Professional Documents
Culture Documents
CALIFORNIA
GEOLOGIC REMOTE SENSING 194
GEOLOGY PLACER MINING CONFERENCE _ ' ' 194
PREPARATION AND USE OF EARTHOUAKE PLANNING SCENARIOS 195
A PU8UCATlOH OF THE
MODIFIED MERCALLIINTENSITY SCALE 203
DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION EARTHOUAKE PLANNING SCENARIO FOR THE
DIVISION OF MINES AND GEOLOGY SAN DIEGO·TIJUANA AREA . 204
Slale 01 c.II!_ PETE WILSON MARINE MINING 2000-APAIL 5·10. 1992 211
Go~ EARTHQUAKE BIBLIOGRAPHY 212
DMG RELEASE
The ~ ~ DOUGlAS P WHEELER
Stcreraty lor ~ SR 162. MINERAL LAND CLASSIFICATION-SAN LUISOBISPQ-
SANTA BARBARA P·C REGION......... .. ,214
DIpIrIIf*'Il 01 eoo-_ EDWARD G HEIDlG BOOK REviEWS..... . 215
a.- STATEMENT OF OWNERSHIP 215
o._olMinft&OeoIogy JAMESF DAVIS MAIL OADEA FOAM 215
SUJI. ~IogJSI CALIFORNIA GEOLOGY SUBSCRIPTION FORM 216
CAliFORNIA GEOlOGY
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313·994-1200. ext: 3234'
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, CAUfORNIA GEOlOGY SEPTEMBER 1991
Preparation and Use of
Earthquake Planning Scenarios
By
GLENN BORCHARDT
Division of Mines and Geology
Dr. Glenn Borchardt is a contributing author Thus much of the damage to lifelines One practical and effective methoo is
01 four published Division of Mines and caused by the magnitude 7.1 Lorna Prieta to develop earthquake planning scenarios,
Geology earthquake planning scenarios. He earthquake of October 1989 was hypothetical yet realistic assessments of
is a recognized expert In the determination
of amount and age of faull displacement
expected {Photos 1-4 and 7-8) and much lifeline performance for particular earth-
through interpretation of soil was not (Photos 5-6). The knowledge quakes. Scientific- and engineering-based
characlerislics...edilor. gained from each earthquake helps us earthquake planning scenarios are
prepare for the next. How should we important tools for planners because:
organize such (1) they approximate the effects of
INTRODUCTION hard-won earthquakes on lifelines: (2) they provide
alifomians can expect information? important insight for use in earthquake
C the nexl fev.. decades to
produce several major earthquakes in
How should
we put it into
preparedness planning by emergency-
response agencies and for law enforce-
large urban areas along the San Andreas action? ment. fire fighting, medicaL and search-
fault system (VJGCEP, 1990). Destructive and-rescue services; and (3) they are used
in response exercises which simulate
as these events may be. there are
numerous ways to reduce their effects. emergency decision-making.
Slate residents have learned to build with
PREPARATION
weed and steel instead of stone or bricks.
They boh their houses to foundations and Development of an earthquake scenario
their bookshelves 10 walls. Public agencies for emergency planning in a specific area
are also preparing lor the inevitable. incorporates vast amounts of data from
Advanced planning by State and local various disciplines. The ability of a
agencies will be critical in reducing the lifeline structure to withstand the
death. injury, and destruction. effects of earthquake shaking,
fault rupture, liquefaction.
The infrastructure consists of "life- landsliding, and associ-
lines, critical public facilities such as
M
ated ground failure
highways, bridges. railroads, airports, N largely depends on the
hospitals, marine installations. electrical site geology and the
transmission systems. and pipelines for intensity of earthquake
water. natural gas and other petroleum
products. [f we could predict which
\ shaking, as well as the
design and engineering
lifelines will survive, we could prepare characteristics of the
emergency plans to cope with those that structure,
will not. Search and rescue efforts
implemented during the critical first hours
Figure I. Areas of DMG earthquake planning scenariOS: (1) Special Publication 60:
will be smoother if we have some idea of
Earthquake planning scenario for a magnilude 8.3 earthquake on the San Andreas fault
what to expect. in southern California: (2) Special Publicafion 61: Earthquake planning scenario for a
magl1llude 8.3 earthquake on the San Andreas fault In the San Francisco Bay area; (3)
Each earthquake teaches us a lesson. Special Publication 78: Earthquake planning scenario lor a magnitude 7,5 earthquake on
pointing out with stark realism the the Hayward fault zone In the San FranCISCO Bay area: (4) Special Publication 99:
vulnerabilities of the infrastructure. Planning scenario for a major earthquake on the Newport-Inglewood fault zone: (5)
Special Publication 100: Planning scenariO for a major earthquake. San Diego-Tijuana
metropolitan area.
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Photo 2. Close·up of damage in Photo 1. Photo byaufhor
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Geologic Map
Scenario SID maps display intensity, Photo 6. Collapsed steel rebar and concrete column of the Cypress 1·880 treeway structure.
fault rupture. and ground failure informa- Oak-land. California. A t-mile length of thiS double·decked reinforced·concrete Viaduct
collapsed onto commuter traffic k-illing 41 and mjuring many others during the Loma Prieta
tion. Some features are developed earthquake. The failed column in the foreground supported the top deck. Built in the 1950s.
especially for the scenario and others the columns had venical steel remforclng rods but lacked the spiral reinforcing rods used in
depend on earlier studies. modern construction. Photo by Michael Rymer. courtesy of the U.S. Geological Survey.
Photo 8. Landslide blocking the northbound lanes of Highway 17 through the Santa Cruz "These hypothetical scenarios provide
MountaJns. Photo by Tom Holzer, courtesy of the U.S. GeoJogical Survey. examples of typical problems, It is up to
lifeline managers to open communication links and establish
political arrangements that will facilitate a swift arK! smooth
response. Well-rehearsed managers and personnel can save
'/' many lives during the critical first hours after an earthquake.
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REFERENCES
Mission
CA:'I$
istoricaUy. the San Diego area has
H been rclatively free from the effects
of damaging earthcf.Jakes. Earthquakes
80y
"'-
To assist kxaI and State emergency ~ induding events of magnitude 50 interstate highways 5 and 15 lead into
response planners in their preparahon for the area from the oorth. b1terstate 5
a da."TlilIgirg~. the Division of Ieacb 10 the MexiCMt txxder on the south
Mmes and Geology has pub.ished an Areas subtect to shaking of MMllX and pa!'JSCS ~' both Mission Bay and San
earthquake p0rming scenan:> for the San (F"J9UTe 1). indude those areM of re«mt Diego Bay. Intersta:e 8 is the prlmar~;
"""'" area (ReKhIe and ome... 19901 (l-Iokxene) alIuvilJl1 and amfria1 fill access 10 points ea!t. Interstate 805
This information is intended for those ~ tN:> TIa.Lana River Valley provides an alernaliYe north-soulh
v.OO have responsIbUIl:es for emergency California portion) and dou."lOlA-'n San corridc>f to the area ea5I of 1-5 There are
response. and 10 facilltale both kx:aI and """"'ICornnado several akematNe surface streets which
internat)onal efforts 10 prepare for such c.1n be used 10 bypass sections of the
an occurr6lCe· The scenario does noI I\rros subJect 10 shiWng of MMI VlII freeways. but prirnCYy access to the
predlct detailed paUem5 of damage lhal extend from below Rosanto 10 Dei Mar secnon of the city \\.'eSl of 1-5 in the
win fobt the occurrence of the postu- along the c~. and as Iar as 23 mile, Mission and San Diego Bay areas is
lated ea~ke An assessment of the hland for poorest ground conditions. limited 10 a fe.v mlral corridors. There
degree and Iypes of damage [0 exJ$ling nlUition and the damage distributlom are sorre citymaintained bOOges ~
lifelines and Olhel'" structures is placed in a from histoncal cnfomia earthquakes these cntlcal corridors.
regiooal context for ge'lCJ'al response suggest that areas 01 firmer ground tsuch
pLannmg purposes The damage as Pt. Lama and Hillcrest) .....ill shake Damage 10 the freeway syslem in the
assessments contained in the olf!erQrlt[y than areas of rccent alluvium San Diego area will result primarily from
scenario are intended for emer- or fill (such as Mission Bay). Less damage ground failure due to liquefaction in areas
gency planning purposes only, and Ylould occur on firmer ground than on of artlfloal fill and recent aDuvial deposits.
are not to be construed as site- looser ground even lh0t9h both lie WIthin aTd also from failure of built-up embank-
specific engineering evaluations. the area of intensity V111 ments for road beds and onloff ramps.
Interstate 5 will be dosed from Balboa
The data discussed in the scenario Areas with high <;uscepllbilily to Avenue on the north to Palm Avenue on
ref1ec:t condItions in San DiegO in the hquefac:tion are also shown in Flgure I the south. Both 1-5 and old Route 101
mid-1980s. Ana~ were conducted Secondarv ground fl'lilurp<; re<;uhing from wlJI also be closed \\.here they cross each
with the cooperation of the various hquefaction are expected to be common. of the coastal lagoons soulh of Oceanside.
lifeline opercuors This article summarizes particUarly in areas of hydraulic fill in Illlen.tal\! hlylways 305. 15. MIl 8. Mel
the scenano Mission Bay. l..om3 Portal. and along the highways 163. 94. and 117 will be open
margins of San Diego Bay. Also. areas of except wh~le they join 1-5. Long delays
THE SCENARIO EARTHOUAKE recent aBlNium. particularly along m<er wi'l occur along Interstate 8 and Highway
channels. such as the western reaches of 163. res.dting from dAln",ge 10 theil
The ~eMrio ~ribes lhe regional Mission Valley and the lla Juana and interchange. The Coronado Bridge will be
panem of shakirg intensity. ground Otay River valleys. wiD experience cmed. I'tae5s to Coronado on Highloloay
fo!llilure. lind impllCts on lifelino of a moderate to 5e\ICre liquefaction effects. 75 along the Silver Strand wiD be severely
l1"la9nitude 6.8 earthqw.ke on the Silver restricled. Although:sornewhi:lt ob-
Strand fault. which lies immediately Seismica~ indu::ed lancbbdes pose an slJUeted. ma;or routes intO and out of the
offshore of the San Diego waterfroot additional threat in those geologic grrotcr San DIego arelI will be llVlllloble
(Hgurc I). PcrOOp5 ~ hll-zord0u5lllUlts conditions lMlcfe both ancient and However. emergency YChi:1e nansporIa-
exist. and could have been used for a modem slides have been mapped. Area50 rion into and out of :he ITIOSI ~viIy
rl29k:lna1 planning scenario. H~, this .....nere 1andsI.des could pose particular damaged areas along the coast from
scenario ",'as devdoped for a particular probkmls irrlJde the north sde of PaciHc Beach to Imperial Beach Iolo;D be
uw' inlQmationai respooso p;anning. Mission Va1k!y. Mu-phy ean.,.oo. MI hampered by closures of all main artene5
assunmg an earthquake tnfliets signifICant Soledad. Torrey Phes Mesa. lhe canyons VJhere they cross areas 01 unstable
damage on both IN San Diego and of Otay Mesa. and portJoos of La Mesa ground.
T~ rnetroPOltan areas. HOWC\<er.
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which the border station VJili function at
50 percent capacity for 6 months and
80 percent for 8 months before full
operation is restore::i,
o Tijuana
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Tijuana International
{c.ne.aJR_
Secondary domestic airpons inClude:
•, , MILES
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Brown Field
SCALE
Gillespie Fiekl
McClelland - Palomar
Montgomery Reid
san DIegO Border CrQSSIng The San Ysidra Border Station houses Oceanside Municipal
U.S. CUSloms. U.S. Irmnigralion. the Ramona
1he border station at San Ysidro.
Department of Agriculture. the U.S. Na"'Y
California is the busiest port of entry in Military airports are:
Shore Patrol. the U.S. Drug Enforcement
the world. It operates in conjunction with
Agency. and the International Boundary Naval Air Station, Miramar
the recently constructed border station al
and Waler Commission. II is the principal
Otay. located 5 mlles to the east. TIle Naval Air Station, Nonh Island
port of entry from Mexico for pedestrian
building and related facilities are main- Naval Air Station, lmpertal Beach
and automobile traffic. The station
tained by the General Servk:es Adminis-
presently operates at 70 percent capacity
tration.
,} .
intensive emergency use in the event that
Undbergh F'tekl is out of commission for ~
SAN DIEGO
an extended period. Brown Field is
located 18 miles by freeway south and
east of the central San Diego business
district. It is approximately 1·1/2 miles <,
directly north of the Mexican border and
2 miles directly north of Tijuana Interna-
tional Airport.
For planning purposes. San Diego
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• Chula I£ifta
International Airport will be closed for all
but emergency operations for 2 weeks
due to liquefaction affecting runways.
access. electric power supply. and the
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Marine Tenninal. Virtually the entire port
of San Diego is built on artificial fiU.
Extensive liquefaction-induced lateral
,, 5 MllES
,
spreading is possible all along the bay
front. This VJill affect structures built
~" behind quay walls and also approaches
(road and rail) to the dock area.
Figure 4. Water and waste water laclhlJes.
1be B Street Pier was constructed in
the early 1920s in several phases. 1be
The line has been out of seMce from the ity. Service along the ATSF line from Los Transit Shed No.2 on the B Street Pier
border toWn of Tecate eastward for many Angeles can be expected 10 be disrupted has been renovated to serve as a cruise
years lh!: to the loss of a major bri:Ige south of Oceanside. Tracks are subject to ship tenninal. Uquefactk>n will damage
stnx:ture. rot is stiD open from San Diego to landslide damage or dislocation due to the B Street Pier. Pile-supported docks
Tecale. a distance of about 25 miles. liquefaction where they cross me coastal and piers. with the exception 01 the B
sloughs. and along Mission Bay. For Street Pier. should fare well. but access
Rail lines to San Diego cross areas 01 planning purposes. service will not be problems may preclLKle their use dUring
high 10 very high liquefaction susceptibil- restored for 3 weeks after the earthquake. the initial post-€<lrthquake period. For
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downtown San Diego will take it out of
.Chula Vista
service for 4 months, during which time
raw sewage will discharge into San Diego
Bay. Pumping Station No.2. the most
Natural Gas
Three transmission pipelines convey
natural gas to the San Diego area from
•
the north (Figure 5). T we are located
inland. running along the mesas. These
will not be seriously affected by the
,, 5 MILES scenario earthquake. The third runs along
the coast and crosses several areas of
""" high to very high Iiquelaction susceptibil·
ity. This pipeline will be damaged by
Figure 5. Natural gas tacilities and petroleum luels. lateral spreading at Soledad (Sorrento)
Valley and by landslides along Torrey
Pines grade. and will be out 01 service for
Waste Water more than 72 hours.
Because of failures in local water
distribution systems. segments of the
The metropolitan sewer system selVeS The primary impact of the scenario
population will be asked to use emer-
gency supplies. boil their water. or take virtually all 01 the populated metropolitan earthquake will be on the gas-distribution
area of San Diego and adjacent commu- system where it crosses areas of high
other measures against contamination lor
nities south 01 Del Mar. extending to the intensity and ground failure. [n Pacific
1 to 4 days.
EARTHQUAKE BIBLIOGRAPHY
The following bibliography was compiled by the National Center for Earthquake
Engineering Research. State University of New York at Buffalo.
MINERAL lAND CLASSlACATION I) the location of Pee· grade aggre- SMARA mandates that !Pdelines for
Portland cement concrete aggregale and gate resources. classifkation and designation be deYef..-
active mines of all other mineral com- oped by the State MlI'ling and Geoklgy
mochues in the San Luis Obispo-Santa 2) the quantIty of PCC-grade aggre- Boam The BoanI originally adoptoo
Barbara production-consumption regK:ln_ gate v.ithin those depostlS: formalSMARA guidelines 00 June 30.
By Russel V, Miller. Judy WK!denheft 1978. SectjQO I. la of those guidelines
Cole. and John P Oinkenbean:l, 1991 3) the Iocalion of aft actIVe mines reqares the Stale Geologist to classify
37. $2500 \l,.ithin the regiOn prodocing specified areas into Mineral Resource
commodities other than fill, Zones (MHZ). Classifx:ation is the process
SpedaI Report 162 provides informa- of identifying lands containing signifM:ar'lI
tiOn on the estimated availability of. and 4) the demand lor aggregate v.,thm mineral deposits. based solely on geologic
demand for. portland cement concrete the regK:ln for the next 50 years faetOB \l,lthout regard 10 presenlland lbe
(PCQ-grade aggregale resources WIthin or CMor.ership. The Board recogruzes thai
the San Luis ObIspo-Santa Barbara This study "!as concb::lro as speofied consIrucbon materials (sand. gravel. and
Pn:xIuction-ConsumptiOn (poQ Region. by the Surface MlOmg and Redamalion crushed stone) are produced regionally.
The study area COVl."f$ 2.062 square miles At::t (SMARA) of 1975. s,\1ARA was are used in every urban area of the Slate.
and includes major portions of l4'eStem passed by the California Stale I..egtsIature and require spec:ial classilication data.
San Luis Obtspo and Santa Barbara to: (I) respond 10 the kY..s of sigrulicant Section 1.3 of the guidelines reqwres that
counties. Approximateiy 40 percent of mineral resources due 10 urban expan- classification repoftS pertaining to
San Luis Obispo County and 45 percent sion; (2) obtain current information deposIts of constTuCtion aggregale
of Santa Barbara County have been concerning the location and ~uty of materials ind.de the folou.ing informa·
irrl.Jded within the P-C region and have essential rnineraI deposits; and (3) ensure 1m (I) the location and estimated Iotal
been claSSIfied for PCC-grade aggregate. adequate mined-land reclamation. To ~tlty of construction aggregale
In this area. as in any urbaniZing area. address mineral resource conservalion. available for mining; (2) limits of the
importanl Iand-use decisions should be SMARA mandated a two-phase process market {consumptionJ region lhat these
made \l..ith fuU recognition of the region's called dassincation-designatK>n. The potential resources wouJd supply; arxl
natural resources, This Is particularly objecliw: of lhe classifkation-designatlOn (3) an estimate 01 the total quantity of
important \/Jith regard to resources of pnxess is to ensure. through appropriate aggregate malerial that will be needed to
high-grade construction aggregate used in local lead agency poOCies and procedures. supply the consumption region lor the
portland cement concrete. PCC-grade that raw material is available when next 50 years. This information will assrst
aggregate is an Indispensable building needed and does not become inaccessible the Board in detennining the statewide or
material !hat is costly to lranspon. This as a result of inadequate information regional significance of these typeS of
classification report documents lor the during the land·use decision-making deposits:'"
San Luis Obispo-Santa Barbara area: process.
CAlFORNtA GEOlOOY
'" SEPTEMBER 1991