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School Manila Science High School Grade Level Grade 8

GRADE 1 TO
12 DAILY Teacher Lindsay Jan M. Cimatu Learning Area Mathematics
LESSON LOG February 14, 2019
Teaching Date and Time Quarter Third
(1-2 & 3-4 PM)

Date: February 14, 2019


I. OBJECTIVES
A. Content Standards The students must be able to define Probability on their own and
demonstrate understanding of its key concepts.
B. Performance Standards The students must be able to exhibit the ability of doing Sample Spacing and
Tree Diagraming
C. Learning Competencies/ Learning Competencies:
Objectives/ Write the LC Code for
each Objectives: At the end of the discussion, at least 85% of the students with at
least 80% accuracy should be able to:
1. Describe the meaning and the use of Probability, Sample Spacing
and Tree Diagramming on their own words.
2. Solve for the probability of having an event to occur and do Tree
Diagramming.
3. Utilize their learned skills in solving real world problems.
4. Actively participate in class discussion.

LC Code:

II. Content
III. LEARNING RESOURCES Probability: Definition of Terms; Tree Diagramming
A. References  https://studynova.com/lecture/math-sl/statistics-and-
probability/probability-introduction-2/
 https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/probability.html

IV. PROCEDURES
A. Reviewing previous lesson or Drill:
presenting the new lesson Simplify the following:
5×2×3
1. 6×0.5
13×3×4
2. 2
53 ×2 1
3. (5×10) (2)
8×4×5
4. 2×10
5×4×3×2×1
5.
1×2×3×4×5×6

B. Establishing a purpose and


Presentation of the lesson The teacher must be able to establish the purpose of:
 Using Probability in finding out the chance of having a number of
events A over total number of outcomes n.
 Being able to find all of the possible outcomes of an experiment
(Sample Space).
 Being able to construct a Tree Diagram.

C. Discussing new concepts and


practicing new skills INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY:
Probability is the chance that something will happen.
The probability of an event occurring is somewhere between impossible and
certain.
As well as words, we can use numbers to show the probability of something
happening:
 Impossible is zero
 Certain is one
We can use fractions, percentages, or even decimal in expressing a
probability.

Between 0 and 1
 The probability of an event will not be less than 0.
This is because 0 is impossible (sure that something will not happen).
 The probability of an event will not be more than 1.
This is because 1 is certain that something will happen.

𝒏(𝑨)
Probability of an event A: 𝑷(𝑨) =
𝒏(𝒖)
Wherein:
 𝒏(𝑨) – no. of events in A.
 𝒏(𝒖) – no. of all possible outcomes

Example 1:
 A bag has 5 red chips, 3 anime character cards, and 8 green marbles.
The probability of picking up a marble: 𝑷(𝒎𝒂𝒓𝒃𝒍𝒆)
8 1
 𝑃(𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑏𝑙𝑒) = =
16 2

Complementary Event is a mutually exclusive pair of events are complements


to each other: 𝑷(𝑨) + 𝑷(𝑨′) = 𝟏
Referring from our previous example:
1
Probability of getting a marble: 𝑃(𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑏𝑙𝑒) = 2
8 1
Probability of not getting a marble: 𝑃(𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑏𝑙𝑒′) = =
16 2
From the formula: 𝑷(𝒎𝒂𝒓𝒃𝒍𝒆) + 𝑷(𝒎𝒂𝒓𝒃𝒍𝒆′) = 𝟏
1 1
 2
+2=1

Independent Event happens when two events are said to be independent of


each other, what this means is that the probability that one event occurs in
no way affects the probability of the other event occurring.
 𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑩) = 𝑷(𝑨)𝑷(𝑩)
Example 2:
 An archer hits his target twice in every 5 shots he makes. If he fired three
arrows already, find:
2 2 2 8
i. 𝑃(ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑠 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑦 𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑒) = ( ) ( ) ( ) = = 0.064
5 5 5 125

2 2 3 12
ii. 𝑃(𝑓𝑖𝑟𝑠𝑡 2 ℎ𝑖𝑡𝑠, 3𝑟𝑑 𝑚𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑠) = (5) (5) (5) = 125 = 0.096
Compound Event is one in which there is more than one possible outcome.
Determining the probability of a compound event involves finding the sum of
the probabilities of the individual events and, if necessary, removing any
overlapping probabilities: 𝑷(𝑨 ∪ 𝑩) = 𝑷(𝑨) + 𝑷(𝑩) − 𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑩)

Mutually Exclusive Events happens when two events cannot occur at the same
time. For example, the two possible outcomes of a coin flip are mutually
exclusive; when you flip a coin, it cannot land both heads and tails
simultaneously: 𝑷(𝑨 ∪ 𝑩) = 𝑷(𝑨) + 𝑷(𝑩)

Tree Diagrams for


Independent Events
 Tree diagrams can be used to represent the set of all possible outcomes
involving one or more experiments. Probability tree diagrams are useful
for either independent (or unconditional) probability and dependent (or
conditional) probability.
Example:
Julia spins 2 spinners; one of which is labeled 1, 2 and 3, and the other is
labeled 4, 5 and 6.

a) What is the probability that the spinners stop at “3” and “4”?
b) Find the probability that the spinners do not stop at “3” and “4”.
c) What is the probability that the first spinner does not stop at “1”?
Solution:

a) The probability that the spinners stop at “3” and “4” n(S ) = 9
1
Probability that the spinners stop at (3,4) = 9
b) The probability that the spinners do not stop at “3” and “4”
1 8
Probability that the spinners do not stop at (3,4) = 1 − 9 = 9
c) The probability that the first spinner does not stop at “1”
1
Probability that the first spinner stop at “1” = 3
1 2
Probability that the first spinner does not stop at “1” =1 − 3 = 3
D. Developing mastery
(Leads to Formative Assessment 3) 1) There are 5 marbles in a bag: 4 are blue, and 1 is red. What is the
probability that a blue marble gets picked?
2) What is the probability of drawing an ace from a deck of cards?
3) What is the probability of drawing the queen of hearts from a deck of
cards?
Jenny has a bag with 7 blue sweets and 3 red sweets. She picks a sweet at
random from the bag, replaces it and picks again at random. Draw a tree
diagram to represent this situation and use it to calculate the probabilities
that she picks
a) 2 red sweets
b) no red sweets
c) at least 1 blue sweet
d) 1 sweet of each color

E. Making generalizations and  Probability is the chance that something will happen.
abstractions about the lesson  The probability of an event occurring is somewhere between impossible
and certain.
 Tree diagrams can be used to represent the set of all possible outcomes
involving one or more experiments.
V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
Sections Edison
A. No. of learners who earned 75%
in the evaluation.
B. No. of learners who require
additional activities for remediation
who scored below 75%

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