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May 5, 2010
3i Infotech
Performance Highlights
3i Infotech declared strong 4QFY2010 performance on a consolidated basis registering 5.4% qoq growth in Top-line led by strong growth in the IT Services (9.9% qoq) and IT Products (5% qoq) Segments. The Transaction Services Segment Revenues grew 2.6% qoq to Rs245cr. While Operating Profit grew 3.6% to Rs124cr during the quarter, EBIDTA Margins fell 35bp qoq on lower Fx realisations during the quarter. The company wrote off Rs260cr as it exited the Citizen Service Center (CSC) business in 4QFY2010. Thus, Depreciation was reversed during the quarter and stood at a mere Rs1cr as against Rs22cr in the previous quarter. Profit after Tax adjusted for Extraordinary items grew 3% qoq. However, on reported basis, the company booked a Loss of Rs167cr. We believe that post the one-time hit (Kiosk business), the company would now focus on its core business going ahead. We maintain a Buy on the stock in view of the future potential of the acquired businesses. One-time Expense impacted performance: 3i Infotech registered Top-line growth of 5.4% qoq (3.5% yoy) during the quarter, with IT Services leading the growth recording 9.9% qoq jump in Revenues to Rs181cr, and contributed 28% to Total Revenues. Order Book stood at Rs1654cr, up 3.9% qoq and 14.4% yoy, indicating strong business visibility. Operating Margins however contracted by 35bp qoq (up 10bp yoy) during the quarter mainly due to the 347bp qoq (133bp yoy) increase in SG&A costs. The company reported a sharp 374.2% qoq (284.7% yoy) decline in Bottom-line due to the one-time extraordinary expense of Rs260cr incurred towards settlement of the Kiosk business. The loss has been valued as the difference between reported asset value in 3QFY2010 and disposable value as of 4QFY2010. Outlook and Valuation: We believe that 3i Infotech would bank on its strong traction in Transaction Services to clock Revenue CAGR of 14% over FY201012E. Profit after Tax adjusted for Exceptional items is likely to register15% CAGR over FY2010-12E. The company has achieved its desired Service Offerings portfolio and would now concentrate on geographical expansion and cross selling opportunities. In view of the transition phase of the companys new Service Offerings, we maintain a Buy on the stock with a Target Price of Rs129, implying 7x FY2012E EPS of Rs17.6, and translating into an upside of 76% from current levels. Key Financials (Consolidated)
Y/E March (Rs cr) Net Sales % chg Net Profit % chg EBITDA Margin (%) FDEPS (Rs) P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%) RoACE (%) EV/Sales (x) EV/EBITDA (x)
Source: Company, Angel Research
BUY
CMP Target Price
Investment Period Stock Info Sector Market Cap (Rs cr) Beta 52 WK High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (Rs) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF/Banks/Indian FLs FII/NRIs/OCBs Indian Public Abs. Sensex (%) 3i Info (%) 3m 8.2 (9.0) 1yr 40.9 44.1 23.1 35.3 12.2 29.4 3yr 22.6 52.1 IT 1,201 1.1 103/46 5,74,167 10 17,088 5,125 TIIN.BO III.IN
Rs72 Rs129
12 months
FY2009 2,286 89.6 282 59.7 19.3 21.6 3.5 0.8 28.8 14.4 1.2 6.2
FY2010E 2,449 7.1 33 (88.2) 19.7 1.7 37.9 0.9 2.5 12.3 1.2 5.9
FY2011E 2,734 11.7 290 771.7 19.4 14.5 5.1 0.8 16.9 13.1 1.0 4.9
FY2012E 3,197 16.9 351 21.2 19.0 17.6 4.2 0.7 16.7 15.1 0.7 3.8 Vibha Salvi
Tel: 022 4040 3800 Ext: 329 E-mail: vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com
1
Rahul Jain
Tel: 022 4040 3800 Ext: 345 E-mail: rahul.j@angeltrade.com
4QFY2010 628 504 124 38 1 4 90 5 84 11 (260) 2 93 (167) 4.8 (8.5) 19.7 14.8
3QFY2010 596 477 120 36 22 6 67 6 61 (11) (10) 61 61 3.1 3.1 20.1 10.2
% chg (qoq) 5.4 5.8 3.6 5.2 (97.7) (23.7) 33.4 (8.0) 37.2 (200.0) (118.8) 53.0 (374.2) 53.0 (374.2)
% chg (yoy) 3.5 3.4 4.1 36.4 (97.8) 11.9 25.1 6.3 26.5 (57.9) (7.5) 3.1 (23.9) 3.1 (284.7)
FY2010 2,449 1,966 483 145 81 20 277 11 266 28 (260) (0) 294 33 15.0 1.7 19.7 12.0
FY2009 2,286 1,851 434 95 70 19 288 22 266 26 0 10 282 282 14.4 21.0 19.0 12.3
% chg 7.1 6.2 11.2 52.5 16.2 6.0 (4.0) (50.3) (0.2) 7.3 (101.1) 4.2 (88.1) 4.2 (91.9)
April30, 2010
3i Infotech I 4QFY2010 Result Update Exhibit 2: Segment-wise Gross Revenue and Margins
(Rs. cr) Software Products Revenues Gross profit Gross margins (%) IT Services Revenues Gross profit Gross margins (%) Transaction Services (BPO) Revenues Gross profit Gross margins (%) Total Revenues Gross profit Gross margins (%) 4QFY10 203 110 54.1 181 68 37.4 245 80 32.6 628 257 40.9 3QFY10 193 102 52.9 165 64 38.9 238 78 32.7 596 244 41.0 4QFY09 209 115 54.8 176 64 36.3 222 63 28.4 607 242 39.8 % chg qoq 5.0 7.4 120bp 9.9 5.6 (150bp) 2.6 2.2 (10bp) 5.4 5.2 (10bp) % chg yoy (3.0) (4.3) (70bp) 2.7 5.6 100bp 10.4 26.8 420bp 3.6 6.5 110bp
April30, 2010
(%)
35 30 25 20 15 1QFY06 2QFY06 3QFY06 4QFY06 1QFY07 2QFY07 3QFY07 4QFY07 1QFY08 2QFY08 3QFY08 4QFY08 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10
Gross margins
Source: Company, Angel Research
EBITDA margins
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note:*Investments were made to acquire computers, plant & machinery and furniture & fixtures to set up various kiosks as part of Government of Indias e-governance initiatives
April30, 2010
April30, 2010
(Rs cr)
FY2012E
1,205 1,205 18 1,224 49.1 946 494 167 256 29 277 81.8 21.5 24 253 86.4 21.0 55 198 80.4 0.3 198 15 7.6 183 (6.6) 177 177 70.2 14.6 13.5 13.5 70.2
2,286 2,286 19 2,305 88.4 1,845 1,007 278 513 47 460 65.8 19.3 70 390 54.1 17.0 101 289 58.4 (24.9) 314 22 6.9 292 (10.4) 282 257 59.7 12.3 21.6 21.6 59.7
2,449 2,449 20 2,469 7.1 1,966 1,061 299 553 51 503 9.4 19.7 81 422 8.2 17.2 145 277 (85.9) 232.6 44 11 24.7 33 (0.1) 33 266 (88.2) 1.4 2.0 1.7 (88.2)
2,734 2,734 21 2,755 11.6 2,205 1,203 339 608 55 550 9.2 19.4 89 461 9.3 16.9 132 329 643.2 329 40 12.0 290 0.0 290 290 771.7 10.6 14.5 14.5 771.7
3,197 3,197 25 3,221 16.9 2,591 1,423 393 711 64 630 14.7 19.0 95 535 16.1 16.7 122 413 25.5 413 62 15.0 351 0.0 351 351 21.2 11.0 17.6 17.6 21.2
April30, 2010
(Rs cr)
FY2012E 200 100 1,976 2,276 1,271 3,547 1,093 498 595 36 1,752 4 1,830 416 422 993 669 1,160 3,547
(Rs cr)
FY2012E 413 95 18 62 464 (75) (25) (100) (346) 58 0 (404) (40) 455 416
April30, 2010
Key Ratios
Y/E March Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) P/CEPS P/BV Dividend yield (%) EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV / Total Assets Per Share Data (Rs) EPS (Basic) EPS (fully diluted) Cash EPS DPS Book Value Dupont Analysis EBIT margin Tax retention ratio Asset turnover (x) ROIC (Post-tax) Cost of Debt (Post Tax) Leverage (x) Operating ROE Returns (%) ROCE (Pre-tax) Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) ROE Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) Inventory / Sales (days) Receivables (days) Payables (days) Working capital cycle (ex-cash) (days) Solvency ratios (x) Net debt to equity Net debt to EBITDA Interest Coverage (EBIT / Interest) 1.6 4.6 4.6 1.9 4.8 3.9 1.4 4.0 2.9 0.8 2.9 3.5 0.6 2.0 4.4 3.8 151 69 148 3.1 0.3 121 58 61 2.6 0.7 122 70 104 2.7 0.7 119 68 99 2.9 0.7 111 66 85 15.8 30.9 27.4 14.4 28.4 28.8 12.3 24.0 2.5 13.0 24.7 16.8 15.0 28.1 16.5 21.0 92.4 0.6 11.4 5.3 1.3 19.2 17.0 93.1 0.7 10.4 5.4 1.6 18.4 17.2 75.3 0.7 8.7 5.2 1.2 12.8 16.9 88.0 0.7 11.0 6.4 0.6 13.6 16.7 85.0 0.8 12.0 7.2 0.4 13.8 13.5 13.5 15.4 2.1 60.6 21.6 21.6 26.9 2.0 89.3 2.0 1.7 6.8 1.5 87.0 14.5 14.5 18.9 2.0 99.3 17.6 17.6 22.4 2.5 114.0 5.3 4.7 1.2 2.9 1.6 7.0 0.8 3.3 2.7 0.8 2.8 1.2 6.1 0.7 36.6 10.6 0.8 2.1 1.2 5.8 0.7 5.0 3.8 0.7 2.8 0.9 4.7 0.6 4.1 3.2 0.6 3.5 0.7 3.6 0.5 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010E FY2011E FY2012E
April30, 2010
E-mail: research@angeltrade.com
Website: www.angeltrade.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Securities Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Securities Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).
Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
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3i Infotech No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below Rs 1 lakh for Angel and its Group companies.
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April30, 2010