Fox News Voter Analysis - New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Poll (2017)

Number of Interviews: 4051

Final Results as of 12:30PM 11/08/17
The Fox News Voter Analysis is based on a survey conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago with New Jersey registered voters. The
poll featured interviews from a probability sample drawn from a registered voter list and interviews from a non-probability sample, and
includes both voters and non-voters for enhanced analytical purposes. The data collection was multi-mode (landline, cellphone, and online)
and the full sample was calibrated to be representative of the population of registered voters as well as to be consistent with the actual (1) (2)
election results. Results among all those interviewed in the probability sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.9 Democrat Republican (3)
percentage points including the design effect. Phil Kim Another
Total Murphy Guadagno candidate
Question
SEX (n=4051) (1) Male
Are you... 47 49 48 3
(2) Female 53 61 38 1

AGE (n=4036) (1) 18-29

What is your age? 12 64 34 2
(2) 30-44 23 64 34 3
(3) 45-64 40 53 45 2
(4) 65 or over 25 49 49 2

AGE45 (n=4036) (1) 18-44

What is your age? 35 64 34 3
(2) 45+ 65 51 47 2

RACE (n=4029) (1) White 75 48 50 2

What is your racial or ethnic heritage? (2) African American/Black 10 87 11 2
(3) Latino/Hispanic 10 75 23 2
(4) Asian 3 67 32 1
(5) Other
2 55 42 2

RACE2B (n=4029) (1) White 75 48 50 2

What is your racial or ethnic heritage? (2) Non-white
25 77 21 2

SEXBYRACE (n=4029) (1) White men 35 43 55 3

Sex by Race (2) White women 39 53 45 1
(3) Black men 4 78 19 3
(4) Black women 6 92 6 2
(5) Latino men
4 73 25 2
(6) Latino women 6 77 21 2
(7) All other races 5 62 37 1

SEXBYRACE2B (n=4029) (1) White men 35 43 55 3

Sex by Race (2) White women 39 53 45 1
(3) Non-white men 11 70 28 2
(4) Non-white women 14 83 16 1

EDUC (n=4049) (1) High school or less 27 55 43 2

Which best describes your level of education? (2) Some college/assoc. degree 24 48 50 3
(3) College graduate
32 59 39 2
(4) Postgraduate study 18 60 39 1

EDUCCOLL (n=4049) (1) College graduate 49 59 39 2

Which best describes your level of education? (2) No college degree 51 52 46 2

EDUCWHITE (n=4028) (1) White college graduates 40 54 44 2

Education by Race (2) White non-college graduates 35 41 57 2
(3) Non White college graduates 10 78 20 2
(4) Non White non-college 16 76 22 2
graduates
 Fox News Voter Analysis - New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Poll (2017)
Number of Interviews: 4051
Final Results as of 12:30PM 11/08/17
The Fox News Voter Analysis is based on a survey conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago with New Jersey registered voters. The
poll featured interviews from a probability sample drawn from a registered voter list and interviews from a non-probability sample, and
includes both voters and non-voters for enhanced analytical purposes. The data collection was multi-mode (landline, cellphone, and online)
and the full sample was calibrated to be representative of the population of registered voters as well as to be consistent with the actual (1) (2)
election results. Results among all those interviewed in the probability sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.9 Democrat Republican (3)
percentage points including the design effect. Phil Kim Another
Total Murphy Guadagno candidate

EDUCWHITEBYSEX (n=4028) (1) White women college graduates 20 60 39 1

Education by White by Sex (2) White women non-college 20 46 52 2
graduates
(3) White men college graduates
20 49 49 2
(4) White men non-college 15 35 62 2
graduates
(5) Non-whites 25 77 21 2

INCOME3 (n=3939) (1) Under $50,000 23 64 34 2

What was your total family income in 2016? (2) $50,000-$99,999
31 55 44 2
(3) $100,000 or more 46 52 46 2

INC50K (n=3939) (1) Under $50,000 23 64 34 2

What was your total family income in 2016? (2) $50,000 or more 77 53 45 2

PID1 (n=4049) (1) Democrat 39 93 6 1

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a… (2) Republican 31 14 85 1
(3) Neither
29 50 46 4

PHIL3 (n=4029) (1) Liberal 24 89 9 2

On most political matters, do you consider yourself... (2) Moderate
51 56 42 2
(3) Conservative 25 20 78 2

UNIONHH (n=4041) (1) Yes

Does anyone in your household belong to a labor union, or not? 23 60 38 2
(2) No 77 54 44 2

DIRECTION (n=4051) (1) Right direction 27 44 55 1

Generally speaking, would you say things in [STATE] are heading in the... (2) Wrong direction 70 60 37 2

ISSUE17 (n=4051) (01) The economy 11 66 32 2

Which one of the following is the most important issue facing [STATE]? (02) Health care 8 72 27 1
(03) Education 7 84 15 0
(04) Taxes 44 42 55 2
(05) Drug addiction 6 61 37 2
(06) The state budget 9 54 44 3
(07) Corruption in government 15 63 35 1

STEC (n=4051) (1) Excellent 2 65 31 4

Do you think the condition of [STATE] economy is... (2) Good 35 52 47 1
(3) Not so good 50 57 41 2
(4) Poor
13 59 38 4

STEC2 (n=4051) (1) Excellent or good 37 52 46 2

Do you think the condition of [STATE] economy is... (2) Not so good or poor
63 57 40 2
 Fox News Voter Analysis - New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Poll (2017)
Number of Interviews: 4051
Final Results as of 12:30PM 11/08/17
The Fox News Voter Analysis is based on a survey conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago with New Jersey registered voters. The
poll featured interviews from a probability sample drawn from a registered voter list and interviews from a non-probability sample, and
includes both voters and non-voters for enhanced analytical purposes. The data collection was multi-mode (landline, cellphone, and online)
and the full sample was calibrated to be representative of the population of registered voters as well as to be consistent with the actual (1) (2)
election results. Results among all those interviewed in the probability sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.9 Democrat Republican (3)
percentage points including the design effect. Phil Kim Another
Total Murphy Guadagno candidate

FAVMURPHY (n=4051) (1) Very favorable 17 95 5 0

Is your impression of Phil Murphy... (2) Somewhat favorable 31 92 7 1
(3) Somewhat unfavorable
14 28 69 3
(4) Very unfavorable 24 3 94 3
(5) Don't know enough to say 13 44 51 5

FAVMURPHY2 (n=4051) (1) Favorable

Is your impression of Phil Murphy... 48 93 7 0
(2) Unfavorable 38 12 85 3

FAVGUADAGNO (n=4051) (1) Very favorable 16 7 93 0

Is your impression of Kim Guadagno... (2) Somewhat favorable 26 17 82 1
(3) Somewhat unfavorable 21 85 13 2
(4) Very unfavorable 23 95 3 2
(5) Don't know enough to say
14 74 21 4

FAVGUADAGNO2 (n=4051) (1) Favorable 42 13 86 1

Is your impression of Kim Guadagno... (2) Unfavorable 44 90 8 2

FAVMENENDEZ (n=4051) (1) Very favorable 6 74 26 0

Is your impression of Bob Menendez... (2) Somewhat favorable 22 76 21 2
(3) Somewhat unfavorable 20 56 42 2
(4) Very unfavorable
29 27 71 2
(5) Don't know enough to say 22 66 31 2

FAVMENENDEZ2 (n=4051) (1) Favorable

Is your impression of Bob Menendez... 28 76 22 2
(2) Unfavorable 49 39 59 2

FAVCHRISTIE (n=4051) (1) Very favorable

Is your impression of Chris Christie... 6 24 75 1
(2) Somewhat favorable 16 16 83 1
(3) Somewhat unfavorable 19 41 57 1
(4) Very unfavorable 56 75 23 2
(5) Don't know enough to say 2 53 35 12

FAVCHRISTIE2 (n=4051) (1) Favorable 22 18 81 1

Is your impression of Chris Christie... (2) Unfavorable 75 67 31 2

FAVTRUMP (n=4051) (1) Very favorable 22 13 86 1

Is your impression of Donald Trump... (2) Somewhat favorable 16 21 76 3
(3) Somewhat unfavorable 10 48 49 4
(4) Very unfavorable 49 86 12 1
(5) Don't know enough to say
3 53 39 9

FAVTRUMP2 (n=4051) (1) Favorable 37 16 82 2

Is your impression of Donald Trump...
 Fox News Voter Analysis - New Jersey Gubernatorial Election Poll (2017)
Number of Interviews: 4051
Final Results as of 12:30PM 11/08/17
The Fox News Voter Analysis is based on a survey conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago with New Jersey registered voters. The
poll featured interviews from a probability sample drawn from a registered voter list and interviews from a non-probability sample, and
includes both voters and non-voters for enhanced analytical purposes. The data collection was multi-mode (landline, cellphone, and online)
and the full sample was calibrated to be representative of the population of registered voters as well as to be consistent with the actual (1) (2)
election results. Results among all those interviewed in the probability sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5.9 Democrat Republican (3)
percentage points including the design effect. Phil Kim Another
Total Murphy Guadagno candidate
Is your impression of Donald Trump... (2) Unfavorable
59 80 18 2

PTAX (n=4051) (1) Phil Murphy 20 96 4 1

Who do you think is more likely to lower state property taxes? (2) Kim Guadagno 32 13 87 1
(3) Both equally 6 65 35 1
(4) Or don't think either would 40 66 30 4

MURPHTOOLIB (n=4051) (1) Too liberal 45 19 79 3

Do you think Phil Murphy's positions on the issues are... (2) Too conservative 7 68 29 4
(3) About right
46 89 10 1

GUADTOOCLOSE (n=4051) (1) Too close 51 84 14 3

Do you think Kim Guadagno is too close to Chris Christie, not close enough, or about right? (2) Not close enough 8 41 58 1
(3) About right 37 21 78 1

DRUGS (n=4051) (1) Phil Murphy

Who would better handle the issue of heroin/prescription opiate 26 96 3 1
addiction in NJ? (2) Kim Guadagno 25 9 90 1
(3) Both equally 24 59 39 1
(4) Or don't think either would
22 54 41 5

TRUMPFACT (n=4051) (1) The most important factor 15 64 34 2

In deciding your vote for governor, was Donald Trump... (2) An important factor 20 65 34 1
(3) A minor factor 16 58 40 2
(4) Not a factor at all 49 48 49 2

TRUMPFACT2 (n=4051) (1) Important 35 65 34 1

In deciding your vote for governor, was Donald Trump... (2) Not important 65 51 47 2

CHRISTIEFACT (n=4051) (1) The most important factor 17 83 15 2

In deciding your vote for governor, was Chris Christie... (2) An important factor 25 74 25 1
(3) A minor factor 18 45 53 2
(4) Not a factor at all 39 38 59 2

CHRISTIEFACT2 (n=4051) (1) Important

In deciding your vote for governor, was Chris Christie... 41 78 21 2
(2) Not important 57 40 57 2

MENENDEZ (n=4051) (1) Illegal

Thinking about the charges against Menendez, do you think he has done 42 39 59 2
something... (2) Unethical but not illegal 41 66 32 2
(3) Nothing seriously wrong 10 76 21 2