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April  27,  2011  


MEMORANDUM  
 
TO:   INTERESTED  PARTIES  
FR:   DAVID  FLAHERTY  
  MAGELLAN  DATA  AND  MAPPING  STRATEGIES  
RE:   MASSACHUSETTS  2012  GOP  PRESIDENTIAL  PRIMARY  VOTER  OPINION  
SURVEY  OF  MASSACHUSETTS  HEALTH  CARE  PLAN  TOPLINE  RESULTS  
________________________________________________________________________________________________  
Magellan  Data  and  Mapping  Strategies  are  pleased  to  present  the  topline  results  of  a  
740N  autodial   survey   of   likely  2012   Massachusetts  Republican   Presidential   primary  
voters,   and   independent   voters   that   are   likely   to   vote   in   the   2012   Republican  
Presidential  primary.    The  interviews  were  conducted   April  25th  -­‐  26th,  2011.    This  
survey   has   a   margin   of  error   of  +/-­‐  3.6%   at   the   95   percent   confidence   interval.     The  
survey   results   are   weighted   based   upon  voter  turnout   demographics   from   the   2008  
Republican  Presidential  primary.    
T1.  Are  you  registered  to  vote  as  a  Republican,  a  Democrat  or  an  independent  voter?  
 
Republican  ..................................................................................  55%  
Independent  ...............................................................................  45%  
 
T2.  As  you  may  know,  independent  voters  in  Massachusetts  can  vote  in  the  March  
2012  Presidential  primary  election.    How  likely  are  you  to  vote  in  the  March  2012  
Presidential  primary  election?  (Asked  to  independent  voters  only)  
 
Extremely  Likely  ......................................................................  83%  
Very  Likely  .....................................................................................  9%  
Somewhat  Likely  .........................................................................  8%  
 
T3.  And  if  the  March  2012  Presidential  primary  election  was  being  held  today,  
would  you  choose  to  vote  in  the  Democrat  primary  or  the  Republican  primary?    
(Asked  to  independent  voters  only)  
 
Republican  primary  .............................................................  100%  
 
 
Magellan  ID#  MAPRES-­‐042511  Massachusetts  2012  GOP  Presidential  Primary  Auto  Survey   Page  2  of  3      
Field  Dates:  4/25/11-­‐4/26/11  
MoE  +/-­‐  3.6%,  740n  

T4.  How  likely  are  you  to  vote  in  the  March  2012  Presidential  primary  election?  
(Asked  to  Republican  voters  only)  
 
Extremely  Likely  ......................................................................  92%  
Very  Likely  .....................................................................................  5%  
Somewhat  Likely  .........................................................................  3%  
 
Thinking  now  about  the  Massachusetts  Health  Care  Planǥǥǥǥǥǥ  
 
T5.  Do  you  have  a  favorable  or  unfavorable  opinion  of  the  Massachusetts  Health  
Care  Plan  that  was  enacted  by  Governor  Mitt  Romney  and  the  Massachusetts  
Legislature  in  2006?      
 
Total  Favorable  .........................................................................  30%  
Total  Unfavorable  ....................................................................  51%  
No  Opinion  ..................................................................................  19%  
 
Very  Favorable  ..........................................................................  15%  
Somewhat  Favorable  ..............................................................  15%  
 
Very  Unfavorable  .....................................................................  34%  
Somewhat  Unfavorable  .........................................................  17%  
 
T6.  Do  you  think  the  state  of  Massachusetts  should  keep  the  Health  Care  Plan  or  
repeal  it  and  replace  it  with  something  else?      
 
Repeal  Health  Care  Plan  and  replace  it  ...........................  53%  
Keep  Health  Care  Plan  ............................................................  29%  
Undecided/Unsure  ..................................................................  18%  
 
T7.  ‘›‘—–Š‹–Š‡ƒ••ƒ…Š—•‡––• ‡ƒŽ–Šƒ”‡Žƒ™‹ŽŽŠ‡Ž’‹––‘‡›ǯ•
’”‡•‹†‡–‹ƒŽ…ƒ’ƒ‹‰ǡŠ—”–‹––‘‡›ǯ•’”‡•‹†‡–‹ƒŽ…ƒ’ƒ‹‰ǡ‘”™‹ŽŽ‹–‘–
make  much  of  a  difference  at  all?  
 
Will  make  no  difference.........................................................  43%  
—”–‘‡›ǯ•…ƒ’ƒ‹‰  ......................................................  42%  
Help  ‘‡›ǯ•…ƒ’ƒ‹‰......................................................  13%  
No  Opinion  .....................................................................................  2%  
 
 
 
 
 
 

Magellan  Data  and  Mapping  Strategies  |  1685  Boxelder  St.  Ste  300  |  Louisville,  CO  80027  
www.MagellanStrategies.com  |  (303)  861-­‐8585  
Magellan  ID#  MAPRES-­‐042511  Massachusetts  2012  GOP  Presidential  Primary  Auto  Survey   Page  3  of  3      
Field  Dates:  4/25/11-­‐4/26/11  
MoE  +/-­‐  3.6%,  740n  

T8.   ‘™™‘—Ž†›‘—†‡•…”‹„‡‹––‘‡›ǯ•–‹‡ƒ•
‘˜‡”‘”‘ˆƒ••ƒ…Š—•‡––•?    
‘—Ž†›‘—•ƒ›Š‡™ƒ•ƒDz‡ƒ-­‐ƒ”–›…‘•‡”˜ƒ–‹˜‡dz•‡‡‹‰†”ƒ•–‹……Šƒ‰‡•–‘”‡†—…‡
–Š‡•‹œ‡‘ˆ‰‘˜‡”‡–ǡƒ•ƒDz•–ƒ„Ž‹•Š‡–‡’—„Ž‹…ƒdz™‹ŽŽ‹‰–‘…‘’”‘‹•‡
™‹–Š‡‘…”ƒ–•ƒ†ƒ‹–ƒ‹–Š‡•–ƒ–—•“—‘ǡƒDz‘†‡”ƒ–‡‘”‹„‡”ƒŽ‡’—„Ž‹…ƒdz
who  is  economically  conservative,  but  liberal  on  social  issues  like  abortion  and  gay  
rights?  
 
Establishment  Republican  ....................................................  40%  
Moderate  or  Liberal  Republican  ........................................  37%  
Tea-­‐Party  conservative  ..........................................................  13%  
No  Opinion  ..................................................................................  10%  
 
T9.  For  statistical  purposes,  are  you  a  man  or  a  woman?  
 
Male  ...............................................................................................  55%  
Female  ..........................................................................................  45%  
 
T10.  Which  of  the  following  age  groups  applies  to  you?  
 
18-­‐34  ................................................................................................  7%  
35-­‐44  .............................................................................................  15%  
45-­‐54  .............................................................................................  27%  
55-­‐64  .............................................................................................  23%  
65+  .................................................................................................  28%  
 
T11.  For  statistical  purposes  only,  what  is  your  race?  Press  1  if  you  are  white,  press  
2  if  you  are  Hispanic  or  Latino,  press  3  if  you  are  black  or  African  American,  press  4  
if  you  are  another  ethnic  group.  
 
White.............................................................................................  91%  
Hispanic/Latino  ...........................................................................  2%  
Black/African  American  ...........................................................  2%  
Another  ethnic  group  ................................................................  5%  
 

Magellan  Data  and  Mapping  Strategies  |  1685  Boxelder  St.  Ste  300  |  Louisville,  CO  80027  
www.MagellanStrategies.com  |  (303)  861-­‐8585  

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