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Article history: Economic growth due to social activities such as industrialization, urbanization, population growth, and
Received 3 September 2016 transportation in countries like India is coupling with an increase in PM2.5 emissions, which are main
Received in revised form contributors to air pollution. In this paper, the embodied PM2.5 emissions generated from economic
13 October 2016
activities in India were investigated. We quantified the PM2.5 emissions from each economic sector based
Accepted 24 October 2016
Available online 24 October 2016
on input-output analysis (IOA). Also, the control relations within these economic sectors were identified
based on ecological network analysis (ENA) to determine the dominance and dependency of each sector.
The results showed that 86% (4858 kt) of total PM2.5 emissions were direct and 14% (812 kt) were indirect
Keywords:
Air pollution
in 2010. Furthermore, ENA-based results represented the pairwise control relationships among sectors
Embodied PM2.5 emissions inventory by finding that “Sale, maintenance, and repair of motor vehicles, retail sale of fuel”, “Chemicals and
Network control analysis chemical products”, “Smelting of nonmetal mineral products” and “Ordinary & special machinery &
Input-output analysis equipment” were the dominant sectors that controlled the flow of embodied PM2.5 emissions from other
sectors such as “Construction”, “Agriculture”, “Mining and dressing”, “Catering services”, and “Waste
manufacturing and recycling”. It is suggested that ENA be adopted as a more systematic approach to
uncover PM2.5 flow pattern among the economic sectors, as compared to traditional methods.
© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.10.138
0959-6526/© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
M. Wakeel et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 142 (2017) 3322e3331 3323
Fig. 1. Most polluted cities by PM2.5 emissions. Note: India (IN); Pakistan (PK); Bangladesh (BH); China (CN); Russia (RU); France (FR); United- –Kingdom (UK); Qatar (QR).
Source: WHO, 2013.
sectors were highlighted in the context of their linkages. System of Air Quality and Weather Forecasting and Research
The following sections described the detailed organization of (SAFAR), which was conceived, developed, and implemented by the
the present study, Section 2 briefly explained the methodologies of Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM, MoES) (Gufran et al.,
IOA and ENA, and Section 3 presented the quantification of direct 2015). In addition, the Central Pollution Control Board (CPCB) also
and indirect emissions, control analysis and a range of results. legislated daily limits of PM to line up with the international levels
Discussion, future perspective and policy implications were given for PM10 and PM2.5 (MoEF, 2009).
in Section 4. Finally, a range of conclusions were presented in
Section 5.
2.2. Data sources
2. Material and methods
We collected PM2.5 emissions data from 106 sectors with the
2.1. Study area help of a greenhouse gas-air pollution interaction and synergies
(GAINS) model that was established by the International Institute
India is the seventh-largest country in the world (see Fig. 2), for Applied System Analysis. The percentages of total embodied
with a total area of 3,287,263 km2 (IEB, 2012), and the world's PM2.5 emissions in different regions are depicted in Fig. 3. The I-O
second largest population of 1.32 billion, 72.2% of which living table of 35 economic sectors was obtained from “the Statistical
rurally and 27.8% living in urban and town agglomerations (WB, Bureau of India”. The national economy was divided into 35 eco-
2014). The concentration of PM2.5 in India is quite a serious issue, nomic sectors to compile urban I-O with emissions. These 35 eco-
80% of which is caused by biomass burning, fuel adulteration, nomic sectors were further aggregated into 16 large sectors to
vehicle emissions, and traffic congestion (WHO, 2011). According to understand the embodied emission flows within the system and
the status and trends of national ambient air quality, more than 80% identify the sectors with intensive PM2.5 emissions (see Table 1).
of Indian cities violate the WHO PM2.5 level (CPCB, 2014). For The rest of the data was obtained from “India's Statistical Year-
example, in Delhi, the average concentration of daily PM2.5 in 2014 book” and existing published reports in the literature (India
was 153 mg/m3, which is more than four times higher than the Statistical Yearbook, 2007; WB, 2014). In addition, two aggregated
standard level of PM2.5 concentration of 35 mg/m3 (TERI, 2015). sectors (Construction & Manufacturing) were removed from
In view of the current situation, the Indian Ministry of Earth further calculations of direct and indirect emissions because their
Sciences (MoES) sponsored an ambitious project deemed the PM2.5 emission data were unavailable in the GAINS model.
Fig. 3. Percentage of total embodied PM2.5 emissions from different regions of India.
Table 1
Compilation of economic sectors.
2.3. Input-output analysis environmental emissions, energy and water consumption during
trade and services from interconnected economic sectors (Miller
IOA is a useful top-down approach that can account embodied and Blair, 2009; Fang et al., 2014; Chen et al., 2016). However,
emissions or energy and material flows during the production and before using IOA for embodied PM2.5 emissions, one has to accept
consumption of goods by relying on sectoral interactions and ex- several key assumptions, especially during the accounting of
changes in a concerned system (Huang et al., 2016; Finnveden and consumption-based PM2.5 emissions to set the system boundary
Moberg, 2005; Li et al., 2016b; Chen et al., 2011). It is initially ar- and avoid double counting. For example, the value of the emission
ticulated by Leontief (1936, 1937) and further enhanced by various coefficient in both cases, whether goods and services are produced
applications to environmental impact assessment (Leontief, 1970; locally or imported from another country or region within the same
Lenzen, 1998; Yu et al., 2013; Chen and Chen, 2015). The advan- country, is assumed to be identical (Wiedmann, 2009).
tage of IOA is that it can account for both direct and indirect
3326 M. Wakeel et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 142 (2017) 3322e3331
.
DPM ¼ kðI AÞ1 y (7) CRij ¼ hij hji max hij hji (14)
Ind PM ¼ kðI AÞ1 y DPM (8) where CDij is the control difference between sector j and sector i,
the dependency and control levels among different sectors are
where DPM and Ind PM indicate the direct and indirect PM2.5 emis- represented by its positive and negative values, respectively. A
sions, respectively. Using Eqs. (7) and (8), one can calculate the positive value of CDij shows that sector j is dependent on sector i,
direct and indirect PM2.5 emissions of each sector from the total whereas a negative value shows that sector j is controlled by sector
emissions. i. CRij represents the control ratio between sector j and sector I, and
its value lies between zero and one, which determines the direction
of flow. If it has an absolute value of one, then flow is definite be-
2.4. Ecological network analysis
tween sectors with dominant positions, which helps to differen-
tiate the subordinate position of pairwise sectors. If the value is
ENA can be performed to investigate interrelationships between
zero, there is a weak inter-sectoral relationship and the direction of
the components of the system and the resulting hierarchy
flow is indistinct, creating a negative effect on mutual flow, either
(Ulanowicz, 1972; Hannon, 1973). Network control analysis (NCA) is
stopping or offsetting it.
derived from ENA to describe the complete control and dependency
relationships within ecosystem or sectors (Patten, 1978, 1982;
Patten and Auble, 1981). In this respect, “control” is distributed 3. Results
among the system components, represented by the combination of
their input/output environs. We used this concept for embodied It is evident from Fig. 4 that “Catering services” at the residential
PM2.5 emission accounting to determine how much of the emis- and commercial levels is the highest contributor of direct PM2.5
sions are controlled by different economic sectors. Here we modi- emissions, with 2274 kt, because of high combustion of biomass
fied ENA to calculate the material flows and degrees of control and agriculture residuals in cooking and heating stoves, followed
relationship between each economic sector in context of the by “Smelting process of nonmetal mineral product” and “Waste
embodied PM2.5 emissions. All the equations used for flow analysis manufacturing and recycling” with 828 kt and 541 kt, respectively.
and control analysis were adopted from existing studies in the Furthermore, the direct PM2.5 emissions from some other socio-
literature based on pairwise integrals to quantify the degrees of economic activities, such as “Agriculture” (21 kt), “Mining and
control and dependency of each sector on the other sectors (Fath, quarrying” (11 kt), “Chemicals and chemical products” (8 kt), “Sale,
2004; Fath et al., 2007; Yang et al., 2016). Network flow analysis maintenance and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles” (7 kt),
is similar to the IOA used to calculate the network-based control and “Papermaking & printing” (5 kt) were significantly small in
differences and ratios among sectors. Non-dimensional input-ori- comparison with earlier socioeconomic activities. In addition, the
ented inter-sectoral flows of embodied emissions are defined as: total amount of embodied PM2.5 emissions (direct and indirect)
. from these five sectors was only around 1% of the total emissions.
G ¼ gij ¼ fij Tj (9) “Electricity, gas and water supply,” with 217 kt, was the highest
emitter of indirect PM2.5 emissions, followed by “Waste
manufacturing and recycling” and “Catering services” at the resi-
N ¼ nij þ G0 þ G1 þ G2 þ G3 þ ……Gn ¼ ðI GÞ1 (10) dential and commercial levels, with 197 kt and 135 kt, respectively.
Overall, the entire socioeconomic system in India contributed to
where G is the forward-flow transfer efficiency, gij represents the the total embodied PM2.5 emissions (5670 kt), out of which 86%
M. Wakeel et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 142 (2017) 3322e3331 3327
Fig. 4. Direct & indirect PM2.5 emissions from 16 aggregated sectors. Note: the sectors include Catering services at residential and commercial level (CAS); Smelting of nonmetal
mineral products (NMP); Waste manufacturing and recycling (WMR); Ordinary & special machinery & equipment (OSE); Electricity, gas, and water supply (EGW); Other residential
services (ORS); Transportation & storage (TRS); Petroleum processing & coking (PPC); Agriculture (AUG); Mining and dressing (MID); Chemicals and chemical products (CCP); Sale,
maintenance, and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles: retail sale of fuel (SMR); Papermaking & printing (PAP); and Other manufacturing services (OMR).
(4858 kt) were direct and 14% (812 kt) were indirect emissions. The (AUG), “Chemicals and Chemical products” (CCP), “Smelting of
proportions of direct to indirect PM2.5 emissions are depicted in nonmetal mineral products” (NMP), and “Ordinary & special ma-
Fig. 5. It is obvious that the “Agriculture” and “Waste manufacturing chinery &equipment” (OSE). Most of the flows from “Construction”
and recycling” sectors contributed the highest 95% of direct emis- (CON) and “Catering services” (CAS) to the rest sectors were pre-
sions, followed by “Catering services” at residential and commercial sented in dark blue, indicating that these two sectors were sub-
level (94%) and “Other residential services” (90%) because of the ordinators of the other connected sectors. Pairwise relationships
burning of fossils fuels and biomass at the residential and com- related to “Waste manufacturing and recycling” (WMR) were
mercial levels. Meanwhile, “Mining and quarrying” (51%) had the shown in green, which meant the dominance/dependency of this
largest proportion of indirect PM2.5 emissions, followed by “Elec- sector was not strong in terms of embodied PM2.5 flow pattern.
tricity, gas and water supply” and “Papermaking & printing” with In addition, to the dominant sectors, the stronger and weaker
48% and 46%, respectively, showing that the goods produced in linkages among all sectors were identified. All the sectors, which
these sectors were consumed in other sectors. had a control ratio of more than 0.5 or below 0.5, showed a strong
The control ratios of embodied PM2.5 flow for each sector were linkage or relationship with other sectors. Strong linkages existed
also identified with NCA, which are important for determining the between the following pairwise sectors, MID-AUG, SMR-OSE, MID-
most sectoral domination for emissions as illustrated in Fig. 6. The BFM, SMR-EGW, and EGW-CCP and the weaker linkages, ranging
value of control ratio from 0 to 1 is defined as the degree of from 0.5 to 0.5, existed between CAS-PPC, CAS-OMR, OSE-NMP,
dominance, while the negative value shows the extent of de- etc.
pendency. The magnitude of the control ratio from “Sale, mainte- Fig. 7 shows the dependent intensity of the 16 aggregated sec-
nance and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, retail sale of tors based on NCA. It is evident that “Mining and dressing”, “Sale,
fuel (SMR)” to “Agriculture” was 0.95, which indicated that the maintenance and repair of motor vehicles, retail sale of fuel”, and
agricultural sector embodied PM2.5 emissions flow was controlled “Electricity, gas, & water” were the main controllers of embodied
by the former. Overall, the pairwise control relationships analyses PM2.5 emissions for the whole system. The other sectors including
showed that “Sale, maintenance and repair of motor vehicles and “Residential services”, “Construction”, and “Catering services” were
motorcycles, retail sale of fuel” (SMR) was a dominant sector that below the horizontal line, which were dominated and controlled in
controlled the flow of embodied PM2.5 emissions of other sectors the embodied PM2.5 emission network. The “Construction” sector
such as, “Petroleum processing & coking” (PPC), “Agriculture” depended greatly upon others sectors, and its dependency or
Fig. 5. Comparison of percentage of direct and indirect PM2.5 emissions from 16 aggregated sectors.
3328 M. Wakeel et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 142 (2017) 3322e3331
Fig. 6. Pair-wise control/dependence ratios between each sector. Note: The control ratio relationships of each sector are indicated from the column to row. Positive numbers
represent dominant position while negative numbers refer to the subordinate position. For example, from “PPC” to “MID” is dark blue, indicating that “MID” has a strong dominant
position in their pairwise relationship. (For interpretation of the references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)
control intensity of “Transportation”, “Chemicals and chemical identifying the impact of consumers on PM2.5 emissions.
products”, “Waste manufacturing & recycling”, and “Papermaking We adopted the term “embodied emission” that is extracted
& printing” fluctuated, indicating their positions in the system were from the embodied energy concept as an alternative approach that
not determined by control or dependency level. deals with both production- and consumption-based PM2.5 emis-
sions. Embodied PM2.5 emissions comprise both direct and indirect
emissions (Li et al., 2015). Direct PM2.5 emissions are those emis-
4. Discussion and future perspectives sions deemed on-site emissions during production processes for
socioeconomic activities, whereas indirect PM2.5 emissions are
PM2.5 emissions play a significant role in air pollution. PM2.5 those emissions that are produced during production processes of
emission accounting is based on either the production or con- those items or products that are consumed in other sectors. For
sumption of goods and services. Production-based PM2.5 inventory example, emissions produced by the “Electricity and water sectors”
is based on production processes, whereas consumption-based are called indirect emissions. Our results showed that “Catering
emissions accounting is an alternative method that is helpful in
M. Wakeel et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 142 (2017) 3322e3331 3329
services,” which are the most complex systems involving people motorcycles; retail sale of fuel”, “Electricity, gas & water”, and
and equipment at the residential and commercial levels, was a “Agriculture” sectors were the main controllers of embodied PM2.5
major source of embodied PM2.5 emissions in India because most of emissions in the system. However, service sectors including “Res-
the Indian population (about 84%) relies on biomass as their pri- idential services, “Other manufacture services,” and “Catering ser-
mary fuel for cooking and heating stoves. Because of this high vices” were below the horizontal line, which implied that service
consumption of biomass for cooking and heating, stoves at resi- sectors were controlled by other sectors in the embodied emission
dential and commercial sectors were the highest emitters of network. The results based on NCA among sectors might be helpful
embodied PM2.5, which has also been found in previous studies. in establishing some recommendations and policies to minimize
Joon et al. (2011) concluded that biomass burning in the residential the level of embodied PM2.5 emissions.
and commercial sectors was a big contributor of PM.2.5 in India
because biomass consumer stoves for cooking and heating emit 4.1. Emission control strategies
11,000 mg/m3 PM2.5 emissions, as compared to natural gas stoves
with only 4.69 mg/m3 PM2.5 emissions. A similar study was done by Emission control strategies may be helpful for achieving na-
Nerín et al. (2011), during which fine breathable particles (PM2.5) tional emission ceilings set for India, and effective in reducing
were measured as a marker of environmental smoke in the catering human exposure to air pollution, in expediting air quality limit
services, and the conclusion was that smoky areas had eight times values, and in increasing protection of natural ecosystems. The
higher levels of embodied PM2.5 than nonsmoking areas did. Lei main contributor of embodied PM2.5 emissions in India at the res-
et al. (2011) also concluded that “Catering services” at residential idential and commercial levels was catering services. This is due to
sector, with 80% emissions, is the largest emitter of embodied PM2.5 the burning of agriculture residuals (biomass) in cooking and
because of the high biomass consumption in cooking and heating heating stoves and the extensively used transportation for catering
stoves. Ezzati et al. (2004) found that pollutants released from services. We recommend the following as the most likely strategies
biomass burning stoves are more than 10 times greater than those to be effective in controlling PM2.5 emissions in India.
specified in the relevant standards are. Firstly, more than 80% of the Indian population relies on biomass
In addition, two types of catering approaches called conven- as its primary fuel source for heating and cooking, which is a main
tional and deferred are used most commonly in India. In the former, contributor to PM2.5 emissions. PM2.5 emissions can be controlled
food is cooked and consumed at the same place (hotels, restaurants, by using alternative fuels and efficient technologies at the resi-
homes, etc.), whereas in the deferred catering approach a central dential and commercial levels for cooking and heating food. For
kitchen is used for cooking and food is supplied to different public example, the Ruiru Youth Community Empowerment Program in
places (hospitals, weddings, etc.) by light (van) and heavy (trucks) Kenya has developed a lower polluting firewood-burning stove that
transport. Vehicles with diesel engines are additional significant is up to 60% more efficient than the open fires traditionally used in
sources of PM2.5 emissions, as diesel engines emit more PM2.5 than rural areas (UNEP Year Book., 2014). The Indian government could
gasoline engines do (MECA, 2007). control the level of embodied PM2.5 emissions by introducing these
Moreover, this study differentiated between direct and indirect types of cooking and heating stoves in the rural areas. Youth vol-
PM2.5 emissions, concluding that the agriculture sector led direct unteers could be trained all over India to teach local women about
PM2.5 emissions with 95%, because of the great agricultural volume the advantages of the new stoves and how to install them that
and consumption of various industrial products (fertilizer), petro- might be a giant step to reduce embodied PM2.5level in various
leum products, and utilization of heavy transports for production cities of India.
and transportation of agricultural products. In addition, agricultural Secondly, the heavy transportation network with diesel engines
residuals are commonly used as biomass, especially in rural areas. was another main contributor of PM2.5 emissions and NOx into the
The “Agriculture” sector was followed by the “Industrial” sector, atmosphere during “catering services,” as diesel engines are
with 94%, and then “Catering services” with 93%. “Mining and important power systems for on-road and off-road vehicles
dressing” was the highest contributor of indirect PM2.5 emissions because of their long record of reliability, high fuel-efficiency, high
because most of machinery and petroleum products consumed in torque output, ease of repair, inexpensive operation, and extreme
this sector are produced in other sectors and less direct emissions durability. PM2.5 emissions from transportation could be reduced
occur because India does not rely on domestic fossils fuels re- by adopting cleaner vehicle technologies, emissions standards, an
sources, which is why India's dependence on imported fossil fuels improved inspection program, and by replacing diesel engines with
rose to 38% in 2012 (Sieminski, 2014). The “Construction” sector gasoline engines because gasoline engines emit less PM2.5
was excluded during calculations of direct and indirect PM2.5 compared to diesel engines (MECA, 2007). Some additional tech-
emissions because of the unavailability of relevant data. nologies designed to control PM from diesel engines include diesel
Furthermore, ENA is a meaningful and systematic tool for oxidation catalysts (DOCs), diesel particulate filters (DPFs), and
uncovering the pattern of mutual relationships and control re- closed crankcase ventilation (CCV).
lationships underlying embodied PM2.5 emissions from among
socioeconomic sectors. It can also be further extended to nexus 5. Conclusion
studies of energy, water, carbon, and some other environmental
pollutants including PM2.5 emissions (Chen and Lu, 2015; Chen, Industrialization, power generation, transportation, socioeco-
2016; Chen and Chen, 2016; Fang and Chen, 2016; Wang and nomic activities, and the residential and commercial sectors are
Chen, 2016). NCA is another useful tool of ENA for determining main contributors to air pollution because of the combustion of
the dependence and control relationships between pairwise com- fossils fuels and biomass from such. The present study revealed the
partments. NCA based control ratios can also explain the strength of embodied PM2.5 emissions, with the help of IOA and ENA. The re-
disparity between the two open-loop control magnitudes (Yang sults of this study strengthened the evidence that the use of
et al., 2016), which is helpful when comparing the I-O transfer ra- biomass fuels/traditional stoves in residential and commercial
tio between two sectors. The magnitude of the control ratio ex- sectors is the main source of embodied PM2.5 emissions in India.
plains the strong and weak linkages between pairwise sectors. In According to the results based on the IOA, 14% (812 kt) of total PM2.5
this study, the results based on NCA showed that “Mining and emissions were indirect in 2010 in India, an amount that is
dressing”, “Sale, maintenance and repair of motor vehicles and commonly neglected during policymaking or strategy development
3330 M. Wakeel et al. / Journal of Cleaner Production 142 (2017) 3322e3331
to decrease the amount of embodied PM2.5 emissions. In addition, socio-economic water system. Ecol. Indic. 47, 80e88.
Fath, B.D., 2004. Distributed control in ecological networks. Ecol. Model. 179 (2),
the results based on the ENA showed that strong linkages existed
235e245.
between the following pairwise sectors, MID-AUG, SMR-OSE, MID- Fath, B.D., Scharler, U.M., Ulanowicz, R.E., Hannon, B., 2007. Ecological network
BFM, SMR-EGW, and EGW-CCP, and weaker linkages existed be- analysis: network construction. Ecol. Model. 208 (1), 49e55.
tween CAS-PPC, CAS-OMR, and OSE-NMP. Furthermore, control Finnveden, G., Moberg, Å., 2005. Environmental systems analysis toolsean over-
view. J. Clean. Prod. 13 (12), 1165e1173.
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