Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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In the running
Alec Baldwin (whos considered running for New York mayor) as Mitt Romney
The also-rans
Jerry Seinfeld (no joke) as Rick Santorum
Script advisers
Dan Aykroyd as Obama political aide David Axelrod
Julie Bowen (of Modern Family) as Obama deputy campaign manager Stephanie Cutter
Jim Parsons (of The Big Bang Theory) as Florida Sen. Marco Rubio
Billy Gardell (comic in Mike & Molly) as New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie
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In the running
Height
Since 1900, the tallest candidate has won except for the eight times they didnt (including Al Gore in 2000). At 6-1, Romney stands just a half-inch taller than Obama, which could be the most important digit of his political life. But before throngs of tweeps tweet he won by almost an inch, the major party candidates may have some competition in the Constitution Partys nominee, Virgil Goode, who looks pretty tall from photos. Hes also from Virginia (see Ohio for why this is important). 8-Ball: Signs point to Romney
cember 2006, his approval rating was at 39 percent, but thats like comparing apples to oranges. 8-Ball: Reply hazy, try again
ven those with an eye into the future are stumped. Just as public opinion polls show the Barack Obama-Mitt Romney race too close to call, local astrologists whove studied the celestial charts say they arent making any bold predictions, either. The biggest factor: Mercury will be in retrograde, a temporary illusion that causes the planet to appear to move backward. For the first time in American history, the planet will station retrograde (begin a new cycle) on Nov. 6, the day of the presidential election. The last time Mercury did something similar, it stationed direct (ended the cycle) on the final day of the disputed 2000 presidential race an alignment thats very scary to Ennis astrologist and numerologist Sherle Stevens. When Mercury is in retrograde at the start of any new adventure, things change three months later. Her guess? Confusion with the results. Maybe there could be a lot of voter fraud, Stevens said. Dallas astrologist and psychic Diane Eichenbaum prepared a chart on President Barack Obama to try to make a prediction on the election.
Dallas astrologer and psychic Diane Eichenbaum also saw confusion in the skies, a precursor to a long election night. She has done the charts and doesnt see either candidate with a distinct advantage. Its very hard to predict. They both have very tenuous aspects in their charts now, so theyre under a lot of pressure, she said. Still, the choice will be made in the polls, Eichenbaum said, SHERLE not by the stars. STEVENS Nothing is so fated that its not going to change, she said. Unlike astronomy, the scientific study of the physical universe, astrology deals with the positions of planets and suns and how they supposedly affect huDIANE man behavior. EICHENBAUM With little clarity gained, In the Running turned to the Magic 8 Ball for an interpretation of some classic predictors, but even those yielded cloudy results.
Unemployment rate
No president in modern history has been re-elected with a jobless rate higher than 7.2 percent. That might mean that the recently reported unemployment rate of 7.8 percent doesnt bode well for the president. But he has said the country is making economic progress after a painful recession. 8-Ball: Most likely Romney
Ohio
Ohio offers two presidential keys. First, the state earned its nickname Mother of Presidents after seven men all hailing from Ohio took their place in the Oval Office. It shares that moniker with Virginia, which claims eight presidents (President Goode, anyone?). Romney comes from Michigan, and although Obama still fends off questions about where hes from, no one has ever suggested Ohio or Virginia. Second, no Republican has ever won the White House without carrying Ohio. And latest polls show Obama slightly ahead in the Buckeye State. 8-Ball: Yes, Obama
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In the running
Lingo bingo
President Barack Obama
ebate, Round 3, gets under way Monday night. And the final showdown between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney is expected again to take on the look of a grueling sports match, maybe boxing or even tennis. For TV viewers, heads have been twisting endlessly back and forth, back and forth, as the presidential rivals take turns landing winners or banging into the net. So, with political games in mind, In the Running offers lingo bingo. Pass around the cards, grab a marker and when you hear one of the words or phrases, cross it off. First player to cross out a row of five wins.
Final debate
Time: 8-9:30 p.m. Monday TV: All major broadcast channels and cable news networks Location: Lynn University, Boca Raton, Fla. Moderator: Bob Schieffer of CBS News
Leadership
The 47%
Unemployment rate
Big government
Redistribution
Tax loopholes
Stimulus
Creating opportunity
Medicare vouchers
Punishing success
Iraq
Class warfare
Job creation
Benjamin Netanyahu
Medicaid
Afghanistan
Benghazi
FREE SPACE
Bain Capital
Entitlements
Mortgage deduction
FREE SPACE
Iran
Working poor
Repeal of Obamacare
Socialism
Vladimir Putin
Arab Spring
Fairness
Selfdeportation
Climate change
Nuclear weapons
Immigration reform
McClatchy-Tribune
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dallasnews.com
In the running
Consumers go to polls early by selecting products that lean left or right
By NICK GASS
Washington Bureau ngass@dallasnews.com
a choice between a Left Wing chicken bowl and a Right Wing turkey bowl. Since the promotions launch, sales of Market Bowls are averaging almost twice as high as in the test markets, said Sara Bittorf, the companys chief brand officer. So far, Left Wing chicken bowl sales have far outpaced the Right Wing turkey bowls. D.C.-based Mexican chain California Tortilla is offering a similar deal. As of Oct. 10, Obamas Chicken Teriyaki Luau Bowl was beating Romneys
Evans Caglage/Staff Photographer
The race is heating up: Coffee drinkers at 7-Eleven can choose a blue cup to show their support for Democrats, or a red one for Republicans.
Mask mathematics
Politics is a big treat to Spirit Halloween, which has scared up an impressive campaign record. Its sales correctly have tracked the outcome of every presidential election since 1996, when Bill Clinton masks topped Bob Doles by more than 40 percentage points. Spirit Halloween, one of the largest costume retailers in North America with more than 1,000 locations, is selling fullsize, rubbery, smiling masks of Obama and Romney. Company spokeswoman Lisa Barr said the results are driven largely by holiday customers buying products that they enjoy and that also represent their beliefs and ideals. This year, Spirit Halloween has partnered with the advocacy group Rock the Vote, seek-
ing to boost registration before the November election. In the latest national numbers, Obama masks are outselling Romney masks 65 percent to 35 percent.
the Democrat) or a red one (for Romney, the Republican). Undecideds or those who dont want to play can fill up with a regular cup. The liquid votes have mirrored the final outcome in each presidential race since it began in 2000, when Texan George W. Bush prevailed. Margaret Chabris, a 7-Eleven spokeswoman, called the coffee poll unabashedly unofficial and unscientific, so we cant say definitively why it has been so accurate. Perhaps because our cus-
tomer base represents a mosaic of the American voter, she said. As of the middle of last week, Obama led Romney 60 percent to 40 percent in sales nationwide.
Political cups
Romney supporters might need a caffeinated jolt in 7Elevens coffee cup contest. Hes fallen far behind since voting began last month. The Dallas-based convenience store chain offers different campaign cups to express political allegiances. Its a blue one (for Obama,
Bowl games
Boston Markets Bowl Poll gives politically inclined diners
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In the running
or the men who want to run the Oval Office, both have a clean bill of health. President Barack Obama, 51, may be sporting more than a few new gray hairs than in his last election, but hes physically no worse for the wear, his doctor said.
The president is in excellent health and fit for duty, Dr. Jeffrey Kuhlman wrote last October after Mitt Romneys doctor, in a report released last month, described the Republican contender as an He has reserves of strength, energy and stamina that provide him with the ability to meet unexpect-
conducting Obamas physical exam. energetic, strong, physically fit man who looks younger than his age, 65. ed demands, said Dr. Randall Gaz, who practices at Massachusetts General Hospital. Heres a look at their recent medical checkups:
Mitt Romney
65 years old 6-112 184 pounds
Past injuries: In 1965, he had his appendix removed, and in 1968, he suffered a concussion and broken bones in a car accident in France. Prostate: Has minimally symptomatic benign enlargement of his prostate gland. Is closely monitored for prostate cancer because of his family history. Cholesterol: Takes a statin drug, Lipitor, to lower his cholesterol, which is 169 with the treatment, a level considered normal, his doctor said. His triglycerides, another kind of fat, were borderline high. Diet: His high-fiber diet includes an abundance of fruits and vegetables and he avoids concentrated sweets, his doctor said. Blood pressure: 130 over 80. Foot: Used to run three miles daily before cutting back because of plantar fasciitis, an inflammation of the thick tissue connecting the heel bone to the toes that is common in runners. Heart: Takes a low-dose aspirin daily. Has sinus bradycardia (a lower-than-average base line heart rate). His doctor attributed his slow resting heart rate it is in the 40s to his past intensive exercise. Medicines: Is allergic to penicillin. Leisure: Makes time for early-morning cross-training workouts while campaigning, and he enjoys swimming and biking. Does not drink or smoke in adherence to his Mormon faith.
Michael Hogue/Staff Artist
In the running
Footnotes and sidesteps from the political races
Percentage of registered voters in each party who: Are very interested in NASCAR GOP: 11% Dem: 7% Did yoga
In the past year
GOP: 14% Dem: 19% Are very interested in college football GOP: 26% Dem: 18% Shopped at Family Dollar
In the past three months
GOP: 26% Dem: 20% Are very interested in the NBA GOP: 7% Dem: 14% Own a truck GOP: 37% Dem: 20% Are Twitter users
In the past three months
GOP: 38% Dem: 41% Have a dog GOP: 46% Dem: 37% Visited a casino
In the past year
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In the running
Why earthquakes?
His model takes a mathematical equation from geophysicists, measuring the stability or upheaval found in earthquake predictions and applying those to elections. Lichtman developed the model with Vladimir Keilis-Borok, a Soviet-born geophysicist he met in 1981at the California Institute of Technology. Everything that we learned in politics, we have stolen from physicists anyway, like the stability of earth or upheavals, Lichtman said.
The ultimate election question whos going to win can be as tough to predict as the next California earthquake. But not to Allan Lichtman, history professor at American University in Washington. His multilayered earthquake model for politics has forecast the popular vote victor in every presidential campaign since 1984. Dubbed the never-wrong pundit, Lichtman focuses on 13 key factors, largely driven by the performance of the party that holds the White House. ALLAN If six or more of the 13 keys go LICHTMAN against the party in power, then the opposing party wins. He said the system has been accurate as far back as 1860. And in this years matchup, he said, the keys indicate that Barack Obama will beat Mitt Romney.
Even if
Lichtman said Romney should try to run an unconventional, breakthrough campaign that presents a principled opposition to current policies, elevates the level of political debate, and inspires activism among voters. But even in doing so, Romney wont be able to overcome the other deciding factors, he said. He cant change the keys, Lichtman said, unless he turns into Ronald Reagan, which is not going to happen.
Description After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more U.S. House seats than it did after the previous midterm elections. There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
Conclusions for 2012 race False. The Democratic Party lost 63 seats in the 2010 midterm election, showing the lack of a mandate. True. Obama did not face a major Democratic rival for renomination. True. Obamas nomination secures this key. True. The absence of any likely third-party challenger able to win at least 5 percent of the vote gives the Democrat the edge. The last time this key was false was in 1996, when Dallas businessman Ross Perot got 8.4 percent of the popular vote. True. Lichtman says a double-dip recession in the next month is not likely. False. The countrys lagging real gross domestic product counts against Obama. True. Stimulus programs and the overhaul of health care, perhaps the most significant social legislation since the mid-1960s, gives Obama this key. True. Even with the tea party protests and the Occupy Wall Street movement, such events dont come close to the turmoil of the 1960s, Lichtman said. True. Theres been little that compares to the likes of Watergate or the Clinton impeachment. True. The attacks in Libya and recent protests against the U.S. have commanded attention but do not represent a major failure, he said. True. With the elimination of Osama bin Laden and the liberation of Libya, the administration has secured major victories in this category. False. The Obama campaign lacks the magic of his first run. True. Lichtman said Mitt Romney falls short of having the charisma of Theodore Roosevelt or Ronald Reagan.
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Short-term economy Long-term economy Policy change Social unrest Scandal Foreign/military failure Foreign/military success Incumbent charisma Challenger charisma
The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. The incumbent administration brings about major changes in national policy. There is no sustained social unrest during the term. The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.
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In the running
Two can agree on Star Trek, then diverge
By TRISTAN HALLMAN
Staff Writer thallman@dallasnews.com
The conventions behind them, Barack Obama and Mitt Romney head into a seven-week sprint filled with high-minded policy debates and mudslinging TV ads. But theres plenty more about the presidential rivals that may get overlooked such as how Obama gorged himself on ice cream at an old job. Or how ol Bird Legs Romney is a big fan of ABCs Modern Family. For all their disagreements, the two share a common interest in a 1960s science fiction show, starring a rugged captain, a pointy-eared sidekick and a savvy communications officer. The Dallas Morning News culled these glimpses of Obama and Romneys personalities from a string of media interviews:
Graduated magna cum laude from Harvard Law, but made a D in eighth-grade French. Started at Occidental College in Los Angeles, transferred to Columbia University in New York. He later went to law school at Harvard University.
Leaving California
Started at Stanford University, transferred to Brigham Young University in Provo, Utah. He later went to business and law school at Harvard University.
Reads The Drudge Report Watching Modern Family with wife Ann A big fan, but has stopped short of calling himself a Trekkie
Beets, and I always avoid eating them. Planters Trail Mix, MET-Rx chocolate roasted-peanut protein bars
Eggplant, in any shape or form. I love good pretzels and peanut M&Ms.
ALTERNATE UNIVERSE
Who would play you in a movie? Alternate career choice Hidden talent Will Smith because his ears match mine. Gene Hackman. Hes my favorite actor.
Architect
Singing.
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In the running
PBS production assistant Meena Ganesan uses her head to collect live video.
Museum-worthy?
Pair on the prowl for political trinkets that capture 2012
By TOM BENNING
Staff Writer tbenning@dallasnews.com
HARLOTTE, N.C. Armed with only business cards and the prospect of immortality, Harry Rubenstein and Larry Bird trolled the convention halls in one of the more colorful and difficult government jobs: collecting swag for the Smithsonian Institution.
carrying a large art satchel, have been gathering the quirky artifacts that have come to define these kinds of events for nearly 30 years. Generations later will view this material and hopefully get a wider view that way, Rubenstein said. Even though theyre still having a blast talking excitedly about a Washington state delegate ribbon they wonder whether this could be their last season in search of convention kitsch. We keep hoping that some younger person will take an active interest, Bird said with a grin. Weve had a really good run.
Buttons. Pins. Flags. Banners. Hats. Signs. And trinkets. The duo takes it all in, looking for the perfect piece of memorabilia as they try to capture not only the flavor of the event, but also the larger political process. Bartering with conventioneers, they realize they often are asking the impossible. They dont offer any money for the personal souvenirs, instead selling the dream of being featured in Americans most famous museum. Sometimes, Bird said, we want what they cant give us. Rubenstein and Bird,
Harry Rubenstein (left) and Larry Bird have been gathering political artifacts for the Smithsonian for nearly 30 years.
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In the running
By MIKE PETERS
Special Contributor
arack Obama is the incredible shrinking president. Thats the view of some of Americas editorial cartoonists, who say theyve had to make adjustments to the man who four years ago reached historic heights in his racial-breaking presidential campaign.
Its subconscious, but the way a cartoonist draws a politician does change over time as the cartoonists impression of that politician changes, said Mike Smith of the Las Vegas Sun. I found that George W. Bush became smaller in my art as his presidency matured. And I find the same thing happening with Obama. Does familiarity breed contempt? Yes, indeed, said the Miami Heralds Jim Morin, but thats good for caricaturists and satirists. Without exception, the more a term goes on, the easier the subject is to draw because you know them better, he said. My beginning Obama drawings emphasized the chin, but as time went on, I found the length of his nose, from eyes to mouth, grew, and his chin grew smaller. I find that looks much more like him. After a president has been in office for a certain period of time, said the Dayton Daily News Mike Peters, he becomes more easy to draw and then certain features pop out that become your symbol for them. I could do a basketball with large ears and everyone would think its Obama. David Hitch of the Worcester (Mass.) Telegram and Gazette said hes found that the hope and change candidate has evolved into a brooding, cynical, and even, at times, mean-spirited presidential persona. The wide, relaxed smile from Obamas early presidency has become strained, and less frequent, he KEVIN SIERS said. The Charlotte Observer I tend lately to put the Ed Gamble, on the other hand, hasnt seen ears lower down on his the president change much under his pen. head, emphasizing the Obama is fun to draw and he has good feabrainy dome. The tures you can concentrate on, said the Jackeyebrows have definitely sonville-based cartoonist, now in his 30th gotten more Nixonian. year of national syndication with King FeaHes definitely not tures. The big ears, the big smiling mouth, smiling as much in my the upper cheeks a face like an upsidemore recent cartoons. down teardrop. Plus he is very good-looking.
Mike Peters is a freelance writer.
ED GAMBLE King Features Syndicate Gamble says Americas first black president can pose special challenges. I am always careful when I draw different races. I dont want race to interfere with the cartoon to sidetrack the reader.
DAVID HITCH Worcester (Mass.) Telegram and Gazette I usually tire of sketching the same political character after a few years.
JIM MORIN Miami Herald Morin still enjoys drawing Obama. His face lends well to all kinds of emotions. The hapless Obama, the hypocrite Obama, the jovial Obama. They all work. He has a smile like Jimmy Carter!
SIZING UP ROMNEY: Political cartoonists gave their takes on Mitt Romney last week. See what they said on dallasnews.com.
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In the running
JEFF KOTERBA
Omaha World-Herald He said Romney, and even Barack Obama, are too bland. Its sad, really. Whats the political world coming to when cartoonists dont have someone like McCain or [Michael] Dukakis or [Bill] Clinton or either Bush to draw?
itt Romney may have trouble convincing the Republican faithful that hes the second coming of Ronald Reagan, but many of the na-
MIKE SMITH
Las Vegas Sun Smith said he plays up Romneys meticulous hair and thick eyebrows, and it may not be by accident. Someone commented the other day that I have Romney hair. So maybe hes easy to draw since Im subconsciously drawing my own hairstyle.
JOEL PETT
Lexington Herald-Leader Everyone is eventually easy. I usually get them down right before they lose.
KEVIN SIERS
The Charlotte Observer Most of my energy in my Romney caricature is going into the eyes, trying to capture wide-eyed, enthusiastic salesman-Babbittry and evasive beadiness at the same time.
NEXT SUNDAY
See how political cartoonists size up President Barack Obama.
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In the running
A
Matt Rourke/The Associated Press
s Barack Obama and Mitt Romney duke it out on the presidential campaign trail, wives Michelle Obama and Ann Romney are showcasing their husbands softer sides. But theres something in it for them too: the ubiquitous-yet-undefined first lady gig. Historian Robert Watson, an American studies professor at Lynn University in Boca Raton, Fla., said the two not only possess political skills but they also have extraordinary personal appeal. The country is very lucky no matter who wins from a first lady perspective, he said.
I am more like a state prisoner than anything else. There are certain bounds set for me which I must not depart. Martha Washington
Ike runs the country, I turn the pork chops. Mamie Eisenhower
Personal projects
The role is not defined in the Constitution but over the years the public has come to expect that first ladies should be standing for something, said Anita McBride, Laura Bushs former chief of staff. Michelle Obama has made childhood obesity her chief foe, spearheading the Lets Move! crusade for healthy eating and exercise. She also helps lead Joining Forces, which aims to give aid and opportunity to military families. Ann Romney, meanwhile, has been public about her battle with multiple sclerosis, a degenerative autoimmune disease that triggers bouts of inflammation in the central nervous system. Shes also advocated for inner-city childrens education and safety.
Im sorry that first ladies are being attacked. I dont think I ever was really, or at least if I was, George didnt ever tell me about it. Laura Bush
Weve been in love with the first lady since Martha Washington. In American history, they have better discharged their duties than the presidents. Robert Watson, Lynn University professor
Ann Romney rides horses, a childhood hobby, as therapy for her multiple sclerosis. Diagnosed in 1998, its been in remission since she received a year of intravenous steroid treatments. But the symptoms can flare up, sometimes causing numbness. Michelle Obamas father, Fraser Robinson, suffered from the disease as well. Robinson a former boxer, Democratic precinct captain and Chicago city water filtration plant employee died in 1991. Romney was diagnosed with a noninvasive type of breast cancer in 2008, underwent a lumpectomy and has been cancer-free since.
Becoming a target
Democratic strategist Hilary Rosen set off a clamor earlier this year when she said on CNN that Ann Romney didnt understand economic issues and had never worked a day in her life. Romney, the mother of five, responded in her first tweet, saying, I made a choice to stay home and raise five boys. Believe me, it was hard work. Michelle Obama has faced parodies of her as a food-policing busybody and some GOP-generated questions about her travel costs. Shes an informal adviser to her but husband, doesnt meddle in policy, a perception that dogged Hillary Rodham Clinton. Obama gave up her job as a vice president at the University of Chicago when her husband began his presidential run. She has said she adapted the traditional roles of a first lady to her personality. Ultimately, the role has to be defined by the individual, she said. Because not every first lady or first spouse is going to be me.
Education
Causes
Education and safety for inner-city youths, multiple sclerosis advocacy. Knew each other in grade school in Michigan, and began dating when she was nearly 16. I caught his eye, and he never let me go, she said of the high school dance party where they met. Her high school yearbook editors included the entry first lady beside her 1967 photo. Won elected office before her husband in 1977 for town meeting representative in Belmont, Mass. Co-owns a horse that competed in the dressage competition in the London Olympics.
Fun facts
Staff writer Tristan Hallman, McClatchy News Service and The Associated Press contributed to this report.
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In the running
Lefties have been living it up in the White George House. H.W. Bush Five of the last seven presidents have been southpaws, a trend that stands out even more because only 10 percent of the population is lefthanded. But as the world celebrates International LeftHanders Day on Monday, that run is at risk. Left-handed incumbent Barack Obama, who beat fellow left-hander John McCain four years ago, faces a right-winged foe, Mitt Romney. And their matchup renews a testy debate on whether a presidents handedness is a tell-all sign. Some people (often left-handers) say lefties possess better language and leadership skills, making it easier to connect with voters. Others (often right-handers) call that bunk, saying the recent political spike probably is because teachers and parents no longer force kids to switch. Bernard Edwin Sands of the Left Handed Liberation Society, an advocacy group based in NeFile 2003/The Associated Press vada, said the old notions that cast lefthandedness as sinister have faded away, Harry S. allowing their many admirable traits to Truman shine. Theyre a little more emotional, a little more creative, said Sands, who not surprisingly is left-handed. But Rik Smits, author of The Puzzle of Left-Handedness, said the high percentage of lefties whove become president is a freak accident. He said those in the left-sided camp like to exaggerate myths theyre more imaginative and broad-minded. But they do not consistently share any other File 1949/The Associated Press features besides their handedness, he said. Gerald The lineup clearly is bipartisan, with ObaFord ma, Bill Clinton, George H.W. Bush, Ronald Reagan and Gerald Ford. Counting Harry Truman, half of the presidents since World War II have been left-handed. Smits said lefties may be benefiting from the self-reliance and stubbornness that comes from coping in a right-handed world. After all, its not the gullible, the weak and File 1974/The Associated Press the meek that inherit the presidency, he said.
The switch
Ronald Reagan, the actor turned president, was born left-handed but converted to writing with his other hand, pressured by his parents and teachers. He did so in a very cramped style, as if it didnt come naturally, said a former aide, Lyn Nofziger. Everything else, including wood chopping, he did left-handed. Agence France-Presse And Reagans biographer said that in the movies he always twirled and shot pistols with his left hand. Other southpaw samplings: I What determines a persons dominant hand is not clear, although many scientists say its a combination of genes, environment and culture. I Lefties generally are dominated by the right side of the brain, the side that is more associated with artistic function. But left-handedness also is closely identified with language difficulties, such as dyslexia and stuttering. I A lefty trifecta topped the presidential ballot in 1992, with George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton and Ross Perot. I Left-handedness runs in the British royal family, including Prince William. From staff and wire reports
Agence France-Presse
Bill Clinton
The capital B, larger than the O of his last name, indicates he wants to be recognized for his personal accomplishments, instead of family connections or external influence.
The extra round shapes of those two letters means he dreams big and is open to possibilities. Tooker The dotted i signals that hes loyal and attentive to details. Holmes
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In the running
West Winging it
File 1996/Sony Pictures
Harrison Ford
Air Force One When President James Marshalls office-jet is hijacked, Harrison Ford pulls from his years in combat to rescue his staff and family. WHY HIM? No matter his foreign policy, Ford kicks terrorist butt, declaring, Get off my plane! THE CHARACTER Peace isnt merely the absence of conflict, but the presence of justice. Ford, in the movie
Kevin Kline
Dave As presidential impersonator Dave Kovic, Kevin Kline bumbles his way into the White House. Hes hired to step in after the real head of state suffers a stroke and slips into a coma. Despite his suddenly liberal agenda, no ones the wiser. WHY HIM? Kline somehow fixes the budget and restores Americas faith in politics. THE CHARACTER Lots of people fantasize about what it would be like if they were president. Most think theyd be decent and wouldnt be corrupted which is what we hope [for] any president. Kline
By CELINA KAREIVA
Staff Writer ckareiva@dallasnews.com
Sometimes, the movies do a better job of running the country than any real-life politician. Hollywood presidents have thwarted alien attacks, fought terrorists on Air Force One and, just this summer, fended off Civil War vampires. Although its all make-believe, even fictional characters can influence broader trends. Film can be a framework for viewers to think about themselves as citizens, said Brett Boessen, a professor of media studies at Austin College in Sherman. Some pop culture analysts have said that Morgan Freeman in Deep Impact and David Palmer in the series 24 helped solidify the idea of a black president before Barack Obamas victory in 2008. Washington remains a popular entertainment venue. USA Network recently debuted Political Animals, and NBC is airing a new comedy this fall, 1600 Penn. To commemorate this election season, heresa rundown ofmemorable big-screen leaders:
Michael Douglas
The American President Its a sly commentary on Washingtons cozy relationship with the lobbying world. Michael Douglas falls for environmental activist Annette Bening amid the perils of raising a daughter and running a country. WHY HIM? Douglas manages to bring romance to the Oval Office (and not the sordid LewinskyClinton kind). THE CHARACTER The plot showed presidents as human beings. We have this tendency to create them as deities or saints and dont allow them any possible wrinkles. Douglas
Jack Nicholson
Mars Attacks! Aliens invade but the White House thinks theyve come in peace. Its not until the Martians wipe out much of Congress that Jack Nicholson, as President Dale, determines their motive. Only the vocal range of country musician Slim Whitman can stop the hostiles. WHY HIM? Nicholson may not be a very capable commander in chief, but he knows how to sell disaster. THE CHARACTER I want the people to know that they still have two out of three branches of the government working for them, and that aint bad. Nicholson, after aliens kill Congress
Josh Brolin
W Brolin drew critical praise for his portrayal of George W. Bush, especially his back-slapping charm. W details Bushs roughhewn early years and the pressures of a family legacy. WHY HIM? Brolin studied 25 of Bushs speeches and meticulously practiced his Texas twang. THE CHARACTER When director Oliver Stone came to me about Bush, I couldnt understand it. He said, Theres something Americana about you. Theres something bucolic about you. Brolin, on casting
Morgan Freeman
Deep Impact With a comet hurtling toward earth, Freeman enlists a team of astronauts to repel it. But a missile strike fails, and Freeman is left comforting a nation as it rebuilds. WHY HIM? Freeman could win an election on his voice alone. THE CHARACTER One interviewer asked me, Whats it like to play a black president? And I said, What on earth do you mean? Its like playing the president! Freeman
Bill Pullman
Independence Day As aliens threaten to destroy Earth, Bill Pullmans rousing speech We will not go quietly into the night. We will not vanish without a fight. is still quoted to this day. WHY HIM? Pullman is more superhero than president. An ex-fighter pilot, he heads to the front lines after learning his country is under attack. THE CHARACTER Its not a pump-up sports speech. Its about standing up for whats right and appealing to a fierceness that comes from humility. Pullman
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In the running
HEADof STATE
Mandel Ngan/Agence France-Presse
gray
P
By GRETA KAUL
Staff Writer gkaul@dallasnews.com
Splitting hairs
Its tough being commander in chief. So much so that presidents age twice as fast for each of the years they spend in the White House, said Dr. Michael Roizen, a wellness officer at the Cleveland Clinic, an academic medical and research center. Roizen, who has reviewed public medical records for every president since Theodore Roosevelt, told CBS News that the job not only is a source of punishing stress but also of isolation. They really do have everything coming in to them at once, with little relief, he said. But S. Jay Olshansky, who studies aging at the University of Illinois at Chicago, questioned that accelerated-aging theory. The average age is 55 at the start of their terms. If you take a picture of any male at 55 and then another at 59 and another at 63, what you are going to see on every single one of them is a loss or graying of hair, he said. When George W. Bush took office at age 54 in 2001, the Texan had salt-andpepper hair. Eight years, a terrorist attack and two wars later, it was a shock of gray, his face lined with visible wrinkles. Still, Olshansky said most presidents have beaten the longevity expectations for their time, including John Adams, Herbert Hoover, Gerald Ford and Ronald Reagan, who all lived past 90.
resident Barack Obama celebrates his 51st birthday Saturday, still among the youngest in that office. But the chatter of late has focused on his graying head of hair. Even Obama has joked about it. When a North Carolina factory worker showed him a 2008 campaign photo, Obama admitted that extra gray had crept in since then. But I have a better plane, so its a fair trade, he said. A look at the debate on whether presidents age faster:
Parting shot
His hair has provided plenty of comic fodder. Saturday Night Live Weekend Update host Seth Meyers told Obama at an event last year that when sworn in, he looked as virile as the guy from the Old Spice TV ads but time has taken its toll. Ive never said this to anyone, but maybe you should start smoking again, Meyers said.
James Buchanan
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n the loud and nasty Texas Senate race, Republicans David Dewhurst and Ted Cruz have tangled over wholl be the more aggressive fighter against Washington spending and taxes. But with nine days before their final faceoff, a much lighter split has emerged on movies. Dewhurst, 66, loves Patton, the rock em, sock em bio on World By ROBERT T. GARRETT Austin Bureau War II Gen. George S. Patton. rtgarrett@dallasnews.com Cruz, 41, the states former top appeals court lawyer, is a fan of The Princess Bride, a romantic comedy with swordplay, giants, outlaws and a damsel in distress. Thats just a slice of the personal traits, tastes and backgrounds gleaned from the two rivals in their responses to a questionnaire from The Dallas Morning News:
David Dewhurst
Lieutenant governor and former state land commissioner
ON SPORTS, LEISURE
Running, lifting weights Vince Young in college, sadly not in the pros. Jeff Gordon The Princess Bride and Amazing Grace Calvin and Hobbes George Strait, Here for a Good Time Exercise routine Best football player ever Favorite NASCAR driver Favorite movie Favorite comic strip Last music purchase Elliptical machine, stationary bike, free weights I always loved watching Roger Staubach. Tony Stewart or Jimmie Johnson Patton Headlines of The New York Times. Numerous songs for my 8-year-old daughter.
BACK AT HOME
Not picking up my clothes at night. No For almost all of my oral arguments as solicitor general, I wore the same pair of black ostrich boots. No, but I do enjoy an occasional cigar. (I am Cuban after all!) I love games of any sort, cards, chess, backgammon. iPhone No What does your wife get on your case about? Ever used anything to color your hair? Superstitions Are you now or have you ever been a smoker? Hidden talent What kind of smart phone? Unlimited data plan? This is a trick question. Unfortunately, no. A few lucky ties, but no real superstitions. No and never. Then it wouldnt be hidden, would it? iPhone Yes
Whats ahead
Early voting begins Monday for the July 31 Senate runoff. The Republican winner will face in the November election either former state Rep. Paul Sadler or retired educator Grady Yarbrough, who are competing in the Democratic runoff.
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n the national political arena, the Lone Star State can claim four presidents, powerful leaders in Congress and just about the worst voting record around. Texas in the last eight national elections has placed no better than 45th among all states in the percentage of eligible citizens who vote. The low point: 2010, when Texas was dead last. Now, as presidential rivals Barack Obama and Mitt Romney ramp up their campaigns, this fiercely patriotic state faces the same question: Why does it fare so badly at election time?
With its diverse population, and correspondingly lower education and income levels, Texas abounds in factors that dampen turnout. Chief among them: politically apathetic youngsters. Only Utah has a lower median age than Texas, and people 18 to 29 generally vote in lower numbers than any other age group. Still, in six of the last eight national elections, Utah topped Texas turnout by an average of 3.75 percentage points.
Texas is a majority-minority state with a large, fast-growing Hispanic population. But that group tends to vote in lower percentages than non-Hispanic whites and blacks. Though other large states have somewhat similar demographic profiles, none faces the same challenges as Texas, said Rice University researcher Steve Murdock. The median age here is 33.6, lower than Floridas 40.7 or New Yorks 38. And while Texas has roughly the same Hispanic composition as California 38.1 percent each Californias median household income is $9,000 higher.
Experts say a big drawback is the states open political system that allows voters to cast ballots in either the Democratic or Republican primary. Intended to boost participation in the early primaries, it can sputter in November. Unless someone is 3R or 3D having voted in three straight Republican or Democratic primaries its tough for parties to track potential backers, said Victoria Farrar-Myers, a political scientist at the University of Texas at Arlington. Independents, swing voters, disaffected voters get less information, compared with states that register voters by party, she said.
Not even favorite son juices the numbers So much for home state pride. In the 2000 presidential race, with former Texas Gov. George W. Bush as the Republican pick, only seven states had a lower voter turnout than Texas. The state fell even more in 2004, when Bush sought a second term, outpacing only Hawaii, Georgia and Tennessee.
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By AUDREY WHITE
Staff Writer awhite@dallasnews.com
John Adams John Quincy Adams Theodore Roosevelt Franklin D. Roosevelt John F. Kennedy George W. Bush Barack Obama
Political scene
Obama drew national attention on the law review, making him a prominent minority student on a campus shaken by racial politics. A group pushing for greater faculty diversity sued the school for discrimination. And the law review struggled with partisan divisions. Obama cast himself as an eager listener and proved deft at navigating ideological conflicts, said Laurence Tribe, a constitutional law professor. He was able to build upon what other students say, and see whats valuable in their comments without belittling them, Tribe said.
Footnote: Some students mocked the media onslaught after his law review election, posting a notice for The Barack Obama Story, a Made for TV Movie, Starring Blair Underwood as Barack Obama.
Campus cred
Obama, known as a pickup basketball shark, played on the team for the Black Law Students Association. He was a skinny forward, with a good, midrange jump shot. If there was any knock against Barack, he pulled his socks up a little too high and his shorts were a little too small, said classmate Hill Harper. From Harvard, Obama could have sought a Supreme Court clerkship or entry to a high-powered law firm. Instead, he returned to community organizing in Chicago, teaching and, eventually, politics.
Footnote: On an internship after his first year, he met his future wife, Michelle, a Harvard law school graduate who was working at the same Chicago law firm.
The early 1970s at Harvard saw political uproar over the Vietnam War, the aftershock of the civil rights movement and the rumblings of feminism. Romney, whose father George was the former Michigan governor, steered clear of that kind of activism. At age 24, he was older than many other graduate students. He and his wife, Ann, and two young sons lived off campus, in a house in the suburbs. When study time was over, he wanted to get back to his family, said classmate Tom Phillips, who later became chief justice of the Texas Supreme Court.
Footnote: Romneys law school classmates included Susan Roosevelt, the greatgranddaughter of former President Theodore Roosevelt. George W. Bush was a year behind Romney in the business school.
Romney reached Harvard in 1971 after graduating from Brigham Young University and completing an overseas mission as a member of the Mormon Church. He enrolled in a joint law and business school program, allowing him to earn advanced degrees in four years rather than the usual five. Classmates described him as bright, driven and hard-working. To digest the assignments, he helped form a business study group with other top-tier students. Romney graduated in 1975, cum laude from the law school, in the top third of that class, and a Baker Scholar in the business school, in the top 5 percent of that class.
Footnote: Of the 1,350 students in Romneys combined law and business school classes, only 15 earned the joint degree.
Romneys fellow students say he expressed more interest in business than practicing law or getting into politics. As a Mormon, he refrained from drinking coffee or alcohol, smoking or cursing. We respected him for being true to what he believed in, and [he was] tolerant to everybody else, said classmate Howard Serkin. Romney joined a Boston consulting firm after graduation. That led to a job with Bain and Co., another consulting outfit, from which he built a private-equity startup, Bain Capital, into an industry force.
Footnote: Three of Romneys sons earned Harvard business degrees.
Barack Obama, shown at Harvard in 1990, received his law degree there.
Bloomberg News Services, the Boston Globe, the Los Angeles Times, NPR and The New York Times contributed to this report.
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A
pires.
USTIN
Forget
swing-state polling for clues on wholl win the White House. Think zombies and vam-
To Republicans, the fear this election is ever-growing deficits and a free-spending Washington. Like zombies, theres a creeping, ominous line of destruction headed directly toward their home, family and way of life. So if GOP voters are sufficiently moved by their economy anxieties in November, its good news for Mitt Romney. For Democrats backing Barack Obama, the threat is different. Its vampires bankers, hedge-fund managers and executives who suck your blood, outsource your job and then disappear at dawn in their rakish suits. Public worries have long played themselves out in the movies. Most likely, plenty of Democrats are buying tickets this month to see Abraham Lincoln, Vampire Hunter. But zombie flicks were big in Ronald Reagans day as president.
Getty Images Agence France-Presse Gene Page/AMC
Sneaking suspicions: Republicans despise policy that they view as a line of destruction heading their way, while Democrats fear the bite of job-killing executives and firms.
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Retail matchup
So much for the clash between Mitt Romney, the savvy business entrepreneur, and Barack Obama, the cold politico. In a matchup of their online stores, the Democratic president far outpaces his GOP rival in quantity and creativity. From Obama: His re-election website offers a whopping 288 items. There are the usual T-shirts, hats and buttons, but the campaign-branded stock also includes an eight-piece glassware set, a metal spatula for grilling, iPhone covers and a beer koozie that reads Cheers Champ, under an image of Vice President Joe Biden. Big-name items: Designers such as Vera Wang and Diane von Furstenberg and celebrities such as Beyonc and Sean Combs have made special products for the high-end Runway to Win section. Also being sold are voter-centric shirts, from Environmentalists for Obama to Asian Americans & Pacific Islanders for Obama. Babies and bling: Accessory-minded voters can buy gold cufflinks adorned with a campaign logo or silver-plated bangle bracelets engraved with Obama-Biden. Even toddlers can get in on the action with Obama onesies and bibs. Pets and putting: The store offers pooch apparel, including a Marc Jacobs-designed dog T-shirt that says I bark for Obama. For the sports-minded, there are golf balls and a divot tool emblazoned with the campaigns rising-sun brand.
ASHINGTON Once a highflying presidential contender, Rudy Giuliani saw his campaign fall into the dumps in early 2008. Soon after, loads of T-shirts, pins and stickers bearing the former New York mayors name went into the trash as well. Bring in the Dumpsters, said Ted Jackson, whose company produced Giulianis official paraphernalia. This merchandise isnt worth less after the election its worth nothing. Picking Giuliani was a rare misstep for the Kentucky-based Spalding Group, the official vendor for every Republican nominee from Ronald Reagan to George W. Bush. But the business of political merchandising is as lucrative as it is risky. Like many voters, supply companies size up candidates early in hopes they can find a winner. Theres celebration and a steady revenue stream if picked to run the official online stores, especially if their candidate goes all the way. Spalding even was selling you, Thank President Bush bumper stickers as the Texan left the White House. The downBeing side? stuck with the useless surplus when it all goes under.
We give them to Goodwill, said Maura Statman of Everybody Loves Buttons, which made products for Republicans Fred Thompson and John McCain in 2008. This years crowded GOP field has left plenty of retail debris, from Newt Gingrich hoodies to Michele Bachmann key chains, from Herman Cain 9-9-9 mugs to Rick Santorum gimme hats. Statmans advice for vendors: Go slow and avoid overproducing. Be real streamlined, she said. Gov. Rick Perrys short-lived presidential run apparently followed that rule of inventory. Spokesman Ray Sullivan said there wasnt much excess when the campaign folded in January. But there may not be a need to throw anything out because Perrys official logo and bumper stickers didnt include the election year, as most campaigns do. So what didnt sell could be recycled if theres a Perry for president campaign in 2016.
From Romney: His online store run by Maryland-based GOP Shoppe features 12 products, limited to stickers, pins, shirts and hats. Shout-out: The only demographic-specific item is a Moms Drive the Economy bumper sticker that says Romney in smaller print. Remember the R: While Obamas paraphernalia involve bright colors and elaborate designs, the Romney wares mostly stick to a stylized, triple R logo on its shirts and hats. Republican red: The only trumped-up T-shirt, touted on the site as a way to help Mitt turn blue states into red states, features a crimson Believe in America logo on its chest and a handful of patriotic slogans on the back.
Critics review
David Altman, founder and CEO of MarketShare Advisors, an online retail consulting company in Dallas, praised Obamas store, especially in its appeals to specific groups. It has more of what I would call inclusive product tailored to a diverse clientele, whether it be Hispanics, nurses or women, Altman said. As for Romney, he said, Theres not a lot to choose from. Its one message. Daniel Howard, a marketing professor at Southern Methodist University, said some Obama voters may be turned off by the focus on high-end products, especially those from elite designers. Can they afford a Vera Wang? Can they afford a Diane von Furstenberg? I dont think so, Howard said. Obamas highly targeted and stylized store is superior in the fundamentals of retail, Howard said, but the Romney site could get points with voters for the simplicity of its approach. Romney is selling the steak, whereas Obama is selling the sizzle, he said.
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SCANDAL!
By TRISTAN HALLMAN
Staff Writer thallman@dallasnews.com
From left: Washington Post reporters Carl Bernstein and Bob Woodward, who broke the Watergate story; President Richard Nixon; Nixons top aides, H.R. Haldeman and John Ehrlichman; and Deep Throat, the FBIs W. Mark Felt.
orty years ago today, a crew of five men connected to President Richard Nixons re-election campaign were arrested in a bungled attempt to bug the Democratic Party headquarters in Washington. The scene of the crime: Watergate, an office-hotel complex whose name became the catchall phrase for describing the seedy inner workings of the White House and multiple investigations that toppled Nixon two years later. In a joint essay for The Washington Post this month, Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein the reporters made famous for their Watergate coverage said Nixon lorded over a massive campaign of political espionage, sabotage and other illegal activities against his real or perceived opponents. To a remarkable extent, they wrote, Nixon had turned the White House into a criminal enterprise. To commemorate Watergates 40th anniversary, The Dallas Morning News asked three local political scientists to compile the most notorious Washington scandals, often driven by money, sex, politics and graft. Among the picks by Matthew Wilson of Southern Methodist University, Victoria Farrar-Myers of the University of Texas at Arlington and Richard Dougherty of the University of Dallas:
Watergate (1972-74)
What happened: A politically charged break-
Clinton-Lewinsky (1998)
What happened: Democratic President Bill Clinton who had survived previous infidelity allegations had an affair with a young intern, Monica Lewinsky. Questioned under oath, Clinton denied the accusations. He later admitted lying, and faced perjury and obstruction of justice charges in the House. The fallout: The House impeached Clinton, but the Senate did not remove him from office. He finished his term, leaving with generally high approval ratings. Lewinsky went on to design a line of handbags and study at the London School of Economics. Clintons dalliances became fodder for comedians and Republicans, including George W. Bush, who pledged to restore honor and dignity to the White House in a campaign in which he beat Clintons vice president, Al Gore. As the first scandal of the Internet age, the Lewinsky affair took Americas scandal fixation to a whole new level. Wilson
in and a subsequent cover-up by the Nixon administration revealed in part on secret Oval Office tapes. Investigations showed that the president and his allies had used illegal contributions, political dirty tricks, wiretaps and other criminal endeavors to stifle and embarrass political enemies. The fallout: Staring down impeachment by Congress and removal from office, Nixon, a Republican, became the first president to resign. Forty-eight people pleaded guilty or were convicted of Watergate-related crimes a fate Nixon avoided after being pardoned by his successor, Gerald Ford. Congress tightened donor rules in response to the Nixon campaigns slush fund. And, the suffix -gate has been applied to many a political scandal since. This brought down a sitting president, but more importantly has shaped the political landscape of how citizens feel about their government as well as how political actors and the media conduct themselves. Farrar-Myers
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n running for president, Rick Perry assailed Mitt Romney as a greedy Wall Street vulture, trashing workers in deals that enriched his investment firm. When the Texans campaign collapsed, he immediately endorsed Newt Gingrich, who branded Romney a liar and timid moderate. But now that Romney has powered ahead to claim the Republican nomination, his former rivals have decided to let bygones be bygones. All those bad things we said, well, never mind.
We were looking for some ways to score some points, and it didnt work, Perry told CNN last month. Gingrich said he was outgunned. I threw the kitchen sink at him. He threw a bigger kitchen sink at me. It wasnt fun, he said of Romney. Still, also-rans cant hide from their earlier barbs, even as theyve coughed up varying degrees of endorsements. Below is a sampling of their anti-Romney attacks, and the efforts at making nice afterward as he takes on President Barack Obama:
Getty Images
Getty Images
RICK SANTORUM
The former Pennsylvania senator waited a month after dropping out to back Romney, and then emailed a tepid endorsement late at night. He finally declared his support near the end of his 16-paragraph statement. THEN He is the worst Republican in the country to put up against Barack Obama, Santorum said, referring to Romneys push for a state health care law in Massachusetts. If Mitt Romneys an economic heavyweight, were in trouble, because he was 47th out of 50 in job creation [as Massachusetts governor]. He may have had some success at making money for himself and his partners at Bain Capital, and I give him a lot of credit for doing so, but thats a very different thing than going out and creating an atmosphere for creating jobs. NOW There are many significant areas in which we agree: the need for lower taxes, smaller government and a reduction in out-of-control spending. While I had concerns about Governor Romney fighting against Obamacare, I have no doubt if elected he will work with a Republican Congress to repeal it and replace it.
NEWT GINGRICH
Gingrich, the former House speaker, didnt formally endorse Romney when he quit but spoke well of him and later said that was close enough. THEN Why would you want to nominate the guy who lost to the guy who lost to Obama? We are not going to beat Barack Obama with some guy who has Swiss bank accounts, Cayman Island accounts, owns shares of Goldman Sachs while it forecloses on Florida and he tries to think the rest of us are too stupid to understand what this is all about. A bold Reagan conservative with a very strong economic plan is a lot more likely to succeed in that campaign than a relatively timid Massachusetts moderate. NOW Compared to Barack Obama, Mitt Romney is a solid conservative. Whats the choice this November? A failed president at the economy and somebody who has a solid record on jobs and who, in fact, on basic principles, is conservative.
MICHELE BACHMANN
The Minnesota congresswoman took four months after leaving the race to endorse Romney. She campaigned with him in Virginia but didnt bring up health care in their appearance. THEN He cant beat Obama because his policy is the basis of Obamacare. You cant have a candidate who has given the blueprint for Obamacare.Its not going to happen. Hes been very inconsistent on his positions. Hes been on both sides of the abortion issue, on both sides of the issue with same-sex marriage he was for the TARP bill, the $700 billion bailout and the global warming initiatives. NOW Hes very smart. He has a very optimistic message. Women trust him because they see this is a man who started a business from scratch, for heavens sake. One thing that Mitt Romney has demonstrated, he will repeal Obamacare. A lot of people know Mitt Romneys positive agenda.
RICK PERRY
The governor didnt come around to endorsing Romney until after the Gingrich exit. At the state GOP convention last week, Perry said he will proudly cast his vote for Romney. THEN You failed as the governor of Massachusetts. If you are a victim of Bain Capitals downsizing, its the ultimate insult for Mitt Romney to tell you he feels your pain, because he caused it. I have no doubt that Mitt Romney was worried about pink slips whether hed have enough of them to hand out. Companies like Bain Capital could have come in and helped these companies if they truly were venture capitalists, but theyre not theyre vulture capitalists. NOW Romney offers a disciplined message of restoring America after nearly four years of failed, job-killing policies from President Obama. Romney brings private sector experience that Obama doesnt have and understands that government is not the answer to everything.
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President Barack Obama taped an appearance on Late Night With Jimmy Fallon in April in Chapel Hill, N.C.
Republican candidate Mitt Romney appeared on Late Show with David Letterman in December to deliver a Top 10 list.
Jay Leno follows a simple rule in political comedy. He says its like dealing with the mafia. Dont go after the wives or the children. But as long as you just hit the candidates, anythings fair, he told NBCs David Gregory in April. Welcome to the silly season. Comics again are taking aim, although some of their shots are falling short of previous chuckle-filled targets, such as Sarah You Betcha Palin, George W. Bushs mangled language and Bill Clintons proclivities. Still, theres plenty of fodder hey, Secret Service even as the presidential hopefuls hit the late-night talk shows and try to be well, funny. In some ways, getting laughed at is a rite of passage, even a status symbol, for any serious candidate. Being mocked by Leno on The Tonight Show, David Letterman on CBS The Late Show or on Saturday Night Live means youve taken the leap into Americas consciousness. Of course, candidates who appear on those programs often are looking to boost their
image, reach new voters or even perform damage control. President Barack Obama has made several stops on late-night TV. So have all the major Republicans this cycle, including Mitt Romney. Rick Perry, after his embarrassing oops debate last November, took to Lettermans show to poke fun at himself. The governor introduced a Top 10 list of reasons why he messed up. (No. 6: Hey, listen, you try concentrating with Mitt Romney smiling at you that is one handsome dude.) Leno said in the NBC interview that Clinton and Bush the younger were a constant source of material, what he called the golden age of political humor. Now, heading into the fall election, comedians have built themes around Obama (overpromised and dull) and Romney (rich and dull). Whatever the focus, Letterman said the jokes are not written to sway an election. He said some viewers might believe they favor certain candidates, but its not driven out of anything more serious than whos easier to make fun of, he said last week on CNN. You just want to get a laugh.
JAY LENO
President Obama has revealed his new re-election slogan Forward. Thats a good message for Obama. Hes telling voters, Whatever you do, dont look back at all those campaign promises I made. Theres been an increasing buzz that Mitt Romney will pick a vice president whos safe, white and duller than him. Which pretty much narrows it down to a piece of chalk. This John Edwards trial? Talk about a fall from grace. I dont know what kind of president John Edwards would have been, but Im pretty sure he would have gotten along really well with the Secret Service. Bad news for CNN. They just had their lowest rating in 15 years. Their ratings are so low that today Jesse Jackson turned them down for an interview.
DAVID LETTERMAN
A couple of weeks ago Dick Cheney, former vice president, had a heart transplant. His donor was a villager whose carriage broke down outside of Cheneys castle. Mitt Romney and his family have a big two-day weekend planned. Theyre going to hike to the top of his money. How about that Rick Perry? To satisfy environmentalists, he is now using solar power. And this is brilliant thinking, this guy is a visionary using solar power to run the Texas electric chair. Barack Obama supports same-sex marriage. Mitt Romney doesnt even support same-sex car pools.
CONAN OBRIEN
Texas Gov. Rick Perry endorsed Mitt Romney for president. Perry said he chose Romney because out of the one candidate left, hes the best. At a conference yesterday, George W. Bush said he wishes people would stop referring to his tax policy as the Bush tax cuts. He also wishes people would stop referring to his presidency as the eight-year oopsy. Next month a new biography is going to come out about the life of 300-pound New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie. The biography is called Are You Going To Finish That? Conservatives are now criticizing President Obama because as a child in Indonesia, he sometimes ate dog meat. But on the plus side, Obama is now polling very well among cats.
I used the term socialism in the year 2000, before Obama ruined it for everybody. Apparently socialism is like cholesterol. Social Security and Medicare are the good kind. Obamacare is the bad kind, unadulterated socialism. Jon Stewart Today Herman Cain endorsed Mitt Romney. This is possibly very important because as goes Herman Cain, so go the other two black Republicans in America. Jimmy Kimmel There is an HBO movie about the 2008 presidential election. Apparently John McCain is very unhappy with the way he was portrayed. He said he came across as a clueless and angry man. No one had the heart to tell him he was watching the toaster. Craig Ferguson I dont like this new Obama who hunts Muslim extremists. I like the old Obama who WAS a Muslim extremist. Stephen Colbert
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f life really is like high school, Texas voters can choose their next senator from familiar cliques: the jocks, the theater kids and the debaters. Reflected by their senior yearbooks, the
top Republican candidates in Tuesdays primary were an ambitious bunch, showing early signs of leadership.
National Honor Society National Merit semifinalist Honor Roll Basketball Soccer Key Club Yearbook staff Newspaper staff Drama Club, Drama Club president Speech team, speech team captain Cast, The Sound of Music Cast, Papa Was a Preacher, Oliver
With his yearbook picture is a quote from Douglas Adams, who wrote The Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy: There is a theory which states that if ever anyone discovers exactly what the universe is for and why it is here it will instantly disappear and be replaced by something even more bizarre and inexplicable. There is another which states that this has already happened.
Student Council representative National Forensic League Varsity basketball Christian Student Union
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Moral certainty, clear standards, and a commitment to spiritual ideals will set you apart in a world that searches for meaning.
Mitt Romney
At the Christian university, Romney praised Gods ability to reawaken our hearts in a world that searches for meaning. Culture what you believe, what you value, how you live matters. Alluding to tensions between Mormons like himself and evangelical Protestants, Romney said people of different faiths should strive to find common ground. Surely the answer is that we can meet in service, in shared moral convictions about our nation stemming from a common worldview. He stressed the importance of protecting religious freedom, saying it opens a door for Americans that is closed to too many others around the world, even in the face of opposition. The more you live by your beliefs, the more you will endure the censure of the world. Christianity is not the faith of the complacent, the comfortable or of the timid. He talked of his recruitment to help the scandal-plagued 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City, when he was busy and involved in other ventures. Opportunities for you to serve in meaningful ways may come at inconvenient times, but that will make them all the more precious. He told the graduates to avoid treating trivial things as all-important and losing sight of the one thing that endures forever. Among the things in life that can be put off, being there when it matters most isnt one of them.
Dont accept somebody elses construction of the way things ought to be. Its up to you to hold the system accountable and sometimes upend it entirely.
Barack Obama
Obama urged graduates of the all-womens school to help rekindle Americas can-do spirit and actively shape the nations future. Dont just get involved. Fight for your seat at the table. Better yet, fight for a seat at the head of the table. He said they should reject the pop-culture fascination with beauty and fashion, instead becoming role models for future generations needed in key professions such as science, education and technology. Never underestimate the power of your example. He called on todays youth to be bold activists leaders and organizers for causes of social justice. Its up to you to stand up and to be heard, to write, and to lobby, to march, to organize, to vote. He said that Americas problems are eminently solvable but that people must muster the will in our own lives, in our common institutions, in our politics to bring about changes. How far your leadership takes this country, how far it takes this world well, that will be up to you. Youve got to want it. It will not be handed to you. He stressed the importance of keeping at it, even when faced with daunting setbacks. Persevere. Nothing worthwhile is easy. No one of achievement has avoided failure sometimes catastrophic failures. But they keep at it. They learn from mistakes. They dont quit.
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WASHINGTON TVs hot, glaring lights. A flurry of hostile questions. And the pressure to react quickly without stumbling. Thats what Dana Perino faced daily as press secretary for the last Texan in the White House, a routine that brought on fewer jitters than her stint on Jeopardy! at a special taping in the nations capital. In my last job, I could figure out what you all were going to ask, she said of her work for former President George W. Bush. In this one, I have no idea. That pre-show anxiety was shared by others on the Power Players edition, a lineup pulled from Washingtons oft-combustible mix of media and politics. In Dallas, the charity match will air at 11 a.m. Monday through Friday on KTVT-TV (Channel 11). Host Alex Trebek, taking the show to DAR Constitution Hall, said politicians dont perform any better or worse than regular contestants. It all depends on the category. Some are bright and do very well; some are bright and dont do well, he told reporters at last months taping. Backed by an Abraham Lincoln statue, white columns and a giant American flag, Trebek ran the players through rehearsals, firing questions er, make that answers that not surprisingly had a healthy dose of history and government.
Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Dana Perino and David Faber tested their reflexes at a rehearsal before a taping of Jeopardy! Power Players Week at DAR Constitution Hall in April.
The 15 contestants included New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman, MSNBCs Chris Matthews, Fox News Chris Wallace, CNNs Anderson Cooper, comedian Lewis Black, NBCs Chuck Todd, Dr. Mehmet Oz and former NBA star (and all-time leading scor-
er) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. Probably all of us on the stage have a repository in our minds for useful and useless information, said Robert Gibbs, President Barack Obamas former press secretary. Friedman compared it to a journalistic Hunger Games, the wildly popular book and movie. I just want to be there: a survivor at the end. The winner in each round gets $50,000 for charity and the runners-up $10,000. In the practice sessions, Abdul-Jabbar was among the most popular, judging by audience applause as he repeatedly nailed the answers. Pitted against Perino, now a Fox News commentator, and CNBC anchor David Faber, he jumped out fast, even hitting the Daily Double category of Quotations. Andy Warhol predicted that in the future, everyone would
be famous for this long. He got it right What is 15 minutes? boosting his bankroll to $15,600. Final Jeopardy, accented by its familiar jingle, asked for the landmark thats 277 miles long, as much as 18 miles wide, 6 million years old and at a given time, temperatures within it can vary by 25 degrees. Perhaps influenced by the locale, Abdul-Jabbar wrote, What is the Potomac River? The correct response was the Grand Canyon, giving Perino the victory. Trebek later said Jeopardy! has a broader purpose than simply rewarding those who know arcane facts. Its a show that tries to encourage a love of learning and a curiosity about everything in life. And if we can achieve that, then we will be very happy because we will consider ourselves a success.
$200: What was Dallas? $400: Who was Dwight Eisenhower? $600: Who is Bill Clinton? $800: Who is Ross Perot? $1000: Who is Jimmy Carter? Final Jeopardy: What is the Department of Energy?
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The elite Secret Service agents on Air Force One have not been implicated in the sex scandal.
Party-crashers
The latest embarrassment comes more than two years after a pair of uninvited guests, Michaele and Tareq Salahi of Virginia, talked their way past Secret Service officers at the White House to enter a state dinner and mingle with Obama and Vice President Joe Biden.
Outcome: Three agents were disciplined, and the White House social secretary, Desiree Rogers, lost her job.
Diversity efforts
Women make up about 25 percent of the agencys workforce, but only about 11 percent of agents and uniformed officers, a shortage some attribute to travel demands that can be especially taxing on women balancing families and careers. The Secret Service says it aggressively recruits women, targeting college programs and female-oriented career fairs.
Outcome: The percentage of women field agents and uniformed officers still is lower than the 19 percent who are special agents in the FBI. Women have been included on presidential detail assignments for years, though the agency does not provide gender breakdowns on that.
Cadillac One
The Secret Service unveiled a new presidential limo for Obamas inaugural parade in 2009, a heavily armored, tech-savvy GM Cadillac nicknamed The Beast. The upgraded limo features 5-inch-thick armor plating, tires that can roll even when flat and bulletproof windows. The interior is hermetically sealed in case of a chemical attack.
Outcome: After Kennedy was shot, the Lincoln Continental convertible in which he was a shockingly vulnerable target was rebuilt, including a high-performance V8 engine and heavy-duty transmission. Most significantly, its bubbletop was no longer removable.
Theres a difference between the elite agents on Air Force One, who have not been implicated in the sex scandal, and those involved in Colombia, who had more peripheral duties. The protective detail sees Obama day in and day out, from the basketball court to the rope lines, from the giant auditoriums to the unannounced street walkabouts. Although presidential details get most of the attention, the service also is responsible for operating X-ray checks before allowing entry to secure areas, keeping files on thousands of people who have made even vague threats, working on sniper teams and handling bomb detection and disposal.
Historical footnote: President John F. Kennedys fatal shooting in 1963 in Dallas was the only assassination on the Secret Services watch. Since then, Presidents Gerald Ford and Ronald Reagan survived highly public assassination attempts.
Internal overhaul
Mark Sullivan, the agency director since 2006, has taken swift action since the Colombia allegations. Hes ordered that supervisors will chaperone certain trips, officers will be told establishments they cant patronize, and drinking will be more restricted. They are also barred from bringing foreigners to their rooms unless they are hotel staff or law enforcement counterparts.
Outcome: Last week, the Secret Service conducted the first of now-mandatory ethics courses for its 3,500 agents and 1,400 uniformed officers. From wire reports
Chasing counterfeiters
Though the service is widely known today for its protective duties, it was founded to catch counterfeiters after the Civil War. It still carries out that role as part of a portfolio of financial crime investigations. After President William McKinleys 1901 assassination, Congress put it in charge of guarding presidents, then an expanding list of family members, U.S. and visiting foreign officials, and political candidates.
Historical footnote: President Abraham Lincoln discussed forming the agency under the Treasury Department on the day he was assassinated in 1865.
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Top (political) teams
NBA players, owners and executives donated about $2.6 million to federal candidates and political committees from 2009 through the end of 2011, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. Heres a look at the NBAs most politically active teams. Democrats Republicans
1. Magic 2.
Orlando
20%
77%
$308,142
10% 90%
$266,050
3.
Miami Heat
78%
22%
$249,905
4.
Boston Celtics
96%
4%
$212,150
5.
Sacramento Kings
92%
8%
$192,320
6.
84%
16%
$163,420
7.
100%
$147,900
8.
Cleveland Cavaliers
15%
85%
More than 60 percent about $1.6 million of the basketball money went to Democrats over the past two years.
9.
Washington Wizards
89%
11%
$90,400
10.
Phoenix Suns
61%
39%
$62,300 1% Others
16.
Dallas Mavericks
38% Republicans
Vince Carter the Dallas Mavericks guard known for throwing it down didnt hesitate to go for a slam dunk when President Barack Obamas campaign asked to hold a fundraiser at his Florida home. Determined to make the $30,000-a-plate dinner in February highlight-worthy, Carter brought in guests such as NBA Commissioner David Stern, Los Angeles Clippers star Chris Paul and retired Los Angeles Lakers legend Magic Johnson. And to get at the presidents hoops-mad heart, Carter even set up the party on his indoor basketball court. More than anything it doesnt matter who, Democratic or Republican president its just an honor to host a president, Carter said after a recent game. That was big for me. The fete, which raised more than $2 million for Obama and the Democratic National Committee, solidified Carter as the Mavs political superstar. But as the defending champs enter the playoffs, Carters efforts may not be enough to help the Mavs break into the top tier of NBA-related donors. Dallas tallied just $45,000 in contributions to federal candidates and political committees from 2009 through the end of last year, according to research by the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics. That figure part of the overall $2.6 million from players, executives and other team officials left the Mavs in 16th place in the 30-team NBA. At the top of the list? Hated rivals, such as Orlando, San Antonio and Miami. Carter said athletes and other celebrities should have at least some knowledge of whats going on. But he added that hes not going to
U.S. Presswire
Vince Carters contribution off the court: a $2 million fundraiser for the president and the Democratic National Committee.
pressure his teammates, coaches or other coworkers to get more involved in elections. Its their preference, he said. Some people are comfortable with it. Some are uncomfortable with it. Take Mavs owner Mark Cuban, who attended Carters Obama event but didnt donate. Asked about the NBA and political giving, Cuban cut off the question and said he wasnt going to talk about that. Theres no upside and theres no downside to commenting, said Cuban, who last donated to a federal candidate in 2002. Carter admitted getting some flak for hosting Obama. But the high-flying guard said hes drawn to Obama not only for the presidents accomplishments, but also for his charisma. With all of the wonderful things hes done, all the pressure that he has, he still comes and makes you feel comfortable, Carter said. He has so much going on, he cant really relax and have a good time. But for that night, for a couple hours, he got to be himself.
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FROM STAFF REPORTS
The conservatives
Mission: Shore up the GOPs base voters and fire them up for the election. PAUL RYAN Pro: As architect of the House GOPs budget plans, the Wisconsin congressman is adored for tackling entitlement spending and seeking deep tax cuts. Con: Barack Obamas campaign could tag Romney as seeking to dismantle popular programs, and Ryan is a Washington insider while Romney is running as a government outsider. RICK SANTORUM Pro: As the GOP runner-up, he would excite social conservatives. Con: He could scare off swing voters, particularly independent women. CHRIS CHRISTIE Pro: Republicans love the New Jersey governors confrontational style. Con: He could alienate voters with his bluntness and create headaches for the campaign. MIKE HUCKABEE Pro: The former Arkansas governor is smooth on TV and on the stump and has bona fides with Christian conservatives. Con: He just started a new radio career and may have future ambitions of his own. PAT TOOMEY Pro: The Pennsylvania senator is popular with economic conservatives. Con: He doesnt add a lot of excitement to the ticket.
KELLY AYOTTE Pro: The New Hampshire senator is well-liked by conservatives. Con: Shes from the Northeast, like Romney, and geographic balance is helpful. SUSANA MARTINEZ Pro: The New Mexico governor could reach two groups that the GOP has trouble with. Con: Shes new to office in a small state, and little is known about her background. ALSO BEING FLOATED: Oklahoma Gov. Mary Fallin, Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, South Carolina Sen. Jim DeMint.
Mitt Romney needs a running mate who can reassure conservatives that hes one of them.
Rob Portman
Marco Rubio
Paul Ryan
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By JESSICA MEYERS
Staff Writer jmeyers@dallasnews.com
As if leaping gas prices and lingering jobless claims werent enough, Aprils looming tax day reminds many Americans about the money they dont make. Its the kind of chatter thats also spilled over into the presidential race, focusing on the wealth of those who run the country or hope to do so. Rivals have targeted Republican Mitt Romneys vast fortune, painting him as an aloof millionaire detached from the realities of ordinary life. Romney, who ran a private equity firm, has tried to fend off that image. But he has made gaffes about it and sometimes strained to relate to bluecollar workers. Millionaire status hasnt always deterred voters. John F. Kennedy, heir to a family fortune and quite possibly the countrys richest president, was beloved by hardscrabble families. Franklin D. Roosevelt, whose wealth stemmed largely from inheritance and marriage, managed to energize a nation. Former President George W. Bush avoided the rich guy label altogether, minimizing his Ivy League upbringing in favor of the swaggering everyman who preferred cowboy boots to cuff links. So, does wealth matter when it comes to selecting a president? Turns out, moneys only the half of it. A lot of it has to do with personality, attitude and behavior, said Susan Dadres, a University of North Texas senior economics lecturer who studies income inequality. Romney, for example, amassed most of his money through business while Kennedy benefited from a family trust. You can forgive someone for inheriting wealth, Dadres said, unless they cant connect with everyday people. In other words, the Beatles might have been right: Money cant buy love.
THE FLIP SIDE Serving in the White House doesnt always mean a lifetime of financial security: Ulysses S. Grant (1869-77) He may be on a big bill but often lived well beyond his means. He invested in a fund that went bust and sold his swords and souvenirs to survive. He also peddled his memoirs for half a million dollars, published shortly after his death. Thomas Jefferson (180109) Author of the Declaration of Independence, he died virtually bankrupt. He made considerable money in political positions before becoming president but was mired in debt near the end of his life. Abraham Lincoln (1861-65) To the log cabin born, his early life and bad investments left him in financial ruin. His later career as a lawyer eventually brought him out of complete poverty. Harry Truman (1945-53) Truman was a haberdasher hurt by poor business deals. It was Trumans sad financial state that inspired the doubling of the presidential salary. He and his wife were the first two official recipients of Medicare.
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Mitt Romney passed the Rick Santorum-sponsored car a day before this years Daytona 500 race in February. Hes passed the former Pennsylvania senator in the GOP convention delegate count, too.
Eddie Gossage already is a president, of Texas Motor Speedway. So he doesnt draw much juice from political campaigns as horse races. But NASCAR with its bumper EDDIE grinds, constant lead GOSSAGE changes and spectacular crashes, as well as an inextricable link to politics and heartland voters is fair game. A typical NASCAR fan is somebody whos hardworking. Their blood runs red, white and blue. They fight for
this country and they vote, Gossage said. They are what we were all taught by our mommas and dads to be. The latest presidential contest has only reinforced the link. Republican Rick Santorum sponsored a car in the Daytona 500, Tony Raines Ford Fusion, featuring the campaigns soaring eagle logo. Hang back there until the right time, and then bolt to the front when it really counts, Santorum said in a burst of advice that mirrors his campaign strategy. Raines, a journeyman driver, finished19th. GOP front-runner Mitt Romney visited the Speedway a day before the Feb. 27 race. He left facing questions about whether he was out of touch with hardcore fans.
Romney schmoozed with pit crews and others, telling reporters that he didnt follow the circuit closely but I have some great friends that are NASCAR team owners. President Barack Obama has hosted top drivers at the White House, including Sprint Cup series champ Jimmie Johnson. Touting the sports importance, especially in its ties with the U.S. auto industry, Obama told ESPN: If somebodys excited about NASCAR, that means theyre excited about cars. And we want to make sure people know what great American cars are. Taking up that cue, the Democratic Party is organizing a Labor Day rally for its convention delegates at the Charlotte Motor Speedway. Closer to home, Fridays OReilly
Political curves
NASCAR and politics have blended since at least the late 1970s: Thats when President Jimmy Carter, a former ticket collector at Atlanta Motor Speedway, invited drivers to a White House dinner. His successor, Ronald Reagan, became the first president to attend a NASCAR race, in 1984. President George W. Bush went to the 2004 Daytona 500, where Dale Earnhardt Jr. captured the checkered flag.
President Barack Obama honored 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup Champion Jimmie Johnson (right) on the White House lawn in August 2009.
Auto Parts 300 at Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth includes driver Jason Bowles, sponsored by American Majority, a group that trains and supports conservative candidates. NASCAR is hardly the only sport that mixes with politics. But Gossage said it offers a unique platform: You cant put Obama 2012 on the back of Tony Romos jersey. But you can put it on the hood of a car. Since at least 2004, savvy candidates have targeted NASCAR dads generally blue-collar, middle-aged white men from the Midwest and South. Seen as a swing demographic a decade ago, they have since moved decisively to the GOP side, pollsters say. That, in turn, has stirred up internal clashes. Romney, Santorum and Newt Gingrich have contended for position among stock car-lovin voters. And Gov. Rick Perry sponsored Bobby Labontes car in a race at Texas Motor Speedway before his April 2010 GOP gubernatorial primary against Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison. Gossage said the appeal is woven into the American fabric. Even in our worst days, were still the only sport that draws 100,000 or more at every event, he said, ever the marketer. Some people have said were seeing the death of racing and the automobile. If NASCAR is dead, then everything is dead.
Revved-up names
Mitt Romneys Secret Service code name is a shout-out to cars. Its Javelin, an apparent reference to the hard-top muscle car produced in the late 1960s and early 70s by American Motors Corp., once run by his father, George Romney. Rick Santorums is Petrus, partly in honor of his Italian grandfather, Pietro. The Latin word for Peter and for rock is Petrus. Those under protection usually choose from a list of suggestions. The not-so-secret names include: Renegade: Barack Obama, during his 2008 presidential campaign Tumbler/Trailblazer: George W. Bush Eagle: Bill Clinton Timberwolf: George H.W. Bush Rawhide: Ronald Reagan Deacon: Jimmy Carter Because of encrypted communication capabilities, the names have no operational security significance. Theyre more about tradition and ease in radio chatter when tracking movements. Staff and wire reports
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7.2%
The highest unemployment rate a president has faced and still won since World War II. The latest jobless rate: 8.3 percent.
9-9-9
Former candidate Herman Cains chief policy, a 9 percent tax on consumer purchases, a 9 percent business tax and a 9 percent flat-rate income tax.
62%
The amount the Dow Jones industrial average has increased since Barack Obama took office in 2009. Gains of 20 percent or more have nearly guaranteed victories for sitting presidents.
48%
The lowest Gallup job approval score a president has held near Election Day and still won. Obamas most recent rating: 47 percent.
Campaign calculus
$135 million
What the Obama campaign has spent so far on its re-election operation, about $3 million more than all his GOP challengers combined.
13,335,089
Followers Obama has on Twitter, which the campaign combines with other social media to reach supporters.
25,859,820
Obamas Facebook fans.
Fuzzy math
3
The number of federal agencies Gov. Rick Perry said hed scrap as president but couldnt remember, in the oops debate.
3
The number of times Newt Gingrich has been married, including his current, third wife, with whom he was having an affair while married to his second wife.
ven in the fake world of politics, candidates cant escape tough calculations. A classic Saturday Night Live skit still gets laughs as Chevy Chase, playing President Gerald Ford, stumbles under intense grilling by reporters. Finally, he gives up: It was my understanding that there would be no math in the debates. That complaint wont fly in 2012s digit-filled election season. From the 9-9-9 tax plan to a $10,000 spur-of-themoment debate wager, from multimillion Facebook fans to three (oops) federal agencies targeted for cuts, the dynamics of the race often have turned on number-crunching. For Republican presidential candidates, the most important figure is 1,144, the cache of delegates needed to clinch the partys nomination. But a precise tally for the contenders is a moving target, blurred by a hodgepodge of state rules and scrambling by the GOP rivals to paint the results in ways that enhance their standing. Front-runner Mitt Romneys camp says his opponents should face the harsh logic of the math in the delegate count and drop out. Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich have vowed to stay in the hunt. Whether the GOPs nomination will be decided by math or momentum may not be known until its convention this summer. Still, Lynne Stokes, a statistical science professor at SMU, said candidates need to get comfortable explaining complicated issues and helping the public find common ground. And voters, she said, would be much better off if they became accustomed to looking at these data themselves, without the filter of one party or the other. In the end, all the maneuvering is focused on reaching the magic number: 1600, as in 1600 Pennsylvania Ave., the White House.
$20.9 million
Romney and his wifes total income in 2011.
$250 million
The high end of Romneys estimated net worth, accumulated largely as founder of the private equity firm Bain Capital.
$10,000
The stakes Romney laid out in a bet in dispute with Perry over health care. Romney later had to fend off complaints that the wager made him look out of touch.
$18.7 million
Donations that Dallas industrialist Harold Simmons, his wife and his business have given to pro-Republican groups. Among super PACs, hes the largest financial backer.
$100
The amount Rick Santorum supporters can pay to nab one of his iconic sweater vests, made in the U.S.A.
155
Republican delegates at stake in Texas, one of the nations biggest hauls, in the May 29 primary.
Media mathematics
36%
Percentage who identified cable news as their source for campaign news, according to a Pew Research Center survey.
37.8 million
Viewers who tuned in for Obamas State of the Union address in January, the least-watched of the three he has delivered since 2010.
8
Votes that represented Mitt Romneys Iowa victory margin. A final count later gave Rick Santorum the win, by 34 votes.
77
GOP candidate Ron Pauls age in August, which would make the Texan the oldest president at inauguration.
1976
The year Republicans last had a contested convention, in which the incumbent, Gerald Ford, eked out a first-ballot win over Ronald Reagan.
47%
Percentage of Republicans who say they watched part of the first 15 debates. Only 33 percent reported seeing any of the 13 GOP debates last time.
34%
Percentage of Americans who told pollsters that social media have a negative effect on the quality of news.
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merica is the great land of second chances. Change your name. Change your location. Change your life. If youre a politician, change your ideas, and in so doing, possibly change your prospects. Its a deep-rooted tradition that Mitt Romneys presidential campaign has now given a colorful symbol.
Last week, Eric Fehrnstrom, a senior Romney adviser, dismissed worries that conservative policies his boss has embraced in the primary would turn off moderate voters needed in the fall general election. Fehrnstrom told CNN that the campaign will hit a reset button to take on President Barack Obama. Its almost like an Etch A Sketch you can kind of shake it up, and we start all over again. Opponents seized on the reference of a lowtech toy whose last image can be erased with a simple shake as another example of Romney as a politically motivated flip-flopper who cant be trusted. If theyre going to be a little different, we might as well stay with what we have instead of taking a risk of what may be the Etch A Sketch candidate for the future, Rick Santorum said Thursday in San Antonio, waving the toy around. Newt Gingrich posted on Twitter: Etch A Sketch is a great toy but a losing strategy. After initially ignoring questions about the flap, Romney told reporters he wouldnt change his policies and positions in a race against Obama. Organizationally, a general election campaign takes on a different profile, Romney said. The issues Im running on will be exactly the same. Im running as a conservative Republican. I was a conservative Republican governor. Ill be running as a conservative Republican nominee. The clash was a not only a reminder of the verbal risks in any campaign but also of Etch A Sketchs life lessons: No matter how badly you mess up, you can always make a fresh start. The past does not exist. Etch A Sketch offers total deniability in a neat rectangular package. Andr Cassagnes, a French electrician, invented Etch A Sketch in the late 1950s, and the Ohio Art Co. manufactured the first model for the U.S. market on July 12, 1960. The device is simple and ingenious: a framed plastic screen coated with aluminum dust on the
reverse side. Two knobs move a stylus vertically and horizontally, allowing the user to draw pictures as the tip of the stylus leaves a dark line against a light gray background. If the results fall short, the user simply shakes the screen, causing polystyrene beads to create a fresh surface by smoothing out and recoating the inside of the screen. History, with a flick of the wrist, vanishes. Over the years, the company has added color and electronic features, but the essential appeal has remained the same. No matter how bad the drawing, how distant the final product from the original intent, the clock can be turned back. Etch A Sketch experts, those who can re-create The Last Supper or fully rendered scenes from The Lord of the Rings, make their work permanent by drilling holes in the box and emptying out
the aluminum powder. Their drawings can be seen on Ohio Arts website, ohioart.com. The company shipped a batch of Etch A Sketches to the campaigns, a thank-you gesture for the publicity that boosted sales nationwide. Its stock had nearly tripled by Thursdays close, to $9.65 a share. We have a left knob and a right knob, so we neutrally speak to both parties, said the marketing director, Martin Killgallon. In the political world, the magic box may represent another symbol. For decades, the Etch A Sketch was manufactured at Ohio Arts assembly plant in Bryan, Ohio. In 2001, because of increasing costs, the company moved production to Shenzhen in China. Shake that.
From wire reports
ON DALLASNEWS.COM Dont fret if your March Madness bracket already is busted. Because theres still time to participate in The Dallas Morning News presidential Final Four. Go online at dallasnews.com/politics for a recap of their athletic exploits and then pick a winner from the finalists:
Barack Obama
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In the running
By TOM BENNING
Staff Writer tbenning@dallasnews.com
Jimmy Carter Big-time runner, including track and cross country for the Naval Academy. Richard Nixon Played basketball at Whittier College but mostly rode the bench on the gridiron. Made full use of the White Houses bowling alley. WINNER: Nixon
ROUND 2
Obama Hes a basketball superfan who dutifully fills out his March Madness bracket. And he still hoops it up, even with NBA stars. Roosevelt He saved football by demanding rules that improved the games safety, but never got into team sports. WINNER: Obama Teddy easily wins a fight or a wilderness expedition. But Obama has fully embraced being Americas First Fan. Plus, he wants a college football playoff (fingers crossed).
ROUND 2
Ford Comedians lambasted Ford as clumsy and made fun of his errant golf shots. But Ford was an avid skier and could uncork a mammoth drive. Nixon Lets sum up his fandom this way: He was so desperate to talk football on the 1972 campaign trail, he summoned mortal enemy Hunter S. Thompson for a chat. WINNER: Ford. Hes clearly the better athlete. And a huge fan to boot. He asked that Hail to the Chief be replaced by Michigans fight song.
Obama
Ford
ROUND 2
George W. Bush Set an insurmountable standard for presidential first pitches by throwing a strike in New York after 9/11. George H.W. Bush Heres another presidential tradition unlikely to be matched: He went skydiving on his birthday well into his 80s. WINNER: George H.W. Bush. Hard to go wrong here, but the elder Bush has the more impressive overall rsum. If the younger Bush is still mountain biking when hes 85, then well talk again.
Fore!
ROUND 1
Dwight Eisenhower Dubbed the Kansas Cyclone, he held down linebacker and running back spots at West Point, back when the academy was a football powerhouse. Woodrow Wilson Played a record 1,000-plus rounds of golf as president. Started in center field for Davidson College in North Carolina, but didnt make the cut at Princeton. WINNER: Eisenhower
George W. Bush A fitness fanatic, he was the first president to have run a marathon, and still loves mountain biking. He also was a co-owner of the Texas Rangers. Lyndon Baines Johnson A cattle rancher with a passion for fishing, he also had a long drive on the links. But one account says he never broke 100. WINNER: George W. Bush
William Howard Taft Dont let his portly physique fool you. He was the first commander-in-chief to throw out the first pitch at a baseball game. John F. Kennedy He was an athlete despite his injuries. A member of Harvards JV golf, swimming and football squads, and varsity in sailing. WINNER: Taft
Ronald Reagan The ex-sportscaster played George Gipp in Knute Rockne, All American. In real life, he was a lifeguard and played football at tiny Eureka College. George H.W. Bush He was a star first baseman and captain on Yales baseball team. Among his sports favorites: golf, boating and horseshoes. WINNER: George H.W. Bush
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In the running
Party rockers
Candidates amplify message with signature songs
IN THE KNOW Obama playlist
Full track list for the Obama Album: 1. Different People No Doubt 2. Got to Get You in My Life Earth, Wind & Fire 3. Green Onions Booker T. & The MGs 4. I Got You Wilco 5. Keep on Pushing The Impressions 6. Keep Reachin Up Nicole Willis & the Soul Investigators 7. Love You I Do Jennifer Hudson 8. No Nostalgia AgesandAges 9. Raise Up Ledisi 10. Stand Up Sugarland 11. This Darius Rucker 12. We Used To Wait Arcade Fire 13. Youve Got the Love Florence and the Machine 14. Your Smiling Face James Taylor 15. Roll With the Changes REO Speedwagon 16. Everyday America Sugarland 17. Learn to Live Darius Rucker 18. Lets Stay Together Al Green 19. Mr. Blue Sky Electric Light Orchestra 20. My Town Montgomery Gentry 21. The Best Thing About Me Is You Ricky Martin featuring Joss Stone 22. You Are the Best Thing Ray Lamontagne 23. Keep Marchin Raphael Saadiq 24. Tonights the Kind of Night Noah and the Whale 25. We Take Care of Our Own Bruce Springsteen 26. Keep Me In Mind Zac Brown Band 27. The Weight Aretha Franklin 28. Even Better Than the Real Thing U2 29. Home Dierks Bentley
By JESSICA MEYERS
Staff Writer jmeyers@dallasnews.com
Dallas music experts weighed in on the playlist. Lucy Wrubel, popular local DJ: The songs are positive, we can do it America, keep on marching, stand up. Theres more country than I would have imagined but a lot of soul. Ricky Martin is quite a leap and James Taylor is hokey, hokey, hokey. But the rest of it is very cool and Americana. It seems like hes trying to make everybody happy. Pete Freedman, former Dallas Observer music editor, founder of online culture site Central Track: Its a pretty hip list [with] something for the working man and the SoCal punks. It reflects someone of his age and tastes but also someone whos aware of whats going on in the music world. But I dont know if hes really rocking Noah and the Whale on a regular basis. Mario Tarradell, The Dallas Morning News pop music critic: Hes not picking typical songs. They arent unknown, on the contrary, but they arent the typical kind of songs youve heard so many politicians use before. If his song selection is like his leadership style, hes all-inclusive.
Give presidential contenders long enough and theyll start to sing. Or theyll have more on-key voices do it for them, often with a tactful sidestep of copyright laws. This season already filled with legal battles, crooning candidates and an entire playlist by the Obama campaign proves just as lyrical as ever. And in the hunt for votes, politicians have a strategic reason for embracing certain tunes be it a patriotic soundtrack or a message-laden aria. Music is a way of bypassing the intellectual and going straight to the emotional, said Dan Dominick, an associate professor of music at Austin College in Sherman. If a piece connects with you, you can connect with the candidate. Think Fleetwood Macs Dont Stop (Thinking about Tomorrow), now forever linked to Bill Clintons 1992 campaign. Or take Franklin D. Roosevelts savvy Depressionera campaign song, Happy Days Are Here Again. In 1998, George H.W. Bush relied on Woody Guthries This Land Is Your Land. The problem, most recently for Republicans, occurs when musicians dont want their songs turned into rallying cries. Presidential hopefuls Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney have clashed with musicians who complained about their pieces being used as theme songs. So, scratch Eye of the Tiger by Survivor and Wavin Flag by Somali-born rapper KNaan from GOP events. (Along with Born in the USA, nixed by Bruce Springsteen in Ronald Reagans 1984 campaign, and Tom Pettys American Girl, borrowed by Michele Bachmann last year.) It bothers me when music is appropriated in the wrong way, told KNaan MTV News. Survivor has
Mitt Romney has latched onto Kid Rocks Born Free to underscore his pro-America message.
It bothers me when music is appropriated in the wrong way, rapper KNaan said.
sued Gingrich, accusing him of pilfering the groups song, but his lawyers want the case dismissed on free-speech grounds. Hes moved on to the Hulk Hogan anthem, Real American Hero. In his brief bid for president, Gov. Rick Perry saluted crowds with Toby Keiths American Ride. The country musician
Toby Keith gave his blessing for Gov. Rick Perry to use American Ride before Perry put the brakes on his presidential bid.
willingly donated his music and money to the Texan. Candidates have even started performing their own covers. Romney serenaded Florida voters in January with a deepthroated rendition of America the Beautiful. A week earlier, President Barack Obama broke into Al Greens Lets Stay Together at an Apollo Theater fundraiser. Im the president sang, to cheers from the crowd, so in love with you He gave an encore in February with a few lines of Sweet Home Chicago at a White House blues concert. Romney also has latched onto Kid Rocks Born Free to underscore his pro-America message. That included a meeting at the rock singers Detroit home to ensure he would perform at a Michigan rally. The Obama camp has gone further, producing a 29-song mix, downloadable free on music service Spotify.com. And for those hoping to immortalize Obamas Al Green impression, theres a ring tone. Romney did the same late last week, releasing his favorite 19 tracks, including Good Vibrations by the Beach Boys, Oh What a Night by Frankie Valli & The Four Seasons and Ring of Fire by Johnny Cash. The Obama tunes harness a wide array of tastes and solicit almost as many conjectures. They include the pop country of Sugarland (aimed at moderates?), the hipster edge of Arcade Fire (targeting younger voters?) and the reverberating soul of Aretha Franklin (tapping into the base?). Dominick called it a safe, solidly white, middle class, 30to 40-something collection, with a few Motown classics that cover all bases. Not on the list: rap.
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29A
In the running
Delegate balance
N.M.
Mitt Romney heads into this weeks crucial Super Tuesday contests leading the GOP presidential race by pretty much every measure: states won, votes received and, most important, delegates won. But as the Republican candidates slog on to the 1,144 delegates needed to clinch the nomination, here are the real questions: Exactly how many delegates has the former Massachusetts governor won? And how far behind is his competition? The Wall Street Journal had Romney leading Rick Santorum, 167 to 87, before Saturdays caucuses in Washington state. The website RealClearPolitics saw the race as Romney 153, Santorum 70. And The Associated Press whose count The Dallas Morning News depends on slotted Romney at 149 delegates, 63 ahead of the former Pennsylvania senator. Huh? presidential Republican primaries are a bit different from those run by Democrats in that states have great leeway in how they allocate delegates to the national convention. So theres everything from winner-take-all elections to proportional primaries to nonbinding caucuses. Normally, theres a clear GOP front-runner at this stage of the race, rendering those differences insignificant. But this years drawn-out slugfest between Romney, Santorum, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul has elevated the discussion and confusion surrounding the delegate count. Its not any more Byzantine than its been in the past, said Josh Putnam, a political scientist at Davidson University in North Carolina who tracks the delegate race. Its a function of what a competitive race will do. It puts these rules under the spotlight. Nonbinding results such as those from caucuses in Iowa, Colorado, Minnesota and Maine are especially tricky to divine. In those states, the news media typically report on the straw poll results. Santorum, for instance, squeaked out a victory in Iowa.
But theres a separate series of caucuses to determine the actual delegates. And short of interviewing all the chosen delegates, its nearly impossible to know exactly how things stand. Most news organizations make an educated guess based on the straw poll results. The Republican National Committee doesnt even bother trying to count those delegates until they are truly official. And the voting public is left to sort it all out. There is, however, hope on the horizon. Even if the GOP race lasts a while, most of the primary states left are pretty
straightforward in how they dole out delegates. Were running out of caucus states, said Putnam, who runs an elections-focused blog, Frontloading HQ. Were run-
Calif.
2,000
Tex.
Awarded so far*: 345 Mitt Romney: 149 Rick Santorum: 86 Newt Gingrich: 29 Ron Paul: 18
1,500
UP FOR GRABS
March 6: 466 March 10: 67 March 13:119 March 17: 52 March 18: 23 March 20: 69 March 24: 46 April 3: 98 April 24: 231 May 8: 132 May 15: 63 May 22: 81 May 29, Texas: 155 June 5: 299 June 26: 40
In 2008, Republican contests were bunched closely together early in the year. This line represents the pace at which delegates were doled out then. This time, the GOP was successful in slowing the nominating calendar. Heres the earliest date a candidate could have clinched four years ago.
La.
N.Y.
1,000
3 territories Kan.
AT A GLANCE
How the campaign shapes up in the biggest states voting Tuesday: Georgia: 76 delegates Newt Gingrich has said that he must win the state, where he spent 20 years in Congress representing Atlantas northern suburbs. He won neighboring South Carolina in a convincing fashion, but hes since lost momentum. Ohio: 66 delegates Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney are duking it in what could be Super Tuesdays most competitive major contest. Santorum leads in the polls, but Romney is investing significant time and money in the state.
Super Tuesday
Va. Tenn.
500
Ohio
Tennessee: 58 delegates Romney has the endorsement of Gov. Bill Haslam, but Santorum holds a comfortable lead in the polls. The former Pennsylvania senators focus on social issues could play well in the South. Virginia: 49 delegates Romney will win and win big. Santorum and Gingrich both failed to get the necessary signatures to be on the primary ballot, so Romney and Ron Paul are the only contenders in play. Oklahoma: 43 delegates This contest might offer the best preview of what will happen in Texas primary later this summer. And right now, Santorum is dominating the field.
Nev. Me. Delegates by state PRIMARY CAUCUS S.C. N.H. Iowa Fla.
January
February
March
April
May
June
*Jon Huntsman has been awarded two delegates. He left the race in January, but delegates he won remain pledged to him so far. For individual candidates, figures do not include 43 delegates being awarded in Washington states caucuses late Saturday. Also, some delegates in certain states that have already voted remain unallocated based on the state parties systems for awarding delegates. SOURCES: The Associated Press; The New York Times; Dallas Morning News research Michael Hogue/Staff Artist
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In the running
A-LIST
SUPPORTING CAST
DEMOCRATS Actor Will Ferrell DreamWorks CEO Jeffrey Katzenberg Film executive Harvey Weinstein Actor Danny DeVito Actor/singer Jack Black Comedian George Lopez Actor Wendell Pierce We must keep fighting for him so he can keep fighting for us, Katzenberg said at an Obama fundraiser, according to the Los Angeles Times.
File 2005/Getty Images
Newt Gingrich has the roundhouse kicks of Walker, Texas Ranger backing him up. Rick Santorum can point to support from a country crooner. Ron Paul has an eclectic following of singers, rappers and film stars. And Mitt Romneys perfect hair is hardly famous compared to the hair-like object atop one of his celebrity fans. But when it comes to star power, the GOP candidates have nothing on Barack Obama. The president could practically fill up the red carpet outside Sunday nights Academy Awards in Los Angeles with celebrity endorsements. A Desperate Housewife, a perennial contender for worlds sexiest man and arguably Hollywoods most bankable star are just a few of the bold-face names turning out for Obamas re-election effort. Not that this is a surprise. Democrats often to the derision of their conservative counterparts have long been a favorite of the television, film and music industries. So far this election cycle, Democrats for federal office have received about $11.1 million from that bunch, compared with $4.9 million for Republicans, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, an independent research group. In 2008, Democrats held an
even bigger advantage over GOPers, $38.9 million to $10.9 million. Beyond the substantial campaign donations, its difficult to know how much the glitz and glamour crowd actually influences the outcome. Many celebrities are reluctant to make public endorsements, for fear of alienating fans. As basketball star Michael Jordan famously said in the early 1990s: Republicans buy sneakers, too. Even when stars are caught in a moment of candor, they sometimes retreat to safer ground. Cindy Crawford, for instance, appeared in a fundraising video for Romney last year before her publicist clarified that the supermodel isnt politically aligned. Dave Mustaine of the metal band Megadeth heaped praise on Santorum before likewise backtracking. I hope to see a Republican in the White House, the rocker later told reporters. Ive seen good qualities in all the candidates but by no means have made my choice yet. And then theres the simple fact that celebrities are human: They get things wrong. Just ask ex-Superman actor Dean Cain, who endorsed Rick Perry. Oops.
DEMOCRATS Actor Will Smith Media host Oprah Winfrey Actor Tom Hanks Actor George Clooney Director Steven Spielberg Im disillusioned by the people who are disillusioned by Obama, Clooney said. REPUBLICANS Singer Kelly Clarkson (Ron Paul) Actor Jon Voight (Mitt Romney) Actor Vince Vaughn (Paul) Singer Wayne Newton (Michele Bachmann) Supermodel Cindy Crawford (Romney?) I love Ron Paul. I liked him a lot during the last Republican nomination and no one gave him a chance. Hes got my vote, Clarkson said.
REPUBLICANS Actor Chuck Norris (Newt Gingrich) Reality TV host Joe Rogan (Paul) Singer Dave Mustaine of Megadeth (lean Rick Santorum) Rapper Prodigy (Paul) He is the best man on the battlefield who is able to outwit, outplay and outlast Obama and his billion-dollar campaign machine, Norris said of Gingrich.
PLAYING IN PEORIA
DEMOCRATS Actor Antonio Banderas Actress Melanie Griffith Actor Kalpen Modi Actress Rhea Perlman Soap opera creator Bradley Bell
The Associated Press
not going to allow bad things to continue to happen to this country that we love.
Donald Trump, on Mitt Romney
REPUBLICANS Singer Pat Boone (Santorum) Actress Juliette Lewis (Paul) Actor Stephen Baldwin (Rick Perry) Comedian Dennis Miller (Herman Cain) Comedian Ben Stein (Bachmann) Actor Dean Cain (Perry)
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In the running
n the ego-driven culture of politics, a new star has tronic ears, those belonging to Siri, the female-voiced peremerged who repeatedly and humbly has sonal assistant on Apples latest iPhone. spurned calls to join the presiLike a PR pro, she brushes aside dential mix. any notion that she has political amShes got the goods to be a potenbitions. tial front-runner: personable but Asked by The Dallas Morning professional; smart but modest; and News if she wants to be president, Siri influential but not power-hungry. replied, I have very few wants. And thanks to a splashy TV ad Prodded a second time, she deblitz, shes a national sensation who murred, I have everything I need in has drawn big crowds camping out the cloud. File/The Colbert Report overnight to meet her. While expressing no desire to aim Comedian Stephen Colbert says Siri Comedian Stephen Colbert has for the White House, Siri had plenty would be a perfect GOP candidate, been an early fan, saying shed make a with a strong conservative voice. of other election-year thoughts. perfect Republican candidate, with But one thing she isnt is opiniona strong conservative voice. ated. With her, its nothing but the facts. But the frenzy has fallen on deaf ears. Make that elecHeres a sample, based on real questions and answers:
What is your political stance? My name is Siri, and I was designed by Apple in California. Thats all Im prepared to say. Tell me a political joke. Two iPhones walk into a bar I forget the rest. Do you like the president? Id rather not say. Who should be the next president of the United States? Checking my sources No answer was forthcoming. How about a web search? She wouldnt say how she feels about the Texas governors exit from the GOP contest, dodging the subject completely. Should Rick Perry have quit the race? Did I say something wrong? If you really want me to go away, at least say goodbye. Whether by chance or communication snafu, she mishandled a few sensitive subjects. Are politics too negative? I couldnt find any political consultants. Should a woman be president? I couldnt find any dating services. Have you met George W. Bush? Sorry I cant look for hotels in the Cayman Islands. Although she has a quick-fire knack for assisting those in need, she refused to divulge her views on the Republican contenders. What do you think of Mitt Romney? Im afraid I cant answer that. What do you think of Newt Gingrich? Its nice of you to ask, but it really doesnt matter what I think. What do you think of Rick Santorum? I think differently. In the still-unsettled presidential race, Siri gave no clues about her partisan leanings but offered a polite prediction on the final outcome. Who will you vote for? May the best human win. She also put a protective hug around her inquisitive owner/reporter who wondered about campaigning. Should I run for president? Whatever you do, dont hurt yourself.
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27A
In the running
Politicians, media moguls follow hearts to younger women
Edwin and Trina Edwards
(52 YEARS)
Love notes: Trina Scott Grimes, 32, started writing letters and then visiting former Louisiana Gov. Edwin Edwards, 84, during his stint in federal prison for racketeering. They married in July, soon after his release. Everything is cool, the silver-haired Edwards said. For better or for worse: Edwards, a Democrat, has made a living out of being the likable bad guy, once getting elected with the slogan, Vote for the crook: Its important. Now on his third marriage, hes been urged by a lively band of followers to jump into the presidential fray, and the couples new Facebook page has thousands of supporters.
WASHINGTON With Valentines Day peeking around the corner, card-makers often embrace a favorite line: Love conquers all. For some power couples, it rises above partisanship, like the marriage between former Democratic strategist James Carville and his GOP consultant wife, Mary Matalin. For others including two big names in the presidential sweepstakes love also bridges the generation gap. Spouses with more than a 20-year age difference which both Newt
Gingrich and Donald Trump have in their marriages may be unusual, but it seldom causes political ripples, unless the union comes with unwanted baggage. Voters tend to ignore it if they like everything else about a candidate, said Sherry Bebitch Jeffe, a veteran political scientist at the University of Southern California. If they want to overlook it, they can. If they need an excuse to not like him, not vote for him, they can use this as an excuse, she said. The real problem is when your private life is challenged in a way that totally denigrates your own campaign theme. Some high-profile May-December romances in politics and media:
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19A
In the running
Cashing in on a hunch
Traders follow ups, downs of race in online prediction market
By TOM BENNING
Staff Writer tbenning@dallasnews.com
Obama
50% ($5)
Mitt Romney
40% ($4)
Newt Gingrich
Political opinions are more than just a dime a dozen these days. Mitt Romney to take the Nevada caucuses? Thatll cost you $9.91. Barack Obama to win re-election? Shell out $5.69. And Rick Santorum to get the GOP presidential nomination? Its a bargain at 19 cents. All thats according to Intrade, an online prediction market that allows political junkies to buy and sell shares of candidates in prices under $10. With the Republican presidential race passing through gambling-happy Nevada on Saturday, its a reminder to all those logging onto Twitter and Facebook to share their finest political analysis: Why not make a few bucks while youre doing it? said Carl Wolfenden, operations manager at the Dublin-based exchange. Intrade, started a decade ago, operates under the simple principle that all contracts pay
out $10 or nothing. So a trader on Friday who bought a share at $9.91 of Romney winning Nevada earned a profit of nine cents. If the former Massachusetts governor had lost, the trader wouldve been out $9.91. There are other places, such as bovada.lv, where budding pundits can make more traditional proposition bets on the odds that Obama, Romney or someone else will win the White House. (In case youre wondering, its 5/8 for Obama and 3/2 on Romney. That means a $2 bet would return $3.25 for the president and $5 for the exgovernor.) Intrade has seen about 3,000 people trade more than 1.5 million shares so far this primary season. And the sites traders are deftly accurate, picking the winner in all but two states in the 2008 presidential election. Its really about using your head and not your heart, Wolfenden said. Because your hard-earned dollars are at stake.
30% ($3)
Romney
20% ($2)
Gingrich
Ron Paul
10% ($1)
Paul
Santorum
0% N
SOURCE: Intrade
Rick Santorum
Tom Setzer/Staff Artist
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23A
In the running
Scott Adams used to care about picking a president who told the truth. The man behind the comic strip Dilbert would hem and haw over candidates various positions. Hed read fact checks of their statements. Hed strain to figure out who was lying and who was just mostly lying. In the end, though, hed only get stressed out and be nowhere closer to finding a commander in chief. But now its easier, said Adams, whos used his comic strip to explore the business worlds similar quirks and contradictions. Theyve dropped all pretense of even pretending to be honest or forthright. Some see that in the politicians who trash their rivals one day and then turn around and act like best buddies the next.
In the Internet age, such reversals are no longer confined to dusty newspaper archives. YouTube videos, tweets, news releases even extensive opposition research documents are all available to able-fingered Googlers. Want to watch Rick Perry bash Newt Gingrich as a Washington insider and later endorse him as a conservative visionary? Easy enough. The same goes for Jon Huntsmans rough treatment of Mitt Romney before deciding to back him. It flows the other way, too. Rick Santorum supported Romney for president in 2008, but now hes doing his best to cast his GOP foe as anything but conservative. Is it a troubling development? Not to Adams, whos cheekily running for president this year as an independent. Its a strange kind of freedom. The world is so complicated that what people say about
anything is completely irrelevant. Its independent from our decision-making now. Its debatable whether voters are moved by a losers newfound enthusiasm for an exopponent. Adams puts a comic bent on it all. Well, the world will be destroyed soon, he said with a laugh. But I think people are OK with that, too. Besides politics, the cartoonist said, similar exaggerations lurk in business. He recalled recent stories on Apple admitting some iPhone problems. The newsworthy aspect, in his view, was having a company actually tell the truth about something. That kind of mistrust and cynicism often creeps into Adams strip in hilarious ways. The entire reason the comic works is that Dilberts the only honest person in the world, he said.
Its a strange kind of freedom. The world is so complicated that what people say about anything is completely irrelevant, says Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert.
Jon Huntsman
On Romney in Nov. 6 interview When youre on too many sides of the issues of the day, when you dont have that core it makes you unelectable against Barack Obama. Gov. Romney is the candidate who will stand up for the conservative principles that we hold dear. In 2008, endorsing Mitt Romney for president
Rick Santorum
Romney once bragged hes even more liberal than Ted Kennedy on social issues. Why would we ever vote for someone who is just like Obama? A recent Santorum TV ad
Rick Perry
Newt Gingrich has the heart of a conservative reformer, the ability to rally and captivate the conservative movement and the courage to tell the Washington interests to take a hike if its what is best for the country. Perrys speech dropping out of the race Jan. 19
It is now time for our party to unite around the candidate best equipped to defeat Barack Obama . I believe that candidate is Gov. Mitt Romney. Huntsmans exit speech Jan. 16
If you cheat on your wife, youll cheat on your business partner. The issue of fidelity is important [to voters] whether its in their personal lives or whether its picking someone that served in public office. In a thinly veiled dig at Newt Gingrich in a debate Dec. 11
Illustrations by Chris Morris/Special Contributor
22A
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In the running
Sticking points
Advertising pros get up-close look at bumper stickers to see which re on all cylinders and which stall out
By SEAN COLLINS WALSH
Washington Bureau swalsh@dallasnews.com
ASHINGTON Whether its spawning the next viral video or keeping your Twitter feed busy, presidential camps cant scrimp on being creative. But when designing bumper stickers, the expert advice is
BANOWETZ
clear: Keep it simple. It should tell your neighbors you are a supporter of the candidate but if it tries to do anything more than that, then its going to wind up making a mistake, said Stan Richards, founder of the Dallas-based advertising agency The Richards Group. He and other Dallas advertising professionals said cluttered text, busy de-
KIM
RICHARDS
signs and ornate fonts can detract from a stickers impact and message. Reviewing the field for The Dallas Morning News, they were lukewarm over Mitt Romneys Believe in America brand, featuring an elaborate, curvy R. They liked Rick Perrys easy-to-read oval, the only non-rectangle among the Republicans. But even a top-notch design wasnt enough to keep the Texan in the race. And they praised President Barack Obamas 2012 sticker, which replaces the zero with his iconic logo of four years ago. The ratings by Richards, Leon Banowetz, owner of Banowetz + Company, and Tim Kim, owner of TM Media:
Newt Gingrich
Richards said the flowing star is a space-eater but using his first name was smart. Its friendlier than if it said Gingrich 2012. It even implies he and I are friends and that were on a first-name basis, he said. Kim agreed, saying simplicity definitely is the way to go. Newt did it pretty well.
Ron Paul
Kim credited him with having the best tagline. Its stronger than Romneys, but its not fighting [as in Rick Santorums]. No one wants fighting associated with them. Banowetz suggested it would have worked better had the first and last names been in contrasting colors.
Mitt Romney
Richards said the highly stylized initial seems like a design violation that ends up saying omney, with some sort of decorative thing preceding it. Banowetz credited the candidate for not repeating his first-name-only logo from 2008. His last name conveys more strength than Mitt. While the customized R is interesting, it does not clearly convey the concept behind the mark or the man.
Barack Obama
Kim said the president benefits from a well-known brand, the rising sun. Theyre already recognized. Thats huge. Richards said the square-serif font on the Obama-Biden sticker implies strength. And the letters are spaced out, which implies friendliness. If youre using a square-serif font like that and you space it tightly, it feels imposing. Banowetz cited the layouts bright and uncluttered feel.
Sticker shock?
Does the cost of a bumper sticker reflect a candidates standing in the presidential race? There may be no connection, but the online stores for Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich, who have mostly lagged behind, are offering the cheapest prices. Early front-runner Mitt Romneys are a buck more, while the underfunded Rick Santorum was giving his stickers away in Iowa. President Barack Obamas are the most expensive but available at half-price if bought in bulk. Single sticker cost: Obama . Romney . . . . . . . . . . . $5 $4 Perry . Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . $3 $3 Gingrich . . . . . . $3
Getty Images
6A
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In the running
Rick Perry
Esquire said the Texans suit lapels are a bit Lone Star-sized, but it praised him for nice collar-to-tie proportion. More casually, hes worn a blue fleece jacket stitched with his campaign logo. His footwear has gotten more attention, notably his custom-made, 9/11-inspired, dark ostrich cowboy boots with American flags and the words Liberty and Freedom. Hes also sported Justin Roper work boots, which he said gave him extra cushion and insulation during Iowa snowstorms.
Mitt Romney
In his failed White House bid four years ago, Romney mostly stuck to corporate suits. This time, especially at town hall meetings, hes ditched the tie, wearing instead window-pane shirts (he has several) and faded jeans (he switches between Tommy Bahama and The Gap). Romney, the wealthiest candidate in the race, has been mocked for his toned-down picks. On the Late Show With David Letterman, he appeared on stage in khakis and a navy blazer. Howd you do on the back nine? Letterman joked.
Stephan Savoia/The Associated Press
Barack Obama
As president, Obama has stuck to a traditional Washington uniform: dark suit, white shirt and solid or minimally stripped ties. In 2008, he drew compliments for his style and landed on the cover of Mens Vogue. But hes also gotten knocked for the high-waisted dad jeans he wore at the 2009 All-Star Game. His early suits a two-button, singlebreasted jacket with center vent and singlepleated pants with inch-and-a-quarter cuffs were customtailored by Hartmarx, a Chicago-based company. More recently, Politico reported, hes been wearing suits with side vents a sleeker, more modern touch, designers said.
Rick Santorum
The now-iconic sweater vest he owns them in navy blue, gray and tan has its own Twitter feed and a website, FearRicksVest.com. Theres also a YouTube music video, Sleeves Slow Me Down, loaded with slogans such as Rick is getting ready to inVEST in you. But its unclear whether going sleeveless will propel Santorum to victory. Hendrik Pohl of ties-necktie.com told ABC News the sweater vest is more a New England preppy look that I personally wouldnt associate with politics.
Rick Perrys son, Griffin, who tweeted these photos, asked if voters could trust Rick Santorum (right) when his fashion sense comes from former Ohio State coach Jim Tressel (left).
Newt Gingrich
Hes been rapped several times by the fashionistas. Esquire called his chinos so offensive that they should be marked Not Suitable for Work. And it slammed his hot air balloon of a navy blazer and the wide-open collar (with no tie) beneath it.
Eric Gay/The Associated Press
Ron Paul
His usual garb, said the mens magazine Esquire, has been defined by odd, ill-fitting suits, along with shirts of gargantuan collars and billowy sleeves. The Washington Post, on its The Fix blog, has railed about Pauls jacket being at least two sizes too big and making him look tiny never a good image to project when you are running for president. From staff and wire reports
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ELECTIONS 12
23A
In the running
Top liberal Democrat shows
Dominated by faux-news programs and comedies. 1. The Daily Show With Jon Stewart (Comedy Central) 2. The Colbert Report (Comedy Central) 3. Masterpiece (PBS) 4. 30 Rock (NBC) 5. Parks and Recreation (NBC) 6. The View (ABC) 7. Glee (Fox) 8. Modern Family (ABC) 9. Its Always Sunny in Philadelphia (FX) 10. Treme (HBO) 11. Cougar Town (ABC) 12. The Late Show With David Letterman (CBS) 13. The Soup (E!) 14. The Late Late Show With Craig Ferguson (CBS) 15. Aqua Teen Hunger Force (Adult Swim) 16. Outsourced (NBC) 17. Raising Hope (Fox) 18. Saturday Night Live (NBC) 19. The Office (NBC) 20. American Masters (PBS)
Prime-time politics
If your must-see TV lineup tickles the funny bone, with 30 Rock, Glee, Modern Family and David Letterman, youre probably a Democrat. But if you steer more toward reality fare and game shows, such as Wheel of Fortune, Only in America With Larry the Cable Guy, Swamp Loggers and The Bachelor, then youre probably rooting for Republicans.
By SEAN COLLINS WALSH
Washington Bureau swalsh@dallasnews.com
Least favorite
Swamp Loggers (Discovery); Dog the Bounty Hunter (A&E); and COPS (syndication).
A&E
Call it a prime-time political divide, a channel-switching gap driven by the partisan leanings of viewers in a yearlong survey by the Experian Simmons research group. Ranking the most popular entertainment shows for Entertainment Weekly, it said liberal Democrats mostly like sarcastic media-savvy comedies and morally murky antiheroes. Conservative Republicans are more attracted to workcentered shows and reality competitions. Robert Thompson, a TV and pop culture professor at Syracuse University who was not involved in the study, said a culture shift may explain some of the findings as comedies have become more liberal, even risqu, in recent years, a far cry from the 1950s Father Knows Best kind of offerings. Now, he said, such programs have more diverse story lines, often highlighting different lifestyles. A lot of the culture conservatives I could see would have a problem with some of the comedies out there, even Modern Family, which is old-fashioned Eisenhower-era family values, he said. I mean these people
are a family who really love each other. But some conservatives might not like the positive portrayal of a gay couple with a child. Elayne Rapping, a professor of American studies at State University of New York at Buffalo, said she found it significant that the most-favored lists have little overlap, another sign of the split in the nations politics and of the spread and specialization of pop culture. That tells us a lot about where we are mentally and emotionally, she said. As for late-night talkers, Letterman, Craig Ferguson and Conan OBrien are top picks among Democrats. Rightwingers line up behind Jay Leno. In a TV ad blitz, the partisan lineups might help candidates target key blocs of voters. But Thompson said that as in any survey, its only as reliable as those taking part are being truthful. He cited as an example PBS Masterpiece. Researchers said it indexes at a huge 234, meaning its viewer is 134 percent more likely to be a liberal Democrat than the average adult viewer. Its the show every smart person says they watch but probably doesnt, he said, while a lot of smart people probably watch Two and a Half Men, even if they dont admit it.
Michael Hogue/Staff Artist
Least favorite
Weeds (Showtime); The Daily Show With Jon Stewart and The Colbert Report (Comedy Central); and South Park (Comedy Central).
Showtime
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15A
In the running
Michele Bachmann
TV guilty pleasure: Turner Classic Movies Food obsession: Dark chocolate Partisan reversal: Was a student volunteer for Democrat Jimmy Carters 1976 presidential campaign Her pick to play her in a movie: Patricia Heaton of Everybody Loves Raymond and The Middle On her iPad: Handels Messiah.
Newt Gingrich
Worst job: Being a pinsetter, because the bowlers would try to hit him with the ball Food obsession: Almost any ice cream, with black cherry his favorite Personal theme song: Doesnt have one but uses ABBAs Dancing Queen from the movie Mamma Mia on his telephone Name game: Born Newton Leroy McPherson; his mom called him Newtie. He took the last name of Gingrich from his stepfather. Puppy love: Has talked about launching a Pets With Newt website. As a child, he kept jars of snakes on his bedside table and had a cocker spaniel, a Doberman pinscher and a German shepherd. He once painted light stripes on a dark leather jacket so he could resemble a zebra.
Jon Huntsman
Worst job: Dishwasher in a Japanese restaurant, where he also had to clean toilets Food obsession: Fried Oreos Personal theme song: Tom Pettys I Wont Stand Down School blues: Dropped out of high school, quitting to play keyboards in the rock band Wizard. Later, he got a GED, took classes at the University of Utah and graduated from the University of Pennsylvania. Biker on board: A motorcycle enthusiast, he rode a Harley Davidson in his debut political ad.
Ron Paul
Personal theme song: Born Free Food obsession: Chocolate chip cookies On the field: Was a track star in high school, a champion in the 220-yard dash Musical tastes: Alices Restaurant by Arlo Guthrie is one of his favorite songs. BlackBerry or iPhone? Neither; uses instead a small cellphone
Rick Perry
Personal theme song: Something that Beethoven wrote.
Mitt Romney
Worst job: Baling hay on a ranch. Hes allergic to hay. TV guilty pleasure: Watching Modern Family Food obsession: Chocolate milk and anything coated in peanut butter, says his wife, Ann. Also, if he has a slice of pizza, he pulls the cheese off the top. At the bar: Never had drinks or tobacco. Its a religious thing [being a Mormon]. I tasted a beer and tried a cigarette once, as a wayward teenager, and never did it again. On his iPad: The Eagles, Beatles, Roy Orbison, Randy Travis and The Killers along with the games Scrabble and Angry Birds
Rick Santorum
Worst job: Cleaning toilets and shining shoes TV guilty pleasure: Watching the Food Network with his children Food obsession: Milkshakes, ice cream and the deepest chocolate you can get BlackBerry or iPhone? BlackBerry, because it works better typing with his fat fingers, he says. His pick to play him in a movie: Jim Caviezel, actor in The Passion of the Christ
TV guilty pleasure: Im not much of a TV person. He has called The Wizard of Oz his top movie. Food obsession: Sausage and crackers Favorite newspaper: Stars & Stripes. Ill always remember reading it as a boy in the Air Force. Top band: The Who
Fried Oreo
Arlo Guthrie
Patricia Heaton
Jim Caviezel
Compiled from staff and wire reports and other media outlets, including ABC News and NPR