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Cautionary statements:
This should be read in conjunction with the documents filed by Aviva plc (the Company or Aviva) with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This announcement contains, and we may make verbal statements containing, forward-looking statements with respect to certain of Avivas plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results, strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words believes, intends, expects, plans, will, seeks, aims, may, could, outlook, estimates and anticipates, and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking statements in the presentation include, but are not limited to: the impact of difficult conditions in the global capital markets and the economy generally; the impact of new government initiatives related to the financial crisis; defaults and impairments in our bond, mortgage and structured credit portfolios; changes in general economic conditions, including foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates and other factors that could affect our profitability; the impact of volatility in the equity, capital and credit markets on our profitability and ability to access capital and credit; risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures; inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailability of reinsurance coverage; a decline in our ratings with Standard & Poors, Moodys, Fitch and A.M. Best; increased competition in the U.K. and in other countries where we have significant operations; changes to our brands and reputation; changes in assumptions in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; changes in local political, regulatory and economic conditions, business risks and challenges which may impact demand for our products, our investment portfolio and credit quality of counterparties; the impact of actual experience differing from estimates on amortisation of deferred acquisition costs and acquired value of in-force business; the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of various legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks; the loss of key personnel; the impact of catastrophic events on our results; changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business; funding risks associated with our pension schemes; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our acquisitions; and the timing impact and other uncertainties relating to acquisitions and disposals and relating to other future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries. For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties and other factors, please see Item 3, Risk Factors, and Item 5, Operating and Financial Review and Prospects in Avivas Annual Report Form 20-F as filed with the SEC on 24 March 2011. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update the forward looking statements in this announcement or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this presentation are current only as of the date on which such statements are made.
Additional information in relation to non-GAAP measures can be found on pages 21 to 23 of the 2010 Form 20-F, which is also available on www.aviva.com/investor-relations/results-and-reports/
Additional performance measures included in this presentation are Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Payback period, IGD Solvency Surplus, Value of in force covered business (VIF) and Aviva Investors Net Funded External Sales . There are no directly comparable measures for these measures under IFRS. Management believes these provide meaningful measures for the investment community to evaluate Avivas business. Net operating capital generation is Gross capital generated less Capital invested in new business. The Combined Operating Ratio (COR) is an industry term which demonstrates the efficiency of a general insurance business by expressing the total of claims costs, commission and expenses as a percentage of premiums received which have been determined in accordance with IFRS. Expense ratio is expenses expressed as a percentage of premiums received, which have been determined in accordance with IFRS.
Ratios which are based on numbers determined in accordance with IFRS are calculated as follows:
"Average life in-force reserves are calculated as opening reserves + closing reserves for half year periods, and opening reserves + half year reserves + closing reserves for yearly periods. Administration cost ratio on life reserves is calculated as administration expenses divided by average life in-force reserves (multiplied by 2 to annualise for half year periods). Life cost income ratio is calculated as (Acquisition expenses + Admin expenses + DAC/AVIF amortisation + Other income or expenses) divided by (New business income + Underwriting Margin + Investment Return).
The non-GAAP financial measures section on slides 36 to 42 of this presentation will be available on www.aviva.com/investor-relations/results-and-reports/reports/
1 IFRS operating profit is termed adjusted operating profit within Avivas 2010 20-F.
34
million Life and pensions sales (PVNBP) gross of tax and non controlling interest Less: Tax and non controlling interest Life and pensions sales (PVNBP) net of tax and non controlling interest
35
1 IFRS operating profit is termed adjusted operating profit within Avivas 2010 20-F.
36
Reconciliation of GI & Health LTIR to IFRS GI & Health Net investment income
million GI & Health LTIR Unwind of discount & pension scheme net finance costs Short term fluctuations Foreign exchange on unrealised gains/losses and other charges IFRS GI & Health Net investment income HY11 336 22 (80) 91 369 HY10 383 11 26 (86) 334
37
615p
554p 425p
VIF
Asset return above risk free rate Discount rate above risk free to allow for risk
EEV
MCEV
IFRS
Life intangibles
+ 3.7bn
+ 1.7bn
12.2bn
15.9bn
17.6bn
38
Subordinated Debt Adjustments to Realistic basis Available Economic capital Required Economic Capital ICA Surplus
17.6bn
1 including preference shares and DCI. Refer to slide 38 for details of where to find the reconciliation of MCEV net asset value to IFRS net asset value. 2 HY 2011 subordinated debt includes 100% of Delta Lloyd's subordinated debt 3 Pension scheme risk is allowed for through five years of stressed contributions. Capital required is based on Aviva's own internal assessment and capital management policies. The term economic capital does not imply capital as required by regulators or other third parties.
39
million IFRS Life new business income IFRS Life acquisition expenses
HY10 467 (510) (43) (374) (188) (605) 13,507 4.5% Slide No. 37
Reference Half Year Report 2011 Note A19 page 66 Half Year Report 2011 Note A19 page 66
Required Capital DAC, tax, non controlling interest and other Life new business capital strain
(319) (148)
5.0bn
Life and pensions sales (PVNBP) net of tax and non controlling interest Capital efficiency
17.6bn
40