EIA - Short Term Energy Outlook

IndependentStatistics&Analysis
U.S. Energy Information

Administration
November2011
ShortTermEnergyOutlook
November8,2011Release
Highlights
EIAexpectstheU.S.averagerefineracquisitioncostofcrudeoiltoremain
relativelyflat,averagingabout$100perbarrelin2011and2012.Thevalueof
WestTexasIntermediate(WTI)benchmarkcrudeoilwasabout$11perbarrel
belowtheU.S.refineracquisitioncostofcrudeoilinthethirdquarterofthis
year.TheforecastWTIpricediscountnarrowsto$8perbarrelbythefourth
quarterof2012,asrailandtruckcapacityisaddedtotheregion.
EIAsU.S.andworldeconomicgrowthassumptionshavebeenloweredfrom
lastmonthsOutlook.WorldoilconsumptionweightedrealGDPgrowsby3.1
percentin2012,comparedwith3.5percentinthepreviousOutlook.
EIAprojectsthataveragehouseholdheatingexpendituresforheatingoiland
propanewillincreaseby10percentand9percent,respectively,thiswinter
(October1toMarch31)comparedwithlastwinter.Averageexpendituresfor
householdsthatheatwithoilorpropaneareforecasttobehigherthaninany
previouswinter.Incontrast,naturalgasandelectricityexpendituresare
projectedtoremainclosetolastyearslevels.
Regulargradegasolineretailpriceshavefallenby46centspergallonfrom
theirpeakmonthlyaveragethisyearof$3.91pergallonforMayto$3.45per
gallonforOctober.Thisdropinpricesresultsfromfallingcrudeoilpricesas
wellasthenormalseasonaldeclineinconsumptionandtheswitchin
productionfromsummergradegasolinetolowercostwintergradegasoline.
EIAprojectsgasolineretailpricestocontinuetodecline,albeitslightly,through
theendoftheyear.
NaturalgasworkinginventoriesendedOctober2011atanestimated3.8trillion
cubicfeet(Tcf),about1percentbelowthesametimelastyear.Theprojected
HenryHubnaturalgasspotpriceaverages$4.09permillionBritishthermal
units(MMBtu)in2011,$0.30perMMBtulowerthanthe2010average,and
$4.13perMMBtuin2012.
U.S. Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook November 2011
1

GlobalCrudeOilandLiquidFuels
CrudeOilandLiquidFuelsOverview.Oilpricescontinuetofaceupwardprice
pressurebecauseofsupplyuncertaintyresultingfromongoingunrestintheoil
producingregionsoftheMiddleEastandNorthAfrica.However,theremaybe
downwardpricepressureifLibyaisabletorampupoilproductionandexports
soonerthananticipated.Atthesametime,downsidedemandriskscontinueasfears
persistaboutweakeningglobaleconomicgrowth,contagioneffectsofthedebtcrisis
intheEuropeanUnion,andotherfiscalissuesfacingnationalgovernments.
Givenexpectedratesofglobaloilconsumptiongrowth,theengineforwhichwillbe
emergingmarketsoutsideoftheOrganizationforEconomicCooperationand
Development(OECD),acombinationofincreasedoiloutputfrommembersofthe
OrganizationofthePetroleumExportingCountries(OPEC)andinventory
withdrawalswillneedtosupplementnonOPECsupplygrowthinorderfortheoil
markettobalanceatthepricesprojectedinthisOutlook.
GlobalCrudeOilandLiquidFuelsConsumption.EIAexpectsthatworldcrudeoil
andliquidfuelsconsumptionwillgrowfromitsrecordhighlevelof87.1million
barrelsperday(bbl/d)in2010to88.2millionbbl/din2011and89.6millionbbl/din
2012(WorldLiquidFuelsConsumptionChart).Chinaandotheremergingeconomies
accountforalloftheprojectedcrudeoilandliquidfuelsconsumptiongrowththrough
2012.ConsumptioninmembercountriesoftheOECDisprojectedtodeclineby0.4
millionbbl/din2011andtoremainrelativelyflatin2012.
NonOPECSupply.EIAprojectsthatnonOPECliquidfuelsproductionwillgrowby
0.7millionbbl/din2011and0.8millionbbl/din2012,toanaverageof53.3million
bbl/dnextyear(NonOPECCrudeOilandLiquidFuelsProductionGrowthChart).
ThelargestsourcesofexpectedgrowthinnonOPECoilproductionovertheforecast
periodareCanada,China,Colombia,Kazakhstan,andtheUnitedStates,withaverage
annualgrowthineachcountryofover100thousandbbl/d.Incontrast,forecast
RussianandMexicanprojectedproductionislowerattheendoftheforecastperiod.
Regionalturmoil,particularlyinSyriaandYemen,exertsadditionalpressureonthe
nonOPECoutlookandonglobaloilprices.
EIArevisedBrazilsliquidsfuelsproductionforecastdownwardforboth2011and
2012by140thousandbbl/dand90thousandbbl/d,respectively.Therevisionsare
duetothedecreaseinprojectedethanolproductionresultingfromapoorsugarcane
harvestandreducedinvestment.However,EIAexpectsthatBrazilscrudeoil
productionwillcontinuetoincreasethroughtheforecastperiod.
2
OPECSupply.WhileforecastOPECnoncrudeliquidsproduction,whichisnot
subjecttoproductiontargets,isexpectedtoincreaseby0.4millionbbl/din2011and
by0.5millionbbl/din2012,EIAexpectsOPECcrudeoilproductiontoremainflatin
both2011andin2012,afterhavinggrownby0.7millionbbl/din2010.Libyanoil
exportsresumedattheendofSeptember,averagingabout0.2millionbbl/d.EIA
expectsLibyancrudeoilexportstoriseto0.35millionbbl/dduringthefirstquarterof
2012andto0.8millionbbl/dbytheendof2012,comparedwithpredisruption
exportsof1.5millionbbl/d.OPECsurpluscrudeoilproductioncapacityfallsfrom
3.5millionbbl/dinthefourthquarterof2010toaprojected3.0millionbbl/dinthe
fourthquarterof2011,butthenincreasesto4.0millionbbl/dinthefourthquarterof
2012,asLibyanproductioncapacitycomesbackonline,freeingupcapacityinother
OPECcountries(OPECSurplusCrudeOilProductionCapacityChart).
OECDPetroleumInventories.EIAexpectsthatOECDcommercialinventorieswill
declineinboth2011and2012.However,becauseofdecliningconsumption,daysof
supply(totalinventoriesdividedbyaveragedailyconsumption)remainrelatively
highat57daysduringthefourthquartersofboth2011and2012(DaysofSupplyof
OECDCommercialStocksChart).
CrudeOilPrices.WestTexasIntermediate(WTI)crudeoilspotpricesfellfroman
averageof$110perbarrelinAprilto$86perbarrelinAugust,andremainednearthis
levelthroughOctober(WestTexasIntermediateCrudeOilPriceChart).EIAhas
revisedtheprojectedoilpricepathsslightlyupwardfromlastmonthsOutlook.EIA
expectsthattheU.S.refineraveragecrudeoilacquisitioncostwillaverage$100per
barrelin2011and2012,slightlyhigherthantheprojectionsof$99perbarreland$98
perbarrelfor2011and2012,respectively,inthepreviousOutlook.
Formostofthelast30years,WTIhastradedatapremiumovertheaverageU.S.
refineracquisitioncostofcrudeoil.However,thegrowthincrudeoilsupply,
particularlyfromCanadaandNorthDakota,tothemidcontinentregionwhereWTIis
traded,hasnotyetbeenmatchedbyincreasesintransportationcapacityoutofthe
Midwesttotherefiningcenters,suchastheGulfCoast.Thistransportation
bottleneckcontributestothelargepricediscountforWTIrelativetootherU.S.and
worldcrudeoils.Afterreachingarecordpricediscountinthethirdquarterofthis
year,thediscountforWTIisnowexpectedtodiminishmodestlyastheflowofcrude
oiloutofthemidcontinentregionincreases.Consequently,theprojectedU.S.refiner
acquisitioncostofcrudeoil,whichaveraged$11perbarrelaboveWTIinthethird
quarterofthisyear,narrowsto$8perbarrelaboveWTIbythefourthquarterof2012,
asrailandtruckcapacityisadded.

3
Energypriceforecastsarehighlyuncertain(MarketPricesandUncertaintyReport).
WTIfuturesforJanuary2012deliveryduringthe5dayperiodendingNovember3
averaged$93perbarrel.Impliedvolatilityaveraged39percent,establishingthelower
andupperlimitsofa95percentconfidenceintervalforthemarketsexpectationsof
monthlyaverageWTIpricesinJanuaryof$72perbarreland$121perbarrel,
respectively.Lastyearatthistime,WTIforJanuary2011deliveryaveraged$85per
barrelandimpliedvolatilityaveraged31percent.Thecorrespondinglowerand
upperlimitsofthe95percentconfidenceintervalwere$69perbarreland$103per
barrel.
U.S.CrudeOilandLiquidFuels
U.S.LiquidFuelsConsumption.ProjectedtotalU.S.liquidfuelsconsumptionin2011
fallsby250thousandbbl/d(1.3percent)(U.S.LiquidFuelsConsumptionChart).
Motorgasolineconsumptionaccountsformostoftheprojecteddeclinefortheyear,
shrinkingby220thousandbbl/d(2.4percent).EIAexpectstotalliquidfuels
consumptiontoincreaseby110thousandbbl/d(0.6percent)to19.0millionbbl/din
2012.Projectedmotorgasolineanddistillateconsumptionriseby40thousandbbl/d
(0.5percent)and30thousandbbl/d(0.7percent)in2012,respectively,ashighway
travelandtheU.S.economyshowmodestgrowth.
U.S.LiquidFuelsSupplyandImports.Domesticcrudeoilproductionincreasedby
110thousandbbl/din2010to5.5millionbbl/d.Productionincreasesbyafurther210
thousandbbl/din2011,andby240thousandbbl/din2012(U.S.CrudeOilandLiquid
FuelsProductionChart).Thisrisingtrendinproductionisdrivenbyincreasedoil
directeddrillingactivity,particularlyinonshoreshaleformations.
Liquidfuelnetimports(includingbothcrudeoilandrefinedproducts)fellfrom57
percentoftotalU.S.consumptionin2008to49percentin2010becauseofrising
domesticproductionandthedeclineinconsumptionduringtheeconomicdownturn.
EIAforecaststhatliquidfuelnetimportsshareoftotalconsumptionwilldeclineto45
percentin2011.
U.S.CrudeOilandPetroleumProductInventories.Distillatefueloilstocksended
October2011atanestimated143millionbarrels,down19millionbarrelsfromthe
sametimelastyearand5millionbarrelsbelowtheaverageforthatmonthbetween
2006and2010(seeThisWeekInPetroleum,Nov.2,2011).Totalmotorgasolinestocks
attheendofOctober2011wereanestimated209millionbarrels,down1million
barrelsfromlastyearbut5millionbarrelshigherthantheprevious5yearaveragefor
thatmonth.Projectedtotaldistillateandmotorgasolineinventoriesattheendof2012
willaverageabout3millionbarrelsand4millionbarrelshigher,respectively,than
theirprevious5yearaverages(U.S.GasolineandDistillateInventoriesChart).
4
CommercialcrudeoilinventorylevelsendedOctober2011atanestimated340million
barrels,28millionbarrelsbelowlastyearbut8millionbarrelshigherthanthe
previous5yearaverageforthatmonth.Projectedcommercialcrudeoilstocksare
graduallydrawndownto317millionbarrelsbytheendof2012,closetotheir5year
average(U.S.CrudeOilStocksChart).
U.S.PetroleumProductPrices.EIAforecaststhattheannualaverageregulargrade
gasolineretailprice,whichaveraged$2.78pergallonin2010,willincreasetoan
averageof$3.54pergallonin2011,beforedecliningtoanaverage$3.46pergallonin
2012(U.S.GasolineandCrudeOilPricesChart).Thehigherretailpricesin2011
reflectnotonlythehighercostofcrudeoilbutalsochangesintheaverageU.S.
refinerygasolinemargin(thedifferencebetweenrefinerywholesalegasolineprices
andtheaveragecostofcrudeoil).TheaverageU.S.refinerygasolinemargin
increasesfrom$0.34pergallonin2010to$0.48pergallonin2011,thendeclinesto
$0.42pergallonin2012.TheforecastnarrowingoftheWTIcrudeoilpricediscountto
othercrudeoilsshouldloweraveragerefiningmarginsnextyear.
EIAexpectsthatonhighwaydieselfuelretailprices,whichaveraged$2.99pergallon
in2010,willaverage$3.84pergallonin2011and$3.79pergallonin2012(U.S.Diesel
FuelandCrudeOilPricesChart).
NaturalGas
U.S.NaturalGasConsumption.EIAexpectsthattotalnaturalgasconsumptionwill
growby1.7percentto67.1billioncubicfeetperday(Bcf/d)in2011(U.S.Total
NaturalGasConsumptionChart).Risinguseofnaturalgasintheindustrialand
electricpowersectorsaccountsformostoftheincreaseintotalconsumptionthisyear,
withprojectedgrowthratesof2.0percentand1.5percent,respectively.Projected
totalnaturalgasconsumptionincreasesby1.1percentin2012to67.9Bcf/d,compared
withaprojectedlevelof67.7Bcf/dinlastmonthsOutlook.Higherprojectionsof
residentialandcommercialconsumptionaccountformuchofthischangeinthe
forecast,drivenbythe1.1percentincreaseinheatingdegreedaysfrom2011to2012.
U.S.NaturalGasProductionandImports.EIAexpectsU.S.marketednaturalgas
productiontoaverage65.6Bcf/din2011,a3.8Bcf/d(6.1percent)increaseover2010.
Allofthisgrowthcomesfromhigheronshoreproductioninthelower48States,
whichmorethanoffsetsayearoveryeardeclineof1.0Bcf/d(17percent)inthe
FederalGulfofMexico(GOM).EIAexpectsthattotalmarketedproductionwill
continuetogrowin2012,butataslowerpace,increasing1.3Bcf/d(2.0percent)toan
averageof66.9Bcf/dd(U.S.TotalNaturalGasProductionandImportsChart).

5
Drillingactivityhasbeenresilientdespitelowernaturalgasspotandfuturesprices.
AccordingtoBakerHughes,theOctober28rigcountwas934activedrillingrigs
targetingnaturalgas,higherthanthisyearslowof866onMay20andhigherthan
lastmonth.Ifdrillingcontinuestoincrease,productioncouldgrowmorethan
expectedin2012.
Growingdomesticnaturalgasproductionhasreducedrelianceonnaturalgasimports
andcontributedtoincreasedexports.EIAexpectsthatpipelinegrossimportsof
naturalgaswillfallby6.7percentto8.5Bcf/dduring2011andbyanother1.4percent
to8.3Bcf/din2012.ProjectedU.S.importsofliquefiednaturalgas(LNG)willfall
from1.2Bcf/din2010to0.9Bcf/din2011andto0.7Bcf/din2012.Pipelinegross
exportstoMexicoandCanadaareexpectedtoaverage4.1Bcf/din2011and4.2Bcf/d
in2012,comparedwith3.1Bcf/din2010.
U.S.NaturalGasInventories.WorkingnaturalgasinstorageendedOctoberatan
estimated3.8Tcf(U.S.WorkingNaturalGasinStorageChart).EIAexpectsthat
workingnaturalgasinventorieswilltotalabout1.8TcfattheendofMarch2012,the
endofthewinterheatingseason.Thiswouldrepresentawithdrawalof2.0Tcfover
theupcomingheatingseason,comparedwithawithdrawalof2.3Tcflastseason.
U.S.NaturalGasPrices.TheHenryHubspotpriceaveraged$3.56perMMBtuin
October2011,34centslowerthantheSeptember2011averageand49centslowerthan
theAugust2011average(HenryHubNaturalGasPriceChart).ThismonthsOutlook
lowersthe2011forecastby6centsto$4.09perMMBtuandlowersthe2012forecast
by19centsto$4.13perMMBtucomparedwithlastmonthsOutlook.
NaturalgasfuturespricesforJanuary2012delivery(forthe5dayperiodending
November3,2011)averaged$3.96perMMBtu,andtheaverageimpliedvolatilitywas
35percent(MarketPricesandUncertaintyReport).Thelowerandupperboundsfor
the95percentconfidenceintervalforJanuary2012contractsare$3.06perMMBtuand
$5.13perMMBtu.Atthistimelastyear,theJanuary2011naturalgasfuturescontract
averaged$4.13perMMBtuandimpliedvolatilityaveraged41percent.The
correspondinglowerandupperlimitsofthe95percentconfidenceintervalwere$3.06
perMMBtuand$5.59perMMBtu.

6
Coal
U.S.CoalConsumption.EIAexpectsthatcoalconsumptionforelectricitygeneration
willdeclineby16millionshorttons(MMst)(1.6percent)in2011,asthemodest
growthintotalelectricitygenerationismorethansatisfiedbyincreasesingeneration
fromnaturalgas,hydropower,andrenewablesotherthanhydropower.Projected
increasesingenerationfromnaturalgas,nuclearandnonhydrorenewables,
combinedwithlowerelectricityconsumption,contributetoanadditional4.6percent
declineinelectricpowersectorcoalconsumptionin2012.
U.S.CoalSupply.EIAforecaststhatcoalproductionwillfallslightly(by0.2percent)
in2011despiteasignificantincreaseincoalexports(U.S.AnnualCoalProduction
Chart).CoalproductionintheWesternregionisprojectedtodecline,while
productionintheAppalachianandInteriorregionsincreasesslightly.EIAexpects
coalproductiontodeclineby3.6percentin2012asdomesticconsumptionand
exportsfallandinventoriesatelectricpowerplantsdecline(U.S.ElectricPowerSector
CoalStocksChart).
U.S.CoalTrade.U.S.coalexportsroseto54MMstduringthefirsthalfof2011,the
highestsince1982,representingabouta35percentduringthefirsthalfof2011
comparedwiththesameperiodin2010.EIAexpectsU.S.coalexportstoremain
elevatedoverthesecondhalfof2011,reachinganannualtotalof102MMst.Forecast
U.S.coalexportsfallbackto91MMstin2012,assupplyfromothermajorcoal
exportingcountriesrecoversfromdisruptions.
U.S.CoalPrices.Averagedeliveredcoalpricestotheelectricpowersectorhave
increasedsteadilyoverthelast10yearsbyanaverageof6.7percenteachyear.EIA
expectsthatthistrendwillcontinuein2011,largelybecauseofariseintransportation
costs.Theprojectedaveragedeliveredcoalpricetotheelectricpowersector,which
was$2.26perMMBtuin2010,risesto$2.41perMMBtuin2011and$2.44perMMBtu
in2012.
Electricity
U.S.ElectricityConsumption.TotalU.S.consumptionofelectricityacrossallsectors
isforecasttofallby0.6percentduring2012afterhavinggrownbyanestimated0.3
percentthisyear(U.S.TotalElectricityConsumptionChart).Despitetherecentcold
snapandsnowstormintheNortheast,NOAAexpectsoveralltemperaturesthis
wintertobemilderthanlastyear.IntheSouthAtlanticregion,whereamajorityof
householdsheatwithelectricity,heatingdegreedaysbetweenOctober2011and
March2012areexpectedtobe5.9percentlowerthaninthesameperiodlastyear.
7
Thisimpliesadropof2.6percentinwinterelectricitysalestotheresidentialsectorin
theSouthAtlantic.
U.S.ElectricityGeneration.EIAprojectstotalU.S.generationbytheelectricpower
sectorwillaverage10.9terawatthoursperdayduring2011.Coalisexpectedtofuel
about44.9percentofthisgeneration,downfroma46.1percentsharelastyear.
During2012,EIAexpectscoaltosupplyabout43.5percentoftotalgeneration.In
contrast,theshareofgenerationfueledbynaturalgasisforecasttorise,growingfrom
22.6percentin2010to22.8percentin2011,and23.7percentin2012(U.S.Electric
PowerSectorGenerationChart).
U.S.ElectricityRetailPrices.Thecostofcoaldeliveredtoelectricgeneratorsis
expectedtoincreaseby6.4percentduring2011,whilethedeliveredcostofnaturalgas
continuestodecline.Theneteffectwillberelativelymodestgrowthinretail
electricitypricesovertheforecasthorizon.EIAexpectsaverageU.S.residential
electricitypricestoincreaseby1.7percentin2011andby1.2percentin2012(U.S.
ResidentialElectricityPricesChart).
RenewablesandCarbonDioxideEmissions
U.S.Renewables.Ledbya23percentincreaseinconventionalhydropower,thetotal
supplyofrenewablesisprojectedtogrowbyabout12percentfrom2010to2011.EIA
expectstotalrenewableenergysupplytodeclineby1.1percentin2012asa12percent
declineinhydropoweroffsetsgrowthinotherrenewableenergysupplies.
U.S.hydropowergenerationduring2011isexpectedtoreachthehighestlevelsince
1999,primarilybecauseofhighlevelsofprecipitationinregionssuchasthePacific
Northwest.EIAassumesareturntonormalsnowandrainfalllevelsin2012,with
hydropowergenerationfallingby0.36quadrillionBtu(12percent).
Woodandwoodwasteissecondonlytohydropowerintermsofthetotalenergy
suppliedbyrenewablesources.Becausemuchofthewoodsupplyissubjectto
industrialmarketconditions,especiallyinthepulpandpaperindustry,adeclineof
2.4percentisprojectedbetween2010and2011asoutputfromthepaperindustryis
projectedtodeclinemorethan1percent.Woodsupplygrowthpicksupin2012toa
projectedrateof1.8percent.
Windenergyisestimatedtohavegrownby23percentfrom2010to2011.Growthin
windenergyin2012isprojectedtoslowto15percentastheexpirationofthe
productiontaxcreditnears.Thesolarenergysupplyisprojectedtogrowby4.5
8
percentand4.9percentin2011and2012,respectively,reachingatotalof0.12
quadrillionBtu.
Intermsofliquidrenewablefuels,EIAestimatesthatbiodieselproductionin2011
averagedabout56thousandbbl/d(860milliongallonstotalannualproduction).This
volumesurpassesthe2011RenewableFuelStandard(RFS)BiomassBasedDiesel
mandateof800milliongallons.RFScreditsgeneratedabovethecurrentmandatecan
bebankedandusedforcomplianceinthefollowingyearforupto20percentofthe
requirement.The$1pergallonbiodieseltaxcreditexpiresattheendof2011.In2012,
biodieselproductionisforecasttogrowslightlyhigherto61thousandbbl/d(940
milliongallons),justreachingtheproposed2012RFSmandateof1.0billiongallons
afteraccountingfor60milliongallonsof2011credits.
Ethanolproductiongrowth,whichaveraged120thousandbbl/dannuallybetween
2005and2010,isexpectedtoslowto30thousandbbl/din2011and20thousandbbl/d
in2012,reachinganaverageof920thousandbbl/din2012.Ethanolexportsreduce
thevolumeofethanolblendedintogasoline.Assumingethanolnetexportsaverage
about40thousandbbl/dnextyear,EIAexpectsthat880thousandbbl/dofethanol
willbeblendedintogasolinein2012.TheexpirationoftheFederalmotorfuelsexcise
taxcreditforethanolblendingisexpectedtohavelittleeffectonblendinglevels,as
ethanolproducersdonotcurrentlyappeartobecapturingmuchofthevalueofthe
credit.
U.S.CO2Emissions.EIAestimatesthatCO2emissionsfromfossilfuelsincreasedby
3.9percentin2010(U.S.CarbonDioxideEmissionsGrowthChart).Forecastfossil
fuelCO2emissionsfallby0.6percentin2011,asincreasingemissionsfromhigher
naturalgasconsumptionareoffsetbydeclinesincoalandpetroleumconsumption.
Increasesinhydroelectricgenerationandotherrenewableenergysourcesin2011also
helptomitigateemissionsgrowth.FossilfuelCO2emissionsin2012areexpectedto
declinebyabout1percentasemissionsfromcoaldeclineby4.1percent.Thatdecline
morethanoffsetsexpectedincreasesinemissionsfrompetroleum(0.4percent)and
naturalgas(1.3percent).

9
U.S. Energy Information Administration

Independent Statistics & Analysis
Short--Term Energy Outlook

Short
Chart Gallery for November 2011
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil Price

dollars per barrel
200
Historical spot price
STEO price forecast
NYMEX futures price
95% NYMEX futures price upper confidence interval
95% NYMEX futures price lower confidence interval
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Jan 2010
Jul 2010
Jan 2011
Jul 2011
Jan 2012
Jul 2012
Note: Confidence interval derived from options market information for the 5 trading days ending November 3, 2011
Intervals not calculated for months with sparse trading in "near-the-money" options contracts
Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011
U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices

dollars per gallon
4.50
Forecast
Price difference
Retail regular gasoline
Crude oil
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Crude oil price is average refiner acquisition cost. Retail prices include State and Federal taxes.
Jan 2012
U.S. Diesel Fuel and Crude Oil Prices

dollars per gallon
5.00
Forecast
4.50
Price difference
Retail diesel fuel
Crude oil
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Crude oil price is average refiner acquisition cost. Retail prices include State and Federal taxes.
Henry Hub Natural Gas Price

dollars per million Btu
10
Historical spot price

STEO price forecast
NYMEX futures price
95% NYMEX futures price upper confidence interval
95% NYMEX futures price lower confidence interval
0
Jan 2010
Jul 2010
Jan 2011
Jul 2011
Jan 2012
Jul 2012
Note: Confidence interval derived from options market information for the 5 trading days ending November 3, 2011
Intervals not calculated for months with sparse trading in "near-the-money" options contracts
U.S. Natural Gas Prices

dollars per thousand cubic feet
25
Forecast
Residential price
Henry Hub spot price
Composite wellhead price
20
15
10
0
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
World Liquid Fuels Consumption

million barrels per day
95

9.0
Forecast
8.0
Total consumption
90
7.0
6.0
85
5.0
80
4.0
Annual growth
75
3.0
2.0
70
1.0
65
0.0
-1.0
60
-2.0
55
-3.0
2004
2005
2006
China
2007
2008
2009
United States
2010
2011
2012
Other Countries
World Liquid Fuels Consumption Growth

(change from previous year)
2.0
Forecast
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
2010
OECD*
2011
Non-OECD Asia
2012
Former Soviet Union
Other
* Countries belonging to Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
World Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Production Growth

2.0
Forecast
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
2010
2011
OPEC countries
North America
North Sea
2012
Russia and Caspian Sea
Latin America
Other Non-OPEC
Non-OPEC Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Production Growth

1.2
2012
1.0
2011
0.8
2010
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
-0.2
Norway
United Kingdom
Syria
Mexico
Malaysia
Other North Sea
Gabon
Australia
Egypt
Sudan
India
Oman
Azerbaijan
Russia
Vietnam
Brazil
Kazakhstan
Colombia
China
Canada
United States
-0.4
World Consumption and Non-OPEC Production

millions of barrels per day
5
dollars per barrel
World oil consumption (left axis)

Non-OPEC production (left axis)
WTI crude oil price (right axis)
Forecast
100
80
60
40
20
1
0
-1
-20
-2
-40
-3
-60
-4
-80
-5
2008-Q1
-100
2009-Q1
2010-Q1
2011-Q1
2012-Q1
OPEC Surplus Crude Oil Production Capacity

7
Forecast
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
Note: Shaded area represents 2000-2010 average (2.6 million barrels per day)
2010
2012
OECD Commercial Oil Stocks

days of supply
70
Forecast
65
60
55
50
45
400
Jan 2006
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Note: Colored band represents the range between the minimum and maximum observed inventories from Jan. 2006 - Dec. 2010.
U.S Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Production

(million barrels per day)
Change from prior year
Total production
(line chart)
9.25
(column chart)
1.10
9.00
1.00
8.75
0.90
8.50
0.80
8.25
0.70
8.00
0.60
7.75
0.50
7.50
0.40
7.25
0.30
7.00
0.20
6.75
0.10
6.50
0.00
6.25
-0.10
2009
2010
2011
2012
Crude oil (right axis)
Liquified petroleum gas and pentanes plus (right axis)
Fuel ethanol (right axis)
Biodiesel (right axis)
Total Production (left axis)
Production Forecast (left axis)
U.S. Crude Oil Stocks

million barrels
400
Forecast
380
360
340
320
300
280
260
240
220
2000
Jan 2006
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
Note: Colored band around storage levels represents the range between the minimum and maximum from Jan. 2006 - Dec. 2010.
U.S. Liquid Fuels Consumption

(million barrels per day)
Total consumption
(line chart)
20.0
19.5
19.0
18.5
18.0
17.5
17.0
16.5
2009
2010
Motor Gasoline (right axis)

Distillate Fuel (right axis)
Total consumption (left axis)
2011

(column chart)
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
2012
Jet Fuel (right axis)

Other Fuels (right axis)
Consumption Forecast (left axis)
U.S. Gasoline and Distillate Inventories

million barrels
260
Forecast
Total motor gasoline inventory

240
220
200
180
Total distillate fuel inventory
160
140
120
100
80
600
Jan 2006
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
Jan 2012
U.S. Natural Gas Consumption

(billion cubic feet per day)
Total consumption
(line chart)
100

(column chart)
4.0
90
3.5
80
3.0
70
2.5
60
2.0
50
1.5
40
1.0
30
0.5
20
0.0
10
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-10
2009
2010
Electric power (right axis)

Industrial (right axis)
Total Consumption (left axis)
2011
2012
Residential and Commercial (right axis)

Other (right axis)
U.S. Natural Gas Production and Imports

(billion cubic feet per day)
Total marketed production

(line chart)
70
(column chart)
8.0
68
7.0
66
6.0
64
5.0
62
4.0
60
3.0
58
2.0
56
1.0
54
0.0
52
-1.0
50
-2.0
2009
2010
2011
Net Imports (right axis)

U.S. Production excluding Gulf of Mexico (right axis)
Marketed Production Forecast (left axis)
2012
Federal Gulf of Mexico Production (right axis)

Total Marketed Production (left axis)
U.S. Working Natural Gas in Storage

billion cubic feet
Forecast
Storage level
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Deviation from 2006 - 2010 average

-1,000
-2,000
-3,000
Jan 2007
Jan 2008
Jan 2009
Jan 2010
Jan 2011
130%
120%
110%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
Jan 2012
Total consumption
(line chart)
U.S. Coal Consumption

(million short tons)
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
2009
2010
Electric power (right axis)

Retail and general industry (right axis)
2011

(column chart)
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
-120
2012
Coke plants (right axis)

U.S. Coal Production

(million short tons)
Total production
(line chart)
100

(column chart)
120
95
100
90
80
85
80
60
75
40
70
20
65
60
55
-20
50
-40
45
40
-60
2009
2010
2011
Western Region (right axis)

Interior Region (right axis)
Production Forecast (left axis)
2012
Appalachian Region (right axis)
Total Production (left axis)
U.S. Electric Power Coal Stocks

million short tons
220
Forecast
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
600
Jan
2003
Jan
2004
Jan
2005
Jan
2006
Jan
2007
Jan
2008
Jan
2009
Jan
2010
Jan
2011
Jan
2012
Note: Colored band around storage levels represents the range between the minimum and maximum from Jan. 2006 - Dec.
2010
Total consumption
(line chart)
U.S. Electricity Consumption

(million kilowatthours per day)

(column chart)
13,000
700
12,000
600
11,000
500
10,000
400
9,000
300
8,000
200
7,000
100
6,000
5,000
-100
4,000
-200
3,000
-300
2009
2010
2011
2012
Residential (right axis)
Commercial and Transportation (right axis)
Industrial (right axis)
Direct use (right axis)
U.S. Residential Electricity Price

cents per kilowatthour
change from prior year
14
13
Forecast
Monthly average electricity price
36%
12
11
30%
10
9
24%
8
7
18%
Annual growth
6
10.3%
12%
4
4.2%
3
2
5.7%
5.4%
3.2%
2.6%
2.4%
0.9%
6%
2.2%
0.6%
1.7%
1.2%
0%
1
0
-1.6%
-6%
-1
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel, All Sectors

thousand megawatthours per day
Forecast
12,000
10,000
8,000
53.0%
51.9%
51.6%
50.9%
50.3%
50.0%
46.1%
46.6%
45.4%
44.0%
Coal
Natural Gas
Petroleum
Nuclear
6,000
4,000
17.5%
18.6%
19.5%
20.9%
22.4%
22.2%
24.2%
24.7%
24.9%
25.9%
Hydropower
Renewables
Other Sources
2,000
0
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Note: Labels show percentage share of total generation provided by coal and natural gas.
U.S. Annual Energy Expenditures Share

of Gross Domestic Product
Forecast
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions Growth

8%
Forecast
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
-10%
-12%
-14%
2009
2010
All Fossil Fuels
Coal
2011
Petroleum
2012
Natural Gas
U.S. Summer Cooling Degree-Days

(population-weighted)
450
400
350
300
250
2009
2010
2011
2012
Normal
200
150
100
50
0
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
Data source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service
U.S. Winter Heating Degree-Days

(population-weighted)
1200
2008/09
2009/10
2010/11
2011/12
Normal
1000
800
600
400
200
0
OCT
NOV
DEC
JAN
Data source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service
FEB
MAR
U.S. Census Regions and Census Divisions

AK
Pacific
WEST
WA
MIDWEST
ND
MT
OR
Pacific
NV
CA
West
North
Central
SD
W
ID
Mountain
NE
CO
IA
East
MI
North
Central OH
IL
Middle
Atlantic
PA
IN
VA
KY
OK
TX
HI
EastTN
AR
South
West
Central
South
AL
LA MS
Central
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
NC
South
Atlantic
GA
SC
LEGEND
REGION
Division
State
FL
SOUTH
ME
New
NY England
WV
NM
Pacific
VT
W
MO
KS
UT
AZ
NORTHEAST
MN
Table WF01. Average Consumer Prices* and Expenditures for Heating Fuels During the Winter
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook -- November 2011
Winter of
Fuel / Region
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10 Avg.05-10 10-11
Natural Gas
Northeast
Consumption (mcf**)
Price ($/mcf)
Expenditures ($)
Midwest
Consumption (mcf)
Price ($/mcf)
Expenditures ($)
South
Consumption (mcf)
Price ($/mcf)
Expenditures ($)
West
Consumption (mcf)
Price ($/mcf)
Expenditures ($)
U.S. Average
Consumption (mcf)
Price ($/mcf)
Expenditures ($)
Heating Oil
U.S. Average
Consumption (gallons)
Price ($/gallon)
Expenditures ($)
Electricity
Northeast
Consumption (kwh***)
Price ($/kwh)
Expenditures ($)
Midwest
Consumption (kwh)
Price ($/kwh)
Expenditures ($)
South
Consumption (kwh)
Price ($/kwh)
Expenditures ($)
West
Consumption (kwh)
Price ($/kwh)
Expenditures ($)
U.S. Average
Consumption (kwh)
Price ($/kwh)
Expenditures ($)
Forecast
11-12
% Change
75.7
16.35
1,238
76.5
14.74
1,128
77.0
15.17
1,168
82.5
15.82
1,306
77.8
13.32
1,036
77.9
15.09
1,175
82.7
12.65
1,047
81.0
13.10
1,062
-2.0
3.6
1.4
77.4
13.46
1,042
79.8
11.06
882
83.3
11.39
949
86.0
11.46
986
83.8
9.42
789
82.1
11.33
930
85.1
9.16
780
84.0
9.22
774
-1.3
0.6
-0.7
51.1
16.49
843
51.9
13.57
704
50.7
14.16
718
53.7
14.05
755
60.7
11.53
700
53.6
13.87
744
55.7
11.02
614
53.9
11.91
643
-3.1
8.1
4.7
50.3
12.96
651
50.8
11.20
569
53.0
11.31
599
50.5
10.86
548
52.3
9.92
518
51.4
11.24
577
51.7
9.61
497
52.6
9.32
490
1.7
-3.0
-1.3
64.2
14.57
936
65.5
12.35
809
67.2
12.71
854
69.1
12.86
889
69.3
10.83
751
67.1
12.64
848
69.6
10.42
725
68.8
10.65
732
-1.2
2.2
1.0
616.7
2.44
1,505
624.0
2.42
1,513
633.9
3.33
2,108
678.7
2.65
1,801
643.5
2.85
1,833
639.4
2.74
1,752
679.7
3.38
2,300
665.7
3.81
2,535
-2.1
12.5
10.2
8,623
0.133
1,144
8,680
0.139
1,206
8,722
0.144
1,258
9,113
0.151
1,379
8,762
0.152
1,334
8,780
0.144
1,264
9,116
0.155
1,414
8,992
0.154
1,385
-1.4
-0.7
-2.1
9,959
0.081
802
10,155
0.085
866
10,461
0.089
934
10,641
0.098
1,038
10,511
0.098
1,034
10,345
0.090
935
10,586
0.105
1,109
10,498
0.105
1,101
-0.8
0.1
-0.8
8,402
0.092
774
8,423
0.096
810
8,336
0.098
820
8,669
0.109
942
9,189
0.103
950
8,604
0.100
859
8,829
0.105
928
8,658
0.106
918
-1.9
0.9
-1.1
7,612
0.097
736
7,641
0.102
782
7,835
0.104
812
7,610
0.106
810
7,762
0.111
865
7,692
0.104
801
7,718
0.113
871
7,784
0.112
871
0.9
-0.8
0.1
8,109
0.096
782
8,155
0.101
824
8,196
0.104
853
8,372
0.112
938
8,629
0.110
952
8,292
0.105
870
8,475
0.114
962
8,373
0.114
954
-1.2
0.4
-0.8
Table WF01. Average Consumer Prices* and Expenditures for Heating Fuels During the Winter
Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook -- November 2011
Winter of
Fuel / Region
05-06
06-07
07-08
08-09
09-10 Avg.05-10 10-11
Propane
Northeast
Price ($/gallon)
Expenditures ($)
Midwest
Price ($/gallon)
Expenditures ($)
778.6
2.30
1,790
786.1
2.35
1,849
793.6
2.93
2,324
846.6
2.84
2,405
796.6
2.98
2,376
800.3
2.68
2,149
846.5
3.23
2,734
829.2
3.62
3,002
-2.0
12.1
9.8
778.7
1.81
1,407
803.4
1.79
1,440
842.7
2.23
1,883
864.3
2.08
1,795
848.6
1.97
1,674
827.6
1.98
1,640
857.7
2.12
1,817
846.7
2.32
1,964
-1.3
9.5
8.1
10,753
5,874
715
2,592
10,476
6,282
706
2,490
10,796
5,679
729
2,665
10,851
5,508
742
2,672
0.5
-3.0
1.7
0.2
17,751
444
2,069
4,663
17,919
529
2,152
4,384
17,713
409
2,035
4,736
17,760
384
1,994
4,772
0.3
-6.2
-2.0
0.8
13,298
873
2,102
24,977
13,525
1,007
2,313
23,825
13,248
824
2,014
25,494
13,269
768
1,902
26,057
0.2
-6.8
-5.6
2.2
14,471
281
909
7,657
14,521
310
935
7,395
14,607
272
890
7,745
14,753
261
881
7,848
1.0
-4.1
-1.1
1.3
56,273
7,471
5,795
39,889
56,442
8,129
6,106
38,093
56,363
7,184
5,669
40,641
56,633
6,920
5,519
41,349
0.5
-3.7
-2.6
1.7
4,889
5,657
2,930
3,048
3,960
4,907
5,517
2,518
2,990
3,770
5,257
5,756
2,663
3,016
3,950
5,131
5,666
2,551
3,078
3,878
-2.4
-1.6
-4.2
2.0
-1.8
Number of households by primary space heating fuel (thousands)

Northeast
Natural gas
10,257 10,305 10,445 10,623
Heating oil
6,583
6,489
6,348
6,117
Propane
727
709
685
695
Electricity
2,422
2,451
2,485
2,500
Midwest
Natural gas
17,928 17,975 17,996 17,945
Heating oil
621
576
524
482
Propane
2,254
2,203
2,140
2,094
Electricity
4,142
4,241
4,384
4,490
South
Natural gas
13,608 13,593 13,613 13,511
Heating oil
1,149
1,080
1,013
921
Propane
2,575
2,453
2,283
2,150
Electricity
22,664 23,221 23,845 24,417
West
Natural gas
14,430 14,550 14,607 14,549
Heating oil
350
330
307
285
Propane
983
968
912
905
Electricity
7,153
7,233
7,409
7,522
U.S. Totals
Natural gas
56,223 56,423 56,661 56,629
Heating oil
8,702
8,475
8,191
7,805
Propane
6,540
6,333
6,020
5,844
Electricity
36,380 37,146 38,123 38,929
Heating degree-days
Northeast
Midwest
South
West
U.S. Average
Forecast
11-12
% Change
4,744
5,145
2,373
2,919
3,586
4,804
5,334
2,401
2,946
3,657
4,849
5,620
2,337
3,119
3,746
5,252
5,827
2,550
2,920
3,904
Note: Winter covers the period October 1 through March 31. Fuel consumption per household is based only on households that use that fuel
as the primary space-heating fuel. Included in fuel consumption is consumption for water heating, appliances, and lighting (electricity). Per
household consumption based on an average of EIA 2001 and 2005 Residential Energy Consumption Surveys corrected for actual and
projected heating degree-days.
* Prices include taxes
** thousand cubic feet
*** kilowatthour
Table 1. U.S. Energy Markets Summary

Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook - November 2011
2010
1st
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
Energy Supply
Crude Oil Production (a)
(million barrels per day) ..............................
5.49
5.40
5.46
5.54
5.57
5.63
5.65
5.88
5.93
5.96
5.90
5.90
5.47
5.69
5.92
Dry Natural Gas Production

(billion cubic feet per day) ...........................
57.93
58.56
59.28
60.66
61.05
62.98
62.95
63.59
63.19
63.70
64.02
64.52
59.12
62.65
63.86
Coal Production
(million short tons) .......................................
265
265
278
277
274
264
269
276
267
252
265
260
1,085
1,083
1,044
Liquid Fuels
(million barrels per day) ..............................
18.87
19.15
19.47
19.23
19.09
18.75
18.90
19.00
19.03
18.90
19.09
19.13
19.18
18.93
19.04
Natural Gas
(billion cubic feet per day) ...........................
82.98
54.38
57.89
68.99
83.95
56.49
58.34
69.88
84.41
56.20
59.19
71.70
66.00
67.10
67.86
Coal (b)
(million short tons) .......................................
265
247
286
250
255
242
284
255
257
226
267
242
1,048
1,036
992
Electricity
(billion kilowatt hours per day) ....................
10.61
10.02
12.01
9.92
10.60
10.14
11.97
9.99
10.50
10.10
11.84
10.01
10.64
10.68
10.61
Renewables (c)
(quadrillion Btu) ...........................................
1.76
1.95
1.79
1.83
2.04
2.26
2.02
1.89
1.99
2.19
1.95
1.96
7.33
8.20
8.09
Total Energy Consumption (d)

(quadrillion Btu) ...........................................
25.67
23.15
24.59
24.62
25.93
23.15
24.74
24.74
26.12
23.06
24.29
24.81
98.03
98.57
98.29
Crude Oil (e)

(dollars per barrel) .......................................
75.89
75.34
74.06
81.69
93.98
108.13
100.65
100.33
99.50
100.00
100.00
100.00
76.72
100.85
99.88
Natural Gas Wellhead

(dollars per thousand cubic feet) .................
4.79
4.07
4.11
3.67
4.06
4.10
4.03
3.61
3.87
3.98
4.04
4.27
4.15
3.95
4.04
Coal
(dollars per million Btu) ...............................
2.26
2.26
2.28
2.25
2.35
2.41
2.45
2.41
2.47
2.45
2.42
2.40
2.26
2.41
2.44
Real Gross Domestic Product

(billion chained 2005 dollars - SAAR) .........
Percent change from prior year ...................
12,938
2.2
13,059
3.3
13,140
3.5
13,216
3.1
13,228
2.2
13,272
1.6
13,351
1.6
13,373
1.2
13,406
1.3
13,451
1.4
13,498
1.1
13,561
1.4
13,088
3.0
13,306
1.7
13,479
1.3
GDP Implicit Price Deflator

(Index, 2005=100) ........................................
110.4
0.6
110.8
1.1
111.2
1.4
111.7
1.6
112.4
1.8
113.1
2.1
113.7
2.3
114.4
2.4
114.7
2.1
114.7
1.4
115.1
1.2
115.5
1.0
111.0
1.2
113.4
2.2
115.0
1.4
Real Disposable Personal Income

(billion chained 2005 dollars - SAAR) .........
9,923
-0.3
10,058
1.0
10,114
3.0
10,152
3.5
10,183
2.6
10,198
1.4
10,178
0.6
10,245
0.9
10,303
1.2
10,372
1.7
10,391
2.1
10,411
1.6
10,062
1.8
10,201
1.4
10,369
1.6
85.0
2.2
86.9
7.5
88.1
7.2
89.0
6.6
90.6
6.6
90.8
4.4
91.6
4.0
91.8
3.3
92.1
1.6
92.6
2.0
93.2
1.8
94.0
2.3
87.3
5.8
91.2
4.5
93.0
1.9
2,311
12
422
445
62
930
1,665
68
2,285
33
517
432
77
942
1,610
69
2,268
37
540
348
98
776
1,632
77
4,460
1,455
4,489
1,476
4,538
1,238
Energy Consumption
Energy Prices
Macroeconomic
Manufacturing Production Index

(Index, 2007=100) ........................................
Weather
U.S. Heating Degree-Days ..........................
U.S. Cooling Degree-Days ..........................
- = no data available
Prices are not adjusted for inflation.
(a) Includes lease condensate.
(b) Total consumption includes Independent Power Producer (IPP) consumption.
(c) Renewable energy includes minor components of non-marketed renewable energy that is neither bought nor sold, either directly or indirectly, as inputs to marketed energy.
EIA does not estimate or project end-use consumption of non-marketed renewable energy.
(d) The conversion from physical units to Btu is calculated using a subset of conversion factors used in the calculations of gross energy consumption in EIAs Monthly Energy Review (MER).
Consequently, the historical data may not precisely match those published in the MER or the Annual Energy Review (AER).
(e) Refers to the refiner average acquisition cost (RAC) of crude oil.
Notes: The approximate break between historical and forecast values is shown with historical data printed in bold; estimates and forecasts in italics.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports:Petroleum Supply Monthly, DOE/EIA-0109;
Petroleum Supply Annual, DOE/EIA-0340/2; Weekly Petroleum Status Report, DOE/EIA-0208; Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380; Natural Gas Monthly, DOE/EIA-0130;
Electric Power Monthly, DOE/EIA-0226; Quarterly Coal Report, DOE/EIA-0121; and International Petroleum Monthly, DOE/EIA-0520.
Minor discrepancies with published historical data are due to independent rounding.
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model. Macroeconomic projections are based on Global Insight Model of the U.S. Economy.
Weather projections from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Table 2. U.S. Energy Prices

2010
1st
2nd
2011
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
Crude Oil (dollars per barrel)

West Texas Intermediate Spot Average ...........................
Imported Average .............................................................
Refiner Average Acquisition Cost ....................................
Liquid Fuels (cents per gallon)
78.64
75.28
75.89
77.79
74.32
75.34
76.05
73.32
74.06
85.10
81.03
81.69
93.50
94.23
93.98
102.22
108.72
108.13
89.72
101.88
100.65
89.77
101.30
100.33
90.00
100.50
99.50
91.00
101.00
100.00
91.50
101.00
100.00
92.00
101.00
100.00
79.40
75.87
76.72
93.80
101.61
100.85
91.13
100.88
99.88
211
209
205
218
220
212
210
215
204
227
240
234
267
286
275
309
316
305
297
306
295
279
306
301
275
295
289
287
296
285
284
296
284
272
295
287
217
221
215
288
304
292
279
295
287
210
172
219
170
214
166
238
182
287
218
322
246
307
249
307
248
299
242
297
237
296
235
296
237
220
172
306
239
297
238
271
277
285
293
281
286
303
292
272
277
294
281
288
294
315
310
329
335
363
359
380
385
401
391
363
369
387
368
343
349
386
383
340
345
380
380
354
359
380
370
352
358
379
370
338
344
379
377
278
283
299
296
354
360
384
373
346
352
379
377
Average Wellhead (dollars per thousand cubic feet) ......

Henry Hub Spot (dollars per thousand cubic feet) ..........
Henry Hub Spot (dollars per Million Btu) .........................
End-Use Prices (dollars per thousand cubic feet)
4.79
5.30
5.15
4.07
4.45
4.32
4.11
4.41
4.28
3.67
3.91
3.80
4.06
4.31
4.18
4.10
4.50
4.37
4.03
4.25
4.12
3.61
3.81
3.70
3.87
4.16
4.04
3.98
4.16
4.04
4.04
4.19
4.07
4.27
4.50
4.37
4.15
4.52
4.39
3.95
4.22
4.09
4.04
4.25
4.13
Industrial Sector ............................................................

Commercial Sector .......................................................
Residential Sector .........................................................
Electricity
Power Generation Fuel Costs (dollars per million Btu)
6.50
9.34
10.59
4.98
9.26
12.55
5.07
9.64
15.49
4.89
8.66
10.56
5.41
8.74
9.97
5.13
9.14
11.95
5.07
9.82
15.82
5.25
9.32
11.00
5.53
9.08
10.25
5.10
9.36
12.28
5.15
10.02
16.50
5.76
10.09
12.18
5.40
9.15
11.19
5.22
9.10
10.97
5.40
9.53
11.56
Coal ...............................................................................
Natural Gas ..................................................................
Residual Fuel Oil (c) ......................................................
Distillate Fuel Oil ...........................................................
End-Use Prices (cents per kilowatthour)
2.26
6.06
12.10
15.84
2.26
4.89
12.36
16.48
2.28
4.88
12.36
16.18
2.25
4.69
14.19
17.94
2.35
5.05
15.88
20.99
2.41
4.94
18.32
23.55
2.45
4.74
19.44
23.00
2.41
4.52
18.87
23.52
2.47
4.78
18.71
22.84
2.45
4.85
18.63
22.84
2.42
4.69
18.42
22.82
2.40
5.27
18.23
23.20
2.26
5.08
12.63
16.60
2.41
4.80
18.15
22.73
2.44
4.87
18.49
22.93
Industrial Sector ............................................................

Commercial Sector .......................................................
Residential Sector .........................................................
6.53
9.87
10.88
6.75
10.30
11.90
7.17
10.71
12.02
6.67
10.06
11.50
6.68
10.01
11.24
6.85
10.38
11.97
7.37
10.82
12.18
6.90
10.29
11.63
6.70
10.11
11.21
6.93
10.55
12.14
7.35
11.06
12.45
6.85
10.39
11.81
6.79
10.26
11.58
6.96
10.39
11.77
6.97
10.55
11.92
Refiner Prices for Resale

Gasoline ........................................................................
Diesel Fuel ....................................................................
Heating Oil ....................................................................
Refiner Prices to End Users
Jet Fuel .........................................................................
No. 6 Residual Fuel Oil (a) ............................................
Retail Prices Including Taxes
Gasoline Regular Grade (b) ..........................................
Gasoline All Grades (b) .................................................
On-highway Diesel Fuel ................................................
Heating Oil ....................................................................
Natural Gas
(a) Average for all sulfur contents.
(b) Average self-service cash price.
(c) Includes fuel oils No. 4, No. 5, No. 6, and topped crude.
Prices exclude taxes unless otherwise noted
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Petroleum Marketing Monthly , DOE/EIA-0380;
Weekly Petroleum Status Report , DOE/EIA-0208; Natural Gas Monthly , DOE/EIA-0130; Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Monthly Energy Review , DOE/EIA-0035.
Natural gas Henry Hub and WTI crude oil spot prices from Reuter's News Service (http://www.reuters.com).
Projections: Generated by simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 3a. International Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories
2010
2011
2012
Year
2011
2012
21.42
9.69
3.49
2.98
3.73
1.53
65.50
35.15
29.77
5.39
13.20
4.27
12.87
86.92
21.56
10.00
3.59
2.97
3.50
1.51
66.40
35.51
29.72
5.80
13.39
4.40
13.09
87.96
21.93
10.19
3.78
2.92
3.49
1.54
67.42
36.06
29.76
6.29
13.52
4.55
13.29
89.34
53.22
51.77
52.45
53.28
45.46
19.09
0.32
2.22
14.35
4.18
5.30
44.63
4.73
0.77
10.59
10.21
18.32
90.08
46.11
19.13
0.32
2.20
14.33
4.58
5.56
44.46
4.72
0.77
10.84
10.50
17.62
90.58
46.10
19.18
0.24
2.21
14.58
4.45
5.44
40.96
4.29
0.73
9.19
9.93
16.81
87.06
45.70
18.93
0.30
2.21
14.34
4.48
5.44
42.53
4.54
0.75
9.88
10.23
17.13
88.23
45.66
19.04
0.32
2.18
14.20
4.48
5.45
43.96
4.62
0.76
10.45
10.44
17.69
89.62
-0.44
-0.02
-0.03
-0.49
-0.15
0.32
0.53
0.70
0.52
0.16
0.27
0.95
-0.05
-0.03
0.22
0.14
0.19
-0.09
0.17
0.27
-0.01
0.11
0.18
0.28
1,068
2,699
1,082
2,683
1,034
2,620
1,068
2,661
1,028
2,655
1,034
2,620
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Supply (million barrels per day) (a)

OECD ................................................
U.S. (50 States) .............................
Canada ..........................................
Mexico ............................................
North Sea (b) .................................
Other OECD ...................................
Non-OECD ........................................
OPEC .............................................
Crude Oil Portion ........................
Other Liquids ...............................
Former Soviet Union ......................
China ..............................................
Other Non-OECD ...........................
Total World Supply ............................
21.56
9.58
3.37
3.02
4.08
1.51
64.54
34.51
29.40
5.11
13.11
4.16
12.77
86.10
21.34
9.58
3.47
2.99
3.74
1.55
65.28
35.02
29.65
5.37
13.15
4.23
12.87
86.62
21.05
9.70
3.49
2.97
3.36
1.54
66.16
35.71
30.15
5.57
13.20
4.31
12.94
87.21
21.75
9.89
3.64
2.95
3.76
1.51
65.97
35.35
29.85
5.49
13.32
4.39
12.91
87.72
21.47
9.77
3.63
2.99
3.61
1.46
65.94
35.32
29.78
5.54
13.34
4.36
12.93
87.41
21.18
10.00
3.41
2.98
3.34
1.45
64.87
34.67
29.20
5.48
13.35
4.33
12.52
86.05
21.61
10.04
3.65
2.95
3.41
1.56
67.65
35.94
29.98
5.95
13.41
4.41
13.89
89.26
21.99
10.16
3.68
2.94
3.64
1.55
67.09
36.10
29.90
6.20
13.46
4.50
13.03
89.08
22.03
10.13
3.73
2.94
3.69
1.54
67.03
35.65
29.41
6.25
13.68
4.50
13.19
89.07
22.03
10.26
3.76
2.92
3.55
1.54
67.26
35.89
29.62
6.27
13.60
4.55
13.22
89.29
21.79
10.20
3.80
2.91
3.32
1.56
67.60
36.27
29.93
6.35
13.45
4.56
13.31
89.38
21.86
10.18
3.84
2.89
3.42
1.53
67.76
36.40
30.09
6.31
13.35
4.58
13.43
89.62
Non-OPEC Supply ............................
51.59
51.60
51.50
52.37
52.09
51.38
53.32
52.97
53.41
53.40
53.11
Consumption (million barrels per day) (c)

OECD ................................................
45.88
U.S. (50 States) .............................
18.87
U.S. Territories ...............................
0.24
Canada ..........................................
2.15
Europe ............................................ 14.31
Japan .............................................
4.82
Other OECD ...................................
5.48
Non-OECD ........................................
39.68
Former Soviet Union ......................
4.21
Europe ............................................
0.72
China ..............................................
8.74
Other Asia ......................................
9.89
Other Non-OECD ...........................
16.13
Total World Consumption .................
85.56
45.25
19.15
0.24
2.17
14.25
4.07
5.37
41.01
4.16
0.73
9.18
10.08
16.86
86.26
46.57
19.47
0.24
2.26
14.92
4.36
5.32
41.26
4.39
0.73
9.04
9.68
17.43
87.84
46.68
19.23
0.24
2.25
14.82
4.57
5.57
41.85
4.40
0.75
9.79
10.08
16.83
88.53
46.20
19.09
0.30
2.25
14.18
4.86
5.52
41.12
4.47
0.74
9.28
10.21
16.42
87.32
44.50
18.75
0.30
2.16
14.13
3.92
5.24
42.79
4.40
0.74
9.99
10.40
17.26
87.29
45.69
18.90
0.30
2.23
14.51
4.37
5.37
43.17
4.66
0.77
9.99
10.00
17.75
88.86
46.41
19.00
0.30
2.20
14.52
4.77
5.62
43.01
4.65
0.77
10.24
10.29
17.07
89.42
46.33
19.03
0.32
2.18
14.23
5.02
5.56
42.68
4.54
0.74
9.90
10.44
17.05
89.01
44.74
18.90
0.32
2.11
13.89
4.14
5.38
44.06
4.47
0.75
10.44
10.62
17.78
88.80
Inventory Net Withdrawals (million barrels per day)

U.S. (50 States) ................................
-0.12
-0.60
Other OECD ......................................
-0.26
-0.32
Other Stock Draws and Balance ......
-0.16
0.56
Total Stock Draw ............................
-0.54
-0.36
-0.21
0.30
0.53
0.62
0.73
0.13
-0.05
0.81
0.27
0.16
-0.52
-0.09
-0.42
-0.09
1.75
1.24
0.29
-0.33
-0.37
-0.41
0.62
-0.10
-0.17
0.35
0.01
-0.02
-0.04
-0.05
End-of-period Inventories (million barrels)

U.S. Commercial Inventory ..............
1,060
OECD Commercial Inventory ...........
2,665
1,135
2,740
1,068
2,661
1,043
2,622
1,081
2,668
1,085
2,703
1,028
2,655
1,028
2,657
1,115
2,749
2010
OECD = Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal,
Slovakia, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries: Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Venezuela.
Former Soviet Union = Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Estonia, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and Uzbekistan.
(a) Supply includes production of crude oil (including lease condensates), natural gas plant liquids, biofuels, other liquids, and refinery processing gains.
(b) Includes offshore supply from Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, and the United Kingdom.
(c) Consumption of petroleum by the OECD countries is synonymous with "petroleum product supplied," defined in the glossary of the EIA Petroleum Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-0109.
Consumption of petroleum by the non-OECD countries is "apparent consumption," which includes internal consumption, refinery fuel and loss, and bunkering.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration international energy statistics; and International Energy Agency, Monthly Oil Data Service, latest monthly release.
Table 3b. Non-OPEC Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply (million barrels per day)
2010
2011
2012
Year
2011
2012
16.16
3.49
2.98
9.69
16.55
3.59
2.97
10.00
16.89
3.78
2.92
10.19
5.20
0.72
2.96
1.05
0.46
4.76
0.78
2.72
0.80
0.46
5.08
0.72
2.72
0.94
0.70
5.10
0.72
2.90
1.02
0.46
4.23
1.98
1.10
0.24
4.33
2.03
1.14
0.24
4.61
2.13
1.32
0.28
4.43
2.06
1.18
0.26
4.41
2.07
1.18
0.25
13.60
1.19
1.81
10.14
0.24
0.47
13.45
1.14
1.82
10.03
0.25
0.47
13.35
1.09
1.83
9.96
0.25
0.47
13.20
1.04
1.61
10.14
0.20
0.41
13.39
1.01
1.68
10.24
0.22
0.45
13.52
1.15
1.81
10.09
0.24
0.47
1.50
0.88
0.33
0.24
1.48
0.88
0.33
0.23
1.48
0.88
0.33
0.22
1.49
0.87
0.34
0.23
1.58
0.87
0.40
0.26
1.48
0.88
0.36
0.19
1.49
0.88
0.33
0.23
9.20
0.55
4.50
0.99
1.03
0.65
0.43
9.24
0.55
4.50
1.01
1.03
0.65
0.45
9.29
0.55
4.55
1.00
1.03
0.63
0.48
9.33
0.56
4.56
1.00
1.03
0.63
0.50
9.36
0.53
4.58
1.01
1.03
0.65
0.52
8.88
0.55
4.27
0.95
1.03
0.67
0.34
8.95
0.50
4.40
1.00
1.00
0.63
0.37
9.31
0.55
4.55
1.00
1.03
0.64
0.49
2.58
0.68
0.30
0.22
0.46
2.58
0.69
0.29
0.21
0.46
2.58
0.70
0.29
0.21
0.46
2.57
0.70
0.29
0.21
0.46
2.57
0.70
0.29
0.20
0.46
2.58
0.70
0.29
0.20
0.46
2.58
0.66
0.32
0.23
0.51
2.56
0.67
0.30
0.21
0.47
2.57
0.70
0.29
0.21
0.46
51.38
53.32
52.97
53.41
53.40
53.11
53.22
51.77
52.45
53.28
5.48
56.86
5.95
59.28
6.20
59.17
6.25
59.66
6.27
59.67
6.35
59.46
6.31
59.53
5.39
57.15
5.80
58.24
6.29
59.58
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
North America ...................................

Canada ................................................
Mexico ..................................................
United States .......................................
15.97
3.37
3.02
9.58
16.04
3.47
2.99
9.58
16.16
3.49
2.97
9.70
16.48
3.64
2.95
9.89
16.40
3.63
2.99
9.77
16.40
3.41
2.98
10.00
16.63
3.65
2.95
10.04
16.79
3.68
2.94
10.16
16.80
3.73
2.94
10.13
16.94
3.76
2.92
10.26
16.91
3.80
2.91
10.20
16.92
3.84
2.89
10.18
Central and South America ............

Argentina .............................................
Brazil ....................................................
Colombia ..............................................
Other Central and S. America .............
4.71
0.80
2.67
0.77
0.47
4.78
0.79
2.73
0.79
0.46
4.77
0.79
2.71
0.81
0.46
4.79
0.75
2.76
0.83
0.45
4.80
0.78
2.70
0.88
0.45
4.78
0.70
2.70
0.94
0.45
5.83
0.71
2.70
0.96
1.46
4.90
0.71
2.76
0.97
0.45
5.01
0.72
2.83
0.99
0.46
5.06
0.72
2.87
1.01
0.46
5.13
0.73
2.92
1.03
0.46
Europe ...............................................
Norway .................................................
United Kingdom (offshore) ..................
Other North Sea ..................................
4.92
2.32
1.46
0.30
4.61
2.11
1.35
0.29
4.25
1.93
1.18
0.25
4.67
2.18
1.30
0.28
4.54
2.10
1.24
0.27
4.27
1.94
1.12
0.27
4.36
2.09
1.06
0.26
4.57
2.08
1.30
0.26
4.61
2.14
1.30
0.26
4.45
2.12
1.17
0.25
Former Soviet Union (FSU) ..............

Azerbaijan ............................................
Kazakhstan ..........................................
Russia ..................................................
Turkmenistan .......................................
Other FSU ...........................................
13.11
1.00
1.61
10.10
0.20
0.41
13.15
1.05
1.57
10.14
0.20
0.39
13.20
1.05
1.61
10.14
0.20
0.40
13.32
1.06
1.66
10.17
0.21
0.44
13.34
1.00
1.67
10.22
0.22
0.45
13.35
1.00
1.65
10.24
0.22
0.45
13.41
1.00
1.67
10.29
0.22
0.46
13.46
1.05
1.74
10.22
0.23
0.46
13.68
1.19
1.80
10.23
0.24
0.46
Middle East ........................................

Oman ...................................................
Syria .....................................................
Yemen .................................................
1.59
0.86
0.40
0.27
1.58
0.86
0.40
0.26
1.57
0.87
0.40
0.25
1.58
0.88
0.40
0.25
1.56
0.89
0.38
0.24
1.40
0.87
0.38
0.10
1.48
0.87
0.37
0.19
1.48
0.86
0.33
0.23
Asia and Oceania ............................

Australia ...............................................
China ...................................................
India .....................................................
Indonesia .............................................
Malaysia ...............................................
Vietnam ................................................
8.68
0.56
4.16
0.91
1.02
0.68
0.35
8.84
0.58
4.23
0.92
1.04
0.67
0.34
8.99
0.55
4.31
0.98
1.04
0.65
0.36
9.00
0.53
4.39
1.00
1.00
0.66
0.34
8.90
0.46
4.36
1.00
1.00
0.66
0.36
8.67
0.45
4.33
0.99
0.97
0.58
0.31
9.03
0.55
4.41
1.00
1.01
0.63
0.38
Africa ..................................................
Egypt ....................................................
Equatorial Guinea ................................
Gabon ..................................................
Sudan ..................................................
2.61
0.66
0.33
0.23
0.51
2.59
0.66
0.33
0.23
0.51
2.56
0.66
0.32
0.23
0.51
2.54
0.66
0.31
0.22
0.51
2.55
0.66
0.31
0.22
0.49
2.52
0.66
0.31
0.20
0.46
Total non-OPEC liquids ....................
51.59
51.60
51.50
52.37
52.09
OPEC non-crude liquids .................

Non-OPEC + OPEC non-crude .......
5.11
56.70
5.37
56.97
5.57
57.07
5.49
57.86
5.54
57.63
2010
Sudan production represents total production from both north and south.
Supply includes production of crude oil (including lease condensates), natural gas plant liquids, biofuels, other liquids, and refinery processing gains.
Not all countries are shown in each region and sum of reported country volumes may not equal regional volumes.
Table 3c. OPEC Crude Oil (excluding condensates) Supply (million barrels per day)
2010
2011
2012
Year
2011
2012
1.30
1.85
0.49
3.75
2.37
2.28
1.65
2.05
0.85
8.78
2.30
2.11
29.77
29.72
29.76
6.31
5.39
5.80
6.29
36.27
36.40
35.15
35.51
36.06
33.58
33.89
34.05
1.30
1.85
0.49
3.75
2.37
2.60
1.65
2.05
0.85
12.19
2.60
2.11
33.27
32.82
33.67
3.96
3.96
3.96
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.32
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.41
0.30
0.00
3.51
3.10
3.91
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Crude Oil
Algeria ..........................................
Angola ..........................................
Ecudaor ........................................
Iran ...............................................
Iraq ...............................................
Kuwait ...........................................
Libya .............................................
Nigeria ..........................................
Qatar ............................................
Saudi Arabia .................................
United Arab Emirates ....................
Venezuela .....................................
OPEC Total ...............................
1.35
1.97
0.47
3.80
2.42
2.30
1.65
2.03
0.84
8.20
2.30
2.07
29.40
1.30
1.94
0.48
3.80
2.37
2.23
1.65
1.95
0.85
8.70
2.30
2.09
29.65
1.27
1.79
0.49
3.70
2.32
2.30
1.65
2.08
0.85
9.30
2.30
2.10
30.15
1.27
1.70
0.50
3.70
2.40
2.30
1.65
2.12
0.85
8.90
2.30
2.17
29.85
1.27
1.70
0.50
3.70
2.53
2.33
1.09
2.13
0.85
9.03
2.43
2.20
29.78
1.27
1.60
0.50
3.70
2.53
2.50
0.17
2.15
0.85
9.13
2.60
2.20
29.20
1.27
1.70
0.49
3.65
2.63
2.53
0.07
2.19
0.85
9.80
2.60
2.20
29.98
29.90
29.41
29.62
29.93
30.09
Other Liquids .................................
5.11
5.37
5.57
5.49
5.54
5.48
5.95
6.20
6.25
6.27
6.35
Total OPEC Supply ........................
34.51
35.02
35.71
35.35
35.32
34.67
35.94
36.10
35.65
35.89
Crude Oil Production Capacity

Algeria ..........................................
Angola ..........................................
Ecudaor ........................................
Iran ...............................................
Iraq ...............................................
Kuwait ...........................................
Libya .............................................
Nigeria ..........................................
Qatar ............................................
Saudi Arabia .................................
Venezuela .....................................
OPEC Total ...............................
1.35
1.97
0.47
3.80
2.42
2.60
1.65
2.03
0.85
12.00
2.60
2.07
33.22
1.30
1.94
0.48
3.80
2.37
2.60
1.65
1.95
0.85
12.25
2.60
2.09
33.36
1.27
1.79
0.49
3.70
2.32
2.60
1.65
2.08
0.85
12.25
2.60
2.10
33.21
1.27
1.70
0.50
3.70
2.40
2.60
1.65
2.12
0.85
12.25
2.60
2.17
33.30
1.27
1.70
0.50
3.70
2.53
2.55
1.09
2.13
0.85
12.25
2.66
2.20
33.41
1.27
1.60
0.50
3.70
2.53
2.55
0.17
2.15
0.85
12.25
2.66
2.20
32.42
1.27
1.70
0.49
3.65
2.63
2.55
0.07
2.19
0.85
12.25
2.66
2.20
32.50
32.95
33.17
Surplus Crude Oil Production Capacity

Algeria ..........................................
0.00
Angola ..........................................
0.00
Ecudaor ........................................
0.00
Iran ...............................................
0.00
Iraq ...............................................
0.00
Kuwait ...........................................
0.30
Libya .............................................
0.00
Nigeria ..........................................
0.00
Qatar ............................................
0.01
Saudi Arabia .................................
3.80
0.30
Venezuela .....................................
0.00
3.82
OPEC Total ...............................
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.37
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.55
0.30
0.00
3.71
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.95
0.30
0.00
3.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.35
0.30
0.00
3.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.22
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.22
0.23
0.00
3.63
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.12
0.06
0.00
3.22
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.45
0.06
0.00
2.52
3.04
3.76
2010
Table 3d. World Liquid Fuels Consumption (million barrels per day)
2010
2011
2012
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
North America ............................................................

Canada ........................................................................
Mexico .........................................................................
United States ...............................................................
23.11
2.15
2.07
18.87
23.42
2.17
2.10
19.15
23.79
2.26
2.05
19.47
23.55
2.25
2.07
19.23
23.37
2.25
2.03
19.09
22.96
2.16
2.05
18.75
23.21
2.23
2.08
18.90
23.32
2.20
2.11
19.00
23.32
2.18
2.10
19.03
23.14
2.11
2.12
18.90
23.41
2.22
2.09
19.09
23.44
2.20
2.10
19.13
Central and South America .....................................

Brazil ............................................................................
6.11
2.52
6.34
2.63
6.49
2.73
6.43
2.72
6.33
2.61
6.57
2.71
6.59
2.77
6.57
2.76
6.52
2.73
6.76
2.84
6.79
2.90
Europe .......................................................................
15.03
14.98
15.65
15.58
14.92
14.87
15.28
15.29
14.98
14.64
Former Soviet Union ..................................................

Russia ..........................................................................
4.21
2.88
4.16
2.85
4.39
3.00
4.40
3.01
4.47
3.04
4.40
3.00
4.66
3.17
4.65
3.16
4.54
3.07
Middle East ................................................................
6.96
7.37
7.82
7.25
7.08
7.71
8.20
7.50
Asia and Oceania .....................................................

China ...........................................................................
Japan ...........................................................................
India .............................................................................
26.86
8.74
4.82
3.23
26.61
9.18
4.07
3.29
26.35
9.04
4.36
2.99
27.94
9.79
4.57
3.23
27.85
9.28
4.86
3.39
27.52
9.99
3.92
3.38
27.68
9.99
4.37
3.10
Africa ..........................................................................
3.28
3.38
3.34
3.37
3.29
3.27
Total OECD Liquid Fuels Consumption ..................

Total non-OECD Liquid Fuels Consumption ...........
45.88
39.68
45.25
41.01
46.57
41.26
46.68
41.85
46.20
41.12
Total World Liquid Fuels Consumption ...................
85.56
86.26
87.84
88.53
World Real Gross Domestic Product (a) .................

Index, 2007 Q1 = 100 ..................................................
Percent change from prior year ...................................
105.57
4.4
106.81
4.9
107.62
4.5
Real U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate (a)

Index, January 2007 = 100 ..........................................
Percent change from prior year ...................................
97.51
-6.4
99.77
-1.1
98.63
0.8
2010
2011
2012
23.47
2.21
2.07
19.18
23.22
2.21
2.06
18.93
23.33
2.18
2.10
19.04
6.77
2.88
6.34
2.65
6.52
2.72
6.71
2.84
15.12
15.10
15.31
15.09
14.96
4.47
3.03
4.73
3.20
4.72
3.20
4.29
2.94
4.54
3.09
4.62
3.12
7.42
7.93
8.47
7.75
7.35
7.63
7.89
28.82
10.24
4.77
3.35
28.83
9.90
5.02
3.50
28.47
10.44
4.14
3.48
28.21
10.59
4.18
3.19
29.40
10.84
4.58
3.45
26.94
9.19
4.45
3.18
27.97
9.88
4.48
3.30
28.73
10.45
4.48
3.40
3.24
3.27
3.40
3.38
3.36
3.39
3.34
3.27
3.38
44.50
42.79
45.69
43.17
46.41
43.01
46.33
42.68
44.74
44.06
45.46
44.63
46.11
44.46
46.10
40.96
45.70
42.53
45.66
43.96
87.32
87.29
88.86
89.42
89.01
88.80
90.08
90.58
87.06
88.23
89.62
108.51
4.2
109.32
3.5
109.86
2.9
110.65
2.8
111.41
2.7
112.23
2.7
113.19
3.0
114.22
3.2
115.37
3.6
107.14
4.5
110.31
3.0
113.76
3.1
96.10
0.8
97.24
-0.3
96.93
-2.8
96.36
-2.3
95.81
-0.3
95.58
-1.7
95.67
-1.3
95.73
-0.7
95.78
0.0
98.00
-1.6
96.58
-1.4
95.69
-0.9
OECD = Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal,
Slovakia, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
(a) Weighted geometric mean of real indices for various countries with weights equal to each country's share of world oil consumption in the base period. Exchange rate is measured in foreign currency per U.S.
dollar.
Table 4a. U.S. Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Supply, Consumption, and Inventories
2010
1st
Supply (million barrels per day)
Crude Oil Supply
Domestic Production (a) .........................................
Alaska .................................................................
Federal Gulf of Mexico (b) ...................................
Lower 48 States (excl GOM) ...............................
Crude Oil Net Imports (c) ........................................
SPR Net Withdrawals ............................................
Commercial Inventory Net Withdrawals .................
Crude Oil Adjustment (d) ........................................
Total Crude Oil Input to Refineries ............................
Other Supply
Refinery Processing Gain .......................................
Natural Gas Liquids Production .............................
Renewables and Oxygenate Production (e) ...........
Fuel Ethanol Production ......................................
Petroleum Products Adjustment (f) ........................
Product Net Imports (c) ..........................................
Pentanes Plus .....................................................
Liquefied Petroleum Gas .....................................
Unfinished Oils ....................................................
Other HC/Oxygenates ..........................................
Motor Gasoline Blend Comp. ..............................
Finished Motor Gasoline .....................................
Jet Fuel ................................................................
Distillate Fuel Oil .................................................
Residual Fuel Oil .................................................
Other Oils (g) .......................................................
Product Inventory Net Withdrawals ........................
Total Supply ...............................................................
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
5.49
0.64
4.85
0.00
8.82
0.00
-0.38
0.04
13.98
5.40
0.58
1.52
3.30
9.73
0.00
-0.07
0.18
15.24
5.46
0.57
1.52
3.37
9.52
0.00
0.03
0.12
15.13
5.54
0.61
1.51
3.42
8.61
0.00
0.32
0.06
14.54
5.57
0.56
1.54
3.47
8.68
0.00
-0.32
0.31
14.23
5.63
0.58
1.46
3.59
8.95
0.00
0.05
0.21
14.81
5.65
0.52
1.26
3.87
9.01
0.33
0.24
0.23
15.46
5.88
0.58
1.36
3.95
8.66
0.00
0.14
-0.01
14.67
5.93
0.57
1.40
3.96
8.70
0.00
-0.27
0.06
14.43
5.96
0.55
1.38
4.03
9.00
0.00
0.04
0.09
15.10
5.90
0.53
1.33
4.04
9.08
0.00
0.14
0.04
15.15
5.90
0.51
1.34
4.05
8.52
0.00
0.14
-0.02
14.55
5.47
0.60
2.34
2.53
9.17
0.00
-0.02
0.10
14.72
5.69
0.56
1.41
3.72
8.82
0.08
0.03
0.18
14.80
5.92
0.54
1.37
4.02
8.83
0.00
0.02
0.04
14.81
1.03
2.05
0.87
0.84
0.15
0.54
-0.03
0.08
0.52
-0.06
0.61
-0.12
0.01
-0.10
-0.02
-0.35
0.26
18.87
1.06
2.07
0.89
0.85
0.16
0.26
-0.01
-0.01
0.57
-0.07
0.74
-0.11
0.02
-0.48
-0.03
-0.38
-0.53
19.15
1.10
2.06
0.91
0.87
0.18
0.35
0.01
-0.02
0.65
-0.09
0.83
-0.12
0.03
-0.54
-0.07
-0.34
-0.24
19.47
1.08
2.13
0.95
0.91
0.18
-0.06
0.01
0.03
0.68
-0.09
0.62
-0.30
-0.01
-0.58
-0.03
-0.39
0.41
19.23
1.03
2.04
0.95
0.91
0.18
0.05
0.01
0.04
0.62
-0.10
0.65
-0.30
-0.04
-0.44
0.02
-0.39
0.60
19.08
1.06
2.19
0.94
0.89
0.19
0.02
0.06
-0.08
0.65
-0.11
0.83
-0.31
0.01
-0.62
-0.03
-0.38
-0.46
18.75
1.11
2.17
0.94
0.89
0.17
-0.66
-0.01
-0.04
0.62
-0.09
0.57
-0.31
-0.02
-0.72
-0.22
-0.42
-0.28
18.91
1.05
2.17
0.93
0.90
0.13
-0.42
-0.02
-0.04
0.63
-0.08
0.63
-0.40
-0.03
-0.58
-0.11
-0.42
0.47
19.01
1.00
2.11
0.95
0.92
0.13
0.14
-0.01
0.06
0.61
-0.08
0.69
-0.31
-0.01
-0.45
-0.01
-0.33
0.27
19.03
1.02
2.19
0.95
0.92
0.13
-0.01
-0.01
-0.04
0.62
-0.09
0.74
-0.32
0.00
-0.45
-0.04
-0.42
-0.48
18.90
1.05
2.17
0.95
0.92
0.13
-0.08
-0.01
-0.01
0.72
-0.09
0.71
-0.31
-0.02
-0.48
-0.14
-0.44
-0.29
19.09
1.04
2.16
0.95
0.92
0.13
-0.07
-0.02
0.01
0.61
-0.09
0.70
-0.40
-0.03
-0.31
-0.09
-0.46
0.38
19.13
1.07
2.07
0.91
0.87
0.17
0.27
-0.01
0.02
0.61
-0.08
0.70
-0.16
0.01
-0.43
-0.04
-0.36
-0.03
19.18
1.06
2.14
0.94
0.90
0.17
-0.25
0.01
-0.03
0.63
-0.10
0.67
-0.33
-0.02
-0.59
-0.09
-0.40
0.08
18.94
1.03
2.16
0.95
0.92
0.13
-0.01
-0.01
0.01
0.64
-0.09
0.71
-0.34
-0.01
-0.42
-0.07
-0.41
-0.03
19.04
0.09
2.46
0.03
0.07
1.89
0.02
0.11
2.03
0.00
0.10
2.32
0.00
0.10
2.45
0.06
0.11
1.95
-0.03
0.09
1.98
0.01
0.10
2.26
0.01
0.09
2.45
0.01
0.08
1.98
0.00
0.09
2.06
0.00
0.10
2.30
0.02
0.09
2.17
0.01
0.10
2.16
0.01
0.09
2.20
0.01
8.63
1.38
3.79
0.55
1.93
18.87
9.19
1.47
3.71
0.54
2.25
19.15
9.22
1.48
3.75
0.53
2.35
19.47
8.92
1.40
3.94
0.52
2.04
19.23
8.60
1.36
3.95
0.60
1.96
19.09
8.86
1.47
3.75
0.52
2.11
18.75
8.92
1.48
3.76
0.38
2.29
18.90
8.71
1.41
4.05
0.43
2.02
19.00
8.59
1.39
3.97
0.56
1.97
19.03
8.89
1.46
3.79
0.53
2.17
18.90
8.99
1.48
3.81
0.43
2.24
19.09
8.79
1.41
4.05
0.49
1.98
19.13
8.99
1.43
3.80
0.54
2.14
19.18
8.77
1.43
3.88
0.48
2.10
18.93
8.81
1.43
3.91
0.50
2.09
19.04
................................
9.36
9.99
9.87
8.55
8.74
8.97
8.35
8.24
8.83
8.99
9.00
8.45
9.44
8.57
8.82

Commercial Inventory
Crude Oil (excluding SPR) .....................................
Pentanes Plus ........................................................
Liquefied Petroleum Gas ........................................
Unfinished Oils .......................................................
Other HC/Oxygenates .............................................
Total Motor Gasoline ..............................................
Motor Gasoline Blend Comp. ..............................
Jet Fuel ...................................................................
Distillate Fuel Oil ....................................................
Residual Fuel Oil ....................................................
Other Oils (f) ...........................................................
Total Commercial Inventory .......................................
Crude Oil in SPR .......................................................
Heating Oil Reserve ..................................................
359.2
9.4
72.9
87.2
22.6
225.0
81.9
143.1
42.2
146.8
40.7
54.4
1,060
727
2.0
365.5
11.5
119.9
84.2
20.5
215.6
71.8
143.8
44.8
157.9
42.7
52.3
1,115
727
2.0
362.8
11.9
141.4
83.3
18.9
219.3
70.2
149.0
46.8
166.7
40.1
43.4
1,135
727
2.0
333.4
12.5
108.3
80.6
19.4
219.4
63.3
156.2
43.2
164.3
41.3
45.0
1,068
727
2.0
362.6
10.8
68.7
87.4
23.2
214.9
60.8
154.1
40.0
148.5
37.1
49.6
1,043
727
0.0
358.5
15.3
105.3
91.9
21.2
215.2
56.4
158.8
42.3
143.7
37.4
50.5
1,081
727
0.0
336.5
17.7
133.5
85.6
19.8
213.1
55.8
157.3
46.5
156.5
33.6
42.3
1,085
696
0.0
323.3
14.5
100.7
81.0
19.7
218.6
56.6
162.1
44.0
147.2
36.1
43.3
1,028
696
1.0
347.5
13.4
70.0
90.3
21.6
219.0
53.7
165.3
43.9
130.9
38.1
52.8
1,028
696
1.0
343.5
14.7
109.7
87.0
20.7
217.9
56.3
161.6
44.0
141.1
38.8
50.2
1,068
696
1.0
330.6
15.3
137.3
86.4
21.2
212.8
56.0
156.8
44.7
152.1
38.1
43.2
1,082
696
1.0
317.3
12.7
103.7
80.5
20.7
220.8
55.9
164.9
42.1
153.3
38.2
44.1
1,034
696
1.0
333.4
12.5
108.3
80.6
19.4
219.4
63.3
156.2
43.2
164.3
41.3
45.0
1,068
727
2.0
323.3
14.5
100.7
81.0
19.7
218.6
56.6
162.1
44.0
147.2
36.1
43.3
1,028
696
1.0
317.3
12.7
103.7
80.5
20.7
220.8
55.9
164.9
42.1
153.3
38.2
44.1
1,034
696
1.0
Consumption (million barrels per day)

Natural Gas Liquids and Other Liquids
Pentanes Plus ........................................................
Liquefied Petroleum Gas ........................................
Unfinished Oils .......................................................
Finished Liquid Fuels
Motor Gasoline .......................................................
Jet Fuel ...................................................................
Distillate Fuel Oil ....................................................
Residual Fuel Oil ....................................................
Other Oils (f) ...........................................................
Total Consumption ....................................................
Total Liquid Fuels Net Imports
(a) Includes lease condensate.
(b) Crude oil production from U.S. Federal leases in the Gulf of Mexico (GOM).
(c) Net imports equals gross imports minus gross exports.
(d) Crude oil adjustment balances supply and consumption and was previously referred to as "Unaccounted for Crude Oil."
(e) Renewables and oxygenate production includes pentanes plus, oxygenates (excluding fuel ethanol), and renewable fuels.
(f) Petroleum products adjustment includes hydrogen/oxygenates/renewables/other hydrocarbons, motor gasoline blend components, and finished motor gasoline.
(g) "Other Oils" inludes aviation gasoline blend components, finished aviation gasoline, kerosene, petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, petroleum coke, asphalt and road oil, still
gas, and miscellaneous products.
SPR: Strategic Petroleum Reserve
HC: Hydrocarbons
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Petroleum Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-0109;
Petroleum Supply Annual , DOE/EIA-0340/2; and Weekly Petroleum Status Report , DOE/EIA-0208.
Table 4b. U.S. Petroleum Refinery Balance (Million Barrels per Day, Except Utilization Factor)
2010
1st
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
Refinery and Blender Net Inputs

Crude OIl ............................................................
Pentanes Plus .....................................................
Liquefied Petroleum Gas ....................................
Other Hydrocarbons/Oxygenates .......................
Unfinished Oils ....................................................
Motor Gasoline Blend Components ....................
Aviation Gasoline Blend Components ................
Total Refinery and Blender Net Inputs ...................
13.98
0.14
0.30
0.88
0.41
0.48
0.00
16.20
15.24
0.15
0.24
0.97
0.58
0.73
0.00
17.91
15.13
0.16
0.24
0.98
0.66
0.86
0.00
18.03
14.54
0.17
0.37
0.99
0.71
0.61
0.00
17.38
14.23
0.17
0.34
0.96
0.48
0.60
0.00
16.78
14.81
0.18
0.26
1.01
0.63
0.82
0.00
17.72
15.46
0.17
0.27
1.01
0.68
0.58
0.00
18.17
14.67
0.18
0.38
0.95
0.67
0.58
0.00
17.43
14.43
0.16
0.33
0.96
0.49
0.63
0.00
17.00
15.10
0.17
0.25
0.98
0.65
0.77
0.00
17.92
15.15
0.17
0.26
0.97
0.73
0.76
0.00
18.05
14.55
0.17
0.38
0.97
0.65
0.62
0.00
17.35
14.72
0.16
0.29
0.96
0.59
0.67
0.00
17.38
14.80
0.17
0.31
0.98
0.62
0.65
0.00
17.53
14.81
0.17
0.31
0.97
0.63
0.70
0.00
17.58
Refinery Processing Gain .................................
1.03
1.06
1.10
1.08
1.03
1.06
1.11
1.05
1.00
1.02
1.05
1.04
1.07
1.06
1.03
Refinery and Blender Net Production

Liquefied Petroleum Gas ....................................
Jet Fuel ...............................................................
Distillate Fuel ......................................................
Residual Fuel ......................................................
Other Oils (a) ......................................................
Total Refinery and Blender Net Production ...........
0.58
8.59
1.35
3.68
0.61
2.40
17.22
0.86
9.13
1.47
4.31
0.59
2.61
18.97
0.75
9.36
1.47
4.39
0.57
2.59
19.13
0.44
9.14
1.38
4.50
0.56
2.44
18.46
0.52
8.76
1.37
4.21
0.53
2.41
17.80
0.81
9.12
1.49
4.31
0.55
2.50
18.78
0.74
9.19
1.55
4.62
0.56
2.62
19.28
0.43
9.07
1.42
4.53
0.57
2.46
18.48
0.53
8.82
1.40
4.25
0.59
2.41
18.00
0.82
9.18
1.46
4.35
0.58
2.56
18.95
0.76
9.26
1.50
4.41
0.56
2.60
19.10
0.42
9.15
1.41
4.38
0.58
2.45
18.39
0.66
9.06
1.42
4.22
0.58
2.51
18.45
0.62
9.04
1.46
4.42
0.55
2.50
18.59
0.63
9.10
1.44
4.35
0.58
2.51
18.61
Refinery Distillation Inputs ...............................

Refinery Operable Distillation Capacity ..........
Refinery Distillation Utilization Factor ..............
14.32
17.59
0.81
15.66
17.57
0.89
15.65
17.59
0.89
15.06
17.55
0.86
14.69
17.70
0.83
15.22
17.74
0.86
15.86
17.74
0.89
15.08
17.74
0.85
14.78
17.74
0.83
15.41
17.74
0.87
15.49
17.74
0.87
14.91
17.74
0.84
15.18
17.57
0.86
15.22
17.73
0.86
15.15
17.74
0.85
(a) "Other Oils" includes aviation gasoline blend components, finished aviation gasoline, kerosene, petrochemical feedstocks, special naphthas, lubricants, waxes, petroleum coke, asphalt and road oil, still
gas, and miscellaneous products.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Petroleum Supply Monthly, DOE/EIA-0109;
Petroleum Supply Annual, DOE/EIA-0340/2; Weekly Petroleum Status Report , DOE/EIA-0208.
Table 4c. U.S. Regional Motor Gasoline Prices and Inventories

2010
1st
2nd
Prices (cents per gallon)

Refiner Wholesale Price .......................
211
Gasoline Regular Grade Retail Prices Including Taxes
PADD 1 ..............................................
271
PADD 2 ..............................................
265
PADD 3 ..............................................
259
PADD 4 ..............................................
264
PADD 5 ..............................................
294
U.S. Average ...................................
271
Gasoline All Grades Including Taxes
277
Total Gasoline Inventories
PADD 1 ..............................................
56.8
PADD 2 ..............................................
55.2
PADD 3 ..............................................
74.9
PADD 4 ..............................................
5.9
PADD 5 ..............................................
32.3
U.S. Total ........................................
225.0
Finished Gasoline Inventories
U.S. Total ........................................
81.9
Gasoline Blending Components Inventories
U.S. Total ........................................
143.1
2012
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
218
210
227
267
309
297
279
275
287
284
272
217
288
279
278
276
269
284
304
281
286
265
270
257
279
304
272
277
288
286
272
279
311
288
294
329
326
314
311
353
329
335
377
380
365
365
400
380
385
364
364
349
355
377
363
369
343
335
327
344
372
343
349
340
333
327
332
365
340
345
351
347
340
348
383
354
359
350
346
336
351
380
352
358
338
331
323
335
366
338
344
275
274
264
276
303
278
283
353
352
339
344
376
354
360
345
340
331
342
374
346
352
60.1
49.3
72.5
6.4
27.3
215.6
55.3
52.5
73.9
6.5
31.1
219.3
52.7
49.1
78.4
7.0
32.3
219.4
55.0
50.5
70.3
6.5
32.7
214.9
55.1
49.5
73.5
6.6
30.4
215.2
55.1
49.2
74.7
6.0
28.2
213.1
57.1
50.1
74.2
6.8
30.3
218.6
56.9
51.4
74.4
6.6
29.7
219.0
57.6
50.5
73.3
6.2
30.2
217.9
55.9
50.0
71.5
6.3
29.1
212.8
58.0
50.8
74.6
6.9
30.4
220.8
52.7
49.1
78.4
7.0
32.3
219.4
57.1
50.1
74.2
6.8
30.3
218.6
58.0
50.8
74.6
6.9
30.4
220.8
71.8
70.2
63.3
60.8
56.4
55.8
56.6
53.7
56.3
56.0
55.9
63.3
56.6
55.9
143.8
149.0
156.2
154.1
158.8
157.3
162.1
165.3
161.6
156.8
164.9
156.2
162.1
164.9
Regions refer to Petroleum Administration for Defense Districts (PADD).
See Petroleum for Administration Defense District in EIAs Energy Glossary (http://www.eia.doe.gov/glossary/index.html) for a list of States in each region.
Historical data : Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Petroleum Marketing Monthly , DOE/EIA-0380;
Petroleum Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-0109; Petroleum Supply Annual , DOE/EIA-0340/2; and Weekly Petroleum Status Report , DOE/EIA-0208.
Table 5a. U.S. Natural Gas Supply, Consumption, and Inventories

2010
2011
2012
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
60.59
1.16
6.67
52.77
57.93
11.42
9.87
1.55
3.12
8.29
0.20
16.26
82.68
0.31
82.98
61.27
0.98
6.22
54.07
58.56
9.65
8.44
1.22
2.77
6.89
0.16
-11.94
53.67
0.71
54.38
61.97
0.89
5.94
55.14
59.28
9.95
9.01
0.94
2.71
7.23
0.19
-8.22
58.48
-0.59
57.89
63.46
1.11
5.82
56.54
60.66
10.00
8.97
1.03
3.85
6.14
0.19
4.08
71.07
-2.08
68.99
63.83
1.12
5.60
57.10
61.05
11.04
9.80
1.23
4.51
6.53
0.20
16.97
84.75
-0.81
83.95
65.96
1.00
5.23
59.73
62.98
8.95
7.90
1.05
4.16
4.79
0.14
-10.45
57.47
-0.98
56.49
65.92
0.81
4.68
60.43
62.95
8.93
8.16
0.77
3.61
5.32
0.17
-9.54
58.90
-0.56
58.34
66.59
0.89
5.03
60.68
63.59
8.68
8.00
0.68
4.03
4.65
0.19
2.29
70.72
-0.83
69.88
66.16
0.97
5.21
59.98
63.19
10.06
9.27
0.79
4.45
5.61
0.19
15.28
84.26
0.15
84.41
66.69
0.87
5.24
60.58
63.70
8.59
7.85
0.74
4.12
4.47
0.16
-11.22
57.11
-0.91
56.20
67.04
0.96
5.00
61.08
64.02
8.93
8.35
0.58
3.97
4.96
0.17
-9.15
60.00
-0.81
59.19
67.56
1.08
5.11
61.37
64.52
8.55
7.91
0.64
4.29
4.26
0.19
3.99
72.96
-1.26
71.70
61.83
1.03
6.16
54.64
59.12
10.25
9.07
1.18
3.11
7.13
0.18
-0.01
66.42
-0.42
66.00
65.58
0.95
5.13
59.50
62.65
9.39
8.46
0.93
4.07
5.32
0.18
-0.25
67.90
-0.79
67.10
66.87
0.97
5.14
60.75
63.86
9.03
8.34
0.69
4.21
4.82
0.18
-0.29
68.57
-0.71
67.86
Consumption (billion cubic feet per day)

Residential ...................................
26.46
Commercial .................................
14.59
Industrial ......................................
19.72
Electric Power (c) .........................
16.37
Lease and Plant Fuel ...................
3.58
Pipeline and Distribution Use .......
2.17
Vehicle Use .................................
0.09
Total Consumption ..........................
82.98
7.32
5.70
17.13
19.11
3.62
1.42
0.09
54.38
3.75
4.22
16.99
27.66
3.66
1.52
0.09
57.89
16.73
10.46
18.53
17.62
3.75
1.81
0.09
68.99
26.16
14.72
20.22
16.79
3.77
2.20
0.09
83.95
7.52
5.88
17.75
19.87
3.89
1.48
0.09
56.49
3.65
4.26
17.24
27.65
3.89
1.56
0.09
58.34
17.16
10.53
18.58
17.69
3.93
1.90
0.09
69.88
26.16
14.85
20.12
16.94
3.91
2.33
0.09
84.41
6.86
5.81
17.60
20.31
3.94
1.60
0.09
56.20
3.66
4.14
17.32
28.40
3.96
1.62
0.09
59.19
17.61
10.67
18.89
18.54
3.99
1.91
0.09
71.70
13.51
8.72
18.09
20.21
3.65
1.73
0.09
66.00
13.57
8.83
18.44
20.52
3.87
1.78
0.09
67.10
13.56
8.86
18.48
21.06
3.95
1.87
0.09
67.86
End-of-period Inventories (billion cubic feet)

Working Gas Inventory ................
1,662
Producing Region (d) ................
627
East Consuming Region (d) ......
744
West Consuming Region (d) .....
291
2,741
962
1,330
450
3,500
1,092
1,913
495
3,107
1,077
1,591
439
1,581
738
618
225
2,530
992
1,188
350
3,409
1,060
1,881
468
3,199
1,112
1,673
414
1,809
800
747
261
2,829
1,059
1,361
408
3,671
1,183
1,992
496
3,304
1,128
1,735
441
3,107
1,077
1,591
439
3,199
1,112
1,673
414
3,304
1,128
1,735
441
Supply (billion cubic feet per day)

Total Marketed Production ............
Alaska ......................................
Federal GOM (a) .......................
Lower 48 States (excl GOM) .....
Total Dry Gas Production .............
Gross Imports ..............................
Pipeline ....................................
LNG ..........................................
Gross Exports ..............................
Net Imports ..................................
Supplemental Gaseous Fuels ......
Net Inventory Withdrawals ...........
Total Supply ....................................
Balancing Item (b) ..........................
Total Primary Supply .......................
2010
Year
2011
1st
2012
(a) Marketed production from U.S. Federal leases in the Gulf of Mexico.
(b) The balancing item represents the difference between the sum of the components of natural gas supply and the sum of components of natural gas demand.
(c) Natural gas used for electricity generation and (a limited amount of) useful thermal output by electric utilities and independent power producers.
(d) For a list of States in each inventory region refer toMethodology for EIA Weekly Underground Natural Gas Storage Estimates (http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/oog/info/ngs/methodology.html).
LNG: liquefied natural gas.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports:Natural Gas Monthly , DOE/EIA-0130; and Electric Power Monthly ,
DOE/EIA-0226.
Table 5b. U.S. Regional Natural Gas Prices (dollars per thousand cubic feet)
2010
1st
Wholesale/Spot
U.S. Average Wellhead ......
Henry Hub Spot Price ........
Residential
New England .....................
Middle Atlantic ...................
E. N. Central ......................
W. N. Central .....................
S. Atlantic ..........................
E. S. Central ......................
W. S. Central .....................
Mountain ............................
Pacific ................................
U.S. Average ..................
Commercial
New England .....................
E. N. Central ......................
W. N. Central .....................
S. Atlantic ..........................
E. S. Central ......................
W. S. Central .....................
Mountain ............................
Pacific ................................
U.S. Average ..................
Industrial
New England .....................
E. N. Central ......................
W. N. Central .....................
S. Atlantic ..........................
E. S. Central ......................
W. S. Central .....................
Mountain ............................
Pacific ................................
U.S. Average ..................
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
4.79
5.30
4.07
4.45
4.11
4.41
3.67
3.91
4.06
4.31
4.10
4.50
4.03
4.25
3.61
3.81
3.87
4.16
3.98
4.16
4.04
4.19
4.27
4.50
4.15
4.52
3.95
4.22
4.04
4.25
14.33
12.79
9.50
9.08
12.61
10.50
9.80
9.24
10.43
10.59
15.56
15.17
12.24
11.90
18.74
14.81
14.06
9.83
10.47
12.55
17.73
18.46
16.66
16.65
24.07
17.75
18.30
13.03
11.10
15.49
14.29
12.74
9.37
9.34
12.28
10.73
10.22
9.25
9.89
10.56
13.99
11.85
8.87
8.83
11.97
9.91
8.60
8.87
9.98
9.97
14.28
14.08
10.97
11.17
17.54
13.69
14.31
9.77
10.91
11.95
17.42
18.10
16.56
17.10
22.63
18.73
18.88
13.36
11.57
15.82
14.34
13.50
9.53
9.19
14.02
11.90
10.65
8.47
9.68
11.00
13.82
12.30
8.87
8.77
12.54
11.05
9.08
8.50
9.95
10.25
14.87
13.95
11.34
11.48
17.48
14.46
14.02
9.57
10.25
12.28
18.23
18.42
16.96
17.73
24.60
19.13
19.20
13.44
11.09
16.50
15.54
14.62
10.75
10.23
15.63
13.33
11.58
9.71
10.45
12.18
14.78
13.46
10.23
9.92
13.71
11.33
11.01
9.63
10.37
11.19
14.39
13.05
9.82
9.72
13.91
11.35
10.59
9.24
10.28
10.97
14.80
13.60
10.22
10.03
14.81
12.47
11.18
9.40
10.28
11.56
11.68
10.76
8.97
8.36
10.53
9.45
8.52
8.33
9.48
9.34
11.68
9.77
9.25
8.38
10.74
10.21
9.09
8.11
8.97
9.26
11.45
9.51
9.67
9.53
10.74
10.41
9.19
8.91
9.21
9.64
11.01
9.70
8.14
7.70
9.50
9.14
7.62
8.13
9.10
8.66
11.14
9.85
8.42
7.93
9.80
8.80
7.34
7.99
9.15
8.74
10.64
9.55
8.98
8.44
10.82
9.56
8.57
7.98
9.19
9.14
10.70
9.17
9.92
9.73
11.16
10.62
8.90
9.02
9.69
9.82
11.57
10.26
8.70
7.72
10.78
10.22
8.46
7.87
8.99
9.32
11.70
10.05
8.59
7.88
10.50
9.56
7.81
7.60
8.83
9.08
11.98
9.98
9.19
8.32
11.07
10.22
8.55
7.55
8.44
9.36
12.16
10.08
9.75
9.88
11.50
10.94
9.51
8.73
8.89
10.02
12.46
11.19
9.33
8.36
11.65
11.07
9.25
8.62
9.49
10.09
11.47
10.15
8.82
8.27
10.28
9.57
8.50
8.29
9.21
9.15
11.13
9.84
8.69
8.09
10.48
9.49
8.08
8.06
9.20
9.10
11.98
10.36
8.97
8.23
11.08
10.20
8.53
7.99
8.93
9.53
11.41
10.04
7.90
6.73
7.61
7.21
5.58
7.32
7.77
6.50
9.74
9.01
7.00
5.65
6.13
5.64
4.36
6.36
7.01
4.98
9.07
9.01
6.96
5.52
6.28
5.61
4.59
6.59
7.01
5.07
10.21
9.54
6.88
5.74
6.09
5.44
3.98
6.40
6.92
4.89
10.67
9.58
7.39
6.28
6.52
5.83
4.24
6.81
7.45
5.41
9.81
9.27
7.19
5.78
6.24
5.58
4.46
6.42
7.22
5.13
9.38
8.81
7.37
5.52
6.18
5.49
4.50
6.81
7.32
5.07
10.22
10.04
7.04
5.54
6.29
5.87
4.26
6.90
7.53
5.25
10.92
9.83
7.31
6.13
6.41
6.15
4.27
6.89
7.65
5.53
10.28
8.77
7.16
5.28
6.12
5.67
4.45
6.13
6.84
5.10
9.57
8.93
7.23
5.15
6.20
5.83
4.59
6.96
7.25
5.15
11.00
10.68
7.62
5.91
6.92
6.60
4.69
7.87
8.17
5.76
10.37
9.60
7.35
6.00
6.61
6.06
4.62
6.72
7.21
5.40
10.16
9.57
7.24
5.78
6.31
5.71
4.37
6.74
7.39
5.22
10.61
9.75
7.36
5.69
6.44
6.09
4.50
7.00
7.53
5.40
Regions refer to U.S. Census divisions.
See "Census division" in EIAs Energy Glossary (http://www.eia.doe.gov/glossary/index.html) for a list of States in each region.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the Natural Gas Monthly , DOE/EIA-0130.
Natural gas Henry Hub spot price from Reuter's News Service (http://www.reuters.com).
Table 6. U.S. Coal Supply, Consumption, and Inventories

2010
1st
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
Supply (million short tons)

Production ........................................
Appalachia ....................................
Interior ..........................................
Western ........................................
Primary Inventory Withdrawals ..........
Imports ............................................
Exports ............................................
Metallurgical Coal ..........................
Steam Coal ...................................
Total Primary Supply ...........................
265.3
84.4
37.7
143.3
-2.4
4.8
17.8
14.2
3.6
249.9
265.1
84.4
37.8
142.8
1.5
5.1
22.0
15.6
6.4
249.7
278.2
83.5
41.4
153.3
6.2
4.7
21.1
13.0
8.0
268.0
276.6
83.8
40.7
152.1
0.3
4.8
20.9
13.3
7.6
260.8
273.6
87.3
41.5
144.8
4.8
3.4
26.6
17.2
9.5
255.2
263.6
85.7
41.1
136.8
-1.7
3.4
27.0
17.8
9.1
238.3
268.9
82.2
38.8
147.9
1.0
4.4
25.5
16.2
9.3
248.8
276.5
86.2
40.2
150.1
1.2
4.7
23.1
15.7
7.5
259.2
266.6
79.7
37.9
149.0
-4.6
4.5
20.8
16.2
4.6
245.7
252.1
77.7
36.1
138.4
0.5
4.4
24.1
16.6
7.5
232.9
265.2
81.7
35.9
147.6
3.8
5.2
23.4
14.8
8.7
250.8
260.2
80.4
35.8
144.0
-0.2
4.8
22.5
15.0
7.5
242.3
1085.3
336.1
157.6
591.6
5.6
19.4
81.7
56.1
25.6
1028.5
1082.6
341.4
161.6
579.6
5.2
15.9
102.2
66.9
35.3
1001.6
1044.2
319.5
145.6
579.0
-0.5
18.8
90.8
62.6
28.2
971.7
Secondary Inventory Withdrawals .....

Waste Coal (a) .................................
Total Supply ........................................
13.1
3.3
266.2
-3.8
3.4
249.3
18.1
3.7
289.9
-12.5
3.4
251.8
7.2
3.4
265.8
0.4
3.0
241.7
27.8
3.2
279.8
-4.8
3.2
257.6
8.1
3.4
257.3
-9.7
3.2
226.4
12.9
3.2
266.8
-3.6
3.2
241.9
14.9
13.9
1057.2
30.6
12.7
1044.9
7.8
13.0
992.4
Consumption (million short tons)

Coke Plants .....................................
Electric Power Sector (b) ..................
Retail and Other Industry ..................
Residential and Commercial ..........
Other Industrial .............................
Total Consumption .............................
4.9
246.3
13.4
1.0
12.4
264.6
5.4
229.8
12.3
0.6
11.7
247.4
5.5
267.9
12.8
0.6
12.1
286.1
5.4
231.6
13.2
0.8
12.4
250.1
5.2
235.1
14.4
1.0
13.3
254.7
5.4
223.7
13.2
0.6
12.5
242.3
6.7
265.3
12.2
0.6
11.6
284.3
6.4
235.6
12.7
0.8
11.9
254.7
6.3
237.6
13.3
1.0
12.3
257.3
5.9
207.7
12.8
0.8
12.0
226.4
6.6
247.8
12.4
0.8
11.6
266.8
6.2
222.6
13.1
1.2
11.8
241.9
21.1
975.6
51.6
3.1
48.5
1048.3
23.7
959.8
52.5
3.1
49.4
1036.0
25.0
915.7
51.6
3.9
47.7
992.4
1.7
1.9
3.7
1.7
11.1
-0.6
-4.5
2.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
9.0
8.9
0.0
End-of-period Inventories (million short tons)

Primary Inventories (d) ......................
50.2
Secondary Inventories ......................
184.0
Electric Power Sector ....................
177.8
Retail and General Industry ...........
4.2
Coke Plants ..................................
1.6
48.7
187.8
181.1
4.3
2.0
42.4
169.7
162.8
4.5
1.9
42.2
182.2
175.2
4.5
1.9
37.3
174.9
167.0
5.5
2.0
39.1
174.6
166.0
6.2
2.0
38.1
146.8
139.6
4.6
2.0
36.9
151.6
144.0
4.9
2.1
41.5
143.4
136.8
4.2
1.8
41.0
153.1
145.8
4.5
2.2
37.2
140.2
132.4
5.1
2.2
37.4
143.8
135.6
5.4
2.2
42.2
182.2
175.2
4.5
1.9
36.9
151.6
144.0
4.9
2.1
37.4
143.8
135.6
5.4
2.2
5.58
5.58
5.59
5.60
5.57
5.57
5.57
5.57
5.70
5.70
5.70
5.70
5.59
5.57
5.70
0.234
0.253
0.245
0.237
0.257
0.261
0.266
0.253
0.262
0.273
0.260
0.250
0.242
0.259
0.261
2.26
2.26
2.28
2.25
2.35
2.41
2.45
2.41
2.47
2.45
2.42
2.40
2.26
2.41
2.44
Discrepancy (c)
Coal Market Indicators

Coal Miner Productivity
(Tons per hour) .............................
Total Raw Steel Production
(Million short tons per day) ............
Cost of Coal to Electric Utilities
(Dollars per million Btu) .................
(a) Waste coal includes waste coal and cloal slurry reprocessed into briquettes.
(b) Coal used for electricity generation and (a limited amount of) useful thermal output by electric utilities and independent power producers.
(c) The discrepancy reflects an unaccounted-for shipper and receiver reporting difference, assumed to be zero in the forecast period.
(d) Primary stocks are held at the mines and distribution points.
Historical data : Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Quarterly Coal Report , DOE/EIA-0121; and Electric Power Monthly ,
DOE/EIA-0226.
Table 7a. U.S. Electricity Industry Overview

2010
1st
2nd
Electricity Supply (billion kilowatthours per day)
Electricity Generation ....................
11.01
10.90
Electric Power Sector (a) ............
10.61
10.50
Industrial Sector .........................
0.38
0.38
Commercial Sector .....................
0.02
0.02
Net Imports .................................
0.12
0.07
Total Supply ..................................
11.13
10.97
Losses and Unaccounted for (b) ...
0.52
0.95
Electricity Consumption (billion kilowatthours per day)
Retail Sales ..................................
10.25
9.66
Residential Sector ......................
4.26
3.41
3.45
3.57
2.51
2.66
Transportation Sector .................
0.02
0.02
Direct Use (c) ................................
0.37
0.36
Total Consumption .......................
10.61
10.02
Prices
Power Generation Fuel Costs (dollars per million Btu)
Coal ...........................................
2.26
2.26
Natural Gas ...............................
6.06
4.89
Residual Fuel Oil ........................
12.10
12.36
Distillate Fuel Oil ........................
15.84
16.48
End-Use Prices (cents per kilowatthour)
Residential Sector ......................
10.88
11.90
9.87
10.30
6.53
6.75
2011
3rd
4th
1st
12.65
12.22
0.40
0.02
0.06
12.71
0.70
10.58
10.19
0.37
0.02
0.04
10.62
0.70
11.04
10.65
0.37
0.02
0.08
11.12
0.52
11.62
4.74
4.09
2.76
0.02
0.39
12.01
9.56
3.48
3.45
2.61
0.02
0.36
9.92
2.28
4.88
12.36
16.18
12.02
10.71
7.17
2nd
2012
2010
Year
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2012
10.92
10.53
0.37
0.02
0.10
11.02
0.88
12.68
12.26
0.40
0.02
0.13
12.81
0.84
10.63
10.24
0.37
0.02
0.08
10.72
0.72
11.00
10.58
0.39
0.02
0.08
11.07
0.58
10.90
10.50
0.38
0.02
0.07
10.98
0.88
12.51
12.08
0.41
0.02
0.10
12.62
0.78
10.67
10.27
0.38
0.02
0.07
10.74
0.73
11.29
10.88
0.38
0.02
0.07
11.36
0.72
11.32
10.92
0.38
0.02
0.10
11.42
0.74
11.27
10.86
0.39
0.02
0.08
11.35
0.74
10.25
4.15
3.45
2.62
0.02
0.35
10.60
9.79
3.51
3.58
2.68
0.02
0.35
10.14
11.59
4.72
4.07
2.78
0.02
0.38
11.97
9.64
3.50
3.51
2.60
0.02
0.36
9.99
10.13
4.04
3.46
2.61
0.02
0.37
10.50
9.73
3.42
3.59
2.70
0.02
0.36
10.10
11.44
4.58
4.05
2.79
0.02
0.39
11.84
9.64
3.50
3.49
2.63
0.02
0.37
10.01
10.27
3.97
3.64
2.64
0.02
0.37
10.64
10.32
3.97
3.65
2.67
0.02
0.36
10.68
10.24
3.88
3.65
2.68
0.02
0.37
10.61
2.25
4.69
14.19
17.94
2.35
5.05
15.88
20.99
2.41
4.94
18.32
23.55
2.45
4.74
19.44
23.00
2.41
4.52
18.87
23.52
2.47
4.78
18.71
22.84
2.45
4.85
18.63
22.84
2.42
4.69
18.42
22.82
2.40
5.27
18.23
23.20
2.26
5.08
12.63
16.60
2.41
4.80
18.15
22.73
2.44
4.87
18.49
22.93
11.50
10.06
6.67
11.24
10.01
6.68
11.97
10.38
6.85
12.18
10.82
7.37
11.63
10.29
6.90
11.21
10.11
6.70
12.14
10.55
6.93
12.45
11.06
7.35
11.81
10.39
6.85
11.58
10.26
6.79
11.77
10.39
6.96
11.92
10.55
6.97
(a) Electric utilities and independent power producers.
(b) Includes transmission and distribution losses, data collection time-frame differences, and estimation error.
(c) Direct Use represents commercial and industrial facility use of onsite net electricity generation; and electrical sales or transfers to adjacent or colocated facilities
for which revenue information is not available. See Table 7.6 of the EIA Monthly Energy Review .
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric Power
Annual , DOE/EIA-0348.
Table 7b. U.S. Regional Electricity Retail Sales (Million Kilowatthours per Day)
2010
1st
Residential Sector
New England ...............
Middle Atlantic .............
E. N. Central ................
W. N. Central ...............
S. Atlantic .....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ...............
Mountain ......................
Pacific contiguous .......
AK and HI .....................
Total ..........................
Commercial Sector
New England ...............
E. N. Central ................
W. N. Central ...............
S. Atlantic .....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ...............
Mountain ......................
AK and HI .....................
Total ..........................
Industrial Sector
New England ...............
E. N. Central ................
W. N. Central ...............
S. Atlantic .....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ...............
Mountain ......................
AK and HI .....................
Total ..........................
Total All Sectors (a)
New England ...............
E. N. Central ................
W. N. Central ...............
S. Atlantic .....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ...............
Mountain ......................
AK and HI .....................
Total ..........................
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
141
394
579
337
1,129
405
595
243
424
15
4,261
114
326
456
250
878
291
514
227
346
13
3,414
150
444
639
350
1,232
428
771
325
391
13
4,742
122
335
481
261
891
294
467
225
390
15
3,482
145
405
577
331
1,042
373
574
248
441
15
4,152
116
329
456
249
910
296
562
227
353
13
3,511
146
434
612
337
1,200
409
832
330
406
13
4,718
125
342
482
267
877
284
482
231
400
15
3,504
146
402
569
322
1,006
361
526
247
444
15
4,038
117
328
451
253
866
285
512
237
358
13
3,420
145
428
589
337
1,172
404
736
334
418
13
4,575
127
346
490
269
873
289
467
232
393
15
3,501
132
375
539
300
1,032
354
587
255
388
14
3,975
133
378
532
296
1,007
340
613
259
400
14
3,971
134
376
525
295
979
335
560
263
403
14
3,884
123
443
490
266
792
220
442
234
420
17
3,447
120
434
491
267
852
228
479
251
432
16
3,571
137
506
555
302
965
271
578
285
478
17
4,092
119
425
481
261
804
213
450
241
442
17
3,453
123
435
497
268
789
216
447
237
425
18
3,454
119
421
486
262
860
226
503
250
432
17
3,575
135
490
553
296
951
266
596
289
477
17
4,071
122
432
483
267
811
212
473
247
451
17
3,515
125
442
495
263
792
212
450
236
423
17
3,455
120
428
496
265
849
224
500
255
433
17
3,586
135
489
546
298
956
261
582
287
483
17
4,055
119
425
485
262
813
211
471
246
440
17
3,489
125
452
504
274
853
233
487
253
443
17
3,642
125
445
505
273
853
230
505
256
446
17
3,655
125
446
505
272
853
227
501
256
445
17
3,647
76
178
523
222
360
336
397
195
214
13
2,514
77
186
544
235
397
334
432
209
228
14
2,655
83
192
551
245
406
334
464
232
245
14
2,765
76
181
534
233
379
334
421
207
229
14
2,607
75
195
539
233
377
343
420
204
221
14
2,620
76
193
541
236
399
327
445
217
234
13
2,682
80
195
549
250
404
338
465
242
245
14
2,782
74
178
524
234
370
339
431
210
223
13
2,597
74
187
537
235
375
346
421
204
219
13
2,611
76
191
544
240
397
343
448
222
229
14
2,704
78
197
551
252
402
345
465
238
247
14
2,791
75
186
529
242
376
350
426
211
222
14
2,630
78
184
538
234
385
334
429
211
229
14
2,636
76
190
538
238
388
337
440
218
231
14
2,670
76
190
540
242
387
346
440
219
229
14
2,684
342
1,027
1,594
825
2,286
960
1,433
672
1,061
45
10,246
312
957
1,492
752
2,130
854
1,425
687
1,008
43
9,660
371
1,152
1,746
897
2,606
1,032
1,813
842
1,117
44
11,620
318
952
1,498
755
2,078
842
1,338
673
1,063
45
9,562
345
1,047
1,614
832
2,211
932
1,441
688
1,089
46
10,247
312
955
1,485
747
2,173
849
1,510
693
1,022
43
9,789
363
1,130
1,716
883
2,559
1,013
1,892
861
1,130
44
11,591
323
962
1,491
769
2,061
835
1,387
688
1,076
45
9,636
347
1,042
1,603
820
2,176
919
1,398
687
1,089
46
10,126
315
959
1,492
758
2,115
852
1,460
714
1,023
44
9,732
360
1,127
1,688
887
2,534
1,010
1,783
859
1,150
45
11,444
322
969
1,506
773
2,065
851
1,364
689
1,057
46
9,642
336
1,022
1,583
808
2,275
922
1,503
719
1,063
45
10,274
336
1,024
1,576
808
2,252
907
1,558
733
1,079
45
10,318
336
1,024
1,572
810
2,223
908
1,502
738
1,080
45
10,237
(a) Total retail sales to all sectors includes residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation sector sales.
Retail Sales represents total retail electricity sales by electric utilities and power marketers.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric Power
Table 7c. U.S. Regional Electricity Prices (Cents per Kilowatthour)

2010
1st
Residential Sector
New England ...............
E. N. Central ...............
W. N. Central ..............
S. Atlantic ....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ..............
Mountain .....................
Pacific .........................
U.S. Average ............
Commercial Sector
New England ...............
E. N. Central ...............
W. N. Central ..............
S. Atlantic ....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ..............
Mountain .....................
Pacific .........................
U.S. Average ............
Industrial Sector
New England ...............
E. N. Central ...............
W. N. Central ..............
S. Atlantic ....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ..............
Mountain .....................
Pacific .........................
U.S. Average ............
All Sectors (a)
New England ...............
E. N. Central ...............
W. N. Central ..............
S. Atlantic ....................
E. S. Central ................
W. S. Central ..............
Mountain .....................
Pacific .........................
U.S. Average ............
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
16.56
14.82
10.50
8.33
10.46
8.81
10.28
9.71
12.03
10.88
16.60
16.16
11.88
10.08
11.31
9.90
11.00
10.83
12.47
11.90
16.46
16.65
11.82
10.61
11.42
10.02
10.79
11.22
13.37
12.02
16.43
15.39
11.38
9.45
10.94
10.05
10.46
9.97
12.20
11.50
15.99
15.20
11.01
9.06
10.86
9.77
10.08
9.76
12.02
11.24
16.13
15.99
12.04
10.54
11.47
10.32
10.78
10.84
12.49
11.97
16.02
16.56
12.11
11.13
11.65
10.30
10.78
11.33
13.59
12.18
16.27
15.42
11.55
9.81
11.19
10.21
10.42
10.39
11.84
11.63
16.11
14.92
10.83
8.89
10.92
9.47
10.32
9.88
11.77
11.21
16.32
16.26
12.04
10.42
11.72
10.39
11.02
10.99
12.48
12.14
16.17
17.21
12.08
10.90
12.05
10.39
11.08
11.40
13.79
12.45
16.07
15.64
11.55
9.59
11.60
10.26
10.55
10.39
12.19
11.81
16.51
15.79
11.39
9.61
11.03
9.66
10.64
10.50
12.51
11.58
16.09
15.81
11.67
10.13
11.30
10.14
10.55
10.64
12.48
11.77
16.16
16.03
11.61
9.95
11.59
10.11
10.78
10.73
12.55
11.92
15.27
13.23
9.17
7.08
9.13
8.86
8.95
8.20
10.78
9.87
14.71
13.93
9.51
7.93
9.33
9.33
8.80
9.04
12.20
10.30
15.33
14.60
9.59
8.60
9.42
9.54
8.74
9.25
14.05
10.71
14.46
13.43
9.28
7.58
9.35
9.75
8.53
8.40
11.40
10.06
14.41
13.23
9.29
7.60
9.45
9.67
8.57
8.32
10.97
10.01
14.40
13.61
9.66
8.46
9.53
9.83
8.66
9.04
12.32
10.38
14.44
14.60
9.67
8.88
9.71
9.88
8.92
9.35
13.87
10.82
14.12
13.33
9.40
7.72
9.74
9.99
8.76
8.72
11.81
10.29
14.83
13.15
9.25
7.59
9.53
9.58
8.76
8.54
11.24
10.11
14.80
13.96
9.58
8.43
9.69
9.90
8.80
9.23
12.69
10.55
15.09
15.08
9.74
9.00
9.94
10.02
8.95
9.47
14.32
11.06
14.50
13.53
9.47
7.83
9.85
10.01
8.59
8.89
12.08
10.39
14.96
13.83
9.40
7.83
9.31
9.38
8.75
8.76
12.17
10.26
14.35
13.72
9.51
8.18
9.61
9.85
8.74
8.89
12.29
10.39
14.81
13.96
9.51
8.24
9.76
9.89
8.79
9.06
12.64
10.55
12.33
8.50
6.34
5.43
6.45
5.31
6.08
5.69
7.29
6.53
12.91
8.52
6.48
5.74
6.53
5.85
6.00
6.17
7.84
6.75
12.78
8.71
6.71
6.45
7.00
6.33
6.14
6.87
8.73
7.17
12.62
8.30
6.52
5.67
6.54
5.97
5.80
5.65
7.68
6.67
12.68
8.62
6.41
5.75
6.53
5.85
5.77
5.60
7.43
6.68
12.63
8.41
6.51
6.11
6.74
6.19
6.00
6.07
7.73
6.85
13.25
8.54
6.84
6.60
7.14
6.73
6.54
6.83
8.77
7.37
13.33
8.47
6.62
5.81
6.81
6.15
6.16
5.84
7.95
6.90
13.11
8.35
6.43
5.67
6.49
5.74
6.19
5.93
7.43
6.70
12.95
8.54
6.61
6.07
6.66
6.20
6.17
6.33
7.94
6.93
13.15
8.78
6.86
6.68
7.14
6.60
6.25
7.00
8.88
7.35
12.96
8.29
6.56
5.81
6.78
6.16
5.92
6.06
8.05
6.85
12.66
8.51
6.51
5.84
6.64
5.87
6.01
6.13
7.91
6.79
12.98
8.51
6.60
6.08
6.81
6.23
6.13
6.12
7.99
6.96
13.04
8.49
6.62
6.07
6.77
6.17
6.13
6.35
8.10
6.97
15.12
13.01
8.72
7.14
9.37
7.60
8.71
8.02
10.57
9.47
14.92
13.63
9.13
7.96
9.63
8.16
8.74
8.76
11.30
9.89
15.19
14.40
9.50
8.80
9.99
8.70
8.95
9.35
12.64
10.40
14.74
13.13
8.97
7.64
9.52
8.36
8.35
8.08
10.89
9.66
14.66
13.13
8.94
7.66
9.62
8.30
8.35
8.03
10.76
9.66
14.58
13.37
9.24
8.41
9.83
8.59
8.66
8.70
11.32
9.99
14.78
14.29
9.63
9.09
10.21
9.00
9.15
9.40
12.66
10.54
14.74
13.16
9.12
7.87
9.83
8.51
8.53
8.40
11.01
9.87
14.97
12.95
8.86
7.55
9.65
8.09
8.57
8.25
10.68
9.67
14.89
13.64
9.24
8.35
9.95
8.58
8.77
8.91
11.54
10.10
15.07
14.75
9.61
9.06
10.47
9.00
9.12
9.54
12.95
10.71
14.73
13.25
9.12
7.81
10.04
8.51
8.43
8.53
11.26
9.94
15.00
13.58
9.09
7.91
9.64
8.21
8.71
8.60
11.37
9.88
14.70
13.52
9.24
8.28
9.89
8.61
8.71
8.68
11.45
10.04
14.92
13.68
9.22
8.22
10.05
8.56
8.75
8.85
11.63
10.13
(a) Volume-weighted average of retail prices to residential, commercial, industrial, and transportation sectors.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports: Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric
Power Annual , DOE/EIA-0348.
Table 7d. U.S. Electricity Generation by Fuel and Sector (Billion Kilowatthours per day)
2010
Electric Power Sector (a)
Coal .............................................
Natural Gas ..................................
Other Gases ................................
Petroleum ....................................
Residual Fuel Oil .......................
Distillate Fuel Oil .......................
Petroleum Coke ........................
Other Petroleum .......................
Nuclear ........................................
Pumped Storage Hydroelectric .....
Renewables:
Conventional Hydroelectric ........
Geothermal ...............................
Solar .........................................
Wind .........................................
Wood and Wood Waste ............
Other Renewables ....................
Other Fuels (b) .............................
Subtotal Electric Power Sector .....
Commercial Sector (c)
Coal .............................................
Natural Gas ..................................
Petroleum ....................................
Renewables (d) ............................
Other Fuels (b) .............................
Subtotal Commercial Sector .........
Industrial Sector (c)
Coal .............................................
Natural Gas ..................................
Other Gases ................................
Petroleum ....................................
Renewables:
Conventional Hydroelectric ........
Wood and Wood Waste ............
Other Renewables (e) ...............
Other Fuels (b) .............................
Subtotal Industrial Sector .............
Total All Sectors ...........................
2011
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
4.942
2.090
0.009
0.072
0.020
0.014
0.033
0.005
2.230
-0.016
4.313
2.464
0.009
0.078
0.028
0.015
0.033
0.003
2.181
-0.015
5.069
3.458
0.009
0.086
0.033
0.013
0.036
0.003
2.321
-0.020
4.579
2.290
0.009
0.075
0.023
0.016
0.033
0.003
2.152
-0.016
5.017
2.461
0.008
0.094
0.039
0.020
0.033
0.002
2.211
-0.011
4.901
2.492
0.008
0.075
0.025
0.016
0.032
0.002
2.142
-0.016
4.726
2.577
0.009
0.078
0.026
0.014
0.034
0.003
2.221
-0.017
0.643
0.044
0.003
0.325
0.029
0.043
0.019
10.239
0.754
0.045
0.003
0.359
0.031
0.044
0.020
10.584
0.913
0.044
0.010
0.406
0.028
0.048
0.021
10.501
0.687
0.046
0.010
0.310
0.034
0.050
0.021
12.080
0.643
0.046
0.003
0.387
0.033
0.048
0.020
10.268
0.700
0.043
0.004
0.259
0.032
0.044
0.019
10.880
0.857
0.045
0.005
0.320
0.029
0.044
0.019
10.922
0.749
0.045
0.006
0.365
0.031
0.047
0.020
10.860
0.003
0.013
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.023
0.002
0.012
0.000
0.004
0.002
0.021
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.004
0.002
0.022
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.022
0.003
0.013
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.024
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.004
0.002
0.022
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.023
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.022
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.022
0.047
0.212
0.022
0.005
0.055
0.225
0.025
0.005
0.048
0.211
0.022
0.005
0.050
0.224
0.023
0.006
0.050
0.216
0.023
0.005
0.053
0.235
0.027
0.006
0.050
0.216
0.023
0.006
0.051
0.216
0.023
0.006
0.050
0.214
0.023
0.005
0.051
0.223
0.024
0.006
0.006
0.068
0.002
0.009
0.371
10.921
0.003
0.072
0.002
0.010
0.397
12.680
0.004
0.072
0.002
0.009
0.374
10.634
0.006
0.071
0.002
0.009
0.390
10.996
0.006
0.070
0.002
0.010
0.381
10.903
0.003
0.074
0.002
0.010
0.410
12.513
0.004
0.073
0.002
0.010
0.384
10.674
0.004
0.072
0.002
0.010
0.385
11.288
0.004
0.070
0.002
0.009
0.377
11.321
0.005
0.072
0.002
0.010
0.391
11.273
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5.181
2.011
0.009
0.094
0.034
0.023
0.034
0.003
2.249
-0.008
4.750
2.306
0.009
0.095
0.042
0.016
0.034
0.002
2.116
-0.008
5.450
3.329
0.008
0.111
0.054
0.019
0.035
0.002
2.314
-0.015
4.688
2.188
0.006
0.078
0.027
0.020
0.028
0.003
2.164
-0.014
4.887
2.059
0.008
0.082
0.025
0.017
0.037
0.003
2.258
-0.011
4.570
2.378
0.008
0.070
0.024
0.018
0.026
0.002
1.943
-0.016
5.354
3.341
0.009
0.081
0.030
0.016
0.034
0.002
2.268
-0.022
4.790
2.180
0.008
0.068
0.022
0.013
0.031
0.003
2.101
-0.016
0.697
0.044
0.001
0.235
0.032
0.042
0.017
10.605
0.797
0.043
0.005
0.291
0.029
0.045
0.020
10.497
0.658
0.042
0.005
0.221
0.034
0.044
0.020
12.221
0.647
0.043
0.002
0.290
0.030
0.045
0.019
10.187
0.900
0.046
0.003
0.329
0.030
0.042
0.017
10.650
1.051
0.044
0.007
0.382
0.026
0.046
0.019
10.529
0.836
0.044
0.008
0.245
0.032
0.045
0.020
12.260
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.004
0.002
0.022
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.022
0.003
0.014
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.025
0.003
0.012
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.022
0.003
0.011
0.000
0.004
0.002
0.022
0.002
0.011
0.000
0.005
0.002
0.021
0.052
0.216
0.022
0.007
0.047
0.211
0.023
0.007
0.055
0.228
0.024
0.007
0.048
0.211
0.022
0.006
0.049
0.209
0.022
0.006
0.006
0.072
0.002
0.009
0.384
11.011
0.005
0.072
0.002
0.010
0.377
10.897
0.003
0.075
0.002
0.011
0.404
12.650
0.004
0.072
0.002
0.009
0.374
10.583
0.005
0.067
0.002
0.008
0.368
11.039
1st
(b) "Other" includes non-biogenic municipal solid waste, batteries, chemicals, hydrogen, pitch, purchased steam, sulfur, tires and miscellaneous technologies.
(c) Commercial and industrial sectors include electricity output from combined heat and power (CHP) facilities and some electric-only plants.
(d) "Renewables" in commercial sector includes wood, black liquor, other wood waste, biogenic municipal solid waste, landfill gas, sludge waste, agriculture byproducts, other biomass,
geothermal, solar thermal, photovoltaic energy and wind.
(e) "Other Renewables" in industrial sector includes black liquor, biogenic municipal solid waste, landfill gas, sludge waste, agriculture byproducts, other biomass, geothermal, solar thermal,
photovoltaic energy and wind.
Values of 0.000 may indicate positive levels of generation that are less than 0.0005 billion kilowatthours per day.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports:Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric Power Annual ,
DOE/EIA-0348.
Table 7e. U.S. Fuel Consumption for Electricity Generation by Sector

2010
1st
Electric Power Sector (a)
Coal (mmst/d) ...........................
Natural Gas (bcf/d) ....................
Petroleum (mmb/d) (b) ..............
Residual Fuel Oil (mmb/d) .....
Distillate Fuel Oil (mmb/d) .....
Petroleum Coke (mmst/d) ......
Other Petroleum (mmb/d) ......
Commercial Sector (c)
Coal (mmst/d) ...........................
Natural Gas (bcf/d) ....................
Petroleum (mmb/d) (b) ..............
Industrial Sector (c)
Coal (mmst/d) ...........................
Natural Gas (bcf/d) ....................
Petroleum (mmb/d) (b) ..............
Total All Sectors
Coal (mmst/d) ...........................
Natural Gas (bcf/d) ....................
Petroleum (mmb/d) (b) ..............
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
2.72
15.48
0.17
0.06
0.04
0.07
0.01
2.51
18.25
0.17
0.07
0.03
0.07
0.00
2.90
26.72
0.20
0.09
0.04
0.07
0.00
2.51
16.78
0.14
0.04
0.04
0.05
0.01
2.60
15.83
0.15
0.04
0.03
0.07
0.00
2.45
19.00
0.13
0.04
0.03
0.05
0.00
2.87
26.70
0.15
0.05
0.03
0.06
0.00
2.55
16.70
0.12
0.03
0.03
0.06
0.00
2.60
15.88
0.13
0.03
0.03
0.06
0.01
2.27
19.31
0.14
0.04
0.03
0.06
0.01
2.68
27.28
0.16
0.06
0.03
0.07
0.01
2.41
17.44
0.14
0.04
0.03
0.06
0.01
2.66
19.33
0.17
0.07
0.04
0.06
0.00
2.62
19.58
0.14
0.04
0.03
0.06
0.00
2.49
19.99
0.14
0.04
0.03
0.06
0.01
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.02
1.48
0.01
0.02
1.44
0.01
0.02
1.57
0.01
0.02
1.44
0.01
0.02
1.48
0.01
0.02
1.48
0.01
0.02
1.56
0.01
0.02
1.44
0.01
0.02
1.55
0.01
0.02
1.48
0.01
0.02
1.62
0.01
0.02
1.47
0.01
0.02
1.48
0.01
0.02
1.49
0.01
0.02
1.53
0.01
2.75
17.05
0.18
2.53
19.79
0.18
2.93
28.40
0.21
2.53
18.32
0.15
2.62
17.40
0.16
2.47
20.56
0.13
2.90
28.36
0.15
2.57
18.24
0.13
2.62
17.52
0.14
2.29
20.88
0.15
2.71
29.00
0.16
2.43
19.01
0.14
2.68
20.91
0.18
2.64
21.16
0.14
2.51
21.62
0.15
End-of-period Fuel Inventories Held by Electric Power Sector

Coal (mmst) ..............................
177.8
181.1
162.8
Residual Fuel Oil (mmb) ............
18.7
17.4
17.4
Distillate Fuel Oil (mmb) ............
17.3
17.2
17.0
Petroleum Coke (mmb) .............
5.8
5.5
6.1
175.2
16.7
17.1
5.4
167.0
15.6
16.8
2.8
166.0
16.5
17.1
2.8
139.6
15.8
17.0
2.6
144.0
13.9
17.2
2.5
136.8
13.8
16.7
2.7
145.8
15.5
16.6
2.7
132.4
15.0
16.8
2.8
135.6
14.4
17.0
2.7
175.2
16.7
17.1
5.4
144.0
13.9
17.2
2.5
135.6
14.4
17.0
2.7
(b) Petroleum category may include petroleum coke, which is converted from short tons to barrels by multiplying by 5.
(c) Commercial and industrial sectors include electricity output from combined heat and power (CHP) facilities and some electric-only plants.
Physical Units: mmst/d = million short tons per day; mmb/d = million barrels per day; bcf/d = billion cubic feet per day; mmb = million barrels.
Values of 0.00 may indicate positive levels of fuel consumption that are less than 0.005 units per day.
Historical data: Latest data available from Energy Information Administration databases supporting the following reports:Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226; and Electric Power
Table 8. U.S. Renewable Energy Supply and Consumption (Quadrillion Btu)

2010
1st
Supply
Hydroelectric Power (a) ...............
Geothermal .................................
Solar .............................................
Wind .............................................
Wood ............................................
Ethanol (b) .....................................
Biodiesel (b) ..................................
Other Renewables (c) ...................
Total ..........................................
Consumption
Electric Power Sector
Hydroelectric Power (a) ............
Geothermal ..............................
Solar ..........................................
Wind ..........................................
Wood and Wood Waste ...........
Other Renewables (c) ................
Subtotal ..................................
Industrial Sector
Geothermal ..............................
Subtotal ..................................
Commercial Sector
Geothermal ..............................
Subtotal ..................................
Residential Sector
Geothermal ..............................
Solar ..........................................
Subtotal ..................................
Transportation Sector
Ethanol (b) ..................................
Biodiesel (b) ...............................
Total Consumption ........................
2nd
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
0.618
0.053
0.025
0.208
0.490
0.270
0.011
0.110
1.786
0.713
0.053
0.029
0.261
0.491
0.275
0.012
0.115
1.949
0.593
0.053
0.029
0.200
0.508
0.284
0.010
0.114
1.792
0.585
0.054
0.026
0.263
0.497
0.298
0.007
0.115
1.844
0.795
0.055
0.026
0.292
0.478
0.293
0.014
0.111
2.065
0.939
0.054
0.030
0.342
0.470
0.290
0.024
0.115
2.264
0.758
0.054
0.031
0.222
0.498
0.291
0.033
0.116
2.008
0.587
0.055
0.027
0.295
0.492
0.296
0.039
0.112
1.900
0.681
0.055
0.027
0.322
0.486
0.297
0.032
0.112
2.013
0.824
0.054
0.033
0.365
0.473
0.298
0.030
0.118
2.196
0.626
0.056
0.033
0.281
0.508
0.301
0.029
0.126
1.961
0.587
0.056
0.027
0.351
0.505
0.301
0.029
0.119
1.975
2.509
0.212
0.109
0.933
1.986
1.128
0.039
0.454
7.371
3.079
0.218
0.114
1.151
1.938
1.170
0.110
0.453
8.237
2.719
0.221
0.120
1.318
1.973
1.198
0.120
0.476
8.145
0.618
0.038
0.001
0.208
0.048
0.060
0.975
0.715
0.038
0.005
0.261
0.044
0.064
1.127
0.596
0.038
0.005
0.200
0.049
0.063
0.952
0.587
0.039
0.002
0.263
0.046
0.064
1.001
0.798
0.041
0.003
0.292
0.045
0.061
1.239
0.942
0.039
0.006
0.342
0.038
0.065
1.434
0.758
0.039
0.007
0.222
0.046
0.064
1.138
0.583
0.040
0.002
0.295
0.044
0.062
1.026
0.676
0.040
0.003
0.322
0.046
0.063
1.151
0.819
0.039
0.009
0.365
0.041
0.068
1.340
0.623
0.041
0.009
0.281
0.050
0.072
1.076
0.583
0.041
0.003
0.351
0.050
0.069
1.096
2.516
0.153
0.013
0.933
0.189
0.252
4.055
3.081
0.159
0.018
1.151
0.173
0.253
4.837
2.701
0.162
0.023
1.318
0.187
0.272
4.663
0.005
0.001
0.321
0.041
0.372
0.005
0.001
0.324
0.042
0.376
0.003
0.001
0.335
0.042
0.385
0.003
0.001
0.326
0.042
0.378
0.005
0.001
0.312
0.041
0.363
0.005
0.001
0.309
0.041
0.361
0.003
0.001
0.327
0.043
0.378
0.003
0.001
0.326
0.042
0.377
0.005
0.001
0.318
0.041
0.369
0.005
0.001
0.310
0.042
0.363
0.003
0.001
0.335
0.045
0.388
0.004
0.001
0.333
0.042
0.384
0.016
0.004
1.307
0.168
1.511
0.016
0.004
1.275
0.168
1.478
0.017
0.004
1.296
0.171
1.504
0.000
0.005
0.017
0.008
0.031
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.009
0.033
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.017
0.008
0.031
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.031
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.031
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.009
0.033
0.000
0.005
0.018
0.008
0.032
0.001
0.019
0.070
0.034
0.127
0.001
0.018
0.070
0.033
0.126
0.001
0.018
0.071
0.033
0.128
0.009
0.104
0.024
0.136
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.106
0.024
0.140
0.009
0.106
0.024
0.140
0.009
0.104
0.024
0.136
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.106
0.024
0.139
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.009
0.105
0.024
0.138
0.037
0.420
0.097
0.554
0.037
0.419
0.096
0.552
0.037
0.420
0.097
0.553
0.251
0.009
0.275
0.011
0.280
0.010
0.284
0.008
0.263
0.015
0.277
0.028
0.280
0.031
0.285
0.039
0.279
0.032
0.289
0.030
0.287
0.029
0.290
0.029
1.091
0.039
1.105
0.114
1.145
0.120
1.765
1.948
1.788
1.831
2.036
2.256
2.025
1.888
1.994
2.187
1.946
1.964
7.332
8.205
8.091
(a) Conventional hydroelectric power only. Hydroelectricity generated by pumped storage is not included in renewable energy.
(b) Fuel ethanol and biodiesel supply represents domestic production only. Fuel ethanol and biodiesel consumption in the transportation sector includes production, stock change, and imports
less exports. Some biodiesel may be consumed in the residential s
(c) Other renewable energy sources include municipal solid waste from biogenic sources, landfill gas, sludge waste, agricultural byproducts, and other biomass.
Historical data: Latest data available from EIA databases supporting the following reports: Electric Power Monthly , DOE/EIA-0226 and Renewable Energy Annual , DOE/EIA-0603; Petroleum
Supply Monthly , DOE/EIA-0109.
Table 9a. U.S. Macroeconomic Indicators and CO2 Emissions

2010
2011
2012
2010
Year
2011
2012
13,561
13,088
13,306
13,479
10,391
10,411
10,062
10,201
10,369
1,824
1,835
1,860
1,648
1,757
1,832
2.29
2.94
3.79
4.75
20.26
20.41
3.45
123.5
123.5
123.5
123.5
123.6
123.5
123.5
123.6
131.1
131.2
131.3
131.6
131.9
132.2
129.8
131.0
131.7
89.1
89.3
89.4
89.7
90.1
90.5
90.8
87.8
89.1
90.3
92.8
90.6
103.1
89.7
92.9
90.8
102.9
87.9
93.8
91.6
102.5
87.3
93.9
91.8
102.6
87.1
94.0
92.1
102.7
87.0
94.4
92.6
103.0
87.1
95.0
93.2
103.4
87.4
95.5
94.0
104.1
87.8
90.1
87.3
102.3
89.0
93.3
91.2
102.8
88.0
94.7
93.0
103.3
87.3
87.0
98.0
69.1
85.3
79.1
92.5
87.5
88.6
96.2
67.5
90.4
78.8
99.9
89.0
88.1
97.2
69.8
90.7
74.2
98.0
88.0
87.8
99.6
70.7
91.7
75.0
96.0
88.4
87.8
99.6
70.1
91.3
74.8
95.2
88.2
87.8
99.5
70.0
91.1
73.9
94.9
88.0
87.9
99.5
70.1
91.6
73.3
94.9
88.0
88.2
99.5
70.3
92.4
73.6
95.3
88.4
88.7
99.6
70.7
93.4
74.1
95.5
88.8
86.7
96.5
67.6
83.3
77.0
94.0
86.5
88.1
98.2
69.5
91.0
75.7
97.3
88.4
88.1
99.5
70.3
92.1
73.7
95.1
88.3
2.18
2.19
2.22
2.25
2.26
2.27
2.27
2.27
2.29
2.30
2.18
2.25
2.28
1.83
1.82
1.90
1.99
2.02
2.02
2.01
2.00
1.98
2.00
2.02
1.85
2.01
2.00
2.17
2.26
2.20
2.38
2.74
3.22
3.07
2.98
2.91
2.96
2.94
2.88
2.25
3.00
2.92
110.4
110.8
111.2
111.7
112.4
113.1
113.7
114.4
114.7
114.7
115.1
115.5
111.0
113.4
115.0
7,663
8,555
8,523
8,127
7,657
8,400
8,345
8,012
7,703
8,446
8,438
8,058
8,219
8,105
8,162
491
530
546
526
519
549
549
529
527
558
555
534
523
536
543
293
330
341
323
307
339
343
320
307
347
346
322
322
328
330
266.4
282.0
282.2
282.2
298.2
308.1
307.8
307.0
308.8
316.2
315.2
298.9
278.2
305.3
309.8
0.234
0.253
0.245
0.237
0.257
0.261
0.266
0.253
0.262
0.273
0.260
0.250
0.242
0.259
0.261
Carbon Dioxide (CO 2) Emissions (million metric tons)

Petroleum ......................................................
569
588
Natural Gas ...................................................
399
263
Coal ...............................................................
502
471
Total Fossil Fuels ..........................................
1,470
1,322
599
283
543
1,425
593
338
474
1,405
575
403
483
1,461
573
273
460
1,306
583
287
537
1,408
587
343
483
1,413
576
410
488
1,474
577
273
430
1,280
585
290
506
1,381
588
352
459
1,399
2,349
1,283
1,990
5,622
2,318
1,307
1,963
5,588
2,326
1,324
1,883
5,534
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
(billion chained 2005 dollars - SAAR) .......
12,938
13,059
13,140
13,216
13,228
13,272
13,351
13,373
Real Disposable Personal Income

(billion chained 2005 Dollars - SAAR) .......
9,923
10,058
10,114
10,152
10,183
10,198
10,178
1,582
1,654
1,664
1,694
1,699
1,737
12.38
4.84
24.17
39.65
33.28
123.5
123.6
123.6
123.5
129.3
130.0
129.9
87.3
87.6
1st
2nd
3rd
13,406
13,451
13,498
10,245
10,303
10,372
1,788
1,805
1,810
24.16
14.37
9.81
123.5
123.5
123.5
130.1
130.5
131.0
87.9
88.2
88.6
89.5
86.9
101.4
89.5
91.0
88.1
103.3
88.8
91.7
89.0
103.9
89.1
85.5
86.3
96.9
68.0
84.1
74.7
93.2
86.2
86.5
98.0
68.8
82.1
78.1
89.5
86.6
2.18
2.17
1.85
4th
Macroeconomic
Real Gross Domestic Product
Real Fixed Investment

(billion chained 2005 dollars-SAAR) .........
Business Inventory Change
(billion chained 2005 dollars-SAAR) .........
Housing Stock
(millions) ......................................................
Non-Farm Employment
(millions) .....................................................
Commercial Employment
(millions) .....................................................
Industrial Production Indices (Index, 2007=100)

Total Industrial Production ............................
88.0
Manufacturing ................................................
85.0
Food .............................................................
100.6
Paper ............................................................
88.7
Chemicals .....................................................
86.9
Petroleum ......................................................
92.9
Stone, Clay, Glass .......................................
64.6
Primary Metals ..............................................
81.7
Resins and Synthetic Products .....................
76.0
Agricultural Chemicals ..................................
100.9
Natural Gas-weighted (a) .............................
Price Indexes
Consumer Price Index (all urban consumers)
(index, 1982-1984=1.00) .............................
Producer Price Index: All Commodities
(index, 1982=1.00) ......................................
Producer Price Index: Petroleum
(index, 1982=1.00) ......................................
GDP Implicit Price Deflator
(index, 2005=100) .......................................
Miscellaneous
Vehicle Miles Traveled (b)
(million miles/day) .......................................
Air Travel Capacity
(Available ton-miles/day, thousands) .........
Aircraft Utilization
(Revenue ton-miles/day, thousands) ..........
Airline Ticket Price Index
(index, 1982-1984=100) ..............................
Raw Steel Production
(million short tons per day) .........................
(a) Natural gas share weights of individual sector indices based on EIAManufacturing Energy Consumption Survey, 2002.
(b) Total highway travel includes gasoline and diesel fuel vehicles.
Historical data: Latest data available from U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Federal Reserve System, Statistical release G17; Federal Highway Administration;
and Federal Aviation Administration.
Projections: Macroeconomic projections are based on the Global Insight Model of the U.S. Economy and Regional Economic Information and simulation of the EIA Regional Short-Term Energy Model.
Table 9b. U.S. Regional Macroeconomic Data

2010
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
Real Gross State Product (Billion $2005)
New England ...............
707
713
720
726
1,918
1,955
1,983
2,008
E. N. Central ...............
1,789
1,803
1,815
1,823
W. N. Central ..............
835
841
847
853
S. Atlantic ....................
2,373
2,393
2,403
2,408
E. S. Central ................
602
609
614
617
W. S. Central ..............
1,500
1,515
1,523
1,530
Mountain .....................
861
864
862
861
Pacific .........................
2,278
2,291
2,297
2,314
Industrial Output, Manufacturing (Index, Year 2007=100)
New England ...............
87.6
89.3
90.7
92.1
85.9
87.6
88.7
89.3
E. N. Central ...............
82.3
84.9
86.5
87.2
W. N. Central ..............
87.0
89.0
90.5
91.2
S. Atlantic ....................
82.8
84.3
85.3
86.0
E. S. Central ................
81.7
83.5
84.4
84.9
W. S. Central ..............
87.9
89.8
91.1
92.0
Mountain .....................
84.9
86.4
87.3
88.1
Pacific .........................
87.1
88.7
89.7
90.8
Real Personal Income (Billion $2005)
New England ...............
628
638
642
642
1,693
1,724
1,725
1,722
E. N. Central ...............
1,539
1,561
1,577
1,584
W. N. Central ..............
716
725
737
741
S. Atlantic ....................
2,058
2,087
2,100
2,109
E. S. Central ................
546
554
558
559
W. S. Central ..............
1,188
1,209
1,226
1,236
Mountain .....................
713
722
728
734
Pacific .........................
1,867
1,889
1,902
1,926
Households (Thousands)
New England ...............
5,620
5,623
5,625
5,626
15,429
15,427
15,435
15,442
E. N. Central ...............
17,953
17,947
17,930
17,915
W. N. Central ..............
8,057
8,061
8,069
8,077
S. Atlantic ....................
22,956
22,978
23,006
23,038
E. S. Central ................
7,156
7,164
7,170
7,174
W. S. Central ..............
13,155
13,186
13,210
13,235
Mountain .....................
8,180
8,202
8,223
8,241
Pacific .........................
17,293
17,314
17,341
17,377
Total Non-farm Employment (Millions)
New England ...............
6.7
6.8
6.8
6.8
17.9
18.0
18.0
18.0
E. N. Central ...............
19.9
20.0
20.0
20.1
W. N. Central ..............
9.8
9.8
9.8
9.8
S. Atlantic ....................
24.6
24.7
24.7
24.7
E. S. Central ................
7.3
7.3
7.3
7.4
W. S. Central ..............
14.8
14.9
14.9
15.0
Mountain .....................
9.0
9.0
9.0
9.0
Pacific .........................
19.1
19.2
19.1
19.2
2011
1st
2nd
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
Year
2011
2012
727
2,007
1,829
849
2,405
617
1,535
861
2,323
731
2,016
1,831
851
2,410
617
1,548
864
2,327
736
2,025
1,841
856
2,423
621
1,563
869
2,340
737
2,028
1,847
857
2,426
623
1,566
870
2,342
739
2,032
1,851
860
2,432
625
1,572
873
2,346
741
2,039
1,857
863
2,439
627
1,580
876
2,352
743
2,045
1,862
866
2,448
629
1,589
879
2,359
746
2,054
1,868
869
2,460
633
1,599
883
2,371
716
1,966
1,807
844
2,394
611
1,517
862
2,295
733
2,019
1,837
853
2,416
619
1,553
866
2,333
742
2,042
1,860
865
2,445
628
1,585
878
2,357
93.0
90.5
89.4
93.1
87.6
86.2
93.8
89.9
92.4
93.0
90.3
89.6
93.7
87.5
86.2
94.4
90.0
92.4
94.1
90.9
90.5
94.6
88.1
86.5
95.5
91.2
93.3
94.1
91.2
90.6
94.8
88.3
86.9
95.9
91.5
93.5
94.1
91.1
90.9
95.0
88.4
87.2
96.2
91.8
93.9
94.3
91.4
91.6
95.6
88.7
88.0
96.9
92.3
94.3
94.8
91.9
92.2
96.3
89.3
88.9
97.7
93.0
95.0
95.3
92.4
93.0
97.0
89.9
89.9
98.6
93.8
95.7
89.9
87.9
85.2
89.4
84.6
83.6
90.2
86.7
89.0
93.5
90.7
90.0
94.1
87.8
86.5
94.9
90.7
92.9
94.6
91.7
91.9
96.0
89.1
88.5
97.3
92.8
94.7
650
1,748
1,604
748
2,129
563
1,252
740
1,952
653
1,751
1,608
753
2,135
565
1,260
742
1,955
652
1,749
1,602
750
2,133
565
1,260
742
1,952
654
1,758
1,609
755
2,143
567
1,268
746
1,962
659
1,770
1,620
761
2,159
572
1,278
752
1,977
663
1,784
1,630
767
2,174
576
1,288
757
1,991
664
1,792
1,634
769
2,182
579
1,295
761
1,997
666
1,802
1,638
771
2,191
581
1,302
764
2,004
638
1,716
1,565
730
2,089
554
1,215
724
1,896
652
1,751
1,606
752
2,135
565
1,260
742
1,955
663
1,787
1,630
767
2,176
577
1,291
758
1,992
5,626
15,450
17,903
8,086
23,075
7,179
13,264
8,259
17,400
5,624
15,449
17,886
8,091
23,103
7,186
13,291
8,274
17,418
5,624
15,454
17,878
8,100
23,146
7,194
13,328
8,294
17,443
5,627
15,461
17,873
8,114
23,200
7,206
13,371
8,319
17,479
5,633
15,470
17,886
8,132
23,266
7,220
13,423
8,353
17,526
5,641
15,487
17,911
8,154
23,347
7,238
13,480
8,392
17,591
5,650
15,506
17,939
8,177
23,435
7,260
13,539
8,432
17,657
5,661
15,526
17,972
8,200
23,535
7,282
13,604
8,474
17,723
5,626
15,442
17,915
8,077
23,038
7,174
13,235
8,241
17,377
5,627
15,461
17,873
8,114
23,200
7,206
13,371
8,319
17,479
5,661
15,526
17,972
8,200
23,535
7,282
13,604
8,474
17,723
6.8
18.1
20.2
9.8
24.7
7.4
15.1
9.0
19.3
6.8
18.1
20.2
9.9
24.8
7.4
15.2
9.1
19.4
6.8
18.2
20.2
9.9
24.7
7.4
15.2
9.1
19.4
6.8
18.2
20.2
9.9
24.7
7.4
15.2
9.1
19.4
6.8
18.2
20.2
9.9
24.7
7.4
15.3
9.1
19.4
6.8
18.2
20.3
9.9
24.8
7.4
15.3
9.1
19.4
6.9
18.3
20.4
9.9
24.9
7.4
15.3
9.2
19.5
6.9
18.4
20.4
9.9
24.9
7.4
15.4
9.2
19.5
6.8
18.0
20.0
9.8
24.7
7.3
14.9
9.0
19.2
6.8
18.1
20.2
9.8
24.7
7.4
15.2
9.1
19.4
6.9
18.3
20.3
9.9
24.8
7.4
15.3
9.2
19.4
Historical data: Latest data available from U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Federal Reserve System, Statistical release G17.
Projections: Macroeconomic projections are based on the Global Insight Model of the U.S. Economy.
Table 9c. U.S. Regional Weather Data

2010
1st
2nd
Heating Degree-days
New England ................
2,948
634
Middle Atlantic ..............
2,805
477
E. N. Central .................
3,217
523
W. N. Central ................
3,475
536
South Atlantic ...............
1,804
144
E. S. Central .................
2,297
169
W. S. Central ................
1,608
79
Mountain .......................
2,313
780
Pacific ...........................
1,312
678
U.S. Average ............
2,311
422
Heating Degree-days, 30-year Normal (a)
New England ................
3,219
930
2,968
752
E. N. Central .................
3,227
798
W. N. Central ................
3,326
729
1,523
247
E. S. Central .................
1,895
299
W. S. Central ................
1,270
112
Mountain .......................
2,321
741
Pacific ...........................
1,419
556
U.S. Average ............
2,242
543
Cooling Degree-days
New England ................
0
129
0
261
E. N. Central .................
0
282
W. N. Central ................
1
320
34
772
E. S. Central .................
8
679
W. S. Central ................
27
950
Mountain .......................
11
370
Pacific ...........................
7
120
U.S. Average ............
12
445
Cooling Degree-days, 30-year Normal (a)
New England ................
0
81
0
151
E. N. Central .................
1
208
W. N. Central ................
3
270
113
576
E. S. Central .................
29
469
W. S. Central ................
80
790
Mountain .......................
17
383
Pacific ...........................
10
171
U.S. Average ............
34
353
2011
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
Year
2012
3rd
4th
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
2010
2011
2012
81
57
99
142
7
11
2
116
93
62
2,280
2,116
2,369
2,430
1,264
1,516
833
1,745
1,086
1,665
3,314
3,023
3,306
3,517
1,501
1,866
1,273
2,338
1,481
2,285
846
609
755
769
179
247
101
773
675
517
105
67
182
200
18
44
9
71
52
77
2,197
2,015
2,289
2,460
1,071
1,407
855
1,903
1,115
1,610
3,255
3,003
3,292
3,406
1,532
1,891
1,206
2,343
1,471
2,268
929
751
795
727
242
283
98
731
565
540
187
126
153
181
25
32
9
167
107
98
2,265
2,059
2,309
2,505
1,058
1,376
883
1,936
1,145
1,632
5,942
5,455
6,209
6,583
3,219
3,993
2,521
4,954
3,170
4,460
6,462
5,714
6,532
6,946
2,769
3,564
2,238
5,085
3,323
4,489
6,636
5,939
6,549
6,819
2,857
3,582
2,196
5,177
3,288
4,538
190
127
156
183
25
33
9
183
108
101
2,272
2,064
2,316
2,512
1,058
1,377
896
1,964
1,145
1,638
3,219
2,968
3,227
3,326
1,523
1,895
1,270
2,321
1,419
2,242
930
752
798
729
247
299
112
741
556
543
190
127
156
183
25
33
9
183
108
101
2,272
2,064
2,316
2,512
1,058
1,377
896
1,964
1,145
1,638
3,219
2,968
3,227
3,326
1,523
1,895
1,270
2,321
1,419
2,242
930
752
798
729
247
299
112
741
556
543
190
127
156
183
25
33
9
183
108
101
2,272
2,064
2,316
2,512
1,058
1,377
896
1,964
1,145
1,638
6,611
5,911
6,497
6,750
2,853
3,604
2,287
5,209
3,228
4,524
6,611
5,911
6,497
6,750
2,853
3,604
2,287
5,209
3,228
4,524
6,611
5,911
6,497
6,750
2,853
3,604
2,287
5,209
3,228
4,524
526
730
684
787
1,292
1,256
1,593
991
495
930
0
5
10
15
168
61
179
78
33
68
0
0
0
1
99
9
113
11
2
33
111
216
227
294
789
653
1,091
316
68
432
496
670
668
810
1,262
1,134
1,767
971
606
942
1
1
2
13
175
23
194
72
46
69
0
0
1
3
114
33
92
14
7
37
70
141
198
266
574
475
813
377
150
348
351
514
504
653
1,086
1,008
1,432
866
513
776
0
5
8
12
209
62
177
69
41
77
656
996
976
1,123
2,265
2,005
2,749
1,450
655
1,455
608
887
897
1,118
2,325
1,819
3,165
1,370
722
1,476
421
660
711
934
1,983
1,578
2,514
1,326
711
1,238
361
508
511
661
1,081
1,002
1,424
839
526
775
1
7
10
14
213
66
185
68
49
80
0
0
1
3
113
29
80
17
10
34
81
151
208
270
576
469
790
383
171
353
361
508
511
661
1,081
1,002
1,424
839
526
775
1
7
10
14
213
66
185
68
49
80
0
0
1
3
113
29
80
17
10
34
81
151
208
270
576
469
790
383
171
353
361
508
511
661
1,081
1,002
1,424
839
526
775
1
7
10
14
213
66
185
68
49
80
443
666
730
948
1,983
1,566
2,479
1,307
756
1,242
443
666
730
948
1,983
1,566
2,479
1,307
756
1,242
443
666
730
948
1,983
1,566
2,479
1,307
756
1,242
(a) 30-year normal represents average over 1971 - 2000, reported by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Historical data: Latest data available from U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA).
Projections: Based on forecasts by the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.

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U.S. Energy Information

U.S. Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook November 2011

U.S. Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook November 2011

U.S. Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook November 2011

U.S. Energy Information Administration/Short-Term Energy Outlook November 2011

U.S. Energy Information Administration

Short--Term Energy Outlook

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Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

U.S. Diesel Fuel and Crude Oil Prices

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

Henry Hub Natural Gas Price

Historical spot price

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

U.S. Natural Gas Prices

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

World Liquid Fuels Consumption

million barrels per day

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

World Liquid Fuels Consumption Growth

Former Soviet Union

* Countries belonging to Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

World Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Production Growth

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

Non-OPEC Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Production Growth

Other North Sea

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

World Consumption and Non-OPEC Production

dollars per barrel

World oil consumption (left axis)

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

OPEC Surplus Crude Oil Production Capacity

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

OECD Commercial Oil Stocks

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

U.S Crude Oil and Liquid Fuels Production

Crude oil (right axis)

Liquified petroleum gas and pentanes plus (right axis)

Fuel ethanol (right axis)

Biodiesel (right axis)

Total Production (left axis)

Production Forecast (left axis)

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

U.S. Crude Oil Stocks

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

U.S. Liquid Fuels Consumption

Motor Gasoline (right axis)

Change from prior year

Jet Fuel (right axis)

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

U.S. Gasoline and Distillate Inventories

Total motor gasoline inventory

Total distillate fuel inventory

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

U.S. Natural Gas Consumption

Change from prior year

Electric power (right axis)

Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2011

Residential and Commercial (right axis)