THE AP-GfK POLL

December, 2011
Conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications

A telephone survey of the American general population (ages 18+)

Interview dates: December 8 12, 2011 Number of interviews: 1,000 Margin of error for the total sample: +/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95% confidence level NOTE: All results show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled. Please refer to the exact sample number at the bottom of each table. All results shown are percentages unless otherwise labeled.

CUR1 through NCC19 previously released

END1. Overall, are you optimistic, pessimistic or neither optimistic nor pessimistic about what the year 2012 will bring for the COUNTRY? END1a. [IF NEITHER OPTIMISTIC NOR PESSIMISTC, DK or REF IN END1, ASK:] If you had to choose, do you lean more toward optimistic or pessimistic about what the year 2012 will bring for the country?

Total optimistic Very optimistic Somewhat optimistic Lean toward optimistic Neither optimistic nor pessimistic Total pessimistic Lean toward pessimistic Somewhat pessimistic Strongly pessimistic Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

62 14 35 13 2 36 7 17 11 1 N=1,000

12/8-12/11

END2. Overall, are you optimistic, pessimistic or neither optimistic nor pessimistic about what the year 2012 will bring for YOU AND YOUR FAMILY? END2a. [IF NEITHER OPTIMISTIC NOR PESSIMISTC, DK or REF IN END2, ASK:] If you had to choose, do you lean more toward optimistic or pessimistic about what the year 2012 will bring for you and your family?

Total optimistic Very optimistic Somewhat optimistic Lean toward optimistic Neither optimistic nor pessimistic Total pessimistic Lean toward pessimistic Somewhat pessimistic Strongly pessimistic Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

78 30 41 7 2 19 2 12 6 * *
N=1,000

12/8-12/11

EOY1. Looking back at the year 2011 overall would you say this was a good year, a bad year or neither a good nor a bad year for the COUNTRY? [FOR EACH GOOD YEAR, ASK: Is that a very good year or a somewhat good year?] [FOR EACH BAD YEAR, ASK: Is that a very bad year or a somewhat bad year?]

*This table represents the initial answer to this question without asking EOY1a.
14/09* 12/105 21 na 73 31 42 1 *
N=975

Total Good Very good year Somewhat good year Neither good nor bad Total Bad Somewhat bad year Very bad year Dont know Refused
Based on:

13 2 11 33 54 30 24 * N=1,000

12/11

12/8-

26

EOY1a. [IF NEITHER GOOD NOR BAD, DK or REF IN EOY1, ASK:] If you had to choose, do you lean more toward feeling 2011 was a good or bad year for the country?

*This table represents EOY1 with the leaner question EOY1a.

12/11 12/8-

Total Good Very good year Somewhat good year Lean toward good Neither good nor bad Total Bad Lean toward bad Somewhat bad year Very bad year Dont know Refused
Based on:

29 2 11 16 3 68 14 30 24 1 N=1,000

SC1 through SC5 previously released

S1. Are you currently registered to vote at your address, or not?

Yes No VOL: Not necessary in my state Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

80 20 * * N=1,000

TP4.

Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or are you not a supporter of the Tea Party movement?
LIKELY VOTERS 10/13-18/10

12/8-12/11

TOTAL 10/13-18/10

10-13-17/11

8/11-16/10

9/8-13/10

6/9-14/10

5/7-11/10 27 9 18 68 5 *
N=1,002

12/8-12/11

8/18-22/11

6/16-20/11

3/24-28/11

1/5-10/11

Supporter Strongly Moderately Not a supporter Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

30 10 20 64 6 1
N=1,000

28 10 18 68 4 *
N=1,000

25 9 16 70 5 *
N=1,000

33 10 24 61 5 1
N=1,001

30 8 23 63 7 *
N=1,001

30 11 19 65 6 *
N=1,001

31 11 21 61 7 *
N=1,001

30 8 22 66 4 N=1,000

11/3-8/10

5/5-9/11

30 9 21 67 4 *
N=1,501

36 13 24 60 3 1
N=846

28 10 18 68 4 1
N=1,000

28 8 20 69 3 *
N=1,007

27 13 14 65 7 1
N=1,044

31 n/a n/a 60 9 1
N=962

4/7-12/10

PID1.

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or none of these?

TOTAL 10/13-18/10 LIKELY VOTERS 10/13-18/10

8/11-16/10

12/10-14/09

10-13-17/11

Democrat Independent Republican None of these Refused

Based on:

27 33 25 16 N=1,000

31 32 23 13 1
N=1,000

29 30 21 20 *
N=1,000

31 27 25 16 1
N=1,001

35 27 18 20 N=1,001

29 34 19 17 N=1,001

29 31 25 15 *
N=1,001

31 26 28 16 N=1,000

32 28 26 14 N=1,501

33 27 32 7 N=846

32 31 25 12 1
N=1,000

31 30 25 13 *
N=1,007

34 28 24 15 *
N=1,044

35 25 26 14 N=1,002

32 27 26 15 N=1,001

32 27 26 15 N=1,002

32 29 21 17 *
N=1,008

28 27 21 23 N=1,001

35 24 22 18 1
N=1,006

33 26 21 19 1
N=1,003

31 30 21 18 1
N=1,001

35 25 23 17 1
N=1,006

36 25 23 16 1
N=1,000

5/28-6/1/09

9/8-13/10

6/9-14/10

12/8-12/11

8/18-22/11

6/16-20/11

3/24-28/11

5/7-11/10

1/12-17/10

7/16-20/09

1/5-10/11

4/7-12/10

11/3-8/10

11/5-9/09

10/1-5/09

5/5-9/11

3/3-8/10

9/3-8/09

PID1/ PID2.

Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an Independent, or none of these? [IF DEMOCRAT, ASK:] Do you consider yourself a strong or moderate Democrat? [IF REPUBLICAN, ASK:] Do you consider yourself a strong or moderate Republican? [IF INDEPENDENT OR NONE, ASK:] Do you lean more toward the Democrats or the Republicans?

LIKELY VOTERS 10/13-18/10

12/10-14/09

10-13-17/11

8/11-16/10

9/8-13/10

6/9-14/10

12/8-12/11

8/18-22/11

6/16-20/11

3/24-28/11

TOTAL 10/13-18/10

5/7-11/10

1/5-10/11

Total Democrat Democrat strong Democrat moderate Independent lean Democratic None lean Democratic Total Republican Republican strong Republican moderate Independent lean Republican None lean Republican [VOL] Independent dont lean [VOL] None dont lean [VOL] Other Dont know Refused
Based on:

11/3-8/10

5/5-9/11

40 12 15 13 * 38 13 12 13 7 * 16 N=1,000

44 16 15 13 36 10 13 14 5 * 14 N=1,000

43 13 16 14 32 9 12 11 5 * 20 N=1,000

43 12 19 11 * 37 11 14 13 3 * 17 N=1,001

46 14 21 12 29 6 12 11 * 4 * 20 N=1,001

45 14 15 16 * 33 9 11 14 * 4 1 17 N=1,001

42 12 16 14 36 9 16 11 6 * 16 N=1,001

39 14 17 9 * 38 13 15 11 6 * 16 N=1,000

43 16 16 11 * 40 12 13 14 * 3 * 15 N=1,501

42 20 13 9 * 48 18 14 15 1 2 * 7 N=846

44 16 15 13 1 40 12 13 15 3 13 N=1,000

43 14 18 12 * 39 11 14 14 5 * 14 N=1,007

46 15 19 12 35 9 15 11 * 4 * 15 N=1,044

45 15 20 10 * 39 10 16 13 * 2 * 14 N=1,002

41 14 18 9 40 14 12 14 4 * 15 N=1,001

45 15 18 12 * 34 11 12 12 * 5 1 15 N=1,002

44 14 18 12 33 9 12 12 5 1 18 N=1,008

37 12 16 9 * 32 9 13 11 7 * 24 N=1,001

43 18 17 8 * 31 11 10 10 * 6 * 19 N=1,006

43 17 16 10 * 32 10 11 11 * 5 * 21 N=1,003

39 14 16 9 33 9 11 13 8 * 19 N=1,001

44 14 20 9 * 33 11 12 10 * 5 1 18 N=1,006

46 20 15 11 * 32 11 12 9 * 5 * 17 N=1,000

5/28-6/1/09

1/12-17/10

7/16-20/09

4/7-12/10

11/5-9/09

10/1-5/09

3/3-8/10

9/3-8/09

G11a.

Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a liberal, moderate, or conservative? [IF Liberal, ASK: Would you say you are strongly or somewhat liberal?] [IF Conservative, ASK: Would you say you are strongly or somewhat conservative?] LIKELY VOTERS 10/13-18/10 TOTAL 10/16-20/08 LIKELY VOTERS 10/16-20/08
9 14 18 21 35 2 1
N=1,001

TOTAL 10/13-18/10

10-13-17/11

3/24-28/11

12/8-12/11

8/18-22/11

6/16-20/11

11/3-8/10

1/5-10/11

8/11-16/10

9/8-13/10

6/9-14/10

Liberal strongly Liberal somewhat Conservative strongly Conservative somewhat Moderate Dont know Refused
Based on:

6 14 20 22 35 2 *
N=1,000

8 12 18 21 39 3 *
N=1,000

9 13 20 23 32 3 *
N=1,000

9 14 21 22 33 2 1
N=1,001

9 14 16 22 36 3 1
N=1,001

8 15 18 23 32 3 *
N=1,001

8 14 20 19 36 2 2
N=1,001

8 11 22 24 33 1 1
N=1,000

9 14 22 22 31 2 1
N=1,501

10 11 29 18 31 1 *
N=846

10 12 20 25 31 3 1
N=1,000

10 15 20 21 33 2 *
N=1,007

11 11 21 23 32 1 1
N=1,044

5/7-11/10 8 15 21 23 31 3 1
N=1,002

5/5-9/11

6 14 21 23 32 3 1
N=1,001

4/7/10-12/10

11 14 20 18 35 2 *
N=800

EM1.

Are you, yourself, currently employed

10/13-18/10

10-13-17/11

8/11-16/10

12/10-14/09

1/12-17/10

4/7-12/10

11/3-8/10

9/8-13/10

6/9-14/10

12/8-12/11

8/18-22/11

6/16-20/11

3/24-28/11

5/7-11/10

10/1-5/09 44 10 45 * 1
N=1,003

11/5-/09

3/3-8/10

Full-time Part-time Not employed Dont know Refused

Based on:

48 13 39 N=1,000

49 12 39 * *
N=1,000

50 13 37 * *
N=1,000

44 14 42 * *
N=1,001

49 13 37 * *
N=1,001

45 15 39 * *
N=1,001

44 17 38 1
N=1,001

1/5-10/11

5/5-9/11

47 12 40 * 1
N=1,000

46 13 41 * *
N=1,501

46 13 40 * *
N=1,000

46 16 38 * *
N=1,007

47 11 42 * *
N=1,044

48 13 39 * N=1,002

49 11 39 *
N=1,001

45 14 41 * *
N=1,002

43 13 44 *
N=1,008

44 15 41 * 1
N=1,001

46 11 42 * 1
N=1,006

44 12 42 1
N=1,001

EM2.

[IF NOT EMPLOYED IN EM1, ASK:] Are you

10/13-18/10

10-13-17/11

8/11-16/10

12/10-14/09

1/12-17/10

4/7-12/10

11/3-8/10

9/8-13/10

6/9-14/10

12/8-12/11

8/18-22/11

6/16-20/11

3/24-28/11

5/7-11/10

10/1-5/09

3/3-8/10

Retired Homemaker Student Temporarily unemployed Dont know Refused

Based on:

51 15 12 18 3 1
N=436

50 19 8 20 3 1
N=441

51 14 13 18 4 *
N=431

1/5-10/11

5/5-9/11

46 17 10 24 2 1
N=450

51 16 12 19 1 *
N=448

40 17 16 27 1 1
N=413

48 16 14 19 2 *
N=411

48 21 11 17 2 1
N=421

46 18 12 22 2 *
N=655

47 16 11 21 4 *
N=414

44 21 14 20 1 1
N=400

47 15 12 25 2 *
N=472

42 16 11 27 4 N=416

50 18 9 21 2 1
N=415

49 19 9 23 * N=420

48 15 8 27 1 1
N=420

47 13 7 32 1 *
N=423

49 16 9 24 1 1
N=404

52 18 10 18 2 *
N=451

52 15 8 22 2 *
N=438

9/3-8/09

11/5-/09

9/3-8/09

CUR38. Thinking of the last 6 months that is, since June of 2011 have you or has someone in your family lost a job as a result of economic conditions, or not?

10/13-18/10

10-13-17/11

12/8-12/11

8/18-22/11

6/16-20/11

3/24-28/11

8/11-16/10

1/5-10/11

9/8-13/10

Yes (self lost job) Yes (someone in family) No Both (self and family member) [VOL] Dont know Refused
Based on:

5 19 75 1 * N=1,000

8 18 72 2 * *
N=1,000

5 25 69 1 N=1,000

6 18 74 2 * *
N=1,001

7 23 67 3 *
N=1,001

6 22 70 1 * N=1,001

8 27 62 4 * *
N=1,001

6 18 72 3 *
N=1,000

7 16 76 1 * *
N=1,501

6 25 68 1 * *
N=1,000

6 25 67 2 * *
N=1,007

6/9-14/10

11/3-8/10

5/5-9/11

7 29 61 4 * N=1,044

8 21 69 1 * N=1,002

6 23 69 3 *
N=1,001

9 22 66 3 * *
N=1,001

5 26 65 2 * 1
N=1,001

8 21 65 4 1 1
N=1,006

10 25 65 1 * N=1,001

5 26 65 2 * 1
N=1,001

6 18 72 3 *
N=1,000

CUR39. And thinking of the last 6 months that is, since June of 2011 has someone you know personally, other than a family member, lost a job as a result of economic conditions, or not?

High: 1/12-17/10

10/13-18/10

10-13-17/11

12/8-12/11

8/18-22/11

6/16-20/11

3/24-28/11

8/11-16/10

1/5-10/11

9/8-13/10

Yes No Dont know Refused

Based on:

58 42 * N=1,000

59 41 * *
N=1,000

60 40 * *
N=1,000

57 43 * N=1,001

62 38 * *
N=1,001

60 40 * *
N=1,001

65 35 * *
N=1,001

55 44 1 *
N=1,000

54 46 * *
N=1,501

65 35 1 *
N=1,000

65 35 * *
N=1,007

70 29 1 N=1,044

6/9-14/10

11/3-8/10

5/5-9/11

63 36 * N=1,002

64 36 * *
N=1,001

69 30 * *
N=1,001

65 34 1 *
N=1,003

71 29 1 N=1,008

57 43 * N=1,001

Low: 6/16-20/11

12/10-14/09

5/7-11/10

4/7-12/10

10/1-5/09

55 44 1 *
N=1,000

10

1 Year Ago: 11/3-8/10

1 Year Ago: 11/3-8/10

High: 2/12-17/09

Low: 9/3-8/09

12/10-14/09

7/16-20/09

5/7-11/10

4/7-12/10

9/3-8/09

[INTERVIEWER READ:] The following questions are for classification purposes only. Be assured that your responses will be aggregated with those of other participants to this survey. DM1. What is your marital status? Are you [READ EACH ITEM] Married/Living as Married/Co-habitating Separated Divorced Widowed Never Married Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

62 2 8 6 22 *
N=1,000

DM2.

What is the last grade of school you completed? [READ EACH ITEM] Less than high school graduate High school graduate Technical/trade school Some college College graduate Some graduate school Graduate degree Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

8 34 4 25 15 3 10 *
N=1,000

DM4.

In what year were you born? Age group: 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Refused [VOL]
Based on:

20 37 25 17 1
N=1,000

11

DM5.

Which one of the following best describes where you live? [READ EACH ITEM] Urban area Suburban area Rural area Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

25 40 34 1 N=1,000

DM6.

Do you currently own your home, rent it, or do you have some other arrangement? Own Rent Other arrangement Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

62 28 9 * N=1,000

DM7.

Are you the parent or guardian of one or more children under the age of 18, or not? Yes No Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

36 64 *
N=1,000

12

DM8.

How many different landline telephone numbers, if any, are there in your home that I could have reached you on for this call? This includes listed or unlisted numbers. To answer this question, please dont count cell phones or landlines used ONLY for faxes or modems. None One Line Two lines Three or more lines Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

27 69 3 1 * *
N=1,000

DM9.

And on how many different cell-phone numbers, if any, could I have reached you for this call? None One Two Three or more Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

12 69 13 6 * *
N=1,000

DM10. [IF BOTH LAND AND CELLPHONE, ASK:] Generally speaking, would you say you use your landline phone most of the time, your cell phone most of the time, or would you say you use both about equally? Landline Cell phone Both equally Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

24 40 36 N=606

13

DM10a. [ASK CELL-PHONE SAMPLE ONLY] How many adults, in addition to you, carry and use this cell phone at least once a week or more? None One Two Three or more Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

50 29 14 5 1 1
N=300

DM12. Do you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not? Yes, born-again/evangelical No Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

38 60 2 1
N=1,000

DM13. What is your religious preference? Is it Protestant, Catholic, Mormon, Jewish, Muslim, some other religion, or dont you belong to any religious denomination? Protestant Catholic Mormon Jewish Muslim Other religion Dont belong to religious denomination Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

27 23 1 2 * 19 27 *
N=1,000

14

DM14. [IF OTHER RELIGION IN DM13, ASK:] Do you consider yourself a Christian, or not? Yes, a Christian No, not a Christian Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

89 11 * N=186

DM15. Aside from weddings and funerals, how often do you attend religious services? Would you say more than once a week, once a week, once or twice a month, a few times a year, less often than a few times a year, or never? Never Less often than a few times a year A few times a year Once or twice a month Once a week More than once a week Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

17 13 22 13 23 11 * 1
N=1,000

15

DM16. Are you of Hispanic, Latino or Spanish origin? Yes No Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

13 87 *
N=1,000

DM17. [IF SPANISH/HISPANIC/LATINO (D16=1), ASK:] In addition to being Hispanic, Latino or Spanish, what race or races do you consider yourself to be? [DO NOT READ. ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES.] DM18. [IF NOT SPANISH/HISPANIC/LATINO (D16=2), ASK:] What race or races do you consider yourself to be? [DO NOT READ. ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES.]
White, Caucasian Black, African-American, Negro American Indian or Alaska Native Asian Indian Native Hawaiian Chinese Guamanian or Chamorro Filipino Samoan Japanese Korean Vietnamese Other Asian Other Pacific Islander Some other race Other (specify) Don't know Refused Multiple races
Based on:

73 12 1 1 * * * 1 9 1 * 3
N=1,000

16

DM19. Does your total household [IF SINGLE: PERSONAL] income fall below $50,000 dollars, or is it $50,000 or higher? [READ LIST] Below $50,000 $50,000+ Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

50 46 2 3
N=1,000

DM20. And in which group does your total household [IF SINGLE: PERSONAL] income fall? [READ LIST] Under $10,000 $10,000 to under $20,000 $20,000 to under $30,000 $30,000 to under $40,000 $40,000 to under $50,000 $50,000 to under $75,000 $75,000 to under $100,000 $100,000 to under $150,000 $150,000 or more Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

9 11 9 10 8 18 10 10 7 4 5
N=1,000

DM21. Do you currently own stocks, bonds, or mutual funds? Yes No Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

41 56 * 2
N=1,000

17

[ASK DM22 ONLY IF YES IN DM21:] DM22. In the past 12 months, how many times did you make changes in your investmentsbuying or selling stocks or mutual funds either within or outside an employer-sponsored 401K plan? Would you say None 1 2 3 4 5-9 times 10-14 times 15-19 times 20-24 times 25 times or more Dont know [VOL] Refused [VOL]
Based on:

49 12 11 3 2 8 4 * 3 2 5 1
N=513

DM25. [INTERVIEWER RECORD:] Respondents Gender: Male Female

Based on:

49 51
N=1,000

CENSUS REGION: Northeast Midwest South West

Based on:

18 22 37 23
N=1,000

18

AP-GfK Poll Methodology The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted December 8 - 12, 2011, by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Corporate Communications a division of GfK Custom Research North America. This telephone poll is based on a nationally-representative probability sample of 1,000 general population adults age 18 or older. Interviews were conducted with 700 respondents on landlines and 300 respondents on cellular telephones. Both the landline and cell phone samples were provided by Survey Sampling International. The sample included the contiguous 48 states, Alaska, and Hawaii. Interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish, depending on respondent preference. The combined landline and cell phone data were weighted to account for probabilities of selection, as well as age, sex, education and race, using targets from the March 2009 supplement of the Current Population Survey. In addition to these factors, the weighting takes into account the patterns of land and cell phone usage by region from the 2009 Fall estimates provided by GfK MRI Inc. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4.0 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of adults. The margin of sampling error is higher and varies for results based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than 100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total significantly more than 100%, depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent. Trend data are displayed for selected questions from previous AP-GfK Polls that also consisted of telephone interviews with nationally-representative probability samples of adults age 18 or older. Details about all AP-GfK Polls are available at http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com.

19