Code No: X0521 II B.Tech I Semester (R07) Regular Examinations, Nov- 2010 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS (Com.

to CSE, IT, CSS) Time: 3 hours Answer any FIVE Questions All Questions carry equal marks 1.

SET - 1

Max Marks: 80

a) A and B play 12 games of the chess of which 6 are won by A,4 are won by B, and two end in a draw. They agree to play a tournament consisting of 3 games. Find the probability that i) A win all the 3 games, ii) A and B win alternately, iii) Two games end in a draw b) State and prove Bayestheorem a) Define a Discrete random variable. A random variable X has the following probability function 6 7 x 0 1 2 3 4 5 2 P(x) 0 k 2k 2k 4k 4k 3k 4k2+k i) Find the value of k, ii) Evaluate P(X<6), P (X6), iii) Evaluate P (0<X<5). b) If X is a continuous random variable and y= aX+b. Prove that E(Y) = aE(X)+b and v(y)=a2 V(X). a) Prove that Poisson distributation is limiting case of binomial distributation for every large trails with very small probability. b) When a mean mark was 50% and S.D 5% then 60% of students failed in an examination. Determine the grace marks to be awarded in order to show that 70% of the students passed. ii) U2 iii) U1- U2 iv) U1- U2 a) Let U1={3,7,8} U2={2,4}, Find i) U1 b)A process for making certain ball bearings is under control if the diameters of the bearings have a mean of 0.5060 cm. If a random sample of 10 of these bearings has a mean diameter of 0.5060 and s.d of 0.0040 cm is the process under control? a) What is the maximum error one can expect to make with probability 0.90 when using the mean of a random sample of size = 64 to estimate the mean of population with 2 =2.56. b) Determine 99% confidence interval for the mean of contents of soft drink bottles if contents of 7 such soft drink bottles are 10.2, 10.4, 9.8, 10.0, 9.8, 10.2, 9.6 ml. a) Explain the following i) Null hypothesis, ii) type I and type II errors and iii) one-tail and two-tail tests b) A company producing computers states that the mean lifetime of its computers is 1600 hours. Test this claim at 0.01 L.O.S. against the A.H.: < 1600 hours if 100 Computers produced by this company has mean lifetime of 1570 hours with s.d of 120 h. 1 of 2

2.

3.

4.

5.

6.

Please purchase PDF Split-Merge on www.verypdf.com to remove this watermark.

Code No: X0521 7.

SET - 1

a) The nicotine content in two random samples of tobacco are given below. Sample1 21 24 25 26 27 Sample2 22 27 28 30 31 36 Can you say that the two samples came from the same population? b) Past experience shows that 40% of Indian youth favored cricket. If in a random sample of 15 Indian youth, 8 favored cricket, is there reason to believe that the proportion of Indian youth favoring cricket today has increased, use 0.05 level of significance? Arrival rate of telephone calls at a telephone booth are according to Poisson distribution with an average time of 12 minutes between two consecutive call arrivals. The length of telephone calls is assumed to be exponentially distributed with mean 4 minutes. a) Find the probability that a caller arriving at the booth will have to wait. b) Find the average queue length that forms from time to time c) Find the fraction of a day that the phone will be in use d) What is the probability that an arrival will have to wait for more than 15 minutes before the phone is free.

8.

2 of 2

Please purchase PDF Split-Merge on www.verypdf.com to remove this watermark.

Code No: X0521 II B.Tech I Semester (R07) Regular Examinations, Nov- 2010 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS (Com. to CSE, IT, CSS) Time: 3 hours

SET - 2

1.

2.

Max Marks: 80 Answer any FIVE Questions All Questions carry equal marks a) i) State and prove additional theorem of probability ? ii) An integer is chosen at random from first 200 positive integers. What is the probability that the integer chosen is divisible by 6 or 8? b) A business man goes to hotels X, Y, Z 20%, 50%, 30% of the time respectively. It is known that 5%, 4%, 8% of the rooms in X, Y, Z hotels have faultily plumbing. i) Determine the probability that the business man goes to hotel with faulty plumbing. ii) What is the probability that business man room having faulty plumbing is assigned to hotel Z? a) A Random variable X has the following probability function: 1 2 3 X -2 -1 0 P(X) 0.1 k 0.2 2k 0.3 k

Find i) k , ii)Mean and iii)Variance b) A random process gives measurements X between 0 and 1 with probability function. f(x)=12x3-21x2+10x, 0x1 =0, otherwise i) Find P(X0.5) and P(X>0.5) ii) Find a number of K such that P(X k)= 0.5. 3. a) The probability that a patient recovers from a disease is 0.4. If 15 persons have such a diseases, determine the probability that i) Exactly 5 survive, ii) At least 10 survive and iii) From 3 to8 survive b) Write properties of Normal distributation and prove that area under normal curve is unity. A population consist of five numbers 2, 3, 6, 8, 11.consider all possible distinct samples of size 2 with replacement. Find i) Population Mean, ii) population standard deviation, iii) sampling distribution of means, iv) mean of the sampling distributation of means v)Standard deviation of the sampling distributation of means a)A random sample of size 81 was taken whose variance is 20.25 and mean is 32,construct 98% confidence interval. b)A random sample of 100 teachers in a large metropolitan area revealed a mean weekly salary of Rs.487 with a standard deviation Rs.48.With what degree of confidence can we assert that the average weekly salary of all teachers in the metropolitan area is between 472 to 502? 1 of 2

4.

5.

Please purchase PDF Split-Merge on www.verypdf.com to remove this watermark.

Code No: X0521 6.

SET - 2

a) A sample of 400 items is taken from a population whose standard deviation is 10. The mean of the sample is 40. Test whether the sample has come from a population with mean 38. b) If 57 out of 150 patients suffering with certain disease are cured by allopathy and 33 out of 100 patients with same disease are cured by homeopathy, is there reason to believe that allopathy is better than homeopathy at 0.05 level of significance. a) In a test given to two groups of students, marks obtained are as follows Group I: 18 20 36 50 49 36 34 49 41 Group II: 29 28 26 35 30 44 44 Examine the significance of the difference between the means of the marks secured by students of the above groups? b) Test for goodness of a Poisson distribution to the following data X 0 1 2 3 4 5 Oi 275 138 75 7 4 1 Customers arrive at a one-man barber shop with a mean inter-arrival time of 12 minutes, following a Poisson process .On an average customers spend 10 minutes in the barbers chair. Find the following a) The average number of customers in the shop and in the queue. b) How much time a customer can expect to spend in the barbers shop. c )What are the average time customers spend in the queue? d) What are the probabilities that there are more than 3 customers in the system?

7.

8.

2 of 2

Please purchase PDF Split-Merge on www.verypdf.com to remove this watermark.

Code No: X0521 II B.Tech I Semester (R07) Regular Examinations, Nov- 2010 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS (Com. to CSE, IT, CSS) Time: 3 hours Answer any FIVE Questions All Questions carry equal marks 1.

SET - 3

Max Marks: 80

2.

a)A bag contains 10 gold and 8 silver coins. Two successive drawing of 4 coins are made such that i) Coins are replaced before the second trail ii) Coins are not replaced before the second trail Determine the probability that the first drawing will give 4 gold and second four silver coins. b) State and prove Bayes theorem. a) Let X denote the minimum of the two numbers that appear when a pair of dice is thrown once. Determine the i) Discrete probability distributation, ii) Expectation, iii) Variance b) Suppose a continuous random variable x has the probability density

3.

Find i) k, ii) Mean iii) variance a) seven coins are tossed and number of heads noted. The experiment is repeated 128 times with following data: No of heads 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Frequencies 7 6 19 35 30 23 7 1 Fit a binomial distributation when nature of coin is not known. b) If the weights of 300 students are normally distributed with mean 68Kgs and standard devation 3 Kgs how many students have weights i) Greater than 72 Kg ii) Between 65 and 71 Kgs inclusive a) Construct sampling distribution of means for the population 2, 7, 9, 15, 17 by drawing samples of size two with replacement. Determine ii) , iii) S.D.M , iv) and v) i) , b)A process for making certain ball bearings is under control if the diameters of the bearings have a mean of 0.5060 cm. If a random sample of 10 of these bearings has a mean diameter of 0.5060 and s.d of 0.0040 cm is the process under control? a) A random sample of size 81 was taken whose variance is 20.25 and mean is 32, construct 98% confidence interval. b) Determine 99% confidence interval for the mean of contents of soft drink bottles if contents of 7 such soft drink bottles are 10.2, 10.4, 9.8, 10.0, 9.8, 10.2, 9.6 ml. 1 of 2

4.

5.

Please purchase PDF Split-Merge on www.verypdf.com to remove this watermark.

Code No: X0521 6.

SET - 3

a) Write a short notes on testing of hypothesis. b) A lady stenographer claims that she can take dictation at the rate of 120 words per minute. Can we reject her claim on the basis of 100 trails in which she demonstrates a mean of 116 words with a standard deviation of 15 words? a) Two horses A and B were tested according to the time (in seconds) to run a particular track with the following results Horse A 28 30 32 33 33 29 34 Horse B 29 30 30 24 27 29 Test whether the 2 horses have the same running capacity. (Choose 5% L.O.S) b) A survey of 320 families with five children each revealed the following distribution No. of boys 0 1 2 3 4 5 No. of girls 5 4 3 2 1 0 No. of families 12 40 88 110 56 14 Is the result consistent with the hypothesis that male and female births are equally probable?

7.

8.

Customers arrive at a one-man barber shop with a mean inter-arrival time of 12 minutes, following a Poisson process. On an average customers spend 10 minutes in the barbers chair. Find the following a) The average number of customers in the shop and in the queue. b) How much time a customer can expect to spend in the barbers shop. c) What are the average time customers spend in the queue? d) What are the probabilities that there are more than 3 customers in the system?

2 of 2

Please purchase PDF Split-Merge on www.verypdf.com to remove this watermark.

Code No: X0521 II B.Tech I Semester (R07) Regular Examinations, Nov- 2010 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS (Com. to CSE, IT, CSS)

SET - 4

Max Marks: 80 Answer any FIVE Questions All Questions carry equal marks 1. a) define i) Sample space ii) Mutually exclusive events iii) Axioms of probability and iv) Addition theorem of probability b) A and B play a game in which they alternately toss a pair of dice. The one who is first to get a total of 7 wins the game. Find the probability that i) The one who tosses first will win the game ii) The one who tosses second will win the game 2. a) X is a Discrete random variable and y = aX+b. Prove that E(Y)= aE(X)+b and v(y)= a2 V(X). b) A random variable X has density function

Time: 3 hours

ce 3 x , x > 0 f (x ) = f (x ) = 0 , x0 Find i) The constant c ii) P (1<X<2)

3.

iii) P(X3)

iv) P(X<1)

4.

5.

a) Fit a Poisson distributation to the following data Xi 0 1 2 3 4 fi 30 62 46 10 2 b) A pair of dice is rolled 180 times. Determine the probability that a total 7 occurs i) At least 25 times ii) Exactly 35 and 40 times inclusive A population consist of five numbers 2, 3, 6, 8, 11, consider all possible distinct samples of size 2 with replacement. Find i) Population Mean, ii) population standard deviation iii) Sampling distribution of means, iv) mean of the sampling distributation of means v) Standard deviation of the sampling distributation of means a) What is the maximum error one can expect to make with probability 0.90 when using the mean of a random sample of size is 64 to estimate the mean of population with 2 =2.56. b) A random sample of 100 teachers in a large metropolitan area revealed a mean weekly salary of Rs.487 with a standard devotion Rs.48.With what degree of confidence can we assert that the average weekly salary of all teachers in the metropolitan area is between 472 to 502? a) Write about i) Null hypothesis, ii) Type I &Type II error, iii) left, right and two tailed test. b) A machine runs on an average of 125 hours/year. A random sample of 49 machines has an annual average use of 126.9 hours with standard deviation 8.4 hours. Does this suggest to believe that machines are used on the average more than 125 hours annually at 0.05 level of significance? 1 of 2

6.

Please purchase PDF Split-Merge on www.verypdf.com to remove this watermark.

Code No: X0521

SET - 4

7.

a) The blood pressure of 5 women before and after intake of a certain drug are given below: Before 110 120 125 132 125 After 120 118 125 136 121 Test at 0.01 L.O.S. whether there is significant change in B.P. b).In a random sample 125 coke drinkers, 68 said they prefer thumsup to Pepsi. Test the null hypothesis is P = 0.5 against the A.H is P > 0.5.

8.

A computer shop has a laser printer. The jobs for laser printing are randomly distributed approximately a Poisson distribution with mean service rate of 10 jobs per hour, since job pages vary in length. The jobs arrive at a rate of 6 per hour during the entire 8 hours work day. If the laser printer is valued Rs. 30 per hr. Determine, a) The percent time an arriving job has to wait b) Average system time c) Average idle time cost of the printer per day

2 of 2

Please purchase PDF Split-Merge on www.verypdf.com to remove this watermark.