Professional Documents
Culture Documents
(LMP) Overview
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Objectives
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Agenda
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What is LMP?
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LMP Analogy
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LMP Analogy
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How is LMP Used?
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Locational Marginal Price
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Locational Marginal Price
Congestion Price
Represents price of congestion for binding constraints
Calculated using cost of marginal units controlling constraints and sensitivity factors on each bus
No change in this calculation
Will be zero if no constraints
Will vary by location if system is constrained
Used to price explicit and implicit congestion (Locational Net Congestion Bill)
Load pays Congestion Price
Generation is paid Congestion Price
Congestion revenues allocated as hourly credits to FTR holders
Calculated both in day ahead and real time
www.pjm.com 10 10/22/2009
Locational Marginal Price
Loss Price
Represents price of marginal losses
Calculated using penalty factors as previously described
Will vary by location
Used to price explicit and implicit losses (Locational Net Loss Bill)
Load pays the Loss Price
Generation is paid the Loss Price
Loss revenues are allocated based on load + exports ratio share
Calculated both in day-ahead and real-time
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Transmission Losses
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Dispatch Rate
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Dispatch Rate
MW Economic Basepoint
The Incremental Loss for bus i is used to calculate a factor that can be
used to include the effect of losses in the dispatch
This factor is called the Loss Penalty Factor, or Penalty Factor
1
Pfi
PL Change in Losses
1
Pi Change in Unit’s MW Output
1
PL Pfi 1.0
0 1 PL
Pi 1
Pi
www.pjm.com 16 10/22/2009
Penalty Factors Effect on Dispatch
1
PL Pfi 1.0
0 1 PL
Pi 1
Pi
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Penalty Factors Effect on Dispatch - Example # 1
If unit’s don’t move to follow dispatch rate, LMP will not change!
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LMP Model
Generator Offers
Dispatch Rates * LPA
Dispatchable Transactions Preprocessor
Flexible Generating
Units & Offers
Real-Time Siemens
Data State LMP’s for
(EMS) Estimator Energy Demand LPA
Generator MW all locations
System Topology
Unit
Dispatcher Dispatch
Input
* System (UDS)
Binding Transmission
Constraints
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High & Low LMPs
Thermal Limit
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Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
System
Overview
XED = 2.97%
E 230 MW D
Thermal Limit
Sundance
Brighton
XAD = 3.04%
Load =
A 223 MW
Solitude
Alta B C
Park City
Generator Offers
Sundance
600 MW 200 MW
$10/MWh E 230 MW D
Thermal Limit $40/MWh
Brighton
223 MW
Solitude
Alta 223 MW
110 MW
B 223 MW C 520 MW
Park City $30/MWh
$14/MWh
100 MW
$15/MWh
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Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
Dispatch & Energy Flow
230 MW Sundance
E Thermal Limit D
Brighton 200 MW
229 $40/MWh
600 MW 147
371
223 MW
153
600 MW 293 70
$10/MWh A
69 MW
Alta Solitude
223 MW 223 MW 520 MW
Park City B C $30/MWh
110 MW
100 MW
$14/MWh
$15/MWh
Total Load 669
www.pjm.com 28 10/22/2009
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
LMPs - No Loss Component Included
$14 $14
230 MW Sundance
E Thermal Limit D
Brighton 200 MW
229 $40/MWh
600 MW 147
371
223 MW
153
600 MW 293 70
$10/MWh $14 A
69 MW
Alta
Alta Solitude
223 MW 223 MW 520 MW
B C $30/MWh
Park City
110 MW
100 MW
$14 $14
$14/MWh
$15/MWh
Alta - Marginal Unit
www.pjm.com 29 10/22/2009
Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
LMPs - Loss Component Included
Area Load = 669
Area Losses = 17 MW
Area Generation = 686
Brighton - 600 MW
Alta - 86 MW
LMP = $14.33
PF = 1.0247
LMP = $13.83
PF = 1.0624 230 MW Sundance
E Thermal Limit D
Brighton 200 MW
229 $40/MWh
600 MW 147
371
223 MW
153
293 70
600 MW A Solitude
86 MW
$10/MWh
Alta
LMP = $14.69
LMP = $14.00 223 MW
B 223 MW
C
520 MW
PF = 1.00
PF = 1.0492 Park City $30/MWh
110 MW 100 MW LMP = $14.61 Marginal Unit
$14/MWh $15/MWh
PF = 1.0053
Reference Bus
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Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
Reference Bus
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Example # 1 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
Adjusted Offer =
Marginal Unit
Offer X Penalty Factor
Reference Bus Higher PF = Offer
www.pjm.com 32 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
Constrained System
Loads = 900
E 230 MW
Thermal Limit D Sundance
Brighton 200 MW
$40/MWh
Load = 300 MW
600 MW
$10/MWh A
Solitude
Alta
B C 520 MW
110 MW Park City $30/MWh
$14/MWh Loads = 300 MW
100 MW
$15/MWh
www.pjm.com 33 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
Dispatch Solution Ignoring Thermal Limit
E 230 MW D
Dispatched Thermal Limit
at 600 MW 200 MW
253 $40/MWh
Brighton
174 Sundance
348
300 MW
216
600 MW 384 84
$10/MWh A Dispatched
90 MW
Solitude
Alta
300 MW 300 MW 520 MW
110 MW Park City $30/MWh
$14/MWh B C
100 MW
Dispatched $15/MWh Total Dispatched
at 110 MW Dispatched 900 MW
www.pjm.com 100 MW 34 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
300 MW
600 MW
$10/MWh A
Solitude
Alta
300 MW 300 MW Dispatched 520 MW
110 MW Park City B C at 180 MW $30/MWh
$14/MWh
100 MW
Dispatched $15/MWh
at 110 MW Total Dispatched
Dispatched
900 MW
www.pjm.com at 100 MW 35 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
279
180
300 MW
102
600 MW
$10/MWh A 309 4
110 MW
101
100 MW
195 MW
Solitude
Alta
300 MW 300 MW 520 MW
110 MW Park City $30/MWh
$14/MWh B C
100 MW
$15/MWh
www.pjm.com 36 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
LMPs - No Loss Component Included 200 MW
$40/MWh
$10.00 $40.00 Sundance
E 230 MW D
Thermal Limit
230 225
Brighton
510 MW 280 178
180
279
300 MW
102
600 MW
$10/MWh
$17.00 A 309 304
110 MW
101
100 MW
195 MW
Solitude
Alta 300 MW 300 MW 520 MW
110 MW B C $30/MWh
Park City
$14/MWh
100 MW
$26.40 $30.00
$15/MWh
Brighton & Solitude - Marginal Generators
www.pjm.com 37 10/22/2009
Example # 2 - 5 Bus Transmission Grid
LMPs - Loss Component Included
Area Load = 900
Area Losses = 15 MW
Area Generation = 915
Brighton - 510 MW
Alta - 110 MW
LMP = $39.35
PF = 1.0162
LMP = $10.00 Park City - 100 MW
Solitude - 195
PF = 1.0555 Sundance
E D
Brighton 230 225 200 MW
$40/MWh
510 MW 280 279 178
180
300 MW
102
309 304
600 MW A Solitude
100 MW
110 MW
$10/MWh 195 MW
Alta LMP = $30.00
300 MW 520 MW
LMP = $16.76 Park City B 300 MW C $30/MWh
PF = 1.00
PF = 1.0450 110 MW 100 MW LMP = $26.61
$15/MWh
Marginal Unit
$14/MWh PF = 1.0024
Reference Bus
www.pjm.com 38 10/22/2009
LMP & Sensitivity Factors
Solitude & Brighton supply the next increment of load on the system
(Marginal generators)
Attempt to serve an additional increment of load (1 MW)
Resulting Sensitivity Factors determine LMP
Least Cost Security Constrained Dispatch Algorithm
Calculates least expensive way to serve load while respecting
transmission limit
Power flow analysis calculates Sensitivity Factors
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Sensitivity Factors
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Example # 2 - LMP Calculations
LMP Calculations - No Loss Component
Sensitivity Factors
(for 1 MWh of Load Supplied from) Calculation
Bus Brighton Solitude (MWh) (Brighton Unit Price) + LMP
(MWh) (Solitude Unit Price) +
@ $10/MWh @ $30/MWh
A 0.65 MWh 0.35 MWh 0.65 ($10) + 0.35 ($30) $17.00
B 0.18 MWh 0.82 MWh 0.18 ($10) + 0.82 ($30) $26.40
C 0.00 MWh 1.00 MWh 0.00 ($10) + .1.00 ($30) $30.00
D -0.50 MWh 1.50 MWh -0.50 ($10) + 1.50 ($30) $40.00
E 1.00 MWh -0.00 MWh 1.00 ($10) + 0.00 ($30) $10.00
The sensitivity factors reflect the amount of cost effective generation required to
supply 1 MW of load at each bus, without increasing the flow on the contingency
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Example # 2 - LMP Calculations
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System
Example # 2 - Losses Calculation
1
Energy * 1
Price Pf
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Agenda
www.pjm.com 45 PJM©2009
Real-Time LMPs
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Operational Data Page
http://www.pjm.com/pub/account/lmpgen/lmppost.html
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Operational Data Page
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Daily LMP Verification Process
Posts verified hourly LMPs for previous operating day on PJM website
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LMP Summary
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Questions?
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Contact Information
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Agenda
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Summer Peak Load Comparison
PJM summer peak-load comparison:
Monday, June 9, 2008, and Wednesday, August 8, 2007
08-Aug-07 1600 EPT - PJM 139,428 MW
90,000 $500
80,000 $400
70,000
$300
60,000
$200
50,000
40,000 $100
30,000 $0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Day-Ahead Real-Time
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2006-2008 Real-time Simple Average LMP Components
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2004-2008 Real-time Monthly Load-Weighted Average LMP
PJM real-time, monthly, load-weighted, average LMP: Calendar years 2004 to 2008
$120
2004
2005
2006
2007
$100
2008
$80
LMP ($/MWh)
$60
$40
$20
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
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Fuel-Cost Adjusted LMP
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1998-2008 PJM Real-time Simple Average LMP
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1998-2008 PJM Real-time Load Weighted Average LMP
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2004-2008 PJM Day-ahead Simple Average LMP
PJM day-ahead, simple average LMP (Dollars per MWh): Calendar years
2004 to 2008
Day-Ahead LMP Year-to-Year Change
Standard Standard
Average Median Deviation Average Median Deviation
2004 $41.43 $40.36 $16.60 NA NA NA
2005 $57.89 $50.08 $30.04 39.7% 24.1% 81.0%
2006 $48.10 $44.21 $23.42 (16.9%) (11.7%) (22.0%)
2007 $54.67 $52.34 $23.99 13.7% 18.4% 2.4%
2008 $66.12 $58.93 $30.87 20.9% 12.6% 28.7%
www.pjm.com 61 10/22/2009
2004-2008 PJM Day-ahead Load-Weighted Average LMP
www.pjm.com 62 10/22/2009