Abstract I'm doing this project to answer basic questions that one might have, but more importantly

I want to see if the answers to my questions are statistically signicant. If I did everything correct using TC stats I will be able to identify the answers as statistically plausible. There were a series of questions asked they were: is there a relationship between an appropriate combination of a person's height weight, ring, or shoe size? Is there a difference in gross income based on gender? Is there a relationship between political party and if the respondent feels president Obama will be re-elected, if the respondent is in favor of the health care bill as passed, and if the respondent is in favor of the death penalty? Is there a relationship between handedness and in favor of the death penalty, and the amount of water consumed? Do more democrats or republicans change party afliation to the tea party? Does the weight of the respondents affect how much water they drink, and does gender affect how much water each individual drinks? The rst two questions rejected and fail to reject they were within reason and didn't violate any assumptions; they were statistically ne. The results for questions three through four are probably not valid because the assumptions were violated. Questions ve trough six of failing to reject were ok; they are statistically meaningful. To get the data for this people from two different colleges gave surveys to people to ll out. The data was combined and I got a sample from the population, and I used that data to nd the results of the questions asked. I believe since the population wasn't very large it really affected the results of the questions maybe if the population was bigger the results would have varied more instead of mostly being invalid because of violated assumptions.

Introduction A few weeks ago I conducted a survey for my 1510 stats class. I only selected 10 random people to ll out the survey, but there were other people from Taft College and Bakerseld College doing the same process to collect data. The purpose of this random surveying of people is to answer some randomly asked questions. Everything was random; the people taking the survey were randomly selected, and their answers were also random. There are a few questions that will be addressed for sure. The questions are: is there a relationship between an appropriate combination of a person's height weight, ring, or shoe size? Is there a difference in gross income based on gender? Is there a relationship between political party and if the respondent feels president Obama will be re-elected, if the respondent is in favor of the health care bill as passed, and if the respondent is in favor of the death penalty? Is there a relationship between handedness and in favor of the death penalty, and the amount of water consumed? Do more democrats or republicans change party afliation to the tea party? Does the weight of the respondents affect how much water they drink, and does gender affect how much water each individual drinks? This study was made to answer questions asked by people and to see if the samples represent the population. I didn't really know much about this before this study. After this study we should be able to answer most of these questions. I believe that certain factors or variables will affect the outcome of certain questions like gender and weight. Materials and Methods The materials are 10 randomly selected people, ten surveys and a couple of pens. I gathered my data at an Albertsons. I asked a few random workers if they would take the

survey they said yes. Then to keep it random I asked random customers if they would take the survey many said no, but I got enough to nish the surveys. If I would have asked all the workers to take my surveys it would have taken the randomness out of the experiment so I made sure to ask customers, and that way the data I collected from the surveys was guaranteed to be random. It was crucial that I collected the data the way I did because if I would have collected the data any other way it might have not been random and it would have taken the variety out of the experiment it would have made the results inaccurate. After I collected the data I input it online where it was combined with surveys from other people. With all the people from TC and BC we ended up with a population of around 2562. From that I took a simple random sample of 50 using TC stats, (a program that was helped designed Brian Jean my stats teacher for iPads), to try to answer these questions. TC stats will also help me analyze the data to hopefully answer the questions so they are statistically correct. Results I made a table to hopefully help answer the rst question of height affecting weight; and shoe size affecting ring size. I added gender just to be able to see if the respondent is male or female. I believe that gender does play a part in this since males are usually taller, heavier, they also have a bigger shoe size and ring size take a look at the table below to see for yourself. Also, the tallest males and females are heavier with bigger shoe and ring sizes compared to the shorter males and females. For the rst part with height and weight I did a scatter plot to see if they were correlated. I got a p- value of 0.0000. Therefore, there is enough evidence to suggest that the taller a person is the

heavier they are because there is a positive correlation. Below is the scatter plot of height and weight it's ipped sideways.

Table 1: How Height affects Weight, Ring size and Shoe size

After I did phase three I came to the conclusion of rejecting the null I got a p- value of 0.0077 so I rejected the null hypothesis, Pearson's r is 0.4487. The 95% condence interval is (0.1302, 0.6382) the scatter plot is below the table for phase 2. There is enough evidence to suggest a correlation between ring size and shoe size. The bigger the ring size the bigger the shoe size. There is a scatter plot below to show the correlation between ring and shoe size.

For the second question I made another table to try to determine whether gender affects annual gross income. The table is self explanatory. There are more males unemployed than females in my sample 6 males to one female. That will change the average between the males and females. From my table I believe that more men have higher paying jobs because there are more females with low income jobs. However there are a

few females that are way out there on the money making. The averages surprised me. The males annual income average was 28285.3846, and the females annual income average was 38180.3333. The six unemployed men really hurt the average. There is a difference in gross income based on gender I believe. During phase three I was gonna do a two- sample t-test to compare the income of men and women. I did a normal plot for the annual gross income for men the normal plot was not normal. I didn't need to do a normal plot for the women, and since it was not normal I used the Wilcoxon Rank Sum to compare the income for both the gender. The p- value is 0.2013. Therefore, I FTR there is not enough evidence to suggest that the annual gross income is affected by gender. The normal plot is below, but above my old phase two table.

Table : 2 Is there a difference in gross income based on gender?

I made a third table for the third question is there a relationship between political party and if the respondents feel that Obama will be re-elected, if the are in favor of the healthcare bill passed, and if the are in favor of the death penalty? I believe that party afliation does not affect whether or not the respondents believe Obama will be reelected. Not many people believe that Obama will be re-elected. I'm not sure if party

afliation affects whether or not people approve of the healthcare bill passed; I couldn't really tell. As for approval of the death penalty party afliation doesn't really matter. It's a matter of personal opinion and most people are in favor of the death penalty. For the rst part of the question of party afliation and Obama's re-election I did a chi-squared test of independence. I got a p- value of 0.2919. So I FTR and there isn't enough evidence to suggest that political party afliation affect whether or not the respondents believe Obama will be re-elected or not. However, the assumptions were violated so the results may not be valid. The assumptions are must t multinomial experiment, all expected values are at least 1, and no more than 20% of the expected values are less than 5. For the second part of the question with party afliation and if the respondent is in favor of the healthcare bill passed I also did chi-squared test of independence. I got a p- value of 0.1242. I FTR there is not enough evidence to suggest that party afliation affects whether or not the respondents were in favor of the healthcare bill passed. However, the results for this question are invalid because the assumptions were also violated. The assumptions are the same as the ones above. The third part of the question is party afliation and if the respondent is in favor of the death penalty I did a test of independence again. I got a p- value of 0.0513. I FTR there is not enough evidence to suggest that political party afliation affects whether or not they are in favor of the death penalty. However, the results are invalid because the assumptions were violated. The assumptions were the same as above again. Below are the expected values in order so you can see where the violations occurred. Below them is a table from phase two.

Table 3: Is there a relationship between political party and if the respondent feel that Obama will be re-elected, or is in favor of the healthcare bill passed, or if in favor of death penalty?

Based on table 4 below I came to the conclusion that handedness does not affect if the respondents are in favor of the death penalty or not. Handedness also does not affect how much water people drink. All three of the conditions or factors are independent of each other. An ambidextrous person doesn't approve of the death penalty or drink 64 ounces of water because of their handedness, the factors are independent as shown in

the table below. For the fourth question of handedness having a relationship with being in favor of the death penalty I did a test of independence. I got a p- value of 0.0147. Therefore I reject, there is enough evidence to suggest that there is a relationship between handedness and being in favor of the death penalty. However, the result is invalid because the assumptions were violated. The assumptions are must t multinomial experiment, all expected values are at least 1, and no more than 20% of the expected values are less than 5. For the second part of the question of handedness having a relationship with water consumed I again did a test of independence. My pvalue was 0.7920. Therefore I FTR there isn't enough evidence to suggest that there is a relationship between handedness and water consumed. However, the results are not valid because the assumptions were violated. The assumptions are the same as part one of the question. Below the phase 2 table I'm going to put the expected values. Table 4: Is there a relationship between handedness and if the respondents are in favor of death penalty or how much water they drink?

4a

4b

4b

In my sample of 50 random people only 7 of them changed their party afliation. Three

of the people that changed over to the tea party were democrats and the other four were republicans. The vast majority, the other 43, didn't change their party afliation. So it doesn't really matter if your democrat or republican that won't really affect if you want to change over to the tea party. The factors are mutually exclusive. It's all on the table below. For my fth question do more democrats or republicans change their party afliation to the tea party in did an odds ratio. I counted how many democrats and republicans there were and I counted how many changed their party afliation. My pvalue was 0.5601. Therefore, there was not enough evidence to suggest that party afliation affected whether or not the respondents changed to tea party members.

Table 5: Do more democrats or republicans change party afliation to the tea party?

My last question was does weight affect how much water the respondents drink or does gender affect how much water the respondents drink. For the the rst part I did a scatter plot to see if weight and water consumption were correlated. My p- value was 0.4623 spearman's r is -0.02672. Therefore, I FTR there is not enough evidence to suggest that weight and water consumption were correlated. For the second part of the question I separated the gender and did a normal plot to see if I could do a two- sample t- test. The normal plot for the males was not normal so didn't need to do one for the women. I did a Wilcoxon Rank Sum for the median. My p- value was 0.0702. Therefore, I FTR there is not enough evidence to suggest that gender affects how much water the respondents drank. The scatter plot and normal plot are below in that order.

Discussion I feel that my hypothesis was correct for some of the questions, but not for all of the questions. My hypothesis of certain variables, like gender, or weight would affect certain outcomes was wrong. The results were either independent, dependent, or mutually exclusive. Before I did this study I wasn't really thinking about dependent or exclusive events, but towards the end it helped me realize how I was getting my results. I can't really compare my data to others because I haven't seen anyone's results except my

own. My new understanding of the questions is that the results vary on the randomness of the data and the exclusivity or independence of the data. My next step would probably be to make my sample bigger to see if this data would follow the empirical rule. I got results that I have using TC stats and I believe that they are statistically accurate. Many of the conclusions were invalid because they violated the assumptions, but I know I did the statistical process and analysis correctly. Appendix Most of my conclusions came from the tables that I made by hand I didn't really use TC stats to make histograms or box plots because I wasn't sure how to do them for these data sets. (Phase 2) However, I did nd the average for the second question between gender and gross income.(Phase 2) I added all the income for the males then I divided by 26 because that's how many males there are in my sample. Then I added all the income of the women and then I divided by 24 because that's how many women are in my sample. That's how I found the average for the incomes.(Phase 2) I did all my work on TC stats and my notebook. I will turn in my hand written appendix so you can check all my work on the day of the nal like it says on moodle. Acknowledgements I really want to thank Lizz for really helping me on phase 3. I would have probably done the statistical analysis wrong for some of the questions if she hadn't pointed me in the right direction. Thanks again Lizz.