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Funnel Plots
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Outline
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Denition
Publication Bias (Dickersin, 1990):
Publication bias occurs when the publication of research results depends on their nature and direction. Other kinds of bias:
language bias availability bias cost bias familiarity bias outcome bias ...
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Solutions?
Registration and consequent tracking of clinical trials Mandatory? One general registry? Encouraging the publication of all studies, e.g. Journal of Negative Results in Biomedicine Acceptance? Practicability?
Required:
Every meta-analysis should include an analysis of publication bias, and this analysis should be reported as a standard part of the results. = Techniques for the assessment of publication bias
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Funnel Plot
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Fundamental assumption: In the absence of bias, a plot from studies which estimate the same intervention eect will be symmetrical and bear some resemblance to a funnel (German translation: funnel = Kamin, Schacht, Trichter).
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Denition
Funnel Plot:
A funnel plot is a scatter plot of the treatment eects estimated from individual studies against a measure of study size. Properties: The smaller the study size, the wider the spread of the treatment eects and vice versa If there is no bias: form of a funnel, symmetrical If there is bias: asymmetrical Explorative tool, no quantitative information on the amount or the source of the bias No empirical investigations on funnel plots for continuous outcomes so far
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
0.05
Standard error
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not recommended
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
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Easy interpretation
Standard error
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Possible heterogeneity if event rate is high Conclusions may depend on outcome denition
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
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Interpretation more complicated Shape of the plot not dependent on outcome denition
Standard error
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
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Standard error
Standard error
Standard error
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Risk difference
University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
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Study size
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Expected shape of the plot in the case of no bias can not be derived not recommended!
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Characteristic funnel shape Straight condence lines Emphasis on smaller studies (bias more likely) Axis often inverted
Standard error
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
No funnel shape Curved condence lines Emphasis on larger studies (small studies compressed at the bottom) Probably useful for the comparison of meta-analyses of small and large studies recommended for special tasks
Inverse of standard error 15
10
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
q q q
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No funnel shape
1.0 Variance
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Curved condence lines Emphasis on smaller studies (bias more likely) Axis often inverted
q q q
1.5
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2.0
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2.5
not recommended
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
No funnel shape Curved condence lines Emphasis on larger studies (small studies compressed at the bottom) Probably useful for the comparison of meta-analyses of small and large studies
Inverse of variance 300
q
100
200
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
0.5
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Standard error
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Study size
Variance
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Inverse of variance
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Condence intervals
Alternative to condence lines: Pointwise condence intervals
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Mirror option
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Meta-analysis by Hackshaw et al. (1997): Eect of environmental tobacco smoke on risk of lung cancer Comparison of spouses of smokers and non-smokers 37 studies Controversy: Aected by publication bias?
University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
0.2
Standard error
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Smaller studies tend to show greater adverse eects asymmetry Not clear if real bias or chance Visual inspection not enough
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Meta-analysis by Veenstra et al. (1998): Eectiveness of a special coating on venuous catheters Two endpoints: Bacterial colonisation of the catheter and bloodstream infection 16 controlled trials
University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
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0.5
Standard error
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1.5
1.0
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
q q
0.5
Standard error
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1.0
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University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
Summary
Visual tool for investigation of (publication) bias in meta-analysis Scatter plots of treatment eect versus study size For binary outcomes: odds ratio and standard errors best choice In the case of bias: asymmetry Other causes of asymmetry possible Interpretation dicult if number of studies small
University of Zurich
Publication Bias
Funnel Plots
Examples
References
References
Dickersin, K. (1990). The existence of publication bias and risk factors for its occurrence, Journal of the American Medical Association 263(10): 13851395. Hackshaw, A., Law, M. and Wald, N. (1997). The accumulated evidence on lung cancer and environmental tobacco smoke, British Medical Journal 315: 980988. Rothstein, H., Sutton, A. and Borenstein, M. (eds) (2005). Publication Bias in Meta-Analysis, Wiley. Veenstra, D., Saint, S., Saha, S., Lumley, T. and Sullivan, S. (1998). Ecacy of antiseptic impregnated central venous catheters in preventing nosocomial infections: a meta analysis, Journal of the American Medical Association 281: 261267.
University of Zurich