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the destination region.This requires the vessel to stop at motion, the shipper can manage almost in real time how
a multitude of ports, increasing loading time and incurring fast additional supplies will be brought to market. In
port-handling fees at each stop, as well as leaving the sum, this allows the shipper to achieve better tradeoffs
vessel at less than full capacity over a series of these stops. on speed to market, stock availability, and transport cost.
Although this may be the most cost-effective Given the transport lengths and times between Europe
approach for lesser volumes and smaller vessel sizes, and Asia, the Middle East is a natural location to do the
another logistics concept—the hub-and-spoke approach sea-to-air transport conversion, for three reasons:
—becomes more favorable as volumes and vessel sizes
1. The Middle East is already the natural hub for
increase. In this model, the volume from one origination
refueling stopovers for the air freight industry.
point is loaded onto a vessel irrespective of its destination
and then transported to a central node—the “hub.” In 2. The region is easily accessible by sea and is
the hub, freight to different destination points is unloaded increasingly becoming a hub for the sea freight
and newly grouped, so that freight to only one destina- industry.
tion point is reloaded on each vessel.
With respect to the Europe–Asia trade lane, both 3. “Acceleration in motion,” if done in the Middle
regions are multicentered and have a broad portfolio of East, achieves attractive reductions in transport
seaports and airports. Hence, if volumes and vessel sizes time—approximately five to seven days—while
achieve a certain threshold size, a hub-and-spoke still conserving the cost-effective sea transport
approach is the ideal logistics concept to achieve cost- rates for half of the total transport.
effective transport. However, the hub can be located in
the originating or the destination region as well as on In fact, Dubai has already made significant infra-
any location along the trade lane. Current hubs in structure investments in the integration of its airport
Europe are Rotterdam and Hamburg on the port side and seaport in Dubai.With an annual volume of more
and London, Amsterdam, and Frankfurt on the airport than 100,000 tons of freight converted from sea to air,
side. In sea freight, volume and vessel sizes have not yet this operation proves the viability of the concept.
achieved sufficient scale to make a hub-and-spoke However, there are a limited number of opportunities
120 approach cost-effective; for the time being, sea freight to establish global multimodal logistics hubs in the
will likely continue to make several stops in the regions Middle East.To be successful, such a hub must attract
of origination and destination. In air freight, however, a enough carriers for volumes to be easily transferred from
single hub along the trade lane is the more favorable one carrier to another. Even on a global scale, there are
option because of different economics, freighter sizes, very few true global hubs—these include Los Angeles,
and time sensitivity. Given the already-existing need for New York, Amsterdam/Rotterdam, and Singapore.We
a refueling stopover halfway along the trade lane, this predict that, at the most, there is an opportunity to
situation yields a strong demand for air freight hubs in establish two global hubs in the region; one position will
the Middle East. soon be taken by Dubai, when the new airport becomes
Finally, there is a third driver of the Middle East as operational and the port expansion is completed.
a growth area for global logistics along the Europe–Asia But the Europe–Asia trade lane is not the only
trade lane: the need for multimodal hubs. Historically, opportunity for the Middle East to capitalize on global
shippers have had one fundamental choice to make well trade. Its favorable geographic location provides the
before they began transport: did they want to ship their Middle East with a strong opportunity to establish the
goods quickly and expensively via air freight, or slowly leading transport and logistics hubs for the broader
but less expensively via sea freight? Most shippers region serving northern and middle Africa in the south-
went—and still are going—for the latter. In doing so, west; Pakistan in the east; and the Caucasian countries of
they need to accept larger stocks and a slower speed to the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)—such
market. As product cycles speed up, demand becomes as Kazakhstan,Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan—in the
less predictable because of a broader variety of products, north.Three key factors act in the region’s favor for
and companies manage stock more closely, sea freight such a positioning.
transport increases the risk of outdated stock and is seen First, the Middle East has the advantage of a
as an important cost driver. geographic location with equal proximity to all these
Still, for most goods, a complete airfreight transport markets and very good connectivity by road and short
remains much too expensive to be viable. Hence, a new sea transport.The Caucasian CIS markets and middle
transport concept that we call “acceleration in motion,” African markets in particular currently lack accessibility
offering a conversion from sea transport to air transport, from competing regional logistics centers, such as Europe
becomes more important. Such a service allows the and South Africa. For example, the Caucasian CIS mar-
shipper to start with cost-effective sea freight transport; if kets are not yet developed enough to make significant
need arises—from better sales or unexpected additional investments in local logistics networks; at the same time,
demand, for example—while the goods are already in they require very long and complex transport by road
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competition in their home markets. Second, Middle opportunities for the sector—these opportunities are not
Eastern manufacturers face stronger competition in equally available to all countries in the Middle East.
their international export markets as global logistics and First, certain elements of the sector’s development
supply chain services become more sophisticated on a require preferred geographic locations, such as seaports.
global scale. Furthermore, certain opportunities, such as the develop-
ment of a global multimodal hub, are limited in number
The growth of the industry sector and require huge infrastructure investments—as can be
The transport and logistics sector itself provides an seen in the historical and current infrastructure investment
attractive opportunity to enhance economic activity. In budgets of Singapore, the Chinese ports, and Dubai.
mature markets, such as those of North America and Hence, governments should consider and decide
Europe, the growth of the transport and logistics indus- on a set of five building blocks for their transport and
try has outperformed overall GDP growth in the last logistics sector strategy.They should:
several decades and represents a substantial part of the
• Choose a strategic play for the sector on a
economy. A key driver for such strong growth potential
global level.
is the ongoing disaggregation of value chains on the
domestic, regional, and global levels. • Focus infrastructure investments to fit the
Although this growth potential holds true in most chosen sector play.
markets, the Middle East’s opportunities globally and in
its own broader geographic region, described earlier, • Adjust policies and regulations to promote
make a strong transport and logistics sector crucial for sector development.
the Middle East in particular.
• Optimize government services to meet the
demand of the logistics sector.
The generation of sustainable job opportunities
Finally, besides providing a key building block for • Promote the development of national transport
growing economic activity in manufacturing and other and logistics champions.
sectors and hence providing a basis for increasing
122 employment levels, the growth of transport and logistics Choose a strategic play for the sector on a global level
itself will provide the substantial potential for employment Fundamentally, there are three different strategic plays
growth for which Middle Eastern countries are eagerly that governments can pursue for the transport and
looking. Being a service industry with relatively limited logistics sector.The options for governments are:
investment requirements compared with other industries,
as well as limited automation possibilities, transport and • a global multimodal transport and logistics hub,
logistics is a labor-intensive economic sector with a • a regional logistics and distribution hub; or
strong focus on a less-skilled workforce. And while • domestic-focused transport and logistics services.
other industries in the more mature North American
and European markets have seen high levels of cyclicali- 1. The global multimodal transport and logistics hub
ty or, even worse, have faced substantial relocation to strategic play is the most demanding strategy for
emerging markets, the transport and logistics sector in sector development. It must be built on a preferred
most cases has mostly profited from such developments geographic location, and it requires huge investments
and provided a sustainable basis for employment and in infrastructure. Furthermore, it requires a multi-
employment growth. As in other emerging markets, an tude of factors that have to be coordinated and
additional supporting factor of the industry’s employ- strategically aligned; just a few of these factors are:
ment potential is the Middle East’s competitive labor • an economic environment that attracts foreign
cost, which reduces pressure for automation and work- direct investment by allowing for full ownership
force efficiency. of the local entity;
Each of these four economic elements provides
rationale enough on its own for the Middle East to • the availability of a large free zone around the
position the development of the transport and logistics port-airport infrastructure, adhering to global
sector very high on the government agenda; they are quality standards;
even more compelling in combination.
• a track record indicating that the port and airport
operator can manage complex processes smoothly;
Building blocks of a government strategy for the • highly competitive handling charges; and
transport and logistics sector
As Middle Eastern governments embark on the devel- • the provision of living standards that can meet
opment of the transport and logistics sector, it should be the demands of a large expatriate community.
clear that—although there is generally a broad set of
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should be focused to provide excellent connectivity to and logistics sector. From the perspective of a logistics
the regional hubs.The port infrastructure especially service provider, customs declaration is a purely transac-
requires a delicate balance to provide efficient handling tional process, though it is resource-consuming and
of short sea transport while simultaneously allowing for time-critical.Thus, optimizing government services
dedicated connections to long sea connections. Besides requires the provision of processes that are highly auto-
the basic road, seaport, and airport infrastructure mated and seamlessly integrated into the logistics service
development, free zones in the inner country, close to providers’ order-management system. Hence, governments
the relevant consumption and production markets, are should pursue the basic principles of e-government,
of significant importance. such as provision of Web-based applications, modularity,
and thorough and seamless internal automation.
Adjust policies and regulations to promote the sector
development Promote the development of national transport and
Again, the set of policies and regulations necessary for logistics champions
the development of both global multimodal and region- In most Middle Eastern countries, the industry structure
al hub strategies seems to be obvious and can easily be of the outsourced transport carriers and logistics service
adapted from world-class players such as Rotterdam, providers is highly fragmented and often not at all well
Singapore, or Dubai. In essence, these policies and developed—dominated on one side by the leading glob-
regulations should promote foreign direct investment, al transport and logistics service providers and on the
provide a liberal economic environment, and allow other side by a vast number of “mom-and-pop shops,”
for full foreign ownership of the respective entities, as while lacking a strong base of nationwide, medium-to-
competition for tenants happens on a global level and large logistics service providers.
hence needs to adhere to these standards. Additionally, the outsourcing level of transport and
But which set of policies is appropriate for promot- logistics services is still very low across the Middle East
ing sector development on a domestic level? Again, the compared with global standards, standing at approxi-
more mature markets in North America and Europe can mately 12 percent;Western Europe, for instance, has
provide model cases of a clear liberalization strategy outsourcing levels of approximately 25 to 30 percent.
124 with thorough and consistent regulatory oversight. In Hence, large global industry players especially operate
these markets, liberalization and the removal of market significant transport and logistics businesses.Within such
entry barriers have resulted in substantial productivity an industry structure, the development of high-quality,
gains, service level improvements, and volume growth. efficient transport and logistics processes and structures
As global and larger regional service providers is substantially hampered: small enterprises do not have
compete in other markets on global quality and service the means to establish sophisticated logistics processes
standards, their investment and corporate activity should and service offerings, whereas industry players focus pre-
also be actively pursued.This will allow the sector to dominately on their core business, often neglecting the
develop toward such standards and to educate a work- optimization and sophistication potential of the logistics
force in the respective business and process areas. processes. Global players are also often hampered by
Finally, to ensure a level playing field for all industry agent laws in broadening their businesses and bringing
participants, the government should establish thorough more sophisticated concepts and processes to the market.
economic regulatory oversight, independent of strategy Hence, the development of the transport and logis-
setting and policy definition.The most prominent tics sector also requires an industry structure in which
examples for such a structure are the postal, road, and medium-to-large logistics service providers play a more
railway regulators in the most liberalized markets in prominent role. Even with a liberal market approach,
Europe. governments can actively promote and influence the
development of the industry toward such a target
Optimize government services to meet the demand of the structure using three focused measures:
logistics sector
The key government services required by the logistics • First, governments can carve out, consolidate, and
sector fall into three groups: business and equipment subsequently privatize the logistics functions of
licensing, regulatory oversight and competitive regulation, large state-owned industry enterprises. In most
and customs services.The former two have standards Middle Eastern countries, a quite substantial indus-
similar to those for other industry and service segments; try base is government-owned. Such government-
optimization of government services in these areas should owned entities include enterprises such as national
be part of a broader economic development program oil and basic industry companies in the GCC
that promotes and fosters entrepreneurial activity. countries or enterprises in the steel, mining, cotton
Customs services, however, are substantially different; textile, and retailing industry in Egypt. Most of
furthermore, they are essential to foreign trade and these enterprises still own substantial transport
hence significantly affect the performance of the transport and logistics operations. For these enterprises, the
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