Professional Documents
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A Closer look
1995 2006
Residential property prices in Chennai City skyrocket almost doubling in capital value compared to previous year Olympia Tech Park -an 1.8 million sq. ft IT space and the worlds largest LEED Gold rated green building - becomes operational Kathipara Flyover - largest cloverleaf flyover in the whole of Asia - inaugurated and open to public Ennore SEZ gets formal approval to setup a multiproduct SEZ
The City of Madras changes its name to Chennai MRTS - Mass Rapid Transit System railway lines becomes operational
Mahindra Group sets up Mahindra World City - first integrated business city in the Public Private Partnership (PPP) model
Tamil Nadu Road Development Company Ltd (TNRDC) a JV between TIDCO and IL&FS was incorporated to develop road sector initiatives in PPP model
MARG Group launches MARG Swarnabhoomi - the 4 Carat Neo City with 2 notified Special Economic Zones
Phase 1 of IT Expressway - 0 Kms stretch from Madhya Kailash to Siruseri - becomes operational Tata Housing launches its first-ever affordable housing project in Oragadam Tamil Nadu Urban Infrastructure Services Limited (TNUIFSL) appoints JLL to prepare re-development plan to create world class retail facilities with an integrated range of activities Chennais largest Mall - Express Avenue Mall - becomes operational
2000 2011
The largest bus station in Asia Chennai Moffusil Bus Terminus was inaugurated in Koyambedu
MEPZ - Chromepet was converted into a Multi-product Special Economic Zone (SEZ)
2003 2014
Infosys Technologies lays foundation stone for IT Campus on 16 acres at Mahindra World City, New Chennai
2004 2015
Total Stock of Chennai Office / Commercial space expected to cross 60 million sq ft, Proposed India-Singapore SEZ at Thiruvallur, a JV between TIDCO & Ascendas (Singapore)
Nokia inks deal with TN Government to setup an SEZ in Sriperumbadur - Shenzen of India
2005
Chennai
Chennai is the fourth most populous metropolitan area and the fifth most populous city in India, with the urban agglomeration having an estimated population over 1.4 million people1. Chennais economy has a broad industrial base in the automobile, computer, technology, hardware manufacturing, financial services and healthcare industries. Known as the Detroit of Asia, it accounts for over 60% of the countrys automobile exports. The city is Indias second largest exporter of software, information technology (IT) and information-technology-enabled services (ITES), next to Bangalore. As the Entertainment Capital of the South, it is also home to the large South Indian Tamil film industry. The State Government of Tamil Nadu, after successfully establishing IT and Industrial Parks, is in the process of setting up Financial City and Media Entertainment Park, with an investment of over USD .5 billion. Chennais economic development has been closely tied to its port and transport infrastructure. The city is served by two major ports namely Chennai Port (one of the largest artificial ports) and Ennore Port. The Chennai port is Indias second busiest container hub after Mumbai. A rapidly growing population has increased the strain on Chennais Figure 2: Major Infrastructure Initiatives in Chennai Expansion of Existing Airport and Green field airport in Chennai Expansion of existing international airport for which 1,070 acres of land has been acquired. Greenfield airport proposed in Sriperumbudur for which 4,820 acres of land need to be acquired for expansion. A Detailed Project Report (DPR) relating to the Chennai Metro Rail Project was prepared and submitted by the Delhi Metro Rail Corporation Limited (DMRC). The DPR envisages creation of 2 initial corridors - the first from Washermenpet to Airport and the second from Fort to St Thomas Mount under the proposed Chennai Metro Rail Project. Widening of Ennore Expressway a 6.8 kms stretch connecting Chennai Port and National Highway network and improvement of arterial roads at an estimated cost of INR 1.5 billion Tamil Nadu Government has declared the 0 kms stretch of Old Mahabalipuram Road from Madhya Kailash to Siruseri as IT Corridor which further extends to Mahabalipuram in the second phase. IT Expressway will be a 6-lane world-class highway with all attendant facilities. Proposal for expansion of East Coast Road (New Mahabalipuram Road) into 4-lane road. The CMDAs ambitious Outer Ring Road covering 6 kms is to be done on BOOT model. Indias longest 4-way elevated expressway from the Chennai port to Maduravoyal will be ready in 01 with project cost around INR 16.55 billion. Proposal for extension of the Mass Rapid Transit system from Velachery to St.Thomas Mount in the Phase III. transport. A comprehensive rail network system is the next thing in the State Governments ambitious plan to provide a diversified transport system for the city. The Government plans to have a 00-km monorail in a phased manner. Thus, Chennai will have the distinction of having four rail-network systems - the Chennai sub urban railways consisting of the electrical multiple units (covering a distance of 86 Kms) and the mass rapid-transit system (covering a distance of 5 Kms) , the other two being the metro rail (covering 45 Kms in Phase-I) and, in future, monorail. With four major National Highways radiating outward from Chennai, the city is also served by the three major ring roads that are being developed. Similar to the MRTS rail system, a BRTS (Bus Rapid Transit System) is planned which will cover a distance of 70 Kms of Circular Corridor. An extension of the BRTS is the Chennai High Speed Circular Transportation Corridors (HSCTC) which is planned in select corridors, forming an elevated -tier system. At a distant future of completion is the proposed Chennai Elevated Expressways (CEE), a Road Network Development Scheme of the Second Master Plan by CMDA for the Chennai city. With the above proposed Chennai is expected to have four road-networks by year 00.
Ennore - Manali Road Improvement Plan (EMRIP) Chennai Port Connecting Project
Outer Ring Road Elevated Express Way Extension of the MRTS line from Velachery to St.Thomas Mount
Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research
1Includes
Chennai, Thiruvallur and Kancheepuram per the Census of India 011 Provisional Numbers
VACANCY (%)
5% 0% 5% 0% 15% 10% 5% 0% 4Q01 4Q0 4Q0 4Q04 4Q05 4Q06 4Q07 4Q08 4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 4Q1 4Q1 4Q14 4Q15 Despite high headline vacancy, projects near the city have high occupancy levels Vacancy has risen due to projects at farther locations becoming operational
Despite High Headline Vacancy, Locations Near the City are Largely Occupied
2011 has ushered in renewed interest in Non IT office space in Chennai - especially from firms wishing to relocate their offices to better grade buildings. The expected fresh supply of Non IT office space should witness active absorption at the right rentals. There will be greater demand for investment grade office spaces
within the city, since there is a severe dearth of high quality office buildings in the central areas. In terms of IT office space, OMR remains a preferred destination, with most of the absorption expected before the toll plaza because of easier and more cost-effective commuting. Despite a current high headline vacancy of 1.6% at a city level, projects that are nearer to the city have low vacancies due to interest from occupiers (Figure ).
0%
2Q08
48%
56%
2Q09
VALUE DECLINING Hyderabad & Kolkata Chennai Pune Bangalore NCR Delhi Mumbai
VALUE RISING
DECLINE SLOWING
2Q11
Attractive rentals are expected to drive demand for office real estate from cost sensitive occupiers in projects that are located after the toll plaza on the Old Mahabalipuram Road (OMR). However, the office properties that are located before the toll plaza have witnessed healthy traction from occupiers leading to a firming up of rental values in the near to medium term. Overall, the vacancy levels in PBD are expected to plateau, and rents will remain favourable to tenants during 011-01 (Figure 6).
H11
1H1
H1
1H1
H1
KNK Road
R.K. Salai
Besant Nagar
T. Nagar
Adayar
Ashok Nagar
Anna Salai
Alooarpet
O.M.R.
Puraswalkam
Kilpauk
Vadapalaril
Geams Road
Nungambakkam
CBD
SBD
PBD
term outlook of the city remains healthy from a retail stand point; however, supply of quality retail malls remains a challenge. Apart from the prime city which has already seen a healthy penetration of malls, the suburban area of Chennai is witnessing significant residential activity, with nearly 71,000 residential units under construction and likely to enter the market in the next three to four years. This indicates the potential of Chennais suburbs to emerge as an attractive retail destination. Bigger residential catchments in the suburban areas combined with more reasonable rentals compared to those in the prime city are expected to act as key driving forces for retailers to increase their presence in the suburban precinct of Chennai in the long term. The additional mall supply is likely to be launched with high occupancy levels resulting in overall stability in the mall vacancy rate in the city. With more mall completions anticipated over the next three years, the citys mall footprint is expected to rise annually from 011 onwards. This trend is supported by the entry of malls by a few renowned developers such as Prestige Group, Phoenix Market City, PS Srijan and Marg Constructions (Figure 8). This growth will be aided by falling vacancy, growth of office and residential markets in suburban Chennai and development of quality retail malls.
Year of Completion 006 009 010 011 011 01 014 01 01
Status Completed Completed Completed Completed Completed Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction Under Construction
Developer ETA Star Properties Ampa Housing Development Express Infrastructure Ramee Group Surya Vardhan Estate Prestige Group Kshitij and Phoenix Mills Marg Constructions PS Group and Srijan
Velacherry
Mylapore
Source: Real Estate Intelligence Service (JLL), Q11 Note: 1. Projects that have residential units priced predominantly in the range of INR 40-60 Lakhs are categorised as the Mid-End Segment in Chennai; Projects priced at less than INR 40 Lakhs are categorised as the Value housing segment 2. Absorption rate of residential units in a particular quarter is defined as the ratio of residential sales and inventory.
Marked as Years of Comeback, 2009 and 2010 Witnessed Healthy Absorption With Gradual Capital Value Growth
The absorption rate which is an indicator that represents the sale velocity in the market was observed to have peaked during Q10 for mid-end and value housing segments. From a low of less than 0% during Q09, the absorption rates in mid and value housing were observed to be above 50%-mark by Q10. Due to the wait and watch strategy followed by the buyers in the residential market, the absorption rate primarily in mid-segment has tapered in the past - quarters. On the other hand, the value housing segment has shown a positive absorption trend during 1H011. It is interesting note that, since the economic recovery, the capital values recorded a trend reversal to witness healthy q-o-q growth between Q09 and 1Q11 (Figure 10). Post recovery, the average sizes of apartment configurations were also observed to have improved with a typical -BHK dwelling unit being marketed with an average saleable area of 1,400 sq ft or above.
During
-4% -8%
-1% -16%
1Q08 Q08 Q08 4Q08 1Q09 Q09 Q09 4Q09 1Q10 Q10 Q10 4Q10 1Q11 Q11 QoQ Change-Mid End CV Index-Mid End
the slowdown (Q08 1Q09), a typical BHK unit was marketed with an average saleable area of 1,00 sq ft as opposed to 1,400 sq ft during 1H11
Authors
Balakumaran GS Assistant Manager, Research and REIS balakumaran.gs@ap.jll.com +91 44 095 1000 Balakumaran G S joined the Jones Lang LaSalle Research team in January 011 and is responsible for the Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS) publications. Based in Chennai, he contributes to research deliverables on office, retail and residential real estate markets in the country. Prior to joining the firm, Balakumaran worked in various profiles as an entrepreneur and in new business initiatives in the education industry for over four years in India. He holds an Engineering degree from Bharathidasan University and an MBA from IIPM, Delhi. He also holds a GNIIT Certification in Systems Management from NIIT, Chennai. Hariharan Ganesan Manager, Research and REIS hariharan.ganesan@ap.jll.com +91 07 1500 Hariharan Ganesan joined the Jones Lang LaSalle India in April 008 and is responsible for managing the quarterly research offering - Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS) publications. Based in Mumbai, he contributes to bespoke research publications on office, retail and residential real estate markets. Prior to joining the Mumbai team, he managed research operations for Jones Lang LaSalle based out of Chennai region and has worked on multiple topical white papers, property market digests and bespoke research projects spanning diverse geographies within India. With over five years of research and marketing experience, Hariharan holds a dual degree from Bits Pilani and an MBA from IIPM, Delhi. Himadri Mayank Assistant Vice President, Research & REIS himadri.mayank@ap.jll.com +91 07 1500 Himadri Mayank manages the operations of Jones Lang LaSalles research offering - Real Estate Intelligence Service (REIS), and is responsible for the teams outputs, including research reports such as topical whitepapers. Since joining the firm in 2008, he has delivered several bespoke research projects in the office, retail and residential sectors based on specific client requirements. Himadri holds a bachelors degree from Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Kharagpur and has over four years of experience in the field of real estate. He is pursuing the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) program offered by CFA Institute, Charlottesville and has passed the 2011 Level III CFA exam. He is the life member of Association for Promotion of Creative Learning, a not-for-profit organisation which aims to promote education for underprivileged through creativity and creative learning in society. Ashutosh Limaye Head Research and REIS ashutosh.limaye@ap.jll.com +91 07 1500 Ashutosh Limaye is responsible for overseeing research and REIS business of JLL. He is also responsible for effective business development, selection, grooming and growth of professionals in the research division. He has 14 years of experience, including one and half years of post graduation in planning with specialization in Urban Planning. His contributions include real estate market intelligence and forecasting, formulations of economic and physical plans, assessments of policies, legislations and regulatory mechanisms for delivery of infrastructure services, study of urban governance initiatives for urban management programmes, identification of appropriate modes of private sector participation in infrastructure delivery for large-scale infrastructure and township projects in the urban context, financial cost-benefit analyses, project formulation and appraisals, and urban land management.
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edge insights into Indias diverse and challenging real estate markets through collation, analysis and forecasts of property market indicators and trends across all major Indian markets across various real estate asset classes - office, retail, residential. REIS empowers you with consistent and complete market data and analyses for all real estate indicators by specific micro markets. It is supplemented by value added services including client briefings, presentations and rapid market updates. For more details, contact, Ashutosh Limaye - ashutosh.limaye@ap.jll.com
For more details, contact Ashutosh Limaye Head - Research and REIS ashutosh.limaye@ap.jll.com +91 07 1500 Himadri Mayank Assistant Vice President, Research & REIS himadri.mayank@ap.jll.com +91 07 1500
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