International Centre for Counter-
Terrorism: March 2017
Using the Netherlands as a case study, this paper examines the connections between radicaliza-
tion and mental health issues.
https://icct.nl/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/ICCT-Paulussen-Nijman-Lismont-Mental-Health-and-the-
Foreign-Fighter-Phenomenon-March-2017.pdf

Returning Foreign Fighters and the Reintegration Imperative

Georgia Holmer and Adrian Shtuni – United States Institute of Peace: March 2017
This report aims to help policymakers and practitioners navigate the challenges of developing
programs to rehabilitate and reintegrate foreign fighters returning from Syria and Iraq into their
societies.
https://www.usip.org/sites/default/files/2017-03/sr402-returning-foreign-fighters-and-the-reintegra-
tion-imperative.pdf

For more on this theme:

Beware the New Mujahideen: The Threat from Future Jihadist Networks
http://nationalinterest.org/feature/beware-the-new-mujahideen-the-threat-future-jihadist-19767?page=-
show

Jihadist mobilisation, undemocratic Salafism and terrorist threat in the EU

http://www.realinstitutoelcano.org/wps/portal/rielcano_en/contenido?WCM_GLOBAL_CONTEXT=/elcano/
elcano_in/zonas_in/commentary-reinares-jihadist-mobilisation-undemocratic-salafism-terrorist-threat-eu

The Use of Deportation in Counter-Terrorism: Insights from the Italian Case

https://icct.nl/publication/the-use-of-deportation-in-counter-terrorism-insights-from-the-italian-case/

Islamic State might form ‘diaspora’ caliphate around the world, George
Brandis warns
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/islamic-state-might-form-diaspora-caliphate-
around-the-world-george-brandis-warns-20170324-gv5z0j.html

COUNTERTERRORISM STRATEGIES
Counter-terrorism Pitfalls: What the U.S. Fight against ISIS and al-Qaeda
Should Avoid
International Crisis Group: 22 March 2017
This report examines U.S. President Donald Trump’s emerging counterterrorism policies, the
dilemmas his administration faces in battling ISIS and al-Qaida across the Middle East and
South Asia, and how to avoid deepening the disorder both groups exploit.
https://www.crisisgroup.org/file/4587/download?token=8dz_o0uP

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It’s time to use local assets in the global campaign against ISIS
Eric Rosand – Brookings: 20 March 2017
The global anti-ISIS coalition has focused on kinetic actions to defeat ISIS. But missing from
these discussions are the mayors and other local authorities who are responsible for countering
radicalization and securing their cities against returning foreign fighters.
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2017/03/20/its-time-to-use-local-assets-in-the-glob-
al-campaign-against-isis/

For more on this theme:

A Test for Tillerson, and for U.S. Strategy on ISIS
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/21/us/politics/tillerson-isis-allies.html?_r=0

The Growing Terror Threat in the Year Since Brussels

http://www.soufangroup.com/tsg-intelbrief-the-growing-terror-threat-in-the-year-since-brussels/

Canada, France may join US, UK ban of electronic devices in cabins

http://www.straitstimes.com/world/canada-france-may-join-us-uk-ban-of-devices-in-cabins

Gulf Support to the Counter-ISIS Campaign

http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/gulf-support-to-the-counter-isis-campaign

Enhancing Southeast Asian capacity to respond to terrorist threats focus of

INTERPOL exercise
https://www.interpol.int/en/News-and-media/News/2017/N2017-029

Beyond Daesh: Ending the Cycle of Conflicts, Towards Durable Solutions

http://www.kas.de/wf/doc/kas_48267-544-2-30.pdf?170316124453

Three Lingering Questions For Trump’s New Plan to Fight ISIS

http://www.defenseone.com/ideas/2017/03/three-lingering-questions-trumps-new-plan-fight-
isis/136287/

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CONSEQUENCE MANAGEMENT

WATER SECURITY
Where Has All the Water Gone?
Yasmin Siddiqi – Project Syndicate: 15 March 2017
Drawing too much from subterranean aquifers threatens the world’s water reserves, posing a
potentially desperate situation around the globe — especially in rapidly growing Asia.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/aquifer-depletion-asia-water-crisis-by-yasmin-sid-
diqi-2017-03

From the Gulf to the Nile: Water Security in an Arid Region

Peter Engelke and Howard Passell – Atlantic Council: March 2017
Between population growth, climate change, pollution and political conflict, access to fresh
water in the Middle East and Africa is likely to be a source of tension, if not conflict.
http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/images/publications/From_the_Gulf_to_the_Nile_web_0322.pdf

For more on this theme:

Water Diplomacy: Opportunities and Challenges for Third Party Involvement
http://isdp.eu/event/water-diplomacy-opportunities-challenges-third-party-involvement/

Blue is the New Gold: How Ecofiltro Is Purifying the Water Crisis
http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article/how-ecofiltro-is-combatting-the-water-crisis/

The Age of Consequences

http://www.abc.net.au/4corners/stories/2017/03/20/4637278.htm

Water Access is a Gender Equality Issue

http://blogs.cfr.org/women-around-the-world/2017/03/22/water-access-gender-equality-issue/

Water theft and water smuggling: Growing problem or tempest in a teapot?

https://www.brookings.edu/research/water-theft-and-water-smuggling/

Dam project promises water – but also conflict – for dusty Afghan border lands
https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2017/mar/22/afghanistan-dam-project-iran-nim-
ruz-helmand-river

What is Indus Water Treaty: All you need to know about India, Pakistan water dispute
http://indianexpress.com/article/what-is/indus-water-treaty-all-you-need-to-know-about-india-pakistan-
water-dispute-4577403/

Water, Peace and Security

http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Water-peace-and-security-484977

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