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(2) One person, who had accident, purchased insurance from this company.
What is the probability that he is classified as a “good” driver?
(by Bayes Theorem)
P(g/A) = p(g)P(A/g) / p(g)P(A/g) + P(m)P(A/m) + P(p)P(A/p)
= .003 / .038 = .0787
6. A credit card company has found out that customers charge between $100 and
$1100 per month. Given that the monthly amount charged is uniformly distributed,
answer the following questions.
(1) What is the average monthly amount charged? (100+1100)/2 = 600
(2) 75% of all monthly charges are greater than _____ ?
By solving (1100-x)*(1/1000)= .75 for x, we get x=350
10. A company fills 100 orders a day with a 2% error rate in filling the order
satisfactorily. Assume the number of errors to be a binomial distribution.
(1) What is the mean and the standard deviation of the error rate?
Binomial distribution with n=100, π=.02, so that μ= 100 (.02) = 2
σ2 = 100 (.02) (.98) = 1.96, so that σ = 1.4
(2) What is the probability that there will be more than 5 order errors in a
given day? Using binomial distribution 1 - {P(0)+P(1)+P(2)+P(3)+P(4)+P(5)}
Or use Poisson distribution with μ=2, P(X>5) = .0165 (From the Poisson table).
11. A study of a company's practice regarding the payment of invoices revealed that an
invoice was paid an average of 20 days after it was received. The standard deviation
was 5 days. Assuming that the distribution is normal, what percent of the invoices were
paid within 15 days of receipt?
12. A test scores are normally distributed with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation
of 50. A school will admit those applicants who scores in the upper 6 percent of the
distribution. What is the lowest score an applicant must earn to be admitted?
13. The mean SAT score for all students is 947 with a standard deviation of 205.
Suppose we select a random sample of 60 students, what is the probability the sample
mean SAT score is below 900.
Z= (900-947)/205/60 1/2
= -1.78
P= 0.0375 (=0.5-0.4625)
14. The mean amount of a customer purchase at a supermarket is $25, with a standard
deviation of $9 & unknown distribution. A sample of 49 customers is selected.
(1) What is the probability of the sample mean being at least $27?
According to central limit theorem, the sample mean follows a normal distribution with
mean of 25, and standard deviation of 9/7.
The z value corresponding to the sample mean of 27 is 1.5556 (=(27-25)/(9/7))
P (Xbar≥27) = P (Z≥1.5556) = .0594 (about 6%)
(2) Within what range (limits) will 90 percent of the sample means occur?
Find A and B, satisfying P(A<Xbar<B) = .9
The corresponding z value is -1.645 & 1.645 (i.e., P(-1.645<Z<1.645)=.9).
A= 25 - 1.645*(9/7)= 22.88, B= 25 + 1.645*(9/7)= 27.12
(2) Construct the 95% confidence interval for the population mean.
95% confidence interval will be (using z value of 1.96 with two tail 95%)
Between 16.901 (=20-3.099) and 23.099 (=20+3.099)
16. A restaurant manager wants to know how much people spend for eating out. A
sample of 10 households was selected with the information on their expenditure on
eating out as follows.
$107, $92, $97, $95, $105, $101, $91, $99, $95, $104
He wants to estimate the population mean (of the spending) based on the sample.