Professional Documents
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00
FEMINISM BY TREATY
CHRISTINA HOFF SOMMERS
A P u b l i c a t i o n o f t h e H o ov e r I n s t i t u t i o n
stanford university
the hoover institution was established at Stanford
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Features
3 THE CONSTITUTION AND ITS CRITICS
Taking another look at America’s fundamental document
Thomas J. Main
19 AFGHANISTAN: AMERICA’S WAR OF PERCEPTION
Boots but not facts on the ground
Ann Marlowe
37 FEMINISM BY TREATY
Why cedaw is still a bad idea
Christina Hoff Sommers
Books
69 THE BUTCHERY OF HITLER AND STALIN
James Kirchick on Bloodlands: Europe Between Hitler and Stalin
by Timothy Snyder
A P u b l i c a t i o n o f t h e H o ov e r I n s t i t u t i o n
stanford university
POLI CY ReviewJ u n e & J u ly 2 0 1 1 , N o . 1 6 7
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Research Fellow, Hoover Institution
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Research Fellow, Hoover Institution
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I
n planning a freshman undergraduate curriculum with col-
leagues recently, the question arose as to what type of under-
standing we wanted to impart to our students about the
Constitution. Should the goal be to achieve a critical under-
standing of the Constitution or, since most students take only a
single course that covers the document, is a basic understanding all that is to
be expected? Is there, then, some practical way to impart a critical under-
standing of the Constitution in just a very few classes? It turns out there is:
Assign the students Sanford Levinson’s Our Undemocratic Constitution
(2006), or Robert Dahl’s How Democratic is the American Constitution?
(2001). Daniel Lazare’s The Frozen Republic: How the Constitution is
Paralyzing Democracy (1996) could also serve this purpose.
The alleged defects of the Constitution that these books point to are wide-
ranging and can be classified into various categories. Some problems — such
as slavery, the disenfranchisement of women and blacks, and the election of
senators by state legislatures — are historical in nature. Dahl in particular
spends a fair amount of time on these issues. Other defects can be deemed
4 Policy Review
The Constitution and Its Critics
opposition of the small states. Schlesinger has an answer here: The “national
bonus plan,” which would create a “national pool of 102 new electoral
votes” that would be awarded to the winner of the popular vote. “This
national bonus would balance the existing state bonus of two electoral votes
already conferred by the Constitution regardless of population,” Schlesinger
writes. “The reform would virtually guarantee that the popular vote winner
would also be the electoral-vote winner.”
By this scheme the most obvious flaw in the Constitution can be mended
without fundamentally altering the document.
6 Policy Review
The Constitution and Its Critics
Despite his own preference for a parliamentary system, Dahl acknowledges
in How Democratic Is the American Constitution? that “For better or
worse, we Americans are stuck with a presidential system,” and Levinson
doesn’t specifically reject presidentialism per se. Lazare is explicitly hostile to
separation of powers. As he writes in The Frozen Republic, he wants the
House of Representatives to be the “whole show, which means that in addi-
tion to passing legislation, it would have the job of executing it.” Much of
Levinson’s and Dahl’s criticism is directed, rather, at checks and balances,
which James Q. Wilson and John J. DiIulio define as “a system of separate
institutions that share powers.” That is, as Madison famously argued in
Federalist No. 51, checks and balances are provisions of the Constitution
that are designed to keep the branches of govern-
ment truly separated. Aspects of the Constitution Equal state
that are central to separation of powers include the
representation of
bicameral Congress, the presidential veto, and judi-
cial review. To a lesser or greater extent — lesser in the Senate is the
Levinson’s case, much greater in that of Lazare — only provision of
these key features of checks and balances all come in
for criticism by these authors. the Constitution
One can concede the case against equal state rep- not susceptible to
resentation in the Senate and still maintain that a
second branch to the legislature is essential to the amendment
constitutional scheme. Levinson admits as much under Article V.
when, in calling for a new constitutional convention
in Our Undemocratic Constitution, he writes “I can well imagine urging its
members to retain the general structure of bicameralism even as they engage
in the necessary reform of the specifics of our particular version of bicamer-
alism.” Dahl is more skeptical of the merits of second legislative chambers.
He notes that “Nebraska, Norway, Sweden, and Denmark seem to do quite
nicely without them” and asks, “Exactly whom and whose interests is a sec-
ond chamber supposed to represent?” Dahl rejects the argument that a sec-
ond chamber should represent the interests of the federal units and quotes
with approval Hamilton’s observation that “As states are a collection of
individual men which ought we to respect most, the rights of people com-
posing them or the artificial beings resulting from the composition. Nothing
could be more preposterous than to sacrifice the former to the latter.”
Lazare will have nothing to do with such lukewarm criticism and hopes that
an “all powerful House” would “abolish the Senate or reduce it to a largely
ceremonial body a la the House of Lords.” But perhaps no author directed
such vituperation at bicameralism as Richard Rosenfeld who, in a Harper’s
article entitled “What Democracy?: The Case for Abolishing the United
States Senate,” pours scorn on the idea that the upper chamber is supposed
to act as a check on the lower, asking us to consider the occasions when the
House was right about a bill and the “unrepresentative” Senate was wrong.
“If as a matter of experiment,” Rosenfeld writes, “we were to allow a roll of
8 Policy Review
The Constitution and Its Critics
help you because effective party discipline means he must back his party’s
policies as they are implemented by the bureaucracy. In a separation-of-pow-
ers system citizens can and do successfully bring their complaints with the
bureaucracy to the legislature.
Under our Constitution, Congress has at least as much control over the
bureaucracy as the president, if not more. In his authoritative volume,
Bureaucracy: What Government Agencies Do and Why They Do It, pub-
lished in 1989, James Q. Wilson writes:
Virtually every political scientist who has studied the matter agrees that
Congress possesses, in Herbert Kaufman’s words an “awesome arsenal”
of weapons it can use against agencies: legislation, appropriations, hear-
ings, investigations, personal interventions, and “friendly advice” that is
ignored at an executive’s peril.
The presidency
10 Policy Review
The Constitution and Its Critics
Democracy or republic?
12 Policy Review
The Constitution and Its Critics
that democracy, justice, liberty, and some other terms do. But the issue we
come to is why not trade off democracy against other values and what
would those other values be? And is there any value function against which
the Constitution would fare better than it does by the solely or very predom-
inantly democratic value function that these authors bring to bear?
An obvious candidate for such a counterbalancing value is republicanism.
The point is that for the Founders republicanism was, if not the sole political
value, at least a very prominent one. And of course it is well known that the
Federalist Papers do not try to establish the democratic bona fides of the
Constitution but rather seek to demonstrate “The conformity of the pro-
posed Constitution to the true principles of republican government,” as
expressed in Federalist No. 1 (italics in the original). Democracy, rarely com-
ing up in the Federalist Papers, usually appears in the context of “pure
democracy,” i.e., direct democracy without intermediate representation.
Why not then judge the Constitution, at least partly, against the value it was
designed to reflect, republicanism, rather than against democracy alone?
Levinson and Dahl have immediate answers to this question. Levinson
denies that republicanism is relevant today, pointing out that the Founders’
vision of “republican” order included slavery and the “rank subordination
of women” and concludes, “That vision of politics is blessedly long behind
us but the Constitution is not” (italics in the original). Dahl goes further and
argues that, certain appearances to the contrary, the Founders did not under-
stand themselves as applying republican rather than democratic values. He
writes:
Some readers may argue that the Founding Fathers . . . intended to cre-
ate a republic, not a democracy. From this premise, according to a not
uncommon belief among Americans, it follows that the United States is
not a democracy but a republic. Although this belief is sometimes sup-
ported on the authority of a principle architect of the Constitution,
James Madison, it is for reasons I explain . . . mistaken.
One can understand why Dahl wants to make this argument. If the
Founders were trying to create a republic, then republican, not democratic,
values would seem to be the relevant measure. However his case is not con-
vincing. Dahl himself acknowledges that in Federalist No. 10 Madison
famously distinguishes, in the following passage, between republics and
democracies:
The two great points of difference between a democracy and a republic
are: first the delegation of the government, in the latter, to a small num-
ber of citizens elected by the rest; secondly, the greater number of citi-
zens, and greater sphere of the country, over which the latter may be
extended.
This seems like as clear a distinction as there possibly can be, but Dahl
disagrees. He points out, correctly, that “during the eighteenth century the
Dahl seems to think that Madison’s use of the word “directly” refers to a
situation in which the people themselves make the laws, and the word “indi-
rectly” refers to governments in which there is representation. If this were so
then Madison would indeed be contradicting the distinction he drew in
Federalist No. 10, thus blurring the distinction between a republic and a
democracy. But consider how Madison uses the words “directly” and “indi-
rectly” just a few lines later in Federalist No. 39:
It is sufficient for such a government (i.e. a republic) that the persons
administering it be appointed, either directly or indirectly by the people .
. . The House of Representatives . . . is elected immediately by the great
body of the people. The Senate . . . derives its appointment indirectly
from the people. The President is indirectly derived from the choice of
the people. Even the judges . . . will . . . be the choice, though a remote
choice, of the people themselves. (Italics in the original.)
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The Constitution and Its Critics
In short even the text Dahl chooses to site demonstrates that the Founders
set out to create a republic, not a democracy.
Is it, then, fair to judge a republic against democratic principles? Of
course, Levinson argues that there must be something wrong with republi-
can principles since they were compatible with slavery and the subjugation
of women. But the fact that the Founders addressed some evils and not oth-
ers doesn’t prove their principles were wrong. And in any case the point
being made here is not that 18th-century republicanism, warts and all,
should be the sole value against which the Constitution ought to be mea-
sured. A republicanism purged, in so far as possible, of its earlier flaws and
balanced with other values, including 20th-century democracy, is what is
being suggested here.
Just what is republicanism and how does it vindicate the Constitution in a
way that the value of democracy does not? The literature on republicanism
and the Constitution is very extensive but we can make some basic points
here. Michael J. Sandel in Democracy’s Discontent (1996), defines republi-
canism as follows:
Central to republican theory is the idea that liberty depends on sharing
in self-government . . . It means deliberating with fellow citizens about
the common good and helping to shape the destiny of the political com-
munity . . . It requires a knowledge of public affairs and also a sense of
belonging, a concern for the whole, a moral bond with the community
whose fate is at stake. To share in self-rule therefore requires that citizens
possess, or come to acquire, certain qualities of character or civic virtues
. . . The republican conception of freedom, unlike the liberal conception,
requires a formative politics that cultivates in citizens the qualities of
character self-government requires.
A
more or less weakened presidency is one part of the critics’
agenda. Another part of that agenda, as we saw, is a more or less
strengthened legislature. These two proposals add up to an
undermining of the checks and balances system. It is important to under-
stand that the checks and balances system, while it is open to a democratic
critique, is also capable of a republican defense. Separation of powers
16 Policy Review
The Constitution and Its Critics
divides the government in several decision points. Different interests orga-
nize themselves in order to influence any of those points. In this way separa-
tion of powers divides society up into a multiplicity of interests or factions, a
point made by Madison in Federalist No. 51, in which he writes that while
all authority in the republic “will be derived from and dependent on the
society, the society itself will be broken into so many parts, interests and
classes of citizens, that the rights of individuals or of the minority will be in
little danger from interested combinations of the majority.” Here we have a
democratic defense of separation of powers: decentralizing government and
society safeguards individual rights. Later in the same paper Madison gives
separation of powers a republican defense, arguing that the in the “extended
republic of the United States” with its many and
varied groups, a “coalition of a majority of the
How fair is
whole society could seldom take place on any other
principles than those of justice and the common it to say that
good.” that the authors
No doubt the Constitution’s critics would simply
deny that our contemporary politics produces the under discussion
public good often enough. All of them see our here want
decentralized constitutional system as in fact result-
ing in hyper-fragmentation more conducive to dem- to make the
agoguery and bullying. No one can deny they have a president
point. Levinson discusses the potentially over-frag-
servile?
menting effect separation of powers can have in a
section entitled “The Special Problem of Divided
Government: How Separate Do We Want Our Institutions to Be?” Here he
presents James L. Sundquist’s argument that “the Constitution fundamental-
ly discourages the likelihood of creating an effective government.” This is
especially the case, these authors argue, when the Congress and the presiden-
cy are in the hands of opposed parties. The possibility of such a disposition
of power is small in a parliamentary system since the majority in the legisla-
ture almost always picks one of its own to be the executive. Thus separation
of powers promotes, not deliberation on the public good, but gridlock. Or
so goes the argument.
However some recent literature has argued that “gridlock is a myth.” In
The New Politics of Public Policy, edited by Landy and Levine, the contrib-
utors contend that the combination of a fragmented institutional frame-
work, divided government, a highly competitive political environment, and
the rights revolution encouraged policy entrepreneurs of various types to
compete with each other to have the best claim to popular political ideas,
leading to nonincremental changes in such areas as the environment, educa-
tion, taxation, and immigration.
The American constitutional system, both its written and informal parts,
has developed processes that are capable of harnessing fragmentation to
achieve significant change. Levinson acknowledges this possibility by accept-
18 Policy Review
Afghanistan: America’s
War of Perception
By Ann Marlowe
I
n the days before he was forced into retirement by scandal,
General Stanley McChrystal was fond of referring to the Afghan
theater he commanded as a “war of perceptions.” In February he
spoke to the Washington Post:
“This is all a war of perceptions,” McChrystal said on the eve of the
Marja offensive. “This is all in the minds of the participants. Part of
what we’ve had to do is convince ourselves and our Afghan partners
that we can do this.”
Ann Marlowe, a visiting fellow at the Hudson Institute, blogs for World Affairs.
Her biography of David Galula is available as a free download at
http://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/.
The most effective means of defeating guerrilla activity is to cut them off
physically and morally from the local inhabitants. While stern measures,
such as curfew, prohibition of assembly, limitations of movement, heavy
fines, forced labor, and the taking of hostages, may be necessary in the
face of a hostile population, these measure must be applied so as to
induce the local inhabitants to work with the occupying forces. A means
20 Policy Review
Afghanistan: America’s War of Perception
of bringing home to the inhabitants the desirability of cooperating with
the forces of occupation against the guerrillas is the imposition of restric-
tions on movement and assembly and instituting search operations with
the area affected.
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Afghanistan: America’s War of Perception
used in French campaigns in Africa and Asia. This stream of thought
remained nearly unknown in the Anglosphere, however, and English and
American military thinkers did not begin to theorize consciously about
counterinsurgency until they encountered the revolutionary warfare theory
of Mao. coin as a conscious discipline came into being as military thinkers
like Galula aimed to counter Mao, who wrote and lectured on guerrilla war-
fare even as his armies fought Japanese invaders in the late 1930s. And the
first flourishing of coin in the late 1950s and early 1960s was a response
to the then-feared communist threat, whether in Vietnam, Malaya, Greece,
the Philippines, or Algeria.
Mao in the 1930s and 1940s wrote very originally on war: “There are
those who say ‘I am a farmer’ or ‘I am a student’ . . . . This is incorrect.
There is no profound difference between the farmer and the soldier . . . .
When you take your arms in hand, you become soldiers.” Mao rethought
almost every conventional notion in warfare, including what a battlefield
victory looks like. The Israeli military historian Martin Van Creveld writes
in The Transformation of War:
From the Austrians at Ulm in 1805, all the way down to the Egyptian
Third Army at Suez in 1972, the story of modern strategy is always the
same. Large armed formations are regarded as having been defeated —
and, equally important, regard themselves as having been defeated — as
soon as they are surrounded and their lines of communication are severed.
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Afghanistan: America’s War of Perception
ing the Viet Minh struggle against the French. On January 18, 1961, two
days before taking office, Kennedy set up the new Special Group,
Counterinsurgency (sgci), headed by General Maxwell Taylor, designed as
a way to jumpstart the military transformation to counterinsurgency.
Unfortunately, it contained no real coin experts. The contrast with
Kennedy’s predecessor could not be greater. In his State of the Union address
on January 7, 1954, President Eisenhower had stated, “I saw no sense in
wasting manpower in costly small wars.”
According to Rusk’s right-hand man for Vietnam, Roger Hilsman,
Kennedy was reading the special issue of the Marine Corps Gazette on guer-
rilla warfare the day before his State of the Union address, January 10,
1962. This included Griffith’s 1941 translation of
Mao. Six days later, Kennedy sent a letter to the edi- Kennedy’s
tors recommending the volume to “every Marine”;
advocacy of
it was later bound with the book.
Hilsman — a West Point graduate who had studying
fought in Burma and worked for the oss in the counterinsurgency
Second World War — was the author of a paper in
this special issue. He conducted a study for the pres- had a huge
ident on how to respond to the Viet Cong outside influence on the
the maneuver war. Hilsman notes in his memoir that
circa 1961–62, Kennedy’s national security advisor, spread of the
Walt Rostow, and others were trying to figure out doctrine.
how to win guerrilla wars. “Other pioneering work
was going on in the Pentagon, in cia, in the Agency for International
Development, and particularly at Fort Bragg,” Hilsman wrote.
Kennedy’s advocacy of studying counterinsurgency had a huge influence
on the spread of the doctrine. In his brilliant 1982 Duke master’s thesis,
then-Lieutenant Colonel Stephen Bowman has documented the near-frenzy
of coin activity in the Kennedy administration. Bowman, who died in
2009, a retired colonel, would later teach at West Point and head the mili-
tary history department at the Army War College. Bowman notes that
Kennedy made it clear that promotions to general officer would depend on
counterinsurgency expertise. So it is no surprise that Secretary of the Army
Elvis Stahr Jr. wrote on February 8, 1962, that “guerrilla warfare is actually
being fought in many parts of the world today, and the ultimate fate of free-
dom could well rest in the hands of the so-called irregular troops involved.”
Kennedy tried hard to remold the American military. He doubled the size
of the Special Forces from 2,000 to nearly 5,000. The “Howze Board
Report” of January 28, 1962, advocated the “creation of an experimental
unit to develop tactical doctrine for counterinsurgency.” The Board also pre-
dicted that special warfare might become typical of future conflicts.
Helicopters were added to conventional Army brigades for the mobility
demanded by the new type of warfare. As Andrew Birtle chronicles, the
Army began a six-week counterinsurgency course at Fort Bragg on January
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Afghanistan: America’s War of Perception
The word “perceptions,” beloved of McChrystal, occurs just three times
in the 30 pages of Chapter 1. But there is much discussion of the need to get
the population to accept their government as legitimate. In words that speak
directly to today’s dilemmas in Afghanistan, the authors warn against what
some (including me) have charged we have done in Afghanistan, following a
“strategy of tactics” while allowing the Afghan government to alienate the
population: “Tactical actions thus must be linked not only to strategic and
operational military objectives but also to the host nation’s essential political
goals. Without those connections, lives and resources may be wasted for no
real gain.”
Re-reading the manual in the light of deteriorating conditions in
Afghanistan, one cannot help being struck by the
contrast between the sober, even dour tone of Pro-Surge
Chapter 1, with its emphasis on the host nation gov-
became
ernment’s legitimacy, and the buoyantly optimistic
tone of many official military statements about the assimilated to
Afghan war. We have all but completely failed to pro-COIN and
identify, control, or police the population of
Afghanistan, never mind controlling the 3,436 to pro-Republican
miles of border that allow insurgents refuge in or pro-Bush or
neighboring countries. Changing “perceptions”
seems beside the point in the face of such basic fail- pro-neocon
ures. Conrad Crane — who was the lead author of ideology.
“fm 3–24” and the main author of Chapter 1
(“though gen Petraeus had a lot of input,” as Crane told me in an e-mail) is
a serious scholar, as well as a jaundiced observer of counterinsurgencies and
a retired colonel. But Crane’s ideas have been coarsened in popularization,
and hardened into a dogma.
The political polarization surrounding the Iraq war is partially to blame.
Pro-Surge became assimilated to pro-coin and to pro-Republican or pro-
Bush or pro-neocon ideology, though in fact one could reasonably be anti-
Surge yet pro-neocon or pro-Surge and anti-Republican, and either take
coin or leave it. But at its bare bones, relatively unpartisan form, the con-
ventional narrative behind the current adulation of coin takes the Iraq war
as its lodestone.
This narrative assumes that the Surge of American troops in 2006–07
brought security to most of Iraq and enabled Sunnis to turn against al
Qaeda in Iraq and back the Shia-led government instead. There were enough
troops, living in close enough proximity to the people, to settle things down.
And we spent enough money — $3 billion by June 30, 2009, according to
the inspector general for Iraqi reconstruction — on “armed social work” to
give unemployed men an alternative to planting ieds.
This is a hotly contested narrative in military intellectual circles. Another
colonel, Craig A. Collier, a former squadron commander in Iraq, recently
wrote that “the amount of money spent on economic development is a
Colonel Collier goes on to argue that there was little interest in the mili-
tary establishment in measuring exactly what we accomplished in Iraq with
our vast expenditures.
Still another colonel who served in Iraq, Gian Gentile, argues that the situ-
ation there turned around because we bribed the sheiks, because Iraqis in
Baghdad had more or less created sectarian apartheid for themselves, and
because they tired of waking up to see bodies with drill wounds in them every
morning. Another American colonel, Joseph Felter, has coauthored some
nber papers which suggest that unemployment has little to do with terror-
ism. Finally, while violence levels in Iraq are much improved from 2005–07,
they are still such as would raise alarm almost anywhere else in the world,
with bombings regularly killing tens of civilians at a time and the government
paralyzed and dysfunctional for long periods following elections. There are
still big problems with providing basic services like electricity and water in
Iraq. It is not a “success” that many governments would be proud of.
It is worth noting that “fm 3–24” places much less emphasis on spend-
ing money on development projects than our execution in the field has.
Perhaps because the money was easy to obtain, it was spent. But relatively
little has been done in terms of strengthening local governance in
Afghanistan, a subject that “fm 3–24” suggests is much more important.
I spent only a few weeks in Iraq, and those in 2003. But I’ve
spent a lot of time in Afghanistan regularly since 2002, and I have
witnessed an extraordinarily impressive effort by our military in
southern and eastern Afghanistan in building roads, schools, irrigation
facilities, and the like. During the same period, of course, security has dete-
riorated in the very provinces where we have been — if you take a cynical
view — bribing the locals most assiduously. And also during the same peri-
od, we have added more and more troops to “provide security” to the
Afghan people.
Unfortunately, we appear to be winning neither the McChrystalian “war
of perceptions” nor any other kind. In 2010, Afghan insurgents planted
14,661 ieds, a 62 percent increase over 2009’s 7,228, which in turn rep-
resented a 120 percent increase over 2008’s figure. In many respects this is
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Afghanistan: America’s War of Perception
a fairer measure of insurgent activity than the more commonly used num-
bers of foreign troops’ deaths from ieds, because that needs to be adjusted
for the vastly increased number of foreign troops in Afghanistan. Most of
these victims are exactly those high-capacity, courageous Afghans who are
providing an example of good local governance.
Our exit timing depends on the Afghan National Security Forces stepping
up to the plate, yet they are universally viewed as unready. The problem is
not lack of funding. The $11.6 billion appropriated for training the ana
and anp next year is not far off Israel’s 2008 defense budget. Put another
way, for $11.6 billion, we could hire 116,000 men at $100,000 apiece, a
number which would surely attract some well-trained American soldiers.
Looking at a developing country case, Sri Lanka
built an army of 350,000 that decisively routed the Perhaps we
ltte (Tamil Tigers) at a cost of $1.74 billion.
Perhaps we should just hire the Sri Lankan army to should just hire
fight the Afghan insurgency and be done with it. the Sri Lankan
Even judged by the metrics that partisans them-
selves choose to measure progress, the situation in
army to fight
Afghanistan has been steadily deteriorating. A recent the Afghan
report from the mainstream think tank csis shows insurgency and
statistically that the Afghan population has grown
less and less willing to cooperate with counterinsur- be done with it.
gents — even as we have supposedly refined our
coin tactics and increased the number of troops. The report tracks the per-
centage of undetonated ieds reported to Coalition forces by locals from
January 2004 to the present. Since May 2008 the percentage has hovered
just under 5 percent whereas in 2005–06 — when the official story now
has it that we were not doing effective coin — it was often over more than
10 percent. In May of last year, it was reduced to 1 to 2 percent.
It’s the coin advocates themselves who consider the percentage of ieds
turned in a useful measure. The Center for a New American Security, the
think tank at the epicenter of coin, issued a report in June 2009 written by
Andrew M. Exum, Nathaniel C. Fick, Ahmed A. Humayun, and David J.
Kilcullen, which stated that
a rise in the proportion of ieds being found and defused (especially
when discovered thanks to tips from the local population) indicates that
locals have a good working relationship with local military units — a
sign of progress. Conversely, a drop in the proportion of ieds found and
cleared indicates the population is not passing on information to security
forces, and is standing by while they are attacked — a sign of deteriorat-
ing security.
1. By “perspectivalism” I don’t mean “relativism.” Philosophers generally agree that Nietzsche was not a
relativist; he clearly thought certain perspectives and moralities — plural intentional — were better than
others. He thought some moralities are more useful, some nobler, some more productive of high culture.
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Afghanistan: America’s War of Perception
“Nietzsche and the Sciences,” that “The world is not known as it is in itself,
it is known in terms of how it presents itself to a knower in a certain posi-
tion.” Perspectivist ideas were only possible in the West when the strangle-
hold of the church on thought was loosened. Thus it is tempting to evoke
the rise of Protestantism with its view of “each man a priest” and its empha-
sis on the individual’s perspective determining truth. But I would not push
that link much further, for Montaigne, a Catholic, was as much a perspecti-
valist as Nietzsche or his legatee, Emerson. The ideas were in the air
throughout the 16th century and after.
The historian Peter Burke has noted that linguistic hybridization grew in
16th- and 17th-century Europe with increased migration, the decline of
Latin, and the rise of large international mercenary
armies. Exposure to new languages and new words There is nothing
would reinforce perspectivist ideas in those so
so unlikely as the
inclined, even if it was not likely enough to trigger
them. The adaptation of military innovations from adoption by the
one part of Europe to another would also weaken world’s best
fixed ideas. Perspectival thought grew in the
Enlightenment, as the philosophes looked to nature military of a
rather than religion for answers and the divine right doctrine based
of kings disappeared with Louis XVIII’s head. In
1798, just a couple of years before Clausewitz on an unmilitary
entered the Prussian Military Academy, a new spirit principle.
rang out loud and clear from the then-famous joint
satirical verse collection of Goethe and Schiller, Xenien: “In the end the cre-
ated truth is the only truth we can see.”
Social and economic changes in early-19th-century Europe accelerated
the transition to perspectivalism. The replacement of the traditional patron-
age system in music and literature by the sale of works to the bourgeois pub-
lic led to an increase in the creator’s autonomy. Classical music shifted from
“occasional” works composed for courts or churches to works composed
for the concert hall — with a concomitant increase in personal expressivity
and the emergence of the musician-composer as celebrity. As music emerged
from craftsmanship to art, it became natural for composers to take greater
risks in their personal vision and for an avant-garde public to follow them.
Having a distinctive personal vision became key to artistic achievement.
Early-to-mid-19th-century European Romantic artists in many fields
pushed at the boundaries of acceptable content and form — the grim realism
of Courbet’s “A Burial at Ornans” in the 1850 Salon, and Turner’s pre-
Impressionist dissolution of form in light come to mind. Ralph Waldo
Emerson was the great popularizer of the perspectivalism that would later
saturate 20th-century culture and prepare the way for the triumph of coun-
terinsurgency theory. He was both the legatee of Montaigne and an influ-
ence on Nietzsche. Writing in Representative Men in 1850, Emerson said of
Montaigne’s Essays, “It seemed to me as if I had myself written the book, in
32 Policy Review
Afghanistan: America’s War of Perception
the audience into the party. As he wrote 40 years later, “The creative act is
not performed by the artist alone; the spectator brings the work in contact
with the external world by deciphering and interpreting its inner qualifica-
tions and thus adds his contribution to the creative act.”
Duchamp and his notion of the audience’s creation of or complicity in the
work of art would be a perennial influence on the Western avant-garde,
gaining a new generation of admirers after World War II. In 1963, the first
Marcel Duchamp retrospective opened at the Pasadena Art Museum (now
the Norton Simon Museum). Many artists attended, including some, like
Andy Warhol, Edward Ruscha, and Robert Irwin, who were revolutionizing
the art of the day.
Once a significant number of people agreed that reality lay in the eye of
the beholder, indeed in their own eyes, the later developments of conceptual
art and Abstract Expressionism and happenings and performance art made
sense. Some of these works announced little besides their provisionality, that
they were art only if we agreed that they were. Perhaps the most conceptual-
ly elegant was John Cage’s 1962 piano piece “4’33”,” which consists solely
of silence.
At the same time, scientists were making discoveries that supported the
perspectivist schema, at least in the way the general public understood them.
Einstein’s work on relativity opened up vertiginous vistas of “God playing
dice with the world” in popular culture. Physicists discovered that matter
was made up of invisible particles whirling around other invisible particles!
The world as seen by the naked eye was, truly, the illusion.
And like art, 20th-century science was turning its gaze on its own founda-
tions. In 1962, just as coin enjoyed its first American vogue, Thomas
Kuhn published The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. He argued that not
all ideas are thinkable at all times and that scientists operating in one “para-
digm” will evaluate experimental results differently than they would operat-
ing in another. “Paradigm shifts,” according to Kuhn, occur when a new
theory explains anomalies better than the old one. While Kuhn wasn’t a rel-
ativist, his insistence on the cultural context of science shares an emphasis on
the eye of the beholder with population-centric counterinsurgency theory. It
also suggests an obvious way to evaluate coin: Does it explain the data?
34 Policy Review
Afghanistan: America’s War of Perception
Counterinsurgency: Old Myths and New Realities, for its bracing common
sense and disdain for mystification:
The primary consideration should be whether the proposed measure is
likely to increase the cost and difficulties of insurgent operations and
help to disrupt the insurgent organization rather than whether it wins
popular loyalty and support, or whether it contributes to a more pro-
ductive, efficient or equitable use of resources . . . Insurgency may be rec-
ognized not as an inscrutable and unmanageable force grounded in the
mystique of a popular mass movement, but as a coherent operating sys-
tem that needs to be understood structurally and functionally if it is to
be effectively countered.
Given the need for two successive administrations, and the Pentagon, to
sell the Afghan war to the American people, it is perhaps inevitable that the
drudge work would be lost sight of, and the need for careful planning sub-
sumed by buoyant rhetoric. But the unwillingness of both the Bush and
Obama administrations to rigorously assess and critique coin tactics can-
not be explained away so easily. Our future wars are likely to be either
asymmetric or stupid, in the words of Crane. If we treat war as a question of
perspective, like art, we will end up doing to ourselves what no army in the
world can do: inflicting defeat.
Failing
Failing Liberty
Lib
berty 101
How W
How Wee A
Are
re LLeaving
e ving Y
ea Young
oung AAmericans
mericans
Unprepared
Unprepared fforo C
or Citizenship
itizenship in a Free
Free
e Society
Society
By W
William
illiam Damon
Dam
mon
The most ser
The serious
ious dan
danger
ger the Unit
Uniteded SStates
tates nonoww fac
faces,
es, sa
says
ys
William
W illiam Damon, is nott tha thatt of a ffor
foreign
oreign enemenemyy but tthathatt our
ccountry’s
ountry’s futur
futuree ma
mayy end
e up in the hands of a citiz citizenry
e y
enr
incapable
ncapable of sustainin
sustaining
ng the liber
libertyty tha
thatt has been A America’s
m ica’s
mer
most pr ecious legac
precious y. IIn
legacy. n FFailing
ailing Lib erty 101, he ar
Liberty gues tha
argues thatt w
wee
ar
aree failing ttoo pr epare ttoday’s
prepare oday’s yyoung
oung people tto o be rresponsible
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esponsible
A merican
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iti ens—tto the
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detriment t off their
th i lif
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ospec
prospects t and
ts d
those of liber
libertyty in thee Unit
Uniteded SStates
tates of the futur
future.e. H
Hee iden tifies
identifies
the pr oblems—the de
problems—the eclines in civic pur
declines pose and pa
purpose atriotism,
patriotism,
cr ises of faith, cynicism,
crises cynicismm, self-absor ption, ig
self-absorption, norance, indifference
ignorance, indiff
ffer
erence
tto
o the common
common good d—and sho
good—and showsws tha
thatt our disr egard of civic
disregard
and mor
moralal vir tue as an
virtue n educa tional pr
educational iority is ha
priority ving
having g a tang ible
tangible
eff
ffec
ect on the attitudes,
effect attitudes, understanding
understanding,, and behavior
behavio or of large
large
por tions of the yyouth
portions outh in our ccountry
ountry ttoday.
oday.
Damon eexplains
xplains wh y, unless w
why, wee beg in tto
begin o pa
payy aattention
ttention
t and
meet our challenge aass st ewards of a priceless
stewards priceless heritage,
heritaage, our
nation and the futur
nation futuree pr ospects of all individuals dw
prospects welling
dwelling
her
heree in yyears
ears tto
o ccome
omee will suff er
er, mo
suffer, ving aaway
moving way fr om
m liber
from ty
liberty
and ttoward
oward despotism m—and this mo
despotism—and vement will bee both
movement
inevitable and ast astonishingly
onisshingly quick
quick..
William
W illiam Damon is a professor
proffessor of educa
education
tion aatt SStanford
tanfford
University,
Univ director
ersity, director oof the SStanford
tanfford Center
Center on Adolescence,
Ado olescence,
fellow
and a senior ffelloellow aatt the Hoover
Hoover Institution.
Institution. FFor
or the past
ttwenty
wenty yyears,
ears, Damon n has wr written character
itten on char acter development
deevelopment
aatt all ages of human lif life,
fee, most rrecently
ecently TThe ath tto
he PPath o PPurpose:
urpose:
Helping O Our
ur Children
Childrren
en FFind
ind Their Calling
Their C alling in Life (2008).
(2008 8).
Too order,
T order, ccall
all 800.621.2736
800.621.2736
H oover Institution
Hoover Institution Press,
Press, Stanford
Stanford University,
University, Stanford,
Stanford, C alifornia 994305-6010
California 4305-6010
wwww.hooverpress.org
www.hooverpress.org
Feminism by Treaty
By Christina Hoff Sommers
O
n november 18, 2010, a surprisingly large and boisterous
crowd gathered in a U.S. Senate chamber to witness new
hearings on a decades-old United Nations treaty. Guards had
to caution the excited attendees to keep their voices down.
Senator Richard Durbin, chair of the Senate Subcommittee on
Human Rights and the Law, requested that another room be opened to
accommodate the large gathering of feminist leaders, human-rights activists,
lawyers, lobbyists, and journalists. “Women have been waiting for 30
years,” said Durbin in his opening statement. “The United States should rat-
ify this treaty without further delay.”
The treaty in question — the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms
of Discrimination against Women (cedaw) — commits signatory nations
not only to eliminating discrimination but also to ensuring women’s “full
development and advancement” in all areas of public and private life. The
38 Policy Review
Feminism by Treaty
jurisdiction over it. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is an enthusiast, as is
Harold Koh, former dean of the Yale Law School and now the State
Department’s chief legal adviser. An influential advocate of “transnational
jurisprudence,” Koh invokes the sad irony that “more than half a century
after Eleanor Roosevelt pioneered the drafting of the Universal Declaration
of Human Rights, her country still has not ratified . . . cedaw.”
The Obama State Department has notified the Senate that ratification of
cedaw is its top priority among the many human-rights treaties the United
States is considering. The prospects remained good even after the November
2010 elections. It is the Democratic Senate, not the newly Republican
House, which provides advice and consent to treaties. In any event, the
treaty has enjoyed Republican support in the past
and will again. U.S. ratification
So U.S. ratification of the treaty, followed by an
of the treaty,
inspirational address by President Obama in some
international forum, may seem inevitable. Except followed by a
that it is not. For many years, Senator Helms’s speech from the
adamant opposition to it made support an easy ges-
ture for many senators who may have shared his president, may
qualms but not his temerity. Now that ratification seem inevitable.
has become a live prospect, there will be a real
debate. The senators are going to have to confront Except that
the treaty itself — what it says and what signing it it is not.
would mean. It is a complicated and problematic
document, and there are many good reasons why the Senate has resisted rat-
ification for more than 30 years.
The question the Senate has to consider is not, as Chairman Durbin sug-
gested at the November hearing, “Should the United States stand with
oppressed women of the world?” Of course we should, and we do. No
nation on earth gives more to foreign aid or has more philanthropies and
religious groups dedicated to women’s causes. Voters across the political
divide welcome innovative programs to help women struggling with repres-
sive governments and barbaric traditions such as child marriage, dowry
burnings, genital cutting, and honor killings. What the senators have to
answer are two more basic questions. One, is cedaw a necessary and wor-
thy addition to an already vibrant national effort to help the world’s
women? Two, for better or worse, how will ratification affect American life?
Supporters such as Durbin, Biden, Boxer, and Koh are emphatic about
how the Women’s Treaty would affect American rights and liberties — not
at all. “cedaw wouldn’t change U.S. law in any way,” said Durbin at the
hearing. In a 2002 op-ed, Biden and Boxer reminded readers of the horrors
of honor killings in Pakistan, bride burnings in India, and female genital
mutilation in sub-Saharan Africa. By signing the treaty, they said, the United
States would demonstrate its commitment to helping women secure basic
rights and increase its leverage with oppressive nations. And, contrary to
40 Policy Review
Feminism by Treaty
combat positions.” To protect American autonomy still further, the adminis-
tration added, “No new laws would be created as a result of cedaw.” As
the Amnesty International fact sheet says, “Such language upholds U.S. sov-
ereignty and grants no enforcement authority to the United Nations.” So, it
seems, the critics are wrong: With the help of ruds, we can show our sup-
port for women’s rights abroad while protecting American sovereignty and
liberties at home.
But here is the problem. Legal experts disagree about the power of ruds
to insulate a nation from provisions of a treaty it has committed itself to
honor. The legitimacy and role of reservations to international human-rights
treaties is one of the most contested areas of international law. cedaw itself
states, “A reservation incompatible with the object
and purpose of the present Convention shall not be Legal experts
permitted.”
disagree about
It is not even clear that the aba, Amnesty, and
other pro-treaty activists believe that ruds offer the power of
genuine protection — at least not when they are RUDs to insulate
talking among themselves. When the National
Organization for Women met with several human- a nation from
rights groups in 2009 to plan the current campaign provisions of a
to get the treaty passed, it expressed concern that
ruds would make it difficult to enforce treaty pro- treaty to which it
visions in the United States. But as now somewhat has committed.
indiscreetly reported on its website on August 31,
2009, “Representatives from groups who have advocated for ratification
over the years suggest that ruds have little meaning and could potentially
be removed from the treaty at some point.”
Even more telling, the un Division on the Advancement of Women, the
agency that monitors the treaty’s implementation, is emphatic that the docu-
ment is obligatory, not hortatory: “Countries that have ratified or acceded to
the Convention are legally bound to put its provisions into practice.”
Moreover, many American legislators — and judges — will sincerely feel we
are obligated to bring our laws in line with a treaty we have agreed to honor.
But, according to the aba and Amnesty, as well as Durbin, Biden, Boxer,
and Koh, these arcane questions of international law are irrelevant. Because
American laws are already in full or near-full compliance with the treaty, it
will have few if any domestic consequences. This argument brings us to the
most striking feature of the discussion: the treaty’s most engaged and knowl-
edgeable proponents — activist women’s groups — disagree with the for-
export-only argument emphasized by public officials and human-rights
groups like Amnesty. now, the Feminist Majority Foundation, and their sis-
ter organizations actually agree with conservative critics that cedaw would
have a dramatic impact on American laws and practices.
“U.S. women have endured denials of their basic human rights long
enough — please do not make them wait any longer,” wrote now President
42 Policy Review
Feminism by Treaty
1. Jennifer Whitaker, “Women of the World: Report from Mexico City,” Foreign Affairs 54:1 (October
1975).
44 Policy Review
Feminism by Treaty
The egalitarian feminists who dreamed of a fully androgynous society are
found today in university women’s studies programs, law schools, and not
least in a network of activist organizations that sprang into being in those
heady days. They are relatively small in number, but they wield dispropor-
tionate influence. But without question, the defeat of the era was a serious
setback from which they never really recovered. What these activists now see
in cedaw is a second chance in another venue. It is not for nothing that the
Women’s Treaty is sometimes called a “global era.”
So, then, what does the treaty actually say? It requires signatory countries
to remove all barriers that prevent women from achieving full equality with
men in all spheres of life — law, politics, education, employment, marriage,
and “family planning.” It defines discrimination
against women to be “any distinction, exclusion or
restriction made on the basis of sex.” Some of its It is clear that
more specific provisions are highly laudable, such as CEDAW’s
its requirement that signatories “suppress all forms
of traffic in women and exploitation of prostitu- drafters are
tion.” Others are, from an American standpoint, determined to use
unexceptional, such as the requirement that signato-
its provisions to
ries “accord to women equality with men before the
law.” But its central provision, Article 5(a), is pure eradicate gender
1970s egalitarian feminism, and is the key to under- stereotypes.
standing what the Women’s Treaty envisages. It
reads, in part: “States Parties shall take all appropri-
ate measures . . . [t]o modify the social and cultural patterns of conduct of
men and women, with a view to achieving the elimination of prejudices and
customary and all other practices which are based on the idea of the inferi-
ority or the superiority of either of the sexes or on stereotyped roles for men
and women” (emphasis added).
The philosophy of Article 5(a) pervades the entire document. Throughout
it, the drafters are determined to use its provisions to eradicate gender
stereotypes, especially those that associate women with caregiving and
motherhood. The treaty instructs signatories “to ensure that family educa-
tion includes a proper understanding of maternity as a social function and
the recognition of the common responsibility of men and women in the
upbringing and development of their children.” It also calls for the “elimina-
tion of any stereotyped concept of the roles of men and women at all levels
and in all forms of education . . . in particular, by the revision of textbooks
and school programmes.” States are advised to provide paid maternity leave
as well as “the necessary supporting social services to enable parents to com-
bine family obligations with work responsibilities . . . in particular through
promoting the establishment and development of a network of child-care
facilities.”
And the battle against stereotypes requires special efforts to guarantee
equal results in the workplace and in government. “Temporary special mea-
The Committee
46 Policy Review
Feminism by Treaty
birth leave. Iceland is ranked first in the World Economic Forum’s 2009
Global Gender Gap Report. It would appear to be a paradigm of egalitari-
anism. Yet it falls short of the cedaw Committee standards.
The Committee praised Iceland for its “strides” toward gender parity,
but several members found it remiss in its efforts to stamp out sexism.
Hanna Beate Schopp-Schilling, an expert from Germany, was concerned
that for all the government’s gender and equity committees, the Parliament
itself had not formed a committee on gender equity. The expert from
Algeria wanted to know why so few women were full professors at the
University of Iceland. Magalys Arocha Dominguez, a gender authority
from Cuba, was unhappy to find that many Icelandic women held part-
time jobs and spent much more time than men tak-
ing care of children. She was also displeased by sur- Today any
vey findings that Iceland’s women were allowing
family commitments to shape their career choices. country is out of
She demanded to know, “What government mea- compliance with
sures have been put in place to change these pat-
terns of behavior?”
the treaty as long
Treaty proponents such as Senator Durbin, Vice as significant
President Biden, Senator Boxer, and Harold Koh
gender roles are
praise its work with women in the developing
world. But in practice the c e daw Committee still discernible.
devotes disproportionate energies to monitoring
democracies and urging them to realize egalitarian ideals in all spheres of
life. It recently advised Spain to organize a national awareness-raising cam-
paign against gender roles in the family. Finland was urged “to promote
equal sharing of domestic and family tasks between women and men.”
Slovakia was instructed to “fully sensitize men to their equal participation in
family tasks and responsibilities.” Liechtenstein was closely questioned
about a “Father’s Day project” and reminded of the need to “dismantle gen-
der stereotypes.”
The Committee sounds far more reasonable when reviewing countries
where women are truly oppressed, like Nigeria, Niger, Mauritania, or
Yemen. Such nations often send delegates who present their homelands as
models of gender equity. “Mauritanian women and men were equal before
the law in all spheres,” reported one. The Yemeni delegation spoke of legal
reforms, new programs, and strategies for women’s empowerment. To its
credit, the Committee respectfully but firmly pressed these delegates on mat-
ters such as child marriage, polygamy, legal wife beating, stoning, female
genital mutilation, and high maternal mortality rates. Members often give
the delegations concrete ideas on how to improve women’s lives. In its 2007
review, Niger was advised to offer families micro-credits for each daughter
enrolled in school and to try to limit female genital mutilation by finding
alternative employment for the older women who perform the procedure for
a living. The same Committee that sounded so absurd when it rebuked
Fallout
48 Policy Review
Feminism by Treaty
Gender quotas, comparable-worth pay policies, state-subsidized daycare,
and other initiatives that have failed again and again to win democratic sup-
port would instantly be transformed into universal human rights. And the
women’s groups would have new allies: un officials and international ngos
would join them in cultivating American pastures under the legal and moral
authority of the Women’s Treaty.
At the November 2010 Senate hearing, one pro-cedaw expert witness
openly praised the Treaty for its impact at home. According to Marcia
Greenberger, copresident of the National Women’s Law Center, “No one
would disagree that there is still progress to be made in the Unites States. . . .
We like every other country in the world have our own challenges to con-
front.” She is right, of course, but what she needs to
explain is why an international treaty and a body of If the United
foreign experts is better at meeting the moral chal-
lenges of equity than our own democratic institu- States ratifies
tions. CEDAW there
For groups like now, the Feminist Majority, and
the National Women’s Law Center, life under will be a three-
cedaw would be exhilarating and gratifying. For ring circus each
the majority of Americans who do not share their
time we come up
egalitarian agenda, it could be oppressive.
But let’s say, just for the sake of argument, that for review.
the Obama administration and the U.S. Senate do
ratify the Women’s Treaty subject to various “understandings” that effective-
ly protect our institutions from the ministrations of the Committee and deny
the feminist network its “tool” to dismantle the American patriarchy.
Should the United States be lending its authority to a human-rights instru-
ment that treats the conventions of femininity as demeaning to women?
Few women anywhere want to see gender roles obliterated. The late
Elizabeth Warnock Fernea was an expert on feminist movements in the con-
temporary Muslim world. In her travels through Saudi Arabia, Morocco,
Turkey, and Iraq, she met great numbers of advocates working to improve
the status of women — and who were proud of their roles as mother, wife,
and caregiver. Fernea called it “family feminism,” but it was classic social
feminism — the style of women’s liberation that hard-line egalitarians dis-
dain but that great majorities of women find ennobling and empowering.
The women of America are no exception.
Harold Koh suggests that by abjuring “the Women’s Rights Treaty”
Americans are betraying the legacy of Eleanor Roosevelt — the leader of the
group that created the celebrated Universal Declaration of Human Rights of
1948. But Koh is confused about Roosevelt’s legacy. She was a lifelong,
dyed-in-the-wool social feminist, energetically committed to women’s rights
as well as to the protection of their social roles and callings. She saw men
and women as equal, but decidedly different. No woman, she said, should
feel “humiliated” if she gives priority to home and family. “This was our
50 Policy Review
Countering Beijing in
the South China Sea
By Dana R. Dillon
T
he most dangerous source of instability in Asia is
a rising China seeking to reassert itself, and the place
China is most likely to risk a military conflict is the
South China Sea. In the second decade of the 21st cen-
tury, the seldom-calm waters of the South China Sea are
frothing from a combination of competing naval exer-
cises and superheated rhetoric. Many pundits, politicians, and admirals see
the South China Sea as a place of future competition between powers.
Speculation about impending frictions started at the July 2010 asean
Regional Forum (arf) when U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton deliv-
ered an overdue statement on American interests in the South China Sea.
Clinton averred that the United States has a national interest in freedom of
navigation in the South China Sea; that the U.S. supported a collaborative
Dana R. Dillon is the author of The China Challenge (2007) and a frequent
commentator on Asian and national security issues.
1. John Pomfret, “U.S. takes a tougher tone with China,” Washington Post (July 30, 2010). .
2. Edward Wong, “China Hedges Over Whether South China Sea is a ‘Core Interest’ Worth War,” New
York Times (March 30, 2011).
52 Policy Review
Countering Beijing in the South China Sea
Short of a shooting war, protecting freedom of navigation in one of the
globe’s busiest sea lanes requires an amicable resolution of the competing
territorial claims. Starting a process to resolve or neutralize the problem will
require American leadership and resolve. Firm diplomacy backed by con-
vincing naval power and patient leadership can strike a balance in the region
that protects freedom of navigation, the integrity of international law, and
the independence and sovereignty of Southeast Asia’s nations.
The worst solution to the South China Sea dispute from the U.S. point of
view would be for China’s asean neighbors simply to acquiesce to Beijing’s
position and for the entire South China Sea to become the sovereign territo-
ry of the People’s Republic of China (prc). The Beijing position is also the
worst solution for the asean and every other trading nation on the planet.
But an almost as bad solution is for the U.S. to become involved in a bilater-
al confrontation with China without the firm endorsement and commitment
to American actions by the other littoral claimants and by America’s Asia-
Pacific allies. Without the support of regional alliances, the U.S. would be
entangled in a campaign at the far end of its logistical tail but deep inside the
reach of a large and rising power.
The ideal solution would be for the asean countries to stand up to China
and insist on a multilateral resolution to the disputes based on the provisions
of the United Nations Convention of the Law of the Sea and the code of
conduct specified by the Treaty of Amity and Commerce, which China
signed in 2002. This solution is not possible unless asean develops the
political, economic and military resources to challenge China’s influence. In
the short term, backing from the United States and other regional powers
including Japan, India, and Australia could be an incubator while asean
develops an indigenous deterrent capability. In the long term, it must stand
up for itself.
asean will be reluctant to accept American assistance if it is presented as
a part of a great power, anti-China geopolitical policy. China is not only a
neighbor to Southeast Asia, but also its most important trading partner,
investor, and occasional political ally. Asserting a Chinese menace and ask-
ing the asean countries to participate in an anti-Chinese coalition is a
recipe for policy failure. Instead, the United States must articulate a vision
for the nations of Asia that contrasts with the re-imposition of ancient
Chinese hegemony. That vision should include the traditional Western prin-
ciples of open commerce, political independence, and territorial sovereignty.
54 Policy Review
Countering Beijing in the South China Sea
for countries with complex and deeply indented coastlines, like Norway, or
for archipelagic states, such as the Philippines or Indonesia, were recognized
in such unclos provisions as Article 7 (“Straight baselines”), Article 47
(“Archipelagic baselines”), and Articles 76 and 77 (“Continental Shelf”).
These articles permit countries to draw straight boundary lines across com-
plex or closely spaced coastal features and islands as long as they do not
interfere with customary freedom of navigation. Beijing, however, extends
the definitions of these articles by applying them to its claimed islands and
coastal features.3
The Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress adopted the
“Law on the Territorial Waters and Their Contiguous Areas” (Territorial
Sea Law) on February 25, 1992. This law does not specify China’s exact
territorial claim, but it does assert sovereignty over the Paracel and Spratly
Islands. Moreover, China has published a map showing the entire South
China Sea from Hainan Island up to Indonesia’s Natuna Island in an
enclosed loop as territorial waters. In 1993, China’s foreign minister verbal-
ly reassured his Indonesian counterpart that the densely populated and eco-
nomically important Natuna Island was not claimed by China, but Beijing
has since failed to formally confirm that informal statement.
According to unclos and international custom, “territorial waters”
extend twelve nautical miles from the low-water line along a country’s coast.
When Beijing signed unclos, however, it included declarations that postu-
lated definitions of territorial waters and rights of coastal states different
from those written in unclos. Among other things, China declared that:
1 . In accordance with the provisions of the United Nations Convention
on the Law of the Sea, the People’s Republic of China shall enjoy sov-
ereign rights and jurisdiction over an exclusive economic zone of 200
nautical miles and the continental shelf.
3. The People’s Republic of China reaffirms the sovereignty over all its
archipelagoes and islands as listed in Article 2 of the Law of the
People’s Republic of China on the Territorial Sea and Contiguous
Zone, which was promulgated on February 25, 1992.
3. Max Herriman, “China’s Territorial Sea Law and International Law of the Sea,” Maritime Studies 15
(1997). See also the discussion of China’s claim by Xavier Furtado in “International Law and the Dispute
over the Spratly Islands: Whither unclos?” Contemporary Southeast Asia 21:3 (December 1, 1999).
56 Policy Review
Countering Beijing in the South China Sea
How strong is China’s claim? In the 9th century, an Arab trading dhow
sank off Belitung Island, in what are now Indonesian waters, at the southern
reaches of the South China Sea. The ship was laden with 60,000 artifacts of
gold, silver, and exquisite porcelain apparently from China’s southern port
metropolis of Guangzhou and bound for markets in Southeast Asia. The
dhow was discovered in 1998 by Indonesian fishermen and is now consid-
ered one of the most important finds in maritime archeology.
The Belitung wreck was not a Chinese merchant vessel (Tang Dynasty
China did not have a functioning seafaring culture), but it is emblematic of
China’s new Sinocentric ideology of preeminence in East Asia. The Chinese
government’s claim to the South China Sea is based in part on ancient relics,
coins, pottery shards, and the like that litter South
China Sea islets. The fact that these artifacts most China also
likely were not left by Chinese sailors does not
justifies its claims
appear to influence Beijing’s outlandish claims.
Neither can Beijing demonstrate that Chinese ever to the South
permanently inhabited the Spratly or Paracel China Sea with
Islands, because they are uninhabitable. Many are
wholly or intermittently submerged. The ones that various vague
are mostly dry lack sources of fresh water, and these writings dating
low features are seasonally exposed to the mon-
soons. Today, the only human populations of these back more than
islands and reefs are military garrisons maintained at 2,000 years.
immense expense to their respective governments
and at great personal risk to their members. They can by no means be said
to have “an economic life of their own” and consequently are not able to
generate their own eez under Article 121 of unclos.
China also cites various vague, questionable, and off-point historical writ-
ings dating back more than 2,000 years in its attempt to document its
claimed sovereignty over the South China Sea.4 Without doubt, Chinese
explorers and fisherman sailed the South China Sea for two thousand years,
and some recorded their exploits, but it is equally clear that the Chinese tra-
ditionally have viewed Hainan Island as the southernmost outpost of their
civilization, certainly until the end of the 19th century.5
Ancient Chinese records do not disprove the claims of Vietnam, the
Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei, or Indonesia. There is substantial archeology
showing that today’s Southeast Asians lived on those archipelagos long
before written Chinese history. Several waves of settlers arrived in the
Indonesian and Philippine archipelagos as far back as 250,000 years. These
early peoples sailed or paddled the South China Sea to arrive where their
descendents are living today. Although the Spratly and Paracel Islands were
4. Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, “Jurisprudential Evidence to Support
China’s Sovereignty over the Nansha Islands” (2000).
5. See the introduction to Edward H. Schafer, Shore of Pearls (University of California Press, 1970).
Competing visions
58 Policy Review
Countering Beijing in the South China Sea
immediately send 60,000 ounces of gold to redeem your crime, so that you
may preserve your land and people. Otherwise we cannot stop our armies
from going to punish you.”6
When the Chinese Communist party usurped the emperor’s throne in
1947 it sought to regain control over all the empire’s former realms. The
venerable China scholar John K. Fairbanks described China’s world view in
concentric circles with a an inner “Sinic Zone” of nearby countries that were
culturally similar, the “Inner Asia Zone” of tributary states on the fringe of
Chinese territory, and the “Outer Zone” of barbarians. The Kingdom of
Kashgar was once a tributary state in the Outer Zone, as opposed to Korea,
which was in the inner Sinic Zone. Today the former Kingdom of Kashgar is
part of the Chinese province renamed Xinjiang.
Although the same colony twice declared indepen- The Chinese
dence as the East Turkistan Republic (in 1933 and
emperors viewed
1944) the People’s Liberation Army “peacefully lib-
erated” the independent state from itself in 1949. their vassal
The People’s Republic of China lacked the kingdoms the
strength to extend its influence to all the empire’s
former vassals. Korea escaped Kashgar’s fate same as the
because of the rise of the Japanese Empire. Korea European
became a battleground between the Chinese and
Japanese Empires, and was won by the Japanese monarchs viewed
Emperor in 1895. Despite the painful memories of their colonies.
Japanese occupation, the silver lining for today’s
Koreans is that Japanese colonization and the aftermath of World War II
prevented China from annexing Korea as it did East Turkistan and Tibet.
The proposition that Korea could share the fate of other former Chinese
vassal states is not mere speculation but the considered opinion of the
Chinese Academy of Social Science. In 2002, the Chinese government
launched a research effort called the Northeast Project. In 2004 project
researchers from the Chinese Academy of Social Science declared that the
ancient Korean Kingdom of Koguryo was not an independent kingdom, but
a Chinese province. The same year, China’s Foreign Ministry removed all
references to Koguryo as a period of Korean history from its website. The
Chinese government hosted similar research efforts called the Northwest
Project and Southwest Project for Xinjiang and Tibet respectively. It is per-
haps only a matter of time before the Chinese Academy of Science launches
fresh research projects on China’s former vassals in Southeast Asia.
Southeast Asia also owes its contemporary independence to foreign occu-
pation. Between the 17th and 19th centuries, European powers extended
their empires to many of China’s tributary states across southern Asia and
Southeast Asia, including Vietnam and several kingdoms that ruled in
6. Giovanni Andornino, “The Nature and Linkages of China’s Tributary System under the Ming and
Qing Dynasties,” Global Economic History Network working paper 21 (2006).
7. Zou Keyuan, “The Sino-Vietnamese Agreement on Maritime Boundary Delimitation in the Gulf of
Tonkin,” Ocean Development & International Law 36 (2005).
60 Policy Review
Countering Beijing in the South China Sea
ments he claimed were made in exchange for loans “attended by bribery and
corruption.” Afterward even the overthrown former President Marcos was
more popular than Arroyo.
For China’s former colonies, there is little reason to believe that appeasing
China in the South China Sea will satisfy its appetite for territory or hege-
mony. In the Chinese world order China is not one country in a community
but the oldest civilized country among upstarts. Any country’s sovereignty is
ultimately owed to China and the degree of independence depends on its
appreciation of Beijing’s “core interests.” In asserting its “indisputable sover-
eignty” over the South China Sea, Beijing is laying down its markers as if to
say, “We can solve this problem the easy way, or the hard way, but it will be
China’s way.”
A
ggressive american diplomacy that seeks to pull together
a “balancing alliance” against China can only confirm China’s
suspicions of an American strategy to contain China while, at the
same time, American actions are alienating Southeast Asian governments.
asean capitals are more concerned about China than Washington, but they
are also far more vulnerable to Beijing’s economic and military pressures and
thus reluctant to provoke Chinese retribution. Ideally, asean would have
the United States Navy steam in force into the South China Sea to maintain
the peace, while asean then clucks disapprovingly from the sidelines and
reassures the Chinese that it had nothing to do with it. Intellectually, of
course, asean knows that it has to do better than that. Understanding the
views of the asean countries is the first step in developing a balanced and
appropriate policy.
Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand formed
asean in 1967 with the stated goal of fostering peace and stability, but the
most important goal was to gain every member’s acceptance of the
Westphalian-like principle of “mutual respect for the independence, sover-
eignty, equality, territorial integrity, and national identity of all nations.”
During the Cold War, asean continued to evolve as a diplomatic tool to
fence out superpower competition in the region. After the Cold War, asean
recruited Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Laos, and Vietnam, and focused on
economic development. In the 21st century, security issues are again taking
precedence on the asean agenda. First it was international terrorism and
maritime piracy that inspired inter-asean security cooperation, and now the
rise of China increasingly tops the agenda of security discussion.
Citing the recent steep rise in military spending in Southeast Asia, some
analysts speculate that these countries are already preparing for military
competition with China. For example, the Stockholm International Peace
Research Institute has reported that arms imports to Indonesia, Singapore,
8. Asian Sentinel has published an excellent series of articles exposing the submarine scandal in Malaysia,
but John Berthelsen’s individual piece provides a good synopsis: John Berthelsen, “Malaysia’s Submarine
Scandal Surfaces in France,” Asian Sentinel (April 16, 2010).
62 Policy Review
Countering Beijing in the South China Sea
Benigno Aquino III, feel that they are entitled to more. Ignoring their own
complicity in underfunding Philippine security forces, these politicians are
calling for a review of the Visiting Forces Agreement (the agreement that
permits the American military presence to help train the paf). Their objec-
tion is that the U.S. is not doing enough to modernize the Philippine Armed
Forces, and they imagine the Visiting Forces Agreement as a tool to leverage
ever greater American military subsidies.
Fortunately, the security picture in Southeast Asia is not all venality and
indolence. Both Vietnam and Indonesia are making significant arms pur-
chases focused on strengthening their national security. Additionally, after
decades of wise investment, Singapore’s armed forces are world-class and by
far the most powerful in asean.
On paper, asean’s total air and naval forces are ASEAN’s total air
imposing. asean boasts a fleet of 680 fixed-wing
combat aircraft, 412 surface combat vessels, and and naval forces
eight submarines in the combined navies.9 These are imposing, but
numbers are not enough to defeat the powerful
People’s Liberation Army, with its 2,300 combat
they are not
aircraft, 65 submarines, and 256 surface combat enough to defeat
vessels, but they are sufficient to act as a deterrent
the powerful
were there any sense of common defense.
Unfortunately, asean is not nato: No country in Chinese Army.
Southeast Asia is treaty-bound to assist another in
case of an attack, and there are few solely indigenous efforts to coordinate
military activities.
Indonesia is the largest country in Southeast Asia, making up 40 percent
of the region’s population; it has the largest economy and is a developing
democracy. Indonesia’s views on China’s activities reflect Jakarta’s vision of
itself as an informal leader of asean. Speaking at the Center for Strategic
and International Studies in Washington, D.C., Indonesia’s Foreign Minister
Marty Natalegawa said, “For members of asean, what is more worrying is
the possibility that the South China Sea could be a central theater for possi-
ble rivalry.” Indonesia’s goal, and by extension asean’s as well, is to bal-
ance the United States against the Chinese in order to protect their territorial
integrity and independence.
The government of Vietnam perceives China as nothing less than an exis-
tential threat; an anxiety validated by historical experience. Vietnam’s
recorded history dates back 2,700 years. China occupied the country for
more than a thousand of those years and Hanoi was subject to a burden-
some tributary status for most of the rest of its history. Despite many long
and difficult wars with China, Hanoi enjoyed genuine independence for only
brief periods.
9. These numbers are based primarily on material published by the Center for Strategic and International
Studies in “The Military Balance in Asia: 1990–2010.”
64 Policy Review
Countering Beijing in the South China Sea
that reflects the broader asean position. From asean’s point of view,
despite decades of strident Chinese declarations and demonstrative military
actions, the U.S. has been “standoffish” about the dispute; seemingly
unaware or unconcerned of Beijing’s acquisitiveness in the South China Sea
and the implications for the region and the globe. For example, when the
Philippines, an American treaty ally, discovered a Chinese naval installation
on Mischief Reef, Washington did not share Manila’s outrage and took no
position on the dispute, even as the Chinese continued to expand and
enlarge their presence.
But asean countries are ambivalent about both America and China.
They ask for consistent American support and presence to balance China. At
the same time, many asean countries are reluctant to grant the U.S. too
much access for fear of compromising their sovereignty. asean countries
fear China’s military power and political intentions, but they welcome
Chinese investment and trading opportunities in the vast Chinese market.
Finally, asean countries are far from unified in their view of China as a
threat. Four of asean’s ten countries, Burma, Cambodia, Laos, and
Thailand, are not party to the South China Sea territorial dispute. Burma’s
junta, an international pariah regime, ranks the People’s Republic of China
among the few governments friendly to it and would be reluctant to defend
its asean partners against its patron’s encroachment. Thailand is in the
midst of deep political schism and unlikely to participate in a common
defense. Furthermore, Thailand’s elite are proud of Thailand’s flexible
“bamboo” foreign policy and see no reason not to bend with the wind from
China. The royal families in both Thailand and Cambodia are on friendly
terms with the Chinese government. Lastly, asean’s consensus decision
process means that Beijing needs only one dissenting vote to avoid asean
censure.
Moving forward
66 Policy Review
Countering Beijing in the South China Sea
fighting transnational terrorism, suppressing maritime piracy, and providing
disaster relief — the asean militaries should begin to look for opportunities
to improve their ability to perform coalition operations. asean’s stated
diplomatic and political goals are to protect the sovereignty and territorial
integrity of the member nations. Building a collective military deterrent to
defend those goals against all possible adversaries is not an anti-China
activity.
Lastly, it is not the purpose of this article to argue that Beijing will neces-
sarily enforce its ancient prerogatives, but rather that the Sinocentric ideolo-
gy is the historical base from which Chinese leaders will view the world.
Beijing must be convinced to become a devoted adherent to the Westphalian
model. Former Deputy Secretary of State Robert Zoellick often opined that
China needed to be more of a “stakeholder” in the international system and
that that goal needs to remain a long-term U.S. policy objective. During the
latter half of the 20th century, China greatly benefited from the inherent
protections of the Westphalian model of a nation-state and the broader
international system. Now that China is big enough to influence the world
order, it must not be permitted to establish a tiered structure with China
demanding greater rights than other countries.
Washington policymakers must remember that China is not currently a
threat to any country. Although there is considerable potential for a U.S.-
China clash, good diplomacy in Washington and growing political maturity
in Beijing may obviate any such confrontation. The best way to achieve this
goal is to embed China in rules-based organizations and then insist that
Beijing abide by those rules. The most important global maritime treaty is
unclos, but the United States has not yet ratified the treaty and thus has
less power to influence the treaty implementation than does China. The only
way for the U.S. to get a seat at the unclos table is to ratify unclos and
participate in the various commissions guiding its implementation.
American interests in maintaining the freedom of navigation in the South
China Sea and other contested waters should be defended with diplomacy
backed by military strength. The U.S. must not flinch or compromise,
because any temporary concession to China’s demonstrably unreasonable
demands will not earn gratitude, but instead will become a precedent for
China’s future demands. Diplomatically and militarily, Washington must
continue to deploy sufficient force to deter China’s unjustifiable territorial
ambitions.
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California 4305-6010
wwww.hooverpress.org
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of tens of thousands of civilians, for
instance — desensitizes one from
appreciating the sheer terror and physi-
cal pain that individuals endured.
Books Even with the knowledge of these
attrocities, there is still little than can
prepare a reader for the grisly accounts
of the Ukrainian Famine that Timothy
The Butchery Snyder details in Bloodlands: Europe
Between Hitler and Stalin. Of course, I
of Hitler and knew something about the widespread
starvation that afflicted Ukrainians in
Stalin 1 9 3 2 and 1 9 3 3 . This mass culling
was directly caused by Josef Stalin’s
collectivization policies, which were
By James Kirchick
comprised of seizing private farms and
exporting whatever food was grown to
Ti m o t h y S n y d e r . Bloodlands: the rest of the Soviet Union and
Europe Between Hitler and Stalin. beyond. Those who have studied the
Basic Books. 544 Pages. $29.95. event in-depth will not find anything
new in Snyder’s account. But most
readers, I imagine, will reevaluate their
70 Policy Review
Books
Soviet occupation between 1933 and mass murder by these two regimes in
1945 and were the main theaters of the bloodlands is a distinct phenome-
those regimes’ policies of non-combat- non worthy of separate treatment.”
related mass murder. The era of the
bloodlands commences with the
Ukrainian famine, is followed by
Stalin’s Great Terror of 1937–1938,
continues with the combined German
and Soviet mass murder of Poles during
T hat these territories would
one day earn the moniker of
“bloodlands” became
inevitable before Adolf Hitler ever
came to power. In 1 9 2 8 , Stalin
the short-lived period of the Molotov- announced the first in what would
Ribbentrop Pact and the German star- become a series of Five Year Plans,
vation of Soviet citizens across present- mandating the forced collectivization of
day Belarus, Ukraine and Russia, and agricultural land in the Soviet Union.
ends with the German “reprisal” Two years later, the ogpu, or Soviet
killings of Belarusians and Poles. All Secret Police, promulgated a policy
told, some fourteen million people are calling for the “liquidation of the
estimated to have died as a result of kulaks as a class.” There was no partic-
these atrocities; to put this number into ular rhyme or reason involved in deter-
context, it is two million more than the mining what constituted a “kulak”;
total number of German and Soviet sol- Snyder recounts one local party leader
diers killed in battle and over thirteen stating, “We create kulaks as we see
million more than American losses in fit.” Basically, any peasant who owned
all of its foreign wars combined. land was considered a kulak, and this
Without diminishing the enormity of relatively privileged position meant that
the Holocaust, Snyder dissents from they had to be eliminated in order to
those writers who argue that it is its allow “history” to proceed apace. In a
very enormity that renders it inexplica- murderous adaptation of the local traf-
ble. “To dismiss the Nazis or the fic cop’s speeding ticket quota, local
Soviets as beyond human concern or communist party officials were given
historical understanding is to fall into victim targets; “the numbers came
their moral trap,” he writes. down from the center,” Snyder writes,
Considering the fact that genocides “but the corpses were made locally.”
have occurred with depressing regulari- Camps were established in the far
ty over the seven decades since the reaches of the Soviet Union, in Siberia
mass-murder of Ukrainian “kulaks,” and Kazakhstan, where, eventually,
Roma, gays, the Polish intelligentsia, some 1.7 million kulaks, (among them
and the attempted extinction of 300,000 Ukrainians), were deported.
European Jewry itself, this is a sensible, By the summer of 1932, over one mil-
and morally responsible course to take. lion people had starved to death.
The Holocaust was a unique historical Did the murder of the kulaks — and
event, the causes of which were distinc- the starvation of Ukrainians more
tive. But it’s precisely because it broadly — constitute “genocide?” The
occurred alongside other wide-scale language that Stalin and his henchmen
horrors that Snyder is right to “test the used to describe these victims was simi-
proposition that deliberate and direct lar to the sort employed by Nazis to
72 Policy Review
Books
under their domain, who would need to us today. Throughout the existence of
be pacified. And so the solution to this the Soviet Union, the special suffering
problem would have to be the liquida- of the Jews was never acknowledged,
tion of massive numbers of people. It as it presented a “threat to postwar
was in Poland where these murderous Soviet mythmaking.” To this day, the
impulses first converged. Both Nazi populations of the former Soviet Bloc,
Germany and the Soviet Union could and some elements of their intelli-
agree on the decapitation of the Polish gentsia, have yet to come to terms with
intelligentsia, “an attack on the very their historical complicity in the
concept of modernity,” Snyder writes,
“a policy of de-Enlightenment.” It was It was in Belarus where
this mutual interest — fear of Poland — the conflagration between
that brought the erstwhile antagonistic
powers to sign the Molotov-Ribbentrop
Nazis and Soviets, and
Pact in 1939. Over the two-year period between collaborationists
in which the Pact held firm, both sides
and partisans, was
murdered about 200,000 Poles and
deported a million more. greatest. By the end of the
But it was in Belarus where the con- war, a full half of the
flagration between Nazis and Soviets,
and between collaborationists and par- country’s population had
tisans, was greatest. By the end of the either been killed or
war, Snyder writes, a full half of the
country’s population had either been
deported.
killed or deported. Minsk had the Holocaust, painting their ancestors as
greatest concentration of Jews in victims, which indeed many of them no
Europe, and it was here where Nazi doubt were, while ignoring the fact that
anti-Semitism confronted Stalin with a many were erstwhile collaborators. In
challenge. “If the Soviet Union was Lithuania, for instance, where over 95
nothing more than a Jewish empire,” as percent of the country’s Jewish popula-
Hitler claimed (a belief that was some- tion died in the Holocaust with wide-
how able to coexist with the equally spread Lithuanian complicity, the gov-
maniacal belief that Jews controlled the ernment has actually attempted to
levers of international finance), “then bring legal charges against Holocaust
surely (went the Nazi argument) the survivors who participated in the anti-
vast majority of Soviet citizens had no Nazi underground because they hap-
reason to defend it.” Stalin deflected pened to collaborate with communists.
this propaganda by ignoring the vast The problem of forgetting is treated
crimes committed against Soviet Jews, brilliantly in Snyder’s study of postwar
qua Jews, characterizing Hitler’s vic- Stalinist revisionism, and the role that
tims as “Soviet citizens,” the greatest Western policies played in eliding the
portion of whom were, he emphasized, significance of the Holocaust. Allied
ethnic Russians. The baleful effects of leaders did not want to portray the war
this double denial of the anti-Semitic as one to save European Jewry, not
nature of the Holocaust remains with because they were “reticent” to buy
74 Policy Review
Books
Snyder’s conclusion that it was followed the next year by “The
Stalin who “won Hitler’s war” will be Doctor’s Plot,” when the Soviet central
controversial with many historians and committee accused “Jewish nationals”
contemporary anti-communist political of attempting to kill Stalin and over-
figures who argue that Nazi Germany throw his regime. “Every Jew is a
and the Soviet Union were equally to nationalist and an agent of American
blame for the outbreak of World War intelligence,” Stalin declared in
II. By renouncing the Molotov- December 1952; the implications of
Ribbentrop Pact and declaring war on this statement, given everything we
the Soviet Union, Hitler plunged his know about his treatment of those he
erstwhile ally into the most devastating deemed “nationalists” or “agents” of
conflict that the world had seen, in foreign powers, is chilling. Fortunately,
which over twenty million Soviet citi- he died just a few months later. Had
zens perished. This was a war that Stalin lived longer, Snyder writes, it
Hitler ultimately wanted — and started would not have been too much to
— but from which Stalin ended up expect that “the Jewish people as such
being the biggest beneficiary. As his would have been subject to forced
pre-war policies made clear, Stalin was removal or even mass shootings,” or
not in the least worried by the deaths even, one presumes, a second
of his own people — even in their mil- Holocaust.
lions. By the time he had defeated the
Nazis, Stalin found himself in control
(with the connivance of his Western
allies) over whole swaths of Eastern
Europe that he had long coveted. Post-
war Soviet population transfers fit
H ow is it that Stalin, and
communism more general-
ly, gets a better hearing
than Hitler and Nazism, universally
regarded as the epitome of evil? Snyder
hand-in-glove with the very Nazi racial reports that the Nazis deliberately
policies that the West had tried to killed upwards of eleven million; for
defeat; by removing ethnic minorities the Soviets during the Stalin period the
from Poland and killing the country’s figure was between six and nine mil-
nationalists, “communists had taken up lion. On the Soviet side, these numbers
the program of their enemies.” But are far less than what had originally
world domination was not the motivat- been believed, due to the opening of
ing goal of the Soviet Union, even Eastern European and Soviet archives
under Stalin, as it was for Nazi in the twenty years since the dissolution
Germany. of the Soviet Union. Numbers alone,
Snyder leaves us with the frightening however, cannot be the only measure of
thought of what fate might have befall- these regimes’ evil, especially when they
en Soviet Jewry if Stalin hadn’t died in are so ghastly high on both sides. As
March, 1953. In 1951, with Stalin’s Snyder has written elsewhere,
goading, Czech communists launched “Discussion of numbers can blunt our
the notorious Slansky show trial sense of the horrific personal character
against alleged traitors within their of each killing and the irreducible
ranks; eleven of the fourteen defen- tragedy of each death.” What has
dants were of Jewish origin. This was allowed the Soviet Union to escape the
76 Policy Review
Books
Last year, for instance, the Lithuanian lite territories. And while the Nazis also
government passed a law making it ille- had collaborators during their occupa-
gal to deny that the actions of the tion of the Baltic States, there was
Soviet Union in Lithuania constitute never any room for a Jewish collabora-
“genocide,” as it is illegal to deny the tor in the Nazi project. A Jew’s fate
Holocaust. Another suggestion of those under Nazism was inescapable and
pushing the “double genocide” analysis could not be mitigated by membership
is the commemoration of August 23, in the Nazi party, as, say, a Lithuanian’s
the date the Molotov-Ribbentrop or Pole’s or Ukrainian’s fate under
Soviet-Nazi Non-Aggression Pact was Soviet occupation could be affected by
signed, as a single memorial day for the his membership in the local
victims of both totalitarian regimes, Communist party. Though Stalin’s
thus reducing the importance of murder campaigns were, in many cases,
Holocaust remembrance. In campaign- predicated on ethnic antagonism, the
ing for EU recognition of this new stan- difference is that the Soviets did not
dard, the Lithuanian foreign minister exterminate for extermination’s own
has said that the body’s understanding sake. Once Stalin’s discrete policies had
of genocide should be broadened to been achieved (the collectivization of
include crimes against groups targeted Ukrainian farms, for instance), the
for their “social status or political con- mass murder stopped, and the Soviet
victions,” in other words, Lemkin’s Union eventually wound down its
original formulation. widescale deportations and mass
That’s a proposal with which Snyder killings in the mid-1950s. Had Hitler’s
would no doubt agree. But his regime, with its animalistic understand-
acknowledgement that the period of ing of human nature, lasted beyond
1933 to 1945 was marked by several 1 9 4 5 , its mass murder and terror
genocides, rather than a single one, would not have decreased. For these
does not lead him to promote the tactics were not just means but ends;
“double genocide” theory. Snyder has they were the very lifeblood, the
written elsewhere that “The mass mur- weltanschauung, of nazism itself.
der of the Jews was, indeed, unprece- Following the extermination of
dented in its horror; no other campaign European Jewry, the Nazis would have
involved such rapid, targeted and delib- moved onto the wholesale elimination
erate killing, or was so tightly bound to of other ethnic and national groups. As
the idea that a whole people ought to the historian David Satter has written,
be exterminated.” It is morally specious “Their plans for the racial purification
to compare the Jewish Holocaust to the of Europe envisaged an open ended
Soviet “genocide” of Balts or Poles or process.” The crucial factor one must
Ukrainians, awful as the experiences of consider in evaluating these two strains
these peoples were, because of the of totalitarianism is their competing
inherently different nature of the meth- long-term visions, and the policies that
ods the Soviet and Nazi regimes used were required to execute them.
against their subject populations. The Classifying Stalin’s various murder
Soviet Union had many local collabora- campaigns (alongside Nazi policies
tors throughout its occupied and satel- towards Roma, gays, educated Poles
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Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, and to bring Mubarak’s ouster in mid-February.
enemy combatants, such as self-con- This prompted President Obama — as
fessed 9/11 mastermind Khalid Shaikh he refused to do in June 2009 when
Mohammed, to trial in federal court. Iranian military forces wielded lethal
He made clear that when he was at the force against citizens protesting the
helm, America would refrain from corrupt presidential election that pre-
imposing its way of life on other coun- served Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s hold
tries and cultures, and so would aban- on power — to affirm America’s inter-
don the Bush administration policy of est in advancing democracy and liberty
seeking to advance democracy and free- abroad. Meanwhile, engagement with
dom abroad. His administration, he Iran and Syria proved a total failure,
declared, would engage hostile powers and relations between the U.S. and
and cultivate multilateral relations. vital allies Britain, France, and
And the hunt for Osama bin Laden and Germany cannot be said to be on a
the struggle against al Qaeda would be better footing than they were under
conducted consistent with our values President Bush. And finally, President
and in accordance with our obligations Obama gave the orders to Navy seal
under international law. Team Six, an elite unit formerly
President Obama has discovered denounced as “Cheney’s death squad,”
that the conduct of foreign policy and that resulted in the long-awaited
national security is not so simple. killing of Osama bin Laden. The suc-
Flying the flag of humanitarian inter- cessful raid on bin Laden’s compound
vention while confusingly demanding in early May was unilateral, based, in
that Qaddafi must go but by means of part, on intelligence obtained through
diplomacy and not force, the president the much-decried coercive interroga-
ordered limited military action in tions authorized by the Bush adminis-
Libya in the face of considerable, and tration, and flew in the face of the
continuing, uncertainty about the char- European and generally progressive
acter and intentions of the rebels to view that bin Laden was a criminal
whose aid the United States came. On who needed to be brought to trial.
Obama’s watch, Gitmo will remain To record the deviation of President
open indefinitely — and Khalid Shaikh Obama’s foreign and national security
Mohammed will be tried there by mili- policy from candidate Obama’s promis-
tary commission (a decision formally es is not to underestimate the difficulty
announced by Attorney General Eric of translating intentions into practice.
Holder on the same day in early April Nor is it to deny the difference of
that the president launched his reelec- strategic sensibility that separates
tion bid). The Arab spring has further Obama policy from Bush policy. Nor is
altered the presidential script. It was it to minimize what is at stake in the
set in motion in mid-December 2010 different approaches to international
when a humiliated vegetable vendor relations and national security that gen-
immolated himself in front of the gov- erally distinguish progressives and con-
ernor’s office in Sid Bouzid, Tunisia, servatives. It is to suggest, though, that
and reached a culmination of sorts clarifying the issues presents complex
with Egyptian President Hosni challenges.
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tion serves a good cause. Ikenberry suc- its wake.” What is needed is “a new
ceeds in bringing into focus the large bargain, not a new system.”
stake America has in refurbishing and
extending the liberal international
order over whose construction and
expansion it has, for more than half a
century, presided.
In the least compelling parts of his
I k e n b e r ry a dva n c e s four
major claims about the rise and
prospects of liberal internation-
al order. First, after World War II,
America led the way in constructing a
book, Ikenberry blames the crisis of lib- world order whose hierarchical roots
eral international order, or its dramatic and liberal principles were in tension.
exacerbation, on the George W. Bush On the one hand, as the most powerful
administration. Through “its contro- and dominant nation the world had
versial ‘war on terror,’ invasion of Iraq, ever seen, the U.S. established itself as a
and skepticism about unilateral rules hegemon, providing collective security,
and agreements,” the Bush administra- distributing economic aid, and main-
tion not only “triggered a global out- taining open markets. On the other
pouring of criticism” and intensified hand, the U.S. built an international
anti-Americanism around the world, order grounded in multilateral rules,
but also gave rise, contends Ikenberry, reciprocal political processes, and inter-
to the justified fear that the U.S. sought national law and international institu-
to mold a unipolar globe in which it tions in which it voluntarily yielded
placed itself above international law some of its freedom of action to induce
and at the head of an imperial and illib- other states to do the same. This order
eral order. promised, and to a remarkable extent
The main argument of his book, delivered, stability and predictability
however, has to do with the pressures which in turn allowed for the achieve-
for change produced by the internal ment of extended peace and prosperity.
dynamics and abiding logic of liberal It fused American preeminence with
international order itself: respect for the sovereignty of all
nations and deference to universal prin-
the crisis of the old order tran-
ciples and general rules. It created a lib-
scends controversies generated by
eral hegemonic order with the U.S. at
recent American foreign policy or
its top.
even the ongoing economic crisis. It
Second, the crisis of authority that
is a crisis of authority within the
both America and the international sys-
old hegemonic organization of lib-
tem face stems from several factors
eral order, not a crisis in the deep
quite independent of which party holds
principles of the order itself. It is a
the White House. One destabilizing
crisis of governance.
factor has to do with American unipo-
Shifts in its “underlying founda- larity in the international system. In a
tions” have called into question “how bipolar world, with two major powers,
aspects of liberal order — sovereignty, or a multipolar world, with several
institutions, participation, roles, and major powers, coalitions form to
responsibilities — are to be allocated, achieve a balance. A unipolar world,
but all within the order rather than in however — in which one state, by
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mote prosperity; it emphasizes agreements such as the Kyoto Protocol.
America’s provision of public goods to At the same time, the Bush administra-
other states in exchange for their coop- tion went to considerable lengths to
eration with the international system; it establish that it was complying with its
values close consultation and coopera- obligations under international law;
tion with fellow liberal democracies; aggressively collaborated with
and it counsels humility concerning the European allies in the war on terror;
capacity of the United States to pro- and, contrary to Ikenberry’s suggestion
mote the expansion of liberal order by that it proceeded unilaterally, assem-
direct intervention in the affairs of
other states. In the liberal order, no
By cooperating with other states “to
rebuild and renew the institutional
state, even the
foundations of the liberal international hegemon, is above
order,” America can, Ikenberry con-
the law. Ideally, the
cludes, “reestablish its own authority
as a global leader.” participation of
Although his state-of-the-art elabo- all states in the system is
ration of liberal internationalism grace-
fully incorporates realist insights and based on the
responds to realist challenges, logic of consent.
Ikenberry’s analysis suffers from weak-
nesses characteristic of his theoretical bled a large coalition for Operation
outlook and larger discipline. Iraqi Freedom comprising 40 nations,
First, Ikenberry’s account is marred with crucial logistical support coming
by partisan progressive bias, if relative- from, among other Arab Gulf monar-
ly restrained, typical of the political sci- chies, Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain. The
ence professoriate. Notwithstanding a determination to view the Bush admin-
few of President Bush’s more pithy and istration as seeking to exit or upend the
pungent public statements, Ikenberry liberal international order reflects the
wrongly presents Bush administration progressive habit, on exhibit every now
foreign policy as a deliberately sharp and again in President Obama’s
break with the principles of liberal rhetoric, of suggesting that conservative
internationalism. To be sure, the Bush opinions are contrary to American
administration pushed back against principles.
progressive interpretations of what Second, Ikenberry displays a tenden-
international law and cooperation with cy to blame America for disagreements
the international community required that arise between the U.S. and Europe
— in regard to the detention, interroga- and the ensuing instabilities in the inter-
tion, and prosecution of enemy com- national system. To take one telling
batants; the role of the UN in authoriz- example, following the progressive and
ing the use of military force; and the French line of analysis, he faults
value of particular international institu- President Bush for taking the United
tions such as the International Criminal States to war with Iraq without formal
Court and particular international Security Council approval. But, even
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at home by advancing it abroad. More one judge which alleged causes are
attention to freedom’s centrality to lib- most likely, and which less so. As an
eral internationalism would not only economist I have followed this issue
clarify puzzles in political science. It closely over the past two and a half
would also contribute to the modera- years, and yet I still found this book
tion and refinement of a great deal of illuminating. The bottom line for me:
progressive foreign policy analysis and The case is fairly strong that govern-
rhetoric, including that of the president. ment regulation was one of the major
sources of the financial crisis.
The most important chapter is the
first. This 66-page segment is editor
The Roots of Jeff Friedman’s overview of subsequent
chapters, along with his own contribu-
the 2008 tions to the debate. It is by far the dens-
est part of the book, not in the sense of
Economic being hard to understand, but in the
sense that if you miss even one para-
Collapse graph, you may miss a lot. Friedman
carefully sifts through the other
authors’ arguments and evidence. His
By David R.
work would be impressive if done by a
Henderson Ph.D. economist with twenty years of
experience in the profession. What
Jeffrey Friedman, editor. What makes it more impressive is that Jeffrey
Caused the Financial Crisis? Friedman is not an economist at all but
U n i v e r s i t y o f P e n n s y lva n i a a political scientist (he is a visiting
Press. 360 pages. $29.95. scholar in the Department of
Government at the University of Texas
T h i s b o o k ’ s t i t l e is
appropriate. In it, various
economists and financial
experts address the question: What
caused the financial crisis? Not surpris-
at Austin).
One point that almost all informed
observers agree on is that the financial
crisis started in the housing market and
that the crash in housing prices caused
ingly, they disagree in their answers. a more-general banking and financial
Why, then, read the thing? Because it crisis. Therefore, to understand the
narrows the range of disagreement and cause of the financial crisis, one needs
supplies vital information that can help to understand two things: First, why
the housing crisis happened and, sec-
ond, how the housing crisis caused the
David R. Henderson is a Hoover larger financial crisis.
Institution research fellow and an
associate professor of economics at the
Graduate School of Business and
Public Policy at the Naval
Postgraduate School. He blogs at
www.econlog.econlib.org.
F riedman argues that both
questions can be answered by
looking to government regu-
lation. As to the crisis’s cause, he points
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Another strand of Friedman’s analy- designed to minimize risk is not the
sis involves deposit insurance. same thing as minimizing risk. It is
Instituted under Franklin Roosevelt to adherence to a bureaucratic require-
prevent bank runs, deposit insurance ment, nothing more.”
distorted banks’ incentives: They could Jablecki and Machaj are also among
make riskier loans than they otherwise the few authors in the book who ana-
would, knowing that a large percentage lyze the likely effects of the further reg-
of their losses would be borne, not by ulations imposed in response to the cri-
the banks, but by taxpayers. This sis. They reach a scary but plausible
“moral hazard” inevitably led to gov- conclusion: that the natural tendency is
ernment regulation for capital adequa- to pile on more rules to the point where
cy so that the banks would be unlikely “bureaucratic controls increasingly
to lose their depositors’ money. The substitute for market mechanisms.”
capital adequacy rules were part of the When that happens,
Basel I rules that regulators in many
countries adopted. Friedman refers to government decrees replace the
the chapter by Viral V. Acharya and knowledge-discovery process of
Matthew Richardson, both finance profit (when one has discovered a
professors at New York University’s useful product that consumers are
Stern School of Business, to make his willing to buy) and loss (when one
case. Acharya and Richardson explain merely thinks one has done so).
that many of the banks engaged in
“regulatory arbitrage.” Under Basel I, The result, they say, is likely to be
the less risky the rating of an asset, the cartelization, which “could actually
lower the capital requirements. So, for aggravate the systemic risk that already
instance, if a bank held mortgages, it pervades the financial markets.”
had to hold capital equal to a certain Most people, myself included, tend
percentage of the assets’ value. But if to get fearful when they hear about a
the bank sold the mortgages and used new, complex economic institution.
the funds to buy mortgage-backed And their fear often leads them to be
securities that the rating agencies had credulous about claims based on fear.
rated aaa, it needed to hold a lower So, for example, many people got
percentage of the value, freeing up scared when they heard about credit
funds to invest elsewhere. Thus the default swaps (c d s ), a term that
term “regulatory arbitrage.” sounds complicated, and then heard
In a later chapter, aptly titled, “A further that the “notional value” of
Regulated Meltdown: The Basel Rules such swaps was in the tens of trillions
and Banks’ Leverage,” economists of dollars. The book’s short chapter by
Juliusz Jablecki of the National Bank of Wallison goes far in describing credit
Poland and Mateusz Machaj of default swaps and, in the process,
Wroclaw University in Poland also reducing the fear generated by those
make the point about regulatory arbi- who should know better. Wallison
trage, and they do it particularly well. writes: “The best analogy for a cds is
In commenting on the Basel rules, they an ordinary commercial loan. The sell-
write: “Unfortunately, obeying a rule er of a cds is taking on virtually the
A
more mysterious than that.” h i g h l i g h t o f Fried-
Credit default swaps, he points out, man’s introductory chapter
simply allow lenders to offload the risk is his rebuttal of the wide-
of a default on a loan to someone else ly-held view that the way that high-
who, for a price, is willing to take on level employees in financial firms were
this risk. No new risk is created in the paid gave them an incentive to take on
process. Did the sellers of these swaps inordinate risk. Friedman points out
underprice them because they under- that this view was accepted early in the
stated the risk of default? Absolutely, crisis despite a complete lack of evi-
says Wallison; we know that now. But, dence. Three studies of the issue came
he writes, “If we wanted to prevent along after this consensus had been
losses that come from faulty credit reached. One study found some evi-
analysis, we would have to prohibit dence in favor of the consensus view —
lending.” Wallison also notes that if “Financial companies that paid large
regulators are allowed to second-guess incentive bonuses tended to perform
risks we have no basis for thinking that slightly worse during the crisis” — but
their guesses “will be any more insight- a second study found that the higher
ful into actual creditworthiness than the proportion of stock compensation
the judgments of those who are making for banks, the worse the banks did.
the loans.” Friedman indicates that had the bank
And what about the idea of “notion- executives realized that their banks
al value” of the amounts on which the were taking excessive risks, they would
c d s s are written? Wallison quotes have cut the risk or sold their stock. By
financier George Soros’ 2008 state- not doing so, they took heavy losses. A
ment that “The notional amount of third study found that some executives
cds contracts outstanding is roughly did sell large amounts of stock in the
$45 [trillion] . . . To put it into per- eight years preceding the crisis. But
spective, this is about equal to half the Friedman makes the obvious point that
total U.S. household wealth.” if you get almost all your compensation
Wallison’s response? “This is not in stock and want to have purchasing
putting credit default swaps ‘into per- power, you must sell a lot of your
spective.’” Wallison shows that each stock. Moreover, he notes, banking
time a cds is traded, the “notional executives “did not cash in the bulk of
amount” increases, even though the their stock compensation.” Jimmy
amount of risk is unchanged. He Cayne of Bear Stearns, for example,
shows that the “net notional amount” sold $289 million in stock during the
is “actually about 5 percent of the fig- preceding eight years but held on to $1
ure Soros used.” The problem with billion in stock, which he later sold —
credit default swaps, concludes for $61 million.
Wallison, is not their financial effects One main reason so many people
but their political effects. They can think more financial regulation is the
become, he writes, “political piñatas” answer is that they have been told over
and “divert scrutiny from the actual and over that the financial sector is
causes of problems.” unregulated. Unfortunately, m i t ’s
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Daron Acemoglu, in his chapter, does “limitations of the credit-rating agen-
some of this telling. Acemoglu claims, cies were well known to professional
although he presents no evidence, that investors.” He concludes his argument
policy makers in Washington “were by writing, “Professional investors
lured by ideological notions derived who failed to treat their ratings of
from Ayn Rand novels rather than complex securities with a degree of
from economic theory.” Acemoglu con- skepticism despite knowing all this had
cludes, “In reality, what we are experi- only themselves to blame.” Maybe, but
encing is not a failure of capitalism or then isn’t that Posner’s way of admit-
free markets per se, but the failure of
unregulated markets — in particular, of
an unregulated financial sector and
Jimmy Cayne of Bear
unregulated risk management.” Stearns, for example,
It takes some chutzpah for an econ-
sold $289 million
omist to claim that one of the most reg-
ulated industries in the country is in stock during the
“unregulated.” In a previous chapter, preceding eight years but
Wallison argues that the financial sec-
tor is under “the most comprehensive held on to $1 billion
regulatory oversight of any industry.” in stock, which he later
I’m not sure that Wallison is right —
medical care and health insurance have
sold — for $61 million.
been highly regulated for decades and
are surely a close competitor for the ting that even professional investors
dubious honor — but it’s clear that the might have been too credulous? People
financial industry does, indeed, operate make mistakes. Investors made mis-
under intense regulation. takes. Regulators made mistakes.
In the book’s afterword, the prolific Posner’s point seems petulant rather
Judge Richard Posner takes on some of than illuminating.
Friedman’s arguments. One such argu- In discussing the high ratings of vari-
ment is that the various bond-rating ous bonds, Posner reminds us that we
agencies’ ratings were inaccurate. “must be wary of hindsight bias” —
Posner notes, correctly, that whether that is, seeing as obvious after the fact
they were inaccurate “depends on how what was obvious to very few people
likely it seemed that the securities rated before the fact. He’s right. But Posner’s
triple-a were likely to tank.” This own solution for preventing or reduc-
probability, he writes, seemed small to ing the probability of future financial
“regulators, financial journalists, econ- crises is a grand example of hindsight
omists, and the professional invest- bias. Posner recommends more regula-
ment community.” That’s true, but tion, buying into the Acemoglu view
were they right to think the probability that the financial sector is “unregulat-
was low, and could the lack of incen- ed.” But how, exactly, given Posner’s
tives for the three agencies to make own admission that regulators thought
accurate ratings matter? Posner argues, the probability of a collapse was small,
without providing evidence, that the are regulators supposed to do better in
O
more regulation. Why? Friedman says n may 21, 1879, a cavalry
it best: brigade with infantry support
led by General Frederick
Where there are competing pow- Marshall set out from Fort Melville in
ers, as in a capitalist economy, the British colony of Natal on a melan-
there is more chance of heterogene- choly mission: Crossing into Zululand,
ity than when there is a single reg- it was to retrieve the wagons the army
ulator with power over all the had lost four months before in the dis-
competitors. At worst, in the limit- aster at Isandlwana, where the British
ed case of a market that, through camp was wiped out by a Zulu army,
herd behavior, completely con- the most humiliating defeat inflicted on
verged on an erroneous idea or
practice, unregulated capitalism
would likely be no worse than reg- Henrik Bering is a writer and critic.
90 Policy Review
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a British army by native forces. Among er.” Mostly, it was a question of recog-
the accompanying war correspondents nizing “a ring on a finger bone” or “a
was Archibald Forbes of the Standard, pair of socks in a few known
whose report is not for the faint of instances.” Prior’s sketches of the
heart. This is what he saw: remains proved too graphic for the
Illustrated London News editors and
In this ravine, dead men lay thick, had to be cleaned up.
mere bones, with toughened discol- One of Prior’s originals, complete
ored skin like leather covering with outsized skulls, is reprinted in Ian
them, and clinging tight to them, Knight’s Zulu Rising, the authoritative
the flesh all wasted away. Some study of Isandlwana and the subsequent
were almost wholly dismembered, battle at Rorke’s Drift. Knight combines
heaps of yellow clammy bones. I panoramic descriptions of the landscape
forbear to describe the faces, with with lively testimony from the partici-
their blackened features and beards pants. The battles greatly stirred the
bleached by rain and sun. Every Victorian imagination, particularly the
man had been disemboweled. Some heroism exhibited at Rorke’s Drift.
were scalped. And others had been They still stir imaginations today. The
subject to even ghastlier mutila- movie Zulu, with Stanley Baker and
tions. The clothes had lasted better Michael Caine in the roles of
than the poor bodies they covered, Lieutenants Chard and Gonville, invari-
and helped keep the skeletons ably shows up on British television
together. screens at Christmas time.
All the way up the slope I
traced the ghastly token of dead
men, the fitful line of flight. Most
of the men hereabout were
infantry of the 24th. It was like a
long string with knots in it, the
T he catastrophe was set
in motion when Sir Bartle
Frère, the British high com-
missioner, decided that an independent
Zululand under King Cetshwayo was
string formed of single corpses, the an impediment to British interests in
knots clusters of dead, where (as it the region. Frere knew that military
seemed) little groups might have action ran counter to the wishes of
gathered to make a hopeless, gal- Her Majesty’s government, which did
lant stand and die. not want new commitments at this
point. But with communication
According to Illustrated London between London and the colonies
News sketch artist Melton Prior, in being slow, Frère believed that the
most cases identification was hard matter could be settled before the
work, “for either the hands of the Colonial Office could object. A series
enemy, or the beaks and claws of vul- of demands that he knew the King
tures tearing up the corpses, had in could not meet provided Frère with
numberless cases so mixed up the the necessary pretext.
bones of the dead that the skull of one Heading the invasion was Lord
man, or bones of a leg or arm, now lay Chelmsford, who had previously put
with the parts of the skeleton of anoth- down the remnants of a Xhosa rebel-
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mits the cardinal mistake of dividing Meanwhile, King Cetshwayo, hav-
his force. ing rejected advice to mount a counter
He commits a second mistake in not raid into British territory — he wanted
ordering the camp at Isandlwana Chelmsford to be the aggressor —
laagered, i.e, protected behind a square instead had ordered his lieutenants to
of wagons, instead leaving the soldiers creep up on the British, taking advan-
and their tents out in the open. Having tage of the landscape. “Perhaps the
brushed off prior Boer warnings about greatest Zulu masterstroke was to
the need to laager at every halt, he had move some 25,000 men undetected to
stated, “Oh, British troops are all right;
we do not need to laager — we have a Chelmsford had faith in
different formation.” his army’s breech-
Chelmsford had great faith in his
firepower, supplied by the army’s loading Martini-Henry
breech-loading Martini-Henry rifle. rifle. “The first experience
“The first experience of the Martini
Henrys will be such a surprise to the
of the Martini Henrys will
Zulus that they will not be formidable be such a surprise to the
after the first effort.” Admittedly, his
Zulus that they will
own Regulations for Field Forces in
South Africa required that camps be not be formidable after
laagered and “partially entrenched on the first effort.”
all sides,” but according to Knight that
only applied to more permanent camps. within eight kilometers of the British
The underestimating of native forces camp — and the greatest British short-
by professional officers was not coming their failure, despite extensive
uncommon: Three years before, when patrolling, to intercept them,” writes
going against the Lakota Sioux, Custer Knight.
had omitted to bring along Gatling Having finally been spotted, the
guns and declined the offer of four Zulu impi moved at once on the camp,
extra cavalry companies, bragging that before having completed their rituals.
he could “whip any Indian village on Zulu tactics involved the impi being
the plains.” deployed in the ox formation, consist-
To make matters worse, Colonel ing of two horns that would envelop
Durnford, the commander of the sec- the enemy on the flanks, while the
ond column, had been ordered to main body formed the chest. Its war-
Isandlwana, presumably to reinforce riors were armed with assegai thrusting
the camp. But when he arrived, there spears, man-sized cowhide shields,
were no explicit orders awaiting him. clubs, and throwing spears. Some car-
Receiving confused reports including ried ancient rifles and muskets; only a
one that an enemy force was moving few had Martini-Henrys, but did not
towards Chelmsford, Durnford decided understand how to operate the rear
to move out with his men to protect sights.
Chelmsford’s rear. Thus the force at The camp commander, Lieutenant
Isandlwana was divided a second time. Colonel Henry Pulleine, hearing shots
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silence. Here and there a black body he felt as if he was walking on air,
doubled up, and went writhing and as he never expected to see daylight
bouncing in the dust; but the great host again . . . In front of the verandah
came steadily on.” and outside the hospital and near
Here the British fire discipline and the two blue gum trees the Zulu
superior marksmanship asserted itself. bodies were lying three deep.
Trooper Harry Lugg reported “some Gunny especially pointed out one
of the best shooting at 450 yards” he young Zulu Induna with a plume
ever saw, while in the hand-to-hand head dress, telling me that he was a
fighting at the barricade the bayonet very gallant man, and had headed a
was put to furious use. Curiously, charge three times. “But we got
notes Knight, for people used to using him the third time.”
the assegai, the Zulus seemed to fear
the bayonet more than the bullets.
They believed themselves immune to
bullets, thanks to the ritual medicine,
but the bayonet proved a man’s mor-
tality most convincingly.
After fierce fighting, the hospital, its
I n the battle of Isandlwana,
according to official figures
quoted by the author, 7 2 7
white troops and 471 black troops per-
ished on the British side. The Zulu fig-
straw roof on fire, had to be aban- ure is unknown. At Rorke’s Drift, the
doned, with everybody retreating to the British had fifteen killed and two mor-
inner perimeter in front of the store- tally wounded, while the Zulus suffered
house. In addition, Chard had ordered an estimated 1,000 killed or wounded.
a pyramid-shaped redoubt built of In recognition of bravery, a survivor
mealie sacks, from the hollow top of from Isandlwana, Private Samuel
which sharpshooters could fire over the Wassall, was awarded a Victoria Cross
heads of their fellow defenders. for saving a fellow trooper. Lieutenants
Throughout, the Reverend Smith was Melville and Coghill, who had tried to
making himself useful by passing out save the colors of the 2 4 th, later
ammunition, praying for salvation, and retrieved from the river, got theirs
admonishing the men not to cuss: posthumously in 1 9 0 6 , after the
“Don’t swear, men, don’t swear, but statutes had been amended following
shoot them, boys, shoot them.” This is lobbying by family members.
surely what is meant by “muscular Isandlwana, of course, also pro-
Christianity.” duced its cowards, among them
After numerous assaults, the attacks Lieutenant Higginson, who, grabbing
faltered around midnight, and around somebody else’s horse, in true
four they stopped. The Zulus reap- Flashman fashion managed to leave
peared briefly, but vanished, not men behind him on three occasions.
because of recognition of the bravery of (Needless to say, Flash himself was pre-
the defenders, as suggested in the sent in both battles, as briefly told in
movie, but because they spotted Flashman and the Tiger.)
Chelmsford’s force on the horizon. The defenders at Rorke’s Drift were
When surveying the field after the awarded eleven Victoria Crosses.
battle, Bromhead told a colleague that Chard and Bromhead became the toast
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